Green Light with Chris Long - Sports Betting w/ Stanford Steve. NFL & College Football Picks.

Episode Date: December 7, 2019

Sports Betting w/ Stanford Steve. NFL & College Football Picks. Green Light Exclusive | Chalk Media. Stamford Steve joins Chris Long to give his weekly picks for the upcoming NFL and College Football ...Games. A Green Light Exclusive. About Chalk Media: Following the unfiltered voice and vision of Chris Long, Chalk Media is the interactive online community for you, the intelligent and humorous sports fan. Driven by access, Chalk delivers a unique perspective that cuts through the canned talking points and provides a variety of content from your favorite sports and entertainment celebrities. Here at Chalk, we don’t take ourselves too seriously, but we are rooted in challenging the perception of professional athletes. We embrace the “real” with a unique combination of humor and intelligence. Chalk is a community with a voice beyond 240 characters that brings a perspective and vibe to a traditionally brash and boastful sports media space. Subscribe and enjoy weekly content including podcasts, documentaries, live chats, celebrity interviews and more. Nothing is off limits at Chalk - hot news items, trending discussions from the NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, NCAA are just a small part of what we will be sharing with you. 🌍🏀🏈SUBSCRIBE NOW ⚾🏒⛰️ http://bit.ly/chalknetwork Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 to the program. I won't say you're the best friend of the program. Oh, yeah. Stanford, Steve. I bet I am. Oh, yeah, after last week. I'm glad you brought that up. What happened last week, Steve?
Starting point is 00:00:37 The old donut, buddy. Saw it coming a mile away. You know how bad my NFL picks are. It's a catastrophe. I've tried a theme thing. Last week, my bills weren't playing. Well, they played in cover. and won again, but I couldn't take him because we were doing the show, you know, holiday-wise.
Starting point is 00:00:57 Timing. You know, you know what? No, no, no. Blame it on the show. Blame it on the show. No fucking excuses. I suck. I suck.
Starting point is 00:01:04 All right. And what did your, what did the tease God do real quick? Because I got to bask in the glory when I have it. You went like old 60, right? Yeah. Yeah. There were a couple zeroes in the records, baby. Feels good, don't it?
Starting point is 00:01:17 Yeah. It feels good. It feels good. It feels good. quickly to be brought back down to earth by uncharacteristically losing a teaser on the Thursday night game and also betting on Virginia at Purdue.
Starting point is 00:01:32 Oh, we got to... I don't know if we have enough time to talk about the hoop. Well, that's a good thing. That's a good thing. Let's just move on to football because there's nothing really to talk about with basketball this week. Try looking at the basketball hoop when you guys are running offense. Yeah, that'd be good. I mean, like, you know, we're so maybe distracted by the big-ass banner.
Starting point is 00:01:50 that says, well, we don't have that at Purdue, but you get the idea. We got UNC Sunday. I think we get right at home. Yeah, I got a great, I got a great trivia question for you at the end of this hit. Chances are I'm not going to get it. Hopefully it's not an embarrassing. Actually, it's not a trivia question. It's neither or.
Starting point is 00:02:07 Don't make it. Don't make it easy. Don't make it too easy because if I don't get it, I'd be embarrassed. Okay. Okay. Got it. So let's start with college football. First off, wait, where are you?
Starting point is 00:02:17 Because you are at a college football event. Yep. Just got checked into my hotel room. I'm in Indianapolis. One of my favorite spots for an event. Really? What's that? Nap City.
Starting point is 00:02:29 Hell yeah. Why does Nap City get a bad rap? I'll fight those people. I love this place. It's the best one. I shouldn't say. It's not the best. We know New Orleans is where we first met.
Starting point is 00:02:45 And you first showed declining athleticism is the best place for an event. But Indianapolis, you walk everywhere. I can't wait. I'm going to get a big old steak at St. Elmo's tonight. Trying to find somebody that could do the trick of the shrimp cocktail sauce with. But like I said, Van Pelt's on Saturday night after the ACC game. Herb Street's doing the Pac-12 game, going to do game day in Atlanta. And then he's coming here to watch his alma mater.
Starting point is 00:03:13 So he's going to be on live with Van Pelt Saturday night. It's our annual show where, you know, for the last couple of years, there hasn't been shit to talk about because, It's all been settled. But I'm hoping we get some chaos here. And we have some people tuning in to watch and see what Reese Davis and Herbie and, you know, winning coaches, you know, come on to beg to get into that playoff spot. So it's usually a really fun show. We just all the favorites keep winning on this weekend.
Starting point is 00:03:39 It's a tough sell. But we're hoping for crazy things this weekend. So how does, yeah, because there's a lot of big lines this weekend. I don't know if that's par for the course or, you know, I haven't tracked them over the years. But these seem big. I mean, namely Virginia, Wisconsin. Yeah, I actually have a great stat about that. Okay.
Starting point is 00:03:57 This weekend in the 10 conference championship games, there is not one point spread of four points or less. Everyone is over four points. Since the playoff era, which is 2014, 2015, the favorites that are giving more than four points on this weekend are 29 and 0 straight up. So that just tells you, we haven't gotten the upsets. And I just feel like we're due.
Starting point is 00:04:24 We're due. I feel, you know, I have to feel like we're due as well. Now, let me ask you this. What is the most chaotic scenario for the playoff? They all lose. Yeah, all the favorites. Yeah, you know, Oklahoma loses, Utah loses, Georgia loses, and, you know,
Starting point is 00:04:45 Baylor's sitting there, you know, which isn't really the brand team, They're going to be a one-loss conference champion. And that's what we haven't had in this run in the playoff era. We've always, you know, that's how Alabama backed in two years ago because every conference champion had two or three losses. Right. And there they were with one loss. So it's possible.
Starting point is 00:05:08 And it's just crazy the way it goes. Like I looked at the big 12 game and like I want to wait to think about betting that game because I think Oklahoma comes out differently depending on what happens. happens tonight, right? Yeah. Yeah, they might have to pour it on or they might not. Yeah, it's a lot, a lot of scenarios. So that game exclusively, the Big 12 game, I don't want to touch until tomorrow and I know what's going on from what happens in Santa Clara tonight. I agree with you there. If you had a dream one through four with the matchups, what's your dream matchup on either side? I think LSU deserves the one seat if they win. They have the best. resume. They have the best win of the season at Alabama. What I want to see is Clemson playing Ohio State in the first round. Because I'm worried we might not get that game and that game would be freaking fantastic. Yes. So, I mean, it'd be as good a first game out of the playoff as I can remember. Absolutely. No doubt about it. Probably since the first year when we got
Starting point is 00:06:15 Ohio State upsetting Alabama in the Sugar Bowl. And then, you know, Zika and those guys, rolling through it with 12 gauge. Now playing, and they won it. Now playing major hypothetical, let's say it's Utah or it's Oklahoma. Those are the two wild cards that probably have the best shot in order, it would seem at this point.
Starting point is 00:06:34 To see LSU, who's got a better chance and why? Oof, that's a good one. See, I think Utah matches up better with Ohio State. I would probably have to say Oklahoma matches up better with LSU, because, I mean, I've called LSU this offense the whole season. They're footst on the gas, the whole game. They don't stop.
Starting point is 00:06:57 And like Georgia this weekend, I think it's a win if they hold, if they hold LSU to 28 points. I think that's a damn good effort by their defense if they could do that. So I would think Oklahoma with their offense would match up better with LSU. It'd be probably more watchable as well, which. Yeah, I mean, Utah is just different. Like they got 11 war dogs up front that they run through. They rotate 11 guys watching them tonight. It's incredible.
Starting point is 00:07:27 And that helps obviously their secondary, which was inexperienced coming into this season. So they've, they've got pressure with any amount of guys they send. Yeah. But the offense, they haven't played from behind much this season. The only time they did,
Starting point is 00:07:41 they lost the USC. So that worries me when they have the ball. So I would just have to trust Lincoln Riley with some time to, to, that he could he could strike something up. Well, let's say Utah sees LSU, how does Utah's defense stack up against the elites of the SEC? Uh, well, I'll tell you one thing.
Starting point is 00:08:02 They're not going to be intimidated. Kyle Winningham's the most underrated coach in college football. From a distance, I think he seems super cool, dude. He seems like a real deal guy. It's a crazy, like, you know Trevor Maddoch that does work for us back in the day in the BYU national championship team. Trevor Maddoch was the center and Kyle Whittingham was the noseguard. And those guys went out.
Starting point is 00:08:24 That's back in the day. That was Astro Turf. AstroTurf, mustaches, white foam, neck rolls. Half shirts. Half shirts. Pad monsters. Yeah, I looked up Wittingham's picture. And this guy looks younger now than he did back in the day.
Starting point is 00:08:40 He looked like a dude who just walked out of a honky tonk and hop back into his 18 wheeler to take a nap for the night. I mean, like, that's what he looked like in college. We asked Trevor Madd, and that's just how we got to the conversation. This was, God, Riscilla and I were working with him over 11 years ago. And he said, like, Charlie Strong was in the mix, all these coaches. And Trevor was like, if there was a steel cage match with all Division I coaches, Kyle Winningham would come out of that, no doubt about it.
Starting point is 00:09:10 Nice. So what's crazy is, like, when the guy comes to ESPN for interviews, he's so soft-spoken. We had to, like, boost the levels on the mic. like times, like no one I've ever had to do for interviews. So he's obviously got a wild man approach behind the closed doors. And he does a great job and never showing that, which I think is awesome because you could tell his team plays their asses off for him. So I think that mentality, you know, I think it's what?
Starting point is 00:09:40 It's like close to 10 years. They went to the Sugar Bowl and Wip Sabin's ass in the Sugar Bowl. with a Utah team that wasn't thought to. So they're good at the underdog role. I worry about their skill set on the perimeter. They don't have any breakaway guys on offense. And their corners, like I said, they were inexperienced. It's a whole different level, man, trying to hold up against LSU with that ski.
Starting point is 00:10:05 Can that defense compete with maybe not a Georgia defensively, you know, but some of the other top here? Absolutely. Absolutely. Absolutely. They got the talent. They have the talent and they have the scheme. They do a great job scheming with what the guys they have. Like I said, the guys up front, it's incredible.
Starting point is 00:10:23 You never know who's on the field. Got it, got it. Okay, well, that's, there's some hope there for at least a competitive football game or relatively competitive. One last question before we move on to the picks. I know that's the main point of this segment, but I love hearing Utah College football in general. When you have these coaches on who are making their cases, and pleading their cases very transparently for their teams to be in the playoff, Is that annoying or is that like part of the showmanship nowadays?
Starting point is 00:10:49 Well, it's, it's pretty funny. It's pretty damn funny to me, Chris, because, you know, everybody always gets mad at coach speak and this is the ultimate no coach speak. Like these guys are on the table trying to sell themselves. And, you know, it's the ultimate recruiting pitch. It's great to see these guys out of their norm. I mean, we had Kirby Smart drive from last year after he calls that awful fake punt. They blow the game to Georgia.
Starting point is 00:11:15 He drives back to campus. He's got his Georgia golf shirt on. They put the mic. They don't even put it underneath his shirt. He's still sweating. He's got the microphone just hanging by his shirt, you know, talking about how much he loves his team and they deserve another chance. And he took the blame for the game.
Starting point is 00:11:31 Like, it's just stuff. We had Saban calling it on the phone two years ago. Urban Meyer, that year, we, Urban's game ended and we played Sabin Soundbite for Urban. And he's just sitting there laughing. Yeah. So it's good. stuff because you don't see it every day. It's become like the game within the game in a world of Ashley Schaefer's, as I would call them, use car salesmen. It's always funny to see them try to
Starting point is 00:11:55 out use car salesmen each other. Let's start with college football slate since we're on it. I'll go quickly with mine. I like LSU giving a touchdown. I don't think Georgia can keep up that pure and simple. I think Burrow with the with the E-A-U-X, he's he's a man of destiny. I really, really believe there's something magical going on there. And I don't think they're looking ahead. I think because it is the SEC championship game, it's a big fucking deal. And I think they get after them. Yeah, the issue I have there, and earlier this week, it was seven and a half.
Starting point is 00:12:31 And Chris Fleek and I do a podcast earlier in a week. So the numbers obviously change and stuff happens. I like Georgia getting more than a touchdown because they match up with LSU in areas where you need to. Georgia has a really good offensive line. LSU does not have a good defensive line. So in order to keep the ball away from that LSU offense, I like Georgia's chances there. And Georgia didn't play Bama. The next best set of receivers they saw was Florida, who was really, I think they have a really above average group of receivers. Georgia played those dudes man up and they really got after them. And they were able to do, you know how it is. You get more
Starting point is 00:13:10 extra guys in the box. You could do things with your safeties. But they played a man up on the outside. And I think Georgia could do that. Plus, Kirby had an awesome, awesome game plan and really, really was the first guy to hit Tua last year and get that Alabama offense off keel a little bit. So I'm not doubting. I just, like you said, I don't think they can hold up the whole game. But, I mean, it's an SEC title game. Those guys, they know each other from everywhere playing in high school, all showcases and all that. So every year, whoever's from ESPN comes back from that game and says,
Starting point is 00:13:45 that's the loudest dome they've been in all year. It's the least confident of my picks and congratulations. You just completely shit on it. I also like Utah giving six and a half. No, but you got a good number. No, I mean, the number is good. The number's good. Yeah, I like Utah giving six and a half.
Starting point is 00:14:01 This is my favorite. I just, I've enjoyed watching Utah this year. I don't believe in Oregon. I think that with everything on the line with the coach they have, with the mentality, the physicality, with Moss pounding the rock and controlling that clock, it's just going to be one of those Darth Vader things. Like they're just going to choke the air out of them slowly.
Starting point is 00:14:19 And I think this game gets out of hand. Maybe it's maybe it's a 10 point win. Maybe it's a 14 point win. But it just bleeds out slow and they cover. Yeah. Weather could be an issue here because it rains every freaking day after December. Going to school out there, it sucks. But the one thing that worries me is I'm a homer for the Pack 12 Conference of Champions.
Starting point is 00:14:43 And every time they get a team to this stage, on this stage. They choke. They just pee down their leg. I mean, you saw it a couple weeks ago. Oregon down in Tempe, ABC National TV. They play their worst game of the year. Is it? Well, that's Oregon, though.
Starting point is 00:14:57 No, you're right. You're right. Utah doesn't feel like a pack. It's a Pac-12 school, but I'm never going to think of it not as a, you know, that Hardy Mountain West football. Yeah. I mean, like, I just have that. I don't associate them with a Cal or, you know, any of these Pack 12 after dark games where it just gets, I mean, these guys know what they do and they do it well. And I just,
Starting point is 00:15:18 I see it being a Darth Vader thing where, we're slowly, but surely Oregon gets the life choked out of them. And I think Utah rolls by two scores. This is one that I feel very good about Steve. And that's UVA getting 28 and a half points. I'll tell you why. Clemson hasn't beaten a top 25 team. That is what we are right now. We're definitely better than the last two teams that they played in the AC championship in Pitt and Miami, which, by the way, combined score those games with 80 to 13. I think time of possession's key. We're going to need to lean on Bryce. We lead the ACC in time of possession. Keep the ball away. I think our pass rush gets after them more than you think. I know the O-Line's been kind of a strength, but our pass rush comes in waves, and I think we can make
Starting point is 00:16:03 Lawrence look human a little bit. Okay. I have a stat for you. I know you're holding this stat, yeah. All right. The poll, you know, the poll era is, is from 1936. That's when they started using poll, you know, to rank the teams and stuff. 1936. Yeah. All right. Clompson has won its last six games by 35 points or more. They're the only team in the poll era to win by that much in six straight games. Good for them. And outlier. You haven't, your defense has not played well. You've been giving up a lot of points. What is it 28 over your last four? Now you're averaging 41. I like the over. I would have took the over just as hand. But you took the over. So you called claim to the over. I'll take Virginia at 28 and a half. But I like the over as well.
Starting point is 00:16:49 I honestly, I know you don't want to hear this at all. And as players, you hate hearing it. I honestly worry about how much Virginia has in the tank, man. They, I mean, they expanded a lot of energy in that game.
Starting point is 00:17:04 I mean, that's a tough thing to come back. And you got Mad Davo. I talked about LSU, you know, being that footout on the gas offense. I'm worried Clemson's going to have two feet on the gas here. Good for them. So it's a hold your butts game. So, you know, I always want to see a good game.
Starting point is 00:17:22 You guys are wearing the all white stormtroopers. Yeah, that that bodes well. Let's go. Let's go. You know, your boy's going to be in the house. Not that that makes a difference. Like you said, you're playing with house money. But listen.
Starting point is 00:17:32 Why not? Ride the lightning. Here's the next gen staff for you. When your boy is at Scott Stadium Yeah Or in attendance for the Commonwealth Cup game Were 1 in 0 since 2000 I mean
Starting point is 00:17:51 Is that Scott because of the tissue paper? What? What do you mean? Toilet paper? No, Scott State, no, it's a rich guy named Scott. Okay. I'm pretty sure. It's not the toilet paper.
Starting point is 00:18:01 But all I'm saying is when your boy goes to games, things go well. All I had to do my entire NFL career was go to a game and that streak was going to be snapped. I mean, I want to give all the credit to Bryce Perkins. I mean, he's up there with Anthony Poindexter to me now. No, no. You said last week that he was going to be number one.
Starting point is 00:18:18 He's number one for now, recency bias. All right. But yeah, when your boy is in the house, I'm just saying. So what do you got on the slate? I like the over. I think Virginia gets a little, you know, enough to get that. It's a low number for me. I just feel like this teams can go up and down.
Starting point is 00:18:37 They haven't played each other. It's one of the few. What is that number at right now? When I had it was 555.5.56 and a half, right there. But today, what is it today, Cowboy Reed? Cowboy Reed's going to get that for us to make sure we are honest with the lines. Oh, boy, here we go. I already got screwed earlier in a year.
Starting point is 00:18:58 I know. Arizona, Arizona, I remember. I'm here. And, you know, I look at rematches as an opportunity again for the underdust. I always lean to the underdog. I look at Wisconsin. Yeah. I look at two things.
Starting point is 00:19:14 Last week, they played with their hair on fire, had an unbelievable game plan, throwing the ball down the field in the middle of a snowstorm and in a real tough atmosphere in Minnesota. You know, fake, they call the reverse on a kickoff return. Like, they just let it all out. So I like how they're coming in. Their corners played absolutely outstanding, too, just making plays on ball on two receivers that I believe Minnesota has that are NFL guys.
Starting point is 00:19:41 I also like the fact last week, Michigan totally took Chase Young out of the game. And I think Wisconsin's offensive line is better than Michigan's. So I think with a second chance, I think Chris is a really, really good, like a technical guy up front that does really good stuff, mixing zone schemes with power schemes. They have two good running backs. I think they could throw the ball in the backs out of the backfield maybe to get Taylor going. because Ohio State just, they just swarmed them that first game in bad weather in Columbus. So I'm going to take the 16 and a half here with the Badgers.
Starting point is 00:20:15 The only thing that worries me is Ohio State is probably the fastest team looking on TV. And now they're indoors on turf. So that scares me. And I'm going to be on the sidelines. So that could be a live bet the other way. You might just be mushing it, just being in. Yeah. But you're using the empty, the tent.
Starting point is 00:20:36 tank rule against Virginia, but not against Wisconsin. I don't know, you know, they emptied the tank. They're 4110, bro. Yeah. I mean, they, they cruised. Yeah. Okay. All right.
Starting point is 00:20:46 Well, you said all the, and then, uh, I look at FAU. Obviously, all this talk about Lane Kiffin. I don't look at FAU. I never do. So this is why you're the best. All right. FAU, UAB is one of the best stories in the sport in the last like four or five years. Obviously, they disband the program.
Starting point is 00:21:04 Coach Clark gets them back. But the only reason they're in this game is because Louisiana Tech suspended all these, their five best offensive players the last three weeks. And North Texas threw two picks in the red zone, one in the end zone last week. And they're not a good football team. And UAB won that game. So then they won that side of Conference USA. So I think FAU, they're home.
Starting point is 00:21:30 Kiffin's got a really good offense. They got an awesome tight end. Bryant and the kid number 40, who's a student. stud. He's going to be a difference maker at the next level. Kiffin could score points. I just don't think UAB has enough to hold up. I'll lay the seven and a half with the owls out in Boca Raton. In Boca, you've got, so you have FAU 7 and a half, you have Wisconsin, 16 and a half, and you have the mystery number, which will get in a second on the over on Virginia Clemson,
Starting point is 00:21:57 which I think regardless of what it is, it's going to hit the over. I agree with you. You want to roll through your NFL slate real quick and I'll get to mine? Yeah. I think the Steelers run. comes to a little bit of an end here. I'll take the Cardinals plus two and a half at home. I got to get back on my bills. I think there's there's two games. I like, uh, I mean, how good was that Ravens Niners game last week? I mean, that was, yeah, that was really good. It was very entertaining. It was very entertaining. I really, I really think those two teams are still feeling some lumps. What are we at Friday now? Like, they're just getting back to normal. So the Ravens
Starting point is 00:22:31 going up to Buffalo. This is the bill's Super Bowl, man. Yeah. This is, I mean, they, they, they don't get this opportunity and you know in the national spot i like a lot so i think that defense unless it's unless it is an actual super bowl and then what happened well it's been a while i'm talking about in a home game yeah they uh you know those mafia we love oh yeah there's going to be dildos on the field there's going to be batteries hitting quicks buses there's going to be you know people slamming through tables women children the whole nine yards so i like the bills plus six i'm not saying they're going to win the game but i think you know they can keep that within the touchdown and then the other side of that Ravens Niners game.
Starting point is 00:23:07 I wanted to ask you about this if you have time or not. But like the Niners go from Baltimore and then they spend the week down in Florida. Like what do guys do? So what they did is they go to the library? No, I think it's a great idea. You spend it. It's good for the team. It's good for your,
Starting point is 00:23:23 it's good for your body. It's good for the rest. Because there's nothing worse than going cross country and back cross country again. We've done it before. We stayed out in Orange County. And when you're coming from Philly, we played Seattle. And then we played L.A. and we stayed in. They usually put you somewhere where there's no trouble,
Starting point is 00:23:38 which is hard to find in California or Florida, but they find a way. And you basically practice at, you know, we practiced. Juco? Well, Jeffrey Lurie spares no expense. We practiced at the, I want to say it was the Angels Stadium, which was really nice. We were practicing at the Angels baseball stadium in their locker room.
Starting point is 00:23:58 We had, you know, access to everything. Because trout came up there and stuff, right? It was very cool. And I think it would just be good for the team. team. So I think it's a good move for them. I would definitely love the Saints if the Niners had gone back out west and come. Now, my problem with that game real quick is that Drew Breeze has a dirty secret at home in December. He's just above 500. You know, so it's not what I expect as I look at that. And then also New Orleans hasn't faced a team with the winning record since week four in Dallas
Starting point is 00:24:28 at that point. And that game went under big time, which is why I like to under. And I'll get to that in a minute. Yeah, I like the Saints. It's down to two and a half now. Like I said, that coming off that Ravens game, I just think it's a lot to ask to get back up. And I think the Saints, you mentioned they haven't played against a good team. They're chopping out the bit, man. Yeah. That dome is going to, that dome's going to be rocking. And I still think they're, in the discussion for the best team in the NFC. And it just feels like, you know, all this nine are talk and obviously, Russell will do this thing. I think they are. I think they are the best team in the NFC. I thought all year long and then they had that dip. I mean, because they lost
Starting point is 00:25:07 a, you know, hate week against the Falcons and they've looked a little bit, you know, sluggish lately. But when you talk about, now throw everything I just set out the window about Drew Breeze at home in December, because it runs counter to what I'm saying. But late in the year, I trust Sean Payton and Drew Breeze. And they're one of the most balanced teams in the league. That's what I was going to say. I love the balance and the versatility they have on defense too. I really like it. So I'll, I'll give the two and a half there. They got a little Patriots in them where they can morph into what they need to do to win, which is, which is great. They look
Starting point is 00:25:38 a lot more like an old Patriots team from the early 2000s than a Saints team from back in the day or even a Saints team from the past few years. So what else do you like on the Sunday slate? That's it. I got Cardinals, Bill, Saints. Cardinals, Bill, Saints. Okay, cool. Yeah, that makes sense. That's three. That's three. That's three.
Starting point is 00:25:55 I got the Titans minus two and a half. This is my new favorite team, not named the Philadelphia Eagles. Ryan Tannahill, who I used to not like at all. Now I love him. I mean, the Titans need this game. They're given two and a half. I also lean the over for what it's worth at 47 and a half.
Starting point is 00:26:14 The Titans need the game. They have the toughest strength of schedule remaining at like 666. They got to play the Saints still, the Texans twice. So this is a must win for them, and they know that. This is a look ahead. It's a must win. The Raiders are limping out of two blowout losses. I guess it was Kansas City most recently
Starting point is 00:26:31 and then the Jets as well. Tennessee is 5 and 1 against the spread the last 6. Oakland is 7 and 1 straight up at home the last 8 and Oakland's also 3 in 1 straight up and against the spread as home dogs this year. So whatever the fuck those numbers mean, I don't care because Ryan Tannahill is here and since he entered the picture,
Starting point is 00:26:52 they've been scoring about 30 points a game, which is why you've got to like the over. And Tennessee's past evens is like 20, 27th in the league. The points are going to come, you know, in bunches this Sunday, but I still like the Titans more. Both quarterbacks are undefeated against the, the respective opposing franchise, which is very interesting. And I think this is a big, a big streak breaker for them, because they haven't been great over the past 17 games that Tennessee didn't cover. They were like two and 15. Over the past 17 times, the past 17 times they didn't cover on the road. So,
Starting point is 00:27:25 listen, pound it with Henry. Every time they're over 84 yards, with Henry. They're 6 and 0. They're 1 in 5 otherwise. I think I like the Titans and a must win. I think the Raiders are coming back down to Earth. That's my thing. We gave them a lot of credit because we overcorrected for giving them a bunch of shit. And that's fine.
Starting point is 00:27:43 You can give them credit for building something a lot quicker than we thought they'd build it, but you don't have to get carried away and say they're going to win the AFC West. I mean, they're still alive, but it ain't going to happen. I like Green Bay giving 12 and a half. For the simple fact, besides the fact that Washington's on a two
Starting point is 00:27:58 game heater and it's got to stop. When Aaron Rogers says, and I quote, we need that crowd as loud as possible. Get out there, get the tailgate going, get the PBR flowing, or the leanies. Do you know what that beer is? It must be a line. Lines.
Starting point is 00:28:15 Oh, line of cougall. Yeah. That shit's disgusting. I love it. Or the Miller or whatever you choose and let's get that thing roaring from kickoff. Is you looking for a sponsorship deal? I don't think he is. I just think he's trying to say,
Starting point is 00:28:31 this is a game where we need to build momentum. We've been kind of, we had the rough game against the Niners recently. It was a bit of a struggle on the road. It was a bit of a struggle on the road in New York. This is the game where they get well. And Aaron Rogers gets well at home. I think Dwayne Haskins is going to hear a lot of that.
Starting point is 00:28:51 Go, Pat, go. A bunch of drunk white guys drinking line and cougals. It's going to be out of control up there. It's fucking probably cold. I didn't even check the weather. 12 and a half, the line has moved a little bit, you know, towards the center line. And for me, I'm good with Green Bay, given a bunch of points. Saints under as well, I mentioned that earlier.
Starting point is 00:29:11 I think when you look at Saints in big games that they play at home, a lot of them have been under type games. You look at the Cowboys the last two years in that big NFC at home matchup. They've both been 13-10 type games. I could see this one being a 21-16 type game. I think we hit the under here at 44.5. So those are my three. And I just got the totals on the season. Didn't plan this out, okay?
Starting point is 00:29:36 You ready? I'm trying to make sure this connection's okay. Yeah, do you want me to say it off when you get off Skype? Go ahead. Chris, total 26 and 10. What? Unless Cowboy Reed fucked it up. You didn't fuck it up, did you?
Starting point is 00:29:55 Listen, guys got a degree. I don't hire people without degrees. he was a math major. Maybe. 26 and 10. Well, here's where I've been good. Well, I've been good both places. College, I'm 13 and 5.
Starting point is 00:30:10 Pros, I'm 13 and 5. I got to go back and check the tape. We're going to go back and check the tape. You know what you're... I don't want to tell you you're in total because you're obviously, you're better than me at this. But right now, it's the third quarter, and you came out of the halftime,
Starting point is 00:30:26 and I'm punching you in the mouth. You need a big fourth quarter is all I'm saying. You're 13, 19, and 4. Now, keep in mind that you went 0 and 6. Three of those pushes are wins. Three of those pushes are wins. Okay. So I'll be benevolent.
Starting point is 00:30:44 And on the record, I'll give you your reads changing it right now on the big board. You are now 16, 19, and 1. Congratulations. And I am 26 and 10. Look at you. You can't stop smiling. You have been bad. You have been bad in the pros.
Starting point is 00:31:03 I'm awful. Awful. It's okay. We can work on that. All right. Hey, dude, I hope you're dead wrong about UVA. Oh, speaking up. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:31:15 All right, here's your question. Yeah. Who scores more against Virginia this weekend? Clemson football or North Carolina basketball. Oh, that's a great question. I think it's going to be North Carolina basketball. I think we're going to give up about 63. points to North Carolina. I haven't even looked at what that would.
Starting point is 00:31:34 Carolina only scored like 47 the internet against Ohio State, so I would take Clemson. Oh, really? You're taking Clemson? Yeah. Because how many points do you think Clemson's going to score on us? Double nickel. Fuck me. Well, that means we just got to score 56. Hey, you know, you need to have double nickel beers. Yeah, I'm going to have double nickel beers. I'm going down with five teammates. My wife, my wonderful wife, Meg, who I love very much, much. I even was like, Meg, this should be a couple's thing. We should go down and she's like, hey, your buddies are going down. Why don't you head down there and enjoy yourself? You deserve it. So I want to shout out my wife, Meg, who's awesome. Good job, Meg. Yeah, good job, Meg.
Starting point is 00:32:17 So yeah, enjoy your nap. You're in a hotel room for the people listening and not viewing out there. He's got the smoke detector behind him, you know, the fire spicket. So you're in an older hotel, but probably a great hotel for a nap. And I know. you want to get a nap, so go get that nap, big boy, and let the festivities be it. I haven't yet. It's too long. I'm a busy man. I'll send you a thing.
Starting point is 00:32:39 This guy on the internet broke it up and watched it as a mini series, four parts. Okay. It's like an hour age. Okay, cool. Send it to me. Enjoy the festivities and go whose. Fuck you and your fake record. Okay.
Starting point is 00:32:52 All right. This is a PC show. So we're going to have to cut you off. Let's cut them off. All right. See you, Steve. Thanks, bro.

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