Fantasy Baseball Today - Start Ohtani as SP? Worryometer for Hitters & Buy, Sell, or Hold! (5/12 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: May 12, 2021

Madison Bumgarner was throwing how hard on Tuesday (1:05)!? Is it time to consider starting Ohtani as a pitcher? ... News and notes (11:24)! Fernando Tatis has tested positive for COVID, Corbin Burnes... is slated to return Thursday and more. ... Let's fire up the Worryometer for some hitters we haven't talked much about like Eddie Rosario, Mike Moustakas, and Josh Bell (13:26). ... Buy, Sell, or Hold these starting pitchers (27:52)? ... Is it time to add Yusei Kikuchi and drop Dinelson Lamet (38:14)? ... How high should we move Jesse WInker up plus should you buy Teoscar Hernandez (41:42)? ... Who were some waiver wire hitters from Tuesday (46:52)? ... We wrap up with some leftovers, bullpen updates, streamers, and your emails (50:00)! ... Email us at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com. 'Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank, @AdamAizer Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. I drive. Center field. What is magnificent? Got a fantasy question? Email fantasy baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy becomes reality.
Starting point is 00:00:25 Now here's Frank, Scott, Chris, and Adam. What's going on, everybody, and welcome in to Fantasy Baseball today on Wednesday, May 12. Frank Thample, joined by Scott White. Lots to talk about. Today will be a good test of pacing, which I will admit is not my strong suit. We've got the Worryometer for hitters. We haven't talked about buy, sell, and hold
Starting point is 00:00:46 on some starting pitchers. Lots of interesting starting pitching performances from Tuesday, as always. I want to talk a little bit more about Jesse Winker. Do we need to boost this guy up a little bit? I think the confidence is growing there, Scotty. And I have an outfielder that I think you should be buying in on. Let's jump right in.
Starting point is 00:01:04 Oh my goodness. Goodness gracious! All right, Scott. How you doing, bud? How's life? You're right? It's fine. It's fine.
Starting point is 00:01:14 I don't know if you want me to get into my, my woes, my health woes here. No, no, no, no. Yeah, that would be the kind of like sad story a grandparent would tell to fill the time. We don't need to do that. We got a lot of pictures to talk about.
Starting point is 00:01:31 So we do indeed. Take it away. The one I'm going to pick is, Madison Bumgarner, who was amazing, again, against the Marlins this time. And that was what his almost no hitter was against, too. It was also against the Marlins. But actually, no, that's not true. That was against the Braves.
Starting point is 00:01:51 Okay. Second straight start against the Marlins for Bumgarner. Second dominant outing. Nine strikeouts, seven shutout innings, only four hits allowed. He's allowed a grand total, total of 12. 12 hits. Madison Bumgarner has 12 in his past five starts. Wow. So what a turnaround for this guy who looked helpless, hapless and helpless last year.
Starting point is 00:02:19 And at the beginning of this season, we've seen the velocity go up to, you know, pre-2020 standards over the course of this five-star run. But it really makes him, oh, my goodness gracious, velocity went up again. It was way up. He averaged 92.6 on his fastball against the Marlins. Remember, this is a guy. We were excited about him almost reaching 91, and he averaged 92.6 in this. That's like going back to Prime Bumgarner before the dirt bike accident.
Starting point is 00:02:53 One start, but still, I didn't even think he had it in him anymore. I don't know. There's not, I don't see much reason to be concerned about him at this point. It just looks like he's back. Yeah, 92.6 miles per hour on the fastball. I was going to do a little quick game log run and see when the last time MadBum actually averaged that much on his fastball,
Starting point is 00:03:18 but it probably would take a good amount of time. So Scott, I mean, what is your confidence level in MadBone to this point? Do we need to prop him up inside of our top 60 starting pitchers, our top 50 starting pitchers? Because it seems like we've been pushing a lot of pitchers into that range recently, but a lot of people are also performing well. Madison Bump Gardner is one of them.
Starting point is 00:03:39 Yeah, so I had them right at 60 prior to this start. I was just messing around with my rankings prior to it. And yeah, so I feel like I'd move him ahead of Paneda. I'd move him ahead of Zach Eflin. Robbie Ray had another great start today. Dylan C's kind of a so-so start, but really like the underlying numbers. We'll get into that, I'm sure. So, yeah, there's only so far I can move Bumgarner up.
Starting point is 00:04:06 You know what? I might need to drag like Frankie Montas, Nathan Avaldi, who was, you know, he had a quality start today, but I don't really love what I'm seeing in the underlying numbers. I might need to drag those guys down to get Bum Garner up closer to 50. But yeah, it's getting crowded in that, it's getting crowded in that 30 to 60 range at starting pitcher. what I had been referring to for the past few years
Starting point is 00:04:33 as the small, very small middle class at the position. It's suddenly becoming robust. It's just a giant middle class now of like pitchers in the past couple of years that have been just decent that are turning themselves into awesome pitchers all of a sudden. But as we spoke about yesterday, that's kind of the way that baseball is trending right now. Last one for you here on Bumgarner.
Starting point is 00:04:57 Scott Bumgarner or Chris. Paddock. Yeah, that's a top. I really don't see any reason. I mean, given that there is this surplus of options we feel pretty confident in, I really don't see reason to hold out hope for Paddock. I mean, there are some good signs. He may well be fine, but what would fine look like?
Starting point is 00:05:19 Kind of what I expect Bonebarner to be at this point, right? Like, it's not like Paddock even when he had that great rookie season. and it's not like he was striking out 11 per 9, you know? Yeah, I probably need to drag him down too. Yeah, I think I would agree at this point. Bumgarner at least has three pitches that he can go to consistently. Chris Paddock really only has one and a half. He doesn't really use his curbstall that much.
Starting point is 00:05:44 Madbum on Tuesday, use the four seam, the cutter, and the curbstall at each 27% of the time or more. So he's got those three pitches that he can rely on. The last time he averaged 92. point six miles per hour on his fastball and a start was June 9th of 2019. So it has been a while there for Madison Baumgartner. Scott, I'm going to talk about a starting pitcher as well for my oh my goodness gracious player from Tuesday. Shall we Otani man at the Houston Astros and this kind of leads back into the discussion of all right well how do we get fantasy points for both the pitcher and the hitter because it just it stinks to see this happen when he's on your bench. Seven
Starting point is 00:06:24 10 in your utility spot. Seven endings, one run, one walk, 10 strikeouts against the Houston Astros who have one of the lowest swinging strike rates in all of baseball. 15 swinging strikes for Otani on 88 pitches. The guy just looked absolutely unhittable.
Starting point is 00:06:41 And speaking of unhittable, he's allowed 11 hits with 40 strikeouts in 25 and 2 thirds innings pitch. This is the type of performance that you can get when his control is actually on and he's not walking the entire world. This is Otani's first start with one walk since May 20th of 2018, which sounds drastic, but it's actually only been eight starts since that start.
Starting point is 00:07:03 So he's dealt with a lot of injuries, but this was far and away the best I've seen Otani look as a pitcher, Scott. And I think at least heading into next week where, if what I was looking at is correct, the angels are scheduled for eight games. So they probably have a double header somewhere in there. I think he's going to have a two-star week. So we're actually going to have to decide, use him as a pitcher,
Starting point is 00:07:24 or use him as a hitter. Yeah, and we, that would, that looked like it was going to be true last week too, but then he had a start pushed back because of a minor issue he was dealing with. But yeah, I mean, only only one walk. It was a, it was a big turning point because while he was certainly missing a lot of bats prior to this start, 19 walks in 18 and two-thirds innings is what he entered with into this start to have only one. and against the Astros, that says a lot.
Starting point is 00:07:58 That says a lot. Now, 88 pitches and seven innings, that was efficient. The thing is, even though he was getting a lot of strikeouts, a lot of walks, and the other starts, he wasn't wasting a lot of pitches. His pitch counts were surprisingly low, I would say, considering all those walks and strikeouts. So, like, he's basically been unhittable from the beginning.
Starting point is 00:08:22 But you're kind of bearing. the lead here, Frank, I feel like, for Otani's performance, because what might be even a bigger deal than how well he pitched is that when he was removed from the mound, he stayed in the game as the right fielder.
Starting point is 00:08:39 I didn't even notice. Good catch. This is actually his second appearance this year in outfield. So he's three away. I just love that Joe Madden is like all the rules of the angels laid out for Otani previously. He's just breaking them all.
Starting point is 00:08:57 He's just breaking them all. We can use him in the field. Why not? And they should. I mean, based on how he's playing, Scott, they should break the rules for him
Starting point is 00:09:04 because he's proving he can do it. It's a long season and we're like a fifth of the way into it. So it's worth saying that. It may not be able to for all six months. But yeah, I mean, right now,
Starting point is 00:09:19 enjoy the ride. You know, as to whether or not I'd use him as a two-star pitcher next week or a hitter. In most instances, it'd probably still use them as a hitter. I think in a points league, you might think about using them as a pitcher
Starting point is 00:09:30 or just a league where you happen to be stacked at hitter and short on pitchers. Probably not a lot of those circumstances out there, but maybe. If anybody out there has a solution for how to get the production for both hitter and pitcher O'Tani as one player, send it in. Email is fantasy baseball at cbsi.com. Tweeted me at Roto underscore Frank.
Starting point is 00:09:56 Scott at CBS. I got a solution for you. Just count all the stats no matter where you start. Start him at either spot. Yeah. And just count all the stats. He would be a bona fide first round pick. You know, if you say, oh, but I don't want to count all,
Starting point is 00:10:09 I don't want to have to count all the hitting stats for all pitchers. Fine. Just count the stats he produces when he's not listed as a pitcher on the lineup card. Or, you know, if Universal D.H becomes the thing, just start counting all stats for all pitchers because they're, there won't be that many being put up. Yep, that was my next point. I was like, starting next year,
Starting point is 00:10:27 we probably won't even have to worry about that. So hopefully that's the case because we've got to figure this out, man. We have to get pitching and hitting stats for Shohei Otani. Before we get to the news and notes, just wanted to let you know what's going on CBS Sports HQ this week. As always, CBS Sports HQ is your home to start your sports newsday with live updates kicking off each morning at 8 a.m. Eastern Time.
Starting point is 00:10:51 And HQ is always your home. ahead of the evening's action with live picks from the best analysts and cappers in the sports world each day at 6 p.m. Eastern Time. On Wednesday, NFL experts, today when you're listening to this, we'll be breaking down this 2021, 2021 schedules, and our cappers will be making preakness picks
Starting point is 00:11:09 ahead of Saturday's race. So check out HQ on your computer on CBSSports.com or via the CBS Sports app on your mobile phone or TV. It's always free. It's always on CBS Sports. HQ. Some news and notes from Tuesday, Fernando Tatis unfortunately has tested positive for COVID, which means he'll be out at least the next 10 days, maybe a tad longer as he gets himself back into game shape. Juerkson ProFar and Jorge Mateo were placed on the IL for contact tracing reasons
Starting point is 00:11:43 as well. Corbyn Burns will likely return Thursday this week and start against the Cardinals, according to manager Craig Counsel. Christian Yelich is part of. in all baseball activities, which it seems kind of soon. Scott, honestly, I mean, the guy just came back. He went on the IEL, I believe it was last Monday night after he played. It seems kind of soon, so. I agree. Cotel Marte ran hit and caught fly balls on Tuesday at Chase Field.
Starting point is 00:12:11 He said he's hoping to start a rehab assignment Thursday or Friday this week. Nate Pearson was the option back to AAA. He walked five and allowed three runs in two and a third innings pitched on Sunday against the Astros. George Springer has been able to swing a bat but isn't expected to start running until Thursday. Another one man, like Yelich, just let
Starting point is 00:12:32 this guy rest up. We don't want to rush George Springer back. Jeff McNeil left Tuesday's game with body cramps. Chris Bryant left with, quote, sinus stuff. Carlos Martinez was placed on the IL with a right ankle injury. Amir Garrett had his suspension reduced to five games, which he started
Starting point is 00:12:48 serving on Tuesday. Javier Baez was scratched with lower back tightness. which he's kind of been dealing with off and on for the past couple of weeks or so. So that's another one. I feel like the Cubs should just give him some time to rest a little bit there. Wilson Ramos could return from the I.L.
Starting point is 00:13:01 when first eligible on Monday, David Price, were a simulated game Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. Tony Gonselin is scheduled to throw two innings against live hitters later this week in Arizona. Brandon Belt left Tuesday's game with mild left side tightness.
Starting point is 00:13:15 And I did have a prospect update. Didn't get an opportunity to look at Tuesday box scores yet. But from Monday, Joe Adele hit a pair of home runs at AAA. The Worryometer on hitters that we haven't really talked about, and I kind of see a common theme here with at least the first four hitters. So you tell me if you see the same theme as well.
Starting point is 00:13:38 We'll try and figure this out together, Scott. But Eddie Rosario went 0 for three on Tuesday. He is now batting 28 with a 645 OPS. He has a couple of home runs. I think he has three home runs, but he is running a little bit, which has helped his value. He has five steals in the season.
Starting point is 00:13:54 What is going on with Eddie Rosario? What is your worryometer on him, Scott? Okay. So I will try to give player-specific analysis here because that's what the segment calls for. Yep. But just to kind of preface the whole thing, I have no faith in my ability to evaluate hitters in this range.
Starting point is 00:14:18 Right now, kind of that middle tier of hitters, guys who are clearly underachieving so far. And there's a lot of them. I have no idea because like the landscape appears to have changed so much. And I feel like I need to wait for it to recalibrate to have some idea what I'm talking about in terms of, okay, well, this guy looks like there's nothing wrong with him. He's going to bounce back. You know, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:14:48 I don't know how to pick out which of these guys specifically will. which won't. I mean, Eddie Rosario specifically, strikeout rate looks fine, average exit velocity, fine. I don't see anything in the data that's particularly alarming here. So I would still have as much faith in Eddie Rosario as I ever did, except that I don't have faith in this class of hitter as a whole. Do you have a Worryometer number on him?
Starting point is 00:15:20 Five. Five. Right, straight down the middle. All right. The biggest thing that stands out to me, and as I'll point out with these next three, is I think that these are clearly the hitters that are being affected most by this ball, right?
Starting point is 00:15:36 So it's Eddie Rosario, Mike Moustakis, Lorda's Garillo, Kavana Bizio. Not hitters that potentially, that actually hit the ball all that hard. I mean, they all kind of put the ball in the air in a decent amount. those names again. Eddie Rosario, Mike Moustakis, Lourdes-Guriel,
Starting point is 00:15:54 Kevin Bissio. Because Gouriel does hit the ball really hard. He has, at times, in the past. He's been a little bit inconsistent in his career where he gets off to these slow starts and then he heats up. But in particular, for these four, it just seems like they made the most
Starting point is 00:16:09 of just putting the ball in the air a decent amount, right? Like volume fly ball hitters, basically. And it seems like they would be the ones affected by this ball, which is clear, not traveling as far as it used to. In particular for Eddie Rosario, his home run to fly ball ratio is 8% this year.
Starting point is 00:16:28 The year before, it was 15.9. The year before, 15.8. So that kind of sounds like he's just being affected by this new baseball. But we can take a closer look at Mike Mustakis, who is another one. He's always hit the ball a good amount in the air. This year, he's got an 18% infield fly ball rate.
Starting point is 00:16:44 Those are automatic outs. So that's definitely something that's contributing to was 218 batting average. So what do you think about Mike Mustakis, Scott? Worryometer. I mean, Mike Mustakis has been around a long time, right? He's been through some eras. And really for home run specifically, judging by the league-wide rate,
Starting point is 00:17:06 I feel like the closest, the year to compare it to is 2018, which was during, it was still during the home run explosion. It was the worst year of the home run explosion, but still, like, historically speaking, relative to the decade as a whole, still a good time to, a good year for home runs. So, I mean, Mustakis hit 28 home runs in 2018.
Starting point is 00:17:31 His worst total of that run, he had a 38 homer season before. He had a 35 homer season in 2019. You know, as we talked about yesterday, Babip is where you see the most dramatic change. Babip is his, historically low. Strikeout rate is historically high too.
Starting point is 00:17:50 You expect that, but that win hitters make contact so few hits are resulting from it, that's really the thing I don't know how to account for. Yeah, Mustakis, I would say of this group, if I'm ranking them from most confident they'll be okay to least
Starting point is 00:18:06 confident they'll be okay. Guriel, I'm most confident will be okay. Then Mustakis, then Rosario. Kevin Bizio kind of a distant last year. I mean, Kevin Vizio was somewhat you could you could easily peg to have problems if
Starting point is 00:18:22 the effect of the ball changed too much. And I think it was all our bust lists coming into the season for that reason, in part for that reason, in part because it looked like he overachieved even with the ball as it was. All right. So if you were trying to buy low on any of these, Gurriel's the one that you feel the most good. Yeah, no, I totally
Starting point is 00:18:42 am with Chris as Gurriel. On Gurriel is a buy-low candidate. You know, we're kind of poking fun earlier, him saying he'd trade Carlos Rodon for Gurriel. To me, that doesn't seem like a buy-low trade. But just the idea of trading, of buying low on Gurriel, I think makes sense. And Gurriel is another one where his home run to fly ball ratios so far this season is 6%.
Starting point is 00:19:07 Last year it was 20%. The year before it was 20%. So another one where you're seeing those fly balls just not going out of the yard. for Kevin Bizio actually his home run a fly ball ratio is right in line with where it was last year it's a little bit down from 2019 he is
Starting point is 00:19:24 hitting a few more line drives but the strikeout rate is actually up a decent bit for Kevin Bizio so we can move on from that group of hitter but I just I just kind of all think that they're like in a similar spot where those fly balls are just not flying out it's not really the case for
Starting point is 00:19:40 Josh Bell because he's just hitting so many ground balls he went 0 for 4 with two more strike on Tuesday. He's batting 134. And I wanted to say, like, there's some optimism for his May batted ball data. 25% line drive rate. That sounds good. Groundball rate down to 44%. All right, we can work with that. And then a 20% infield fly ball rate. So, so, I mean, what do we do with Bell at this point? I think in deeper, I have him in a 15 team league. I'm not going to drop them there because
Starting point is 00:20:09 you have a corner infield spot there as well. But like in a 12 team points league, No, you can't hold on to him anymore. I mean, he's just un-startable. Ryan Zimmerman is stealing so many starts on top of all the struggles. I have a theory that he got messed up this spring from having to, you know, because he was on such a role this spring. I have a theory that his swing got messed up when he had to sit all that time at the start of the season and just like his swing, as we saw during his amazing 2019 season,
Starting point is 00:20:42 it can be so finicky. that has just had a hard time regaining it and being in and out of the lineup so much probably hasn't helped with that. So I haven't ruled out the possibility Josh Bell comes roaring back, but roster space is too precious for you to devote a spot to him indefinitely.
Starting point is 00:21:01 Would you drop Josh Bell for... I would have said Brandon Bell, but he left with an injury today. We talked about him yesterday. He's got some interesting stat-cast numbers. Man, there's... Not really a great group of first-based eligible players available. How about Jamer Candelario?
Starting point is 00:21:18 Would you make that move? Probably not unless I had to have somebody starting right now. I'm looking at players rostered in under 60% of leagues. Miguel Seno, no. I mean, how about Ryan Moucassel? He's been playing better, but strikes out a ton as well. Yeah, I don't have a lot of faith in Mountcastle. I'd stick with Bell if that was the case.
Starting point is 00:21:41 That was the only alternative. Yeah. All the interesting first basement, they already got scooped up. Like, Hazus Aguilar's 83% rostered. Nate Lowe, 89%. Yulelega L is off to a great star, but he's 95% roster as well.
Starting point is 00:21:55 It might just have to be an exception out there in a shallower league. Yeah. Which can happen. Maybe just make a trade for try to make a trade for a first basement if you have Josh Bell and just kind of stash him on the bench right now.
Starting point is 00:22:07 Though, again, in those shallower leagues, 12 team points, 10 team anything. I think you could drop Josh Bell for now. He's Hori Solair. I was getting ready to rip this guy a new one, and then he goes out and has a great game on Tuesday. He went two for five with his third home run, put up six RBI.
Starting point is 00:22:22 The problem is he's batting only 200, and he's been really inconsistent throughout his career, Scott. He had that monster, monster 2019 season with the juice ball. But he's been just kind of mad since then. Wariometer, Jorge Salare. Maybe, I don't know,
Starting point is 00:22:39 five, He's probably going to get hot at some point and hit a ton of home runs because he hits the ball as hard as almost anybody. I mean, he's right there behind like the Stan Judge class of hitters in terms of how hard they impact the ball, probably right there like with Miguel Sino and Joey Gallo. Early in the season, the strikeout rate was resembling more of a Miguel Sino. So he could understand why he was struggling.
Starting point is 00:23:08 But it's down below 30% now. and yeah, he's in the 99th percentile for hard hit rate. He's in the 98th percentile for average exit velocity. So he's going to start hitting some balls over the fence here, I think. Soler will. Another one, 6.5 percent home run to fly ball ratio. This is last year it was 23 percent. In 2019, it was 28 percent.
Starting point is 00:23:34 So even someone who impacts the ball as hard as Jorge Soler has been affected by, you know, this ongoing problem that we see in baseball. And this is someone who hits the ball extremely hard, as you pointed out, Scott. So would you drop him anywhere? Would you drop him in a points league? He strikes out so much. Yeah, points league, the standard for a must-rost-roster hitter is awfully high,
Starting point is 00:23:58 and Solair doesn't meet it. Okay. But in any type of five outfielder, Roto, you would hold on to him. Yeah, yeah, five-elfielder, rhodo, sure. Let's talk a little bit about Glaver Torres in this same discussion here. Chris put out an article on Tuesday and had Glaibre Torres as a sell low. Get something for Glaver Torres while you can. And since the start of last season,
Starting point is 00:24:23 Glebert Torres is batting 242 with a 687 OPS, four home runs in 74 games. The plate discipline is actually strong. 13% walk rate, 17% strikeout rate of 186 hitters with at least 250 plate appearances over the last two seasons. Glaber Torres' 24% hard contact rate is the ninth lowest in baseball, ninth lowest of 186 batters. So what's your worryometer, Scott, on Glaber?
Starting point is 00:24:51 He's kind of shown signs recently of breaking out of it, but he still, he has one home run on the season. It's May 12th. Yeah, so probably like a six or seven on Glabre Torres compared to that five for Eddie Rosario. You know, yeah, I don't know. I mean, his career started so effortlessly. You know, there was the 38 homer season and sophomore season,
Starting point is 00:25:17 but he looked good as a rookie too. He looked like an early to mid-round type player as a rookie, like a potential 30 homer guy then. So it's just, it's weird the way he's dropped off. Obviously, you give him a pass for the 2020 season. But now this, and he's squarely in that group of hit. that I just have no idea how to evaluate anymore. I just need to see more info.
Starting point is 00:25:43 I probably won't know how to evaluate them all season, frankly. After the season, you can get a sense of who recovered to put up worthwhile stats and who didn't. But right now, I'm just totally lost with these guys. I would put like Anthony Rizzo in that category, Paul Goldschmidt. So many hitters. So many hitters. I don't know what to make of them. The last thing I will bring up about Glebert Torres is that I mentioned the plate discipline.
Starting point is 00:26:10 Past two years it's been up. He's got a 13% walk rate. I think he's actually being a little bit too patient and he's being too selective. I think he's got to go back to chasing pitches a little bit more, which is something we don't normally say. But back in 2019, when he hit those 38 home runs, he had a 35% chase rate. Since then, it's been 25%. So just be the player that you are, right? Like, don't try to be something that you're not. and that was something that stood out to me for Glaver Torres as well. So if we see that kind of ticking up a little bit, maybe it'll lead to him being a better player. We're going to take a quick break,
Starting point is 00:26:44 but when we return, we're going to do buy, sell, or hold, for some starting pitchers who pitched on Tuesday. We'll do that next here on Fantasy Baseball today. Let's talk about the pitcher who opposed Shohei Otani on Tuesday, and Lance of Colors was absolutely fantastic. Eight innings, one run, two walks, nine strikeouts, ERA down. to 3.10. He had 13 swinging strikes on 96 pitches and continues to use this change up a little bit more this year.
Starting point is 00:27:14 I mean, normally it's been the curveball, Scott, that McCullors would get all this, do all his damage with. He's like, has a legit four-pitched repertoire, sinker, slider, change-up, curveball. I kind of feel like this is the best version of McCullers that we have seen. So if you have the option. And I haven't been going on all year. It's just been the last few starts, basically. He did it with the stated goal of he felt like he was leaving some innings on the table by not having a diverse enough arsenal. And sure enough, four straight quality starts, four of six plus.
Starting point is 00:27:48 There was a seven inning start in there. There was, of course, this eight inning start. And I think he's better off for it. Still has an incredible ground ball rate, still getting swinging strikes at a rate that's typical for him. the ex-phips a little high but the walk rate's been kind of high so yeah
Starting point is 00:28:10 overall overall he's looking good and actually the ex-fip I'm sorry updated with this after this most recent start the ex-fip is back in line with what we're used to seeing from him too nice would you buy sell or hold alma colors
Starting point is 00:28:23 where is your confidence in him I don't think it's a bad idea to try shopping him just because there's a surplus of pitchers in this range and he's coming off his best start of the season and he has an injury history. He's never thrown even
Starting point is 00:28:36 130 innings in a season. So not a bad idea to shop them, but if you don't find a great return, then nothing wrong with holding on to him either. How about Robbie Ray, who was at the Braves on Tuesday, six innings, three runs, one walk, 10 strikeouts,
Starting point is 00:28:52 18 swinging strikes on 99 pitches. Now, the Braves do swing and miss quite a bit. I believe they're 10th in baseball and swinging strike rate, but this was still a pretty impressive performance, 33 strikeouts to just one walk over Robbie Ray's last four starts, Scott. So if you had the option, buy, sell, or hold,
Starting point is 00:29:09 where are you about on Robbie Ray? I guess hold? I don't know the buy. I don't know what the case would be to buy, but I guess if somebody was offering him for dirt cheap, but no, I'm pretty excited about what he's done here. The walk he issued in this game was his first in his past, in four starts, one walk and four starts for Robbie Ray.
Starting point is 00:29:32 he's throwing harder than he ever has before and he's walking fewer guys than he ever has before and for a while is like where are the strikeouts but suddenly three out of four starts I believe it is with nine plus so yeah this this might be the best Robbie Ray ever and that's saying something when you go back and look at his 2017 season yeah because he's walking so few
Starting point is 00:29:55 it's allowing him to pitch deeper into games too and because of that efficiency so normally when he was in his prime you'd give you all these strikeouts. It'd give you whatever, 10 strikeouts, double-digit strikeout games. But a lot of times it would be five, maybe he would get to six innings.
Starting point is 00:30:11 I agree. This might be the best version of Robbie Ray that we have seen. So I am pretty excited about him. I'd be willing to hold or potentially even buy if someone's not buying into him the way that we are, right?
Starting point is 00:30:23 So kind of a buy-high situation there for Robbie Ray. How about Jordan Montgomery at the Tampa Bay Ray? Six innings, one run, one walk, nine strikeouts, 17 swinging strikes. on 85 pitches. Of course, Tampa Bay has one of the highest swinging strike rates in baseball.
Starting point is 00:30:36 The ERA is down to 3.96 by seller hold. I would probably sell. I mean, this was clearly his best start of the season. He does have a second matchup this week. I believe it's against the Orioles,
Starting point is 00:30:52 another favorable one. So obviously you want to take advantage of that. But he's pretty mad. He's not going to be a big bat miss or jose. Generally, he's not going to pitch six with enough consistency. This is only his third quality start this year. So, yeah, not super excited about Montgomery over the long run. If you could turn Montgomery into someone like Bustakis or Lourdes-Guriel, we should do it?
Starting point is 00:31:20 Yep. I'm going to try to compare pitcher for hitter trades more moving forward because it seems like, because everyone has such a surplus for pitchers, I don't know that a lot of pitcher for pitcher trades are happening or are even necessary at this point. So I'll try and find some hitters that we can compare these pitchers to when we're talking trades. How about Matthew Boyd, Scott? You got to give the guy some credit. At some point, Scott, you got to do it. His first start back against the Kansas City Royals, six shutout, four hits, two walks, five strikeouts, 12 swinging strikes on 92 pitches for Matthew Boyd. He threw four different pitches
Starting point is 00:31:54 at least 11 times in the start. The change-up usage remains up, and it's really helped all of his other pitches so far the season. You know, in the past, he would throw a blast ball 91, 92, and he would throw his slider a ton, like 30% plus of the time. And it just wasn't a great formula. Now he's mixing in the curve, the change a little bit more. I really like what I've seen for Matthew Boyd, Scott. There will be some regression. You know, he's not going to pitch to a two ERA or whatever, but I think he's serviceable, buy seller hold. So, I still think. You hate Matthew Boyd. I still think there's a lot of disaster waiting, disaster waiting to happen, potentially,
Starting point is 00:32:38 because he remains an extreme flyball pitcher, ninth highest fly ball rate among pitchers this year, and yet he's allowed one home run, a single home run. Like, you can't tell me that's not good home run luck. It's still a good era for home runs. It's not the run. past two years, granted, but it's still a good time for, it's still a prolific time for
Starting point is 00:33:06 home runs. And Boyd's allowed one, even with that high fly ball rate. So you can understand then why his ex-fip is $4.91. So that's, that's interesting because his FIP is $296. But FIP, what X-FIP does, that FIP does, and X-FIP measures fly ball rate, FIP measures home run rate. So FIPP is just saying, oh, clearly he's good at preventing home runs. I don't think that's true. I think the ex-PIP is what you need to look at, and it's $4.91. But what I will add to that, Scott, is with that home run to fly ball ratio down across the middle class hitters throughout baseball that we've talked about, maybe he can suppress home runs this season, right? Like, with this ball that they're using, maybe this is the year that, you know, okay, like, I'm not saying draft him next year, but maybe he can just somehow manage to out pitch his,
Starting point is 00:33:58 X-Fit because home run per fly ball rate is down for most hitters, right? So I agree with you that. Maybe he can be better than the, I mean, last two, he was ridiculously bad. 19.7% home run to fly ball rate last year, 18.2, the year before. But go back to 2018, the year that's very much like this year in terms of home run rate. It was 11.2, the home run to fly ball rate. Certainly better than 18 or 19%, 11.2. But right now his for this season is,
Starting point is 00:34:28 is below 2%, you know? So there's a lot of correction coming there with the home runs, no matter how you slice it. Marcus Stroman, all against the Baltimore Orioles, six and a third, one run, five strikeouts, 14 swinging strikes on 90 pitches. The ERA down to 1.99, 3.24 X-FIP on the year. He's got a 56% ground ball rate.
Starting point is 00:34:50 That is fifth among qualified starting pitchers. And the best control that we've ever seen from Marcus Troman, Scott. So buy-seller hold on. of him? I think I'd hold. Yeah, I mean, this is the best ex-fit of his career, the fact that he is the lowest walk rate of his career, I guess that makes sense, but
Starting point is 00:35:07 of course the main thing that Stroman has always been good at is keeping the ball on the ground. That hasn't changed this year. If he continues with this kind of control, he's shaping up to be a career year for a guy who's, you know, already a pretty good pitcher. If you have a pitching surplus, Stroman is probably one I would look to shop, just to be clear.
Starting point is 00:35:28 but I think he is, I think he's going to be plenty startable all season long. Last one I wanted to talk about Chris Bassett, another one, where we want to keep doubting him, but he just keeps showing up and proving us wrong.
Starting point is 00:35:45 This time at the Boston Red Sox, seven innings, two runs, zero walks, ten strikeouts, and the ERA is down to 3.54. He's allowed exactly two earned runs in each of his last, six starts, 46 strikeouts to 37 innings pitched during that span. Scott, buy, sell, or hold Chris Bassett. Yeah, the whiff rate has gone way up this start with the 10 strikeouts.
Starting point is 00:36:11 He only had 12 whiffs in getting those 10 strikeouts, but it was at Boston, and it was this fifth straight start with double-digit swinging strikes when that wasn't something he did very often last year even when he was having success, those double-digit swinging strikes. starts. So, a lot of S-salli sells seashells by the seashore. Yeah, I'm, I'm pretty on board with Bassett at this point. 338 X-FIP. That was well over four last year with the success he was having then. There's that word again. And yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Who would you, pretty much on board? Who would you rather, if you have both on your team and you're looking to sell one of them, who would you rather sell? Sell, Shromen.
Starting point is 00:36:58 or Chris Bassett. I think I would prefer to trade Stroman, which is kind of a gamble, because he's more of a known quantity. But yeah, I think I'd rather shoot for the lower whip with Bassett. Let's take a look at some waiver wire starting pitchers and talk about Yusay Kikuchi. Catch you up on this start.
Starting point is 00:37:22 Still going on. In the West Coast, Usaikuchi, finishes six in a third, six hits, three runs, one walk, 11 strikeouts against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Kikuchi is 57% rostered. I'm going to lump these four names together, Scott. You let me know which one you like most. J.T. Brewbaker against the Reds, six innings, one run, four strikeouts,
Starting point is 00:37:46 has been awesome this year. He's 70% rostered. Logan Webb against the Texas Rangers, 10 strikeouts over six innings. Adbert Alzely at Cleveland, six innings, three runs. Six strikeouts, zero walks. So between Brewbaker, Kikuchi, Azzalai, and Webb, rank him. Kikuchi, Alzali, Breu Baker, Web. This was kind of the first start for Webb
Starting point is 00:38:12 where we saw that mythical change-up from this spring that got compared to Luis Castillo's change-up. Yeah, that's the joke in and of itself, right? You don't want that. So that was, you know, I was encouraged to see it for Webb, but got to see more of it. Alzalai continues to pile up whiffs with that slider that's now his most used to pitch.
Starting point is 00:38:34 Brubecker keeps getting ground balls. He is, I believe, I think he has the fourth best ground ball rate. Yeah, fourth best ground ball rate. So that's obviously explains his success. Who, I said it right. And you say Kikuchi. That brings us to Yusay Kikuchi,
Starting point is 00:38:55 whose last three starts have all been amazing. They've been his best three swinging strike starts of the season. His velocity, he gained about a mile per hour on the fastball, maybe a little less than that over that three-star stretch. And we've seen the effectiveness take off. So yeah, Kukuchi may be turning a corner here. And Kikuchi has kind of gone down this, you Darvish, Joe Musgrove,
Starting point is 00:39:26 route of using his curveball, his cutter rather, as his main pitch. He threw it 54 times against the Dodgers on Tuesday. That accounted for 51% of his pitches. He had 17 swinging strikes on 106. Eight of those came on his cutter. So he's using that basically
Starting point is 00:39:42 as his main pitch and as you mentioned, the four seam velocity up there. So lots to like about you say Kikuchi right now. Scott, would you drop to Nelson Lamet for any, all of these pitchers? Oh, that two winning pitcher, Denelson Lamet.
Starting point is 00:39:56 His velocity was way down again. I think it was three miles per hour down on his fast pole, two miles per hour down on the slider. Gosh. I don't think I'd drop them for, well, I want to drop him for Webb, and I wouldn't drop him for Brewbaker. I don't think.
Starting point is 00:40:12 But if, if, would I drop him for, would I drop him for Alzalai? Alzalai is kind of healthy Denelsen Lament right now. Not as good, but. Well, yeah, that's, that's exaggerating. it, but... Just two pitches and... I see similarities.
Starting point is 00:40:29 I don't think I could... I don't think I could drop Lamette yet for Al-Zalai, but we're getting close to that point. He's got to... He's got to show us something. But Kukuchi, yeah, if that was the only way I could get Kukuchi on the roster, I think I'd do it. All right. I wanted to talk a little bit about Jesse Winker, Scott. Should our confidence be growing?
Starting point is 00:40:46 I brought him up maybe last week or two weeks ago and you were like, you know, he's done this before and he's dealt with so many... injuries. So I want to check back in and see if your confidence has actually grown for him. He went three for four with his seventh home run on Tuesday. He's batting 374 and stack cast page is filled with red. He's absolutely crushing the ball. Launch angle is up. There were, you know, for a couple of years, Winker would hit too many ground balls. He wouldn't put the ball in the air enough. He's up to a career high 14.5 degree average launch launch angle. I kind of feel like at a position where everyone stinks, right? Scott and outfield.
Starting point is 00:41:24 Winker, should we get them inside our top 25, close to like that Jared Walsh range, basically? Probably. So the other side of the coin from what I was saying about not having confidence in my ability to assess any mid-class hitter who's struggling in this new environment, is that any mid-class hitter who's performing well,
Starting point is 00:41:47 I feel like there's no choice but to buy into them. It's much easier in Winker's case, and of course the year I preach caution on him is the year he's probably going to break through because in addition you mentioned the launch angle
Starting point is 00:42:01 but bringing it down more specifically he has a line drive rate over 30% right now which like if you have a line drive rate over 25% it's going to be hard
Starting point is 00:42:14 for you not to hit for average you know if it's over 30 like probably going to compete for batting title I would say and
Starting point is 00:42:24 the fact that his lineup spot seems to be more secure than ever, which I guess how could it not be with him hitting so well? I can't imagine being so confident in the rest of my lineup at this point, the rest of my fantasy lineup that, I'm going to sell high on Winker. I just can't imagine being the guy in that position. So, yeah, find a Winker. How can you not?
Starting point is 00:42:52 Yeah, he's an injury risk. He's a very different player than Byron Buckson. I get, like, you know, they don't have similar skill sets, but it's kind of a similar situation where now that he's breaking out, I kind of feel like you should just reap the rewards. Like, you shouldn't just try to sell high because if Winker stays healthy, he's one of these guys where I could see him hit well over 300, 30 plus homers in a great ballpark,
Starting point is 00:43:16 leading off for an okay lineup, a decent lineup there with Cincinnati. His 30.4% line drive rate is, fourth best among qualified hitters so far this year. So our confidence growing with Jesse Winker. Scott, I mentioned I might have an outfielder to buy on. And I don't really know where his valuation at is right now. So maybe we figure this out together. But Tiasca Hernandez, he is batting 326 with two homers and one steel with just a 15%
Starting point is 00:43:46 strikeout rate in 11 games since returning from the IL. Now, we didn't like Tiaska Hernandez basically across the board on this podcast coming into the year. but if a player makes adjustments in season and you can get them at a cheaper cost than what they were before the season started during draft season when he was a top 100 pick then I think there's an opportunity to buy
Starting point is 00:44:06 and I like what I've seen from to Oscar since he's returned from the IL so what do you think? I mean yeah if he can get that strikeout rate down I'm very suspicious of that I mean that the cumulative strikeout rate for him as good as it's been in those 11 games is still like right. at 30 basically, which is where it's always been where it was last year.
Starting point is 00:44:30 So, yeah, I'm not ready to say anything's changed for him. I could see buying low on him just because you want another potential impact bad at a position that's been difficult to fill and just hoping for the best. But that's all I'd be doing if I was buying on Hernandez right now. now. Would you trade Jordan Montgomery or Matthew Boyd, who you had as sell candidates for to Oscar Hernandez? Yeah. I would trade either of them for Hernandez. Do you think that's a realistic trade? Do you think that's something that can happen? Yeah. Yeah? I do. I mean, you should probably aim higher with Boyd right now as good as his numbers look.
Starting point is 00:45:16 So you think you can get maybe like a Charlie Blackman for Matthew Boyd? Or is that too high? no I don't think it's too high at all I think I think you could I think you should aim high with Boyd aim as high as you're willing to to accept rejection on except mockery for
Starting point is 00:45:37 and then dial back from there yeah Montgomery I'd be surprised if you could really get anything of value for him but it's worth a try probably for like the Hernandez range on down I've got some waiver wire hitters. I wanted to mention Nick Senzel. I can just keep talking about him until his roster rate is
Starting point is 00:45:58 you know over 70 or 80%. He had three more hits on Tuesday. He now has 14 hits over his last nine games. He has two steals on the season with five caught stealing. So at some point they're probably going to tell him to stop running. He is 96 percentile in sprint speed, but has not been fortunate on the base paths. He is
Starting point is 00:46:15 64% rostered. Adam Frazier had two more hits including his first homer of the season. He is batting 312, 59, percent rostered. Jorge Polanco coming on strong now, seven hits over his last three games, including two homers. He is 63 percent rostered. Scott, specifically with those last two that have middle infield eligibility, would you drop Kevin Bizio for either both, Frasier or Jorge Polanco? No, I want to do it for either, but I'm disgusted because you have no idea. All my like 15 team roto leagues have been starting Jorge Polanco all season. I finally bench
Starting point is 00:46:50 him this week. What happens? He starts to come around and I think it's going to keep your... It's been a while since I've looked at Jorge Polanco's underlying numbers. But last I looked, the line drive rate was still great. The strikeout rate was still great. Strikeout rate's a little high for him, but it's not a bad strikeout rate. Line drive rate's a little low for him.
Starting point is 00:47:11 Okay. So, yeah, harder to say he's going to bounce back, given those numbers. but he at least appears to be trending that direction. Some deeper league hitters. Seza Hernandez has nine hits, including two homers over his last eight games. Robbie Grossman went two for five with a triple and five RBI. He is 20% rostered on CBS.
Starting point is 00:47:34 Taylor Ward, Sky, you mentioned his name last week. You went two for three with his second home run of the season. I saw you took him from me in the Dynasty League and the 24 teamer. I had my bid lined up probably before I mentioned him to you on this podcast. And then you went and... I did not put a bid in for him until after the podcast ended. Yeah, and it was a $3 bid, right?
Starting point is 00:47:53 Yep. Mine was two. Ha! Take that. Taylor Ward. And then Troy Stokes, which I didn't know who this gentleman was until a couple of days ago when he got called up for the Pirates,
Starting point is 00:48:05 but good for him. I finally made it to the big leagues. He went two for three with a double, two RBI, a walk, and his first career steal, he has three seasons with 20 plus steals in the minor. Scott, anything you'd like to add
Starting point is 00:48:15 about Cesar Hernandez, who actually has pretty good underlying numbers, according to Stadcast, Robbie Grossman, Taylor Ward, and Troy Stokes, Jr. Yeah, I can see Hernandez becoming a pretty valuable piece if he gets his batting average up
Starting point is 00:48:32 back up where it normally is and you say the underlying numbers are good. So there's a decent chance of that. If it's not going to be as easy for so many middle infielders to hit 20 plus home runs in this environment, which, I mean, Like I said, like I've said a few times, go back and look at 2018.
Starting point is 00:48:50 Still plenty of them did then. But it would make a non-home run hitter like Hernandez who excels in other ways. It would make him more valuable. Some Thursday leftovers. Mani Machado went two for five with a home run, a triple and five RBI. He has been scuffling recently. But another one where the stat cast numbers say that he's been a little bit unlucky. So anyone out there in your league concerned about Mani Machado?
Starting point is 00:49:13 Go out and get him. John Means followed up his no hitter at the Mets, six shutout, six hits, zero walks, three strikeouts. They only let him throw 74 pitches in this one. I think that was probably planned after he threw so many into no-hitter. John Mainz leisure. Only throwing 74 pitches. Marcus Semyon now has 16 hits during a 10-game hitting streak.
Starting point is 00:49:34 The batting average is up to 267. Ken Tamayeda and Dylan Cease were both, meh. They allowed three earned runs each over five innings pitched. Mitch Hanigur had a double dong. Anything you would like to say about any of the play. I just mentioned Scott? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:49:50 As a matter of fact, there is. A lot I'd like to say, Frank. Breezing by these guys. Okay, so I made a reference to Avaldi earlier. He only had six swinging strikes in this start as good as it was, and that's actually three straight now, where the swinging strikes have been bad. To combine 20 strikes,
Starting point is 00:50:08 combined 20 swinging strikes in Avaldi's last three starts after doing so well with that number early in the season. and barely thrown any sliders now. The case for him early on was, oh, look, he does not just one breaking ball, but two, this is something we've never seen before. Look at how he plays them off each other and gets all these missed bats,
Starting point is 00:50:28 and that's not happening for a Valdi anymore, so I don't know, losing faith in him. Meanwhile, Dylan Cease looks like, you know, not such a great start, three and runs in five innings, seven strikeouts, whatever. 20 swinging strikes. in those five innings, 20 swinging strikes? What would it have been if he'd made at seven?
Starting point is 00:50:51 It'd be like a Jacob de Grom number. Ten of those 20 swinging strikes came on as fastball, which is not a pitch that you normally see get a lot of swinging strikes. The spin rate, which I'd been talking about with Cease's past couple outings, was still amazing, like a league-leading type spin rate on that fastball, which explains all the swinging strikes. the spin rate was still amazing on the slider like it was last time.
Starting point is 00:51:16 I think this guy's very much on the right track and I would not give a thought to dropping him. I'd probably be looking to buy him at this point, especially after this start because this may be one of the last starts for Dillon Cise, that's this ordinary.
Starting point is 00:51:33 And then I want to talk about Kinta Maeda too because I did see one good sign for Kinta Maeda amid the not-so-great start. you know, only three strikeouts in five innings, only 10 swinging strikes. Neither of those numbers is very good. But I did notice that six of his 10 swinging strikes came on his splitter. Six out of the 14 splitters hitters swung at, they swung and missed. That's a 43% whiff rate, which is different from a swinging strike rate because it's number of misses on number of swings,
Starting point is 00:52:10 versus number of misses on number of pitches. So, yeah, 43% whiff rate on the splitter in this start, which is about what the whiff rate was on a splitter last year. And remember, that's the pitch that the results seem to change the most on. His whiff rate on his splitter was way down. So the whiff rate on a splitter was back to 2020 standards, at least for this one start. The overall line wasn't great, but, you know,
Starting point is 00:52:36 I take that as a positive sign for Kinta Maida. All righty. The call to the pen. We'll get some bullpen updates here. Jake McGee got his 10th save of the season. He now has three straight scoreless appearances. For the Oakland A's, Jake Deekman came in for his fourth save,
Starting point is 00:52:52 and he was facing a lefty, a righty, a righty. And then he actually had to face five better, so it was another lefty after that. But yeah, it continues to look like musical chairs here for the Oakland A's in the ninth inning. For Cleveland, Emmanuel Class A, got his seventh save. James Carrenchak recorded a four-out hold.
Starting point is 00:53:10 For the Orioles, Cesar Valdez, allowed two runs. He took his third blown save and the loss for Toronto. Jordan Romano, baby. This is why we drafted you. I only got it. 29 pitches, but he did record his first save of the season. It was pretty stressful, a hit aloud, a walk aloud. He's 49% rostered.
Starting point is 00:53:31 So if you need him in a Categories League, you need saves. Definitely go out there and get Jordan Romano. And then for the Tigers, it wasn't a save opportunity They were up four runs in the ninth, but Jose Cisnero came in. He allowed four runs. The game was tied, and then they eventually brought in Gregory Soto to put out the fire. But I was surprised that they didn't bring in Gregory Soto a little bit earlier in that game. I was just watching the Dodgers and Mariners, and man, Raphael Montero, this guy's cooked.
Starting point is 00:54:00 He is done. An inning in a third, two hits, three runs, came in in a one-run game, completely blew it, gave up a three-run homer to Gavin Lux. I just... Are you sure, Frank? I wouldn't be surprised if this guy is like DFA tomorrow. Because I thought it happened
Starting point is 00:54:15 after the third blown save. I was pretty sure after the fourth blown save. He has... Five. I'm kind of going the other direction now and thinking he's just untouchable. Gosh, I don't know. I don't know what they're thinking.
Starting point is 00:54:29 I think it's one of those kind of weird baseball political things where they traded for him in the off season, so they kind of feel like they need to just testify the trade by continuing to throw him out there, but he's bad. He's got a 5.51 ERA. He's blown five saves. Kenley Jansen on the other side, by the way. He struck out two. He has six
Starting point is 00:54:48 saves. He's a 1.760 ERA. So everything looks great for Kenley Janssen. To stream or not to stream for Wednesdays, Scott choose three of these. Matt Harvey at the Mets. Oh, I remember this group. It's pretty bad. Zach Davies at Cleveland. Casey Myers versus the Royals. John Gantt at the Brewers. Andrew Heaney at the Astros. And J. Hap at the White Sox. Yeah, so Haney's the only one I'd consider for the strikeout raid and if I'm looking to preserve ERA and WIP, not going to do it. I really don't want to pick any others. Chris, if he was here, would say John Gant is pretty good.
Starting point is 00:55:20 John Gant has like a 3.24 ERA for his career. Yeah. That's my Chris Sauer's impression. I'm not willing to go there, but just to represent the Chris wing. I will throw John Gant's name out there. I'm looking to see if there are any pitchers available that they recently added. to the Probables for Wednesday.
Starting point is 00:55:42 James Caprillion is pitching for the Oakland A's. That's interesting. Not that you would start him, but a former prospect. I believe he's had two Tommy John surgeries, but pay attention to the name, James Caprillion. Anyone else? Nope, Justin Dunn at the Dodgers. Don't want to do that either.
Starting point is 00:55:58 To stream or not to stream for Thursday, Daniel Lynch at the Tigers, Spencer Turnbull versus the Royals, Merrill Kelly versus the Marlins, Garrett Richards versus the A's, Wade Miley, the Rockies and Mike Fultenevich at the Astros. Oh, gosh.
Starting point is 00:56:13 You got another all-star lineup, Scott. That's not much better. Garrett Richards, he's looked better, made some changes to his delivery. Two of his last three starts anyway. He looked impressive. Tough matchup against Oakland,
Starting point is 00:56:30 but he'd probably be my first choice if you're making me pick one of these. And you are. Like, Wade Miley at Colorado might be My second choice, which tells you everything you need to know. I don't want to pick a third. Turnbull. Turnbull against the Royals.
Starting point is 00:56:47 That's my third. Let's wrap up with a few emails slash Apple Podcasts for review questions that we received. And this is an APR from Alberto Masias. Great to trade. Head to head categories, OBP, traded away Aaron Judge and Emmanuel Class A for Bryce Harper and Zach Gallen. Seems pretty good. Yeah, it does. I would give that trade a... A.
Starting point is 00:57:15 A minus. A minus. This is an Apple podcast review from Aney Moke, 92. 12 team heads head points to create space for Alex Kirilloff on my IL. I traded Steven Strasbourg for Trent Grisham. What do you think, Scott? Great to trade. I give that trade. I had points link I still give it a favorable grade
Starting point is 00:57:42 I'll give it a B Trent Grisham is so awesome by the way I mean the guy has just been he's been great this year this happens every year Scott with at least one player that gets a little bit banged up in spring training and
Starting point is 00:57:54 I get scared off I get spooked away and then I just wind up with no shares but I liked Grisham and I didn't get him anywhere so that stinks great to trade from Maxwell traded Jesse Winka and Alex Reyes for Francisco Lindor. Yeah, I mean, you obviously have to do it.
Starting point is 00:58:16 What kind of grade would I give it? Lower than you might think. B plus. I was thinking B minus. I was wrestling with a C plus, Scott. I mean, it's still Lindor. You love you some Winker, huh? I like Winker quite a bit.
Starting point is 00:58:32 Alex Reyes looks like an elite closer too. Yeah, I would still take... I would have took the trade. I would have took to trade myself. Great to trade from Andrew. I traded Matt Manning and Shane McClanahan for Charlie Morton in a keeper league where you keep 14.
Starting point is 00:58:49 It's a quality starts league. Not sure how many teams are in the league, I assume like 12. So, yeah, Manning and McClanahan, they would not be automatic keepers at all. So I like it. Charlie Morton keeps talking about retiring, so I don't know that you'll have them
Starting point is 00:59:07 beyond this year, Right. I'm just thinking it might be tough to make Manning or McClainahan part of your 14 keepers unless you're just a true rebuilding team. So I don't think you lose much long term here by shooting your shot with Morton, who, by the way, his home run to fly ball rate, you're saying, Frank, that all these hitters, you know, their fly balls aren't turning into home runs as easily. Morton's home run to fly ball rate is about twice what it normally is, about two times as high as what it's been the past two years. So, you know, I was saying Matthew Boyd's due for worse home run luck.
Starting point is 00:59:48 Morton's due for much, much better. Home run luck. Great to trade here. This last one's from Gonzo. I'm in a 8x8 league standard, but with OPS on hitting, and K-per-9 with saves plus holds on pitching. just dealt Wascari Noah for Ryan McMahon, and I'm feeling pretty good about it.
Starting point is 01:00:09 Loving McMahon's advanced stats, 230 ISO, and above average ex-Woba, and he's making real hard contact. Yeah, I dove back into Ryan McMahon on Tuesday, and I love what I saw, man. Like, he's doing everything that he should to break out. Yeah, no, this is a great deal. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:00:27 I don't have a ton of confidence in Inoa sustaining this to begin with, but even if I did, I think just given the relative scarcity of dependable bats and McMahon being a triple eligible one on top of it. Yeah, I like the deal. All righty, we're going to wrap there for Scott. I am Frank. Thank you all for listening and watching fantasy baseball today. We'll be back again tomorrow.
Starting point is 01:00:50 Bye-bye.

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