Fantasy Baseball Today - Vintage Bregman & Castillo! What's Wrong with These Four Pitchers? (8/13 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: August 13, 2026

Alex Bregman blasted three homers (2:30)! ... Luis Castillo was in his former ace form against the Reds (7:30). ... Zac Veen returned to the Majors with a bang (14:36)! ... News (21:37): Freddie Freem...an left after falling in the Royals dugout. ... Rank Dustin May, Luis Castilo and Tyler Mahle (27:27). ... Dominic Canzone or Trent Grisham (39:17)? ... What's going on with these four pitchers (48:52)? ... We wrap up with leftovers, bullpens and streamers (1:00:48).Subscribe to our YouTube channel: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Sign up for the newsletter at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Now here's Frank Scott and Chris. Alex Brickman, not one, not two, but three bombs. Welcome in to Fantasy Baseball today on Thursday, August 13th. I am Frank Stample joined by Scott White.
Starting point is 00:00:34 Today on the show, we had a. a Breggman barrage. Zach Veen is back with a bang. Vintage Luis Castillo. And what's going on with these four pitchers? We shall discuss. Let's jump in. All right, Scott, players of the night,
Starting point is 00:00:54 and we are going with the Chicago Two Step. And we are starting with Alex Breggman, massive game, reach base five times, and clearly he was listening to last night's podcast, and he said, I'm thinking I'm back. That's right. Three for three with a triple dong.
Starting point is 00:01:10 Seven RBI also had two walks in this game. All three home runs hit between 96 and 98 miles per hour, exit velocity. So not the most mammoth home runs of all time, but Alex Bregman is Red Hot, updated numbers. Last 36 games, I'm sure there's all different kind of stretches of games that you can find out. But I just gave out his last 35 last night, so I will just update these.
Starting point is 00:01:34 And his last 36 games, he is hitting 293 with 10 homers, 34 RBI and OPS over 900. And the barrel rate, the expected stats still not great. They're usually not great for Alex Bregman. But the quality of contact is creeping up 90 mile per hour, average EV during that span. And all of a sudden, he is up to 16 homers, 69 runs, a 759 OPS. The genesis of the conversation last night, Scott, was a buyer sell. Alex Bregman is back.
Starting point is 00:02:06 and Chris and I both sold it. We were like, yeah, we think he's better. He's going to be better than he was in the first half, but he's not back to the player that he was before, you know? Even the player he was last year with the Red Sox before he got hurt. So where are you on this whole Alex Breggman heating up conversation? I think I'm where you guys were yesterday, where I don't think Alex Breggman is going to be the same in Chicago
Starting point is 00:02:34 that he was in Houston or even Boston. I mean, this goes back to why I called him a bust prior to the season. He's doing his best to salvage that now, and maybe he will. But this three-homer game, I'll note, came on the road, which means he now has 11 on the road compared to just five at home, where he has a 651 OPS at home. 217 batting average. I just don't think it's the best environment for it.
Starting point is 00:03:03 And you pointed out the three home runs were hit less than 100 miles per hour. don't see a lot of home runs hit less than 100 miles per hour. So that's that's kind of the knock on him. I think you need a little extra juice to get it out of Wrigley Field most days. And Bregman always had the assist of short, close outfield fences, left field fences specifically in Houston and Boston. And that's not the same anymore. It is new home. So he might be the same on the road, but I think the home numbers are going to continue to bring
Starting point is 00:03:36 him down. Yeah, if we look at just the updated first half, second half, there's no doubt. Like, it was obviously a very rough first half. You know, new player, new environment. You pointed out many times about Wrigley Field you just did. But 241 batting average, 695 OPS. First half in the second half, 313-933 OPS here for Bregman. So looks like he could be in for a much better second half, could salvage these numbers.
Starting point is 00:04:03 What can he get it up to? You know, he's at 16 home runs now. maybe he can get up to around, I don't know, between like 23, 22 and 25 homer, something like that, which I think would be an okay season for Alex Breggman, but yeah, not the player that he was back in Houston, certainly. And, you know, before he got hurt last year with the Red Sox, he was amazing.
Starting point is 00:04:26 He was like, you know, one of the top five or six third baseman in fantasy, and then obviously the injury kind of derailed his season. So I think he's getting better. I think he's getting acclimated. And obviously hits in the middle. of a really good Cubs lineup. Like obviously they have an MVP candidate leading off with PCA, but even the other surrounding players.
Starting point is 00:04:45 Like this is a very, very good Cubs lineup. So I would expect him again to be better, much better than he was in the first half, but not all the way back to the player that he was in previous seasons. But maybe I sold him a little short last night. Maybe he's more like a, maybe he's like an 800 OPS hitter in the second half
Starting point is 00:05:03 for the rest of season. Yeah, that would be pretty good. given that I think, you know, he's at a disadvantage at home. I'm trying to remember if I actually put numbers down when I wrote about him as a bust. It doesn't look like I did, but I probably voiced them on the podcast before. I was thinking he'd be something like a 245 hitter
Starting point is 00:05:23 with 18 home runs. And for a while, that was looking pretty good. You know, he entered today with 13 home runs. But now he has 16 home runs. So he got more than closed more than half the gas. between 13 and 18 on this one day. So it might be harder for him to do that. Look, last year I had an 821 OPS.
Starting point is 00:05:44 So if he can do an 800 OPS between now and the end of the season, he's essentially back. I'll take the under on that, but probably not by much. All right, Scott, let's go over to you for vintage Louise Castillo. We said Chicago two-step here. I get Bregman. You get Cassio. He might be back.
Starting point is 00:06:03 He might be back to, the version we saw in Cincinnati. So we're a revenge game here taking on the Reds, but not only that, he brought back the Reds version of Luis Castillo. And what I mean by that really emphasized the changeup. If you've been playing fantasy baseball for a long time, you've been listening to us for a long time. You know this used to be the story of Luis Castillo
Starting point is 00:06:28 when he was a borderline ace for all those years in Cincinnati. His change up was deadly. If he threw up more often than his fastball, it was most thrown pitch for a few of those years. And then he goes to Seattle, when he's kind of slowing down in Cincinnati, they sold him at a point where it looked like he might be on the decline. He gets rejuvenated in Seattle,
Starting point is 00:06:54 partly by altering his arsenal, throwing less of the change up, more like two versions of the fastball, emphasizing the slider a little more. It works for a couple years, but then he, you know, hits a speed bump again and winds up with the White Sox. So here in his second start with the White Sox, he strikes out 10, the most strikeouts he's had this season. He gets 22 swinging strikes, the most swinging strikes for any White Sox pitcher this season.
Starting point is 00:07:25 And they've had some pretty good pitching performances. Sean Burks had a lot of good pitching performances. Nobody's had as many whiffs on that staff as Luis Castell. had here on Wednesday. Eight of the whiffs came on the change-up, which he threw nearly 20% of the time. And apparently this was the game plan. Castillo said it was about time for me
Starting point is 00:07:50 to start having confidence in that pitch. Coming into the game, that was the plan, throw more change-ups, and it was effective today. And, you know, I would be a little more skeptical of it being just a one-off if not for that version of Castillo
Starting point is 00:08:14 we saw early in the career who dominated with the change-up. I think this might have staying power. Now it is just a sample of one and so I don't want to go
Starting point is 00:08:24 hog wild bidding on Louise Castillo on the waiver wire but if you have a spot to play with this was clearly deliberate by a deliberate change, by an organization that targeted him,
Starting point is 00:08:38 and it worked really well here against the Reds. Yeah, it did look like Vintage Castillo. You mentioned the 10 strikeouts were a season high. He didn't have more than seven strikeouts in any other start this season. So eye opening here for Luis Castillo with the 22 whiffs on 104 pitches. And it wasn't just the changeup, right? Like the change up and fastball played well off each other. He had eight whiffs on that fastball as well, even five on the slider.
Starting point is 00:09:02 So really had everything working. and I know his first outing with the White Sox was not a good line. It was five runs over four innings. But he did have five strikeouts over those four innings. And he had a bunch of swinging strikes in that start as well. So now in two starts with the White Sox, he has a 19% swinging strike rate, which is something we have just not seen from Luis Castillo in a very long time.
Starting point is 00:09:27 And again, it's a very, very small sample size. I don't want to overreact. And I will remind everybody that over his previous four, starts. He had a 729 ERA and a 171 whip. He's also losing T-Mobile Park, right? Which is generally an amazing place for starting pitchers to be. So there are kind of, you know, things playing for him, things playing against him here. But it is very intriguing with Luis Castillo. He is 46% rostered. It looks like he lines up for two starts next week. Home against the Mets at the Cubs, have a pretty good feeling he'll be featured in Scott Sleeper pitchers for
Starting point is 00:10:04 this weekend. But, you know, other names have emerged recently too, Scott. There's Jackson Job, there's Sean Mania. There's, you know, even Tyler Malley, who will, I mean, we could talk about him now, but he just had another great start with the Braves. Where would you rank Castillo among that group? Castillo, Mania, Job, and Tyler Malley. So it seems like a close corollary to to Sean Mania, where we have one dominant start that was reminiscent of a past version of that picture that, okay, I could see this working because it's so familiar, but we're really just banking on this one time him doing it, and it could just be a mirage, obviously. So I think maybe give a slight priority to Mania, especially since his starts coming up sooner,
Starting point is 00:10:58 his next one. But Castillo's right behind him probably. The others, I guess I have to put Joe ahead, but it's a real question how deep he's going to be allowed to work into his starts. And even if he pitches well, how useful is that going to be? I don't think it's a certainty. He'll go max five innings every time, but it's possible. And then Malley's a tough one because this is now three in a row that have been really good. whatever has changed is pretty subtle he has faded the cutter
Starting point is 00:11:39 a little bit it's not a drastic change during this time and really gone fastball splitter and the velocity was up the first two of the starts not so much this third start and yet he still got a good result so
Starting point is 00:11:54 I think Malley I don't have a high level of trust in him I got to be honest, I probably slot him behind Manaya. Do I, do I want to slat him behind Castillo? I don't know. It's really close between those three. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:12:15 I can make a more convincing case for Manaya and Castillo, but Malley's done it three in a row. So I guess I'm going to put Malley right behind him, but it's close. Yeah. And I know you mentioned the last three for Malley have been very good, but even if you go back a little bit further,
Starting point is 00:12:31 his last six starts. That's his final four with the Giants and the first two at the Braves. 252 ERA.98 whip, 36 strikeouts over 35 and two-thirds for Tyler Malley. So he is pitching much better. And it's an interesting, not including Job in this group, but an interesting trio of veteran pitchers that we've seen have stretches of looking very good. And obviously in Castillo's case, like he was an ace back in the day, but he is getting up there in age.
Starting point is 00:13:00 So, yeah, it's an interesting group to kind of sort through there with Castillo, Mania, and Tyler Malley. Do want to give a shout out and a welcome back to Zach Veen, who is on the board. One for three hit his first home run and two RBI, 104.7 EV, 407 feet. And he did have another batted ball over 100 miles per hour. He started it in right field against a right-handed pitcher. Lots of talk yesterday about, you know, where is he going to play? Is there going to be enough playing time to go around? I think he will at least start against right-handed pitching.
Starting point is 00:13:31 Cole Carrig started at shortstop in this game. Yeah, that was interesting. He now has shortstop eligibility on CBS, which is interesting too for Cole Carrig. They wanted to get Goodman at DH because it was a day game after a night game. And obviously, they had the backup catcher in there as well. But I think they can find ways, at least against righties, to get Zach Vien in there all the time. Lefties, that's a different conversation. Once, if Charlie Condon is up, that's another conversation as well.
Starting point is 00:13:58 But Zach Veen is 23% roster. You aren't on you, sort of Scott, but your thoughts, your expectations here for Zach Veen. Well, I'm really hopeful. I think this is a different version of Zach Veen than we've seen in the past. And he has a well-chronicaled past. I understand he was only up briefly last year,
Starting point is 00:14:22 so those who aren't big into the prospect scene may not know the whole backstory. with Zach Fien, but he was drafted very high, what, five years ago? It was a while ago. And was immediately a highly regarded prospect and then had a strong start in the miners and then hit some speed bumps that caused his prospect stock to plummet, dropping them off most top 100 lists for the last, want to say, three years. I was one who held on a little longer than most,
Starting point is 00:15:00 but I left him off my top 100 list this year for the first time. And then he comes out this spring and talks about how he struggled with alcohol and marijuana use in the past, and he gave those up and was really recommitting himself to baseball, was in much better shape physically, he had a huge spring,
Starting point is 00:15:24 and it's gone on to have a huge season at AAA. So I think this is the Zagveen we were promised from the beginning. At 24, he still has time to salvage his career, certainly. Because it's a crowded situation in Colorado, which is funny to say, but it's true, at least in outfield. He's got to hit the ground running here, I think. He can't perform like he did last year, but so far, one game, a home run. So far, so good. Two tough questions that Chris and I were kind of struggling with yesterday.
Starting point is 00:15:59 I was getting this one a lot. Would you drop as Merlin Valdez for Zach Veen, who has slowed down? I mean, it could be just part he was always going to regress. He was always going to slow down. It could be, hey, he got hit with that pitch on his hand. Would you drop Valdez for Zach Veen? I don't blame anyone for doing that. I don't think I don't think I want to because of the playing time disparity.
Starting point is 00:16:24 the odds are against Devin, making a significant impact in fantasy as long as he's sitting against left-handers only starting, what, two-thirds to three-quarters at the time? It's hard to do. If he, you know, if he gets red-hot, then obviously we'll have to reassess,
Starting point is 00:16:42 but for now I think I'd stick with Valdez over him. And would you hold on to Veen or the other top outfield prospects, who could be up as soon as this week, right? We just don't know. you know, guys like Joshua Baez and Walker Jenkins, what do you think about those three? Like hold Veen because he's already up
Starting point is 00:16:59 or kind of hope that those other two get called up very soon? Because they're upside. It should be higher once they're up, you know? Yeah, I think Jenkins would be the priority for me among the three because I feel most confident that A, he'll be up and B,
Starting point is 00:17:14 he'll be a prominent fixture in the lineup. And C, he'll be good. But Baez, I'm less confident in all three of those letters, particularly the he'll be good part. And Veen, he is already up, but he's the biggest playing time concern of the three. And in the theoretical scenario where Jenkins and Bias are up, which is, of course, not guaranteed. So because I don't really have any confidence Vien's going to play against lefties, I do think I'd prioritize both Jenkins. and buy us over him, but Jenkins is the easy one. All right, before we hit our first break,
Starting point is 00:17:53 if you listen to us on the audio podcast, make sure to leave us a five-star rating on Apple or Spotify. If you enjoy the show, it really does help us out a lot. Let's take that break, and we'll be back right after this. Welcome back, Fantasy Baseball today. Let's hit the news and notes, and Freddie Freeman left after taking a nasty spill into the Royals dugout while trying to catch a pop-up in foul territory.
Starting point is 00:18:16 He actually stayed into, finish the inning on defense and then he left the next half inning when he was due up to bat. And so if we hear anything on the podcast, during the podcast, we'll let you know on Freddie Freeman. But I don't know if you saw this guy. It was pretty scary. He was in foul territory. He's reaching. He's reaching.
Starting point is 00:18:36 He assumed he was about to hit the dugout railing and just kind of lean over it. But it was the area where the stairs are and he just kind of stumbled down them and like nothing broke his fall. just like straight up face planted. So it was pretty scary, but he got up. That was a long fall. He got up on his own will and he stayed in for a little bit. So we'll have to see with Freddie Freeman. That was a pretty scary one.
Starting point is 00:18:58 Riley Green was placed in the IL with a right hamstring strain. We'll talk about a few Waverwire outfielderers a little bit later on. But obviously we just spoke about Zach Vien. So if you're playing a five outfielder league and you lost Riley Green, I think Veen is a worthy replacement there. Obviously not as good as Riley Green, but could be a server. Revisable replacement. Twins manager Derek Shelton said Byron Buxson might be
Starting point is 00:19:21 activated from the IL on Thursday. He's been out since late July with a right hip impingement. Jackson Turyo started Wednesday despite battling thumb soreness. He went 0 for five with two strikeouts and on Tuesday night it was actually a misspeak by their manager Pat Murphy. He said that it was Bryce Terang who was dealing with some thumb soreness but it actually turns out that it is Jackson Churio who is dealing with that. Oh, really? That was a misspeak. Yeah, yeah. I wondered, I didn't catch that for Terang.
Starting point is 00:19:52 Like, Jackson, Churio's dealing with the same thing? How odd? Yeah. Okay, so then was Churio in the lineup today? Both Churio and Tarang were in the lineup, yeah. Okay. Yeah, I saw what Terang was, and I was, okay. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:20:04 All right. But Churio went 0 for 5 with two strikeouts, so perhaps that thumb was not feeling so great. Cody Ballinger ran the bases again on Wednesday, his second day in a row, and he is working his way back from a hamstring in Duran. I think he could be best. within the next week or two. Salvador Perez left early with right elbow aggravation. Jose Altuve was out of the lineup after leaving Tuesday night following a hit by pitch on his left foot.
Starting point is 00:20:28 Max Meyer received a cortisone shot to relieve discomfort in the rib area. He originally went on the aisle with a neck strain on July 20th. I don't want to speculate, but I guess I'm about to because I'm kind of throwing that prerequisite in there. but a neck injury and then a cortisone shot in the rib, normally whenever those things are, you know, intertwined, it's like a thoracic outlet. I don't even want to speak it into existence, but I'm just going to throw it out.
Starting point is 00:20:59 Like normally neck rib, stuff like that, it's sometimes leads to a thoracic thing. So hopefully that is not the case for Max Meyer. William Adomis left early due to a back injury. Tony Vitello said Adomas. For what it's worth. part of the update there with Max Meyer was that they do expect them back
Starting point is 00:21:17 in a starting capacity this year even with him getting this cortisone shot in his rib. So that would suggest the Marlins aren't thinking along those lines but maybe maybe it just hasn't been diagnosed yet. Willie Adamas left early due to a back injury. Tony Vitello said Adomas should be able to avoid the IL.
Starting point is 00:21:37 Josh Naler returned to the lineup after missing Tuesday with a sore right wrist. Kyle Carros was placed on the seven-day concussion IL. So that does open up one more spot. They recently called up Connor Norby, so my guess is he'll just fill in at third base for now. Spencer Schwellenbach is still not feeling 100%
Starting point is 00:21:55 and will have his throwing progression slowed. So I don't think there's enough time for Schwellenbach to be built up as a starter. Maybe we see him as a reliever that won't really matter for fantasy, but obviously it could be a boost for the Braves. I just don't think there's enough time. Yeah, I mean, if he's still feeling it this far into his recovery, yeah, I'm not hopeful of him contributing in any capacity at this point. I'm not saying Juelenbach won't matter next year,
Starting point is 00:22:27 but I think there are probably better uses of an IEL spot at this point. Speaking of the Braves, A.J. Smith-Shawver is apparently on the cusp of being recalled from AAA, and in seven rehab starts, I believe two were at single A or complex level, and then the other five have been at AAA. 157 ERA.98 whip 10.7K per 9, 54% ground ball rate, 13% swinging strike rate. So, AJ Smith-Shawver doing a lot right during his rehab. He is 20% rostered.
Starting point is 00:22:58 Scott, would you rather stash AJ Smith-Shawver or Joe Muscoe right now? I think, man, that's tough. I think Smith-Shawver, if it's just... If it's in a bench spot either way, you know, obviously Musgrove has the advantage of being on the IL, if that matters in your league. But I guess when in doubt with the window to contribute being so small at this point, go with the healthy guy.
Starting point is 00:23:29 Yeah. I know it looks like Musgrove is coming back. He's on a rehab assignment, but how often do we see pitchers pulled from rehab assignments? Yeah. And we probably need one to two more starts from Musgrove, I would imagine, before he's back with the Padres. And it sounds like, you know, A.J. Smith-Shawver could be, I don't know, as soon as like next time to the rotation.
Starting point is 00:23:49 So we'll see. Andy Rodriguez has missed five straight with left-hip discomfort and the Blue Jays claimed Paul Seawald off waivers from the D-backs. Let's get into some of those other waiver-wire pitchers from Wednesday's action. We spoke about Castillo. We kind of talked about Tyler Malley. The final line there was six innings, one run, seven trycouts to zero walks. He had 15 whiffs on 93 pitches. Again, the last six starts have looked very good.
Starting point is 00:24:12 And it looks like he is at the Twins at the Brewers next week. So twins are kind of middle of the pack. The Brewers are tough, so it's not the best matchups for Malley next week. And then Dustin May had a great outing at the Padres. His second here with the Brewers and seven innings of one-run ball, six strikeouts. He had 13 whiffs on 83 pitches. And he is emphasizing his cutter more. and perhaps this is something that the brewers identified
Starting point is 00:24:41 and part of the reason why they wanted Dustin May because that cutter was awesome in this start. It had eight of his 13 whiffs, a 47% whiff rate, a 40% CSW. He is 71% rostered. Looks like only one start against the Mariners next week, but honestly that's a pretty good matchup. So if we lump these three in together,
Starting point is 00:25:02 you mentioned Castillo and like Malley just behind him. What about Dustin May? Where would he rank among those three? Number one. Dustin May? Yeah, I just think he's going to be the most reliable, good supporting cast, good matchups down the stretch. I read an article about that early the year this week. And, you know, how many of these pitchers, Dustin May being another example, they got acquired and immediately their new team went about changing them.
Starting point is 00:25:32 Don't try to change me, baby. Actually do, because it seems like it's for the better in every case. and yeah excited about this direction for May. The cutter is interesting that being the change because for the year, the batting average against is over 300, but obviously it's worked in these last two starts, and I think we can trust the Brewers know what they're doing with pitching.
Starting point is 00:26:00 Last few years, a pretty good track record with that. Yeah, so Dustin May over the other names as well, right, over Maniah, Jackson Job. Yeah, I think so. Some streamer types who pitched well. Kyle Leahy was okay against the Phillies, five innings, one run, six strikeouts to zero walks. And he, over his last eight starts, two earned runs are fewer in all eight, 152 ERA. 0.99 whip for Kyle Leahy, who is a spark for those who play in points leagues.
Starting point is 00:26:31 And he's at the Reds and at the Phillies next week. Zach Thornton turned in a quality start at the Braves, six innings, three runs, but only two strikeouts. I don't really see it here. I know he's kept runs off the board, but it's three strikeouts are fewer in three straight. He gets the Padres next week, and that lineup has been the best one in the second half, so not exactly sure I want to use Thornton there. And then Eric Lauer, a quality start against the Royals, six innings, six and a third, excuse me, two runs, one earned, six strikeouts, 19 whiffs on 112 pitches, man. They just, they let Eric Lauer go here. His velocity was up. He got a bunch of whiffs.
Starting point is 00:27:10 And since joining the Dodgers, he has a 348 ERA and a 110 whip. He usually does not get any strikeouts at all. But he's got a great defense, great run support behind him. The problem is he's at the Rockies next week. So I don't think we want to do that. Scott, any thought on these three streamer types,
Starting point is 00:27:31 Leahy, Thornton, and Eric Lauer? Yeah, I'm really interested in Leahy, and I've talked about this the last few times he's pitched. Do you have the numbers over his last eight starts? I go back 11 starts because that's where I saw, that's where I see the clear improvement in control. So his last 11 starts, Kyle Leahy has a 186 ERA, a 103 whip, 8.9K per 9.
Starting point is 00:27:57 So he's basically right out of strikeout per inning. And that's with 1.7 walks per 9. Prior to those 11 starts, it was 3.5 walks per nine. It's not a very good rate. He's cut in a half. It's gone from not very good to really, really good in those 11 starts. And along with the improved walk rate, the ground ball rate has gone from 43%, which is pretty mid to 50% during this 11 start stretch, which is quite good. And so, you know, just looking at the last 11 starts, obviously we don't know, we don't have much of a track record for Kyle Leahy before then.
Starting point is 00:28:34 So if we're to assume that these last 11 starts are what he's morphed into, I'm not saying he's a 186 ERA guy, but you look at the high ground ball rate, you look at the elite control, and still pretty good strikeout numbers, almost a strikeout per inning. I mean, that's the kind of trifecta that first got us excited about Christopher Sanchez. Now, Christopher Sanchez has gone on to become so much more than that. He's become a big strikeout pitcher, not just an okay one. But if you can miss bats at a decent rate with elite control and good ground ball skills,
Starting point is 00:29:19 you got a really high floor at that point. And I think that's where I'm at with Kyle Leahy. I don't mean to evoke the name Christopher Sanchez to suggest he has near the same ceiling. but that's what first caught our attention with Christopher Sanchez was the floor more than the ceiling. And I think Leahy, he might have a high floor. By herself, Kyle Leahy is the most valuable Cardinals pitcher rest of season.
Starting point is 00:29:51 So that would include McGreevy, Palante, and then it's like Liberatorian Dobbins. Do you think he's better than Palanty and McCreley? Yes. I think he probably is. I imagine, I don't know that when I wrote the article about the innings, I was caring that much about Kyle Leahy's, so I didn't look into him if his workloads creeping up on him. Looks like, so 112 and a third, well, after this start, 117 in a third innings.
Starting point is 00:30:26 Well, got to go back to 2022. He threw almost 150. last year, not even 100. Yeah, 88 last year. Yeah, I don't know. I mean, he is already 29, so it's not like, it's not like they probably feel like they have to baby him so much. Yeah, you know what, I'm going to say yes.
Starting point is 00:30:47 I'm going to say Leahy's the most valuable Cardinals pitch a rest of season. All right. Would you take him over any from the previous group? The Malley, Dustin May, Castillo, Mania, and Joe. Take Leahy over any of those? I don't think he has quite the same buzz. I think he is the
Starting point is 00:31:10 most bankable of all of them. Like the floor argument, I think he probably has the highest floor. But in most fantasy contexts, I'm going to shoot for ceiling. And I think all of those guys probably have a higher ceiling and are generating more interest right now.
Starting point is 00:31:28 So there's probably more urgency to add him. So I'm going to say, I'm going to say no, but I'm tempted to take Leahy over Malley, but I'm going to say no. All right, some deep league names. And the Angels pitching prospect, George Claussen, he actually looked pretty good here against the Rangers, six innings, two runs, five strikeouts, only one walk, walks, big problem with him and the minors. And he threw 69% of his pitches for strikes. He had 14 whiffs on 87 pitches. he also gave up 10 hard hits in this game. So it's a very deep league name.
Starting point is 00:32:03 Looks like he lines up at the Astros at the Rangers next week. In those 15 teamers or even deeper, can you see yourself being interested in George Claussen? I'm open to the possibility a little more open than the last time we talked to him. I wasn't confident he'd pitch well at all, but he showed some good qualities in his first start, obviously struggled with walks, and then in this
Starting point is 00:32:31 latest one, he had a good result emphasized the slider even more. It's clearly his best pitch. If he can limit the walks, I think George Clossing could be useful, but he does have the misfortune of pitching for the angels. Yeah. Two
Starting point is 00:32:47 other deep league names here, very deep. Adrian Houser, a strong outing against the Astros, six shutout innings with five strikeouts to just one walk. His last 10 games, nine of them being relief appearances. He has a 170 ERA and a 0.87 whip, but we have a pretty long track record of Adrian Houser.
Starting point is 00:33:05 And Jansen Junk, a quality start against the Pirates, six innings, two runs, one of those earned. Only two strikeouts, only two swinging strikes. He lines up for the Nationals and at the Phillies next week. Two very deep league names, Scott. But any thoughts on Jansen Junk or Adrian Houser? I think they should remain deep league names. I actually don't have a lot of.
Starting point is 00:33:27 lot of confidence in Hauser. His strength used to be his ground ball skills and those have gone by the wayside. Now, maybe it's intentional because he is pitching in a good place to be a flyball pitcher, San Francisco. So maybe he's adapted as Arsenal for his environment and maybe he's smarter than me. But I don't know. When a guy has one strength and he forfeits. it for something else. I think it's reasonable to be wary of that situation.
Starting point is 00:34:03 All right. Let's take our final break. When we return, I do have some waiver wire hitters to ask about four pitchers who have been a little off lately. What's going on? We'll talk about that right after this. Welcome back, Fantasy Baseball today and sliding over to the Waverwire hitters. And I do have two shallow league outfielders. Dom Kanzone hit his 19 homer. He has started in 21 straight games. And in a small sample against lefties this year, he's actually been really good. He has a 942 OPS against lefties.
Starting point is 00:34:34 He is up to 72% rostered. And Trent Grisham looks like he might be waking back up. Three for five with a double dung. Three runs, four RBI. He has three straight multi-hit games. He has four homers in his past eight games. He's 61% rostered. Scott who do you like more in a shallow league context?
Starting point is 00:34:52 Dom Canzone or Trent Grisham? Canzone. Canzone was high on the article, ranked high on the article I wrote early this week about players, hitters and pitchers with the best matchups remaining. And Kenzone playing every day, as we've talked about a lot. It seems like he's kind of fallen off since he started playing every day, had been struggling, but it's not because he's now facing left-handers. The splits against left-anders remain terrific.
Starting point is 00:35:22 So I don't think that's going to impact his playing time and now he has a big game. I think he's going to get back on track. His data is very strong. Grisham's is strong too. Grisham, we've been talking all season about how he's one of the biggest underperformers by the data.
Starting point is 00:35:39 And so maybe that finally is beginning to write itself. But ultimately, I think Canzone's upsides higher. And like I said, he has the better matchups remaining. Next up we have Zach Gelloff, hit another homer, two for four with his 13th, and in three games since returning he has five hits, two homers, five runs scored, and he's been great this
Starting point is 00:36:00 year. Whenever he's played 70 games overall, 280 batting average, 13 homers, 46 run scored, eight stolen bases, and 833 OPS, 64% rostered. He's second, third, and outfield eligible, and, look, clearly, he is the most
Starting point is 00:36:18 helpful at third base, which has just kind of been a wasteland for most of the season, and I'm just trying to figure out I'm going to update my hitter rankings on Thursday how high to get Zach Gelloff and I could see getting him inside the top 15 third baseman's guy. I mean, again, he's hot again,
Starting point is 00:36:38 he's just returned and he's pretty much been good whenever he's played this year. So I will take that at third base. So I think probably ahead of names like Bo Bichet, Austin Riley, Colson Montgomery. Hmm, that's higher than I'd go. That's higher than I'd go. Not that much time left, Skye, and those guys...
Starting point is 00:36:57 I know there's not that much time left, but it's not like Gelloff is that established. And, I mean, Riley's really been hot lately. We did just see a home run from Bichette here on Wednesday as well. Montgomery, he hits home runs. We'd say that about him for sure. I know he's been the average is lagging. the last couple months, but I think Gell-Off belongs
Starting point is 00:37:23 behind that group. Okay. Would you take him ahead of either Royce Lewis or Caleb Durbin, who we've talked a lot about at third base? No, I want to put him ahead of those either. Would you take him ahead of, hmm, I guess the next group would be like Tommy Edmund and Nolan Aronado.
Starting point is 00:37:39 Take Gell off ahead of those? Yeah, I could take Gell off ahead of them. Okay. You mentioned Austin Riley, by the way. He hit his 15th home run, and in the second half, He's hitting 292 with six homers, 16 RBI, and 891 OPS. Also comes with a 37% strikeout rate for Austin Riley. So he's kind of selling out for power.
Starting point is 00:38:00 He's hitting the ball really hard, 94 mile per hour average EV. But, you know, he has sacrifice making some contact there with Austin Riley. Some very loud outs, too. So you mentioned the average. The velocity is very high. Yeah, 37% strikeout. Raid is is hard to overcome if that's what it remains. But I think based on where he was at the halfway point, it's hard not to be encouraged,
Starting point is 00:38:34 a guy with his track record hitting the ball that hard and doing some damage again. A utility player type that you can move all around in your lineup, Willie Castro, he's quietly been very good, two for three with a double a walk and his eighth stolen base. Here in the second half, 21 games, he's hit 282, six homers, two steals on 952 OPS. He is eligible at every position except for catcher, and he's 50% rostered, trying to figure out where he fits among, there's this group of, they're just eligible everywhere, pretty much. It's him, Ezekiel Duran, Jose Caballero, Mauricio Dubon. I probably would rank him second behind Duran. on that list? Does that check out?
Starting point is 00:39:21 I'm fine with it right now with Willie Castro being the hottest. I know Gelloff doesn't have quite that much versatility. He has triple eligible. Yeah. So, you know, maybe you put him in a different category, but I would take Gell off over all of them, as I think you would too. Over Duran as well. I know he's been good over the past month.
Starting point is 00:39:43 Yeah, I would. Take Gell off over Duran. I think so, too. Royce Lewis, another one. He has first, second and third. I guess where would he... I think I would put Lewis at the top of that list. Lewis, Gelloff, Duran, Castro.
Starting point is 00:39:57 I would be inconsistent with my past answers this podcast if I didn't put Lewis at the top, yes. Two names in five outfielder league. Spencer Jones went two for four with three RBI and a stolen base, and he was moved up to third in the Yankee lineup. They're trying to shake things up. He has started 13 straight, and since being recalled on July 22nd,
Starting point is 00:40:16 This is 17 games. He's only hitting 196. He has three homers, four steals. The K-rate is only 26%, which I think is encouraging for Spencer Jones. And his expected stats during that span are much better. It's like a 250XBA, 543x slugs. So perhaps a little unlucky here for Spencer Jones.
Starting point is 00:40:36 And Griffin-Conine, he is doing his thing. Two-for-two with three walks, three runs, his 13th homer. He has 10 home runs in his last 28 games. three true outcomes for sure with Griffin-Conine, not going to play against lefties. But the data is very, very good for Conine. So I think kind of similar players, Scott?
Starting point is 00:40:55 Who do you like more, Spencer Jones or Griffin-Conine? That's a tough one. I think probably Jones because he's actually has been playing against left-handers, right? Yeah, and he's actually been performing against them too. He had two hits against Chris Sale over the weekend, and the week before that he homered off of Shota Imanaga. And he contributes stolen bases.
Starting point is 00:41:21 Yep. And Griffin, conine doesn't. So, yeah, I think I'm going to say Jones. The reason I hesitate is because conine's been better lately. I mean,
Starting point is 00:41:30 he's on a hot streak. Well, Spencer Jones has been good enough to keep us interested, but I'd stop short of calling him hot right now. Agreed. But, yeah, I think Eileen Jones.
Starting point is 00:41:43 would you take either of those over Cam Smith, who I know you raved about the other night. And he's another one of those hitters with great matchups over the remaining six weeks. So I think my preference would be for Smith. All right, a middle infield type, we have Chase Midroth, who went two for four with his 12th homer,
Starting point is 00:42:03 and I did not write down the, I think it's like last 24 games. 318, five homers, 19 RBI, and OPS over 900. year for Midroth. 42% rostered. That number sounds right to me, Scott. I know he's hitting well, but I just...
Starting point is 00:42:21 He's one of these niche players where he's just... He's better in a deeper head-to-head points league, if you play in that type of league, or in an OBP league as a middle infield type. Chase Midroth, that is. Yeah, and that's a small segment of fantasy baseballers out there who play in either of those formats. So even head-to-head points leagues, he's at 2.47 points per game is my draw.
Starting point is 00:42:49 Would you believe Colson Montgomery is better than that in points leagues, even with all the strikeouts? Yeah, I mean, just 2.5 is really not that good of a number for my draw. Yeah. I thought it would be better, to be honest, but yeah. It's not. It's not. Willie Castro is in that same range, too. and Brian Rokio
Starting point is 00:43:11 Willie Adomis actually who's not having a very good year but that's the kind of company Chase Midroth is keeping even at a points league which is a better format so yeah I don't think he needs to be 50% rostered
Starting point is 00:43:26 one deeper name I want to quickly mention here is Dylan Beavers who hit his third home run and he had three RBI I think post trade deadline he will play consistently against right-handed pitching and he was a former top prospect and I mean, as recently as last year,
Starting point is 00:43:41 we were semi-interested in Dylan Beavers. I don't think you need to act on this yet, but I could see a world where he starts to get hot and we're talking about picking up Dylan Beaver. So just a name to pay attention to there. Four starting pitchers who have been off lately. What is going on? Oh, man, I'm back with Adam Azer.
Starting point is 00:44:05 What is, you know, we had lunch with Azer the other day. It was a good time, so he was asked. He rubbed off on you. He was asking about you, Scott, so it was a good time. That's sweet. What did you tell him? We were like, you know, Scott is Scott. I don't even know what that means.
Starting point is 00:44:22 What is up with Zach Wheeler? A rough outing here at the Cardinals, five innings, five runs, four earned, five strikeouts to one walk. He was actually cruising and then, you know, fell apart in that final inning of work. But velocity down around one mile per hour on each of his pitches.
Starting point is 00:44:39 And over his last four, it just doesn't look right. It's 763 ERA, 176 whip. You know, he had that five-walk outing. He had another outing where his velocity was way down, like two to three miles per hour. I don't know, man. What do you see here? What's going on with Zach Wheeler?
Starting point is 00:44:57 I'm kind of with you. I can point to things that have been off each time, but it's not really like a common thread. And so it's a little bit worrisome given that he was coming back from a serious, procedure that not every pitcher comes back well from. He looks so good for a couple months that we got comfortable with it. And, you know, maybe it's just a rough patch.
Starting point is 00:45:22 Every pitcher has those at times, even the grates. I'm a little concerned, though. Yeah, I was updating the pitching rankings earlier on Wednesday, and I just didn't know what to do with Zach Wheeler. It was right while that game was going on. So I'm like, er, all right, another bad one. I left him at SP5 overall, but I can hear an argument for him to drop down a little bit,
Starting point is 00:45:46 maybe behind like Sale, Yamamoto, Cice, or Lazzardo. Like, those guys are all just... I know Cs is coming off a bad start, but obviously everything before that was really, really good. So, I don't know. We're kind of in a holding pattern right now with Zach Wheeler. I looked for quotes after that game. I couldn't really find anything for Zach Wheeler either.
Starting point is 00:46:04 Ranger Suarez, he was okay at the Blue Jays, five innings, one run. But only two strikeouts, six whiffs on 81 pitches. And he's another one. Just hasn't looked right. Since returning from the injury on July 26th, he has a 378 ERA 132 whip. But this is his first time even completing five innings during that stretch.
Starting point is 00:46:28 And he has three strikeouts or fewer in three straight. So what's going on with Ranger Suarez? I think he's probably fine. I think you should probably stick with him. This was a step in the right direction, obviously. And there was an injury in the middle of that rough patch that obviously accounted for at least one of the short outings. It's reminiscent of a stretch Dustin May had earlier this season
Starting point is 00:46:57 with the Cardinals right after he threw, I think it was a one-hit shutout against the Padres. And then his next four outings were very short, and there were some extenuating circumstances that made them that way, but then he's come out of it strong. And I think Ranger Swars is even better. I do think just given the history of Ranger Swars, what we know about him, is he's never as good as he appears at his best.
Starting point is 00:47:26 And so he probably was due for some regression anyway. But I do view him as a high-floored pitcher who, more often than not is going to give you starts at least as good as this one he gave you Wednesday. And I think that's good enough to keep starting. And this will probably be an obvious statement for any pitcher, but Suarez especially, he strikes me as someone that, like, once an injury kind of pops up,
Starting point is 00:47:55 he needs to be fully healthy, like in the zone. And when he's doing that, when he feels right, he obviously performs very well on the mound. But I think anytime any kind of injury just kind of pops up a little bit, it just really, really throws him off. Like he's had the back injuries the past couple of years, and he'll go through stretches where he looks like a top 24 starting pitcher. But then once that injury pops up, it's like,
Starting point is 00:48:19 it really kind of throws things off. So hoping that we could see more whiffs in the near future for Rangers. Foster Griffin, not his best at the Tigers. Five innings, three runs, only one of those earned. But only three strikeouts. he had just three swinging strikes on 83 pitches, and he gave up nine hard hits in this game. He has three strikeouts or fewer in five of his last seven starts.
Starting point is 00:48:44 What is going on with Foster Griffin? I don't have a great answer either. It could be that he's crashing. I mean, he's, I think, I want to say he even has a workload concern. if I remember correctly. Obviously, he was pitching overseas prior to this year. In Japan, last year he threw just 89 innings. So he's well in excess of that.
Starting point is 00:49:15 Yeah, that could very well just be it. Yeah. He's already up to 138 in a third. Or it could be a lot of things. I mean, he's in, when he was going well, a lot of what he was doing backed it up. But he's unconventional, clearly. by modern standards, does a lot of things in a way that's atypical for a good pitcher.
Starting point is 00:49:43 And so it could be any one of those things, frankly, that's caused him to come back down to Earth. Workload being one of them. I think it's probably fair to plan them on your bench for the time being until we see him have a good start or two. I don't think I drop them, but benching him seems like a good choice. And as soon as we say that, I tell you that Foster Griffin lines up for two starts next week. One against the Giants.
Starting point is 00:50:12 One at the Rockies. So Jekyll and Hyde matchups. I'd probably start him in a points league, especially with relief pitcher eligibility. But that's it. Yeah. And I will point out his first 19 starts of the season, 11.2% swinging strike rate.
Starting point is 00:50:29 His last 5, 6% swinging strike rate. So the whiffs have really, really gone away here for Foster Griffin. And the last one up is Bryce Miller. Another rough one at the Yankees, six innings, eight hits, five runs, five strikeouts to one walk. And he did have 13 whiffs on
Starting point is 00:50:46 89 pitches here. 11 on the splitter. And look, the splitter was awesome. He really leaned on that pitch. He threw it 46% of the time. But his fastball was not good. It gave up five hard hits, 96.7 average exit velocity against.
Starting point is 00:51:02 And the last six starts for Bryce Miller. 612, ERA, 152 whip, just 22 strikeouts over 32 in a third inning. So what's going on with Bryce Miller?
Starting point is 00:51:15 Are we having the drop conversation? Is that a thing? Yeah, I think it's a conversation. Because I think what this start tells you more than any of the others is that he's losing faith in his fastball. He's not confident that it's going to snap back. and I think he really needs it.
Starting point is 00:51:36 So you mentioned he leaned on the splitter a lot. 46% of the time basically swapped the usage of his splitter with his fastball, making that splitter's primary pitch, but also through a lot more sinkers than usual, just trying to make something work without having that dominant foreseamer, and it still doesn't work that well. So I have very, very little faith in Bryce Miller. wouldn't be the most shocking thing ever
Starting point is 00:52:04 if one of these starts, you know, at any point, at any point, the fastball's back. But he hasn't had it for a while now, and I'm not, I'm not sure he's how capable he is without having a dominant fastball. Next question, would you drop him for any of the waiver wire pitchers we've talked about tonight? Luis Castillo, Manaya, Joe, Malley,
Starting point is 00:52:29 Dussameh. Yeah, I'd probably drop them for any of them. What do you think? I think I would do it for Dustin May. Castillo and Mania, man. That one's... Because it's just such a small sample of those guys
Starting point is 00:52:49 looking so much better. But we have a larger sample of Bryce Miller just being completely useless. So, yeah, I think I would do it for Mania, Castillo, and Dustin in May, I don't think I would do it for Malley or Job. So kind of in the middle of that group. Okay. So it sounds like I have Joe buyer than you do, though. I like Job. I'm intrigued. I'm just a little worried about that workload for him. So. Sure. Yeah. Uh, you know, in the
Starting point is 00:53:16 Tout Wars Champions League, it is a 12 team head to head categories, daily lineup league. I picked up Luis Castillo today to stream him. Obviously, that worked out amazingly. But I was now looking to pick up another streamer for Thursday, and I had Luis Castillo as to drop, I think I'm going to drop Bryce Miller instead of Luis Castillo. So there you go. I get it. Yes, sir. I do have an update here on Freddie Freeman. Dave Roberts said Freeman is considered day-to-day with, quote, total body soreness, which I think is a pretty fair evaluation of his injury. Whiplash after a car accident. I mean, that was, it was a long fall. It really was. Yeah. But he got. up and I don't know the look on his face I was trying to read it was almost like embarrassment I think
Starting point is 00:54:03 kind of like sheepish yeah a sheepish kind of look but so it's also a terrible feeling I don't know if this is ever happening you Scott but it's like when you're moving without looking in a certain direction and you all of a sudden either hit something or like fall down a step it is a very scary feeling so oh yeah this is you know I remember playing whatever football in the street you know it's a kid back in the day. And there were times where I would just be looking at the ball and I would just run into cars, like parked cars, obviously. It was a terrible feeling.
Starting point is 00:54:36 Oh, my God. I remember this one time in fifth grade, we were on the playground coming back in from recess and we were passing by, you know, portable class classrooms trailers. And one of them had like a like an awning or something that was on polls, you know, polls. And I asked somebody to toss me the football coming back in from class.
Starting point is 00:55:07 I was just going to turn around and run with it after I caught it. The pole was right there. So I just turned around and ran straight into the pole. Like it's like something out of a cartoon. Oh my gosh. Yeah. It was, I was seeing stars that day and went to the clinic. not that they could do much for me.
Starting point is 00:55:29 I was fine. But it was a, it was a shocking impact, for sure. It's like in football, they got to pull the blue tent over you and you go through a concussion protocol after something like that. It's scary stuff, man. So we'll see what happens with Freddie Freeman. Some leftovers here on the pitching side. Another crappy outing from Franber Valdez against the Guardians.
Starting point is 00:55:54 Five and two thirds, four runs allowed. Five walks. to three strikeouts. Five walks while throwing 63% of your pitches for strikes. That seems impressive. This is kind of a new low, a new weird for Frammer Valdez, I guess. I finally gave in and I dropped him down the rankings. I moved him down to like SP 55 and if someone told me they wanted them even lower,
Starting point is 00:56:17 I would not argue against it. And Jose Soriano, a nice outing here, his second time out with the Blue Jays. He was facing the Red Sox, six innings, one run, four strikeouts, 12 whiffs on 90 pitches. He really leaned on that sinker in this one, and it was actually very good. I had six of his 12 whiffs. Any thoughts here on Soriano or Valdez?
Starting point is 00:56:40 Yeah, I guess I'm with you on Valdez. There just hasn't been enough reason for optimism. Still an innings eater, I guess. But yeah, not much hope for a turnaround at this point, at least not this year. Soriano, very different pitch selection than his first start with the Blue Jays. I know they're trying to follow the Dylan Sees model with him, try and unlock his potential the same way they seem to have with Dylan Sees this year,
Starting point is 00:57:10 which in Sees' case meant varying his arsenal. So we may see that from Soriano more with the Blue Jays, especially. Like I said, very different pitch selection. These first two starts, I don't know that it's as clear what his best pitches are as it is for Seas. which, you know, I bring that up because it's not like CES's selection has varied a ton for him start to start, but he's emphasized a third pitch, a fourth pitch, unlike he did in his previous stops. On the hitting side, we had Liam Hicks with a big game, three for five with a double, his 16th home run and three RBI. In eight games with the race, he's hitting 308 with two homers, nine RBI and OPS over 1,000.
Starting point is 00:57:56 so nice start there for Liam Hicks. The power and speed has been there for Corbyn Carroll in the second half. The batting average has not. He went two for four with a walk, a triple, a home run. And in the second half, he has five homers, 21 run scored, and six steals. Hitting just 212 in the second half is Corbyn Carroll. So, I don't know, it's kind of a weird season for him. You always expect a lower batting average, but 243, that's probably a little lower than we were expecting,
Starting point is 00:58:25 probably like in the 260, 265 range is the expectation for Corbyn Carroll. Fernando Tatis Jr. came on as a pinch hitter and he made an impact. He picked up two walks, two steals, and a run scored. And in the second half for him, 295, 402 on base, seven homers, five steals,
Starting point is 00:58:44 and OPS over a thousand. So he is, he's back. Fernando Tatis is back. Anything on him, Carol, or Liam Hicks, before we wrap it up? I don't think so. Yeah, I mean, Tatis is back. I would agree with that.
Starting point is 00:59:01 We talked about Riley already. The turnaround in the second half still with the high strikeout rate. I'm not sure I have anything to add. All right, the call to the bullpen for the twins. Yow Endres Gomez got the ninth with a three-run lead. He allowed a solo homer and a walk but picked up his 17th save. For the Rockies, Jordan Romano got the ninth with a two-run lead.
Starting point is 00:59:19 He walked one but picked up his 12th save. perhaps the most volatile combination that you can have. Jordan Romano with the Rockies. It's working for now. I don't know that it will forever, but it's working for now. For the Astros, Josh Hader picked up his 17th save. For the Blue Jays, Louis Varland, got the final two outs for his 26th save. For the Guardians, Kate Smith, got the final four outs for his 31st save.
Starting point is 00:59:45 And for the Angels, I'm just seeing this now. Ben Joyce got the ninth inning with a three-run lead and he picked up his first save of the season. Sammy Netara Jr. did not pitch there. My guess is, I know he pitched the night before. He might have pitched two nights in a row and perhaps he was just unavailable because of that. But let's see, yeah, he worked each of the two previous game, two days before this, Sammy Natera.
Starting point is 01:00:15 So he was unavailable. Ben Joyce gets the save. I think Natera is talented, Scott. I mean, you look at the K to Walk stuff and just as his actual ear is good. The peripherals are great too. I could still see the angels kind of mixing and matching here between Joyce and Sammy Naterra.
Starting point is 01:00:33 Yeah, they weren't very committal with anyone else. They've had this season. Maybe Natera is the most talented they've had. I suppose some would argue Joyce is the most talented they have for as hard as he throws. but we've talked before about how that might be a bit of a deep. That's the word I'm looking for. A fake out.
Starting point is 01:00:57 That's not really the word I'm looking for, but you get the idea. Like it's been not a particularly effective fastball or arsenal in general for as hard as he throws. To stream or not to stream on Thursday, we have Cater, Cater Montero against the Guardians, Tyler Phillips against the Pirates. Andrew Abbott is at the Red Sox. Max Scher gets the Red Sox.
Starting point is 01:01:22 Aranola is at the Twins. Walbert-Irana is home against the Rangers. Shane Jorwin at the Dodgers. I do believe that Arindola Start is actually in the field of dreams. Field. I think that's what's playing out here on Thursday. Don't know how that plays.
Starting point is 01:01:38 I got to be honest. I don't think we want to use Aaronola regardless. So. Uh, yes, I will instead go with no one. Uh, no, Walbert O'Rani against the Rangers. Yeah. Should be good. Maybe Cater Montero against the Guardians.
Starting point is 01:01:59 Drohan is tough. We all like drone, but he's at the Dodgers. Yeah. It could be without Freddie Freeman, so that helps. He'll be the third choice because the people demand a third choice, but it's a distant third, I'd say. What about Andrew Abbott against the White Sox? No interest there? That seems kind of dangerous to me.
Starting point is 01:02:21 Yeah, he hasn't been so good lately, and the White Sox are eighth in Wobah against Lefties, so yeah, I'd probably stay away as well. I agree. I'd probably go Arania Drow in and Catero Montero in that order, but Arania is the only one I actually like. On Friday, we have Clay Holmes against the Cardinals. Bubba Chandler gets the Red Sox.
Starting point is 01:02:40 Anthony Kay at the Tigers, Jackson Job, against the White Sox. Brandon Fott is at the Brewer, nope, at the Braves. Shane Bieber gets the Yankees, Seth Lugo at the Angels, Grayson Rodriguez against the Royals, Kumar Rocker at the Athletics, gauge jump against the Rangers,
Starting point is 01:02:57 and Landon Rup gets the Rockies in San Francisco. I think I got to go with my boy, Rup. I know the last couple outings have been tough, but Roopie is on the road. Man, there are are, this is a gut check here with Gage Jump and Grayson Rodriguez, with favorable matchups, both of them, but I could see it going either really well or really poorly. And whether or not
Starting point is 01:03:32 you decide to go for it, probably depends on the situation you're in. But Gage Jump would probably be my second choice against the Rangers and Grayson Rodriguez against the Royals is my third choice. And I wouldn't mind using Jackson Joe against the White Sox, I think. Boba Chandler is pitching better, but he gets the Red Sox, so
Starting point is 01:03:52 I don't know about that one. Yeah. It is at home, at least, so that kind of helps. I don't think I'd be ready to do that. I think Clay Holmes is ultimately going to be useful, but first start with the Cubs
Starting point is 01:04:05 coming off the I.L. Long absence. Yeah, it was bad. it was bad, so I don't think I'm ready to trust him against the Cardinals. I can't interest you in Brandon Fott at the Braves, can I? Not me. Yeah. I would go Roop and then Job and third would be Gage Jump. Very risky would jump.
Starting point is 01:04:26 I totally get that, but coming off a double-digit strikeout start and the Rangers' lineup is pretty bad. I mean, George Cawson just pitch well against him. So, yeah, Gage Jump, third on the list. We are going to wrap there for Scott. I am Frank. Thanks as always for tuning into fantasy baseball today. Please make sure to follow and leave a five-star rating on Apple or Spotify. And we will be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.
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