Fantasy Baseball Today - Ranking Blake Snell & 2024 First Two Rounds! (9/26 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)
Episode Date: September 26, 2023Blake Snell has allowed 3 ER or fewer in 23 straight starts (3:19)! ... We got vintage Justin Verlander on Monday (13:25). ... We haven't given Logan Webb enough credit this season (16:15). ... Is Lui...s Castillo the SP3 overall in 2024 (21:07)? ... Jon Gray finally bounced back with a quality start (25:47). ... Adolis Garcia continues to crush baseballs (29:46). ... News (37:05): Ketel Marte should be back in the lineup Tuesday. ... Let's get into the way-too-early 2024 first round (42:36). Bobby Witt second overall!? Matt Olson and Jose Ramirez in the second round (54:27)? Fantasy Baseball Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, Stitcher and wherever else you listen to podcasts. Get awesome Fantasy Baseball Today merch here: http://bit.ly/3y8dUqi Follow FBT on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fbtpod?_t=8WyMkPdKOJ1&_r=1 Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports.
Got a fantasy question?
Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com.
Get ready to win your league.
Where fantasy becomes reality.
Now here's Frank, Scott, and Chris.
Let's make it 23 straight starts allowing three earned runs or fewer
for your likely NL-Sai-Young winner, Blake Snell.
Welcome in to Fantasy Baseball today on Tuesday, September 26.
I am Frank Sample, joined by Scott White.
Today on the show, we had some big pitching performances on a pretty small slate here.
Only four games on the schedule.
Blake Snell was awesome again.
We had vintage Justin Verlander on the mound.
And Logan Webb, who we probably haven't talked enough about this year.
We'll talk about some pitching schedule updates.
I saw your tweets about Kentimaeita, Scott.
He got pushed back.
He's going to work in relief this week.
So that kind of threw some things off.
And let's have some fun.
I know last week you wrote up an article, your first two rounds for 2024.
So a very early look.
We'll do that a little bit later on.
Once again, a big thank you to everybody who's already left a five-star rating and review on Apple.
Also love seeing the tweets or what do we call these things now, Scott?
X's I call them tweets on Twitter.
That's what I call them.
Yeah, we probably should just stick with that.
But yeah, we really do appreciate it.
Continue to send those in.
It's a lot of fun seeing those screenshots, championships, whatever you
want to say we really do appreciate it. Scott, let's jump in and talk about Monday's action.
Can you believe it? Wow. Wow. Blake's now, Scott. Another great start. He's all yours.
Another great start. I mean, he probably clinched the Cy Young. Last time out, we talked about that
with his, what was it, seven no-hit innings. So this is just icing on the cake, but six shutout
innings at the Giants. Unfortunately, he didn't get a win out of it because Logan,
Webb was so good, but six shot-out innings for Blake Snell, 21 swinging strikes on 100 pitches, seven strikeouts, you know, the typical Blake Snell stuff.
And this is now in his last six starts, Blake Snell has a total of two run runs across six starts.
That is, if you're keeping score at home, a 047 ERA.
And obviously, you know, the overall ERA
it leads baseball, he's going to win the Sanyang.
But there's still that issue of all the walks.
And so this was a funny stat.
During that six-start stretch
where he's allowed a total of two-run runs for a 047 ERA,
Blake Snell has given up only 15 hits.
He's issued 19 walks.
He's given up more walks than hits
during that six-start stretch,
which is just,
So perfect.
So good.
And it does help to fuel the fire a little bit about, could he possibly repeat this feat last year?
And I'm on the side of probably not.
Gosh, is Blake Snell going to be the most?
I already got in enough trouble with Cubs fans for a statement like this about Justin Steele.
But is Blake Snell going to be the most?
disappointing multi-say-young winner ever.
It just came to mind now.
I hadn't thought about that.
I would have to look up all the other pitchers that have won multiple
Sy Youngs.
So, yeah, I mean, you got, I think Tim Linzacum won three times,
and obviously is not Hall of Fame bound because his career crashed so hard,
and Brett Saberhagen won multiple times,
and, you know, obviously didn't wind up in the Hall of Fame.
Those immediately come to mind.
but like they
for the time that they were winning
Sy Young's they were consistently
dominant best pitcher in baseball
at least in the conversation
while Blake Snell has had such an up and down career
and well there's little you could critique about that
first science season this one
you know
very unconventional with all the walks
so it's
yeah it's
I don't know
I'm not going to rank them I'm not going to rank
them that high going into next year. I feel pretty confident saying that. Yeah, I know you have another
article you posted on the site about pitchers, well, just players in general that are going to be
tough to rank for next year. And among your five pitchers, one of them was Blake Snell. Another one was
Justin Furlander, who we'll talk about in just a little bit as well. Yeah, Blake Snell, I was texting
with a buddy. Such an interesting career, as you mentioned. I mean, it's been up and down. The control has
been an issue. He was so dominant that second year with Tampa Bay. He won the
Syung there. But even then, he was kind of limited that season. Like, he really
didn't go more than six innings like that many times that season. I mean, he had 21 wins.
He had an ERA below two. He deserved it. There's no doubt. Like, he deserved the Sa Yung.
Nobody was like, ooh, this is an icky sign. I guess some people were like that. Some people were,
you know, like, is this what the Syungs come to that a guy who throws 180 innings or
whatever it was can win it.
But we've seen that.
Basically, that
happened with a few
Cy Young winners at this point.
It was just over
180-innings. Yeah, 21 wins, a
189 ERA in 2018.
Not
as controversial
of a winner then, as
I would say, Blake Snow will be in
2023, five years later.
Some other stats on Blake Snow, like
I know it's been a weird
year for the NL Sy Young.
I do think that he is a deserving
winner. Just looking at some
of these stats, I mean, 225 ERA, obviously
that leads baseball.
234 strikeouts, second most in baseball
behind only Spencer Shrider.
181 batting average against,
that is by far the best
in baseball. Corbyn Burns is actually
second at 198. So
Blake Snell, for, you know,
as much as the walks are a big
problem, 99 walks this season leads baseball.
He's been unhittable. He has
you know, he's done some really great things.
Check out.
Yeah.
I don't want to wind up in the same quagmire I did with Justin Steele.
When, you know, however I'm using the word undeserving, I want to clarify what I mean by that.
Like, if I was voting for in El Sa Young, Blake Snow would get my vote.
I think he's been the best pitcher in the National League.
But he's been the best pitcher in the National League in a down year for pitching overall.
And he's done it in a very unconventional way with all the walks.
You know, his FIP is 344, his ex-FIP is 362, his XERA is even higher.
His XERA is around 375.
And that's part of the reason why I don't think I can rank to get this guy that high next year.
And I hesitate to put a number on it until I start stacking up names.
But I'm not confident Snell will be in my top 20 next year at the position.
As the ERA leader and reigning-Sy Young winner.
I'm not confident in that.
I think he'll be inside my top 20, but you're right that for a Cy Young winner who, again, has all these strikeouts and the best ERA in baseball, you would think there's like he's a no doubt, you know, top five, top 10 starting pitcher and fantasy.
And he won't be that for me.
He'll probably be somewhere in the, I think 15 to 20 range just off the top of my head.
Let's put it to the test just a little bit because I have said Cole Reagan's probably in my top 20.
Terrick Scoobble probably in my top 20.
Oh.
You're taking Snell over those guys?
Oh.
I, man.
I mean, I...
It's so tough to say.
It's easy to say now.
Snell is pretty established, though.
I make it out when I actually go to do it.
It may be one of those situations where I rank Snell low enough that I know I won't draft him,
but I don't actually want to draft him that high.
Like, I don't want to seem like a complete loon.
I don't know.
It depends what other people do.
how that's going to be interpreted, I guess.
But the bottom line is it would have to be a pretty steep discount for me to take Snell next year,
which has been the case the last few years, really.
Yep.
And Blake Snell, by the way, entering free agency this offseason, he is out on the market.
He's going to be a free agent and we'll see which team he winds up on.
Seems like he really does like pitching for the Padres and they still have a well-established roster
that I imagine they're going to try and compete with next year.
So wouldn't surprise me if Blake Snell is back with the Padres again next year.
A few other fun stats on him.
These secondary pitches that Blake Snell has are just ridiculous.
The curveball, a 0.076 batting average against, a 56% whiff rate.
The change-up 190 batting average against 47% whiff rate,
and the slider, 123 batting average against 54% whiff rate.
Normally when we look at ace pitchers,
if they have two secondary pitches that have a whiff rate over 30%, Scott,
I think we feel pretty good about that.
You know, if you have a pitch that's over 40,
the fact that he is three pitches with a whiff rate 47% or better
is truly remarkable stuff for Blake's Nell.
So again, the stuff is fantastic for him.
And I mentioned the stat at the top.
23 straight starts, three earned runs or fewer for Blake Snell.
during that stretch, it's been two earn runs or less in 21 of those,
one earn run or fewer in 17,
zero earned runs in 13 of those 23 starts.
And this was a fun stat from Sarah Langs on Twitter.
Blake Snow has a 1.2 ERA in his last 23 starts.
Only other pitchers with an ERA that low in a single season 23 start span
since earned runs became official in both leagues back in 1913.
Bob Gibson, Grover Alexander, Walter Johnson, and Dutch Leonard.
Those last three were in 1915, 1914, and 1914.
So he is doing something historic this season.
Shout it to Blake's now.
He's been awesome, but we'll be a interesting pitcher to rank.
I'm already starting to hesitate with the Terrick Scoobal Cole Reagan's thing.
I was kind of mulling over it a little more.
There's just like a raw feeling of, I don't want Blake Snell.
next year. I do want Cole
Regan's and Terrick Scoobel next year.
But part of what accompanies
that feeling is how I think
they're going to be valued by
people at large.
And that's unknowable
at this point.
I don't know. I'll pull up the results of that one
mock draft and
did Blake Snow go? Do you happen to remember?
We can't spend the whole podcast talking about, we could
spend the whole podcast talking about Blake Snow. We probably could.
Yeah, it's pretty interesting.
Pretty interesting name there.
Trying to refresh.
He went with the 10th pick of round 5,
so that would be pick 70.
Other starting pitchers
who went in that same range.
Yeah, he went just ahead of Max Fried,
Freddie Peralta,
Kodai Senga,
Justin Steele,
Pablo Lopez.
And Reagan's and,
like,
it happened long enough ago
that I don't think
Reagan's in Scoob,
or anybody was thinking about them
in this range, right?
It looks like SP15 off the board
for Blake Snow in that mock draft.
That might,
Yeah. Okay. I'll think about it some more.
All right. Well, let's talk about another pitcher here who is also going to be a tough one to rank for next year.
Vintage Justin Verlander at the Mariners in, again, another massive series.
Mariners kind of shooting themselves in the foot right now.
But a great start for Verlander, eight plus innings, three hits allowed, one earned run, eight strikeouts for him.
And, you know, he has a 332 ERA and a 113 whip, but the underlying numbers, not buying it.
388 FIP, 4-56 X-FIP,
and you look at what's changed,
the fastball, much more hitable this season.
His slider has lost some whiffs.
His K-minus walk rate went from 23% last year
to 14.5% this year.
That is a massive drop.
Also has given up some hard contact,
and he's, what, 40 years old,
you know, started the season on the IL.
Wouldn't surprise me if maybe he kind of pitched through that,
I think it was like the major terrorist strain
or whatever it was.
So it wouldn't surprise me if that kind of
hampered him for part of the season this year. Regardless, this was an awesome start.
Verlander also a tough pitcher to rank for next year.
Well, yeah, he's a tough pitcher to rank because there have been obvious signs of decline.
He's going to be 41. He's had starts like this. His last, did you give the numbers from his
last seven starts? Nope. They're very, they're nice even numbers. So in his last seven starts,
Justin Verlander has a three ERA, a one whip, and exactly a strikeout per inning.
which is good.
I mean, certainly in this environment,
you know,
in past years I might say,
eh, only a strikeout per inning,
but, you know,
that seems to be
among the good starting pitchers
that seems to be more common right now.
So, like, he's had a good season,
but how much more
will he decline next year,
I think,
is at the forefront of my thoughts
with Justin.
Verlander. So I can say for sure he'll rank behind Blake's now. And I've more comfortable
saying Justin Verlander will be behind Cole Reagan's and Terrick Scoobal because I think he's,
I think he's, you know, he's clearly on the down swing now. And I'm fine drafting him as
kind of a rotation stabilizer, but that that's the cost I want to pay for him. I don't
want to pay Ace cost for Justin Verlander anymore because I think it's pretty unlikely he's going
to live up to that next year. Yeah, I would agree with that as well. Behind Regens, behind Terrick
Scouble. I think he's probably going to be in the glob, maybe, you know, right at the forefront of it,
but I don't know, off the top of my head, maybe like a top 30 starting pitcher somewhere around there,
I think, for Justin Verlander heading into next season. Let's talk about Logan Webb, who also had a great
start opposing Blake Snell, his second career complete game, both of those coming this season.
He allowed nine hits, one run allowed, zero walks, seven strikeouts in this one for Logan Webb,
16 hard hits allowed, 90.3, average exit velocity against. He just leaned all the way into that
change up through it 57% of the time. That was a 41% usage entering this one. It's been a good
pitch for him, 220 batting average against. Does not get a lot of whiffs on it. Only 23%
percent whiff rate, but this is now six straight quality starts for Logan Webb.
And we were talking beforehand, Scott.
This feels a lot like Sandy Alconsoor from last year.
It's volume-based.
There's not a lot of, you know, per-enning whiffs or per-inning strikeouts,
but because he leads baseball with 216 innings, you know,
he's right around 200 strikeouts for the season.
But the ratios have been very good.
And, you know, entering today, he was a top seven pitcher and head-to-head point.
a little bit lower in Roto.
Feels like we probably haven't talked about Logan Webb
or given him enough credit this season.
The one thing I worry about is just a guy who pitches to contact
giving up as much hard contact as Logan Webb does.
But maybe I shouldn't worry because you look at his last three seasons,
they've all been pretty similar and they've been rock solid.
Well, and most, so much of that contact is on the ground.
He's like a 60% ground ball guy,
which is even more than Sandy Alcantra.
had been prior to this year.
And, yeah, the strikeout rate is a little
underwhelming for a high-end pitcher,
but he's as good as it gets in terms of throwing strikes
and putting the ball on the ground.
So I think that makes up for it.
You know, he seems like a very safe choice.
And, well, I guess the natural question to ask
isn't next year
Logan Webb or Blake Snell?
I think Logan Webb.
I think so too.
I don't know that I say it with 100% confidence,
you know, it's like...
I mean, if you tell me Blake Snell is going to do this again next year,
then okay, Blake Snell.
But I have a lot of reason to doubt that, don't I?
Yeah.
It's just too risky
of an investment for the level of,
investment it is when Webb feels a lot safer.
They're kind of polar opposite pitchers, right?
Logan Webb does it with control, pitching to contact, volume.
Blake Snow's the opposite.
You know, he walks a ton, he gets the whiffs, he gets the strikeouts, he's more flashy.
If you told me Sandy Alcantara this year, I would have said, oh, that's a very safe
pick.
You know, he's going to keep runs off the board.
You know, he's going to throw a lot of innings.
And it turned out to be not such a great pick.
And I've talked a bit about, okay, really like targeting upside with starting pitchers.
But I think that's more for like pitchers in the glob.
I don't know.
I'm probably not drafting either of them, to be honest.
I'm just not even going to bother to rank the top 20 starting pitchers.
Who cares?
You know what you should do, Scott?
Just put a bunch of names in a hat and have your kids pick them out.
And that'll be your top 20 starting pitchers for next season.
I did announce on Twitter a website, a little website you may have heard of.
today that I was
beginning the painstaking
how did I word it
I thought it was pretty good
okay so I'm beginning
the painstaking process of building
2024 rankings
that I'll then hastily rearrange
based on February and March draft trends
and I got
you know a couple people
responded with that like good luck
drafting I mean good luck ranking
starting pitchers because that just seems like
a nightmare
And that's true.
And that's mostly true for the 60 or so in the glob, right?
We're not even talking about pitchers in the glob.
We're talking about ones not in the glob, above the glob.
And it's still like, I don't know.
I guess Logan Webb over Blake's now.
But I think what you said is correct.
Unless, like, I think those guys are probably going to be third or fourth round picks.
I don't know.
Maybe everyone's going to be off Blake's now and he's more like a fifth.
round pick, but just based on that, I'm probably not going to draft either one of those two
pitchers either. The ground ball rate, which we mentioned for Logan Webb, by the way,
62%. That leads baseball by far. Framber Valdez is second behind him with a 54% rate. So
nobody in baseball gets ground balls at a higher rate than Logan Webb has this season.
Let's talk about a few other pitching performances here from Monday. Luis Castillo,
you want to talk about Rock Solid. The guy has been great all year.
altered in this big spot here against the Houston Astros, six innings, five runs,
eight strikeouts to one walk. He had 13 swinging strikes on 92 pitches. But even after this
rough outing, a 320 ERA, a 106 whip, 15% swinging strike rate, his highest since 2020. He entered
this start as both the, as the SP4 in both Roto and head-to-head points leagues this season.
He's on the Mariners again next year, a team that looks like they continue to get better.
Obviously, they're a pretty young team, but I think he should have a pretty decent offense and defense behind him as well.
I don't think this is controversial in any way.
Luis Castillo is going to be drafted ahead of both, again, ahead of all three pitchers we've talked about so far.
And rightfully so.
Yes. Yes. Luis Castillo top five pitcher next year.
Count on it.
Yeah. No, I think that's pretty much in stone for now.
that mock draft that I did a couple weeks back,
Luis Castillo was the third starting pitcher off the board at pick 28,
which sounds about right for,
you could make an argument for a lot of pitchers to be the third off the board.
I think Strider and Cole are pretty set as the one and two options.
But who is going to make the play for the third starting pitcher in next year's draft?
and who are they going to decide
is worth making that play for.
I think Castillo's in the discussion.
That's obviously what happened in that mock,
but I think there are, I don't know,
probably eight to ten other pitchers
who are in that discussion.
Yeah, you look at the pitchers
that went right after him.
Kevin Gosman, the whip is really high.
Still kind of has more blow-up starts
than you'd like to see from a top five starting pitcher.
Zach Gallin, you know,
he's come back to Earth a little bit here in the second half.
He doesn't get as many whiffs as somebody like Luis Castillo does.
I think Zach Wheeler is, might be the next closest for me, at least,
with a claim to that SP3 spot because while the ERA is a little inflated,
his underlying numbers are still really, really good.
Well, and then you got the Brewers, Brandon Woodruff and Corbyn Burns.
I think they're in the mix.
You've brought up the name Tyler Glass now before.
On a per inning basis, he's probably a 5-year.
I mean, you're selling out for upside.
Yeah.
He's got a lot of it.
So, yeah, that's going to be like, whoever I rank third,
I'm probably not going to draft unless it's an unpopular choice to rank third.
You know, I'm probably just going to, that seems like a very large tier,
and I'm not going to be the one to dip into it first.
Yeah, I think that's fair.
Let's take our first break when we return.
We'll talk about the rest of Monday's action here.
Again, only four games on his schedule.
John Gray had a bounce back.
start. Did have some hitting standouts as well. We'll talk about those right after this.
Welcome back in. Let's hit the rest of those Monday leftovers. John Gray back on track with a
quality start at the Angels, six innings of one run ball, seven strikeouts to zero walks. He
got up to 81 pitches. He came back out for the seventh inning. He was warming up and then he left
the start with the trainer because of right wrist soreness and the Rangers said it was
precautionary, but obviously this is much better than anything we've seen recently for John Gray.
His previous six starts, a 799 ERA and a 194 whip.
Just completely lean into that slider, which is typically his best pitch.
And I lied, Scott.
I am a liar.
You can call me a liar on this very podcast because last one, I said I was going to drop John
Gray in Tout Wars, not use him this week.
There was no way I could have done it.
And I started him.
And I'm happy I did because this was a great start.
The free agents...
You decided you'd rather be a winner.
The free agents were just so bad.
Than a liar.
The free agents were so bad, Scott.
That is a low integrity play, sir.
It is.
I have to say.
But I'm happy I did it.
Any thoughts on John Gray?
Yeah, no, you gave the $799 ERA in his past six starts.
But his past four starts, he didn't go even four in it.
in any of them.
He was like a long reliever, basically.
And so it's gutsy play by you.
Seems to have paid off.
And maybe you'll pull off that third consecutive
Tout Wars championship,
which would be great.
There's a lot of baseball left, Scott.
There's a lot of baseball left.
There's a lot of left.
But you're back in the lead
in your two-week matchup.
So that's a comfortable,
that's a good position to be in.
I kind of want to fume about
my little fab,
snafu last night in the podcast
league. Well, if you could
do it in a minute or less, feel free.
So I
had two dollars
left. My competitor in the championship
game had one. I looked at
waiver priority. I'm ahead
and waiver priority. So I'm like, okay,
the most teakin bid on anybody
is one. I have priority.
I bid one dollar on anybody. I'll get that
guy. So I bid one dollar on two start
Reese Olson. This is a points league.
Mind you, Rees Olson with two
gray matchups.
I don't win
Reese Olson.
He wins
Reese Olson for a
dollar.
I'm like,
what on earth
happens here?
I'm trying to
figure it out.
Look at the rules
apparently
in this
particularly league
gets set up
so that waiver
priority
resets every
week.
And I guess
you know,
since waivers
ran the same
night as our
matchup ended,
I was in the lead
so I won
the last
week. So I guess I moved behind him in waiver
order just before waivers ran.
So I even had the thought. Like, why don't I
just, why don't I just throw $2 at Rita
Olson and that, if there's
something glitchy that happens, I'll win him. But I'm like,
no, I did my homework. I'm ahead and waiver
priority. There's no way I can lose this.
And I ended up
losing it. So he gets Reese Olson
and I get like Paul Blackburn
and we'll see how that goes.
But it's not
who was your other
how you want to go down
who was your other waiver claim on
well Paul Blackburn was my
top the top one I got
oh so you did one dollar on each one on
Reese Olson one on Paul Blackburn
yeah
okay you were trying to play defense and not let him
pick up a two-star pitcher I guess
no I might have started Blackburn still
gotcha all right
because right now I have to start
one of my starters is Joe Ryan at Colorado
oh yeah
all right well I can see why
that's frustrating, Scott, but
good luck to you, buddy. We shall see.
Again, you know, we still got, what,
six days worth of baseball left, so
lots of games to play. We'll see what happens.
A few hitting standouts here.
The Rangers wound up winning that game
against the Angels. They hit back-to-back-to-back-home runs
in the sixth inning of that one.
Adoles Garcia hit his 37th home run
of the season. I think he's
kind of an interesting one to rank for next year as well.
I feel like we said the same thing three years
in a row for Adoli-Scarcia.
Mitch Garver continues to do his thing,
three for three with his 19th home run.
Nate Lowe went one for four with his 17th,
and then the following inning,
Marcus Semyon hit his 28th home run,
and he's having a pretty big September as well,
kind of playing himself back into that, you know,
late second round, early third round discussion for Marcus Semyon.
Anything on these Rangers home runs?
Well, I mean, we'll get into it soon enough,
but I do not have Marcus Semyon in my second round.
I think he has a case to go there,
but a lot of hitters have a case to go there.
It's pretty interesting how the hitter pool,
as much as we've talked about the pitcher pool,
it's pretty interesting how the hitter pool breaks down for next year.
And so Simeon misses the cut there for me.
Yeah, the Adoli-Scarcia thing is getting curiouser and curiouser
because now he's not much of a base stealer.
He actually walked at a pretty decent rate this year,
so I guess the pitchers have been more careful with him
since he's sort of proven himself as a power hitter at this point.
But he's not young.
He's going to be 31 next year.
And has the sort of skill set that probably isn't going to age so well.
So I don't know.
He's not in my top two rounds either.
I will say that, if nothing else, for Adolice Garcia.
And then there's Mitch Garver,
who might be the most difficult catcher to rank next year.
And the catcher is the position I started on today.
As of now, he's ninth.
As of now, Mitch Garver is ninth,
at least for Roto Leagues, in my catcher rankings,
behind Wilson Contreras and Cal Raleigh,
ahead of Salvador Perez and Jonah Heim.
Okay.
If you can follow that logic.
I think that sounds like an okay spot.
Salvador Perez, I mean,
he really, over the past like three or four months
just completely fell off.
And I know he's played through a lot of injuries, but he's also getting up there in age and just so.
He's played a lot of first base this year, which probably isn't going to have him much next year of any past Guantino's healthy.
So is he at a point, you know, Freddie Furman proved to be a viable option behind the plate?
Is Salvador Perez at a point where he starts to lose at bat's, I think?
That's, what if he's just the DH?
I think it's possible.
I mean, I don't think he'll be just the DH.
He'd probably, you know, split his time behind the plate.
but I mean, they don't have a lot of hitters there.
That's a fair point.
But, you know, his product, he's showing signs of just like Justin Verlander,
Salvador Perez is showing signs of age too.
Going back to Adoli-Scarcia real quick, the counting stats are great.
We know the Rangers' offense has been awesome this season.
105 run scored 104 RBI.
Only nine steals.
His sprint speed really kind of fell off this year.
and the Rangers in general,
they did not run as much under Bruce Bochy this year.
And that's been pretty consistent.
If you look at Bruce Bochie's kind of coaching career with the Giants,
they didn't steal a lot of bases back then either.
And it's just, I think a different team philosophy under their previous manager was Chris Woodward, right?
He was very aggressive on the base pass.
I mean, the Rangers led baseball, the two, I think two or three years that he was the manager on their team.
So it's just a different philosophy.
I don't think we should expect Adelis Garcia to get back to running,
you know, one year older.
Same thing with Marcus Semyon.
I think the days of him being like a 25 or 30 plus stolen base guy
are probably behind us as well.
But it's just kind of interesting based on that team philosophy under Bruce Bochie.
A few notes here on some Yankees youngsters.
You know, I got to put on the Yankees hats guy.
I got to, you know, anger some people here.
But just wanted to highlight some of these young guys and what they're doing recently.
Austin Wells went two for four with his second home run.
And he had three batted balls over 104 miles per hour in this game.
His last seven, he is betting 280 with two home runs.
I think there is a chance.
Austin Wells is the starting catcher for the Yankees heading into next season.
I mean, they've got some bad contracts,
and I don't think they're going to make it a priority to sign or trade for a catcher.
So that's a real possibility.
Austin Wells is the starting catcher for them next year.
and Oswald Parraza, one for three, with his second home run.
He crushed it.
110.6 exit velocity, 443 feet.
And his last 18 games now, he's now batting 290 with two home runs.
But a similar kind of, I guess, squeeze here because the Yankees, Anthony Rizzo will be back.
D.G. LeMayhew is still under contract, Labor Torres, the final year of his contract.
Anthony Volpe likely going to be the starting shortstop on opening day.
So I just don't really know where Oswald Pross is going to fit in.
Maybe they make a trade and he's starting for another team,
but I'm not sure right now.
Yeah.
Yeah, that is a bit of a head scratcher.
I mean, the entire direction that the Yankees are going to take,
I think is kind of hard to figure out.
Like, do they really lean into the youth next year?
they still have a lot of investment in their pitching staff,
and they're the Yankees, so I kind of doubt it.
I mean, especially since Oswald Parraza hasn't really shown that much in this opportunity.
I do think Austin Wells has to be the leading contender to be their starting catcher next year.
This was his most productive game so far,
but, you know, he's kept the strikeouts down.
He's demonstrated the ability to make hard contact.
And it seems like they like him as a catcher.
I know there were doubts about him defensively coming up through the minors.
But they have shied away from using him a catcher.
So he'll be, you know, provided they don't make a change behind the plate this offseason,
he'll be a sleeper of sorts going into next year, I'd say.
Some interesting quotes from Aaron Judd's, too.
After yesterday the Yankees were eliminated from post-season.
season contention, officially, although I think they've been eliminated for quite some time now.
Aaron Judge, he was asked about the direction of the franchise, and he's saying things need to
change, and, you know, I'll have discussions with the higher-ups and stuff. So, I don't know.
Kind of an interesting quote there from Judge.
Throwing his weight around there. I'm not sure if they're going to have discussions with him,
if you know what I mean. I mean, hey, the captain patch, right? So I hope he has some say in the
organization. Look, they have him and Garikola in their primes right now. They can't really have
a year where they just lean into a youth movement. I think they still have to try and compete. I don't
know. We'll see what happens with the Yankees. Let's hit some news and notes. Ketel Marte has missed
too straight with illness, but is expected to be back in the starting lineup on Tuesday. Good news for
him. Jake Berger was removed Sunday with right quad tightness, which has been a lingering issue over
the past week. So make sure to check lineups on Tuesday. Make sure Jake Berger is in there. Obviously,
He's been really good since joining the Marlins,
keeping the strikeout right down
and still hitting for a ton of hard contact.
Francisco Alvarez is day-to-day
with a left-middle finger contusion.
X-rays came back negative for any fractures
after taking a foul ball off that left hand.
Michael Brantley was out of the starting lineup
for the seventh straight game on Monday,
but was available off the bench.
He's been dealing with a lingering shoulder issue.
He had surgery in the off-season.
Garrett Mitchell,
remember that name.
He was one of the top prospects for the brewers coming into the year.
He's expected to be activated from the 60-day I-L on Tuesday.
He had surgery back in May to repair a subluxation
and labrum damage in his left shoulder.
And I got a little concerned, Scott,
because I have Markana starting in my Tout Wars team.
I don't have a backup outfielder.
So I hope that Garrett Mitchell being activated
doesn't kind of take playing time away
from Markana, I think, if anything, it will probably affect Tyrone Taylor more than anybody else.
I would guess that too. I would guess that too, but hard to say for sure. I just, I realized
now you mentioned the captain's patch. You were saying Aaron Judge said that. Yeah. Okay. I heard
Aaron Boone. Oh, no. Maybe I did say Aaron Boone. I don't know. I don't know that Aaron Boone needs
to be dictating anything to the front office at this point.
But okay, now that makes more sense.
And on the subject of dumb things, Scott has said this podcast,
Tim Linzacum, two-time Sy-Young winner,
not three-time Sy Young winner.
Don't want you to lose trivia night because of me.
Yeah, I actually looked up in an article
when we were having that discussion earlier,
Tim Lin-Sicum, two-time Syong winner,
Johann Santana?
Yeah.
He's another...
I mean, look, he was a four of four.
year stretch, the unquestioned best pitcher in baseball.
His peak was so good.
Yeah, his peak was so good.
I mean, it's just a short-lived career, I guess, for Johan Santana, unfortunately.
Last news item here, Patrick Sandoval left Monday start with right oblique tightness.
And let's talk about some of these pitching schedule changes that came out on Monday.
Bailey Ober is set to start Tuesday against the Oakland A's.
Rocco Baldelli said that Kentomita would pitch in Religious.
Leaf at some point this week.
The twins have not played yet.
So get Kentima out of your lineups,
basically, right? Scott, if you can.
Yeah, I mean, that's
frustrating. Apparently, Bailey Ober's lined up for the
two starts now, but I doubt, I kind of doubt
that's going to happen.
At least don't make the one start against the athletics,
though. And that's a great one.
So I think if you picked up
Bailey Ober, you have him laying around,
look, if you need a pitcher to
and I think it's okay to get Bailey Ober in there.
Yeah.
And for the Dodgers,
game one of their double header in Coors Field
still listed as to be determined,
which sounds like Ryan Pepio will either start
or he'll be the bulk reliever.
I mean, the fact that it's still to be determined
leads me to believe he'll play the bulk relief role again.
But, you know,
that doesn't mean he won't go six innings
and pitch well.
So I'd rather start him than Bailey O'Ber.
even though it's at Coorsfield.
Yeah, because we still have that chance
that Ryan Pepio pitches a second time later this week
against the Giants.
And he's been, I guess, better than Bailey Ober
has been recently.
Bobby Miller, by the way, is set to start
the second game of that doubleheader on Tuesday night
in Corse Field.
Let's take our final break, Scott.
And when we return, your way too early,
first two rounds for the 2024 season,
we will discuss right after this.
Welcome back in
And as we've done
For the past couple of weeks
Going to continue working in some
Content for next season
Look we're still trying to help you win
For whoever's competing in the final week
But frankly there's not much else
To talk about and I think we've covered all of it so far
So let's talk about these first two rounds got
And this is for
We'll just preface it
12 teams
5 by 5 roto category leagues
I'll explain the differences
Between Head Dead Points Leagues
When we get through
these first two rounds.
But let's just go through the top six picks
that you have here.
Ronald de Cunia, obviously, no-brainer.
Number two overall, might surprise some people,
but it probably shouldn't.
Bobby Witt, Jr., second overall.
Here's what I'll read off the top six picks,
and then we can kind of go back and discuss some of them.
You have Julio Rodriguez third,
Corbyn Carroll, 4th,
who stole his 51st base of the season here on Monday.
And then you have Mookie Betts 5th,
and Freddie Freeman sixth.
So explain yourself, Scott.
Bobby Witt, second overall.
Yeah, I mean, I had been saying in recent weeks
that Mookie Betts was going to mean my number two player,
and it turns out he wasn't two or three or four.
He was five.
And I will specify this is for Categories leagues or Roto leagues.
In Points League's bets is my number two.
The big reason why I decided to put those others ahead of him,
Witt, Julio Rodriguez, Corbyn Carroll.
It's stolen bases.
I mean, stolen bases are more plentiful now,
but, you know, as much as we've talked about Ronald DeCunia being the fourth player ever
with 30 home runs and 50 steals, or I'm sorry, the third player ever with 30 homers and 50
steals in a season, and obviously he's exceeded those thresholds.
Bobby Witt's the fourth player ever with 30 homers and 50 steals in the season.
He hasn't done it yet, Scott.
You're right, but he will.
He's at 29 and 48.
I think he will.
He should do it just a week.
Yeah.
When I wrote those words, he's kind of slowed down, but he should.
And he's drastically underperformed his expected stats this year, too.
I mean, he's done a good job to make up ground and batting average in the second half.
But, I mean, Stack has makes him out to be like an easy 300 hitter.
I don't know, well, easy might be exaggerating, but it makes him out to be like a 300 hitter.
I don't know that you necessarily need Bobby Witt to do that
to justify the second overall pick
but it's just the amount of steals these guys can provide
Whit Rodriguez Carol. I mean, Carol's over 50 steals this season.
Rodriguez, he's showing 40 steel potential at least.
And like that is such,
even though steals are more plentiful,
even though I don't know that we have to sell our soul
for everyone with 20 steel potential
because there's just a lot more of them now.
When you're talking about 40 or 50 steals
while also providing first round production as a hitter
and all the other ways, the home runs,
the runs, the RBI.
Batting average a little ifier,
but maybe batting average too.
I think you're a fool to pass that up early in Roto leagues.
It's such a big bite out of that stolen base apple
and just makes your path much easier going forward.
It does come with a little more risk.
I mean, we've seen dramatic ups and downs both as a freshman and a sophomore for Julio Rodriguez.
I know why I said freshman as a rookie and a sophomore for Julio Rodriguez.
But the final numbers are where they are, and the final numbers are, I think, justifying a third overall pick here.
Carol, Corbyn Carroll, you know, kind of have some concerns about that shoulder.
Is that going to keep popping up again for him?
Is that going to reveal a longer-term injury at some point?
it's possible.
But this is a potential,
he might be the fifth player
to become a 30 homer 50 steel guy in a season.
He has that kind of upside.
And so I think the slightly elevated risk
for guys like Witt, Rodriguez, and Carol,
you know,
I think you have to be willing to accept that
for that big steals total in this scoring format.
So that's why Mookie Betts is only fifth
and Freddie Freeman is only sixth.
That said,
I think these top six, it's pretty hard to dispute.
I know the early mock, the few mock drafts we've seen already,
they haven't been exactly in this order.
And in fact, we've seen Freddie Freeman go as late as like 10th
and Mooky Betts as well.
But I have a hard time justifying putting them any lower
than I have them here, fifth and sixth.
I mean, they're not zeros for stolen bases.
They are monsters and everything else.
Freeman may be the home run production.
has been better in the past,
but he's the safest bet for batting average
and then he's going to score a ton of runs,
drive and a ton of runs,
batting high in the Dodgers lineup.
I do think it's unlikely
Mookie Bet sets a career high in home runs
for a third consecutive year,
so I think a step back is more likely than a step forward,
but he's going to retain second base eligibility
in addition to having outfield eligibility.
So once you get past those potential
30 homer
slash 40 or 50 steel guys
that quartet at the top
I think Betts and Freeman
make for very easy choices
after that.
Yeah, I would mostly agree with that
in the mock draft that I did,
Freddie Freeman went 12th overall to me.
I don't think that's going to happen
in many drafts.
Next year, I think
maybe in a mock draft,
people just didn't want to take
the boring Freddie Freeman kind of play.
But what he does
from accounting stats,
perspective, 125 run scored and a 332 batting average. Now, I wouldn't bet on Freeman repeating a
332, but I think he could still hit 315, 320. And that type of help in batting average
is just invaluable. That is, it's incredible. So if you can't get a huge stolen base output
from your first rounder, you need to make sure you get batting average from your first rounder.
Yeah. And so that's, I mean, Freeman, Freeman, like.
Like I said, he's the safest bet for that among the early round picks.
And I'll have Corbyn Carroll a little bit lower.
I talked about this recently.
It's nothing to do with his production.
His obviously top prospect coming into the year and he's lived up to it.
And then some, it's just that shoulder.
And the way that I draft is I like to kind of play it as safe as I possibly can in the first round.
So that'll just be for me, but I have no problem if anyone wants to rank him or draft him in the top five next year.
The back half of the first round includes Kyle Tucker.
Spencer Strider, Fernando Tatis, Aaron Judge, Corey Seeger, and your Don Alvarez.
Kyle Tucker, by the way, hit his 29th home run of the season here on Monday.
He also leads the American League with 110 RBI.
So finally, Dusty Baker, the season has put Kyle Tucker higher up in the lineup,
and obviously the counting stats have come through better.
But 29 homers, 29 steals.
I think, you know, hopefully he's a good bet to get to 30-30 by the end of this week.
a 281 batting average.
Doesn't have the monster kind of upside,
I think, that quartet at the top does, Scott.
But, man, Tucker, as a 30-30 guy in that lineup,
I think he's totally deserving of this spot here.
And then the other names, I mean, it's your first starting pitcher.
Fernando Tatis is going to be a fun discussion all offseason long.
Aaron Judge still has as much power as anybody.
Corey Seeger, obviously huge season,
but he's had some injury risk.
Same thing with Yurdon Alvarez.
You know, as good as he is, might be the best pure, like, power and hitter, just pure hitter combined in baseball.
But he has only played more than 135 games once in his career.
So I think we have to factor that in.
That's the only reason Alvarez is this low.
And I do think this group is more disputable than the first group of six, both the order and, you know, whether or not these even should be the next six names.
because there are some very interesting names coming up in round two.
Like I said, I only have two starting pitchers in my first 24, my first two rounds here.
Only two starting pitchers, Strider, who we mentioned here, and then Cole will see in round two.
And yet, it feels like there are more first round caliber hitters than can fit in round one.
And there are more second round caliber hitters that can fit in round two.
So it's a deep class of elite hitters that I still think is worth drafting.
I don't think you zig while everyone else is zagging.
I'm going to take the pitchers here because it's much harder to figure out who the best pitchers are.
But I do think there's a pretty steep drop off eventually among hitters,
and so you want to gobble up as many of these guys as you can.
But figuring out what order they should go in is going to be very tricky.
I did give Tucker the edge because he is, there are really no flaws
from a five-by-five perspective in Kyle Tucker's game.
Maybe he doesn't score quite as many runs because,
his on base skills are a little less
and he bats
he tends to bat not as high in the lineup
as some of these guys
but
he's going to give you power speed
RBI pretty good batting average
probably so he's just like a really safe
all around contributor
but Tatees
judge Seeger Alvarez
they probably all have more upside than Tucker
we've certainly seen that from Tatees
and Judge in the past
I mean Tatees we're
talking about what a
disappointing first season back.
This has been after the surgeries and the suspension last year.
But coming into Monday, 135 games, 25 homers, 29 steals.
I mean, he's still a pretty good bet for a 30-30 season.
It's not as much power as we've seen from him in the past.
And I do wonder how much maybe the PEDs boosted his power.
I mean, that's possible.
We don't know exactly the backstory with that or what effects it may have had.
Also, the fact that one of the surgeries he had torn labrum in the shoulder,
it's a difficult joint to get back to exactly where it was before.
And if that's kind of dragged down Tatis's power in a permanent way too,
and yet still seems like a 30-homer outcome is on the table.
He's only hit about 2.35 in the second half, so that's been pretty disappointing.
But I do think we look back at this Tatis.
ranking of number nine
at the end of next year and say,
man,
it was stupid to rank Tauti is that low.
I think that's very possible.
I have a lot of faith in Seeger.
I think,
you know,
some of the injury stuff,
Tommy John,
I think he had hip surgery too.
It's not all,
it's not all recurring types of injuries.
And I think,
I think he's as studly of a bad
as you can find.
No speed,
basically.
So that is the sacrifice you're making there.
But I think the batters who are going to give you the kind of stolen base outcome
that makes them worth elevating still in this more speed-saturated environment,
I think they're already gone at this point.
So just take this awesome hitter in Seeger, Phil Shortstop,
which isn't going to be as deep next year as we've gotten used to it being,
I think that's a good call.
I don't feel entirely comfortable having Seeger sandwiched in between Aaron Judge and Yorden Alvarez,
because I think in a lot of ways,
Aaron Judge and Jordan Alvarez are the same player.
But nonetheless, that's where I have them.
We have at least seen Judge get to 50 homers twice,
and Alvarez hasn't done that yet,
though I don't think it's outside the realm of possibility for Alvarez.
All right, let's run through this second round for next season.
And it starts with Matt Olson,
followed by Jose Ramirez, Trey Turner,
Garrett Cole, Shohei Otani, and Juan Soto.
obviously lots of question marks here as well as got Otani.
We have to figure out what happens in the off season.
Trey Turner was that brutal first half just due to him pressing first year of a big contract
in a obviously a new city in Philadelphia there as well.
People will look at Juan Soto and they'll say, no, you can't do the Juan Soto thing again.
If you look at his numbers where they're going to wind up this season overall,
I know the batting average, you know, probably a little disappointing at 273, but he's got
33 homers,
105 RBI,
11 steals,
he still has a
922 OPS.
So, and he's...
I don't think I am doing
the Juan Soto thing again.
I'm ranking him 18th,
not 8th.
And he's dropped,
yeah,
like he's dropped.
So I just think
some people kind of,
I don't know.
I think Juan Soto is just
like an easy player
to dislike for fantasy,
which I don't completely understand,
but your thoughts on,
on this group of six.
So where it really gets,
what I was saying before about,
okay, are these six at the end of round one,
the right six?
the ones who have a claim to that one of those spots instead
are the players who have a claim to one of those spots instead
are Matt Olson, Jose Ramirez,
who of course has been a standard in the first round in recent years,
and Trey Turner,
who has had a very nice finish to the season,
even though the overall numbers are going to be less than we're used to seeing,
and he's ranked more based on those overall numbers.
Did he get all the way back on track over the second half with the Phillies?
And so is this ranking him too low?
And I struggle with that.
I struggle with having Jose Ramirez this low
because if you just compare Jose Ramirez's numbers to years past,
he looks like basically the same player.
I don't think he's gotten worse so much as the hitter crop around him has gotten better.
I talked, I don't know, a day or two ago about how the high-end hitters
and fantasy points per game are higher this year than we've gotten used to seeing them in recent years.
So Jose Ramirez has stayed the same.
while other elite hitters have kind of surpassed him.
So that's how he's ended up 14th year.
There's nothing wrong with them.
It's just that he's not quite as,
his numbers aren't as eye-popping as some of those ahead of him,
including Matt Olson with the 50 homers.
I think it's unlikely,
I think the most likely scenario for Matt Olson
is he takes a step back next year.
He's, you know, maybe 40, 45 home runs instead of 50 to 55.
But I've baked that in here because if he's exactly,
if Matt Olson is exactly next year
who he was this year with the crazy
run production in that Braves lineup,
then he's an easy first rounder.
So I'm discounting a little here
by putting him 13th overall.
I know somebody asked me,
okay, Trey Turner,
I have Jose Ramirez ahead of Trey Turner here,
14th and 15th.
Why not Turner ahead of Ramirez
since he obviously has more stolen base upside?
Yeah, maybe.
I mean, I think there are more reasons,
to be concerned about the beginning decline for Turner than they're off for Ramirez,
because like I said, Ramirez seems like the same guy.
But I understand that argument, and when push comes to shove,
I may ultimately flip them, put Turner ahead just for that chance at like a 40-steal season
that Ramirez probably doesn't have.
And then obviously, well, Garrett Cole, that seemed like the appropriate place to put
him behind Olson Ramirez and Turner, the three first-round caliber bats,
who I have leading off the second round tier.
And then after that we have Shohei Otani, who of course is a first round caliber bat himself.
But I don't know when that bat's going to be available following the elbow surgery he just had.
And I'm not sure it's going to be quite at 100% following the elbow surgery he just had.
So he's been discounted here some as well at 17th, yet still ahead of Juan Soto at 18th.
And the back half of the second round includes Bryce Harper, Pete Alonzo, Jose Altuve,
Francisco Lindor, Raphael Devers, and Austin Wright.
Bryce Harper, the second half here.
He looks like he's all the way back.
He'll have first base eligibility for next season.
Pete Alonzo, the batting average kind of looks like an outlier this season compared to years past.
So if he can get back over 250 with those 45, maybe even push 50 home runs, I think that's possible.
Al Tuvae, he's kind of like Freddie Freeman at second base.
You know, he's like older.
I think people kind of just view him as boring.
But he's hitting well over 300 still.
he's on a 30 homer 25 steel pace over a full season.
So he's still getting it done.
Lindor, he's been a top 13 player two years in a row.
And then Devers and Riley, those guys are kind of like just high floor.
I feel like Scott, they're not going to give you steals, but 270, 280 plus, 35 homers, really good counting stats.
I think if you can get one of those huge steel total guys in the first four picks to kind of come back around with one of these just,
get those counting stats and some power.
I think it makes sense with like a Devers and Riley there.
So Harper Altuve were the ones that were easy for me to include here in round two,
which is why their 19th, 20th and 21, 21st.
It gets tricky after that.
So Lindor, Devers, Riley to round out round two.
As I was saying earlier, it feels like there are more second round caliber bats
that can fit in round two.
And so I'm kind of jumping ahead here a little bit.
But Ozzy Albiz, not here.
Cody Bellinger,
Boba Chet and Vladimir Guerrero,
who obviously had disappointing seasons,
but had been first round mainstays the past couple of years,
not even cracking round two.
So I feel like you could,
Marcus Simeon, who we mentioned earlier,
I feel like you could make an argument
for any of those guys over Devers and Riley
and maybe even Lendor.
And I want to dispute it too much.
I just,
I feel like there's less downside
with Devers and Riley
than some of those
other hitters we just name.
I mean, obviously,
they both outperformed
Bichette and Guerrero
by a pretty considerable margin.
And even Ozzy Albiz,
who the production
has been there for him,
I do think he's,
he's like at the maximum
power output he's capable of.
Like, he's totally maxed out
his power projection in.
So any normalization there
could cause him to not perform
quite like a second rounder.
So that's why I have Devers and Riley
head.
And Lindor's in here just because I feel like he's maybe,
he's one of your last chances at a considerable home run and stolen base total.
He's kind of come close to 30-30 this year.
And there aren't going to be too many players available in later, you know,
in round three and beyond who can reach those marks.
So that's why Lindor's this high.
I do want to point out something without two, Vick,
because he might raise an eyebrow for some people here at the end of round two
and going ahead of Ozzy Albiz and Marcus Simeon, etc.
In terms of fantasy points per game,
Jose Altuvae is behind only Acuna, Seeger, Betz, Otani, Olson, and Freeman.
He's seventh in head-to-head points per game,
and the six ahead of them I just named are basically the six guys
who are in the MVP conversation this year.
So, you know, he missed a lot of time with injuries earlier this year,
specifically the broken thumb, right?
I think it was a thumb.
This is not going to happen every year, obviously.
But Al-Tuve has certainly proven he is,
still an elite bat.
And this has been two years running
of him getting back to that standard.
So I think it's safe to target him
like a second round player
despite the time he's lost injuries
the past couple years.
Jose Altuvae,
75 run scored in 85 games played this year.
So, I mean,
still that lineup is producing
and he's getting on base.
He's making contact.
He still has power and some speed.
So yeah, I'm fully on board with that.
I know he's,
he's getting up there a little bit.
Al Tuve is, yeah, he turns 34 years old next year,
but there really are no signs of decline as of now for him.
What changes in a head-to-head points league for next season?
Scott mentioned Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman.
They move up to two and three overall.
Other names that move up, Aaron Judge, Corey Seeger,
Yordana Alvarez, Juan Soto, names that move down.
I think some of the obvious ones here in a points league,
Bobby Witt, Julio Rodriguez, Corby Carroll,
Fernando Tatis, Spencer Strider,
and then Marcus Semyon and Alex Breggman
actually sneak into the back half of the second round.
The Strider one, I thought, was kind of interesting, Scott.
Yeah, because I have him as a first rounder in the Roto,
and I have him as an early second rounder, right, in the head-to-head points.
Yep.
And so, the higher Roto ranking is really because he's such an outlier in strikeouts.
And obviously, that is a...
it's a category unto itself.
So if you can get that big of an advantage,
like if you're going to invest in a pitcher early,
you need to make sure he gives you a big strikeout advantage
and no pitcher does that better than strider.
Strikeouts aren't as valuable in points leagues,
at least the standard CBS settings,
because they're only half a point each.
So it doesn't mean they don't have value,
but they don't distinguish a pitcher by as much as they do
in Roto and categories league.
So I feel like Strider isn't as clear of a number one in the points league.
And I also think there's a lower threshold to meet to be a good points league option at starting pitcher.
So as a whole, you don't need to be as invested in the elite starting pitchers.
You can, you know, a lot of that glob is going to be more useful in a points league than it is going to be in a roto league.
So I think in general, paying up for the really elite arms is something that's going to be more justifiable in a Categories League,
even though we think of Points Leagues as being the more pitcher.
I don't know what the – it's the more pitcher-friendly format, but that doesn't always have the effect you think it does.
In this case, I'm saying it's going to make more pitchers, a larger number of pitchers usable than in Categor's Leagues.
All right, there you go.
A sneak peek in early look.
the first two rounds heading into 2024.
Let's wrap up one bullpen update.
Clay Holmes struck out two for his 20 second save of the year.
And here we go.
Streamers, to stream or not to stream on Tuesday.
This is according to MLB.com, which is usually pretty accurate, I would say.
We have Michael King at the Blue Jays.
I know there were some concerns.
He wasn't listed as the starter as of yesterday,
but he now is listed as the starter on Tuesday at the
Blue Jays, I think
Bailey Ober against the Oakland
A's, Brian Pepeyo
if he starts or
bulk relieves, I think those are probably
the top three in some order.
Yeah, I agree. I mean,
King is a must.
The other two, Ober and Pepio
probably still want to start him. I think they're good enough
that I'm not too afraid
of it, but King just looks like
he could be a league winner
here on this final week.
anybody else that you could talk yourself into
Josiah Gray at the Orioles
Tanner Halk is facing Tampa Bay
Joey Lucchese is going up against the Marlins
We have Reed Detmer's against the Rangers
Adrian Houser against the Cardinals
Maybe Houser actually
I mean the Cardinals lineup is the pits right now
Because Aeronado is done for the year
Contreras is done for the year
It's Goldschmidt and a bunch of kids basically
And I think there's a good chance
Hauser gives you five or six solid
innings. On Wednesday, we have
Ranger Suarez up against the Pirates.
We have Wade Miley against
those Cardinals. We have
no one else that I feel too great about,
but I'll mention Brandon Fott
at the White Sox. They
have been terrible in the second
half, but specifically against righties,
they've been really, really bad.
I don't know, Dane Dunning at the Angels.
Their lineup is not very good right now.
I don't know.
Yeah, I mean,
Ranger Suarez is the easy one here.
And I don't love any of the others.
I don't know that I'd want to risk it.
If you're asking me to pick a second and third from Wednesday,
I'm going to say,
I'm going to say Brandon Fott at the White Sox
just because that lineup is so bad.
And maybe Wade Miley against the Cardinals,
but I don't love either of those.
All right.
We're going to wrap there for Scott.
I am Frank.
Thanks as always for tuning in to Fantasy Baseball today.
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and we will be back again tomorrow.
Bye-bye.
