Green Light with Chris Long - NFL WK11 Best Bets! Steelers vs Ravens, Chiefs To Cover & Seahawks-49ers OVER!

Episode Date: November 16, 2024

Chris, Macon and Stanford Steve share their EXPERT picks for the NFL's WK11 slate - the games to bet, the games to stay away from and the absolute toss ups. Do we like the over or the under in the Bal...timore Ravens-Pittsburgh Steelers game? How about Buffalo Bills or Kansas City Chiefs? Will the San Francisco 49ers & Seattle Seahawks score points and do the Bengals have a shot at putting up some points? Great picks, happy hunting! Want your Green Light Merch so you can look exactly like Chris and the fellas? Hit the website below and get kitted! https://stores.kotisdesign.com/yotehouse/products Have some interesting takes, some codebreaks or just want to talk to the Green Light Crew? We want to hear from you. Call into the Green Light Hotline and give us your hottest takes, your biggest gripes and general thoughts. Day and night, this hotline is open. Green Light Hotline: ‪(202) 991-0723‬ Send any Talent Search submissions to: social@chalkmedia.com Include any video of your talents, takes and bits as well as a little bit about yourself. Love hearing from the Green Light fans. Also, check out our paddling partners at Appomattox River Company to get your canoes, kayaks and paddleboards so you're set to hit the river this summer. https://paddleva.com/ Green Light Spotify Music: https://open.spotify.com/user/951jyryv2nu6l4iqz9p81him9?si=17c560d10ff04a9b Spotify Layup Line: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/1olmCMKGMEyWwOKaT1Aah3?si=675d445ddb824c42 Green Light Tube YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgxWFAA-wuB7osdiAJyLOcw Green Light with Chris Long: Subscribe and enjoy weekly content including podcasts, documentaries, live chats, celebrity interviews and more including hot news items, trending discussions from the NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, NCAA are just a small part of what we will be sharing with you. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 You guys think you're doing so well at these picks and everything. You know, I like to gamble, too. You know what I'm saying? I like to gamble. Give all my blessings. Look out everywhere, all right? That's my sort of gamble, all right? I give all my blessings.
Starting point is 00:00:17 Look out everywhere, okay? You degenerates. Go with God, baby. All right. I'll make a pick here. Can you scroll down a little bit? Have I supposed to get what just happened? As you've heard, we've teamed up with BetMGM this season.
Starting point is 00:00:37 We'll be using BetMGM lines to make all our picks, and we'll have special offers for you listeners each week. If you all haven't signed up for BetMGM yet, use bonus code Greenlight, and you will get up to $1,500 first bet offer on your first wager with BetMGM. Here's how it works. One, download the BetMGM app and sign up using bonus code Greenlight.
Starting point is 00:00:58 Two, deposit at least $10 and place your... first wager on any game. Three, you will receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your bet loses. Just make sure you use bonus code Greenlight when you sign up. Welcome to the Greenlight podcast. It's Stanford Steve Macon and Chris running through the best bets of the NFL's Week 11 slate. And as you can tell from the first few seconds of this episode, we don't have any fun at all.
Starting point is 00:01:31 A complete blast, best picks. You want to listen all the way through to get the best. Roadmap to make some money this weekend. Enjoy it. We'll see on Monday for our Week 11 reactions live on YouTube at 2.30 Eastern. Steve, where are you? I'm currently in the makeup room here in our office in Athens, Georgia, getting ready for Tennessee at Georgia, which factors into another elimination game, as you were witnessed to last week, Chris, in Alabama, LSU.
Starting point is 00:02:29 We're here, fired up. Great place, night game. Georgia hasn't played a home game in 37 days. Fans are jazzed up. Oh, wow, that's a little, that might be pertinent. I feel like that gives you an edge betting the dogs this weekend. I don't know anything about the game, but tell me this. Athens compared to Baton Rouge.
Starting point is 00:02:47 I kind of asked you about it just a second ago, because we spent the weekend in Baton Rouge last week, Steve. We got some major quality time. What did you think? Buddy, I love the place. I love the people. I was just texting with my dog Hugh. I was texting with Big Age.
Starting point is 00:03:03 What about BG? Texting with BG all through the slate last Sunday, bro. Hey, those are those, Hey, I feel like I'm now an extended member of a family. They make everybody feel that way down there. They do. It's an amazing,
Starting point is 00:03:17 amazing place for that. And I always say it, the people. The people are just incredible and want you to join in and have a good time. Really wish Makin could have made it. He gave it a college try.
Starting point is 00:03:29 I did. He said a good precedent. Yeah. Okay. Said a good precedent. So, yeah. Athens is different. They don't like it when I say it, but they're, they've been pretty spoiled recently, you know, with the two Natty's and, you know, having a great year last year.
Starting point is 00:03:49 So they got a little turn on them, though. They're ready to get fired up because of 13. 37 days again, obviously what they look like against Ole Miss, backs against the wall, having to loss to Bama too, knowing what Bama has turned into. And, you know, not many times Kirby could play the lack of respect card, but you could see that coming with them being outside the rankings right now, too. So they got it all.
Starting point is 00:04:16 And the quarterback for Tennessee, Nico Iamaliava, his status is still to be determined, but all signs point to him being able to start. So what was Kirby mad at his player about? Wouldn't he mad at a player? He called him an idiot. It was maybe a player after the game on his team that was celebrating. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:04:36 After they lost. Bad scene. Yeah. That's pretty idiotic. Really? No, I understand. I understand not calling your players idiots, but like that's also not even like on the,
Starting point is 00:04:47 that's not even on the, I didn't even think that wasn't within the realm of possibility. What? He was just excited to see his friend or something. I guess so. He had friends and family. visiting from out of town and was like excited to see them down on the field. Very cringe worthy.
Starting point is 00:05:02 It was cringe worthy, man. That's tough, man. I mean, like the type of guy that would be happy to see his friends after, like, I feel for him because he doesn't know any better. Yes, exactly. That's why it's kind of like you sort of want to feel. And then it's like, no, man. No, can't do it.
Starting point is 00:05:21 At first I was like, what are you doing calling your players idiots? And then I saw the footage. I was like, yeah, that's pretty idiotic. Like, some things are okay to say in certain situations. Yeah, it was a great, great week. You know, got out to Monday night, got to see my man Callais Campbell again in person. Huge. Oh, my God, he's so big.
Starting point is 00:05:43 Like cleats, cleats on, gloves still on, comes on the set with Scott. So it was awesome to see him. But how was your guys' week? Good? It was good. I wanted to ask you this about Monday. What does verse look like in person size-wise? That's a good one.
Starting point is 00:06:02 Bigger than I thought, more trim than like Chop Robinson. Really? I felt like that. Yeah, I mean, he's put together, no doubt. Where is he? What are he weighs looking at him? 260, maybe? Yeah, that's what he's listed at 260.
Starting point is 00:06:25 I just wonder if he appeared bigger or small. or but he's got to watch for a man Fisk in person too. Yeah. Fisk is a dog. Yeah. Fiske is a dog. So. All right.
Starting point is 00:06:38 Well, my week was good. How about yours, Mike? Yeah, had a good week. Watch a lot of TV shows and such, you know,
Starting point is 00:06:44 hung out with the kids and did real estate. Well, big week, Steve, we have Silo coming back. We have Say Nothing. We have Bell sisters. Went through Severance.
Starting point is 00:06:53 No, no yellow stone. Wait, wait, the old severance? You went to the old severance just to catch up. catch up or you never seen severance is good yeah very good it's serious yep i cannot wait to see severance again yep how about how about the picks oh you were trying to get to the picks
Starting point is 00:07:08 well i had a pretty good week steve i went four and one i'm now 31 and 19 that's a 62% uh hit rate that's really good correct you i appreciate and in my personal life i'm having a very good time as well in that i can tell i can tell now steve 26 posture's a lot different than the guy next to you. Well, we really put him through the ringer today. We had him answering mailbag questions and shit, you know.
Starting point is 00:07:36 Steve is 26, 22, and 2. That's a 54.2% rating or hit rate and he went three and two last week, making, even at 04 and 1 last week, which is I mean, absolutely terrible.
Starting point is 00:07:52 04 and 1. He's 53% on the year. You see how just spun that into a positive. You're welcome. 25, 22, and three. There we go. Come on. Give me a smart. Come on. Be happy. We're all above ground here. I'm two,
Starting point is 00:08:08 seven, and one in the last two weeks and I'm still three above 500. But we're a team. We're a team. Yeah, we're a team. We're a team. Yeah. So we're not happy about it. You need to pick it the fuck up. Okay. 12 and 4, 16, and 3 is 19. 19, above 500 collectively. Maybe we
Starting point is 00:08:24 put that on the graphic. Okay. There we go. 12 of those is me to be fair. All right. There's analytics. Yeah. No. Who's up first this week?
Starting point is 00:08:37 Oh, it's me, huh? Oh, fuck. Look at that. This fucker. This is a weird week. Yeah, I like the week. They'll still be there, right? Didn't like the week last week.
Starting point is 00:08:51 I would actually like to be at the turn. Can I trade? It was. He said he's going to ride our asses. you're not your second no trading um i like three i like three spreads a lot okay okay okay today junior maybe take one of them um Cleveland Browns okay okay that was the one I like third best I'm fading myself a bit I have a system okay the Cleveland Browns are going to New Orleans. They're catching a point.
Starting point is 00:09:33 Thank you. Is it Steve now? Yes. Yep. I watched them. I think they're going to get hot. They're playing the worst team in the league. Give me to Dolphins minus seven. Okay. We got it at seven and a half. Oh, come on. He's a bearer of bad news.
Starting point is 00:09:52 Just terrible. Just terrible. I don't care what it is. I'm taking the Buffalo Bills Oh, okay Okay Okay And you got another pick
Starting point is 00:10:08 Oh, I do I'm taking Hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on I'm taking God's team The Decker Broncos At home Against the Atlanta Falcons That was my first pick
Starting point is 00:10:22 Yeah That didn't take I'm so glad I'm so glad to get it I'm going My favorite rivalry in the league I'm going under Raven Steelers under 48 and a half. Okay, careful, Steve.
Starting point is 00:10:34 Be careful. Nobody can play defense in those games. Okay. This is where I thought you were going when you say I don't care. I don't care how high it goes. The Detroit Lions at home, please. I know, that's a good one. What's the number?
Starting point is 00:10:49 That's the right play. Two full touchdowns, 14. And two PATs. You're right. If you haven't noticed, that's not an automatic, I guess. I mean, you got a kicker that was laying bricks in Houston. Hey. Who's selling bricks?
Starting point is 00:11:10 Who wouldn't even laying them? He's a brick salesman. I didn't know there was somebody that sold the bricks. Who's up? I'm up. I'm thinking. Fucking rattled. Okay.
Starting point is 00:11:31 How about you stop fucking watching TV shows and look at the slate? You know, that's a really. Yes, dude. I almost said we'll pay you not to watch TV shows and just watch more fun. But I realize we're already paying him. I'll go to Denver and I'll take the under. The under in Denver.
Starting point is 00:11:53 44 points. Okay. Is it mean? 44 and a half of my sheet, but 44 points now. Jaguars team total under. You say Jaguars, huh? Jaguires 16 and a half There you go
Starting point is 00:12:07 He probably also says Tournament Or tournament Tournament Tournament Please My wife says that I almost divorced her
Starting point is 00:12:18 For a sad Yeah It's like a terrible thing to say Yes Somebody says tournament like that What else are they capable of Right I get the under
Starting point is 00:12:29 In Chicago Had that written down Chris I bet you did. I really did. See, there's a down arrow right there's the right play though. That's how I do it. Arrow down is under. I'll take no arrow up is over.
Starting point is 00:12:45 I might start doing that. Yep. Oh, it's me again? Yeah. Hello. All right, go down to the team totals because I got to pick one of those, right? I still got to. I don't have to.
Starting point is 00:12:57 I don't have to. A wild car. I might want to. So give me the, like a bitter beer face well man pay attention to the slate and stop you know
Starting point is 00:13:14 barking at your dog barking at my dog let me have the bangles go down bangles over 23 and a half please good defense there in L.A. Yeah I got some guys down in the secondary
Starting point is 00:13:32 you have another one oh I have another one no he picked two Jesus Christ Steve? I don't blame me, Steve. You're back up. I love it.
Starting point is 00:13:47 Oh, he loves it. Guy loves it. Yeah, he loves it. Why don't you marry it, Steve? All right, I will. Chiefs. That's where I was going. No, you weren't.
Starting point is 00:13:59 No, you can't do that. Yeah, I was. I was going there. Not now. Suck it. Suck it. that's a good one okay try that try to use that okay I'm gonna try that I'm gonna use it though suck on this Raven Steelers over bitch I love that I like it yeah I love that I love that I love that
Starting point is 00:14:30 I need a spread I need a total don't I it's making it has another one that was an emotional play for me maybe I shouldn't have done that oh I just hate stealing Steve, you know. You know, you guys are, you guys think you're doing so well at these picks and everything. You know, I like to, I like to gamble too. You know what I'm saying? You ready? I like to gamble. Give, give all my blessings look out everywhere. All right? That's my sort of gamble. All right? I give all my blessings. Look out everywhere, okay? You degenerates. Go with God, baby. All right. I'll make a pick here. Can you scroll down a little bit? Have I supposed to get what just happened?
Starting point is 00:15:25 Being a little weird in here today, huh? He's totally unhinged. Okay. All right. Got to pick one of these games. Okay. Hmm. Can I take both sides of the same game to ensure I have a victory? No. All right. I'm just asking. come on no it's hard man it's hard enough for me and i'm 32 and 19 or whatever the fuck 31 and 19 yeah good catch
Starting point is 00:15:59 wait how i don't know that does add up we do five a week can i see what i've picked oh my god browns lion i was about to take the falcons broncos under first and the second time
Starting point is 00:16:18 Woo! Okay. I'm going to Can I tell you what I'm going to do? You know what this is? He definitely doesn't have anywhere to go. Can I want to tell you what I'm going to do? I maybe expedite this.
Starting point is 00:16:31 I know, but like I can just jump him maybe after a certain amount of time. It's my... It becomes like the Vikings draft pick in the day. Yeah. Well, typically they put a shot clock on this. 10 seconds. Okay. Five.
Starting point is 00:16:45 Four. Four. Three. Two. Give them a no pick. Give them a no pick. Automatically wrong. The under and Raiders.
Starting point is 00:17:01 Oh, that's a good play. That's what I was about to play. Yeah. Thank you. But no. Fuck you, Steve. I got a fucking, I got to stop with the cursing. That was my second choice.
Starting point is 00:17:10 I'm going to go. I really respect. I'm going to go for the turn. It's Steve. Oh, sorry. Sorry. Yeah, just so fucking, you know. Shut out Murray.
Starting point is 00:17:16 I'm sorry for the expletives. I hate saying this word. Jets You don't you don't worry a bit that they're completely broken I do totally giving up
Starting point is 00:17:30 if I got to watch no but you heard what Roger said you heard what Roger said they're fighting ghosts from the past it's not even his it's not even this team's fault it's certainly not the quarterback's fault Steve you only picked one
Starting point is 00:17:44 total eke so you can't pick Jets minus four I'm sorry Sorry. Cuss you out. Oh, my gosh. Are you high on drugs or something?
Starting point is 00:17:54 Give me the under in that game. Oh, what a quick pivot by you. Commendable. Hakeem Elijah won't pivot. All right. Give me a... Damn, that's a good pick, Steve.
Starting point is 00:18:06 I like that better than my total. Chris, yours has to be a total. That's got to be a total. I had a total in my head. I just forgot because all the fuckery on this set right now. I'm going to go with the under and big D. Okay. Hey. Where?
Starting point is 00:18:20 Dallas. It's Monday night. Yeah, I can't. Oh, I can't pick a Monday night game. Damn. Idiot. Wow. Didn't you just pick a fucking side when you needed to make a total?
Starting point is 00:18:33 God damn. Picking a moron game is worse. Oh, is it worse? Back me up. Back me up, guys. Back me up. Yeah. It's worse.
Starting point is 00:18:40 It's worse. It's worse. Okay, I'll take the over in Seattle or in San Francisco. I like it. But watch that under is going to hit. Monday night. Nobody took Steelers Ravens side? We go six and no.
Starting point is 00:18:56 Too scared. No, I would take the Steelers. I bet the Steelers. I'm betting the Steelers. Can't wait for that game. I'm going to bet the Steelers. You know who I thought about? Why?
Starting point is 00:19:06 It doesn't really make sense. The Seattle Seahawks. No, that's why you like them because it doesn't make any sense. If you like them, you would have took them. You get five picks. You know what he said last night? We did Thursday Night Time Machine, which I won. Okay.
Starting point is 00:19:19 We both. No. I won the tiebreaker. You know, then it becomes a total thing. I said 27-22. He said, what, 32-27 or something? 29-24. Didn't you both pick the commies?
Starting point is 00:19:29 We'd pick the Eagles by five. Why would I ever pick the commies, bro? Yeah, come on, dog. You know, I lose my pass for something like that. So anyways, the game kicks off. It's 10-3 commies at the half or whatever it is. 7-3, whatever the fuck it is. It doesn't matter.
Starting point is 00:19:47 And making tweets under the prediction, You know what's interesting? I knew it was a commie spot all along. Engagement. You know, I was engagement farming. What's up, everybody? If you've been listening to the show for a while, you've probably heard us talk about one of the many Airbnbs we've stayed in. We had a lot of great times at Airbnbs in places like Phoenix, Buffalo, Green Bay, and Minneapolis. I'll never forget some of the memories we made, like hearing the coyotes how in the desert, playing pool late in the night with the guys
Starting point is 00:20:24 and interviewing ledges like Brian Dawkins right from the comfort of a beautiful Airbnb in Phoenix for the Super Bowl. We love the convenience and it's way easier to hang out with your friends when you have a big place to share rather than staying at a hotel with separate rooms. Yeah, and we'll be booking Airbnb's
Starting point is 00:20:41 for every trip we take this season. Is that right, Cowboy? Hosting on Airbnb is such a good opportunity if you live in a big football town. A nice vacation with the whole family sounds expensive, right? Well, when fans come to your town for those big games, your home could be an Airbnb. Hosting is a practical way to earn extra money to make your vacation truly special. If you're listening to this from home, what you might not realize is that your home is worth more than you think.
Starting point is 00:21:07 Find out how much at Airbnb.com slash host. Anything else we like? Virginia. You like Virginia? Hey, I'm going to bet Virginia. I haven't we come through for you twice? on game day. Are we 2 and O?
Starting point is 00:21:23 Are you riding with us again? Are you going back to the well? Hey, I'm hot damn. You know what? I could see Notre Dame having a lot of trouble getting Calandria off the field.
Starting point is 00:21:32 You know, I watched that Northern Illinois game. Yep. Over there in South Bend. Hard ass, yeah. That was tough. Yep. Candy man.
Starting point is 00:21:41 Who's a rolling? Who's it going to win? Easy. So where do you guys want your half point? Oh, where do we want our half points? Our half points. on my stupid seven and a half that's not seven and a half anywhere. What are we talking about here?
Starting point is 00:21:58 Download bed MGM. Dolphins. Yep. So I suppose the smart thing to do for me is to do San Fran Seattle. Is that the best thing to do? Because everything else is, what do I do? I would move off of a full point onto a half point so you can't push it.
Starting point is 00:22:21 pushed him. Pushed him. That's what I'm saying with San Fran, Seattle. It's more likely in a minus two or plus two games. You're right. You're right. You're right. You're right.
Starting point is 00:22:29 You're right. The Broncos is a low-scoring game. I'll take the Broncos. It's smart. Two and a half or two, one and a half. I'll get the Detroit Lions off the 14 down to 13. That's really. You went to school.
Starting point is 00:22:46 To lay up. Hey, Steve. What we heard was. with this expanded playoff oh the regular season won't matter as much don't you think so many more games matter more like the one you're at this weekend
Starting point is 00:23:01 it's funny making I don't hear those people anymore I dig it come on in have them on the pod who is that is that Lee Corso yeah it is no way yeah let me see him it's right there Sam
Starting point is 00:23:16 I can't see that far he's he's he's going over his notes Can we put in the subtitle of the show that we had Lee Corso on? Every week, can you just flashed Lee Corso? Yeah. The camera. Also, I don't think anybody was trying to get Steve's attention.
Starting point is 00:23:37 Lee Corso's seated like, I know. He's a fake come on in. He's got to go. Yeah. Maybe I do. Not like Macon one time. I'm the only person that hasn't just abruptly left the show. You're right, but in my defense,
Starting point is 00:23:51 It's making was being a fuck boy. America's Seas. America's beams. Steve, that's right, right? We get to pay attention to all these ball games. Tulane is back in the picture, for goodness sake. I got Tulane to make the playoff at a nice, juicy number. We need a Boise loss and Tulane run the table.
Starting point is 00:24:12 You hear about the playoff? It's expanding. That's where the setup is the joke. Set up's the punchline. That's brilliant shit. Oh, thanks. I appreciate it. Give yourself requisite credit for that.
Starting point is 00:24:28 That's brilliant. Oh, thank you. Do you see what he did? With the Tulane Joe. Yeah, you got it. I got it. That is good. It's a good one to end all,
Starting point is 00:24:39 personally. But I would love to give my my thoughts on Kansas at BYU. BYU, there's something about BYU. VYU playing at night. Right. Isn't that a thing? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:24:53 That's a thing. Do you know the thing with BYU playing tonight? Yeah, BYU's four, four and O in one score games, and Kansas is 0 and five in one score games. That could be a cool uni matchup if they do it right, though, Kansas tends to fuck around. 9 and 0 is 3 and 6, and it's a three-point spread in Provo, something ain't right.
Starting point is 00:25:14 It doesn't get much better in Tennessee, Georgia in the, in the uniform front. Same thing with the, go ahead. I was just watching Tennessee again. Chris, you'll just put it on. the numbers they have on their defensive line, guys wear 27, 21, 20, 42. It's crazy.
Starting point is 00:25:33 That's so stupid because I never got to do it. You know what I mean? It's one of those things that if I had done it, I'm like, oh, cool. I'm a hatero. Zero's the worst. Nah, zero kind of cool, bro. Zero's bad.
Starting point is 00:25:45 Steve, enjoy Athens. Enjoy the slate this weekend. We'll do. And happy hunting, everybody. And tell Lee Corso, we said hello. and thanks for being on the show. We'll do. Love you, Steve.
Starting point is 00:25:58 We love you, Steve. Love you guys.

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