Fantasy Baseball Today - MLB Draft Breakdown with Chris Welsh! (7/19 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)
Episode Date: July 19, 2022If you support the show, please nominate Fantasy Baseball Today for The People's Choice Podcast Awards in the "Sports" Category: https://www.podcastawards.com/app/signup/ Chris Welsh joins the show t...o give his top 12 for first-year player drafts and talk MLB draft big questions. Jackson Holliday was the No. 1 pick to the Orioles, but he probably shouldn't be the No. 1 pick in your Dynasty draft. How far does he fall? Where do Druw Jones and Termarr Johnson rank among all prospects before they've even played a game? You can check out Chris Welsh's full prospect and Dynasty coverage here on the In This League Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/itlarmy Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts. Get 20% off Fantasy Baseball Today merch: https://store.cbssports.com/collections/fantasy-baseball-today?utm_source=podcast-apple-com&utm_medium=web&utm_campaign=buy-our-merch&utm_content=fantasy-baseball-collection Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports.
Got a fantasy question?
Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com.
Get ready to win your lead.
With fantasy!
Now here's Frank Scott and Chris.
Hey, what's up, everybody?
We've got the home run derby on live in the background,
and I'm chatting with Chris Welsh.
We're going to talk about the MLB draft,
which just wrapped up today.
It's done, right?
We're finished with the MLB draft.
No, we got a,
a whole other day. We got a day three coming up.
The second, 10 rounds are done.
I think we got 10 more rounds. Oh, it's 20 rounds now.
I was talking to someone earlier today.
There's so much that I have to keep track of that like I can't keep track of all the
the different rule changes. I thought it was 10 rounds now.
So it is 20 rounds.
They've changed it so many times.
It was like 50 rounds a while back.
A friend was drafted by the Phillies in like the 48th round like 15 years ago.
And then it was 40.
And then we went in COVID down to five and now we're back to 20.
It's just like a roll the dice.
and this is what it is per year.
And we've got Chris Welsh here from the In This League podcast at Is It the Welsh on Twitter?
If you want to go ahead and Chris, just let people know where they can find some of your prospect focus stuff because that's what we're going to be talking about today.
Yeah, Prospect One is probably the podcast that most people here would most likely care about.
Prospect One podcast, wherever podcasts are.
In ThisLeague.com is the Patreon where I curate a top 500 dynasty prospect list.
I've got a actual dynasty list and then a list just 400, a 500 prospect list, a whole bunch of stuff in between.
And obviously with this last draft, I am putting together all of the draft prospects that are going to be on it.
And the in this league fantasy baseball podcast as well if people want to check out the stuff.
I'm on a lot of places, Chris.
It's the Chris and Chris show here today.
You got a lot of things going on, a lot of pots on the fire, as they say.
And I do have to, we're going to talk about the MLB draft and just kind of, you know, got some high level questions.
start with.
And then we'll go through some of the,
the most interesting players that you need to know about,
break those guys down.
But I do need to start with one high level question because it's
certainly how I felt and I need to know,
is this the first draft that made you feel ancient in MLB?
Ooh, not the,
okay,
so that's a great question.
It's not the first that made me feel ancient because we've had like,
you know,
we've been having some of these guys.
I grew up love,
not that this was the draft,
by the way,
but I grew up loving like Vladimir Guerrero,
senior and then you get Vladimir Guerrero Jr. coming in and signing internationally. And we've
been starting to have that. But to what your whole point is here is to be like, oh my God, this isn't
just like a guy we grew up with when we were really, really younger like it was for, you know,
Vlad and Vlad and Vlad Jr. again, not the draft. But like Matt Holliday feels like five years
ago, I could have thrown a rock and Matt Holliday was so gone. And his son was out there.
Matt Holiday hasn't even been eligible for the Hall of Fame yet. I'm pretty sure. I don't think so.
So to your point, like, yeah, I super felt old.
I would tell you not so much the names made me feel old, but looking at Jackson Holiday.
You know the thing that happens when you get older?
Like when you're younger, anybody like 25 or older looks ancient.
You're like, ooh, gross.
And then as you get older, like the youth progressively looks so young.
And you see 25-year-olds, you're like, oh, my God, what are you?
11?
That's a child.
Yeah, this is a child.
Jackson Holiday blew my mind because that is the youngest-looking person I've ever.
ever seen on any draft room board or anything like that.
Drew, I mean, Drew Jones kind of did as well.
But yeah, yeah, I mean, it's a little bit ancient, especially when like these guys could
be our kids.
It's a little rough.
Yeah, yeah.
Jackson holiday, Andrew Jones, or Matt, Matt,
holiday son, Andrew Jones's son were the first two picks in this year's M will be
drafting.
Actually, you know, I've wondered like the Blue Jays famously have, you know,
Kevin Bigio and then Boba Chet and Vladimir Guerrero.
I think they had Jeff Conine's son, Griffin Conan at one point in their organization.
I think, did they have like,
Mark Grudzalonic son or someone at like they had another like they had somebody else and now I'm
drawing a blank too. They really seem to be like a team philosophical thing. Yeah and it makes
sense. You know, these kids grow up in you know they've got the genetics going for them but
they also have the the environment that they're growing up in. They're growing up with with money and
access to to the best training and they're just hanging out in baseball clubhouses. I mean there was a
great story that came out. I saw about Jackson Hawley.
Holiday when he was, when Matt Holiday, I think was with the Cardinals and they were talking to
some of the guys who were on that team back when Jackson Holiday was like three or four years old.
And the guys were talking about like, yeah, he's going to be the, he's going to be a major
leaker.
Like these, the players were already predicted.
They could already see it.
They could already see it.
You know, it makes me think of what you're saying too, which is really interesting
about maybe the valuation.
I don't know if you followed this story.
You're a Marlins fan, aren't you?
Yeah.
Yeah.
So you might have followed this story.
Khalil Watson, who was drafted last year.
an insane crazy talent busted out early into the season power speed and then everything started
to kind of fall apart strikeouts were hovering over 40% and we all really didn't know what to do with it
well cluel watson of this really unfortunate incident a couple weeks ago where got some bad
strike calls got pissed off and then he like did like a bup up with a gun like thing with his
bat well the team like sent him home and you know they just kind of wash their hands of it
and there was a lot of rumors about him being traded and most recently Craig mish is at
actually reported who covers the Marlins extensively and probably the best,
had said that the team was sending him to AAA after the All-Star break
so he could learn how to be a professional.
So I'm just tying this in to say what you're talking about is
there is something to obviously talent and pedigree,
but the pedigree can lie into these guys that know how to act
and know how to be professionals.
And that's something that we're seeing more and more
than probably any other generation of third,
fourth generation of talent that has grown up around baseball, grown up in the limelight,
grown up with guys that have been and can relate into semi-social media and all of that,
that there's another range of talent that these guys can have that I don't know if it's ever
going to change like how people draft or anything like that. But this past draft, it's not just
Holiday and Drew Jones, Cam Collier, Lou Collier's son, Justin Crawford, Carl Crawford's son was taken
in the first round. I don't know why that one makes me feel older.
than Jackson Holiday and Andrew Jones.
Doesn't feel like he should have a kid.
Yeah, Carl Crawford feels like,
Andrew Jones was a 90s player to me.
You know,
Carl Crawford,
I feel like he was like a mid-2000s player.
Like,
I don't feel like,
it's like the Matt Holiday one.
It's just like the Matt Holiday one.
It's like,
are we,
we're at this point?
Like,
where I'm just waiting like,
okay,
is Ronald Acuna's kid
going to be coming up anytime soon?
It is very jarring and it's only going to get worse
for guys like you and I.
Yeah,
yeah,
this is,
I guess this is growing up,
as they say.
So,
something like that.
I have conditioned.
myself just a tiny bit though as I've been covering a lot of like rookie ball out I've been out
Arizona for quite a long time and I get you know these 17 18 year old guys that were either
drafted or come over internationally that at least I've conditioned myself just a tiny bit to be
able to process all of these really young guys and their and their talent and realize oh my god
this is a 17 year old kid that has got 100 million dollar talent that's playing here that is
something we all have to reckon with yeah I just the
the the year, the date of birth for Tamar Johnson being June 11th, 2004.
Well, there's some 2005s out there too.
Yeah, it really makes me feel old.
But we'll get to the specific names in a little while when we go over some of your first year player draft rankings.
But I want to, you know, kind of ask some other high level questions besides just ones that make us feel old and washed up.
So I guess the first one, are there any players in this draft you could see being especially fast rise
you know, potentially making an impact towards the end of this season.
We see that every couple of years.
You know, I was doing some research and the last guy to make the leap from the draft
to the majors without playing in the minors.
A little bit of a weird situation because it was in that 2020 season,
but Garrett Crochet came out with the White Sox,
didn't play in the minors, was making an impact in their bullpen in the second half of that season.
Mike Leak in 2009.
He didn't debut until 2010, but he didn't play in the minors.
So there have been a handful of,
those, but you kind of have to, you know, obviously we know you have to be patient when it comes
in the MLB draft. Is there anyone in this draft that might be a fast rider? I know this was a very
college heavy draft. I think I saw that 83% of the players drafted in the first 10 rounds were
college players, which was the most since 1992, I believe. Which is interesting because it was
lacking a lot of high-in college pitching talent and maybe some questionable middle round college
talent, I think, that was out there as well.
That's an interesting question.
Ben Joyce out of Tennessee,
who famously throws like 105 miles an hour,
everybody knows about him.
He went to the Angels.
I would tell you Ben Joyce,
if it was on a team that was going to compete.
If the Angels,
we really thought were going to be a competing team,
Ben Joyce would help that team tomorrow.
I mean,
they could literally put him in and close.
It's kind of hard to give,
what argument can you place that a guy that's
throwing 105 miles an hour can't immediately help you, even at some point.
So Ben Joyce would have been one of those.
The two, I don't think there's a guy that is going to jump because there were so many injuries.
Another one of those would have actually been a kid that the Diamondbacks drafted,
Landon Sims, who big power reliever, who started transition to be a starter.
I mean, we're talking like full on fastball slider, boom, boom, boom.
He would be a closer again, if the Diamondbacks were good and he had not had Tommy John surgery.
So I don't think there's a guy that pulls a crochet,
but the two closest guys that come to mind here,
and this one can be up for debate, but Kamar Rocker,
I think there's a chance that the Rangers could do what they did with Jack Lider
and what they did with Jack Lider, his former Vanderbilt teammate,
the year prior is they didn't let him do anything.
Actually, Jack Latter didn't even stay with the team.
I was at Complex all last year, and he was there once.
And actually, the one time I was there was during first pitch.
I'm standing there with Chris Blanche.
Blessing for Baseball Hq. Enosaurus, we're standing there and Chris Blessing taps me on the shoulder and says, hey, look behind you. And it's Al Leiter with Jack, both standing right behind us, just chopping it up talking. And that was a one time he was there the whole time. So they let him go train at Vanderbilt and they didn't have him pitch. And then they gave him aggressive assignment this year. I feel like Kumar, it could go one of those two ways. They do the same thing. He doesn't do anything the rest of this year. And then he gets an aggressive assignment. Or they throw him at AA immediately because of the independent.
he played in.
And this could be a guy that back half a next year could come up.
And the other one would be Jacob Berry, who I think you mentioned.
Craig Mish also talked about him and JJ Bladay,
maybe getting some time very shortly here after the break,
but that Jacob Barry's another one of those guys that could probably help
sooner rather than later.
And he's got a lot of like Kyle Schwerber comps in some of the ease of the swing
and the way he's just able to like upper trajectory his body.
But he doesn't strike out to the same degree.
And he's got some good walk.
So like those are the two that come to mine.
I'd also throw Brooks Lee and Kevin Prada as players that I wouldn't discount coming up soon, especially Brooks Lee.
I think that's more complete, you know, solid defender, complete bat.
He was competing with Zach Netto as the top shortstop, but Brooks Lee is just so much more polished.
So those would be like tier B of players after Kumar and Jacob Barry.
Yeah, Kumar Rocker, you know, famously the Mets signed him, picked him with the 10th overall pick
last season, I believe, and didn't sign him, didn't offer him a contract because there were
some red flags in the medicals. He ended up having shoulder surgery this offseason and pitched in five
games with the Frontier League and was dominant, which is what you would expect from an elite
prospect pitching in an independent league, 32 strikeouts and 20 innings. And yeah, it'll be interesting
to see because, you know, he really hasn't pitched much since the end of the 2021 college season.
Well, and his medicals, everybody was kind of saying his medicals still a little bit won.
not sharing everything.
And as I was told before the draft,
it was there's just two camps.
It was you absolutely love him
and you're comfortable with everything
or you're so out because everything's a mystery
and you can only deal with a discount.
And what the Rangers did was the Rangers told us
their game plan.
We're taking him three.
We're paying him $5 million and he is going to be
a front line starter.
Had he gone into the later rounds,
you can make the arguments
because there was a camp of people that said,
hey, listen, Kumar Rocker's a great talent,
but you got to put him in the bullpen
and just let him go immediately because that fastball slider change up combo can get you some
innings or get you a ninth inning right now.
But he didn't go to a team that he'd need to do that.
I mean, you go three overall with that type of money, with the connection of the Vanderbilt,
he is a starter.
So that's the thing that might hold him back just a tiny bit.
But Kumar and Jacob Berry would be my bet.
But I will say this.
There's probably a guy or two that we're not even thinking of that was maybe a second
or a compensatory round pick that might be floating out there
that a team could theoretically push.
I don't know if I could pinpoint exactly who it is.
There was a kid in Mizoraka,
Mizoraki, I think, with Milwaukee,
who has got 100 plus and a slider.
That is like Milwaukee's bread and butter,
but they don't necessarily push their guys really big.
But there's probably a second or third round pitcher
that gets pushed a little bit further,
but I would bet on Kumar and Jacob Berry.
Okay.
anybody else that we need to know about you know maybe for a more of a 2023 horizon or you know early
24 well okay so you definitely need to pay attention like i said to brooks lee that's one
kevin pirata you know i don't know how much we want to go into that later but you know everyone's
very concerned like oh my gosh kevin prada what about francisco alvarez and it's like yeah i guess i'll
ask that question now does that matter to you at all now a team a player being drafted like
need i guess would be the way you'd put it like the marlin
drafting Barry, a team that really needs offense right now. You know, if you listen to the FBT pod,
the Pirates just had like a 1-70 ERA among their starters against the Marlins. So yeah, that offense is
really a mess. Or the, the Mets taking Kevin Perada, already having, you know, arguably the top,
you know, one of the top prospects in all of baseball in Francisco Alvarez, who also plays catcher.
I don't think that matters. No, my argument would actually be kudos to the Mets because what they
did is they took the best available player. And they said,
it. I'm not, we're not going to worry about need or anything like that because in this,
in like baseball now, you need multiple catchers. You need flexibility with the DH, whether it's
an L or AL.L. You are at a huge advantage. The, the Giants said this couple years ago. They took Joey
Bart famously, a big bat. And then they took Patrick Bailey, a kid that hasn't come up yet,
who is an A plus defender. And everyone was like, whoa, what's going on? Well, guess what you have now?
You got a guy in Bart, who you love the bat, who can play some first, can now DH, and be your
secondary catcher and then you get your big defensive guy who could be your main
catcher i think this is a situation where kevin prada can be the main guy and alvers
has been playing a whole bunch of dh you love the you love the uh big batten offense the side note
i would throw in there as well is this is just hugely stupidly speculative but
kevin prada was highly highly connected to the washington nationals and many thought he was going
to go five to the nationals if you were putting together a package for juan soto they loved
Prada, but Elijah Green fell to their lap.
And that's the, Elijah Green's the type of player, you
pull up if maybe you're
going to unload this organization and
you need future superstar talent.
You passed on Prada,
pretty good tool and peace.
If you do the Trey Turner rule, you know,
you have to probably do it as a player to be named later that you
could move him. That's purely speculative, though.
But they took the best player. You need two
catchers. That's the way to go moving
forward. It really shouldn't, it shouldn't mess
with anybody. Everyone should be happy as a Mets fan.
Prada is such a talent.
Steals bases too
Huge hit tool
Kind of a real muto
Light type of guy
It's a great pick
I thought Prada should have gone
You know really like five or six
And frankly
I think if the Orioles didn't have Adley Ruchman
They would have given serious consideration
To a guy like Prada in their organization
But that's maybe like a little bit different
Like you know
When you have the first overall pick
You can be a little bit more pushy
To going with high in talent
When you have a guy like Adley
Yeah the other question that
That you know something you mentioned earlier
about there not being, you know, a ton of high-end college arms in this draft.
And one thing that I do wonder, and this is more, you know, we'll get back to the draft
specifically, but it's a more high-level question that I wanted to ask because you're so
into the prospect stuff. And I, you know, I do my research, but I can't focus as much on it.
And one thing that I've noticed, you know, in some comments reading about top prospect list
updates this year is how, you know, I think it was Jared Seidler from baseball prospectus,
of said something like now is where you're seeing the impact of the missed season in the minors
in terms of the top prospects and how you know i think gunner henderson is the top prospect on
baseball perfectus's midseason update but that they they kind of made it seem like it was almost a
a kind of by default like he was just the guy that everybody liked enough instead of like the guy
that everybody loved whereas there there are so many prospects in the high miners or you know
the guys who you would think of as the top prospects who because of that lost year development is that
something that we're seeing like is is the prospect pool shallower right now than it would normally be
that's interesting so i don't necessarily think that's the case but i will i actually just was talking
about this on prospect one the other day that the one thing we are lacking is we are lacking the top
and superstar it's funny you and i are literally sitting here i don't mean to look over hula rodriguez is
probably going to win this home run derby as we're watching him face soda live and we're like we're
lacking a Julio Rodriguez right now. The top of the year, you know, you're looking at
Julio and Bobby Witt, we don't have where many, many years, it's like one or two top guys,
whether it was, hey, it's Wander Franco and Kelnick or, you know, Coonja and Vlad, we don't
have that currently. But we have, though, is instead of these two big top tier and then,
all right, a little bit here, and then we just kind of fall off, we just got this big clump of
really crazy talented players that are not necessarily a superstar level, whether
it's Gunner Henderson, Corbyn Carroll,
who once Riley Green graduates,
is going to be my number one,
insane, insane talent,
whether it's some guys further down,
like Ellie De La Cruz or Jackson Churio,
who's coming up to Welby Marte,
there's this big clump of really talented players
who haven't hit the superstar mold.
So I actually think there's plenty of depth,
but sometimes it feels a little bit,
kind of like you were saying,
it's like, well, this is just the guy right now
because there isn't a defunct,
there isn't a unanimous situation.
And the same thing happened in the drive,
draft. There wasn't a unanimous pitcher
across the board. The best high school
pitcher had Tommy John surgery, Dylan
Lesko, who ended up going to the Padres.
The best college pitchers were hurt.
And Kumar Rocker was a big question.
So this was actually one of the bigger mysteries.
Brock Porter, some thought was going to be the number
one pick. He went in the third round today.
Or fourth round, third round, I think, today or fourth.
I can't even remember at this point. Pick 109.
So there is confusion across the board.
And I think what we're seeing in the actual minor
leagues spills over into maybe some of the pitching evaluation where there's just this big
clump of really good guys but there aren't separators that's the weird thing okay interesting
are there any signing risks in this year's class a la Kumar rocker i mean i know you mentioned
some of the top arms are dealing with injuries so that always introduces a red flag but is
there anyone who was drafted highly who may not sign so that's a good question um and i understand
it might be a hard question to answer because anything can come up on medicals, anything,
you know, we don't know. We're not privy to the, to the negotiations yet.
That is the unknown, is if the medicals could obviously change stuff.
I don't know. I don't want to say this would be.
Cam Collier falling where I think he was thinking he was going to get $5 million and he's now
in the three, I think three and a half million dollar slot range.
As long as the Reds are comfortable over slotting, I still don't think he would be a major issue.
There could be some high school arms.
There could be some guys later.
I mean, Brock Porter would have been one.
I would say, why even draft him at this point?
But the Rangers, who saved $2 million on Kumar Rocker,
put a deal yesterday.
And this was like industry known early in the morning.
Everybody knew it.
And at pick 109, he goes,
and he's probably going to get around $3 million.
So that risk has gone away.
There were a couple other kids.
Reggie Crawford was one,
who was the last pick in the first round,
who he had just made a commitment to Tennessee.
Reggie Crawford's super interesting
because he's a physical freak.
He looks awesome.
He's a great talent,
great pitcher, two-way player.
He did all these pictures with Tennessee.
Hey, go, Volz, I'm ready.
And a little big question of assignability.
He gets drafted.
Guy is already tweeting out
Photoshop pictures of him in the Giants uniform.
And the Giants have said they're going to allow him
to be a two-way player.
So a couple of them,
I had also heard Noah Schultz was a player in the draft
that wasn't going to sign.
And sure enough, he went 26 overall.
So I feel like a lot of the,
draft slotting has answered the major questions. One I would throw out to you is Judd Fabian is another
one. I think he's still a junior. He didn't sign last year with the Red Sox. And he went later again
into around a $1 million slot range for the Orioles. And he improved a little bit this year.
And I just wonder if, I don't know, if there's maybe some NIL money that could compete with the
$1 million. And he just says, hey, man, I'm going to take the biggest risk we've ever
seen. I'm going to go back for a third time and try to improve and get my stock up because it's
just not a great slot. But it's gone to my head, I would just say no. I don't think there's
there's no Kumar Rocker situation in this draft, at least in my eyes, at this moment. I'm trying
to remember. Was the Kumar Rocker situation a Kumar Rocker situation at this point? Was it known?
No. No. If you don't remember, one of the craziest things I still think about to this day
was someone tweeted this picture of Kumar Rocker in New York under a billboard.
with the Mets were like,
welcome Kumar Rocker and they photoshop.
He was photoshopped in a Mets uniform
and he was so happy. No one had an idea.
This was days after the draft.
So no, at this moment,
last year, there was not a Kumar Rocker situation.
It just developed where a couple years ago,
if you remember Carter Young,
who the Braves took,
they hated his medicals,
and they tried to lowball him.
And he was having none of it.
And he ended up signing some big deal,
I believe it was in Japan.
And he's still over there.
for a couple more years.
Those are the shockers that we just don't know about.
So I would tell you, that's the possibility.
Like Dylan Lesko, Dylan Lesko is a kid that needs to not take a dollar under if he doesn't
want to.
If the Padres tried to shortchange him coming off of Tommy John.
But the weird thing is so many pitchers are coming off of injuries.
So many.
So the expectation has to be in everybody's camp that there are injury risks across the
board. If anything, there's only a couple first round guys that people would be surprised about,
which might be like Kate Horton, who went seventh overall to the Cubs out of Oklahoma, maybe
a Jerpy or Gabriel Hughes. Those would be the only ones. Everybody else has had some
apparent risk, but I don't think we're going to get any craziness. Though I did speculate.
The one I speculated on, now I'm thinking about it, is where the Mets took Jet Williams,
well, probably not Jet Williams, but Jet Williams.
And then the Noah Schultz signing by the White Sox.
Next year's draft would not be the worst draft to gain an extra pick on.
There's massive talent.
So look at the Mets.
They up their pool.
If you can't get a guy to sign for what you want, you say, all right, no big deal.
I've got an extra pick in a stacked and loaded draft next year.
Would not be shocked if that became a situation, but nothing to anticipate.
Well, especially because their draft slot figures to be a lot lower next season.
Exactly.
Yeah, but I think, I think like, let's say the White Sox particularly, the White Sox situation, it would still be about what they didn't get this year, which was 26, but then if they could have a potential higher pick, Mets, same thing, any of those guys.
So usually the compensatory or the compensation they get for not signing is relative to the range of the player that they did not sign.
That's why the Mets had two top 15 picks this year.
Okay, that's really great stuff.
We're going to take a quick break on fantasy baseball today.
when we get back, we'll talk some first year player draft rankings next on fantasy baseball today.
All right. How do you want to handle this? You want to just go through the top 12 or so,
and then we'll kind of talk a little bit about each player and then highlight some other players we need to know about.
Sure. We can absolutely do that. I actually think in my eyes, the top 12 is pretty locked when I look at this.
I do know there's going to be some disagreement. I somebody that I love in the industry, Eric Cross,
had put a tweet out for a guy that's right on the fringe for me. He's actually number 13 on my list.
He had said, Chase the Louder, who went to the Cleveland Guardians, who at one time was seen as maybe a number one overall pick.
Prospect's Live had him at number one for many, many months, said, Chase the Louter, no doubt, first round, first year player guy.
I don't agree. If you were considering into top 12, if you're anything further, okay, if you're into 15, if you're looking at a 15 team, Rito, guess what he is in there.
But I do have a, what I feel is a really locked top 12.
But you tell me, how do you want to go?
You want to go 12 up.
You want to start at 1.
I think we'll start at 1.
Let's get the, you know, we'll do the inverted pyramid, the most interesting, the most important players first.
This is what people want to.
People get so mad.
We do this sometimes when I do rank episodes.
And if I go backwards, people get so angry.
They're like, come on.
Just go at the top.
It's always tough because, like, you want to build that suspense.
And I get that.
But like, you know, having been the editor for our department.
You know, I have all the stats about how long people click through stories and all this stuff.
And like, even stories that are really sticky, stories that people really like Scott's top 100 prospects,
people just spend like five minutes on average on that story, which is crazy.
Like if you know how long people stay on a story on average on any given website,
the amount of time people spent on this.
But even then, people drop off.
You know, you get down to the number 25 player and all of a sudden it's like 60% of your audience has dropped off.
So it's like, you know, you want to build the suspense.
I do it too.
You lose time.
It's like all of a sudden you're back up against it.
You're like, okay, number one, Drew Jones.
Let's just, he's a really good player.
His dad was a, okay, good to go.
So is Drew Jones your number one player?
He is my number one.
It's not Jackson Holiday, who did go number one.
You know, spoiler alert, Jackson Holiday is not number two for me either.
It's Drew Jones, who I think is an incredibly special talent.
I've kind of been saying this over the last like 48 hours.
I'm having trouble comping exactly.
If someone's like, hey, who's he?
he's like in the minor leagues right now. I don't really know who I would tell you. Like
Corbyn Carroll, um, he's got more power and he is way, way more physically imposing than
Corbyn Carroll who's shorter. Jordan Walker, who is a physically imposing guy. He's got the speed.
Uh, the Drew Jones is a much, I think, better defender. I think you would say,
in the totality of it in the defensive side, but he's also a really fast guy. Robert Hassel,
who I've got really high. It's another one of those guys who just physically does not compare.
Drew Jones just doesn't physically compare with a lot of guys.
Maybe L.E. De La Cruz, if you want to take,
because a lot of people consider Reds L.E. De La Cruz,
a guy that is going to be able to maybe physically fill out.
This is like an 18-year-old kid who looks like he can easily put on 20, 25 pounds of muscle
in the very, very near future, who is a complete five-tool player,
hit over 500 in high school this year,
and had maybe the most attention of anybody.
There's this famous video that Prospects Live had put out where the high school crew
in the side of the opposing team.
team is like overrated.
Yeah, I love that one. And Drew Jones just
boom, rocks it, drops
the bat, looks over, and just
crosses. And it's one of those moments
you absolutely love. I think this
is a potentially generational type of talent.
It happens to be with my team,
so maybe I'm a little bit homeristic.
But I will tell you, I'm
incredibly aggressive on it. I do,
and I would mind everybody,
when I rank, I am ranking
kind of in like a three-year plus
spectrum. I don't,
put hyper focus into the now. I'm putting the best talent. And that doesn't mean I have to get a guy
that is going to come up in the next year or year and a half because look, look at Jackson Turyo.
Look at L.A. Dele Cruz. Those guys are still a decent amount of way and they are exponentially more
valuable than anybody could have expected. So I want overall skills, talent, and that's the most
important thing. And I've got Drew Jones as a top 15 overall prospect already. And that's a little
bit hypey. I understand that, but I really, really do think this talent is through the roof.
And that's my number one. Arizona having, you know, success with Alec Thomas and Corbyn Carroll and the
development that they've had, you know, that the future outfield there looks pretty promising.
And then the way they've developed those guys, you know, does make you probably feel a little
better about Jones. And, you know, he was, you know, from what I understand was kind of the,
the consensus top guy for the whole process. And then Jackson Holiday was more of a fast riser.
Is that why Jones having that stability?
Is that why he's the number one guy?
Or is it just the overall skill set?
Well, I think it's the overall skill set.
I think there's a couple things to it.
You bring up an interesting thing with the dimebacks in general.
Something I have personally seen and heard through other people is look at the guys
around him, Corbyn Carroll, for example.
Corbyn Carroll has actually personally worked with multiple players in talking through swings,
helping guys at Christian Robinson, we haven't seen in a while, working with
Jordan Lawler. It's kind of a coach himself, and he's an amazing talent. It's also a pretty
hitter-friendly spot. I think the power is bigger with Drew Jones than a guy like Jackson
Holiday, we're just comparing those two. I think the speed might be more impactful on him. I think
it's a little bit quicker. I think there might be a year front on Drew Jones. And I just think
he's the next big talent. I wasn't as high on to Jackson Holiday, and I don't have him at number two,
because number two comes in, not trying to move it away from it, but whenever you want to get to it,
is Tamar Johnson, who that would have been the only player I would have actually been excited about
or still happy and not thrown things across my room and potentially drop the ball wall behind me.
Had the Diamond of X passed on Drew Jones would have been Tamar Johnson,
who I think might have the best hit tool.
Carlos Colazo, who I had on my podcast from Baseball America,
said he's the best high school hitter that he's ever scouted in his time with Baseball America.
He won a home run derby.
He's got reeling game power.
He's middle infield.
He's an insane talent.
And I think he could have justifiably gone, number one.
He doesn't steal, which could be a consideration why someone would maybe want a guy like Jackson
Holiday number two in their league.
The problem is, is there's a ton of high school players.
And you're going to have to reckon with that.
If you care about the now, you are going to sacrifice the high-end talent because I believe
at worst, the top four picks should all be high school players.
Unless you're in a points league, you could justify Kumar Rocker in that top three.
otherwise it should be high school bats.
And if you're going to go that way,
we don't need speed on every single front.
Tamar Johnson's bat is one of the safest things in this.
Not a big strikeout guy, big power, big contact,
four category player.
And, you know, he's already,
I don't know if you saw this anecdote,
Henry Davis, who was the number one pick for them last year,
called Tamar after he was drafted.
And tomorrow was asked, hey, what did he say?
And Henry said, we're going to win a championship together.
And he said, we've got to do this.
And you've got this rallying happening in the minor leagues.
And Tamar can be a leader.
And Tamar can be the offensive leader of this team.
And he is a clear cut number two for me.
He's inside my top 25 overall prospects.
And that's kind of a tier is Drew and Tamar.
And then it opens up a little bit more.
And from everything that I've read, you know,
you mentioned earlier kind of the intangible stuff with like Drew Jones and Jackson
Holiday and the guys who have been around baseball.
but from all from all that I've read,
Tamar Johnson also really seems to not get out of the park in that regard as well.
So, you know, that's something that we don't talk about as much,
but in prospect circles,
that really does matter.
You know,
that that's something that that that teams care about that,
that,
you know,
can kind of move guys up or down draft boards.
So,
you know,
that's something with Tamar Johnson as well that stood out and reading about him.
Not phase, too.
He's not phase.
Like he,
he can just get in on any pit.
can be a leader right now.
And look at the type of players they've been drafting.
Nick Gonzalez was a big high bat,
not a great defensive player when they drafted him out of New Mexico State,
clearly going to be a second baseman.
They're going to give a chance for tomorrow to play shortstop.
O'Neill Cruz, destined for the outfield.
As much as I know everybody loves their 96 mile an hour,
put outs to first base and how exciting that is,
it's going to play in the outfield.
And tomorrow's going to be the future shortstop of this team with Nick Gonzalez.
It's actually a pretty cool time to be a pirates fan
if you can stomach the minor leagues,
and you can kind of stomach the weight.
Tomorrow is one of those players.
It's really actually interesting that you don't always get this out of these drafts,
but like you have a handful of guys that jump up to be like theoretical number ones or leaders.
Like Drew Jones actually doesn't become the number one with the Diamondbacks.
That's Corby and Carol.
And I have Jordan Lawler above him.
But I'm telling you right now, Drew Jones will be the leader.
He will be the face of that organization and the leader.
You can already see it.
Tomorrow's going to be the same way.
Tomar has jumped in and he is actually my number one pirate.
And there's a couple of those guys organizational,
wide that are going to jump in and have the potential to be the face of the organization.
I would love to have a top two pick and first year player because I want one of those two guys.
Won't be disappointed if I have to go in the middle because I actually think the first round is
really strong, but this is that top tier with Tamar and Drew.
Who's at the top of the third, the next tier?
So the next guys, again, is might surprise people because he was the number one overall pick.
And this is where things can open up a little bit.
It is still not Jackson Holiday.
It's Elijah Green.
It's Elijah Green who at one point was number one on my list.
Boy, can this dude hit.
I mean, we are talking, and that's why I find it, you're not going to get crazy with it,
but I really find it interesting that the Nationals committed to Elijah Green,
who there were rumors of maybe some signing stuff that might happen if he fell,
because this is a potential guy you build your entire minor leagues organization around.
It is a huge, huge power.
I think the strikeouts are a little bit of a problem.
I would liken him to like a Jordan Lawler.
I think he's going to steal a little bit less.
I think he makes really good decisions at the plate.
He makes big impactful, like number three, number four in an order type of it bats.
And I think he's going to be a 30 plus home run hitter.
Really, really good decisions that hopefully the strikeouts are going to pare down a little bit.
And I think he's just been completely just overtaken because of guys like Tamar and Jackson Holiday.
And people forget about what a great talent he is as he's dominated at the high school level.
It's really just been a strikeouts that have been of a problem.
And I've got Elijah Green with the Nationals.
at number four that then follows Jackson Holiday.
Number three.
I'm sorry, number three.
And then Jackson Holiday at number four.
And I think those two are the next tier.
Because Holiday, again, is a five tool player.
I think it's a little bit more raw.
I don't think the power is quite there like it is with either of the three guys above him.
I think there's solid stolen bases.
There's some Bo Bichette in him.
But I think Elijah Green's power is 30 homer plus.
I think Tamar is a 330 homer plus.
and Drew probably at worst is a 25-25 guy.
So when I look at a guy like Jackson Holiday,
I just don't know where the power is,
but number four is a really good spot,
even though he's the number one pick.
It's similar to what happened with Henry Davis.
Like, you're not taking Henry Davis number one just because he went one.
He just falls down a little bit.
I just think Jackson Holiday is a little bit further
and was such a riser.
I mean, I don't want to, these teams know better than me.
But if I'm making an investment in fantasy,
I want to go with that pedigree on those top three that I've known and I personally followed a little bit more
because I'm not 100% sold on the crazy impact and power of Jackson Holiday at number four yet.
Yeah, I'm reading.
He broke J.T. Romuto's national high school record for hits in the season with 89 and 41 games.
That's pretty good.
685 batting average.
That'll play.
And Elijah Green, worth noting, his dad was an NFL pro bowler, Eric Green, former tight end.
So there you go.
The Steelers.
We're keeping it with the, uh, keeping the, the pedigree going there.
Uh, you said, you know, kind of a tier at number one and number two with Drew Jones and
Tomar Johnson, Elijah Green and Jackson Holiday, their own tier.
How big is this next tier?
This next tier is a lot bigger.
It's actually, again, at least in my eyes, the next tier is about six players deep.
And it's kind of a pick your poison on where you want to go.
Uh, I'll just kind of rattle off the six, not to take up too much crazy time and then
wherever you want to go with it.
At number five, I've got.
Cam Collier, who again, this is, I got five straight high school guys, huge power.
It's a Jordan Walker feel to it.
One of the youngest guys he reclassified to get into this draft, ends up still going pretty high.
Athletically at third could potentially stick there.
I just think this guy's offensive upside is something you don't want to pass up.
And I have him above a barrage of college players, even though I love them.
Again, I would pick my poison here.
Number six, Kevin Prado with the Mets, double-digit stolen bases at George.
Georgia Tech this year, uh, 26 homers, I believe it was.
Great contact.
This is a lockdown catcher.
If the diamondbacks had the fifth pick and had no choice at like,
you know, Drew drones and Tamar Johnson, give me Prada.
I would be so happy about him because he's really got a, um, JT Romuto feel as far as like
fantasy production.
And more catchers are kind of moving to that.
You know, you got the bar shows and Will Smith was stealing a little bit.
So I really, really like the prospects of him.
If you don't want to go with a catcher, you've got a catcher.
You've got a couple middle infielder, Brooks Lee, who ended up going to the Minnesota Twins.
Really great contact.
Maybe one of the better college contact hitters in here has got kind of all fields power.
It's just not insanely impactful.
At number eight, I've got Jase Young, who ended up going to the Detroit Tigers who can play
second, third, can play all around.
His brother, Josh Young, plays with the Rangers.
Number nine, I got Jacob Barry who went to the Marlins.
I've talked about him with huge power.
And I would throw Kumar Rocker in there again at number 10 with the
Texas Rangers prior to him being drafted three he was my number one pitcher in all of fantasy
and I will note that if this were a points league I would obviously move him up a little bit
Kumar Rocker and on Rocker you know like we mentioned earlier could be a guy who moves fairly quickly
so you know that that could help him as well um Barry I'm a marlins fan you know begrudgingly I
suppose it won't go away and so look at us Marlins and diamondbacks we're talking on here wow
We're the big dogs here.
At least, yeah, yeah.
It would have been nice if the Diamondbacks had gotten that early championship to kind of make the rest of the struggles a little more palatable.
But, you know, still, the Randy Johnson, Kirk Schillinger, that was a lot of fun.
We got one.
Yeah, we got 2001.
We got our, we got our one pennant.
Oh, they did.
Randy.
Yeah, we got the Penn in 2001.
And we got Randy.
We got some good times.
It's just been lowly for a long time.
But, you know, both teams reorganizing.
You know, I was a little downish.
on Barry, like, months ago.
I rewatched a lot of video over the last couple weeks,
and I was impressed with, you know, the avoidance of insane strikeouts at the college level.
This kid actually went to U of A.
He went into the transfer protocol and went over to LSU to go play with the kid
that's going to be the number one pick next year, just FYI, is Dylan Cruz.
He'll be the number one pick unanimously.
It won't be a question how this year there's, even though Drew Jones went two,
there's no way Dylan Cruz does not go number one overall next year.
And it was a packed and loaded team.
And Jacob Berry was definitely one of the, you know, the big catalyst as far as it was offensively.
I just worry, like, defensively, where does he go?
The defense doesn't help him, I think, a whole bunch of his bat struggles a little bit.
He can really get under pitches and I'm worried about pitch recognition at the next level.
So I'm not as hyper-aggressive as a lot of people, but he's still a top-cent pick.
he still has got massive, massive power, and he connects into it.
He did it at the highest level in college baseball.
So I wouldn't knock him on that.
But again, that's why I say it's interchangeable.
I could see Rocker all the way up to five, even over Collier.
I could see, you know, if you want preference and you wanted to go bury over young,
you're just prioritizing big, more in-game power over maybe a contact hitter who might struggle with some power.
So I think these guys are all relatively interchangeable.
but you know this is this is where I stick with these guys and just for the record because we do this
every time we're talking about his brother jace young j-un-j-un-g just like josh jung for the
for the Texas Rangers third baseman who's not going to play this year right he's still recovering
from that shoulder no so there's a possibility one of the pluses not just of Arizona being around
is actually live five minutes from the Rangers and Royal's facility and during spring training
he was sporting the big cast and
his arm was put up right before spring training ended,
he shed that thing, and that was gone.
And he started to just get use of arms.
I haven't been out to the Rangers in quite some time since then.
I'm going to get out there.
The expectation, I haven't really heard any new updates,
but there was a possibility that he could get ramped up in the near future,
and he could maybe get in the back of the year.
I would say at this point,
he's probably destined for the Arizona Fall League.
Maybe he gets a little bit of run in September,
not in the majors at this point.
People thought he could be breaking camp.
I don't think that's going to happen.
I think he just does some complex league,
maybe gets to AAA,
plays in the Arizona Fall League,
and he potentially could break camp next year.
That's Josh Young of the Tex Rangers.
Yeah.
All right,
let's go through the last two in that top 12,
and I guess this is its own little tier,
maybe, or maybe there's a, you know,
maybe it's a tier that extends into the teens.
There's an argument that it could extend a couple more.
Again, like league,
the type of league.
that you play in or the different formats and stuff could maybe alter it.
But these are pretty stuck to me.
And number 11, the Los Angeles Angels took Zach Netto,
who I very much had a late run of falling in love with.
He's got a little bit of Royce Lewis in him,
a high front leg kick that gets in front
and just a real lot of body motion that gets into pitches and can just start crushing.
I've said this a million times.
I apologies for anybody that's heard it,
but one of the funny things that I really like about him,
I always like corky things about pitchers.
Hazers Lazardo, who's with the Marlins,
I love timing mechanisms.
I love how he'll go three different ways,
four different ways in a single at bat to pitch.
Quick pitch, slow pitch, hold it, normal rotation.
I like quirky things.
A corky thing about Netto is,
if you watch video, I'm telling you,
it's a big front leg kick,
it's a lot of body motion,
and then as soon as two strikes come on,
he really tones it down,
which is like the physical body representation
of a guy choking up on a bat and bringing it up and not, you know, just trying to hit for contact.
But he still shows some power to it.
And unlike Brooks Lee, Brooks Lee is without question just a more locked in better hitter.
And, you know, if you want to bank on that, you're golden.
But he doesn't steal bases.
Netto does.
And that's why I kind of comp Netto to maybe a not as loud Royce Lewis.
Like Royce Lewis, I think everybody, even though he got hurt, you kind of know what you're in for.
You're like, wow, this could be a 2020 player.
Neto's a little bit smaller and there's a possibility he's at maybe best of 1515,
but if they continue to develop him and the guy has a big personality,
angels are not the best, by the way, at that type of stuff.
I'm big on him.
And I think the sky's the limit.
I'm really hoping to see him out here in the Complex League.
They played a smaller school.
So I'm open to there being a possibility that, you know,
that could have been a computational thing.
But maybe the angels can change some of their past woes and how they've been
developing players lately as you see with guys like Joe Adele, Brian and Marsh, but Netto is number
11 for me. Yeah, I mean, you mentioned that with the Angels and that was, I didn't want to get
bogged down in the Marlins of it all because I'm, I'm a pretty fatalistic Marlins fan. And that's an
organization that does not necessarily have a strong track record when it comes to the development of
their young hitters. So yeah, that would be a concern for me. They do great with pitching. Yeah,
across the board. Everybody's throwing these 92 mile an hour changeups all of a sudden on the Marlins. So yeah,
Yeah, the angels have always been weird.
Out here in the complex, it's not so much it's quite a down, really since COVID, but pre-COVID,
there was kind of a sense where everyone would be like, listen, just don't pay attention to what the angels are doing.
Like, they do weird stuff.
They alter guys.
There was a time where, like, they wanted every single hitter to have the same batting stance in, like, motion.
And they just do weird stuff that I'm not sure I really fully understand.
That may have cooled down over the last couple years, so I don't want to speak out of turn or whatever.
but the track record of like development from bottom to top is really not great with them.
Neto I'm hoping is going to be able to break that curse a little bit.
But it's just a good bat.
It's an offensive player.
It's an offensive middle infielder who can hit and can steal and has a pretty high-graded hit tool,
not a crazy strikeout guy.
That's a pretty fun thing to bet on.
Yeah, I was looking at Eric Long and Hangen's breakdown of the first round and his,
or the first day of the draft and his strength.
for Zach Netto was everything.
Everything.
Oh, I didn't know he liked them like that.
Yeah, he was actually one of the big catalysts of kind of being like, yeah, yeah, yeah, don't pay attention to those couple years ago, angels.
Like, you don't want to, you don't want to pay attention to that.
He definitely knows.
I like that.
Yeah, he's great.
I love reading his stuff.
Who's your number 12?
Number 12, we're going back to the Bloodlines, Justin Crawford.
We're going with Carl Crawford's son.
Again, you're getting back to five tools.
I am a sucker for five tools.
I'm a sucker for speed.
I'm a sucker for being able to hit for some power to attach to that.
The problem that he has, and I will tell you this,
I think Justin Crawford has the potential to be one of the more divisive first-year player guys right now.
Because I think when you start to comp him to his dad and, you know, good high school stuff,
you start to think about the potential.
You look at some of the video and you go, all right, this guy is going to hit.
There is some power in there.
body if you look at old video versus how he looked at the draft you can already see he's growing
into his body he looks like he's getting about the size of his dad the potential in you is going
to overcome you and it's going to take you over i think you could see justin crawford on
some list as high as five this year the problem is i think there's a lot of swing and miss
and i think this might be more more connected to like a cleo watson like i think this might be
a little bit closer to that. I had Clow Watson at like three or four coming into last year's
draft and the dip kind of concerned me a little bit. And I think Justin Crawford is maybe in
that same-ish range that, you know, there's a pretty heavy strikeout issue that is there
and the Phillies are hopefully going to be able to work on it, but he's got all the tools. So again,
this is like, hey man, pick your poison. Are you comfortable with a guy? Are you comfortable with
Khalil Watson. Can you own him in your system if he's striking out 35 plus percent of the time,
but he's projecting out to be a 2020 player? If you're not,
Jessica Crawford might not be for you or just move him down a little bit. If you are and you
say, hey, I don't care. You know, give me the couple years. I want the skyrocket talent.
And if he gets going, I'm going to win. And he has the potential to be like a top 10 overall
prospect. Then I think he goes up. I'm playing it a little bit on both sides. I've got him
at the very last pick in the first year player. He could move a tiny bit.
bit more, especially when if, uh, I hope to see him get pushed into complex early.
That's another thing.
I just hope a lot of these guys, Drew Jones, Tamar Johnson, Elijah Green, Jackson
Holiday, Cam Collier, you know, get these high school kids to play complex now so we can start
to get a good vibe on it.
And then we can really refine the first year player.
And I'm super selfish because I hope all the guys Arizona based get out here immediately so
I can get my eyes on, uh, Drew and Jackson Holiday and Collier.
I very, very selfishly want to see them immediately.
You know, when you were talking about Justin Crawford and the Khalil Watson comp,
one player did make me think of was Jazz Chisham,
who had pretty significant swing and miss issues,
but it was just the physical profile was so compelling that he sort of overcame all of that
and has kind of developed a lot at the major league level compared to, you know,
the numbers of the major league level arguably better than what they were in the liner.
So that's a really nice bonus.
total astute on you
because when he was a diamond back
I love jazz is one of
the most fun players of all time
one of my favorite moments I personally
have in every other weird stuff that I've done
there's a couple that stand out
it was the championship game
at the Arizona Fall League in 2018
I believe that was a year
and I'm on the field
we're doing all the stuff and we look over
and jazz had taken a camera
from a cameraman and he went over
to the dugout and he was walking around
and we were like, what are you doing?
And he's like, I'm changing jobs.
I'm going to be a cameraman today.
And him and, gosh, I'm forget, Lucius Fox,
they both took the cameras and they went over and they took,
and I have a picture.
I still have it to this day of him taking a picture of me on his camera.
And I took it of him.
His personality is infectious.
And he's so hard to not love.
But the baseball side of it,
he was one of the most crazy, pull-heavy players I've ever seen.
Every single pitch, he was trying to pull and hit
115 miles per hour and that new missing that nuance always had me really concerned could he tap into it
and he has and he's learned to develop at the major league level he's still to me kind of like a
like a higher upside Javier bias you know there's like massive struggle he can get into the little
well and buys doesn't have the injury stuff but those streaks judge as him can get into crazy
streaks but his talent is undeniable and like you said great call the guy has learned so much at the
major league level that is what you want from prospects and that's what you hope that you can
predict from so many players it ain't happen with spencer torkelson right now happened with julio you're
seeing it with uh jazz that's what you love and that's a really good call and that could be something
you're going to see with some of the volatility and maybe justin crawford and like kind of tying it back
to the very beginning what we talked about man bloodlines what better way to then go talk to your
all-star father and call crawford and have that experience of growing up around baseball to kind of
really hone you in and get you through the struggles. So he's a cool talent. He's awesome.
I think he might be the most strikeout. Him and Elijah Green are the biggest strikeout
concerns you should have in the first year. But there's a lot of fun guys in there. And it's
not a bad time to have any pick in the first year player or if he can get like one or two picks
in your dynasty. All right. Let's run through that top 12 again. And then maybe we'll just go through
like, you know, you can name five players outside of this top 12 that you like. But
number one, Drew Jones for Arizona. Number two, Tamar Johnson for Pittsburgh. Elijah
Green from Washington number three, Jackson Holiday.
The number one overall pick is your fourth-ranked player and first-year player
draft from Baltimore.
Cam Collier from Cincinnati, Kevin Parada for the Mets,
Brooks Lee for the Twins, Chase Young from the Tigers,
Jacob Berry for the Marlins, Kumar Rocker from Texas,
Zach Netto for the Angels and Justin Crawford from the Phillies.
Only one pitcher in that top 12?
Any pitchers in that kind of next group?
Kate Horton is really close.
he's the next guy, Oklahoma pitcher.
It was a two-way player at one time.
Big fastball, I mean, could be plus plus slider.
I mean, hitting 90 on a slider is the definition of a plus.
So he's got that.
There's a serviceable curve.
Hopefully the Cubs do good stuff.
They got some really good young guys.
Jordan Wicks is in there.
So Horton is in there.
And then you've kind of got this barrage that happens just a tiny bit later of like,
again, if you're willing to wait and Dylan Lesko and Brock Porter is going to
screw up dynasty owner so bad.
this coming year because he he went so late he was a hundred and ninth pick and people aren't
going to know how to process it but he wasn't signable to people he's still in that range so it's
let's go him uh obviously Connor Hugh well you know Connor Hughes going to um going to Colorado
I'm sorry Gabriel Hughes going to Colorado screwed me up a little bit and I think he was a big
talent and Connor Hjurpee that's why I was confusing the two Hjurpee is one of those guys going
to St. Louis you talk about a pitching factory those would be the main
pitchers I would be looking at that are outside my first year player. And as far as any other
hitters go, you should be on the lookout for Drew Gilbert. Drew Gilbert and Chase the Louder,
maybe the most exciting guys. Houston, the Astros got Drew Gilbert and Cleveland got Chase
Aloudder. Those might be the most fun, fringy first round players. Drew Gilbert's a little bit
shorter, but absolute rocket. There's power, there's speed. Astros have been pretty good job
developing at the minor leagues. So those would be some of those guys. And the last one I want to
throw to you. I love Spencer Jones. Spencer Jones out of Vanderbilt who went to the Yankees in the mid-20s.
He's a monster. He gets stupidly comped to judge because he's six foot seven, but this was a crazy,
good athletic two-way player who ended up showing some real power, make really good contact.
He's got a bigger zone. I just really like Spencer Jones. And what a destination to go to the Yankees.
All right. That's it. That's the Welsh. That's his top 12 for your first year player drafts. He's got some
other players to consider there.
And Chris, why don't you tell folks where else they can find your stuff if they want to see,
you know, that full, what was it, top 500 prospects ranking list that you got?
Yeah, it's a lot.
I mean, you just follow me on Twitter.
Is it the Welsh?
It's probably the best way to keep track of it.
In ThisLeague.com.
We've been an independent podcast in this league has for a long time.
That's our Patreon.
We do group me rooms to hang out with us.
We've got live streams.
And I've got my top 500 list, which also is a 400 dynasty.
and one of the coolest things I do, which Scott White has taken, has been a part of the last, I think, two times I've done it, is I do this thing called the Prospect 180P.
And we draft a ton of drafts and we create an ADP for prospects, which doesn't really exist.
And I get industry guys and I get really smart guys and we're doing an update.
We'll be drafting an update here shortly.
So in August, the next update, we'll have a top 280P, which will include the draft guys.
And it's just a bunch of stuff.
So is it the Welsh and in this league.com?
That's the best way to get on track with all of my stuff if that's what you want to do.
It is the Welsh.
And thank you so much for coming on the show.
Chris, we'll have you on again soon, I'm sure.
And that's going to do it for Fantasy Baseball today.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next time.
Bye-bye.
Bye.
