Fantasy Baseball Today - Heath Cummings' Favorites! Weekend Roundup (07/20 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: July 20, 2020

Surprise! Heath Cummings is on the show! Who is Heath's favorite player to target this season (5:20)? It's time for Frank to wake up on the Yankees two outfielders. Onto the latest news and notes, whe...re will the Blue Jays play this season (8:20)? What are the latest plans for Shohei Ohtani and should you be avoiding him? ... Jacob deGrom and Anthony Rizzo seem ready for Opening Day while Dusty Baker is not sure on Roberto Osuna (14:00). ... Where do this weekend's performances rank on the Matter-O-Meter (21:28)? We saw some big games from Jordan Montgomery, Austin Voth, and (say it with me) JOE MUSGROVE. ... First up on Heath's favorites, we have Salvador Perez (32:51)! Why does Gary Sanchez go 45 picks after JT Realmuto? ... At first base, Heath likes Rhys Hoskins to bounce-back (37:16). Looking at first base ADP, where should Freddie Freeman go? ... At second base, Heath is a fan of Cesar Hernandez leading off (43:37). ... Once again, Frank is on an island when it comes to Carlos Correa (46:08). Is Heath on board with Mondesi in 2020? ... Why take Manny Machado when you can get Mike Moustakas 30 picks later (50:50)? ... Kyle Lewis is a late-round outfielder to watch in deeper leagues (53:41). ... Heath also likes ... Johnny Cueto (55:55)? ... Email us at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com. Subscribe to our new YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday 'Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @CBSFantasyBB, @AdamAizer, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Download our printable Draft Kit from CBSSports.com/draftkit! To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. I drive, center field, and swing. This is magnificent. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy becomes reality. Now here's Frank, Scott, Chris, and Adam.
Starting point is 00:00:24 This is it. Opening day is this week, just three days away. Welcome to Fantasy Baseball today. July 20th, Frank Stample, alongside. Scott White, Chris Towers, and on Friday, I hinted we might have a special guest. If you're watching on our YouTube channel, you already know who it is because you see him. But he was kind enough to take a break from beer, meat, and FFT. Welcome back to the show, Heath Cummings.
Starting point is 00:00:49 What's up, Heath? Who says that I'm not consuming beer and meat right now? That is fair question. You'll have to tune into the YouTube channel to know for sure. Oh, man. So usually I don't. If you can't watch, Heath's just got a tomahawk rabbi. And he's just eating it like an ice cream cone.
Starting point is 00:01:09 I'm going to try something new because most Mondays I intro the show. I asked Scott and Chris how their weekend was. And honestly, I'm not met with much here, Heath. So they mentioned you were the guy that usually has the big weekend responses. Heath, how was your weekend? It was fantastic. Saturday night, my 10-year-old told me that he wanted to try some Brazilian food. So I grilled some pecania and made forofa and we had some rice and beans.
Starting point is 00:01:36 And then Sunday night, I grilled bison burgers. It was really a fantastic weekend full of barbecue and beer and pool. That's probably more so up Chris's alley than anybody else here on the podcast because I'm pretty much a chicken finger and French fry kind of guy. I mean, look, I love, don't get me wrong. A good chicken finger, like a long. Horn Steakhouse Chicken Finger? I can go to town on that. But, you know, you've got to broaden your horizons, too.
Starting point is 00:02:05 I do. Admittedly, just like, look, there's so many movies I haven't seen. There's so much food I haven't tried. Look, I have to broaden the horizons across the board. So I, at least I acknowledge it. Scott, we'll skip with the pleasant trees. I know how much you don't enjoy those. I'll just ask you, did you watch any baseball this weekend?
Starting point is 00:02:21 Because we had quite a few games on TV. I should probably say I did. So, did you? That's my answer. Okay. Chris, I'm just going to stop bashing Aaron Judge and John Carlos Stanton because every time I do, they make me look silly. Yeah, I do want to say, like I turned on the Yankees Mets game last night.
Starting point is 00:02:43 Every time you look up, somebody was hitting a bomb. Literally the very first pitch when I turned it on was a John Carlos Stanton home run, like 430 feet into the left field bleachers. He was good. He was waiting for you, Chris. He's good, guys. He's good, guys. Aaron Judge, good. Luke Voigt also homered yesterday. Good. Yankees are a really good team. They got lots of good players. You want them on your fantasy team, especially if these Yahoo's are going to tell you not to draft them. I'm pretty sure I'm the only Yahoo.
Starting point is 00:03:15 I think Scott has Aaron Judge in his bus. Scott hates John Carlos Stanton. I took, just like I took John Carlos Stanton out of Bust's 1.0 when I did 2.0, I took Aaron Judge out of bus 2.0 Coward. I did 2.1. We know the darkness that's in your heart towards John Carlos Stan. You can't change it in writing and still like Esther. I may still have darkness in my heart, maybe, but not as much as the community as a whole seem to.
Starting point is 00:03:47 Because when Judge is falling to like round six and beyond, to me it's reminiscent of Clayton Kirschall last year, where I had Clayton Kirshaw on my bust list and then ended up with a ton of him because he heard his shoulder in spring training and nobody wanted him anymore. I mean, I have no reason to believe Judge is unhealthy at this point. Two-home or game, and wasn't that the second two-homer game he's had? He hits lots of home runs.
Starting point is 00:04:10 Every time he plays, it seems like he's doing big things. And so I don't really worry about the rib anymore. I was never worried about him sleeping wrong on his neck. So he's fine. He shouldn't, he probably shouldn't fall past round four. But if he does, that's definitely where I'm going to seize that opportunity. Now I'm really curious, because I provided a list of names today that I really liked at their ADP. And I'm curious how many of them have been on one of Scott's bust list at some point this offseason.
Starting point is 00:04:39 Well, we're about to find out. Okay, we're going by position. Okay, I see it. Heath, one thing that you will learn is that I am also a Yankee fan like Adam, but just a complete opposite. everything for me is pessimism, doom and gloom. Aaron Judge wakes up with a stiff neck. I tell everyone he's not going to play the rest of the season. So we are just completely on. You're a Yankees fan.
Starting point is 00:05:00 You're a podcast host and you also eat like a child. So very much like Adam. Yeah, not much has changed. Today on the show we have a lot of news from the weekend to get to. Plus Heath will let us know his favorite targets for this season. And we'll do a little bit of ADP review for those still drafting. I have four drafts in the next three days. So we've got a lot to get to.
Starting point is 00:05:20 Let's jump right in. Heath, why don't you get us started with your favorite player to target at their current cost? Well, it was either going to be Aaron Judge or John Carlos Tanton. So I had put both of them in my favorite outfielders to draft at cost. I was looking at CBS ADP. I think that they're both going just a little bit earlier in terms of some of the other places out there. But these were guys that were drafted in the second and third round last time we thought they were really fully healthy. and I don't really know much reason that Aaron Judge wouldn't be a second round hitter this year. Yeah, so according to NFBC ADP in the month of July,
Starting point is 00:05:55 Aaron Judge is going at pick 59, which is the round 5, round 5, 6 turn, the 13th outfielder off the board, and then John Carlos Stanton is pick 67 going off the board in round 6. He is the 18th outfielder off the board. We basically got into all of it here at the top, but yeah, I think it's probably time, for me to stop bashing these guys. One thing I want to point out about John Carlos Stan, the lowest his ADP had ever been before this, an NFC draft, because that's the one you can look back at year over year.
Starting point is 00:06:28 Coming off the 2016 season, when he hit 240 with an 815 OPS, so by far the worst season of his career, he was the 39th player off the ball. It's not like injury... Look, there's not going to do it again. There are no performance concerns with drunk. Carlos Stanton. That is absurd
Starting point is 00:06:49 to say. He's great. I mean, he wasn't nearly as good as he usually is in 2018, which was the last time we saw him play full season. But that aside, even to Heath's point about why wouldn't Aaron judge, if we had no health
Starting point is 00:07:06 concerns, why wouldn't he be a second rounder? I think he was originally a third rounder for me before we found out about the rib. Like, there are six rounds worth of second round hitters that's this year. That's a big part of it. So it's just such a high threshold because of the way the hitting pool was transformed last year, that that's why you have to be particularly selective with that group. And look, even on a per game basis last year, Judge didn't perform like a second
Starting point is 00:07:36 rounder. So that's why he didn't make that threshold for me. It does have more of a track record than some of those guys. But, but yeah, I mean, it's a crowded group. Yeah, for me, The reason why I've been fading these guys is because I think that what they provide, which is mostly power, is something that you can find later on in the draft. I love Fran Mill Reyes a little bit later on. Kyle Schwerber could give you power as well. Will they give it to the level that a Stanton or a judge will give it to you? Maybe not, but I'm willing to wait, you know, the 50, 60 picks or so to find out.
Starting point is 00:08:07 But look, if these guys are healthy now in that lineup, in that ballpark, I admit they can very easily make me look stupid. So I'll just preface that. Preface the whole show with that here regarding Judge and Stanton. Some of the news and notes from the weekend, we have a lot to get to. The Blue Jays will not be playing in Toronto. We found that out over the weekend. Where will they play?
Starting point is 00:08:29 That is the magic question. And I saw that there was a report just before we started here. They're currently looking into their AAA park in Buffalo. And they're talking about P&C Park, potentially sharing that park with the Pittsburgh Pirates. Scott, what's the latest that you've seen regarding this? Yeah, I'm not sure how much traction the PNC park thing has, but that's the most recent development I've seen. And apparently the players are pushing for an MLB park, I guess.
Starting point is 00:08:58 I don't know if it's just a facility thing or what. They just want to play. I would assume it's a lot better to play in an MLB park than a AAA park. And I haven't, I saw somewhere that the pirates and Blue J schedule were almost entire. opposite, so there wouldn't be much conflict there. I mean, at some point, they may have to bring another venue in if they decide to go the PNC Park route, but that's how
Starting point is 00:09:23 PNC Park ended up in this mix. You know, from a fantasy perspective, I'd rather than play at Buffalo, because some hitters would gain value and, you know, the pitchers they have that are good, Riu and Pearson, I wouldn't worry so much about, and I wouldn't worry about so much in a smallish venue
Starting point is 00:09:41 because their skills would, I think, hold up there. But I'd like to see the hitters benefit from the short right center in Buffalo, which is like 2605 feet away or something like that. PNC Park, obviously a pitchers park, especially not good for for right-handed batterers, players who hit the ball to left field. Per ESPN, starting Shohei Otani on Sundays makes the most sense because three of the Angels six off days are on Mondays in this short and season so that maximizes the number of games. Otani will impact. with this plan. Otani is in line for 10 starts as a pitcher and 34 starts as a hitter.
Starting point is 00:10:22 Chris, I've basically said that I'm not going to be drafting Otani in head-to-head points leagues because I just don't know how much volume he's going to give you, but still in a head-to-head categories league or a daily lineup league, I think that that is where Otani makes the most sense to draft for this season and probably every season, if we're being honest. Yeah, I mean, I think, like in the future, Shohanai could be a legitimate, like, weekly Roto League Stugged. Like if he reaches the point where he can make, you know, 28 starts every year at a regular workload,
Starting point is 00:10:53 then yeah, I think he's going to be a must start guy no matter what. But this year, you know, looking at what he's done so far in his kind of intra-squad rehab starts, I think it's 41 of the 110 pitches he has thrown in his last two starts have been recorded as strikes. He has maxed out at 60 in his most recent one, which was a week ago. So actually, I assume he's pitched more recently than that. I just don't see, I haven't seen any reports on it, I guess.
Starting point is 00:11:22 But I'm not expecting a full workload from Shohei Otani, even in the 10 starts he makes. And the problem when you're looking at a weekly league is he's pitching on Sunday. That means if there's a rain out, if he gets pushed back, you just lost the whole week. And you got, you maybe got four hitting starts out of it. Like I just, yeah. I don't see Shohei Otani as someone as,
Starting point is 00:11:43 as either a hitter or a pitcher. Obviously, you emphasis on or, because if he's an and hitter and pitcher, then that makes it a little more viable. But if you have to pick hitter or pitcher for a week, I don't think he's much more than a bench spot guy. I kind of feel the same way. And I'm glad you brought that up about Sundays, because it felt like he was on that every Sunday track two years ago, too.
Starting point is 00:12:12 I don't know if the angels were as voting. about their plans for him, but it just seemed like that kept happening. He was lined up to start Sunday, and either that game got rained out or one earlier in the week got rained out and pushed everybody back. Now, if the latter happens, if the start gets rained out, I don't know that it would push everybody back under Joe Madden. I think Otani is a higher priority at this point, and since they're going six men anyway, it affords them some wiggle room like that, but it's just the most,
Starting point is 00:12:42 the most potentially ruinous day that he could start for a weekly league for your lineup is locked and you may get nothing out of him this week if something goes wrong there on Sunday because normally when pitchers are starting Sunday they're making their second start
Starting point is 00:13:00 so it's not that big of a deal but for Otani it would be and for what it's worth he did make his most recent start 45 of 72 pitches for strikes six strikeouts and five innings just wanted to throw that out there it was his best start so far but has still maxed out at 72 pitches and his final tune-up.
Starting point is 00:13:15 He is still, to me, very valuable in leagues where you make daily lineup decisions. And I really think a lot more leagues this season should be those where you're making daily lineup decisions. I realize it's probably too late to change that. But this is the optimal year to try that out. You don't have to keep up with it for a year as long, and we're going to need it. It's much more likely we're going to have a lot of bad midweek news this week than in past year. Yeah, that's definitely fair. And some people have actually asked questions regarding,
Starting point is 00:13:45 hey, if I play in a weekly league, should I be able to swap players out of my lineup if they test positive for COVID halfway through the week? Because crazy things are going to happen, as Heath mentioned. So look, if you do want to play a daily lineup or you ever wanted to try it, Heath's right. This is probably the year to do so. Jacob de Grom's Sim game went well over the weekend,
Starting point is 00:14:03 expected to throw 85 pitches on opening day. While we're on the positive news, Anthony Rizzo seems hopeful for opening day as well. I've seen a few drafts where he was starting to slip. So if he falls to you as a result, it looks like he's going to be good to go, hopefully. Cross your fingers with Anthony Rizzo. Some bad news. Asher's manager, Dusty Baker, said Sunday that, quote, we're not sure whether Roberto Osuna will be ready for opening day, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports. Scott, have you moved Roberto Osuna because of this latest report?
Starting point is 00:14:42 haven't yet. I don't feel like it takes relievers long to get ready. So I'm suspecting even if he's not quite ready for opening day, it'll be soon afterward. I would be more like since I have a zone a third right now. Like I could see dropping him a couple spots since the investment is so high. But I can't really see like moving a potential replacement way up like a Ryan Presley. Because A, I doubt it would be just one guy filling in. would be, and B, it would probably be for so short that, like, it's not, it's not really
Starting point is 00:15:17 something I'd make a significant investment in. Zander Bogartz left Sunday's intra-squad matchup with hamstring tightness, so something to pay attention to. It doesn't sound too severe, but just pay attention. Brewer's manager, Craig Counsel, said Sunday that he has been pleased with Corey Canebel's velocity during his throwing sessions in summer camp, Adam McAulvey of MLB.com reports, quote, I think his velocity is right where he wants it to be, said of Canabel. It looks like you had something to say there.
Starting point is 00:15:48 I know. I was getting forward, looking forward to the next, come to me on the next news item because I'm very excited about it. All right. Willie Calhoun, who is dealing with a hip injury, had five at batts in Sunday's Inter Squad game, which means he might be ready to go for the start of the season. What do you think, Keith? Yeah, I lied. I was reading one ahead. I was really excited about Matt Kemp on the Rockies
Starting point is 00:16:07 and what they're going to do to hold back as many young, exciting baseball players as possible. Matt Kemp, Ian Desmond, Daniel Murphy, it's a tradition like no other. Yeah, so I asked... Oh, Daniel Murphy's still going to be in there, baby. He's not going anywhere. He's not going anywhere.
Starting point is 00:16:21 I asked Patrick Saunders, who covers the Rockies for the Denver Post on Twitter, you know, what he thinks of Matt Kemp's playing time, and this is exactly what he had to say. He's swinging the back, great. The Rocks need his right-handed power. He'll see plenty of time at DH, which is exactly what you don't want to hear, Scott,
Starting point is 00:16:39 if you were hoping for Garrett Hampson to be a breakout. Yes and no. I mean, plenty of time is pretty vague. I suspected Kemp would play against most left-handers, and that could be exactly what he means here. They have a lot of left-handed bats. Daniel Murphy himself, Ryan McMahon, Rymel Tapia, who I think, I mean, it was mid-July, but it passed me by in the moment. I saw that Rymel-Tapia, a lot of beat writers were talking about him may be getting most of the bats and left-fax. field rather than Sam Hilliard. But if it's Sam Hilliard, you know, he's a left-handed bat too. So I agree there will be time for Matt Kemp to play plenty, but enough that it's going to to really jeopardize one of those younger players like Kampson.
Starting point is 00:17:29 I'm not sure about that. Chris, would you be looking to add Matt Kemp in any of your deeper leagues? No, I mean, I guess it is worth remembering that in 2018, he hit 290 with an 818 OPS and 506 plays. appearances. He was awful last year, but he barely played 62 plate appearances. I mean, he's the kind of guy who if he did play every day for the Rockies, I would think he could probably manage something close to a 900 OPS playing at course field. That doesn't mean he's good. Right. But it means he's competent enough. I mean, that's a good point. Like, should we not, would we be better off rooting for Matt Kemp
Starting point is 00:18:05 to get every day at bats than to, you know, to get whatever we get from Sam Hilliard? It kind of, it just kind of taps into, I think, all fantasy players and analysts bias towards the unknown and the unproven and the young guy, that there's always the assumption that there's more upside with a Sam Hilliard or Garrett Hanson or, you know, right, like, whoever the guy is who we haven't seen peak. But like, you know, if Matt Kemp does play every day for the Rockies, he's probably going to be a productive enough hitter unless he's just completely done and he very well may be. but if he has anything left
Starting point is 00:18:42 and he showed he did in 2018 I think there's room for Matt Kemp to be a fifth outfielder let's say a cheap source of power and batting average. Yeah, I read an article on the athletic recently where they were talking up Matt Kemp as well so look in your NL only leagues
Starting point is 00:18:59 in 15 team Roto anything deep like that I would take a flyer now and then if he starts to play every day and he performs well then he might work his way into 12 team standard lineup recognition So something to pay attention to with Matt Kemp. Some weekend performances. I've never done this before.
Starting point is 00:19:15 I don't know that Adam has either. Wait, Frank, one more. What do you got? Kyle Tucker is probably going to be the DH for the Houston Astros to start the season. Jordan Alvarez is at this point unavailable and it's not clear when he's going to be available. Dusty Baker pretty much confirmed that he's going to be the DH
Starting point is 00:19:33 as long as Alvarez is out. And I think the quote was he'll have plenty of other opportunities. And so, you know, when I look at Kyle Tucker, he just needs his foot in the door. And he's got it now. And if Kyle Tucker for the first week of the season hits like he can and your Nalvarez gets back, I would guess that they're not going to take Kyle Tucker out of the lineup if he's hitting. Yeah. And so now it's just he's got the opportunity.
Starting point is 00:19:57 It was Cody Ballinger a couple of years ago. His rookie season was a similar situation. And wasn't Alvarez kind of a similar situation? We weren't sure he was up for good. I can't remember or maybe it was wrong so-no they both performed right away and then it took any
Starting point is 00:20:14 mystery out of it so yeah that's a good point and you know we saw Kyle Tucker plummet in last week's drafts I think he went we had been seeing him go like in the round 9 to 12 range of roto leagues
Starting point is 00:20:29 and I think he went like in round 15 16 something like that in the one we did last week I mean, there's, I still have less hope for him today than I did two weeks ago when I just hoped he would beat out Josh Reddick outright. But yeah, I mean, Dusty Baker said he needs time to beat out Josh Reddick and he's going to have at least a little bit of time at the start of the season. So that that means there is, there is hope there. another news item I saw Giovanni Gaiegos
Starting point is 00:21:03 is back in Canada and they it sounds like there's a pretty good chance he'll be ready for opening day so that I mean the Cardinals closer situation was never resolved but it's it's even more muddled than before now and I don't know
Starting point is 00:21:20 that we aren't right back to needing to prioritize Gallegos over anybody else because I think he's the most talented of the group Weekend performances. This is the matter o meter. How much does this matter on a scale of 1 to 10? Let's start off with, let's start with you, Heath. Max Scherzer on Saturday night. Five innings pitched seven earned runs, two home runs allowed. How much does this matter? Zero. Zero. On a 1 to 10, it matters zero. Do not let Max Scher slip in your drafts.
Starting point is 00:21:51 Scott, in relief just after Max Scherzer, Austin Voth, who is vying for a rotation spot with the Washington Nationals. Four shutout endings, five strikeouts, last season in 43 and two-thirds innings pitched, a 3.30 ERA, 105 whip over a strikeout per inning, 12.6% swinging strike rate. Austin Voth,
Starting point is 00:22:11 how much does this matter? I put in like a $17 bid for him in our NL-only league and won him. I know some in the fantasy community are very excited about him. They're bringing up his name constantly as a sleeper.
Starting point is 00:22:27 I'm not there with him. His minor league track record is pretty uninspiring, and it's not like he was a big prospect, and he's already only 28. So just because he came up late last year and put together a few good starts with a strikeout per. I don't know that that really moves the needle for me, but if I can get him for $17 in an NL only, you know,
Starting point is 00:22:46 why not? All right, so not there yet in shallower leagues. Is that a number? What? 17? No, on the ommeter. Oh, yeah, you didn't give a number. Oh, I'm sorry.
Starting point is 00:22:59 He loves nothing more than policing these things. How much do these things matter? Okay, so the actual performance, I will give it. I will give it a five since Foth still hasn't technically won the job yet, though it looks like he's going to the starter for the Nationals. Chris, on the other side in that game, Aaron Nola, five shutout innings, one hit, one walk, four strikeouts, basically against the Nationals' opening day lineup,
Starting point is 00:23:24 Sands Victor Robles. How much does this matter? zero. Zero. I mean, there was some doubt whether or not Nola would be ready. He's good. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:23:33 He's really good. He's not going to be as good as he was in 2018. He's not going to be as bad as he was in 2019. And even when he was bad in 2019, he was still pretty good. Aranola is a must start guy. If he's your number one starting pitcher, he's fine. The only reason he was falling earlier on was because he was,
Starting point is 00:23:48 he didn't even test positive for COVID. He came into contact with somebody who had tested positive. And for some reason, that dropped him like three rounds. in some of the drafts I was doing. I got him in like the 60s one draft. So, no, there is no reason to be concerned about Aaron Nola. Heath, Luis Robert, hit two absolute bombs that I came across on Twitter on Saturday in an Intras Squad game.
Starting point is 00:24:13 And I have quite a feeling of FOMO. I have four drafts left. I have to wind up with him on at least one team to see what happens. How much does this matter, Luis Robert? I mean, it's probably a good reminder of what the upside is. I don't know how much it's necessarily going to matter. I'll give it a three or a four, but it's a good reminder.
Starting point is 00:24:32 You should have a little fomo if you don't have any of them yet. Cleveland's lineup, Scott. Cesar Hernandez was leading off Oscar Mercado batting ninth. Whomp, wamp, how much does this matter? It matters. I'll give it a six. I don't think we had heard yet where they were planning on batting Mercado. And he's the most, you know, he's the one getting dressed.
Starting point is 00:24:56 drafted in all the leagues, especially roto for the speed there. You know, it sounds like it's going to be in the lower third of the order, if nothing else. And that's going to limit his opportunities to hit, to run, to put up stats of any kind. So it's not great. Chris, I definitely did not plan on you getting the Joe Musgrove. Does it matter? I'm glad I did, though. But three shutout innings, five strikeouts.
Starting point is 00:25:19 He averaged 93.9 miles per hour on his fastball against the Indians. How much does it matter? I guess, I mean, like, the velocity matters a lot. Yes. That's like a 10. The fact that the velocity is still where it was in that late season, jumped last season, where it was during the spring training reports that got us excited. That's a really good sign.
Starting point is 00:25:41 Joe Musgrave is going to be a good pitcher if he's throwing in the mid-90s consistently. I guess the fact that he only threw three innings is a little weird. I don't know if that means he won't be ready for a full workload to start the season. throwing more. I'm not sure why it was only three if it was just, you know, sometimes the last turn in spring training they make it shorter. So maybe it was just that situation. I don't know. He had, Musgrove had been going deeper than that. But I am, I am confident now that the velocity has been confirmed to be there that Joe Musgrave is going to be a starting caliber fantasy pitcher, for sure. Heath, Joe, uh, Jay Brutes was betting cleanup for the Phillies yesterday just behind J.T.
Starting point is 00:26:20 Real Muto and just ahead of Reese Hoskins. It's a pretty nice spot in the line. up to be batting. How much does it matter? It's a pretty bad guy to be putting that spot in the line. That doesn't matter much to me at all. They're not going to play him every day and hit him forth. Are they? That's a terrible idea. I don't think they're going to play him against lefties.
Starting point is 00:26:40 Yeah, but he'll be the everyday TH against Rites. I guess it's at the expense of Hoskins. Hoskins moves like, why? Hoskins is at least good at getting on base. This has to be one of those things where he just hit fourth. Yeah. It was his birthday or something. You miss...
Starting point is 00:26:56 You know who you miss right now? Gabe Kapler. Gabe Kapler never would have put Jay Bruce ahead of Reese Hoskins and all that. Don't ever say, nobody ever misses Gabe Kapler. Nobody ever misses Gabe Kapler. And Giants are about two. If he's got two... If they've got 261 on base percentage Jay Bruce batting cleanup all season,
Starting point is 00:27:17 we might miss Gabe Kapler. Listen, I think Joe Girardi's a top five manager. So regardless of what the starting lineup looks, looks like. I think they upgraded it manager personally. I mean, just saying, I think you as a Marlins fan should be able to appreciate. Marlins fans do not like Joe Girardi. Oh, really? I don't know if you know this, but he ruined Josh Beckett's career. Oh, that's not actually fair, but he brought Josh Beckett back from like a two and a half hour rain delay after he had already thrown five innings. It was completely ridiculous and he had Tommy John surgery like three weeks later or something. So that was that was,
Starting point is 00:27:53 Okay, that was after the... Yeah, that was right after the world series. Literally 12 years ago, in 2009, but still. Yeah, it went on to have a pretty good career anyway. Definitely more Josh Beckett talk than I thought we would get to today. Jordan Montgomery, Scott, looked pretty damn good
Starting point is 00:28:09 against the Mets history, five shutout innings, two hits, one walk, six-case. Oh, not Josh Beckett, Josh Johnson. Josh Johnson, that actually matters a little bit more. I was a big Josh Johnson fan. Josh Beckett pitched in the majors more recently than Josh Johnson. It's true. Jordan Montgomery, Scott, he averaged 92 miles per hour on his sinker,
Starting point is 00:28:26 92.8 miles per hour on his four-scene fastball. Both of those were higher than his breakout 2017. He had 15 swinging strikes on 59 pitches. How much does this matter for Jordan Montgomery? Pretty big. This might be an eight for me. I had kind of cooled on Montgomery as a sleeper in the months since spring training. But this might reinvigorate me.
Starting point is 00:28:50 That is some kind of efficiency. 59 pitches in five innings and 15 swinging strikes on 59 pitches. And it was against another team. You know, I wonder sometimes about the results in these inter-squad games, you know, with, with like fake umpires. Like what, what, if it's really, if they're really getting game conditions. But, you know, I would think against an opposing team like this, it would be closer. And he was doing this kind of stuff in spring training, too. So it might be time to call Montgomery a sleeper again.
Starting point is 00:29:28 Chris Robinson Canoe was batting third over the weekend, and apparently it sounds like he's going to bat third all season long. I don't know how much the guy has left in the tank, but I think if he is batting third in this lineup, it's a pretty damn good lineup. And I think just batting third alone will keep him somewhat fantasy relevant. Yeah, I've had the feeling that Robinson Canoe was being overlooked. But I haven't really been willing to put my, my, I don't know, reputation on it.
Starting point is 00:29:56 But, I mean, you look back at 2018. This is another guy who had a really good 2018. Yes, he was suspended for PEDs and that always causes people to say, well, he was only good because of that. But he had a 304xBA and a 505x slug, and he had an average exit velocity in 93.1 miles an hour. Robinson was really good in 2018. And he was awful last year. There's no way around that, but a bounceback isn't totally out of the question. He still had above average exit velocity.
Starting point is 00:30:26 He's still made pretty good contact. So I think there is room for Robinson Canoe to have a bounce back and be a starting caliber second baseman. I can't say I have him on any of my rosters. But, you know, if you're in a 15-team league especially, I think he's probably worth a look. How much does it matter on the matter of meter? He's batting third I think it's like a 10
Starting point is 00:30:50 10 wow okay Yeah I mean it matters Regarding Robin Tick-Know A lot I don't know if it matters enough to Like it matters if he's good Ultimately like it's To be fair
Starting point is 00:31:02 I think Chris has only awarded zeros and 10s so far Well yeah it either matters or it doesn't And this matters You know like that's It doesn't guarantee that he'll be good By any stretch But if he is good it matters a ton The last one I'll mention is Cody Bellinger at three hits last night, including a grand slam.
Starting point is 00:31:21 I would say that the swing looks pretty good. I think he's all right. Also, Zach Wheeler returned yesterday to camp and made a start. Four and a third innings pitched. We had two earned runs and four strikeouts. His wife is still set to give birth to their child any day now. So we'll have to see what happens regarding Zach Wheeler. But he did look pretty good yesterday. All right, let's take a quick break. When we come back, we're going to give you Heath's favorite players at E. position and a little bit of ADP review for those still drafting. We'll do that here on Fantasy Baseball today. We're back here, Fantasy Baseball today, and Heath, let's get into some of your favorite players here.
Starting point is 00:31:55 We already talked about Stanton and Judge at the top, but it feels like we've talked about Stanton for every podcast over the past four months. So let's get into Catcher here, and one of your favorites, Salvador Perez, who, in the month of July, he has an ADP in round 15, according to the NFBC. Mind you, the NFBC is where a lot of Roto. drafts are taking place. And in a two-catcher league, you're getting Salvador Perez in round 15. Heath, I'm a huge fan of this pick, and Salvador Perez is someone that I have targeted
Starting point is 00:32:27 quite frequently as well. I expected like an audible noise from Scott White, just how funny it was that I fixed Salvador Perez. But no, I just think, I don't know for sure that Salvador Perez is going to be a top five catcher. I think that should probably be the expectation. But if nothing else, he shouldn't be drafted five rounds after. the number five catcher Mitch Garver.
Starting point is 00:32:47 Like, he should be right in that same area. I expect he's still, as he did before he got hurt, I expect he's still going to play more than the average catcher. And he's going to put up some numbers. He's right in the middle of that Royals lineup. It's not a good lineup, but where you hit in the lineup matters more than the quality of the lineup. Yeah, and he's probably going to hit 250, maybe 260,
Starting point is 00:33:07 but a solid source of power, 21 or more home runs in four straight seasons before last year. Obviously, he didn't play last year. So I'm with you. I just think that, you know, his price stack should probably be higher when it comes to Salvador Perez. Some ADP review at the catcher position. Again, NFBC ADP in the month of July.
Starting point is 00:33:25 JT. Real Muto going in round four. So he is continuously climbed up boards here. Pick 44 off the board. Gary Sanchez pick 89 round 8. I just want to pause right there. That is shocking. That's crazy to me. I wanted to pause there because, look, if you get Gary Sanchez 55 picks later
Starting point is 00:33:42 than JT Real Muto, that seems like a no-brainer. Yeah. I think Ramuto belongs in a tier of his own. I think he's the odds on favorite to lead the catcher position and play to appearances and games played. But Gary Sanchez is really good. And if he hits 260 this year, he might be the number one catcher. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:34:05 You know, like that's the kind of player we're looking at. He has like by far the best power potential at the position. Yeah. Well, by far might be like Mitch Garver's up there, I think. But Mitch Garber's had one year where he's done what Gary Sanchez has done as a powerhead in his whole career. Gary Sanchez deserves to go ahead of Mitch Garver. And the gap between Sanchez and Garver should probably be bigger than it is between Real Muto and Sanchez. But I say this as somebody who originally had Gary Sanchez ranked number one at the position, too.
Starting point is 00:34:40 I moved Real Muto ahead of him at some point in March. And I think the short in season justifies that even more. But like when. Once Real Muto is already gone, I'm pretty much just waiting around for Garver at that point. I don't know. That's just the way I've approached it. After Sanchez, Yasmani Grandal, with an ADP of 112, that's in round 10. Wilson Contreras, 116, also round 10. Mitch Garver, 11, all three of those catchers going in round 10. And then you see a huge drop in ADP, where Will Smith is the sixth catcher off the board in round 14.
Starting point is 00:35:15 Salvador Perez, we mentioned, round 15. Wilson Ramos in round 15. Omar Nirvayez, round 17, Christian Vasquez, round 18, Carson Kelly, round 18, and Jorge Alfaro in round 19, just behind Alfaro, Sean Murphy and Yaddeer Molina, who are, I know Murphy for sure is a fan favorite here on the show. Yadier Malina, I mean, he's old, still kind of serviceable, but does go very late. Scott, you're right with Yadier Malina, if you're just waiting?
Starting point is 00:35:45 Yeah, I think for the same reason, JT. Real Muto benefits from 60 game season with most weeks guaranteed an off day. Molina would too. I mean, he's up there in terms of how consistently he plays, even at his old age. And I think I elevate him in the kind of schedule we're going to get now. Just, you know, there's a good chance he's going to separate himself on volume. Heath, at first base, who is one of your first base? who is one of your favorite targets here?
Starting point is 00:36:20 We might actually be able to get a little debate between you and Scotty here on this one. Good, good. Well, I think Scott changed his mind when he saw the new look for Reese Hoskins. But I just don't really believe, like if last year was the downside for Reese Hoskins, I'm kind of okay with it.
Starting point is 00:36:37 And I expect him to be better than he was last year. I think he got a little bit unlucky in terms of run production. I expect he's going to have a better home run to fly ball ratio than he does. He walks a ton. He has great. great power. What's not like, not to like? Yeah, I don't know exactly how his change, his approach of the plate is stance changing that. I don't know what that's going to mean for him statistically, what kind of impact that's going to have. There haven't been,
Starting point is 00:37:03 you know, he didn't go on some kind of tear in spring training or here in summer camp to to really validate that change, which doesn't mean it's not going to have an effect. It just means, I have no clue, but I'm not, I'm not tempted to elevate him based on that. either. The home run to fly ball rate, like for a power hitter, somebody known for hitting a lot of home runs, Reese Hoskins makes pretty weak contact. So, like, he hits a ton of fly balls, but just like hitting a ton of flies balls seems to be the source of his power more than the kind of contact he makes for how hard he hits
Starting point is 00:37:41 the ball. And, like, that is a recipe for a low batting average, which he delivered. last year. It was especially low last year, and in fact, it was under 200 for the last four months. He walks a lot, which counteracts it pretty well, still had a 364 on base percentage. That's good. And that might be enough to save him. I'm not as worried about Reese Hoskins over 60 game seasons as I was over a full-length
Starting point is 00:38:08 season because my worry over 60 game season, if he comes out of the gate hitting under 200 like that for a couple months, like do they replace him at some point? Does he go the way of Chris Carter, who had a similar offensive profile? But in a 60-game season, I don't really worry so much that there's time for him to lose his job. But I don't think he deserves to go higher than he does. I mean, he's going to be a liability in batting average. Reese Hoskins in the month of July, in ADP of 126, he's going in round 11. He really represents the final first baseman that I would want as a starting first baseman on my teams,
Starting point is 00:38:46 regardless of format if it's Roto. Points League again, he walks a ton, so that's going to help. And I think if you could just get back to the player he was in the first half last year, where he hit 263, 401, 530, was his triple slash with 20 home runs and 59 ribbies.
Starting point is 00:39:01 Yeah. I'll just ask a couple questions. Why would you draft Reese Hoskins if Miguel Sino is still there? Well, they go at... Be careful with the Miguel Sinoe comparisons, Chris. But he'll have first base eligibility this week. Like, after the first week of the season.
Starting point is 00:39:16 Right? No, I agree with you. As somebody who would wonder why somebody would take Chris Davis if Miguel Sineau is still there. I also wonder why somebody would take Reese Hoskins if Miguel Sano is still there. Well, Chris Davis goes later than Miguel Sanoe. But then the other question I would ask is, why would you take Reese Hoskins when Luke Voix still there? Well, I mean, really, like, the part of the problem for me is, like, I think Luke Voight should probably be a top 10 first baseman. I would take him I don't know if I would take him
Starting point is 00:39:49 ahead of Jose Abraeu but I'm expecting similar production from them and I think Luke Void is kind of a cheat code at first base this year like he's going 194th overall I don't know what that is in July but it's probably not too much higher and so like when you say he's the last first baseman
Starting point is 00:40:06 well yeah yeah no I'm with you Chris I think Luke I would be fine with Luke Void as my first baseman it's just everybody going around Luke Luke Voight, I would not be fine with, as my first basement. So if you miss out on him. It's hard to aim for Luke Void specifically, because if you miss. Yeah, I just, I take him at like 150 instead of 200.
Starting point is 00:40:24 Yeah. His ADP in July is 189. So if you want to assure that you get him, you pull him up the draft board a little bit. Chris, my only retort for Hoskins versus Suno is health. You know, Hoskins has played 153 or more games each of the past two seasons to know, especially in a shortened season. He hasn't been able to stay healthy. As much as I love Sunnoe.
Starting point is 00:40:43 I do like Sunnoe a lot. but if he misses time in a 60-game season, that's amplified. That's fair. ADP for first base in July. Cody Bellinger, of course, he's all alone in the first round. He's going fourth overall. Freddie Freeman. The ADP this month is 26th round three.
Starting point is 00:41:00 Scott, where do you think Freddie Freeman settles back in? Because it sounds like he's going to be ready for opening day. Yeah, I think he settles back into being mid-second or early second even. I think we're going to do the podcast Listeners League draft tonight. That's the head-to-head points one. So maybe, you know, it depends how early they go, how much they pile up pitching early, this particular group. But if they don't, then I expect Freeman to go about that early again.
Starting point is 00:41:28 Sounds like he's going to be ready. So why not? It's interesting. Over the last five days, even if you just limit it to July 15th through 20th, the 20th, he's actually fallen. I noticed that. It's very weird. That doesn't make any sense.
Starting point is 00:41:42 Freddie Freeman is one of the first. of the six or seven best hitters in baseball. Yeah, I agree. And that's being ungenerous. I think he should be closer to that one-two turn once again, late first, early second round. If that continues, I'm going to draft a lot of Freddie Freeman this week. Absolutely. And why wouldn't you? Pete Alonzo, pick 34 in round three. Matt Olson, 51 in round five. Max Muncie and Dijua,
Starting point is 00:42:06 basically going the same point, pick 75 in round seven. Jose Obrayu, one pick later. Paul Gulchman, 79, in round seven. Anthony Rizzo slipping again a little bit. 86 in round 8. Josh Bell 101 in round 9. Reese Hoskins we talked about. Pick 126 in round 11. And then Carlos Santana, rounding out the top 12.
Starting point is 00:42:26 Pick 144. The 12th, 13th turn there. But of course, in a head to points league, his ADP is like in the 6th or 7th round. And that's exactly where it should be for Carlos Santana. Second base. Heath, we've already mentioned the name today. Why don't you reveal the player you like to target?
Starting point is 00:42:44 at second base. Yeah, the leadoff hitter for the Cleveland Indians, Cesar Hernandez. This is not the first time I've made this argument either. I think you're going to get a guy that hits around 280, steals 15 to 20 bases and scores 100 runs in the 21st round. Yeah. And I wrote about Caesar Hernandez as a sleeper way back in March, I guess it is now. Because if you were watching spring training then, he was hitting near the top of the lineup. And, you know, under Terry Francona, Terry lets people run. So I don't think Caesar Hernandez is the fastest player.
Starting point is 00:43:14 but can it give you a 15 to 20 steel pace in a shortened season? I mean, if he leads off for that lineup, 90 run pace, maybe 100? I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility. His ADP is 245 in round 21 as the 23rd second baseman off the board. So I can definitely get behind it there with Cesar Hernandez. ADP review for second base. No second baseman going in the first two rounds, something we've talked about. It's not really a top-heavy position.
Starting point is 00:43:42 It's rather a very shallow position. Glaver Torres, pick 29 in round three. Ozzi Albi's pick 32 in round three. Catelle Marte, pick 39 in round four. Jose Altuve pick 39 in round four. Kestin Hiura, pick 40 in round four. Jonathan V.R. Pick 42 in round four.
Starting point is 00:44:02 So you have six second basemen that are going within 13 picks of each other. Scott, based on the average draft position of those players, who would you prefer in that range? Oh, could tell Marte. He's toward the back end of that range, and I actually have him as my number one second basement. So that's, I'm sure I have the most shares of him, so that's how it's been playing out in the drafts I've been doing.
Starting point is 00:44:28 I like Hira a lot, too. I mean, Hira's going only one pick later, and he might have the most upside at the position. I think if you're just measuring upside, it's a close call between Hira and Marte. And I guess how two very, would be right there too. So all of them in that 30 going 39th or 40th,
Starting point is 00:44:47 those would be the three I'd focus on out of this group. After VR, Whitmerry Field pick 65 in round six. Max Muncie, pick 75 in round seven. DJ LaMayhew also pick 75 in round seven. Jeff McNeil pick 91 in round eight. Mike Moustakis pick 97 in round nine. And then Kevin Bigio pick 125 in round 11. On to shortstop.
Starting point is 00:45:09 Heath, what's your favorite shortstop? You actually share this with Adam Azer credit for this one, which I hate giving him credit for anything. But I'll go with Carlos Correa. And I'm not, you mentioned with Miguel Snow, you were worried because, like, the injuries. I'm kind of of the opinion this year that, like,
Starting point is 00:45:26 it's a 60 game season. It's not going to last that long. You might as well shoot for the moon. If everybody gets hurt, then it's going to be over fast anyway. Yeah, there are two. I realize that there are two different ways that this can go. And you can look at a glass half, full glass, half empty.
Starting point is 00:45:41 I'm a little bit more pessimistic when it comes to the injuries. So I typically don't draft Carlos Correa, but basically everybody else on this podcast, Heath included, you guys are all fans of Carl's Correa. I can't knock the talent. It's just whether or not he can stay on the field. It's weird because I feel like him and the 14 short stops ahead of them. They're kind of all shooting for the moon.
Starting point is 00:46:05 There's so much upside at this position. And among those high upside players, Carlos Correa seems like the riskiest. You know, I'd put it, I actually have him ahead of Tim Anderson. I think Tim Anderson has a fair amount of risk just in his hitting profile, but I, I seem to be in the minority there. Most people are, are pretty comfortable with the idea he's going to help in batting average and stolen bases. So, you know, I might put, I might put Corey Seeger in this group as somebody who has second round type upside.
Starting point is 00:46:43 Yeah, Corey Seeger. You're kind of shooting for the moon with all of them. So I don't even know that, oh, Carlos Correys is his great discount and look at you, you might end up outperforming every other team at this position by taking him there. No, but maybe he'll hang with most other teams. I mean, if Carlos Correa is healthy, he's probably the six best shortstop. I cannot say that with any degree of confidence. I mean, I feel pretty confident if Carlos Correa plays the same number of games as Glaber
Starting point is 00:47:10 Torres, he's going to be better than him. Confident? I mean, I feel like they're kind of similar players at this point. There's been one year where that hasn't been true for Carlos Correa, basically since his, like, his rookie season was true. He was better than Carlos, than Glaber Torres was last year in fantasy. His second year, it wasn't true. And 2018, it wasn't true. But three out of the five years in 2018 was mostly just because of injuries.
Starting point is 00:47:35 But on a per game basis, just as a hitter, he's been better than Glaber Torres. Well, Glaibor Torres usually being drafted as a second baseman, so I don't even necessarily think of him as shortstop usually. But, I mean, I get that argument, sure. It really would not surprise me, at least, at 23 years old, if he just takes another step, too. I don't think that's out of the realm of possibility. Glaboros also has to be better this year to be as good as he was last year, I think.
Starting point is 00:48:05 Oh, no, you're right about it. I don't draft Glaver Torres. I'm just kind of playing devil's advocate, but, I mean, 820 OPS is a rookie 871 last year. I don't think it would shock anyone if he gets that up to 900, and he's betting third in the Yankees lineup, which is obviously a very favorable spot to be in for fantasy purposes. ADP at this position, Francisco Lindor,
Starting point is 00:48:25 Trey Turner, Trevor Story, all first-round picks. According to the NFBC in the month of July, Fernando Tatea's going one pick ahead of Alex Bregman, which, Scott, you probably find insane. an oof, a big thumbs down there from Scotty. Not good. Glaver Torres, we mentioned, going in the third round. Adelberto Monashy.
Starting point is 00:48:45 Heath, I did want to ask you quickly, because I saw you tweet once about Adelberto Monashy. You said if there's any season to draft him, it's probably a 60 game season, no? Oh, he's proven in the past. He can play 60 games without getting hurt. He's just never been able to play 150 without getting hurt. So, yeah, again, this is the type of guy.
Starting point is 00:49:03 And when I was originally looking at CBS ADP, He is much, much, much lower because obviously he should be in a points league, but I still think he could be kind of a value there. I'm not sure he's a value here. No, he's not a value in the third round, which is high, but I guess people in the NFBC want their steals again last year at the 60 game mark. Alberto Montesey led baseball with 22 steals and a 280 batting average.
Starting point is 00:49:27 Javier Baez going in the third round, Jonathan V.R., Zander Bogartz, and Bobachette. Boba Chet all the way up to the fourth round, something we've talked about. Mani Machado in round six, Tim Anderson in round eight, Marcus Semyon at the 8-9 turn, Carlos Correa in round 9, and of course,
Starting point is 00:49:44 Corey Seeger, someone we like to mention often here, at pick 140 in round 12. What is going on? Third base, quite a deep position. Heath, who do you like in terms of value here at third base? Another guy who is going higher in this format than he is at CBS, but Mike Mustakis is going 30 picks, later than Manny Machado and Manny Machado outside of Cammin Yards has basically been
Starting point is 00:50:09 Mike Mastakis in his career. In that ballpark, he might hit 40 home runs this year. It's exceptional value in my mind. Oh, gosh. Well, Heath, I thought we were friends. It's now time for you to leave. No, I'm kidding. I'm on Manny Machado Island here on the show.
Starting point is 00:50:28 Did he get traded back to the Orioles? Yeah, why would it change at this point, right? I'm just going to continue to write it out with Manny Machado. So again, third base is a very deep position. Jose Ramirez going at that one-two turn, pick 13, Aronado, pick 14, Breggman, pick 18. Devers, pick 25 in round three. Anthony Rendon, slipping a little bit.
Starting point is 00:50:48 Scott, do you think this is because of the most recent? He's dealing with an oblique. He says he should be ready for opening day, but I've most consistently seen him in the second round, so it's kind of surprising to see him here at pick 29. It might have to do with that, and I don't think it's entirely, unjustified. I mean, they say it was more like a tweak of his oblique than anything else. They say he's
Starting point is 00:51:11 going to be ready. Obliques, obliques are something that you can re-injure pretty easily, though. And I could see this becoming something worse for Rendon. You know, if he was falling a full round, then I would just welcome the discount. But I would probably be with this group in hesitating at the end of round two. taking Anthony Rendon, given how short the season is and how you can't really afford to afford for any of your early round picks to miss time. I'm more worried about Rendon than Freeman at this point, I would say. Chris, you're on the clock tonight. Would you take Rafi Devers or Anthony Rendon? He's thinking. He's thinking. Rendon. Question mark? Yeah, I mean, I guess my preference would just be to take Devers at the end
Starting point is 00:52:03 to the second round and then, you know, maybe Anthony Rendon falls a little bit. But, yeah, I think Rendon's the better player. Vlad Guerrero, ADP of 59, going at the 5-6 turn. Chris Bryant going in round six, Mani Machado and Yuan Moncada also in round six. A. Eugenio Suarez, pick 73 in round seven. I'm going to skip over Muncie and DJ Lamehu. I think most people are probably using them at first or second base. Josh Donaldson in round eight, Jeff McNeil and Matt Chapman, also in
Starting point is 00:52:33 round eight and then Mike Nusakis we talked about in round nine. Miguel Sino, pick 123, in round 11. Heath, you talked about Judge and staying at the top of the show as two of your favorite values in the outfield. The third name is going quite a bit later than both of those guys. Yeah, Kyle Lewis, I guess a former prospect, kind of prospect. You got a lot of power and apparently more speed this year. And they're talking about maybe even playing him in center field in Seattle.
Starting point is 00:53:01 he's available whenever your last round is, it seems like, based on ADP. You can just take him at the end of your draft. It doesn't matter how deep your draft is. And definitely better in a Roto league because he strikes out like over 30% of the time. But his stack has numbers last year, a 23% barrel rate, which is just unheard of. It's a very small sample size. Obviously for him, only 43 batted balls and 10 of those were barreled. I feel like to get six home runs and 75 plate appearances, you kind of have to have a barrel.
Starting point is 00:53:31 rate that high. Yeah. Right. I don't, I don't know. I don't know that that tells me much more. You could play at Yankees. 75 played appearances do.
Starting point is 00:53:40 You could be a Yankee. You don't need barrels to hit home runs there. Yeah. Shout out D.D. Gregorius. Yeah. Well, he doesn't play for the Yankees. But he does have, he does seem to have good opposite field power.
Starting point is 00:53:51 It's just, look, he didn't show, he didn't have, I understand Lewis was injured for a ton of his minor league career, but he didn't really show much power there. And then, yeah, he had like a 40% strikeout rate when he came up to the majors last year. Now, I don't know that the strikeout are going to be that big of a problem.
Starting point is 00:54:10 But even at AA before getting called up, it was like 30%, which is still bad. I don't know. I mean, Kyle Lewis seems like a total wildcard to me. I don't, I feel like the strikeouts put a clear limit on his upside. But if he's like, if he's like this poor man's Jorge Saler, I don't think that's, I don't think that's out of the realm of possibility. Yeah, and he goes super late. Again, I looked up as NFBC ADP for July.
Starting point is 00:54:36 It was like 350. And then on CBS, it's 2.97. So specifically in a roto league, you could grab them as a reserve or maybe even a fifth outfielder in a deeper league. Kyle Lewis, again, the name to remember. I'm not going to focus on ADP with the top tier outfielers. I want to move on to starting pitchers and relief pitchers. So Heath give us his favorites there.
Starting point is 00:54:56 But speaking of starting pitcher, Heath, one of the names here, we have, we've had like five months to prep for baseball, and we just have not talked about at all. So I'm very interested to hear what you think about Johnny Quato. I'm going to assume that's Johnny Quato, and he is coming back from an injury, but he's not like he was a guy that had to blow people away with his blazing speed. He knows how to pitch, and I think he'll come back and be just fine in a very good pitching environment. Adam and Azer and I had many, many fights over Johnny Quato over the last two years,
Starting point is 00:55:27 and so I'm disappointed that no one's talked about him. But again, another guy that's just being drafted as if it's just a complete and total afterthought now. I think 350 was his ADP or something. So, yeah, Johnny Quedo, Rich Hill, and Blake Snell were my three favorites. Yeah, look, if Adelberto Monashy is the face of the shortened season, Rich Hill, on the pitching side, Heath, has to be the face of, you know, the shortened season. Just try to make 12 starts, man. 12 starts. You can do it.
Starting point is 00:55:57 He had 14 last year. I think most of them were in a row. Yeah, I moved them inside my top 40 starting pitchers, and I know, Scott, you have them right around 40. So look, we've said it before. If he stays healthy, he's going to perform like a top 15, maybe even better than that picture. I mean, the ratios are that good.
Starting point is 00:56:19 I actually, in TGFBI, the Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, one of the, probably the largest of the experts leagues, It's really more like a network of leagues than a single league. But the first run of Fab ran last night. And it was, I think we drafted our teams back in February, or we started drafting in February maybe, and it went into March. It was a long time ago. I had Noah Cindergarde as one of my higher picks,
Starting point is 00:56:51 obviously not going to get anything from him this year to replace him. Rich Hill way back then when nobody knew when he was coming back, He went undrafted. He was out there. $1,000 fab budget. I spent $667 to get Rich Hill. I may have upgraded. My expectations for Rich Hill in this 60 game season may even be higher than they were for
Starting point is 00:57:12 Sindergarten a full-length season. Yeah, I would just point out, like, Rich Hill did make nine starts in a row last season. That's the longest stretch he had. If all he does is 52 innings, 59 strikeouts, and a 260 ERA, and looks like a whip about 1.12 or something. That'd be great. He had a 12-start stretch in 2018
Starting point is 00:57:36 where he had 67 innings with 73 strikeouts and a 282 ERA. It's basically just if he stays healthy for 12 starts or even 10, he's going to be a steal at the 40th pitch. Pitcher. You're right, Chris?
Starting point is 00:57:54 Rich Hill going off the board, 178 in the month of July over at the end of BC, which is around 15. The mocks that we've done recently, I've seen him closer to the 130, 140 range, and Scott and I, we both have him right around 150
Starting point is 00:58:08 in our top 300, so we're kind of hedging our bet a little bit there, but I don't mind grabbing him as soon as you get to like that 140 range. That's another one where, like, why would I take his as Lazzardo if Rich Hills off the board? I'm expecting probably similar workloads.
Starting point is 00:58:24 I actually, I mean, I expect much. more from Hill. Rich Hill has definitely more workload upside. They both have pretty questions about their workload, but like Hazardosal might be better than Rich Hill, but that would probably require Rich Hill to have gotten worse since the last time we saw him. Hill could go seven innings in his very first start. Lazzardo may not have a seven inning start all year. He might not have a seven inning start until like 2023. At this point, right? Heath, give us a closer that you are targeting for the season.
Starting point is 00:58:53 Yeah, Taylor Rogers. I think the twins really benefit from fact they get to play just all of the terrible teams over and over and over again in the L. Central, and he may just lead the league in the safes. Hey, let me ask you, would you take him, right now his ADP is pick 84. He's going around that 7-8 turn. He's going just ahead of Ken Lee Jansen, Brad Hand, Ken Giles. Do you agree with that spot in ADP? Should he go ahead of those guys?
Starting point is 00:59:17 I would take him ahead of all those guys, yeah. No worry about Sergio Romo being the setup man there in his 85-mile-per-hour fastball? They're going to, there's going to be some wacky stuff that happens. There'll be a few saves that you wish that he got that he doesn't. But the twins are going to win enough games against this competition that there will be plenty of saves for Rogers too. All righty. Monday, in the books, we have our head-to-head points up, listener league,
Starting point is 00:59:41 podcast league tonight. And then Wednesday, the Four the People League, head-to-head categories, Heath, that's your baby. And we're going to be drafting together as adversaries, 16 teams. together as that so we're not doing we're not doing join teams there's no so I don't have to share a team with Azer anymore
Starting point is 00:59:59 no you and I share a team you said it is oh did we share a team yeah you and I share it team okay well okay I'll draft my own team see how that works out I think I've missed that draft every year so I think you've had to draft that one anyway
Starting point is 01:00:15 Chris will you be there this year yeah there's no I believe it had been a concert at least each of the last two years that I had missed it for. So obviously no concert's going on right now, so I should be able to make that one. Yeah, I was going to say. You should be in the clear for this year.
Starting point is 01:00:31 I'm a maybe on the RSVP. Heath, thank you so much for joining us here and, you know, coming back to FBT. Thank you for having, I've been asking to come on for like four months, and I guess we had to wait until Adam wasn't going to be here, so I could be on a show.
Starting point is 01:00:45 I've been saying no, actually. Yeah, it was all Chris. You didn't want you to steal his, John Carlos Stanton Thunder. But seriously, Heath, I mean, whenever you're around, if you want to hop in, feel free. We'd love to have you back. Sounds good. All righty for Heath, for Scott and Chris, I am Frank.
Starting point is 01:01:00 Thank you all for listening and watching on the Fantasy Baseball today, YouTube channel. We'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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