Fantasy Baseball Today - George Klassen Emerging & Edwin Diaz Replacements! (8/19 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: August 19, 2026

The superstars came to play on Tuesday (2:30). ... Time to add George Klassen (5:35)? ... Braxton Ashcraft looks to be back (11:45). ... It was a big night for the Brewers offense (15:00). ... News (2...1:03): Edwin Diaz is going back on the IL. ... Jo Adell had a monster night (34:37). ... Kyle Leahy and Tyler Mahle continued to pitch well (45:48). ... Let's fire up the WORRY-O-METER (51:35)! ... We wrap up with leftovers, bullpens and streamers (1:03:47).Subscribe to our YouTube channel: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Sign up for the newsletter at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Now here's Frank, Scott, and Chris. What's up and welcome in to Fantasy Baseball today on Wednesday, August 19th. I am Frank Sample joined by Scott White. Today on the show, Braxton Ashcraft is back.
Starting point is 00:00:35 Edwin Diaz is also back on the IL, unfortunately. Plus, we will fire up the lauremeter on a Wednesday, plus dropometer, and I've got some fancy new graphics for both of those. So should be fun for those watching on YouTube. We'll get to that a little bit later on. Let's jump in. Yeah, baby! Before we even get to our players of the night, Scott, I do want to highlight once again.
Starting point is 00:00:58 Obviously, big discussion yesterday, NLMVP. And of course, another day goes by. more home runs hit by both of those gentlemen. So Otani hit his 30th and PCA led off the game with another one. His 31st home run of the game. They are relentless. Of the game?
Starting point is 00:01:17 I think he... Oh, it's 31st home run of the game leading off the game. Oh, what was that stat? 31st of the year. 31st overall, yes. They knew what you meant. I'm just being a... I'm just being a joke.
Starting point is 00:01:32 I also want to highlight, Fernando Tatsis's entire game. This is what superstars are made of. Double Dong and he robbed a grand slam in the same game. It's just incredible stuff, man. Again, like something you do in a video game. The first home run that he hit in the first inning, 113.2 miles per hour off the bat,
Starting point is 00:01:55 452 feet. And the updated numbers since he hit his first home run way back on, I think it was like May 3, 30th. Last 70 games for Tatis, 288, 15 homers, 14 steals, OPS right around 900, 94.3 average EV, 13% barrel rate. How about that? Sounds pretty good. Sounds more like it. Sounds more like Fernando Tatis. And I think that's how we should approach them moving forward. I don't know what happen to the Padres trio of studs hitters at the start of the year, Machado and Jackson Merrill being the other two. But they've looked more like themselves for the past couple months.
Starting point is 00:02:45 It's a good thing. Yes, indeed. And even better in the second half for Tatis, the OPS up over a thousand so far after the All-Star break. All right, let's get into our actual players of the night. and it appears we have a new challenger approaching. Can you name what video game that's from? No. No, is it like Grand Theft Auto or something? No, you're gonna beat yourself up, man. It's one that you tell me you play with your kids.
Starting point is 00:03:14 What? What? No? I don't recognize that at all. Super Smash. Super Smash Bros. Which one? That sound effect has been used for each one, I believe, since,
Starting point is 00:03:31 and 64 might be since game in what context it's whenever a new challenger is approaching like the the silhouette of a new character I may have not played that like game mode or whatever yeah that game mode yeah exactly
Starting point is 00:03:48 by the way I think it came out when I was like 15 so I don't know technically I wasn't an I wasn't an adult not technically I wasn't an adult at 15 but saying I played it as a kid is probably a little misleading also. Yes. Well,
Starting point is 00:04:06 the new challenger approaching is George Claussen. So that is our little segue into, he's looked pretty good, just had the best start of his career. Yeah, he has. And so let's talk about that. It was a really good start. George Claussen struck out seven over seven one-hit innings
Starting point is 00:04:25 against the Astros in Houston, no less. So good showing, 17 swinging strikes on 86 pitches. He did some things a little differently in this one through his slider 45% of the time. That's a lot for a slider, but it makes sense because it had been his best pitch. It had a 44% whiff rate coming in, but he was only thrown at 24% of the time.
Starting point is 00:04:53 So up to 45, it was responsible for 12 of the 17 whiffs, using your best pitch more, that's usually a good strategy. His last start was also really good. Two run runs in six innings and he only walked one. The three starts prior to that, he had a combined 14 walks in eight and two-thirds innings. So there had been massive control issues to start out his career, and we've seen them throughout George Clausen's minor league career as well.
Starting point is 00:05:23 Overall, his strike rate in the majors is 58%, which is pretty awful. This start for as good as it was, 63%. Not awful, but not very good either. So I don't know that he's whipped this problem. And if he's going to be committed to throwing his slider this much, again, 45%, maybe it'll work. I will note that it doesn't seem like it was the game plan coming in.
Starting point is 00:05:52 This is how George Claussen described his approach in this start. the legs were feeling a little jelly in the first inning, and the slider was the pitch that was feeling the best. So I stuck to that strength and just went at him with it. So he decided to emphasize the slider because his legs were feeling a little jelly. I think, meaning lacking in strength, I don't mean he thinks the legs were feeling jealous of his arm or whatever. but I don't know. It's strange syntax any way you look at it.
Starting point is 00:06:29 But it wasn't the plan going in. Maybe it should be the plan going forward. I don't know. There aren't a lot of interesting pitchers on the waiver wire right now. We've at least seen some bad missing ability from George Cawson. Not a bad idea to take a flyer, but ultimately I'm just lukewarm on him. I am pretty intrigued by what we're seeing here from George Cawson. Using that slider a lot more in this one, it accounted for 12 of his 17 whiffs. the fastball mixed results here. It had four whiffs,
Starting point is 00:06:56 but also gave up some hard contact against that fastball. I do question if he really truly has anything that he can throw and get people out with consistently besides the slider. I will point out that he used his change up 20% of the time in the minors. And it was a pretty good pitch for him in the minors. We haven't really seen it use that much in the majors so far. So that remains to be seen.
Starting point is 00:07:20 I will point out that its final three, starts at AAA as well before being promoted 193 ERA 102 whip 11.6K per 9, 1.5 walks per 9. How many starts was that? Final three starts at AAA. Okay. Yeah. So 11.6K per 9, 1.5 walks per 9. He went six plus innings in each of those. So this is someone a couple of years ago who emerged as like a fast rising pitching prospect. And then he, you know, kind of hit some hard times the past couple of years.
Starting point is 00:07:51 He has reemerged this year. He's getting a real opportunity widely available. He's 9% rostered. So I think in deep leagues for sure, you want to just see what happens here, add him and see what happens. But even some 12 teamers, like there's not, as you mentioned, Scott, there's not that many intriguing names that are emerging right now. And so if you have the spot to mess with, I would add Klaus in it and see what happens.
Starting point is 00:08:16 He's at the Rangers later this week as the second start of a two-star week. next week revenge game against the Phillies the team that traded him away last year, two years ago I think it was two years ago
Starting point is 00:08:29 but anyway it's a revenge game so we'll see what Claussen could do trying to remember what trade that was yeah I can't remember was it no because
Starting point is 00:08:40 Yon DeRan was for the power of the internet tells me it was to get Carlos Estavez oh Carlos oh my gosh Oh my God. How can we forget about Carlos? I forgot he was a Philly to be perfectly honest.
Starting point is 00:08:55 Yeah, that season he was great with the Angels and then he went to the Phillies and was immediately bad. Yeah. Yeah, I think it's fine. To me, just to, like, I don't want to be overconfident in Clossom because he has a very clear flaw here that he's demonstrated in the majority of his starts in the majors. And at AAA this year, final three starts being as great as they were, a 142 whip at AAA.
Starting point is 00:09:23 So like if you get too lax about when you use them, he could maybe crush or whip. But I don't know, maybe this was the start of a change in approach that's going to carry George Claus into new heights. It's not outside the realm of possibility. It's just not the leading bet as far as I'm concerned. Again, if you just look at the most added starting pitchers on CBS right now,
Starting point is 00:09:47 Tyler Malley, fine, another quality start. I'd rather have that. I think he's a higher floor. Kyle Leahy for sure, but he's up to 78% rostered. Luis Castillo, like, no, I think I'd rather just see what Claussen could do there. Castillo had the one great start, but everything else around that, it's been pretty bad. Martine Perez, fourth most added starter right now, like, you know? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:10:10 It gets kind of blah pretty quickly, so. Yeah, I get it. Yeah, sure. My player of the night here is going to be Braxton Ashcraft, who is back. Another great outing. This one against the Tigers. Eight innings of one-run ball. Four strikeouts to zero walks.
Starting point is 00:10:25 Only seven swinging strikes on 80 pitches here, but he did double the sinker usage, which has helped lately. It's helped him get more ground balls, and that's really the key to this turnaround here. Four starts in August. It's a two-ERA, 0.59 whip, 24 strikeouts to three walks,
Starting point is 00:10:44 over 27 innings, and a 60% ground ball rate. in four starts in August. So a very big key contributor there for Braxton Ashcraft. He didn't really have the big whiff numbers on his breaking pitches like he normally does. Did give up some hard contact as well, but I like that he's throwing strikes, he's avoiding walks, getting back to getting those ground balls. I don't know that he's all the way back to the pitcher he was earlier this season, Scott,
Starting point is 00:11:08 where he can blend all three of those things, throwing strikes, getting ground balls, and missing a ton of bats. We haven't seen a ton of bat missing lately. but the fact that he's doing two of those well and the results have been there, I am very encouraged by the Braxton Ashcraft revival. So there were a lot of pitchers last week who did something different and got immediate returns.
Starting point is 00:11:30 You mentioned one, Louise Castillo, didn't stick with it the following time. Another was Sean Mania, didn't stick with it the following time. Tyler Malley, we'll get to him later. He did stick with it and has continued to do well. Braxton Ashcraft is another one who's now done the new thing two starts in a row, which is emphasize his sinker, really leaning into
Starting point is 00:11:53 his ground ball tendencies rather than the bat missing. He managed to get 10 strikeouts in the previous start where he, the first of these two starts where he threw his sinker about 30% of the time, but not with the kind of whiff rate we were seeing before. It did seem like there was a tradeoff happening there. And I think it more came to light. here in this start against the Tigers, where he went eight strong, but struck out only four. It might be the best he can do right now as, you know, the seven starts prior to
Starting point is 00:12:28 this emphasis on the sinker. He had an ERA approaching seven. So he needed to do something different. And my suspicion was that maybe the innings were piling up and he had just lost a little bit of his crispness there. But now two start, straight starts, really good, functioning more as a pitch to contact,
Starting point is 00:12:51 ground ball specialist. And I'll take it. I'll take it. I mean, it prevents where, it prevents Ashcraft going the direction he was, which was to Dropsville, I would say.
Starting point is 00:13:07 He was getting awfully close to that. Now obviously you're not dropping him. Yeah. And again, just to highlight once again, while the walks have been down, the ground balls have been up, just a 9.5% swinging strike rate over his last 6th start. So there has been a little bit of a trade-off,
Starting point is 00:13:23 but again, the results looking much better here, and just a lot more efficient for Brexon Ashcraft. Before we hit our first break, just want to highlight a game of the night. Oh my goodness gracious, game of the night. Football is coming. And the Packers shut out the Seahawks, 22 to 0. Brewers put up 22 runs on 22 hits, and four homers.
Starting point is 00:13:46 Jake Bowers, two for three with his 22nd homer, three runs, two RBI. Scott, I've been waiting for Jake Bowers
Starting point is 00:13:54 to just fall off all season. It has never happened. He has not had a monthly OPS below 840 in each of the last four months.
Starting point is 00:14:03 And even with a broken toe. And he's hovering around a 900 OPS and he's actually been better against lefties and he has against righties. He's awesome. I don't know if he'll be
Starting point is 00:14:14 awesome next year, but he's awesome this year. No, he's, I'm, I am inclined to stick with him. Yes, for the rest of this year in whatever league where that I have them. Even the three outfielders league, three outfielders leagues, he's been great in points format as well. I'd like to contextualize that because I haven't looked into it recently. Jake Bowers in points league's 3.18 points per game that was coming into today. that is man amazing as it would take me a minute to count him up but that i think puts him in the top 12 for outfielder points per game really high up there yeah he's been great yep
Starting point is 00:15:00 christian yellich also homered in this one two for five his ninth homer four rbi i i didn't want to mention him yesterday as one of these second half statcast underachievers i know it's been really bad for Christian Yellich. 257 Wobah in the second half. 331 expected Wobah. The XBA, the X-Lug, all much better. And he has a 17% barrel rate in the second half.
Starting point is 00:15:27 So, look, I think in shallower leagues where you need playing time, he's probably not going to play against lefties, you could probably let go of Yelich. But if you've held on to him in some of those deeper formats, I think you could still use him in weeks where there's lots of righties on the schedule, just because he has been a big underachiever here in the second half. Luis Lara is on the board three for six with his first home run for RBI.
Starting point is 00:15:50 And so far he's been pretty underwhelming, Scott. I looked into the playing time for Laura. So far in the second half, he has started against 15 of 23 righties and five of seven lefties. 22% roster. Do you think that number needs to be higher for Luis Laura? Not yet. This was really the first sign of. life this game. It wasn't the hardest hit home run less than 100 miles per hour.
Starting point is 00:16:16 I'm pretty sure he hit it off of a position player too. Oh, did he? Well, that's even worse. Yeah, I haven't seen enough yet to make Laura a priority. Even in five outfielder leagues, I was looking for somebody to drop and Laura ended up getting the cut in a couple of leagues where I had them. So, particularly with the playing time being less than every day, I don't know that this is the moment you need to rush out and pick them up. And then David Hamilton had a monster game as well, three for five with a sock in two shoes, a homer, two steals, four RBI, and he plays mostly against right-handed pitching. Very few starts against lefties this season. Overall, 239, four homers, 24, Steel 652 OPS, 11% rostered, second, third, and shortstop eligible, but it's just an NL only name,
Starting point is 00:17:11 maybe a 15-team Roto, but even there, I'm not sure it's completely necessary for David Hamilton. If you listen to the audio podcast and you enjoy, thank you, please feel free to leave a five-star rating and review on both Apple and Spotify. We really do appreciate it. Let's take a break, and we'll be back right after this. Welcome back, fantasy baseball today. Let's hit the news and notes. And Edwin Diaz was placed on the aisle with neck inflammation. Neck inflammation.
Starting point is 00:17:40 Probably picked up some whiplash from all the home runs he was giving up, Scott. And what do you know? Save opportunity right away for the Dodgers. Tanner Scott got the final four outs for his 17th save. He did allow a run on two hits, but he has been very reliable this season. Obviously was the closer for a game. large portion while Edwin Diaz was out.
Starting point is 00:18:04 I am trying to pull up his roster rate. And Tanner Scott, 61% rostered. I think that number needs to be closer to 100%, even in a points league. I mean, this could be a top 10, top 15 closer rest of season. Could be. It's not clear that Edwin Diaz is out rest of season, but even if he comes back,
Starting point is 00:18:27 there should be serious doubts as to whether or not he be the closer for as bad as it was going and presumably Tanner Scott gets the job done between now and then so I think absolutely even in leagues where saves aren't scarce Tanner Scott needs to be picked up I didn't want to read this quote from Dave Roberts because I found it gratifying in a way he said I think this is something where Edwin I don't know if he's encouraged but there's just knowing that there could be a reason why his stuff has not been playing
Starting point is 00:19:00 like it has in the past. With the neck, obviously, there are ties to the whole body. I'm personally excited that we can find something that's going on. So I find it gratifying because sometimes I've had that same sentiment when a player who was struggling got hurt,
Starting point is 00:19:19 like, oh, well, maybe that explains it. This isn't such a bad thing. Which feels a little ghoulish, I guess, but here Dave Roberts is showing, expressing the same sentiment. So I think it's, maybe it is normal. Maybe it is a normal way to feel. Maybe I'm not a ghoul after all. If you lost Edwin Diaz and Tanner Scott is not available,
Starting point is 00:19:42 there were two names who picked up saves here on Tuesday that I wanted to bring up as options. Mason Montgomery for the Pirates. He got the ninth with a three-run lead. He struck out two for his fifth save. And he has the last three saves for the first saves for the. pirates, including two since the team has traded for Luke Weaver, and presumably Luke Weaver should have been available for this game. So I'm starting to think that Mason Montgomery, and I had a few Pirates fans in the mention telling me this, that Mason Montgomery is just
Starting point is 00:20:10 the closer for the Pirates now. And I did not realize he is disgusting this year, Scott. He is a 14.6K per 9, 53% ground ball rate. His FIP and X FIP are both. below 250. He is been disgusting. He is 23% rostered. The other name I wanted to mention was Ben Joyce, who also picked up another save. Sammy Natera Jr. last pitched on August
Starting point is 00:20:37 11th. Have no idea what's going on there. But Joyce has each of the last three saves, and I kind of just think he's the guy. So if you lost Edwin Diaz, you missed out on Tanner Scott. I think Montgomery and Ben Joyce are in the mix. As is Kodi Senga.
Starting point is 00:20:53 Scott, how would you rank those three? Kodai Senga. Mason Montgomery, Ben Joyce. I think I'd put Montgomery number one. Now, I do think with Luke Weaver there, he's probably on thin ice, and you may say, oh, well, with how dominant he's been, how could that ice break?
Starting point is 00:21:18 There was a point in June where his ERA rose close to five. It was about the same time where Gregory Soto was losing his grip on the closer roll, and it's like, oh, we could just install Mason Montgomery, but he was falling apart too. Yeah. However, in his last 18 appearances prior to Tuesdays, 18 appearances prior to Tuesday,
Starting point is 00:21:41 Mason Montgomery had a 108 ERA, had allowed only four hits in those 18 appearances. He's filthy, man. While striking out 34. So I feel pretty good about him, but it did happen earlier this year that he got an ERA close to five. Okay, so that would be my number one choice
Starting point is 00:22:04 and then I think I'd go Senga over Joyce, though Joyce genuinely has looked better. I mean, he's always had the fastball that would have hit 103, 104 at times, but it wasn't as he wasn't as much of a bat misser as you'd expect considering. So far in the small sample this year, he's been missing bats a plenty.
Starting point is 00:22:24 so he may be legitimately emerging as a closer caliber reliever. One more Dodgers note here. Shohei Otani threw a bullpen on Tuesday, which appeared to go well. Otani added that his need did not bother him at all. So perhaps we'll get the next steps in his pitching progression and could perhaps return as a pitcher as a starter, hopefully, before the end of the season. Bunch of Yankees updates.
Starting point is 00:22:52 Aaron Judge will begin a hit. progression this week. He's already been playing catch and running. There was a quote recently from Aaron Boone that they hope that he could be back in the next month. So maybe mid-September, that is assuming no setback. So not a sure thing there for Judge. Max Fried apparently could face just a minimum stay on the IL.
Starting point is 00:23:13 Apparently this injury is much less serious than the previous one, and the move was precautionary. So yesterday I was much more worried. I thought it was kind of that same severity, and he's basically done, but I guess don't drop him just yet. Max Fried could be back pretty soon. And Cody Ballinger will start his rehab assignment at AAA on Thursday.
Starting point is 00:23:33 He'll play at least two games before returning to the Yankees. Hunter Goodman was placed in the IL with a left shoulder strain at retroactive to August 15th. Just brutal timing, Scott. I think some people might have been stuck with Goodman in their lineups because he was in the original lineup yesterday for the Rockies or on Monday, and then he was scratched like, before the game started, and then placed in the IL.
Starting point is 00:23:57 So hopefully that didn't happen, but he's been one of the best catchers in fantasy this year. And six games in Corses Field this week. It's just bad timing. Yeah, I will, you know, obviously it's late in the season. We talk about every player who gets hurt. It could be a season-ender. I think we're talking a minimal stay for Goodman.
Starting point is 00:24:15 In this case, they delayed putting them on the IL for four days, and it really became an issue of, they need to make sure they had healthy catchers. That's obviously a position where you don't want to put somebody who's not used to playing it. In fact, I think their backup catcher is normally their designated position player mop-up pitcher, and they couldn't use them in that role because he was the healthy catcher.
Starting point is 00:24:45 So that's part of the reason why Goodman went on the I. All right, continuing on here, Cattell-Martin. who was placed in the IL on the restricted list, excuse me, on Monday, returned to Arizona to undergo an MRI on his left knee. So we still don't really have very much news here. It's kind of cryptic with Cotel Marte, but I hope he's all right.
Starting point is 00:25:07 AJ Smith-Shawber will rejoin the Braves rotation on Wednesday and is expected to stick beyond just the one spot start that we see from many other young pitchers. So hopefully, it sounds like he will stick around. Seven starts in the minors, 157 ERA, 0.9,000. 9-8 whip, 10.7K per 9, 54% ground ball rate. I mean, he's not everything he could do down in the minors. And he is 27% rostered.
Starting point is 00:25:31 So, Scott, what is your interest level in AJ Smith-Shawbert? Moderate. I would probably, I'd probably put him over Claussen, though not by much. I think so, too. I am interested in seeing if his fastball, big bat misser, it was. in the minors, yes, but we haven't seen much evidence that it can be that in the majors and
Starting point is 00:25:58 in his one start with the big club this year for everything he was doing well in the minors. Let me double check here. I think he just had one whiff on the fastball. It was he had two whiffs in the entire
Starting point is 00:26:18 contest on 69 pitches against the Mets. So it made me a little uneasy, made me wonder, okay, is the arsenal in its current form going to translate to major league lineups? Ultimately, it was a sample of one. There's enough reason for encouragement here to, you know, if you need pitching help to pick up Smith Schaver,
Starting point is 00:26:40 but he has something to prove. All right, continuing on here, Jacob de Grom threw a bullpen Tuesday and apparently felt good. It sounds like he could start on Thursday for the Rangers. CJ Abrams's agent said Abrams is uneasy about the move to second base, but is eager to put the team first. I don't really understand the wording here, because clearly they wanted to voice some kind of frustration about this move,
Starting point is 00:27:09 but then in the same sentiment said that they want to put the team first. So Abrams has yet to appear at second base since the nationals said they were going to do that. So kind of weird. Yeah. Look, he wants to put the team first, but he's not quite there yet. You know, the head wants to put the team first. The heart says, I want to keep playing shortstop. So he's got to work that out.
Starting point is 00:27:35 It's a bit of an internal struggle. And eventually he'll get there, I think, because he'll have to. I think so, too. Continuing on, Tyler Soderstrom will undergo season-ending hip surgery on Friday, and his season ends with a 245 batting average 19 homers, 810 OPS in 10-10 games. Overall, it was a pretty good season for Sotersstrom. Pretty much just picked up where he left off last year.
Starting point is 00:28:01 I think this is the player he's kind of settling into as a 250-260 hitter with around 25 home runs. That appears to be the Tyler Soderstrom experience. Bryce Terang returned to the lineup after missing the weekend with left knee discomfort. Vlad Jr. participated in a light on field workout on Tuesday. He is on the seven-day concussion IL. Red Sox manager, Chad Tracy, said that Roman Anthony is expected to serve as their everyday leadoff hitter once he is back from the IL.
Starting point is 00:28:32 And in Anthony's first rehab appearance on Tuesday, he reached based in all four played appearances. He went two for two with two walks and a mammoth home run. So I'm pretty excited, Scott, to see you. Put him in, coach. What we get from Roman Anthony the rest of the way. He's ready. Let a rip. I want to see what his...
Starting point is 00:28:53 I imagine his roster rate is still pretty high here. But Roman Anthony, 87% on CBS. And that number is 74% on Yahoo. So, yeah, he was being drafted as a top five or six-round player this season. and if he's available in some shallower formats, I would change that for Roman Anthony. The Cubs are expected to activate Daniel Palencia in the coming days.
Starting point is 00:29:25 Does he retake the closer role? Jacob Webb has been pretty awesome. He pitched another scoreless ninth inning and he wound up with his sixth win. What do you think, Scott? Who do you think emerges here? Is it a, maybe it's a bullpen by committee kind of thing, Palencia and Jacob Webb?
Starting point is 00:29:43 I think Palencia. emerges. I don't know if it'll be in his very first appearance, especially since he spent so much of this season on the IL, but if he looks like himself after a couple appearances, maybe after one appearance, then I suspect they'll be happy to have
Starting point is 00:29:59 Jacob Webb as their setup man. It took so long for them to come around to him as the closer. But ultimately, yeah, I think it'll be Palencia. All right, Griffin Jackson will make a rehab start at AAA on Sunday. Felix Bautista could begin a you have assignment within the next week.
Starting point is 00:30:17 Trey Savage resumed throwing from flat ground Tuesday. It's a positive step after meniscus surgery last week. Justin Martinez made his return to the debacks. He pitched in the eighth inning with the dbacks down five runs at the time. He threw a scoreless inning. He walked one. He averaged 100.5 miles per hour on his fastball. And his usage is one to watch.
Starting point is 00:30:40 Him versus Brandon Garcia. Obviously Garcia has been very good. I think he's earned that closer role. I think they stick with him for now. But if he falters, perhaps Martinez gets thrown back into that role as well. The Reds optioned Nelvie Marte to AAA. And I'm just not sure it's ever going to happen for Nelvie Marte. This year hitting 190 with six home runs and seven steals.
Starting point is 00:31:02 And the Cardinals also optioned Quinn Matthews back to AAA. Some waiver wire hitters from Tuesday's action. And Joe Adele, massive game here, three for four with his 19th home run. run, six RBI, three hard hits in this game. The home run, 111.9 miles per hour, 455 feet. He's just, I don't really know what to do with this guy. He's 79% rostered. Could be out there in some of the shallowest formats,
Starting point is 00:31:30 but I kind of feel like Joe Adele is probably over-roastered at 79%. Yeah, I agree. He looked great in this game, but hadn't so much since joining Gleeve or really all season. So I am surprised that his roster rate is that high. I did want to, because I have the splits here for this year, drastic splits against lefties, 319 batting average 973 OPS against righties,
Starting point is 00:32:01 204 with a 582 OPS. I don't remember those being as drastic in previous seasons here for Joe Adele. But, I mean, they kind of are what they are this year. And he's already sat out against a few righties since being traded over to the Guardians. And I am just filibustering until I get to 2025 splits. And last year for Joe Adele, it was a 931 OPS against lefties, 744 against righties. So, yeah, not nearly as big of a cap between the two last season. Trent Grisham stayed hot, two for four with his 17th home run, 3 RBI.
Starting point is 00:32:40 And in 15 August games, he's hitting 281 with six home. a 989 OPS. He's been very hot and cold this season. He's had some very good months, some very bad months. 70% rostered. Seven home games next week, I think is a little intriguing there for Trent Grisham. You know, in three outfielder points league, Scott, I could see being in on Grisham with the seven games at home next week
Starting point is 00:33:04 and with him playing as well as he is right now. Yeah, and we pointed out all season that he was one of the biggest underachievers by the data, so it is gratifying to see him correct that. He, coming into Tuesday, believe it or not, 2.77 for the year, 2.77 head-to-head points per game, which, to give you a comparison, let's see, Carson Binge is 2.68, Riley Green is 2.67.
Starting point is 00:33:42 Jack Caglione, 2.64. So for the year in points league's Trent Grisham has been better than all three of those guys
Starting point is 00:33:49 on a per game basis. And he's just a little behind Jackson Merrill who's at 2.80. Would you rather add
Starting point is 00:33:58 Trent Grisham or Zach Gelloff? They're both between 70 and 80% roster. I think
Starting point is 00:34:06 split the baby here, Grisham in points, Gelloff in categories. Yeah, I think so too.
Starting point is 00:34:13 What about Grisham or Vien? Oh, Grisham. I mean, Veen's still a theory and even in a best case scenario, I'm not sure they're going to let him play against lefties right now. So that definitely limits the upside. All right, moving on, Alejandro Kirk 3 for 6 with his sixth home run, 3RBI last 21 games. He's hitting 378 with four homers, 15 RBI and OPS around 1,000.
Starting point is 00:34:40 He is 58% roster. So it's really just a one-catcher conversation. Scott, can I interest you in Kirk in any one-catcher leagues? It's not a high price. Like, he's not the sort of player in a one-catcher league that you pick up excitedly. I think it's like, well, he's the best I can do off the waiver wire. It doesn't strike out much, so that helps his cause in points leagues.
Starting point is 00:35:09 But the upside is just not that exciting for Alejandro Kirk. Yeah, to me, I think there's still a pretty clear top 10 in my catcher rankings, which ends with Gabriel Moreno, Adley Ruchman, and William Contreras. I dropped Contreras quite a bit last week just because he's been slumping quite a bit, and these other catchers have been really good. But after you get to Contreras, I have Salvador Perez, Cal Raleigh, Francisco Alvarez. If you just wanted to say, all right, you know, if I am in the back end of that top 12, and I just want to ride the hot hand.
Starting point is 00:35:44 I mean, Kirk is one of the hotter catchers right now. So I see an argument for it there if you just want to stream him while he's playing well. Sure. All right, moving on. We have Big Night for a Big Night for Willie Castro, two for three with two walks, Asak in a shoe, his 14th home run, his ninth stolen base.
Starting point is 00:36:01 And here in the second half, 278, seven homers, 20 run scored, three steals, 916 OPS, 54% rostered. We know he's eligible everywhere except catcher. the problem. Seven road games next week. Well, that's what happens when you play six home games in one week.
Starting point is 00:36:21 You don't like the split weeks for the Rockies. You got to take the vegetables with the plate of carbs that we're enjoying right now. Big plate of spaghetti. I would like your home games. I could eat pasta every night for dinner, Scott. I would love to do that. You should. What's stopping you?
Starting point is 00:36:39 If there were no repercussions, I. What are the repercussions, Frank? Tell me of your repercussions. I don't know. Just what everyone tells me that you can't eat pasta every day. But maybe I shouldn't listen to them and I should just do it, you know? Just do it. I mean, I don't know how many years.
Starting point is 00:36:57 Yolo, as the kids say. I don't know how many years will be hosting this podcast if I eat spaghetti every day for dinner. I think there are worse things you could eat every day than spaghetti. That's fair. I'm sure there are tons of people who would argue that. But you know what? There isn't a ton of consensus in the nutrition. world and I think there's worse things you can eat every day.
Starting point is 00:37:16 Everything, everything in moderation, right? Every day, but in moderation, if that makes sense. Now that is the other hard part, is the moderation. It's how much spaghetti you're eating on those days, maybe. Scott, I can eat spaghetti every night for dinner and have like two or three bowls of spaghetti. I really enjoy pasta. I had some spaghetti tonight. You just, you know, you've got a limited,
Starting point is 00:37:42 little bit. Willie Castro does have the big home road split, so I'm not as interesting. Yeah, exactly. I was getting around to that. Thank you. Yeah. We got there. It was a long-winded way of getting there on Willie Castro. Josh Bell, he's having himself a big August. Two for four with his 17th home run and in August, 362, four homers, 13 RBI, a 10-34 OPS. First base has been loaded all year, but there have been some injuries that have taken place. There have been some guys, that have slowed down over the past month. So just another hot hand approach. I think more as like a corner infield type.
Starting point is 00:38:25 But, you know, kind of niche. But if you're playing a deeper points league, I think Josh Bell is still pretty good in that format. He doesn't really strike out all that much. So what do you think about Josh Bell? Scott, 43% rostered. I think that number could be higher. Yeah, it's a little, though.
Starting point is 00:38:39 Obviously, it is stifled by the enormous number of rosterable first baseman, and that being the only position where you can use Josh Bell. in a normal in a season with normal position distribution, I think Josh Bell
Starting point is 00:38:54 maybe more like 77% rostered at this point rather than 47. But I did have as a sleeper hitter this week, just like I had Willie Castro. Boom. Sleeper hitters are making good. Some of them. Anyway. That's it.
Starting point is 00:39:12 That's the analysis. I like that. What about Griffin Canning? Do you like that? Two for four with its 14th run. Griffin Canning, Griffin Conine, is who I meant to say. Two for four with his 14th home run. He is having a big second half, 289, 379 on base, nine homers, 990 OPS. The problem here. Six games next week, as of now, looks like there are five lefties on the schedule. So, I like Griffin Canning in theory. Very good daily lineup player. Even like Griffin Conning in theory. Wow, that is bad.
Starting point is 00:39:48 My brain is fried. Yeah, I like Griffin Conine, the player, Scott. I don't like it for next week. Agreed. And it's a needle, it's a tough needle to thread. Unless you're in a daily lineup league and you can choose to sit conine, I almost did the same thing. You could choose to sit conine in the weeks,
Starting point is 00:40:11 the week, on the days when a lefty's on the mound, then he's going to be hard to use. Maybe in a five outfielder league, you don't mind playing him in those weeks where there's two or three lefties on the schedule and still four righties, let's say. But in a three outfielder leagues, aren't in a points league.
Starting point is 00:40:30 It's not doable. All right, let's take our final break. And when we return, I do have some waiver wire pitchers, then the Worryometer and the drop home meter. We'll do all that right after this. Welcome back, Fantasy at Baseball today and sliding over to the Waver Wire pitchers. We already spoke about George Cawson, who we agree is kind of an intriguing option right now.
Starting point is 00:40:55 But some names in shallower leagues, if you're playing a 10-teamer, shallow points league, whatever it might be. Kyle Leahy, another strong outing for him, five shutout innings with six strikeouts. At the Reds, he is up to 78% rostered and he gets the Pirates next week. They are really good against right-handed pitching. Shane Baas, another quality start. This one against the Yankees, six and a third, three runs, but had 10 strikeouts, 16 whiffs on 104 pitches. 72% rostered.
Starting point is 00:41:24 He gets the raise this weekend in a revenge game, and then he's at the athletics next week, who have no Nick Kurtz and no Tyler Soderstrom. Andrew Abbott, a quality start against the Cardinals, six and a third, two runs, six strikeouts to two walks. he's been pretty bad overall lately. He's at the D-backs this weekend. He gets the Cubs next week, so I don't really love that.
Starting point is 00:41:47 And then Tyler Malley, another quality start this one, at the Twins, six and two-thirds, two runs. Only three strikeouts here, but only walked one. Last seven starts, 255 ERA. 0.99 whip for him. And he lost his second start for this week with A.J. Smith-Chauver getting, you know, bumped in the rotation.
Starting point is 00:42:08 But it looks like he'll have two, one against the Dodgers, one against the Rockies in Atlanta. So that's kind of intriguing for next week, Scott. Yeah. How would you rank those four? I think they're all kind of streamer types. Perhaps Leahy has moved on past that streamer moniker, but it's Malley, Abbott, Shane Boz, and Kyle Leahy.
Starting point is 00:42:28 Yeah, I've been banging the drum for Kyle Leahy for a couple weeks now, and he continues to validate that POV. just became a different pitcher, 11 turns ago, throwing a lot more strikes, became an elite strike thrower, while also improving his ground ball skills so that he's now a plus ground ball pitcher, and it's led to 170 aRA, 0.99 whip,
Starting point is 00:42:57 and more than a strikeout per inning, as an elite strike thrower with a high ground ball rate. Very good combination of skills there for Kyle Leahy. wish he wouldn't have five innings starts like this. That's a little frustrating, but overall, I'm happy to have him on any team. Tough call between Shane Boz and Tyler Malley. I mentioned earlier that Malley
Starting point is 00:43:22 has stuck with the new approach he took. I know you gave the numbers for what the last seven starts. But really, this really, really this new approach has been a three-start phenomenon since all three of his starts with the Braves. He's cut down on his cutter usage considerably.
Starting point is 00:43:46 And it's his worst pitch, so he's really focused on his strengths, and he's looked good. And when there's a change in approach that coincides with the improved production, I'm more inclined to take it seriously. So, yeah, I'll have many. Malley edge-out boss, who's had a number of ups and downs.
Starting point is 00:44:10 Interestingly enough, he actually eliminated his cutter in this start. So kind of took a page from Tyler Malley's book there. Not that his cutter has been so bad on its own, but his curveball was playing up in this start against the Yankees. It was up a mile per hour, got 10 of his 16 whiffs. It's just we've had moments like this from Shane Boss in the past where it's like, oh, maybe this is the key to him living up to his potential, becoming more consistent, and it never lasts. So I'll put Bods behind Malley and then rounding it out as Andrew Abbott, who had a good start, but I think he's still basically Andrew Abbott and just a streamer type.
Starting point is 00:44:49 All right. And then I have two other deeper league names here. Zebby Matthews was solid against the Braves, five and two thirds, one run, four strikeouts here. And he was going through it before this. seems like kind of an oddity to have a good start here against the Braves. And then Cal Quantrell was great against the Nationals. Seven shutout innings with five strikeouts. In nine starts this season, a 264 ERA 106 whip.
Starting point is 00:45:16 34 strikeouts over 44 and a third. He's not going to get you any strikeouts, but he is pitching well to his credit. 15% rostered. He's a spark for those who play in points leagues. Gets to Angels this weekend at the Brewers next week. So you don't love that matchup. But any of your Scott, two deeper names, that be Matthews and Cal Quantrell? Not a lot.
Starting point is 00:45:37 Not a lot. If you are big into streaming and don't mind playing hot hands and getting burned when they eventually go cold, which is kind of a weird turn of phrase. But if you don't mind that, then Cal Quantrel, I mean, his numbers look great overall. I just don't think there's any sustainable. ability to it. So you will eventually get burned. You're just kind of crossing your fingers. It lasts long enough to justify it. And I doubt it will. I think he's already sustained this for long enough that that other shoe's going to come down soon. And you don't want to get caught holding the bag
Starting point is 00:46:24 when it does. Ooh, I'm mixing so many metaphors here. Yeah, that's where I'm stand on quandrilles look good, but I just think it's high and. All right, let's fire up the Worryometer here on Wednesday. And I mentioned I do have some new, have this new little interactive game graphic thing where I can adjust the meter to see how worried we are. Look at this. Not worried at all. A little worried, very worried panic mode.
Starting point is 00:46:53 There you go. Got some graphics. We'll work it in. So, you know, trying to add a little bit. I think there needs to be a little more like when it's panic mode, there needs to be like red sirens going off. Like, yeah, need to play it up a little more. But it's a good first step.
Starting point is 00:47:09 It's a good, I don't want to, I can be a little critical. I didn't make it. I'm stealing, you know, another producer's work behind the scenes, but it is, uh, we're happy to use it here. So first up here on the Worryometer, I think he's been on the Worryometer for like three straight starts. But, um, he's not. really getting better.
Starting point is 00:47:29 He's just kind of stuck in this malaise right now, and that is Zach Wheeler, who up against the Marlins, five innings, two hits, two runs, four walks, seven strikeouts. The velocity was fine across the board, so that's the good thing here. But over his last five starts,
Starting point is 00:47:45 it's a 664 ERA, 162 whip, 4.9 walks per nine, and his ground ball rate is way down. Scott, where is Zach Wheeler on the Worryometer? One to ten. probably you could just leave it right where it is. I think it's about a five. And the only reason it's that high is because he was coming back from a major procedure
Starting point is 00:48:10 that doesn't have the best track record, and we were very worried coming in. But he was flat out dominant for his first 16 starts, half a season's worth of starts. And I think that was enough. to prove that the surgery's non-issue. So I don't think that's what's going on here, but it's just that little sliver of doubt that has me 50% concerned. Most likely it's just a rough stretch,
Starting point is 00:48:48 and Zach Wheeler, Borderline's Hall of Fame that he is, will work through it. But, but yeah, that, that, that, the injury aspect has me a little concerned. All right. Next up here, we have Rangers Suarez, who had another subpar outing against the debacks, five and a thirds, five and a third innings, four hits, four runs, two walks, only three strikeouts here. And five starts since returning from injury.
Starting point is 00:49:17 It's a 450 ERA. It's a 127 whip. He has not completed six innings in any of those five starts. Scott, where is? Ranger Suarez on the Wariometer. I mean, I'm not exactly worried. I kind of want to go five again. I'm not letting you play with your new toy here.
Starting point is 00:49:40 I'll go six just so you can just so we can see what that looks like. Oh, yeah, 61%. Oh, it's a percentage now. It's not a 1 through 10 scale. That's, man. I can find it. I can find it somewhere on there. It's going to take me a little time, but we've got it.
Starting point is 00:49:54 I think he just has a history of kind of losing his location. And that's what he's going through here. The walks we see there elevated. And he gets harder when he's not as precise with this. He gets hit harder when he's not as precise with his location because it's not like he's a big badmiss or he doesn't have that blow you away type of stuff. So it's a little rough patch, not unlike we've seen from Ranger Suarez before. Sometimes those rough patches for him can be.
Starting point is 00:50:25 bigger rough patches, and so that's why I'm willing to go six. But ultimately, I'm not giving any thought to dropping him. And for the most part, I don't even think I'd sit him. And the last name on the Worryometer, before we get to the dropometer, that is Nick Martinez. How could you do Nick Martinez? He's coming off a complete game. Well, he's had two very bad starts in his last four.
Starting point is 00:50:50 He's allowed four or more runs in three of his last four. and in this one it was six runs, nine hits allowed, over three and two-thirds innings. His velocity was down, a touch across the board. It seemed like a pretty normal start under the hood, and there are times when, you know, if someone throws a complete game, the previous start, or no hitter, they go super deep into a start,
Starting point is 00:51:13 that next time out, a lot of times winds up being a down start here. But, you know, we've been expecting regression for most of the season for Nick Martinez. So where would you place him on the Wauriometer after this one? I mean, you summed it up with that sentence. We've been expecting regression all season. His expected ERA's 443. It was coming into the start. And now over his past four turns, he's got a 592 ERA.
Starting point is 00:51:41 Three of the four, as he said, four in runs or more. So I think this is a solid nine on the Worryometer. Panic mode. Panic mode. Oh, yeah. which we now know is from Super Smash Bros. The original Super Smash Bros? No, I think it's from any of...
Starting point is 00:52:01 I think it's like the N64 one and beyond. That is the sound that plays. Well, this N641 is the original one. No, there's one before that, isn't it? No, there wasn't. N64 started it all, baby. I don't know then. Maybe GameCube and Beyond.
Starting point is 00:52:18 I literally went on YouTube and I watched all of them. There was like a progression of the Super Smash Brothers new challenger approaching, and that's what I watched. Okay. And you found your favorite. It was mostly this sound drop for all of them. So I'm like, all right, they've been using it for a while.
Starting point is 00:52:34 So whatever. I'm most familiar with the N64 one. My kids and I have started playing the Wii one. But those are the only two I know. Hmm. Yeah. Well, you need to find some new challenges approaching. That's what I think you need to do.
Starting point is 00:52:50 Well, I just have two kids. kids. Fair enough. They could bring a friend over. I don't know. So, all right, we left off with Nick Martinez. So 9 out of 10, we spoke about it. We've been expecting regression for most of the season. It seems like that is now starting to rear its ugly head here a little bit.
Starting point is 00:53:09 Now we move over to the dropometer. And I have Bryce Miller, who imploded once again, four and two-thirds inning, six runs. Five of those earned. and a tale of two seasons, Scott. First nine games for Bryce Miller, 171 ERA, 0.66 whip, 14% swinging strike rate.
Starting point is 00:53:32 His last seven starts, 657 ERA, 157 whip, 10% swinging strike rate, still 86% rostered. Where is Bryce Miller on the dropometer? 10? Oh! Yeah, does the graphic, gone? No, no, I'm just...
Starting point is 00:53:53 You're loading it? I'm pulling it up. I'm pulling it up. Get the siren. It's good that there's a breaking sound at the start there because I think Bryce Miller... Ten! Dropping all leagues! Drop in all leagues! Yes. And I think the clearest evidence
Starting point is 00:54:13 that he don't know what's going on, his pitch selection in this one, oh my goodness, it was wild. 17% cutters, 16% curveballs. Normally, he just throws those two 5% of the time. So barely used pitches and he's making them a big part of his arsenal. His fastball dropped from 43% use to 14% use. This is a guy who was out of answers and he's searching and the search is leading him nowhere. And it's sad because he looked like he had it for about a month there. Midseason, it's lost it again.
Starting point is 00:54:53 All right, that was Bryce Miller. We move on to the next name, and that is Kevin Gosman. Another clunker here. Four and a third inning, seven hits, three runs allowed against the White Sox. He did have 16 whiffs on 86 pitches, but his last, this has been going on a while now. Last 14 starts for Gosman, 593 ERA 149 whip. All of his ERA estimators are in the low fours during that span. I don't know if it's, is it unlucky?
Starting point is 00:55:25 Is it just, I don't know, this is what Kevin Gossman does. Where is he on the dropometer? Maybe like a four. I'm still not that interested in dropping him. It's frustrating because I don't think he looks as bad as he's been. And he is yet another pitcher who was moved at the trade-down line and the acquiring team immediately had him start doing something different. the Cubs in his three starts with the Cubs
Starting point is 00:55:55 he's thrown his splitter more like 50% of the time and it only worked really in the first start the other two haven't been so good I don't even know why it's worth bringing up then but you know sometimes you're just looking for things to talk about Cosman's tried to do something different and in theory it should work
Starting point is 00:56:16 I think he's endured enough of these rough patches in his career even in recent years. I mean, the first half, second half splits were pretty. There was a sharp dichotomy there. He figured it out eventually. I'm hopefully will again. That's why I'm only putting a metaphor.
Starting point is 00:56:35 All right. And the last name that I have on the dropometer is Robbie Ray. This is a weird one. He's coming off a good start. Six innings, three hits, one run. Only four strikeouts here. Every start feels like you are. walking a tightrope with Rob
Starting point is 00:56:53 Yeah. It's nine hard hits in this one, 58% of his pitches for strikes. I know he's been able to outperform the ERA estimators and all that stuff for a large majority of the season, but I just feel like this is going to end very poorly
Starting point is 00:57:09 for Robbie Ray. I would drop them personally for like George Cawson or A.J. Smith-Shawber, but where is he on your drop-o meter? Oh man, that's tough to say, because his starts prior to this one is 10 starts prior to this one. He has a 185 ERA and obviously this was another good start.
Starting point is 00:57:31 So I don't disagree with what you're saying about how it seems fake and it's all going to fall apart. I'm fearful of that too, but he's been money. He's actually been money so far and how do you throw out money? Do you throw out money? Do you make a habit of throwing out money, Frank? Because I don't. No. No. Oh, it's dirty money.
Starting point is 00:57:56 It's corrupted money. It's counterfeit money. Maybe that's a better word for it. Counterfeit money. But it's still spending. You know, they haven't alerted the authorities yet. Play the siren, Frank. We're coming, but not yet.
Starting point is 00:58:19 Yeah, I didn't even hear. You know, I'm trying to figure out this Super Smash Brothers thing because it's bothering me now. Where was Robbie Ray on the dropometer? Did you just leave it at a five? I don't know. I was talking about money. Let's put it at a four.
Starting point is 00:58:35 Four. We're thinking about it. We're thinking about it with Robbie Ream. All right. That was our worryometer dropometer. Let us know in the comments. Or tweet me, let me know what you think of the new graphics, new interactivity.
Starting point is 00:58:47 Let's wrap up here with some leftovers on the hitting side. A welcome back to O'Neill Cruz, one for three with his 15th home run and it was 107.7 miles per hour off the bat, 422 feet. Did not look good in his rehab games but obviously returns here with a bang and was having, finally having that breakout season. So hopefully we can get a strong finish here from O'Neill Cruz.
Starting point is 00:59:11 Gabriel Moreno, one for three with a walk and hit a grand slam. It was his 10th home run. And since the start of June, he's hitting over 300 with an OPS over 900, seven home runs during that trash. It's not massive power, but he's just a legitimately good hitter. I think Moreno is a good hitter,
Starting point is 00:59:30 and even better in points leeks. Adley Rutchman is on the board with the Red Sox 2 for 4 with his first Red Sox homer. It was his ninth of the season, still working his way back from injury, and Drake Baldwin, 2 for 4 with his 21st homer, his first home run since July 24th, in 22 games between homers.
Starting point is 00:59:49 He hit 284 with four doubles, 673 OPS. The problem here is the ground ball rate over 50% during that span. So that has limited some of the power. Scott, any thoughts on a welcome back to O'Neill Cruz, Gabby Moreno, Adley Ruchman, and Drake Baldwin.
Starting point is 01:00:08 Yeah, obviously Cruz must start. Happy to see him back. Happy homered right away. Despite the poor showing on the rehab assignment, doesn't really count for anything. Gabriel Moreno. It's looking like a must-started catcher. Adley Rushman.
Starting point is 01:00:28 I never doubted he'd be a must-started catcher, even with the slow start with the Red Sox. And Baldwin. Baldwin hasn't looked quite right since all that time you missed with the oblique injury. It seems like he'll show signs of coming back. Remember, there was a lot of strikeouts early on, and now you're pointing out the ground ball issue more recently.
Starting point is 01:00:50 I just think it kind of threw him off mechanically, and it's been a struggle to get back to a good place as he's playing through it, as he's trying to fix it while on the job. But I still have a lot of confidence in him in the long run, and hopefully this home run is the start of him being at his peak form again. I do finally have an answer to the Super Smash Bros. question.
Starting point is 01:01:21 So that SoundDrop has been used in every Super Smash Bros. game from the Nintendo Wii on. So. Like I said, we've been playing that one, but I don't know that we. All right. We play a mode where there are challengers entering. All right. Well, next time you do.
Starting point is 01:01:41 We pretty much just do team battles, my two kids ganging up on me with stock lives as opposed to a time battle. Because that gives them the best chance of beating me. And they do sometimes. Sometimes. All right. Well, if you hear the sound drop, I want you to text me and let me know, all right? Pitching leftovers, Carlos Rodon, was okay in his return at the Orioles for it.
Starting point is 01:02:09 Four innings, two hits, one run, four strikeouts. He had nine swinging strikes on 66 pitches. Kyle Harrison bounced back against the Mariners five shutout innings with eight strikeouts for him though I will point out the velocity was down quite a bit again the fastball velocity down 1.4 miles per hour in this one and he did have that elbow forearm injury
Starting point is 01:02:32 last month and Foster Griffin pitched well against the giant six innings one run six strikeouts for him 10 swinging strikes on 101 pitches and nice to see the whiffs bounce back a little bit here for Foster Griffin. Anything on him, Kyle Harrison or Carlos Rodon? I mean, obviously the fact that Rodon's velocity,
Starting point is 01:02:55 the last time we talked about him, last time we had the data, it was down on the first of the two rehab starts. We didn't know about the second one at double A. We didn't have the data. But then he comes back and his velocity seems normal. So I feel pretty good about Carlos Rodan using him in his next turn.
Starting point is 01:03:11 I don't like the way Kyle Harrison's velocity has been trending. Obviously, this was a great start. It was against the league's worst offense. And the first of the two starts with the velocity being down was no bueno. I still think you're starting Kyle Harrison, but it is notable. It is notable what we've seen were from the velocity in the past couple turns. Good to see Foster Griffin bounce back. was getting pretty close to Dropsville, I feel like, but now
Starting point is 01:03:45 avoids it for at least one more turn. All right. Let's get into the call to the bullpen. We already mentioned what's going on with the pirates and the angels for the Phillies. Yawand Duran was unavailable. Brooks Raleigh got the ninth inning and picked up his first save. For the athletics, Hogan Harris got the ninth with a two-run lead, and he was charged with three runs, two of those earned on a walk and three hits. He took his sixth blown save and second loss. Feels like he is pretty much the guy.
Starting point is 01:04:17 I think it's probably going to stay that way. There's not really many other options for the athletics. I was watching this appearance too. The nine hitter in the lineup for the Royals had a check swing that actually should have been strike three. And instead it was not called strike three and it turned into a two-run single. So that was pretty annoying there for any other Hogan Harris managers out there.
Starting point is 01:04:40 I am one of them, unfortunately. For the twins, Ewingris Gomez got the ninth with a three-run lead. He allowed a hit, but picked up his 19th save. For the Yankees, David Bednar, struck out two for his 28th save. For the Cardinals, Riley O'Brien, a clean ninth for his 32nd save.
Starting point is 01:04:57 And for the Padres, the Reaper. Mason Miller struck out two for his 31st save of the season. To stream or not to stream on Wednesday, we have Will Warren at the Orioles. Chris Bassett against the Yankees Jackson Jobb is at the Pirates AJ Smith Schaver at the twins Clay Holmes against the White Sox
Starting point is 01:05:18 Aranola against the Marlins Walbert Arania at the Astros Walbert Arania I just think he's very reliable and George Closson just handled to Astros I think Arania can are we struggling to scroll in the notes here? Are we having a scroll
Starting point is 01:05:39 battle in the word document. I don't think so. Are we? No? Okay. You were moving it up and I was trying to move it down. I was trying to have a little tug of war. I forgot what I was talking about.
Starting point is 01:05:54 Oh yeah. Walbert and Rainia is the best choice to stream Wednesday. You just did that, didn't you? Oh, no. You know what's happening is I'm writing in names for Thursday, so it's forcing your page to move down to where I'm writing. Because I forgot to write the names. A list of names.
Starting point is 01:06:10 I forgot to write the names in for Thursday, so I'm trying to do it now. All right, go, go, go. I thought you were pranking me. Okay. Walverter Rain is the top choice to stream Wednesday. Second choice, let's go with Aronola against the Marlins, and third choice, Clay Holmes against the White Sox. Will out a fourth, A.J. Smith-Shavre at the Twins,
Starting point is 01:06:35 but that is the 14th. in favors the bald pick. I would flip Nola and Holmes, so I would have Holmes second on that list, but I do agree with those as the top four. And then on Thursday, we have Michael McGreevy at the Reds, Brady Singer, home against the Cardinals, Landon Rup is at the Guardians,
Starting point is 01:06:59 Shane Bieber is at Tampa Bay, Grant Holmes is at the White Sox, Robert Gasser, home against the... The Mariners. And Andrew Alvarez is at Texas. Okay, let me scroll back down here. Wait, I got one more for you.
Starting point is 01:07:19 Stop typing. I got one. Grace and Rodriguez at the Astros last one. Okay. Let's go with, oh, this is kind of tough, actually. I want to say Land and Roop at the Guardians. I know he's burned us a lot lately, but I think. still like the data and that's a great matchup.
Starting point is 01:07:42 It's got to come around eventually. After him, probably Michael McGreevy at Cincinnati's who I feel best about. And then maybe Brady Singer against the Cardinals. Robert Gasser against the Mariners isn't bad, but
Starting point is 01:07:58 I don't love him. It's just a really good matchup and he's been okay. Yeah, I would say Rup, McGreevy, and Singer. And then if those are gone because they're kind of shallow league names. I agree with you on Gasser.
Starting point is 01:08:12 And Andrew Alvarez has actually been okay. And the Rangers lineup is pretty bad right now. So I could see that one. Probably won't give you more than five innings, but I can see that being okay for Andrew Alvarez. We are going to wrap there for Scott. I am Frank. Thanks as always for tuning in to fantasy baseball today.
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