Fantasy Baseball Today - Short-Season Philosophy; Worryometer Wednesday! (08/12 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: August 12, 2020

How's the shortened season treating you? For our OMGG player of the night, Scott is concerned about Ross Stripling (1:55). The numbers aren't where they usually are for him and Dustin May has pitched ...well. For Frank, Charlie Blackmon is on a different level right now. Should you consider selling high?... Uh oh, Ronald Acuña is having his wrist checked out (6:40). In other news, Ramon Laureano was given a six-game suspension, Joe Musgrove has landed on the IL and should you add Drew Pomeranz because of Kirby Yates' weird season? ... We have lineup notes, including Garrett Hampson leading off against a right-handed pitcher (12:45)! Seager, Springer, and Devers reamined out while Mike Ford was the DH for the Yankees Tuesday night. ... Here's the magic question: how should you handle hitters who are off to slow starts in this shortened season (17:17)? Should you change your usual process? ... For Worryometer Wednesday, is there any real reason to be concerned about Cody Bellinger (24:49)? How about Gleyber Torres or Josh Bell? And Vlad Jr. in dynasty? ... Are these players good or just hot right now (40:45)? We take a closer look at Dylan Moore, Austin Slater, Hanser Alberto, Corey Seager, and Jesse Winker. ... We finish up with Tuesday standouts (51:41), including Gallen and Freeland, Nick Solak, Orioles hitters, and some bullpen notes. ... Email us at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com. Subscribe to our new YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday 'Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @CBSFantasyBB, @AdamAizer, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Download our printable Draft Kit from CBSSports.com/draftkit! To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. I drive, center field, and swing. This is magnificent. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy becomes reality. Now here's Frank, Scott, Chris, and Adam.
Starting point is 00:00:24 Hey there, everybody. Welcome to Fantasy Baseball today on a Wednesday, August 12. Frank Stample and Scott White back again. Just the two of us here, Scott. I haven't asked in a while, but how's life? How are you doing, Scott? I got to check in on you. Make sure everything's good.
Starting point is 00:00:38 Everything's good. Everything's good. Just, you know, getting back into old habits for however long, however long they last, right? You know, it's going to be over in a blink of an eye. It's already a quarter of the way over. And we're not quite in a good routine here yet. We're not quite in the flow. By the time we get there, it'll be over.
Starting point is 00:01:00 But enjoying it for now. Now. I'm about you, Frank. First time, first time doing the regular season version of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast, which is kind of a grind. It's kind of a grind. It is a grind, but I enjoy it. And I'm looking forward to when we can actually do this over the course of a full season. This year obviously is very hectic, and it creates a very interesting talking points. And we get a lot of great questions. And we'll talk about one of those things later on in the show today. A little bit of a strategy discussion on, you know, how should we be handling some of these slow starters this season?
Starting point is 00:01:36 I know you wrote an article about it recently, but there's a lot to get to. So we probably shouldn't spend so much time on pleasantries, but why not? That's what we like to do here on fantasy baseball today. Today on the show, Worryometer Wednesday, how about these guys? Got some random hitters to talk about.
Starting point is 00:01:51 And we're going to recap as much of Tuesday's action as we possibly can. Let's get it started here, Susan. Oh, my goodness gracious. Scott, oh my goodness gracious, player of the night. Who do you got? Oh, my goodness, gracious player of the night. I am going to have to say, I'm going to say Ross Stripling.
Starting point is 00:02:15 Ross Stripling. Not in a good way. It was a bad start. He went four and two-thirds innings. Two earned runs, but six runs total. And, you know, he gave up a grand slam to Manny Machado. So it's one of those situations where, they technically were unearned,
Starting point is 00:02:30 but there was a, you know, some bad pitching went along with that. And really the thing about Ross Stripling is he hasn't had a great start since that first time through the rotation when he went seven innings against the Giants, you know,
Starting point is 00:02:44 when he was in full view for everybody, and it was the most exciting pickup of the century. Like three, uh, increasingly worse starts since then for Ross Stripling. At a time, when Dustin May has been performing well, Alex Wood on the road to recovery.
Starting point is 00:03:05 Ross Stripling was a latecomer to the rotation at the start of the year. You know, I'm not dropping him based on this performance, but he hasn't looked as good as he has in years past, aside from that one start. And it's not just in terms of giving up runs and not pitching deep into games, like the underlying stats don't look as good too
Starting point is 00:03:29 in terms of swinging strikes, not getting as many ground balls. I'd be a little worried about him losing his job. And obviously, if that happens, then we are probably dropping Ross Stripling. And he is prone to heading back to the bullpen. We've seen that before with the Dodgers. I was going to save him for Worryometer a little bit later on, Scott, but let's fire it up early right now. Worryometer, where is it at on Ross Stripling,
Starting point is 00:03:52 considering the things that you mentioned? Alex Wood is rehabbing and Dustin May is pitching well. Seven. I'm going to go seven on that. Oh, okay. Yeah. They're legitimate worries here. Like I said, I'm not compelled to drop him right now because he could certainly turn around his performance
Starting point is 00:04:11 if he sticks in the rotation, but he doesn't look right. His curveball doesn't seem as effective. And, you know, presuming the Dodgers still won Alex Wood in their rotation, he seems like the most obvious player to bump. Well, we're rooting for. you, Ross. Friend of the program, we had him on the podcast a couple of months ago while we were in quarantine. So we're rooting for him. Had a 48% hard contact rate entering Tuesday night to start
Starting point is 00:04:38 against the Padres. So pay attention to Ross Stripling. For me, and this isn't entirely helpful for anybody, but we haven't talked about him and I just want to give him a shout out. Charlie Blackman, Chuck Nasty, three for four with a double in RBI and a run scored on Tuesday night. He's played 17 games. He's had multiple hits in 12 of those. He is batting 500 on the season. So Charlie Blackman, you know, some people have asked, should I be selling high on Charlie Blackman right now, Scott? And to that, you would say, you could try, but he's a top 10 outfielders. So, you know, you got to get at least a top 10 outfielders worth for him to be selling at face value, much less selling high. I don't know what selling high looks like on Charlie Blackman. It's
Starting point is 00:05:26 it should be incredibly high. Yeah, look, I mean, you could try. You're right. I mean, if you need pitching help, if you ask for maybe a top 25-ish pitcher and another outfielder to replace him in return, like top 25 outfielder, top 25 pitcher, maybe that's something that it looks like.
Starting point is 00:05:44 I might try and shoot a little bit higher, but I think you just kind of ride it out with Blackman unless you're kind of blown away in an offer. It's worth mentioning a lot of his games recently have come at home, but this is what Charlie Blackman's supposed to, do at home. So we're not going to knock him for that. He's just performing. He's doing exactly what he's supposed to. Basically, the oh my goodness gracious player of the season so far. Charlie Blackman, an honorable mention for the Philadelphia Phillies. If you have not seen this blown save for
Starting point is 00:06:12 Hector and Eris, please watch it. And you should probably watch it with some Benny Hill music playing underneath it because they had a pop up in the infield with the bases loaded in a two-run game with two outs and just no one caught the ball, Scott. And you wanted to blow in the save for Hector and Eris and it was very Luis Castillo-esque from, I don't know, a decade ago
Starting point is 00:06:33 when it was the Mets versus the Yankees the Subway series. That's what I was reminded of. But honorable mention for the Phillies there. Some news and notes, Scott. Big news that just dropped before we started recording. Honestly, I don't know how big it is, but you'll tell us. You're the Atlanta Braves fan. Ronald de Cunia didn't play Tuesday
Starting point is 00:06:50 with a wrist injury apparently he's going to get it examined on Wednesday in New York. The Braves are in New York to play the Yankees right now. Worryometer on Ronald Acuna's wrist, Scott. I will, I mean, can I go seven again, I guess? Sure, why not? It's worrisome that he's having to travel somewhere and get examined, right? That would suggest it's more than just a little sore, like day-to-day soreness.
Starting point is 00:07:21 Now, it's certainly possible. It could get examined and, oh, this is nothing. It'll be fine in a couple days. Like, that could happen. That's not all over for Ronald de Cunia here, but it doesn't sound good that he's having to make that doctor's visit. So we just have to wait and see what turns up. Ramon Luriano, we were wondering what was going to happen with him,
Starting point is 00:07:42 considering the fiasco that he got into on Sunday. And he's been given a six-game suspension. He plans to appeal that. I believe he was in the line. on Tuesday night against the Angels. Yes, he was. He was batting second. So he's in the lineup while he is appealing that suspension.
Starting point is 00:07:58 Again, that is Ramon Luriano. Mike Clevenger and Zach Plessack were both placed on the restricted list for Cleveland. That was expected. The pirates placed, oh my goodness, right-hand pitcher. Joe Musgrove on the 10-day I.L with right triceps inflammation. He had previously been scratched from a start with ankle soreness. Now, I'm not wearing this shirt to represent. my guy Joe Musgrove right now.
Starting point is 00:08:23 And I will, you know, I will hold myself accountable. I loved Muskrove coming into the season like I do every year. Every year he fools me. We were talking before the show started here, Scott. And I said, why don't I have more Dylan Bundy? I love Dylan Bundy coming into the season.
Starting point is 00:08:38 He was in my sleeper's article. The problem was I kept taking Joe Musgrove over Dylan Bundy. This guy, dumb dumb, down. We need to bring back, we need to bring back the full Jew segment. and just make Joe Musgrove a permanent entry there because it keeps happening.
Starting point is 00:08:55 And like that was my whole case against Joe Musgrove coming in. Are we going to do this again? And you guys kind of talked me into liking him because that's all I had. But I guess I was right. You know, what's funny about Dylan Bundy, who of course is dominating again,
Starting point is 00:09:12 this time the athletics, he's almost through seven, has nine strikeouts yet to allow a run. You know, with each start like this. it's, it's, uh, becoming more clear that this is a genuine breakout for him. But like he was the, he was the breakout pick I spoke up for, but maybe deep down didn't actually believe because I only have one share of Dylan Bundy. And, you know, part of it was
Starting point is 00:09:39 because I was filling up my rotation so early in drafts. And, you know, that's, that's going pretty well for me so far. So I guess I can't complain too much. But I do wish I had more Dylan Bundy. Yeah. Yeah. I'm sure everyone does. He's almost through seven innings right now. Seven shutout with nine strikeouts. Once again, that is Dylan Bundy. I was looking through the soundboard over here to figure out what I can use for Joe Musgrove, if anything.
Starting point is 00:10:02 This is how he makes me feel. And that's not a good heat sigh either. Shout out to Heath Cummings. Some other news that we got, Tim Anderson was activated from the 10-day I.L. On Tuesday, he was dealing with a groin strain. Blue Jays' general manager, Ross Atkins, said Ken Giles, who is dealing with a forearm injury, is, quote, recovering well. and could be throwing soon.
Starting point is 00:10:23 That is especially Newtworthy, considering Anthony Bass blew the save on Tuesday. He allowed a three-run homer to Francisco Cervelli. What's Dead may never die. Didn't get to it last night because it happened after we recorded, but Kirby Yates was not used in a safe situation because of, quote, general body soreness. Drew Pomeranz now has three saves.
Starting point is 00:10:45 He is 44% rostered. Scott, how is imperative is it to get Drew Pomeran's? on your team. I would say he's probably more of a roto play as of now. Yeah, roto categories leagues. I know he's rostered in any roto league I'm a part of. And look,
Starting point is 00:11:04 I don't think he's the closer now. I don't know what general body soreness means exactly because it's general, you know? So I don't think Yates is like not the closer anymore, but Pomeranz has already snuck in and gotten three saves. And beyond that,
Starting point is 00:11:20 like he's just look back what he did in relief for the brewers that earned him that multi-year deal from the Padres like dominant ratios and he's off to that kind of start this year so I just like having him in my roto lineup particularly at a time when such a large percentage of the starting pitcher pool isn't going the minimum number of innings for a win anyway you know just to fill in those back spots in your your roto lineup I think pomerans is a is a nice choice another one for Dylan Bundy, 10 strikeouts, double digits again. Moving on up. Keep moving him up the rankings, Scott. John Carlos Stanton is expected to miss three to four weeks. We knew he was going to miss sometime.
Starting point is 00:12:01 We didn't necessarily know what the timetable was, but three to four weeks. Even on the shorter end of that, he won't be back until September 1st. Scott, if you don't have IL spots, are you dropping Stanton? Yeah, maybe. I mean, it's not outside the room of possibility if you don't have IAL spots. You'd rather not, of course, but, you know, depends what you need. Someone you were excited about entering this season. Yerdon Alvarez, in his first 15 played appearances in three Intrasquad games with the Houston Astros. He is six for ten with three doubles, one homer, and five walks. So hopefully we can get Alvarez back for the start of next week.
Starting point is 00:12:44 That would be great. Some lineup notes, a lot of big names on this list, but Garrett Hamson was leading all off this time, Scott, against a right-handed pitcher in Zach Gallen Tuesday night. So, you know, we said yesterday it's been five straight games against lefties, but given the struggles of David Dahl, Garrett Hampson leads off here. So something you do like to see. You're excited about that. Yeah, and he has a double and triple on the day.
Starting point is 00:13:11 His OBP for the years up to 350. He actually has a pretty good OPP ceiling. Obviously, we didn't see it in his rookie season because he didn't do anything in his rookie. season until the last two weeks of the year. But, you know, I, there's a contingent of the fantasy baseball playing world that gets excited whenever Garrett Hampson does something or is moved into a more prominent role. And then there's another contingent that's like, who cares, he stinks. Like, I don't know how we could know whether or not he stinks yet. You know, he had a rookie season where he played sporadically. And coming into last year, he was, I know baseball America had him
Starting point is 00:13:48 as the Rocky's number two prospects. So it's not like this guy has no talent. You know, how much of a power profile is there, I think is fair to ask. But he should get on base. If he's at his best, he should get on base. He should steal bases. And hopefully this is the start of him playing a lot more. And, you know, if he performs, I don't see, I don't see why he couldn't just become the Rocky's leadoff hitter,
Starting point is 00:14:18 which has been a spot where Charlie Blackman's been scoring 115 runs with consistency. Yeah, he's a winner from tonight for sure. I mean, the fact that he started against the righty, had two hits. I agree with you on the profile. I think good batting average, speed, a lot of what we saw from him in the minor leagues, just has to be given the opportunity to play. Corey Seeger was still out with a back injury. George Springer, still out with the wrist.
Starting point is 00:14:43 Rafael Devers sat out for a second straight game with ankle soreness. Mike Ford was in at D.H. for the Yankees against right-handed pitcher Tucci Tucson. Two hits for Mike Ford on Tuesday, Scott. Should he be owned anywhere outside of deeper roto leagues with corner infield? I feel like they're just going to mix and match.
Starting point is 00:15:02 We'll probably see Clint Fraser against lefties, Ford against righties, some Talkman mixed in as well. Yeah, I don't know with what consistency Ford is going to be the DH now with Stanton out. It's been twice he started now. I like the hitter profile. I mean, strong minor league track record, one of these guys who spent a long time in the minors
Starting point is 00:15:24 in his late 20s already. But when he came up for the Yankees when Luke Voight was having health issues in the second half last year, he produced. His bat-a-ball profile was amazing. So, like, I'm definitely keeping an eye on Mike Ford, but after two starts, I'm not ready to declare that the job is his. Jose Ibrahim, who left with a hip injury
Starting point is 00:15:48 on Monday night was back in the lineup already on Tuesday. Edwin and Carnacione was dealing with a shoulder injury. He returned to action and homered actually. And Joe Adele was out of the lineup.
Starting point is 00:16:00 Scott, what have you thought about Joe Adele so far to this point? It's been pretty yucky. It's been pretty yucky. I was, I went against my own kind of standard line whenever a top prospect
Starting point is 00:16:15 get called up saying, yeah, I'm not, I'm not so excited about this one because I don't think we have a lot of evidence that he's ready. And there's been some defensive issues. He's struck out a ton. You know, it's too early to declare a verdict because everybody can have a bad week. Maybe it just happens to be your first week in the majors. But I wonder if the angels right now are wondering if they called them up too soon.
Starting point is 00:16:44 Yeah, I think we were, I was at least kind of surprised that they called them up. when they did. I thought that he did need more seasoning. He has 19 played appearances so far, and he has struck out in 11 of those with zero walks. So that is a 59-a-five-five-per- a 59-percent strikeout rate for anyone calculating the strikeouts there for Joe Adele. He did have two hits in Monday night's game, but wasn't in the lineup on Tuesday. And a little bit of what you spoke about there, Scott, is we're dealing with such small sample sizes at this point in the season. We're going to get into Worryometer, but first I feel that. like we should kind of transition into it with a fantasy philosophy discussion for this season
Starting point is 00:17:23 at large talking about slow starts and how they should be handled. And I know you wrote an article about this, Scott, which included 46 players who are underperforming thus far. Hitters, specifically. Hitters, 46 hitters. You know, what do you say to somebody who started their draft with, let's say, Cody Bellinger, Anthony Rendon, who has now homered in back-to-back days, and Gleiber Torres because that wasn't like a far-fetched start and all three of those guys are underperforming to this point. Yeah, I say you just got to write it out. I mean, there's no, I'm trying to think, this is a very big topic to bite off and I'm trying
Starting point is 00:18:07 to think of the best way to jump into it because there is no reason to believe those players are any less than what you drafted them to be just because. they've had a bad two-week stretch here at the start of the season. There's no reason to believe that, even if they were striking out a ton, which in the case of those three, that's not even happening. But even if they were, I mean, that's something that can happen over a very small sample size too. And it is a small sample size.
Starting point is 00:18:38 Like, regression doesn't understand that this is a shorter season. I understand the season is already a quarter over. And so you're thinking, wow, these guys got to get it going sooner. My season's going to be sunk. But that's not how regression works. It's never good process to chase last week's production. It's good process to look at, okay, who are the best hitters going forward? Those are the ones that I can expect to perform the best.
Starting point is 00:19:11 and, you know, we may be seeing it now with Rendon, homering in back-to-back games. We've seen it from Matt Chapman, who has four home runs in his last three games, right? Before that, he was batting under 200 with an OPS around 600. Oh, what's wrong with Matt Chapman? Well, clearly nothing's wrong with Matt Chapman. That's just production comes in spurts, and you can't predict exactly when it's going to arrive. you can be pretty sure though that you're lowering your team's upside though
Starting point is 00:19:43 if you deal it away for you know nickels on the dollar so this was obviously a talking point coming into this season how quickly are you going to move on from slow starting studs and I didn't really know
Starting point is 00:20:01 how I would respond to it then but I think now that we're in the thick of it it's like, it's pretty clear to me that the process shouldn't change. It shouldn't. Some of the other players, too, it's not just Rendon. I mean, we're seeing this kind of league-wide. Trey Turner, modest four-game hitting streak, back-to-back, multi-hit games and a home run in each of the past two days.
Starting point is 00:20:26 Still has no steals, which is, you know, somewhat worrisome. But Eddie Rosario had two homers, a double dong on Tuesday night, three homers in his last two. Mani Machado hit a grand slam. He has six hits over his last four games. So, you know, these guys are coming around. Like, hitters are going to come around. A lot of those on the list of 46,
Starting point is 00:20:46 like it already looks outdated that I have them in this struggling hitter section, just in one day, you know? But if I'm playing devil's advocate, can I just ask if we should change the process in a different season that we've ever seen before? Because I agree with you, this should be the process.
Starting point is 00:21:05 in a 162 game season because I think there's enough time for the stats to normalize the way that they're supposed to. But every single year in fantasy baseball, Scott, there are going to be busts, right? And we don't know that until the end of a 162 game season.
Starting point is 00:21:20 And like, for example, look at what Jose Ramirez did in the first two or three months last season. If that was just his season this year, he would be an epic failure. So, I mean, what happens if we look back at the end of the season and Pete Alonzo hit two,
Starting point is 00:21:35 220 with seven homers, right? Like, is it worth changing the process just for this short and season, you know, before you dig yourself too much of a hole? Because this is something I'm wrestling with myself. We don't have the luxury of looking back at the season, whether it's 60 games or 162 games, until the season is over is the thing. So to look at it 15 games in and say, okay, clearly, this guy's a sunk cost, I just need to rid myself of him. Like game 16 could be the game where he starts performing like himself. Like if you believe in the skill set still, there's no reason for you to believe the actual skills have declined for the player.
Starting point is 00:22:18 And, you know, certainly depending on the level of investment, the amount of upside, the track record, there would be a sliding scale there in terms of how I'm looking at the skills for the player. But if you believe in the skill set, then the day he turns it around could always be tomorrow. So 15 games in, it could be game 16, 30 games in it could be game 31. And like to just decide it's not going to happen for this guy this year and accept a lesser player who happens to have performed better up to that point. I mean, you're all, you're, you're, you don't get credit for what that lesser player already did to that point. You're just getting credit for what he does going forward.
Starting point is 00:23:04 And if he's a lesser player, it's probably going to be lesser than what the better player gives you. So if, like, if you have it. And, and first of all, I think it's too early for, unless you're just totally buried in the standings, which, you know, I don't even think it's so possible that you couldn't climb out of that, uh, even at this point in the season. but let's say it eventually does get to a point where you have to make something happen in order to save your season. I think the way to go about that would be to buy other teams underperforming superstars than to trade your underperforming superstar for relative scrubs. Like get somebody else's discounted players,
Starting point is 00:23:46 you knowing that more likely than not, the best players are going to be the best players from tomorrow on. And then if you're just able to, able to increase the overall talent level of your roster, improve the potential bottom line of your roster, that's how you can make up ground in the standing. So that would be the way to do it, as opposed to, you know,
Starting point is 00:24:08 dumping Cody Bellinger because he's hitting under 200 right now. And that's probably the best explanation that I've heard thus far, Scott, is that you should trade for other, underperforming superstars in baseball right now. Because, you know, if you trade for guys that have been hot to this point, you know, let's say Dylan Moore, someone we're going to talk about. You're not trading for Dylan Moore,
Starting point is 00:24:30 but it's just an example, right? Like his numbers are going to negatively regress, and then you're going to be left with those numbers. More than likely, his numbers are going to negatively regress. And if you sold someone short, then you're not going to, you know, cash in on what that person is going to give you. So I agree with you.
Starting point is 00:24:48 With that being said, is there any player that has been drafted, that was being drafted early on, that you do have any worry about as we transition into Worryometer here now. So the way I broke down the 46 in this column, I put them in five categories, presumed full proof, which are the least worrisome.
Starting point is 00:25:06 One hit wonders, question mark, which are guys like Josh Bell and Mitch Garver, who, you know, you could have made the case coming into the year. There were one hit wonders. Extenuating circumstances, which would include injury cases and mechanical change guys and wondering how much that might be impacting the performance.
Starting point is 00:25:23 Astros, L.S. LOL, which is self-explanatory, and pre-existing concerns, which are the players who tended to go high, but I didn't have a lot of faith in them in the first place. And that would be the group, that last group pre-existing concerns where it'd be most likely to drop already. Though, you know, that's not universally true for all of them. So I would, the presumed full proof, which includes guys like Nolan Aeronado, Anthony Rendon, J.D. Martinez, like established stuff. basically no worries at all for me. The one who might give me some concern is Gary Sanchez because he's striking out like half the time.
Starting point is 00:26:01 But even that's something that can be skewed by a small sample size. So, you know, and the fact that he's a catcher and there's not much production out there anyway, that makes it easier to stick with him. Some of the one-hit wonders are at least, I'm at least starting to get a little worried about them. And like the strikeout rate is the main thing I look at there. Mitch Garver, after getting two days off, he comes back and strikes out three times again today.
Starting point is 00:26:32 He is just, he just seems lost at the plate. And, you know, even if deep down he is actually as good as he showed last year, or at least some fraction of that, if it takes some half the season to get around to that, you know, it might be hard given his lack of track record to stick with him all that time. I could understand benching him if you have the ability to start two catchers. That's somebody who's a little concerning to me right now. Marcus Simeon, same thing, like not striking out was a big key to his success last year, and he's been striking out a lot this year.
Starting point is 00:27:14 And of course, he doesn't have a long track record as a stud. It's been pretty marginal fantasy player for most of his career. So I moved him down in my rest of season shortstop rankings to behind a very large group of studs behind like Corey Seeger and Carlos Correa and Manny Machado. He's at the end of that group now, but still not a situation where I look to dump him for whatever I could get or drop him. Probably not even sending him, frankly. Miguel Seno is always concerned just because it's such a volatile profile to begin with. those would probably be the biggest ones. The name that I was going to bring up, Scott, was Cody Bellinger,
Starting point is 00:27:55 which everyone's talking about right now. And even if it's on, if we're just going on the worryometer, I would probably place it at a three or a four. Like, it's not super worrisome, but it is at least on my radar because he changed his swing right before the season started. And then I read just the other day that he's going back to his swing from last year.
Starting point is 00:28:16 his batteball day to this point, small sample size. He is hitting a lot of ground balls and his hard contact is much lower than where it was at last season. So the fact that he's kind of been tinkering with his swing, it is an extenuating circumstance, but it is at least something that is at least a little bit worrisome for me, Scott. Yeah, that would be the one reason to worry about Bellinger if there was one.
Starting point is 00:28:42 He's making a lot of contact. So, I don't know. I'm not that worried. If anybody was looking to sell him now, I would absolutely be a buyer. And I would not be freaking out if I owned Bellinger. A good way to look at this, too, is if you do have Bellinger, you have any of these other 46 hitters, Josh Bell, you know, E. E. E. E. Hennio Suarez.
Starting point is 00:29:11 And you're not buried in your league standings. You're in the upper half of your league standings. You should feel good about it. Yeah. Yeah. That's how I'm, as somebody who's highly invested in Josh Bell and Marcus Simeon and Mitch Garver, frankly, I'm highly invested in, I mean, it's 46 players. So everybody has a decent amount investment in them. But like, that's how I'm looking at it.
Starting point is 00:29:33 Like, wow, I haven't even gotten much of anything from this player I made a huge investment in. And look, I'm still right there in contention. So, you know, consider that. also. It's, it's, you don't, there's never going to be a point in any season where every one of your players is firing on all cylinders. Like, there, there are always going to be some players in that lineup that are struggling. You just stick with them. It's always amplified at the start of the season and it's especially amplified at the start of this season, but it doesn't change the way, it doesn't change the way a season plays out for a player. It doesn't change the way regression works.
Starting point is 00:30:10 All right. So let's actually calibrate this Worryometer and hit a few players here. Glaver Torres entering Tuesday night was batting 157. The strikeouts aren't an issue. The ground ball rate is up about 5%. Nothing looks too crazy, honestly, Scott. Where are you at on Glebert Torres? Yeah, the profile looks pretty much like it always looks. So it's basically zero from him.
Starting point is 00:30:29 He might be the least, well, that's not true. He's not the least worrisome of these 46 players, but he's among the least worrisome. I would agree with that. Josh Bell, batting 2-11 entering Tuesday night. 30% strikeout rate. That is up 11%. He is chasing more.
Starting point is 00:30:44 This season, swinging strike rate is up about 8%. Still making hard contact. About 50% of the time. So that's really good. You like that. There's a chance he's putting too much pressure on himself. It's not a great lineup. Josh Bell, 1 to 10, Scott.
Starting point is 00:30:58 It would be among the higher of the high-end players, and yet I'm still putting it at only a 4. I'm not panicking. I haven't thought about replacing him in any of the lineups where I have him. but he is striking out a lot more than we saw from him last year. Frankly, strikeouts were never that much of a problem for him, I don't think. Even before last year's breakout.
Starting point is 00:31:21 And, you know, you could have made a case he was a one-hit wonder. So that raises the concern like a point each. Now I'm going to lower it to a three. Let's say three. I like the four call. I was going to say four or five for me. We got a few submissions via email. This one's from Chris, not Towers, by the way.
Starting point is 00:31:40 Maybe it's towers. Maybe he has a... There are a lot of Chris's out there. Yeah, maybe he has a burner email account that he just sends questions in. What's your concern for Vlad Guerrero Jr., but a tweak here, Scott. In Dynasty,
Starting point is 00:31:52 Chris acknowledges it's still very early in his career, but wondering if he should try and cash in on the name value of Vlad and his minor league production. Vlad Guerrero to this point has played 136 games in the majors. He has a 736 OPS, Scott. Your Wuriometer for Vlad Jr., in a dynasty league. That's a very interesting spin on it
Starting point is 00:32:15 because I didn't like Vladimir Guerrero coming into this season. He was on my bust list. He's among these 46 hitters. He's in the pre-existing concerns section where I don't think it's so crazy to at least think about dropping them. Though obviously he'd be one
Starting point is 00:32:31 and more likely to hold on to. But yeah, the dynasty angle, you know, the underlying assumption, and I'm sure I even said it before, is, oh, of course he has a bright, future is going to be a stud for a long time. This is just about 2020. Very young man who already seems to have conditioning issues and they had to move him off third base. 21 years old. Yeah, I, um, you don't want to sell low on him. That's the thing.
Starting point is 00:33:01 Like, if you can, I would, I would consider offers for him in a dynasty league. Sure, I would. That's why I think you're kind of at a crossroad here, right, with Vlad Jr. in a dynasty league, because say he just never turns out to be the player that he is, then I think what Chris is getting at here is that he just wants to cash in on that name value. And now's the opportunity, because if he continues to underperform what we expected, then his value just diminishes by the day
Starting point is 00:33:30 in a dynasty league. But he can also go the other route where, you know, he becomes this Miguel Cabrera-type superstar that we all thought. he was going to be. And I still think the superstar outcome is more likely, which is why, like, you can't, you can't sell him short. And I just worry, if you market him now in a dynasty league when he's off to a bad start, people are thinking you're panicking and they're going to try low-balling you. And you just have to have the discipline to know that you're, you can't
Starting point is 00:33:58 accept that. I'd be a little more stealth-like about shopping him, probably not send out an on-the-block update, probably try making offers where it's not all about him. So it's not so transparent that what you're trying to do is move Vladimir Guerrero. But like I, this would probably be the kind of trade I couldn't, I would not be able to pull off in a dynasty league because I just would not be satisfied with the offers I was getting. But I don't think it's a bad idea to at least market Guerrero and see what you could get. Market him as if he's the best prospect in baseball. That's the kind of return you should expect to get for Vladimir Guerrero.
Starting point is 00:34:41 That's what would make it worth your while. One to ten, Worryometer, and Dynasty. And Dynasty? Four. I was thinking four. That's the magic number. Four as well. This one's from Trevor.
Starting point is 00:34:55 He asked about Miguel Sineau, who was a name that you brought up. Sineau was hitting 111 with three homers. Wait for it. A 49% strikeout rate. where is he on the worryometer so far this season's guy? So it's hang on. I can't find. Who was it?
Starting point is 00:35:14 I'm sorry. Miguel Sino. I was trying to be. Yeah, Miguel Sineau is striking out like half the time, right? And like I said, just a minute ago, it's such a volatile profile. You can never feel that confident. You know what you're getting from him one year to the next. And like, he could hit three home runs tomorrow, too.
Starting point is 00:35:33 but I'd put it at like a six. Would you drop him for Jesus Aguilar? No. It's close, though. I feel like it's... I'm kind of excited about Jesus Aguilar, but yeah, 6'7, I think, is fair for Miguelson. I wouldn't make the swap yet, but it is a close one.
Starting point is 00:35:53 This one's from Angel. David Dahl, who is no longer hitting leadoff against right-handed pitching, was batting 226 with just three extra base hits. He's hitting the ball in the air, more, but his average exit velocity and his hard contact are down quite a bit. David Dahl, one to ten, Scott. I'll put him at like a five, and part of that's because I still don't really know who he is as a
Starting point is 00:36:20 hitter. He's missed so much time with injury over the years, and last year, Coorsfield definitely helped mask his deficiencies. I still don't know if he's good, frankly, in the first. first place. So that, yeah, I mean, I think if he gets a full season, everyday bats with Corse Field as his home, the numbers in the end are going to be fine. But the Rockies, as much as they like to move around players, do they shy away from them at some point? That would, that's contributing to the concern level here for Dahl with me.
Starting point is 00:36:53 Would you drop him for either Alex Verdugo or Brian Anderson? No, though, Verdugo's creeping up close to that same. where I have Dahl in my rankings. I have them back to back in my ranks, and I'm okay making that swap. I'm okay dropping David Dahl for Verdugo, and I'll actually update my rankings to reflect that. I'll put Verdugo ahead of David Dahl,
Starting point is 00:37:17 but they're close enough where Verdugo is actually performing right now, and he has prospect pedigree, so I don't have any problem with that. The last one's from George. Carson Kelly was batting 156 with a 60% ground ball rate entering Tuesday night. He has started just three of the last five. five games for the Arizona dimebacks.
Starting point is 00:37:37 Of course, he hit a home run off of Kyle Freeland in Corse Field in their game on Tuesday. Where are you at on Carson Kelly Scott? Yeah, that's probably like a six for me. Part of it's because they have other directions they could go at catcher, especially with Dalton Varsha. Dalton Varsha is still up, right? He hasn't gotten a start at catcher yet.
Starting point is 00:38:02 He did get to start in the outfield. and of course Stephen Vote, it's a pretty good bat that they could put behind the plate. So that's part of it. And, you know, the other part of it is I was redoing my catcher rankings rest of season today,
Starting point is 00:38:17 and I couldn't get Carson Kelly out of my top 12 just because there's not enough who deserve to enter that range. Like, am I going to take Pedro Severino over him? No. I would take Travis Darno over him, though, Scott. I thought about that. I moved Darno up quite a bit, but I would make that swap.
Starting point is 00:38:36 I don't think it's going to be a huge playing time advantage for Darno over Kelly. And I still like the bad skills for Kelly more. Would you drop him for Wilson Ramos? That was a question, George had. Yeah. I would make that swap. Wilson Ramos is one I absolutely have ahead of Kelly.
Starting point is 00:38:53 Yeah, I'm all right making that. Promote a few things here on the show to celebrate fantasy football draft season. We've brought it up before. But again, take advantage. our friends over at Fantasy Football today, our buddy, Adam Azer, Jamie Eisenberg, Heath Cummings, Dave Richard, Ben Gretsch,
Starting point is 00:39:09 all the guys over there are giving away a 75-inch and a 55-inch TV. The contest is completely free to enter. Go to CBSports.com slash giveaway. And if you enjoy fantasy baseball today, the show here, FBT, we ask that you just tell one person. You don't have to tell the whole world, just tell one person. It could be your wife, a coworker, friend,
Starting point is 00:39:31 whoever it might be, we appreciate it. All right, when we come back, we will hit some of these. How about these guys, you know, some random hitters, guys that we need to talk about. And of course, we will recap Tuesday's action here on Fantasy Baseball today. Hey, Scott, are these guys good? We're about to find out. Email the day from David.
Starting point is 00:39:50 And that was exactly his questions. Are these players good? Or are they just hot? We have a murderer's row here, Scott, involving Dylan Moore, Austin Slater, Hanser Alberto, Kyle Seeger, And David actually didn't ask about this player, Jesse Winker, but I wanted to throw him in the mix since he's hot right now as well. So we'll just start things off with Dylan Moore,
Starting point is 00:40:10 who has been like a journeyman, utility player, has not really done much so far in his career. He's batting 333 with four homers, three steals, 11 runs, 9 RBI. He's rostered in 33% of CBS leagues, has dual eligibility, outfield and shortstop, has started seven of the last eight games for the Mariners. his teammate Kyle Seeger had this to say about more. He's very athletic, but extremely strong.
Starting point is 00:40:36 I know he's made some swing adjustments, and coaches are working with him, but the ball comes off his bat hard, and it is loud. His ability to drive the ball, especially to the opposite field, is impressive. That's also a testament to how athletic
Starting point is 00:40:49 and how strong he is. He does hit the ball hard. He does hit the ball hard. It's got 56.7% hard contact rate for Dylan Moore. What is your interest level in him? I don't know what to make of this. because it's so out of nowhere. It's so out of nowhere.
Starting point is 00:41:06 He has hit the ball very hard this year. Yes. To say he does hit the ball very hard, I don't know. I mean, this is the opposite side of the coin, right, with some of those slow starters. It's easier to take an optimistic stance with an out-of-now-where player like this than a pessimistic stance with somebody you paid heavily for
Starting point is 00:41:26 because there's really not much downside to, to putting your faith in more. As long as you're not dropping somebody you obviously send it to drop for him. It doesn't work out. You move on. He's running a lot in addition to hitting the ball really hard and that, I mean, that could make him useful too.
Starting point is 00:41:50 I don't know. I haven't bothered to pick up more anywhere. It'd have to be a pretty deep league for me personally. Like, I'm kind of more interested in, Jake Croninworth of the Padres. Did he start getting his second base today? Because he was filling in for Hosmer at first, but then he got to start second when Hosmer came back. And yeah, he was back at second base,
Starting point is 00:42:09 had two more hits. Like that's, I feel like the talent level is, you know, there's more pedigree there for Croninworth. And he's been hitting the ball very hard too. So if I was choosing between kind of obscure in-field options like that, I'd go Cronin-worth over more.
Starting point is 00:42:28 But yeah, let's keep an eye on more. I picked more up in a 12-team Roto League that we play in together, Scott. I think I dropped J.P. Crawford for him, who's kind of slowed down a little bit. But, I mean, with dual eligibility, you could use them at middle-in-field,
Starting point is 00:42:41 fifth outfielder. It might be over by the end of the week. He might just completely, you know, come back to Earth, but I'm willing to take a flyer in Roto leagues, at least, just to see what's there with Dillon Moore. Austin Slater is another interesting player,
Starting point is 00:42:55 and he's someone that I kind of always been interested in, entering Tuesday he was batting 333 with three home runs. He actually stole his fifth base of the season on Tuesday. He has a 34% line drive rate. And what always attracted me to him was his batting average in the minors. Career 312 hitter with an 8.58 OPS. He's always hit a lot of line drives. And now he's getting the opportunity to play every day.
Starting point is 00:43:20 Six straight starts for Austin Slater. He's rostered in 8% of league, Scott. Yeah, very strong minors. early track record overall. I've, in deep leagues, I've kind of flirted with him in the past, too. The fact he has five steals already, I mean,
Starting point is 00:43:40 that alone makes him somebody you have to pay attention to in roto leagues, right, if he's going to continue to play this consistently, and then, you know, whatever he provides with the bat is almost a bonus. Now, he never was a big base stealer in the miners. No, he never had
Starting point is 00:43:57 a double-digit steals total in any singular season. But then again, some of the most recent seasons, like it was 200 of bats here, 200 of bats there. So, I mean, he can't run a little. But the fact that he's doing it at the major league level is, I think, noteworthy. And I'm more excited about him than more personally, if only for that steals potential.
Starting point is 00:44:21 But, yeah, I mean, if the bat is as good as it was in the minors, then Slater might be pretty big surprise this year. I'm more willing to say that Austin Slater is good versus Dylan Moore. Like if we're just kind of comparing the two, like I'm more willing to say, you know, the question was, are these guys good or are they just hot? Dylan Moore is more likely hot.
Starting point is 00:44:41 Austin Slater might actually be good. Hanser Alberto, I mean, he kind of just is who he is. He makes a lot of contact, and he's a top five second basement in head-to-head points leagues right now, Scott. What do you do with Hanser, Alberto, if anything? He's 68% rostered, so, someone's picking him up.
Starting point is 00:45:00 Yeah. He hit, like, he hit 305 last year with 12 homers. He wasn't useless. It's just that's really his only skill. And he's been, you know, obviously the batting average he has right now is not when he can sustain for a full season, but he will be a good batting average guy. It's just that batting average specialist is not a profile that plays in such a power-laden
Starting point is 00:45:25 environment. it's more like a, it's more like a specialist, a guy you ride when he's hot, a guy you pick up in larger roto leagues if you need help in that one category. And I wouldn't look any deeper into it than that. Yeah, I don't think he's hot. I think he's kind of is who he is.
Starting point is 00:45:41 He can be a batting average player. Like, he's good. He's not going to hit 365 for the, or 348 is what he's at right now. Like, he's not that good of a batting average player. He's good, but he's like barely good. If we're just talking about the spectrum right now. Kyle Seeger, would you like to guess who the top scoring third baseman in head-to-point leagues is, Scott?
Starting point is 00:46:02 It's Kyle Seeger, I know. It is. He is batting 2.97 with three homers, 18 RBI, which is tied for second in all of baseball. Two steals. He's rostered everywhere already, so I guess, you know, for people who own him, they're just trying to figure out, you know, if this is real or not, the strikeout rate is down tremendously,
Starting point is 00:46:21 and he's performing well against lefties so far this season. you know, would you start him over someone like Miguel Sineau or Eduardo Escobar, who you very clearly drafted ahead of Kyle Seeger? Is this one of those situations where you can actually ride the hot hand with Kyle Segar over those guys? I wonder if something's really changed for Kyle Seeger because, you know, back before the home run explosion in baseball, he was basically a must start their basement in fantasy. And then maybe he got a little too home run conscious. his fly ball.
Starting point is 00:46:53 The fly ball rate was always high for him. But in a way that seemed maybe to be to his detriment. And now he's not hitting as many flyballs this year. Like he's always been a good contact hitter. Maybe that's better for his profile. And maybe he will be somebody who remains mixed league relevant. I think players who had question marks coming into the season like Sano and Escobar and are struggling that much already, I don't mind playing the hot hand.
Starting point is 00:47:22 and Seeger over them, especially since I don't think he's a total scrub himself. But in the long run, I would still rank him third of that group. And he is... He performed well dating back to last year in the second half. So in the second half last season, in just 68 games, he had 17 home runs
Starting point is 00:47:45 with an 863 OPS. So we now have a decent sample size. dating back to the All-Star break last year, of Kyle Seeger performing well. So he's probably the most legit of this group, just because, you know, he has more of a track record. Jesse Winker is someone, we've always kind of hoped, would have a track record at this point. Four multi-hit games in his last five, Scott, back-to-back games with a home run. He's basically playing every day. He's playing against the lefties now, too, which, you know, you like to see that as a Jesse Winker owner.
Starting point is 00:48:19 And he's rostered in just, he's less than 30%. of leaks. So where are you at with Jesse Winker? I'm still a little skeptical there. He's walking a lot like he always does. Strikeouts have been up a little bit. And he's hitting a ton of ground balls. So, you know, the line drives are there. But like, it's such a small sample. Like, I, I'm almost afraid to break down this batted ball data because if the overall numbers look good, of course,
Starting point is 00:48:50 that's going to look good over such a small sample. I feel like. So, yeah, I mean, if he keeps playing every day, I'd absolutely see him being mixed league relevant. Of course, I've liked him in the past. He was one of my favorite players heading into last year. And let me down in a pretty big way, which may be why is why I'm wishy-washy with him now.
Starting point is 00:49:12 But, yeah, let's see if he keeps playing. Let's see if he keeps performing. There is some bat skills. There are some bad skills there for sure. Maybe that's something you could teach me, Scott, that if a player has let you down before, maybe you become a little wishy-washy on them, you know? Because it seems that I have not learned from my mistakes
Starting point is 00:49:31 when it comes to Joe Musgrove, of course. If I'm ranking these five players right now, Scott, I would go Kyle Seeger, Jesse Winker, Austin Slater, Dylan Moore, Hanser, Alberto. What do you think? In terms of how much I want to roster them, I would put Winker lower. Like, the thing is, like, I'm sure
Starting point is 00:49:59 Alberto is going to be useful. I'm certain of it. But at this stage of the season, in a standard mixed league where there's always an ample waiver wire, I want to go for the upside where it presents itself. And I don't think there's upside there for Alberto. I'm skeptical of what Winker's ceiling looks like, too. I'd rather take the mystery boxes.
Starting point is 00:50:17 I do agree Kyle Seeger's first, but I would probably go Slater second, I'd probably go Moore or third, Dylan Moore. Okay, yeah, I'm just excited about the opportunity to play every day for Winker and really good lineup and great ballpark as well. So hopefully he can finally make something out of it,
Starting point is 00:50:36 but we shall see Scott a little more wishy-washy on Jesse Winker. Tuesday standouts kind of run through some of these, Scott. And, you know, some of the big names, some of the studs, Max Schurzer returned from injury, six endings of one-run ball, seven strikeouts, Not much to see there. He was just kind of standard Max Scher. Heung Jin Ryu, six innings of one-run ball,
Starting point is 00:50:58 seven strikeouts, 12 swinging strikes on 92 pitches in the new home of the Blue Jays in Buffalo. So not much affected him there. Luis Castillo, we keep banging this drum for Luis Castillo as a by-low. Six innings, seven hits three runs, only one of those were earned. Two walks, five strikeouts. Scott, I'm starting to think that the Royals are just,
Starting point is 00:51:21 not as good of a matchup as we thought coming into the season. They're top 12 and runs scored in Wobah. Small sample size, but I think that the Royals lineup is actually sneaky good. So, again, I give Luis Castillo a pass, but I feel like we kind of say this for every one of his starts. I mean, this was a quality start. Yeah, it was a good, it was a fine start. I guess I was just expecting more.
Starting point is 00:51:47 He didn't get the whiffs that we've been seeing in the other starts, but you know I'm sure the overall whiff rate for the season is still one of the best in the league if not the best who has the best swinging strike rate not sure it was him entering this start yeah yeah so it'd be up there still um I actually moved him up in my rankings today because I like what I'm seeing underneath the stat line so much for Luis Castillo I have some concerns about like Patrick Corbyn for instance his velocity being down and not getting as many whiffs because of it.
Starting point is 00:52:24 Jack Flaherty, I don't know what he's going to, what kind of workload he's going to be capable of when he's, whenever he's able to pitch again. Mike Clevenger's had control issues. So I moved, I was happy to move Luis Castillo ahead of all of them and he's in my top 10 pitchers now. So this is not, I am not like raising the alarm for Castillo at this point. I'm doing just the opposite. Yeah, that's fair.
Starting point is 00:52:48 in Coors Field in Colorado tonight, it wound up being a slugfest the final score, 8-7, but the starting pitchers were quite good. Zach Allen, apologies to the gentleman who asked me on Twitter if you should start Zach Allen because I told you not to, and I believe Scott told you to start him.
Starting point is 00:53:05 So listen to Scott, obviously, that's why he's here. He's been doing this forever. But Zach Gallen, seven innings, two runs, zero walks, seven strikeouts, 12 swinging strikes on 94 pitches, three straight quality starts, 22 strikeouts to just two walks over the last three starts
Starting point is 00:53:23 for Zach Gowland, scared money don't make money. I think he has entered must-start territory, Scott. And on the other side in that game, Kyle Freeland, who, this is now four straight quality starts to open the season, seven innings, two runs, two strikeouts. He's not going to give you strikeouts,
Starting point is 00:53:41 but he has completely changed his pitch mix. He's lowered his fastball usage 20%. opting for more sliders, curves, and change-ups, which I know is something that you've noticed regarding his change-up for Kyle Freeland. Yeah, and he talked about how it's something he's always been working on, but he finally has confidence in it this year, and he's throwing it a lot more.
Starting point is 00:54:03 It's still a profile that relies on weak contact. And we've seen Freeland navigate a whole season at Coors Field. Like, he has one of the best seasons for any pitcher in Rocky's history two years ago. but that profile is always risky and especially in that environment and it came crashing down for him pretty hard last year so I'm reluctant to buy into him again like I wasn't believing in him two years ago when he was having success and I'm not now either
Starting point is 00:54:34 it's gone well for him so far we'll see if it lasts the jury is still out for this group John Lester three starts so far this season he has allowed two earned runs total. Six innings, one run, four strikeouts on Tuesday against Cleveland. Brandon Belak against the Giants. We recommended him as a streamer. Five
Starting point is 00:54:56 innings, two runs, four strikeouts. He was fine. He wasn't great. He was fine. Tuki Toussaint, four innings, six runs. Five of those were earned. Only one walk, which is probably the biggest takeaway. Three strikeouts. Jordan Montgomery on the other side in that game. Quality start, six innings,
Starting point is 00:55:12 three runs, four strikeouts. out of this group, Scott, John Lester, Brandon Belak, Tuki, Tucson, Jordan Montgomery. Who interests you the most? It's Montgomery. It's Montgomery. He was the one highest rank coming in, and it was a quality start.
Starting point is 00:55:30 It would have been better if he hadn't allowed home run. The VLO is still up for him. It's up to 92 miles per hour this year on the fast. Yeah, and his pitch mix has been interesting, too, because he relied so much on his curveball as a rookie when we last saw him before Tommy John surgery. Now it's a lot more changeups.
Starting point is 00:55:49 And I'm still, I'm not really sure how that's going to play out. But look, really efficient six innings through just 78 pitches. Definitely somebody who's worth rostering. But I do want to speak up for Tuki Toussaint because I did watch this performance. Obviously, the final line doesn't look great. The stuff was still awfully impressive. and he had only one walk, as you mentioned. He threw like 63% of his pitches for strikes.
Starting point is 00:56:16 It was only five base runners in four innings. And, you know, there were a couple errors committed that got him into jams. There was just some kind of weird, sloppy stuff that happened that kind of, I think, impacted the stat line for him. And obviously, the Yankees, tough matchup. Your expectations were low anyway. I'm not, if I won the bidding war for Tucci Tucson after his last start, I'm not giving him up based on this one.
Starting point is 00:56:48 John Lester, I can't say pick him up. He's rostered 90% of leagues, which is just crazy to me. But are you starting to gain more confidence in John Lester, Scott? It feels as gross talking about it. I mean, one thing I've noticed with him is he's normally been more of a ground ball pitcher and his fly ball percentage is way up here in the the early going, which is a good way to keep BAPB down if you can keep the ball in the park, which he's managed to do so far. I
Starting point is 00:57:17 you know, a fly ball pitcher who doesn't miss bats, which certainly he doesn't anymore, I'm still under the impression. This is a very homer friendly environment. So I think that will catch up to him in the long run. And yeah, I'm not interested. I'm not interested. Sorry.
Starting point is 00:57:36 Hey, real quick, on these hitters. I haven't done any hey real quick. I know that's an Adam thing, but we don't have much time, so we got to do this pretty quick. Two more hits, including two runs, a walk, and an RBI for Anthony Santander, someone we spoke a lot about recently. Three more hits for his teammate, Renato Nunez, who is now batting over 300. Nick Solac, three multi-hit games in a row, including Tuesday, three RBI. I don't know that he's a must start, Scott, but I almost want a must own, but I almost feel like, like, you have to pick up Nick Solac right now.
Starting point is 00:58:12 And then Byron Buckson, three more hits, his first stolen base of the season. So he is hot right now, someone who has been quite streaky. I am interested in all of these players right now, but Nick Solac is the one that really stands out for me, Scott. The thing is Santander, Renato Nunez, Nick Solac, Byron Buckston, they're all probably must have,
Starting point is 00:58:35 must roster in like a standard Roto League with the larger lineups and the emphasis on hitting. And then none of them are probably worth rostering in a points league. Maybe Nunez, if you need like an extra bat there in your utility spot just because he's so hot right now. I dropped Chris Davis for it.
Starting point is 00:58:55 They're like all on that, on the fringe there of, you know, a certain league depth, yes, absolutely. And then on the other side of it, no, why would you do that? Nick Solac, I mean, if he has three steals already, if that's going to be part of his profile this year,
Starting point is 00:59:16 he's going to be outfield, he's already picked up outfield, he's going to be second base eligible soon probably. That's going to be a very handy player because we know he can get on base. We know he makes contact at a good rate. That's going to be a handy player. But yeah, it's also kind of like what,
Starting point is 00:59:35 like I'm not sure how much better, I'm still questioning how much of a power hit or Solac is. That is fair. One thing I wanted to pay attention to coming into the season on Solek was if he would lower his ground ball rate. Last year was 52.9%. This year it's down to 41.5%. With his fly ball rate up 9%, his line drive rate up 3%. And he's making a ton of contact. I think the power is going to come around for Solax. I understand that the lineups are shallower in points leagues. You might not have an opportunity to get them in now,
Starting point is 01:00:14 but I'm pretty excited about it right now. So that's someone who's definitely available. He's only rostered in 33% of CBS leagues right now. So someone that definitely has my attention. Some quick bullpen notes from Tuesday. Miguel Castro was used in the 8th for the Baltimore Orioles, and he got a save over the weekend. so something that I was monitoring
Starting point is 01:00:37 and he had a two-run lead, he allowed three runs. Cole Solcer came in in the ninth. He had a two-run lead. He also blew it. He allowed a two-run single to D-D. I guess Cole Solcer is still the guy, Scott, but it's a gross situation regardless. Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 01:00:57 I mean, we were pretty much writing him off after he gave up that home run to judge after picking up his first two saves and then he came right back with another. But like he's walking a lot of guys and the Orioles, I don't suspect they're going to win often enough that you could ever feel confident in their closer pick
Starting point is 01:01:19 kind of the way last year went. I mean, they happen to be eight and seven now, but just like we were saying for individual players, fortunes can turn very quickly for a team, especially one that you believe is bad. I think Coles. sulsar is, if he is still the closer, he is bottom of the barrel. Mention Hector Nerris at the top of the show.
Starting point is 01:01:41 It wasn't really his fault that he wound up imploding. It was his infield defense. Taylor Rogers entered the game for the Twins in the bottom of the eighth in a tie game to face the heart of the lineup. And he wound up giving up a double to Christian Yelich and then a two-run homer to Jedgerco. Nando Defino favorite. Good times. Ryan Presley came in again.
Starting point is 01:02:02 on Tuesday. In a one-run situation, came in for the save, allowed two hits, a walk, and a run. And also out in Colorado, Iro Diaz struggled.
Starting point is 01:02:14 He allowed a couple of runs and actually had to be pulled once it became a one-run game, and Daniel Bard came in and closed it out. Scott, any speculative ads in some deeper roto leagues regarding the Astros and the Rockies?
Starting point is 01:02:29 I don't think Ryan Presley is healthy. I agree. Because he is too good to be this bad if he's healthy. And obviously he's, you know, he's already dealt with a couple injury situations this year. And Astros don't really have anybody else. It's all rookies.
Starting point is 01:02:44 Blake Taylor is the name I brought it before. He probably has the best numbers, but it's not like he's been super reliable of late. So I don't know. I don't know what's going to happen. It wouldn't surprise me if Presley went on the IEL, but if he doesn't, I suspect he gets the next chance still. Carlos Estevez, I guess, would be next in line for the Rockies.
Starting point is 01:03:05 He's been setting up for Diaz and hasn't allowed many runs this year. It's not like he has even a strikeout per inning, so I'm not super excited about Estevez there. And it's possible maybe Daniel Bard could get that shot instead. That's not outside the room of possibility. But Estevez is the one I would bank on if the Rockies were looking to make a move. Scott, I know that you don't want no scrub, but Andre Scrub pitched in the 8.
Starting point is 01:03:30 eighth inning in that game tonight. So, seems like... For the Astros. Yeah. For the Astros. So you might be the next guy up if you want to speculatively add someone in a Roto League.
Starting point is 01:03:41 Rafael Montero picked up his third save of the season on Tuesday night as well. That'll do it, everyone, for Scott. I am Frank. Thank you all for listening and watching fantasy baseball today on our YouTube channel. We'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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