Green Light with Chris Long - NFL Week 8 Gambling Picks with Matthew McConaughey & Stanford Steve, Presented by DraftKings.

Episode Date: October 31, 2020

(0:42) - Welcome and Last Week Recap. (3:15) - NFL Picks. (16:10) - College Game of the Week. (19:24) - Joint Bank Account with Matthew McConaughey. Sign up for your DraftKings account at https://www.draftkings.com/sportsbook and use promo code : Greenlight Green Light with Chris Long: Subscribe and enjoy weekly content including podcasts, documentaries, live chats, celebrity interviews and more including hot news items, trending discussions from the NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, NCAA are just a small part of what we will be sharing with you. http://bit.ly/chalknetwork Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Happy Halloween, everybody. Want to see some scary shit? Chief Jets Sunday at Arrowhead. It's been a long week in New York. Something scarier. It's me after the rice owls picked my carcass clean last weekend. You know, I rebounded on Sunday. Scariest, the state of our joint bank account.

The fear not. The Matthew McConaughey bump is here. He will join us to set things. right. Let's get it going. Hey all, I'm Chris Long. This is the Greenlight Gambling show presented, of course, by Draft Kings. The season is in full swing and the action is still unfolding. So head over to Draft King's Sportsbook, America's top-rated sportsbook app. With so many

storylines across both professional and collegiate sports, this is the time to check out all that Draft King's sportsbook has to offer. If you haven't tried the app yet, head to the app store now because you don't want to miss this. To celebrate the show, Showdown in Happy Valley, Draft King Sportsbook is giving all new users the chance to turn $1 into $100 when placing a bet on either Ohio State or Penn State. Download the top-rated draft king sportsbook app now and use promo code Greenlight when you sign up to get this can't miss offer. Pick either Penn State or Ohio State, bet $1 on them and cash $100 if they win. That's right, $1 to win $100 when you use promo code green light.

during sign-up for a limited time only at Draft King's Sportsbook. Must be 21 or older in New Jersey, Indiana, or Pennsylvania-only bonus comprise the first deposit bonus and first-bats match, each up to $500 deposit bonus, requires 25 times play-through. Restrictions apply, see, draftkings.com slash sportsbook for details. Gambling problem, call 1-800-gambler or in Indiana, 1-800-9 with it. And as always, I am joined by the esteemed Stanford Steve. He is the first person in the last 10 years to throw out a Rutgers money line pick and be right about it. I mean, he's automatic.

Sands Rice. It was a perfect weekend. Don't say that word, the R word. I don't want to say that word anymore. Well, more on them later. But yeah, Ruckers, we got there. We liked, I know, we talked about it. Chiano's back.

He got a bunch of transfers, guys that have, you know, Division I experience. I actually looked at them again this week. They're getting double digits again from Indiana, who has one of probably the biggest win in school history off of Penn State. So that might be another spot for Ruckers. So, yeah, we got, we got a lot of options. options this week, Chris.

Come on. They're all looking like Rucker's spots to me right now after that last week. The wood is being chopped again. Yeah. So we're not going to dwell on last week. After all, this is a holiday. It's supposed to be fun. There's enough ugliness in the world as it is.

Let's just give you credit for your Ruckers pick. And let's catch up on the NFL side of things. Let's get to week seven. This is going to be a fun week. I really feel like the NFL is getting fun as it does about halfway through after Halloween. That's what Bill Belichick always said. The season starts after Halloween.

I don't know if you're going to be. he's going to be happy about that that old adage when it comes to the way they're playing football right now. We can talk about that in a second. What is it looking like for you with your most confident pick? I like the Ravens. It's my favorite rivalry in the sport. I think it's the best rivalry in the sport. I love how much these two sides don't like each other, but they also obviously respect each other. Tomlin on one side, Harbaugh on the other, the quarterbacks, you know, now we got Lamar in the mix. I do appreciate how Ben talks about how physical the matchup is. Like quarterback's talking about how physical the matchup is.

Well, you know, Ben feels everything. I know. Well, he did feel that broken nose he got a couple years ago. But no, this is my favorite game. And I just, I really like the spot here for the Ravens. The off-a-by. And I'm just looking at the Steelers, you know, hanging on last week. We know they're undefeated. up a little bit. I saw Villanuevae in practice, Jujus Smith-Schuster, Pouncey didn't practice, Deonté didn't practice. So on the other side, the only guy that Ravens don't have is Ingram, who's still nursing an ankle. So I just like the approach and what Baltimore

has coming in. I really, we've talked about it for a couple weeks now. It really feels like the Ravens are just under the radar, just like the Chiefs were last year. And I, I just just like the way they match up. We know they're not going to fear them. And I, I kind of like the way Baltimore matches up front against that Pittsburgh offensive line. And then in the back end, Humphrey feels, I know he had a little illness, but he should be back. He's one of my favorite guys to watch also. So I like the Ravens in the spot. I know, you know, it kind of, the line kind of smells because you see an undefeated team, you know, getting points from a one lost team. And, you know, a lot of times people say, oh, give me the undefeated team. But I, in

here this instance i feel like it is warranted it opened that six so that just tells you how much money pittsburgh's taken uh which makes me even like baltimore more yeah you know what it's funny because when you look at these two teams the team that got slept on about less than two months ago was the stealer so you know i i think there is an element of it's not your prototypical hey this team has been the undisputed leader of the clubhouse in the afc north throughout the last year and half. It's been, you know, for a second there, we were talking about Baltimore's division in the next 10 years, you know, that type of thing. Like, we got out over our skates a little bit or ski. No doubt. I think it's just, as this rivalry does, it's, it's come back to the center. And it's the best

rivalry in football. You know, Harbaugh and Tomlin, they're going to play the 25th game against each other. That's really rare in football today. Look at your research. Yeah, well, it speaks to the parody. I mean, save this stuff for the real pod, you know, this isn't not the this isn't a real pod, but this is for the gamblers. But I do want to dive a little bit deeper into this game because it is two weeks in a row Pittsburgh playing in the marquee spot. The biggest question for me is going to be

because so much of the game is predicated in my opinion on Pittsburgh starting fast, who jumps the gun? Because if Pittsburgh starts fast, they have their last two weeks, 24-7 both games. Of course, Tennessee came back and that sort of thing. They always do. Yeah, and they get, well, you know, they get T.J. Watt back

so they'll be able to, you know, control the football a little bit more with leads. The big question to me is you got one team coming off a buy in Baltimore. Buy week teams can sleepwalk and Pittsburgh's coming off a 15 round fight. You know, like do they have the hangover or does Baltimore have the hangover? Because if Pittsburgh gets out in front, Lamar's not built to come back. We know that by now. That's a front running team.

They haven't beaten anybody this year. Pittsburgh at least has one pelt on the wall. It's worth of shit in Tennessee. So, and offensively, I agree with you. I worry about, if anything, the Pittsburgh offensive line. See how they use Yonic. They got Kaleas. They blitz.

Wink blitz is more than anybody. But I think Ben's been getting the ball out quicker at this stage of his career than he ever has. And these guys run after the catch allows them to move the chains every week. So I like the Steelers. And it's funny you say the Baltimore thing is your most confident. The Steelers might be my most confident pick. All right. But for the reasons you mentioned, I'm a little nervous with all the money.

being on the Steelers. I will ask you this. This game feels like all the time, it's Sunday night or Monday night. As a player, how much better, like, do the guys like having this

as a Sunday 1 o'clock game? We like Sunday 1 o'clock game. I think. I mean, you think back to college, would you like better? Because you were in the pack, you pack 12 schedule.

I mean, it's a little different, I guess, but I like to wake up and go. And there's actually nothing worse than sitting around in a weird hotel. room waiting for a game.

Nothing. It's the most bizarre feeling in the world. And I sleep too much before a game like that. You sleep all night because you're either sleeping or you're doing a walk through. You drive yourself nuts. In a ballroom or a parking lot and it's pointless. It's busy work. It's like the hay is in the barn.

Let's go play. We're going to go outside and feel the weather. Why? It's 10 degrees outside. Oh, my God. Or we're going to get in like, we're going to get in a bus and drive 40 minutes to the stadium and come back and you know we're going to feel what the grass feels like for 10 minutes it's the dumbest shit ever get the game over with i actually think it's awesome when we got some story time i got a

great story about going to play washington state uh ryan leaf uh game he struck the highsman on us uh what else we're going to go um the under in the lions colts game 50 colts off a buy detroit's gotten things together uh after after thereby two straight wins the defense looks like they're getting better under Patricia. Stafford, I think I read the Lions are the first team ever to not lose a fumble in the first six weeks of the season. That is

like the most not Lions thing ever. I've ever heard of. So they're playing better. I think this is going to be a tightly contested game. We know Rivers bailed out the Colts last time chucking after they fell to the Bengals two weeks ago. So I think this competitive game,

Reich really wants to get the running game going. He talks about how that's the key. and, you know, for all the talk, and I love Quentin Nelson more than anybody, but it feels like the Colts do need to get an emphasis on that run game. So I expect them to try and pound the rock a little bit, take pressure off the Old Man rivers. And, you know, the Lions are the Lions, you know, do we feel like they're due for a stinker? You could say that almost every other week. But I'm a Stafford fan.

I like what I see. Kudas played well for the Lions on the back end. and I still want more from the Colts offense. I don't think they're going to get it. I like Patricia to plan for them. Listen. I'm going to go under. I like your call on the under.

I also think that's going to be an ugly game. And I like the lions in this spot, honestly. I'm not going to give them out, but I do like the lions. You know, many moons ago it feels like I speculated that they could win the north. So we'll see. I love Matt Stafford. Hey, anything's possible. You know the way the Green Bay.

Does Matt Stafford go by Matt or Matthew? We got to make sure. We got to make sure that's a thing this week. I'll tell you more about that on my pod. Hey, I really am excited about the Buffalo New England game for all the story. Are you? Just as a viewer, the wind, the rain, the 50 mile per hour Gus, seeing Bill soaked in rain, like just impervious to the weather.

it's one of my favorite pastimes. This is a perfect spot for New England to get back on track, right? This is the New England game. This is the last spot because they've been awful. But they're not going to win. Okay. I thought about the under, but honestly, what's scaring me off the under is Bill's defense. I mean, the Bill's defense could give up 20 points on the ground just alone.

You're saying Bill's defense or the Bills? The Bills. The Bills. Like Buffalo, not Bill Belich. defense. No, I'm talking to the Buffalo Bill's defense is a concern as well. So I think you look at the weather, you look at these two teams, offensive struggles

relatively speaking late, especially on the New England side, you might think, oh, that under looks good. I think they're going to score a little bit more than you think, even in sloppy, bad weather. And then you always have to account for like a turnover, a short field. So I'm staying away from the under. I know that probably everybody and their mother's on

Buffalo, but I'm going to be on Buffalo as well. I know it just it seems too obvious. Here's why, man. New England's just not a good football team. And Cam coming back and getting his feet under him, these are not opportune conditions for him to do that. I just don't have faith in New England this weekend.

I think this is finally the spot that McDermott gets a win. But I'm worried about the total, so I wouldn't bet the under all that. It looks really tantalizing. Most disappointing unit for me in all of the NFL this year is the Bill's defense. I thought they were going to, I thought they were going to be one of the most dominant groups. They actually

just got dropped in my fantasy league. That tells you how bad they're playing. Get them out of here. So yeah, no, it's, I'm still bitter because the Patriots cost me my survivor pool this year would have lost in Denver. I still can't believe they lost that game. Well, and then they lose, well, the Denver thing, so

the thing with Cam, and I've been explaining this all week, is we almost forgot the Miami game wasn't that impressive. And the Seattle game was like, Holy shit, he's back. Then, you know, you have the Vegas game. Since then, it's been nothing. Yeah, the Vegas game.

We swept it under the rug because we were like, well, he just had the Seattle game. Then COVID, Denver's, well, it's lack of preparation. Well, what was that last weekend? And then you take Julian Edelman away from him this weekend. That broke earlier today. I think the bills win this ballgame by, you know, four to seven points. It's comfortable. It's tight, late.

It's ugly, but I think they pull away. All right. And I got to go back to the well. I still can't believe Russell Wilson lost that game to Arizona Sunday night, 2717. You're thinking it's over. But I'll take the Seahawks minus, I think it's three now against San Francisco. Shanahan's gotten it, you know, right of the ship, it feels like. They've gotten guys back healthy.

Garapolo's taking care of the football. I worry about the running back position. I mean, I don't know what it is with that, but they got guys that just go down like flies. Yeah. Love the Dunlap acquisition. I actually like that better. than if they were going to get A-B, I think that makes them a better football team.

It's what they needed. And you could just plug them in. Hey, go get 10 on the other side. So I think Seattle bounces back here. But I will say this. If San Francisco wins this game, that division is an absolute bloodbath for the finish line.

I mean, that is, I mean, brass knuckles every week. And it's possible. I mean, like, listen, I still have the Seahawks as, you know, my Super Bowl team in the NFC, although the Bucks are a terrible matchup. I'm just, I'm going to will. Like, if I'm Russ and Seattle, I feel like I feel very good about getting to Tampa, but if you have to see the Bucks along the way, that's a problem.

In division, I think they could lose this game. Sure. I do think people would probably overreact to last week because if you're betting on Russell. Sorry to cut you up. Look what had to happen for them to lose that game. Dude, that's what I'm saying. If you're betting on Russell, too, literally...

That's nuts. Arizona's blitzes were really good. But in overtime, that look that they gave them where they popped the rookie out and he double mugged the A gap and he pops out to a spot and Russell's just throwing it there.

It's like, dude, and the play down at the goal line. Picks in the red zone, just don't bank on that. So I agree with you. I think they're going to come back strong. And I like the Dunlap pickup. You know, it's, it seems like a steel.

the guy was just you're going to get his best he just listed his house on Twitter after all you got to do now at 4 o'clock on a Sunday the guy wanted out of Sincey so bad my pick to round out the Sunday section here

is going to be the over in the Cleveland Las Vegas game damn the wind damn the weather the number's too low it's 51 I think both teams are going to break off chunks on the ground quarterbacks just have to take care of the football

and if they don't, you know, Baker's got a pick six in them here or there. So I really feel like this game's going to go over. I'm a little afraid of the weather, but I'm not going to outthink myself. Yeah, I had that one circled for sure. But both officers are at an advantage

against both those defenses. So I like your pick there. Absolutely. So let's do the college game of the week, we? Yeah, let's do it. Scott likes his burrito bowls from Chipotle with double chicken. I'm going to go double rice this week. All right, take rice again. That's a bonus pick. That's a bonus pick. No one does no rice. For real, I'm going to take Georgia. They're off a buy. Last time we saw them, they got shut out to Alabama in that second half on that crazy game in Tuscaloosa.

Kentucky comes in minus their quarterback. They got to start a transatlantic. from Auburn, Joey Gatewood, who's not the greatest thrower. I do think Georgia's defense is elite. So we're going to give the double-digit points. It's around 14 and a half. If you want to buy it to 14, go ahead, give the 15, whatever you want to do. But I really like the spot for Georgia. They've been really good against Kentucky in the spot. Kentucky just doesn't have the goods of what they had in years prior with the pros that they've had. So I really like Georgia's defense to travel to Lexington and get the job done here. You talk about buying points,

and I am looking at sending this bed in, because it can't be two weeks in a row, I can't have my heartbroken by one of the college football's best here. I mean, we were on the right side. It didn't seem like it for quite a while, but we were on the right side of that rice game. Yes. Okay.

We were. First two drives in a game, they kicked field goals. Settle this with this jackoff on Twitter, who I posted, I posted, hey man, that was a terrible, beat. And, you know, some guy was like, you don't even know what a bad beat is if you think that's a bad beat. I go, are you kidding me? You, you scratch and claw, you have a segment called bad beats, you and Scott. So would that qualify as a bad beat? We try not to put it in there. It would have been a bad beat. Like if you did, maybe if you were like you and bought it to three, but then you were to push. So it really wasn't a loss. So that wasn't a beat. I had them on the money, money line. That is a horrific beat. Exactly. Thank you. Thank you. And buddy on Twitter. Sorry to bring it up, Chris. Yeah, no, I mean, it was terrible.

I mean, like, I couldn't believe it. Not just the quad doy, but then they miss a field. They get a field goal blocked on a re-kick. I texted you in the first quarter, I said, this isn't going to be good. Yeah, but, you know, when I asked you, are we dead in like the second quarter or whatever? When I'm looking on my server app, you said yes, but I turned on the game on my little laptop. I had to find it, you know, I had to get Cox Cable, charter. I'm stealing passwords.

I'm calling friends. And I got to watch them come back. Arduous comeback How about the last minute of the game The fourth of 25 They get it They score And then of course they go down and let

Middle Tennessee Get a field goal That absolutely just slidered right in Bro awful It was he had it all Had it all I mean

Somebody Somebody upstairs was Is mad at Rice So yeah I'm mad at you and me I'm looking at this George again game. But if you talk about buying a half a point, buy a half a point if it's in the three and a half

range and you want to get it to four in that Steelers game earlier, I think that could make a big difference. So looking at the college game of the week, we got Georgia and let's do joint bank account. This was a fun one. You came up as Matthew McConaughey, you know, our friend Matthew and I were discussing Rice. He said, where the fuck did you get that? I said, your voice there for Steve. Sorry, three of the bus. But we've got joint bank account this week.

I'm going to give out an NFL dog. It's hard this week with the dogs. They're either really big or they're really small. And I like Cincinnati in that spot if you got to pick one. I really do believe it. I talked about the hangover that could come off of that Pittsburgh game. And you got to do Cincinnati is a team that blew like a huge lead to Indy. who's not, in my opinion, a great football team.

They've been closed. They've been knocking on the door. I think Tennessee is due for a stinker. I think the first half last week was a stinker for them, but they played really well in the second half. I could see them just the bottom falling out a little bit after this three, four week run that's been so chaotic for them. All right. I'm going to go to the college side. Northwestern's catching a couple points from Iowa.

We're going to go Northwestern Moneyline. I'm the guy, new resident in Maryland. I watch Northwestern Maryland. Northwestern might be good. Maryland, not good. Not good. I think Northwestern can pull this off. Let's check out the video.

Texas, Oklahoma State. Give me a score for that if you can. I know you like gambling. I wish I could have talked to you more about gambling. I love the callback. I love calling back to that Buffalo Bills, Oilers game. I lost a lot of money on rice on the quad doink this weekend, so I hear you on the gambling.

The quad doink. how I got in that hole with fucking rice is absurd. I didn't know it was in, I didn't even know where the university is. Where did you, where did you even, where did you find rice of rice football game? Blame your boy, Stanford Steve. Stanford Steve and I do a gambling show.

He gave it out. He's like, bro, you got to get on rice. Okay. So give me a prediction for that game and then one compliment for the Oklahoma football program. Sure. Prediction on that. Texas plays the big games well.

we can come out of Stillwater 3531 victorious. Complement on Oklahoma. My compliment to you, Oklahoma, you Sooners, is how you compliment us, the Longhorns, every time you do this. Thank you. You are using our sign to get your confidence. You know, all you really got to do,

if you want to get technical about it, is turn over and now it's facing up again. It's not that hard to do. Thank you. I hope you get your own sign one day, and you can be proud of that. In the meantime, we're welcome to keep putting horns down for us. It is a backhanded compliment. Well, they've always been thieves, haven't they?

The whole mascot is predicated on running out there in a field and getting the land first. It was somebody else's. So, yeah, I mean, he almost, he kind of judged me there. He doesn't take a lot of rice. Well, he's a Texas guy. I know. I know. He is Texas.

No, but he is the state of Texas. So if anybody's familiar with how degenerate it is to find a rice line for. There's a little appreciation in there. I felt it. He was. He appreciated it. So yeah, there we go. There you have it.

Oklahoma, what is it, 35, 31? He thinks they're going to get the job done, or Texas, rather. At Oklahoma State. At Oklahoma State. At Oklahoma State, 35, 31. That will do it. Check out the regular Greenlight podcast with drops every Monday and Friday. Remember, we're going Monday morning now.

And I might have a special guest here this Sunday night in the wee hours to talk about the Sunday slate. And you're looking at them on the other side of the Zoom call here. I'm psyched about that. We've got to get my guy on the reg pod. Be safe. Have a great weekend. Everybody. Stanford, Steve.

Happy hunting. Let's go do it. Happy Halloween, my man. Tell, I'm Mason, I said hi. Okay.