Into the Impossible With Brian Keating - Matthew Stanley & Einstein’s War (#023)
Episode Date: May 21, 2019How history can shape science, and how science can change the tide of history? NYU Professor Matthew Stanley is our guest, here to discuss about his latest book: Einstein's War: How Relativity Triumph...ed Amid the Vicious Nationalism of World War I . Brian Keating, associate director of the Clarke Center and professor of physics at UC San Diego, talked to Professor Stanley about his interest in the history of science and the relationship between science and society. We learn about Einstein's first failed attempt at proving his theories with a disastrous expedition at the outbreak of WW I in 1914, and Arthur Eddington's 1919 solar eclipse experiment that made Einstein famous around the world. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Welcome to this episode of Into the Impossible from the Arthur C. Clark Center for Human
Imagination at the University of California, San Diego. In this episode, a UCSD physics professor
Brian Keating interviews professor and author Matthew Stanley. Professor Stanley teaches and researches
the history and philosophy of science at NYU's Gallatin School of Individualized Study. He holds
degrees in astronomy, religion, physics, and the history of science, and is interested in the
connections between science and the wider culture. He's the author of Einstein's War,
how relativity triumphed amid the vicious nationalism of World War I, the story of how pacifism
and friendship led to a scientific revolution. And now into the impossible. Today it's my pleasure
to welcome my friend and fellow physicist and a seeker of scientific knowledge and wisdom and
things beyond, Professor Matthew Stanley of New York University on the Arthur C. Clark
Centers into the Impossible podcast, which is a production of the Arthur C. Clark Center.
We've been having such events and podcasts for the last few years now, and I invite everybody to check
us out at imagination.ucsd.w. Today, I want to learn from my friend and colleague about his
newest contribution to scientific literature and popular scientific literature, and also talk a little
bit about his endeavors in popularization of science, namely his best-selling podcast, which is called
What the If?
And I want to get into that later towards the end.
We refer our listeners to obtain more information about you.
So first of all, welcome, Matt, and congratulations on the upcoming release of Einstein's
war.
Well, thank you very much. It's a pleasure to be here.
So we've known each other for a few years now. You've been to visit here in La Jolla and San Diego, and I've met up with you in New York.
I want to just give a brief taste, maybe an advertisement, not that NYU needs this, but for why the program that you run, an independent sort of studies program that you run or help to run at NYU is so special in what its mission is.
And how do you fulfill that?
Sure.
So our unit of NYU is called the Gallatin School of Individualized Study.
And what we do is provide a space for students who have things they want to pursue and study that don't fit in well to traditional disciplinary structures.
So sometimes that means students who are interested in multiple things that they want to find some way to bring together.
So for instance, I've had students who want to study physics and philosophy.
And then other sorts of students we have are ones who want to study something that doesn't quite fit anywhere.
So for instance, students are interested in the nature of consciousness.
So they'll need to know some philosophy and neuroscience and psychology, but none of those departments are quite right.
So students come here and they work really closely with us as advisors and then they get to take classes everywhere in the university.
and we teach them how to think in this sort of interdisciplinary and innovative way to pursue their own interests.
And how long have you been affiliated with that program?
How long has it been in existence?
11 years now, I think.
Ah, okay.
But your training is as a physicist, right?
That's right.
So I started off in physics and astrophysics.
I built lasers.
and then got interested in the humanities kind of by accident and discovered slowly that while I was really interested in science, the sort of questions I was interested in science weren't ones that I could really answer in the lab.
But rather, I needed to kind of change my point of view.
And that's when I discovered that such a thing as history of science existed.
And that's where I've been spending most of my professional time lately.
And when we first met back, I think it was 2016, you were at that point engaged sort of in your endeavors related to your current book, which is about Einstein, nationalism, and World War I.
And if I recall, you were starting to flesh out those ideas as long ago as then, maybe before.
So maybe you can talk to me about what made you inspired.
You've written about science and religion before.
This book is completely different from that.
And I thought it was a delightful read amongst, you know, I've been asked to read three or four books this year.
And you'll explain why for the audience, why this year 2019 is so significant, both in the history of science and particular Einstein studies, almost an industry into itself.
Can you talk a little bit about how this book differs from your previous books?
Maybe talk about your first books and then we'll segue into Einstein's war.
Sure.
So my first two books were academic books, so written for a small audience on specific topics.
And the particular issues I was interested in, or as you say, science and religion.
And I was particularly interested in this question of how it is that an individual
scientists could hold their own religious beliefs and practice their faith and still be sort of
productive scientists. So I wanted to, because that's a, that's a dichotomy that a lot of people
think of is very difficult, if not impossible. So I was curious how that actually worked.
So my first book was about this guy, Arthur Eddington, who was a Quaker astronomer,
and he's an important part of Einstein's story, as we'll probably talk about in a bit.
So he's deeply religious but also extremely liberal and modern and highly scientific.
So I was interested in kind of how that played out in his work.
What he's best known for today is events he did almost exactly 100 years ago now.
Let's see here.
We're 15 days shy of 100 years when there was a solar eclipse.
And he went to this little island off the west coast of Africa to test.
the prediction that Einstein had made, which was that the gravity of the sun could bend light.
And this was going to be a definitive test of Einstein's theory of general relativity.
And the general structure of this story is fairly well known. It appears in textbooks and so on.
And this is sort of the moment that makes Einstein as we know him.
That is, he's an obscure German physicist that very few people had heard of.
and then almost overnight, as these results get announced,
to becomes the most famous person in the world.
But one of the things I found interesting as I was researching Eddington
was realizing how much of the story was bound up in World War I.
So this happens right after the end of the war.
It's actually before the formal peace is declared.
So the guns have stopped, but Germany is still under blockade.
So I was really fascinated to see how much of the story
of Einstein becoming famous was tied up with these political questions during the war.
And so it's no strange, you know, Einstein was, of course, no stranger to politics.
Even in his early career, he was sort of targeted for semi-radical views during the, you know,
following his miracle year where he discovered the so-called special theory of relativity,
leads to the most famous equation in physics, which is E equals MC squared.
But he really didn't achieve the worldwide fame, and he certainly didn't receive the international
recognition for one reason or another until after these events, right, that are described in this
book. Can you sort of maybe speculate on why this is and maybe talk about the fortunate turn of
events that for Einstein in retrospective that led to him basically receiving this attention,
whereas if he had been, if the eclipse had occurred a couple of years earlier, that he
possibly would not have or did occur a couple of years earlier, but the expedition failed
for reasons that I'd like you to get into.
But maybe speculate on what alternative history, counterfactual as your show often likes
Yeah, so it's kind of a funny thing to think about World War I as being fortunate for anyone, but it certainly was for Einstein.
So Einstein, as you say, he's been working on relativity since 1905, but it isn't until 1915 that he finishes general relativity, sort of his magnum opus.
And we might think that this would have been sort of an extraordinary moment for world science.
But in fact, almost no one knows about it.
Partially, this is because Einstein just isn't a very important person.
But more important is that Germany is under blockade because of the war.
So the Royal Navy is preventing any ships from coming or going to Germany.
And then there's the trenches on land.
So scientists had stopped sending scientific communications back and forth between enemy countries.
So essentially, other than Einstein's friends in Burrne's,
friends in Berlin, very few people even know he has finished this theory. So what should have been
this extraordinary moment is sort of this tiny little quiet thing. And what happens is that Einstein,
as you mentioned, is no stranger to politics. And he's a socialist and he's on the political left.
And he's under a lot of pressure for that within Germany. So he's a pacifist to bring a halt to the war.
but he's deeply uncomfortable being in the German capital as the war is raging.
So he cultivates some friends in the Netherlands, which is a neutral country during the war.
So he finds other like-minded physicists.
So these are people like H.A. Lawrence, Villan de Sitter, Paul Aronfest.
So Einstein goes to this little town Leiden in the Netherlands, and that becomes sort of a center for the study of general relativity, in large part because Einstein's friends are.
are there. These are people he's happy to sit around with and play the violin and talk politics
as well as talk physics. So one of those folks, Villal and the Sitter, decides that more people
should know about Einstein's new theory of general relativity. So he sends a letter to London
with sort of a capsule summary of this new theory. And it gets opened by this one person, Arthur
Eddington, who's really important for two, it's really important that he's the one who opens that letter
for two reasons. The first is that he's one of the few people who can read non-Euclidean geometry,
which is the format in which Einstein's theory is written. And second, and more importantly,
because he's a Quaker, he is a pacifist. So he thinks the war is terrible. And he's very excited
to the opportunity to sort of create this English-German connection through science,
literally over the trenches of the war.
So Eddington takes up sort of the cause of Einstein and relativity,
both because of its scientific importance
and because it's sort of an opportunity for him
to show how science can transcend sort of the worldly strife of the war.
And so it becomes sort of a respite from that.
So you look back on a series of events that had to occur
in order for relativity to get tested when it did,
100 years ago. It was also, there was an opportunity that Einstein had to, and he agitated
four, to have his theory tested, you know, sort of the 1914 eclipse. And that ultimately
proved unsuccessful, even though I think technologically it would have been important. I do,
you know, as an experimental astrophysicist, I would like to talk to you about some of the
notable controversies or controversies, perhaps, as Eddington might say, that surround
even the interpretation of the results to this day.
But there's another serendipitous, fortuitous event,
which took place, which was essentially the World War I.
Again, it's another, the actual events of World War I that led up to,
you know, preceding the 1919.
So there were expeditions.
Yeah, right.
So in 1912, sort of an early version of general relativity,
Einstein had realized that there would be,
Disgravitational deflection of light.
And he had a number he was looking for.
It's about 0.8 arc seconds.
And so based on that, as soon as he gets his job in Berlin, actually, he manages to
get friends like Max Planck to conjure up the money to pay for an expedition to go
observe, to look for this prediction at the August 1914 eclipse, which happened to be
in Crimea, which was part of Russia at the day.
at the time.
So a friend of his, a friend of Einstein's, a young man named Erwin Freundlich, is in charge
of the expedition.
And they go out and they set up their equipment.
And I should say there's a number of expeditions there.
Solar eclipses are rare enough that everybody sends teams when they can.
And they were days away from the eclipse when the war breaks out.
And all of a sudden, Fornlich and friends are no longer.
German scientists setting up their telescopes, they now look like enemy spies setting up surveillance
equipment near a major Russian naval base. So they're all arrested as spies. Their equipment is
impounded. Freundlich is actually released miraculously in one of the first prisoner of war
exchanges of the conflict. And Einstein, of course, is devastated because he has sort of laid
everything on this measurement, right? This is how he's going to convince people that relativity
is right. And then about a year later, he discovers that he had made an error in his calculations
and the deflection is not about 0.8 arc seconds. It's about 1.7. So it's this great irony that
if the war had not happened, then Forreinlich would have done the observation and been looking
for the wrong number. So if you had done the observation well, that would have been seen as evidence
not for relativity.
So Einstein has a number of extremely lucky
of that dance during the course of the war.
So one of the things that really stood out to me,
I don't know if you had an opportunity
to view the total solar eclipse of 2017,
the so-called Great American eclipse.
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I did from Idaho.
Yeah.
Ah, good.
Yeah, so I was on the East Coast and you were closer to the West Coast.
And when I was observing this, first of all, it was very difficult to get my, you know,
then four-year-old out of the car to even witness it because he was kind of grumpy.
He didn't want to get out.
Why is he getting dark in the middle of the day?
I got him out and then he was going crazy.
It was this quasi-religious experience.
And for him and kind of this awe,
sense of awe and vastness of the universe.
But when I was witnessing it,
I was sort of overcome with a different type of awe
and curiosity, which was I don't see any stars
that are even, you know, possibly reach
of the eclipse. Now there's another piece of fortuitous
happenstance, if you will. Some say, you know,
X-Files would say nothing is a coincidence, right?
But if you look at where the eclipse took place
celestially in the 1919 eclipse,
it took place in a very rich field of background stars
and the Hides cluster.
And had it been observed in 1940, or 1912,
I guess.
In 1914, it would have been a much poorer background, probably closer to the background
when it was seen in 2017 from the USA.
So I wonder, you know, when that eclipse took place, I did, I must confess, I was, you know,
looking at the corona.
But I saw, you know, maybe one star with the naked eye.
And then you think, well, that's, you know, nowadays, you know, we have CCD cameras.
But even, you know, the degree of technological sophistication currently, I have one student who I would trust with a solar expedition to take an optical picture.
You know, and they did, and I got many, many views of this picture.
But there were no stars.
And so you talk a lot in the book about the logistical links to which astronomers had to go, you know, international travel over months and time.
And I have to say, you know, it still boggles the mind.
And for that reason, hopefully we can get into some of the doubts that maybe still persist.
And I think that they're more well placed than say, you know, doubts that the Earth is a sphere or that it doesn't go around the Earth, et cetera.
So I wonder, yeah, if you can talk a little bit about the from a physicist and a former, you know, recovering astronomer and, you know, and current physicists.
What do you make of the technological?
So I should say it's a fantastically difficult measurement to do for a whole bunch of different reasons.
And as you suggest, the 1919 eclipse was very fortunate for a number of physical reasons.
So one of them was right in front of the hiatus.
So you've got a nice cluster of bright stars that you can look for.
It was high in the sky.
And when you're looking for precise measurements,
a little less atmosphere to go through, counts for a lot.
And it was six minutes long, which is really long for the total solar eclipse.
So they were able to take lots of good photographs.
And those conditions just don't happen very often.
And Eddington actually talks about this when making the case for the expedition back in 1917 and 1918.
He says, we will have to wait 300 years until conditions are this good again.
So like, let's get it right this first time.
In terms of stellar visibility, this was a real struggle for Einstein and Eddington and everybody at the time.
So as you say, they're hard to see with the naked eye, particularly if the eclipse is close towards the horizon, because the slightest bit of atmospheric distortion ruins it.
And it also depends enormously on the state of the corona.
So if the corona happens to be expansive and bright in that quadrant of the sky, then it'll wash out any stars, you can see.
In terms of photographs, the equipment that you usually use to take a good photograph of the corona or of a solar eclipse is not good for picking up on small images like stars.
That is, you use a different optical setup.
So this is one of Einstein's early problem.
So early on when he realizes there should be this deflection,
his first thought is not,
let's go send an expedition because that's really hard to do.
And you have to wait for an eclipse.
But let's just look at old eclipse photographs and see if we can see the deflection there.
So he writes to all the astronomers he knows,
and they write to all the astronomers they know.
The query actually gets all the way to Mount Wilson.
And nobody has any good star photographs.
And the reason for that is just because nobody cared, right?
That's not what you look for.
It's not what you set up your optical equipment to try and record.
So there were a few kind of accidental captures of stellar images,
and that's how they ended up deciding what telescopes they should bring.
So they end up bringing not the kind of photographs,
not the kind of telescopes you would normally use for a solar eclipse observation,
but an astrographic, which is what you use for fine stellar measurements,
at the time.
And I say one of the things that came up a lot, and still comes up a lot too, is the scale of
the measurement, right?
So 1.7 arc seconds comes out to be about 160th of a millimeter on a photographic plate.
And depending on your field of technical expertise, that might seem absurdly small.
So how can you reliably measure 160th of a millimeter?
And the astronomers at the time sort of shrugged their shoulders and said,
say, we do this every day, right? That's the, that's a pretty big stellar parallax. And we can measure those
fantastically precisely. So for astronomers, they've been doing this for decades. And it's kind of
interesting to see the, the skepticism from even like experimental physicists who say, one-60th of a
millimeter is far too small to measure. And the astronomers say, it's no big deal.
Yeah. The thing that struck me is that they also had to take images when the sun is on the other
side of the of the constellations of the zodiac in this case and that they had to preserve those
plates also under pretty controlled conditions. I mean, this wasn't, you know, you download it to
your laptop and click on a couple boxes. And even nowadays, it's not, as I say, it's really not so
easy. There are a lot of subtleties in measuring star positions and it's, you know, left as an advanced,
kind of exam topic almost for advanced undergraduates, at least,
to actually try to do this with the CCD
and maybe even show you cannot do it with certain CCD cameras.
Most CCD cameras are not.
Most telescopes aren't able to do this.
But then that, as I say, is with a telescope,
not a piece of film and emulsion,
and that has to be preserved
and kept over, you know, six months or more years before.
And it was just remarkable how fast,
how soon after the eclipse, the results were published, of course, to great fanfare.
And you talk a lot about this in the book is sort of this early version of, you know,
kind of social media or social proof that really by virtue of the abstractness of the underlying physics
serve to make Einstein a celebrity and perhaps, you know, really amplify his advocacy for things such as political views.
So I wonder, you know, is this in your mind, I mean, have there been other examples where, you know, kind of science and politics so directly intersected, both either for good or for bad?
I mean, later on, Einstein would advocate for atomic weapons and he would use the fame, I think, that he had gleaned from this episode.
But how often has science and politics, you know, really been intertwined in this way?
Almost always, I think, is sort of the answer. Surely as the world gets more globalized in, say, the middle of the 19th century, the issues are more significant just because information can be spread more rapidly.
but simple things like the metric system, for instance, or where the zero degree of
longitude is, which nowadays we think of as fairly trivial, were unbelievably politically
fraught conditions. So for a very long period of, for instance, there were two zero degree
longitudes, right? There was one that went through Greenwich and there was one that went
through Paris. And which one you chose depended on your national allegiance. So if you were in the United
States, say, you had to choose, right? Were you on the French side or were you on the British side?
And those had quite extraordinary consequences. And talk a little bit about the, you know, kind of
shift in worldview that was ushered in after the eclipse. So, you know, one of the more remarkable
aspects of Einstein's theory of general relativity. So Einstein had two theories that both have the
name relativity in it, and the theory of general relativity subsumes the theory of special relativity,
which, as I said earlier, it deals with the interrelationship between matter, mass and energy
equals MC squared, the constancy of the speed of light, aspects of bizarre aspects that are
completely unfamiliar to our everyday life, such as length contraction,
and time dilation, none of which we ever perceive.
Our human beings don't perceive.
But then general relativity, which subsumes special relativity, actually, in some sense,
is more easily interacted with on one hand, and then, of course, much more abstractly related
in another.
So in my mind, there are aspects of relativity, which are really simple, and you do a beautiful
job explaining in the book, such as the principle of equivalence, which are another form of relativity.
And I should say the term relativity or the concept of relative motion of objects goes back to
Galileo and probably before, but he was the first to really champion it in the famous dialogue
and two world systems. He talks about a boat in motion and then inside the boat where you can't
see the outside ocean as you're moving. You know, birds will fly around and bugs will fly around
and they have relative additive velocities with respect to the water and so on.
Well, Einstein turned that on his head when he said that the speed of light was constant and so forth.
But you talk a lot in the book about the principle of equivalence,
which in some sense, you know, is as revolutionary as the constancy of the speed of light.
And I wonder, was that taken as, you know, scientific canon, you know, before?
I mean, that doesn't depend on the eclipse being right or even the, you know, pervature of speed.
time being warped by matter that we'll get into. But none of that depended on. So is there any,
you know, was that taken for granted or was that really kind of controversial, the principles of
equivalence? So the equivalence principles, I think, sort of a fascinating episode, particularly
in history of relativity, but also in the history of science generally, in that it's extremely
accessible. So you can do the major convincing of the principle of equivalence, just sitting in
your chair right now. You just have to kind of think differently about watching things fall and
think about how you feel things. It was not a major thing unless you were someone like Einstein,
and specifically someone like Einstein who subscribed to the work of Ernst Mach, who was a late
19th century physicist and philosopher, and Mach had sort of a philosophical perspective on
science. That's nowadays called positivism. And the stress of
Machian positivism is put on direct measurement.
That is any category and any kind of scientific ideas or categories you have, you should
track back to how you directly physically measure it and experience it.
And it's that kind of Machian thinking that gives rise to special relativity in 1905.
So the equivalence principle is sort of an extension of that kind of thinking.
But not many people were thinking that way.
I think is one of the things that really makes Einstein distinctive is he has this kind of critical approach to the categories of science.
So when he's wondering about gravity, he doesn't, his first thought is not to write down a new equation or set up laboratory experiment.
Because he's a Machian, he says, how do I feel gravity?
How do I know that gravity is pulling on me right now?
So people who are interested in those sorts of philosophical questions about science were very impressed by the equivalence principle.
Everybody else said, that's fine, but come back to me when you have an experiment we can do.
Right.
And, of course, it's very difficult to do experiments when you require masses in the order of the sun or, you know, much, much greater masses.
But as you point out in the book, you know, it is sort of still pertinent,
the effects of general relativity in addition to purely sort of philosophical
and going back to, you know, Galileo, et cetera.
They are at work in your pocket.
The fact that the local space and time interrelationship is affected by mass is built into every cell phone,
you know, that has a GPS receiver within it.
Because without those corrections that are due to fundamental general relativistic properties of space time curvature of the matter associated with it, we would not be able to navigate anywhere.
Well, I'm not able to navigate super poor.
I've told you before.
I've talked off the, you know, the voice of navigation my car so I don't have two women yelling at me that I can't drive, which is usually true when I'm with my wife.
but the but the you know the notion that it's you know somehow esoteric or you know bait you know just just
pie in the sky literally i think is is really you make a beautiful case how how it really affected
not only science you know and for scientists but actually eventually the general public as well
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Yeah, so the applications of the general relativity, which, as you say nowadays,
is we're literally surrounded by, take a long time.
In even sort of applications within science, it isn't until well after World War II that people are applying into things like cosmology on a regular basis.
So before that, the impact of relativity is sort of purely philosophical and social.
You know, nobody has a GPS in their pocket in 1919.
But what they do have is a worldview that had just been shattered by the war.
There had been four years of industrialized slaughter on the kind of scale that no human being had ever seen before.
People were doubting everything.
This was also the era of the Russian Revolution.
So when people talk, for instance, when people at the time talked about a revolution and science, they were thinking about a revolution in political terms, right?
They were thinking about governments being overthrown and societies shattered.
So that's sort of the framework that people are thinking.
thinking about relativity in. So Einstein kind of as a word becomes shorthand for any kind of upset hierarchy
and destroyed order and inverted ways of thinking about the world. And so he's both sort of simultaneously
this great icon of hope and peace and internationalism, but also sort of a threat to what everyone
thought they had already known about the world. And I think it's that kind of pull in two directions
that really brings Einstein to the four and makes the average person care about him, even though
they don't understand the science at all. Yeah, you mentioned the milieu in which he was involved.
And of course, one of the great philosophers of the day, Carl Popper, was also kind of opining at that time
in an attempt, I believe, to, you know, sort of replicate with girdle eventually would do for
mathematics, which is, you know, prove an incompleteness, a crisp test to define, you know,
what is mathematical, what is not mathematical. And then, of course, Popper comes up with his falsificationism,
I think you call it in the book, criterion, which is maybe something you can get into. And
I'd like to discuss with you how it's made a resurgence in some fields, including my own,
which is the investigation of the multiverse and fine tuning and all sorts of things. So can you
explain what was Carl Popper's obsession with falsification and maybe how did it intertwine with politics
back then? Because he was a pretty... Sure. Yeah. So this is an interesting kind of side element of the
story. So Carl Popper's a young man. He's, I think, 17 when Einstein becomes famous. So he's Austrian. He's
too young to have fought in the war. But he's very interested in science and he's a Marxist. And this is
important for a couple of reasons. So one of the things that Marxists, at least at the time,
made the case for, was that Marxist philosophy sort of predicted a certain series of political
and economic developments in the world, that is, capitalism would collapse onto itself,
and then Marxist societies would appear from the ashes of that. And one of the things Popper found was that
any event that happened in the world would be seized as evidence that Marx was correct.
So on one hand, that's super powerful, right?
Every revolution, every war, said, well, that's just what Marx would have predicted.
But he was sort of unsatisfied with that.
And at the same time, Freudian style psychoanalysis was becoming popular as well.
And that had a similar feature, which is there are rules for interpreting dreams.
And any dream you have, a Freudian can explain to you in Freudian terms what that dream meant.
So again, very powerful.
But Popper was sort of unsatisfied.
He was worried that these theories were too powerful.
That is, if you could always find evidence to support your ideas, wasn't that some kind of problem?
So then Einstein comes along.
And what he's impressed with by Einstein was that Einstein like to say not just if there's gravitational diffusion,
then relativity is true.
But he'd like to say it as if there is no gravitational deflection,
relativity is not true.
And Popper said, you know, that's what science must be.
That is the willingness to be proved wrong
because with both the Marxists and psychoanalysts,
there was no observation that would convince them they were wrong.
So Popper uses the example of the 1990 eclipse
as sort of the perfect example of science.
You put a bold theory out there and explain how it can be wrong.
So as anybody can be right, it's very easy to massage information to make it look like.
You're correct.
It's much more risky and therefore more impressive, he says, to set out the ways you could be proven wrong.
So this, you say this comes to be called falsificationism, this idea that the essence of science is not proving an idea right,
but proving bad ideas wrong,
and then eventually you're just kind of left behind
with the best explanation that has survived all the tests so far.
And I should say this is a very handy way of thinking about science
because it's fairly easy to sort things
and to falsifiable hypotheses and non-falsifiable hypotheses.
And the reason it becomes, it gets this resurgence in the 1960s,
is actually as part of an attempt to fight back against what nowadays we call pseudoscience.
So this is sort of the emergence of creation science and Velikovskyism and Eric von Daniken style, you know, fringe scientific ideas.
So actually it's people like Carl Sagan and friends who pick up Popper as a useful tool for saying these things are just not.
These ideas are not scientific as well.
And as you suggest nowadays, it's become important again in cosmology, I think largely due to the many world's hypothesis and many, and some people suggest inflation as well. And then, of course, string theory. So the question being, what are the observations that can prove those ideas wrong? That is, are they falsifiable in Popper sense? And one of the, I think, the fact that it turns out it's actually not so easy to apply.
Popper's ideas to these sorts of things. That is, we have vigorous arguments about whether
multiple universe theories are falsifiable or not. And this is one of, I think, the difficulties
of Popper's theory is that it looks like it should be easy to apply, but in practice, it turns out
to be quite difficult. Yeah, and as I often like to point out, you know, two of the things that
Popper, you know, derided as non-scientific or unfalsifiable were astrology and, you know, Marxist,
dialectic materialism.
And, you know, if you look at your local newspaper, you'll find, you know, astrology is alive
and well.
You can...
It's not going anywhere.
Any time of day or night.
And Marxist socialist, there are many more countries that are, you know, Marxist socialist
that still endure to this, to this very day than Popper could ever have dreamed of.
What was so, you know, kind of interesting to me is how, yes, it.
It has resurged in this description of, you know, what is, what is real, what is real science,
especially with regard, as you say, string theory and the conventant potentiality of multiverses
and inflation. I want to just close in the limited time we have left with one, you know, just as a
nerding out opportunity with the great sage, like yourself, the eclipse was sort of very, very,
it had all the great elements.
It had a great story.
It had a literal cosmic event.
You know, it's not something like the, you know, the LHC turns on.
It runs for a couple of years.
It collects five data points, you know, that are not ruled out by some other men.
Then the Higgs boson is there and there's a probability of one in three million minutes of fleet.
But this had the sun, you know, being eclipsed by the moon.
And these are things that were, you know, foretold omens back in the past.
It just had all the greatest and risky events.
that had almost proven fatal in certain cases.
And so it had this wonderful power of authority and story and all these biases built into.
And I think a lot of people feel scientists are not susceptible to biases.
I personally do think, I don't know bias your answer, but you can take for, you know,
with the grain of dust, you know, what level of authority I am.
But what do you think about this notion that scientists are sort of this infallible,
unflapping pursuers of truth in that, you know, we don't, aren't subject to biases.
You often hear that.
Well, religious people, you know, just believe in stuff based on faith, but scientists is always
based, science is always based on reason and, et cetera.
What do you, where do you stand in that in this discussion?
So I think it's actually quite dangerous to think of science as a perfect, purely rational
system of producing knowledge.
And this is what I mean by that, is that that's what we're taught in, you know, elementary school.
But that's not the case.
And it's not hard to find examples in which scientists are real people, right?
They have political beliefs and religious ideals and they have friends and they have enemies.
And they make mistakes and they have flashes and insight.
And if you think that if you're sort of raised on the idea that science is by definition is a purely rational,
entirely empirical enterprise.
The first time you encounter one of those real people situations,
your faith in science is easily broken.
And this is something I see with my students a lot.
The first time they hear Jim Watson saying something sexist and racist,
they say, oh, well, scientists aren't perfect after all.
Why should I believe any of them?
But if you accept right from the start that science is a distinctly human enterprise full of messiness and desires and beliefs,
then I think not only is it much more robust against those sorts of criticisms, but I think it's also much more interesting.
So for the story in my book, if you think Einstein just sat down one day and wrote out the equations of general relativity,
and then somebody just went out and proved it,
that's a very uninteresting version of science, right?
And I think it would be hard to get people excited about going into science,
if that was the kind of thing, it was.
But if you point out that Einstein is trying to keep himself from starving to death at the time
and has to talk his way past border guards at the Swiss border crossings,
and Eddington is trying to keep himself out of prison,
for being a pacifist.
At the same time, he's trying to set up this globe-spanning expedition.
It seems to me that that's a much more compelling kind of industry to join up with, right?
A place where you can really ask cosmic questions and meet interesting people and draw on all of your skills, right?
It's important to be creative and social and insightful, along with being good at math and knowing how to tighten the micrometer screw.
Right. Yeah, it always troubles me when, you know, people say, oh, I'm not a scientist. And, you know, no one would ever say, I don't know English, you know, I'm not very smart. I mean, otherwise educated people, obviously. So it was really, truly a delight speaking with you today. And I can't thank you enough for your time. And I share in the excitement, not the least of which, because I am actually mentioned in the back of your book, which I am very happy to.
to take that a little bit of credit that I might have earned along the way.
It's great to hit your wagon to a star like yourself.
So I want you to just spend the last couple minutes maybe talking about where people can find you,
the book, any websites, and then just a minute about your podcast with Phil Schen.
Sure.
So the book is Einstein's War.
It's available for pre-order on Amazon now.
I'm not sure when this will be airing, but the book is officially out on May 21st.
It's available in hardback and e-book and audiobook for which I did the narration too.
So if you have been able to stand my voice for the last hour or so, then you should pick a
off of that.
My email is matt.
dot stanley at NYU.edu, if you want to drop me a line.
But otherwise, my public face is through the what-de-eat.
if podcast, that's what the if.com, which I co-host with my friend Philip Shane, a documentary
filmmaker, where we change something about the universe and try to figure out what the consequences
that are. It's sort of half popular science, half science fiction improv. Yes, it's really,
truly a delightful podcast. I've been lucky enough to go on it a couple times and hope to be on it
again and have you back on the Arthur C. Clark Center for the Human Imaginations into the Impossible
podcast. This has been a production of the Arthur C. Clark Center at UC San Diego. And I want to thank
you and congratulate you and wish you the best of luck, Matt, with all your future endeavors,
especially this wonderful book, Einstein's War. Thank you so much. I'm really appreciative for being here.
Happy to come back anytime. Thanks. This has been Into the Impossible, a podcast of the Arthur C. Clark Center
for Human Imagination at University of California, San Diego.
We'd like to thank our guests and acknowledge our generous patrons and sponsors,
including Viassad, Inc., members of the Founders' Orbit, and the James B. Axe Family Foundation.
Your support is appreciated.
Find out more about the Clark Center at imagination.ucsd.edu.
