Fantasy Baseball Today - Ranking Breakout Pitchers & Rockies Promoting Prospect Jordan Beck! (4/30 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: April 30, 2024

This is the new Luis Severino (2:20). ... Max Fried looks pretty damn healthy (8:00). ... Nick Lodolo looks like one of the top breakout pitchers this season (10:55). ... The Rockies are promoting one... of their top prospects, outfielder Jordan Beck (18:35)! ... News (21:57): Gerrit Cole threw again over the weekend. ... How do we rank Lodolo, Bryce Miller, Ryan Pepiot and Garrett Crochet (27:10)? ... Let's discuss some hitters we haven't talked about like Jazz Chisholm and the struggling Rays (38:56). ... Colton Cowser and Michael Busch are cooling off (48:45). ... Who are the top waiver wire pitchers and hitters from Monday (51:10)? ... We wrap up with leftovers, bullpen updates, streamers and Team Name Tuesday (59:37). Fantasy Baseball Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday Download and Follow Fantasy Baseball Today on Spotify: https://sptfy.com/QiKv Get awesome Fantasy Baseball Today merch here: http://bit.ly/3y8dUqi Follow FBT on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fbtpod?_t=8WyMkPdKOJ1&_r=1 Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your lead. Now here's Frank, Scott, and Chris. You get a no-hit bid. You get a no-hit bid. Everybody gets a no-hit bid. Welcome in to Fantasy Baseball today on Tuesday, April 30th.
Starting point is 00:00:35 Frank Stamphill joined by Scott White and Chris Towers. Today on the show, we had three legitimate. no-hit bids. Let's rank some breakout pitchers, hitters we haven't talked about, and much more. Let's jump in. The impossible has happened. All right, Chris, you are up first. Player of the night. Oh, gosh, I'm up first. Who did I say I was going to pick? Luis Severino. One of the no-hit bids. Apologies for that. Yeah, and Louis-Severino. There's a lot more pressure when you go first. It's kind of caught off guard. I just, I looked away for a half,
Starting point is 00:01:10 half a second and all of a sudden the spotlight's on me. I'm totally unprepared. But yeah, Luis Severino through a one hitter over eight innings, took a no-hit bid into the seventh or the eighth inning, I believe of that one. And the Mets lost. So that's not great for the Mets,
Starting point is 00:01:29 but very good performance from Luis Severino, who I still can't really figure out. He got 13 whiffs on 101 pitches. That's fine. It's neither. great nor terrible. It's pretty good. He's throwing a sweeper a lot more rather than a slider. It was somewhat effective for him today, three whiffs on 14 pitches. But yeah, all in all, it's sort of similar to what we've talked about with Carlos Radon for a lot of the
Starting point is 00:02:00 season where there is a version of Luis Severino that we have seen be incredibly effective at the major league level. This guy was a legitimate top 12 fantasy ace at one point. point in his career. And the version of Luis Severino that we're watching right now, while being effective, is very, very different than the guy who was once a top 12 starting pitcher. And that is, it's, it's difficult to wrap my brain around what that means because my initial reaction is just, well, okay, then if Luis Severino can't be the guy he once was, I'm not going to be all that interested in Louis Severino. But that's probably being unfair, right?
Starting point is 00:02:44 Am I being unfair? No, I mean, that's my thought process entirely. He was, Louis Severino was a guy in his prime with the Yankees who had a wipeout pitch. A good fastball, very good fastball, but a wipeout slider. And it led to Ace production. And certainly seems like the wipeout slider is gone. And instead, he seems to be morphing into this sort of, uh, sort of, uh, Joe Musgrove, Chris Bassett, throw six pitches and hope some of them stick this time kind of starter.
Starting point is 00:03:16 You say he had 13 whiffs, but they were all, like, the pitches responsible for them were a little of everything. And I say it was a bunch of pitches and it was, but 65% combined four seamers and two seamers, if I'm remembering my notes correctly. yeah, combined 65% 4 seamers and 2 seamers and then just a bunch of like not so great off speed pitches that led to a really nice outcome and a fine width total.
Starting point is 00:03:51 It's a complete reinvention of the Luis Severino we knew and I don't think it's going to be as high upside as the Yankees one but could it be a quality pitcher for fantasy? Maybe. I'm a little more open to it now. You know what? it reminds me of though if we want to be pessimistic you remember the start of the 2022 season for noah noa cindergarde when he was pitching with the fillies yeah and he got off to like a pretty
Starting point is 00:04:21 solid start it was a 308 era but the strikeout rate was way down uh but he was like doing a good job limiting limiting hard contact he was getting ground balls he wasn't issuing walks and it was the same kind of discussion where it's like, well, it's not the version of Noah Cindergarde who used to be an ace, but maybe it can be ineffective. And it was pretty bad from that point on. And so I grant that I am potentially holding who Luis Severino used to be against who he is now. And that may be unfair. And that may be even just be bad analysis, right? Like, we should we should take what he's doing right now. And what he's doing right now is getting a lot of ground balls and doing a pretty good job of limiting walks. 2.83 walks per nine. It's not elite, but it's pretty good. 7.97k per nine.
Starting point is 00:05:16 That's pretty mediocre. But you put it all together and it's a 327 FIP and a 373 XFIP and probably in the same range for XERA. And so maybe he can be effective moving forward. But, but I believe I have Luis Severino in like the 60 to 70 range at starting pitcher. And while this was a very good start, it wasn't the kind of start that makes me want to change my mind about it. I think I have him in the same range. I think he probably deserves to be a little bit higher. I know we've thrown a lot of names out in terms of comp so far,
Starting point is 00:05:54 but looking at the total package today, it reminded me a lot of Jose Burrios, right? Where it's not, he's not elite at anything, but he's just kind of like solid at everything. He's 8K per 9. The walks are okay. He's getting ground balls.
Starting point is 00:06:08 It's a mid to high threes, FIP and X Fib. It reminds me a lot of Burrios. The only thing is we can't make declarative statements on Luis Severino because we haven't really seen this version of him for that long, right? I mean, if we were just, if Jose Berrios just appeared and we were assessing him by what we say,
Starting point is 00:06:26 it probably would not be a favorable assessment. It's just, We have the advantage of track record with him, and we don't have any kind of track record for this version of Luis Severino. But all in all, it was a great start for Luis Severino. It was also a great start for Max Fried, who will be my player of the night. He did not allow a hit. Six innings, no hits, two walks, seven strikeouts at the Mariners, 15 swinging strikes on 100 pitches. Nine of those coming on the fastball.
Starting point is 00:06:54 He only allowed two hard hits in this game. 75 mile per hour, average exit velocity. did a great job, obviously, of limiting hard contact. His last two starts now, 15 shutout innings, three hits allowed, two walks, 13 strikeouts. And this is now two starts in a row where he has basically scrapped the sweeper and the cutter, and we said this last week, Chris,
Starting point is 00:07:16 maybe less is more with Max Fried. Just go with what has got you to this point in your career, which he's always thrown a lot of pitches, but he was throwing even more pitches this year. So I think just sticking with like that four or five pitch, mix and doing what you know best, that's probably what is best for Max Freed. And in fact, in this start, he actually went fastball heavy, so changed it up again. But that fastball obviously was working and it was really good
Starting point is 00:07:40 for him. Scott, you weren't all last week when we recapped Max Fried's complete game. So this is your opportunity to what's the latest? How are you feeling about Max Fried? I don't know that we could say he's definitely passed any type of injury scare. But man, when you put two starts like this together, it makes you you feel a lot better, obviously. Yeah, two in a row from a pitcher with his track record. I'm feeling pretty good about Max Freed at this point, but it is strange to try and reconcile
Starting point is 00:08:10 what he was doing in this start with last start when he had a complete game shot out against the Marlins because what I noticed about that start was he had ditched the slower sweeper for a more conventional slider, and he said after the game that, yeah, that he He wasn't sure why he went away from the slider, that it's a really good pitch, and he guessed he had just kind of forgotten about it. So he planned to use the slider more was the takeaway there, and yet in this start,
Starting point is 00:08:38 he threw just 8% of his pitches were sliders. So he went really fastball heavy. And I'm kind of worried, I'm actually seeing this from a lot of pitchers, just getting away from the, here's your best pitches, use them a lot, to let me throw as many. pitches as possible and I feel like Max Fried is kind of falling into that as well but I
Starting point is 00:09:04 don't know hopefully he's trending the right direction again my initial takeaway a pitcher with this track record having two starts where he's allowed to combine three hits and 15 innings I mean you got to be encouraged by that absolutely yeah yep all right Scott let's stick with you who is your player of the night all right I think this is the olive garden bread stick and there's no best for last No question in my mind who, no question in my mind how we should be evaluating Nicolodolo. I think he is here and he is awesome. And what he did here today on Monday was allow just one hit in his seven innings of work,
Starting point is 00:09:50 struck out 12. 11. 11. I'm trying to go off memory here. Okay, yeah, one hit in the seven innings of work, see, I had all that time to prepare, and I wasn't prepared either. Struck out 11 in his seven innings of work,
Starting point is 00:10:06 22 swinging strikes on 99 pitches, including seven on the fastball, nine on the curveball, four on the change-up. And the stats aren't updated on baseball savant following this start, but I imagine with all those whiffs he got on his curveball, nine on all the curveballs, through, the whiff rate on both the curveball and change up might be over 50% now.
Starting point is 00:10:33 Over 50% on two pitches, over 40% on two pitches would be stunning. But to have that on over 50% on two, that points to a very high ceiling for Nick Lodolo. And of course, we already knew he had a very high ceiling. He was a very popular breakout pick last year. Now in 29 career starts, Nick Lodolo has five of his 29 starts, double-digit strikeout. That's a great rate. And I don't think we've seen the last of the double-digit strikeout effort from this year. I think the breakout is happening.
Starting point is 00:11:07 I think he's close to being must-start rest of the way. And if in your goofy Yahoo or ESPN league, he's somehow available. Obviously, you need to remedy that. He's only 7% available in CBS leagues because our users know what they're doing. Yeah, the change-up is, I think, the key thing. to watch because the curveball has been an elite swing and miss pitch for Lodolo the entire time he's been in the major. So it was 46% as a rookie, 45% in his limited time last year, 46% entering this start and he had a 60% whiff rate with it today. So curveball is an awesome pitch for him. The change
Starting point is 00:11:46 up had not been quite as good over the first two seasons. It hadn't been terrible, but it was much more of a show me pitch. He was throwing at about 10 to 12% of the time. this year, that rate has been up. It was 16% today, 16% entering this start. It's a weird change-up because most of the good change-ups you see, especially guys are killing the spin on the pitch, and that's how you create the, you know, the movement separation between your fastball. He has a really high spin change-ups, 21-200 RPMs, his foreseemers about 2,400.
Starting point is 00:12:24 So it's a different pitch. is definitely more of a hard power change-up, more like what you see from the Marlins guys, I guess. And so it's something to watch, but the early returns for Lodolo's change-up have been outstanding. My only concern with Nick Lodolo is this leg injury that he suffered last year,
Starting point is 00:12:49 a stress fracture that kept him out all of last year, and then it was kind of a problem coming into spring training. But the more I thought about it here on Monday night, just get as many good pitcher performances as you can while they're healthy. I just feel like every pitcher is a ticking time bomb right now. And so I'm not going to hold it against Ladolo. Like he's super talented. Just he's probably going to rank top 40 when I update my pitcher rankings later this week.
Starting point is 00:13:14 Yeah, I had him around 50 before this. And that's a really tough range of the rankings to move from right now. because I've got like Bryce Miller. Well, he can't move down. Mackenzie Gore. He's been very good. Reed Detmer's been two bad starts in a row, but we've seen a lot we like from him.
Starting point is 00:13:39 Hunter Green just had his best start of the season, all in that same range. So it's... I can get him in my top 40. I think I can. I think I can. But it's Rodon's sitting there at 41. That's an interesting one.
Starting point is 00:13:56 Yep. He is an interesting one here. I'd take them both over Rodon. And I'd move them both ahead of Gare Crochet. Walker Bueller, I have up in my top 40. He doesn't need to be there with the way he's looked on his rehab assignment. I could get Mitch Keller out of my top 40 pretty easily. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:14:11 Yeah. Moving them ahead of Mitch Keller is pretty easy. Yeah. That is actually we're foreshadowing a segment later on. We're going to rank four breakout pitchers. Bryce Miller is going to be one of them. Nicolodolo obviously one as well. Man, you say Kikuchi's been doing it for like five months going back.
Starting point is 00:14:26 to last year too. So that's a tough one to not rank in that range. It's a really... Ladolo has more upside than Kakuchi. From 30 to 50 is a really interesting range of starting pitchers. But yes, there is an argument to make for you say Kikkuchi. But here's a big R.A. guy, right?
Starting point is 00:14:42 With pretty good strikeout numbers. But like Ladolo could be an ace. I don't see an ace outcome for Kikuchi. Let's keep things moving. Quickly promote. If you're watching us live, thank you for being here. Make sure to like this video.
Starting point is 00:14:54 Subscribe to the channel if you haven't already. That's YouTube.com slash fantasy baseball today. And a reminder that you can always listen to FBT and our five-minute podcast, FBT and 5 on Spotify. Let's take our first break. When we return, another prospect promotion incoming. Let's talk about it right after this. Welcome back in. We have another prospect promotion coming on Tuesday.
Starting point is 00:15:17 The Rockies are expected to promote outfield prospect, Jordan Beck, with Nolan Jones likely being placed on the IL. Nolan Jones dealing with a back injury. Jordan Beck is 23 years old, former 38th overall pick in 2022. Has some power, has some speed. He was off to a nice start at AAA this year, batting 307 with five homers, five steals, a 99 OPS in 25 games. He struck out a lot last year, but has done a good job lowering the strikeouts this season. It's a 20% strikeout rate, 15% walk. So plate discipline has improved.
Starting point is 00:15:49 He hits the ball hard, 91.3, average exit velocity. Jordan Beck, only 13% rostered. Scott, what do you know about the player, the profile, and are you interested in adding Jordan Beck? Yeah, I would say it's not far behind my interest in Jordan Beck is not far behind my interest in Joey Loperfito, who was the prospect call-up we were talking about yesterday. And, you know, it's kind of interesting comparing the two
Starting point is 00:16:20 because they both have they both have power and speed upside. They both were 20-20 guys in the minors last year. Like you said, Beck's strikeout rate was a little on the high side as low perfidos has been until this year.
Starting point is 00:16:37 So Beck stands out for having the better play discipline now, good walk rates. That's been pretty consistent. But unlike low perfido, he doesn't have those huge exit velocity readings. that to me indicate certainly a higher power ceiling. Though, you know, with the kind of exit velocities Beck is producing, you could still be a fine power hitter.
Starting point is 00:17:03 It's just there's less margin for error there. Also, Jordan Beck obviously has the advantage, of course, field. But has the disadvantage of just the stink of the Rockies player game. Right element. Right. The stink of the Rockies player development and the stink of the Rockies lineup. Yeah. Well, and the stink of the fact that the Rockies just don't put good players in their lineup. Right. I mean, I think Jordan Beck's going to play a lot. I don't, like, I've never really been a Hunter Goodman guy. I don't think, I don't think there's much there. And I understand why the Rockies haven't bothered to play him. But Jordan Beck is like, he's a different caliber of prospect.
Starting point is 00:17:45 Yeah, a different caliber of prospect, somebody that they regard as a future face of the franchise type. Maybe that's a little strong. But he's a centerpiece. He's a centerpiece. That would be the best way of saying it. So I think he's going to play a lot. I don't think he's coming up to sit. But is it, does he have enough help to really maximize his outputs?
Starting point is 00:18:08 So that's part of the reason why I prefer Loporfito, even though I suspect Lopifido is going to sit against some lefties early. on there. There are less assurances of playing time there. I think the ultimate ceiling for low perfido is higher, even accounting for the difference in venue. And I think Beck will have a harder time maximizing his potential in just in the situation that he's in. Fair enough. The news and notes, Gary Cole threw on Flatground again on Saturday. Aaron Boone said the session went, quote, really well. Good news from Garikol. Yohan Duran will likely be activated on Tuesday.
Starting point is 00:18:49 He's spent the entire season on the IL with an oblique strain. Jesus Lazzardo was diagnosed with a mild flexor strain in his left elbow. It's considered good news, and in fact, Lazzardo played catch on Monday. Zach Allen threw a bullpen session on Monday. He left his start over the weekend with hamstring spasms, but indicated he believes he'll be ready for his next start on Wednesday, which unfortunately is against the Dodgers.
Starting point is 00:19:14 Kodai Seng it threw a 21-pitch live batting practice and said he thinks he'll return from the 60-day IL when first eligible on May 27. Paul Seawald is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Wednesday. He was previously put on hold after experiencing soreness. It's possible Justin Steele will rejoin the Cubs rotation after his rehab start at AAA on Wednesday. This one out of nowhere. Udarvis just announced will return to start on Tuesday against the Reds. He threw a few bullpens over the weekend. did not need a rehab assignment, so U. Darvish is back.
Starting point is 00:19:48 Christian Yelich played catch from 120 feet on Monday. He's on the aisle with a lower back strain and remains without a timetable. Ray's manager, Kevin Cash, said the news on Josh Lowe's MRI was, quote, pretty good, and the team is monitoring him day-to-day. Lowe is dealing with tightness in his right hamstring. Salvador Perez was scratched Monday due to back tightness. Craig Kimball is day-to-day with upper back tightness. Zach Gelloff, who's on the aisle with a strained left oblique,
Starting point is 00:20:16 is currently shut down from baseball activity and is on track to miss more than the minimum 10 days. Tommy Edmund took swings off a tee from both sides of the plate last week. He's still attempting to recover from off-season surgery on his right wrist. Alex Verdugo was placed on the paternity list on Monday and will miss between one and three days. Orioles manager Brandon Hyde confirmed that John Means will be activated to rejoin the rotation later this week.
Starting point is 00:20:42 he's made six rehab starts at AAA, and it has not gone well. In 868, ERA, a 155 whip, 33% rostered is John Means. Chris... However, however, so the overall stateline is terrible. His most recent start, 7-1 hit innings with 8 strikeouts, I believe. So, you know, he was going through his spring training, and maybe things finally clicked in the last start, And that's what's precipitating the call up now.
Starting point is 00:21:13 And look, unless you're in one of the leagues where Eric Fetty is somehow still available or Reese Olson or those guys we talked about, like, there haven't been over the last four or five days a ton of like, wow, I need to go add this guy off waivers, pitching performances. So I would rather stash Taj Tj Bradley, who's 34% rostered than John Means. But, yeah, I'm, we really haven't seen John Means. pitch in the new dimensions of Camden yards, which should benefit him quite a bit because his biggest issue was keeping the ball in the yards. Right. It's like they set it up that way just for him. I think expectations should be relatively low.
Starting point is 00:22:00 Yeah. I think there's definitely upside. And also like maybe Ryan Mowcastle needs to start charging John Means for the money he's costing him if that's the reason why they move the fences back. Yeah. Hasn't been an issue for Mountcastle this season. No, he's been solid. I was watching that game in the ninth inning.
Starting point is 00:22:19 It's a two-run game. Oswaldo Cabrera hit a fly ball, which would have been out in the old Camden. So, I mean, it's frustrating. I'm not going to complain because the Orioles are playing with the same exact ballpark, so it is what it is. But yeah, it was kind of annoying to watch as a Yankee fan, I guess. Tim Anderson.
Starting point is 00:22:36 And I want to echo Chris's point that I don't think, I don't think most of the people, listening need to pick up John Means. I think you know, if you're in the kind of league where you're still figuring out who to drop Ryan Weathers for, okay, I would drop Ryan Weathers for John Means. But I don't think most people listening are in that kind of league
Starting point is 00:22:56 and they would probably be dropping a more interesting pitcher. But, you know, things could go well for John Means. As a high fly ball pitcher with great control pitching in a park that now seems well suited. for those skills. We just got to make sure he's good first because the minor league rehab assignment does, even though the last start was great,
Starting point is 00:23:20 you know, it does raise the question of whether he's going to be back to who he was at this point a couple years ago. A couple of their news items, Tim Anderson was removed Monday with a mild left thumb sprain and Junior Camerro had a big game on Sunday at AAA. He went four for five with a double dung.
Starting point is 00:23:38 And overall, he's batting 313, with a 95.2 average exit velocity. Hopefully we see him up with the raise soon. Let's rank these breakout pitchers. We already spoke about Nicola Dolo, who was awesome on Monday night, as was Bryce Miller, who took a no-hitter into the seventh inning
Starting point is 00:23:56 against the Braves. Awesome start here. Seven innings, two hits, one run aloud, 10 strikeouts to one walk, had 17 swinging strikes on 97 pitches, just full-on George Kirby bowed, 15 of those 17 swinging strikes on the fastball. It was nasty in this start.
Starting point is 00:24:16 Ryan Pepio has turned in three straight quality starts. He was at the Brewers. Six shot out innings, two hits, zero walks, seven strikeouts for him, 11 swinging strikes. He's been a tough one for me to figure out. He had just one whiff combined on his changeup and his slider, but his fastball has been really, really good with Tampa Bay.
Starting point is 00:24:34 So maybe that's just the answer. I don't know. And Garrett Crochet had his best. start a while. It was a solid outing. Five innings, two runs allowed, seven strikeouts had 13 swinging strikes on 77 pitches, did a much better job, limiting hard contact than this one. And oddly enough, you know, he didn't really have his slider working at all in this start. It was actually his fastball that was just on. Chris, how would you rank these four breakout pitchers from this year?
Starting point is 00:25:02 Garret Crochet, Ryan Pepeo, Bryce Miller, and Nick Lidolo. All right, I'm trying to log in to to our rankings tool to confirm. All right. I'm in. Don't look at how you rank them before today. How you're going to rank them later in the week. So I think Ryan Pepio is one of the most difficult players in fantasy to figure out right now.
Starting point is 00:25:24 Because like you said, so much of his success is coming just from the fastball. And it's not like Bryce Miller early last season where he's throwing the fastball 80% of the time. Or even Bryce Miller today when he threw the ball, the fastball 60% of the time. He's throwing it about. 50% of the time, but he, like, a 40 plus percent whiff rate with a fastball is not sustainable for a starting pitcher. I'm saying that very confidently. It's possible someone has had a 40% whiff rate
Starting point is 00:25:55 with a four-seem fastball over a full season, but I'd guess it's pretty unlikely. And so that's going to regress at some point. I feel very confident in that. And it's just a question of what, whether the slider and change up can take a step forward and, make up for what he's lacking there because I do think the strikeouts are going to be harder to come by when that happens. So I think I would rank him fourth of this group. I think it's probably Miller Lodolo Crochet in like the 40 to 45 range at starting pitcher
Starting point is 00:26:36 and then probably Pepio a little lower. but in a head-to-head points league where Pepio is RP eligible. So is Crochet. Crochet is as well. I think you could make a case to rank both of those guys ahead of Lodolo and Miller solely because that RP eligibility is going to matter even more. I was going to rank Pepio first of this group. Interesting.
Starting point is 00:27:01 But I don't know. Maybe you've talked me out of it. I just, you know, because this change up is supposed to be his best pitch. And I wonder if the change-up is helping the fastball to play up. It doesn't look like the movement profile on the change-up has been quite the same as last year. So it just may not have all of its effectiveness right now. But Pepio has been very good. Yeah, it's weird.
Starting point is 00:27:34 I mean, a 40% whiff rate on a fastball is ridiculous. And you normally expect it a ridiculous. a ridiculous whiff rate on a fastball to come from a true fireballer like a Bryce Miller or a garret crochet rather than somebody like Ryan Pepe. So I guess it is kind of weird, but I don't know.
Starting point is 00:27:52 I think he's good. I think he'll figure it out. And I think he won't run into certainly the workload issues of a garret crochet. Will Bryce Miller have workload issues? I don't know. It's like I still wonder if Bryce Miller is still just too much fastball as good of a fastball as it is. Like is there enough?
Starting point is 00:28:17 Yeah. I mean, this was the first start where he looked like last year's version. Right. Because he had been mixing in that splitter especially a lot more because last year it was like 60% foreseamer and like 20% slider. and the slider's just not a good pitch for him, and he's mostly ditched it. I think he threw it one time today. And maybe I shouldn't hold that.
Starting point is 00:28:44 I mean, he was obviously blowing the fastball by the Braves hitters, so why would he stop throwing it? Yeah, it's, I think Garrett Crochet has to be fourth of this group, if nothing else. And I say that is probably the biggest Garrett Crochet fan on the podcast. I think a bounce back start like this was inevitable, but the twins limited him to only five innings, even though he had 77 pitches through five.
Starting point is 00:29:09 Sorry, the White Sox limited him to only five innings because they got to think about the workload there for old Garrett Crochet. And just to throw in some context about Ryan Pepeyo's fastball, which again, presumably after tonight is over a 40% whiff rate. And last year among pitchers who ended at least 100 plate appearances with their forcing fastball, the weird way that baseball savant allows you to sort it. Felix Bautista had the highest forcing fastball whiff rate at 38%. Felix Bautista is notably a closer.
Starting point is 00:29:46 Number two was Brian and Brayu, also a reliever. Number three, Rafael Montero, also a reliever. The highest for a starter last year was Luis Castillo at 33%. So I'm not going to say Ryan Pepeo can't sustain a 40% at whiff rate with his four-seem fastball, it's exceedingly unlikely that he's going to. And so he's going to need the change up and slider to step up. I feel a little bit about him the way I felt about Bryce Miller last year,
Starting point is 00:30:18 where I think he needs one of the secondaries to improve Miller. It's been the splitter this year. I think that's a really good pitch for him, so I have a lot of faith in that. So yeah, I think I said Miller, Lodolo, Crochet, Pepio, I'm fine with Pepio ahead of Crochet. but I think the top two is more settled for me. All right. I'm going to say something,
Starting point is 00:30:41 and hopefully this doesn't come back to bite me, but I kind of think Bryce Miller is a cell high. Just some of the underlying stuff. I know he's a flyball pitcher, but a 179 BABIP is really low. He was a fly ball pitcher last year, and it was, I think, a 280 Babbab. His left on base percentage is 91.7%.
Starting point is 00:31:00 League average is 71%. So those things are going to, regress. I mean, obviously, he's not going to pitch to a 204 ERA, but his FIP is 383. I mean, if Bryce Miller pitched to a 380 ERA the rest of the year, that's a good pitcher. Might not be a top 40 starting pitcher. So I would make the sell high argument for Bryce Miller. Sure. If you can, I mean, I'm just getting so concerned about Joe Musgrove. Like, would you do that if you could? Would you trade Bryce Miller for Musgrove? Or is that not selling high enough? No. No, I think if I'm buying low on Musgrove at this point, it is.
Starting point is 00:31:34 it is dirt cheap. I'm not giving a potential high-end pitcher and Bryce Miller. I would consider it for Blake Snell, who I know is currently injured and that changes things. So I would have to have some depth that's starting pitcher.
Starting point is 00:31:51 But like if I'm... You'd consider giving up Bryce Miller for Blake's snow? Yeah. Okay. If I'm, but if I'm chasing upside, I don't think Bryce Miller has Blake Snell upside, certainly. What about Bassett?
Starting point is 00:32:02 Is that not high-end enough either. Like, I just think you can get Bassett for cheaper right now. Yeah, I'm going to rank Bassett ahead of Miller, but I don't think I'd do that trait. Okay. Maybe like a Justin's steel. I would have to do it, right? Like, I don't, I don't, I think I'm going to drop Bassett behind Miller.
Starting point is 00:32:22 Okay. Even though I have a lot of faith in Bassett bouncing back, I guess. I guess I'm just more interested in the upside arms if push comes to shove. Uh, kind of what you were saying earlier, Frank. just take the high-end results while you could get them. Yeah, I get that. Even though Bassett's more likely to last longer than any of these guys. And so, yeah, look, I think the kind of leagues we play in,
Starting point is 00:32:50 nobody's going to sell low on Bassett. Like, we can't really pull off buy low trades, sell high trades so much in our leagues. And so it kind of skews our perspective. and I think somebody in like the average listener league can get Bassett for very little. And that's, I mean, I don't even know what to throw out there. Like one of the worst four players on their roster could potentially get them Bassett.
Starting point is 00:33:17 Yeah. All right. Well, just going to throw it out there. I think there will be some regression. At some point, with that being said, I'm probably going to rank Bryce Miller as a top 40 starting pitcher later on in the week. Let's take our final break when we return. some hitters we haven't talked about that,
Starting point is 00:33:31 haven't talked about, we'll do that right after this. Welcome back in, let's run through some hitters. We haven't talked about much this season. Jazz Chisholm has homered in back-to-back games. He went one for four with his fourth home run, added two RBI. He's batting 2.45, he's got four homers, five steals. He's been serviceable against lefties, hitting 233, but two of his four home runs so far,
Starting point is 00:33:54 actually walking a lot more this season as well. Chris, anything that you've seen, I feel like this is pretty standard what we were expecting from jazz around a 250 batting average with power and speed, right? Yeah, I think it would be fair to qualify this as a disappointing start for Jazz Chisholm, just because I think you're always hoping that a guy that's that talented is going to be a difference maker. And he hasn't been so far, even if overall he's probably playing close to what a reasonable expectation would be. So, yeah, I don't know. I think he's fine. I'm,
Starting point is 00:34:29 to a large extent, I'm sort of out on jazz chisholm breaking out as a massive mega superstar, just saying he has enough holes in his profile. But, you know, he is what he is. He's a top 100-ish overall player.
Starting point is 00:34:50 He's a must-start outfielder. He's good. He's just, I just don't know if he's great. Christopher Morell blasted a clutch home run off of Edwin Diaz in the ninth inning. He went one for four. That was his fourth home run. He added two RBI. Christopher Morel batting just 212 overall on the season so far. He's got a 6.59 OPS. But some pretty encouraging things under the hood. The plate discipline looks much better.
Starting point is 00:35:13 The strikeout rate around 21%. Zone contact and swinging strike rate are much improved so far for Morel. Still hitting the ball hard, not as hard as he has in years past. Still 93% rostered is Christopher Morel. Scott, if I'm in a deeper league or a five outfielder league, basically a roto-sized lineup with a corner infielder, I might try and buy on Christopher Merle. I like some of the things under the hood right now. Yeah, I would definitely consider Christopher Morel a buy-low.
Starting point is 00:35:46 I've already bought him in one league. I think we just have to remember Christopher Morel's history, which has been a history of extreme highs and lows, which is often the case for batters who strike out as much as Christopher Morel does. I mean, the fact his exit velocities are a little lower in the past when he hasn't really gotten going yet, I take that as a very encouraging sign, actually. Maybe this home run will be the start of a three-week stretch where Christopher Lowe hits 10 home runs because that's what he's capable of doing.
Starting point is 00:36:16 We've seen it each of the last two years. My biggest concern for Morel, like, going into last off season is would he get to, to play consistently enough because he hadn't gotten to in his time with the Cubs yet. They would move him in and out defensive concerns and the streakiness didn't help with that. But it seems like Craig Counsel, a new manager obviously is committed to playing him. And so I think the results are going to be very favorable in the long run, if he can live with the highs and lows. Justin Turner had himself a big game, two for five with a double dong and three RBI.
Starting point is 00:36:51 He is betting 311 with four homers and a 923 OPS. Just doing what Justin Turner does. I mean, he goes outside the top 250 picks every year, and then all he does is show up and he hits well. We got to come up with a name for this type of player, because there's always a couple, like, to a much lesser extent, like Carlos Santana is kind of a similar situation where like Justin Turner is obviously a lot better.
Starting point is 00:37:18 But these are guys who sort of get forgotten about during draft season. that we might not have said the name Justin Turner once after he signed with the Blue Jays. And every year he's just a really, really good player. And I mentioned Carlos Santana because last year he got off to this really bad start. From June 1st on, he was like a 780 OPS with a 30 homers pace and he's hit five homers in his last four games, five, four in his last five, something like that. Four in his last five. And so there's always these guys who we overlook. draft season for good reason.
Starting point is 00:37:57 We know who they are, and it's harder to dream. There, he can't keep getting away with it, players. Kind of, but it's, in Justin Turner's case, I don't even know if it's that nobody thought he would be good this year. It's just that it's so easy to talk yourself into so many other guys when, no, I mean, when you don't have to start them. My own approach with Justin Turner is, he can't keep kidding. Like he's getting too old.
Starting point is 00:38:27 He's been hurt often enough in his past that I just don't trust him to stay healthy. And maybe he just collapses in on himself this year. It's similar to Nelson Cruz. It's similar to David Ortiz toward the end of his career, though I was always buying in on David Ortiz. Look, eventually, it did end for Nelson Cruz. Yes. It did end for David Ortiz. We just didn't see it.
Starting point is 00:38:57 I assume if David Ortiz was playing right now, he would not be a good hitter. I'm not, I'm not convinced assumption. I'm not convinced, Chris. But like, when I look at ADP and I see like,
Starting point is 00:39:10 and these are fine players who I drafted in a handful, like Carlos Corray and Jonathan India and Luis Renhifo and Lars Neutbar and Jared Kellnick all going ahead of him, it's just like, yeah, we talk our, We talk ourselves into what could be. And then every year, Justin Turner just comes down.
Starting point is 00:39:29 He's like, yeah, but here's what is. And I think it's a limitation in the way that we collectively think about players. I mean, I'm not ruling out Lars Neupar having the breakout season that many hoped for, just because it hasn't happened yet. He could be Justin Turner. I haven't ruled out a two-month injury for Justin Turner. You know, like I don't want to declare a final verdict. Like Lars Newbar just had.
Starting point is 00:39:59 If I wasn't a two-month injury, obviously. But yeah, I don't want to declare a final verdict until we reached the end of the season on that. But yeah, so far Turner's been plenty useful. What is going on with these two raise hitters? Yandi Diaz and Randy Arosurana. Diaz went 0 for 2 with a walk and a run scored. He is batting 228 with a five.
Starting point is 00:40:21 97 OPS. 61% ground ball rate is just killing Andy Diaz right now. And a Rosarena, he's hitting 148. He does have some power and speed so far. Three homers, four steals. A 477 OPS. I mean,
Starting point is 00:40:37 oh gosh, he is killing people right now. The batted ball data is out of whack. It's lots of infield fly balls, a lack of line drives for a Rose Arena. To a much more elite rate, Randy and Rosarena is a lot like Christopher Morel
Starting point is 00:40:55 where he has just been incredibly shrieky over the course of his career. He has these months where he's just really, really bad. I would be looking to buy on both right now because I think the only way the Ray's lineup is going to go is up. Once they get Josh Lowe back, once Junior Camerro gets called up, Brandon Lau returns to this lineup. I think the only way this lineup is going to go is up, so I would still be looking to buy low on both of these names. It gets back to what I was saying yesterday.
Starting point is 00:41:22 I trust everyone, everything to regress to the mean. And unless there's an underlying skill change or an underlying process change that makes him basically a different player, neither of which I'm seeing with Randy and Rosarena, I trust him to regress to the mean. In this case, meaning in a positive direction. And so, yeah, I think this is a great time to buy on him. I wouldn't necessarily be opposed to sitting him until we saw him get going but I don't think you're going to be sitting him for long. I will say two things.
Starting point is 00:41:58 One, the race city connect jerseys are incredible. If you haven't seen them, go check them out. It's everything about them. No city connect jerseys are incredible. The Marlins are incredible. The Ray, the Florida teams nailed their city connect jerseys. There's a little cat and he's like got a skate.
Starting point is 00:42:18 board and then the stingray's got a skateboard and the stingray's also a bridge it's so cool all right i'm much more likely to buy randy a rana than yadi dyes um because ranaa rosa rana has a much longer track record of being an impact fantasy player before last season yondi dyes was fine he was a fine fantasy player but not someone that we were ever really particularly excited about and so it's mostly comes down to I'm more, like, I think both will regress to a mean.
Starting point is 00:42:52 I'm more confident that I know Randy a Rosarena's mean is an impact fantasy player. Whereas Yondi Diaz, oh, I hope 2023 is the mean he can regress to. That was his career season. I don't see that as the mean for Yon DiS.
Starting point is 00:43:08 I do see a high batting average is the mean for Yandi Diaz. But like if he regresses to 2020, Yeah. Really good batting average. Everything else was pretty mediocre. So I'm certainly not banging down the door trying to draft. Yeah, Idi Diaz right now. All right. Two hitters who are cooling off lately. Colton Kouser went 0 for two with a walk and a strikeout in his last 11 games. He is batting 161 with a 37% strikeout rate. The other name, close your ears, Scott. You might want to go for a walk. Michael Bush. He has cooled off 0 for 3 with two strikeouts in this one.
Starting point is 00:43:43 for his last eight games, betting 138 with zero homers, a 42% strikeout rate during that time. I'm actually not overly concerned. I think this is probably just part of the ebbs and flows of a baseball season. The strikeouts are slightly concerning, but even with that, the expected stats for both of these guys are still really, really good. So the thing with Michael Bush,
Starting point is 00:44:05 baseball savant on every player's page, has a little graph on the bottom right at the top where it's the rolling ex-woba. And I love this because it gives you, here's what their last 50, 100, 250 play appearances look like. And if you go basically at the midpoint of the month of April, his expected Wobos 484. That makes sense. He was awesome. Last 50 plate appearances as of today, 309.
Starting point is 00:44:34 That's, this is the concern. Yeah, like he's cold, obviously. But the concern here is that as with Yanni Diaz and Randy, or Rosarena, where we expect them to arrest their mean. Michael Bush and Colton Couser are also regressing, and it's just we don't know what the mean is for either of these guys. No, we don't, but we can feel pretty optimistic about it based on their minor league production and their prospect standing, I think.
Starting point is 00:45:05 And, you know, the fact that they still impact the ball very well, which I think certainly since the juice ball era ended is the biggest. is the most important thing a hitter can do. So I feel confident Bush will bounce back. I may have gotten a little too eager putting him inside my top 15 at both third base and first base. And I'll probably have to pull him down some. But top 20 needs to be rostered in all roto leagues with a corner infield spot. I would still stick with that.
Starting point is 00:45:43 If you picked up Bush in a head-to-head points league, okay, he can probably do better. All right, let's get into the Waverwire options from Monday night. There wasn't too much going on with both the pitchers and the hitters. But speaking of which, the Waverwire pitchers, Clark Schmidt, was solid at the Orioles five-and-two-thirds innings, one-run, five strikeouts, with 11 swinging strikes. Jamison Tyone picked up his first quality start.
Starting point is 00:46:07 He was at the Mets, seven-and-a-third, one run allowed, one walk, one strikeout, only three swinging strikes, and Jake Irvin has a quality start in three of his last four outings. He was at the Marlins, six innings, two runs, three strikeouts for him, only four swinging strikes. Like I said, not the most exciting group here, but Chris, any interest in Jake Irvin, Jameson, Tyone, Clark Schmidt? Clark Schmidt's the only one that I have much interest in,
Starting point is 00:46:35 and I think even much interest is probably a stretch. she's 66% rostered right now. He's a two-star pitcher, so you tend to see two-star pitchers with any kind of skill set, see a jump in roster rate. It's almost like two-star pitchers matter or something. Yeah, I don't think
Starting point is 00:46:53 Clark Schmidt is really someone you need to go out and add if he's available in your league. He's fine, but the command isn't great. The strikeouts are pretty good, but not elite. Good start against the Orioles, like as far as that goes, but he hasn't, I don't think he's finished a sixth inning yet this season.
Starting point is 00:47:12 This was his longest start of the season, I believe. So he struggles a lot third time through the order. I think there's probably just a very limited ceiling here. Can we drop these pitchers? I think we may have been duped by Bailey Falter. He was at the Oakland days five. Who's we? Wait, we sounds like a lot of people.
Starting point is 00:47:31 We being the collective. Because I don't remember. Maybe I'm wrong. Scott White and. Well, I thought it was a good time. I thought this week made for a good time to put to the test the theory that anybody can succeed against the worst lineups in the majors this year. And Bailey falters two matchups this week were Oakland and Colorado, away from course field, obviously. And so I decided, okay, you know, he's been pitching well.
Starting point is 00:48:01 I don't think he's good. But let's put the theory to the test with two matchups as good as those. Maybe even Bailey Falter will have a good week. He didn't rank particularly high among my sleeper pitchers, but I did pick them up in a couple 15 teamers just for the two starts. Early returns, not the greatest. It wasn't a total disaster, but it wasn't a good start. It was not, and I did the same thing, Scott.
Starting point is 00:48:27 I picked up Bailey Falter and a few 15 teamers. Did not work out here. He's up to 54% rostered. If you picked him up for the two-star week, I think you could drop him. James Paxson, why is he still 91% roster? There is no good reason for it. It's got to be Dodgers.
Starting point is 00:48:44 That's it. That is the only reason. He was at the DBA's low. But yeah, three walks now with five plus, I'm sorry, three starts now with five plus walks. And a swinging strike rate of less than 8%. 22 walks to 15 strikeouts on the season. And like,
Starting point is 00:49:02 not to do a like the portions, the food was terrible and the portions were so small. But like, he's also like pitching every seventh day this season. Yeah. So it's also like he's not, even if he was good, there would be a limit to his utility,
Starting point is 00:49:19 but he's been really bad. So yeah, I don't, I've been questioning why James Paxton's this rostered for a long time. And yeah, he's not even in my top 125 starting pitchers at this point. 91% rostered,
Starting point is 00:49:35 drop him. He can go. Get him out of here. Drop him for Eric Fetty. Drop him for Reese Holson. Drop him for John Means. You guys good with that? Anyone. Drop him for Scott White.
Starting point is 00:49:46 Drop him for Taiwan Walker. No, I don't do that. I wonder if there's still a Scott White in the system. There used to be a Red Sox prospect, third baseman named Scott White, but I think they finally. But no,
Starting point is 00:49:57 in all seriousness, like, I would rather have James and Tyone than James Paxon at this point. I might rather have, have Bryce Wilson than James Paxton at this point. You're going a little further than I would,
Starting point is 00:50:11 but any decent any decent waiver wire pickup for James Paxton is fine. No Scott White in the CBS system. I just looked at it. Yeah, it was quite a while ago. But I used to have like,
Starting point is 00:50:26 it used to hyperlink my name whenever I was referenced in an article. Link people to that player page. It was, it was annoying. Waiverwire hitters, Jorxon ProFar, continues to hit well, one for four with his fourth home run. He's batting over 300. He's got an 887 OPS. He is 63% rostered. The other name here. Luis Renhifo has been off and running. He would one for three with his eighth stolen base of the season. The Angels are currently seventh as a team in steals and had been pretty aggressive under Ron Washington.
Starting point is 00:50:55 In fact, Mike Trout still another base here on Monday. Luis Renhifo has second, third, shortstop and outfield eligibility. He's 46% rostered. Scott, do these rostered? rates need to be higher for either. ProFAR 63% Renhifo 46. I'd be more likely to say Renhifo, but I don't think he has any points league appeal. And I think pro far is totally fake, big regression candidate, but the other way from, from who is I referring to earlier, a Rosarena. Rosa Rana is going to regress in a good way, pro far in a bad way, because I don't see any underlying skill or process change. So, uh, glad you've enjoyed this production so far, but don't expect it to last.
Starting point is 00:51:41 Yeah, we did a version of this with Juerks and Pro Fire almost exactly two years ago, where he had five home runs in like the first 18, 19 games of the season and had a 928 OPS and all of his home runs were like three feet past the wall. And it didn't last. I think we know who this guy is. If both him and Renhifa were available, I'd much rather have. have run hepo. Three names in deeper leagues. Jacob Young continues to feast on the base paths. He went one for four with his with two steals. He now has 12 steals total in 21 games the
Starting point is 00:52:17 season. He is 23% rostered. Carlos Santana, as we mentioned earlier, has homered in four of his past five games. And Tyler Nevin, the son of Phil Nevin, went two for three with his third home run. You pick Phil Nevin fan, you pointed out every time. I don't know why I do that. But you know what? I was a Phil Nevin fan. I always liked him as a player. The player or the manager? The player.
Starting point is 00:52:45 Okay. He was good on those late 90s Padres teams. Jackson Holiday, son of that holiday. Vladimir Guerrero, son of Vladimir Guerrero. I don't know if you guys know that. All right, Scott. Tyler Nevin, the grandson of, no, I don't know his grandfather is. He is betting 300 so far.
Starting point is 00:53:02 Mike Estrimski, the grandson of Carl Yistremski. All right. Does Tyler and Evan matter? Come on. Tyler and Evan, Santana and Jacob Young. Anything? I'm starting Tyler and Evan in an AL only league. I picked him up in that format. I picked him up in Tout Wars. Let's go for us. I don't think you. I don't think it really matters. So I think Carlos Santana might matter. And I think Jacob Young probably matters in Roto, just because stolen bases are valuable. But like I mentioned with Carlos Santana, he got off to a really miserable start last season. He had a 678 OPS at the end of May from
Starting point is 00:53:37 June 1st on, he hit 20 homers in his final 97 games, hit 247, the 780 OPS, 162 game pace was 97 runs, 33 home runs, 104 RBI. Carlos Santana was probably a must-start player from June 1st on last season. Now, nobody really bought into it and certainly coming off of, in, out of the off season, nobody bought it. But I, he had several horrible years prior to that. But I think there's probably still enough here that if you add him because you're desperate for a corner infielder, I think he can help. All right. Let's get into the rest of the leftovers from Monday. Grayson Rodriguez was solid against the Yankees, five and two third shutout innings with three strikeouts.
Starting point is 00:54:26 And according to Stackass, he ditched his cutter completely in the start and went back to using a traditional slider 18. percent of the time. But I don't know how true that is. Yeah, there were a lot of issues like that over the weekend, just misclassifications that then got corrected the next day. So I kind of assume that's what was happening with Grayson Rodriguez here. I've been a little underwhelmed, to be honest, with Grayson Rodriguez. The walk rate is over three per nine.
Starting point is 00:54:56 None of his individual pitches is really like lighting it up. His overall swinging strike rate is very good. It's actually higher than last year. And I'm not saying like he's hurtling toward a disaster. I just, you know, people were drafting him as the next emergent ace, and I'm just not seeing it from him yet. Yeah, like he started out in the top 24, and he has moved up in the rankings for me just because of attrition.
Starting point is 00:55:27 But Grayson-Rourgas is not a player. I've actively moved up and I've moved a couple of guys ahead of him. So it's kind of like what I said about Jazz Chisholm earlier, where Grayson Rodriguez is probably pitching to what your reasonable expectation for him could have been the one four whip, I guess is not. But 371 ERA, like that was probably the reasonable hope or expectation for him. But I think he's been disappointing because you hoped for more. I think that's fair.
Starting point is 00:55:55 Joe Ryan turned in a quality start at the White Sox, six innings, two runs, three strikeouts. Looks like he did not have his best fastball in this one. Still managed a quality start. And Christopher Sanchez has looked rather pedestrian
Starting point is 00:56:07 two starts in a row. He was at the Angels, five innings, four runs, two walks, one strikeout, just one swinging strike on 75 pitches.
Starting point is 00:56:16 Did not have either of his secondaries, which is a problem because the change-up is far and away his best pitch. And at this point, he's got a 153 whip.
Starting point is 00:56:26 I still think there's a good amount of talent here. but perhaps more volatility than I have let on. So this spring, one thing that Christopher Sanchez said, because he was throwing harder, and one of the things that he said was,
Starting point is 00:56:39 well, if I can't command my pitches, I'll just stop throwing as hard, and it'll be fine. It might be time to start doing that. Yeah, because his change up command has been really bad, the last couple of starts,
Starting point is 00:56:51 especially. His command in general, and this one was pretty bad. And honestly, from watching it, it felt like this should have been worse. then four on runs in five innings. I'm not going to say you definitely have to drop Christopher Sanchez, but...
Starting point is 00:57:06 It's in the discussion. Yeah, given how many guys have definitely overtaken him, including I'm ranking Ranger Suarez ahead of him. Obviously, all the guys we talked about earlier... Resulson? Resulson, I think, ranks ahead of him now. Like, if the Red Sox rotation was healthy, I think all of those guys would be ahead of him,
Starting point is 00:57:28 but definitely Cutter Crawford and Tanner Halk who are healthy right now. U. Darvish is back from the IL. I'm going to rank him ahead of Christopher Sill. I'm just trying to think in terms of realistic pickups for her. Yeah, no, no, that's the thing is I'm not sure there are that many guys to add. It's Fettie or Olson, basically. And if either of those guys are available, I think I would add them and drop Christopher Sanchez. I would not, but I'm kind of the Christopher Sanchez.
Starting point is 00:57:52 Well, it's, I think Chris is, what Chris is saying is right, where like it's, the extra velocity has not only compromised his elite command. I mean, reducing the velocity is what led to this unexpected breakout for Sanchez last year. And the increase is impacted his command. The walk rate's way up. But it's also impacted the effectiveness of his pitches, which may be related to command. But like it's just, it's done nothing at all good for him and several things bad for him. I will point out if you're looking for reason for hope with Christopher Sanchez.
Starting point is 00:58:28 his ERA estimators are all excellent 298 FIP 340 X FIP he entered the day with a 274 XERA that hasn't been updated yet but all those are great
Starting point is 00:58:43 partly it's just because he allowed his first home run he didn't have any home runs prior to this game Monday so good for Joe Adele for for finally getting to Christopher Sanchez but but that's
Starting point is 00:58:58 reason for optimum. Like, it probably should sit him for now if you're not dropping him and hope that he starts throwing it softer. But this is another guy that we have a very, very small sample size of success with. Yeah. You know, it was like, what, two and a half, three months at the end of last season? And there is an underlying skill and process change, I guess you could say here. That makes even that minimal track record, it puts it in doubt.
Starting point is 00:59:26 All right. Some bullpen updates from Monday's action. for the Orioles. No Craig Kimbrel. Yaneer Canoe recorded four outs across the seventh and eighth innings. He started the ninth but allowed a single and was pulled for lefty, Danny Kulom, who got three straight outs for his first save of the season. For the Cubs, Hector Nairis got the ninth with a two-run lead. He walked two, but struck out two.
Starting point is 00:59:46 For his fourth save, remains 43% rostered. For the Blue Jays, Jordan Romano and Yemi Garcia were unavailable. Eric Swanson pitched in the eighth with a two-run lead. He gave up a solo homer. It was Nate Pearson who got the ninth with a one-run lead. He gave up two singles but picked up his first save of this season. For the twins, Griffin Jacks got the eighth with the game tied. He allowed a single and a walk, but he got out of it.
Starting point is 01:00:10 Lefty Caleb Thielbar then got the ninth. With a one-run lead, he gave up a walk and a single but converted his second save. Yohan Duran should be back here on Tuesday. Thank God. For the raise. Jason Adam got the ninth with a one-run lead. He gave up a hit and a walk, but struck out two for his. his first save. He is 32%
Starting point is 01:00:30 rostered. Who would you guys rather have between Hector Nerris and Jason Adam? Well, I think Adam's a better pitcher. You know what? But we don't know if or when Pete Fairbanks is going to be back. So I'll take Jason
Starting point is 01:00:45 Adam. But Adam didn't get the first say. Naris has been every save chance since they made the switch. Now, Narris has more walks than innings pitch so far, which will have to change for him to hold on to the closer role. But with his track record, I expected to.
Starting point is 01:01:06 So I'm actually going to lean Neris here over Adam. For the Braves with Riesel Iglesias unavailable, it was A.J. Minter who was called on for the save in a one-run game. He promptly gave up a two-run homer to Mitch Garver. Nice moment for Garver. He looks so relieved as soon as he hit the ball. It's obviously been a struggle for him so far. And then for the Angels, Carlos Estevez got the ninth with a two-run lead. he gave up one run on two hits but picked up his fifth save of the season. To stream or not to stream on Tuesday
Starting point is 01:01:33 and I think yesterday we said Spencer Turnbull at the Angels John Gray against the Nationals Ryan Feltoner at the Marlins I could start many many pitchers against the Marlins and Ryan Feltoner is included in that group. I'm not
Starting point is 01:01:56 co-signing to Feltoner. My favorite is John Gray. I'll just throw Javier Assad at the Mets out there and Simeon Woods Richardson at the White Sox as well as well as well as in. Kyle Gibson at Detroit. For Wednesday, we have not the best options. Yeah. I mean, Ashcrafts at the Padres.
Starting point is 01:02:20 Hini at the Nationals. I mean, I know CJ Abrams is crushing lefties and Joey Gallo is not there. So there's two strikeouts taken off the time. but I yeah I don't I don't necessarily like any of this mighta could be fine the Cardinals aren't good his last start was good right Luis He'll get strikeouts but at Baltimore at what cost that's a tough spot twin priester at the Oakland days like louis heel literally has a 20% walk rate right now I'm pretty sure yeah stay away from Wednesday I stream a Wednesday pitcher I think you're just running the risk of wrecking your ratios yeah Ram Ashcraft is who I'd come closest to doing. Yeah, I could see a good Quinn Priester start, but I don't want it. Let's wrap up with Team Name Tuesday.
Starting point is 01:03:05 We are getting a lot of submissions. Majority of them are not appropriate for the podcast. So, yeah, I respond to people. I say, yeah, these are funny, but, you know, I can't read them. From Matt, Williare Team Win? Will your team win? Sure. Reagan's Nomics. Yep.
Starting point is 01:03:24 Muncie TV. Yeah, sure. Lux. What's that one? Like must see TV, like, oh, okay. NBC's Thursday night lineup. Lux sheets.
Starting point is 01:03:34 That's not appropriate for this podcast. It was in the 90s. It's long gone. I have to ginkle. That's a good one. From Michael, Fott knocker. Okay, I guess, yeah.
Starting point is 01:03:52 I guess it's like Fart Knocker. Yeah, I guess that's what that is. Honeynut Chorios. Yeah, you got to get those Cheerios team names in. While you can. I like a good cereal team name. Before you get sent down. From Mike, you stay Class A, San Diego.
Starting point is 01:04:07 Or Yuki stay Class A San Diego. They're both in San Diego. Yeah, you works better. From Kurt, head for the Mount Castle of Bush. Ah. Yeah. Yes. And then we have a bunch from Adam.
Starting point is 01:04:25 Welcome to the Black Parade. That's excellent. Hit me by... Hit me bybee one more time. Excellent. Hoping for Raleigh so I can see my Bibi tonight. Very good one. Waterburger.
Starting point is 01:04:39 Yep. Boom goes the dynamite. Yes. Duran Duran Duran. Edmonds Donuts. I don't know this one. I don't either. Entomins?
Starting point is 01:04:51 Is that what we're going for? If you guys don't know it... Love their soft-baked cookies. Oh, so good. Oh, the little chocolate. My uncle used to have the box, and every time we'd go over there, just climb up on the fridge when we were kids, eat like 12 of them. Those little chocolate donuts are so good from Edmonds.
Starting point is 01:05:08 Love them. Morton, here's a who. Yep. Porsche Caminero. Yep. Morell of the story. Yep. Yep.
Starting point is 01:05:15 No, that's excellent stuff all the way around. All right. We're going to wrap there for Scott and Chris. I am Frank. Thanks as always for tuning into fantasy baseball today. Please make sure to follow and leave a five-star rating on Apple or Spotify, and we'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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