Fantasy Baseball Today - Wade Miley No-Hitter! SP Worryometer, Prospects & Waiver Adds! (5/10 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: May 10, 2021

Everybody is throwing no-hitters, even Wade Miley (1:56)! Is Max Scherzer a top-five starting pitcher again? What is Zach Plesac doing differently? ... News and notes (13:26)! Jacob deGrom left his st...art Sunday, Nate Pearson and Trevor Larnach were called up, Rafael Dolis landed on the IL and much more. ...Let's fire up the Worryometer on a Monday (25:40)! What do we make of the season thus far for Luis Castillo, Kyle Hendricks, Charlie Morton and other struggling SPs? ... Which waiver wire hitters should you target from the weekend (43:39)? ... Should you sell-high on Aaron Civale, Zach Eflin and other starting pitchers off to a nice start (48:43)? ... We wrap up with bullpens and streamers (59:26)! ... Email us at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com. 'Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @FBTPod, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank, @AdamAizer Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday Sign up for the FBT Newsletter at https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-baseball-today/ For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday You can listen to Fantasy Baseball Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast." To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast from CBS Sports. I drive. Center field. What is magnificent? Got a fantasy question? Email Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Get ready to win your league. Well, fantasy becomes reality.
Starting point is 00:00:25 Now here's Frank, Scott, Chris, and Adam. What's up, everybody? Welcome into fantasy baseball today on Monday, May 10th. Happy belated Mother's Day to all the great moms out there. Frank Stanful, joined by Scott. Scott White and Chris Towers. Another week goes by. Another no hitter.
Starting point is 00:00:40 This time, Wade Miley? Really? Okay. We have lots of pictures to be worried about. We'll talk about all of them. We got some waiver wire ads, some trade candidates, and more. Scott, what is up, man? How was your weekend? Was it closer to Wade Miley or Luis Castillo?
Starting point is 00:00:54 Hmm. And I'm not sure how to answer that a question. In terms of how their weekends were, I guess. It was good. I guess it was closer to Wade Miley. That's probably overstating it a bit. Got to celebrate the mothers in my wife, which include my own mother and my wife and my mother-in-law. I guess my sister-in-law, too.
Starting point is 00:01:19 She was around and his mother. So, yeah, good weekend. Nice. What's up, Chris? He got the flashy jacket on. I do have the flashy jacket on. It's a special day. What day is it?
Starting point is 00:01:30 Just because I'm wearing the jacket. And also it's Mother's Day. Well, not anymore. It's not Mother's Day anymore. Sorry, moms. It's true. Only get the one day. I did know.
Starting point is 00:01:38 I did, my mom and sister were in towns. The first time I've seen them since the start of the pandemic. So that was very nice. Oh, nice. We had brunch on a boat. My wife got seasick. Okay, well, that's not nice. And we went to multiple museums.
Starting point is 00:01:51 So it was a nice weekend. Awesome. All righty. Well, let's get back as a fantasy baseball before people start yelling at us. Oh, my goodness gracious. All right. Let's start with the no hitter. Scott, your oh, my goodness gracious player from the weekend.
Starting point is 00:02:03 Wade Miley. Let's talk about it, man. Eight strikeouts to just. just one walk. ERA is down to 2.00 with a 0.75 whip. Wade Miley is 59% rostered. Is he a must-add starting pitcher? I like how you just revealed my, oh my goodness, great.
Starting point is 00:02:20 You saved the reveal for me, which is really the only point of having us each pick one. But that's fine. Is he must add Wade Miley? No, and I think the fact that he's still available in 41% of leagues shows that people recognize this about Wade Miley. I'm proud of them. I'm proud of the CBS sports users
Starting point is 00:02:39 for resisting this long, first of all, with that ERA, and the fact he has four wins too. And second of all, not treating the no-hitter as the impetus to add him because he's still Wade Miley
Starting point is 00:02:56 and he's 34 years old and we know exactly who he is and he's always been this fringy streamer type who probably going to have a pretty good E. just because he's so good at putting the ball on the ground and in an era when so much offense is generated by home runs being hit, that's a good way to reduce damage. But two of the past three years, a good AERA for Miley, and even so, he wasn't pitching deep into games, minimal strikeout rate.
Starting point is 00:03:25 It's a pretty hollow ERA. Even as good as he's been this year, this no-hitter was only his third quality start, which tells you even the Reds don't really want him going more than five innings. I think he's a usable pitcher. I think you'll want them for the right two-start weeks with the right matchups, but otherwise you're just not going to be that motivated to get them in your lineup. And, of course, the ERA is going to go up from here.
Starting point is 00:03:48 He's not going to finish with the two ERA. I promise you. This week, Wade Miley is slated to face the Rockies at Coorsfield. So that's another reason why you would be skeptical, at least about using him this week. Looks like he's lined up to face the Giants after that. I agree.
Starting point is 00:04:02 I don't think he's a must add. Maybe in some category league, some deeper league, sure, get them on your team. He's doing things a little bit different this year, throwing his change up a little bit more. Career high, 32% of the time. You mentioned he gets a lot of ground balls. So it helps minimize some damage,
Starting point is 00:04:15 especially pitching in Great American Ballpark. But great start for Wade and Miley. Can't take anything away from him. Fifth, no hitter so far this season, it's crazy. Well, that's, well, fifth, and that's if you're counting bumgarner's seven inning, no hitter. Yeah, it's like four to a half. I guess we as a show are.
Starting point is 00:04:31 Four and seven nights. Yeah. That's accurate. No, and we're not even six weeks into the season, and there have already been four slash five no hitters. So it's quite the run we're on. They, they, I think what we saw on Friday is an unremarkable pitcher to do something that's increasingly unremarkable.
Starting point is 00:04:54 That's fair. And especially against an unremarkable lineup, too, at that. Cleveland is one of the teams that has been no hit twice already this season. Of course, Carlos Rodan earlier in the season, and now Wade Miley as well. Chris, how about you? Oh, my goodness, gracious, from the weekend. Yeah, I just want to point out, like,
Starting point is 00:05:13 league-wide batting average is 234. That's actually up a little bit, but it is the lowest of all time in major league history. The second lowest is 1968, famously known as the year of the pitcher. It was 237. Other than that, there's never been a season below 242.
Starting point is 00:05:29 So, yeah, we're at a point where we're 10 points lower than the second lowest season of all, or the third lowest season of all time, and the only other season within that group led to one of the biggest rule changes of the last 50 years in lowering the mound. So no hitters will probably be more prevalent this season, you would think at least, than ever before.
Starting point is 00:05:57 That's just how that would seem to work out. Back in my day, Chris, you would get maybe to one or two no hitters in one season. And this is the kind of a sort of natural, you know, we started worrying about this kind of offensive season after, you know, it was revealed that the new ball in spring training when they were using it was making it harder to hit home runs, even though velocity was, exit velocity was increasing, balls weren't traveling as far.
Starting point is 00:06:27 If you have more strikeouts and we do every single year, at some point maybe that will stop, and you have fewer home runs, this is the inevitable outcome. And I can't wait to see what Major League Baseball does with the ball next year. My, oh my goodness, gracious player, Max Scherzer. What a start, 14 strikeouts. I believe it was his 100th start with at least 10 strikeouts,
Starting point is 00:06:53 which was, you know, the somethingth most of all time, or he became the somethingth player to do that. I'm not sure what it was, maybe seven, maybe 12, maybe two hundred. He's awesome, man. He's still really, really good. He's not quite the pitcher he used to be. His velocity is down a mile per hour on his fastball on average from last season.
Starting point is 00:07:20 But on average isn't even really the fairest way to judge it because he had like those three starts where it dropped like three miles per hour from where we're used to seeing him. It's basically been back the past, two or three starts. Yeah, you can't really, like, but also you can't tell. You know,
Starting point is 00:07:39 like he's still getting a ton of whiffs. His strikeout rate is actually a career high, 35.5%. His walk rate is the second lowest of his career. His ERA is 233. His XERA is 289. His XERA in 2019, 283.
Starting point is 00:07:54 Yeah. So, yeah, he looks, obviously there's injury risk with a guy his age. but he looks just about as good as he ever has right now. Yeah, and it's not crazy either. We just saw Justin Verlander a couple of years ago be amazing at that advanced age.
Starting point is 00:08:13 So, yeah, everything under the hood for me when I looked into Scherzer today was, he looks perfectly fine. So I was a little bit worried about the injuries, the walks going up the past couple of years, the hard contact. That is not an issue with me anymore. He is, I mean, I got to move him up.
Starting point is 00:08:28 He probably deserves to be. a top five, six, eight starting pitcher. Definitely higher than where I have for me. Darvish and Bauer are up in that range. But yeah, I mean, solid, uh, solid top six. I mean, I think Nola and Gioledo have moved themselves slightly down from that group. Yep. I think that would make sense. And then you also have Glass now and Corbyn Burns that are just behind that group as well. But that's your top 10, top 12ish starting pitchers so far this season. I want to talk about the pitcher that opposed Wade Miley on Friday. and Zach Plesack, who he's kind of been polarizing so far this season, and he was great,
Starting point is 00:09:05 and that started. It's a tough luck, tough luck. Well, he didn't get the loss, but it was just a tough luck game for him. Overall, eight shutout innings against the Cincinnati Reds in that game. Three hits, zero walks, seven strikeouts, the last three starts for Zach Plesack. 1.27 ERA, 0.75 whip with a 12.4% swinging strike rate, and the fastball velocity has been up over 94 miles. in each of those starts.
Starting point is 00:09:31 Last season, when he was great, he averaged 92.8 miles per hour on his fastball. So I do think there are more strikeouts coming his way, velocity up. I really like what I've seen. Do you guys trust what we're seeing from Police Act these last three starts?
Starting point is 00:09:45 Or would you use this as an opportunity to sell high on him while you can? I mean... Go first. I have a feeling we're going to get differing opinions. I don't think we will because, like, yeah, his last three starts have been pretty good, but there's like a three run start in there. There's a four
Starting point is 00:10:06 walk start in there. Like, I don't, like, I think he's a slightly above average pitcher who is more likely than your average pitcher to pitch deep into games and probably slightly more likely to get wins than your average pitcher. I would feel better about that on a different team. But, like, I think him and Aaron Savale are kind of the Spider-Man meme you know they're kind of both the same guy I think please I'm not particularly
Starting point is 00:10:37 excited about either of them but you know I have a clearer idea who Savale is I mean everything about Plesack has been so confound like his usage has been all over the place this season and it was very different the past two years too
Starting point is 00:10:56 his strikeout rate is way down this year yet his ground ball rate his way up. And like for a while you could have said, oh, with that ground ball rate being so high, he's had some bad home run luck. But remember what it seemed like he was giving up three home runs a game? Suddenly he's at less than a,
Starting point is 00:11:12 less than a home run per nine. Like, what happened there? So I don't know. I feel like he's, it's pretty clear he's not the guy he was last year. I think, you know, he's tough to figure out on a granular level like I just tried to do. the sum of it equals kind of what Chris was saying,
Starting point is 00:11:34 kind of joining Aaron Savale in that middle class of starting pitchers. Both guys are going to generally work deep into games, have a good chance of winning games, but because they're vulnerable to contact, they're going to get blown out sometimes. You're just going to live with that. He's got a 341 ERA and a 425 FIP in 211 in his major league career.
Starting point is 00:11:55 I think somewhere in between those two numbers is probably what he is. A high 3ZRA, basically. Yeah, like 3-7, which is, there's nothing wrong with that. It's a serviceable starting pitcher. It's not an ace, but it's pretty good. If you're averaging more than six innings at start, I mean, yeah, you'll definitely take that. Yeah. Would you trade Zach Plessack for, we're going to talk about him much more in depth in just a little bit,
Starting point is 00:12:18 but would you trade Plessac for Luis Castillo if you can make it? Every, every single day, nine days a week, 425 days out of the year, there is no question in my mind that Luis Castillo is a better pitcher than Zach Pleasack. Moving forward right now, in perpetuity for the remainder of human existence. All right. So if you can make that happen, go out and do it. Before we get to news and notes, I want to let you know about the all-new Stitcher podcast app. It's been rebuilt from the ground up to make it easier to listen to podcasts on the go or on the revamped web player. Stitcher is home to all your favorite podcasts from classics like my favorite murder, this American life,
Starting point is 00:12:59 and how did this get made? All the CBS shows as well, such as Pick Six, the Fantasy Football Today podcast, and of course Fantasy Baseball Today and FBT and 5. In Stitcher, you have more control like setting your download preferences per show and the ability to listen at virtually any speed.
Starting point is 00:13:16 With Stitcher, you can listen to your podcast anytime, anywhere, so give the all-new Stitcher a try, download it in the app store, or at Stitcher app.com slash download. Jacob deGrom, left Sunday, Start early with right side tightness. Though manager Luis Rojas said the injury is closer to DeGrom's lower back than to his lat. So he's got something going on.
Starting point is 00:13:39 It's either his back or his lat or his side. It's just let's call it his upper body. There's clearly something where Jacob deGrom is not right. And it seems like they're kind of rushing him back like other teams have done, you know, George Springer and I brought that up recently in Juan Soto. So how worried are you guys? guys about this injury with Jacob de Grom lingering?
Starting point is 00:14:01 I wouldn't. I think he's going to go on the I.O. But I don't think it's going to be a lengthy absence. I was encouraged to hear it was a different part of the back, maybe a result of him compensating for the first injury, you know,
Starting point is 00:14:15 as opposed to him really tearing that lat. And, you know, his demeanor on the mound when he was pulled didn't look like he had suffered something catastrophic. So I think they're going to need to get him a couple turns off to heal up and rest up
Starting point is 00:14:33 and then it'll be fine. I guess we'll know for sure when he has the MRI, but that's my thinking right now. Chris, is this enough to drop Jacob deGron behind Garrett Cole and Shane Bieber and maybe Max Scherzer? Definitely behind Colin Bieber. I think he should be there. I had him
Starting point is 00:14:51 kind of a mini tier of his own. I just think he's that much better than everyone else. But, you know, obviously I'm usually the guy who's downplaying injuries coming into the season or at least injury risk coming into the season. I think on the whole, there might be a tendency among fantasy players to underrate injuries that are currently present, you know, to be overly optimistic about present injuries. And I'm certainly guilty of that myself. I did not think Cattel Marte would be out this long.
Starting point is 00:15:25 as I go through waivers on every single one of my team and see him in the aisle spot. Yeah. I think he's probably rest of the season, I think it's more likely he's closer to Max Scherzer than Garrett Cole and Shane Bieber, but I think on a purning basis, I would still expect him to be the best pitcher in baseball.
Starting point is 00:15:43 It's just now there's an uncertainty. You know, he's better than Shane Bieber and Garrickle in my opinion, but those two guys haven't had a start scratched and then been pulled from their most recent start. so I think you have to have him above those guys. But there's nothing actionable there. Like, you're right.
Starting point is 00:16:00 If you could trade him for Shane Bieber right now, if somebody wants to do that trade, yes, you should do that. That seems pretty unlikely. So you kind of just have to wait it out and hope that, you know, he's okay and that the Mets aren't metting this. Corbyn Burns will rejoin his teammates on Monday and we'll throw a bullpen session with an eye towards being activated later in the week.
Starting point is 00:16:22 say by Monday, or rather Tuesday is when things would lock for the Mets, but if we don't have more information when lineups lock, would you leave Jacob de Grom and or Corbin Burns in your lineups this week? No. No, I'm sitting Burns. Yeah, I probably would sit both if I could.
Starting point is 00:16:41 I have, most of my teams have enough alternatives of pitching that I could do that. But yeah, I'd be likely to sit both. We had a few prospect call-ups this weekend. Let's start with Nate, Pearson, the top pitching prospect in the Blue Jays organization. Maybe that's becoming arguable with the way that Alec Manoa is pitching in the minors right now. But Nate Pearson lasted only two
Starting point is 00:17:02 and a third against the Astros. Obviously a tough match up there too. They throw the guy out his first start of the season against one of the best lineups in the league. Anyway, Nate Pearson, he allowed three runs. He walked five. He's 59% rostered. Scott is Nate Pearson a must add? No, no, not after the way the first start went. And obviously we saw him. make a few starts last year either, and he wasn't good enough to stick on rosters then either. One thing that may have gotten lost in the rehabilitation in him returning to the majors is that he kind of changed up his mechanics
Starting point is 00:17:39 in the minors in the hopes of avoiding a future injury like he suffered to his groin that caused him to miss time at the start of the season, and he wasn't that efficient in his one minor league start either. So I don't know if that mechanical adjustment is having an effect on on everything the way a mechanical adjustment can. Certainly the stuff still look good, but yeah, I think he's got to do some proving before I'm going to call a must add or must roster or whatever.
Starting point is 00:18:11 If you can only pick up one pitcher, would you rather have Nate Pearson or Wade Miley? Pearson. The other prospect that came up this weekend was Trevor Larnack, first round pick for the Minnesota Twins back in 2018. He batted 309 with 13 homers and an 842 OPS in the minors back in 2019. He is 15% rostered and with Byron Buckson on the aisle set to miss at least a few weeks with a grade two hip strain. It seems like Larnack is going to get some playing time.
Starting point is 00:18:39 So Chris, where, if anywhere, would you be looking to add Trevor Larnack? You know, most links where he's available, I think would be, you know, 12 points leagues, maybe not. But given the injuries that they've got, I think he has a fair chance to play pretty regularly to start. And, you know, it's a limited minor league track record, only 172 games, 734 plate appearances. A lot of doubles, not a ton of home runs,
Starting point is 00:19:07 but he hit for a good average, walked a lot. You know, he could be, you know, someone who contributes batting average and, you know, some ancillary counting stats, but probably not a stud in any of them. And given the state of outfield, you almost certainly have a spot in your outfield in a five-team league where you could use an upgrade.
Starting point is 00:19:33 Five-outfeiter league, yes. In most of my five-alfordier leagues, I've got about four outfield spots that I could use an upgrade on. So Larnack would be someone I would consider adding. Yeah. Scott, you have any. Anything you want to add on Lorneck?
Starting point is 00:19:51 No, I mean, I don't know that I'd be interested in him in a three outfielder league just yet, but five outfielder league, yeah, somebody in your league could use him, I'm sure. Brian Hayes was transferred to the 60-day IL on Sunday, which means he won't be eligible to return until early June. Colin Moran was placed on the aisle with left-growing discomfort. Juan Soto will resume full-time duties in right-field starting Tuesday. Astros manager Dusty Baker said that Framber Valdez, could be available to return from the IL in June.
Starting point is 00:20:23 The Blue Jays placed Rafael Dolis on the IL with a calf injury. The assumption, I guess, is that... It's got to be Romano now. It's got to be, right? Jordan Romano is 47% rostered in CBS leagues, though Tyler Chatwood. Yes, that Tyler Chatwood has pitched very well out of the bullpen for the Blue Jays. Oh my gosh, that'd be so funny. Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:20:46 Scott is Jordan Romano a must-ad? category leagues? Yeah, sure. For now. Until somebody else gets the save. That's right. Jazz Chisholm will start a minor league rehab assignment on Tuesday. The Rangers confirmed Willie Calhoun will continue to play every day.
Starting point is 00:21:05 Even with Chris Davis activated, Alex Cobb was placed on the aisle with a blister on his right middle finger. It's possible that Anthony Rendon will only require a minimum stay on the IL. He's first eligible to return on Friday. Noah Cinder Guard is expected to begin a rehab assignment. assignment in approximately one week. Mid-June is the expectation for him to return. Alejandro Kirk was transferred to the 60-day aisle this weekend, which means we won't see him until July at the earliest. Alberto Mondesey, where's the timetable? We don't have one. He remains
Starting point is 00:21:35 without a timetable for a rehab assignment. Alex Kierloff is scheduled to take swings in the next few days. If his wrist responds well, he could be back soon. If it does not, surgery is an option. Aaron Sanchez was placed on the aisle with Such extreme alternative Yeah, I know I guess the nature of the situation right now It's cross your fingers gang Seriously man
Starting point is 00:22:00 And it's just so frustrating because he was playing so well too So It feels like the We won't have surgery For now thing Usually ends up in surgery I don't know that's anecdotal but, you know.
Starting point is 00:22:17 Well, I mean, just the fact that those are the two choices make it seem like they're going to put off surgery until the end of the season if he can play through it, right? Which, you know, considering having followed him as a prospect, he had this monster 2018, 2019 not so good because he was dealing with a wrist issue, right? So is that something you even want him playing through? I think even if he's cleared and returns in short order, still a little concerned about, Kira Loft's 2020 Outlook. Yeah. 2021 Outlook. I think if I have him on a keeper
Starting point is 00:22:51 or dynasty team, I'd rather the Twins just play it as safe as possible with him, right? I mean, we want this guy to be healthy long term. It's obviously he could help this year, but why rush it?
Starting point is 00:23:02 Aaron Sanchez was placed on the aisle with right biceps tightness. Logan Webb will remain in the rotation for the time being. Francisco Mejia was placed on the aisle due to left intercostal discomfort. Yadier Malina was reinstated from the aisle on Saturday. CJ Crohn is dealing with a back injury that forced him to miss this entire weekend's worth of games.
Starting point is 00:23:21 Scott, is Crone too risky to start in weekly leagues? I know you originally had him as a sleeper for this upcoming week. Yeah, I took him out of the top 10 sleeper hitters. I just, as a policy, I don't put injured players in the top 10 sleeper hitters because that's just asking for failure. I added Tyler Naquin in his place since the Reds have the best matchups and they're going against all righties. and Naquin, I think, has started seven straight or something like that. Does that mean like a whole week worth of just like pretty good pitchers? Like they're all right or they all throw right-handed? They all throw right-handed. Okay, just needed to confirm that.
Starting point is 00:23:57 They're not all righties. Yeah, they're all righties, but they're not all righties. Or I mixed up the inflection there, but you get the idea. Yeah, but oh, Luke Void is coming back. So that's, I know you can't. just replace CJ Crone with Luke Voight in all likelihood, but if you could, that that's a move you could make. Enrique Hernandez was placed on the 10-day IL with a right hamstring strain. Marwin Gonzalez was leading off on Sunday and has 10 hits over his last seven games. He's 11% rostered and pretty much has every position eligibility if you need that in a deeper league. Ryan Reynolds is considered day-to-day with lower body sorenness. Tony Gonsland threw a bullpen session on Sunday and is scheduled to pitch in a simulated game later this week.
Starting point is 00:24:43 He's still likely two to three weeks away. Ray's manager, Kevin Cash, said that Diego Castillo feels much better and should be on track for a minimal stay on the 10-day I-L. Chris Paddock was activated and started on Sunday. He only pitched three innings, but they were three shutout with four strikeouts. On the other side, Johnny Quedo was also activated. He allowed five runs over three innings. He has pretty nice matchup this week up against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Starting point is 00:25:07 Kohei Ari Haro was placed in the aisle. Nico Horner was checked out. He checked out fine after taking me. part in light fielding and hitting work over the past few days. He's eligible to return next weekend. Ramon Luriano was out Sunday with a minor thumb issue. Brendan Rogers will report to the Rockies extended spring training facility in Arizona this week to continue playing in simulated games.
Starting point is 00:25:27 And Miguel Andohar was optioned to AAA with Luke Voigt expected back on Tuesday. Gio Orchella missed the entire weekend with a knee injury but has not been placed on the IL. Wuriam on a Monday. A lot of news, man. A lot of news. Let's start off with Luis Castillo. We already mentioned the name. Definitively better than Zach Plissack.
Starting point is 00:25:48 Now, past, present, till the end of time. Let's talk about him. At Cleveland, the same team that Wade Miley no hit the night before. Four innings, five hits, six runs, four of those earned, two walks, only two strikeouts. Three swinging strikes on 84 pitches for Luis Castillo in the start. The ERA now up to 6.42, and the swing. striking rate in particular the season down from 15% last year. It's at 9.7%. Chris, we'll start with you, the worryometer on Luis Castillo.
Starting point is 00:26:25 0.6. I'm not, not worried at all, but I'm not particularly worried. Like, I don't feel good. I am not happy that his ERA is 642. I'm not thrilled that his 465 FIP is not that much better. but like this isn't even the worst stretch of his career. In 2018, his first seven starts, he had a 701 ERA, and then he had another seven stretch later in that season from the end of May to the end of June, where he had a 619 ERA. He had a 585 ERA overall through the end of June in that season.
Starting point is 00:27:03 He finished the season with a 263 ERA over the final three months. Obviously, I am hoping it does not take until July 1st for Luis Castillo to turn things around in 2021. But his velocity, not that far off. It's not where it was last year, but it's not that far off from where it was prior than that. His spin rate, again, not that far off from where it's been. His spin axis, his release point,
Starting point is 00:27:29 everything is pretty much, at least physically, within the range of where we would expect it to be. It's not like you can look at something physically that he's doing and say, wow, this is where he's gone wrong. Biggest issue, really, his fastballs are getting absolutely crushed. His sinker and his four seamer are getting demolished right now, and they have never been his best pitches.
Starting point is 00:27:50 His changeup has been his best pitch. He's not getting as many whiffs on that. That's less concerning for me. I just, the fact that there's no physical explanation for it just leads me to believe that he's not pitching well right now, which is reflected in his ERA and his lack of swinging strikes and basically anything you want to throw at. Like, I think you kind of look at it like,
Starting point is 00:28:12 okay, his ERA's bad. Let's look under the hood. Okay, his FIP is better, but still bad. Okay, his strike rate is low. Okay, well, his changeup whiff rate is low, and that's his primary put on. You add all those things up, and like, there are reasons for why he is not pitching well.
Starting point is 00:28:29 But once you get down to the bottom of it, it's mostly just like, he's just not pitching well, which, Maybe he'll just won't pitch well moving forward. Maybe this will just continue being an issue. Maybe it's unfixable. But I have no real reason to believe that after, you know, four, five really good years as a major league pitcher,
Starting point is 00:28:52 the most seven recent games are representative of Luis Castillo skill set. I found some quotes from after his start. And here's what he had to say. What I've seen is about 70% of my pitches are staying in the zone. I'm definitely noticing that. and I'm definitely focused on that too. What I'm trying to do now is pitch a lower so that way we can get more swings and misses
Starting point is 00:29:13 and more ground balls, which makes sense because that's who Luis Castillo has always been. He also added, I think we're close. The reason why is we know what's going on and we know what's wrong and we know we can fix it too. I think we're definitely close and we'll be there soon. So Scott, does that inspire any confidence in you when it comes to Luis Castillo?
Starting point is 00:29:31 Are you more worried than a 0.6? Yes. Yes. I figured. Yeah. Look, I'm not not worried at all. I know, but there's, there's 10 units on the Wuriometer and you can pick sub the lowest one.
Starting point is 00:29:51 So that's. No, no, there's a lower one. I would. There's 11. I'm going to remove the decimal point there and just make it a solid six. Okay. For my worry on Luis Castillo, I'm going to be the wet blanket here. But, I mean, just trying to put myself in the position of the people who are having to manage this right now.
Starting point is 00:30:13 I have a league, 12-team points league, 21-man roster, so 252 players rostered. It's about the shallowest league I play in. So keep that in mind. But I had a situation where I wanted to add somebody off waivers, and I'm like, okay, who's the low guy to drop here? And Castillo... Come on. You probably have Zach Pleasack on that team. No, I don't. Now, I ultimately decided not to do it.
Starting point is 00:30:40 I talked myself out of it, but that was the first time my mind went to that place. Could I honestly consider dropping Castillo? Really, the fact is roster ship was over 90%. I'm like, I'm not going to drop them before anyone else has. That's just crazy. That's what I ended up putting in a drop for Reese Hoskins instead, which tells you how shadow the league is,
Starting point is 00:31:00 that Hoskins is somebody I could consider dropping. But, yeah, I'm worried because, like, Nothing seems right for Castillo at this point. I mean, you could say he got his velocity back, which, you know, it was down, it was way down the first start and then still down several starts after that. It's mostly come back, but the effectiveness has only gotten worse since it's come back.
Starting point is 00:31:23 And in the past when he struggled, he was getting hit hard, but he was still missing a ton of bats. He has a combined 16 whiffs in his past three starts. He's never had a stretch like that. Like the change-up, he just doesn't have it this year. And as we're seeing, there's not much there
Starting point is 00:31:41 when he doesn't have the change up. Now, I mean, it could be the sort of thing where he regains the feel for it and he's back in his very next start and never looks back. But if he doesn't, there's clearly not enough there for him to make do without it.
Starting point is 00:31:58 So I'm worried, and I hate in those shallower leagues especially to just plop them on my bench and wait, who knows how long for him to have that epiphany where he regains the feel. I do still think it's too early, but it's becoming, it's rapidly becoming not too early anymore.
Starting point is 00:32:18 We're six weeks in approximately, and that's the point when I said, you got to, that's the point when I've been saying all along, you've got to start making some tough decisions on these slow starters. I don't think we're there with Castillo yet, but certainly by the end of May, he needs to have this,
Starting point is 00:32:32 He needs to show signs that he's getting on track. We have to- And me, Luis Castillo, I would love to plop him on my bench. Would be thrilled. We have to bench him in Coorsfield this week, right? Oh, for sure. Yeah. I think I wouldn't start him.
Starting point is 00:32:47 Yeah. Okay. In terms of just classic, buy-low, sell-high situations, I'm going to give you three pitcher names. You tell me whether or not you would actually trade them away for Luis Castillo right now. John Means. Yes. You would trade him for.
Starting point is 00:33:02 Luis Castillo? No. Would you, this trade actually happened in the Four of the People Podcast League over the weekend? Would you trade Carlos Rodon for Luis Castillo? The guy asked me about it right before he made the trade and I said, I said trade Luis Castillo for Carlos Rodon.
Starting point is 00:33:21 I don't think I would do it. No way. Would you trade, who was the other one? Kevin Gosman. Would you trade Kevin Gosman to get Luis Castillo right now? Nope. I would rather have Gosman. so the answer is
Starting point is 00:33:34 No, you wouldn't do it. No, but Chris just said no. No, I would not trade Luis Castillo to get Kevin Gosman. You would rather have Luis Castillo than Kevin Gosman. I would rather have Kevin Gosman than Louise Castillo. I guess I'm moving Luis Castillo out of my top 30, 35 at starting pitcher. Luis Castillo's SP15 for me.
Starting point is 00:33:58 Okay. I will... And I did move him down. Be dropping him a little bit further than that as well. Let's move a little bit quicker with D so we can get to a lot of other stuff. Kyle Hendricks was up against the Pirates on Sunday. He allowed six runs for those earned over five innings pitch. He has a 6.23 ERA.
Starting point is 00:34:16 Scott, what is your Worryometer on Kyle Hendricks, who looked like he was back after his last start against the Dodgers. It was a great start. And then he puts up this clunker against the Pirates of all teams. Worryometer, and would you start him this week at Detroit? it's a four I see more signs of true Kyle Hendricks in there
Starting point is 00:34:34 but yeah I hate that there's such a good matchup coming out I think I think you have to bench him against the Tigers just happened against the Pirates yeah that's fair I mean the Tigers are 25th and weighted on base average
Starting point is 00:34:51 against right-handed pitching and the last I checked they were by far the last in OPS. So I don't know. Maybe you miss out on a good start, but yeah. I hate decisions like that. Yeah, I still, even more with Kyle Hendricks and Luis Castillo, there's just really
Starting point is 00:35:12 nothing under the hood that kind of points to. He's allowing harder contact this year, and usually he's great at suppressing that, but. Right. I think it's, I think it's a situation with Hendricks where his, it relies on his command being so fine. Yeah. And it just hasn't been this year. Chris, let's talk about Charlie Morton.
Starting point is 00:35:29 He was at the, he was at home against the Phillies on Friday. He only recorded two outs. He allowed six runs. Zero earned, by the way. There was a strikeout pass ball that gave the Phillies an extra out. Charlie Morton currently has a 4.98 ERA, but a 3.60 X-FIP and a 50% ground ball rate, his highest since 2017. Worryometer on Charlie Morton.
Starting point is 00:35:52 I mean, he's coming off a start with a zero ERA. What's to worry about? Um, I'm two. People were tweeting at me on Friday saying he's broken. Charlie Morton is broken. I know. I had the same thing. And like,
Starting point is 00:36:05 I get it, guys. You're reactionary. It's okay. Sometimes you have to be while you're playing. I'm not, I'm not saying that that like as a, just across the board insult.
Starting point is 00:36:15 Like sometimes you have to be when you're playing fantasy baseball. And one of my biggest flaws as a player, I would think. Um, and you're seeing it in this section is that I'm not reactionary at all. I, I tend to give guys a lot of a long rope. And sometimes that's enough rope to string me up with.
Starting point is 00:36:34 But in Charlie Morton's case, I'm seeing a lot of positives. You know, his chase rate is low, lower than it ever has been, but he's actually getting more whiffs than he was last season. And it's the second highest whiff rate of his career. So that's kind of an interesting wrinkle and makes me think that the stuff's pretty good right now. The stuff is certainly better than we, were worried it might be. So I'm not particularly concerned.
Starting point is 00:37:01 I think he's going to be a mid-to-high three's ERA guy with a lot of strikeouts. That's a good pitcher. Would you guys... I agree that he's the least concerning of the three Castillo, Hendricks. I'd put Morton as the least concerning. He was probably the least valuable going in, too.
Starting point is 00:37:22 So that's something to keep in mind. He is the lowest ranked for me. of three, but still... Right. I'll say three on my worryometer. Would you trade Zach Police Hack for Morton if you could? No. Really?
Starting point is 00:37:37 I would rather have Morton. Yeah, I would rather have Morton as well. How about Blake's now? He was at the Giants this weekend, four and two thirds. Only one hit, but six walks, four earned runs. The walks per nine, up to a very formerly Robbie Ray, not Robbie Ray this year.
Starting point is 00:37:51 Robbie Ray-esque, 6.2 walks per nine for Blake's now. the ERA is at 4.15, the whip is at 1.48. Scott, your Woreometer on Snell. So his swinging strike rate is way down from the past couple years. Still good, but he used to be one of the very best at that. And his walk rate is just awful, and he's still gone. Since when? How long since having a six-inning start?
Starting point is 00:38:17 July 17th, 2019, I believe. Gosh. I saw somebody tweet that. It's just like if he's going to hurt your whip and he's going to make it hard to get a win and he's not going to be like otherworldly with the strikeouts, I think he's less than an automatic start.
Starting point is 00:38:35 So he's somebody I moved behind John Means too, or at least I'm going to, in addition to Castillo. So I will say my worryometer on Snell is probably like a four, probably there with Hendrix. It's been since July 21st, 2019, that Blake Snell. has not completed six in a start. Chris, let's talk about our boy, Joe Musgrove. He was at the Giants
Starting point is 00:39:03 this weekend, five innings, four runs, still had seven strikeouts. He has a 6.92 ERA over his last three starts, the Wariometer on Big Joe. I mean, yeah, Joe Musgrove's not the best pitcher in baseball. He's not one of the 10 best pitchers in baseball. So if you thought he was that, you should be pretty worried, but I'm not worried relative to where he was preseason. He is still, he has still moved up. I'm not really particularly looking to move him down. Um, point seven. All right. Point four. Let's, let's wrap up with Dylan Bundy, Scott. We talked about him. We're talking a
Starting point is 00:39:42 little bit before the podcast started and it's kind of just having a weird season. Tough matchup this weekend against the Dodgers. Three and a third. Six earned his ERA now up to 5.03. Do you see anything? What's going on with Dylan Bunny? The Worryometer there. Yeah, so he was somebody who I was surprised to see after this last start. His ERA is over five because he's, my impression has somebody who has a lot of Dylan Bundy is like quality start machine. Five out of his seven starts have been quality starts.
Starting point is 00:40:13 A lot of the underlying numbers look even better than last year. His X-FIP 3-59, that's lower than it was last year, and that's certainly a fine X-FIP. So my worryometer on Bundy is probably like a two just because he's Dylan Bundy. So there's some inherent worry baked in there. But I don't think there's anything wrong with him necessarily. I think he's had some bad luck. Obviously his last start, the fact he has no wins despite having quality start, that's the ultimate bad luck, right? But yeah, I think his ERA is going to go down from here.
Starting point is 00:40:51 I actually like don't even, I don't even see what's gone wrong. Like there's some pitchers where you can say like, well, I don't think they've done anything wrong, but this thing and has gone wrong. Like his Wobah against on every pitch is 338 or below. And league average is about 320.
Starting point is 00:41:08 So, you know, his fastball's been getting hit harder than you'd want. But it's not like most fastball is usually seen like the 380 range. I would guess it's just been like Scott said, like his strand rate is really low. 60% and it's been like clustered among a couple of starts that have gone really wrong. So I would guess it's mostly just like he's had like six bad innings across the, the whole season is what my guess would be.
Starting point is 00:41:36 And he hasn't had like a one or two hitter to make up for it on the other end the way like a Zach Wheeler has, you know? Yeah. I would think if I had to guess that would probably be. I would guess he's just had really bad cluster luck, I think is what they call it. Is that what they call it? I think so, yeah. Sounds like you made that up.
Starting point is 00:41:58 I think it's a, I think baseball perspective says right about, yeah, yeah. Cluster luck is a thing. It just, it talks about how often your, your hits come close together relative to what you would normally expect from a normal distribution.
Starting point is 00:42:13 So among these pictures that we just talked about, Castillo, Hendrix, Morton, Blake Snell, Joe Musgrove, and Dylan Bundy. Who are you most likely to try and buy low on, the one that you have the most confidence in bouncing back? Probably Bundy. Castillo.
Starting point is 00:42:30 Fair enough. We're going to hit a quick break, but when we return, we're going to talk about some waiver wire hitters from this weekend. We'll do it next on Fantasy Baseball today. So let's take a look at some of those waiver wire hitters and talk about Andrew Vaughn, who is batting $2.94 over his last 15 games,
Starting point is 00:42:46 but still does not have a home run. And, you know, that's not very exciting. obviously. He's 63% rostered, but he is playing more and he's hitting pretty well. Jorge Polanco is someone else as well. He's 60% rostered. He has five hits over his last two games. The underlying numbers are pretty good there for Jorge Polanco. Adolese Garcia, three more hits, including his ninth home run and five more RBI on Sunday. He's batting 297 with a 943 OPS, 63% rostered. The other one I'll throw in here, Andrew McCutcheon, over his last seven games, he's batting 385 with three home run.
Starting point is 00:43:21 he is 59% rostered. Who are you guys most interested in between Vaughn, Polanco, Adolese Garcia, and Andrew McCutcheon? Well, I'm pretty interested in... I mean, Vaughn, obviously, for the upside, but in terms of how usable they are right now, I mean, Adolice Garcia and categories leagues, he looks like he's going to be a useful source of power. particularly like a five outfielder league where you know you don't need everybody to be a total stat line filler I think Garcia is pretty one-dimensional he might chip in the occasional steel and he'll have some cold stretches but I think I think the power power
Starting point is 00:44:08 is going to be pretty pretty good pretty good when all said and done I do really like McCutcheon's matchups for him this week though and he's on a nice run here so if you need, you know, if you need a sleeper pickup. And obviously somebody who's trending the right direction, then McCutcheon's pretty interesting too. Chris, if you need a middle infielder, which Rojas do you like more? Miguel or Josh? Miguel has 11 hits over his last six games. He's betting 286 with an 825 OPS overall. Josh Rojas, batting 400 with four home runs over his last 15 games. Which one do you like more? I think it's definitely Josh Rojas. Miguel Rojas, I mean,
Starting point is 00:44:45 sort of quietly is hitting 288 over the last three seasons. He has just been a really solid source of batting average, but he has 11 homers and 17 stolen bases in 202 games over those three seasons. So he's really not doing much for fantasy because per 162 game average is nine homers, 14 steals, and 139 combined runs in RBI. He's fine. like he's always going to be like a middle infielder you can pick up at any time in any league and use him for a while. But Josh Rojas has a much more interesting fantasy profile.
Starting point is 00:45:29 More power, more speed. Batting average probably going to be 60 points lower maybe, but definitely Josh Rojas. Yeah, I think it's a floor versus upside comparison. But yeah, Josh Rojas is pretty interesting. he's playing well. He's someone we liked. He was flashing in spring training. Got off to a really slow start,
Starting point is 00:45:49 but now he's coming along. I think he was betting cleanup for the Diamondbacks on Sunday, so they're just throwing him right there in the middle of the lineup. How about in deeper leagues? A few names that stood out to me from the weekend. Harrison Bader has seven hits
Starting point is 00:45:59 over his last seven games, including three home runs. Stat cast numbers quietly, very good for Harrison Bader. 282XBA, 584XLug, 93th percentile in sprint speed. A few other names here,
Starting point is 00:46:11 Robbie Grossman over his last 15 games, 250 batting. average, but a 409 OBP, two home runs, and five steals during that span. Nico Goodrum, last two weeks, 278 batting average, three homers, four steals, and Hunter Renfro, heating up, 10 hits over his last eight games with three home runs. So between Bader, Grossman, Goodrum, and Renfro, who do you like most? Well, Bader, I compared him to Kevin Kiermeier about a week ago, and apparently he's mad at me. His strikeout rate is way down.
Starting point is 00:46:46 There's only 37 plate appearances, but yeah, it's kind of interesting. He's playing every day. Yeah, that too. You know, Renfro, when he gets hot, he can hit a lot of home runs in a short period of time, and when he's not hot, you'll regret that you ever picked him up.
Starting point is 00:47:04 So I don't know. I don't feel, I don't love any of them, to be honest. I mean, Goodrum, his numbers look great, but he's striking out 40% at the time, so obviously that's not going to last. You know, if I was going less than 10% rostered, I think I'd take a flyer on Tyrone Taylor
Starting point is 00:47:21 myself, who continues to get at Bats in the Brewers' Outfield with Christian Yellich out, and there's a power speed combo there that's pretty enticing. He hasn't been striking out all that much. He got some buzz in brewer's circles this spring. So he's somebody I was adding in a couple of 15 team leagues
Starting point is 00:47:40 where I needed outfield help Tyrone Taylor. How about some sell-high candidates? Sell high or no-thanks guy. Aaron Savali at the Reds. I mentioned his name already a few times. Seven innings of one-run ball. 2.91 ERA on the season, but that comes with a 4.21 X-FIP
Starting point is 00:47:58 and a 3.59 expected ERA. Would you try and sell high on Aaron Savali right now if you could? I don't think he's as good as he's been so far. So, yes. But as always, I want to stress that the most important word in the phrase, sell high, is high. So you got to get something good for him to make it worth it. Yeah, I mean, I have a lot of teams.
Starting point is 00:48:22 Scott and I have weird teams so far. His offenses are carrying him, whereas I've got a lot of teams with more pitching than I need. What is this bizarre world that we're in? And I have, like, I said Savali and Pleasiker, the Spider-Man meme. I've got them 45 and 44. So, you know, I, like, I would look to move either of them for Chris Paddock. I think I'd rather take that gamble on the upside there, even though he was, you know, kind of mad again today. I'm not sure.
Starting point is 00:48:52 Why do you get pulled early today? I think it was 53 pitches was just coming back from the IL. Yeah, I think it was just his first game back. They did the same thing with Denelson Lemit as well. So, yeah. Seems like they're just playing it safe, safe with these guys. Would you trade Savale for, I might have to have. As is already for Charlie Morton.
Starting point is 00:49:09 I think I said it. Oh yeah, I'd rather have Martin than Savala and Pleasak. Yeah, I would agree with that as well. How about Zach Eflin? We have not talked about Zach Eifflin. I don't think all season, but he's been great. Six and two-thirds, two earned with eight strikeouts at the Braves this weekend. He has gone six plus innings in all seven of his starts.
Starting point is 00:49:28 He's got a 3.38 ERA. Can he keep it up? Sell high or no thanks guy. Zach Eflin. He's a weird pitcher. He's weird kind of. of like Savale is weird. I think I think that's maybe
Starting point is 00:49:42 roughly what he is. He's not walking anybody. He has 42 strikeouts to three walks this season. Yeah. He is. He's kind of doing like a 2020 Zach Plyzac impersonation right now. Which means he's a lot like Aaron Savale.
Starting point is 00:49:59 No, he's like he's actually always been someone who does a good job of suppressing hard contact. He's got a 45 44.5% hard hit rate. Granted, that is, you know, hard hit rate is up league-wide,
Starting point is 00:50:14 so you have to adjust for that, but still, it's by far the highest, even when you do that adjustment. But, you know, we're talking about a guy who's been pretty solid for three years running now. I mean, if this counting year three,
Starting point is 00:50:27 I've got him 51, and I want to move him up, but I don't know where, and I don't know how. But he's good. I feel really confident, in Zach Eflin right now. The problem with selling high on Eflin is like Savale is like one of the pit,
Starting point is 00:50:43 like is just like a industry darling for some reason. I've never really understood why everybody likes him so much, but he gets buzzed about all the time. And so I think it's easier for people to think they're getting something they're not with him when Eflin, you might have a harder time getting the high return you're looking for. But I do think he's probably not quite as good as he's been so far. Take that for what it's worth.
Starting point is 00:51:10 I'm going to lump these three starting pitchers together that all had great outings over the weekend. Jose Orkidi, the ERA is now 3.51. He has three trade quality starts. Carlos Rodon was at the Kansas City Royals. Six shutout. The ERA is 0.58 for Carlos Rodon. We've mentioned him as a cell high.
Starting point is 00:51:30 Maybe we want to rescind that. And then Sean Minai. He took a no-hitter into the eighth inning against the Tampa Bay raise, seven and one-third with 10 strives. with 10 strikeouts. 3.07 is the ERA for Sean Mania. Orkidi, Rodan, Mania.
Starting point is 00:51:42 Do you want to sell high on any of these? Of all the pitchers in this whole segment, the one I have the least confidence in is Erkiti. He has a 488X to him. Sorry, he's not striking out anybody. Yeah, I don't know how he's getting it done. High fly ball rate. A lock rate's good, I guess.
Starting point is 00:52:04 But, yeah, no, I don't have much confidence. in him at all. Rodon, there's still a case for selling high on Rodon, but it's a, it's when you're looking at the full length of the season. It's not, he's going to go bad in his next start. You know, that's not what I'm worried about with Rodon. It's that, this is his first full year back from Tommy John, and can he reasonably be asked to work this hard all season long?
Starting point is 00:52:31 I would say no. I would say that's bad for his career if he does that. that's what I'm worried about with him and why I might call him a cell high. So you just got to understand the context of that. Do you guys think you could get anything for Patrick Corbyn right now? He now has three quality starts in his last four. He has a 3.52 ERA during that span. I think he should try it because he is teetering on the edge of disaster.
Starting point is 00:53:00 Yeah. During that four-star stretch with the 3.52 ERA, he's got a 6.19-fip and a 4.4. point 4-49 X-Fit. Yeah, I have to say I really, I really struggling with like the 30 to 45 range at starting pitcher. And man, it's not in a bad way. This is unrelated to Patrick Corbyn who is not in that range whatsoever.
Starting point is 00:53:24 He's not inside my top 60 anymore. But it's like, I've got Rodon 38, Gosman 37, Tyler Malley 36, and we can quibble about the order of those guys. and like I would love to move them all up but then it's like I've got Bundy 33 Errius 32 Freed Gray Pablo Lopez
Starting point is 00:53:45 Ian like pitching's kind of good right now I feel like there's like 45-ish pitchers who I feel maybe even like 50 it's weird and I would love to move like John Means to 40 seems stupid with how well he's pitching right now but I don't
Starting point is 00:54:02 I would not rather have him than Julio Arias It separates you from new, pal. Well, yeah, you're the John Means guy. You've got your brand. We've all got to sell. You know, I get it. But like, or even like Trevor Rogers is 34. I would rather have Trevor Rogers than John Means.
Starting point is 00:54:21 That's not a knock against John Means. I'm just really struggling with this range because I'm, I'm questioning just how dominant Rogers is going to be now. Because it seems to have lost confidence in the slider and the whiffs haven't been there the past three starts and he's usually only going five innings. I'm not saying like, I'm no longer excited. I don't want him anymore or whatever.
Starting point is 00:54:43 I just, I just kind of wonder what's going on with him. Well, you know what? I'm questioning how dominant John Means is going to be. Oh, whoa. Someone who might be knocking on the door of that top 50 starting pitchers is Jameson Tyone, who up against the nationals this weekend, six and a third, three earned five strikeouts.
Starting point is 00:55:03 It was his first quality start of the season. He got his pitch count all the way up to 99. That hadn't been above 82 pitches in any start this year. So Jameson Tion has a 5.02 ERA, but he has a 3.87 X-P and a 3.16 expected ERA. I don't think it's a buy high. I think it's just a buy Jameson before people realize that he's about to be maybe not awesome, but really good. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:55:30 He's trending the right way for sure. It's more gradual process than maybe a lot of people want to. to be, but things are looking up. A few waiver wire starting pitchers I wanted to mention as well. Zach Davies, who pitched seven shutout with only one strikeout against the Pirates. Rich Hill, his last three starts. He's allowed two earned runs. Over 15 innings pitched.
Starting point is 00:55:50 Adrian Howser, six innings, two runs, ten strikeouts against the Marlins this weekend. Tyler Anderson just continues to get it done. Eight innings, six strikeouts against the Cubs, 29% rostered, three earned runs or less in all seven of Tyler Anderson starts. and then Dane Dunning, which I also found this interesting. Five innings, two runs, ten strikeouts, 17 swinging strikes on 89 pitches. He threw his slider 37% of the time in the start,
Starting point is 00:56:18 which was by far the most all season. And like Tyone, they actually let Dunning throw 89 pitches, which was a season high. He hadn't been above 76 pitches all season long. So between Davies Hill, Hauser, Anderson, Tyler Anderson, and Dane Dunning. Who would be your favorite to add from that group? If I trusted Dane Dunning could get, you know, a pretty healthy workload,
Starting point is 00:56:45 like average even five and a half innings per start, I think, like, he's got a 390 ERA and a 320 FIP. And, you know, only 13 starts, 62 innings. But he's been really solid so far in his major league career. It's just I don't think the workload will be there. I think Hauser is probably my favorite of this. group but I'm starting to talk myself into Tyler Anderson a bit it's not a great group Donning would probably be my favorite too like when he throws the but the slider's been a good swing and miss pitch for him from the beginning he threw it twice as often as usual in this star like
Starting point is 00:57:20 you said Frank but like I just wish I don't know maybe there's a reason why he doesn't throw it more normally but yeah there's some consistency issues there worry about howzer is has been the best ground ball pitcher among qualifiers this year ahead of kikell and our guy Wade Miley the fact he got 22 swinging 17 swinging
Starting point is 00:57:44 sorry 17 swinging strikes in this 10 strikeout start over the weekend total outlier he had a 5.6 swinging percent swinging strike percent 5.6 percent swinging strike rate
Starting point is 00:57:58 what's happening to my brain going into that start which is just unthinkably bad. So really, really dependent on the ground balls. And I think this was only a second six inning start too. So
Starting point is 00:58:12 he's kind of mildly like, but like I think I want him even less than Miley. Who was that sorry? Yeah, I like Dunning the most of this group. I'd probably rank my favorite three, Dunning, Tyler Anderson, and Adrian Houser in that order. The call to the pen from the weekends, bullpen updates.
Starting point is 00:58:29 Craig Kimbril was not used on Friday. He was unavailable. Ryan Tepera and Rex Brothers. tag teamed the save then. Kimbril was back on Saturday for his sixth save. Kendall Graveman picked up a save for the Mariners on Friday. Rafael Montero was not used for the Giants on Friday. Tyler Rogers in the eighth, Jake McGee still used in the ninth. He picked up his eighth save of the season. Brad Hand took his first blown save of the season and then he was either pitching in a tie game on Sunday. Did he blow another save on? No, yeah, it was a tie
Starting point is 00:59:05 game two to two in the nine and he gave up a run to the Yankees. So two loss, one loss and one blown save for Brad Hand over the weekend. Alex Reyes finally allowed his first run of the season but did get his 10th save on Saturday. Ryan Helsley came in for the Cardinals on Sunday with Alex Reyes unavailable picked up the save. Then on Saturday for Oakland, Jake Teakman was used in the eighth. Lutrovino was used in the ninth, picked up his sixth save. Hector Neres, Blue's save over the season over the weekend as well. Blake Trinan got a save for the Dodgers on Saturday.
Starting point is 00:59:38 For Tampa Bay on Sunday, Jeffrey Springs was used in the 5th. Andrew Kittridge recorded five outs for his second save. So to stream or not to stream for Monday, choose three of these. Obviously, if Kyle Gibson or Alex Wood are available, they are far and away, the best starting pitchers of this group, but they are rostered in over 80% of CBS League, so I didn't include them.
Starting point is 01:00:00 Jeff Hoffman at the Pirates, Mitch Keller versus the Reds, Martin Perez at the Orioles Luis Garcia versus the Angels and Luke Weaver versus the Marlins I think it's Louis Garcia because he's RP eligible He's been out of that matter He's been the best pitcher of this group too Mitch Keller honestly I wish he'd just been awful
Starting point is 01:00:21 This season but he's actually basically Alternated dreadful starts with really really good ones And yep based on the pattern He's got a dreadful start coming up I don't actually believe that that is predictive or relevant moving forward, but I don't think you can trust him. I did, like,
Starting point is 01:00:39 I thought about dropping him in so many leagues because I have Mitch Keller in so many leagues for some reason. And that's why I said I wish he'd just been terrible so I could have dropped him this week because I really need the roster spot, but he's just doing enough. I think you could probably drop him, Chris. I didn't.
Starting point is 01:00:57 If you need that little. No, I probably could. Nobody would pick him up. But then if he goes out tomorrow and throws six innings with eight strikeouts and one walk, I'm going to feel like a real dummy. And then when he gets shelled in his next start. Did you give three pitchers you like?
Starting point is 01:01:13 I know you like Luis Garcia. Garcia, Weaver, and then Keller. Okay. Garcia, only one I'm going to give you is actually one, Chris didn't give you. Martine Perez at Baltimore. I refuse to pick a third. It's just too bad.
Starting point is 01:01:30 That's perfectly fine. For Tuesday, Logan, versus the Texas Rangers, Adbert Alzeli at Cleveland, J.T. Brewer versus the Reds, Robbie Ray at the Braves, Quanghan Kim at the Brewers, and Yusay Kikuchi at the Dodgers.
Starting point is 01:01:45 Ray at the Braves. I like this group a lot more. I think you have to start Robbie Ray, no matter who he's facing, pretty much. Famous last words. Advert Alzalai. Albert Alzalai at Cleveland, I like that. If it wasn't the Dodgers, it was anybody but the Dodgers.
Starting point is 01:02:09 Yeah, exactly. Kwong Hean Kim at Milwaukee, I'll go with him third. I think that's probably the right choice. All righty. For Scott and Chris, I am Frank, thank you all for listening and watching Fantasy Baseball today. We'll be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye.

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