Green Light with Chris Long - NFL WK12 Best Bets! Chiefs & Commanders To Cover Big Spreads, Packers-49ers Over & CFB GameDay!

Episode Date: November 23, 2024

Chris, Macon and Stanford Steve share their EXPERT picks for the NFL's WK12 slate - the games to bet, the games to stay away from and the absolute toss ups. Steve starts off with a CFB roundup and lets us in on the College Gameday setup for this weekend. The Titans are a hot pick after Will Levis' strong play last weekend, the Miami Dolphins vs the Patriots are popular as well. We taped this before the Brock Purdy news out of San Francisco so Chris got the 49ers at +3 vs the Packers, we'll see if it holds up. Enjoy the picks and HAPPY HUNTING! (00:00) - College Football Round Up (5:40) - NFL Week 12 Best Bets (20:00) - Stanford Steve on the CFB Game Day Set Want your Green Light Merch so you can look exactly like Chris and the fellas? Hit the website below and get kitted! https://stores.kotisdesign.com/yotehouse/products Have some interesting takes, some codebreaks or just want to talk to the Green Light Crew? We want to hear from you. Call into the Green Light Hotline and give us your hottest takes, your biggest gripes and general thoughts. Day and night, this hotline is open. Green Light Hotline: ‪[phone]‬ Send any Talent Search submissions to: [e-mail] Include any video of your talents, takes and bits as well as a little bit about yourself. Love hearing from the Green Light fans. Also, check out our paddling partners at Appomattox River Company to get your canoes, kayaks and paddleboards so you're set to hit the river this summer. https://paddleva.com/ Green Light Spotify Music: https://open.spotify.com/user/951jyryv2nu6l4iqz9p81him9?si=17c560d10ff04a9b Spotify Layup Line: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/1olmCMKGMEyWwOKaT1Aah3?si=675d445ddb824c42 Green Light Tube YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgxWFAA-wuB7osdiAJyLOcw Green Light with Chris Long: Subscribe and enjoy weekly content including podcasts, documentaries, live chats, celebrity interviews and more including hot news items, trending discussions from the NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, NCAA are just a small part of what we will be sharing with you. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

What'd you get, Steve? Oh, Tulane. Tulane? Do you hear it's expanding? Just for you guys. Oh, my goodness. That's sick, dude. So that is for us?

That'll be worn on the show tomorrow in my hat tip to the green light. Oh, that's great. Wow. Do the joke. Do the joke! If you do the joke, do the joke, do the joke. As you've heard, we've teamed up with BetMGM this season. We'll be using BetMGM line.

to make all our picks and we'll have special offers for you listeners each week. If you all haven't signed up for BetMGM yet, use Bonus Code Greenlight, and you will get up to $1,500 first bet offer on your first wager with BetMGM. Here's how it works. One, download the BetMGM app and sign up using Bonus Code Greenlight. Two, deposit at least $10 and place your first wager on any game. Three, you will receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your bet loses. Just make sure you use bonus code green light when you sign up.

Welcome to the Greenlight podcast. Thanks for jumping in today. We've got Stanford Steve Makin and Chris running through their week 12 best bets. Favorite picks from around the league, the ones that'll make you a little bit of money. Tap in, enjoy it. We'll catch you on Monday for Week 12 reactions. Steve, White Steve. What's up, boys?

Where are you, Steve? I am in beautiful, colloquial. Columbus, Ohio. Oh, no. Oh, the playing yesterday, a little snow. Indiana game. The Indiana game. Yes, sir.

What channel is that going to be on, Steve? I believe it's the Big Noon Fox game. Oh, 12, 24 kickoff probably. Is that a Gus Johnson? Yeah. I guess. Yeah. Joel Clat. Okay. Hey, Steve, I saw somebody at Barstool talking about,

hey, Indiana should forfeit. because if they get their asses kicked, it's worse. Any credence to that? We play to win the game. I agree. Playoff might have a forfeit clause. They might have a forfeit clause. But it is kind of interesting now.

You know what I'm saying? My talking point that no one has mentioned is what do we do if Indiana wins? What do we do? What do you do at Ohio State? I don't know enough about college ball, as you know. Oh. Well, there'll be. the playoff. I know. Well, I know one thing about this coach. You can just Google him. Yep.

So, Siggs. Let's, uh, what do we want to do? Is it true that Georgia's sitting pretty? Because they might not, they got a couple cupcakes. Georgia Tech, no disrespect. And they might not have to play an SEC title game. Is that right? Okay. Here's the deal. If you don't play in your conference title game, you have to play another game to try and win a national championship. If you win your conference Help might say, understood. Understood. But you get a buy. You get a buy if you win your conference championship.

That's going to equal to like two and a half, three weeks. But like Georgia, then you only have to win two games. Georgia, I'll answer the question. Georgia's the safest team right now in the playoff because they might not have to, you know, compete and so. I have to do anything. Yeah.

No, Penn State is the safest team. Oh, good Nits. Watch out this week. Watch out. Who's going to be the most surprising team in the playoffs? Virginia. Is it Virginia? Because that would be surprising.

Chris. I don't know. That Notre Dame loss might hurt us. I don't know. All we do is cover and we're 3 and 0 on game day when Steve picks Virginia. Virginia 4 and 0 ATS is an underdog this year, tied for the best in FBS. Virginia 9 and 3 against the spread as a home underdog since 2018, best in the FBS over that season. Which makes no sense.

the stadium's half full. Hey. Hey. The other team can't get up. The other team can't get up for it. Like, what's going on here? The, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, the, can't hear, you can't hear anything. Cavalier, first down, down, hey. There are a lot of SMU folks making the trip.

I think they've, they've seen another wealthy little hamlet. Yeah. And it just seems very friendly and familiar to them. They're all coming up with their kuzips and button downs and, yeah. This is the, this is, this is, this is, this is, Honestly, I saw it ranked as the QZip capital of the world. SMU was ranked high, too. So we'll see.

Quarter-zip capital of the world. That's right. And neither are not wearing one. I don't know the studio wearing one? No, no. You don't wear quarters-zips, Chris. I don't wear Q-Zips. What is that?

Flannels. Flannels, T-shirts, what have you. Steve. Did your dad see the clip of Gronk and Jules talking about him? Yeah, just talking about how great. great he is and also how badass he is. It's exactly how I think of him. Exactly how I think of him.

And he just has that way of playing it off. It's awesome. He's the man. Shout out to Howie Long. Nice man. I will. He's also doing really well with his picks on Fox this year. I noticed that.

It's just good picks all around in this little orbit here. Well, I don't know about it. Well, let's do the standings. Like maybe this, as I look at Chris on the screen, like this back and forth. Not so much. You would need, huh? That, that got that. America's teams.

That's team. Steve and Chris. It only takes one week, Steve. That's what you said. Clip that. Clip that. Clip that and play that back. It only takes one week.

Clip that. To be within striking, this is the second place. All right. How about the graphics? How about the behind the scenes guys, throwing the records? Oh, shout out to them.

Shout out to them. That's what Maken wanted. All right, so here's Chris, 35 and 20 on the year, 63.6%. Damn, 30. 20. Yes, 4 and 1. That makes me 13 and 2 my last three weeks. I just, I, uh, just be careful in here. You might, there's some knives in here, you know, might need a Band-Aid.

Makin, you want to read the rest of them? Sure, Steve is 29, 24, and 2 after a 3-2 week. And just three weeks ago, I was, 23, 15, and 2. Here we go. Talking about the past again. Yeah, right. And the past three weeks, 3, 10, and 2. That's wild, dude. That's three wins

and 15 picks. You know what? If you're a baseball player, that's a good batting average. Listen, I'm going to fund a study to go back and look at my totals from the first, say, eight weeks of the season. Eight times two is 16. I was probably

14 and 2 in totals, which are stupid. And now I can't hit a total. to save my life. Well, you're going to have to hit two of them this week. So let's get to it. Chris, you're up first. Am I up first? You got the first pick, buddy.

I'll take the first. Well, because I've been winning. All right. I'll take the Chiefs over 26 and a half points down in Charlotte. They get Isaiah Pacheco back. They're playing the, they're playing the Panthers down there, the thurs. What do they get? That total, that team total is juice to the gills.

Yeah. Who's next? Hard to imagine them not scoring 27 points. It's making your first next week. 10 minutes. If they don't score 27 points, I'll eat my hat. You're on the clock. The pick is in.

Everyone's favorite story. Tommy DeVito, give me the bucks minus six. That's a professional football team. That's a really good play. Thank you, Chris. Plus the Giants obviously don't want to win. I get two. This is great.

Snake draft. All right. We're talking about matchups. Any day now, motherfucker. Eagles don't lose to the Rams. The Eagles do not lose to the Rams. Give me the Eagles. Okay.

On Sunday night. Sunday night football. You got another one. And. And I'm riding them. I'm riding them. Who are you riding, Steve? The dolphins.

Ooh, fins up. Finns up. Big number. Do you see Mike McDaniel talking shit to Max Crosby last week? He got Max Crosby. to jump off sides and then he was like he was like uh i didn't even call a play max l-o-l ha ha ha yeah really funny man four and six bro you know hold on a second steve i got to show you something i got a i got a soundboard you're not that guy felt you hear that yeah yeah yeah at mike mcdain

out's talking about my my guy max crosbie okay doke who's up next I'm up. Human rain delay. I'm going to go right back to where Steve just was. Give me the under in Eagles Rams. I see it at 49, Matt. That's when you could say something like, yep, 49. And that is correct.

Okay. All right, cool. Got the under on Sunday night. All right. That Eagles defense, you know? Yeah, I know. That Rams defense. No, I know.

Believe me, I know. All right. Is it my turn? I'm going to, I'm taking them off the the DNB list, the do not bet list. Will Levis showed me a little bit of, he showed me a little bit of, uh, I didn't have the stone.

That didn't even feel like a win for Houston on Monday. It's like, Dallas is in the game late. Give me the, the Tennessee Titans catching seven and a half. That's the right pick. Hey, Houston's offensive line is kind of,

uh, it's kind of a dumpster fire. That's a good pick. Thank you. I have a box. I'm actually not sure how I feel about you complimenting me. I have a box. By the way, this slate is complete dog shit, Chris.

Oh, it's terrible. I'm thinking about taking my kids to a playground all day. For your league. You won't last an hour at the playground. Acting like I saw the games on Monday. There you go. Yeah. You got another one.

Like the rest of the sports media industry. I'm like a dumbass. I'm really watching Chiefs. Panthers all 22. Doesn't pay off at all. Oh, is it me? Okay. I will take.

The indie Detroit over 50 and a half. Now you can feel better. I like that under. You like the under. Yeah. You won't take it. Take it right now. Relax.

Relax. Why you just take it? Now here's something that scares him about that game, though, Steve. Grover, Stewart, and Buckner. If they, you know, they can do some things to disrupt Jared golf. Yeah. Now, to the Lions credit, I said the same. thing about them when they played the the packers and they did a better job inside than they did

last year against those guys so maybe more of the same my issue uh with de-tackles in the nphls is i just know numbers that's why i love talking to kelsey on monday nights because he knows every guy's name and i'm like wait what number is he and then he just goes off on a tangent about guys it's it's really really well he's had to battle them all i know he's got an unbelievable story He's on a first name basis with all those guys. Yeah. And then he admitted not being a chippy guy when he played, but now when he's watching games,

he loves guys that are chippy. He was a little chippy. You had to get him going, though. Yeah, you had to get him going, for sure. He didn't come out like looking for blood. Anzolone out, you know? This kid still hasn't fucking picked. No, he hasn't picked.

Such a dick. It's pretty unbelievable Cowboys Cowboys commanders Under All right What do we got that It's slated as 2818

That means Cowboys Team Total 18 Right Yeah you're going to go under there I got Cowboys team No I got Cowboys team total at 16 and a half What? Sorry

Fed MGM Steve Download the app That doesn't What's the total 45. Each one is juiced a little bit. I double-checked it. Yeah.

Well, how about letting us know when they're juiced? That would help. Oh, yeah, at the start of every show, you're saying Lions, Lyons team total is minus 4040. Let's go over to Matt for what's juiced. You said 2818. They're saying 2817, Steve.

But I'm with you. But it's 16. So why is it 16 and a half? Jerks. Are you going to? You still want it or no? No. He's clicking with a mouse over there.

Do I have two totals? This kid hasn't picked. You have two spreads, so you need two totals. No more spreads? You can go with your wild card now, Steve. That can be a spread. 49ers. That's a good play.

They're going to win the game on the field. Yeah, is it me? No, Steve's going to more. It's got to be a total. These guys hate to hear me pick. All right, I'll take that Cowboys team total under. You can't now because you've got to have two. You're locked in,

you're locked in, bro. Real funny, Reed. Real funny, I hear you. He's mine in his business, bro. All right, under and the Broncos Raiders. 41. And a half. It's 41.

You can add your half point if you want it. No, I don't. You know, I got burn on this last week. It's my lone blemish was taking an over in a Niners game, but I'll do it again. I think the Niners are going to score a little bit more this week, and I think Packers are going to score as well. I'll take the over.

I don't know what to make of that Packers defense. Now, it's my pick. So does he get some sort of discipline? Oh, no. Yeah, what the hell is that? Automatic loss. If you want to steal it, you can. And if you don't steal it, then.

No. Four picks and Chris already has a loss going out of order. What do you mean? I like that. That's not fair. That's not fair. That is fair. Give me the Green Bay Packers at home.

Nice. Covering the spread of three points. You already heard my pick. Just input it. It doesn't take long for me to figure out what I want to do. And put an L right next to it. Illegal pick. Illegal pick.

Illegal. IP. IP. All right, who's up? Chris. Oh, me again. Now, what do I need to do here? Good question.

Okay, I've got my wild card. I've got two totals. Three totals. You need to spread. Oh, I need to spread. Spread. I'll take Washington minus 10. 10 and a half.

I don't care. It could be 31. Now here's... What? You like that play, Steve? What? The Washington land all those points. He sound like everything.

No. No, I don't. Okay. Michael Parsons said the Cowboys are legit. Okay, Dan Quinn is going to be mad. He's going to get his guys all mad at the Cowboys. Yeah. Yeah.

You know? Huh. This is where I might slow things down a little bit. See, I thought one of you would do Cardinals or Seahawks. Don't worry about what we're doing. Just make your pick. Hey, if he doesn't make a pick in 10 seconds, give it to one of your security guys. They probably fucking know what's going on better.

Much rather have one of those. Make this pick. Should we let them guest back for you? Yes. Please. I got to see you for a hour. They left. Oh, never mind.

Never mind. Never mind. Let's not do that. Kinley's right here if you want them. Oh, yeah, sure. Bring them in. All right. Hold on.

Kinley, they want you to make a pick. NFL. Oh. Who do you like this weekend? Come on, Kinley. Alrighty. I got the commanders. You and I.

Just off the board. Great minds think alike, but that's all. the board. Just tell him to keep it moving. He can take a total, too. It's the Dolphins. What's my dog? I got the Dolphins.

You want to take the over in the Dolphins game? Yeah. All right. Over in the Dolphins game. Okay. Okay, Megan. Thank you, Kelly. Thank you, Stanley.

All love. Love is love. That's going to be good. All love. That's going to be, that's going to be good. Last pick to Steve has to be a total. Oh, relax. Relax, man.

Now you want less information. Now he's telling me what you do. That's what you wanted. Did he want the over in the Miami game? No, I didn't know. This is the only show where he let security guards make the play. You can't get this on McAfee? I love my RV.

I got a 24-footer. take my family wherever I want to go even better I can go alone sometimes I take Nate and Reed to Tennessee sometimes I mean I've had a lot of great trips in my RV but what I didn't realize that when I take my RV somewhere else I could be double-dippin I could be making money at home while my house is vacant I could turn it into an Airbnb and I guess that's the point you never know how much your house is worth you think it's worth one thing You leave for the weekend. You could be raking in cash.

So while you're away, your home could be an Airbnb. Had you thought about that, your home might be worth a lot more than you thought it was. Find out how much at Airbnb.com slash host. What's the weather in Chicago? Oh, my God. Christ. This kid. He's a fucking meteorologist now.

Golly day. Weather for both. 51 degrees. 51 degrees. Oh. We had a. We had a torrential snowstorm last night. Points kept getting scored, Steve.

Oh, really? Nobody cares about the weather. Steve talking about the boys in the podcast. He was open packages and shit? Bears Vikings over 39 and a half. Where do you guys want your half point? My half point? Okay.

What are the dolphins? What's your points spread for the dolphins? I should ask for. Seven and a half? Yeah. Use it there, please. Gotcha. Packers, please.

Geez, all mine are, it's pointless, isn't it? No pun intended. I'm all half points, right? Yeah. So it doesn't matter, does it? Well, you could get a push, which is better than a loss. Okay, I'll take the commanders down to 10. What's the staff's pick?

All those clowns behind the screen. Subscribe to the newsletter where apparently they're asking. I'm 36 and 19 on the year, which is a full 10 games. Can't fuck, Steve. Whoa. Is that documented? Sort of. It's documented.

Published weekly. Yeah, but you're the one adding them up. Yeah. Okay, I got a question for you guys. You guys are all social media experts. Yeah, yes. So Scott and I were flying and the Wi-Fi on the plane was not holding up its end of the bargain. Right.

So literally, I found us sitting next to each other trying to scroll up and down on Twitter. And I'm convinced it's screwed up my algorithm. Do you guys believe me? You just got a bunch of buffering ads now, or what? Yeah, it's like I see, now I only get tweets from like 10 people. And it's those 10 people that it was stuck on. I think you might have to talk to Elon Musk.

Yeah. What did you get, Steve? Oh, Tulane. Tulane? Tulane? you hear it's expanding just for you guys oh my goodness

so that is for us that'll be worn on the show tomorrow in my in my hat tip to the green light oh that's great do the joke if you do the joke do the joke do the joke

do the joke to Lee Corso do the joke to do the joke I should do it to save it to save it to save it bro do it if you do it to save him bro we will I don't know I'll see you. Give you a free win or something. Do it.

All right. Hey, take care of Steve. Look at, look it. I got making smile now. Maybe now I won't do it just because of you. Do it. You can do it better than Randy Scott did it. Randy Scott mailed it in a little bit if I'm being fair.

It was pretty good. Said he had to rush it. Why? Because he didn't mention your name. No, because he didn't set you up and hate you with a punch line. He had to rush it. I did it the best. What was that?

Did you hear about the college football play? It's expanding. All right, Steve. Hey, take care and have a lot of fun, okay? We do. Hey, will you do me a favor and give James Lairn and I just a big hug for me? I don't think he knows who I am. He, bro, just he knows who you are.

Just be like, yo. Tell him, I'm going to say hi. You know what, though? They warm up. They warm up on the other end. We're going to be in the end zone. And we go in for the last hour. Okay, but ask him about the free tattoo.

two's he got at Ohio State. Five minutes before the gate. Hey, Steve, nice shot on the top of your head, bro. That was great. It looks good. Looks good. How about Whitworth out there last night in the snow with no lid? Yeah.

God, that's a man. All right. He's huge. He's huge. What make it. Can we send him Virginia gear? I mean, they're going to be four and up. We're going to be four and O with his picks.

He's picking Virginia again on Saturday. Yeah, we'll send him some Virginia gear. What size? You know what I said what size? I got Virginia Tech care for the following week. All right. See you later, Steve. Goodbye, Steve.

We love you, but bye.