Into the Impossible With Brian Keating - EXCLUSIVE: Avi Loeb Reveals: What HiRISE Just Saw on Mars!

Episode Date: October 4, 2025

Harvard astrophysicist Avi Loeb joins Brian Keating to discuss a groundbreaking observation: the HiRISE camera on NASA’s Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter has imaged 3I/ATLAS, a rare interstellar visitor,... from the vantage point of Mars. In this episode, we explore: • What HiRISE detected and why it matters for planetary science. • How interstellar objects like ʻOumuamua and 3I/ATLAS challenge our theories. • Why Mars may become an ideal outpost for detecting future interstellar visitors. • The implications for astrobiology, planetary defense, and our search for extraterrestrial technology. ✨ Just as the 1977 “Wow! Signal” jolted radio astronomers with a one-time unexplained burst, 3I/ATLAS may be its optical cousin—an anomalous, fleeting, but potentially transformative messenger. Loeb even calculated that 3I/ATLAS’s trajectory passed within about one degree of the Wow! Signal’s sky position, making the connection more than metaphorical. Ignoring such rare alignments risks repeating history: anomalies slip through our fingers while orthodoxy insists nothing unusual happened. The Wow! Signal warned us of the danger of complacency; 3I/ATLAS reminds us that cosmic surprises often lurk at the margins of expectation, carrying lessons we may miss if we force every mystery into old categories. - 🚀 EXCLUSIVE: Avi Loeb Reveals What HiRISE Just Saw on Mars! 🌌 Harvard astrophysicist Avi Loeb joins me to discuss the latest revelations about interstellar object 3I/ATLAS as it makes its closest approach to Mars. From HiRISE images to unusual chemistry, polarization anomalies, and even a potential link to the Wow! Signal, this conversation explores whether 3I/ATLAS is a natural comet—or a possible technological artifact. Along the way, we cover censorship from Galileo to today’s UAP debates, the “Sputnik moment” of interstellar objects, and what a global response might look like. ⏱️ Timestamps 0:00 – Introduction & why this day is special 1:29 – 3I/ATLAS closest approach to Mars: HiRISE imaging 2:50 – Mass, size, and what it means for its trajectory 5:06 – Global spacecraft observing 3I/ATLAS (NASA, ESA, UAE, China) 7:21 – Explaining the anomalies: jets, chemical makeup, negative polarization 13:06 – Alignment with the plane of planets (0.2% likelihood) 14:31 – Coincidence with the Wow! Signal and radio SETI opportunities 18:52 – White paper to the UN: global response to interstellar visitors 24:21 – Perseverance rover possible detection of ATLAS 29:47 – Nickel–iron anomaly and unusual chemistry 36:44 – Science inefficiency & missed discoveries (Hot Jupiters analogy) 43:29 – Why critics are wrong about “just a comet” 55:04 – Galileo, Pinker, and common knowledge parallels to UAP debates 1:01:20 – Peer review, censorship, and suppression in modern science 1:03:59 – Anti-science, conspiracy theories, and science communication 1:11:55 – Risk vs. safety in research; why scientists avoid anomalies 1:23:28 – China, Mars samples, and the race for extraterrestrial life 1:37:32 – JWST chemistry results: carbon dioxide vs water 1:41:42 – Should we send signals to 3I/ATLAS? 1:44:12 – Wake-up call for humanity & final reflections ️ The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast has featured 22 Nobel Prize winners, Fields Medalist Terence Tao, and legendary mathematician Jim Simons. Subscribe to join the conversation at the frontiers of science, math, and technology. 👉 What do YOU think HiRISE really saw? Could 3I/ATLAS change how we understand our place in the cosmos? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:11 Of course, that means they're going to give them an introduction, and that's Professor Avi Lobb, who is not only one of my favorite individual scientists, but he's one of my favorite human beings. How are you doing today, Avi? I'm doing great. Thank you so much. It's a special day. It is. It is really special. The new year and in the heat. Hebrew calendar at least, Shana Tovad, all of our Jewish friends and non-Jewish friends out there. Avi, it's been an incredible summer since we first started talking about this majestic, mysterious object that some say is possibly alien technology. Some say it's ordinary prosaic meteors or
Starting point is 00:01:52 comets and even have some meteorites. I'll be giving those away later. Stay tuned for that. But Avi, first things first, why is today so special? What happened today with respect to everybody's favorite interstellar object, 3-Ey Atlas. What special is that a picture is worth a thousand words, and we are about to get images of 3A Atlas that are the best resolution ever, simply because it comes so close to Mars.
Starting point is 00:02:26 Now, it will be difficult to observe it during the month of October from Earth because the sun will be between us, and the 3A Atlas, perhaps for a reason, but it comes today, closest to Mars, within 29 million kilometers, and there are orbiters around Mars that could look at it. For example, the high-rise come-around board the Mars reconnaissance orbiter that NASA put near Mars can take images,
Starting point is 00:02:54 and with a spatial resolution of 30 kilometers per pixel, and that's the highest yet for 3-A-Atlas. We don't know how big the nucleus of Threatlas is. I wrote a paper last week that showed that it must be bigger than five kilometers because we looked at more than 4,000 observations from 227 observatories around the globe that monitored Triadlas over the past four and a half months. And we put the motion of Three-A Atlas on the sky as a function of time, compared it to what is expected from a trajectory that is sculpted just by gravity.
Starting point is 00:03:39 And we found no difference whatsoever, meaning that we can put a very tight limit on any non-gravitational acceleration. And that means that the object is very massive because we do see that it's losing about 150 kilograms per second based on the web telescope data. And it's mostly coming in the direction of the science. from the sun facing side because the Hubble space telescope took an image that showed a jet 10 times longer than it is wide coming in the direction of the of the sun of scattered sunlight and so
Starting point is 00:04:16 all together that should give a recoil to an object if it's low mass but the fact that we haven't detected any recoil any deviation from a gravitational trajectory means that the object is very massive more massive than 33 billion tons. And for solid density, that means bigger than five kilometers. That's bigger than the width of Manhattan Island. But it could be much bigger than that. It could be up to 46 kilometers in diameter based on the sphere X data that was obtained a couple of months ago. And so we don't know what its actual diameter is.
Starting point is 00:04:57 And of course, the mass scales as diameter cubed. So it's really important to use the brightest pixel in the high-rise image to infer the surface area that is reflecting sunlight of the nucleus of Triadlas. So that's coming up. And then there is also the high-resolution stereo camera on board ISAS, the European Space Agency's Mars Express. That's expected to capture lower resolution images. Then we have the color and stereo surface imaging system, Cassis, on board Issa's Exomars, Trace, Gas, Orbiter. And again, we will get color images here and also stereo views helping to learn about the composition analysis through spectroscopy. There is also a spectrograph on that mission.
Starting point is 00:05:55 And then there would be ultraviolet imaging that could be obtained from the maven spacecraft that NASA launched near Mars. And there would be additional images reported probably from the camera on board China's Tian Wen I spacecraft as well as the hope orbiter of the UAE's Emirates Mars mission. So lots of instruments and obviously data is the best way for us to figure out the nature of this object because, as you often say, Brian, don't judge a book by its cover. You know, we saw some gas around this object that came from the skin of the object. We shouldn't assume that what lies inside is dictated by what we see coming from the skin of the object. Now, you said something very provocative in the very beginning. I can't let that go. And you said, we won't be able to really observe it from Earth at its closest approach.
Starting point is 00:07:01 And you said, perhaps there's a reason for that. Now, this may or may not venture into a techno-signature discussion. So first, why did you say that? And second of all, how close will it get to be, you know, to the Earth, actually? Right. So to the Earth, it will not come very close. because we are on the other side of the sun right now. So the closest it will get is in the middle of December, just before Christmas.
Starting point is 00:07:31 And at that point, it will be more than double the air sun separation. So it never gets close to Earth if it follows this path. However, if it's a technological object, it might maneuver taking advantage of the gravitational assist when it comes closest to the sun. So when it gets closest to the sun, if it's a comet of natural origin, it might erupt in a flare of outgassing and maybe even break up into pieces of ice. However, if it's technological, it might maneuver. And then if it comes on the other side of the sun in a completely different trajectory, I think the financial markets may crash. Now, let me say a few words about what we believe to be the anomalies of these objects.
Starting point is 00:08:19 So, you know, like in any blind date encounters with interstellar objects can result in deal breakers, meaning non-negotiable behavior. And I separate the anomalies of three-I Atlas into two classes, those that could be alleviated or explained away with upcoming data, let's say from the Mars orbiters, and those that will never go away, they will remain puzzling forever. So let's start with those that might be clarified. First, the size of three-air Atlas, as I mentioned, should be larger than five kilometers. We don't know what it is. However, if the images indicate a much smaller size, you know, less than a kilometer,
Starting point is 00:09:01 then this tension of why are we seeing an object that is a thousand times more massive than the previous interstellar comet, Borisov, from 2019, you know, that would be alleviated. It's also a million times more massive right now than Omuamua, the first object. So, you know, it's just puzzling. Why would the third object be so many orders of magnitude more massive than the previous ones? And then there is the jet that I mentioned, that is another anomaly, 10 times longer than it is wide, pointing towards the sun, very different from the tail that we often see, away from the sun in solar system comets.
Starting point is 00:09:42 And then there is the unusual chemical composition. The plume of gas around 3i Atlas is showing much more nickel than iron. And we find much more nickel than iron in industrial production of nickel alloys. So the question is, is this a technosignature? Again, we can learn more as we do some spectroscopy when it's close to Mars. And also, unlike solar system comets, the plume contains mostly carbon dioxide. and not water. As many astronomers forecast that this must be water rich. It's not water rich. Water makes only 4% of the mass budget of the plume of gas around it, the coma, and 87% is carbon dioxide.
Starting point is 00:10:28 And then there is polarization of light from 3i Atlas, which is extremely negative, never seen before for comets from the solar system. All of these are physical characteristics that could potentially be explained. But then there are... You know that that's my... That's how I butter the bread around the Keating household is polarization. Explain what is polarization, why it's the least understood form of all the light properties that we know about spectrum intensity polarization. Almost nobody knows about it.
Starting point is 00:11:00 And yet, it's incredibly important for revealing compositional detail. So you should explain to the audience what is polarity? And why is that so significant what you just mentioned? Yes, in fact, I discussed polarization in the class that I teach at Harvard to graduate soon as the only obligatory class in the PhD program of the astronomy department at Harvard. And it's about radiative processes in astrophysics. And last week, I discussed polarization. Polarization is, you know, any electromagnetic wave is basically made of an electric field that is oscillating and a magnetic field that is oscillating and a magnetic field that is. is oscillating and the two fields are perpendicular to each other in vacuum and perpendicular to the
Starting point is 00:11:45 direction of motion. Now the magnetic field can be related to the electric field. So we just need to discuss the electric field because the two are always perpendicular. And then the electric field could, you know, it's moving. So if you were to move with it, then you could see it, for example, oscillating up and down along an axis. That's called linear polarization. And it could also move in a circle. The vector of the electric field can move in a circle, and that would be circular polarization.
Starting point is 00:12:22 And then you have combinations of the two that give you elliptical polarization. And there is also the possibility of no polarization at all, where you mix all kinds of polarizations in a way that you don't get any polarization. So the fraction of the light that is either associated with an electric field along one axis or a circular polarization gives you the polarization fraction or the level of polarization of the electromagnetic wave. And that is important because, for example, if light is being scattered by electrons, then it depends how the electrons are moving when they scatter the light. and they produce polarization to the light
Starting point is 00:13:08 if they have some geometry. And that's not true only for electrons. It's also true for any scatterer of light. And what often happens is if the geometry of the scattering material has some shape that is not spherically symmetric, you end up polarizing the light in a preferred direction. And what we see for 3A Atlas is negative polarization,
Starting point is 00:13:31 which is very extreme. And perhaps, you know, perhaps nobody worked out the details. It might be related to this geometry of the jet that I mentioned of scattered light, scattered sunlight in front of the object towards the sun. We don't know it because nobody worked out what can explain this polarization, never seen before for comets. And then I should mention there are anomalies that will remain puzzling forever, irrespective of how much data we get from the mass orbiters or from other probes, the trajectory of three-eye atlas is aligned with the plane of the planets around the sun to within five degrees. And that has a likelihood of 0.2% less than a percent. And so the question is, why is it aligned?
Starting point is 00:14:19 If you imagine incoming objects from outside the solar system, they should not have a preferred direction. They come in all angles. And in fact, the previous two interstellar objects had a large angle relative to the plane of the planets. The plane of the planets, the Ecliptic plane, is not in the same direction as the disk of the Milky Way galaxy. There is no reason for an incoming object to be so perfectly aligned. And of course, it's very fortunate for us because it means it spends a lot of time near assets that we have in space. Like it's coming close to Mars and then it's coming close to Venus and then it's coming close to Jupiter. That allows us to look at it in great detail because it's also a big object.
Starting point is 00:15:03 So it's our fortune, but why do we have that fortune of 0.2% likelihood? The arrival time of 3a Atlas is also optimized for it to pass near Mars, Venus, and Jupiter. Because these planets are moving around the sun, you know, on a period of all their years. And yet 3i. Atlas comes to the right place at the right time to be close to all three of them. It doesn't come close to Earth, though. And again, one may ask why. And then finally, just this week, a few days ago, I realized that the arrival direction of 3A Atlas from the Milky Way Galaxy into the solar system was coincident with the direction of the wow signal. And that's a radio signal detected on August 15, 1977.
Starting point is 00:15:56 And it was a complete mystery where this signal came from. It's called the wow signal, because that's what. the person, the observer who noticed this signal in Ohio State University Observatory, the big ear, just noticed an amazingly strong signal much above the noise. And it was clear that it's extraterrestrial coming from outside the Earth, but it wasn't clear where it's coming from within the Milky Way galaxy. and what I realized by comparing the coordinates of where the signal came is that they are within nine degrees of the direction from where Tri-A Atlas came.
Starting point is 00:16:40 And Tri-I Atlas back in 1977 was about 600 times farther from Earth than the sun is, and about three light days away from Earth. And so the chance of it being aligned with the wow signal, is 0.6%. I calculated that. And at that distance, if you ask how much power is needed to emit such a radio signal as detected, it comes to about a gigawatt, the power output of a typical nuclear reactor on Earth. And that wasn't at some random frequency, right?
Starting point is 00:17:21 That was at 1420 megahertz, correct? Yes, very close to the hydrogen, hyperfine transitions. And also the signal was blue shifted. So it means the source was moving towards the sun, just like three-eye Atlas. The inferred speed was about 10 kilometers per second. Three-A-Atlas was moving at 60 kilometers per second, but it could be related to some measurement error. Also, it didn't come from the same, exactly the same direction. So another possibility is that it was a signal transmitted towards three-eye Atlas
Starting point is 00:17:57 from, you know, another source. But this leads me to recommend to radio observers to monitor 3i Atlas for any radio signal. As far as nothing was reported so far as I know. But I wrote an email to some people hoping that they will actually observe 3A Atlas in the coming months with radio observatories. It should be possible. I mean, we could observe it even with things like the Simon's Observatory. But tell me, Avi, why, you know, when you put all these together, I think it's quite interesting that I don't believe you concluded the wow signal alignment in probability as an anomaly, or did you? Own it all. Pay off your home, travel for life, drive a Ferrari. In celebration of the world premiere of the Monopoly Big Board Buckslot machine by Aristocrat Gaming, Yamava Resort and Casino at San Manuel is giving one person a $1.6 million dream package. The biggest prize in Yamava's history.
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Starting point is 00:19:32 But it's not enough to just say what it is. You need to explain how come all these low probability features of Triathlas are being realized. And we should remember the story of the Trojan horse where an innocent-looking visit delivered an existential threat to the city of Troy. And, you know, there is this wager, very famous wager, that Blaise Pascal used to argue that we must consider God seriously, even if we believe that the likelihood for God's existence is small because the implications of this notion are huge. And I argue the same about the technological origin of an anomalous interstellar object like 3i Atlas, you know, encountering an interstellar artifact. could constitute a black swan event with a low probability but major implications for humanity. So actually earlier this week, just two days ago, I submitted a white paper to the United Nations suggesting to establish an international organization that will attend to this possibility
Starting point is 00:20:46 for all future interstellar objects. So we will evaluate the data, the scientific quality data, coordinate observations, and decide what to do, how to respond if there is an anomalous object that could not be explained as a natural one. Wow, I can't believe how, you know, I always say you're the most optimistic pessimist that I know, Avi, but in Israeli proposing to the United Nations that they should do something. I mean, this is the triumph of hope. Well, I'll tell you, I'll tell you why I did it, because I was on a Zoom call in a group discussion with General Stavridis. And I actually asked him, you know, the United Nations was established less than a couple of months after the end of the Second World War.
Starting point is 00:21:38 Exactly 80 years ago, October 1945. And I said, look, this organization is not functioning. very well, doesn't have teeth, and should we reboot the United Nations? And he responded that there used to be before the United Nations was established, the League of Nations, which is much less effective. And the United Nations is indeed, it doesn't have much teeth, but it's the best we have, and it's really difficult to establish something even better. So he's suggesting to improve it, not to remove it and establish something new.
Starting point is 00:22:22 And, you know, that might be true. I do believe that there is a lot to be improved in it. But at the moment, there is no other international organization that I can appeal to to establish a committee that would evaluate interstellar objects. I think it's really important because we are all in the same boat, you know, all humans on Earth. if we have a visit of alien technology, you know, the aliens don't care how we split the land on this rock that we happen to be born on.
Starting point is 00:22:53 Who cares? Like from a large distance, the entire of Earth looks the same. And so we need to think about this kind of a threat or interstellar science in a global way, in a way that involves all nations. And, you know, that's the nature of science, by the way. And I told the General Stavridis, I'm coming from the world of science where international collaboration is the fundamental fabric of science
Starting point is 00:23:22 where I can go to any country in the world and speak with astronomers there. And we all speak the same. We all have similar interests. And therefore, for science matters, what lies outside the solar system, it must be an international organization that deals with that. You know, matters of nations are all about national security, and that involves objects that belong to this Earth, you know, that pose a threat. And that's what, for example, the Space Force is dealing with. But anything to do with objects from outside the solar system should be discussed by all humans, irrespective of which nation they come from.
Starting point is 00:24:10 We lost your sound, by the way, Brian. What about now? Do you hear me now? Yes, I can hear. So we had a discussion right before we went live about the presence of the perseverance rover, which is not in orbit. It's on the surface of Mars. It's been looking around. So there's an interesting post that you share with me from Blue Sky, which I spend almost a negative amount of time on. But this is from someone named Simeon Schmous. I don't know how to pronounce that weird beta-looking term at the end, but some jogging.
Starting point is 00:24:43 German out there screaming at me, which reminds me to tell people my two favorite words I used in my quantum mechanics class today come from German and they are Ansatz. You know, when you feel really happy, you say, that's an Ansatz for an equation. And then my other favorite is, do you know how to say ambulance in German, Avi? No. Cranker wagon. So if you're sick, Avi, we would take you to the crankavagen. So that's my German.
Starting point is 00:25:11 Ryan, 50% of my DNA is German. That's from my father's side. Nobody's perfect. Nobody's perfect, Avi. Me too. I should say, the reason I'm alive is because my grandfather had the wisdom of living Nazi Germany in 1935. So he was really smart. 65 members of the family decided to stay and they said, we will live in the last train.
Starting point is 00:25:33 They were optimists. And they left in the last train, but it led to concentration camps. That's right. They said the optimist went to Auschwitz and the. The pessimist went to New York, Israel, and the, but that's sad to say it looks like, you know, there's some scary similarities. But we're not talking about politics today. Let's talk perseverance. Perseverance Rover from Simeon Schmouse on blue sky, stim three on blue sky.
Starting point is 00:25:58 I think perseverance might have spotted an interstellar comet three-eye Atlas last night from Mars. After stacking 20 images from Ask KMZ, he found a faint smudge of light in the constellation, Corona, Borealis, the northern hair, the northern crown, close to the location where the comet was expected. Avi, tell us about this. What is the implication of this? And how bright is Atlas now? And what is the percent polarization? Because we have some telescopes who are built out here in San Diego.
Starting point is 00:26:27 We might be able to catch it as well. So how bright is the comet and what percentage polarization is it currently? Right. So the comet is relatively bright from Mars. It's about the 11th magnitude. and you know, any camera bigger than 10 centimeters should be able to capture it. The problem is that the Perseverance rover was designed to look at the surface of Mars, not find the comets in the sky, and it's not optimal.
Starting point is 00:26:57 So we are just seeing a small smudge, and it's not really helping much for the science. But, as I said, the high-rise orbiter that moves around Mars will do, an amazing job. And I was communicating with the principal investigator and he promised that they will do their best. Yeah, we tried to get him on, Alfred. We tried to get on Alfred. Yeah, we tried to get him on today. He was not available for this call, but hopefully we'll get him back after they've had some time to take the data. Exactly. So they probably have some data. Issa probably has some data. They just didn't release it as of yet. And it really depends on the research team as to how quickly we'll have access to it. It might be a matter of days or a matter of weeks depending on, you know,
Starting point is 00:27:43 how long it takes them to process the data. The other effect is obviously that of a government shutdown in the U.S. that may actually suppress the study of the data coming from the Mars reconnaissance orbiter. So if it does see something and when we do actually get the data and it has to be declassified or release pretty quickly. What would you, what are you first looking to do with that data once it's, you and your team? Yeah, the first thing is to look at the brightest pixel, and that should correspond to about 30 kilometers at the distance of 29 million kilometers of 3i Atlas from the high-rise camera, because this is a camera with a half a meter diameter, so you can easily do the math for the resolution.
Starting point is 00:28:37 and I did the math and it's 30 kilometers per pixel. So 30 kilometers is not much bigger than the estimated size of three-A Atlas. So one pixel, the brightness of that pixel could tell us how much sunlight is reflected from the surface of the object. Once we know that, assuming an albedo, a reflectance coefficient, we can infer the area. And then from the area, take the square root and get the size, the diameter of the object. and that would be a very tight constraint on the actual size of the nucleus. And if it's bigger than 30 kilometers, we might have more than one pixel represented. One thing to keep in mind is the plume of gas or dust or whatever is around the object is transparent.
Starting point is 00:29:22 It's optically thin. There is no concern that we cannot look through it. And so my hope is we will get a very tight limit on the size and therefore the mass of 3A Atlas. and that could either exacerbate the discrepancy with the previous comet, 2I Borisov, or it might weaken it. If it turns out the size is less than a kilometer based on the amount of light, then we can then say that there is no tension with the amount of mass associated with this object. The other tension that I worked out is if the object turns out to be big,
Starting point is 00:30:03 bigger than five kilometers, bigger than 10 kilometers, then there is just not enough rocky material in interstellar space per unit volume to deliver such a giant rock to our vicinity over a decade period. You expect it to arrive once per 100,000 years or 10,000 years, but not over a decade. And so that's another tension that led me to say, the diameter must be less than a kilometer if it's a natural rock. But if it's bigger than that, then, you know, we need to explain that.
Starting point is 00:30:39 Yeah, indeed we do. I didn't answer one question that you asked me about polarization. So it's about minus 2%, the minus 2 and a half percent polarization, negative. But it's considered extreme in comparison to known comets from the solar system. Wow, that is impressive. So speaking of planets in the solar system, I did an episode. earlier this year with Michael Brown of Caltech, who is a renowned observer. And that episode, Avi, you know, I haven't won the Nobel Prize. I don't know if you're aware of that. I don't
Starting point is 00:31:14 really talk about it that much, right? Everybody out there. But I am eligible to win a Signal Award, Avi. So what I'm asking everybody to do, if you've gotten any value from the, into the Impossible podcast, go to the first link in the video description down below. Or in the chat, there's a pin chat for the live chat and or if you're watching this later i'll put it in the pin chat as well it's only until tuesday which is also red october i don't know we'll talk about red october talk about soviets we'll talk about the chinese space program and my friend chris hadfield who was just on the podcast he has a new book i want to talk about that but beforehand you know um we have a gentleman's agreement gentle ladies agreement if you've gotten any fun or value out of me talking to ovi throughout the
Starting point is 00:31:59 years or on any of the other guests like mike brown and 22 Nobel Prize we're winners, including winner of the medicine or physiology Nobel Prize, Dr. Liu Ignaro. Do you know what Lou Ignaro won the Nobel Prize for Avi? He won it for inventing Viagra. Okay. So he's responsible for a couple of different types of, you know, things that go erect in the night. But go to this website, please, if you like it, into the Impa. It's called the Signal Award. It's not the Nobel Prize. Click on this side over here. It says Brian Keating, Mike Brown. This episode could win one of the top podcast of the year, which would be a huge thing for me. I started this as a hobby.
Starting point is 00:32:38 I love having on my genius friends like Avi and so many others, like the 22 Nobel Prize winners. And Fields Medalist Terence Tao is coming. He was on the show. We recorded at his office in UCLA last month. That's coming out this month. So please, if you've gotten any value, I do ask only one thing. It's free. All you need is a very special email address because they will ask you to verify it to cut
Starting point is 00:32:58 that on spam and bought. Okay. Now back to the discussion. Let me just mention, since you mentioned him, so the last time I met him was in my office. And we were talking about objects in the Kuiper Belt because that's, you know, he's famous for discovering those. And I asked him a simple question, which is related to things. 3-A Atlas in a way because I said then among all the Kuiper belt objects that we know about, have you ever checked the following? You know, an object can either reflect sunlight,
Starting point is 00:33:43 in which case its brightness declines inversely with distance to the fourth power, simply because the amount of sunlight that is impinging on the object declines inversely with distance squared from the sun. And then we are located at a, roughly the same distance from the object. So there is another decline by one over distance squared between the object and us. So altogether, one over distance to the fold. And then if the object produces its own light,
Starting point is 00:34:14 we would expect a decline with one over distance squared. Okay. So we can tell if there is a spacecraft generating its own light in the outer solar system, in the Kuiper belt, or just an asteroid. reflecting sunlight by looking at how the object changes its brightness as it changes its distance from the sun. A very simple way to do that.
Starting point is 00:34:43 And I wrote a paper about it with Ed Turner from Princeton in 2012. So I asked Mike Brown and I said, did you ever check whether the Kuiper Belt objects that you know about, that you have data for change their brightness inversely with distance to the fore? or distance squared. And he said, why should I check? It's obviously one over distance to the fourth. Now, the reason I bring this up is because observers, you know, very often miss the opportunity to discover something new.
Starting point is 00:35:16 You know, we, back in 1952, Othostruve said, if there are planets like Jupiter close to stars like the sun, we can detect them. And observers ignore that suggestion. they said, we know why Jupiter formed so far from the sun. And we don't, that's the snowline, water snowline. So back then there was a theory that now is regarded as wrong. Because now we know there are Jupiter's close to sun-like stars.
Starting point is 00:35:45 And in fact, the Nobel Prize was awarded for that. And at any event, for about 43 years, no such observation was reported. And then, of course, in 1995, it was. So between 1952 and 1995, nobody really paid attention to Otto Struver's proposal because the observers said we don't expect that to exist in nature. Therefore, we shouldn't waste any telescope time searching for it. And then when they found it, the Nobel Prize was given. Now, the reason I bring this up is when you assume what you might see
Starting point is 00:36:20 and therefore you don't even check it, you might miss the Nobel Prize. Okay. And how, you know, what kind of a waste would it be just to check that? You know, like the discovery of 1995 could have been made decades earlier. Right. If anyone would pay attention to Otto Struve. And I also checked the paper that reported the discovery by Marcy and Quilos. And they didn't reference Struve.
Starting point is 00:36:49 They were not aware of it or just didn't regard that proposal as important. but when they made the discovery, it was not even in their mind to refer to Otto Struvet. So that shows how science is very often inefficient because people like Mike Brown say, we don't need to check if an object in the Kuiper Belt changes its brightness inversely with distance to the fault because they believe it must be so. And maybe they missed a spacecraft or an object that produces its own light. People forget the second part of Reagan's. famous claim that you should trust, but you should verify, right? So they're doing the trusting,
Starting point is 00:37:31 but they're not doing the verification. If you allow yourself to make a Nobel Prize worthy discovery, you must go in directions that nobody tried before. You know, that's a simple logic, right? But instead, if everyone follows the same path, nobody takes a path that is different, that doesn't believe theories. Here I'm recommending not to believe theories, because theories, you know, just give you the reasons for why you shouldn't observe this or that. You shouldn't believe theories because sometimes nature is more imaginative than theories. All right. Now, since we talked in September and July before that, in September, we spoke with our friend Michael Shermer,
Starting point is 00:38:11 who may join us, he may not later on, we'll see. But critics have been, you know, kind of always quick to want to attack you. As I fear, you know, and as I feel, there's a Yiddish proverb that says, you know, the higher you fly, the easier you are to shoot down. So you fly pretty high. You fly pretty close to the sun. But you back it up with hundreds, if not thousands of citations and deep research and just an unquenchable curiosity.
Starting point is 00:38:39 And I think that's the most magical quality about you. The criticism, not of you, but of the object has been that, well, it has a tail like a comet. That to me, if I had to kind of handicap things, that might be one of the things that would concern me if I thought it was possible technology. What is the latest on the tail and its orientation? And will it not flip around if it is a comet? Would that be conclusive evidence if the tail flips around as it moves to the outer solar system? No one goes to Hank's for spreadsheets. They go for a darn good pizza. Lately, though, the shop's been quiet. So Hank decides to bring back the $1 slice. He asks co-pilot in Microsoft Excel to look at his sales and costs and help him see if he can afford it.
Starting point is 00:39:24 pilot shows Hank where the money's going and which little extras make the dollar slice work. Now, Hags has a line out the door. Hank makes the pizza. Co-Pilot handles the spreadsheets. Learn more at M365 copilot.com slash work. Yeah, so in July. I'm sorry to interrupt. Can you explain why comets have tails and what they tell us about the comet, please? So a comet is a rock that has an icy surface, and as it gets close to the sun, the ice gets vaporized.
Starting point is 00:39:56 It doesn't have an atmosphere, so there is nothing to, for example, bring water to a liquid form. So the water evaporates. And as a result of that, comets often release also dust particles from the surface along with the waterized vapor. And those dust particles scatter sunlight.
Starting point is 00:40:21 And as a result of them, scattering sunlight, if they have a size comparable to that of the wavelength. They are very efficient at scattering sunlight. But then they are also pushed back away from the sun by the same radiation that they scatter. And you end up with the tail behind the object as it approaches the sun. And that's the signature of a comet.
Starting point is 00:40:46 Usually there is a tail of dust. And if the dust is coupled to the gas, then the two appear together. or they could have different structures because in principle they don't have perfect coupling, the gas and the dust. It depends on how much dust is released, how much gas is being released.
Starting point is 00:41:03 But at any event, this is the origin of cometary tales. And what was true about Three-A Atlas during July and August is clear from the Hubble Space Telescope image. It shows an elongation that is towards the sun. It's an antitail. And that is almost never observed, comets. There is perhaps one example, but the point is that in the Hubble image, we were looking at it from an angle of 10 degrees because the object was at around 3.8 times the Earth's sun separation.
Starting point is 00:41:38 So we were looking at it roughly from the direction of the sun at an angle of 10 degrees relative to the direction to the sun from the object. And that means that in the Hubble image, we see an elongation of about a factor of two. But if you correct for the... sign of the angle, you need to divide by the sign of the angle to account for the projection, then you end up with an extra factor of 5.7. That's one over the sign of 10 degrees. And that means this elongated feature is actually a jet that is 10 times longer than it is wide. And that is, you know, and also if you look, there is nothing in the back. So the width is roughly how much it extends in the back, this glow is spherically symmetric around the object, except in the
Starting point is 00:42:27 direction of the sun where it's 10 times longer than it is wide, sort of like a jet, a real jet. And nobody tried to explain that jet, except the paper that we wrote with a colleague of mine Eric Kito. So here is one additional anomaly. Why is there a jet that is 10 times longer than it is wide? Nothing like that was seen ever, that elongated. in any other comet. And, you know, that remains to be explained. So when someone says, you know, I've been working on comets for many decades, and therefore you should believe me when I say that this is a natural object,
Starting point is 00:43:04 you should ask that person, okay, we believe you, but can you explain the jet 10 times longer than it is white for this object, very different from comets in the solar system. Then at the end of August, there was an indication by the Gemini South, I'm showing that now on screen. I'm showing the Gemini spectra across it. So then we, for the first time, noticed a tail behind the object,
Starting point is 00:43:31 perhaps related to some dust being released from the object behaving in the way that dust should. And that is just a matter of the radiation pressure, pushing it behind the object. But the amount of mass being released by the object, if it's indeed bigger than five kilometers, is really tiny, this entire glow around it, and as well as the plume of gas
Starting point is 00:43:59 that was detected by the Spharex Space Observatory out to 350,000 kilometers, you know, the amount of mass that you have in this plume of gas, mostly carbon dioxide, amounts to ablating about a millimeter thick layer over a period of several months from this object of that large size, it has such a huge surface area
Starting point is 00:44:24 that the amount of gas observed is really nothing. It's just the skin of the object being evaporated in the direction of the sun. And so, as I said before, you know, this may not tell us what the nature of the object, because any object passing through interstellar space, passing through interplanetary media, you know, since it's freezing out there, may collect materials along its path, and that's what we see.
Starting point is 00:44:54 But what it's made of is not necessarily the same material, because if it's five kilometers, you know, just compare the outer millimeter to whatever the object is, it may be something different. So we need to continue to observe it and learn more about it. If it's a real comet, natural origin, it may break up. It may erupt in, it should erupt. you know, when it gets very close to the sun. And there is the juice mission that will observe it just after it passes closest to the sun on October 29th. And it will give us a lot of information.
Starting point is 00:45:28 Now, I just wanted to mention a few points about what you said, that I'm being attacked and so forth. I have a huge amount of positive feedback that I'm getting, just to give you a few examples. I was interviewed just a couple of hours ago on newsmax. And the interview before me, sorry, after me, was with the deputy of the chief of staff for policy at the White House. And he was asked, is President Trump being briefed about the three-A-athlas anomalies that Professor Lowe is discussing? And he replied to that. So that's interesting. Another example, I received an email just two weeks ago from a former pilot in the U.S. Air Force who said,
Starting point is 00:46:28 because of you, my daughter now wants to be a scientist. And that is the highest reward that I can imagine. If I can inspire young kids to become scientists, this is great, irrespective whether Three-A Atlas is a rock or not, this discussion by itself is attracting young kids to science. And another example, there is an artist from New York City that makes bronze sculptors, sculptures. He is the most accomplished sculptor in the U.S. right now, and he made two sculptures that he's donating to my office of Galileo,
Starting point is 00:47:09 plus 50 watercolors that he will bring to my office. I'm going to get you the finger puppet, though. Does he have a finger puppet? And I'm going to get you a meteorite, which, by the way, I give out to all of my guests that have a dot edu email address. Go to Brian Keating.com slash edu, and you live in the U.S., you'll get one of these babies right here. Last time, I was really fascinated about the nickel, you know, and the composition of it. Has there been any resolution since that discussion about the chemical composition? So there was another paper just a couple of days ago about the nickel, and they said,
Starting point is 00:47:44 say it's extremely unusual to see actually nickel, given the surface temperature of three-eye Atlas, you won't expect it because you won't expect the release of minerals, refractory minerals that would bring nickel into view. And they say the nickel to iron ratio is extremely unusual. They put it on a plot in comparison to other comets from the solar system. And again, that's an anomaly.
Starting point is 00:48:13 They mentioned the carbonyl pathway, chemical pathway for making nickel without iron. And that's the pathway being used by industries that make nickel alloys. And my question is, is this a technos? If you had an object with a surface that was manufactured technologically, would you expect nickel without iron the way we see? So again, this needs to be explained. It's not at all clear. There is no theory that accounts for it. it. We know that we make nickel without iron industrially.
Starting point is 00:48:49 So all of these, you know, make the object anomalous, interesting. Even if it's natural, we should find an explanation to these anomalies. The other thing I wanted to mention is in two weeks, I was invited to a NASCAR car race because one of the drivers that competes there decided to put three-eye Atlas with my image on the hood of his car race. and I'm going to watch him. Now, it's quite possible that he will be in the middle of the pack, not really win the race. But nevertheless, how often do you see astronomy represented on the hood of an Oscar car racer?
Starting point is 00:49:28 You know, that should be fun. Now, before this event, what would you have considered the probability of the wow signal being extraterrestrial intelligence? And I do want to point out that we have, you know, 3,500, 4,000. people listening watching right now. And I want to take questions from, I'm going to take questions from all of them. So you're all going to get called upon out there. But in all seriousness, we will take your questions in just a bit. Before this discovery, which again is a serendipity on top of a serendipityist discovery, right? I mean, you only found this out. Nobody else was looking for
Starting point is 00:50:03 this. No one else has the kind of creativity and imagination that you do. But what did you think the wow signal was? I mean, it's in this waterfall region. What did you think it was? It was very puzzling because it's a real signal, definitely of extraterrestrial origin. And back then, when it was discovered, 1977, Carr Sagan highlighted it, and people discussed it seriously. Now, last year, over the past year, there was a reexamination of the interpretation of the signal. And so in an attempt to explain it as a natural source, the claim was made that, you know, we are seeing the hydrogen a hyperfine transition. So perhaps, you know, it was hypothesized in that paper that was just published.
Starting point is 00:50:53 They said, perhaps there is a cloud of gas in interstellar space made of hydrogen that was illuminated by a flare from a highly magnetized neutron star, so a magnetar. And the flare is in the radio so bright that it pumps the hydrogen. atoms to emit as a mazer at 21 something. So we're seeing a mazer emission from a cloud of hydrogen being pumped or induced to generate major activity at this transition. And because it's a flare, you know, that thing disappeared after a while and we couldn't see it again.
Starting point is 00:51:42 So that was their attempt to explain. This is Abel Mendez, right? This is Abel Mendez. Exactly. Exactly. Now, they said flatly in the paper that it's a hypothesis. We don't have any evidence for it. And for many decades, astronomers were thinking, well, maybe it is of extraterrestrial technological origin.
Starting point is 00:52:06 Because the idea was one way to communicate is through this, line of close to the line of hydrogen so then you can transmit communication signals in an otherwise natural
Starting point is 00:52:22 frequency and so people you know for example we are mapping the Milky Way galaxy at 21 at this hyperfine transition and so observers working around this
Starting point is 00:52:35 transition could find the signal and it's a very fundamental transition actually discovered that Harvard University in the physics department it was theoretically predicted by Vanderholst and then a few years later there was an attempt to measure it to observe it in the sky and so there was a horn antenna that was put out of the window of an office in the physics department at Harvard and then the Then they detected amazingly the hydrogen hyperfine transition from the Milky Way galaxy.
Starting point is 00:53:18 It was a very bright transition, easily detectable. And the amazing thing is that at the time, there was a competing team in the Netherlands, led by Ort, that was attempting to detect the same transition. And remarkably, you know, in a gesture of a gentlemanic quality, the Harvard team explained to the Dutch team why they're not detecting it. They had something wrong in the instrumentation. They corrected it and found it. And then the two papers appeared back to back in nature, the discovery of this transition.
Starting point is 00:54:04 Now, of course, it's being used as a tool to map hydrogen throughout the galaxy, but also throughout the universe because hydrogen is the most abundant element. Yeah, and so the hyperfine transition, you might just want to explain that it has to do with the possibility for spin of hydrogen's electron to be aligned or anti-aligned with the nucleus spin, correct? Yes, so the electron has either spin up or spin down relative to the proton in a hydrogen atom. And then
Starting point is 00:54:36 so the transition from a parallel spins to anti-parallel spins has an energy difference that is very small. It corresponds to a wavelength of 21 centimeter. I was among the theoretical
Starting point is 00:54:53 cosmologies that pioneered the use of this line to map the hydrogen in the early universe before the first generation of stars broke it into its constituent electrons and protons. And now, of course, we are trying to detect that signal. It was not discovered yet.
Starting point is 00:55:14 But it would be a way of mapping matter in the universe, hydrogen in this case, in three dimensions, very different from the cosmic microwave background, which is giving us a map of the in homogenities in the universe in two dimensions from the time, from the photosphere, that made the universe transparent 400,000 years after the Big Bang. So mapping the 21-centimeter line allows us to do tomography in three dimensions because every redshift corresponds to a different wavelength. It's 21-santimeter times one plus the red shift, the wavelength that we observe.
Starting point is 00:55:55 So by observing different wavelengths, we can actually map the structure of hydrogen in the universe in three dimensions, and get a much tighter limit on cosmological parameters as long as we find this. Now, the problem is that after a billion years, the universe lost most of its hydrogen because the first generation of stars produce ultraviolet light that broke the hydrogen into its constituent electrons and protons. So we need to go back in time less than a billion years after the big bank. and then we can map the hydrogen.
Starting point is 00:56:35 That's very challenging because the signal is very faint. There is a very strong foreground from the Milky Way galaxy that is obscuring the cosmological signal. But nevertheless, there are several teams trying to measure it. And about 20 years ago, that's when I did many calculations motivating the search for this signal. So last week, or maybe it was two weeks ago now, I interviewed your Harvard colleague, Steve, Pinker. And Stephen's got a new book out called When Everybody Knows, That Everybody Knows, That Everybody Knows, That Everybody Knows, Sort of about this thing that I know, that you know, that you know, that I know, et cetera, et cetera. Like they used to say about the Soviet Union, you know, we know that they're lying. They know that we know that we know that they're lying. We know that they know that they know that they're, you know, so et cetera, et cetera.
Starting point is 00:57:23 And it's kind of this infinite regress. And we talked about it in the context of Galileo, who, as you know, was from your late great colleague Owen Gingrich, was. permitted to teach heliocentrism, sorry, he was permitted to study heliocentrism, but he was forbidden to teach it. So the Cedirius nuncius is written in Latin because nobody spoke Latin. It's like latex. You know, you could do latex and you're probably your gardener doesn't understand it, although my gardener is pretty smart. But you weren't allowed to teach it in the common parlance of the day and the place, which was obviously Italian. And that's why the dialogue, obviously, an Italian word, was forbidden. And that got him on the index. and that got him banned and put in house arrest for the last nine years of his life.
Starting point is 00:58:08 By the way, we're coming up on the 400th anniversary in the 232 is the sixth is the 400th anniversary of the Dialago. But Avi, tell me, in the context of common knowledge, in other words, the church was basically saying, we know that you're right, even though he was right for the wrong reason. We'll get into that in a second. But Galile was right. We know that you're right. And the people know that you're right, but you can't tell other people, less that become
Starting point is 00:58:33 common knowledge. Do you ever feel like that with these, with the relationships you have with Congresswoman Anna Marie Anna Anna, Anna, Anna Paula Luna? No, yeah. Yeah, Leah. Do you feel like there is or is not more favorable kind of treatment of scientists, possibly heretics, and whistleblowers now when it comes to the UAP phenomenon? Or are we basically back in a, in a, you know, 2020's version of 1642? comes in all shapes and sizes. At First Citizens Bank, we roll with your goals because we're built for what you're building.
Starting point is 00:59:15 Fit for your ambition for Citizens Bank. Well, that's really an interesting question. As a scientist, what matters is really the evidence, okay? And I haven't seen classified information that would inform me of what the government really knows. And that's why I said, well, you know, I can wait for the government to inform me, but that may be like waiting for Godot.
Starting point is 00:59:39 It may never come. And also the government is mostly occupied with national security concerns and they don't care much about the frontiers of science. So that's why I established the Galileo project which aims to see if there's anything unusual in the sky. And by the way, I should mention we have now three observatories. The latest is in Nevada.
Starting point is 01:00:02 And just today we are constructing finishing the third unit. So we have three units within that observatory in Nevada that would allow us to triangulate and measure distances to objects in the sky so that we can infer their velocity, their acceleration, and check whether they lie outside the performance envelope of human-made technologies.
Starting point is 01:00:25 Because there are lots of drones in the sky, but they move at a limited speed. And so I approach this subject the following way. I say, you know, I'm just like a kid. I don't want to believe stories that the adults in the room are telling me whether the adults in the room are mainstream scientists, or at least they claim to be such, or the adults in the room are politicians.
Starting point is 01:00:48 I don't care what they say. If there are objects from outside of this earth, we should be able to see them. And we can collect our own data, either through our observatories or the Rubin Observatory, we'll observe those things, irrespective. And then we go through the data, and see.
Starting point is 01:01:06 Like, for example, there are claims maybe there are satellites of the earth that do not belong to any nation. And I say, well, if that's the case, intelligence agencies should have seen them. And by the way, the Rubin Observatory will see them. So, you know, you can't fudge your way out of data or evidence. The only, the worst thing you can do is not, you know, not seek the evidence. As I said before, not look for a hot Jupiter near a sun-like star, not look for whether Kuiper belt objects have a brightness that depends on one over distance to the fourth or one
Starting point is 01:01:47 over distance square. So if you don't check your assumptions, you will always live in ignorance. And that's what the Vatican preferred most people to know, not to be aware of what Galilei was doing and not to be doubting the doctrine until 1992, when they admitted that he was right. And so you are entirely correct that this is a game of psychology that you can play as long as the data is not obvious. And you can hide the data, you can suppress the data,
Starting point is 01:02:19 you know, reviewers and editors. I can give you examples of three-i-athlas. You know, I submitted a paper for publication, and the last sentence was, you know, this trajectory that it takes and its size are so anomalous that perhaps the trajectory was designed by some technology of intelligence. And the editor insisted that I remove this sentence or else the paper will not be accepted for publication. And that, to me, sounds like censorship.
Starting point is 01:02:53 You know, a single sentence like that doesn't do any harm to science. You can argue that you can prove it wrong easily by detecting all the the commentary signatures around such an object and then we are done and who cares if there is a sentence or not but the editor felt the need to remove it and that editor went out and made public statements
Starting point is 01:03:14 at the New York Post about any consideration of a technological origin is you know nonsense on stills again this is aimed to intimidate any person who thinks outside the box that wants to deviate from the
Starting point is 01:03:30 beaten path and I see that as causing damage to innovation in science. You want to allow people to think differently because maybe, maybe one of those ideas will end up being correct. And we are losing efficiency if we ignore those possibilities, as I mentioned before, the hot Jupiters could have been found decades earlier.
Starting point is 01:03:50 So unfortunately, we see this phenomenon that was practiced by the church during Galileo's time. We see it today among editors, among reviewers of papers, And when people say, well, this idea was not actually peer reviewed, keep in mind that some of the time the editors do not even send it to peer review because they have a prejudice. And it's really unfortunate because nowadays, you know, it doesn't cost any paper.
Starting point is 01:04:17 Things online, you know, are relatively cheap and why not allow the community at large to evaluate the idea by itself? And I simply think that there is a lot of... herding within our community that is suppressing innovation. And just look at the public. You know, the scientists often in the mainstream argue, we should not communicate with the public until we know the answer. Then they go on a press conference and lecture to the public,
Starting point is 01:04:49 what they think is the truth as if, you know, these are students in a class. But the public doesn't like that. No. Because the public enjoys the process of science where we have a lot of uncertainty to start. with. And then like a detective story, you know, you keep finding more and more clues that lead you in the right direction. And I see that clearly from the response of the public to the development of evidence on three-I Atlas, the way I communicated, is that it's work in progress. The public loves that. And so the scientists who are opposed to communicating with the public are causing
Starting point is 01:05:25 damage because what they are portraying sciences is an occupation of the elite, you know, we only communicate to the public where everyone agrees and we know the answer as if it's textbook material. But guess what? In many cases, there were answers given to the public that ended up being wrong. Okay. And it's just a false narrative to say, you know, that science needs to maintain its posture by not communicating the process to the public. because I think people connect to the fact that it's a learning experience, that we don't always know the truth, that we learn it by iterations, that we could be wrong sometimes, but then evidence brings us to the right view.
Starting point is 01:06:11 Yeah, there's a lot of also, we always have to balance the anti-science or the conspiracy theories. I mean, now we have people like Tucker Carlson, Candice Owens. I have a video take down of them coming out soon, but really kind of leveraging, oh, well, COVID, you know, we were lied to about lab leak origins and the efficacy. of the COVID vaccine. Therefore, we shouldn't trust science at all. I don't trust science at all, according to Candace Owens. As she actually uses a Wi-Fi transmitter that's the byproduct of Bell Labs,
Starting point is 01:06:38 which is where the CMB was discovered and lasers were invented. But I don't want to go too far down that road, but I do want to bring in... That's very bad. I completely agree with you. And I think the best path forward is actually to explain how science is done, that it's based on evidence, not prejudice, there's no stories, you don't believe eyewitnesses, you just follow data that instruments give us without any, you know, wishful thinking.
Starting point is 01:07:09 And that's the way science should be done without prejudice. And I think that the public understands that and it appeals to the public. So there is a narrative that should be adopted and it will improve the way that science is being portrayed because it's fun. It's supposed to be fun.
Starting point is 01:07:31 When we don't know something, when we take risks, rather than pretend to know the answer in advance, when we make mistakes, you know, it makes us human. Any learning experience must be associated with making mistakes. You know, because you don't know the answer in advance. Einstein made a lot of mistakes. You know, anyone makes mistakes
Starting point is 01:07:50 as long as you put yourself through the process of learning. Because the whole idea of learning or discovery is that you didn't expect it in advance. I always say that if Einstein didn't make those blunders, Avi, he could have been pretty famous guy. I mean, he might have just been. You know, one thing that was raised against me was, oh, maybe Avi invented or is discussing three-eye Atlas in this way because he wants to deflect attention from the Epstein files.
Starting point is 01:08:17 You know, there were some conspiracy theories suggesting that. And obviously, you know, I would be more powerful than the Pope if I could arrange for an object the size of Manhattan Island to exist at four times the Earth's sun separation. You know, we know that's the distance because we had 227 independent observatories around the globe. You know, this is information that cannot be classified because there are so many independent people. You can buy half a meter telescope online and look at three-eye Atlas. Like, this is not something that I can invent as a conspiracy. And so, you know, when you explain that to people, they get it.
Starting point is 01:08:55 And those that don't get it, you know, they should consult their therapies about how to do better in life. You know, and unfortunately, many people in the scientific community are not subscribing to the scientific approach of learning from experiment. You know, we have a whole community in the, you know, in the leadership of theoretical particle physics, which is talking about extra dimensions, supersymmetry, things that were not proven, demonstrated. and they are doing it for 50 years. And, you know, if you do it for several decades, okay, but once you do it for your entire career and you don't have evidence for what you're advocating, you should worry about spending your life
Starting point is 01:09:37 on just imaginary concepts that have nothing to do with reality. How do we balance that, though, before we're going to get the questions from the audience because there's so many thousands of questions. But the kind of balance that we need to maintain as professional scientists to not fall into the trap of, well, because it's anti-Orthodox, because it's counter-expert or anti-authoritarian, it must be true. You know, I'm thinking of there's a tremendous amount of interest in, you know, in kind of Al-Cubieri warp drives as explanations for how these
Starting point is 01:10:12 objects, maybe even Atlas, you know, use an Al-Cubiari warp drive, and then maybe it made use of the Byfield Brown effect and all this sort of nonsensical stuff that doesn't have peer review. that doesn't have replication, that just has, you know, kind of a lot of circumstantial evidence. Well, he was actually working at Northrop Grumman, this guy Brown, and then he actually, in Northrop Grumman, then they were related to the F-117,
Starting point is 01:10:36 which was in Burbank, which is near Hollywood, and they had a soundstage, and then, well, Stanley Kubrick was working in Hollywood and also the NASA program. So how do you balance the kind of, you know, skepticism that every scientist needs to have about himself and herself, first of all, then everyone else in the scientific community.
Starting point is 01:10:55 But then how do you avoid falling into the wormhole, the pitfall, the Alcubieri drive rabbit hole that leads you down to a pure conspiratorial endpoint? Right. So I, you know, this is an approach that I develop over decades. You know, I've been practicing astrophysics for four decades. And here is what I learned. that it's worth spending your time on a hypothesis, which really, you know, solves a major anomaly
Starting point is 01:11:32 that otherwise, you know, there is no good explanation for it. So the community as a whole doesn't really find, you know, a solution which is reasonable, easy to accommodate. And then there is no evidence. that this solution is the right one. So if you are in this phase where there is a major anomaly that needs to be resolved,
Starting point is 01:11:56 I think it's worth dedicating time because it might be a new discovery. However, there are many things that are possible and you can spend your life. We live for a short time. You can spend your life going down rabbit holes that end up being a waste of time. So you don't want that to be very often.
Starting point is 01:12:17 So the way I actually wrote an essay in Nature magazine in 2011, where I said, you think about it just like investing your money. You know, you want to diversify your portfolio, maybe invest 20, 30 percent of your research time in ideas that may end up not being right. You know, these are risky propositions. Sort of like investing in venture capital investments, you know, and stocks. And then you should also allocate a major fraction of your resources to bonds, you know, safe bets that are likely to bear fruits eventually. They are not as risky.
Starting point is 01:13:10 They will not win you the Nobel Prize. As to how much of your time you allocate to different levels of risk, is a matter of taste. It's also a matter of which stage in your career you're in, because if you need to gain tenure, you must have something to demonstrate that you are leading a frontier, right? So it needs to be something that is popular, needs to be something that is appreciated,
Starting point is 01:13:36 something that is not taking too much risk. But as you become tenured, that's the pathway for putting more of your resources in risky propositions, and it's a matter of taste. how much risk you wish to tolerate. What happens to most academics is that they invest after they get tenure, they want to maintain their stature so that they get honors, awards, and never make mistakes. And that means they invest very little in any risky propositions.
Starting point is 01:14:08 I don't have a problem with that, except that the whole idea of getting tenure was to allow yourself some job security so you can take risks. And moreover, you know, these people who become dogmatists, they not only do it themselves, but they ridicule anyone that takes more risks than they do. And they say bad things about those people. They write blog posts negatively, you know, attacking me, for example.
Starting point is 01:14:36 They make YouTube videos. And I say that, you know, that's a psychological problem that they have. You know, you can select a level of risk in your own research and let's just decide which hypothesis is correct based on data. Why do you need to ridicule or say bad things about the person who is taking more risk? You know, it's just inappropriate. If you believe that these risks are not warranted, then don't follow them and just prove that they're wrong based on data. That's it.
Starting point is 01:15:06 You don't need to do more than that. You don't need to attack the person who takes more risk. Because after all, these people who take more risk are the one to pioneer new paths of knowledge. You know, Einstein was not popular to start with until his ideas that were very risky to, you know, got some traction in the community. So you want to allow. And I can give you examples. Like right now I'm collaborating with a young fellow that was born in India.
Starting point is 01:15:32 And, you know, he had to work hard to help his family, didn't have great grades. But I noticed that he's brilliant. And then I started collaborating with him. And, you know, he applied to. graduate schools, among them my own. And I know people in the selection committee that said, we don't want to take risks with a person who did not establish himself as of yet. I am working with that person now. He went to another university. And I can say this guy is brilliant. And unfortunately, such people at the early stage in their career, they can be easily sideline
Starting point is 01:16:10 because their brilliance is not recognized, their genius is not recognized simply because the senior people who decide who should get into graduate school, who should get funding, who should get tenure. These people are so conservative that they don't appreciate innovation. You see, that's the problem that you develop a culture of people who are looking for others like themselves that amplify their voice in those echo chambers that already exist within academia. So there are echo chambers and you build up those echo chambers, but by finding people who say the same thing. And unfortunately, those people who take risks are underappreciated, even though they make most of the important breakthroughs. And the thing that disturbs me most about the attacks
Starting point is 01:16:56 that are made against you, it's always that there's a monetary component. And even that I'm funded, perhaps you're funding me or maybe Peter Thiel is funding both of us. I mean, halivai, as they say, right? I mean, no. I just wrote an essay a week ago regarding that, where a few people are approach me and ask me if I want to put my essays on medium, which now get about 60,000 views a day. I'm putting it on the screen now. I'm getting two million views a month. You know, that's just like a major newspaper. I'm just writing about science and so many people are following me. So I was asked whether I want to monetize it or to put it under paywall. And I said, no way because I enjoy communicating with the public without asking for any payment.
Starting point is 01:17:47 And I will never do that. So, you know, I'm not making any profit out of my creative work. That reminds me. I have to do an ad now for shortform.com. No, I'm just kidding. No, I see just a work of love. Just think about it. If you love someone, you know, you might give your body to that someone.
Starting point is 01:18:08 But if you have to make money out of giving your body to someone, it's a very different experience. That's right. That's right. And it brings up the world's second oldest profession. All right, we have, I'm showing the Trojan horse from your website. So everyone should go to Avi's a medium. It's free, as you heard. And it's phenomenal. And I get it every day. And then Avi's kind enough to send me emails, even though I get the medium articles as well. So Avi, we've got a billion questions. Let's take on a few of those before I have to break for Shabbat and then 20, 30 minutes. Indy's bike says maybe SETI can listen to Atlas to see if it sends out radio waves. It's kind of clever. What do you make of it?
Starting point is 01:18:45 No, that's exactly what I proposed in an email yesterday to people who operate radio telescopes. I hope they will do it. That's a great point. Yes. Now, SETI Institute, do you feel like they would do? Because they seem to be kind of a little selfish. It's really strange because, you know, for 60 years, the SETI approach of looking for radio signals, which is similar to waiting for a phone call at home.
Starting point is 01:19:11 You know, that approach did not yield any detection positive except for the wow signal that we just mentioned. And, you know, these people got used to the psychology of just saying we don't detect anything. So when someone says, oh, there is a different method that should be looked at that may detect something, they have a very negative response to that. So, you know, for some reason, the SETIC community does not
Starting point is 01:19:37 really care much about detecting physical objects close to earth that may have originated from extraterrestrial technological civilizations. Now, I say that because they ban any discussion on those objects in their conferences. And so we do, we do learn what will happen if we colonize it. You know, if we have settler colonialists that go to another world, we have to be very much in tune with that, right, Avi? I mean, that could be a big danger. Yeah, well, let's, I mean, the way I think about an encounter with a visitor, a technological visitor from outside the solar system is the way that ants, you know, that are sitting in a crack in the pavement are viewing a biker that passes by. I mean, I think that whatever we encounter would be so much superior to us because it managed to get to our backyard before we got to their backyard. that we won't be able to communicate,
Starting point is 01:20:36 we won't be able to easily understand the intent, or the technology being used. Yeah, I mean, probably not going to ask us for our preferred pronouns, those ants. Okay, we got a question here from snares to X. What do you think, Avi, of the chances that 3-Ey Atlas breaks up as it goes by the sun? Obviously, if it was technological,
Starting point is 01:20:57 probably be hard to make that argument. So if it breaks up, would you then revise your priors on the nature of this object. Yes, especially because we could see the pieces, what they're made of. So as you make smaller pieces, they have a larger surface area per unit mass, and therefore they more easily get ablated. And so the fragmentation of an object, the breakup of an object,
Starting point is 01:21:24 results in more and more surface area. Eventually, it's sort of like an explosion. That's why meteors burn up in the atmosphere, generating a fireball. So a similar process can happen close to the sun and indeed would reveal that there is nothing inside. However, if it's technological, there might be a scenario where the object releases mini-probes that visit the planets because the object is moving, 3-A Atlas moves on a retrograde orbit, which is opposite to the direction of motion of the planets around the sun. That's ideal for getting mini-probes to the planets because they don't need to chase the planets. They just go opposite to the motion of the planets and meet them and then figure out whatever the purpose is.
Starting point is 01:22:12 So I told the research team of the Galileo project that I'm leading to monitor the sky in the months after Three-A Atlas passes close to the sun to check whether there is any additional activity. But whoever asked the question is exactly right. If the object breaks up into fragments of ice that get evaporated, then definitely it's natural. Yes. John Klass asked, why not aim the web telescope at 3i Atlas? Oh, it was. On August 6th, the web telescope looked at 3i Atlas and got an amazing spectrum because it has a large aperture. and you just need to look at the paper.
Starting point is 01:22:54 The spectrum is amazing. And it showed 87% by mass of the gas around the Triadlas being made of carbon dioxide, 9% carbon monoxide, 4% water. And since then, there were ground-based telescopes finding cyanide as well as nickel without iron in the plume of gas. the object turned out to be green over the past month.
Starting point is 01:23:23 We don't know why exactly, because there was very little C2, two carbon atoms coming together in a molecule. There was very little of that, and that's usually what gives green color to comments. Okay, so next one question I have is coming from, why should there be private companies? Why should this have to be privatized via the
Starting point is 01:23:53 Galileo project? Although you are open to many different many different contributions, public and private. But why is this primarily taking place in the private sphere? Your summer starts now with Memorial Day deals at the
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Starting point is 01:24:34 No, so the Galileo project, as well as much of my, all of my activity over the past decade, was funded by either foundations or donations. And, you know, I prefer that mode of funding simply because there is a lot of bureaucracy when dealing with federal institutions like the National Science Foundation or NASA. So there are lots of reports you have to write. The application is very cumbersome. And that takes away from research time. And if there is someone inspired by the research, it's a much easier path to fund the research. And gladly, people were inspired.
Starting point is 01:25:14 They came to my front door, billionaires at my home and offered the funding donations that they support the Galileo project. And I also got contacted by foundations. And that's, for example, when I was the founding director of the Black Hole Initiative at Harvard, I managed to get funding for this institute that was brand new out of foundations.
Starting point is 01:25:42 We were funded by the Temerner, Templeton Foundation and later another foundation joined. And so altogether, it's an endeavor that is supported. By now, maybe at a level of 50, by the Golden Moore Foundation, that was the second one. At the level of about by now $20 million over the past, since 2016. It's multi-modal, it's multi-domain. It even listens and uses auditory bands. to look forward. It's an ingenious endeavor, of course. I am not involved with it. People always
Starting point is 01:26:20 ask me, well, you just love it. I briefly considered it, but I want to be impartial because I want to ask you difficult questions. I mean, we're good friends, but good friends, you know, can have good arguments all for the sake of, you know, heaven, as they say, but all for the sake of science. Okay. Some people are telling me to warn you, Avi, that the government, if you find something, may attempt to do something to you. Do you have any, you know, security? concerns in all seriousness? Not at all. Okay, good. I think, you know, there is anything to do with objects from outside the solar system has no national security implications because, as I said, it affects all of Earth. And, you know, we are all in the same boat, all humans on Earth.
Starting point is 01:27:04 And I don't think one government or another can suppress, first suppress the data because there are so many Galileos right now, looking at the sky, you know, like amateur astronomers as well. Different countries. That's my argument against the, yeah, that's my number one argument against the fallacy of the moon landings that they actually did occur, is that the Soviets witnessed that landing occur and they would have had every intention and every motivation to prove that the U.S. failed and that the astronauts all dying on impact. Okay, more questions. David Drennan asked if Analyst is an engineered object, would you expect its trajectory, its mission profile, to look like a passive reconnaissance energy harvesting payload release.
Starting point is 01:27:45 Could any sort of technology leave a footprint that would be observable? I think it's a lot of things mixed in. But yeah, what would you expect it to leave behind as a detritus as a detectable detritus? Another way to ask this question is what would be technological signatures of a spacecraft that makes it different from a rock? Okay. And one would be maneuvering. As I said, there is no detected non-gravitational.
Starting point is 01:28:10 acceleration for 3i Atlas so far. So if we see a huge maneuver, it would mean that it has nothing to do with cometary activity. It must be some engine that allows it, a propulsion system that allows it to do it. The second thing you can think of is transmission of signals, like I mentioned before, the wow signal or if radio observatories detect radio emission from a comet, we don't expect that naturally. especially not in a narrow band of 21 sun, of the hyperfine transition of hydrogen.
Starting point is 01:28:47 And then you can imagine some excess heat. If there is light that is artificial coming from the object, has nothing to do with the illumination by the sun. You know, that could be a technological signature. There are many, if we have an image that shows that the object has a structure that is not a rock, if we land on it, we can easily tell that it's, made of screws and bolts on the surface, that it has some buttons that you can press.
Starting point is 01:29:15 You know, these are signatures that cannot be mimicked. But I say, even if it's a rock that came from interstellar space, if we ever land on such a rock, like Three-I Atlas, that's an amazing opportunity to bring back materials, like, let's say, 100 grams, as we brought from Benu, the asteroid Benu from the solar system, and examine those materials to see if there are the building blocks of life as we know it. And this is a completely different approach than looking for the chemical fingerprints of microbes in the atmospheres of exoplanets. That's where the mainstream of astrobiology wants to invest more than $10 billion, the highest priority in the Decadal Survey of 2020. And I say, here is another alternative approach for astrobiology.
Starting point is 01:30:05 You actually retrieve materials from the environment of another star. and you learn about the building blocks of life there. And it would take us millions to billions of years to reach those other stars with spacecraft and bring back the material to Earth. Instead, you have an object that made the trip already over millions to billions of years. And all you need to do is just land on it,
Starting point is 01:30:27 retrieve the material, bring it back to Earth. And this is a frontier of astrobiology, not recognized at all. If you ask practitioners in the mainstream of astrobiology, they would never bring it up. And I'm saying after a three-eye Atlas visited, we should consider that even if you believe it's a rock, it was an amazing opportunity. We don't have an interceptor that could meet it, and we should design an interception. We can have an array of interceptors whenever an object like that comes along.
Starting point is 01:30:57 We just cross its path and they land on it bring materials back to Earth. I want to ask you about strange confluence. I want to add two more anomalies to your list of, what did you say, seven? B'anavi. One is that it's coming closest to Mars, the red planet, on the 80th anniversary, 70th anniversary, almost of a 768th anniversary maybe, of the Sputnik launch in October, which itself was 40 years after the Red October incident of the Russian Revolution. A lot of these things are happening. And that's when it gets closest to the Red Planet, anything to be had from this or my, do I have a tinfoil hat I need to replace my, my dunce
Starting point is 01:31:44 head with what do you think? Well, we have to keep in mind, we have to ask when was, when did it start its path in this direction? And, you know, 80 years ago, it would have been around the Kuiper belt. So if there is a camp over there where, you know, they decided 80 years ago to send a probe, then that's the time when it would arrive right now. And we keep talking about the outer solar system, how little we know whether there is another planet out there. There was recently a discovery of a new planet
Starting point is 01:32:21 that this proves perhaps the Planet 9 hypothesis because it's completely in a different direction from it. And it wouldn't exist. It would have been liberated from the solar system if Planet 9 existed. Anyway, there is this, dispute about planet nine, but there was a new planet discovered. And my point is, imagine that there are some spacecraft part or orbiting the sun in the outer solar system. We would never
Starting point is 01:32:49 know about them because they don't reflect enough sunlight, even if there are tens of kilometers in size. And when we see anomalies in the outer solar system, we would try to explain them in terms of natural objects. So, you know, we are too ignorant, to be dogmatic. That's my point. for us to resist the idea that there might be technological artifacts heading our way because we don't know how near are, you know, such objects to us as of now. And, you know, there is this dark forest hypothesis that, you know, they might come to visit us when they realize that we develop technologies that might be of risk to them because we can notice them. And so, you know, in a dark forest, you prefer not to make a sound until there is a threat. You are.
Starting point is 01:33:37 afraid of predators, but once you observe potential predators, you go and visit them, and that may be three-eye Atlas, for example. And then the other anomaly for the ninth one is that it is the NASA, the government shutdown has occurred. So the aliens have timed things rather exquisitely. But I actually want to ask you about a conversation I had with... Well, just on that, Brian, before we continue, I would say the shutdown is a reflection of human stupidity, not of extraterrestrial intelligence.
Starting point is 01:34:09 Amazing. Okay, so I talk with Commander Chris Hanfield. It's coming out on Tuesday or Wednesday when his new book comes out called Final Orbit, the third in the Apollo murders trilogy so far, although he's going to write many more. And we're talking about this battle. It takes place during the Apollo Soyuz era when there was cooperation between governments, like cooperation between the Soviet Union. and America. And then, you know, things went really well at the end of the Cold War. Now things
Starting point is 01:34:39 look pretty horrible. And the kind of the stealth character, it's not really a spoiler because it plays such a big role in the book is a Chinese scientist who Tian Chu Liu, I think is his name. He went on to become the father of the Werner von Braun, but not of America, but of China, and established their nuclear program and their space program. And we talked about kind of the new era of perhaps space warfare. And that might be an answer to the dark forest or alongside the dark forest. The technology that might be coming out and perhaps traveling across the solar system might not be friendly. It might be also, it might be kind of perhaps you would call them migrants coming to another world.
Starting point is 01:35:24 What do you think about this? Where are the Chinese with respect to America? Because I see the Soviet, the Russians rather, as far out of the game. in terms of investigating scientifically, they've been ostracized. The Chinese are on the rise. What do you make of them and their search for extraterrestrial intelligence as well? Well, they have, of course, now the biggest radio telescope that replaced the... 500 meters, 500 meters.
Starting point is 01:35:48 Yeah, and they define the search for radio signals as an important priority. But studying objects, you know, like 3-I Atlas or other interstellar objects, they're still behind. For example, they don't have an equivalent to the ruby. Observatory that was funded by the National Science Foundation, Department of Energy. So we still have an edge on this part, but they are really into space as a matter of their own pride. And one thing that is of greatest concern for the superiority of American science is that they might actually, they have a plan to send a sample retrieval mission to Mars,
Starting point is 01:36:33 Because recently NASA announced that there might be evidence for microbes on Mars based on the spots that were identified on the rocks at the Jazeera crater. And actually, the Chinese have a plan by 2028 to send a sample return mission and bring back the sample by 2031. And they might actually do it before the U.S. And if there is evidence for life, they might be the ones to discover it. So there is a race as to finding extraterrestrial life. And it's possible that the Chinese will, you know, do it earlier than NASA, simply because NASA is slow in funding the sample return from Mars. And I think that will be quite unfortunate because the preliminary evidence from the Perseverance rover was quite,
Starting point is 01:37:32 impressive. The other thing, you know, is that we should obviously consider, you know, the existence of alien technology as, you know, something that should bring all humans on Earth to be engaged in the search. And that's the nature of science, although it's being used for political purposes. I think it would be nice if we coordinated and helped each other across the world in advancing this frontier of interstellar science. And that is what I advocated to the United Nations. So we're going to wrap up in a few minutes, Avi. There's a question again from David Drunin. Given the JWST showing the ratio of carbon dioxide to water is 8 plus or minus one, how do you reconcile the expectations for a technological object? Could have a
Starting point is 01:38:32 be an engineered probe. Well, so that's the ratio in terms of molecules, but the ratio of production rate of molecules of carbon dioxide versus water. But if you take the atomic weight, the weight of each molecule, you find that water makes only 4% of the mass budget, and carbon dioxide makes 87%, and carbon monoxide 9%.
Starting point is 01:38:56 So water is much less significant in the mass budget. And that goes against, the conclusion that was drawn by many comet experts early on when 3i Atlas was discovered, there was a very strong statement that it must be water rich, which is similar to comets from the solar system. And then there were a couple of teams that claimed we detect water. It is water rich. And I looked at the data. It was very noisy in one case, and it was exaggerated, inappropriately analyzed in the
Starting point is 01:39:32 second case and I criticized those statements that it's water rich. And I was attacked personally for making some critical remarks about the conclusions of these two papers. And then came the web telescope that measured very accurately the level of carbon dioxide and water and it turns out that indeed carbon dioxide is far more important in the mass budget. Now to your question about whether what does it mean, is it natural or not? As I said before, the amount of mass being released, if you split it across the surface area of an object that is 5 to 46 kilometers in diameter, you get a very thin layer of the object, less than a millimeter being ablated over a period of months that will account for all the mass that we see. So it's very easy to see the cometary, you know, the comma around the object, even if it's very dilute. And it is very dilute.
Starting point is 01:40:31 I say if you sum up all the mass that was lost by an object with 150 kilograms per second over a period of several months and you share it across the surface area of such a giant object, you end up with a layer that was ablated that is less than a millimeter thick. It's nothing compared to the size of the object. So what lies inside is a different matter, you know, and it could be just the outer layer. of even a technological object. That's why I'm saying, you know, if it breaks up, then obviously it must be natural. So, Avi, one last question comes from Steed, who looks an awful like my friend Terrence Howard.
Starting point is 01:41:14 I wonder if that is Terrence. Not Terence Tao. He'll be on the show coming up very soon. A reminder for everybody before we wrap up in the final, very provocative question. She can get a meteorite if you're one of the lucky winners. Every month I give out a couple of dozen of these beauties here. This is not an extraterrestrial technology, but it's extraterrestrial metal. Older than our solar system, right?
Starting point is 01:41:34 Avi, it had to come from a star, maybe beyond. It has a lot of carb, cobalt, nickel, but not in the ratio that Atlas has. So you're lucky to win one of those babies, but you're guaranteed to win one if you have a .edu email address like Avi and I do. And that's if you live in the United States. So go to Brian Keating.com slash YT or dash slash EDU. And last thing is I hope everyone will pick up a copy. next week is Christmas for nerds, Avi. It's the Nobel Prize season.
Starting point is 01:42:02 A reminder, my fourth book is out Into the Impossible, Volume 2 of my interviews with Nobel Prize winners, and these include some of the most phenomenal minds on planet Earth, or perhaps even beyond, including astronomers. And maybe, I don't know, Tuesday, are you going to stay up late,
Starting point is 01:42:18 Tuesday, early Tuesday morning, Avi? What are your plans for late Monday night, Tuesday morning when the physics prize gets announced? When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed-sponsored jobs. It gives your job posts the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications, and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates
Starting point is 01:42:42 who check all your boxes. Listeners of this shelf will get a $75-sponsored job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast. That's Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed, Sponsored. jobs. I already said that I would take the approach always of Bob Dylan that didn't care much, even after he was awarded, not to speak before, because, you know, life is too short for us to waste
Starting point is 01:43:11 it on, you know, getting approval from other people. Why should we worry about the recognition that we get? Let's just do what we are passionate about. You know, that is the best recipe for good life. And I learned it, by the way, when I was a kid on a farm, you know, and I enjoy going out, you know, every morning in the company of ducks, bunnies, rabbits, you know, wild turkeys, birds. Because, you know, nature is much more, you know, imaginative, much more enriching than whatever people can give us. And so I don't really care about prizes, you know, that's really second time. At this point, when I was younger, it really was very important. Yeah, I mean, the only metal that, you know, we should really care about is what is this thing made of? What is the
Starting point is 01:44:04 extraterrestrial metal on this object called Atlas? So, and then the last thing just before we wrap up the show is the request, the very humble request that I have, that people will go to this website for the Signal Awards. It's not the Nobel Prize, but it's given on the same day. and that is to help me win a podcasting award, which I've never won before. But I have to be in the top, I think I have to be in the top three to actually win. I'm only at 13%. Come on, everybody out there. Please go to the link in the pinned description and in the pinned comment on the side.
Starting point is 01:44:40 Click on that, vote for Brian Keating into the impossible interview with Mike Brown about a transnetonian object or possibly Planet 9. and this potentially could win a gold medal, if not a Nobel Prize. So, Link is for the Signal Awards. You can only vote if you have a verified email address, so you need that. We have two more questions to come. One is, why aren't we sending signals or are we sending signals, or should we send signals to 3-E-A-A-A-A-A-A-A-A-A-A-R-WyMENT or
Starting point is 01:45:09 something to it? What would you think about the wisdom of that being asked? Well, that's an excellent question. And obviously, if it's a technological object, they are aware of all the signals that we've been broadcasting for a while because, you know, we were not careful. We were playing it dumb. We assumed that there is nothing out there. And if we transmit some signals, the question is, will they serve any good purpose? I mean, maybe we'll get a response. It's a way to start a conversation. We can say hello, welcome to our
Starting point is 01:45:40 backyard piece or something like that. But the issue is, first, they will not necessarily understand it. Second, they might interpret it as a hostile message. Who knows? And so my approach, you know, in a blind date, there is always the concern that the person that you are dating is a serial killer, right? You don't know if the person is friendly. Of course, if you're an optimist, you go on blind dates and never assume a serial killer. But I'm just saying, you know, there should be an organization,
Starting point is 01:46:14 international organization that will decide how to respond. and that includes whether what we transmit, what we do in response. Just like in any other Black Swan event, you know, we need to have some policy here. And it's not a matter of a single person to decide. It's because it affects all of us, all humans. We're all in the same boat. And if someone rocks the boat, we can all disappear. I'm not, I don't think the universe cares much about humanity, you know, whether humanity exists.
Starting point is 01:46:42 It just came along over the past few million years. The universe existed for, you know, 13.8 billion years before we came to exist. And if we disappear, I'm sure that we have siblings near other stars. Nobody cares if we exist or not. It's just a matter of us preserving ourselves, you know, survival. And the best way to survive is to be smart about how you interact with threats, with predators. And I think we need to have an organization that decides about it. it's not a matter of a single person making a choice and, you know, bringing all of us down the drain.
Starting point is 01:47:23 Absolutely. Well, Avi Love, this has been a wonderful way to start the new season of The Into the Impossible podcast as we go into my eighth anniversary on YouTube. Of course, I took the first three years off. I didn't really do much. And that was because I was too busy promoting my first book. And I had some guests on, of course, but not not at the level. of taking things now. So please do subscribe to the channel, leave a comment, leave a like, let me know what you want to ask, Avi, when it comes closest to the sun, is that on Christmas
Starting point is 01:47:55 or on Christmas, Avi? No, October 29. Yeah, so we just have another month to wait. Not too long, and then we might see fireworks and celebrate that it's just a rock. That would make me happy. There is no threat to humanity. On the other hand, I do think we need a wake up call because we are focusing on the wrong things, on conflicts. You know, and I'm worried about a civil war within the U.S., given the polarization, given the fact that, you know, we see gunshots, you know, aiming from one side to the other. That's very dangerous, and we could be aiming, going into a civil war.
Starting point is 01:48:37 And it's also true globally around the world. So we really need desperately a wake-up call that we should change our priorities. And I feel sometimes like I'm in a, you know, when I read the news that I'm like in a party where the party goers are misbehaving. And the best thing I can hope for is to look through the window and look for a new guest that will show up and make the situation better. Well, I second that emotion. I always say that, you know, astronomy is always a safe space because, well, I used to say nobody looks up at a constellation and says that's a Republican constellation and that's a Democratic asteroid. But nowadays, who knows, they might really politicize outer space. Well, three-eye Atlas started red, then it turned green.
Starting point is 01:49:22 So I don't know. And I asked Representative Luna, I said, do you think that that represents political views? And she declined to answer them. Yeah, I mean, red and green, that could be Greta Thunberg. Let's send her in a flotilla to comet three-eye Atlas. I'll even give her some freeze-dried ice cream. Avi Love, thank you so much. Shana Tova, Shabba Shabat Shalom.
Starting point is 01:49:48 Thank you so much for everything you do, keeping people interested in science, communicating what you do, not taking money from the public, giving things back, in fact, for free. It takes a lot of your time, a lot of your effort, but I know you love it, and we love you too. So please go to Avi's medium.
Starting point is 01:50:02 I'll link it down below. Sign up for that. Make sure you get it. Leave him some applause. If not, he doesn't request any financial remuneration. And for me, I do because I'm shameless, you know, kind of plugging. I want you all to have extraterrestrial technologies.
Starting point is 01:50:17 You might win one in a meteorite, fragment of an asteroid. Pick up my book, my latest book. It's a labor of love. I lose money on every copy, but I do want the wisdom. The focus, Avi, the focus of these Nobel laureates is unparalleled. Even though we don't love the prize as much, maybe, the people who win it. They have no choice in the matter. They get nominated.
Starting point is 01:50:36 They win it. Well, I already got my biggest reward, and that's this girl that decided to do. do science as she grows up, inspired by seeing a television interview that I had. What can be better than that? Like, I mean, who cares about a piece of gold? Like, if you make a difference for the life or the career choice of a young person, that's bigger than anything. That's a whole world. You opened up a whole universe to other people. And that's why we do it. And that's why I actually chide my fellow professors and scientists who all they do is take pot shots at people like you and sometimes at me. and other people that I care about who do things, you know, we don't get paid. There's no,
Starting point is 01:51:15 there's no pot of money coming from, you know, St. Peter Thiel or whatever the nonsense, BS conspiracy theories. I'm a public school, university professor, obvious, you know, at a private school, but he does what he does for the public. He discloses everything. One thing I wanted to add is, you know, it's really important to play chess rather than wrestle in mud. You know, mud wrestlers get dirty. And so if someone attacks you, someone is doing. doing the unreasonable thing, just ignore it. You know, don't get dirty because that's what they want to bring you into the mud. They are jealous at whoever is playing chess.
Starting point is 01:51:53 And I just decided to avoid any conflicts of that nature. That's what they say. Don't wrestle with pigs in the mud because the pig gets, you both get dirty, but the pig actually enjoys it, obviously. That's the shameful thing. Okay, everybody. Thanks so much. Don't forget to vote for it, The Impossible, at the Signal Awards.
Starting point is 01:52:10 It's the own thing I'm asking. All I do is basically giveaway stuff. So hopefully you guys will like it. Leave a review if you've got in the book. And stay tuned. The next couple weeks are going to be huge. Obviously, we've got, as I said, Dr. Lou Ignaro, inventor of Viagra, won the Nobel Prize, saved countless lives.
Starting point is 01:52:24 That's exactly what Alfred Nobel wanted, you know, was very pure. He wanted discoveries and inventions that would improve human life, the x-ray, the very first x-ray, the MRI, the CAT scan, the CCD camera, and discovery of things that are not immediately relevant like an extra solar planet or perhaps someday an extra solar piece of technology. So that's coming Monday. Next Wednesday comes Commander Chris Hatfield, Major Tom Space Oddity. He's coming on the podcast for his new book. And we've got a huge episode with Terrence Tao, one of his first and only interviews with
Starting point is 01:52:58 the legitimate professor and scientist, if I can call myself that, a fabulous three-hour interview. We also talked about things like Harvard and UCLA getting funding cut from the Trump administration. You don't want to miss that. It's really one of my most beautiful cinematographic episodes ever. And Yom Huletit to me, a happy birthday to the podcast on the 8th anniversary. Everybody, thank you so much. Avi. Lailatov, thank you so much.
Starting point is 01:53:23 Thanks for having me. Bye, guys. Bye, everybody. Stitch fix. Stop shopping. Get styled. Not today, sweatpants. Somebody's wearing jeans that fit.
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