Green Light with Chris Long - NFL Week 10 Picks with ESPN's Stanford Steve. Tua vs Herbert, Tom vs Teddy, and Lamar vs Cam.

Episode Date: November 13, 2020

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It's week 10 in the NFL, and I really need some wins, like more than ever. I'm going to get three this week. I'm calling my shot. Babe Ruth. Didn't Babe Ruth call his shot Stanford, Steve? He did. Somebody else. He did.

Okay, good. I'm Babe Ruth in this week three times. Also, postponed is the new in vogue thing in college football. I'm really bummed about BAMLSU, but what did you expect? And our now respectable joint bank account gets some help from the Sanchez, Mark Sanchez. let's get it going I'm Hey nice

Tell me please What's the deal This bad blood Hey I'm Chris Long This is the Greenlight Gambling show Presented by DraftKings Download the top rated

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Gambling problem, call 1,800 gambler. Or in Indiana, 1,8009 with it. And as always, I'm joined by Stanford. Steve, how are we, Steve? You got a red background. That's not your room. Where are you right now? I am in Las Vegas, Chris.

Scott goes to the Masters for a week. you know, credentials are tight down in Augusta. Daily Wager, new show out here, studios in Las Vegas, so I come out here for the work week. The creds are tight in Augusta? Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. They must be tight.

Geez. Yeah. That's fuck. That's Scott. We got to talk to Scott because next year, I want some creds. I'm learning golf. I think you and I should go, yeah, you and I should invite ourselves to the master. If you get it, there's no way you can't.

You can't get in the golf. really do you think so it is it's my favorite pro sport to watch on television it really is i'm telling you watch this weekend the master it's it's awesome because of how mental it is all these guys everybody's doing this thing just think about everybody's doing the same thing and you got to string together four days of your best because you can't have it you can't have one off day you can't have an off couple holes in order there's one winner and everybody's going at it It's phenomenal how awesome. The mental aspect is like no other sport.

I can't wait to start playing again. I just had some complications with my wrist. I got a cortisone shot a couple months ago. So I'm starting all the way back. Like I'm going back lessons the whole nine. Yeah, well, that's where I am. And they say if you get lessons, that's the way to go. You have to.

I, you know, being the former athletes are, you know, we do, we do suffer from declining athleticism. As you coined a phrase. No such thing as former athlete, Steve, in my book. Okay. Well, we used to, some of us used to play college. Some of us used to play professional. Don't think you could just teach yourself that sport.

No fucking way. No way. I'm terrible at it the times I've tried it. And I used to like to ride around the golf cart and drink beer. And I'd like to do that with actually a decent golf game. So that's the only difference. There's the motivation. Next year, maybe I'll be at the Masters.

Yeah. And there's no, in golf, there's no blaming it. on anybody else. It's just you and the ball, right? Which is beautiful. And there's always the 19th hole. There is the 19th hole like, what is that, a golf term? Yeah. What does that mean? It means go have drinks at the 19th hole. Oh, get drunk. Yeah, I could do that.

Get drinks. Get drinks. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah, get drinks. Not get drunk. Okay, got it. The thing about guys in golf, the amazing thing to me is how all these guys get haul passes to go play golf. Like, I have buddies that are like, we're playing golf again today. I'm like, Holy shit. Like, your wife knows that that just means you're getting blackout. Like, if I said I wanted to go to the bar and belly up to a bar, my lovely wife, Meg, she's cool, so she'll let me every now and again. But if I did it every weekend or like twice a week, she would be pissed at me.

Yeah, those are five-hour clips, too. That's the tough throw. I think you would be a very good nine-hole golfer. I'm probably more of a nine-hole guy. Yeah, that's what I was like. That's good. I'm pegged. All right.

So we're not going to recap my performance last week. Let's talk about you, Steve, two and one, NFL, in the black for the season and two great college picks, Oklahoma all day long over Kansas. And actually, you had the over, huh? Over in that game. Yeah. And then Notre Dame Money Line. We're still riding that one, baby. Yeah, that was a good one.

And then a big tip of the cap to you this week is going to be different, buddy. I wish you well, but I'm going to clean up my mess. All right. Well, if you didn't have a mess, you wouldn't have to spend time cleaning it up, bud. That's a good way to look at it. Dad? All right, so let's do our week, what week is it now? Week 10 picks.

Three apiece as we do every week. Let's go alternating. I'll give you my most confident. Give me the birds. give me the Eagles this week. I know that people are like, look at this fucking Homer, but the Giants are missing dudes.

The Eagles, the first time they played the Giants, they gave up like an 80-yard run to Danny Dimes, and they also gave up a big shot early at the 50, I believe it was, to Golden Tate, who's not playing this week. These things, you just can't count on them happening again.

I think the Eagles defense is going to be revved up, and I think Carson's going to, I mean, one of these weeks, take care of the football. And guys are starting to get healthy. Give me the Eagles this week. They're slight favorites about a field goal. All right. I'm a two of mine are at primetime games.

Sunday night, Ravens. We talked about, or there's been plenty of talk about Lamar going on Rich Johnson's show with the play calling and all that. And then Greg Roman came out today and said, he totally acknowledged it. Yeah, yeah. Teams are going to do it. But I don't know, Chris. To me, I wasn't a defensive guy.

You were. That's what defenses do. They talk constantly because they have to communicate. And yeah, if you come out in a formation or the back is, you know, they name every backfield. Don't you guys name, you know, hey, it's a king set or, you know, queen set. You know, that's, that's part of the defense. Yeah. And also, I think maybe he's hearing a lot more because there's no fans in the stance.

That's a great point that you made, you know, the ability to hear the other side of the football. Like these are things they were saying and communicating last. Like we, I would be in games and we'd have Bird Rabbit tells, which is run past. I mean, that's elementary. Every team has that. Lamar mentioned, oh, well, they're calling out run sometimes. I'm like, dude, I've done that a thousand times. I do think Greg Roman's offense, eventually he's got to hit the curveball a little bit here and throw in some other wrinkles because, you know, it's just, just the way it is.

Like with any way that sets the league on fire out of nowhere, like Lamar did last year, there's going to be a correction from everybody around the league. but I mean to cite hey Highsmith the Steelers dude who had the pick against Lamar like he said after the game that he knew the play was coming because he fucked it up in the first half and he was going to drop deeper in the second half like that's we do that stuff every game

like we adjust if I see power the first time and I'm and you know I'm I'm heavy or something and get pushed out of my gap like the next time I'm going to try to be better or if I see you know a tackle a protection that I fail to take advantage of like, you know, a guard pull protection the first time and I have the key the second time and then I go

beat the guard and I'm expecting him. You know, that's just being a good football player. So I'm not going to go off of like, well, this guy had this quote and then a safety from the Bengals said this and that's why Greg Roman has to evolve. Lamar has to, you know, from a pocket passing standpoint, evolve a little bit.

Now they're going to have to meet halfway to do that. Right? Lamar's going to have to do certain things and they're going to have to do certain things. De Costa, if they so choose, is going to have to give him more weapons on the outside. And Greg's, maybe Greg's not the answer. I thought Greg is the thing that unlocked Lamar's greatness, but I'm being told, maybe not. Yeah, so with that, I think Roman's curveball could come this week. I mean, I watched that Patriots Jets game, and the Patriots secondary is supposed to be their

strength, and they got torched by Joe Flacco and some guys that, you know, aren't really household names. So I think it's a perfect recipe. I think New England's going to start a little bit of a decline here. So I'm going to take the Ravens and give the points with Baltimore Sunday night at New England.

I like that a lot. And depending on how Sunday goes, I might be on that too. All right, my second pick. I'm going to stick with the bees here. Is it the birds first? Second, I'm going to go the bucks. Okay. The lines moved a little bit this week

and you could probably get them around four points depending on when but I think without CMC this week Carolina is going to look different and what an exhausting game for Carolina to come out of a lot of times like a close loss like that can flatten a team more than losing 38 to 3

here's the thing about the bucks they're going to be scorched earth okay like a lot of people are writing them off I'm not doing that I just learned my lesson with the team on the other side of the field the Saints talked about this week. We wrote the Saints off in a lot of ways. They look like contenders right now, don't they? The bucks are not out of this thing

because they had one really bad night. We went back and looked at a bunch of worst Super Bowl team losses. There are many. And when you look at that list, including Tom Brady teams, like the Kansas City game in 2014 when they lost by like 30 points on the road of Kansas City,

like this shit just happens. So give me the bucks to be angry and get on the right track again, and I'm not writing them off. Okay. I'm interested to see what happens there. We talked about my love for Joe Brady last week, so as long as Joe Brady's calling plays,

I think Carolina is, they're dangerous, man. They really are. And Teddy's done a good job not turning the ball over. I saw last time they play the Bucks, they turned it over four times, and then they have now, since then they've had five games where they haven't turned it over. So that's a pretty telling,

thing there. I'm going to go to the Bears. It's their last stand to me. Minnesota comes in, red hot, Dalman Cook. I didn't even look at the weather, but Monday night,

I'll take that defense of Chicago against Kirk Cousins. It just feels like I know, it doesn't have to do with Kirk Cousins in the prime time and all that stuff. I just, I think the Bears are built very well to defend and slow down Minnesota.

And I think Foles will get, get to take some shots. I was surprised they're favored. I was surprised they're favored the Vikings. I know. That's, that's why I mean, give me the Bears all day. I'm a Bears fan, I guess. Yeah, no.

I myself always, um, taking their back. Like, I feel bad. Like, would you rather be the Bears or the Vikings? Like, the Bears are in this thing. Well, listen, with the records the way they are, and I just mentioned this on the pod, that, you know, I think the Vikings, if you want like a deep, deep sleeper, they win this game. You know, they have everything out in front of them. They're only playing two more teams, I think, with winning records, or maybe it's two or three, but it's not a lot. And a lot of their games are winnable. They've already beaten the Packers. They've took the Hawks to the wire. They're not a bad football team when Kirk's, you know, on. Dalvin Cook, if they slide in, like this is a huge if, they could be scary,

but you're right, they have to beat a team that they don't match up extremely well with this Monday, or it's over for them. They lose this game, it's probably over for them. They're usually good,

good in this spot. So, give me to bears. Yeah, they're backed into the corner of their den there, Stanford, Steve. They're just all dend up and they're angry. Akeem Hips is angry. I listen

This is one that I'm going to stutter getting out But like I like the Browns this weekend Wow Yeah I like the Browns I like the Browns give me the Browns I don't trust the you know me on the Texans I haven't trust them all year And they burnt me last week against the Jags

Luckily I hedge with the money line bet a little bit So I was it wasn't a disaster But they just to me Outside of Deshawn Watson They're not a good football team They're just not a good football team. And I think there's one of these teams that sometimes we can overvalue them because of the one player. And, you know, their history.

And the Browns are getting, you know, their big guard back, who's made a big difference. Teller. Yes. You know, I think we doubted them at different spots in this year. And I don't think the Texans are the type of juggernaut team that's going to expose and dent the Browns. I think the Browns are going to run the football and control this football game. All right. Yeah.

Very good. Give me the Saints for my last one. I'm going to see, I've done pretty well betting against Kansas and college football, and the Niners start, like, trending down really hard. And I don't think they're good football team. And I'll take the Saints and lay the points. I like that. I actually like the over in that game as well, which in that total is coming down, it looks like.

Let's go college game of the week. Is it you betting against Kansas? is Kansas playing this week? Kansas is off this week, Chris. Oh, fuck, you got to bring somebody else. Yeah, yeah, that's a tough of it. All right, uh, let's do an underdog. Nebraska has lost 15 straight games as an underdog.

Going back to 2017, winless Penn State against Winless Nebraska. Nebraska's a home dog. Let's take the Huskers. Love it. I always, I love betting against Nebraska. They're just, they're living off legacy, bro. How many?

How mad would you be if you were the team, your game gets postponed, but it's not because of your team. It's because of the team that you were playing. Oh, super mad, dude. Right? Super mad. Just like, I feel so bad for those things.

The air, dude. Punching the air. I, but let's be honest, you never missed a Halloween party in college, did you? No, I didn't do, the only time I got drunk in college was after games.

That was it. Now, you can still get COVID that way. but if it was if it was COVID age like I probably wouldn't be at a Halloween party you know what I mean like just knowing myself I was so like diligent about my football what if it was after a game the night out of the beginning

I probably wouldn't go just because you would no if I opted in to play like as a college football player and I have you know a chance to get drafted like my ass is going to be in the dorm room you know like that's it you know you're you want to are the minority, sir. What I'm going to do is probably have a small house gathering,

like three dudes and some 40 ounces distanced on the back porch. That's how we, and then a mask where that has a hole for a straw. No, no, we're going to be outside. We're going to be on the porch. Seasonably warm lately. So isn't it crazy? Yeah, I know. Let's go a joint bank account, which has also been crazy. Miami, Los Angeles Chargers, uh, Miami's favored by two and a half points. The over under is 48. and a half do you like anything here i'll take the dolphins minus two and a half and the over under is 48 yeah oh he's giving us two he's giving us two 48 and a half i'll take the dolphins and the under oh i like the over oh whatever you also like the chargers so we'll see yeah oh okay all right

i challenge you to a duel sanchise uh as you can just see took the uh the fins this week because he just doesn't trust the uh the chargers which i'm with him there although i love my boy, Justin Herbert. I'm going to, listen, I'm going to try to pad this money line

big dog stat that I have going. I'm going to take the bangles against my Steelers this week, money line. Because even if they, even if Big Ben plays,

like this was like a worrisome spot if you were looking to bet them and, and give the points as a Steelers, uh, fan. If Ben plays, like Ben has been out of the building no treatment yeah I know he has people probably

tending to him but when you're isolating like you're not doing all the things you're supposed to be doing and I know the knees of bother he hasn't been in the building I just worry about these guys and I think Joe Burrow makes me whole on this over five and a half wins bet I uh went out of a radio show today uh out here in Vegas and we got into it about rookie of the year because you know these west coast guys just love the west coast and say everybody hates it, but I'm a burrow guy for rookie of the year, man. It's so mesmerizing to me what he's done, winning games for the Bengals. And I know everybody out here loves what Herbert's done.

You're not winning enough of them for your boy here. Okay. I got, all right, all right. That, sorry. Well, let's get this one. But because I was asked this. And they said, who would you bet to win rookie year right now? But that's different than who I think should win because of the way, you know,

the betting market is and all that stuff. So it was a healthy conversation. Healthy, huh? Yeah, real healthy. Wow. Like a little bit of sparks flying? We disagreed. It was fun. It was fun. Shout out to Mitch and Paulie. Let's go Purdue. Boilermakers 8 and 1 under Brom against ranked teams with three outright wins. So let's take Purdue at home against Northwestern. Boiler up. Boiler up. Shout out to Rob Ninkovich and other notable

alums like Drew Breit. Carrigan. And Ryan Carrigan. Carrigan's. Uh-huh. All time. Have you ever been to West Lafayette? No, is it fun?

I don't know. I've never. It's one of those, like, West, I always wonder what that place is like, what Ames, Iowa is like, and Champaign, Illinois. Those are three.

I'll do you one better. Uh-oh. Ron Prince coached at, at Kansas State for a little bit. and had me come out there to do some D-line stuff with their D-line. And when I tell you, like, you're afraid to get on the plane that flies into Manhattan, Kansas, like, it's six people and you can see the pilots. You know, like, when they tell you you're landing, they're like, hey, we're about to land.

The flight was eight minutes, the connector flight, which is everybody knows about air travel. That's the most dangerous flight. I passed the time by counting to, like, 480. It was so scary. And then you land, and the feeling of isolation, not. spent a lot of times in the woods and all that stuff. Like, it's just in the middle of nowhere, dude. And I got really hammered, had a great time.

People were hospitable, but I'm not going back to Manhattan, Kansas. I think that would have to be. You said Ames, Iowa. Ames, Iowa, Champaign, Illinois, and West Lafayette. We should do a list of most desolate college campuses that you just like tumbleweeds. I mean, Texas Tech, I'm sure Lubbock is fun. Whoa. But there's no trees.

But there's no trees. there's no nothing. Chris, I had the night of the crab tree game, I had to, I drove that, the greatest night in Texas Tech history when they beat Texas. I had to drive to Amarillo, Texas that night to catch a 6 a.m. flight. You had to get there by morning? Yes. I didn't see anything. Like, and this was 2008, I think, so like cell phones were still going out of service. And I'm telling you straight on this highway, I don't know, I mean, you talk about West Texas, tubbleweeds. That's it. That's all I saw. Pitch black and the road was dead straight. Like nothing I've ever seen.

Is that up from San Antonio? Oh, it's way. San Antonio's all the way down by Mexico. Amarillo's north, all the way west Texas. Yeah, so it's up from San Antonio. And then did you have any like baggage or was it just what you had on pretty much after a rough night? No, it wasn't a rough night because I didn't, the game took so long. I don't think we got out of there until like one in the morning. And I remember going to the gas station to get gas and like people were just started the light and shit, I'm fire. I'm like, guys, you really shouldn't mind stuff on fire at a gas station. Didn't think I was going to get out of there, but it was

incredible. But anyway, I was there for the best weekend ever in the history of Lubbock, I think. So Lubbock was a good time. Yeah, it's a good time. Nobody's denying it, but it's just, it's a feeling of isolation when I look at it on the map and I Google pictures because, you know, I'm tight with Dola. You know, Danny is one of my good buddies. And so I know how much of a good time Danny likes to have and I'm picturing this kid. Did he ever pay up for the national championship? Uh, with the tattoo.

No. Danny owes us a tattoo. He owes me a tattoo. Not us. I mean, Texas Tech, Virginia owes me a tattoo of a Virginia tattoo somewhere. He hasn't done it yet. But I'm just imagining him at that school and like, I'm like, what the fuck is there to do there except for like problem drink and like chase tumbleweeds and cow tip, which I would not, I would advise against him as mean to the animals. Um, okay. So that's, that's, um, okay. So, that's, That's all we got. We've done the joint bank account. College game of the week one more time.

Nebraska. Nebraska. And then we gave out, I gave up my three Bs and Steve, he's on a roll right now, so just go with him until I stabilize this thing. That will do it. Check out the regular Greenlight podcast, which drops every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. Comment, subscribe, all that stuff that you guys do in the podcast world. Be safe.

And have a great weekend, everybody. Stanford, Steve included.