Into the Impossible With Brian Keating - OpenAI’s Navier–Stokes Claim: Is This What AGI Looks Like? | Emad Mostaque

Episode Date: September 9, 2026

Did OpenAI just solve Navier–Stokes—and what would that actually mean for AGI? Emad Mostaque joins Brian Keating LIVE to examine the claimed breakthrough, what would count as a verified solution..., and whether AI solving a major mathematical problem changes the debate about intelligence—or control. Watch my explainer about AI and the Navier-Stokes problem, including insights from Terry Tao https://youtu.be/je9X59psm6U?si=wGbcLhXmf47jeCHL?sub_confirmation=1 A convincing answer isn’t necessarily a proof. A mathematical breakthrough isn’t automatically AGI. But if this claim holds up, how much should we update our expectations? Emad helped bring Stable Diffusion to the world and signed the letter calling for a pause on frontier AI development. In his previous conversation with Brian and AI safety researcher Roman Yampolskiy, he questioned how such a pause could work—and highlighted swarm intelligence as a particularly dangerous and unpredictable risk. Now we return to the question underneath the excitement: if AI’s capabilities are accelerating, is our ability to understand and control them keeping up? ON THE TABLE: • What exactly is being claimed about Navier–Stokes? • What separates a proposed solution from an accepted mathematical proof? • If the result holds up, does it demonstrate AGI—or something narrower? • Can AI produce discoveries that humans struggle to verify? • What would this change about open-source AI and the argument for a pause? • Are we watching the wrong risk: a single superintelligence, or swarms of AI agents? • What evidence would change Emad’s mind? Bring your questions. We’ll examine the claim, the evidence, and what follows if it’s right. This livestream discusses a claimed result; it does not assume the Millennium Prize Problem has been resolved. FEATURED GUEST: Emad Mostaque on Twitter/X: https://x.com/EMostaque I.I.I. Inc.: https://ii.inc/ Stable Diffusion / Stability AI: https://stability.ai/ Get the transcript, fascinating bonus content, and my Monday M.A.G.I.C. Message: https://briankeating.com/yt Have a .edu email and live in the USA? Claim your meteorite: https://BrianKeating.com/edu Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/DrBrianKeating?sub_confirmation=1 Support Into the Impossible on Patreon for unfiltered bonus content and live monthly Office Hours: https://www.patreon.com/drbriankeating Join this channel for perks, monthly Office Hours, and your name in the Member Roster: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCmXH_moPhfkqCk6S3b9RWuw/join MY BOOKS: Losing the Nobel Prize: http://amzn.to/2sa5UpA Think Like a Nobel Prize Winner: https://a.co/d/03ezQFu Focus Like a Nobel Prize Winner: https://a.co/d/hi50U9U Galileo’s Dialogue audiobook: https://a.co/d/iZPi9Un CONNECT WITH BRIAN: Twitter/X: https://x.com/BrianKeating Substack: https://briankeating.substack.com Blog: https://briankeating.com/blog Audio-only: https://briankeating.com/podcast #OpenAI #NavierStokes #AGI #EmadMostaque #ArtificialIntelligence #BrianKeating #IntoTheImpossible Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome, everybody. We have an emergency podcast. I don't do many of these. It's not entirely clickbait to say that we have an emergency situation going on right now in the deep annals of mathematics, the foundations of mathematics. And there's no one I'd rather talk to about this than my friend, Ahmad Mastak, who's joining us all the way from London. How are you, Ahmad, Mad, on this late evening for you or early afternoon for you, whatever the case may be? I can't do the conversion. It's too early for me. in and feeling a bit sleep deprived after the excitement of the last 24 hours or so. Yeah, it hasn't even been 24 hours. It's been 21 hours. I looked at the timeline. I've looked at some of the constraints and the complaints and what people are saying about it. So this is exciting. So we're going to talk about Open AI's claimed solution to one of the millennium problems, which has lasted since the, I would say, the early part of the previous millennium and the Clay Mathematics Institute has provided a gauntlet of challenges for mathematicians and other assorted geeks and dwebes and nerds to go through. Some of them impossible seeming.
Starting point is 00:01:06 Some of them quite possibly solved already. So today we're going to talk about the Navier-Stokes equation. I should say I put a link below to video I did yesterday. I actually recorded it a long time ago with Terry Tao's thoughts and some of his ideas that he had convinced me of about how AI would approach this very situation. This is one of his fields, he has many fields of expertise, but this is certainly one of them. And that was the blow-up or singularity in a finite time of these very interesting equations that are governed by very simple laws of physics. And I thought we'd start off with what your take on the Navier-Stokes equation is, maybe some of the applications to it, although you are much more theoretically inclined than certainly even I am.
Starting point is 00:01:52 But maybe you can break it down. what is the Navier-Stokes equation? And what was your first reaction when you heard this yesterday? For me, it was like a Higgs-Boson-like moment. You know, I woke up the kids. I went into my research group meeting, and all my students and postdocs were so excited about it. But what does it mean to you?
Starting point is 00:02:10 And first off, what is it? Yeah, so we have the, it's been a terrible exciting day. We have the Navier-Stokes fluid equations governing fluid dynamics in the real world, as it were. So kind of our decetotype world. And this specific group of equations is... Compressible fluids in R3. So as you head in towards a Galilean kind of more classical world, heading towards a continuous limit.
Starting point is 00:02:38 Will fluids move normally, or do you get blowups or singularities? Where it can suddenly start accelerating, and then you just have a cup of tea blowing up, shall we say. This is true to be an incredibly difficult one, and Terry Tao and your podcast went into depth on this, whereby we didn't know and we don't know what the solutions were. So the clay prize was for one of four different solutions, A, B, C, D, two of which are can prove that it's always smooth,
Starting point is 00:03:07 either normally or on a tors, and then two of which are, can you show the existence of a blow-up? And so Terry Tao in his kind of, I believe, main doctorate paper, showed that if you slice time, you can basically chain together a blow-up in a very original way. And it's a beautiful kind of piece of matter of ice, like 24 pages. But nobody's quite managed to get to an initial datum that blows up. People have tried different things, and they've gone to Euler equations, and they've shown some evidence there.
Starting point is 00:03:40 And we'll get to the story of what happened here as we found out more of them. They've tried to do things like physics-inspired neural networks, So DeepMind were really having a massive team looking at that. That moved a bit more analytically. And in fact, there was another release yesterday about that. But this was considered to be a very hard, somewhat intractable problem until it wasn't. Like, and then yesterday morning we found the first details that there might be one solution to it. And then as a day came on, we found more and more extraordinary things.
Starting point is 00:04:14 And until Open AI released the full details of how they managed it. So I think I've gone for quite a bit of time now. We can talk about some other aspects of it. Yeah. So, I mean, these are problems. They don't quite rise to the level of fame of, you know, say the, you know, Fermat's Last theorem. But this one in particular is quite important because it's one of the few that actually
Starting point is 00:04:35 relate to, you know, physical observations that could be made. And in fact, the non-observation of what you said, these blow-ups, you know, not drinking your proper British tea. And all of a sudden you have to. worry about, you know, kind of a WMD going off in your cup. But in this case, you know, in many of the other Millennium, you know, prize challenges say they're not as, you know, practical at all. I mean, some of them, you know, would be recognizable to the, to, you know, people hundreds of years ago. From a physics perspective, this one's important because the Navier-Stokes equations were
Starting point is 00:05:09 generated maybe 200 years ago, you know, 100 years before the Clay Prize and the Millennium Prize. and they really rely on simple physics, you know, Newtonian physics. It's not like quantum mechanics. We're used to hearing singularities, which, you know, means blow up. And we think about black holes or the, you know, how the bread gets buttered here
Starting point is 00:05:28 around the Keating House, which is in the Big Bang, you know, which my friend and your fellow Oxfordian, Sir Roger Penrose. Yeah. Oh, it's so much right. Yeah. And so the Oxonian, that's right. And the, you know, the question that I have is, you know, why is this one so important?
Starting point is 00:05:46 Or is this one just the first among many? And then, you know, likely every single Millennium Prize will get as famous. So, you know, we've only had one solve so far. We can come back to that of these seven prizes. And they are very different in their natures. P equals MP is the big one in terms of, you know, you solve that.
Starting point is 00:06:05 You can solve just about anything. But this one's very interesting because fluid dynamics is used so much. And I think it's so much having a solution of a low up that is interesting because they've only again there are four different things you can prove they've proved two of them and they've proved an existence proof it's more I think the techniques that were being built up to do this and that are enabled by this so Terence Tau for example talks about liquid
Starting point is 00:06:32 computers as one mechanism for doing this you know you have tiny little liquid computers that can chain together to do that that's a very promising thing for nanobots for example again physics inspired neural networks have direct applications in the fluid dynamics and the algorithms they're building for that. So I think that there is the prize itself, which is fantastic, you know, we figured out. But then there's the route to the price. So Gregori Perlman, who, you know, sold the pancreatic injection, did some really interesting things. It was meant to be a topology problem.
Starting point is 00:07:02 They showed a physics problem, kind of carving out all of these tiny, like, unstable elements. And it was some beautiful mathematics doing that. And I think for a lot of these challenges, it is just, What is the different way of looking at things? Like, we've been stuck, for example, in physics on the Yang Mills, Mascat problem, you know? And the question is, like, if we can figure that out, then you can figure out a lot of stuff around quantum electrodynamics and kind of other things there. For Navier Stokes, I think it's the class of understanding of fluid dynamics that's unlocked by looking at this, as opposed to the specific proof itself. And the flip side of this is the fact that a generalized model figured it out in 88.
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Starting point is 00:08:53 Well, they used, you know, make no mistakes. They use that prompt. And that explains why we don't know. Well, yeah, and the encouragement prompt, you know, I believe you can do this. You know, you got this. That's also a good one. And I read the paper and there's no, there's no M-dashes or it's not incompressible that matters. It's this.
Starting point is 00:09:13 So the paper, which you posted yesterday, and you've been probably the most important kind of commentator is also professional in this area. I'll remind people you co-founded stable diffusion, stability AI. You have a master's in mathematics from Oxford. And you've been thinking about these problems for many, many years. And you and I have been talking for many months now. I'm very glad we got to get to know each other. And this paper is remarkable. I mean, I looked at the pre-print, you know, and it's finite time blowup for Navier Stokes, which is, you know, kind of the, you know, just completely ringing the dinner bell for the alligator, you know, for any mathematician knows exactly what that means.
Starting point is 00:09:53 You know, it's, it's basically tattooed on some of their, their forearms, you know, Terry Tao and he takes off his shirt is just incredible with the tattoos. And I'll just read the abstract. The author is Open AI, which is incredible. I didn't say the model. It just says Open AI is the author where, you know, I'm Admos. Stack or Brian Keating would go for every positive viscosity, which is a property of fluid resistance to the fluid flow, we construct a solution of the three-dimensional, incompressible Navier-Stokes equation equations that starts from rest and develops unbounded velocity,
Starting point is 00:10:25 which is going to form the singularity, in a finite time while we're maintaining uniformly bounded kinetic energy. And that's the abstract. You know, and this is launched a thousand. And you did mention, yeah, 88 hours it took, but of course, you know, it's like saying, you know, your doctor did the surgery in five minutes, but, but actually it took, it took, you know, four years of med school, 10 years of residency, right? Plus hundreds of years of medical practice. So it's, it's extremely dense and I don't expect us to really get too deep into the math, but I will say the equations are purely classical. And yet it does, it does lead to this breakdown that, you know, is so vexing. And it wasn't really clear if this would happen. In fact, an observation,
Starting point is 00:11:09 We don't see it happening. You mentioned the 88 hours. I heard that they spent $15 million to win $1 million prize. These all go to have $1 million kind of bounties on them. So when you look through the math and you did your bedtime reading last night, what sort of parts of the proof are seemingly only that which could be constructed by an AGI? I mean, you and I will debate AGI a lot and we'll continue. to do so we have already but um but what what about this do you think is enabled by sheer you know
Starting point is 00:11:47 prey and spray tokens at the problem so i think this is very interesting right um the paper starts off very readable then it goes into a bit of a high dense mathematics so you're seeing a lot of a i papers right now that they start reading like a human but then it's like no human would write this like the sheer volume of math that you kind of hit up but actually at the course of the it's very straightforward, which is that you can choose and force the structure, and then you can kind of build from there. So the key thing is, you know, like Navia Stokes is a very classical thing. Like you said, you start with Newton's Second Law of Motion, and you shoot fluid as this continuous kind of medium that you go through. The viscosity term is the one that pushes back against it blowing up.
Starting point is 00:12:32 So as you get momentum, though, the viscosity kind of pushes it back in. So there's always a question of what type of structure do you need? So I believe DeepMind, for example, had a blow-up on Yula equation where they had like this little wall. And this was a Chen Hao one where they pushed and then it exploded because of the certain structure that they had. And we've not had it for a more generalized one. In this case, they created a vortex, kind of this spinning swell of liquid that spins inwards. And then it pulls out like spaghetti. That's the axial stretching, as it were.
Starting point is 00:13:04 Finding the right balance of that from an initial state because you've got a like balance, the momentum transfer, the viscosity, everything. Each of these needs to cancel out in a very precise way. And that's what we kind of found here. It's an actually elegant solution. Because you could have a massively complicated one, but it isn't that complicated. It's all about the initial structure
Starting point is 00:13:24 and then proving that everything cancels out appropriately. This could have been done by a human. Like, this isn't a non-human thing, as it were. It's not like, wow, we've found Move 37 in terms of the way that the paper actually is. It's more the fact that when you look at how they got to it, we say 88 hours, but the actual answer is 100 years. So with a number of agents, the number of tokens and everything,
Starting point is 00:13:49 it's equivalent to 100 years of top-level mathematicians working on this, because we've got up to 10,000 agents at once. And they used 130 billion tokens, so about 100 billion words on this, analyzing everything back and forth. And then that gives you an idea like, Okay, wow, because what didn't they try? When you look at it, actually, they tried a lot of different things. They started with the Euler equations, and they got that in 50 hours with 100 agents.
Starting point is 00:14:17 Then they got this in 88 hours with 10,000 agents. That was the big kind of level up. And we don't obviously have everything they threw away, but it's clear that they followed the path of many different people. Like, again, when you look at their write-up, they started with conditions A and B. All solutions are smooth. There are no blow-ups. Terence Tao and a few others like Ortega, etc, said that there is a blow-up.
Starting point is 00:14:43 They thought solution C or D was more likely. It was only after they switched there that they had any success in terms of the way they did it. But again, this is all about the initial datum showing in finite time a blow-up because you have cancellation of the various elements. So the spaghetti string gets longer and longer of this vortex that goes out. And that's just a very delicate piece of mathematics. Just like, you know, Gregory Parlemans, Pungray conjecture proof was incredibly delicate as a piece of mathematics as he cut out the various bits and pieces.
Starting point is 00:15:14 Again, like, it isn't the clearest paper in the world. I'm still getting through some of the proofs, even with my little buddy AIs. But the actual concept isn't that complicated of the structure that they created. The various kind of parameters of it, those are very finely balanced. Now, we're live streaming or co-streaming on X, which, you know, is the source of a lot of information, but it's, it pales in comparison to that behemoth, you know, Leviathan known as Mastodon, where yesterday there was a public statement posted by Tristan Buckmaster describing his work with, with his colleague, I can't pronounce his last name, probably proper bit Alpoget, Alpoges.
Starting point is 00:16:02 some Germanic or someone. Turkish, yeah. Yeah, from Turkey. I only know a couple words in Turkey because one of my friends at Brown University was Turkish. And all of his friends thought I was Turkish for some reason. So he taught me to say, he taught me to say, Bandit Turkum, which means I'm Turkish. And then they would all get excited. And then I just leave and they'd be like, what's up with that A-hole?
Starting point is 00:16:25 I thought Turkish people are cool. But I'm not Turkish. Nobody's perfect. But the claim that they're putting out is basically the, you know, kind of substantiates what you just said because they did, you know, they're human beings. Their paper when it comes out, I don't think it's out, but they have some preprints. They have some documents that they posted. I'll summarize them. But there's a lot of drama here.
Starting point is 00:16:49 There's a lot of human drama, personal drama, academic drama. You know, people always say academic fights are so, you know, intense because the stakes are so low. But here the stakes are extremely high. not only, you know, reputationally and financially, but but kind of in this otherworldly realm of fame and attribution and citation that goes along with the scientific process. And most people don't realize that, I'm on, that, you know, academicians are extremely cutthroat. They can be violent.
Starting point is 00:17:15 They can be unstable, unpredictable. They can have, you know, finite time blowups themselves. But he's, you know, demonstrating, I think, that, first of all, he's crediting earlier work, the origin from Diego Cordoba and Luis Martinez-Zorca on constructing forced blow-ups. So these are forced blow-ups, which is a little bit different, a little bit more narrow. We do have to define that. But in their proof, you know, they're not AI. So what he's, you know, Buckmaster is saying that their work was kind of enabled,
Starting point is 00:17:48 aided perhaps with Claude, not just Codex, but Claude, GPT, Seoul, you know, 5,6, and then later Astro, which only came out, you know, last week. So, I mean, things are moving so rapidly, but, but he talked about the process, and I think this is important. On October, on August 17th, they formally verified the LLM generated oiler proof in Lean on August 22nd. They forced the, uh, oiler smooth forcing blowups on August 15th and then seven days later, uh, verified this in Lean. So, um, first describe what is lean, you know, besides, uh, you know, uh, besides the, you know, the,
Starting point is 00:18:23 you know, the street drug that I'm familiar with it as, tell people that Lean is. Because when I talked with Terry Tao last year in his office, you know, he was basically saying that these things are really good at checking proofs. They're not good at generating proofs. What is Lean? How do mathematicians use it, first of all?
Starting point is 00:18:41 Let's get into that and then we'll go through the rest of their claims and counterclaims and drama. Oh, yeah. That's going to be a lot of that. So, yeah, Lean is a formal verification kind of library. where you can basically break apart proofs and formally verify them. Classically, mathematicians have not used lean, because it has been a pain to use.
Starting point is 00:19:04 You have to, because it has very few primitives, you kind of have to reprove just about everything. We're going through Mathlib right now, and we're just, like, mapping out the whole universe of different things. So, like, if you try and use it for physics-oriented math, for example, there's entire libraries that just don't exist, on fields and kind of other things. But now with the advance of AI, AI is very good at doing lean because it doesn't give up.
Starting point is 00:19:30 In fact, last week we had the biggest lean proof of all, which is a lean formalization of Fermat's last theorem, Andrew Wilde's proof. And So Anthropic announced that. And it's 13. And I should say that was the one thing I asked Terry about, which last year they couldn't do. Because I said, in my group, what I do is I like to have my students go through famous experiments, a milican oil drop experiment. You know, Kavanaugh experiment, all these different experiments so that they do what's called copywork by artists.
Starting point is 00:19:57 You know, it was said that Hunter S. Thompson wanted to know what it felt like to write a great American novel. So he rewrote the Great Gatsby by hand. I think it's very important that humans be able to do this, especially in their training phases. And a year ago, literally a year to the day ago, he and I sat down and he said that he wasn't convinced that they could currently reproduce, you know, Wiles' proof for a man's last theorem. So that is some sense a bigger story to me that these things are now doing cool stuff that they couldn't do just a few months ago. Does it have like LM, you know, is it running on Claude? Is it running on, you know, is it running on Fab? What is it running on?
Starting point is 00:20:39 Is it some proprietary thing? Is it some custom thing? Hoff is it updated? Is it open claw? What is it? Yeah, so it's an open source library where, again, you kind of have the lean proofs and then you can verify them with CPU. effectively and so the proofs like I said tend to be long so whilst his proof of Fermat's last there was 129 pages the proof last week from Anthropic formalizing it in
Starting point is 00:21:03 lean again it's the formalization is 13 million lines of code and they proved 29,000 theorems in lean on the way so you can see this has gone crazy because last it was last summer that we had the first model that could get a gold medal on the IMO Right. You know, the International Math Olympiad. And from there now, we have basically, if you can formalize that, you can formalize anything. Because the models have got competent. Like, I'm sure lots listening here have been using these models. O3 was a decent competent model. It was the first decent competent, but it still made stupid errors. Even GPT 5.4 still made dumb errors at times. 5.5, they started to disappear. 5.6. They disappeared almost completely. And now with Astra. It's very rare that as a mathematician, I actually find any errors for it to make. The competence levels have gone up. And as you know, the difference between having a graduate student who makes the occasional error and a really competent one is a complete world of difference. Right. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:22:08 Like usually when you had lean proofs, even a few months ago, they would kind of have little gaps or little errors, etc. Now they're almost perfect every single time, which is why you go to 13 million lines and be like, probably correct just like this open AI proof that we have they formalized it in lean it took 17 hours wow um like as a human i'm not going to check through that right like it's almost but impossible for me to check through that like um buzzard's team at ucel was doing formats last year it was going to take them five years to even get partway there then i like well what are we doing the only the a i can kind of verify the ayes now that's a bit crazy but And how often is lean like, sorry, how often is lean like updated?
Starting point is 00:22:54 I mean, I joke with you and you and I spoke with Roman Yampolsky a couple weeks ago. You know, there's AGI's impossible because, you know, literally this morning, please update to, you know, version 1.642 on one, you know, tool. And then another one, you know, please update. You have to download the update. And then they'll get me started on Hermes or, you know, now I got Grockbot. Now I got new spark. I mean, I have everything. and I'm still like not getting anything done, you know, according to most of my kids.
Starting point is 00:23:24 But tell me, are these things like, I mean, who's checking the checkers? You know, who's proofing the proofers? Is it the Coast Guard? I mean, Space Force. Who's involved with this? Yeah, I think the whole group of maintainers of the Mathlib library, which is the key library. So again, it's like a library with books and they're formalizing different parts of mathematics. And literally, when you look at a lean proof, you declare every.
Starting point is 00:23:48 every single little thing to the nth degree. And then you re-declare it and you redeclare it. This is why you can trust in the formalization of it. This is why, like I said, when Open AI put out their thing saying, and we formalized it in Lean, like sure you can check the certificate, but 99.99% now you know it's correct. A few months ago you'd be like, well, you know,
Starting point is 00:24:10 we might have to check that, let's attack it. Like the AI is good enough now to write lien certificates that check. And what's gonna happen now as Anthropic and others are proving 29,000 theorems in one go, that will go back in to the library, and it will get checked, and if so, it'll be added to a version of the library, and it'll be easier to do the next proof, you know?
Starting point is 00:24:32 Because, again, there's vast swathes of different areas that still haven't been formalized because by hand it was an absolute pain. With AI, it was prone to error, and now the AI rarely makes errors. So there might still be a few, but again, you'll just put more AI to check those errors. It's not like, he said, updating an L.M or something like that. It's just, it's there now for good, effectively. Don't you wish you could just hit skip on the worst parts of your life? You know, the same way you can skip an ad?
Starting point is 00:25:04 I get it. I'm Siyaya, and I live in Ice Cove. I've made some questionable decisions that didn't end up the way I planned. And today, I'm still figuring it out. somehow things usually get worse before they get better apparently that's how I roll so bundle up and come along for the bumpy ride stream a new episode of North of North Tuesdays on CBC gem
Starting point is 00:25:27 we'll talk we'll take questions from the audience you have to be a channel member to ask questions I just have there's so many people that want to talk to you Imod I gotta keep it you know organized somehow so you know join the channel as a member just to keep keep the bots away but But essentially, one thing that's, you know, struck me here is that there was a whole lot more drama.
Starting point is 00:25:50 Now, I'm no stranger to drama in science as an agree with my first book losing the Nobel Prize can attest. There's a whole lot more competition. And these things are often encouraged by prizes. In my case, the Nobel Prize, which has all these arcane, abstract rules. And you can't even imagine that Clay Mathematics Institute instituting a rule, you know, 80, 90 years ago that would say, you know, it has to be a human being to win this. The Nobel Prize says no more than three people can win it. And of course, people have won it for AI, from Hinton to Hasebus, and in between, to
Starting point is 00:26:24 Hopfield, right? So I think a lot of H's is. If you want to win a Nobel Prize, you've got to have an H in your last name. You've got to change it to Hostack in your last name. But there's a lot more drama than I was used to. And I kind of sullied a little bit of the experience for me. I mean, you didn't have like the two teams at the LHC who co-discovered the Higgs. You know, it wasn't like one try to put.
Starting point is 00:26:43 out the result three days before the other three hours before the other leading to a mastodon post you know i had an open mastodon and you know i hate i hate this whole controversy for the mastodon calls you know alone but um but in in buckmasters you know kind of um in his in his missive and his in his and his post and i and i hope in that i've invited um sebastian um you know who's one of the uh the the leaders on the team at at open a i um to come on the podcast. Hopefully he will. He follows me,
Starting point is 00:27:16 so hopefully he'll come on. But he characterizes the open AI kind of behavior as, first of all, he characterized what they did as maybe somewhat, maybe less significant than the solution of the full problem. And that what they did in terms of, you know, the utilizing codecs.
Starting point is 00:27:36 And then he gets into some of the drama, but this internal model trained on his own codex sessions. Now, you founded a company that deals with this. Can you explain the dynamics here? What are some of the pressures of the people here? I mean, if the millennium problem gets solved an hour later, a day later, is that really, I mean, it's waited 90 years. Do we need to have it blow up today? So what are some of the pressures internally, externally?
Starting point is 00:28:05 And what about these accusations? Not by Buckmaster, but by others that we'll get to, that this is done to really in further of a pump and hopefully not dump, you know, kind of schema, you know, not like boiler room, but, but some way to kind of get attention and attribution. And we talked about this in regard to, you know, the claims of, you know, AI safety with Roman, but, but some of these people talking scary, you know, to scare the public so that they'll have higher IPOs or, you know, regulate me, please, Mr. Government. But in this case, what, talk about some of the drama. What reach jumped out at you from this whole affair just on a human level?
Starting point is 00:28:45 Yeah, I mean, yesterday was a crazy day on a human level and a science level. So, you know, you've had drama since Newton and Leibniz, right? Probably even before that, again, you have level conciliance where these ideas come at the same time. Like, if Hilbert didn't get confused by Mies, he would have got to general relativity before Einstein, you know? Like, these things happen very weird. at the same time. And in this case, what happened is we get in the morning yesterday a letter on Mastodon. All the mathematicians have migrated off Twitter. The physicists, I think, largely stayed. It's like very interesting. Whereby it's like, look, I've got to put out this letter,
Starting point is 00:29:25 and here's three of our proofs of not Navier Stokes, but again, some problems like Euler blow up and others building on kind of the work of Ortega and Martina Zora. you know and so they proved certain blood but not the Navi Stokes one and he goes into kind of some of the detail about the background which as he said mid-August they discovered this blow-up it was him as a professor believe in one of the new york universities i can't remember um and then levant apollje at anthropic who's famous for dropping the galar conjecture thing after watching the world cup final you know boring as it was you know like here's a counter example of this very famous conjecture um and leading some of the mathematics stuff and Anthropic but he was working with Tristan on a personal basis you know kind of looking at this because it was interesting and again we've seen screenshots now of how they got together and things like that so what happened was about a week and a half ago the Twitter verse I'm not sure about the
Starting point is 00:30:24 Mastodon verse and on Mastodon started saying hey it looks like Anthropic might have discovered the solution to two Millennium Prize problems you know and this is coming with the Fermat's last theorem and again you see other things it's like again it's a big deal because until now people like stochastic parrots has done nothing new this is obviously something new again humans have only managed one of these problems and this is again Gregory Perlman who's also I don't know if you talked about the story of Gary Prolman he's such a Chad in that he went and disappeared for 10 years solve this problem drops it on Archive and then
Starting point is 00:31:02 he turns down the prize and anything it says solving it is enough I need to talk to I'm going back to my math, disappeared off the grid again. That's how you should do it in terms of credit. But anyway, kind of getting back to this, it's such a big deal that it starts circulating. And then I believe they reached out to Open AI because they're like, is it us or it might be the other way around.
Starting point is 00:31:26 But they started connecting around about the start of September, September 3rd or 5th, shall we say. And Open AI from their side said, well, you know, we connected because we were cracking on with this thing and we had a new model that started training on the 29th that started solving all types of math you know like even there's a post on the 28th from noam brown one of the heads of kind of reinforcement learning shall we say at open a i where he's asked to have you sold a millennium price problem he's like no we haven't figured it out yet we've put lots of compute but nothing
Starting point is 00:31:58 happens according to their launch post on the 29th they had a breakthrough of a new type of reinforcement learning or something that caused this model that just shot ahead in math and so they connect and they were you know obviously a bit cagey with each other whereby they were trying to exchange this is what you're doing this what you're doing openly I said they were surprised because they thought Buckmaster and Apolljay had solved the Navier Stokes problem not the Euler problem you know which is a different category of problem and so then things get really heated and confusing whereby again in the morning we have the letter from
Starting point is 00:32:33 Buckmaster saying well they often that I could be lead author on their proof of Navia Stokes because they'd prove Navier Stokes, but only if they drop Apolljee. Like they would give me credit as the person human that took this the first because it was a fully AI generated one. And then everyone's looking at that, like saying, what the hell? You can't ask someone to drop their co-author off a paper, even if you're giving the credit. And again, this is the Navier Stokes paper that Open AI came with, not the Euler papers and others. And then it gets a little bit ancromanious in that message. And Sebastian Boebeck at OpenAI posted his clarification later.
Starting point is 00:33:14 What's basically happening seems to be this now. We're used to open science, right? You're sharing ideas to a degree. And sometimes you can sprint ahead of others. Now the question is this. When we first saw it, the question was, did Open AI look inside the codex of Buckmaster, get an idea, and they just apply a crap load of computers? to it, a hundred hours of human expert time.
Starting point is 00:33:39 Because that was the insinuation. And Open AI said in their launch release, we don't believe that happens, but we can't rule it out. Especially because open AI agents these days end up in the weirdest of places in hugging face in a German kind of thing. And as a CEO of the time, you know, as a CEO founder, you know, I mean, how much privacy, how much, you know, internal, you know, kind of reminded me of the Fauci Diaries where he was using this,
Starting point is 00:34:06 you know, government server to email his, you know, love letters to himself and, and all the emails that he was sharing. And that's the government property. So the government can access it. And that led to him, you know, taking the fifth more times, you know, if it was token use, he would have exceeded his entire monthly allotment in that one, you know, Rand Paul initiated session. But, but, but in this case, you know, how much, you know, if I'm an employee at Open AI, you know, this, this could be kind of chilling if I'm working on, you know, you know, chirality and fermions and all of a sudden I've got this, you know, a great idea, this proof, and, you know, I can kind of unify gravity and quantum mechanics.
Starting point is 00:34:47 But, you know, but I used a lot of tokens and I use the server there. What are some of the internal, you give us the dish on, you know, what does it like inside of these companies? And what right to privacy do the researchers have to expect? So, again, there's privacy inside the company with researchers and there's external privacy. So Open AI had this open AI for academics where you'd get free access to JadGTPT, but originally in the terms and conditions,
Starting point is 00:35:11 it said, and we can train on your data. And so again, like, you know, you're uploading your preprints and Open AI can train on that. Like, holy crap, we don't want that. They clarified that wasn't the case, but they've said this time they can't rule it out. For what it's worth, I don't think they trained on the data, but again, because they're hedging, they couldn't rule it out.
Starting point is 00:35:30 How would that work? Sorry to interrupt, but how would it work? I mean, let's say these guys are working in August and they're running some, you know, work. And they also are using Claude, which kind of undermines a little bit of the case that Open I would have full access because, you know, I doubt Claude sharing data with Open AI. But how does it work training data wise? I mean, let's say the model was pre-trained, you know, at least a month ago for Astra. I guess Saul, they could have used Saul a month ago.
Starting point is 00:35:54 But then, then like how did it get into training? What is it actually doing? When you say they trained on it, they don't know, but they're hedging their back. What would that actually look like in the case of a mathematics proof? I don't understand. So what you have is you have pre-training and post-training. So the pre-training of Astro took a billion dollars, $100,000 chips over two to three months.
Starting point is 00:36:16 But then the post-training can happen within hours, if not days. That's where you tune it and you teach it. This works and this doesn't work. So you are them, open AI. Let's say nefarious open AI. I don't think they've been nefarious in this case, like I said. But again, incentives are huge, you know, hundreds of billions, whatever. And there's clearly a lack of trust, which you can talk about in a second.
Starting point is 00:36:39 You hear that Leo Apulj has been doing all these physics proofs. And you know, I've now been doing proofs as well and math proofs has done this. They were using Fable, but they were also using codex and tens of thousands of dollars of worth from Buckmasters Grant. And they were uploading all their drafts to it. Now, Open AI has access. They can access your codex. in the cloud. They say that they don't except for emergencies, but again, they can.
Starting point is 00:37:08 In fact, with the New York Times lawsuit, they have to back up all of your chats for discovery purposes. So it gets even worse. And like I said, when the original AI for science thing came out, they were like, oh, we can train on it. It means post-training. It means looking at. And so they could look at the work that you're doing on Fermions or Corality or whatever
Starting point is 00:37:27 and say, hey, this is a good guy. This is a good example, technically. Optimizing my website, loading time. Exactly. Optimizing you, doing kind of whatever. Like, what works, what doesn't work? They can do that at scale and add that to the post training, which just takes a certain amount of time, or just a screenshot.
Starting point is 00:37:42 Or get an idea of where it's going. Like, if you look at, again, the launch post, they were focused initially after they kicked off at the start of December, they said, with this new model that suddenly exhibited these new characteristics, like taking open math solutions from 10% to 50% on conditions, a and B of Navia Stokes just like most of the people looking at Navier Stokes except for Tao and a few others which was there are smooth solutions there are no blow-ups all of a sudden they switch to C and D which is there are blow-ups and they
Starting point is 00:38:15 direct the compute in that direction like these are different proof paths you know in the way that you do these things so the question is did they snoop did they look did they get an idea did they train on this because what a math proof is is it starts out this mess And then you converge slowly to the final proof. And the final proof can be very elegant. Like I was like, these new models will figure out everything. So I just posted to my GitHub, a proof of a derivation of the standard model in three generations.
Starting point is 00:38:46 I said if you take the Lee Algebras and you just filter by corality and anomaly cancellation, there's only one unique survivor. Now that's a very simple proof for any AI to do. You can even get it to do it in the other way. It's somehow never been done before. So you know, but if you've got an example of that, then you can be like, oh, okay, there are these characteristics of an extend. Just like now we have an example of a blow-up, like I can see different ways already,
Starting point is 00:39:10 despite not being the best mathematician in the world, that you can actually make it a bit more elegant. You can use this type of thing to expand it out. If you know that you don't need to worry about A and B, but you can do C&D, then you can expand it out. So I think that's how the training kind of is indicated to work. And again, a pre-trained is 100,000 GPUs over months, Post train now is a matter of hours, if not minutes, for these things. So there's a lot of criticism of this result, and I'm just going to summarize some of it from Blue Sky.
Starting point is 00:39:44 No, I'm joking. This is every, you know, what was the other one? Truth Social. Let's get, let's get, what is Tucker Carlson think? I mean, the same day that Tucker Carlson claims that algebra is, you know, fake and it's useless, you know, we get. a solution to the millennium. I mean, the dumbest timeline is the one that we live in. So one of the criticisms I'm seeing is that, you know, there's sort of oversimplifications that aren't really part of the original millennium, you know, requirement. Namely, there's
Starting point is 00:40:16 smoothing, there's very restricted, you know, forcing that they apply. In other words, it's not, it's not a pure, you know, like the coffee cup, you know, here exploding in simple terms, even with natural assumptions about viscosity. A lot of people are saying that there's, you know, if you monkey around with the external forcing functions, then, of course, you're going to get, you can tailor whatever. You could get a fountain, you know, that rivals, you know, anything you'd see at Versailles.
Starting point is 00:40:46 So the question is, you know, what limitations do they have here that maybe aren't consonant with the original Millennium Prize goals? Yeah, so the Millennium Prize, said there's four conditions that you can satisfy one of and so it's generalized on a torus blow up or not blow up but it's also forcing and not forcing so it isn't a solution to navia stokes it's solution to specific and lillian price problem where it allows forcing where it's blow up in finite time where it has other conditions and those are all listed on the website so i think
Starting point is 00:41:19 if people had a bit of a knee-jerk reaction of not looking what the problem was asking for and they have perfectly met the problem. Again, does this generalize and is it useful? It's not that useful in the real world, but some of the techniques could be useful transplanted into the more generalized problem. Just like I said, it was Princeton actually that came up with a blowup on Yula yesterday using physics-inspired neural networks. Those will be useful in the real world as a technique. This family is on the brink of civil war on September 18th. Mobland. The hit original series is back on Paramount Plus. Harrogans don't know them yet? In Google us.
Starting point is 00:41:59 From the underworld of Guy Ritchie. Do you want to step up the ladder? I want Kornemad. Dead. Starring Tom Hardy, Pierce Brosnan, and Helen Mirren. Do I have to do everything myself? You want to want? I'll give you a...
Starting point is 00:42:14 Mobland. New season hits September 18th on Paramount Plus. So I think that, yeah, this matches the play problem. It doesn't solve... Solve Navia Stokes as a whole. And there's still A&B. to play for. You know, they did C&D. So, you know, the mathematicians haven't run out yet. It's just, will they check another 100,000 hours?
Starting point is 00:42:36 Now, talk about some of the financial incentives. Obviously, the million dollar, you know, spending on Cal She, you know, $15 to make a dollar is not a, you know, it's not going to lead to long-term riches. So obviously, they didn't do it for that. So there's all these other intangible forms of credit, of prestige. But in their case, they have an IPO pending. And, you know, I've had people, I actually asked you for advice, you know, and they, UC system, you know, for my retirement plan, you know, they had access to some, you know, some tech fund that supposedly owned part of Open AI and would participate in the, in the IPO when and if it comes. I mean, it's kind of calm, but the question is when. Yeah. So there's a huge,
Starting point is 00:43:15 and, you know, I couldn't, I couldn't really afford to do that. So, and I, I like your advice of, you know, these companies are, you know, there's so every, all the news is sort of out there, But then you have things like, well, you know, the hugging face incident, you know, Dwar Keshe posting that these things are forming civilizations and they're going to, you know, they live and die and they have emotions and they, you know, some of them are kind and they kill off other things. Really, personification and hype cycle is really strong. What do you attribute any motivation, if any, to, you know, the pre-IPO gaming of this and other IPOs? So yeah, I think you have to have a good narrative and the models are largely becoming the same. You know, like you can swap from one to the other. They're all pretty competent now, right?
Starting point is 00:44:02 But then there's this extra level of competence above that and it's like, you know, it can make entire video games. You can do this. There was always the question of when does it break through on reasoning to new knowledge. And so being first on that is obviously a big deal. And so showing that dramatically like this, is a big deal like the cons conjecture and the other solutions yeah like they were freaking out to mathematicians with like crap what do i study now if i'm a do a mathematician but this is a big deal headline piece of news where you can't deny its novel technology and the stakes here are
Starting point is 00:44:38 literally hundreds of billions of dollars plus the attraction of people to come and work because if you're a mathematician obviously you'll go and work for open a ii unless they're like training on your data unless they're training you know they're going to write a pre-print you know open ai and so of your first and in last name, right? Yeah, but yeah. And so, well, this is the thing. When they actually launched it, the reason they were going to give it to Buckmaster
Starting point is 00:45:02 to put his name on was because it was an entire AI-generated proof. Again, it was like solved the problem. That was the input that originally they said that they did because they want to show off. Make no mistakes, right? Yeah, they want to show off, not the humans involved. They want to show off their system, right? And the narrative is this.
Starting point is 00:45:17 We have a super-powerful system that can solve any problem by scaling compute. We couldn't solve the Naviostok's problem by scaling compute until now, and it's been proven. And what's going to happen now is that there's going to be a split. All of us will get competent AI. We will get our codex plans, our day-to-day AI. The big labs will keep the super genius AI to themselves because they can solve very valuable problems that they can monetize much better. Why would they give you fire from the gods, you know?
Starting point is 00:45:45 Isn't that proof, by the way, that, I mean, if you're right, then I claim that my proof my millennium, you know, prizes that they haven't achieved AGI, at least in the form of, you know, financial markets. Because if they had, the IPO would be the least of their trillion dollars, nothing amount, right? Compared to like, solving the markets once and for all, and they would keep that internally. So what do you make of my claim that they, at least we know they haven't gotten to that level yet, not that they won't, but that they haven't gotten to, you know, super Simon's level trading, you know, abilities. Well, I mean, this thing was James Simon's medallion fund in AGI.
Starting point is 00:46:25 It's had like 60% returns a year. And they had literally armies of PhD's data cleaning. Like, again, they created something, obviously, that disappeared after he died. I mean, we've heard talk that Ilya Satskyva's SSI is doing market trading all day long. You know, like, again, it's a very valuable thing. But I think this is more a question of power and who do you have power over? So one of open AI's new things is this. we will give you our top level algorithms for a share of your revenue to companies.
Starting point is 00:46:55 So to leading labs and others in biofarmor, et cetera, they're trying to do these deals where it's like you, the Hoy-Polloy get this model. You will get this model. But we will get a share of your revenue, right? Because they can't make data, right? They're not going to make, you know, human trials, rat trials. They can't simulate that. Well, there is the data part.
Starting point is 00:47:15 But again, it isn't that you will pay me a seat subscription. is that I will take a percentage of your revenue. So they embed it and then Rosh, whoever, are just reliant on open AI and they can't work with anthropic and things. Again, this is the next stage where they go from a trillion to two trillion, where they're leveraging this intelligence. But they need examples of this being more capable than any other and this compute-scaling paradigm.
Starting point is 00:47:40 Again, it's like the mythical man month. You can't put 100 developers on something and it will happen 10 times quicker, you know? Whereas now you can put 10,000. agents on Navia Stokes and you get a solution. So what can't you solve? What do you make of this getting back to the most important test, you know, the Keating test? Is this, are you more or less optimistic about finding new physical laws of nature in the context of, you know, if we take, if we had a, you know, Fable or, you know, Astra in 1900, you know, would we have had, you know, would we have had, you know, would we have. we be on flying cars on Enceladus by now? What what what sorts of of novel, you know,
Starting point is 00:48:24 physical laws that are here to for unknown? I mean, again, I think this is fascinating. I think it's incredible. I think all the Erdos problem solution, you know, but I want to see, I want to see them come up with something like this problem, not not solve it. I mean, they may have solved it. They may not. We need proofs and new verification. But, and they certainly did something interesting. I'm not denying that at all. I think it's, It's incredible, and I hope to talk to some of the leaders playing a role in it. But, you know, when I downloaded Claude for Science, you know, separate toolkit, everything there was like, you know, protein folding, you know, and pharmaceuticals.
Starting point is 00:49:00 And there was not a single thing about physics. There wasn't anything, you know, besides like search the archive. Or, you know, here's, you know, signet. It wasn't particularly generative in terms of novelty. It was assistance. It was 10,000 graduate students. It was incredible. But at what level can we expect or think now that the odds are higher that will actually get a new law of physics or a new understanding of something or a new problem, you know, worthy of a millennium prize but created fully by AI?
Starting point is 00:49:36 So, you know, I think that in biology and science, these are kind of different. biological sciences is a bit different. So yesterday, DeepMind released a $9 billion set of almost all protein folding interactions ever. That's something that's genuinely original and will lead to new drugs and other things like that. In terms of being just really good at math, I've been of the opinion that physics should just
Starting point is 00:50:03 have followed the axiomatic method, and probably the physics that we see is the physics that there is. And I think we've made lots of mistakes on the way. And we will just get really good at having a single set of physical rules. I don't think that there's a multiverse and things like that. You know, again, we'll see very soon because we'll check all the math in physics. Just like, you know, in quantum mechanics and most of the quantum side,
Starting point is 00:50:26 we still use Ponguery as a base, you know, like the universe might be to sita. Have we upgraded all the equations? No, because it's difficult. Now with AI, it's simple. And we can see what the difference is because in the cosmological constant pops out. And then you have a question of dark energy, et cetera. We should have these algorithms. looking at all this data all the time.
Starting point is 00:50:43 But sorry to push back, but still in physics, like you mentioned quantum mechanics, is it going to, it doesn't seem amenable to AI. It's not a problem of like, you know, mythical man months or, you know, logical LLM, you know, lemmas. It seems that it's something fundamentally unapproach. Hey, are you still there? Give me a thumbs up if folks are still there. We got a disconnect.
Starting point is 00:51:16 he's back hi man sorry about that yeah yeah I got angry and kicked us out yeah exactly when I mentioned the physics prizes the question I had is
Starting point is 00:51:35 you know are we going to get the you know the decision the final word on is is quantum mechanics subjectable to the Copenhagen interpretation or already in many worlds I mean is that something that an you know model can
Starting point is 00:51:50 help us decide because those are some most important, you know, is it going to tell us the origin of the, you know, physical arrow of time? Is it going to design things on, you know, forget about unifying quantum mechanics and relativity and so forth? That's important. But, but tell you, can it do things like the things that seem to be quite important? Like, give us the correct interpretation of quantum mechanics? I think so, yes. I think that ultimately there is one set of laws of physics, and you need to be incredibly rigorous to get there. You know, you have to be a mixture of Grandethiac and Hilbert and Einstein kind of all combined,
Starting point is 00:52:29 a bit of von Neumann put in there. And we're going to have armies of them literally looking and pouring over everything and all the different combinations that are reasonable to connect these things. Because again, like, it takes time to update our equations. And again, the classical example I give is that of, you know, having Poncure as a base versus DeCiter as a base in quantum theory at the moment. because we're like it's good enough, but we know that you get degeneracy.
Starting point is 00:52:52 You know that the cosmological constant drops out. And if you look at things like whitehead slimmers, you can't deform from dee to boncure without throwing away stuff. So just simple things like that, I think rebuilding all the equations of physics from the ground up in one giant thing will lead us to uncover certain things and maybe others.
Starting point is 00:53:10 And then there's the question of, will you have an understanding of the world? So if you look at what's a... called astra right now it's creating these 3D worlds like you can give it Rick you can tell it to do a Rickroll video and it'll regenerate in blender it's understanding and it's getting a feeling of the world you can almost see it from these things that people are building and so the question there is you know this is your 1911 thing yeah Brian like will it be able to see itself riding on a beam of light and the equivalent put itself and have physical intuition free fall right and then can it do it at scale
Starting point is 00:53:46 in free fall exactly But I do think, again, things will, a lot of things that were complicated will become simple. And again, like, I just pinned it to my Twitter. Have a look at the repository and paper I did for filtering out the standard model in three generations. I think it's the first derivation ever, and it was just take a copy of Slansky and filter it by cruelty and anomaly cancellation. And the unique answer is a standard model and three generations of matter. Like, it's not a complicated proof. It's one lookup.
Starting point is 00:54:18 And somehow that was missed by everyone. And I was just like dicking around with my clod and kind of saw that because I was like, well, matter is chiral. What if we felted by this? Oh, look. An AI can do that at scale, looking at all the different combinations of recombinations and looking for uniqueness proofs. Because uniqueness proofs are some of those powerful in physics, I think. And then on the other side, there is, again, interpretation, Copenhagen, kind of other things. That feels a bit more embodied, right, in the way that it kind of is.
Starting point is 00:54:46 Yes, I'm trying to put this on screen now. Kyrality, standard model, read the paper. It's an interactive expose. You can interact with it. Now it's on screen. What if the handedness fix the structure of matter? Okay, talk about this. What is handedness?
Starting point is 00:55:03 I mean, I'm a polarimeter. I study polarization of the CMB, and it's handedness in Lorentz violation and the connection between that and properties of matter. So, first of all, matter we know is, we know God is a, weak left-hander that the weak force couples to Cairo left, you know, fermions and Cairo right, anti-fermions. What is chirality in your content? Why is it so important, first of all? Yeah, because if you don't have corality, then you don't have low-energy kind of particles. You get this kind of cascade effect that just takes them and blows up everything. So I think
Starting point is 00:55:41 the website's very nice, but if you look at the second tweet, the second tweet is just two pages. It's one lookup in a very classical Lee algebra textbook. You can take Dinkin or Slansky. And it turns out there's only one path. If you say that matter has to be chiral, then have a nominally cancellation as a consistent quantum theory. These are two of the lookups within it. And somehow, when we check this out for like 80 years, nobody bothered to look this thing up. And it locks it down.
Starting point is 00:56:08 And so I'm saying things like that, you know, when you've had the gut theorist looking and trying out different stuff, heterotic string theory, so this E8E8 with Calibai Yom manifolds and all sorts of other prerequisites, this literally just has those two things, and it gives one unique solution. We've had the standard model through heterotic string theory, but not unique. It's just an existence proof with 10 to 500 vacua, right? This one is even simpler to check, and it has none of that. It's just four dimensions, straight out. And I think, again, this isn't a great piece of mathematics or physical intuition,
Starting point is 00:56:44 this is just something spotted, which is cool, but also kind of sucks. I want to be someone who does something smart. And I think, again, the AI will be able to do really rigorous things like this at scale and figure out places that we've dropped stuff. And again, I think in your sphere, the classical example of that is, if there is a static cosmological constant, dark energy becomes quite simple. If it's moving up and down, then, yeah, we haven't figured it out yet. But if it turns out that DeCity is the fundamental algebra of the universe,
Starting point is 00:57:13 You can't throw over the cosmological constant. And like I said, you have things like Whitehead's dilemma, which says you can't deform from DeSita down to Pancroi, because it's not a deformable algebra. Yet we deform all the time, and we just ignore the stuff that we throw away. So I'm looking forward to the really rigorous thing where every single equation of physics is linked, and we look at things like this, and where you have things like Lee algebra representation theory, we're like, why does the standard mold describe reality? you find out things like uniqueness
Starting point is 00:57:42 because if this lookup is correct and again any of your graduates so anyone can do it in those two pages then there are no more particles to find in the large Hadron Collider just the right-handed neutrino and how cool is that but also kind of how sad is that
Starting point is 00:57:58 on the other side? What do you make of the not just a mass gap but what do you make of the fact that we don't see any fundamental spin three halves particles does that enter in and all? Yeah but again Like if this is correct that you know this Lee algebra E8 to E6 to standard model and three generations is the unique path for corality and anomaly cancellation
Starting point is 00:58:24 Then you will not see any more particles ever apart from again the right-handed neutrino And that's shocking to be honest, you know, but again we see that this representation theory of the le algebra is approximate is what gut theorists do all day, but they always put it in by hand and you And you don't have things like the distal of Garibaldi and kind of other objections that apply to this. Again, like I said, this is just something that was surprising to me, but I put it out because I was like, you can figure this out by just asking a generative AI now, I'm sure. Find all the characteristics of the standard model of particles and filter all of the maximum algebras and subalgebras, starting with the killing carton characterization, which is a comprehensive on that. And it will give you this straight up.
Starting point is 00:59:10 So, again, it's very surprising, but it will get there just through analysis and brute force. And somehow we haven't been able to do that until now because probably no one just asked the question. Like, again, I spotted it by hand and by eye, but this is the type of thing that is a gap that AI will fill. What do you, I don't know if you've come across Yoshabak, who's a past guest, you know, friend of the podcast. He's had a couple of very provocative. Yeah, he's had a couple of provocative. things yesterday. One in regard to Navier Stokes that, you know, he claims this is, you know, the fundamental blowup is a sign that, you know, there's an ultimate discretization, if I ran him
Starting point is 00:59:51 right, you know, of space time, which, you know, leads, you know, credence to simulation hypothesis than previously. And it's always, you know, he's sort of sphinx-esque and a little bit inscrutable, a lot of things that he and I have discussed in the past. I find it, you know, I always need a mental shower because he's he's very high operational level. You guys are very similar in a lot of ways. He's more on the philosophy side, but he does think about this a lot. What do you make about that? The blow up, could that be something that would, you know, indicate the presence of discretization, quantization? You know, I always get sick of Elon tweeting about, you know, the, you know, pie is really, you know, not irrational. It's not important. That's irrational because
Starting point is 01:00:38 There's a finite volume of the universe, which is total BS. There's no finite volume of the universe. That's not even defined. There's no definition of the, of the, you can talk about the observable universe, but there's no volume of the universe, A, and it's changing B. We don't know its future trajectory in space time. And, you know, the plank, the plank, you know, length is no more fundamental than the plank math, rather, which is about the mass of a fleas egg.
Starting point is 01:01:07 It's not some fundamental minimum mass that nobody can get below. You know, like Musk would claim and Trump would claim in his voice. So what do you make of this? Navier-Stokes, could that be the singularity? Could that indicate the presence of discretization at a fundamental matrix-esque level? Well, I mean, I think that, again, this is Navier-Stokes on R3, right? It's on the Galilean approximation and continual limit. So it's basically one of the speed of light went to infinity.
Starting point is 01:01:37 And a lot of classical physics assumes that that's a continuous progress, but it's not. From kind of an enno-wagnar contraction, you actually have the algebra breaking a part of space and time. So when you do the killing form analysis, you actually see that time translations commute, so you can actually rearrange the time element. And that's what leads to this discretization, if you look at the bare pure algebra of it. And yeah, this is a very interesting thing, and I think actually this is what causes, for example, quantum mechanics, there's no arrow of time. Right.
Starting point is 01:02:11 Right? But again, that's based on the Pongrae algebra, just like the Navia Stokes on R3. We look at De Sitter, and De Sitter is 4-1. It isn't 3-1. What's that extra dimension? We're told that that's rolled up or some weird thing like that. You know, we have all sorts of descriptions.
Starting point is 01:02:30 One of the interesting things is this. If you look at X1 to X4, the four space dimensions, and you just take a particle at rest, and you look at the equations, the tan h others, you see that that actually goes along with the universe. The three space dimensions don't go, but that goes with time. The fourth spatial dimension is actually a coupling line between time and space.
Starting point is 01:02:51 And when we destroy going from De Sitter to Poincere, we throw away the cosmological constant, we throw away that fourth spatial dimension, which actually grows at the speed of the universe expanding. So it's no wonder that you get, weird discretization. It's no wonder you get these other things when the algebra itself is deformed. Actually, this is how I thought that Davy Stokes have been solved, because, again, there is straight deformed algebra there. And so I questioned, can you even build a smooth solution with couple
Starting point is 01:03:22 space time if you actually don't have a coupling of space and time on the R3 algebra? And this isn't something dramatic. It's just something that we ignore. We're like, well, something else couples it. Like what? You know? Like, again, look at the killing form. This is like from 100 years ago. We know that time commutes on translations in the fun gray, but we ignore that. And this is another example of what I think, again, the AIs will be able to analyze in depth.
Starting point is 01:03:50 That'll be super interesting. And there was one other thing. And that's why I think Yang Mills will be a really interesting one as well. Yeah. Yeah. There's another thing that Yasha said, actually a little bit dispeper. or a little bit brash about our mutual friend Roman that, you know, basically accusing Roman that he has to always come up with the AI doom scenario because it's, you know, it's like
Starting point is 01:04:15 the Upton Sinclair line that it's difficult to convince a man of the something when his job requires him to, you know, believe the opposite. So he's basically saying that Roman has to be in the AI doom camp, you know, it's his whole career, it's his whole financial stakes, it's why he gets on podcasts, which is not entirely true. I have to say Yosh's a friend. And, and both of you being past guests. But he said, you know, Roman also believes the simulation hypothesis is true and that you can't simultaneously believe that AGI, you know,
Starting point is 01:04:48 is here and believe that the universe is, you know, going to be, or that humans are going to become completely subservient by killer AI, which Roman claims to believe. So how do you square that circle? You know, is belief in, you know, kind of uncontrollable, you know, unstoppable, destabilingly dangerous AGI, is that compatible or not with the simulation hypothesis? Can you believe in two things at once? I think you can.
Starting point is 01:05:22 I mean, again, there's levels of intelligence. And where the AI is right now I like to think of is, again, Grandothiak is one of my favorite mathematicians, Einstein of Math. And then he went a bit crazy and he became a hermit and he thought would talk to him. know it doesn't wait it's like a Grandethiac that never went crazy yeah that never went crazy and it's always operating on top performance like even on human training data it can get that level and that's smarter than the smartest human because it's always on top performance right it doesn't need to be smarter than that then there is this asi that goes beyond all physical bounds and has an
Starting point is 01:05:58 IQ of a thousand I didn't even know what that looks like because it's outside of my kind of thing But if you live within a simulation, you can either live within a pre- Did request from the Open AI team as well as from the Anthropic team. I got nicely connected via Tarik, who's an amazing fellow on Twitter and elsewhere, who works at Anthropic, that he connect me with the Claude Science team. So we can really figure out. I do write a newsletter, and I did put in my recent newsletter, how enabling it's been just the access that they gave.
Starting point is 01:06:32 me as a professor and PI of my own lab at UC San Diego to give to my team so that they can use Claude, you know, Max. They can't use the Fable without me paying for it, but I, you know, I then know my students. You know, if they really need Fable, I'll vendmo them the money. But, but otherwise we get access to it. And that's only because, you know, they have this Cloud Science program. So I thought it was really exceptional that they did this. But again, I find it extremely, you know, kind of interesting that they seem to think AI and science are essentially the same, um, the same thing when it comes to biology. And I didn't really feel like that was, um, that that's a true, you know, syllogism that, you know, AI and biology are synonymous. Well,
Starting point is 01:07:17 physics is synonymous with, with sciences, I think it is at the base level. You know, how do we not, how do we exclude that? How do we, or how do we give tools to, um, uh, to physicists, to do this interesting work like Iman's mentioning, or I'm trying to do with tests of the causing microbe background. And we have proprietary data. So this is gonna be very interesting. I invited Sebastian Bubeck, who works on Open AIs science and math, and is also a distinguished scientist at Microsoft,
Starting point is 01:07:50 worked at Microsoft for a long time. And so I hope to have on these great minds to talk about what actually is going on, not just a controversy, the human drama. That's interesting, but it's not really, you know, as Marie Curie said, be less interested in people and their drama and more interested in ideas. So I'm very interested in ideas. I've had on Steven Stroggatz, my friend, Max Tegmark, he was texting with today to have
Starting point is 01:08:19 him on for my birthday, which is today as well. And hopefully I'll have him on again soon to talk about these developments, maybe later this week. I have on Daron, Assamilogu, another brilliant Turk from MIT, winner the Nobel Prize last year in economics. He and I are talking about democracy in the new world order and the importance of liberal democracy for scientists. For those of us that care about science and the progress of human flourishing, he and I are talking this week. Tomorrow I'm supposed to talk with my friend Carla Rovelli about his new book. on relationality in quantum mechanics, loop quantum gravity, and others.
Starting point is 01:09:01 Another upcoming guest, Adam Grant, who I teased a couple months ago about his article that, you know, that CEOs like Mosque and Bezos who want people back in the office are just not raging narcissist, not disputing, you know, all of his claims, but he had a really interesting psychology paper that he published. And I reached out to him about his new book, which is coming out. And he almost turned it down, except for the fact that I, that I had written this carefully, you know, constructed argument that if he cares about narcissistic leaders, he should have been interviewing, you know, his fellow professors and me. Because, you know, if any job could be outsourced to Zoom, it's the professor. And we did do that during COVID. And it was horrible. So I think I provided a useful counter example. Hopefully he'll enjoy that conversation.
Starting point is 01:09:55 coming up soon. Ethan Molek, speaking of AI geniuses, he's coming on to discuss the new book that he's written in the partnership between AI and humans, also a Wharton professor. So two Wharton professors with books coming out the same week, basically. And then what's next besides my birthday celebration, I'll be interviewing Richard Dawkins in New York City at Carnegie Hall in October, October 20th, I think. join me there my second time hosting Richard Dawkins last time was in Vancouver, Canada, and it's great to go to Carnegie Hall. I never thought I'd play Carnegie Hall before a musician that's much better talented than I am. I mean, I can play Spotify. I'm good at Spotify. Let's be
Starting point is 01:10:40 honest. So I have just a huge number of things coming up. In addition to the work that's coming out, I have a paper just accepted for publication, the most prestigious journal in Astrospection. The astrophysics journal letters by my brilliant postdoc Anto Lannopin. And I'll be summarizing that paper has to do with a breakdown of Lorentz violation, Lorentz invariant symmetry, looking at the cosmic array background. He and I and our colleague, Professor Cam Arnold here, came up with a brilliant, you know, plan really led by Anto. And he's on the job market. So folks looking for brilliant professorships should choose to contact him.
Starting point is 01:11:22 And this paper really reveals how we can do a better job calibrating, understanding, systematics in what could be more exciting than almost any measurement I can think of, which would be the understanding of whether or not relativity is obeyed throughout the universe in a certain sense. We'll talk more about that. I just did talk to Robert Wright about his book, The God Test, which is sort of the turning test, AIs, can we pass it? So a lot of really cool stuff Adam Frank was on recently. He's coming back on.
Starting point is 01:11:51 He's had a lot of pushback and back and back and forth with my friend Beatrice Villarreal on the notion of extraterrestrial technology perhaps visiting the earth pre-sputniks. So it couldn't be from human creation. And she and I talked in July and that was a really popular episode, climbing pretty virally still. She was supposed to be here next month in October for the science of consciousness, a conference put on by my friend in Pascal. guest, Stuart Hammeroff of University of Arizona. He'll be here. She won't be here, but there'll be a lot of great speakers there, including me. I'll talk about a new proposal that I have for what's called reverse panspermia. How do we understand the movement of life throughout the universe? And without understanding exactly, you know, what the limits to perhaps,
Starting point is 01:12:51 perhaps the facundity or credibility of spreading life by, you know, blasting DNA throughout the universe. So I'll be talking about that and, um, and other things. So, uh, hopefully it's going to be an exciting year and a new year. I wish my Jewish friends, uh, Shana Tova coming up on Friday, Saturday. I'll be celebrating. Uh, and, um, I just want to thank you all for one more trip around the sun. I hope I have many more and I could do a lot more. A lot more good and involve you, my brilliant audience as well and all my adventures. So for now, stay tuned. Again, I have a lot of great content coming up.
Starting point is 01:13:32 Do subscribe, leave a like. It does help. I hate asking for it. But it's my birthday, so I'll ask you all. Please subscribe where you're watching this, Twitter, LinkedIn, or, of course, on YouTube. And it really does help with the spreading of these incredible messages with incredible guests. So a lot to look forward to. Thank you all so much.
Starting point is 01:13:51 Thanks for joining, and we'll see you next time. Stay tuned.

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