Into the Impossible With Brian Keating - John Martinis: The Nobel Physicist Behind Macroscopic Quantum Tunneling

Episode Date: August 11, 2026

John Martinis won the 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics for proving macroscopic quantum tunneling is real. Less than a year later he’s telling why he left Google’s quantum computing team to start over. ...Subscribe if you want the physics and the politics of building the impossible. Martinis is the co-founder of Colab and one of the physicists who proved ordinary quantum rules apply to macroscopic systems. He built his career on the same Josephson-junction hardware his Nobel is built on, then led Google’s superconducting-qubit effort, the same team behind Google’s 2019 quantum supremacy claim, before an internal reorg pushed him out. We go into Anthony Leggett’s challenge to Schrödinger’s cat, what decoherence in quantum mechanics really means, and whether quantum computing is the first technology ever born from pure theory rather than experiment. We also cover the internal Google reorg that pushed Martinis out and what he learned about building something new inside a large institution. Whether quantum mechanics applies to the macroscopic world and what it took to prove it Why Martinis thinks quantum computing may be the first technology born from pure theory, not experiment What negative authority means and why it matters for anyone building something new inside a large institution Whether the US can win the quantum computing race against China How Martinis thinks about quantum mechanics interpretations after spending a career inside the math “Always be on the lookout for the impossible, right?” John Martinis CHAPTERS 00:00  The Nobel call that almost wasn't 01:01  How his wife found out before he did 03:32  Anthony Leggett's challenge to Schrödinger's cat 05:53  Why a Josephson junction, not a quantum dot or trapped ion 07:45  Quantized oscillations: the “smoking gun” and Balmer's ghost 08:18  Measuring the system: the resonance experiment 11:21  Systematic effects: what separates a good scientist from a lucky one 13:42  The Ed Ohm story: the man who found the CMB and doubted it 15:01  Wigner's “unreasonably effective” math and the weirdest thing about QM 16:54  The transistor myth: chewing gum, coat hangers, and germanium 17:34  Microwave engineering meets quantum mechanics 19:26  Decoherence: the friction you can't live without 24:06  The heretical claim: does theory ever precede technology? 28:22  The “paper qubit” problem 29:34  What quantum computers are actually good for 32:27  Should quantum computing be regulated like AI? 33:35  US vs. China: the quantum computing race 35:44  Collapse, Copenhagen, or many worlds? Martinis's answer 37:43  Leaving Google: “essentially demoted” 40:48  Why Colab exists and what “negative authority” means 42:50  The real bottleneck: funding, not physics 43:31  Final advice: always be on the lookout for the impossible Qolab: https://qolab.ai/ Get the transcript, fascinating bonus content, and my Monday M.A.G.I.C. Message: https://briankeating.com/yt Have a .edu email and live in the USA? You automatically win a meteorite: https://BrianKeating.com/edu Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/DrBrianKeating?sub_confirmation=1 Support Into the Impossible on Patreon, get my weekly M.A.G.I.C. Message, unfiltered bonus content, and live monthly Office Hours with me: https://www.patreon.com/drbriankeating Join this channel for perks, monthly Office Hours, and your name in the Member Roster at the end of every episode: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCmXH_moPhfkqCk6S3b9RWuw/join My books: Losing the Nobel Prize (memoir): http://amzn.to/2sa5UpA Think Like a Nobel Prize Winner: https://a.co/d/03ezQFu Focus Like a Nobel Prize Winner: https://a.co/d/hi50U9U Galileo's Dialogue (first-ever audiobook): https://a.co/d/iZPi9Un Twitter/X: https://x.com/BrianKeating Substack: https://briankeating.substack.com Blog: https://briankeating.com/blog Audio-only: https://briankeating.com/podcast Landing page: https://awake-mill-k25t.here.now #intotheimpossible #briankeating #JohnMartinis #NobelPrize #quantumcomputing #physics #podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hear that? It's your money calling. It wants a promotion. Elevate your savings with the Scotia high-interest savings account. Always earn high regular interest rates that grow the more you save and invest. Conditions apply. Visit scotiabank.com slash h-I-SA to learn more. Scotia Bank. You're richer than you think. Today we're joined with one of my heroes. It's not every day you get to talk to somebody who not only, you know,
Starting point is 00:00:31 is such a great contributor to physics and has been inspiring not only the work that I do, but my whole collaboration is basically enabled by work that John and his collaborators did over the years. But he's also, you know, once we say a mensch, he's known for his teaching, for his group building. You're just kind of the physicist physicist, so thank you for joining us. Well, that's very kind. Not everyone feels that way. I appreciate the kind words. You're now the 26th Nobel Prize winner I've had on the podcast. Every nine multiples of nine, I write a book featuring wisdom, and I hope the third version will come out with you in the coming years.
Starting point is 00:01:09 I'll let you know about how that progresses. But I want to take us to that October morning last year. I was teaching quantum mechanics that day, advanced quantum mechanics with perturbation theory. And I said, a guy I know just won the Nobel Prize. What was that like? What was the second thing that went through your mind when you got the phone call at whatever time it was? Well, I actually didn't get the phone call. A phone is way across the house.
Starting point is 00:01:32 But my wife was up late reading and she heard the phone ringing. But she figured she'd get it in the next day. She looked at her email and there was a bunch of congratulations. So she knew about it, but she knows that I need my sleep, especially, you know, the next day when you, you know, you have to be on. So she waited until about six o'clock. There were reporters who showed up soon after that. So it was actually better because my wife woke me up. But she was very clever about it.
Starting point is 00:02:08 She had me on the shoulder and said there were reporters coming over. And I realized, oh, it's the beginning of October. So I opened my computer and saw that. Let me share something a tiny bit personal. There are things called Nobel Sympos. where they look at a field and see if the field is noteworthy and look at people and the, you know, leaders in the field and the like. So you kind of understand a little bit that you might be on some kind of list, okay? For me, that's the biggest honor because the Nobel Prize is just so crazy unlikely, right?
Starting point is 00:02:49 Just being invited to that is really very special. And then for some years, you know, I'd wake up in beginning October. It's like, oh, okay. And it's just so wrong to be disappointed by this. So after the years, you know, I just stopped kind of, I knew, well, it's beginning October, but I stopped really thinking about it. That's why my wife didn't know. We didn't talk about this at all, right?
Starting point is 00:03:14 Because it's just, okay, you know, whatever happens. And it's actually better that way. Yeah, there's a joke I sometimes will, you know, pull out on October 1st at 2 in the morning. I'll say, I'm working on my best, you know, Swedish accent to cause. somebody I don't like a heart attack. We are calling from the Swedish World Look at him. I've heard people get pranks like that.
Starting point is 00:03:33 Well, yours isn't a prank. And the only thing that frustrated me is that I was talking about, you know, quantum tunneling, but I was talking about single electron tunneling and even nuclear tunneling. So you wanted for macroscopic tunneling. What was the impetus for? Obviously, you didn't set out to win another prize. Talk us through the history of why you thought macroscopic effects would manifest themselves instead of just the already mysterious microscopic tunnel.
Starting point is 00:03:56 effect. Yeah, so this experiment in line of research was very much motivated by Anthony Leggett. You can just go back to the Schrodinger cat paradox where you do a microscopic atom decay that's connected up so the atom decays it kills the cat. And then, you know, okay, before you open the box is the cat in some dead in the live state. And okay, I think for me there are ways to answer this that are very sensible. But Leggett pointed out that there actually is no experimental evidence that macroscopic entities, especially a cat, can obey quantum mechanics. And he said, if there's no evidence, we should be looking for evidence as a way to test quantum mechanics.
Starting point is 00:04:44 And he came up with the idea of these superconducting circuits where you have a macroscopic number of electrons that are tunneling through the junction. For me, you know, as a young student, you look at quantum mechanics. It's really wonderful. My personal hobby was electronics, like John's Clark's group, because he was doing things on quantum noise, okay, and thinking about this. And for me, it was the most natural experiment to want to do. I'm surprised that there weren't 30 other groups doing it.
Starting point is 00:05:16 At the point now, everyone can understand that. But back in the mid-80s, the idea of quantum information, and doing these tests wasn't as popularized as it is now. So for me, it was the most fascinating experiment. I thought it could be done cleanly. You know, obviously John Clark was moving in this direction. Michelle Devereig came over. And for me, it was, you know, a perfect thesis experiment.
Starting point is 00:05:46 And I'm going to say it was also very groundbreaking because then John's group, you know, we understood how to measure noise in these devices, but to build a system and engineer it and think about the physics, combining microwave engineering and quaderm mechanics and figuring out how to deal with the noise and the like to be a clean experiment was just really fundamental and groundbreaking.
Starting point is 00:06:13 And of course, that's, you know, I find that, you know, wonderfully exciting, okay, to just try to figure all that out. Why did you start off with a justice injunction. Maybe first we'll explain what it is. And keep in mind, my audience, it's highly technical, very competent. And I've tried to have Brian on the podcast as a fellow Brian. He's gone in interesting directions, shall we say, in consciousness and other kind of fields very different from
Starting point is 00:06:35 what he did as a young, very young man when he won the Nobel Prize for his work. But tell us, why Joseph's injunction, why not a quantum dot or a trapped ion? What made you start with that? Well, first of all, the Joseph's injunction is a macroscopic system where you have a macroscopic number, of, you know, Cooper pairs, electrons, paired electrons, tundling through the device. And to test the idea of whether macroscopic variables of a quantum mechanics, you need that. A quantum dot and atom, they're kind of single, single atomic systems, whereas this was very clearly macroscopic. And, you know, that's why Lek had proposed it. And that being in the superconducting field with John Clark's group. That's, of course, why we did it. Now, at the time, we didn't know if the Joseph
Starting point is 00:07:27 Junction was a clean system. In many physical systems, especially a macroscopic system, there can be dirt effects, other things that go wrong that, you know, may cause it not to work as well as you would like. And, you know, at the time, we didn't know any of that, so we just forged ahead. But I would say the reason I'm talking you today about the Nobel price is it turned out that it was a clean system. And this was figured out by many, many people over decades of work, you know, testing it. I mean, we laid the foundation for understanding how to do that. But building these systems properly, you know, took a, took a while for a whole lot of people to figure out. What strikes me as so, you know, kind of magical and beautiful is that
Starting point is 00:08:15 you guys end up seeing, you know, discretization and quantization and sort of spectral features, and it's exactly reminiscent of what Balmer saw, you know, six years before the invention of quantum mechanics. Have you ever thought about what it was like to be him? I mean, grappling with something that wouldn't be determined or even predictable for many decades. Did you ever have that kind of inkling of like we're in this weird, mysterious territory? Or was it, if we keep putting one foot in front of the other, we're going to get to some goal that we've set out for ourselves? That's a really great question, because the way we were thinking about it, and we started it, John Clark's a serious experiment to us, and I was a new
Starting point is 00:08:54 student. But what he and we decided very early on is we had to measure the parameters of the system in order to do a careful test of the theory. And the obvious thing to do was to put on microwaves and have a resonant phenomenon and see that resonant phenomenon as a way to measure the oscillation frequency of the system, which is a very fundamental parameter. And what was interesting is, classically, I set up an analog simulator in about I think a day or two and put in noise and then showed that indeed you can see some kind of resonant effect. So very early on, even though we knew about that, we had to do test and doing it. Now, of course, as we did this, we were quite interested in what would be the quantum effects.
Starting point is 00:09:50 Now, what happens classically, both in an atom and in our system, is that this oscillates in this nonlinear well. It has a spectrum of frequencies, one frequency when it's low and a lower frequency when it's high. So just like when people talk about electrons circulated nucleus, classically, there's a range. of frequencies that it would emit light over. Of course, what you saw was quantized energy levels and quantized light, which, you know, it was clear we could see in the system. So I would say the fact that you see quantized oscillations is a key feature of quantum mechanics. And I think that what we were able to see is like the smoking gun thing that you're doing that. Now, It could be that you have to realize if you're really being careful about this,
Starting point is 00:10:49 it could be that there's resonances in the circuit you're connecting it to. So you have to be careful about, you know, claiming that. And that's why we did a bunch of experiments, detailed that are in the papers, but no one ever talks about to say that we had a well-defined experiment without these resonances. The resonances we saw made sense in terms of the physics of the system. and the like. But in the end, that was a key observation. Now, of course, what was also interesting is Leggett talked about what happened to tunneling when you had dissipation. That's very new physics, which you normally don't see in electrons and nucleus. And eventually, we were able to do those
Starting point is 00:11:33 experiments really well and show that that theory made sense to. So there is a whole series of things we were able to do because it was really well-in-jured. engineered, good connection of microwave engineering to quantum accounting. Have you ever had an experience you couldn't explain but also couldn't ignore? I'm a professional skeptic and I build telescopes for a living. And even I run into questions that just sit past the edge of what science can actually touch. That's why I want to tell you about my friend Mayambiolic's breakdown. It's a podcast where science and spirituality stop competing and start talking to one another.
Starting point is 00:12:04 It's hosted by neuroscientist and actress Dr. Mayambiolic and spiritual explorer Jonathan Cohen. Every week, they sit down with scientists, experts, and experiencers, covering everything from the mind's ability to heal the body, to telepathy, to government alien disclosure, and when I joined them, we went straight for the biggest picture topics imaginable. God, the Big Bang, consciousness, simulation theory, Maim grilled me and wondered whether physics leaves room for the divine. I gave her the most honest answer our cosmologist can give. So if you spent your life wondering what's really out there, you're not alone. And knowing you, my brilliant audience, I know you're going to love to add Miami-Bi-Lix breakdown to your rotation. Listen to new episodes,
Starting point is 00:12:39 Every week, follow the show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you're listening to this. Watch full episodes of Myambiolics break on on YouTube.com slash myambialic. One of the things I love to point out to my younger, you know, listeners, readers, and viewers in my books, when I interview, you know, Titanic physicists such as yourself, is when you do the thing that you really didn't think you would have to do, you just mentioned it. You can have this collective phenomena from alternative effects rather than the thing you're quote unquote looking for. And those are called systematic effects. And I typically tell my students, anyone can get the right answer. You know, we can get the Hubble constant, you know, and it could be beautiful.
Starting point is 00:13:17 But the real determinant of whether or not you're a good scientist is how you account for the things that you could be wrong about, right? Yeah, exactly. You know, and the fundamental thing about nature is you can never prove anything about nature. You can disprove your theories, but you can never prove it because something else could be explaining it. But what you do is an experimentalist is measure enough parameters and do enough of the check experiments that if it's another theory, it would have to be really kind of, you know, a crazy, not simple theory. And that's what you do.
Starting point is 00:13:54 And that's, for example, why we were measuring the parameters, okay? The other thing to realize, and I talk about, I'd like to explain this to the students, is in the beginning we did some experiments at, you know, know, one Kelvin, the four Kelvin, to see what was going on. And the data didn't make sense at all. And it was because we were seeing noise. And very early on, we just did something, we compared it in a way that was really kind of tricky at the time and didn't make sense. And then we started saying, well, okay, we're going to have to filter it right and the like. And once we understood the microwave engineering, microwave filtering, we redesigned the experiment pretty
Starting point is 00:14:34 quickly, and then all the data started making sense, okay? So there were some internal checks that you, you know, you have to look at very carefully. There were a few prior experiments that hadn't really done that properly. And I think the physical community appreciated all those checks and being able to do a beautiful experiment because of that. And, you know, all good experiments are like that. They're well designed. And then you think, about things can go wrong and you figure that out. Yeah, it reminds me there was a scientist named Ed Ome, who worked at Bell Labs, on the exact same Holmdel antenna as Penzias and Wilson.
Starting point is 00:15:14 You probably know this story. And he actually measured the CMB and he attributed to a systematic error. He basically said it's a systematic error, it's excess noise, or all the atmospheric contributions add cumulatively and they don't cancel out. And then Penzies and Wilson said, well, let's do a calibration. measure that with a liquid nitrogen-chop, Dickey switch load. Yeah, yeah, yeah. That won them the Nobel Prize.
Starting point is 00:15:36 But he had actually discovered it, you know, three years earlier in the same data. But that's exactly right. And what you said is so important that we can't prove things as physical science. We're not mathematicians. You know, mathematicians can prove one plus one equals two. It takes 200 pages of piano algorithms and all these other things. But it kind of reminds me of what Eugene Vigner, another Nobel laureate, said once, he said the mathematics is sort of unreasonably effective.
Starting point is 00:15:59 And I think about that. And I kind of have narrowed it down. I say that the square root is unreasonably effective because in classical mechanics, you can make the Poisson bracket. You could make the commutator of momentum in position, right? And it's zero, right? It doesn't matter if you measure momentum first or position first. You get zero.
Starting point is 00:16:16 But if you add the square root of negative one, you get the pluson bracket for the Heisenberg relationships, and those do not commute, right? What's the weirdest thing about quantum mechanics to you? The weirdest thing, it's really a complicated phenomenon and it takes into at least your third year, typically, as an undergraduate, and then you take it more. And I'm going to say after doing this for many decades, I kind of understand it fairly well at this point. But, you know, it's complicated, but at the same time, there's this mathematical adifice where you can understand it well.
Starting point is 00:16:54 And, you know, it's the basis of many fundamental standards. So it's extremely accurate, too. It's both complicated but understandable, unintuitive, but given enough time. To me, it's intuitive right now. It's kind of strange. And, you know, it's just a very deep theory. And it's kind of amazing that nature works, you know, at this very, very deep level. And like I say, the other thing is, which is what Nobel is about, it's not just the physics of the small or fundamental particles.
Starting point is 00:17:29 it's actually a generic physics that everything can obey. It's just really hard for ordinary objects to get into some parameter space where you can see it. So it's actually a generic phenomenon that's all, you know, that potentially could be all around us. And tunneling is that way, too. And what really kind of surprised me about ordinary, you know, kind of electron tunneling is we have this kind of myth in both technology and in pure science that you look into the equations, and then you invent the technology, right? So, like, you know, Bardeen and the transistor, we couldn't have invented it unless we understood quantum mechanics.
Starting point is 00:18:05 When in reality, I think, I mean, you know this much better than me, and I want to get your opinion, but, you know, if you look at the first transistor, it looks like, you know, a chunk of rock, like the germanium and a chewing gum and a coat hanger, and it's all put things. I want to ask you, we're going to talk a lot about quantum computers in a little bit. Oh, and by the way, our first experiment in Berkeley was carefully designed, okay, and, you know,
Starting point is 00:18:27 but if you look at what's being. made now. It's like the Bell Labs transistor. But, you know, there's some physics there, okay? But that's what you have to do when you're first exploring something as you do some experiment that's kind of minimal and you can get it to work. And then once you understand that the principles behind it, you can then engineer it and look deeper and deeper into it. And that's what's beautiful about physics is there's all these levels that you have to understand. to get it to work. What's been the most, you know, kind of enabling technology on the step, you know,
Starting point is 00:19:04 contributor to the work that you did? Was it the, you know, advances in superconductors? Was it, you know, the kind of fluxonian, the 3D cavities? What kind of like stepping stones on the way to the revolution that you guys worked on and still do work on? What was there kind of the most important keystones? So what happened at the time is that we understood that this was a microwave experiment. And we went to the astronomy department and got their S-parameter meter and started understanding and reading microwave books.
Starting point is 00:19:38 And in the end, what we did and the field did is combine the concept of microwave engineering with the concepts of quantum mechanics. And it's interesting because microwave engineering has wave phenomenon and resonance like quantum mechanics does. So they're actually somewhat close. I always think that you can understand about 80, 90% of our superconducting quantum devices with microwave engineering. And then you have to throw in quantum mechanics at the appropriate point to do that. It kind of reminds me you have Maxwell's equations. But in terms of understanding an electrical circuit and like, you use circuit diagrams, okay? And what you've done is you've taken something very complete and almost abstract and then brought it down to a level where we can do complex engineering with it.
Starting point is 00:20:35 And that's kind of what we were able, what we started in that experiment. And of course, we explored that for many decades. And now, you know, we're doing it. And we're still, I'm still exploring that in terms of materials and other concepts that we have here. Yeah. And, you know, kind of makes me think about a statement. I think you made once, you know, that people seem to hate decoherence until they need it. So without decoherence, like friction, you know, if you've ever, you know, kissed a loved one, right?
Starting point is 00:21:06 You mean some friction, right? Life wouldn't be fun without friction. But tell me, is decoherence necessary, you know, for these devices, or is it purely a nuisance that must be obliterated? I'm going to say decoherence is always here in the real world. And the problem is if you take the shortening equations, that's just, you know, a pure, simple physics without a decoherence. And, of course, people know how to put in decoherence and do that. And it's kind of like, you know, how do you understand thermodynamics without, you know, entropy? Okay.
Starting point is 00:21:42 You know, you have the basic equations which are conservative and then you introduce entropy and then you can see the real world. And this is what happens with quantum mechanics. And also for quantum computing, it's a very practical, important thing because it limits your quantum computer. But also when you start doing things like measuring real circuits and let's say doing error correction. In error correction, you're removing the randomness or the entropy of that. And in some sense, you need decoherence. And I would say decloherence, in my view, is kind of tied. to how things get measured. Okay. And if you look at exploring the quantum by Ramon de Horos, it gives you a good description of that. It's very integral to quantum mechanics.
Starting point is 00:22:32 It sounds like the ugly side of it, but it's actually a quite important part of it. At some level, we have to always connect to the classical world, right? So there's inevitability of dealing with classical effects. And so how do you guard against, you know, kind of these systematic biases? Like for us,
Starting point is 00:22:48 Just take measuring a superconductor, right? So if you want to measure the superconductor, you could be very careful, you could do all the four-point measurements you like, and you probably have been in a lab with my late great friend, Paul Richards, from UC Berkeley, and he was just the most careful person,
Starting point is 00:23:03 and he wouldn't let you do a measurement that wasn't at least four points in its design. But at some level, you know, can you actually prove that these things have zero resistance in the junctions? Can you prove, you know, that the flux is purely being, you know, quantized in the way that the, you know,
Starting point is 00:23:17 legate and other equations suggest that they are. Or do you always have to, we kind of have to, we know it's not purely quantum mechanical because we have to connect to these devices. Or is it truly manifest that they behave as they should be purely quantum mechanically? It's always a matter that there are certain limits where the flux will jump, okay? And you could be, let's say, near to the transition temperature, and then you'll see that flux is not quantized, or at least it jumps in its quantization. I've been exploring this for a long time. In fact, the experiment I did in the 80s was all about how, you know, when you put a current up to the critical current, at the critical current, it then looks like a normal metal. So it's superconducting, and then when you hit the critical current goes normal. Well, it happens a little bit before that, either doing the thermal fluctuations or due to macroscopic quantum tunneling. And, you know, it's an example of,
Starting point is 00:24:17 of physicists understanding the limit. Now, you can look at the limits of these various things, and you can understand that it should be exponentially small. For example, we're a superconductor, there are things, the excitations called quasi-particles, that you limit the superconductivity, but there's a gap, and it's even minus delta u over kT, and if you do the calculation, that's tiny. But the problem is, is you have stray infrared light in a real experiment and then generates the quasi-particle, so it's not exponentially small. So I would say, you know, physicists are great at figuring out all these details and figuring out what's wrong. And over the years, then, you know, this is why it took, you know, decades to figure all this out. Lots of experiments happened, looking at all the details, and not just taking the pure theory,
Starting point is 00:25:15 but thinking about all the possible ways that things can go wrong. And then you engineer around it. For the infrared case, you'd have to do very careful shielding, which we didn't do it first, and then we realized we had to do that. And then there's still a little bit of residuals, but we can deal with that. So I want to make a fairly heretical claim, and then I want you to demolish it and put me in my place. But my claim is that no one's ever looked at an equation and out pops a technology from purely contemplating it, except perhaps quantum computing. We'll get there in a second. But if you look at the transistor, I just said, you know, they weren't like looking at, you know, the Schrodinger equation and saying, oh, we're going to get this technology if we put the chewing gum, the coat hanger and the, you know, piece of germanium together. MRI came, you know, from blocks equations being being understood. Laser, mazer came from population inversion, which was Towns's kind of guess. Is the quantum. computer, perhaps the first technology in history that really came from the equation outward? Or is it
Starting point is 00:26:13 going to be, you know, sort of along the lines of, as I said, you know, the high temperature superconductor? Really, we didn't understand the theory until, you know, my late grade professor Leon Cooper, right? What do you make of this claim that I'm making? We don't look into the equations and then the technology comes out. We experiment, guess, and then eventually technology comes, and then we backfill in the explanation. Well, I haven't studied this, and it sounds like you've had, But I've been said, I've talked to theorists about this. And they say it's very rare that a theory kind of proceeds an experimental observation. And the one example they give is the Josasin effect, where Brian Josison, you know, understood this.
Starting point is 00:26:54 And, you know, basically, you have to do the calculation to second order in order to understand what the superconductivity does. But the way this all came about, it was very murky at the time. And, you know, if you look at it, John Bardeen gave Brian Joseph's in a very hard time with this, which is actually kind of amazing because superconditivity in BCS is a second order calculation. Okay. People hadn't put that all together at the time. So that was one of the few times, I'm sure it's not the only one, the few times where it preceded it. And the theorist was given a hard time, but of course, the Nobel Prize, that meant that it was very strange.
Starting point is 00:27:39 And I would say quantum computing, I hadn't thought about that, but that's right. This came from very theoretical concepts, and then, you know, people work through it experimentally once, you know, they understood it would be interesting to do that. Let me tell you what the problem with quantum computing is, is if you abstracted away to qubits, okay, you abstract a way to idealize cubits and the Schroenter equation, and then it looks very simple and very nice, okay? But the problem is real experimental systems are much more complicated. There's all these dirt effects, and it's kind of easy to think that, okay, you can just build that without having to go through and all the, you know, understand what's going on. So I like to say the best cubit out there is what I call the paper cubit, a theory cubit. And it's only by doing
Starting point is 00:28:37 the experiments, do you know that everything is wrong? Everything's wrong with it. And it usually takes decades to figure this out. Okay. It's not magical thing. The other thing is a lot of the efforts are actually headed by theorists. If you look at it, not all of them, but a lot of them are. And that's because it's very easy to abstract this away. I actually think, again, history will borne this out. I actually think that this is a little bit of a problem because in actually to build the thing requires you to really understand all the problems. Okay. So by abstracting all the problems away, you can be very optimistic and, you know, do things.
Starting point is 00:29:24 but it's only, you know, going into lab and realizing what all the problems are and then fixing them that you can actually build it. Because physical qubits are not perfect by any means. Some people claim that their technology is great. They're always problems. Okay. That's the way that nature wants to fight back. But I think in the end, we can fight back harder. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:29:49 Now I want to talk about quantum computing. And again, I tend to be a little more cheeky and provocative. so don't be afraid to put me in my place. But in 1981, you know, Feynman didn't say quantum computers are going to replace, you know, your desktop, your MacBook, your laptop, your Chromebook, whatever. He said nature is quantum, so we should probably be using, you know, quantum systems to do computation.
Starting point is 00:30:08 I always joke, and I've done work with a firm called Quantum Rings, which does a lot of software and simulations of quantum mechanical computers. But I kind of joke sometimes that, you know, quantum computers are the best system to model how quantum computers work, A, and then, you know, they're good... Or quantum systems in general, yes. Quantum systems. But it's not clear, you know,
Starting point is 00:30:28 sort of like an answer, you know, to a question maybe. And again, I'm saying this with probably lack of humility. But what are quantum computers really going to be good for? And you can't use the words, you know, cryptography, and you can't use Lagrangians or material science or quantum computers. So outside of that incredibly impressive domain of portfolio, I mean, it's like if you said, my computer can only be used for doing, you know,
Starting point is 00:30:49 spreadsheets, word processing, and, internet browsing, right? I mean, it could do a lot more general computer. So what can a quantum computer do besides those three things that are very important and very hyped up? Yeah, I'm really interested, and partly because I'm a physicist, okay, is quantum computers modeling, simulating, other quantum systems? And, you know, there's a huge amount that it can help with there, because right now, a lot of classical computers or supercomputers are used to do so. And, you know, You know, you can only model something so big before you run out of memory because quantum computing is hard and run out of speed, okay? And then you have to do approximation methods, which are
Starting point is 00:31:34 fantastic, but, you know, they only work. And in fact, a lot of it is that, you know, certain approximations work for this problem and that problem, and you have to compare with physical systems to kind of choose that. It's a little bit cheating. But, you know, okay, it's very practical, and that's good. That's what I'm really interested in. And, you know, just the example, I don't know if this is a good example, but we all are interested in rare earths now, let's say for electric motors and electrification and transportation system, et cetera, et cetera, but they're rare and there's a supply chain issue there. And I'm sure ecologically, there could be issues with that. If you can use not so rare earths, let's say by inventing a new chemical or process or maybe make it more ecological, of mine, that's a huge benefit to society. And you could say the same things with drug discovery
Starting point is 00:32:28 and other things. I think this is actually a big application, if you like, endemic industrial applications, but that's more how regular computers got started. And then over time, I can imagine there could be other things, let's say, for optimization. It's not so clear there's a killer application for that. A lot of people are looking at. A lot of people are claiming things. It's not clear whether a clever classical optimization would be good so. It kind of can be a little bit like AI where people try various things for decades before coming on some, you know, the right way to do it. I also looked at as very important. So, you know, it's a powerful computing engine and it's going to take a while to figure it out. And, you know, the quantum computers we can build right now
Starting point is 00:33:22 are too small. If we can make them bigger and then help with the theorists to inventing the clever algorithms, I feel, you know, very confident we can do something with this. But the big problem is we're trying to compete against these huge data centers, okay, which are getting huger and huger as every day, eventually the exponential power of a quantum computer can overcome that. We just have to make it big enough and be clever enough for the algorithms. Yeah, that's right. And that's what you and our mutual friend, Alan Ho, introduced me to you and as co-founder of your company, Co-Lab, we'll get to that in the second. But now I want to take kind of the pushback on myself. You know, I'm kind of, you know, maybe bipolar this morning,
Starting point is 00:34:05 but now I'm going to make the argument that these things are incredibly powerful and perhaps with great power. I just talked to the foremost AI safety researcher in the world, Roman Yamposki, who coined the term AI safety. And he basically says superintelligence is either almost here or about to be here, and it's uncontrollable, it is unaccountable, it is unverifiable. We have no control over what we just created. So I want to make that argument for quantum computers. And then I want to take us back to, you know, like 1947. You know, the government didn't let, you know, Oppenheimer set up Opi's atomic bomb company, you know, just selling his own little portable nuclear device. He kept it classified. And, you know, should they be classifying, you know, is it okay that Google,
Starting point is 00:34:50 IBM, and even Colab, you know, hopefully you're going to be just as big as that, right? So tell me, make the argument, why shouldn't you be regulated right now before the genie escapes the bottle as it has for super intelligent AGI? First of all, we're going to learn a lot from super intelligent AI. and that's the immediate issue to deal with, and that's here and it's coming. And, you know, I agree people should be thinking about this. I think we're going to learn from that, okay? And we should take the lessons from that and then figure out what we're going to do. The problem with quantum computing is it's just not here yet, and yet there's this big race.
Starting point is 00:35:29 And to be honest, the race is the U.S. versus China. You look at the papers from China. They know what they're doing. It's a serious race. Developing kind of in the wild is actually an efficient way to, you know, get things done, just like with AI happened. Now, there was a secret program within the government for quantum computing, but that's not where the biggest developments happened. I don't think I have to explain that to readers. Okay. And, you know, it's just that, you know, this competitive landscape, I'll just call it savage capitalism.
Starting point is 00:36:08 Actually, it's pretty efficient if you want to do that. In fact, I argue that the way that the projects in China is operating is maybe more savage than the capitalism in the U.S. I don't know all the details, but it could be. These are very good questions, and I'm concerned. But, you know, on the other hand, we're trying to develop it in our own particular. way, but we're being very careful about who we do. We know that, for example, the U.S. government is going to want us to build our quantum chip in the U.S., and that's how we're organizing the way that we do that. Some of the other more classical control that can be done worldwide with our
Starting point is 00:36:54 good diplomatic partners, and, you know, we're being a little bit careful about that. But I think it's, you know, it's the Google and IBMs and others where they're really. on the forefront, and I'm sure there's a lot of discussion that goes on there. Now, I can't resist asking you this question. I mean, you're the ideal person to ask. You've probably collapsed more wave functions than any human in history. What do you think is happening, John? Is it a collapse? Is it Copenhagen? Is it some non-unitary evolution? Is it a many worlds branching? Tell me about your epistemology. What do you thinking when you do these measurements? I explicitly dislike the many worlds interpretation.
Starting point is 00:37:35 Because it sounds very Trumpian in the sense that you're generating real estate that's, you know, that's doing that. So. Who never thought of that? But now he's going to make a, you know, humorous matter. But I'm very much thinking that, you know, the measurement and the dissipation and the decoherence is what's giving you the state collapse. And again, if you look at exploring the quantum, they have a very, nice, elegant way to talk about how these things called pointer states are exponentially sensitive to decoherence, and a small amount of decoherence can collapse you into these measurement
Starting point is 00:38:18 states. And for me, that's the clearest explanation around. I know some people don't like that, and that's fine, but that's the way that I view it. Jim Peebles once told me to shut up and measure when I asked them about some aspect of... If you shut up and measure, we wouldn't have done that experiment or people with it. So these are good questions. You need to do the experiments. And like in exploring the quantum, they did very nice experiments to flesh out what the theory was and to argue that this is what's going on. So I think it's important to study this and understand that. But for me, this is a question that has been answered via decoherence phenomenon. It's just like not understanding entropy and thermodynamics.
Starting point is 00:39:07 So to me, it's the same kind of understanding. Take us back to the, you know, the quantum supremacy, and you had achieved this incredible result for the first time. But you soon after left Google. I'm curious, was that a blessing in disguise? I mean, it led you to co-found a company with Ascent Allenhoe and others.
Starting point is 00:39:23 It's such a brilliant idea of this company. The point is the divorce from Google, would you be willing to talk about that? We don't have to, but... You know, after that experiment, Google decided to reorganize. And instead of being congratulated for leading this project, I was essentially demoted. Okay.
Starting point is 00:39:42 And there were reasons for that that we don't have to get into. And I tried that for about nine months. And, you know, basically I went from the head of the hardware to, let's say, one over N authority. It was a very much socialist thing. but I actually found I had negative authority after that. And if you want to understand negative authority, just think about when you had teenagers. Okay, that's negative authority.
Starting point is 00:40:11 And frankly, I don't think the people in Google thought that I was that technically competent. I was okay. But, you know, you can tell when people feel that way, and it was just time to leave. And what happened is that was definitely lemons. Okay. I still regret everything that happened.
Starting point is 00:40:29 but it's what happened. But what I would say is working with Alan and then Robert, we figured out, well, what is it we really wanted to do, not, you know, next year or to meet the next milestone, but if we wanted to build a million cubic quantum computer, what would we have to do? And we really focused on the jubit manufacturing and the wiring and scaling up. And we came up with a series of ideas. And we published a paper on that. We started a company. And we're feeling really good about this. And we're doing something that's really different than everyone else. That's exciting.
Starting point is 00:41:07 And our view is that when we get this to work, it's very foundational shift to the field, which is great. You know, that's what you want to do is do something important. On the other hand, it's risky because the general consensus out there is that you need to fabricate the qubits with this liftoff process because it's much cleaner in the line. Whereas you do a complicated deposition in that you have problems. That's the thing. And what we've figured out is that's kind of right, but you have to fabricate it in the proper way and then you can get it to work. And, you know, we kind of have figured out what that proper way is and we're working
Starting point is 00:41:48 very hard to do the steps that you need to make it very clean. And, you know, in the end, semiconductors are no one use liftoff. I mean, this just doesn't work. You use deposition and etch, but of course, I don't know, there's billions, trillions of dollars figuring out how to get that to work. We think we understand enough now to be able to do that on a modest startup economy. I think your approach is so fascinating. It's sort of a 3D printing, but, you know, massive scale. My teenager made this for me.
Starting point is 00:42:21 That's one of the few things that he does for me with my negative authority. Look, you know, young people want to do their own things. I get it. you know, and they want a breakthrough from their family, which is what Google, what happened at Google. Normally, the kids leave the house to break through, and they don't kick the parents out of the house. But, okay, you know, that was the easier thing for Google to do. And I understand that I had done things that the Google people, I'm too much like Elon must to work at Google. Okay, put it that way. Well, I just note that it was exactly at that time that they
Starting point is 00:42:56 went peak woke, and within a few months, they had things like you ask it to create a picture of the Founding Fathers of America, and it was like Violet Davis, you know, Violet, Black, and white hair, and all sorts of interesting features. Well, you know, for example, all the co-writers of the attention paper, which was the big breakthrough, they all left Google. I think they're different reasons, but they're similar reasons. And, you know, it's not so. You know, it's not surprise that certain people don't fit into a corporate environment. They're more entrepreneurs. And I'm very much an entrepreneur. And what I've been able to do is I've been able to kind of unleash my creativity in a private company. Now, we don't have the money. I think I could be way more productive
Starting point is 00:43:44 at Google, but if that's not the way they want to run it, then, you know, it's great to be doing this in your own company. And, you know, in our company, we can set our culture and set what we do. What's the limiting factor just on a technical side? I mean, we have a dilution fridge. We don't use it that often. We have deposition facilities here. What's your limiting, you know, kind of pacing item that is, you know, kind of an obstacle, but you're going to overcome it. If I gave you 10,000 dilution fridges, if I gave you unlimited time with 300 millimeter wafers, what do you need, John? You need refrigerators to do a lot of testing, but you also need professional fabrication facility where you can do rapid turnaround. And then the third thing you need,
Starting point is 00:44:26 is a principled understanding of what's going wrong. Right now, it's a little bit, you know, just people try things. However, I think we have a principled understanding now, so we have to work on the other two. And, you know, obviously take more data and the like. It's all of the above. In the end, I'm just going to say in the end for us, it's funding. Because the more funding, we'd buy more dilution refrigerators and we could work with the companies and pay for having a bigger effort. One final question is just related to the title of the podcast. The only way to know the limits of the possible, Arthur C. Clark said, is to go beyond them into the impossible. John, what one piece of advice you had 20 seconds with your 20-year-old self? What would you give the advice to him to go into the
Starting point is 00:45:11 impossible with the courage that you've had over your career? Well, what happens as you're a scientist, you're always working on projects. There are projects that are kind of incremental and you know what to do and you're going to advance your field and whatever, but always be on the lookout for the impossible, something new, something other people don't think will work, that if it does work, it's very foundational and change the field. Now, you'll have to curate those ideas really well because most of your ideas aren't going to work out.
Starting point is 00:45:45 And I have ideas all the time, and I curate them, and then you choose the best ones and try it. Our company, CoLab, is what everyone thinks is not the right way to go. I thought about it carefully. We understand why it could work and it's looking good, but you have to think very carefully about it. But yeah, always be on the lookout for the impossible, right? I love it. I'm going to make that the motto of the show.
Starting point is 00:46:11 John Martinez, winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics. Thank you so much for being an inspiration. You're just a physicist, physicist. John, thank you so much. Have a great weekend. We'll talk again soon.

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