Green Light with Chris Long - 49ers Are A Great Bet, Patriots Moneyline & Bucs-Dolphins Over | Backdoor Cover With Stanford Steve
Episode Date: December 26, 2025Chris, Macon and Stanford Steve pick their best bets from the NFL's Week 17 slate. Plenty to choose from, big and tight lines both. The fellas love the 49ers to cover against the Chicago Bears in a ba...ttle that could determine the NFC's #1 seed. The Packers to win, the Bills team total and the Patriots to cover are all picks the fellas liked. As well as Cameron Dicker over 1.5 field goals - you already know. Chris: Packers -4, Bills team total over 22.5, Seahawks -7, Bucs-Dolphins over 45.5, 49ers -2.5 Steve: Eagles +1.5, Bengals-Cardinals over 52.5, Giants -.5, Steelers team total over 18.5, Shedeur Sanders Passing Yards under 185.5 Macon: Browns +3.5, Patriots -13.5, Chargers-Texans over 39.5, Cameron Dicker over 1.5 field goals made, Saints -2.5 HELLO, Locals! Green Light is hosted by Chris Long and is joined weekly by Beau Allen, Nate 'Dr. Fax' Collins, Macon Gunter, Stanford Steve + many more athletes and celebrity guests. Subscribe to get in-depth analysis, instant reactions and team highlights | Presented by BetMGM Have some interesting takes, some codebreaks or just want to talk to the Green Light Crew? We want to hear from you. Call into the Green Light Hotline and give us your hottest takes, your biggest gripes and general thoughts. Day and night, this hotline is open. Green Light Hotline: (202) 991-0723 Listen to the Full Episode and check out all our content: https://greenlightpodcast.org/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Give me San Francisco.
Yeah, it's just sitting right there, isn't it?
Yeah.
That's a nice pick, Chris.
It's a nice pick.
Give me the Cleveland Browns at home, plus three against Pittsburgh.
Those are Chris's Browns.
Oh, what a zag.
Come on, man.
Come on, man.
And I have to have some scratch in the game of the year.
Giants, Raiders.
Give me the GM.
That's the right side.
They always screw it up.
White Steve.
What's up, boys?
How are we doing?
uh we're doing man yeah we're doing are you rested and lively after the holiday no quite the opposite
christmas really takes it out of uh you i think i need somebody i need like the ghost of christmas
pass to snatch me up or something or have some wonderful uh it's a wonderful life shit happen
yeah it's a bad combination of the late nights running together up against the early mornings
yeah you can't catch up followed by a weekend
well all the kids are home which you know sends everybody into a tizzy and loud so loud and then when you go over to somebody's house for Christmas like it's the it's the the compulsive need to stay as late as possible like that's my biggest pet peeve over the holidays.
Am I the only one that wants to go home?
No.
No.
It's a fine line though
Like leaving too early
Staying too late I think
8 o'clock let's go
Oh okay
Got kids
Well football games are good for that
We uh yeah
We hosted some people
fellas
We had a mostly working kitchen
And that sort of thing
There we go
And uh yeah
Once Jared golf got done
Turning it over for the
55th time last night
People just sort of naturally
filed out
good that was unbelievable
kept happening
there was one way they were going to win that game
and it happened
yeah
rosemary through for what like 25 yards
uh i think he got to 52 i'm not sure
dude i jumped on detroit
oh they lost last week
i know jj's not playing i called this immediately didn't i
cowboy we saw jj's hand and i said hey
it's either broken it was a
problem. So he's not going to play. So I get Detroit at like minus five feeling like a real sharp.
I think I didn't take into account is that they're a total fucking shell of themselves.
Yeah. Josh Jumel got the place rocking. Oh, he did. I thought about Ryan. Yeah. I'm surprised
Ryan didn't make the trip. Their boys. Their boys. Yeah, I'm sure Ryan will call me later and tell me all
about it and then hang up when I start to tell him anything.
All right. Holiday.
season. He's recouping from a big NBA day. He is. He is. But they're all mad. Rize all mad.
They're saying it out loud now. You know, it used to be...
Charles said Roger Goodell and those NFL pigs. That's what he called them.
Yeah, we're pigs. We don't get any guaranteed money. The NBA action was better than the NFL
for the second straight year, just saying. It is true. He wasn't calling the players pigs. He was calling the,
you know the yeah but he's right yes but but hey we're it's it's not even comparable those three
games were terrible actually ended up being decent games but like you could you trot out six teams that
aren't making the fucking well one sorry read but one five five teams that aren't making the playoffs
and one that's acting like you did you see the player prop for the first time starters
Um, no.
There was a prop for Brosmer, Josh Johnson, and, uh, Ola Dukin to combine to throw for 10 touchdown passes.
And it was plus 10,000, I think.
Oh, my God.
And at the start of the Broncos game, the guy retweeted and he was like, so we're going to need
Ola Dukin to throw 10 touchdown passes in this game.
It was great.
He's definitely an outside chance.
Yeah.
You know what I do?
The one, the couple real things that came out of those games were like, to me,
Denver now a couple times has been made to look really human.
I mean, all year long winning close games, and that's all one good when you win in 10 straight,
but now that you're like, you lost last week and this week, I mean, that's a little close for comfort
against the team that are at half their stars.
Yeah.
And I know it's Arrowhead and it's Travis Kelsey's last game,
but the way that they force you to work the ball down the field
to the tune of 20 total points in that game,
you know,
that's what makes them a little bit beatable in the playoffs.
I mean,
obviously every team in the AFC is beatable,
but I don't know if it's like kind of a blueprint now
where you say,
hey,
you can really make them earn it.
You know,
and they just,
if you make them convert five third downs a drive,
like they're not that good on third down.
Eventually they're going to have to kick field goals or punt.
And I still don't think he knew what he was doing on the touchdown run.
He was going to run right into his center's ass.
He had no idea what was going on.
Yeah.
And he saw a crease and he got the touchdown out of it.
That was weird.
And Brad Holmes has to draft his ass off this off season.
Yeah.
Because this isn't something that.
And, you know, I said this coming to the game,
I said, Jared Goff, as much as everybody would like to have a Jared golf, a lot of teams would.
you know, if he's under siege, he's not the same quarterback.
If he has to move off the spot, he's not the same quarterback.
If he doesn't have that run game, he's not the same quarterback.
So you can kind of see that house of cards a little bit getting exposed.
They really do have to nail that interior offensive line down.
And they have to get a real play caller.
I hate to say that.
Yeah, and kind of a fantastic head coach.
Totally agree.
I love him being in the room offensively.
I mean, I'm not discounting the effect he has on their offense.
in a positive way when they got a full deck.
But, like, you can see they didn't get that hire right.
And, you know, Dan had to put a Band-Aid on it.
And what are they, three and five since that happened?
So, Tony Elliott, they should hire.
Play Col.
You're trying to take our coach?
I'm just trying to see how the college coach Domino's continue to falter.
It's amazing.
Gator Bowl. Cater Bowl.
Kyle Whittingham.
Wittingham, Michigan.
Emerging.
Emerging like, Jim.
Jesus on Ash Wednesday or whatever.
Yeah.
I've never seen a guy emerge so much.
Just all last night and this morning, just emerging.
Careful.
Winningham?
All over my mobile.
Yeah.
Yeah.
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A new leader in the standings?
Cowboy, you want to talk about emerging?
Yeah.
Passing his ass.
I have a question.
Oh, I have an objection.
Let's revisit the rules.
I'm speaking on behalf of Steve.
So I guess we're just,
it's just a win percentage, huh?
Steve gets no credit for having fewer losses.
I thought it was all.
All right, I'm just asking questions.
Mr. Mr. from the bitch-ass tie lobby.
All right.
On seat span here, fucking cross-examining my producer.
All right, I have another question.
Does this particular exercise end at the end of week 18?
Yes.
Whatever we've done in the past.
We've gone into the playoffs in the past.
Oh.
I don't care either way.
I don't either.
I don't care. How deep have we gone.
We've gone conference round, which makes a little difficult.
Holy smokes.
Yeah.
Okay.
Well, if I'm picking five, we might have to go down a little bit in the conference round.
And I'm not saying that because I'm tied for the lead.
Well, the divisional same amount of games is Wildcard, right?
Yes.
Yeah.
So if we did, like maybe we go to three.
Three in the conference.
Three in the conference.
I'll throw that out there.
So that's nine picks in conference championship weekend?
Oh, yeah.
It's over two games.
Time to get weird.
Four sides.
Fucking idiotic.
Two totals.
Come on, leader.
Whatever you guys want.
Come all leader.
Whatever you guys want.
Seriously, the last thing I'm going to do is getting the way, you guys.
God forbid, you don't win and you finish the year complaining about something I said to do.
I'm not saying do a goddamn thing.
You have an innate ability not to tie.
Whatever you guys want.
Well, I just don't like tying.
It's not on the menu for me.
This is America.
You guys are like,
you guys like ties.
I love ties.
I'll eat crapes.
Steve kicking us off this week,
and the totals are Chris at 45, 35,
Steve at 45, 33, and 2,
and making it 44, 33, and 3.
I had some bad total luck in Atlanta.
Indeed.
Sorry about that.
That was bad.
Sorry about that one.
Thanks.
All right.
Steve,
kicking us off,
week 17,
first pick.
Eagles.
Steve,
I got it,
I got a bolded and
underlined right here,
Eagles.
I'm not sure to pick Calbs.
I'll be honest with you.
Give me,
read,
the Cleveland Browns at home.
plus three against Pittsburgh.
Those are Chris's bronze.
Oh, what a zag.
Come on, man.
Come on, man.
I'm just here picking NFL games,
trying to do my best, all right?
They're two sides to a game,
and I picked one of them.
Zag.
I'll show you a Zag.
Chris gets two.
Chris gets two.
Oh, cool.
Yeah, let me zag on that.
Let me, uh, fuck it.
Let me take Green Bay.
what's that number at?
Packers minus four.
Yeah, let me take Green Bay.
Like it.
And let me take
Buffalo's over team total.
22 and a half.
All that wind.
It doesn't matter.
They run the ball.
I'm kidding.
I don't know what the weather is.
I don't see what you're going to do.
I'm like, fuck, panicking.
I should have checked NFL weather.
Give me the New England Patriots
to do what.
God's team could not blow out a bad team as presently constructed.
I have two games here.
One of them has the potential to be the game of the year.
And I'm just going to say it's going to be mayhem.
And that's the over in Cincinnati, Arizona.
And I have to have some scratch in the game of the year, Giants, Raiders.
give me the G-Men.
That's the right side.
They always screw it up.
Those two years ago against the commanders?
Every year, but yes.
Hey, Calbs.
Hey, Calibs.
Cowboy.
Yo.
Let's go to L.A., all right?
Okay.
And let's take the over in Texans Chargers.
You got it.
39.5.
Whoa.
Thank you.
Interesting.
Bang.
Do it, Chris.
Picture this 24-20 in the third quarter.
Okay, I'll take Seattle, laying the points.
A whole seven, right?
Yeah.
And I will take the over down in, what is it, Miami?
that games in Miami
Welcome to Miami
Quinn yours with a week
They were sabotaging him last week
You barely had time
Calbs
Make it
Um
Give me Cameron Dicker
Over a field goal and a half
Can somebody do a breakdown
Of what he would be
Without field goals
He's
He's hit five
I think you've done five right
Yeah
Yeah, I think five for five.
Jesus.
Wow.
I'm going to go Steelers over 18 and a half points.
What do you have for Shador yards?
185 and a half.
Yeah, burned on that last week, Steve.
Yeah, Genos with the Genty house call.
I'll go under.
I don't like it.
I'll take the Saints.
We might have a guy at QB.
Yeah.
Feels like I'm getting the old trick-dict.
Minus two and a half.
Whoa, whoa.
Give me San Francisco.
I totally forgot.
Yeah, it's just sitting right there, isn't it?
Yeah.
That's a nice pick, Chris.
It was a nice pick.
Thank you.
All right, have points, boys.
Cleveland, please.
To Tree Fitty.
I'll just do it on the Giants
because they might win three, two.
And apparently pushes don't matter.
It's all he wins.
Only dubs.
Got to make that money.
gotta make that money man that money man
all right so four
is uh is my green bay line four
and three is the san francisco line
give me
yeah give me san francisco
down to two and a half por favor
love it
chris is going five and out he's in his stride
he's in the stride
reverse psychology is so fucking sick
You just let us have fun for 15 weeks, and then you just lurking behind, hanging around,
and then he just puts the foot on the gas.
Chris goes Packers minus four, bills over team total at 22 and a half, Seahawks minus
seven, Tampa Bay, Miami over at 45 and a half, Niners minus two and a half.
Macon has Cleveland plus three and a half.
The Patriots minus 13 and a half.
Chargers, Houston, over 39 and a half.
Cameron Dicker over one and a half field goals made
and the Saints minus two and a half.
Steve's got the Eagles plus one and a half.
Cincinnati, Arizona, over 52 and a half.
Giants minus a half point.
Pittsburgh over team total 18 and a half
and Shador Sanders under passing yards,
185.
Dynamite.
Dynamite card, dynamite board.
Hey guys.
Yeah.
We already have Steve.
Makin, what do you think about Minnesota today?
Today?
Mm-hmm.
Don't even know who they play, huh?
Minnesota?
Yeah, Minnesota.
Chris, the uniforms are going to blow your mind.
Am I a time warp here?
They probably have a stupid big-toothed gopher on the side of the helmet, huh?
Yeah, but at least it's yellow with the yellow pads in the maroon jersey.
And then New Mexico is wearing the turquoise jerseys that are mint.
Wow.
Oh, hmm.
You're going to love it.
Goal to gofers.
Gophers are the play.
The Winter Warrior?
Yeah.
You like the gophers today, make?
I don't know.
The Lobos, first to report here,
Lobos will be without Coach Bronco, Mendenhall,
and the quarterback, Devin Dampeer,
as they both left the school after last season.
But 9 and 3, that's an impressive,
it's an impressive little season.
Bronco already coached this bowl game this year for Utah State.
Damn, I forgot what I'm asking is if I need to bet against my old buddy Bronco.
Well, his old team too.
He's moved on.
Yeah, where's he at Utah State?
You got it.
And the Lobos beat Utah State by 19 this year.
Steve, you're telling us to take Minnesota.
Is that what you tell us?
Roll the boat.
Right.
Okay.
Well, yeah.
Fuck yeah.
Because I don't know how Bronco ended up moving on.
from New Mexico
but
I'm mad at them about that
should have paid them more
that's right
row the boat
I got to root for PJ Fleck at 430
fuck
you know what I think I'm going to do
I'm going to throw a big old
Minnesota Green Bay
parlay
a little holiday parley
but you know the Lobos
they're in their home
like territory
they're in their area
yeah
I haven't seen a snap for anyone.
I don't like it, Chris.
I think you're playing with fire.
Okay.
Probably just end up teasing them with two other favorites.
There we go.
There we go.
Makin, how would you assess the first 12 minutes of the Maryland-Virginia basketball game?
What was it, 7-5?
Those who say it was a return to Bennett Ball.
Steve, never watched Bennett Ball.
Bennett Ball was beautiful.
It was efficient.
That was not.
But hey, we have a lot of possessions now, a lot of variants, okay?
So we can play seven, five ball games for 12 minutes and still get to 80 points and beat up on Maryland.
Just a disgusting school, disgusting fans.
I was in the middle of a, I was watching a fight happen, the dumbest fight I've ever seen.
You clapped in my, you clapped towards me.
You clapped towards me.
That's what one of the Maryland people said.
Yeah.
Did they have a flag?
That's what Scott's like.
Yes.
The lining of his hood on his sweatshirt was the flag.
Can't clap towards these Maryland guys.
Uh-huh.
Nope.
But hey, they got the last laugh.
Chikari White broke his wrist on the dunk.
Really?
On the rim?
No.
His offhand bracing himself.
That's brutal.
Already has surgery.
You'll only be two weeks.
Two weeks and a brace.
All right.
Yeah, be all right.
Offhand.
He's good.
Offhand.
Yep.
All right.
All right.
Happy hunting, boys.
Take care.
