Fantasy Baseball Today - Week 8 Planner; Offense in Oracle Park (09/04 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

Episode Date: September 4, 2020

Labor Day weekend is here! What are the big plans? As we do on every Friday pod, who are our favorite two-start pitchers for the upcoming week (2:20)? Look to add Tyler Mahle or Kevin Gausman if they're still available. Also, who should you avoid? ... For our OMGG Thursday standouts, we're going with Rhys Hoskins and Luis Robert (13:58). Just how early will Robert be drafted in 2021? Will the hype get out of control? ... On to news and notes, David Fletcher landed on the IL while Wil Myers made his return (22:21). Giancarlo Stanton is never returning and the A's have been cleared to play on Friday against the Padres. ... So what's the deal with all this offense in Oracle Park (27:15)? What do the park factors have to say? Can it be attributed to the changes in park dimensions or are the Giants doing things differently this season? ... Our email of the day asks if Keston Hiura is a bust (32:02). What have we made of the Brewers second baseman? ... On Thursday, we had studs, duds, and something in between (35:59). How did Clevinger look in his debut? What's up with George Springer this season? Alec Bohm has been great. Can you drop Victor Robles? Is Kris Bryant done? ... If you need saves, Frank thinks Felix Pena is now the Angels closer (49:33)! ... We preview Week 8, including starting pitcher streamers, scheduling, and sleeper hitters (51:55). ... Email us at [e-mail]. Subscribe to our new YouTube channel: youtube.com/FantasyBaseballToday 'Fantasy Baseball Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  Follow our FBT team on Twitter: @CBSFantasyBB, @AdamAizer, @CTowersCBS, @CBSScottWhite, @Roto_Frank Join our Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/fantasybaseballtoday For more fantasy baseball coverage from CBS Sports, visit https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/ To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Download our printable Draft Kit from CBSSports.com/draftkit! To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Domingo Santana Forcus for cock to a jag like Michael Waka Polanco and from There, happy Kokomo Friday. Welcome to Fantasy baseball today. Frank Stample alongside Scott White, getting ready to help you with your week-eight lineups and looking forward to the Labor Day weekend as well.

I haven't asked this in a while, Scott, but, and I know you love this question. Any big plans this weekend? Maybe hit some dingers and whiff a ball off the little kiddos? What do we think? No, no, I honestly have not thought about it. So what about you? I'll throw it right back to you.

I do have a few fantasy football draft. So this is a big fantasy football draft weekend. I have a family barbecue, you know, nothing too crazy, just my immediate family. So that'll be fun to get to see some people, of course, while being safe and social distancing. But, yeah, I mean, pretty standard Labor Day weekend, just family. in drafting. Any football for you this year, Scott? Yes, I will do a fantasy football draft next week. I believe that's my only league. I can't, gosh, I was probably in college the last time I had just one fantasy football league,

but I will have the one, and it'll be fun. I'm jealous because I am in way too many fantasy football leagues, which is normally the case in fantasy baseball as well. But as they say in the Sopranos, what are you going to do? Today on the show, we have two-star pitchers, Thursday's action, some recapping of what happened on Thursday. Actually, just turned my head. I got the Dodgers game on here while we're recording this. A closer look at San Francisco. I know this is something we wanted to look at regarding Oracle Park and the offense being up in San Francisco this season. And of course, we'll help you set your lineups with a preview of week eight. Some questions later on as well. Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. Scott, let's get the

starting as we do on every Friday show looking at the two start pitchers for week eight that are under 80% rostered. What can you tell me about the upcoming schedule some of the two star pitchers? Who are some of your favorite names that stand out? Okay, so

let me mention the schedule first because it's a wild one. It's a weird one. It is crazy. And it's probably going to be every week from here on out because double headers are just their, the schedule is populated with so many doubleheaders. I don't even have a count for how many

are on the schedule this week. But not only do we have, let's see, one, two, three teams playing eight games. That would be the Tigers, Cardinals, and Rangers. We also have three teams playing nine games. The Marlins,

A's, and Phillies. And in fact, the Marlins and Phillies have a six-game series this week. How many double headers just in that series? I think just two. But yeah, six games total between those two teams this week.

So that's interesting. You think with that many games, there would be a lot of two-start pitchers, but there really aren't because with double-headers, especially, yeah, they're obviously trying to cram as many games into the schedule as they can now. So there's not like there's off days to build in some rest there for the pitching staff, so they just have to bring in new arms to meet the need in those

double headers. So there really aren't a ton of two-start options. But there are some worthwhile ones. Tyler Malley, who we've talked about a lot recently, he's still available in more than half of CBS sports leagues. And he's among my favorites. He's at the Cubs and at the Cardinals. I mean, the matchups are so-so.

But the cardals would be actually a pretty good matchup. But I do feel comfortable with where Tyler Malley is as a pitcher, and I feel confident as confident as I can be anyway, that he's going to make those two starts. Kevin Gosman isn't a bad option. He also has one good matchup versus the Diamondbacks, one not so good at the Padres, but he's been missing a lot of bats.

I think it's worth using him with the two-start week. Kwong-Yung Kim. Don't totally trust the profile there. since he hasn't been missing bats, but he's been very reliable so far at the Cubs and versus the Reds. You know, if you can, if, like, 6-0-Sanchez is still available

in more than a quarter of CBS leagues, probably not that many that among the people who are listening now, but I think he's must start with two starts at this point. If you want to go really deep, Trevor Richards is available in more than 90% of CBS, sports leagues and this starts tend to be pretty short.

I'm not sure how confident you can be in him delivering a win but at Washington versus Boston those are two pretty good matchups. He's pitched pretty well as last couple outings though they were on the shorter side. I think he's a fine deep sleeper

among two start pitchers. You also have Zach Eflin who pitched today he's always risky but versus Boston at Miami those are good matchups. and Montgomery at Toronto versus Baltimore. Jay Hap, same matchups at Toronto versus Baltimore.

I don't think there are terrible options if you're just looking to get an extra start in in a points league specifically. But if you're in a categories league and your guarding ratios, probably want to steer clear of them. Those are probably the main ones. Do you see anybody else that

is worth considering Frank? Luke Weaver had a good start today, bouncing back from a terrible one. One of his matchups is the Mariners. One is the Dodgers, though. He did perform pretty well against the Dodgers. As you mentioned, in Thursdays start,

five and a third two earned zero walks, which obviously is the key, and five strikeouts for Weaver. Yeah, I can't really figure out what's going on with him. It seems like his fastball and change-up are both actually playing a little better than they did last. year. But the results for the most part haven't been there. So, you know, kind of in the same

category, I guess, as Jordan Montgomery and Jayhap. It's not like they're super reliable either. I think that makes a lot of sense because I think there's a lot of volatility with all those names with the Yankee starters. Montgomery couldn't get out of the first inning the other day. Jayhap really did not look great against the Mets on Thursday either. Luke Weaver's been very inconsistent even after this solid start. His ERA stands at 7.44. Again, that is Luke Weaver. So they're risky.

You know, there's a lot of volatility between those names in a deeper points league maybe if you want some volume, but I can't imagine. I wouldn't want to do it. In a standard points league, 12 teams, five starting pitchers, I would not want to use any of Hap, Montgomery, or Luke Weaver.

Scott, I'm going to throw a few names out there, which according to the website, have two starts, and obviously that can change as things update a little bit here. But Tristan McKenzie looks like he might have a two-star week. Yep. Obviously, you should start him. He's going up against the Royals at the Twins.

Don't love that second start at the Twins. But one of them is against the Royals, and McKenzie has looked really good. So I think he's a must start. Another name wanted to get your thoughts on. Andrew Heaney, who was pretty good. He wasn't just pretty good. He was really good on Thursday against the Padres,

who entering that start were like first in baseball and Wobah, first in baseball and weighted runs, created plus. So the Padres have a great offense. Andrew Heaney shuts them down. Seven shutout innings with six strikeouts. He has allowed just one run with 16 strikeouts over his last two starts. Andrew Heaney, 77% rostered, so he might not be out there. One start at Texas, one start at Colorado.

Okay, so good news, bad news. The good news is I don't think he's going to make a start in Colorado. Bad news is I think he's only going to make one start. Honestly, that might make me. feel better. Just as a single-star stream, one start at Texas, Rangers lineup has not been great this season, and Andrew Heaney's pitching well. So I'm actually okay with it. Yeah, he basically looks like Andrew Heaney of last year now, which is, which means a lot of

miss bats. It also means a lot of vulnerability to the long ball, which would be you know, especially bad in a place like Colorado. But he has three pitches that get whiffs at a good rate, fastball change up curve, that's pretty much all he throws. You know, you have to expect the ERA is going to be on the high side, but the strikeouts may be worth it when the matchups are right. And I think he's usable. I don't think he's on the verge of becoming a stud or anything,

but he is usable. He is not a must start, but I really like the matchup against the Rangers. I'll throw a few more names your way, Scott. You tell me. Let me give you. one real quick. Yes. Because he also pitched today and he's his

rostered in close to 80% of leagues now, but still a questionable profile. That's Dylan cease. His start today was not great, Bob. It was against the Royals. He, three earned runs in five innings with two walks,

one strikeout. The walks have been high, the strikeouts have been low, and yet he has a 329 ERA. His ex-fip is like around six, I believe. Dylan Ceases is. But he keeps getting these matchups against week

AL Central, well, AL and NL Central foes. And that's the same this week. He's at Pittsburgh and versus Detroit in his two starts. So I really don't have faith in the profile Dylan Cease has brought forth so far this year.

Every week, though, you look at the matchup and it's like, it's going to be hard to take him out of your lineup. And that's The same is true for this week with the pirates and tigers on the schedule. Yeah, just fantastic starts. You're right, though. It's gross. It is gross for Dillon C's.

I'm looking at it. After today's start, he has a 3.29 ERA, a 5.84 X-FIP, 6.15K per 9, 4.39 walks per 9. That is bad. And he has a swinging strike rate below 10%. So, oh, I mean, eventually it's something, like, he's going to get blown up. Like there's going to be regression eventually for Dylan Cease. I don't know if it's going to happen this season, especially with those matchups,

but I can get behind it just based on the matchups that you brought up for Dylan Seas. A few other names, I'll throw you away. Chris Bassett, 68% rostered. He's at Houston and at Texas. So that's very questionable because we don't, the A's have been off for a long time, so we don't know exactly how the rotation's going to line up, so I'd wait and see on that.

Matthew Boyd, 65% rostered, has looked a little bit better recently mixing in that change-up, he is at home against the Brewers and at the White Sox. Brewers, pretty good matchup, White Sox, he's kind of been dinged around by so far this season. Okay, so I'm not sure he's actually in line

for two-starts either. I don't have him in my two-start rankings. That's why we do this. Maybe we should have conferred on this beforehand. No, no, no, that's why we do this, though. I mean, bring up the names and you tell me if it's actually a two-star week or not. But I do have him in my 10 sleeper pitchers for this week for his one matchup against the Brewers

who have actually been abysmal offensively this year. I mean, it doesn't help that both Yelich and Hura are underperforming expectations, but there's really no one in the lineup apart from them. So that's a great matchup for Matthew Boyd and his, you know, mixed in the change up very effectively, his past couple outings. The one thing I will say is the Brewers have been dreadful, righties this year they have a 283 Wobo which is 28th in baseball but against lefties they have a 341 Wobo which is ninth best so for what it's worth

the Brewers have been good against lefties but not good against righties I like your call on Gausman gauzman sorry I like Malley last name I'll ask you about Alec Mills against the Reds and at Milwaukee 51% rostered I do do think he's actually making two starts I just don't think he's good enough I actually think I know the Reds haven't scored many runs this year and so if we're just going to apply that standard

it's a good matchup but I still have faith in the Reds they have faith in themselves they weren't sellers at the deadline they just seem like the team that's underachieved the most this year and I would not consider them a good matchup especially for a really fringy pitcher like that

I agree. He was not great on Thursday. Four runs over five innings for Alec Mills, and his ERA is up to 5.50. So that is a no for me. I am not starting Alec Mills. All right, some Thursday standouts. Take it away, Susan.

Oh, my goodness gracious. I'm going to let you start here, Scott. As long as you promise not to take my player. I don't know who your player is. I'll give you a hint. We were talking about him before we started recording. Okay, I think I know your players. But I'm going to go with, I'm going to go with,

I'm going to go with Reese Hoskins because he homered for the sixth time in nine games. And numbers are looking pretty awesome. All of a sudden, he is striking out a lot less. He's got a near one-to-one strikeout the walk ratio. Of course, we always knew he walked a lot. and, you know, obviously his season-long numbers look really good now. Do the underlying numbers look good? Well, they look better than they did a week ago, which, you know,

even the expected stats are going to be susceptible to streaks. They just kind of confirm or deny the legitimacy of the streaks in a way. they look better than they did a week ago, but it's still like a 243 XBA. It is a 401X-Wobo with all those walks. So he's, you know, he's, okay, let me, I could say this. Reese Hoskins is looking a lot better than he did last year,

and my bust concerns heading into the season are pretty much relieved. As hot as he's been, I think he is probably overachieving a little. but I do think he's going to remain a must-start player for you if you're willing to ride out the streaks. And I think that is very well said, and I agree with you. And that comes from someone who actually liked Reese Hoskins coming into the year.

Got off to a slow start. The power wasn't there. He was walking a ton, and still is walking a ton, 18.7% walk rate, which we probably, I think we have the new Carlos Santana on our hands here for points leagues. He just is fantastic. but he has cut the strikeout rate about 5%, which has gone a long way for him.

But I don't think that he's going to keep his batting average up. His fly ball rate is still massive. His infield fly ball rate, or otherwise just known as pop-up rate, is 19%. That is dreadful. And that is a stat that I look at

because those are automatic outs. And his launch angle... It's always high for him. I mean, it's even more high. That's the thing. Like the thing about Reese Hoskins, and why I was really starting to worry about him is he puts the ball in the air a ton,

but doesn't hit it especially hard on average, in terms of average exit velocity. I'm sure the pop-ups contribute to bringing that down. So that's not going to change. We say we're pretty confident and his batting average is going to go down. It's at 269 right now. So it's not like he's hot,

and now he's hitting 340, you know? So he's going to be, it's going to be a suboptimal category for him, for sure. But I think I'm back at a point where the good outweighs the bad for Hoskins. And I was really starting to worry about that coming into the season.

I think he probably settles in around 250. I think that's fair. With everything we've said, his expected slug is still 522, which is a great number. So, again, we're talking about Reese Hoskins, but the launch angle, 26 degrees, the average launch angle, that is this, that's

really pulled up by all the pop-ups and just all the fly balls. I don't love that. I wanted him to get, you know, closer to drop it below 20, hit a few line drives, but ultimately, I think that your analysis on Reese Hoskins was correct, and I tend to agree. A player that I would like to talk about,

and I'm happy that you did not steal him. Luis Robert hit a 456-foot home run on Thursday, a three-run homer. Now, this is the 11th homer of the season. He is now batting 278, 28, 24-run scored, 27 RBI, four steals. He is the ninth best outfielder in Roto and entering tonight's game

he was averaging 3.3 fantasy points per game. So given his, you know, poor plate discipline, we'll call it, he's still averaging a good amount of fantasy points. So I thought that that was commendable. Statcast is off the charts for Luis Robert. 81st percentile in exit velocity, 86th in hard hit rate, 91st in X Woba,

97th percentile in X. slug, 97th percentile in sprint speed, fantastic athlete, 98th percentile in barrel rate. He is slugging 732, Luis Robert, slugging 732 on breaking pitches, which was maybe what we were scared most of entering the season. The hole in the swing, he's still striking out around 30 percent, but he is destroying breaking pitches. Scott, give me your analysis on Luis Robert to this point in the season, and, what do you think happens heading into next year?

Because I think we have a Fernando Tate's situation on our hands. I think Luis Robert is probably a second round pick. I don't think he falls below the third round, the latest. Look, I mean, Fernando Tattis, what he did last year, like he contributed a lot across the board. He hit 317, you know, and basically half a season's worth of games, 22 homers, 16 steals.

It was like a 40-30 pace. in addition to having a really high batting average. And we haven't seen that from Robert. We've seen a lot of power, a good profile for power, as you pointed out, from the statcast numbers, you know, what percentile he's in. It's to me a very Jorge Soler-like profile because, you know, there's a lot of strikeouts, too. And obviously, we don't think of Jorge Soler as being that high. And look, we're going to draft Robert ahead of Solair.

I think partly it depends on how much he runs from this point for it. He has four steals. I think the jury's still out on whether or not that's going to be a regular part of his game. But we know when I feel comfortable saying Luis Robert is a really good power hitter with some flaws in the plate discipline department. I'm not sure between him and Eloy Jimenez, who's really better. I mean, it's very similar there. Just maybe Robert's going to deliver steals.

So I wouldn't rank him as high as you have. I mean, even looking at the ninth so far among Roto Outfielders, you know, who's not in the top nine is Ronald DeCunia, Christian Yelich, Cody Ballinger, guys that I feel pretty confident. We're still going to rank ahead of Louise Robert going into next year. Yes. So I think he's probably top 15 for me among outfielders, verging on top 12.

depending on how things play out for guys like Charlie Blackman, you know, whether George Springer and J.D. Martinez come roaring back. Yeah, that's about where I have Robert for now. You know, he's off to a really good start to his major league career. But I'm not quite ready to anoint him a second round pick. I'm not saying that I would do it. I'm just saying I feel like that's going to happen.

Like, that's where the hype is going to kind of settle in on Luis Robert, similar to how it does. did with Tatis. And I don't know if he's, you know, obviously what Tatis has done this year has been remarkable. And I don't know that Luis Robert is going to be able to carry something like what he's done this season over into 2021. That remains to be seen. But I will say, his full season pace numbers now, not saying it would ever happen. 49 home runs and 18 steals. So I'll just throw it out there. I think the hype is going to be out of control next year. And he was one of my FOMO players, and I didn't wind up with a single share of Luis

Robert, and this is part of the reason why I had the fear of missing out, because I thought that this is potentially in the range of outcomes for Luis Robert. Some news and notes. The Angels placed infielder David Fletcher on the 10-day IEL retroactive to August 31st with a left ankle sprain, which stinks because he's been pretty damn good. The Padres activated Will Myers off the IL Thursday. This seems like it might have been some kind of contract tracing situation. Of course, they didn't reveal that information, but based on him being on the aisle for just two days, that's what I gather.

Cody Bellinger was back in the lineup for the Dodgers after dealing with a minor lat issue. Jose Altuve will undergo an MRI on his right knee after an awkward slide in Thursday's game. Pay attention to that. The A's have officially been cleared to return on Friday against the Padres. the Brewers have designated Justin Smoke for assignment and are adding Dan Vogelback to the roster. Royals outfielder,

Edward Olavaris, who came over in the Trevor Rosenthal trade, was recalled and in the lineup Thursday. I didn't, hmm, see if he did anything. I'm sure if he did, it probably would have stood out to me. Edward Olavaris went two for five with two runs. All right, I mean, you were kind of interested in him, right? and deeper leagues, deeper five outfieler leagues?

Yeah. Yeah, I mean, there's stolen base potential there, which is always interesting. Stolen base potential from a guy who's not completely without power. So if the playing time's there, you know, let's check that box. Now he has to perform. And still has a long way to go,

but a good first game with the Royals. Ian Hap was pulled from Thursday's game against the Pirates with an apparent right eye injury, he filed the ball off the ground, which came back up and smacked him in the face. Please be okay, Ian Hap, because you have been awesome. Some updates on the Yankees, aside from the fact that they stink. I mean that. Glaver Torres will be activated either Saturday or Sunday,

and truthfully, I wish that this was a joke, but we got an update on John Carlos Stanton. He is still, quote, a ways away with his hamstring injury. So, just an absolute mess for judgment. John Carlos Stanton. Alex Bregman, who is dealing with a hamstring injury of his own, did fielding work on Tuesday and took batting practice on Wednesday. He will travel with the Astros this weekend, where we could see him activated.

That's a man who knows how to come back from a hamstring injury, right? Yeah, I mean, he suffered that, what, two weeks ago? John Carlos Stanton was a month ago? Yeah. Yeah. Oh, you know what? John Carlos Stanton, there was that video of him hitting a tire with a sledgehammer in the office. season. Wasn't he shirtless? I think he was shirtless. I don't know. Yeah, that that raises ADP

about two rounds right there. Gosh, I will just say, like as a Yankee fan, it is, I don't know, I'm not going to rant about the Yankees, but it's like, I have, I've, I've had it with Steyn, and Judge is getting there too. I am just, I'm up to here, as Scott likes to say, you can't see it, but you can watch it on our YouTube channel. Seattle, Utility Man, Dylan worked out with the Mariners on Thursday and could be activated as soon as Friday or Saturday, according to manager Scott's service. Adam Eaton left Thursday's loss to the Phillies after jamming his right knee on first base. He is day to day.

I do want to quickly promote things a little bit earlier today in the podcast. We have some programming notes as well. Football is here. I get it, everybody. I'm excited. I got a few drafts this weekend. But don't forget about your friendly neighborhood fantasy baseball today. We're still here.

We're going five days a week. throughout September, we are talking everything that you need to help win a championship this season, but we're also going to start to take a look at next year, you know, as we just did with Luis Roberts. So, you know, if you're out of it, you know, you're looking towards the future, you're thinking about you play in a keeper or a dynasty league and you have questions, continue to send those in, but don't go anywhere. Continue to listen because we're going to start to work in some content regarding next season as well. And with that, I will tell you what we're going to do this weekend. On Sunday, we're going to

record two podcasts. One will be your normal weekend recap that will be published on Monday, like normal, on Labor Day. And then the second one that we will record will actually be a first round mock draft for the 2021 season. Scott and myself are going to talk things through, see what we think heading into next season as of now. And we will also do a mailbag on that second podcast. And that one will be released on Tuesday next week. So send some questions over the weekend fantasy Baseball at cbsi.com. Put FBT mailbag in the subject and we will try to get to as many as we possibly can on that second podcast that we're recording on Sunday, which will be published on Tuesday. All right, Scott, I took a look at San Francisco, wanted to see why is this offense up?

What is going on? There were changes in the off season. Dead center field was pulled in from 399 feet to 391 feet. Triples Alley was pulled in as well in Oracle Park from 421 feet in right center to 415 feet. According to ESPN's park factors, Oracle ranks 10th in runs this season and 14th in home runs. So I will put that in perspective again, 10th in runs, 14th in home runs. The past five years in park factors for runs, the Giants have been, Oracle Park, rather, has finished 29th, 14th, 26th, 13th, and 29th. The past five years in home run park factors in Oracle Park, entering this year.

29th, 28th, 29th, 29th, 29th. So there is a legitimate case to be made for this season. And I don't know that it's all just relying on them pulling the fences in a little bit because I do think a lot has to do with what they themselves have done. the players, what the coaches have helped them do to this point. I know that Farhan Zaidi is the president or general manager, whatever he is. Apologies to the Giants fans. And Gabe Kapler is their manager.

They're very analytically driven. So far this year, the Giants have the third highest hard hit rate as a team, fifth highest line drive rate, and they are 11th in fly ball rate. So this seems like an organizational philosophy. I think that the fences being pulled in helps them a little bit, but I think it's more so, you know, I would like to shed some light on what the players themselves have done and what the coaches have helped them do to this point.

Mike Ystromski has been awesome this year. He has an OPS over 1,000 at home last year. That was 7.59 in Oracle Park. So huge for a left-handed batter. Brandon Belt, an OPS of 1429 at home this season in San Francisco. For his career, that's 822. So some huge changes there to the team for Yostremski, for Brendan Belt, and I don't think that it is all just related to the fences being pulled in.

Any takeaways there, Scott? I don't think it's all related to the fences being pulled in either because, you know, right center going from 421 to, what was it, 415? I mean, that's still, that's still, there is no right center gap quite like that. it has been a crippling park for power hitters, especially left-handed power hitters. I want to say since the Giants,

since it's opened in 2000, only, yeah, okay, I'm verifying here. Since that park opened in 2000, taking Barry Bonds out of it, because obviously he was a freak of nature. But Jeff Kent and Rich Aurelia are the only other two players

to hit 30 home runs. for the Giants since that park opened in 2000. It's crazy. And obviously none will this year because it's really short, but it's been a very interesting month for all like the Giants are third and runs scored. The top three teams are all in the NL West, Dodgers, Padres, and Giants. It's unfamiliar territory for them. You gotta apply the sample size caveat as with

everything else that we analyze at this point in the season. And, you know, I do suspect that if we got a full six months, the home run park factor would lower back toward the bottom of the league. That's my suspicion. But, you know, it's, it's interesting. It's, it's, it's something, it's something worth keeping an eye on. And I appreciate the research you did looking into it. Well, thank you, Scott. But I will just add, I agree. Like, let's see what happens over the next month or so, this final month of the season, and see where things kind of settle in for San Francisco. But, you know, if things do kind of remain where they are at, I think that, you know, we have to factor that in a little bit more

into our draft prep for next year, whereas for the pitchers, maybe it's, you know, not this great pitchers park that we've come to know for Oracle. Or, you know, we don't have to downgrade their hitters as much as we normally would have. So just keep those things in mind, heading into next season. Let's see how the rest of this season

kind of finishes out. Email of the day from Ian. And maybe we should have included Kestin'Hirah in the stinko meter. I don't know. Let's talk it out. Is Heura a bust? Any hope for him to turn it around? I feel like he falls into the, quote,

guys that haven't really been discussed on the pod all season category, which, yeah, there are a few. few players because sometimes it's just, there's a lot going on, guys. Sorry. But for Heura, he is the eighth best second baseman in Roto. He's averaging 2.7 fantasy points per game, which is 16th at the second base position, 229 batting average. But nine homers, 20 runs, 21 RBI, three steals. What have you made of Kestin Heera's second season to this point? Yeah, when you strike out as much as he does, as he did as a rookie, 30.7% at the time.

That introduces a lot of volatility to the profile. I was hopeful that it would get better in his second year. And it hasn't. It's gotten worse, 33.8. So that hasn't helped things. The other thing that hasn't helped is like the idea was he could overcome that high strikeout rate like he did last year by hitting the ball so incredibly hard. and he's not hitting it as hard anymore.

It's kind of the argument I made against Tavier Baez in past seasons is it's just like the profile depends on you doing these kind of outlier type things that maybe you're fully capable of, but it's just difficult to sustain from year to year. Small sample caveat applies. I have lowered Kestin here in my rankings because it's been a discouraging start to a season

that's going to wrap up pretty quickly here. I feel like we should have a ding, like a bell, a small sample size caveat bell here on the show. But, you know, we have to take those things into account. I think Javier Baez is a great comp. I was a little bit more confident in here at entering the season because I didn't think the strikeout rate would be where it was at last season, and it's gone the wrong way.

It's gone up this year, 33.8% strikeout rate. Never really struck out all that much in the minors. so I thought it would be better, but the batting average is a problem. The swinging strike rate is massive, 21.9%. I mean, that's, on the top of my head, has to be among the league leaders. So I don't think he's been terrible

because he's giving you some counting stats, but ultimately, yeah, if he doesn't get that strikeout rate corrected, then this kind of might just be who Kesson-Hira is at this point. So what do you think, Scott? It sounds like you want to say something? Well, he's 23 years old. Right.

So that has to be mentioned too. Like this is not, from a dynasty context, value more or less holding, I think. Oh, yeah. Yeah. I don't want to just, I don't want to downplay what his upside can be, especially in a roto league.

So. Right. Think of rest of season. I'm not, I'm not super comfortable with him as my starting second basement. I don't know what alternatives you have if like Robbins and Kano is still out there. Although he was out of the lineup today,

for Todd Frazier. Todd Frazier is really throwing a wrench in the Mets equation there. Started two games in a row. Replaced Dominic Smith in one of them, replaced Robinson Canoe today and the other, and actually had a good game. Two doubles in a home run, Todd Frazier did. It's worth noting that there was a left-hander on the mound both days,

so maybe they're just going to find a way to get him in against lefties. It was encouraging that, Dominic Smith was back in the lineup for the second lefty, and it's not like they're going back to sitting him against lefties. But, yeah, Todd Frazier's going to get kind of annoying there. Some Thursday standouts, we have studs, duds, and somewhere in between, and oddly enough, I'm going to start with somewhere in between, because I wanted to talk about my Clevenger's debut.

I didn't think it was great or anything, but it's worth talking about. Six innings of two-run ball, only one walk, two strikeouts. Yuck, nine swinging strikes on 87 pitches, 40% slider usage today was a season high for Mike Clevenger. 96.1 mile per hour average fastball velocity was also a season high for Clevenger. What do you take away from this, Scott? It's kind of a mixed bag.

Yeah, it is, because the velocity being down from a year ago when that jump in velocity helped elevate his strikeout rate, it's notable. Like, what he averaged on his fastball in this, this debut for the Padres was even higher than he averaged last year. And yet it was a bad strikeout game for him, only two strikeouts. He's down to 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings this season. And he's had some control issues too.

So, you know, if you look at like expected stats for Clevenger, they're not looking so hot right now. I don't see a clear enough reason for concern, though, especially if, you know, his velocity might be trending back on. now. And look, with less velocity than he had last year, he was still great in 2018, too. So it's not, it's not like his profile is entirely dependent on velocity. But you like seeing it back there. And I don't know. I'm still hopeful for him. I still have him in my top 20 starting pitchers. Yeah, I still think he's going to be okay. But it has been a little underwhelming so far.

Yeah, I'm with you. I'm still hopeful. There's nothing in the underlying analytics that really kind of points to us, you know, having that hope. But I'm going to just go based on track record here with Mike Clevenger. Zach Rankie was on the mound for the Astros against the Rangers, quality start. Standard Zach Rankie, six-endings, three runs, nine strikeouts, 2.91 ERA. Don't really think there's much else to add there.

Don't look now. But five hits over his last two games for J.D. Martinez. So hopefully he's turning. things around. Taiwan Walker was at the Red Sox. He allowed two runs over five and two thirds with four strikeouts. He has now allowed three runs or less in five of his last six starts. Next week, he is going up against the Yankees in Buffalo. What do you think about that start? Yeah, I am, I am not sure. What do you think of it? I don't think that he is a must start. Again, this is Taiwan Walker. I think in a

standard points league with five starting pitchers, I don't think that you have to find a way to get him in your lineup. But I think in deeper leagues, for sure, I wouldn't mind it. I think in Roto, you know, if you're going with like five starting pitchers or six starting pitchers and you want to get an extra

start in there, I don't have a problem starting in there. I don't think he's a must start, but I don't have a problem with it. Full disclosure, I missed who you were talking about. So now I know, Taiwan Walker. The trickeroo from Scott White. Yeah, no, Yankees, I... Gosh, I wouldn't trust that matchup.

The Yankees aren't hitting. This isn't... This isn't like the Yankees lineup where you, Sue Scott. I understand, but I... I don't... I still believe it's a good lineup. I'm not trusting the fact that they haven't been scoring much recently. And I really don't trust the profile for Taiwan Walker,

because it's... He doesn't miss bats. He doesn't get ground balls. You know, maybe being a... fly ball pitcher works to an advantage in a place like Seattle. Well, he's not in Seattle anymore, is he? He's in Toronto, which is actually Buffalo, which is even worse than Toronto. It is.

And he's done well at limiting hard contact. I think the XERA is actually below four, and that's the one that takes into account quality of contact. But I'm still more of an ex-PIP guy. And that's not looking so great for Walker. So I think you're playing with fire, especially with that kind of matchup. The last name from the somewhere in between category of Thursday standouts.

I wanted to mention George Springer, who went two for four with two runs scored. But even with those two hits, he is batting just 206. It's been a very weird season for Springer. He's dealt with a lot of injuries. What do you make of Springer's season to this point, Scott? Well, yeah, like I was saying earlier,

he needs to get something going here before the season's end or he's going to probably drop quite a bit in the outfield rankings given his kind of hit or miss profile over the years and his age and he's on the wrong side of 30 now

you know some of the expected stats at least last time I looked at them look like you know look like they've looked for a lot of his career last year was obviously a career best season so they looked better but he's underachieving his expected stats which really don't look so bad but definitely don't look like they did last year so I'm I do think he's going to have a strong month of

September here but yeah I mean I couldn't really call him a must start in a three outfielder league right now. Yeah, I think 2019 might wind up being the career year for Springer. I mean, he only played 122 games, but 39 home runs. He was ridiculous. But he is severely underperforming his expected stats. He's batting 206 with a 392 slug. He has an XBA of 263 and an X slug of 475.

Which was those two numbers, they may not sound impressive, but they were very much, they're actually a little higher than they were in 2018. and similar to 2016 and 2015 too. So it's kind of a more typical George Springer, at least in terms of quality of contact and plate discipline than we saw last year. It just hasn't led to any results yet, so it makes it seem a lot worse.

Some studs from Thursday. Pete Alonzo, maybe not a stud. I might be stretching a little bit here, but a two-run walk-off home run. He has homeward in back-to-back days, so I could see Pete Alonzo coming around. Trey Turner, three more hits, including an inside-the-park home run,

his eighth home run of the season. Trey Turner has been fantastic, not stealing bases, but very high batting average, scoring a lot of runs, and hitting home runs this season. Tim Anderson, three more hits, including his seventh home run,

two-run scored, two RBI. He's betting 3.47. He has a 999 OPS, and that's even with an I-L stint. The only downside for Tim Anderson, he has a 59% ground ball rate. Don't love that. Clayton Kershaw, six innings, six shutout innings, only one hit, eight strikeouts.

The ERA is down to 1.50, 2.64 X-FIP, 2.92 Sierra for Kershaw. The names that I wanted to ask you about, Scott. Alec Bohm, three hits, your boy, batting 317 with an 867 OPS through his first 18 career games, just 10 strikeouts to seven walks, so I really like the plate discipline. the stat cast numbers look great for Bome and the Phillies play nine games next week. And then also Lordes Gorell who has eight hits over his last four games.

He has homered in back-to-back days. And he's a 25% line drive rate. So Lordeus Gouriel and Alec Bome, do you have anything you'd like to add on those two hitters? Bome is actually my top sleeper hitter for next week, at least as things stand now. And yeah, I mean, it's been going, it's been going as well as it could go for him.

The skill set translating immediately and very excited about what he's doing. Lord of Scurriel. Yeah, those numbers are starting to tick up there. That's encouraging. I was never a big Lordis Guerriel guy in the first place because he had over a pretty small sample of a baths last year, a crazy hot streak that really carried his entire stat line.

But maybe it speaks to a certain level of streakiness that is now now manifesting this year. So I can certainly see him becoming a worthy contributor and, you know, I can certainly see him heating up and mattering again, totally. Yeah, I mean, if he's about to go on one of those streaks, I want him in my lineup. It looks like he's about to get there because he's, uh, He's pretty hot right now. Again, that is Lordus Griel. I also wonder if Edwin Incarnacion,

who homered for the third time in seven games today, I wonder if he's starting to come around. The hits themselves have been few and far between. But in addition to having those home runs, the strikeouts are coming back down to closer to where we're used to seeing them for Incarnation. He has just one, two, three, four in his last seven games. after striking out a lot early on.

So, you know, they only have five, five games this week, the White Sox do, in a week where several teams have nine. So it's not like I'm recommending playing in Carnacion yet. I just think the, you know, if he's hot in those five games, then we probably haven't, we probably shouldn't completely dismiss him this year either. Yes, and a typical slow starter is Edwin and Carnacion. So obviously that hurt us a little bit more than usual in this short and season because the slow start is basically half the season. But I agree.

I think he's a name to pay attention to, but probably don't want to use him in a five-game week in this upcoming week. Some duds can we drop these players, Scott, you tell me. Victor Robles, he's betting 240, two homers, one steal, and the stat cast page looks like a beautiful summer sky. Blue. Everywhere. And it is terrible. even in a roto league, Scott, can you drop Victor Oblus?

I dropped them in a Categories league, a 16-team Categories league. Actually, I'm not sure I did drop them, but I almost did, and I would have been willing to. And, you know, that's only three outfielers,

but it's 16-team. So, yeah, I mean, we're basically there. If he's not even contributing steals for you, you obviously can't have him in your lineup. So, I got to drop him just to drop him,

but if he's the low guy under roster, I wouldn't be afraid to drop him. Chris Bryant went 0 for 5 with two strikeouts on Thursday. He is betting 178. Scott, is Chris Bryant done? He might be. I think it's too early to say. I actually put him on my do not drop list

that was just published on Wednesday. So I actually put him on there. Obviously, it's been a stilted season for him in and out of the lineup on the IL, off the IL. Really unfair to judge him at this point. But we had concerns coming into the year, too. So obviously he hasn't relieved them. It is tough. It is tough.

I agree. I'm probably overreacting, asking if he's done. But he's dealt with a lot of injuries, and that's been pretty consistent in his career. Again, that is Chris Bryant. So we'll see if he can finish up to season strong. But as of now, like how many the Cubs play seven games next week? All right, so you might still want to use him.

But honestly, if you have a better option, I don't think it's crazy to bench Chris Bryant right now. All right, we'll take a quick break when we come back. I have some bullpen notes I want to get to. And of course, we will look at some of the sleepers heading into week eight. We'll do that here. Fantasy baseball today. Some bullpen notes from Thursday.

Felix Pena had a clean save for the Angels. One, two, three, ninth with a strikeout. Butchery had worked the previous three games in a row, but he has not been good, Ty Butchery. Not good at all, no. He has allowed runs in four of his last six appearances. He has a 4.34 ERA and a 4.8K per 9. That is Ty Butchery. Felix Pena on the other hand, a sub 2 ERA, 1.96, and a sub 1-1 whip, 0.98. I think, I think Felix Pena is about to be the closer of the end.

Angels got, I think, I think this kind of, I think today did it. I don't know if that's an overreaction, but I think he's the closer now. He's really the only one who deserves to be. He has closer numbers. You know, he's been a starter mostly the past couple years, kind of a four-inning starter type for them and would have some really impressive outings with a great slider, but he's mainly a two-pitch pitcher. It probably translates better in relief, and the numbers are backing it up. So I think Felix Pena has definitely. in those leagues where everybody who gets saves gets scooped up definitely needs to be on that list.

And I just picked him up in our For the People League, which is a 16-te-to-head categories league. Curses, Frank. Which is a first-come, first-serve. So I was scrambling. I saw Felix Penae was on the mound. He's about to get saved. Oh, gosh, I got to run and pick up Felix Pagan.

That's the only league I have like that, where it's just completely open ad drops. Yeah. I thought this league is for the people. Like what people like a league where it's first come for a serve? Like nobody likes that. I'll tell you what the For the People League actually is. It's the aggravate Scott White League. He's coming set it up basically just to torment me with all the settings.

I've railed against. And so that's why you end up with completely open and not even, is there waivers? I think there is waivers. Like if you drop a guy, he's all waivers. a day or two. But for the most part, like anybody who's cleared waivers already, he's just free for the grabbing. Scott's reaction when he saw, I picked up Felix Pena. He is 3% rostered on CBS if you are desperate for saves.

All right, week eight preview. Some single start pitcher streams that I wanted to ask you about, Scott. Throw some names out your way and you tell me whether or not you would use these guys. Brad Keller versus the Pirates. Yes Tommy Malone Of your Atlanta Braves versus the Marlins

No Dakota Hudson versus the Tigers Yes Adam Wainwright versus the Tigers I think so I think I'll go

with Waino for that good matchup Yeah Wayno more like Wayne yes Griffin Canning at Texas You're proud of your

self. No, it was bad. Terrible. I'm not ready to trust. That's a good matchup. The Rangers lineup is pretty bad, but I'm not ready to trust Canning again after one pretty good start.

Michael Paneda versus the Tigers. Yep. Spencer Howard at Miami. I don't think so. The hitter schedule for week eight, teams with just five games are the White Sox, the Brewers, the Dodgers, and the Pirates,

Who are the must-starts? Among those themes, I have Jose Abraeu, Eloi Jimenez, Luis Robert, Yasmani Grandal, Christian Yelich, Cody Bellinger, Moogie Betz, and Corey Seeger, a few names that I was on the fence for, Scott. Tell me whether or not these are still must-start players in a five-game week. Yawan Moncata, yay or nay. I would say, I would call him less than must-star, but most people who have him probably have to start him. Kesten Hiera Same thing Max Muncie I'd be less likely to sit him

And I will just go out and say That you should bench Josh Bell Yeah Yeah so this is Where did you find You did you come up with your own Best and Worst matchups Frank Is you trying to

Did I don't know I don't know Did I? I don't know Where did you get these from Oh no I just I looked up the schedule and I figured out, I was trying to figure out

who was must-start, you know, like if I had any players on those teams, like what I, you know, should we still use Edwin and Carnaccio? No, I don't think so in a five-game week. Some teams with seven games, the Royals, the Cleveland Indians, the Astros, the Braves,

the Padres, the Giants, the Cubs, the Diamondbacks, and the Yankees, teams with eight games, the Tigers, the Rangers, the Cardinals, and teams with nine games, as we've mentioned, the Phillies, the A's, and the Marlins.

So with that, Scott, who are your sleeper hitters? Okay. So my sleeper hitters, I mentioned Alec Bome. He's number one on the list. The Cardinals are in line to face six, no, I'm sorry,

seven righties in their eight games. So I think you've got to go with the red hot Brad Miller for that, knowing he's going to be in the lineup as a left-handed hitter. Speaking of left-handed hitters, Mitch Morland.

The Padres have six Ritees in their seven games. So, you know, we'd heard he's probably going to play even more with San Diego than he did with Bosnia. But we know he's going to be in against the Riteies. And I actually have the Padres as having the third best matchups this week. So Mitch Morland, I think, is a good choice to play. Clint Frazier continues to play regularly for the Yankees. They have the fourth best matchups, so I like him. He's available in more than half of CBS leagues.

Hesuzag, I'm sorry, Austin Riley's been hot. I actually don't love the Braves matchups this week, but they do have seven games, and as hot as he's been, as available as he is. I think he's a fine sleeper. The Razak only have six games, but there's six games against a lot of really bad pitchers. Four of them are against the Red So, Willie Adamas,

who's been hot, I think you can continue to roll with him. I would like Jesus Aguilar I think he just returned yesterday to the lineup for the Marlins after missing a little bit of time and Garrett Cooper

who we've talked about he's been he's been playing he got back in the lineup recently and is off to a pretty good start they're one of the teams with nine games the Marlins are

and in fact they're my favorite no the Phillies are my favorite with nine games but the Marlins are my second favorite with nine games out of three. Those are my number one and two hitter matchups this week. Phillies and Marlins.

So, Aguilar, Cooper. I'm going to be watching them over this weekend. And, you know, if they stay hot, I think they're going to be good plays. They're widely available, both of them. I'll throw John Birdie in that mix, too. I think he's like sub-40% rostered. He's 30%, yeah. I gave him a look.

He's just not a very good hitter. But if you need steals, certainly, in a nine game week. I think he has eight steals. Yeah. Which is crazy. It's like second in baseball. It feels like he's barely played. Yeah.

Yep. Yeah. We'll leave it at that. I got to save some surprises for the column. That's right. Make sure you check that out at cbsports.com. You can find Scott's two-start pitcher rankings, his sleeper pitchers, and of course his slipper pitchers.

and, of course, his sleeper hitters over the weekend. I want to answer some questions quickly here. Let's see how many of these we can get to. Fantasy Baseball at CBSI.com. This one's from Brendan, Hi, Taylor, Tyler, and Trevor. Those are Rogers. Those are Rogers. I've been offered Louise Castillo and Christian Yellich

for Nelson Cruz and Mike Clevenger. I think I'm going to take it, but you've asked us the listeners to inquire before we accept, do I take it five-by-five categories league with no keepers? give up Cruz and Clevenger to get Castillo and Yelich. Wow, they've really listened to you saying that, Frank. I appreciate it.

We've got a few people reference that comment of yours. I would take it too. I would take it too. It's really testing process over production there, especially with Nelson Cruz, how great he's been and how not so great Yelich has been. But I think you've got to do it.

I think it's the correct process. I agree as well. This one's from Sam. I don't want to spend too much time on this, but let's talk about it. I feel like Scott's dismissal of Wainwright as a good fantasy option is incorrect. With as much as expected stats are used in today's game for fantasy purposes, his weren't even mentioned on the show. Among starting pitchers with at least 100 played appearances against,

Wayne Wright has the exact same ex-Woba as Garrett Cole, Sunny Gray, Max Scherzer, and Zach Granky. At 306, I don't think you will be dismissing any of them anytime soon. He may not get to strikeouts, The others do, but he has not been allowing as many hits or walks. So take that, Scott. Okay, I'll take it. I did mention earlier on today's show, so I guess I'll get into it now.

I still prefer X-FIP to X-E-R-A, even though X-E-R-A takes into account quality of contact. It's because I don't really trust quality of contact stats for pitchers. I think they're highly variable. I think even from one year. I think you need a big sample to really know whether there's any legitimacy to it. And it can even change drastically from one year to the next. It's just not a way. I feel like we have really good ways of evaluating pitchers already before Statcast even entered it into the equation.

I feel like we didn't have that with hitters. So Stackcast has helped a lot more with hitters than pitchers as far as I'm concerned. And I still think if you're looking at, at strikeouts, strikeouts, ground ball rate, which is tied

to home run rate. Like that's really where you're going to be that that, that's really the best way to evaluate pitchers still. And Wainwright does not miss many bats at this stage of his career.

And he's not that great of a ground ball pitcher either. So his ex-fip is 453. and I think that's pretty indicative of his skill level. Now, he does pitch deep into games, and in a year like this one, especially, where so many pitchers are getting pulled before the fifth inning,

I mean, he has some value, but I could only justify using him when the matchups are right. I will say that statcast for me when evaluating pitchers has been a little bit intimidating, if I'm just being completely honest, I still do use fan graphs a ton. And along with what Scott said, I do use K-per-9 and walks-per-9,

and ground ball rate and some of those ERA estimators on fan graphs. I also like to use swinging strike rate a ton. I like to use chase rate and first pitch strike percentage. Those are three stats that I really like to look at a lot when it comes to starting pitchers. This next one's from Frank. And it's not me, I swear. I'm in a 10-team head-to-head categories league, and Jake Cronomworth is still available, but I'm having a hard time figuring out who to drop for him.

My hitters are Yadir Malina, Freddie Freeman, Catelle Marthe, LeMayhew, Corey Seeger, Yelich, Luis Robert, Trent, Grisham, Anthony Santanderer, J.D. Davis, and Dom Smith. Would you drop any of those for Croninworth, Scott? Well, I can understand why you're having a hard time deciding who to drop for Crono Worth. I actually included all of these players, including Croninworth, in my do not drop list. So that's what happens. I guess when you play in a 10-team league. I think I would drop Dom Smith. No, no, no, no. I just saw it. I just saw it. I just saw it. I just saw it. I name. J.D. Davis. As much as I love

J.D. Davis. Any homered today. He had a multi-hit game yesterday. Maybe he's going to come around. But I only had him as do not drop for Roto leagues with the bigger lineups. So I think I could drop him for Croninworth even before I dropped

Dom Smith. This one from Brian in a dynasty keeper league. I was offered Carlos Correa, Andrew Vaughn, and Julio Rodriguez for Juan Soto. Thoughts. Correa, Vaughan and Julio Rodriguez for Juan Soto. I'm assuming you're keeping all of these players on equal terms, and I would not do that.

I always have a tough time evaluating very highly ranked prospects for a player who is already one of the most elite in the game, and I think more often than not, you should keep the more elite player, which is Juan Soto. Yeah, especially when he's so young. I mean, it's such a future. What, 22 years old?

Yeah. The thing that would change it is if Soto is very expensive to keep and those prospects are very cheap to keep, then I think you consider it. But you know, you didn't reveal that information, so I assume it's not a consideration.

This one's from Mark, a Dynasty Points League. I traded Trevor Bauer and Denelson Lamet and got back a hall of Davy Garcia, Mackenzie Gore, Gavin Lux, Brett Beatty, Tommy Edmund,

and a rookie draft second round pick. I'm not in contention to win the championship, but not at the bottom of the standings either. I think this is a Grand Slam Hall in a Dynasty League, grade the trade.

Again, not knowing the full context for which these players are going to be kept makes it... I don't understand the economy of your league as well as you do in all likelihood. So take that for what it's worth. I would call this like a C. It looks like basically an even trade.

I think... I think with the year Bauer's having and, you know, Lament looking like a must-start player at the most important position as well, I think they should demand a really good prospect return. You got two top five prospects for them, plus a couple pretty good prospects. I think that's appropriate. I agree.

I think it's about fair. This one, again, is these questions that are a little bit tougher to a value, I'm constantly answering questions in the inbox, but the ones that I find too tough, I usually bring to the show so that Scott can answer them. Just full transparency. That'll do it for today's show. Reminders, send in some questions over the weekend.

Put FBT mailbag, and we will answer those in our second podcast that we record on Sunday, which will be released on Tuesday next week. For Scott, I am Frank, thank you all for listening and watching Fantasy Baseball today. Have a fantastic weekend, and we will talk to you again

at some point. It's really hard. I'll figure it out. Bye-bye.