Green Light with Chris Long - NFL Week 7 Gambling Picks with Tiki Barber & Stanford Steve, Presented by DraftKings.

Episode Date: October 23, 2020

(0:40) - Welcome and Last Week Recap. (4:06) - Week 7 Picks. (11:48) - College Game of the Week. (13:15) - Joint Bank Account with Tiki Barber. Sign up for your DraftKings account at https://www.draf...tkings.com/sportsbook and use promo code : Greenlight Green Light with Chris Long: Subscribe and enjoy weekly content including podcasts, documentaries, live chats, celebrity interviews and more including hot news items, trending discussions from the NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, NCAA are just a small part of what we will be sharing with you. http://bit.ly/chalknetwork Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 It is week seven in the NFL, and at the very least, the NFC East is contained to being awful against each other. They're going to get some wins this week, one way or another. The Big Ten is back. The nation can once again ignore Terrapin football. Fuck Maryland. You tell Scott I said that, too. And former running back Tiki Barber anchors the third leg of the joint bank account. Let's get after it.
Starting point is 00:00:30 Hey y'all, I'm Chris Long. This is the Greenlight Gambling show presented by Draft Kings. Week 6 of football is in the books, and now it's time to review the tape and get ready for week 7. There's no better place to get in on all the action than with Draft King Sportsbook, America's top-rated sportsbook app. To add to the excitement of Week 7, Draft King's Sportsbook is bringing back their can't miss offer. If you haven't tried Draft King's Sportsbook yet, head to the app store now because you don't want to miss this. Draft King's Sportsbook is giving all new users the chance to receive a sign-up bonus up to $1,000. Download the top-rated Draft King Sportsbook app now
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Starting point is 00:01:25 requires 25 times play-through. Restrictions apply Ced, draftkings.com slash sportsbook for details, gambling problem call 1-800-gambler or in Indiana, 1-800-9 with it. Let's not bury the lead. Someone not named Chris Longwin-O last weekend, I want to make sure that's out there front and center. It's my guy fresh off the peloton.
Starting point is 00:01:41 He's been crushing it. Stanford, Steve. I appreciate the kind words about a three and a week. It's been a long time. But stayed on it. Chris, I'm not going to lie. I had one of the worst feelings ever about 10 minutes ago on the bike. I was going to ask you this question when the last time you thought you were going to throw up from working out.
Starting point is 00:02:02 That's a great question. I've never thrown out. It's awful. I've never thrown up from working out. I've only thrown up from having. food poisoning and being forced to practice in the 90 degree heat. Okay. Yeah, I blew chunks all over the field over at the McHugh Center down the road there at Virginia.
Starting point is 00:02:19 Okay. Yeah, but I've never been a puker. I think you either do puke from exercise or you don't, and it's not an indicator of fitness. I was a big morning workouts. We used to have the Saturday morning, you know, agility circuits and all that where we had the garbage fails out there. Oh, yeah. But I was more of a dry heaver.
Starting point is 00:02:37 You know, you'd get over the bucket. but nothing ever came out, but I could swear there was something that was going to come out. Now, I've dry heaved from exercising on the weekend, but never from athletic exercising per se. Correct. I mean, it helps you keep hydrated. Your eyeballs don't look, you know, bloodshot from puking, so it's good that... We're good. No, no, we passed. We passed. We're good.
Starting point is 00:03:00 My dog. So all of a sudden, this has gotten real. Steve has now moved ahead of me in the NFL based on winning percentage. I'm at 57.9. He's at 58.3. So both safely above 52.4. But it's starting to get personal. I'm feeling it. You're spooked a little bit. I am a little bit spooked.
Starting point is 00:03:21 You are? Yeah. Okay. It's Halloween. It is. Weird shit's going to happen. We're in a spirit. 10 days outside of Halloween.
Starting point is 00:03:29 And Bill Belichick used to say the real season starts around Halloween. So maybe you're just making your move here. Did he really? I think he said something like that. a lot of things. I tried to digest it all. It was really difficult sometimes. It was under tremendous stress. You're always worried about getting yelled at. You know, you don't want to be yelled at by the goat. Like, you walk in the building in the morning, you're like, fuck. Really? I mean, not really. I mean, listen. You know, there were those days, though.
Starting point is 00:03:58 There were those days where you just, there's days in any football facility like that. But when the goat is breaking down the film as a unit, that's hard. I don't know how. I don't know we got here, but it's week seven. And we get three picks a piece. You know the business. Steve, I think you go first because last week we rotated and you went three and oh. So I want you to go first and in your normal spot and just give me your three picks. All right. Wow. He's so spooked. Let's see here. We're going to go Buffalo. Got to have a bad taste in her mouth the way they played the last two weeks. The Jets are the Jets.
Starting point is 00:04:35 I went back to the first time these two teams played. I actually watched that game. I don't know why. Ended up being a 10-point game, I think. But Buffalo left a ton of opportunities out there. Two guys collided, fell down on a Jameson Crowder. Like, I think it was a 90, 85-yard touchdown. Something stupid.
Starting point is 00:04:53 Yeah. That would just totally change the score of the game. So I'm going to go Buffalo there laying the points. Falcons Lions doesn't sound like I don't see any D in their name, no D in their game. that's not going to be a defensive coordinator's fun watch for that. So we're going to go over the point total there. And then Seattle, old theory, go against a team that covered Monday night.
Starting point is 00:05:16 Seattle had extra time to prep for this. No one's playing better than Russell Wilson. I don't know why they would want Antonio Brown to screw that locker room up. But that's another story for another podcast. But I'm going to go Seattle there laying the points on the road in a division game, which I'm sure I'm fired up for. but I just like I say it every week
Starting point is 00:05:36 I feel like I can trust Russell Wilson one anybody trust him trust him and that's why I'll give you my first pick it's going to be Arizona and Seattle and the over in that game I I do think you know when you look at last year it's kind of in the mid 50s right now and you could have watched that Monday night game
Starting point is 00:05:52 and said oh Arizona's quietly played really good defense and they've got some players who have although they lost Chandler Jones so I absolutely love I hope he gets well. Buda Baker was tremendous. Unbelievable. People are starting to realize the value
Starting point is 00:06:09 and why they paid him, the money they paid him. I do think, though, that it was just the Cowboys. And I don't know if people are going to be reactionary and look at the two games last year. There was a 20 to 17 game. There was like a 27-24 type game. Neither of those totals would get the job done.
Starting point is 00:06:25 But I think Russ knows what he's up against. He knows to take them seriously. You know, and I think I like your pit. I definitely like the over. I think it's going to be a shootout. Kyler's a year better, a year more mature. The Seattle defense is worse than it was last year, maybe, if possible. I don't know how to evaluate them.
Starting point is 00:06:43 They're not good. That's what I was going to say. On the other side of that game Monday night, he only completed nine passes. I know he didn't have to do a lot because of Zeke's fumbles, you know, but that's the interest to me because you know Seattle's, they don't have a lot of talent, but I still think schematically they'll try and do the scenes, not run up field on Kyler,
Starting point is 00:06:59 those kind of things, make him throw the ball. you know so that's the matchup I'm looking forward to in that one and if you're nervous uh you could do the ill-advised teaser you could tease uh tease the total down go with the over and uh take the hawks getting a couple points if you're nervous could me if you're gun shy like me after a week that i had so spooked look at you uh second i really love the steelers man you're kind of the way you're trusting russell wilson i'm trusting the steelers they have a bunch of different ways they can win games We're all excited about the Titans and the Steelers this weekend. The lone undefeated's in the AFC, right?
Starting point is 00:07:37 Who would have guessed it? I don't know that actually had that on the bingo card, but I do have the Steelers of my Super Bowl champs. I'm going to ride with them. I think you worry about Devin Bush. You made that point offline. What's that going to look like? I think, you know, conversely, and we will find out,
Starting point is 00:07:52 conversely, Taylor Luan picked a bad time to get hurt as well. Two really important players to those teams, respectively. And now you've got the best front in the league, rolling up. And, you know, Tannahill has got to get the, he's got to get the play action going if he wants to win this game. Just like most weeks when you're Tennessee, this is a team that could bottle up Derek Henry, though, even without Devin Bush. I, I'm afraid to say it, but I think they can, and I think they win this one. And it's a pick-em in most places you can get it. I really like the Steelers. I think we're going to see that game again in the playoffs, too. Oh, it's going to be
Starting point is 00:08:29 so fun. This week is so much better than the last two, infinitely better. You mean games watching. Games watching. Now it's more difficult to make the right plays this weekend, I think, which is dangerous. And then I really like this one, and you could take the over here because the total is kind of low. It feels very inviting. What do you think here, Steve? I like New England and the over in that game, but I'll give out New England first and foremost. I think there is a personal aspect to with Shanahan and Belichick. And, you know, that's still stuck in Bill's head. I'm sure it felt
Starting point is 00:09:05 like a win for most football fans, but for Bill, there was a loss baked in there in that, you know, we had all that time to prepare for a Super Bowl and they ran us out of the gym for a half in the 28-3 game. I think that there's part
Starting point is 00:09:21 of Bill that wants to rectify that situation as well. And I think we're probably overvaluing the Niners and undervaluing the Patriots coming off last week. That for sure, the last point. But wow, I'm bad. I didn't even think of the 283. I was thinking
Starting point is 00:09:37 about Belichick trading Garapola and being like, yeah, now you get some of this, well. Well, he also knows he knows Jimmy G. well. Yes. That's why I lean New England in that matchup. And yeah, the total wise, it is weird because
Starting point is 00:09:53 play calling wise, I mean, you saw late in the game last week, New England go into the in the bag of tricks for every single play on the drive. Yeah. You know, throw to Jules, he throws it, then an option pass, throw to Cam, back to Cam. Like, they tried everything at the end of that game.
Starting point is 00:10:10 So, and then Shanahan's my favorite play caller in the business. So I'm really, really excited to see. I really want to see what Bill does against Kittle. Yeah. He totally took Waller out of the game when they played him. And the way Kittle moves around, I'm really, I'm just fascinated how the McCordy's and those guys in the back end always seem to never get out leveraged.
Starting point is 00:10:32 And in that, they never get beat over to top by those guys that run down the middle of the field. That's what I love watching with New England. And there's a big key there. I mean, I think if you look at San Francisco, the first thing you want to do is take him away. You take him away and make them beat you left-handed with one hand high behind their back. That's really the crux of the conversation. And there's no more scary place to go play football if you're a tight end than New England. because you're going to see every play
Starting point is 00:11:01 a first level defender redirecting, jamming that tight end. It's the worst. It's such a pain in the ass. Yeah, and you play tight end. It's awful. It's hard enough to run great routes. When you're getting dinged at the line every play and the coach says, fuck the pass rush,
Starting point is 00:11:17 we're literally just going to make sure you can't take, we're going to take your security blanket away. And that's a lot of why those guys have been really good. But you look at Denver last week, I really believe, if you're looking at New England this year, their biggest asset, just like any year, is preparation and coaching. They barely got to practice. The facility was shut down.
Starting point is 00:11:39 That was a trap game, even if it were not for COVID. And they failed it. I think they're going to be hungry. I think they're going to be ready. They're going to be motivated, and it's a good matchup. Agree. Joint bank account. Let's do college game of the week first.
Starting point is 00:11:53 You have Rice, the Owls, first game of the year. against middle Tennessee. I love this pick. Middle Tennessee is up there with one of the worst picks in our worst teams in the country. North Texas, who is not good last week, ran for 492 yards. Rice comes in a whole month and a half to get to game plan for this middle Tennessee team. Mike Blumgren's the head coach. Remember he was offense coordinator at Stanford when they really had it going. He's going to run power out of 900 different formations. There'll be tackles eligible. There'll be everything. I think Rice is going to try and keep the ball the whole game. Give me Rice minus the points.
Starting point is 00:12:34 So I'm looking for this game right now. It's all the way down at the bottom. It's down at the bottom. Scroll, scroll, scroll, enhance. Enhance. Rice. You said Rice. The first thought in my head was this is what you put your cell phone in. I mean, I know there's a, I know there's a college in Texas called Rice. It's a beautiful campus. Come on Luke Wilson. Our guy. Yeah, our guy, Luke Wilson, but at the same time, Rice, cell phones. You know, like... Have you ever had to do it?
Starting point is 00:13:00 No, I've never had to do it. I hear it work. Hey, so they're favored by about a field goal here. Yes. And you love it. Love them. Okay. Enhance.
Starting point is 00:13:15 I could use it. Let's go joint bank account here. And I just want to take the time to point out, and this doesn't count against the record, but I got to, I'm going to tear my rotator cuff, pat myself on the back. There we go. There we go. The last two weeks, your boy has picked the upset of the week. You had Miami two weeks ago. You sure did. And then I had Denver last week, money line, both of them. This week, let's look at the biggest lines on the board. Bill's Jets, not touching that one for the reasons you outlined. And then I also think, you know, it's time for,
Starting point is 00:13:53 it's time for Josh Allen to make some throws it's been a long two weeks he's been a little bit off I know he's going to want to be out there shaking off the rust I don't really I mean I suppose I could give out
Starting point is 00:14:07 and I don't believe this is going to happen Jags money line it's not going to happen why don't you go first and I'll think about a long shot oh bears Bears Rams on day night
Starting point is 00:14:21 yeah give me the Bears money line they've played the Rams tough I mean I feel like this is you love Foles I just I trust I trust the defense I wow listen what I
Starting point is 00:14:37 what I think about Foles is that I Foles has got some magic to them but that defense is functionally fucking scary and they've matched up well against the Rams so I love their secondary personnel and do we know who the Rams are like
Starting point is 00:14:53 I went through this whole cycle where in preseason, I said the Rams probably weren't going to make the playoffs. I got a bunch of shit from Rams fans. And then they started winning, and I did the honest media member, Mayaculp, I should have just waited. Right? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:15:11 I don't know. I don't know who they are. They don't know. They won the NFC East. I don't know anything else outside that. All right. I'm going to go to the Big Ten. Everybody loves it.
Starting point is 00:15:23 Yeah. Rutgers Money Line at Michigan State. Coach Chiano is back. We're going back to Chopin Wood. Is he back there? Yeah, he's a head coach. They have 900 transfers. Michigan State's got a new coach.
Starting point is 00:15:39 We don't know what we're getting in East Lansing. It's not going to be pretty. But let's take Rutgers on the money line. And you're going to be getting a lot. Well, we'll see what Tiki has to say, hey, what's going to happen tonight real quick? Giants are going to keep it close. and maybe win it at the end. I think that's,
Starting point is 00:15:55 I think they're going to win. I really do. So you think they're going to. Times are playing tough. Hey, that was a fun show. I'm thinking that signals a really good weekend for your boy.
Starting point is 00:16:06 And for Steve as well, who's hot off a three and oh weekend last week. Stop being spooked, Chris. I need to, I need to man the fuck up and just hammer rice. I'm going to hammer rice. So everybody who listens to this pod, when I have to explain to
Starting point is 00:16:23 Waylon that he's going to be riding the same bike the next three years and I can't get him a new one or some shit like that it was Steve's fault that'll do it check out the regular season
Starting point is 00:16:37 Greenlight podcast which drops every Monday and Friday I just mentioned it comments subscribe all that good stuff subscribing is a really great thing if you could do that that would be awesome and have a great weekend everybody

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