Green Light with Chris Long - NFL Week 5. Green Light Gambling Show Presented by DraftKings.
Episode Date: October 9, 2020(0:41) - Open and Recap (3:25) - Chris NFL Picks. (10:17) - Steve NFL Picks (14:49) - CFB GOTW (18:00) - Joint Bank Account Sign up for your DraftKings account at https://www.draftkings.com/sportsbook... and use promo code : Greenlight Green Light with Chris Long: Subscribe and enjoy weekly content including podcasts, documentaries, live chats, celebrity interviews and more including hot news items, trending discussions from the NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, NCAA are just a small part of what we will be sharing with you. http://bit.ly/chalknetwork Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
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It's week five in the NFL, and I guess we got to add contact tracing to our list of handicapping tools.
I mean, we're only so good at this.
Three top 25 matchups to pick from for the college game of the week.
And David Kekner nailed his pick last week, so let's keep going comedians.
J.B. Smooth joins us for the joint bank account today.
Yeah.
Whoa.
Yeah.
Moving up.
Yeah, we're moving up in the world.
Oh, bad.
Hey, y'all, I'm Chris Long.
This is the Greenlight Gambling show
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joining me as always to get this thing done is Stanford Steve.
How you doing?
I'm good, man.
What do you think of the baseball playoffs?
I don't think about them much.
Hey, listen.
Hey, I'm not going to be one of these guys in sports that has a podcast
and feels like he has to piss on every bush.
I just don't watch baseball.
You know, like sometimes I feel like people can drive.
Not even a pitch.
I'll watch it when it gets tight.
But the thing is I'm so busy with football right now.
I got two pods.
I'm doing Amazon.
I'm doing the,
you know,
good folks at draft kings
are serving it up for me.
So there's just not,
there's not a lot of time for baseball,
man.
And I do have a couple gambling buddies that text me and go,
get on the Yankees or get on the Cubbies.
And I'm like,
no interest in just blindly betting on a sport that I don't watch.
All right.
But if I sent you a baseball pick,
you would be in.
Yes, I trust you.
All right.
Good.
So we've hit the,
the quarter mark in the NFL, we're both hovering around 500 for the year.
Enough fucking around, okay?
This is the week that we lock in.
And it's the worst slate of games.
It is absolutely disgusting this amount of games.
It's so gross.
It's almost as gross as watching you do that thing that I'm not going to mention any names last
Friday on your pie with the skinny guy.
Yeah, mayonnaise was awful.
It's that gross.
It's a disgusting thing.
So bad.
I don't know how people do it.
I think if I bet a ton of units and losing those units is less terrifying than having to do that again.
I would rather lose money than have to eat mayonnaise again.
If there were a tie-in with mayonnaise and that's what it was, I bet against Fitzpatrick,
which is a nice segue into one of my favorite picks of the week.
I like the over in the Miami-San Francisco game here a lot, okay?
It's hovering just under 50.
Jimmy G might be coming back.
Okay, San Francisco lost to my birds last week, 25-20,
but they outgained them.
They're going to score more points.
I mean, Miami's the worst in the league as far as yards per player is concerned.
And these guys can both score.
I mean, they really can.
Even with all the injuries,
I think it's going to be a high-scoring kind of fun game down there.
Yeah, it's, I also think you have an addiction
to fits magic.
Like you just, you're all in on the guy, which is awesome.
I appreciate your addiction because I, you know, we all have addictions too.
But I'm, I'm, why not C.J. Bethard?
How good did he look?
Why didn't he start last week?
I thought when I asked this to make him last week, something in my head tells me,
and I think it was from seeing him in the ACL year, Jimmy G's ACL year.
Why haven't they, they played this kid right?
off the bat. I know Mullins kind of got hot, but I've liked CJ
Beatherd. I've always liked it. For a backup, I mean, you know, he just
sometimes, sometimes you get, you know, the Big Ten label
put on you, but like Bethard defies all, like he's so quick
with his decisions. He doesn't hold on to the ball. He knew exactly where he was going.
He went six, like, um, if they needed a field
goal there, that, they got it. I know. Believe me. I know. I know. Believe me. I know. Believe me. I was
sweating bullets for my guys. I was like,
they're going to clear the whole building out if they lose
this fucking game. But I mean,
Sam Fran, they might get
Moser back this week. They could get
Jimmy G. back.
Let's see. San Francisco's played nobody,
so take everything with a grain of salt, but they've
scored. And again, Miami,
not so good. I might sprinkle
a little bit on Miami
on the money line with Miami.
That would be nice because I have
under season win total for the
nine or so. Well, I think you're going to hit that.
after this week it gets really ugly for them.
Yeah.
Look at you.
You are busy looking ahead the schedules and everything.
Oh, yeah.
I'm a big, big, uh, busy guy.
And also, uh, I took to,
while we're on the topic of a big busy guy.
That's your new name.
I like that.
BBG.
Um, yeah.
So the BBG here.
That, that might be, I think we have a nickname.
And the place to be.
BBG and the place to be.
I also took the Sincy, uh,
fighting bangles to eclipse the five and a half, uh,
win total before the season.
Oh, could have just gotten robbed.
I mean, I've just gotten easily robbed on the topic of win totals.
Let me go with my second one.
I'm going to give out my second and third in this ball game, and it's right in your
backyard.
Make sure you check it out.
Rams giving about a touchdown.
I don't care what it is, seven and a half, seven.
Yep.
Take it.
And the under.
I like the under, which is hovering at about 45.
Listen, I think we'll see more of, I sweat, I sweated through the Rams kind of sluggish game they played against the Giants last week.
I had the Rams giving almost two touchdowns.
I was so confident about it.
Luckily, I teased it as well to hedge the whole thing.
Yeah, good for the teasers at 4 o'clock.
Love them.
Oh, yeah.
Well, it wasn't even an impulse tease early in the week.
I was like, I'm going to tease Seattle against Miami with these guys against the Giants after a five-hour plane.
trip. I could not believe what I was seeing for a half, but in the second half, they got it going.
Here's the problem with Washington. It's going to be raining. You've got Kyle Allen, who's going to be a
turnover machine. He was last year. Even if he knows the offense, you know it's going to be a sloppy
game. What do you think is the ceiling for Washington to score this weekend? Is it 20 points?
I don't know. Probably. I mean, that's the ceiling. And we're talking about a team in the Rams who's
probably not going to be as explosive as you think with Jared Goff in the rain.
That four-man rush could be disrupted a little bit.
I just think it's going to be a sloppy game.
Give me the under and the Rams.
Yeah.
I mean, I like it.
I just, you would know better than me, another cross-country flight for the Rams.
Yeah, yeah, no doubt.
Well, the last one, they looked pretty explosive in the second half.
I mean, in the first half, they looked like they were sleepwalking.
But this is a much better game to bet the run.
Rams than betting them going to Buffalo.
Let's just say that.
No doubt.
Yeah.
And then I'll give one little bonus out here.
The fighting Joe Burroughs, the fighting bangles.
Covered every week.
They've covered every week.
And if you look at this series the last decade, I think it's something like 15 out of 20 or 14 out of 19, have been one score ball games.
BBG with the stats.
Wow.
Yeah, they're always tight.
they're strangely tight between these two teams.
It's the AFC North.
That is so weird.
Yeah, dude.
Bangles and Ravens?
Play close games?
I would have never guessed it.
Yeah, I wouldn't have either.
And then I read some shit.
But like, I mean,
reading is good.
Reading is good.
And Joe Burrow has been really impressive.
I don't know if he's my favorite rookie because Herbert's been just like a wow guy.
But Burroughs just been like the guy's got balls,
as you thought this weekend.
they're going to be put to the test against Baltimore because they're bringing the heat.
Scott and I were watching a game tonight, and I think I saw, you might have been involved
in a couple tweets.
Is Callais Campbell the biggest human in the world?
He's up there.
The guy that they just.
Like to be as an athlete in pads, like standing next to him like at Super Bowl parties,
I'm like, this man is, I don't even know how to explain it.
No.
And he couldn't be a nicer guy.
He's so nice.
He has a voice like one of the.
The rock creatures in a cartoon, like, you know, like a friendly giant that emerges out of the
mountain.
Yeah.
And like his voice matches what he looks like.
And then also, uh, Steve Hutchinson's head.
If we're talking about the Hall of Fame of like massive individuals, Steve Hutchinson's
fucking head is the size of a pumpkin.
Uh, and then also another guy that we should talk about if we're talking about people that
are just overwhelming in scale, Jordan Milata, who just made his debut,
Last week, shout out to him, played pretty well against the Niners filling in for Jason Peters.
That guy is like the fucking big show.
That's a big boy.
Yeah.
He's not big, busy boy, but.
No, he's not busy enough.
Those are my three.
I got the Dolphins, Niners over.
I have the Rams and the under, and then I'm giving out a little bonus here with Sinci.
All right.
I'm going to go Steelers.
Big Ben said they got the short end of a stick with a.
early buy, but what Big Ben doesn't know is the last time the Steelers had a week four by this
early was in 2012. You know who they beat in week five? The Eagles. Yeah. Yep. So we're going to take
the Steelers. They're mad. I love how this is playing out for the Steelers, what everybody talking
about Mahomes and, you know, it feels like almost the Chiefs last year. But I, when you're talking about
well-rounded, like, um, uh, the run, the wide receiver from Claypool, from Notre Dame,
getting him more familiar.
I think Juju's more of that guy where that will run every, every kind of route.
Uh, I just, and then the defense, I just love.
Like I, I, I absolutely love, I love T.J. Watt.
Obviously, I just feel like he's one of those guys you look at and you're like,
oh my God, how long are his arms you cannot block him.
You can't get into him.
And Devin Bush being back for them.
He was like one of my favorite players, a couple of drafts ago, out of Michigan.
So I love how this is playing out for the Steelers.
I think they roll over to Eagles.
Sorry to your birds.
The Texans, hey, no more excuses now for anything.
O'Brien's gone.
It's on Deshaun.
It's his show.
It's crazy to think when you look at it, Minchu has better stats than Watson this year.
This year, yeah.
It's, I mean, through the first quarter season,
And that shouldn't happen.
I do expect DeShan to play a lot better.
He better start playing a lot better.
Or guess who's going to start getting the criticism?
And we all know how quarterbacks get a little sensitive to that.
But I like the Texans to roll.
I don't think they should be giving this many points.
They're winless.
Blah, blah, blah.
This one is just like we went against Russell Wilson last week with the Dolphins,
which I still think was the right side.
We're going to take the under in the Chiefs game.
And I feel like the Raiders can run.
run the ball. And that's what you want to do. I really think these teams are going to start
getting into how are we going to keep the ball away from the homes? We're going to try and run
the ball. You saw the Patriots do it last week. I still, oh man, it was that close. And I just,
I hope that game doesn't come back for like the Patriots to like make the playoffs or anything.
Because they, I thought that was a very winnable game, man. Yeah. I really did. And I hated seeing
the flop by Mahomes. You don't need that, bro. You're, you're good enough. You really, we,
cannot start calling that stuff because he tried doing it earlier in a game on McCordie and it just
oh yeah the McCordy thing was bad I didn't think the second one was as bad but it was it's just like
you can't call that need it we don't need it yeah and you know what if you're the guy running him out
of bounds like don't grab him by the neck like if dev had fucked him up on that play I'd have been like
oh well that makes sense but if I'm the D-Liman chasing him out of bounds I'm just not going to put
my hands on him like let's just get I will say one thing about what is is very on point
what you said about Jacobs and that rushing offense,
because I think last year they were seven yards of pop.
He was seven yards of pop on those guys.
Yeah.
Now, on the other side of it, Kansas City has routinely torched them offensively,
so keepaway is going to be the thing.
I also want to shout out your guy, Bud Dupree, going back to your first pick.
We talked about all these other guys, and I do love T.J. and those guys,
but Bud Dupree is a guy who caught some shit early in his career because the sack numbers aren't high.
The guy just does everything.
He plays his ass off.
hey Dallas, you got an effort problem, watch Bud Dupre tape.
I mean, like, and I hate to say it.
I kind of like, I like that pick.
You know, the Steelers are my Super Bowl pick.
And so this is the sneak up.
The sneak attack is underway because all they are doing, talking about the Ravens.
Hey, they're talking about the Patriots more than the Steelers.
Absolutely.
And I think I saw a stat like this, if the Steelers win this game, hopefully cover,
they'll be four and oh for the first time in like 80 years or something.
It's crazy.
Like they just haven't been four and one.
But just going back to the Chiefs, you mentioned how, you know, obviously I'm, you know, going against a great offense, which isn't smart and taking the under in a Chiefs game.
They are scheduled to play the Bills Thursday night.
So I think Andy calls the dogs off early if they get up.
That's not.
Now that's some BBG guy stuff.
You got time to research a week ahead.
That's nice.
I just, you know, throwing it out there.
Trying to help the people.
That's all.
We love the people.
We also love college football.
And it's starting to feel a little bit more normal, I thought, in the last week or two.
Shout out to my Virginia Cavaliers who gave the Clemson Tigers a fight, relatively speaking.
What's your game of the week this week?
We all understand there's a possible weather situation down south, but I just look at, it looks like it could pass.
It's a 6 o'clock eastern kick.
It's Ole Miss.
It's Alabama.
we all know the talk of how Saving after beating the bag out of Jimbo last week is 20 no against assistance.
In comes Lane train.
I just feel like both teams are going to have their foot on the gas.
Lane's going to do his best not to get blown out.
Nick is going to try and blow them out.
When those team things happen, give me the over.
So expect a lot of points in Oxford.
Alabama's offense is just crazy.
They lose, you know, the rugs and.
and Judy the draft.
Obviously they still have Devante Smith.
They still have Jalen Waddle.
And then they come in with this guy,
John Mechie, five catches,
181 yards, two touchdowns look like the fastest guy in the field,
which is saying a lot in an SEC game.
So, uh,
they just come out of the woodwork there.
Yeah.
And it's scary.
I mean, the quarterback looks great.
Mack Jones, the Alabama quarterback's first
passing efficiency and Corral,
the Ole Miss quarterback is third in passing efficiency.
So I like a lot of points there.
And it's on turf, so I don't think it's going to be that much.
And, you know, it's not like when you and I played, Chris, you know,
when they only had like three balls on the sidelines.
Alabama's got more footballs than players on the sidelines.
Wet footballs is not going to be a problem.
Yeah, no, no, no, you're right about that.
And they do have a lot of players on the sidelines, too.
If I went to Bama, I'd be doing everything I could to wear that fucking uniform.
I have one question on the way out.
Did your dad try and make you a long snapper?
Here's the worst thing you can do as a football player.
Show the coach the other things you can do.
Because he's going to like, hmm, oh, he can snap.
Hmm, he can be on field goal protection.
Hmm.
Next thing you know, hey, this happens in the league all the time.
Big D tackles who aren't getting a lot of time, like third defensive tackles.
Hey, why don't you, we're down a guard today.
Can you put this red jersey on, this penny and go play it?
And then like, and then next.
you know you're a fucking guard.
It's the...
Galeas Campbell's a wing on extra point.
Yeah, I would be like, come on, man.
He's a better man than me.
I was a wing on extra point.
We're not the same you would be.
Also, this guy's...
Maybe a Hall of Famer.
Maybe a Hall of Famer.
I mean, he's going to end up with 100.
If I'm a Hall of Famer,
he's the best...
He was the best guy out of our class.
I mean, he was just...
I mean, gosh, think about our draft class.
Matt Ryan was the most important quarterback.
Callais Campbell might have been the best football player out of the whole class.
I mean, he is a fucking beast, and it never ceases to amaze me.
He thrives in every situation he's in.
Big shout up to Callais Campbell, my dude.
Yeah.
Joint bank account.
I got the Dolphin.
This is where I can employ my ballsy pick and go Fitzmagic with the win outright.
Dolphins money line paying out probably like three to one and some change, baby.
Let's go get it.
What do you got?
Going out on a limb, Chris.
we're going to go along
another big underdog
the Miami Heat
win game 5
force a game 6
against LeBron and the Lakers
go heat go
more drama is a good thing
it's it's you know is it
I love the drama I love the finals
drama I love it can you imagine
how mad like people are that
that are just waiting on the series to be over
in the bubble like that are mad at the
Lakers for blowing that game Sunday night
like some of the employees
and stuff.
Yeah.
They all have the heat.
They all have the heat.
They need a consolation
just in case it keeps going.
All right.
So J.B. Smooth's got our third leg.
We've got the Cardinals
visiting your jets.
And the Cardinals are given
seven in New York
on the road, which is very
disrespectful.
The over-under is set at
47. Do you have a bet you like in there?
I'm going to take the points.
I'm going to take the Jets to upset Arizona this week.
I like it.
I'm going to tell you why.
Now, we know what they have already.
Put a spy on a quarterback, cover Hopkins, nothing deep, give them underneath stuff.
Because I truly believe that the Jets play better in the red zone.
I feel like we can, we can bend but not break.
Give up some field goals.
Don't fuck around and give up these long, big play.
man. Hopkins is dangerous, man.
You know, Fitzgerald is, like
myself, possession receiver.
I think he might be still injured.
And you think Flacco can get it done?
Because Flacco's
stepping in this week.
You know what?
I think you can get...
I think that Justin could get this game
won.
That's it. Our thanks, as always,
to Stanford, Steve. Check out
our other Greenlight pods. There are many.
We drop two on Friday.
one on Monday and we're posting stuff on our YouTube channel all week so you can see our beautiful faces
including Stanford Steve who is a pillar of health in the pandemic. Steve, thank you my brother.
Bye Chris.
