Fantasy Baseball Today - Jo Adell gets the call, Dynasty Risers and Fallers, and Bullpen Updates (8/3 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: August 3, 2021

Chris Towers and Scott White look at the impact of Jo Adell's call up and look at who has helped or hurt their long-term value most. But first, Gerrit Cole and Josh Hader are on the COVID-19 IL and t...he Royals may not view Adalberto Mondesi as a full-time player anymore. Is Adell a must-add player? How did Jesus Luzardo and Josiah Gray look in their first starts with their new teams? Plus, what have Matt Olson and Willy Adams done to improve their Dynasty outlook and what can Gleyber Torres and Cody Bellinger do to stop their slides? To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. I drive. Centerfield is magnificent. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy becomes reality. Now here's Frank, Scott, Chris, and Adam.
Starting point is 00:00:28 Welcome to Fantasy Baseball today. It is Tuesday. August 3rd. I'm Chris Towers. I'm here with Scott White. Frank Stample's still on vacation. for the rest of the week. And we've got a much less busy show for you today
Starting point is 00:00:42 than we had yesterday. Not quite as much happened on Monday as did over the weekend. And that's fine, because that's going to allow us to get into some dynasty updates. Scott's going to have a piece up on CBSSports.com slash fantasy, probably, hopefully by the time you read this, right, Scott? Talking about some dynasty risers, dynasty fallers, and just updating the dynasty landscape and dynasty rankings
Starting point is 00:01:05 with the really the three-quarters mark of the season pretty much here I guess the two-thirds mark that classic two-thirds three-quarters yet given a couple more weeks will be at three-quarters
Starting point is 00:01:19 I mean it's you know one-twelfth away right I think that's right I think the math works out on that don't double-check denominator find the comment yeah that's the 12
Starting point is 00:01:30 one out of 12 I think it's just one-twieth which is half of one-sixth I'm not good at thinking of words and thinking of numbers at the same time. That's fair. It's a good thing you don't have to deal with any of those things at the same time in your chosen profession. Also on today's podcast, in addition to Dynasty updates, we've got some bullpen updates with all the changing roles coming out of the trade deadline. We're going to talk about some Monday's biggest performances.
Starting point is 00:01:57 Your listener emails at Fantasy Baseball today, sorry, fantasy baseball at CBSI.com is where the email. emails go if you want to send them. Again, that's fantasy baseball at cbsi.com. But we'll start with some of the big news today and starts with two high profile players, arguably the two best players at both starting pitcher and relief pitcher are the best player at starting pitcher and relief pitcher. Going on the COVID IEL, Garrett Cole will not start Tuesday for the New York Yankees after testing positive for COVID. And Josh Hater was placed on the COVID-19 IL on Monday as well after another positive test. So brewers have had something going around in their clubhouse, it seems.
Starting point is 00:02:41 Christian Yalach hoping to come back from the COVID-I-L on Thursday. The Yankees also have had some guys on the IEL. So this is, you know, it kind of is what it is. This is still an issue. It's still, you know, going around the country with the Delta variant. It's, you know, hopefully not going to decide your fantasy season. but this is definitely something to keep in mind over the next couple of weeks. You know, Christian Yelich went on the COVID-IL last Tuesday,
Starting point is 00:03:08 and he's eligible to come back, I believe, on Thursday for the first day. So, you know, if Garrett Cole and Josh Hader follow the same, you know, timetable, you know, and that's dependent on a number of factors, you know, we may not see them until the middle of next week. So I was trying to see if there were updated policies in the MLB for, you know, testing positive but you're vaccinated and you don't have symptoms because I think I believe in the NFL you actually pointed this out to me on Twitter and the NFL if you're vaccine if you test positive but you're vaccinated and you don't have symptoms you can come back in 24 hours right but
Starting point is 00:03:44 it's still if you have a negative test oh you still have to get yeah you still have to get the negative test okay yeah okay yeah so 10 days two turns presumably is what Cole's going to miss you know we were talking about Max Scherzer and whether he's the number one starting pitcher in fantasy, Garrett Cole missing 10 days might be enough to tip into Max Scherzer's favor given how little of the season is left.
Starting point is 00:04:07 Only one third. Yeah, this is three, four-twelfths. You know, there's not really much you can do here if you already started them this week. That's unfortunate. Hopefully your league will, you know,
Starting point is 00:04:23 maybe allow you to make some changes. I know some of my fantasy football leagues allowed that. I don't know. We did in basketball too. I don't know if anyone, baseball leagues have had any policies like that. But, you know, not much to take away from it other than then Josh Hader and Garrett Cole likely will not be helping you at least the rest of this week as a result of
Starting point is 00:04:41 their positive tests. Hopefully, you know, everything's okay coming out of that. Let's move on to Mondays, oh, my goodness gracious players of the day. Scott, can you hit me with your best Susan Waldman impression again? Oh, my goodness gracious. I like it. Thank you. You like it?
Starting point is 00:05:01 Does it work? Yeah, yeah, it works. Okay. So who's your pick? My pick is actually somebody who didn't play on Monday and hasn't played for a very long time. Interesting. It's definitely the item that made me say, oh, my goodness gracious. And that is at Alberto Mondesie.
Starting point is 00:05:16 Yeah. And what general manager, Dayton Moore of the Royals revealed about Mondesie as per their 20-22 plans for them. they're not even talking about, you know, rest of this year. Just, what are they planning to do with Mondesie next year? And it sounds like they're not counting on him to be an everyday player. It sounds like they've come to the determination that they need to manage his workload. And 100 games was a number Dylan Moore identified as a potential target for Adelberto Montesey, which, you know, is less than it's...
Starting point is 00:05:58 less than two-thirds of the season. A little quick math there while I was thinking of words. Yeah, it's about one-twelfth less than two-thirds of the season. So that stinks. Yeah. Stalk way down. Maybe he should be in my dynasty. I think he probably should be.
Starting point is 00:06:18 Yeah, I mean, the thing about Adam Bernhardt-Hondisi that, you know, one of the things I talked about, certainly a lot this off-season, was just how, you know, buying into injured players can be one. way to gain, to gain value in fantasy. And one of the reasons for that is just that, you know, everything that we talk about is so based in concrete facts and data and numbers. And injury analysis often isn't. And, you know, anybody who's been falling on to see his major league career knows he's missed quite a bit of time. He's only had one season with more than 100 games played
Starting point is 00:06:51 in the majors. But he's had injury issues basically his entire career at every point. point. You know, you go through and he's played more than 100 games in a season, including the majors and the minors, I believe only three times. So four times, excuse me. And he's been a professional since 2012. So there does seem to be something there with him. I wonder if he means just for next year. And if, you know, he proves he can handle this 100 games with more rest built in. if they can then broaden the playing time from there for Mondesie, but I don't even know how many more years they're controlling Mondesie. I know he's a few years into his career at this point. He's a free agent after the 2023 season. Okay, so a couple more years. Yeah, I mean, the way I took it was, you know, he's,
Starting point is 00:07:54 they're going to build in extra rest for him next season, and they'll probably have to make sure they have another, you know, middle infielder or, you know, whatever position they try him at or they decide to play him at. They'll have to have another one. Bobby Witt, presumably. But I would guess they're going to bring in another. But presumably Mondesie is only playing three or four games a week.
Starting point is 00:08:17 Yeah, I mean, I would think at first. It seems like the kind of thing where if Mondi sees healthy and playing the way they know he can, it's hard to see them actually keeping a 26 year old out of the lineup that often. So I think it's more like you have to prove we can trust you at this point. And that's the way I took it at least. Well, obviously I'm not dating more. Yeah, I mean, just the fact that he was put in definite numbers.
Starting point is 00:08:44 Yeah. Let me see the exact quote. We're learning that we're going to have to manage his workloads in ways that he may not be a guy that plays more than 100 games. We can't count on him as an everyday place. player. I mean, I guess there's some gray area in there, but I don't know. You usually don't hear. So the twins aren't saying that about that about Byron Buxton. I think even in a Roto League like round 15 or maybe something for Mondesie, not that high. Not that high for me. Yeah, it's, uh, it's fair. It's going to be hard to,
Starting point is 00:09:14 to overlook the kind of upside he could have even in a hundred games. I mean, the, the, the nice thing is I guess we have an example of what that would look like. He stole 40. three bases and hit nine home runs in 2019 in 102 games. Last season he did only miss one game. It's worth pointing that out. But yeah, I think as you're looking long term out of Bertimondecy, this season, we still have questions about how good he can actually be as a hitter. And we have questions about whether he can stay in the lineup.
Starting point is 00:09:47 So clearly the Royals share those concerns. And that's not great. for my, oh my goodness, gracious player, I'm going to go with Thai France. Went three for five with a home run, three RBI. Scott, I know you were a big fan of Thai France coming into the season. And, you know, I don't know if he's necessarily lived up to your expectations. But I will say, you know, he's been, I think better one than his overall numbers indicate,
Starting point is 00:10:14 because he's basically hit 290 in every month except for May. He had like a 190 average in May. He dealt with some injuries there. Other than that, he's been that high average guy with a little bit of pop that I know you were hoping he would be. What do you think about Thai France right now? Yeah, I mean, he hasn't lived up to my wildest expectations for him, but it would be hard to say he's a disappointment. You pointed it out already, but just to put precise numbers on it. So basically, he hurt, I believe it was his wrist or forearm, something in that area at the end of April.
Starting point is 00:10:49 and played through it for about two weeks as batting average plummeted from 325 to 229, went on the IL finally. Since coming back, and we're talking what? We're talking 60 games now with tonight's. Tonight's numbers aren't included in this line, but six coming back for that long stretch of time, 298 with an 814 OPS,
Starting point is 00:11:13 seven home runs in 225 at bat, so not much power but not zero power either but he does this does further the idea that he's just a really stable source of batting average and you know maybe maybe not all that different from like Brian Reynolds okay I was going to say yeah that's a good one too
Starting point is 00:11:41 so you know that I'm to the point now with Jeff McNeil where I don't think of him is really like a must-start player in fantasy either. But, you know, just kind of not a bad option if you don't have a great one. All right, let's move on to some of the injuries, news, and notes from Monday's game.
Starting point is 00:12:06 We'll get an email of the day after that. But first, Joe Dell was recalled from AAA Salt Lake. It's actually kind of funny. I tweeted yesterday after, I believe, he had three straight games with a home run, has an OPS well over a thousand since the start of July, and I called the Angels out and said
Starting point is 00:12:24 that it was clear service time manipulation that he wasn't in the majors. And so, of course, they called him up the next day. They got scared. You're welcome. Joe Adele. Please send me a portion of the Major League paycheck. He's having an excellent season at AAA, Salt Lake.
Starting point is 00:12:40 He was hitting better than Brandon Marsh. I know there have been concerns about the strikeout rate. But 289, 342, 592 is the triple slash line. 23 homers, eight stolen bases. Yes, he has struck out
Starting point is 00:12:52 29% of the time, which is a concern, especially given how poorly he played last season and how overmatched he seemed. Over 40% strikeout rate. Yeah. He was up for most of the two months. Yeah, he's like 150 days of service time
Starting point is 00:13:12 because they extrapolated it out. But this is a guy who's been, a top 20 prospect in baseball for basically three straight years, even after he struggled last season. It didn't really impact his standing in the prospect list where he was still eligible. He did exhaust his rookie eligibility, but some prospect lists still considered him. He has only played 297 games in the minors. So that's basically two full seasons worth of games. He's dealt with some injuries, obviously last season with COVID.
Starting point is 00:13:42 but if you just cut his numbers in half and give him 150 game pace, here's what you're looking at for his minor league numbers. 29 homers, 106 RBI, 118 runs, 19 stolen bases at a really high success rate, 295 average. Strikeouts, again, have been an issue. But there's a big upside here. You know, we've been, we've talked about it for three years now. We were talking about him as someone who could get called up back in 2019. So, yeah.
Starting point is 00:14:16 Is Joe Adele must add in any five outfielder league? Yeah, I'd say five outfielder. I mean, I would say the odds are against. Sure. Any particular prospect call up at this point after what's happened with Kellnick, to a lesser extent, what's happened with Wander Franco? I mean, those guys seem just can't miss as it gets. And, of course, the list of ones beneath them,
Starting point is 00:14:40 Jared Duran Um You know I could come up with so many names They've they've all disappointed us To the point that I think any particular prospect call up You have to presume failure Which you know
Starting point is 00:14:55 Was the standard for these guys five to ten years ago anyway I just think we're kind of back there right now So Pickup Adele not expecting much But the upside is huge It is worth noting he's one of the rare prospects Who didn't lose Playing Time in 2020
Starting point is 00:15:10 whether that's a good or bad thing, given how he played, is a different question, but at least he got the reps. Yeah, I'm not sure that totally explains what's going on anyway because it's not like the guys
Starting point is 00:15:23 are struggling in the minors themselves. Sure, but they're going against guys who didn't play, so. Yeah, I just, I don't know. I think there's something else going on there, but that's, anyway. Maybe it's a space jam thing. I kind of feel like,
Starting point is 00:15:40 the Angels were waiting to see some kind of strikeout improvement from Adele. And, you know, last 25 games, he was especially hot. 363-7 home runs, OPS over 1,000. Most significantly, though, might be 24.5 strikeout rate during that stretch, which is much more palatable than 30s against minor leaguers. And he's young and he's inexperienced even for a minor leaguer. And, you know, I think back to like a George Springer who struggled with strikeouts in the minors and then eventually
Starting point is 00:16:12 it became kind of a non-issue form, Chris Bryant the same way. So it's not like he can't continue to improve in that regard. I just think I just think he was so, so bad last year that like it kind of gave him an even bigger
Starting point is 00:16:30 hurdle to clear. And sure. He hasn't cleared it yet, obviously. Because it'll take him doing better in the majors. Yeah, getting the confidence back after struggling like that. You know, That's really the first time in Joe Adele's career as a baseball player, where he's struggled like that. So, you know, there's always something to that.
Starting point is 00:16:49 Additionally, as a result of this, it sounds like Justin Upton could start sitting against right-handed hitter, right-handed pitchers with Adam Eaton playing more. But the expectation is that Adele's going to play every day. Yeah, that seems to be the expectation. I don't know why Adam Eaton still deserves a bat. So Justin Upton, I don't get the thinking behind that, but you would have been
Starting point is 00:17:10 veteran presence. Upton had been decent when healthy this year for five outfielder league so that's kind of disappointing. All right, the rest of the news and notes, Reese Hoskins did return to action today. He was available as a pinch hitter,
Starting point is 00:17:25 struck out. Not sure he's going to play tomorrow, but at least he's, you know, it doesn't seem like he's going to go on the IL. As you mentioned earlier, Christian Yelich could be cleared to return Thursday. He'll have testing done before he can return on.
Starting point is 00:17:38 Wednesday. Brandon Nimmo was a late scratch. He was initially in the lineup for the Mets, was scratched, missed his third straight game with a hamstring. DJ LaMayhew was back in the lineup and the Yankees had judge at DH and Stanton in right field. So I believe that is that three or four appearances in the outfield now for John Carlos Stanton, including in an AAL park. So, you know, if you're hoping for a little added flexibility for John Carlos Stanton, you know, it could be coming. And we did have an email. This is not the email of the day,
Starting point is 00:18:12 but it's going to get read first from Henry. Do you think it's worth trying to buy low on Stan? He's played a couple games in the outfield recently. Could pick up outfield eligibility. Henry's saying, I lost Acuna. I've been looking for outfield help. Picked up Grossman, Harrison Bader, and Andreas Jimenez?
Starting point is 00:18:29 Who would that be? Jimenez. Elo? Elo? Okay. Stan is slumping an injury. but could be helpful down the stretch if he heats up thanks in advance. What do you think about
Starting point is 00:18:41 Stan? Would you be trying to buy low on him right now? I mean, it depends on how low. I think he's better than he's shown so far when he's healthy. Usually good things happen. He's healthy right now. He would start for you but like a starting
Starting point is 00:18:58 outfield of Eloy Jimenez Robbie Grossman and Harrison Bader doesn't sound bad to me either. Stanton you know, it certainly would help have him. It just depends what you're giving up. Yeah, you know, one thing we've seen with Stan is he's still hitting the ball incredibly hard.
Starting point is 00:19:15 100% on average. Hex velocity, hard hit rate, has the highest average X velocity of his career. He still crutches the ball. Shracket rate, still 29%. Not great. Not so bad that you would think it's, you know, a hugely limiting factor.
Starting point is 00:19:34 His sprint speed has fallen from 50th percent on 2019 to 24th last year to 11th. And, you know, maybe that's the result of him not playing outfield and not having a lot of competitive runs because he's either shrekking out or hitting a home run. But that's a bad sign. If you're looking for a reason why a guy who hits the ball as hard as Stanton does, you know, might struggle, you know, losing a couple of extra, you know, singles and
Starting point is 00:20:02 potentially doubles because the infield can play back, that is one thing that we could be seeing from him as he, you know, reaches his, you know, early 30. So that's something to keep in mind. But yeah, I do think Stanton would be worth buying in, buying low on. If you can get him for the right price, because he's obviously capable of, you know, an eight home run month at any time. Rangers designated David Dahl for assignment. That is a frustrating outcome for a guy who, you know, they were certainly hoping he could
Starting point is 00:20:31 have a bounce back after dealing with injuries. He's dealt with injuries this season. and I think he might have an OPS under 600 right now. So tough stuff for David Dahl. Andrew McCutcheon was placed on the IL with the knee injury that he left Saturday's game with. Jake Fraley returned from the COVID-IL, went two for four with two RBI.
Starting point is 00:20:53 Did he also steal a base in this one? I'm trying to run. Yes. Stole a base. I kind of like Jake Fraley. You know, I don't think he's a star, but like really good plate discipline. He'll swipe a couple bases.
Starting point is 00:21:04 I think he's kind of useful in a in a roto league. So someone to keep in mind. Evan Longoria could go on a rehab assignment this week. I always do the Ava Longoria thing with him. I always call him Evan Longoria. I have never done that before. Chris Archer left his rehab start after one inning pitch. He's coming back from Theracac Atlas Syndrome surgery.
Starting point is 00:21:29 But he left with a hip injury. Stephen Brought will make a season debut for the Pirates up versus Milwaukee on Wednesday. Chad Kool was placed on the COVID-19 IL for the Pirates. Spencer Howard looks like he's going to make his first start for the Rangers on Thursday. He could be piggybacking with Taylor Hearn. Obviously, given the way that the Phillies used him or, you know, didn't really use him a lot of the time in Philadelphia this season, you'd prefer to just see him used as a regular starter. You know, the Rangers, I'd like to see them give him a sink or swim opportunity here over the last month and a half, two months of
Starting point is 00:22:04 season. Yeah, I think the reason he's having to, or at least the tandem possibility is being presented here is because he's just not stretched out to be used like a full starter yet. But I would say
Starting point is 00:22:20 you know, apart from obvious park factor situations, like if we're just talking purely change of scenery, take them out of this scene, put him in that scene, see what happens. Like from the trade deadline, I think Spencer Howard is the best candidate for that because it just seemed like the Phillies
Starting point is 00:22:39 just were not all in with him ever. And for what it's worth, the Rangers have had decent success, you know, with, you know, it's been more veteran bounceback guys, but, you know, they've had a pretty good track record lately with that. So it's worth keeping in mind, at least.
Starting point is 00:23:01 Alex Bragman was scratched from Monday's lineup at, uh, on his rehab episode. Simon, after leaving Sunday with a hamstring injury, he was initially in the lineup. So I think that's a good sign that this isn't considered a serious injury. But, you know, obviously puts his potential return on a little bit of a delay. Wascar and Noah threw 51 pitches in his first rehab start. Remember, he is coming back from a fractured hand.
Starting point is 00:23:25 And he was pitching really well before the injury. A lot of strikeouts was kind of doing a kind of doing a Denelson-Lamette impression. and throws really hard, throws him mostly sliding in fastballs. So someone to keep in mind if he is available in your leagues, you know, presumably could be back in the Braves rotation within a couple of turns. And G. Rochella will be placed on the aisle with a hamstring injury after missing four games.
Starting point is 00:23:49 So he'll be out at least a week. And possibly longer hamstring injuries obviously can, you know, be a lingering issue. So we'll see if, you know, when Luke Voight is healthy enough to return. Maybe he'll be able to get in the lineup at least before. Or Shelling. Just play him at third base. It'll be fine.
Starting point is 00:24:11 Once that would happen, if that did happen, I mean, you could play Lemayhew at third probably. If and when that did happen, let's say, Void is the kind of player who could get so hot that they can't justify taking him out of the lineup. Oh, yeah. So, you know, that's something to keep in mind. If, you know, he plays DH and gets really hot,
Starting point is 00:24:30 that could end up working out for the Yankees. uh we are going to get to the rest of monday's news we're going to get to the email of the day we're going to get to scott's dynasty updates but first a quick break and it was a quick break we're back uh let's go with the email of the day before we get to monday before we get to the dynasty update stuff this isn't really about anyone who pitched on monday but we did reference you darvish in monday's podcast so i thought this was an interesting email worth bringing up again if you want your email is right on the show. Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com is the way to do it.
Starting point is 00:25:05 Andrew writes in, Hey guys, would you mind touching on you Darvish? He's been a disaster since the sticky substance ban went into effect. Not sure how to look up spin rates, etc., but he's giving up two home runs to opposing pitchers in the past few weeks. In five starts in July, this is Andrew still.
Starting point is 00:25:21 He has a 643 FIP and a 437 X FIP prior to July 244 ERA, 305 FIP, 3752 XFIP. That's actually, you know, the ex-fip between, this is me talking now, the ex-fip difference between June and pre-July and July, only about a half run. So that is kind of surprising given that, you know, Darvish was considered an elite pitcher there. Was his early season success more of a mirage?
Starting point is 00:25:49 Is what Andrew asked? Is he really just a four-X-FIP guy moving forward? And he's wondering if he should try selling him to someone who believes he's going to bounce back to ace levels. What do you think about you, Darvish right now, Scott? I'm not that concerned. I would be hard to say his success early this year was Amraj because his success goes back to the second half of 2019
Starting point is 00:26:09 where it was basically the best pitcher in baseball for that stretch and obviously dominated in the 12 starts last year as well. I think he's just, I think he's just kind of lost it and is finding it right now. His spin rates, for what it's worth, are down quite a bit since the crackdown began. Yes. you know, that's that he's hardly unique in that way. So I'm not sure how much to attribute the struggles to that.
Starting point is 00:26:37 I'm thinking not much, but it's, you know, it's possible. It's having more of an effect than I'm giving it credit for. I think, you know, part of the issue is he's a six pitch pitcher at least. Yeah. And when you have that many weapons at your disposal, I mean, it can be a great thing when they're working right and when you have a good feel for what you have a good feel for. But I think it's easier to get lost when you have that many to choose from. And you're just trying to find the right combination.
Starting point is 00:27:09 And we've seen it from Udarvish at times previously in his career. So, you know, a long track record of success here. I'm not that worried in the long run. But obviously there is a reason he's struggling. That's my guess for what it is. Yeah, I mean, that's a good point. I think the fact that, that he has so many pitches.
Starting point is 00:27:32 You know, if the baseball suddenly changes, and we kind of saw this with that 20, 2019 season, where he got off to a really bad start, the control was really bad for you, Darvish. And we were wondering whether he was kind of done as a fantasy option in the first half. You know, if he was using sticky substances, the anecdotal evidence with the spin rate
Starting point is 00:27:54 suggests that, you know, it's not an unfair thing to wonder. you know, that could make things harder when you got that many pitches. So, you know, it could just be that the margin for error is relatively slim. But yeah, I'm mostly with you. I think he's going to be fine. Like his whiff rates are mostly where they've been. They've, you know, they've kind of fluctuated a little bit.
Starting point is 00:28:18 But the whiff rate on the cutter is actually up since the start of July. The whiff rate on his curveball is also up. So I don't think there's too much. be concerned about. And the other thing I would point out is in certain ways, X-FIP is kind of a, a cruder version of what XERA is going to do, is trying to do, which is just trying to define what a pitcher should have earned based on, you know, normalizing their batted ball results. And so X-FIP tries to pin everyone to a specific home run to fly ball rate and assuming that that's something that a pitcher can control.
Starting point is 00:28:57 and when, you know, there's fluctuations in home run to fly ball, right? That's generally out of a pitcher's control. XERA is a more elegant version of that. It actually takes how hard the ball's been hit, where it traveled, how far it traveled, et cetera, into account. And he still looks pretty much as good as ever by that measure. He is a 314 XERA this season and 348 ERA. So, you know, I think there's, sure, you're a little bit concerned about you, Darvish, but it doesn't seem like something to panic about.
Starting point is 00:29:29 So with that being said, let's do a little dynasty update. Scott, let's talk about five players who, when was the last time you did a dynasty update? It may have been as long as two months ago. Okay. Other things kept happening. Sure, sure.
Starting point is 00:29:44 You're a very busy guy. I just wanted to make sure it wasn't, you know. So five on the rise, who we got. All right. Now, let's be. Let me just preface this because you're going to say, well, duh, to these names. But, you know, we're thinking from a dynasty perspective. And patience is the expectation in a dynasty league, right?
Starting point is 00:30:06 You're thinking the long run, you don't want to give up on a talented player too soon. So just keep that in mind. I would say that since the last dynasty update, the players who have improved, the major league players who have improved their value the most are Matt Olson, Brian Reynolds Willie Adamas Patrick Sandoval who of course we've talked about a lot recently
Starting point is 00:30:30 and Jonathan India those are my five big risers in dynasty leagues some interesting facts about these guys Matt Olson you know I've kind of been expecting all this time the strikeouts to go up back to what we're used to seeing a 25 to 30% rate
Starting point is 00:30:50 his strikeout rate has actually gone down every single month it started at like 17% in April 16, 15, 14 in July so like you know that trend is not going to continue obviously is not going to keep falling every month but like at this point I just think you know he's not that big strikeout guy anymore and if that's the case he suddenly looks a lot like Cody Bellinger did when he was winning MVP's, you know?
Starting point is 00:31:22 So forget Dynasty at first second, talking redraft. I think Olson's going to be in this discussion, you know, barring a collapse year over the final third of the season, of course. I think he's going to be in the discussion for, you know, I'd probably put him in round three, but I bet there will be some people arguing for him in round two. Yeah, if he's really a 20% or less, strikeout guy.
Starting point is 00:31:51 It's like 16% for the season. Yeah. That's significantly better than 20. That removes, because like the biggest thing I've always said about him was just that like,
Starting point is 00:32:01 this is a player archetype that while Matt Olson can be a very good version of, it's not that hard to find. You know, there's, obviously some of them have busted this season. You know,
Starting point is 00:32:12 I argued Pete Alonzo would be better than Matt Olson. That hasn't been the case yet, although Pete Olson, or Pete Alonzo has been very good recently. And actually, this has gone under disgust, but he's cut his strikeout rate massively too. He's under 20% this season.
Starting point is 00:32:25 Yeah. Hasn't had quite the same breakout as Olson, but that could be a leading indicator that, you know, what we're seeing so far over the last month is real. The biggest thing for Matt Olson, though, is he is crushing lefties. And it's not like he's got some huge babbitt against them. It's that he's really, really improved his. plate discipline against them. He's got a 21. 1% strikeout rate
Starting point is 00:32:51 against left-handed pitchers this season. He's got a 1056 OPS. So it has a better ISO by 130 points against lefties than righties. It's been, you know, pretty remarkable.
Starting point is 00:33:04 Obviously, we're dealing with small sample sizes. Last season, he struck out 37% against lefties in 2019. Let me get the drop-down box. It was 34% against lefties.
Starting point is 00:33:18 it was actually slightly lower than against righties. So I still have my doubts about whether he can truly be a very good hitter against lefties. But based on what we're seeing right now, he looks like, one, a completely different hitter. And two, yeah, one of the best hitters in baseball. Other things to point out here, Willie Adamas, we've certainly talked about it before, but it bears repeating. A completely different player since leaving Tampa Bay. And in a way that should have been predicted, I didn't notice it until he got traded.
Starting point is 00:33:53 I don't know why, but his career home away splits, just how he was always a completely different player out away from Tropicana Field. So, you know, I'll read you the career numbers right now. Obviously, they include his time with the Brewers, which it pales in comparison to the time spent with the raise. But career hitter at home, so mostly Tropicana Field, 217 batting average 64-O-P.
Starting point is 00:34:18 career numbers on the road, 304 batting average, 896 OPS. So about 100 points up on the batting average, about 250 points up on the OPS. And we've since learned that he had trouble with the batterers eye at Tropicana Field. It wasn't just a fluky thing. And to put an even finer point on it, here's what he hit at Tropicana Field. 217, 27, 3.41 was his triple slash line. So 616 OPS, 194 strikeouts in 622 plate appearances. because that's about 28%.
Starting point is 00:34:49 16 home runs in about a full season. Yeah, he was bad at Tropicana Field in a way that he basically wasn't everywhere else. He was awesome everywhere else. He was like an early round shortstop, and I don't know why I didn't notice that before, but now every game's a road game for. Now that road version is playing everywhere,
Starting point is 00:35:12 and of course, Milwaukee's a great place to hit. You know what's kind of funny, though? spectrum there hasn't been that good at Milwaukee. He has a 789 OPS at Milwaukee. Hopefully it's batter's eyes, okay. Only a 254 Babbup, though. I think that probably explains it because you still got,
Starting point is 00:35:28 it's like a 25% strikeout rate, which is not as good as his overall strikeout rate since the trade, but much better than it was in Tampa. So I do think we're clearly seeing a much better Willie Adamas, and I think that explanation makes perfect. sense. And like Adomas was a big prospect.
Starting point is 00:35:50 He was somebody who you were excited to have in Dynasty League leading up to his promotion, but he had been up for so long and underperformed for so long that, you know, we kind of written him off as a dynasty asset. He's still only 25. He's got his whole career ahead of him still. So
Starting point is 00:36:05 yeah, stock way up for that guy in Dynasty in particular. I want to talk about Patrick Sandoval a little more. as was mentioned on yesterday's show his swinging strike rate would now rank first among all qualifiers
Starting point is 00:36:22 worth noting Jacob deGrom himself is not a qualifier he would actually rank first among all qualifiers if he was but the point is if elite elite if the only person better than you would be Jacob de Grom if he qualified I think you're doing fine and specifically the change up and slider both
Starting point is 00:36:42 look like elite pitches for Sandival Like the kind of whiff rate he gets on each of those two pitches, like it's rare for even the best pitchers to have a whiff rate that goes on one pitch, much less two. The ceiling is so high for this guy. It's really just about beating the walks at this point. But even with the walk rate he has, you're looking at right at a three ERA since he moved into the rotation,
Starting point is 00:37:09 obviously with a ton of strikeouts. So, I mean, Sandoval, who, You know, wasn't that highly regarded to the prospect. He had pretty good minor league numbers, a lot of strikeouts in the minors. But it's not like he was some, you know,
Starting point is 00:37:25 it's not like he was some amazing dynasty asset before getting called up, but now he looks like, there's no such thing as a pitching prospect, Scott. There you go. If you got an arm and you can throw a baseball, you could turn into a very good fantasy pitcher. As Patrick Sandoval has.
Starting point is 00:37:41 Jonathan India I just wonder how valuable the skill sets ever going to be for fantasy especially in a categories league I guess because I don't know if he's ever going to be a high batting average guy I don't know if he's ever going to be a big power or big speed guy
Starting point is 00:38:02 that's my concern there the things that he does well are one he's got about an average strikeout rate which is pretty good and he gets on base a ton He's got a 401 OBP, 13% walk rate, and, you know, I love this, 17 hit by pitches, most in the National League, second most in baseball. After Thai France, actually, which I didn't get a chance to mention that earlier. But Thai France also loves to get hit by baseball. So, very good skill set.
Starting point is 00:38:30 Yeah, I mean, I would, I'm less convinced if this is just a pure ceiling argument, I'm less convinced of the ceiling for India than I am these other four. Brian Reynolds, the one we kind of skipped over. But, you know, obviously it's about how much has the stock improved in Dynasty League. And Jonathan India went from being... I don't know, maybe he could develop into something to now he's like instrumental part of the Reds. His on-base percentage since the start of June is 442. And on-based skills were the main thing he showed in the minors, too. You're getting on base that much.
Starting point is 00:39:09 There's going to be a place for you. He's also hit 308 since June, the start of June. Hi, Babip. So, you know, I'm not sure how much I binded that either. But since the start of June, so 53 games we're talking about here, seven home runs, 14 doubles, five steals. You know, roughly you triple that to get full season numbers. That comes out to 21 homers, 42 doubles, 15 steals.
Starting point is 00:39:38 I think there's definitely something there. And when a player is first breaking in, like the thing I, the thing I'm least concerned about him underwhelming in his home runs. Yeah. Because I think even with the environment changes that's just a really easy skill to cultivate
Starting point is 00:39:57 in today's game kind of every, yeah, every system is set up so that, you know, as long as you're not Nick Madrigal. or Miles Straw, you're probably going to hit for some pop. If you're showing any kind of power, they can build on that. And so I think I don't put that past India to improve. And, you know, I don't know that he's going to be a superstar, but I think he's going to be definitely an asset.
Starting point is 00:40:24 And let's talk about five who are losing value. And I'm going to go ahead and guess these are five players we've talked about quite a bit. At least the first three names certainly are. Yeah. So, you know, it's really a matter of what, where are. Are we in Dynasty now with these guys? Cody Bellinger, Glauber Torres, Chris Paddock. And for all three of them, I've been holding out hopes basically all year.
Starting point is 00:40:48 And it's just to a point now where we're kind of past that. We're kind of past that. You know, Glaber Torres, the interesting parallel for him would be Jose Ramirez because, you know, he came up, look great, his first two years. as he's fallen off here the last two years, the underlying numbers don't really present an obvious case for what's wrong with Glabre Torres. It's just totally punchless, though. And remember, Jose Ramirez had like a full calendar year like that,
Starting point is 00:41:21 and then suddenly came surging back. So, you know, I guess that could happen with Glaboros, but it was just such an unusual situation for Ramirez that it seems unlikely lightning's going to strike twice. Yeah. Chris Paddock had like a really great, eight start stretch in the middle of the season where it looked like the spin was back up on his fastball, maybe enough that he was going to be able to return to his rookie form.
Starting point is 00:41:45 But it's just been disastrous over the past couple months. And it's just, I mean, I feel bad that you didn't capitalize him on a rookie season. If you had it, you thought you had this amazing dynasty asset. And now it just, he seems almost valueless. Cody Bellinger, of course, still has value. He's the one that I feel. most confident in getting back to some level just because I think he has the best explanation for why he's struggle. Yeah, I mean, coming off shoulder surgery.
Starting point is 00:42:14 You could point to all the injuries, the shoulder surgery. You could point to the self-inflicted mechanical changes that have gone on during this time. Like, you could see how he could come back. But clearly, nobody's paying for Cody Bellinger what they would have three, four months ago. you know it's there's a case to buy low on him but it it it it doesn't feel it doesn't feel like you're for sure going to to get the return you're hoping for on an investment yeah and you know one thing i'll point out with uh glaber torres if you're looking for an explanation for why uh he might be struggling i think one that could work is um in 2019 he hit 28% of his
Starting point is 00:43:04 his fly balls to the pull side. He hit 41% of his line drives to the pull side. So far this season, let me make sure I have the numbers right. He is hitting 14% of his fly balls to the pole side, 32% of his line drive. So wait, wait, wait, wait. Are you trying to say that what seems like
Starting point is 00:43:28 was the problem for Jose Ramirez? He was adjusting his swing to try and beat the shift, tip more balls the other way. Could that be exactly what's going on for Claibor Torres? This is an analogy even closer. It might be, but the thing with Ramirez was I'm not sure he actually started pulling the ball less often. I can't remember if that was the case.
Starting point is 00:43:53 But if I remember correctly, it was mostly just that he was hitting a lot of weak fly balls to the pull side. Yeah, I guess he did pull the ball a slightly less, but it was like 20, 2018, it was 50% 2019 it was 49, 2020, it was 52. So I don't know if that's quite the explanation,
Starting point is 00:44:13 but I think basically if you're looking for a why Glabertores isn't hitting for power, it's because he's not hitting the ball in the air with authority to the pull side. He's not someone who has
Starting point is 00:44:23 huge raw power, but what he was doing in 2018 and especially 2019 was maximizing the power he had by hitting fly balls in the air to the pull side, which is how you can, You know, it's what Alex Bregman does really well.
Starting point is 00:44:37 And that's why he hits for more power than his, you know, kind of raw suggests he should. Whether he can fix that, you know, we've seen no signs of it yet, but hopefully he can. He's still very young, and that's why you hate to give up on that kind of talent in the Dynasty League. But, you know, we've given these guys a lot of leash already. Yep. The other two names on this. Yeah, Cavendigio and Alec Bohm. are the last two here.
Starting point is 00:45:07 And, you know, I think Bigio... Man, that's exactly how we thought it was going to. Right. And he may be playing himself out of a job at this point. He's not... Adding insult to injury, he's stolen three bases this year for as much as he played. And I think he only stole like six last year,
Starting point is 00:45:27 so that isn't even really part of the package from Bigio. I mean, still getting on base at a 317 clip because he walks so much. But yeah, I just, I'm not, my expectations for Vigio rest of his career are very low. Very low. And so I think he has virtually no dynasty value at this point. When again, you know, his first couple years up, you're like, yes, my second base situation is solved forever more. And then, boom, he just, it's actually funny, he's hit the ball with a thorn.
Starting point is 00:46:04 He's got a 92 mile per hour average exit velocity, 91st percentile, 88th percent on hard hit rate. He just isn't hitting the ball in the air, which, you know, and he's striking out a lot. Yeah. Again, a year we all thought he'd take a step forward and instead he's mostly taken a step back. It's correctable, obviously, but it's apparent now he's going to be more of a project than we thought he was going to be. And it may be difficult to wait him out in the Dynasty League. All right, as we close out the show here, we got about 15 minutes left. Let's talk about some of the rest of Monday's action.
Starting point is 00:46:42 And one place I think we want to start there is the five pitchers who either pitched in a new place after the trade deadline or pitched in a new role in the case of Ranger Suarez. So we'll start with Hazerzazzardo, who I don't know if he's the highest upside pitcher among this group. It's either Hamer or Josiah Gray. but Hazel Salardo made his Marlins debut against the Mets, five innings, four hits, three earned runs, three walks, five strikeouts, 84 pitches, 17 whiffs, including five each on his sinker, curveball, and changeup. Average 96 miles per hour with the fastball. That was up a little bit from where he was earlier on in the season. Did not have command of his curveball, and especially in that, you know, gave up two runs in the second inning. That was an issue for him there. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:47:32 I think his curveball is just not good right now, and I think that's the biggest issue with him. I think he may benefit from throwing a four seamer instead of a sinker. I don't know, but I think the biggest issue right now is he just doesn't have a feel for the curveball. And, you know, you can only go so far with two pitches, especially when the change-up isn't, you know, a Luis Castillo-level change-up.
Starting point is 00:47:57 But what do you think of Hazers-Lazardo? Yeah, I'm very much buying in a dynasty league. You'll notice I don't put him in the fallers. I'm not to that point with him. I think he still needs to be treated like a prospect, basically. His last two starts at AAA were pretty good. I was encouraged to see him get 17 swinging strikes. His arsenal, all three pitches were said to be well-developed.
Starting point is 00:48:22 So I don't know if he just lost a feel for that curveball or what. That was. There was some talk of he, I remember he, there was talk of, I think he called it, like a turkey sub or something. He had this like slow curveball that he was trying to reintroduce. So it did seem like from reading a couple of reports back in spring training, he didn't really feel like he had the feel for the curveball last season. Marlins are the best organization at developing pitching probably, I would say right now.
Starting point is 00:48:52 So he's in good hands. And I'm a little surprised they called him up so soon. and I'm not counting on him doing anything this year, but I still like him long term. It was nice to see the Fort Lauderdale kids, Hazer Zazardo, and Louis Brinson, give the Marlins a win today. I like to see him that.
Starting point is 00:49:12 Let's talk about Josiah Gray, who made his Nationals debut on Monday. Five innings, four hits, one earned run, two walks, two strikeouts, 71 pitches, surprising thing, only five swinging strikes from Josiah Gray. He had been...
Starting point is 00:49:28 just as you were talking him up yesterday as the next Jacob de Grom. Just like that, his swinging strike rate is no longer comparable to Jacob de Groms. Yeah, it's funny. Funny how that works when you get more than eight innings under your belt.
Starting point is 00:49:43 But, no, I mean, I don't know what to take away from this start specifically. Obviously, the results were better than the first two, the two he made for the Dodgers. But the underlying number is not as impressive. It's just,
Starting point is 00:49:58 it's hard to know what to make of that yet. I think overall I still feel really good about his upside. The fastball is a good, is a high whiff, high spin fastball. And he has both a slider and a curveball that are capable of getting whiffs, at least from what he's shown so far.
Starting point is 00:50:14 Yeah, I mean, the whiffs haven't really been there on the changeup, but he does have that pitch. Right, right. That's what I mean. He has a change. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:50:22 So who would you rather have rest of season? Gray or Lazzardo? Gray. Okay. If you thought moving to Yankee Stadium would fix Andjurhini's home run problems. Bad news, guys, because he gave up four home runs, only four solo home runs in four innings against Baltimore. Four solo home runs led to four earned runs, six hits, no strikeout, no walks, four strikeouts. Andrew Heaney continues to have great walk to strikeout ratio numbers and just great strikeout numbers overall.
Starting point is 00:50:55 but he's got a 32.1% ground ball rate, a 17.4% home run to fly ball rate. And it's pretty hard to see how that gets better playing in Yankee Stadium. He's a weird pitcher because he throws a high spin sinker that he throws up in the zone a lot to get whiffs. Obviously, the downside to that is he gives up a lot of home runs. And I'm not sure, you know, the Yankees are pretty good. at developing pitchers and figuring out how to get the most out of them, but gosh, I don't know if he's more than
Starting point is 00:51:31 he's probably more than one tweak away. What do you think? Oh, Heaney, I'm, I'm kind of thinking he is what he is right now. I mean, I'm willing to be surprised, but. I could see like a Dylan Bundy situation where he just figures it out and goes on a really good run,
Starting point is 00:51:48 but Bill and Bill and Dunby. Dylan, Dylan Bundy went from the ALEs to the AOS, which is the best change you can make. venue-wise and Heaney's done just the opposite here and we see how four home runs in his first start at Yankee Stadium met. They were not Yankee Stadium home runs by the way. All of them traveled at least 383 feet and he gave up a 408 foot double in this one. So yeah. So it could have been five home runs. Very easily could have been five. Let's move on to what did you see from
Starting point is 00:52:18 Ranger Suarez in this one. He made his first start for the Phillies only through 33 pitches in three innings, only one strikeout, but his velocity was up 1.5 mile per hour, up to 95.1, which is, you know, I guess if he knew he was only going to throw three innings or 34 pitches, then, you know, he probably didn't have to hold back, but it's interesting. Yeah, I'm not sure how when he throws more than 33 pitches out of that velocity's going to play. I imagine he'll lose some from his time and relief. But I like Ranger Suarez. His ground ball rate this year, is, um,
Starting point is 00:52:57 let me see if I can find it here. His ground ball rate this year is 63.5. Yeah. I believe Framber Valdez led the majors last year with like a 61% rate. That sounds right. That was obviously in a short season. And that 61% was a distant first.
Starting point is 00:53:14 Yep. Just like, you know, 55 is a really high ground ball rate. And Ranger Suarez has that beat by 8% ditch points. all you sticklers out there see i got it right um so uh you know i don't think he's going to be a big bat misser but that that makes up for that's how you that's how you get around that and i i think swarres could be a good starter we'll see but i like him it's worth keeping an eye on as he
Starting point is 00:53:43 gets stretched out and what about chris rodriguez he moved he made his uh first major league start for the angels he had been uh pitching out of the bullpen earlier in the season he went six innings, gave up four runs, three earned, two walks, seven strikeouts, nine whiffs on 86 pitches, fastball velocity was down 1.7 miles per hour from when he was pitching in the bullpen. But what do you think of Chris Rodriguez? Is he someone in, you know, certainly AL only. He's in a rotation, so he deserves to be added. But what about a 15 team league? I'd be wary of adding him
Starting point is 00:54:24 I just I'm not sure I've seen enough in terms of skill level to make me think the upside justifies the downside of anybody breaking into that role so I'd steer clear of him for now keep an eye on him there's some pedigree there for Chris Rodriguez
Starting point is 00:54:39 Yeah number four pitcher prospect for the Angels coming into the season Yeah not really on my radar yet All right Let's talk about I don't know, were there any other starting pitchers today that you thought were notable.
Starting point is 00:54:55 We got a good Chris Flexen start. He seems to, you know, have turned things around. We got a good Jorge Lopez start, but not really five walks, four strikeouts. Elijah Morgan of the... Yeah. For Cleveland was interesting. Nine strikeouts.
Starting point is 00:55:09 Nine strikeouts and six innings with two earn runs allowed. 13 swinging strikes pretty evenly distributed between the fastball slider and change up. You entered this start with just a 10.6 percent swinging strike rate, so it's not like it's not like he had been doing that well missing bats.
Starting point is 00:55:28 So, you know, I don't make much of it. It did come against the Blue Jays, right? So good offense. So that was, it was an impressive start from Elijah Morgan. Doesn't really mean anything on your radar. Yeah, put on your radar. I'd be remiss not to point out Michael Waga was awful after I had to miss the two-stared sleeper.
Starting point is 00:55:48 There you go. You know, that's They're not called sleepers for nothing They're gonna miss a lot So you know He was going against the Mariners It could have easily been a no hitter It wasn't, it was an eight hitter in four innings
Starting point is 00:56:03 And Michael Waka It's probably not a thing Yeah, two games There are one game currently in progress Anthony Descalfani and Taylor Widener Hadnard had both been pitching well Through the fourth in at their first Through the first four innings
Starting point is 00:56:17 And then things fell apart Descliffeani ended up with four in runs on seven hits and four and a third with five strikeouts and a walk. I still think he's pretty good. I still think, you know, disappointing that he didn't have a good start against the Diamondbacks. You would usually expect that to happen, but, you know, it is what it is. Robbie Ray did walk three batters in consecutive starts for the first time since his first two starts of the season, which, wow, Robbie Ray. unbelievable. I don't think there's anything to be concerned about there,
Starting point is 00:56:51 but, you know, it's worth noting. Tyler McGill struggled against the Marlins, but really it was one bad inning. He gave up a grand slam to Lewis Brinson, I believe in the second or maybe the first inning. So, you know, things went kind of sideways for him early, but he got back on track. Still think he's an interesting, you know, low-end option.
Starting point is 00:57:12 And then some bullpen notes before we take off. Gabe Klobossitz and Wander Swaro combined to give up five runs in the ninth inning in a loss to the Phillies on Monday. What team do they play for? The Washington Nationals. So Kyle Finnegan, I believe, had pitched three days in a row before that. So that's why he wasn't available in those guys.
Starting point is 00:57:37 We're trying to get the close out the win. Emmanuel Claese did get the save in the 10th inning for Cleveland today. Karen Chack pitched in the 7th. versus the bottom of the order. It kind of seems like a get-right situation there. Do you think Karen checks dropable? Not. I'd hesitate to do that in the Categories League.
Starting point is 00:57:59 All right. Ian Kennedy gave up a two-run, home run with a five-run lead. In this one, that's two-stray games, giving up a two-run home-run, since joining the Phillies. He did get the save. I don't understand that. The box score says that,
Starting point is 00:58:14 but I don't understand how that worked out because he entered with a five-run lead, I believe. Five-run lead? No, it was a five-run lead? Well, they won by two and he gave up two runs, so it must have been a four-run lead. Okay, still four-run lead. Did he come in in the middle of the inning
Starting point is 00:58:30 with a tying runner on deck? I don't think so. All right, well, I guess we have reason to doubt he actually got a save then. Yeah, that was a, no, he started the inning. So, I'm not sure why. A save for Kennedy, probably just a glitch there. Yeah, he's being given credit for a save,
Starting point is 00:58:47 but I don't think he actually got that save. And Spencer Patton pitched a perfect inning with one strikeout to get the save for Pittsburgh. No. Why do I think Pittsburgh? For the Rangers. For the Rangers, thank you. And he bounced back from a roughoutty. Did you mention Dylan Flores four out?
Starting point is 00:59:06 And Dylan Flore did get a four-out save. Anthony Bender worked the seventh. I thought there was a chance Bender might be the closer, but given that usage, I think it's Dylan Flore. Yep. Let's close out. We got a couple minutes left, so let's close out with some emails. First one, fantasy baseball at CBSI.com, if you want to send your emails into the show.
Starting point is 00:59:27 First one is from Chris. Not this Chris, although it could have been. Perhaps there might be an obituary episode for all the top pitchers who failed to be worth anything close to their draft position this year, between injuries to the de Grom, Bieber, Glassnow, Ian Anderson, Zach Allen. and poor performances like Luis Castillo and other things that have gone wrong. Seems it's been one of the worst years for stud starting pitchers. I don't know if I agree with that. I don't think the actual results. I started going through and looked at it and like four of the top 12 starting pitchers,
Starting point is 01:00:00 I think you could probably qualify as bus, but that would be including Jacob de Grom, and I don't think you can actually include him. Nola has been not as good as we hope. Luis Castillo obviously was really bad to start the season. But, you know, on the whole, like, Kent and Maeda was a bus, Blake Snell, Tyler Glassnow,
Starting point is 01:00:20 the early part of the SP2 range, and actually really just SB2s in general, were kind of bad year for number two starting pitchers, actually, in the draft. Brandon Woodruff, awesome, Blake Snell, not Maeda, Glassnow, unfortunately with the injury to Glass Now, Steven Strausberg.
Starting point is 01:00:37 a lot of the misses were ones that you could reasonably detect concerns for coming in Sure, Max Friede, Zach Plyzac So yeah, not a great look for the number two pitchers But overall, I mean, I don't know My experience has been that my pitching has been really good this season And I didn't invest much in it So that may color my perception
Starting point is 01:01:00 But I still think it's been a relatively normal year For starting pitchers It's not like hitters have been as reliable as usual because, again, I didn't invest much in starting pitcher. And if my roto teams have a strength, it's typically this season been starting pitcher. I've got one 12-team Roto league where I have 17 standing points at hitter, and six of them have come from stolen base. And I invested more in hitting than pitching in that league. So there have definitely been quite a few high-profile.
Starting point is 01:01:37 bus and injuries, certainly. There's just been a ton of injuries in general this year. It's been a bad year for injury. It's probably the worst I can remember. I think you can probably put that at least somewhat at the feet of, you know, playing coming off a short season, you know. So, you know, maybe there will be time for a post-mortem on starting pitching and this season in general after the season, usually when post-mortems happen after the mortum.
Starting point is 01:02:05 Cooper writes in, he's in a two-key. head-to-head points league and he's lucky enough to have Fernando Tatis, Ronald Acuna, and Shohay Otani after keeping both of Tatis and Acuna last year and drafting Otani this season. Coming into the season, he assumed that the two keepers would be Tatis and Acuna for the foreseeable future. Yeah, they're the two best players in fantasy baseball when they're healthy. Do you consider an alternative, especially with Otani potentially getting to outfield eligibility? He would need 10 appearances to get there for next season.
Starting point is 01:02:36 He's at 6 right now. with five weeks to go in the season, he's wondering, as he's trailing first place by two games, should he trade Ronald Acuna? He's been offered Jose Altuve, Bryce Harper, and Hermann Marquez for Ronald Acuna and Chris Taylor. Is it worth taking this win-now move and sacrificing Acuna since he still has Otani?
Starting point is 01:02:56 Or is it worth it just hanging on to Acunia and Tatis and hoping the injuries don't limit them next season? How big of enough? upgrade as Altuva over Taylor really? I mean, rest of the season, I think it's probably a pretty big upgrade. I probably so far this season, it might not be an upgrade at all. I mean, I do have Altuve as my best second basement rest of season. Trade Turner not qualifying there yet.
Starting point is 01:03:25 Yep. But. But Mookie bets may soon. I mean, look, Tataa, Coonja, Otani, I suspect they'll all be among the top six picks next year, assuming Acuna seems on track to return for opening day, and for that matter, maybe Tatis as well. Yeah, I mean, that's the thing
Starting point is 01:03:45 is you're going to have Acuna coming off knee surgery and probably Tatis coming off shoulder surgery, even if he doesn't have it during the season. It seems almost certain he'll have it afterwards. But presuming the reports are good, it's hard to believe they wouldn't be top five picks. I guess
Starting point is 01:04:03 I I don't, part of me still wonders if Otani is going to be so bankable year after year. And when you have Acuna and Tatis in a league where you keep two players, just don't even think about it. But I don't know, I'm torn on this one. What do you think? Flags fly forever. Jose Altuve, Bryce Harper, and Arm Marquez. I mean, even with.
Starting point is 01:04:40 Chris Taylor. Maybe you think he's a relatively you know, wash with Jose Al Tuve. Bryce Harper and Armourkez still a pretty significant addition to your team. And if you don't think, you know, Otani, if you think Otani and Akuna are
Starting point is 01:04:55 both top six picks next season or top 10, top 12 picks, it seems kind of like a no-brainer for me. All right. And we'll close out with one last one. How has Abraham Toro Hernandez's recent hot streak and trade to Seattle affected his standing in the third base rankings for you.
Starting point is 01:05:17 Yeah, he has been hot. He homered the final two games with the Astros and the first two games with the Mariners. He's playing every day. He's even got, I think, like, four steals this year in the little bit of time he's played. And, of course, the last two years in the miners hit well over 300. He doesn't hit the ball very hard, but he doesn't strike out much either. He is someone that there, you know, when he got traded to Seattle, there were a lot of reports that, like, the smart people in baseball front offices love Abraham Toro. I don't know how much that matters, but, you know.
Starting point is 01:05:52 I think best case scenario, the Mariners cloned Thai France, at least what Thai France looks to be right now. Sure. That's the best case scenario for Toro. I think he goes by Toro normally. I don't know right in our system. He's Toro Hernandez. Um, but, uh, I'm, I'm, I don't think he's 12 team material yet. I think he's kind of low end and a low end flyer in 15 team leagues.
Starting point is 01:06:20 I'm very skeptical, I would say. I'm very skeptical. But top 24 third baseman? Uh, yeah, it may, probably about in that range. Yeah. All right. All right. Thanks for emailing in again, Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.
Starting point is 01:06:37 If you made it an hour and five minutes into the podcast, you probably already know the email address by now. Thanks for everyone to tune in on YouTube. Thanks to everyone who listens. Go ahead and leave us a five-star review if you like the show on Apple Podcasts. And we'll read your questions if you leave a review. As than that, well, back here tomorrow, closing out podcast is hard. Nobody tells you that. You always make fun of Frank.
Starting point is 01:07:06 Bye-bye. Bye. Bye.

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