Into the Impossible With Brian Keating - The Scientists Ep. 7: Galileo Founded The First Tech Unicorn

Episode Date: July 13, 2025

Please join my mailing list here 👉 https://briankeating.com/list to win a meteorite 💥 In this episode, we’re diving into the untold story of one of science’s greatest icons: Galileo Galilei. You might know him as the father of modern astronomy—the man with the telescope who challenged the universe. But forget the dusty textbook legend. This episode peels back the curtain to reveal Galileo as a cunning innovator, unapologetic monopolist, and the original scientific entrepreneur. Settle in for a journey through ambition, ingenuity, and the eternal tension between genius and fallibility. This is Galileo as you’ve never seen him before! - Key Takeaways: 00:00 Galileo: Science, Success, and Bias 05:23 Galileo's Race Against Time 07:49 Kepler's Unfulfilled Telescope Wish 11:06 Galileo: Scientist and Businessman 16:13 "Balancing Passion and Scientific Objectivity" 19:19 Technological Lock-In and Tunnel Vision 23:10 Incentives and Scientific Discoveries 24:13 "Galileo: Discovery and Intellectual Humility" - Resources: Mario Biagioli's Books: 📚 Galileo, Courtier: The Practice of Science in the Culture of Absolutism - https://books.google.com.ph/books/about/Galileo_Courtier.html?id=P-KJeS6ocsoC&redir_esc=y 📚 Galileo's Instruments of Credit - https://books.apple.com/us/book/galileos-instruments-of-credit/id6503622255 Brian Keating's Book: 📚 Losing the Nobel Prize - http://amzn.to/2sa5UpA - The Scientists is a documentary-style podcast series hosted by astrophysicist Brian Keating. Each episode explores the untold stories behind history’s greatest minds—from Nobel laureates to visionary misfits—revealing the personal struggles, intellectual triumphs, and paradigm-shifting ideas that changed the world. Each week, I dive into the life and legacy of a legendary scientist—experimentalists, theorists, and observers alike—and uncover insights you can apply to your own work and worldview. Science didn’t appear fully formed; it was built by real people solving real problems under pressure. Their ideas still shape our future. We’ll examine not just what they discovered, but who they were—from their obsessions and honors to their most spectacular ideas, brilliant blunders, and beautifully human flaws. New episodes weekly. Learn more at BrianKeating.com. 🎙️ Subscribe for compelling science storytelling. 📚 Listen to our companion series Into the Impossible for interviews with living legends. #science #sciencepodcast #historyofscience #nobelprizewinners #famousscientists #scientificdiscoveries #physics #chemistry #thescientistsbriankeating #intotheimpossible #sciencecommunication Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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and a year of Xbox GamePass Ultimate with a custom color Xbox wireless controller. Learn more at Windows.com slash student offer. While supplies last, ends June 30th, terms at AKA.m.S. College PC. I'm your host, Brian Keating. I hope you're ready to settle in with an old friend of mine, Galileo Galilei.

Picture this. It's 1609, and somewhere in a workshop in Padua, Italy, a 45-year-old mathematics professor is hunched over a primitive telescope, making adjustments that will change human history and his life forever. But here's what your textbooks never told you. Galileo wasn't just discovering new world. He was building the world's first scientific monopoly. Well, everyone thinks they know the story of Galileo on his telescope.

What really happened reads more like a Silicon Valley startup for a unicorn than a dusty academic tale. This is the story of how one brilliant physicist turned scientific instruments into intellectual property. He turned observations into exclusive content and discoveries into a personal brand worth dying for, and maybe worth killing for. but there's something else your textbooks won't tell you, something I learned the hard way during my own academic career, chasing cosmic discoveries. Galileo's story isn't just about business strategy. It's about the dangerous seduction of confirmation bias

and how even the greatest minds can be led astray by their own success. Forget the image of Galileo as a pure scientist seeking truth. Thinking of them more like Elon Musk meets Steve Job meets Netflix, all rolled into one Renaissance package. Here's why. Ghalia wasn't just teaching mathematics at Padua University for his modest 1600 lira annual salary. He was running what we now called a freemium educational services business. Students paid for his basic university lecture,

but the real money came from private tutoring and even boarding students in his house. That would triple his university income, but I still wouldn't do it, even if you paid me 10 times that. Can you imagine having students sleeping with you in your house as their professor? Now, I want to talk to you about a lesser-known character. Mercantoneo Masalini. This former arsenal worker wasn't just Galileo's employee. He was his manufacturing partner, sort of the Wausniak to Steve Jobs' steep jobs.

Together they produced and sold about a thousand lira worth of mathematical instruments annually. Compasses, protractor slide-roll prototypes. Galileo sold them all. And he didn't hesitate to throw in a couple of astrolabs and calculation devices. is at always a healthy Marco. Sound familiar? It's the exact model Apple uses today. Premium hardware with exclusive software. Al-Aa wouldn't give away the hardware. He would sell it.

And he sometimes wouldn't even sell it to you if he thought you were a competitor. He might let you look at the instruction manual, the PDF, but we always throw those away, right? As my friend historian Mario Biagioli notes, Galileo was not just the name of an individual. He was a brand. a brand with an attachment of his name to a whole worldwide web of observations and operations. In Galileo's world, Honor was money.

Then the plot taken. 1609, everything changed. Al Leo heard rumors of a Dutch invention, a simple tube with lenses that made distant objects appear closer. That's all he had to go on. He didn't even mention the man's name, Hans Lipper Shea. But here's where the story gets interesting and where Galileo reveals his true character.

He committed what we now call academic plagiarism, reverse engineering Hans's device, the Dutch design, without ever seeing the original. But here's the kicker. Galileo didn't just copy it. Within one remarkable week, he perfected it, increasing its magnification to 30 power from just a few,

and doing what had never been done before, making a tripod. We take it for granted. But for Galileo, This stabilizing feature was what the original lacked, and it was part of the new killer app that made the telescope take off and changed the universe as no device has before or since. The dutch device was a mere curiosity, but Galileo's telescope was a scientific instrument. Now, here's where Galileo, the chess master, comes into account.

His business instincts kicked in when he realized, with ruthless precision, that he could support his army of workers and students. and mistresses, and even children that were born out of wedlock scandalously for the time in which Galileo lived. Most scientists would have shared their innovation freely, but Galileo did the opposite. He created artificial scarcity. When Galileo pointed his improved telescope at the night sky and discovered Jupiter's moons, he faced a critical choice. He could have, A, published detailed instructions for telescope construction,

B, shared his instruments with other astronomers for peer review and confirmation, or C. Option number three, create a monopoly through secrecy. Galileo would rush his findings into print, fearful that the discoveries published in Sidarius Nunchius, the story messenger, would have sacrificed the discovery if not for speed. He had to be first to market, the market of ideas at first, and he knew the telescope, manufacturing would come later, if at all. He was terrified, as many of my colleagues and I are as well, terrified of being scooped, of being beaten by mere minutes, hours. As documents reveal, he told the Medici, he was already printing his discoveries when he was still observing

and writing those discoveries, like the moon, the planet Venus, its phases, the rings around Saturn, all things that he had seen for the first time in human history. Imagine having your own personal private large Hadron Collider and making all those discoveries and picking the low-hanging fruit before you even told other people about it, although the fruit was low. Galileo realized that others could pick it

if they had heard about or were able to duplicate the telescope themselves. Unlike other inventors, Galileo withheld the reference standard by never disclosing his specifications or manufacturing construction processes. Think about that. He was essentially running a closed-source operation in an open-source enlightenment world. Most brilliantly, he leveraged social media,

well, sort of, social proof, through strategic endorsements. When Johannes Kepler publicly confirmed Galileo's observations without even having a telescope powerful enough to see it himself, Galileo used that to achieve something extraordinary, social proof, credibility without replication. It's as if the CEO of Google, Android, or Samsung, saw the latest iPhone 17 and was raving about it

long before it was even for sale. The uncomfortable truth is that the story gets ethically murky, and that's where we see the first cracks in Galileo's scientific integrity. Kepler, arguably Galileo's intellectual equal, publicly supported Galileo's discoveries despite being unable to verify them. He put his own scientific credibility at risk for his friend, or what he hoped would be his friend.

In gratitude, you'd expect Galileo to share a telescope or two with his buddy Kepler, right? Wrong. The emotional gut punch is that Kepler, tragically, if you read the letter, enthusiastically, if you will, wrote to Galileo that he wished for a telescope so he could, quote,

anticipate you. in discovering the satellites of Mars and Saturn, which he expected would be there by his numerical pursuits that had led him to predict the structure of the solar system originally you'll know as a form of nested platonic solids. Complete nonsense, but it did lead him to correctly predict for the wrong reasons that Mars should have two satellites, which we do recognize it does, Demos and Phobos,

and Saturn should have many more than Jupiter would have, according to this weird mathematical, Pythagorean, numerology. Nevertheless, Galileo's response to his buddy, his competitor, was complete and utter silence. Mario Biagioli notes that Kepler's use of the word anticipate as it. He anticipated meaning to discover objects that Galileo could not. He wanted to scoop his master, his friend, his competitor. And that, according to Mario, drastically decreased Kepler's chances of receiving an instrument or even seeing it. Galileo was paranoid, and only the paranoid survive.

You think about it, he was willing, Galileo was willing to let one of Europe's greatest astronomers remain scientifically blind, rather than risk losing his competitive advantage, even after making discoveries, just the tip of which would have cemented his reputation in scientific history. But Galileo's masterstroke wasn't just technological. It was financial. He needed what we would now call series A funding, and he found it with the Medici family. Galileo didn't just discover Jupiter's moons.

He named them the Medecian stars after his patrons, or so he hoped. Cosimo de Medici, this wasn't scientific nomenclature. This was targeted as a marketing campaign. This is chess master 3,000 level. Distance was Galileo's friend, being in Padua while courting Medici patron engine Florence gave him time to build credibility, along with scientific reproducibility coming soon after, before anybody could thoroughly and definitively fact-check his claims too closely. Now, here's what's truly remarkable. Gallo created a feedback loop

that would make any modern growth hacker envious. Exclusive observations led to strategic publicity, which led to elite endorsements, which increased credibility, which gave him more exclusive access and more fame and notoriety. He never left Italy, let alone the continent of Europe, but his fame spread, even to Asia, within his lifetime. As Biagioly puts it, Galileo cornered the market of telescopic astronomy by getting into it very quickly, thus making it very difficult for others to break his monopoly. This is important. He picked those low-hanging fruits, long before anyone could even get suited up with their apple-picking suits. I don't even know what she used to pick apples.

Now, you might be thinking, this sounds like Galileo was more of a businessman and a cunning one at that than a scientist. But here's the paradox that destroys and makes that story, and makes this story of Galileo so compelling. His business strategy actually accelerated scientific progress. But it also set him up for his greatest failures. By creating artificial scarcity around his telescopes, Galileo ensured that his observations received maximum attention

and that he had resources to continue improving his instruments. But the same monopolistic mindset would lead him to one of history's most instructive scientific blunders. When Galileo turned his telescope to the Pleiades Star Cluster, which you might call Subaru or the Seven Sisters, he saw something that transfixed him, a mysterious blue glow surrounding the seven visible stars. Unable to explain it,

Galileo made a hypothesis that would haunt his scientific legacy. He claimed the glow came from innumerable, invisible stars, packed so densely that they appeared to be as one cloudy irradiens. That's what the word nebula means in Latin cloud. This wasn't just wrong. It was spectacularly wrong. The blue glow is actually dust and gas reflecting starlight, what we now call a reflection nebula.

No amount of magnification would ever resolve it into individual stars, because the glow isn't coming from stars at all. But here's the crucial part. Galileo didn't make this mistake because he lacked intelligence or observational skill. He made it because he was trapped, trapped within the amber of confirmation bias. Having successfully used his telescope to support Copernican theory by demoting Earth from the center of the universe, Galileo became obsessed with finding more and more evidence for our cosmic mediocrity, the Copernican principle, or what I call the ultimate Big Brother syndrome. You're not that special. You're not that important. Nothing about Earth is unique. And this tunnel vision led Galileo to see what he wanted to see. More stars everywhere,

supporting his revolutionary idea that the sun was just another star among countless others. Now, that's true. But not for the reasons he employed. He was right, again, for the wrong reason. As he would be later, when he claimed that the tides on the Earth's surface in the dialogue, the book that ultimately got him imprisoned for the remaining nine years of his life. And the topic of our next episode, Someday Down the Line on Galileo, once I've covered the infinite number of other scientists I want to cover on this sub-podcast. We'll cover the dialogue. Don't worry. I did make it into a 21-hour audiobook with Carlo Ruevelli and Lucio Piccherillo

and people like Jim Gates and Frank Wilczek and Fabiola Gianati. You can find that in a link below. the same competitive drama that made him guard his telescope secrets also made him rush to grand conclusions without sufficient evidence. This pattern repeated with Galileo's theory of the tides. In the dialogue, we'll see that Galileo was desperate to provide a mechanical proof of Earth's motion around the sun, so he proposed that ocean tides resulted from the orbital motion of the Earth around the sun, plus the rotational motion of the Earth about its axis.

This was another spectacular error, but again, he was a very, right, ultimately the Earth does go around the sun, but not for the reasons he proposed. Allo depended on patrons for his support. And just like him, I depend on patrons too. So if you're enjoying this deep dive into the business side of scientific discovery or any of the work that I do, please consider how you can help support me on this channel. The first thing you can do is subscribe or follow the channel, leave a like or a comment or a rating or a review if you're listening on Spotify or on Apple Podcast. I'm so grateful if you do.

If you want to go even further and get extra bonus credit from Professor Keating, you can become a member of the channel on YouTube. Membership start at 99 cents a month and go up to 1999 a month if you want to spend an hour a month with me on my cosmic office hours. Or you can support me on Patreon for any amount, typically. I think minimum is $5 after they take their pound of flesh like the Medici's did. No, the Medici's didn't do so bad to Galileo, as you'll see. And so you can support me there.

as well. And now for a word from my modern day Medici's. We'll be right back. Don't worry, with more on how Galileo's monopolistic mindset led to his greatest scientific blunders. And what that teaches us about the dangerous psychology of being too invested in being right. So stick with us. We'll be right back after this brief word from our spot. It's peak pollination season and my business is scaling fast. To keep the nectar flowing, I need a phone plan with top priority data speed. That's why I chose GoogleFi Wireless. My connections stay strong even when the high was buzzing.

Plus, unlimited plans started $35 a month. Now that's a deal that doesn't stay. Explore Google Fi Wireless plans today. Plus taxes and government fees. Google Fi Wireless is not subject to data traffic deprioritization during times of high network usage. So we're back. And again, Galileo's mistake wasn't born of ignorance,

but out of desire, out of passion, out of a deep, seated need to be right. He needed the tights to support the Copernican theory, so he made the evidence, the data, fit his conclusion rather than following where the evidence leads. And that's a lesson I teach all of my students, and I want you to think of, too, as you begin to think more and more scientifically. Now, I've spent decades studying the cosmic microwave background radiation and chasing discoveries that I had initially hoped would garner me a Nobel Prize. Now, Galileo was a member of a super prestigious society as well, the Academy of the Lynx's, the Lin-Sayan Society, which still exists.

When he was inducted into it, he gave one of my favorite quotes, that, as a scientist, our job is to measure what is measurable and make measurable what is not yet so. Now, I understand Galileo's trap, confirmation bias. Unfortunately, all too well. The same passion that drives scientific breakthrough discoveries can blind scientists. to contradictory evidence. The same competitive instinct that made Galileo so formidable can also corrupt his judgment

and our judgment too, when we become too invested in our hypothesis, too invested in being right, rather than thinking of the ways we might be wrong. Here's what Galileo understood that we often forget. Great discoveries need great discoverers,

and great discoverers need reasons to discover. His monopolistic behavior wasn't just about money. It was about survival, in a world where scientific priority determined career viability. This wasn't an error of real tenure. I often joke that it was barbaric. It used to be possible for students in Padua

to go on strike, and that would mean that the professor wouldn't get paid. And thank the Lord that now we've abolished that and induced one of the greatest inventions in human history, tenure. No, actually, I have a lot of problems with tenure.

I actually don't think it's a net good thing, and I'll be talking about that in the future. Of course, you can say I'm pulling the ladder up behind me, now that I'm tenured and I have a chaired position, but I felt this way for quite some time that in the marketplace, just like Galileo's ideas were enough to secure him employment and patronage, so too should our ideas cause a market force to arise

which would prevent a university from wanting to lose us financially and keep us on board. And perhaps getting rid of tenure would mean that we get more and more compensation. From Galileo's telescopic empire, we can extract five timeless principles. Speed supersedes perfection. Number one, Galileo rushed publication of Sidarius Nunzius to secure his claims a priority of being there first. In today's terms, ship the MVP, the minimum viable product or polarimeter, if you're me. iterate later.

But as his later errors show, speed without skepticism leads to some spectacular failure possibility. Two, control the standard by never sharing the telescopic specifications or how to build it and only sharing what he discovered with it, Galileo maintained quality control and a competitive advantage. Now, we can't do this in science, and we shouldn't do this. It's reprehensible. But back then, it was part of Galileo's purpose to secure a financial incentive to keep going. The modern equivalents come not in science, but in business.

And we see it in things like Apple's closed ecosystem. and lock-in. It's very hard to get my kids off of their iPads, all because I bought an iPhone 18 years ago. And that's locking them into technology because their father found it easy to live within Apple's walled garden than to explore other options when he got his first real smartphone. But isolation can also breed tunnel vision. And that's something you need to be quite, quite aware of. Again, it's so hard to break out of these lock-ins. And so we need to recognize them before they come about. And as I've talked about on the main podcast with many guests, I'm worried we're doing just that. We're locking ourselves into a prison of GPUs plus LLMs in an effort to merely

feed the beast of Nvidia and chat GPT as the first to market picking all the low-hanging fruit of chatbots. But are we going to be a victim of their early success missing out on the true inventions that could come if we just merely waited, paused, and reimagined how best to serve humans rather than to go to market and make the most money, as these companies obviously want to do. Okay, the next lesson, network effects beat individual geniuses. Tepler's endorsement was worth more than just additional observations. Galileo built strategic relationships before he needed them, as my friend Jordan Harbinger says, dig the well before you're thirsty.

But choose collaborators who will challenge your assumptions, not just amplify your voice. We see that again with Apple, Jobs, and Wozniak. And we have to pay heed to the fact that Galileo might have discovered even more and been even deeper connected to the mathematical reasons behind the discoveries that he made. He never discovered the law of universal gravitation. He was on the right track, but perhaps with Kepler's help, had he not excluded him for fear and perhaps paranoia of being scooped, he could have discovered that some 40 years before Isaac Newton would do so.

less geographic arbitrage creates opportunity. Distance from Florence helped Galileo control his empire and the narrative. Does that remind you of anything? Perhaps remote work, anybody? But distance also prevents real-time feedback and collaboration that could catch errors early. He could have avoided the blunders of assuming that the tides were produced by the Earth's rotation plus revolution. You know now it's produced by the moon. He could have also avoided that the Pleiades and the universe contains,

only stars and nothing else within it. He might have gotten that from his friend Kepler or some other collaborator slash competitor, but he was too proprietary. He was too concerned about maintaining the monopolistic advantage he had. The next and perhaps last lesson, branding is

everything. Galileo became synonymous with telescopic astronomy, with the scientific method itself. Personal branding predates social media by 400 years. But when your brand becomes tied to specific theories, you You can sometimes lose the flexibility to admit mistakes.

As late as 1632, Galileo was still obsessing over priority, remarking, I would rather be the first and only one to make those claims, any claims, about science, than have an understanding of them on its own. He wanted to be first. This wasn't just about scientific ambition. It was an existential necessity. In Galileo's world, being first wasn't just about ego. It was about survival, funding, and the ability to continue doing science out of life.

all. His monopolistic behavior wasn't a bug in the system. It was a feature, one that enabled revolutionary discoveries. But here's the uncomfortable truth that connects Galileo's error to our own. The same incentive structures that reward breakthrough discoveries also reward overconfidence, confirmation bias, and premature conclusions. The pressure to be first, to secure funding, to build reputation, those forces haven't disappeared. They've just moved from Renaissance patronage systems to modern grant committees and tenure reviews. So the next time someone tells you that science should be pure and free from commercial considerations, remember good old Galileo Galli.

Sometimes the most revolutionary discoveries come not, despite business strategy, but because of it. But also remember that the same drives that enable breakthroughs can lead us astray when confirmation buys takes hold. It is a hell of a drug. So my question for you today, In our current scientific ecosystem, are we creating the right incentives

for breakthrough discoveries in genomics, in artificial intelligence, in physics? Or are we so focused on rapid publication, citations, and priority claims that we've forgotten our patient skepticism? The only thing that can guard us from possibly failing in the future. Because here's what Galileo's complete story teaches us.

Great discoveries need great discovery. and great discoverers need reasons to discover, but they also need the intellectual humility to admit when they're wrong. Sometimes a little intellectual monopoly is exactly what the universe ordered. But monopolies, whether commercial or scientific or intellectual, they can become prisons that trap their constructors

as victims of our own success. The most powerful lesson from Galileo isn't about telescopes or business strategy. It's about the eternal tension between the confidence needed to make revolutionary claims and the skepticism needed to test them rigorously. In that tension lies both the promise and the peril of all scientific discovery. Galileo and the Dialago, which we made into the first and only audiobook made by Galileo. Well, not made by him.

He wasn't in on the recording and garage band, but he did provide the core of what is perhaps the best written, most interesting science book ever. produced the dialogue. I hope you'll check out all those books and keep coming back and joining me where we examine the human side, the foibles and the blunders and the errors and the excellence, the passion, the curiosity, the breakthroughs, and most of all, the wisdom of history's greatest scientists. Thank you. Yamava Resort and Casino at San Manuel is California's number one entertainment destination for today's superstars. Catch the Jonas Brothers return to the Yamava Theater stage on April 30th, the powerful vocals of Demi Lovato on May 17th, and the signature Southern Country Rock of Eric Church on July 19th.

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