Green Light with Chris Long - Divisional Round Best Bets! Commanders, Chiefs To Cover & Rams First Half!
Episode Date: January 18, 2025Chris Long, Stanford Steve and Macon give out their best bets for the NFL's Divisional Weekend! Chris rides with the Bills and Commanders Steve loves a few Commanders bets and Macon is all over the Ch...iefs. Enjoy these plays and happy hunting! (00:00) - Intro (4:30) - Divisional Round Best Bets (16:25) - CFB National Championship Want your Green Light Merch so you can look exactly like Chris and the fellas? Hit the website below and get kitted! https://stores.kotisdesign.com/yotehouse/products Have some interesting takes, some codebreaks or just want to talk to the Green Light Crew? We want to hear from you. Call into the Green Light Hotline and give us your hottest takes, your biggest gripes and general thoughts. Day and night, this hotline is open. Green Light Hotline: (202) 991-0723 Send any Talent Search submissions to: social@chalkmedia.com Include any video of your talents, takes and bits as well as a little bit about yourself. Love hearing from the Green Light fans. Also, check out our paddling partners at Appomattox River Company to get your canoes, kayaks and paddleboards so you're set to hit the river this summer. https://paddleva.com/ Green Light Spotify Music: https://open.spotify.com/user/951jyryv2nu6l4iqz9p81him9?si=17c560d10ff04a9b Spotify Layup Line: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/1olmCMKGMEyWwOKaT1Aah3?si=675d445ddb824c42 Green Light Tube YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgxWFAA-wuB7osdiAJyLOcw Green Light with Chris Long: Subscribe and enjoy weekly content including podcasts, documentaries, live chats, celebrity interviews and more including hot news items, trending discussions from the NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, NCAA are just a small part of what we will be sharing with you. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
I'll take the under in Kansas City, 42.
I have down here written Kansas City 34, Houston 6, which would be an under.
That'd be fine.
41 and a half.
Well, for now.
All right.
Chris is up.
Oh, I'm up again?
That number is 41.5.
No, I know.
That's what they said.
Okay, sorry.
And then I will take the commanders over 23 and a half points.
I will take the commanders plus nine and a half for the game.
We're on the commanders, huh?
Steve.
Hell yeah.
Hell yeah.
I like all the dogs.
Oh, never mind.
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Welcome to the Greenlight podcast.
Stanford Steve and the best bets of the divisional round on a Saturday.
Divisional round football, Chris Macon and Stanford Steve run through their favorite bets of the weekend.
Give out some plays.
Tail them, fade them.
You know what to do.
Enjoy the episode, a good bit of fun.
And we'll see you on Monday for our divisional recap.
Steve.
Hey, Steve.
How the mighty have fallen.
What do you mean?
I'm fucking only three games up on you.
No, that's just one week.
That's not for the season.
one and four, dude.
Yeah, you did.
I'm 56.
That's what you got for storming off on the pot.
You're 53 and 40.
I'd do it again if I could.
And then Macon's 46 and 45.
So we all got something to play for this week.
Steve, you're right there, pal.
I know. Damn. It's a little scary.
Would I go four and one?
No, you went three and two.
But you're right there. But you could argue
one of your picks as you do
weekly. No, that's Macon.
No, no. I started
going against Steve too early
in this season
because I don't
I didn't I haven't believed in the ones
where I've gone you knew the right pick you just didn't
yeah and it was Steve's
yeah so the rules this week
or we can pick whatever the fuck we want it sounds like
yeah whatever including first half lines
and total this is yeah this is fun
Broncos first half last week
thank God oh you hit you hit that
geez
uh who's first
I think Megan's first
oh shit
again no problem uh okay you want me to go ahead all right yep okay i'm looking at a few of these i mean
fuck come on hmm hmm hmm it's the first pick too we could have that one loaded up in the hopper
I did last week.
It was that Chiefs Texans
Hunter that didn't work out.
I know
I know if you think about it a while
you'd pick the other side of this one, okay?
I'm not going to think about it too long.
I'll take the Kansas City Chiefs at home
laying eight and a half points.
Okay.
Thank you.
Steve, you got the next point.
Holy shit.
Commander's first half plus six and a half.
Okay.
I'll take the under in Kansas City.
42.
I have down here written Kansas City 34, Houston 6, which would be an under.
That would be fine.
41 and a half.
Well, for now.
All right.
Chris is up.
Oh, I'm up again?
That number is 41.5.
No, I know.
That's what they said.
Okay, sorry.
And then I will take the commanders over 23.5 points.
I will take the commanders plus 9.5 for the game.
we're on the commanders, huh?
Steve?
Hell yeah.
Hell yeah.
I like all the dogs.
Oh, never mind.
Okay.
Okay.
All right.
You're saying I'm up.
You've got two picks.
Two picks.
Two picks.
Buffalo bills over 25 and a half points.
Whoa.
That game's in Buffalo.
It's going to be nine.
Okay.
Houston Texans under 16.
and a half points.
That'll be played in Kansas City.
Rams plus six and a half.
I like it. I hate to say it, but I like it.
I'm completely biased after being there for that game
last week. They look so good.
It's six though, Steve.
What?
Sorry, Steve. Story of your life.
So sorry, Steve.
You're right.
It was a dick joke.
I have no knowledge.
I hear Matt's chuckle.
All right.
You got to measure to the pubic bone.
Okay.
Who's up next?
Oh, me?
I will take the...
Hmm.
I'm taking the Buffalo Bills, man.
I'm taking the Buffalo Bills.
Good pick.
It's a right pick.
Oh, it's me again.
I will take the Rams first half.
Oh, you getting the hook there?
Yeah, I'm getting the hook.
Nice.
No half points on first halfs, right?
I'm making an executive decision right now.
Yes.
Don't know that I'm going to buy in the first half, but that's good to know.
You should get a quarter point.
That would make no difference, Steve.
Exactly. Therefore, no.
I'll take the Ravens.
Oh, man, head to head, huh?
Hey, Macon.
Yeah.
Do you think you're going to be home watching that game?
Yeah.
Do you have two TVs?
Yeah.
Do you want to be one of one in all of the world?
Yeah.
Put on ESPN at 8 o'clock and watch a show that not one human is watching.
that we're doing previewing the Super Bowl or previewing the national championship.
No way.
Be the one person.
Are you taping that, right?
I don't think so.
Yo, I would murder Scott and his sleep.
No, no, no, no.
This is college football.
This is the best.
It's probably one of my favorite shows of the year because I'm with Boog, McElroy, Galloway,
Nagu Kna Gondi.
That's a good group.
We're going to have it's an awesome.
You know, being on the road with Gamedale, I don't get to work with those guys.
We talk all season, but it's like super fun, but not one human is watching that show up against Bill's rails.
Do you well on this show?
Who?
Bougar.
Oh, absolutely.
I think we're going to have a bugger on this all.
You got to have them on.
You guys could get in the weeds, man.
Yeah.
I like Boog.
Get in the weeds.
I like Boog.
He's the best.
All right.
Commanders under 23 and a half.
Wow.
Giants fan.
You bitch you.
I got a hot take for your Giants.
Okay.
You want it?
Yeah.
Justin Fields with Dable.
Sure.
I love it.
You don't like it.
Abdul Carter at three.
I worry about his size.
I can't wait for Chris to break him down.
He's not large.
The Penn State guy?
Yeah.
Yeah.
You know, it's funny.
I saw him standing next to Michael Parsons.
I thought he looks pretty big,
but that's the effect of cleats and a helmet.
And Mike is not that big.
So no.
We had Mike on inside the NFL this week.
He was great.
Was he?
He's our,
yeah.
I think he loves talking ball.
Some people don't like it because he's playing.
They think he shouldn't be talking ball,
but he's going to be because he really loves the game, dude.
You can tell the way he was talking about the national championship.
It was like he was breaking the game down.
He watches this shit.
All right.
Is it making?
I love ball watchers.
Love ball watchers, bro.
Love ball watchers.
Lions.
Detroit Lions, minus 9.5.
Right in my face.
Jeez, now I got to like, excuse me if I take a second when I get to.
No, because I don't know what's on the point.
It's not.
Last one.
I'll go Rams Eagles under.
Hmm.
What's that number?
44.
It moved to 43 and a half right before.
Oh, what a shocker.
What a shocker.
Oh, Steve.
That means you're on the right side, eh, Steve?
A?
Give me the Bills Ravens under.
Like it.
51 and a half.
That's right.
It's a lot of points.
You know, hey, Steve, how do you feel about that game?
Like, not talking.
I've gone back and forth.
Obviously, you took the Ravens.
You feel good, but every day.
I early, you know, I was really impressed with Josh against the Broncos.
Because I thought he was super disciplined early on.
Like he didn't get out of the runs.
They ran it down their throat.
And, you know, you go down seven, nothing like that.
And I get it.
There's a lot of game left.
But I just thought he was super buttoned up.
And that's the way they have to win.
He can't be careless.
Possessions are enormous in this game against the Ravens.
But they look, they look buttoned up.
And, you know, Scott and I were talking this week about the Bill's D against the Ravens
and how bad they got swallowed last time they played.
I'm a guy that he gets talked about a lot,
but like, did you see Milano chase down Bo Nix on that one scramble?
Yes.
Like that guy, like, you know, if you're going to, you know,
everybody wants to spy, right?
Have a spy.
You got to have a spy that can actually get the guy on the ground.
Yeah.
And the way they have guys that could change it up and do that.
So I'm more confident in the bills than I've been in years past.
But, you know, nose flowers.
I thought it was awesome.
That thing scares me for both.
Yeah.
I did think it was awesome.
Not as awesome as Chris Berman's Brown windbreaker on hard knocks,
but the idea that hardball was going to practice inside,
and Lamar was like, no, we got to go outside.
We got to catch the ball outside.
We got to have the ball on our hands outside.
I got to throw outside.
So that felt like a different approach and makes me feel better about the Raven.
So it's the game of the year to me.
This is the most bad.
I have the score of the game of the decade.
Of all the games written down here.
You ready?
Yeah.
Chiefs 34, Texas.
Six.
Lions 31, commanders 20.
Eagles 19, Ram 17.
Bill's 28, Ravens 23.
There you go.
It's good to put those out there.
Makin, did you finish Landman?
No.
I had to bail on that.
Terrible.
How about the agency?
I just started the agency
I know you did
now that looks like a show
Severin's coming I watched it they put it out early
did they yes every episode yeah
oh okay that's what I'll watch tonight with my wife
they're doing it every week it's good okay
well it was great last yeah that's fucking season
yeah
catch me up on the plot
people get brainwashed before they go into work
and then they don't know why they're there
but suddenly the guys oh I don't want spoiler
right yeah separate lives at work at home
you can't
cross the wires
where you want you have points
Lamar's being really intense about this
preparation oh dude he is in
go mode which is scary
he had fucking
scary that he might
wee down his leg
I don't know about that
all right
um
making so you're saying yes on first half
yes anywhere you want
I'll take commanders plus seven
now it's all about wins here yeah
uh huh
Well, I can only get to a push.
I'm on all, I'll, uh, I'll go.
Jeez, I should have picked differently.
Yeah.
Take a little longer, making.
Chris can speak, you know?
The only logical thing for me is to go bills plus one and a half.
Absolutely.
Yeah, that's what I'm going to do.
I'm either going Chiefs down to eight or commies under 24.
Why are you shaking your head?
Because it's obvious to move Texans to 17.
It's an important number.
So it was fucking 24.
But it's larger, so it's less likely.
Just trying to help you.
I got the Texas score in six points.
You're petulant.
I'm not petulant.
He's petulant.
You're petulant.
You make a good point.
I disagree with it.
But I'll consider it, you know,
because it's important to take a bunch of points of view and shit and, you know.
Here are all the sides.
Yeah, all the sides.
Commanders of 24.
Fuck you.
Thanks, under 24.
What's up Greenlight fans?
It's your boy, Dr. Fax, and I want to talk to you about Airbnb.
Me and the Greenlight crew a few years ago, we stayed at Airbnb for the Super Bowl in Arizona,
and it was absolutely immaculate.
It had a huge cactus in the backyard, had a pool, had enough room for everybody,
way better than a hotel.
And then recently, just purchased a house with my girl, and we found out that we can be host.
and your house might be worth more than you think,
and you can find out at Airbnb.com slash host.
Hey, Steve.
Yeah?
How does the old Chiefs Money Line,
Ohio State Buckeyes, Money Line get screwed up?
Who screws that up?
Ohio State loses.
Wow.
You're just saying that because you love Notre Dame.
I think the Texans are going to hang in there.
I think Texans are going to hang in there, too.
I'm afraid to give them out.
Yeah, same way.
I love their defensive personnel.
Yeah.
I really do.
That's what could make the game interesting.
You talk about a Russian four and, you know.
And the familiarity.
They just went there, what, three weeks ago?
They just went there, but so was Andy Reid familiar with them.
The only thing I would say is like, if you're the Texans, you come out of that game and say, hey, we fucked a lot of shit up.
Yeah.
On third down, we let my home scramble.
We got picked.
We dropped coverages against this team and still had a chance.
So.
That's all I've got to say about that.
I've written down here 34 to 6.
I see that.
Reading Mahomes off a bye, you know what I'm saying?
You guys are obviously more confident in the Chiefs than the Lions, right?
Probably.
I'm more scared of the Washington team than I am the Houston team, but differently.
Yeah.
All right, Ohio State Notre Dame.
What happens?
guru.
I believe there's one way Notre Dame wins the game.
They have to control the football.
They're very comfortable in tight games.
We saw Michigan drop the ball when they were in a tight game against Michigan.
But the fascinating thing is Notre Dame loves to run man to man on defense.
And now you got the ultimate wide receiver room against that plan.
How many different plans does Notre Dame have?
They're down personnel.
but I still love what they bring to the table as far as a defense.
I think their D-Line's going to eat up.
They got a true freshman.
Bryant Young's son, number 30, 6, 7.
He's going to be an animal.
He's the kid who knocked the punter over twice in the Sugar Bowl on the first two punts.
That's what genetics look like.
Yeah, exactly.
He's a freakazoid.
But obviously, the Notre Dame has to play their A game.
And I just, I still think with their defensive personnel, they could slow down.
Texas had a nice blueprint for stopping Jeremiah Smith.
I still like Texas personnel better than Notre Dame's, but Notre Dame is more of an attacking
style.
And you're playing with fire, playing man all the time.
But they've done it all year.
And there's something about that team that's got some serious belief.
And they got to create matchups against Ohio State's safeties and linebackers in the past game.
They got some guys with some wiggle.
That's going to be the key.
big, big spot for Denbrock, the office coordinator for Notre Dame,
who was at LSU last year with Jane Daniels.
You suck Riley, Leonard.
I'm just doing the thing his mom does.
I know, I know.
You got the bracelet?
No, I don't have...
Macon.
Yeah.
Last Saturday.
Oh, God.
I didn't hear from you.
What was last Saturday?
Virginia went out to Maple's Favilion.
Dude, nobody gives a shit.
At all.
I just wanted to know what you thought.
out of Maple's Pavilion?
Where's Maple's Pavilion?
You didn't...
We had to go across the country.
Yeah, we played Cal and Stanford.
How stupid is that?
This is idiocracy.
And you got beat at the buzzer the other night?
Yeah, man.
Yep.
They need you back on the road with them.
That's what I see.
Good thing you trade that in for something he truly loved.
That's what I see.
Do you have an appointment?
Is that why you're getting changed?
Yeah.
Yeah, you've got to sling a couple of MLSs.
Pluses.
Multiple listing sales.
Getting changed.
Multiple listing.
Service.
Service.
Got it.
I'm just counting down
a day's to see Making at the Super Bowl.
What are we going?
He might do it.
Like all Thursday I'm at Tulane.
What are we doing?
Getting shit-faced.
Old school shit-faced Friday.
I don't.
I don't.
I haven't done that.
We're going back to the side of.
Chris,
we're going back to the site of declining athleticism.
Where are we going?
New Orleans.
Oh,
Yeah, that is the site of declining athleticism.
I cannot wait to go back to the scene of the crime.
That's right.
Don't wear flip-flops on bourbon.
No, no flip-flops on bourbon, bro.
Wear some.
Can I go for one night?
Steel toe.
No.
This was part of the discussion with the higher-ups of Greenlight.
Yeah, but, and I agreed that we didn't have an idea until the frickin'
Tulane visit.
Now it makes all the sense in the world.
To go.
Yeah.
You got to do it.
That's the thing. You got to go for it all or nothing.
What does that mean?
That means you got to come down on Wednesday or Thursday when the whole group comes down and then leave Sunday or you or you pay your way down there come hang out.
There's a team bus leaving. I'll put it that way.
Hmm.
Hmm.
I didn't say private plane. I said bus you fucking.
Isn't that, doesn't that depart from Philadelphia?
What a bus?
Yeah.
No, not anymore.
Oh.
But I don't know.
that's happening. I really might load us up on a Greyhound bus. There we go. Ran a Greyhound bus.
Playoff season. A bunch of neon lights inside. We're just in there for 14 hours. I already did the
map quest on it. You know how when somebody sees a path towards superstardom? That's me and this
two lane thing that could happen. It could. And then I guess, what, we have supper on Thursday or
something.
Yep.
Two glasses, Pino Noir.
Oh, Airbnb, I'd like
a hotel room.
This guy's fucking unbelievable.
I got to go home.
I'm going to go play Madden before the kids
get home. I've been, guess who
my team is right now? I told Reed.
I've been smoking people.
Denver. The Denver Broncos, bro.
Nice. Yeah.
I'm coming to you.
What do you run on defense? Huh?
What do you run on defense?
I run a Vic Fangio scheme.
We run a good bit of cover three.
We control the safety.
And we try to keep Barton out of man coverage with tight ends.
Yeah, I was going to say, watch those tight ends running down the scene.
But you can just set it and forget it with these corners for Denver, you know?
Yeah.
And the video game thinks Bow Nix is really good.
Okay.
You know?
And how would you say you would combat that if you were going against yourself?
If I was playing myself?
What do you mean?
How would you beat yourself if you're Denver controlling the safety?
Oh, I would throw the ball to the tight end a lot.
I would work the seams.
And then I would hit backs underneath.
I would run the football, attack soft edges because I'm playing cover three.
But people just don't seem to be able to get it.
All right, I'm going to go home.
Got it.
Bye, guys.
Take care.
