Fantasy Baseball Today - Mahle's Improvement, Waiver Wire Debates & Worry-O-Meter! (6/15 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: June 15, 2022

Tyler Mahle has double-digit strikeouts in back-to-back games (2:00)! Add Nate Lowe or Luke Voit if you need a first baseman? ... Paul Goldschmidt is on fire (10:10)! Should he be ranked ahead of Fred...die Freeman? ... Miles Mikolas nearly threw a no-hitter (20:05)! ... Add Michael Harris or Alek Thomas (22:45)? ... News and notes (31:54): Fernando Tatis' return is delayed. ... Let's fire up the Worry-O-Meter on Jesse Winker, Alex Bregman and Adley Rutschman (38:55). ... Is there anything to see with Kyle Hendricks (48:25)? ... We wrap up with leftovers, bullpen updates and streamers (50:30). Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Get 20% off Fantasy Baseball Today merch: https://store.cbssports.com/collections/fantasy-baseball-today?utm_source=podcast-apple-com&utm_medium=web&utm_campaign=buy-our-merch&utm_content=fantasy-baseball-collection Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. Got a fantasy question, email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Where fantasy becomes reality. Now here's Frank, Scott, and Chris. What a fun day for the Cardinals. Let's talk about it. Welcome in to Fantasy Baseball today on Wednesday, June 15th.
Starting point is 00:00:33 Frank Stamphill joined by Scott White and Chris Towers. Today on the show, some waiver-wise. our hitter debates, hit your bouncebacks, the Worryometer, and much more. But let's jump right in. Oh my goodness gracious! All right, Chris, you made an awesome analogy before we started about taking the low-hanging fruit as your oh my goodness gracious player of the night. Who is that player? And what is the analogy? Yeah, when we log on, Frank is always like, so what do you guys want to do for oh my goodness gracious? And usually if there's like an obvious one, there's kind of like nobody wants to step up and be like, well, I'll do it.
Starting point is 00:01:10 Because, you know, you don't want to be the guy who takes it. And what I've realized is this brings me back to when my friend was working at Olive Garden as a waiter in college. And he told me that their policy, and I don't know if I'm like, you know, putting anybody on blast here, so I won't say any names. But he told me their policy was with the never-ending breadsticks, that they bring one extra breadstick than the number of people at the table. because their research, I guess, has shown that when there's just that one left, people are less likely to grab it.
Starting point is 00:01:44 And people are overly deferential. And so that helps them reduce overhead on the number of breadsticks that they have to give out. And me, I love breadsticks. Yeah. And I also like Tyler Malley and the way he performed today. So I'm going to take Tyler Malley from my goodness gracious player of the day. he had one of the best performances of any pitcher, period, this season. Nine shutout innings, not a complete game, but nine shutout innings, 12 strikeouts.
Starting point is 00:02:12 Two hits allowed, three hits allowed, no walks against the Diamondbacks today. 18 swinging strikes on 119 pitches, 11 of them coming with that fastball. And Tyler Mallee's been really good for about the last six weeks. He's had one really bad start in his last eight. That was when he gave up eight runs in four innings against the Cubs. But other than that, he's given up, if you take that start out, he's now given up nine runs in seven, nine runs total in seven of his last eight starts. That covers, gosh, 45 innings over those seven starts.
Starting point is 00:02:50 So he's averaging six and a half innings per start. He's been quite good. He's got doing the math on top of my head. Let's say 54 strikeouts in those 44. five innings. This is pretty much what we were hoping and what we were expecting Tyler to be. I know he's been kind of up and down, but yeah, I think Tyler Malley pretty good. Yeah, and I've been looking for, you know, what's the reason for this turnaround?
Starting point is 00:03:17 I did notice in his last two starts where he's had double-digit strikeouts in both of those. He's throwing the slider less, and that is his highest batting average against pitch so far this season. so opponents are batting over 300 against that. I noticed that he's throwing more cutters, throwing more fastballs. And it seems like that's helped him the last two. But as you mentioned, I mean, this kind of, he's been pretty good for the past six weeks or so.
Starting point is 00:03:42 And we're talking beforehand, Scott, and you basically said, I'm in, I'm back in on Tyler Malley. Yeah, I was fortunate enough in one of my 12-team points leagues that somebody dropped Malley, and I was fortunate enough to get him for a low bid. his fastball itself has always been a good pitch. He kind of came to the majors. That's all he had.
Starting point is 00:04:03 It seems like he's been leaning into that again lately. A lot of whiffs on the fastball specifically. Total whiffs, 15 plus and four straight starts, all of them quality starts. So, you know, I don't know how long he can sustain that approach necessarily, but we thought he was good coming into the year, and he's looking like it now. Yeah, his forcing fastball has been.
Starting point is 00:04:26 been a very good swing and miss pitch for him in the past. It's actually arguably been a better swing and miss pitch than his slider, which you don't really see all that often. So, you know, today it was primarily fastball slider. He actually, or splitter. He only threw the slider seven times today. And generally speaking, you know, I think pitchers should throw sliders more. A lot of guys have good sliders.
Starting point is 00:04:50 Tyler Miley doesn't really seem to have a good slider. So I think this is a viable strategy for him. All right. Yeah. I mean, he's a very unique pitcher in that way. Like most pitchers, I think he will be better when he keeps the walks down, which he did in this start. His first start with zero walks on the season. But Tyler Malley is back up to 83% rostered. Could be out there in some of the shallowest leagues, but more often than not, he is rostered. And if you have him, I think you should feel pretty good about it. All right, Scott, oh my goodness gracious for you from Tuesday. Well, the other low-hanging fruit could have been Miles Michaelis, I guess, but I'm going to leave that for the worms, and instead I'm going to go with Nate Lowe, who had another great game on Tuesday,
Starting point is 00:05:37 three for four with a ding-dong. His past eight games, Nate Lowe is batting 352 with six homers. 18 games, looking great during that time. Now, what's interesting about this is when you look under the hood for Nate Lowe during this incredibly hot stretch, it's not like he's impacting the ball especially well. His average exit velocity and hard hit rate during this 18 game stretch are actually lower than his season averages. Which aren't all that good. I'll point out.
Starting point is 00:06:20 They're decent. They're, you know, they're about 60th percentile, 50th, 60th percentile. But what has changed for him during this 18-game stretch is launch angle. And specifically, his ground ball rate very, very low, 38.3%. A lot of line drives, a lot of fly balls, and it's leading to a lot more production. If that's the result of in a change in a approach, for Nate Lowe. I think that's very,
Starting point is 00:06:52 very encouraging. If it was just, oh, he's clobbering the ball right now, okay, he's hot. But if he's done something with his swing to make it less ground bally, then, like, this might just be
Starting point is 00:07:08 the natural outcome. I'm not saying he's going to hit 350 forevermore, but he could be a productive first baseman. He hits the ball hard enough that he could be that. could be that. I mean, obviously he was that in the minors, and we were excited about him when he was first breaking into the majors. So I think it's definitely something to keep an eye on. He's only 42% rostered. And something I've read about in the offseason is that the Rangers brought in either a hitting coach
Starting point is 00:07:35 or a hitting instructor from the Giants organization. And in recent years, the Giants have done great work with getting the most out of their hitters and improving launch angle. We saw it last year with Brandon Crawford. So it wouldn't surprise me if they're kind of going through a similar approach right now with Nathaniel Lowe. And during that stretch, Scott,
Starting point is 00:07:52 you mentioned the ground ball rate is down. Not impacting the ball all that hard, but the barrel rate is up. It's like 15% during that 18 game stretch. And I would imagine it only went up more after Tuesday's game where he did hit his eighth home run overall.
Starting point is 00:08:08 I was going to save this for later, but since we're on the topic of Nathaniel Lowe, some waiver-wire hitter debates and would you rather have low or Luke Voit, who is also kind of coming around. Since he's come back off the IL, he's hitting 254 with seven homers, 22 RBI, lots of line drives. Chris, who would you rather have low or Voight? It's, it's Voight pretty easily for me. We've seen Voight be an impact player in the past. I don't know, like Luke Voight's 1100 played appearances into his major league career, and he's
Starting point is 00:08:38 basically been a 107 to 113 OPS plus guy, his entire, every single, every single, every single, single season. I just think like he's probably just a decent hitter, whereas Luke Voight has shown serious potential to be more than that. He hasn't done it so far this year, right? But obviously he's shown that potential in the past. Luke Void has. Maybe there's this new level that Nathaniel Loe can get to. Scott, what do you think? Low versus Voight? You know, I think I'd be inclined to take the shot on Lowe right now. I know Void's been hitting some home runs. The strikeout rate is still Astros. astronomical. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:09:17 He's got a, even during the stretch since he returned from the I. If he's going to strike out at this rate, it's going to be hard for him to make, make a fantasy impact. You know, if you're forcing me to keep one maybe for the rest of the season and never make a move again, then maybe I would lean void. But I don't know. I kind of feel like you can leave void out there right now and, and ride the hot hand and Nate Lowe, see where it goes.
Starting point is 00:09:43 All right. Well, hey, you know I'm going with my guy, Nate Lowe as well. I do like Void. I like what he's done recently. He's hitting the ball well, but I just think there might be something, a new level that Nathaniel Loe can get to. I will also point out Nathaniel Lo's career against lefties.
Starting point is 00:09:56 He has been better against lefties in his career than he has against righties as a left-handed better. So I don't think he's in danger of any kind of platoon split or playing time concern. Again, that is Nathaniel Lo. Oh my goodness gracious for me, Paul Goldschmidt, which will kind of transition into all of the Cardinals and just a huge day for the Cardinals
Starting point is 00:10:13 and Miles Michaelis won out away from a no-hitter. it's so sad. But Paul Gulchmidt, double-header hits three home runs across both of those games, and he also had, I believe, was six hits total, eight RBI, and he's now batting 349,
Starting point is 00:10:29 16 home runs total. His last 162 games, Paul Gulchmidt, 33-batting average, 40 homers, 12 steals, 116 runs scored, 126 RBI. So far this season, leaning into a fly-ball-heavy approach,
Starting point is 00:10:45 has helped with the power so far. He has just been amazing. And this was, today was the first time, well, I guess yesterday when you're listening to this Tuesday, where I actually considered moving Paul Goldschmidt ahead of Freddie Freeman in the rankings. I don't know that that really means anything to anybody,
Starting point is 00:11:02 but what do you think about that move? Have you guys considered it at all? Well, I actually have him behind Pete Alonzo as well, who's having a great start to the year himself. Not as good as Goldschmidt. There aren't many hitters who are off to as good to start as Goldschmidt. I mean, yeah, I mean, I could see it. I could see doing it.
Starting point is 00:11:26 I'm a little skeptical. I mean, obviously he's hitting 348, so, you know, goes without saying, I guess, that I'm skeptical of him sustaining that. But he is somebody who's drastically outperforming his expected stats at a time when you would expect most hitters to be underperforming their expected stats because it's still based on the 20-21 environment as opposed to how the ball is played this year.
Starting point is 00:11:54 So that in and of itself, I think, is reason for skepticism. He's not hitting the ball as hard on average as he did last year. I'm not saying Paul Goldschmidt is going to crater or anything. He's going to be a stud. But his best is probably already. happened. You know, I would have said that yesterday and then he just had this game, this day where he hit three home runs between two games. But I nonetheless think it's true. So, you know, if you want to rank him ahead of Freddie Freeman, if you want to rank him ahead of Pete Alonzo,
Starting point is 00:12:28 that's fine. My thing there is to what end, right? Like, we're not drafting. Right. You know, so like unless someone's trading Freddie Freeman for Paul Gulchman, which, hypothetically. Right, right, no. Hypothetically, that's the question you should ask yourself. If I had Paul Goldschmidt, would I trade him for Freddie Freeman? If I had Freddie Freeman, would I trade him for Paul Goldschmidt? And I think in both scenarios, I'd say no, just because I'd rather stick with what I have if I'm not sure I'm upgrading.
Starting point is 00:13:00 That's just psychologically that works better for me. You know, like, it's the exercise that we do, but it's also like, if you prefer Paul Goldschmidt to Freddie Freeman, I think that's fine. I prefer Freddie Freeman. I think the longer track record is safe. But, you know, but like only one hitter has a higher wobah over the last calendar year than Paul Gulchman.
Starting point is 00:13:24 You guys want to guess who it is? Aaron Judge. Nope. He's fourth. Jose Ramirez? Jose Ramirez is eighth. Bryce Harper. Bryce Harper.
Starting point is 00:13:37 And the only player with a higher Wobah than Paul Goldschmidt has. Paul Goldschmidt's numbers over the last calendar year. I believe he leads his second in home runs or runs plus RBI. He's got 36 home runs, 111 runs, 117 RBI, 11 steals and a 328 average over the past calendar year. That's pretty bonkers. He is awesome. I started thinking today, I was like, is he a Hall of Famer?
Starting point is 00:14:01 I don't know, man. Well, this has gotten him back on track. Somebody mentioned to me on Twitter. I thought it was a great analogy because a couple of years ago, you know, for a stretch of a couple years there. Paul Goldschmidt looked like he was in steep decline. Yeah. We couldn't even count on him as a reliable fantasy option anymore.
Starting point is 00:14:21 And somebody called him the Justin Verlander of hitters in that way. Because if you'll remember, there was a stretch when Verlander was still with the Tigers, multi-year stretch where it looked like he had lost it. So, you know, if Goldschmidt has that kind of finish to his career, then yeah, you could certainly see him being in the Hall of Fame. Gulchman and Alonzo, by the way, both top seven players overall in Roto this season. Gulchman's averaging 4.1 fantasy points per game, so he's a little bit better than Alonzo in that format, but both guys have been absolutely awesome.
Starting point is 00:14:53 So if you drafted them in your fourth, fifth, sixth round, something like that, you love it. I did bring up the Gulchman, a Gulchman versus Freeman debate because we got an interesting email on Tuesday from Andrew, and he had this to say about Freddie Freeman. And some of the reporting from the athletic suggests that batted balls in this year's environment with the new balls fare significantly worse when hit to the opposite field. Does this worry you with a hitter like Freddie Freeman?
Starting point is 00:15:17 I've been waiting on the power to come with warmer weather, but with his opposite field approach, am I going to be disappointed? His max EV of 112 and 79th percentile average exit velocity look decent, but his second hardest hit ball is only 108. Is that enough exit velocity with this year's ball to be a contributor in home runs in 5x5 where his plate discipline
Starting point is 00:15:39 and doubles don't get me much, is it worth shopping him for an SP1 like Zach Wheeler or Carlos Rodon? And that's regarding Freddie Freeman. I hadn't looked into this and kudos to the athletic, whoever's reporting it. I hadn't noticed that,
Starting point is 00:15:51 so I would probably have to do more research on it, but it sounds like something that might carry some weight. I assume that's the cause explaining the effect, right? Like, balls hit to the opposite field, generally aren't hit as hard, don't carry as far. Right.
Starting point is 00:16:08 So, you know, and we're clearly seeing that Freddie Freeman is hitting the ball still very hard. Yeah, I think one thing that this might be referring to is some research on the effect of side spin on batted balls, because I would assume that balls hit to the opposite side have more side spin slash, you know, more of a slicing effect. You know, just based on the physics of it. And so, you know, if the ball is curving, it's going to have to travel further to go further. Yes. If you get my drift.
Starting point is 00:16:45 It has to cover more ground to get to the same distance. And so I think that's possibly what it's referring to. But if you look at his spray chart from, you know, 2021, the majority of Paul Gle, are of Freddie Freeman's home runs did go to center. or to write. So I don't necessarily know if that's an explanation. I think, you know, we saw a stretch like this last season from Freddie Freeman where he
Starting point is 00:17:13 wasn't hitting for power. And I think he's going to be fine. You know, he just has such a long track record. Like, it is possible that he won't be a high-end power source. But, like, I think at the end of the season, you're probably going to look at Freddie Freeman and he's going to have 30 plus home runs and a 300 plus average. Now, if it doesn't happen going into next year,
Starting point is 00:17:39 that might be a... Sure. I might buy that more as an explanation and, you know, feel kind of dumb that I didn't put Goldschmidt ahead of him at this point. You know, even now, I'm wondering, like, what's really the downside of moving Goldschmidt ahead of Freddie Freeman?
Starting point is 00:17:56 Well, there's no downside. Like, that's what I'm saying is, like, there's not really any downside to either. year one. Like, it, yeah, I can see. There's a downside to moving, to not moving Goldschmidt ahead of Freeman. Well, there's downside to moving Goldschmidt ahead of Freeman. Is that you're reacting to a really, really good two-month stretch from Goldschmidt.
Starting point is 00:18:15 But it's not a really good too much stretch. It's a really good year-long stretch. That's true. Sure, but like Freddie Freeman is still one of the 15 best hitters over the last year. And so the last year thing is arbitrary. Like, that is an arbitrary endpoint. And there's probably some. Are you sure he's one of the best 15 hitters over the past calendar year?
Starting point is 00:18:36 Yes, he was 12th in Wobah. Okay. Okay. Yeah. No, I think it makes sense. And if you look at the larger sample, really the past five, six, seven years, Freddie Freeman has, you know, outplayed Paul Goldschmidt. I'll point out.
Starting point is 00:18:48 Freeman only has 21 home runs over the last 365 days. So there could be something there, but... Mostly because of this season. Mm-hmm. Yeah, I mean, he had 16 in the final 100 games or whatever last season, which is a good but not great pace. Last point on this theory, Freddie Freeman does go to the opposite field a lot.
Starting point is 00:19:07 He's doing it way more this year than he ever has. 34% opposite field, according to Fangraphs, that's 27% for his career. So if you assume that that just kind of evens out to where he's been at for his career and he just starts pulling some of these fly balls more, I think we should see more power from Freddie Freeman. And I think there was something like that last season
Starting point is 00:19:27 around this same time where Freddie Freeman was hitting the ball. hard but just wasn't pulling the ball as often I'm pretty sure I remember he got off to really I might have even written about that last year like the first two months of last year Freddie Freeman was like he was he was hitting I want to say below 250 even so like he's he's off to a better start this year than he was last year he was hitting for power but yeah not not as much and he's running too he's got five seals it's the middle of June it's pretty interesting, but yeah, Dodgers, I guess he has that luxury. Let's get back over to the Cardinals.
Starting point is 00:20:05 Miles Michaelis, we mentioned. I mean, one out away from throwing a no-hitter against the Pirates. He goes eight and two-thirds, one hit, one unearned run, one walk, six strikeouts. He had 11 swinging strikes on 129 pitches, lowers his ERA to 2.62 for the season. And as I've mentioned multiple times, like, I think just finally getting healthy for Miles, Michaelis, and the control has been Immaculate under two walks per nine I think that helps Miles Michaelis perform to this level Not that I expect him to remain a sub three ERA guy
Starting point is 00:20:38 But Chris I feel like You haven't been around recently whenever we've talked about Michaelis So do you have any thoughts on him? I'll put him in the Martin Perez category I don't know if that's good or bad anymore Chris He's I think Chris has been consistent about
Starting point is 00:20:54 Yeah he's a friend like I think he's fringe useful Against the right matchups Arizona is a pretty good matchup. Well, he was going up against the Pirates. Sorry, sir. But it's also a great match. Also, even a better matchup. Yes, your point remains.
Starting point is 00:21:08 But I think for the most part, yes, someone who pitches to contact. Yeah, I don't want to downplay. This is obviously an awesome performance, but yeah, he's probably more of a... There's just only so much upside with this type of pitcher. More of a streamer than anything.
Starting point is 00:21:20 Scott, I wanted to get back to the bullpen, right? I love yesterday, we make these proclamations. It's like, yeah, we've got the Cardinals' bullpen figured out. Game one of their double-headers. got him. Ryan Helsley pitched in the eighth inning with a two-run lead. He faced the heart of the Pirates lineup,
Starting point is 00:21:34 two, three, and four. And then Giovanni Gaiegos pitched in the ninth and he picked up his ninth save of the season. I don't know if we learned anything more or less over the past couple days. Scott, it's just kind of confusing. We've learned Ryan Helsley is not the closer. Fair, yeah.
Starting point is 00:21:52 Emphasis on the. I don't think they have a closer, for what it's worth, I guess. It's two guys. Advantage Helsley still, I would say, because as I brought up yesterday, Helsley had gotten four saves since Gaiago's last one. But as I also pointed out yesterday,
Starting point is 00:22:10 there had been times during that stretch where Gaiegos followed Helsley in games that, you know, where there were no save situation. This is why I'd be hesitant to drop Gaigos. But I would say it's a 60-40 Helsley situation. That's where they are, I think. All right.
Starting point is 00:22:31 So look, if you play in category leagues, I think, hold on to either one, if you need saves. Both Giovanni Gaigos and Ryan Helsley, they both play on a great team, obviously, and I think there will be an abundance of save opportunities. Let's get back into Waverwire hitter decisions, and we mentioned Luke Voight versus Nathaniel low already, and I have another fun one. Michael Harris, he's been really impressive so far with the Atlanta Braves being promoted from AA. He goes three for five on Tuesday. Scotty, shout out to those braves, man. They just cannot stop. They're awesome right now.
Starting point is 00:23:02 And Michael Harris hit his second home run. Three batted balls over 100 mile per hour average exit velocity in this one. And he's 49% rostered. Michael Harris or Alec Thomas, another fun outfield prospect who's been solid so far. Two 70, batting average, five homers, two steals over his first 34 games here. And both players are under 60% rostered. So Scott, we'll start with you. Would you rather have Michael Harris or Alec Thomas? I'd rather have Harris.
Starting point is 00:23:36 I think, you know, since he made that swing adjustment lowering his hands, he's, uh, I think he's shown more upside than Thomas. But I don't know that either are quite like in the must start range yet. Harris's you know you look at Harris's stat cast page it's still pretty uninspiring
Starting point is 00:24:00 now I'm wondering how much the exit velocity has improved since he made that change which roughly coincides with once he since he heated up I probably should have looked that up before the show because I don't think I can look it up on the fly here
Starting point is 00:24:15 but like you mentioned today he had three balls hit 100 miles per hour or harder and I think feel like we've heard that a lot with him lately
Starting point is 00:24:28 a lot of high quality contact events from Michael Harris. Groundball rate is still way too high. Again, I wonder how much that's changed since he made the swing change. But you know, we've seen a steal a couple of bases. Now back-to-back days with the home run.
Starting point is 00:24:46 The strikeout rate is respectable for a rookie. And you know, I think we're to the point now where I'm sure he's a lot more available than Thomas, right? Michael Harris is 49% and Alec Thomas is 58. So it's pretty close. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:25:07 Okay. So it at least should be about even between them. All right. Fair enough, Chris, what do you think? Michael Harris versus Alec Thomas. I think there are a lot of similarities so far. They both hit a lot of ground balls. They're both very fast.
Starting point is 00:25:18 Obviously, Harris's lineup is better, but Thomas makes more contact. So there's a little give and take for each. of them, which one would you rather have? I think I'd rather have Thomas by a hair, but I think I'd rather just have both, especially in a five outfielder league. Like if they're both out there in one of my leagues, you know, anybody who's got 20, 20, potential, which I think both of them, you know, in a best case scenario, could. I'll take them on my team and just, you know, figure it out later.
Starting point is 00:25:49 Yep. All right. Fair enough. In shallow leagues, I have another one here in the outfield. Andrew Vaughn or Christopher Morel, who we've been hyping up recently. Both are right around 72, 73% rostered. Andrew Vaughn had a big game on Tuesday where he went 4 for 4. He's now batting 308 with an 843 OPS.
Starting point is 00:26:08 But it's kind of empty. He's got six home runs. Can we depend on him for a little bit more power? I'm not so sure. Obviously, he's still young and he can grow into that power eventually, but there's not really anything in the underlying numbers that support Andrew Vaughn hitting for more power now, at least. Chris, if you play in shallower leagues, let's say, you know, three outfielder leagues,
Starting point is 00:26:27 uh, Andrew Vaughn or Christopher Morel, who do you like more? This might be a points versus roto thing because I do think Vaughn, you know, he's going to strike out less. He's probably going to have, he's definitely going to have fewer stolen bases. So I think it might just be Vaughn in a points league, morale and a roto league. Morel is also, is he second base eligible? Yep. Yeah, second and third base eligible, I think.
Starting point is 00:26:55 So, more than that. The second and outfield. Just second. Okay. Yeah. But, you know, if you have to pick between one of them, that might be enough of a tiebreaker. But I'm pretty, I'm pretty happy with what we've seen from Andrew Vaughn so far. I mean, consider the hype that was around him last season.
Starting point is 00:27:14 And consider the fact that he's now got an 843 OPS in a way that doesn't seem particularly fluky. I mean, he's overperforming his expected stats a little bit, but within that, there's the potential for him to hit for more power than he has been so far.
Starting point is 00:27:32 So, I don't know, I still want to have Vaughn around. Fair enough, Scott. Vaughn versus Morel. You know, I might lean Morel and Roto because there's stolen base potential there, and it seems like plus stolen base potential, not just, oh, I'm going to give you
Starting point is 00:27:49 a handful of stolen bases. You could give you a lot of steals. If he keeps the job, which is a big if. By the way, I had a chance to look up Harris, the bat at ball metrics. Over the past week, anyway, they are significantly better. I would imagine after today's game up over 90 miles per hour on the average exit velocity and the launch angle has about doubled. So it's just a week, but he's been in the majors all of what?
Starting point is 00:28:18 Three weeks? We don't have to spend too much time on this one, but for our 15 team leagues out there, no more Mazara, quietly hitting 3.44, he had two more hits on Tuesday, and Orlando Arcia, who will now be filling in for Ozzy Albies with the Braves, he hit his second home run.
Starting point is 00:28:37 He's betting 327, only 61 plate appearances, 94 mile per hour average exit velocity. I thought that was very interesting. Scott, deeper leagues, Mizarra or Orlando Arcia. That's how you know the Braves are going. Well, they lose their All-Star second baseman, and the guy who replaces them immediately comes in and has a big game.
Starting point is 00:28:58 You know, I am kind of interested in Arcia. Mazara did have good numbers at AAA. He's come up and hit mostly just singles so far, which was kind of his M-O during previous stints in the majors. Arcea, you know, he's had multiple years where he's been a major league starter and contributed. basically nothing too. Now, he did hit 17 home runs in about half a seasons at Bats at AAA last year,
Starting point is 00:29:25 which was interesting. And you point out his stack has numbers this year, obviously over a very small sample. But I think just maybe for longevity reasons, since, you know, obviously he's going to be in the lineup for a couple months, the Braves really have no other choice. And eligibility reasons and being multi-eligible. I think I might opt for Arcia over Mazara.
Starting point is 00:29:52 All right, Chris. What do you think? Arcia versus Mazara, deeper leagues? Yeah, I would go with Arcia. Mazar is like young Eric Cosmer. That might be too generous to him. You know, it's crazy? I think Mizarra is just like 27 years old.
Starting point is 00:30:08 It just feels like he's been around for like two decades now. Just, yeah. He was a guy fantasy analyst couldn't quit on. No, he just kept, like, he kept not doing, like, he had the 100 RBI season, but, like, yeah, he just kept being, like, the 80th player drafted for, like, four years in a row, and it never worked out. No, it did not. All right, so we're taking Orlando Arcia over Nomar Mazar. Before we hit the break, just remind everybody that if you are listening to us on Spotify, you can drop a five-star rating, much appreciated. If you're listening on Apple, you could do the same thing.
Starting point is 00:30:45 You can drop a question in the Apple podcast review. or a team name Tuesday, and we will read it on an upcoming podcast. Let's take a break, and we'll be back right after this. The news and notes, Fernando Tatsis's CT scan on his wrist Monday didn't reveal the desired level of healing, so his expected return date has been pushed back. He's been limited to running and fielding grounders, but alas remains without a timetable. So not great for our guy Fernando Tatis. Max Scher will throw a simulated game on 3rd,
Starting point is 00:31:18 His oblique injury is reportedly feeling better following a recent PRP injection. So, uh, all right, we could be a... Love that platelet rich plasma. Yeah. It's my favorite kind of plasma. Can't get enough of it. I drink a glass before bed every night. Ah, you sure you want to do that, Chris?
Starting point is 00:31:35 Uh, Jacob de Grombe, his teammate. Morbin time. Jacob de Grom will progress to in, uh, quote, up and down, a bullpen session. I truly have no idea what that means. I would assume that's to simulate, like, an inning and then an inning. Yeah, yeah. So it's more to...
Starting point is 00:31:51 He's behind Scherzer is what I saw today. Yeah, basically. Isn't this like... Isn't Scher ramping up much earlier than expected? It doesn't feel like he's been gone that long. It does feel like that, yeah. It's because of that PRP, like,
Starting point is 00:32:04 I don't know. The first thing I heard of it was today, and it's like, oh, he's feeling all better because he got this PRP injection. Take PRP, your BRB. Let's hope so. I've got that slurp juice. I need...
Starting point is 00:32:17 What did you just say? It's an internet joke. Yeah, you know me. I try to stay off the internet as much as possible. Jack Flaherty will make his season debut on Wednesday against the Pirates. He's made two rehab starts, but has only been built up to 58 pitches. I would imagine they're pretty cautious early on here. So maybe we get like 70, 75 pitches.
Starting point is 00:32:40 Yeah, the note I saw was that he says he feels better and his pitches are better than they've been in like the last couple of years and that was why they decided to bring them up quicker than expected. So that's a good sign. Sure is. I wish they told us before the week started so we can get him in the lineup against the pirates. He's also said he had a chance to work through some like mechanical issues that had sprung up last year when he was dealing with whatever injury he was dealing with then. Jack Flaherty by the way. I think it was an oblique last year for Flaherty that kept him out for like two months. And then when he came back, he was like a shell of himself. Brandon Woodrow. He said during the off season, this thing was like, sorry, Frank.
Starting point is 00:33:22 It's all good. But that the... Clarity says a lot of things. The show, I mean, he does have a tendency to say things. But in this particular instance, he said that the shoulder this spring was a result of changing his mechanics because of the Ovalique, I believe. Oh, and one more. Sorry. It would not surprise me. Brandon Woodruff was able to throw a few breaking balls during a 40 pitch bullpen session on Tuesday. Woodruff recently felt numbness in his fingers associated with Raynod's syndrome, and he said he's been on medicine and has noticed daily improvement with gripping the ball.
Starting point is 00:33:56 So it's still pretty scary for Brandon Woodruff. Fingers crossed. Yeah, some good news there. Liam Hendricks was placed on the I.O. with a right forearm strain, which sounds pretty concerning. Yesterday, they said it was arm stiffness, but it turns out to be a forearm injury. Kendall Graveman looks like the next man up and is just 15. percent rostered. Scott,
Starting point is 00:34:18 how does Graveman stack up against Tanner Scott, Tanner Hauk, and even Diego Castillo, who's getting saves recently for
Starting point is 00:34:25 the Mariners? Well, first I want to point out that the White Sucks did say initial timetable is three weeks.
Starting point is 00:34:34 I could see how it could end up getting extended from there with a forearm strain. But they said it doesn't
Starting point is 00:34:42 sound all that grave, man. Yeah, That is what they said. So, you know, if it's, you know, if we do it was a six to eight week injury, I might go Graveman. I had to most of these guys. But because they're at least making it out to be a short-term injury, I think I would take both Tanner Scott, who got another save here on Tuesday and Tanner Hauk over Graveman. All right.
Starting point is 00:35:13 Fair enough. Chris, you're on fire today, by the way. so keep it up. Gold star for you. Ozzy Albies was placed on the 60-day IL with the fractured left foot. A timeline won't become available until a decision is made
Starting point is 00:35:24 regarding surgery. Tim Anderson began a rehab assignment on Tuesday and should rejoin the White Sox at some point during their upcoming homestand, which begins on June 20th. Pablo Lopez will not start on Wednesday as originally hoped and remains day-to-day with a risk contusion.
Starting point is 00:35:41 The hope is for him to make a start this weekend against the Met. Chris Sale will throw live batting practice practices or simulated games during the Red Sox's homestand through June 22nd before potentially heading out on a minor league rehab assignment. He had a wild quote in talking about the health scare that delayed his recovery. I believe the quote was something like, but thankfully I made it through, or if you ask some people, I guess not so thankfully. it was a really weird quote
Starting point is 00:36:17 implying that some people wish Chris Sale was not healthy it was a bizarre Chris Sale also be saying things Yeah who would not want him healthy Who's he talking about? I don't know He's got kind of like a persecution complex I feel like
Starting point is 00:36:33 Alright Yeah I know he had like the chip on his shoulder Yeah Several didn't he cut up jerseys I don't know five six years ago something crazy like that. Yeah, yeah. Because they wouldn't allow,
Starting point is 00:36:47 oh no, that was a different. He wanted to be traded because they wouldn't allow Adam LaRoche's son Drake to hang out in their locker room. Also another classic Chris Sale. Very weird. Anyway, the Red Sox pitching coach
Starting point is 00:36:58 Dave Bush said, ideally sale will be back as a starter. Freddie Peralto was transferred to the 60-day IL, which ensures he will be sidelined through the All-Star break. Juan Soto out of the lineup with right knee-sorness,
Starting point is 00:37:10 but expects to return on Wednesday. Jeremy Pena out of the lineup after suffering a left wrist injury on Monday. He's day to day. Trey Mancini is dealing with a right hand injury, hopes to return in the next two to three days. Sunny Gray will make his return on Wednesday, start against the Mariners. Steven Strasberg placed on a 15-day IL Monday, and it turns out he's dealing with a stress reaction of his ribs. Junjun Riu will undergo season-ending surgery to address UCL damage in his left elbow. Another case of a guy whose production mysteriously fades, and we don't know why.
Starting point is 00:37:46 And then all of a sudden he's having Tommy John. It happens a lot. It is concerning. Weird. All right, let's fire up the Worryometer, get through some of these names, and a few hitters. We keep getting questions about. Jesse Winker went, he's batting 208, which is four home runs on the season, a 622 OPS, more flyballs and infield fly balls. the hard contact is down quite a bit for Jesse Winker.
Starting point is 00:38:12 Scott, where are you at? The Wauriometer on Winker. Maybe consider dropping him anywhere. Yeah. I'd consider dropping them in any three outfielder league, I would say. Worryometer, I'll go nine. Pretty high. Damn.
Starting point is 00:38:29 All right, fair enough. Yeah. I don't disagree, but I also feel like he's going to, like, it feels like his swing is just a little bit out of whack. Like, he's just hitting a lot more. fly a lot more balls in the air, a lot more pop-ups in a way that like, I feel like he's probably just a tweak away. Yeah, new team, new league. Take obviously a pretty big adjustment period, but as we talked about in the preseason
Starting point is 00:38:51 when talking about him, he's a guy who very easily could get sat against lefties permanently, in which case would limit his opportunities to turn things around as well. So I don't get it, Chris. Are you worried about him or not worried about it? Yes. Okay, Alex Brayman. sounds like a solid five. Yeah. Chris right there, a little flip-flop right in the middle.
Starting point is 00:39:12 If I have him, but trying to buy. Okay. If I don't. Alex Breggman, are we looking to buy him? He's batting 2-18 with six home runs. He does have more walks and strikeouts, which you like to see in OBP and Points League formats. But it seems like he's trying to hit the ball in the air more,
Starting point is 00:39:30 maybe trying to make up for his lack of hard contact by just volume, putting the ball in the air. a lot, but he hasn't been great. Chris, what do you think? Worryometer on Alex Breggman. This is another one where I'm worried-ish, but still looking to buy, because I do think, like, his barrel rates up higher than it's been since 2018. It's still not exceptional, but it's still pretty good. You know, he's still pulling the ball a lot, which given his limited power is, I think, a good thing. So all in all, I think Alex Bregman's going to be better than he has been.
Starting point is 00:40:12 He's not going to be a superstar, though. I feel pretty confident in saying that. Since the start of the shortened 2020 season, he is batting 250 with a 764 OPS that was entering Tuesday's action. I don't know, Scott. Maybe I'm overreacting. Maybe this is unfair to say. Bregman kind of feels jaggy.
Starting point is 00:40:34 Kind of feels like he's just a guy now. Well, what is worrying about Alex Bregman look like? It's not like he was a second round pick this year. He was like a seventh round pick this year. People were relying on him to be their starting third baseman. And I think from that perspective. And I think they still should. I think he's clearly one of the top seven or eight at the position,
Starting point is 00:40:57 even though his numbers since April have been pretty bad. His plate discipline, like he is, like Chase, rate, 100%. He's the best chase rate guy in baseball. And that's still, like, it's so superlative that, you know, even if he's a 15 to 20 homer guy now, I think, I think it's going to play up. Obviously, deep lineup, all of that. I think he's fine. I'll go like four on the Worryometer for Bregman, and that's somebody I'd definitely be willing to buy on. All right. Let's move over to Adley Ruchman, who has not done much, as we've seen with many prospects who get the call. and he's batting 176.
Starting point is 00:41:39 He's got zero homers through his first 20 games. Is hitting a lot of line drives and hitting the ball decently hard. Scott, what do you think? Wariometer on Ruchman. Well, from a dynasty perspective, zero. Let's address that first. I haven't been motivated to move him down in my rankings from 7th where I initially slotted him the catcher when he got called up.
Starting point is 00:42:04 I think maybe I moved Alejandro Kirk past him since then. but yeah I mean I still think he's going to just I mean you look at the bad at ball metrics like it's hard to see him not becoming a top 10 guy rest of way where does he fit in with other guys like MJ Melendez and Mitch Garver who's sure to come back from his I else stint soon
Starting point is 00:42:31 and I don't know who's somebody else he got the Braves duo where does he fit in with them I mean, I could, I could, if one of them's out there, I could understand dropping Rushman for them, but I personally don't think I would do it. All right. Let's move over to Trevor Rogers. You will get Trevor Rogers, Chris. I swear it's not a Marlins thing.
Starting point is 00:42:52 But he failed to complete four innings for the third time this season, I believe. Yeah, third time. And he gave up four runs over three and two thirds. He had six walks at the Phillies. Just really did not have anything. 18% CSW overall. It's quite bad for Trevor Rogers. The nightmare season continues.
Starting point is 00:43:11 So let's switch over to the dropometer. Chris, one to 10. 10 being he's absolutely droppable anywhere. What do you think about Trevor Rogers in season long leagues? I think he's probably like a seven or eight on the dropometer. I've wanted to remain optimistic about him because I still believe in the stuff. But it just hasn't been effective. It's hard because if you look at the, you know, a lot of the underlying stuff metrics still look the same.
Starting point is 00:43:43 Like the velocity is pretty much what it was last season. The spin rate largely the same. Extension. You know, release point is, I think mostly similar. I think I did see there were some changes in his release point, his fastball movement profile has changed a little bit. But like he doesn't look like a terribly different pitcher than he did last season. I still think there's room for him to figure something out, but there's just nothing to be optimistic about right now
Starting point is 00:44:14 besides the fact that he was good last season. I mean, I was pretty bummed. I was getting optimistic. I actually wrote kind of a starting pitcher stockwatch piece that went up on Tuesday. And I had Trevor Rogers as one of the risers because I looked at the two starts. last three starts, the middle one was at course field.
Starting point is 00:44:38 Took that out because of course field and it was bad. But the other two starts, his change-up was playing a lot more like it did last year. He actually had a 50% whiff rate on the change-up in his most, and the start prior to this one. And that was the pitch that just wasn't right for him at the start of the year. It's supposed to be his best pitch and it wasn't doing much early on. It was back to not doing anything in this start.
Starting point is 00:45:02 He got one swinging strike on. it. And so my faith is, is diminished. He's, he's already been dropped in a lot of leagues. I wouldn't blame anybody for dropping him in anything shallower than 15 teams at this point. It's probably up there with Winker as a maybe like an eight on the Worryometer. Yeah, his, so what I was looking at, I saw somebody references on Twitter. I can't remember who it was. I'm sorry, but, um, his release point has, has been steadily dropping since last season. And so, you know, there could be something there.
Starting point is 00:45:42 Like, it's the kind of thing where I think there could be just like a small tweak that could help him figure it out. But it's just not there right now. The last one on the list is a reliever. Corey Canable entered in a one run game and he was charged with three unearned runs. He takes his fourth blown save and fifth lost,
Starting point is 00:46:03 The ninth inning actually started with an error made by Alec Bohm. Two more walks allowed by Corey Canable. His walks per nine, 5.8 so far this season. He's been, you know, the ERA has been fortunate. Still low threes, but overall, I don't know. Kind of worried. Scott, what do you think? 1 to 10, Corey Canable. I mean, you get a start like this, the ERA didn't go up at all.
Starting point is 00:46:24 It actually went down because of that error. That's fair. But clearly, Canable didn't pitch well. And I would say worryometer for him is probably like an aid as well. Sir Anthony Dominguez, I think, is the top prospective closer to pick up and stash. Now, he allowed a home run in this game himself,
Starting point is 00:46:45 actually blew the lead on it, but his overall numbers have been incredible. And he has closing experience. Got 16 saves in 2018. All right. Would you, Scott, would you drop Corey Knable for any of the names we mentioned earlier, like either of the Tanners,
Starting point is 00:47:02 maybe Kendall Graveman. No. No. No. I mean, there's a certain amount of volatility baked in at closer. So even though Kenebel looks like he's on the rocks right now, I mean, Tanner Scott is on the rocks too, you know? Yeah. So I stick with Knebel.
Starting point is 00:47:20 All right. Let's move into some leftovers from Tuesday's action. Light Night for Waver Wire pitchers, but a few names that stood out to me. I don't think there's anything here yet. But I'll point out that Kyle Hendricks had 14 swinging strikes on. 78 pitches over five innings pitch against the Padres and he threw his change up a season high
Starting point is 00:47:38 40% and it's far and away his best whiff pitch so just something to watch for now. 61% rostered is Kyle Hendricks. Some other names, Dane Dunning gets back on track with a scoreless outing against the Astros. Six shutout innings with four strikeouts there and then Zach Davies.
Starting point is 00:47:55 That's right. That's Zach Davies. He has now tossed three quality starts in a row. He goes seven shutout with seven strikeouts to zero walks. His E.R. way down to 3.78. Chris, what do you think about these three names? Kyle Hendricks, Dane Dunning, Zach Dvys. Yeah, we've seen a handful of starts from Hendricks this season where he's throwing the change up more and gotten whiffs with it, but it hasn't been a consistent thing and his control just hasn't been very good this season. So I'm still largely fading. You know,
Starting point is 00:48:25 I think even 61% rostered is probably too high. So, yeah, and I think he's the most interested. of this group. There's some interesting things about Dunning with the ground ball rate, but I just don't think it gets enough swing and misses. Yeah, I like the slider change up, the two secondaries for Dane Dunning, but his fast pole is just so soft. I think it's like 88, 89 miles per hour. I just, I don't think there's enough there for him to overcome that. Some pitching bouncebacks. Go ahead. I think Kyle Hendricks basically is to bring up the third one. I think Kyle Hendricks basically is Zach Davies now. That's kind of, the Spider-Man meme.
Starting point is 00:49:03 They'll occasionally have games where their change-up looks like a world beater and they get a lot of whiffs with it. But usually not. That's where both of them are right now. Hey, all I'm asking for is three, four good starts in a row from Kyle Hendricks. And then maybe I could flip him for something in the Scott White Dynasty League. That's all I need. Three or four starts from Kyle Hendricks.
Starting point is 00:49:26 See what happens. Pitching bounce backs off of recent rough starts. Garrett Cole back on track after allowing five homers in his pre-year-old. previous start. He goes six shutout with seven strikeouts against the Tampa Bay Rays. Dylan C's five innings of one run ball with eight strikeouts, only one walk. That was his second start the season with one walk or fewer. And then Chris Bassett, a huge start against the Brewers, eight shutout innings, three hits, one walk, seven strikeouts. I hope you left him in there for the two-star week. Both of our guys told you to do
Starting point is 00:49:56 that on last week's Friday podcast. Scott, what do you think about? I had him as a must start in my two-star pitcher ranking. and somebody called me out for it on Twitter. Well, you called it out now. Random guy on Twitter. Take that. Let him get under my skin. First name, bunch of numbers.
Starting point is 00:50:12 Yeah. Listen to Scott. Don't listen to me because I benched him in the podcast points league. Well, here's the thing. Three of four quality starts now for Bassett. He did have two really bad starts. So if you look at, like if you just do a monthly breakdown at Bassett, oh, look at that terrible NAA, oh, look at that terrible June ERA.
Starting point is 00:50:30 It's basically the fault of two starts. So, you know, he actually has a career best swinging strike rate, a career best ex-fip. Granted, neither are very good, but that's kind of the point. Like, they've never been good for Chris Bassett. And look at the kind of pitcher he's been the past couple years. Yeah, fair enough on Chris Bassett. I did want to point out, Zach Ethlyn was also a two-star pitcher this week, and he got off to a very rough start against the Marlins.
Starting point is 00:50:59 and then he settled down. I think it was six innings, four runs. I will just mention the Marlins against right-handed pitching this season, sixth best weighted on base average. So they're not as bad as they have been in years past. I'm pretty sure that they are awful against lefties.
Starting point is 00:51:15 Like the worst. The worst in baseball against lefties. Keep sitting jazz chisholm though. That'll fix it. Right. Also, Gary Cooper, I don't know if we've mentioned him on the podcast. He's pretty good.
Starting point is 00:51:27 He's been awesome. Yeah. He's probably under- under-rastered. Yeah, I think I saw that. I think it's... He's in like the 30% range.
Starting point is 00:51:37 Sub-30? Yeah, it was something like that. It is... He's got 840 OPS. And the underlying numbers are very good. 33% roster for Gary Cooper. He's first and outfield eligible. All right, a few other pitching leftovers.
Starting point is 00:51:52 Let's kind of just run through these. Corey Klobber continues to be serviceable. Six innings of two-run ball there, Both runs were unearned. Nick Povetta continues this awesome stretch that he's on right now. Eight innings of one-run ball, his last eight starts. He's got a 1.83 ERA. I'm not exactly sure how he's doing it, but he's doing it.
Starting point is 00:52:10 That's Nick Povetta. Joe Ryan made his return to the map. Sell for whatever you can get. Joe Ryan made his return. He gave up four runs over four and two-thirds. He also allowed two home runs in a start for the first time the season. Logan Gilbert on the other side. He made it six straight quality starts.
Starting point is 00:52:27 He goes six shutout with six strikeouts. Chris, anything to add outside of Selnick Povetta? Yes, Selnick Povetta. And Logan Gilbert, it's so weird because he just doesn't really get a lot of swings and misses. And we've talked about this in the past. So he's got this pretty pedestrian swinging strike rate. It's gone up a lot lately for Gilbert. That was another guy I wrote about my pitcher stockwatch piece.
Starting point is 00:52:55 he's kind of started introducing a curve ball and it's not a very effective pitch on its own but it's made the slider more effective the way he's playing off of them. Yeah, he had a 36% whiff rate with the slider today which is pretty good but the thing with him is he's
Starting point is 00:53:15 he gets a lot of foul balls and this is something that I've talked about with him where he has this like middling swinging strike rate and middling CSW but he gets a lot of strikes that way in a way that could be sustainable. All right, fair enough, that is Logan Gilbert, and let's move into some hitting leftovers.
Starting point is 00:53:38 Wilson Contreras, a double dong, two more home runs for him. I believe he's now up to 11 homers. Should Wilson Contreras be our number one ranked catcher? I guess it's similar to like Goldschmidt and Freddie Freeman, but I've thought about it, Contreras versus Salvador Perez. What do you think? I think it ultimately comes down to how much you believe in Salvador Perez.
Starting point is 00:54:00 I still have a lot of confidence in him being closer to the guy we saw last year than not. And, you know, since he complained about his thumb the other day, his production has, he's picked it up at the plate again. So, no, I am not ready to bail on Salvador Perez. and that's what moving Wilson Contreras over him would suggest. So I'm fine with Contreras number two, but I'll still take Perez over him. What was that, Chris? I've got him number two, but yeah, number one, I don't know. He's going to slow down at some point, but he kind of looks like Salvador Perez did last year.
Starting point is 00:54:39 Like the underlying numbers are really, really good for Wilson Contreras, along with, obviously, the 954 OPS, but he's 99th percentile in. max exevalo hard hit rate 97th and average exevalo like he's he looks like the way he's hitting right now is an elite hitter i don't think he can keep it up but very impressive the universal dh has helped him it's also a contract year so i respect it get paid wilson contraris rees hoskins went four for five with a double dong added six rbi he is heating up in june 354 batting average five homers 12 rbi and 1196 ops 12 June games for Reese Hoskins. Raphael Devers hit his 15th home run.
Starting point is 00:55:23 Matt Chapman went two for four, hit his eighth homer. Gabriel Moreno, we'll take this for sure, three for four with two RBI. He's 56% rostered if you lost Tyler Stevenson and need a catcher. Ryan Malkassel went three for five with two doubles and hit his 10th home run. He's doing some interesting things, too.
Starting point is 00:55:41 28% line drive rate, career high, 92 mile per hour average exit velocity, and also a career high 13.9% barrel rate, which I assume will go up after Tuesday's action. Scott, I know that we were all kind of collectively skeptical on Ryan Malkassel, but what do you think about this start to season, I guess? Well, the batted ball profile has improved quite a bit from a year ago. In fact, stat cast suggests he should be an absolute monster.
Starting point is 00:56:12 That's how Hardy's impacting the ball. His expected stats are 3.10 for the batting average. average 577 for this lugging percentage. And obviously the actual stats are nowhere near that. The actual stats are pretty much in line with last year. So I wonder how much of that has to do with the changed environment. Obviously, the change dimensions also in his home park. I can both have a lot to do with it.
Starting point is 00:56:34 Yeah. So, you know, I may be wrong about Ryan Mountcastle being a bust because of those factors. Because like he may have improved to the point that he can actually live up to those numbers. I still say, kind of like Chris was saying, for Contreras, it's more likely he just kind of cools off from here with exit velocity and hard hit rate. That's the thing that concerns me. Yeah. All right. Is that the numbers look like they did last year, and I don't buy the underlying numbers.
Starting point is 00:57:05 That is Ryan Malkassal. A.J. Pollack now has six straight multi-hit games, just not really any power during that stretch. Jake Cronoweth went three for four on Tuesday, and in the, month of June, he's betting 340 with three homers, five doubles, 18 RBI, and 14 games. So you like to see that for a Krono Worth. Tommy Admin went three for five in game two with his seventh home run. And another win for the Braves, as I mentioned earlier, five homers, one from Michael Harris, one from Orlando Arcia, but also Ozuna, Swanson, and Travis Darno also got in on the action. The call to the bullpen will start with the Yankees.
Starting point is 00:57:44 Clay Holmes struck out two for his 10th save. The Astros, Ryan Presley gave up two hits, but picked up his 12th save. For the Marlins, Tanner Scott allowed a hit, picked up his fifth save. He's 29% rostered. For the Orioles, Jorge Lopez recorded the final five outs for his ninth save. He's 57% rostered. There's a good amount of relievers that can provide saves on the waiver wire, or at least it seems that way.
Starting point is 00:58:11 For Cleveland, Emmanuel Class A picks up his 12th. save of the season. Cincinnati was just an absolute mess following Tyler Malley. It was Alexis Diaz and Luis Sessa each blew the save and then someone named Joel Cunel
Starting point is 00:58:27 picks up his first save of the season. But that's interesting that now well I guess not back to back appearance because that Hunter Strickland save when Alexis Diaz wasn't available but we saw
Starting point is 00:58:43 my point is Alexis Diaz, we saw him handled like a closer on Sunday, I believe it was. And he got the save. He gave up a couple runs, but he got the save. And then we saw him used as a closer here on Tuesday when he was rested enough to be used as a closer again. I'm not sure I have those dates exactly right. There was a Hunter Strickland save in between when Diaz wasn't available. But the point is,
Starting point is 00:59:08 seems like maybe the Reds are leaning toward Diaz in that role. Of course, he has to get the job done for that to keep happening. Yeah, I think he's been their best reliever all season. Oh, clearly. I mean, even with this outing, 2.40 ERA, nearly a 16% swinging strike rate. He does walk too many. This is Alexis Diaz and fly ball pitcher, so not the best combination for a closer, but he's got good stuff. It was just the one ghost runner that he allowed in, right?
Starting point is 00:59:36 Right, yeah. So I would expect a manager wouldn't hold that against him, but it could be wrong. about that. You never know with the Reds. The San Francisco Giants, Camillo DeVal, picked up his ninth save and he has now pitched a ninth inning two days in a row. So, boom, Kapler, take that. To stream or not to stream, let's start with Wednesday. Kyle Gibson versus the Marlins, Alex Fayetteau versus the White Sox, Spencer Strider. I feel like we've talked about Spencer Strider like three days in a row. Maybe we have. Yeah, he's way under rostered. Spencer Striders at Washington. Rich Hill versus the A's.
Starting point is 01:00:12 Andre Palante will not be starting, so forget about him. And Roanzi Contreras at the Cardinals. Spencer Strider. Yeah. Strider's the clear outlier. Yeah. Yeah. But I'd be fine with Kyle Gibson or Alex Fayetteau, too.
Starting point is 01:00:26 I don't know. Scott, those Marlins, they're hitting the righty as well. All right. And then Thursday, here's my analysis. Skip Thursday. There's nothing on Thursday. Scott's hide. So we're going to wrap that.
Starting point is 01:00:40 For Scott and Chris, I am Frank. listening and watching fantasy baseball today. We'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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