Fantasy Baseball Today - Replacing Soroka, Adell Called Up; Transformation Tuesday (08/04 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: August 4, 2020

We start off the show by bowing our heads for Mike Soroka's torn achilles. Should you try and buy him on the cheap in a dynasty/keeper league (3:28)? ... How are we replacing Soroka in redraft leagues (8:23)? Should we have interest in Alec Mills after another fine start? Who are some realistic trade options? ... The other big news was Jo Adell, one of baseball's top prospects, is reportedly getting called up by the Angels (14:35). What are our expectations? How much FAAB should you spend on him? ... Shohei Ohtani is shut down for the next four weeks with a flexor pronator mass in his throwing arm (2!:00). Should he be dropped? ... Other news and notes includes the Cardinals who are currently dealing with a COVID outbreak of their own (22:13). Also, Rich Hill is injured and Jose Quintana is working his way back. ... Onto Monday's standouts, why is Corbin Burnes coming out of the bullpen (25:30)!? How good can Gio Urshela and Mike Yastrzemski be? ... Should there be any concern over Gerrit Cole's lack of swinging strikes early on (32:50)? ... It's Transformation Tuesday (39:13)! Is it time to "buy-high" on Dylan Bundy? Joey Gallo looks like a different player early on as well. ... When it comes to bullpens on Monday, Rowan Wick picked up the save for the Cubs while Jairo Diaz was not so great (46:38). ... Email us at [e-mail]. Subscribe to our new YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday 'Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @CBSFantasyBB, @AdamAizer, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Download our printable Draft Kit from CBSSports.com/draftkit! To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Welcome to the fantasy baseball today podcast from CBS Sports. I drive, center field, and swing. This is magnificent. Got a fantasy question? Email fantasy baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy becomes reality. Now here's Frank, Scott, Chris, and Adam.

Joe Adele, a devastating injury, and another COVID outbreak in baseball. Just your every day in 2020. Welcome to Fantasy. baseball today on a Tuesday. August 4th, Frank Stamphill here alongside Scott White and Chris Towers. Guys, I would ask you where you want to start, but I'm just going to open up the floor to Scott because as soon as he joined this little soiree that we're having here, he is quite sad. So, Scott, I will just give the floor to you regarding Mike Soroka, who has been confirmed a torn Achilles. Yikes. Yeah, I'm glad we could get that confirmation in,

right before we went on, although it seemed pretty apparent just watching the replay. You saw, you saw it snap, basically mid-calf. Yeah, anytime you see that plant and then the guy just doesn't go anywhere,

usually what it means. This is bad. This is bad. Frankly, I'd rather him have a torn UCL. This is, torn Achilles is pretty much across sports, the most difficult injury to come back from. It's like it robs the player of certain base athleticism.

You know, Adam Wainwright had it. He was pretty old at the time. But obviously his stuff is not where it used to be. Dellen Batanzas is coming back from it now. And clearly his stuff isn't where it used to be. Mike Sorok is a very young man, 21, I believe. So that'll help. But I mean, this is beyond just season-ending injury.

This is like career-altering stuff for, you know, a guy who I thought was going to be a top or at least the number two in my team's rotation for a very long time. So, you know, shifting back to fantasy. There are dynasty implications, I would think. if I'm worried about his longevity and his ability to bounce back from this as a Braves fan, you've got to worry about it in a dynasty league too.

Will Mike Soroka ever be the same? And I can't say that with confidence. In fact, I don't have much confidence at all. He will. So that's something to think about. That's something to think about. If somebody comes at you thinking they're making a buy low offer, something to think of that.

Adding insult to injury, Scott. You said he might be 21 years old. Well, he is 22. And we're recording this on the night of August 3rd. Tomorrow is August 4th. That's when you're listening to this. But it's actually Mike Siroka's birthday. So insult to injury, he's turning 23 years old on Tuesday, August 4th.

Gosh. I mean, yeah, it's a tough situation all around. For the Braves, for fantasy owners, he's likely your, you know, SP3 for fantasy purposes. Scott, you brought up some of the implications on how this will affect people

in Dynasty and Keeper Leagues. If you are, and you already kind of touched on it, you don't know how he's going to bounce back from this. But if you're a team that is rebuilding, would you try and buy low on him

in that type of setting right now? It depends how low. I mean, if somebody's listening to me right now and saying, oh my gosh, I'll never be the same again. I got to dump him for whatever I could get. I will be on the

receiving end of whatever I can get. That kind of trade, sure. But, you know, Soroka was a prized dynasty asset because of his youth, because of very strong rookie season, strong prospect pedigree. You know, I, it's just hard to say. It's just hard to say. I think dynasty context, you downgrade him. Like, I'm to the point with Tommy John surgery, particularly for a starting pitcher where

if somebody has that, it kind of freezes them in time for me, their value. I know it doesn't always work out that way. But it does often enough that I will always be on the receiving end of a by-low deal for a guy who just suffered Tommy John's surgery. And this is not that. This doesn't have that kind of track record. In fact, the track record it does have is very poor.

If I may. Go ahead. The problem with analyzing the torniquet, Achilles or the ruptured Achilles is in most sports, it usually happens to older players. It's, you know, you think of the highest profile ones. Adam Wainwright and Ryan Howard come to mind in Major League Baseball. And then I've been doing some research. Johan Santana did, had one in 2015 when he was trying to come back, Mark Mulder the

year before. It's usually an old injury. Mark Mulder wasn't that old. Is that one ruined Mark Mulder? No, no, it was 2014 when he sucked. So it was after he became bad. Yeah, yeah. I would say the one that I can think of that,

and obviously this is not a scientific analysis, but Zach Britton is one guy who ruptured as Achilles. I want to say it was in 2017. And then he came back and, I mean, he hasn't been quite the same Zach Britain, but he's been really good over the last two seasons. 231 ERA, and he was in his 30s when he suffered the injury, or 29. So, you know, just giving me a little hope here, Chris.

Something to think about. Adam Wainwright, you know, he, it's hard to say whether that injury hastened his demise or, but he's pitched four years since it. So, you know, the, this is an injury you usually see among basketball players, right? that's most commonly where we see. And football players. And one thing that I've noticed over the last couple of years is successful returns have become much more frequent.

It's not a guarantee, but, you know, Wesley Matthews in the NBA suffered one. DeMarcus cousins suffered one and came back and was at least, you know, able to play at a decent level. So yeah, it's not the death sentence. It used to be like your career might be over if you suffer this at 25. Yeah. It's not bad. I'm concerned about him being able to.

to make it back at some point next year. I would guess not the start, but it's not out of the realm of possibility. It's just what is he going to look like? Is he ever going to be the same? And I think, you know, it was a different injury, but I feel like Michael Paneda,

you know, he suffered a bad shoulder injury very early in his career after looking like, you know, he was going to be an ace for a long time. And he still got back to being a usable fantasy picture, but he was never the same. And I just wonder if it's going to play out similarly for Mike Soroka, albeit a different injury, of course. Yeah, I'm a little bit more optimistic, honestly, Scott.

You know, Chris hit on it that, you know, the advancements in medicine and technology have really helped people bounce back from the torniquiles. I remember Steve Smith, wide receiver in the NFL. He bounced back from that in his mid-30s. I mean, you know, he's built differently. Terrell Suggs, has come back from it twice. Yeah, Soroka's young enough, man. Soroka's high-level player.

Soroka's young enough. So, I mean... This has been good emotional. therapy for me. I appreciate it, guys. I hope you're right. The problem is he just wasn't that good to begin with. Hey, now. Oh, come on. Don't go there. Scott had him on his all-decade team for the 2020s. I will defend his honor. And now, like, now if he doesn't come back, that, there's no arguing with that career stat line. He could have been the greatest. No, I mean, I, look, I, obviously, I hope he comes back full strength. And, you know, if you're in a dynasty league, you definitely

downgrade him. But I wouldn't give him away for nothing. Right. I agree with that. In redraft leagues, we've talked a lot about starting pitchers that you can pick up recently. Tyler, Chatwood, Christian Javier, Zach Plesack, who pitched tonight and had a quality start against the Cincinnati Reds. These players are owned in less than 60% of CBS leagues. Spencer Turnbull, Yusei Kukuchi, Brady Singer, Kyle Freeland, again, all names that we've talked about. In deeper leagues, Chris Buebich, Daniel Ponce de Leon. I think you could look at.

How about Alec Mills? Let's talk about Alec Mills from tonight. and seven innings pitch, three hits. You're the Alec Mills guy. I don't know what. You're the one Alec Mills guy. We've got to give him some credit. He's the one.

We've got to give him credit. I mean, seven shutout innings, four strikeouts. It does come against the Kansas City Royals. So you take it with a grain of salt. It does not get a lot of swings and misses. But he had nine ground ballouts. That counts, right? He hasn't gotten a lot of swings and misses.

He had last year in nine appearances, I think four of them starts. He had a swinging strike rate of 12. which put him like in the Lance Lynn Trevor Bauer range. So he had them last year. They haven't been there this year. And so that makes me skeptical of what he's done so far. But he was he was low key interesting to me coming in,

Alec Mills, because he had a good swinging strike rate and a great ground ball rate. And that's like the ideal combination for me in 2020. Still getting the ground balls. I don't know if the swinging strikes are going to come back in a more, you know, stretched out role like he's in now. It's not like his velocity. He's down from last year.

So I'm not, I'm not sure why they weren't there before, why they were there before and they're not there now. But it does make me skeptical of how good Mills has been so far, allowing just five hits and 13 innings. I mean, obviously that can't last if you're giving up that much contact. It couldn't last anyway. So, you know, I'm not, I'm not totally dismissing Alec Mills,

but this is not, if he is good, this is not the way he's going to be good. He is on the very bottom of the list of players you mentioned. So even behind Kyle Freeland, who you laughed at me yesterday for bringing up? Yeah, I would rather have Kyle Freeland. Interesting. Okay, I was going to ask you guys if you have one available.

Like, who is the most realistic starting pitcher? Say that you own Soroka and you're kind of freaking out right now and you're saying, okay, I have an excess of talent somewhere on my team. I have a glut of outfielders, and I'm looking to make a trade, and I'm trying to acquire a starting pitcher. Who is the most realistic starting pitcher that you think that you can acquire right now on the cheap? For me, entering tonight, I was going to say Frankie Montas. I don't know if you could still get him for cheap,

because he was pretty good tonight. Six innings of one-run ball. It comes against the Seattle Mariners, which is a good start. The walks have still been in issue form. Seven innings of one-run ball, mind you. nine strikeouts. He now has, he had four walks in this game. He has nine walks over his first three starts.

You know, if someone sees this, they're probably not selling Frankie Montas. They probably weren't anyway. But he was someone that I was looking at trying to acquire. Scott, is there anyone that comes to mind for you if you're just freaking out as a Soroka owner? Oh, it would have to be, it would be somebody who's actually been, like, the thing is, I was worried about Frankie Montas because he wasn't throwing many splitters and that was the key to his success. But, like, he didn't allow many runs. in any of his first three starts.

So I don't think the average Frankie Montas owner was probably freaking out. And he threw 18 splitters today. And it was his most effective pitch today. I don't know if it was just behind because of the weird ramp up. But I'm okay with Montas now, I think. So yeah, looking back to your question, somebody who, like, I don't know. I've been seeing weird comments about Aaron Nola lately, who's made only one start

and I'm not sure why anybody would be downgrading him based on that obviously the Phillies were shut down for a while I have no reason to think Aaron Nola's less than I thought he was coming into the season but I can see how you could get him for cheap just because some you know

the person who has him is used to being without him already. Wait until after his next start. I never saw a good explanation for it. I never saw a good explanation for it but it seemed like people were just kind of out on Nola. You know, at the end of draft season. His ADP was...

He fell in a lot of drafts that I did. Like, into like the 60 range. And I don't know why. I would say wait until after his next start, which is going to come against the Yankees in Yankee Stadium. So the way that the Yankees are swinging the bats right now, you know, I don't know how successful that start is going to be, but I would not be surprised if it's not a great start for Aaron Nola.

I wouldn't want to chance it personally. All right. Because if Nola goes out and and shuts down the Yankees, then obviously he's off limits. And the bottom line is whether he's good against the Yankees or not, I think Aaron Nola's good. So I'd make the play for him now.

If it doesn't work out, and he gets rocked by the Yankees, well, maybe you have another chance to make a play for him. I would also look into Charlie Morton. Mm-hmm. I would look into Jjunjun Riu, who I think is still good and who I think is kind of a Mike Soroka clone, actually.

And I would look into Blake Snell if you could get him for really cheap. I'm worried about how long it's going to take him to build up, but if you can get to five innings plus sooner than later, then he's somebody you're going to want to start every time out. If the person in your league who has Walker Bueller starting to panic, you know, put out a feeler. I mean, it's not crazy.

He went tonight against the San Diego, Padres lineup, by the way, has been pretty impressive, I would say, through the first couple of weeks of the season. And Walker Bueller, five innings, three hits, three earned, three walks, three strikeouts. You don't like the three walks there for Bueller, but, you know, he's slowly being built back up. I can't disagree. I mean, if you get him on the cheap, sure, I don't know how realistic it is. But it doesn't hurt to try.

Those are a few names that you can target if you lost out on Mike Sroka. The other big name from today mentioned it at the top. Joe Adele, one of the top prospects in all of baseball, is reportedly being called up to the majors for the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. It's, okay, the Anaheim Angels. And former first round pick, career 298 hitter in the minors, 878 OPS, struggled with his first taste in AAA last season, just a 676 OPS there. Very small sample size, only 27 games.

Scott, how excited should we be about Joe Adele? and how much fab are you willing to spend on him if people have fab running the next couple of days? So I'm usually pretty enthusiastic whenever there's a big prospect call up like this. I'm usually rushing to put in claims for him everywhere. And I'm less so with Joe Adele because it was so miserable for him at AAA last year.

No home runs in over 100 of Bath, like a 32% strikeout rate. A little better in the AFL in the offseason Arizona Fall League, but still not awesome, not like, not like you expect a guy knocking on the door to the majors. So I'm, I was not expecting to see him this quickly.

He was not somebody I was, I was thinking would, would get the call before like Dylan Carlson. You know, I wasn't sure he'd make it up this year at all. So, you know, anytime somebody with this kind of prospect pedigree gets called up, like,

it makes sense just in case he lives up to his potential right away to go ahead and put in a claim and, you know, have him stashed away. Like this, if you don't, somebody else is going to. And, you know, if it doesn't work out, you can move on pretty quickly. So from that perspective, sure. I think he's, he's rostered in less than 60% of leagues, but he was only available in one of ours. And I do have, it's actually not a fab league. It's just a waivers league.

so I have a claim put in for him. But I'm not hoping for that much. My expectations are low. I will point out, he's struggled. He's had some injury issues in the minor, especially last season. He had a pretty serious,

I want to say it was a hamstring and ankle injury that he suffered in spring training. Got his season off to a late start. I think he might not have played until May or June. But he was great at AA before he got a moved up. He has barely played. He's only played 224 minor league games across three seasons and never more than 63 games at any level.

So that's the one thing I would point out with regards to his struggles at AAA last season. He's been advanced incredibly aggressively at a very young age. He was a 20-year-old at AAA with fewer than 200 games under his belt and had been a consistent low 900's high 800s OPS bat at every stop before that. You're looking at someone who, despite all of that, has averaged about 25 homers and 20 steals per 150 games.

So it's a very, very enticing skill set for fans. So how much fad percentage would you put on him? Chris, Scott. If we're talking to five outfield or league, You know, that's obviously the easiest format to make a case to pick him up. And I would go 15, 20%. Yeah, that's what I was singing too. What do you think, Chris?

Fab. Yeah, that sounds fine. He actually, I have him stashed in a handful of leagues. I'm pretty happy about this. I almost dropped him in Tout Wars this weekend. If I had bit a few extra dollars on, I don't know, Cole Sulzer or somebody like that, that would have been gone. Imagine dropping Joe Adele for Cole Solcer.

Look, it's tough. I get it in a 15-team league. You're trying to pick up saves. I get it, Scott. I don't think we've mentioned it, but he is like the number two prospect in baseball by most. Oh, yeah. Like top five at least. Yeah, top five. I think Keith Law has him too. I think he's two from baseball America, too.

And baseball prospectus is either two or three. He's the point being, he is a Elohimenez, Luis Robert, kind of prospect. Well, when you say it like that, Chris, it sounds like, We need to get him on three outfield rosters too, head-to-head points leagues. Would you agree with that? It's harder because his does seem to be more of a power speed combination. It's unclear what the plate discipline will look like. So I don't know how great of a points league player he will be from day one.

But look, the point is, if you've got the roster spot, add him everywhere. Because if Joe Adele does hit his 70th percentile. outcome. He's going to be a must-start player in any form. I don't we're at risk of talking too long about Joe Adele, but that's really where it gets tricky, because you can't be sure he's going to be good enough to put in your lineup right away. And in those points leagues, it's difficult to put, to have a hitter, a bench hitter on your roster. And, you know, if you just won a hard fought battle for like Mike Yistremski or Christian Javier, and that's your low player.

Right now, that's the guy you'd be dropping for O'Dell. I'd hesitate on that. I don't know that I could do that. Now, the league I'm bidding on him, it is a points league, and I had somebody worse than those two that I could drop, thankfully. But I could see how some people in those shallower leagues, particularly a points league, wouldn't be able to make room for Joe O'Dell. And I will just say these six-person benches in this season are not cutting it.

It's wild. This is not enough. You guys. Between postponements and COVID symptoms and stomach ailments and actual injuries and torn Achilles, it's 2020 in a nutshell. If you haven't noticed by now, we are giving Susan the night off in our, oh, my goodness, gracious player of the night. Let me know how you feel about that segment. I think we're at risk of overusing it. I don't want to play it out too much.

Tweet at me at Roto underscore Frank. Let's got no two at CBS Scott White and Chris at C-Towers, CBSD. other injury that came out today. Shohay Otani, we heard a little bit about it last night that he was going for an MRI. He is dealing with a flexer-pronator mass in his throwing arm, whatever that means, and we'll be shut down

from throwing for four to six weeks. He is day-to-day regarding his DH duties, and I think that's partially the reason why we're seeing Joe Adele being called up right now. He was clearly not right. He had eight walks compared to five outs recorded on the season.

Scott, are you dropping show Hey Otani and CBS leagues where he has the starting pitcher and DH eligibility together. Not roto leagues. I think lineups, the need for hitters is, you need so many hitters that he's still going to be worthwhile, especially since he'll probably play more regularly. That's what he saw last year when he was out with Tommy John surgery. This kind of clarifies his value almost. Yeah, I mean, that was in the second half of his rookie season in 2018.

he also started running a lot more once he stopped pitching. So there could be a silver lining on that gray cloud. So, Roto Leagues, for sure, you guys are holding points leagues. Dump home, Scott? Probably, yeah. Yeah. As of the latest round of testing for the Cardinals, seven players and six staff members have been confirmed as positive.

The Cardinals versus Tigers series, their four-game series this week has been postponed. The MLB is tentatively planning for the Cardinals to resume their season, August 7th this weekend against the Chicago Cubs. Cross your fingers, I don't know if that's actually going to happen. Something we spoke about yesterday, you wanted to get

all of your cardinals and at least the tigers out of your lineup. We'll see what happens with the Cubs. Rich Hill has been scratched. Stop me, if you heard that before, from his scheduled start on Tuesday versus the pirates due to mild fatigue and backsorness. Mild fatigue. I got your mild fatigue right here. Mild fatigue. Look,

this is our fault. we kept saying. Yeah. We have no one to blame about ourselves. He can make it through 60 games. What were we thinking? That's our fault. 40, you get fatigued after one start.

Whatever, it was the right call. Whatever. Are we holding on to Rich Hill, guys? Yeah. Yes. Yeah. All right, would you drop Rich Hill for Joe Adele? Hmm.

It's based off your roster. Do you have a league where you have more I must, yes, assuming a scenario where Rich Hill is clearly your most dropable player. Yes, I would do. Definitely in a roto league for Joe Adel. I think so too. Points league. I'd rather not drop Rich Hill because when he starts, he still should be good.

It's just you're going to, he's going to drive you crazy. There's no doubt. There is no doubt he is going to drive you crazy. White Sox activated outfieler, Nomar Mizarra from the 10-day injured list on Monday. Mike Musakis, Corey Seeger, Adelberto Monis. and Ozzy Albies were all day-to-day entering Monday's action, and they were all in their respective lineups. On the other hand, Mookie Betz was not in the lineup for the Dodgers,

while Josh Donaldson remained out for the twins. Betts is dealing with swelling in his middle finger, while Donaldson is dealing with tightness in his calf. He has dealt with a calf injury in the past, so definitely something to pay attention to for Josh Donaldson. Joey Vado was reinstated, and he went yard on Monday night against Zach Plysack. Jose Cantana threw a.

30 pitch bullpen session Monday. He is returning from a thumb injury. Scott, what is your interest level in Jose Cantana? Mild. So like 15 team leagues, but not really anything shallower than that? Yeah, I don't, I don't even think I'd be that excited to add him in a 15 team league, to be honest. I could see him being a pitcher that we stream later on. I can see him having to bounce back season, and it's not outside the realm of possibility.

but, you know, he hasn't offered much the past couple years, and I'd be worried about him ringing down my ratios as much as anything else. The Yankees versus Philly's game has already been postponed Tuesday because there is a tropical storm headed towards the Northeast. Apparently they'll play a double header on Wednesday. Break out that poncho, Chris. Do not go outside. That's my bad guys. I brought the tropical storm my first summer in New York.

I mean, you brought a little bit more than a tropical storm to New York, Chris. by the way. My beautiful smile. Of course. That's exactly what I was going for. Some standouts from Monday, some situations we need to talk about. Chris,

we need to talk about this right now, me and you. Corbin Burns out of the bullpen. What in the name? What is going on? Three and two thirds innings pitch. Three hits, two earned runs, two walks, five strikeouts.

I will say, he allowed a two-run homer to Jose Abrae on a three-0 pitch. that, he actually looked very good out of the bullpen, eight swinging strikes on 64 pitches. That's sort of the Corbyn-Colvin-Burnts thing. He looks really good right up until he doesn't. But I would guess this is just like he's their fifth starter,

and they probably wanted Brett Anderson to get more than 52 pitches and three innings, and he didn't. So they called on Corbyn Burns. I would guess this is probably something that will happen somewhat regularly with a lot of teams. do you i do wonder if it means corbin burns is actually the one out with brett anderson returning as opposed to freddy peralta being out i mean freddy peralta was not very good his first start and you know burns was the one earning all the buzz in camp so that would be very disappointing i'm a little surprised i didn't we didn't see fred raldaerl leaving brett anderson and i would drop

corbin burns for joe adele yeah that's probably fair yeah how about first some of the other starting pitchers that we've talked about recently. I'm not really going to mention Chatwood and Javier because those guys are owned in over 70% of leagues now on CBS. Oh wow, Javier went up a lot. Yeah. Um, yesterday. Uh, you say Kukuchi. Yeah. I would drop Corbyn Bair's for Kikuchi. Okay. How about- I would drop them for Chatwood or Javier. If they're available, sure. Yeah. Uh, how about Spencer Turnbull? Would you do that, Scott? I'm not, I'm not the, I'm not the Spencer Turnbull guy here. You should probably ask Chris. I like Spencer Turnbull. I would hope I don't have to rely on Spencer Turnbull. And so if I'm just speculating, Corbyn's still has more upside.

Yeah, it's tough, man. I understand if people want to drop Corbyn Burns. I mean, you just, you don't even know when he's going to be used, how he's going to be used, especially if you own them in a points league. I mean, you can't really bank on him just having these bulk reliever sessions every couple of days. So it's a frustrating situation. I understand. understand if you want to drop him. I probably, no, I can't do it. I can't do it for Turnbull either. I was about to say it, but no, I can't do it.

Your daily reminder that Luis Robert is a stud, guys. One for two with a run, two walks, and two steals on Monday night. I mean, the guy is legit. Chris, you talk about the White Sox don't really run much. Luis Robert is off and running. He has three steals already. Yeah, I want to see what happens when Tim Anderson gets back. is Luis Robert going to remain in the leadoff spot?

Is he going to keep running? Because all three of those stolen bases, or two of the three, I believe, have come since he's been batting leadoff, right? Yeah. Yeah. So that's the thing. It might be a situation like we've talked about a lot

with the Braves where they'll let the guys at the top of the lineup run, maybe not so much the guys in the heart of the lineup. But we'll see. Excuse me, he wins. We'll see if Louise Robert gets moved out of the lead-off spot because I don't think that's guaranteed when Tim Anderson comes back. He's been so good. That's fair.

Yeah, no, he's been amazing. Yeah. I almost wonder if maybe we see Osmani Grandal move down the lineup a little bit because he's been off to such a slow start. Yeah. I guess it wouldn't be crazy if they started the lineup Robert Tim Anderson, but you just don't really have much OBP there. Yeah, a couple of us.

Yeah, I mean, that's, that's, that's, That's a lot of hacking at the top of the lineup. On the other hand, it was Anderson and Moncada before. So Moncada's been walking a decent amount so far this season, but he stopped walking last year, and it was a good thing for him. Scott, two players I want to ask you about who I knew you were excited about entering the season. I want to ask you how good can these guys actually be at their respective positions. Gio Orshella has now homered in three of his last four games,

a three-run homer on Monday night against Philadelphia Phillies. and then Mike Yostremski in Colorado, that helps, but he's betting 351. He hit his third homer. I mean, how good can these guys be? People in your league are not buying into how good they can be. I think we have some buy high situations here, if people don't trust it.

I think so. I mean, I thought they both had the capacity to be studs, and nothing that they've done so far would lead me to believe otherwise. Both are walking a ton, which is something we didn't see from Urchella last year. My favorite tweet of the night was actually from John Heyman in a rare display of emotion, he said,

Urchella is the greatest acquisition ever. The guy is amazing. Don't at me. Wow. So John Heyman. I don't even know what that was. Picking up. I just don't even know how to respond to that. Like even if I did want to at him,

I don't actually know what I would say. It gets a lot of nasty ads. I'll tell you about it. John Heyman gets crushed on Twitter. I'm not really sure why. But it's always a crap fest looking at his replies to no matter what he tweets. But anyway, yeah, Urchella, great profile for batting average. It looks like the power breakthrough he had last year is carrying over.

And I think he's basically must start. Yistremski, you know, my biggest concerns about Yostremski were would he play every day? and to a lesser extent with the production he showed last year, Translate, which you know, was, you'll just look at his second half numbers. They were awesome. His numbers against lefties were awesome. His numbers away from San Francisco were awesome. Like it looked like he was this, potentially this secret stud who was just waiting to

break through. And he's been playing every day. I think he started every single game. And usually batting lead off. And it's doing everything right. So I think Yistrimski, like I said, he's not somebody I would drop for Joe Adele. I think he could be a star in the making. Mike Yistremski has started every game for the Giants who are correct, Scott.

And including two of his last four, he has batted third. Right in the middle of the lineup tonight on Monday night, he was hitting leadoff against the Colorado Rockies. Scott, if you can turn, would you rather have Gio or Shella or let's say Justin Turner? right now. I would rather have Gio Orchella. How about Yuleiguriel or Gio Orchella?

I would rather have Gio Orchella. All right, Scott. How about J.D. Davis or Gio Orchella? Oh, come on. It's like making you choose your favorite kid. What a ridiculous question. How could you even ask that? I don't rather have J.D. Davis.

Who apparently was dealing with stomach issue today and then still found his way into the lineup. He was batting cleanup again. for the New York Mets. And speaking of the Mets, Jacob de Grom, don't know if you heard of that guy.

He's pretty, pretty good. Six innings pitch, two earned runs, 10 strikeouts, 25 swinging strikes on 104 pitches. The other side of New York, Garrett Cole was still solid. Six innings, one run, one walk, four strikeouts.

Seven swinging strikes on 91 pitches. So kind of interesting seeing those two up against each other, DeGrom versus Cole, and seeing the different. and swinging strikes. Chris, it's very early on. We knew that, you know, there might be an adjustment period for Garrett Cole in, in New York.

Any concern whatsoever? No, no. There's no concern. This has been a really weird start to the season for the Yankees. They've had series that they thought were going to be played and then weren't played, and it's been raining a lot. And it's just, it's just been weird stuff all around. And so there's no way of knowing how this is affecting Garrett Cole.

And so no, there is no reason to be concerned whatsoever. And also, maybe Jacob de Grom is just the best pitcher in baseball now. Remember that time? I drafted him in a roto mock draft and you guys all yelled at me. Well, if I had known he was going to get a two mile per hour bump in his velocity at 32. Yeah. Like what he's doing right now is just completely absurd. He's throwing like Noah Cindergarde except...

Except good. I don't want to say anything to me. Noah Cindergarde's good. He's throwing like Noah Cindergarde if Noah Sandergarde had all the rest of Jacob Bagram stuff, which is to say he's throwing 100 miles an hour regularly, which is not something we've ever seen before from Jacob de Grom. He's really, really, really good.

He's got a 94 mile per hour slider that like moves a ton, which you're not supposed to be able to do. Like he just, he looks like he might actually just be the best pitcher in baseball walking away right now. All right. I think you could answer this better than I could, Chris. Is going from 2,900 RPM on your curve to 2,800? Is that a concerning drop or not?

I assume not that. No, that doesn't seem like anything to be concerned about. That's a pretty, yeah, now that seems within the realm of, you know, the margin of error, let's say. Yeah, okay. So that's the biggest drop in his spin rate, Garrick Cole from last year to this year is the curveball about 100 R. PM. And the velocity is fine. I don't know why he's not getting whiffs, but he's not, he's throwing his fastball a lot. Yeah, I think he'll be fine. Yeah, I have no concerns about Garicol. A few other names, Matt Kemp started his third day in a row. He's just owned in 10% of CBS

leagues. We mentioned him on yesterday's show, but if you play in a five outfielder league, he is playing in Colorado, and I think he's actually worth a look. His owners, his roster ship percentage should be higher than 10%. I'll say that. Ben Gamble had two hits on Monday night, and that's someone that I was kind of hyping up because he will basically take the place of Lorenzo Kane. And Chris Davis is back, baby. Two for three with a home run and a walk. You know, Scott, I mean, you are the voice of reason. We should have been listening to you all along. I still don't know what Chris Davis is anymore, but I knew it was too early. to assume that he was done.

And he may still be done. But I'm not going so far as to say he's back either, Frank. Let's just cool it with the Chris Davis takes, okay? Yeah, I know. That's how I get myself in trouble here on the show is giving out Chris Davis takes. Promote a few things. The PGA Championship is coming up.

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75 inch, 55 inch. Jump in. That's how we're helping launch fantasy football. It's coming soon. All right, we're going to take a break there. When we come back, Transformation Tuesday, what does that mean? Look at some players that are doing some things differently this year. Are we actually buying in?

We've got some bullpen notes from Monday. Craig Kimbril, was he in for the save for the Chicago Cubs? We'll update you right after this. We're back here on fantasy baseball today. Transformation Tuesday, some players that are doing things differently this year, are we buying in? And someone that I am quite bullish on after diving in a little bit more here, Dylan Bundy has quality starts over each of his first two,

15 strikeouts to just two walks, over 12 and 2 thirds innings pitched, and his fastball usage is down about 11% this year, which is a good thing. He is acknowledging that his fastball is. is his worst pitch, and the velocity has been dropping precipitously over the past couple of seasons, and by way of that, he's using the slider, which is his best pitch, 10% more of the time. So he's going down this Patrick Corbyn route, throwing the slider about 33% of the time, and as a result, his swinging strike rate is up over 14%.

He's someone who could always get swinging strikes. That wasn't the issue in Baltimore. It was giving up a lot of home runs, pitching in Camden Yards, and his chase rate is up. Both of those are career high marks. It's only two starts so far. I understand that one of them came against the Seattle Mariners as well. We mentioned buying high earlier in the show. I don't know that people realize how good Dylan Bundy has been so far

in the transformations that he is going through right now. So, Scott, I'm actually quite bullish. I'm going to send out a few offers as soon as we end this podcast to try and acquire Dylan Bundy because I think he has top 40 starting pitcher upside. Yeah, he was somebody I pegged as a sleeper from the beginning, kind of a change of scenery sleeper going to a better park, a better division. And like that, I wasn't even counting on him necessarily changing his pitch selection to feature more sliders and kind of a Patrick Corbyn sort of way.

I mean, that is his everything pitch, Dylan Bundy. So it makes sense that featuring it more would be a key to success. But, you know, part of the reason I've continued to hold out hope for Bundy is because the swinging strike rate. Part of the reason I cite swinging strike rate so often is because if you look at the swinging strike rate leaderboard, it's like a who's who of Sy Young candidates every year. The top three among qualifiers last year were Garrett Cole, Max Scherzer, and Justin Verlander. DeGrom was fifth, you know, and you could go much further from there and picking out studs.

But in recent years, the two who were not like the others on that leaderboard were Kyle Gibson, who's another story, and Dylan Bundy. and now if Bundy's doing the thing that leads to more of those and it's in a bigger park where he's not going to be hurt by the long ball as much I'm not going as far as you I'm not all the way there yet but I certainly see the path to it being a breakout and I'm not giving up my shares of them so easily yeah Dylan Bundy is someone that I'm looking at you know trying to acquire right I don't know what it's going to take I mean I was thinking Scott if you own Kyle Hendricks right now

Would you offer him straight up for Dylan Bundy? I think Dylan Bundy's upside is probably higher than Kyle Hendricks. It's higher than Hendricks. I would still rather have Hendricks. Yeah, I mean, let's keep things in perspective. Two starts ago or two weeks ago, however you wanted to find the timeline, you probably paid 10 rounds more for Hendricks than Bundy went in your league. Maybe.

Maybe five to seven. I mean, it depends. I have to say. You know, Bundy was going like $250, I want to say, was where his ADP was, maybe 220. But that doesn't mean he was going $220 every draft. He might have gone $2.70 in your league. And so I would just keep that in mind.

It's two starts. Yes, it is one sixth of the season, but that doesn't change how much two starts matter as far as judging a player. Chris, I don't know if you heard it last week, but I did a Chris Taurus impersonation of you. And it was regarding Shane Bieber, It was after that, I mean, he's had two ridiculous starts.

And Adam asked, you know, all right, well, what would Chris say if he were here? And I said, well, you know, it's a small sample size. It's only two starts. And it's basically what you just said about Tell Bundy. No, no. The real point of Shane Bieber was I called the wrong Cleveland Indians starter a bust. It should have been Mike Clevenger. And I'm blaming my editor for that.

Okay. Are we looking at him right now? Yeah. The man in the mirror? Yeah. All right, Chris. Who are you looking at as someone who has made some transformations this season that you might be buying into? Small sample size caveats abound.

Anytime we're talking about something at this point in the season, I just think it's worth noting that. Joey Gallo is swinging at pitches outside of the strike zone far less than he ever has. Last year was a big step forward going from about 30 to 32 percent outside zone swing percentage. He's down to 19% right now. He was at 24% last yesterday, which I forgot to mention in that rundown. So 19% of the time he's swinging at pitches outside of the zone. 70% of the time he's swinging at pitches inside of the zone. That's what you want to do, folks. You want to not swing at the bad pitches and swing at the good pitches, especially when you're Joey Gallo, because when you do swing and you do make contact, you're going to hit the

ball, you know, 11 million miles. And so you're seeing, you're seeing, you're seeing, you're seeing, just kind of slight increases in all the good things that you want him to do. He's swinging and missing just a little bit less. Now he's just in the bad or very bad territory rather than historically bad.

And plate discipline is something that can stabilize a lot quicker than something like home run rate or ground ball rate. You know, when you're talking about the pitch level data, that stuff, you know, first of all, it represents

a change in his approach. And if that's real, then you don't really need all that many played appearances for that to matter. It's still too early to say for sure. Joey Gallo should be the odds on favor to strike out the most in baseball moving forward. But very promising signs so far. Yeah, I love this call. His strikeout rate is down to 20%. So in conjunction with the swinging strike rate being down, it seems like his approach, at least with two strikes to this point, has been better the fact that he is striking out as little as he is. It's a small sample size. I understand that he's only played eight games. Three homers thus far,

two steals for Joey Gallo. He's a phenomenal athlete. I mean, for someone as big as he is, I mean, to see guys like him and Aaron Judge just doing what they do on a regular basis, like you almost... Joey Gallo plays center field, not that infrequently, and he's like 280 pounds. It's amazing. We've never seen anything like it. His line drive rate is 27% too. So I know that that goes back to the second half of 2018. Yeah.

And that's why like I was I was the least likely, I think, to condemn him to a 220 batting average coming in. I think maybe he'll have 250. I mean, he's been he's been a high Babbitt guy for basically a full calendar year. You know, obviously if he cuts down on the strikeouts, then it changes everything. Look, it's too early to say. If he's a 25% strikeout guy, which is extremely unlikely.

But if Joey Gallo is a 25% strikeout guy, he's probably going to win the American League MVP. And if not, it's only because Aaron Judge is going to homer 60 times. Yes, in 60 games. Yes. But really, you know, for Joey Gallo, if he strikes out only 25% of the time, he's probably hitting like 270.

He might hit 300. This is why, like, if he hits, if he strikes out 25% of the time, there is no ceiling on how good Joey Gallo can be. He's not going to strike out 25% of time, almost certainly. But if he's a 30% strikeout guy, we're probably talking about Joey Gallo as a third round. Yeah, well, that's exactly where Aaron Judge has been at.

You know, he's been a 30% strikeout rate guy, but because he impacts the ball so hard when he makes contact, he's able to sustain a high bad bit, and he hits a lot of home runs, and that leads to a 275 to 280 batting average. That's been the biggest difference between someone like Judge and Gallo has just been that 7-8% strikeout rate. So you're absolutely right about that when it comes to Joey Gallo.

Some bullpen notes from Monday. What was that? Some bullpen notes from Monday. Rowan Witt completes the save. And ending in a third, one hit one strikeout. It was not Craig Kimberle. He kind of left you there before the break. What is...

Tees. Oh, gosh, man. What do you do here? I mean, if you own Craig Kimberle, Do you have to own Rowan Wick as well? Man, I am getting some closer fatigue, seriously, right about now, chasing down all these options. It's interesting because, I mean, now Kimbril hasn't worked since July 31st.

So he was certainly rested enough to come in if they wanted him to come in. Row and Wick, he threw like 30-something innings, so it wasn't a huge sample. But he did have a 243 ERA 114 WIP, 9.5 K. per nine last year. I mean, that seems like somebody who could suffice as a closer.

And I don't know. I don't know that they're turning the page yet. I would go with like a, like regardless of whether or not I had Kimberl, I would look to like Yairro Diaz or

Ryan Presley, somebody like that before I turned to Rowan Diaz. But I think Diaz is certainly in the discussion now as prospective save sources. I'm pretty sure I took a history of Greek military class with a guy named Rowan Wick in college. Did I just refer to him as Rowan-Diaz is what you said, yes.

He is Ronan-Wick. Rowan-D-S-Has? Because you were talking about Yairo-Rod-D-S-I-D-S. I didn't call him Rowan Atkins, which I was doing. You know, maybe if we combined Rowan Wick and Yair-R-D-S, they would actually combine to be one really good closer. I would rather see Rowan Atkins, actually, pitching. me too Iro Diaz

in the ninth inning on Monday a double a single a sack fly he allowed another run to score I guess

he didn't really allow it but another run scored on an error and he barely walks away with the save seven to six is there anyone else

that we need to watch in the Rocky's bullpen right now Scott it seems so gross I don't think so wait a second where you just sorry

I okay so Diaz got the save but it was ugly sorry I just totally zoned out as you were talking. Carlos Estevez was, I know, another guy. He's set up for Diaz today, and he was somebody else who, I know some within the fantasy community were looking at as a potential alternative there.

But I don't think Diaz is going to lose his grip on the role after this performance. Reissela Iglesias picked up a save for the Reds. Kirby Yates allowed a solo home run to Cody Bellinger, but struck out the side. He came in. the game was 5-3, so the game winds up 5-4. So kind of a mixed bag there, some good, some bad from Kirby Yates. Nick Birdie blew the game against the Minnesota Twins. Tough line up there.

Takes the L. Seems like Keone Kele should have an opportunity. Once he returns, he has been cleared to throw, I believe, for Keone Kello. I wouldn't think it would take long for a reliever. Right. But, you know, I actually start. started him in an NL only league. Keone Keanu Keanu Keanu just hoping he makes it back

before the end of the week. Seems possible. We're going to hold off on the bye-by-barty jokes until Keone Keanu Kelle comes back. We've got some questions from our Apple podcast review. This one's from Daddy ZZ. I receive Ronald LeCunia and Patrick Corbyn. I give up Alex Breggman, John Carlos Stanton,

and Matthew Boyd does not specify what the league format is. So you give up Breggman, Stanton and Boyd for Ronald Acuna and Patrick Corbyn. Chris, I'll go to you first. You are the Stanton advocate. This is a tough one. I think it's a C. There's a chance that, like, I think it hinges on Matthew Boyd. Like, I'm a little worried Matthew Boyd might not give you much of anything right now based on the start.

If he does, I think you probably lose this trade because, like, Acuna is better. than Bregman, but I think it's pretty much a push with an edge for the Acuna side. So it comes down to if Boyd gives you something. That's the way I would say it. So a C plus for now. Yeah, I'll give it a B that just might speak to my low level of confidence in Matthew Boyd moving forward. Frank, do you mind if I bring up one pitcher that we didn't talk about?

Sure. thought we should talk about. Go ahead. Zach Plesack started again tonight after all the hoopla from his 20 swinging strike effort against the White Sox last time out. And seven innings, four hits,

three and runs, one walks, six strikeouts. Only 10 swinging strikes in those seven innings. And the slider that got him 13 whiffs last time only got him one. It was against the twins. And it was, you know, at the end good outing. The Reds.

But what fed the enthusiasm really wasn't there the second time around for PLEASC. And I think the jury's still out on him. I'm not saying I have any interest in dropping him yet. But the jury's still out. I'm less confident that PLEASC has figured something out than I am, Aaron Savali. Yeah, I will just say, you know, he was part of those Cleveland starters that went on that stretch against the White Sox at the time when the White Sox were just swinging and missing it every. thing. It was Savale one night. It was Adam Plutkoe had like 17 swinging strikes and then it was

Pleasack with 20. So it was the Reds he was facing tonight, not the twins. I think you mentioned that Chris. Right. Yeah, yeah. I would agree that the jury is still out for Police Act, but the length that he's given you still, I mean, to go into Cincinnati, you know, the two home runs that he gave up were against Castellanos and Joey Vado, two pretty damn good hitters in their own right. I think you're a right saying that the jury is still out, but I came away somewhat, you know, optimistic after this start for Zach, Pleseck. The next, this next question is from Brad in a city in New Jersey. I think that's an FFT thing, but do you guys have any interesting cities in New Jersey? Um, Mawa.

I want to start a dynasty auction league. How would you structure increases to contracts in the number of players, major and minor, to be kept. Scott, this seems like it's right up here, Allie. Oh, yeah. Now, I've done this before. Basing it on a typical $260 budget, what we do in my dynasty league is, uh, yeah, depending, whatever the starting point is, and for a minor league are being called up, it's $1. But, you know, depending on the starting point based on what you purchase a player in the auction or on fab, the first year you keep, them it goes of $1, the second year you keep them, it goes up $3, and then the third year and beyond you keep them, it goes up $5 each year. And that works out especially for the minor league call-ups

when they come up in their first $1, it comes out to the amount their cost-controlled over the six years a player would be in the major. It turns out similarly where it gets more difficult to keep them in the arbitrate, what would be the arbitration years of those first six years, and then by the time they're done with those six years, they're really expensive. So that's kind of what I built it around. And it seems to be working well so far. We don't have set contract lengths.

You could do it that way if you want. It's just, I think it's unnecessary, a complication that doesn't need to be there. And it can really bury a team if they make bad contract decisions and make it unfun and more likely that people drop out if they can't get out of their bad decisions quicker. So that's why I don't do long-term contracts. And Brad, it sounds like you're going to be the commissioner here. And I will just say as someone who has played in a Dynasty League with contracts, the reason why it fell apart was because it was very tough for the commissioner to keep track of all of the contracts.

So I would probably stay away from contracts. I had a similar keeper-type league to how Scott runs his Dynasty League, where it was a head-to-head auction. And every year, the player you want to keep would increase $5 in value. and you can keep up to five players, but you can make that amount whatever you want it to be. But I like that kind of gradual increase and something similar to what Scott talked about there.

So if that's what you're looking into for an auctioned dynasty league, I think that is a fair way to go about it. Your emails, fantasy baseball at cbsi.com. This one's from Brian. Head-to-head categories league, keepers with walks and total bases as extra categories. I can sign one of these players for up to three years. Stanton, $18.

Carlos Correa, $13. Chris Sale, $5. Alex Verdugo for a buck. What do you think, Chris? It's got to be Correa, right? So it's fixed at this amount for three years. I followed up on the email with his gentleman, and he said it can be,

I believe you could go two or three years. So it's that fixed amount. It's Correa. If you want him for $13 for the next three years, locked into that price. I think it's Correa just because of the age difference between him and Stanton. I wonder if Scott's going to say sale.

Oh, boy. You know me, Chris. I think Correa is the textbook answer, the safe answer. Just knowing how I value starting pitcher right now, I might gamble on sale, bouncing back from Tommy John's surgery

and being a... At 32. Yeah. He's going to be 32 the next time he pitches. He certainly wouldn't be the first 30-plus-year-old to come back from Tommy Jones surgery. And, you know, it's easy enough to get a quality shortstop, particularly in a head-to-head league, that I don't think, I don't think I would be kicking myself for years to come by passing up Correa at that amount. I think I'd go for broke with sale personally. But, you know, I probably play a riskier brand of fantasy baseball than I would always recommend other people to play because I can't.

maneuver them through all the fallout from that, you know? Risk reward, I'm with, I'm with Scott. I'm going to go with the Chris sale here for five bucks, but it is risky for sure. I mean, we have seen pitchers come back before, but have we seen lefties who are like 170 pounds that have a herky, jerky delivery? We've never seen anything.

Like, there is not really any good precedent for Chris Sale. Yeah, like, I understand how risky. I have no idea how he's going to age. His velocity was up. before it went down, you know? Like, it could go either way. Yes. But for $5, you might have a potential, you know, $30, $35 arm for a great discount. This one's from Anthony.

Hi, Taylor, Sergio, Tyler, and Tyler. Yeah. Rogers, no. Twins bullpen. Oh, yeah. That is correct. 12-team Roto Dynasty. Lots of Dynasty recently.

Seven regular keepers. Over 1,300 at bats, 500 innings, or 50 saves. for the regular keepers and 12 prospects slash young players under those thresholds. I trade away Blake Snell and Spencer Howard. I receive Tyler Glassnow and Mackenzie Gore. A plus. Am I missing something? Snell and Howard for Glassnow and Gore.

I think even without like the fact that Glass Now is much more valuable than Snell because he doesn't take up one of those regular keeper spots of which there are fewer. I think just Glassnow is better than Snell. I think I would just rather have Glassnow than Snell in a Dynasty League and I would definitely rather have

Gore over Howard. Sure. I think, yeah, I think that's an A plus. Okay. I like it too. Yeah, I was when I answered this email and I was on the Glassnow side with Gore. Scott, I'll throw the second question your way from Anthony. How quickly do you turn towards the future?

in a dynasty league for this season if you're struggling just because it is a shortened season. So, I mean, what, a month in? Scott, you're starting to think about next year? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Like if I didn't. Sure. Let's say that. A month in. I am pretty much always looking ahead to next season in a dynasty league, even if my team is good. And I know that sounds weird. and obviously I'm uh windows not waves there you go there you go waves not windows that's the that's that's that's how you sustain success is you you you have to start you have to start with a full scale breakdown and then you start and then you end up with a surplus of cheap talent that then you start moving for future talent and you just keep that progression going so it's it i'm i'm not somebody who

punts on a season normally, except at the very start of a dynasty league. So it's difficult for me to relate to this. But I think that, like, if it's clear you're not in a position to contend and you look at your prospects, lowercase P on the prospects, your chances for next season, and they're not looking good, then yeah, it's probably time to rip down and start that process anew. All righty, that'll do it for Scott and Chris. I am Frank. for listening and watching fantasy baseball today on our YouTube channel. We'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.