Lemonade Stand - Gen Z Can't Get Laid | Ep 011 Lemonade Stand 🍋
Episode Date: May 15, 2025We launched a Patreon! - https://www.patreon.com/lemonadestand for bonus episodes, discord access, a book club, and many more ways to interact with the show! Episode 011 Recorded on: May 14th, 2025Cli...ps Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCurXaZAZPKtl8EgH1ymuZggFollow usTikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@thelemonadecastInstagram - https://www.instagram.com/thelemonadecast/Twitter - https://x.com/LemonadeCastThe C-suiteAiden - https://x.com/aidencalvinAtrioc - https://x.com/AtriocDougDoug - https://x.com/DougDougFoodEdited by Aedish - https://x.com/aedishedits Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Welcome back to Lemonade Stand, everybody.
Perry, could you pull this up on the big screen behind us?
Got a little something to kick this off.
It's coming to my attention.
So what are we talking about?
That some of you were upset with the way I handled myself hairline-wise on the previous episode.
And in fact, it seemed to dominate the conversation.
Now, we talk about this on Patreon, but I just want to rest of sure that the Toby
McGuire emo hair look will not be happening again to save this.
this pod because it will doom us.
Is that why?
It was like a little lower metric episode for us.
And I've,
it can only be linked to one thing.
It's on you.
Open to the video.
It was.
Vomited and clicked out.
A lot of people gave me that feedback.
I just want you to know that my barber literally had a death in the family.
And that's why I didn't get in my hair cut that day.
I showed up and there was a sign saying death in the family.
And so I was like,
I cannot stress enough.
I offered you my hat.
Dude,
I didn't want you.
Greasy yard hat.
Greasy.
So dirty, greasy yard hat.
So, yeah, I refuse it.
And I got a haircut and I feel fine.
If you are still uncomfortable,
I also brought a hat.
So I'm gonna,
you guys decide.
Let us know in the comments.
Let us know the comments.
Okay,
can you delete that thing?
Do you please close that tab?
Yeah.
Wait, cross it.
Like, exit out?
Oh, you want me to actually close it?
Yeah, let's get rid of that.
There's like 10 of,
Can you close this out?
It's a little distracting.
Okay.
Okay.
Can you stop messing around?
We're trying to start the show.
Not everything is about your goddamn hair.
And he just is incapable of closing it.
Okay, there we go.
What are we talking about today, guys?
Oh my God.
Well, honestly, we're going to be talking about why Gen Z is so fucking lame.
Yeah.
Let just atrociously lay by the metrics.
They're just not getting out there.
And I'm going to be the villain chair today.
I think they're
self-hating
self-hating
Gen Z and I'm
punching down
because I got hit
on my hairline
so we have problems
This isn't even
so much
at topic
you just keeps
DMing us
and being like
I haven't gotten
late in months
and we're like
dude
you need to let it out
on the podcast
I'm just in a
long-term
do you think
I should talk
to my girlfriend
about it
I don't know
she scares me
relationship
problems are
for your bros
and their podcast
and not for talking
about with your
partner
it you have to
monetize it
but that aside
and maybe a few
other small things, like a little
Lena Con announcement I saw? Do you have a tiny small
one kick us off? Yeah. Do you guys see
that HBO Max changed its name?
I'm sorry, wait, Max changed
its name back to HBO Max today.
Wow. It was HBO Max, then it was Max, then it was Max
a different logo, then it was Max with a different logo,
and as of today, it's back to HBO Max.
Steve, that's not even the full history. You're forgetting about
before that it was HBO Go.
And then before that, HBO was just
a subscription package that you paid for,
in addition your cable.
Yeah.
Right?
I can't,
I had HBO Go.
I used to use my dad's friends,
families,
direct TV login
to get into their HBO
go account to watch
Game of Thrones at I school.
That's bad.
And then I just kept that password
in account saved on my computer
until they got rid of HBO Go.
Because you could use that
up until like a few years ago.
I feel like most people
have at least one account
they don't pay for.
I feel like that is most people.
They are 100%.
They're cracking down apparently.
I hit on my friend.
I was like, hey, I need your Disney Plus password again.
He's like, they're cracking down on IPs now.
No, I heard.
I heard that.
We can't even steal and loot the streaming services content anymore.
The business side of it was Netflix finally crossed the fucking Rubicon.
They finally said, hey, we're cracking down on password sharing.
After being cool with it for so long.
Everyone's like, uh, this is it is the last straw.
I'm canceling Netflix.
You piss me off.
And then nobody canceled Netflix.
and then the distributions went laid up.
And so everybody learned that that's the way to do it.
It's not everybody's cracking.
Everyone's copying when Netflix.
Disney's doing it.
HBO's doing it.
Everyone's cracking down on password sharing.
We just talked, we were hanging out with a friend,
perhaps so I won't name him,
the Brimson, Clur, who said that they pirate everything
because they're sick of all the streaming services.
So they just went back to pirating,
and they used a homeplex server.
to stream everything now.
You can use Plex and your own video files
and then use that to stream to your phone,
your computer, like even when you're away.
And he just built this out.
It's apparently pretty easy to do.
I was reading about it myself.
And I was like, oh, this is, I mean,
it would allegedly be awesome to do that.
When I'm trying to do something like pretty simple
on my computer and then somebody messages me
and you're like, why don't you just install your own Linux box
with these different server tools
and use these client interfaces
to do like a hundred different things
and that way you can run the server yourself.
It's only to pay a company $4 a month to do the whatever,
Minecraft server.
I would agree with you.
At some point,
my money,
my time is worth.
I'm normally anti-tech.
I'm normally like I don't want to make the hard painful thing.
But the crimson blur is also lazy like that and I'm,
he figured it out.
So it can't be that.
Yeah.
Okay.
All right.
Like him doing that means it can't be that hard.
I think the part of what you're saying,
and I know you're embellished,
but I think people are getting pushed to the edge where it's like,
okay, to watch all the things I want to watch
or do all the things I want to do,
I need to pay, instead of like a couple
$7 subscriptions, I'm paying four different
$20, $25 subscriptions.
The thing you describe does not sound like
some easy alternative to paying.
No, it's definitely more steps, right?
There's always a layer of friction there
that I think the average person would never fight through.
But I think it's one of those things
where it's not as hard to set up as you think it is
and then once you do it, you've fought through all the friction
that you need, pretty much.
Based on my audience, people are pirates like crazily.
I remember when I was younger, there was a huge wave of piracy around music.
I would pirate everything I ever listened to.
Yeah.
And then it kind of dropped off as Spotify became consumer friendly and all that stuff became.
And I feel like right now the way that subscription services are, every, all these young people are are pirating everything.
They talk about pirating every single show.
I can't think of something they don't pirate.
I think music might be one of the main ones, right?
Because you don't have.
I think they don't pirate music.
Yeah, yeah.
That's what I mean.
Music is one of the things you don't have to pirate
because the streaming services basically have everything available, right?
But I feel like as soon as you tread into TV went in this direction,
I feel like sports is the most obvious one.
I'm finally encountering this as like I've become an active NBA fan
in the last few years.
Like gone from passively following the league to actually wanting to watch a lot of the games.
And it is a miserable experience to watch sports games.
You, I pirated for so long or like watched, you know, the streams online of games.
That also is inconvenient in its own way.
And then I've been trying to YouTube TV like free trial subscription to watch the NBA playoffs.
It works pretty well.
But then you have like blackout laws and stuff.
And I'm like, I can't even watch the teams that I want to watch the most.
And then this also, once I start paying it for it like full price is like 80 bucks a month just so you can watch sports.
you have all these addendums on like which actual games premiere on which channels and stuff.
It's just as soon as you like create so much inconvenience, people start looking for
Yeah, whoever can crack the code of, uh, you can watch an NBA game and re-stream it with
your own commentary with chat on the side.
If they can crack that where they can monetize it and they get the money from it, they're
going to, they're going to make billion, untold billions.
If you could have like an ex player pull up the feed, be able to stream it and then the money
from that is commercializing
goes back to the NBA.
It's going to make so much
fucking money.
If you could just make it easy.
Because everyone young now
watches the highlights
or the stream east
illegal stream.
But people can't figure out
how to monetize it.
That's like the big thing.
But they haven't even tried.
They only do it
in the old cramped, you know,
package way.
Because they're still cashing out
on the old cramped package way.
They make big money.
One thing I was thinking about,
you know, like the NBA
complains about,
it's been complaining about
its ratings a lot
and how this is going down.
I think to me,
the most obvious thing
is you have a ton of young fans
who aren't gonna pay
for basically a cable package
to follow the sport.
I wonder if you add up
I wonder if the ratings
or like the fan engagement
is actually going down
for watching full games
if you include all the free
pirated viewership.
Yeah, I wish there was a way to know.
I think that's a really fair point.
Because I do think there's an argument
of like oh maybe ratings are going down
no matter what because people just passively engaged
through like highlights and stats rather than watching actual games.
But I wonder if you include the data of the illegal streaming,
if there was a way to do that,
if the ratings are actually going down at all.
Like you have something concrete direction.
I haven't watched official,
like in a way they would count my view the NBA at all this season,
but I've watched almost every fucking game through streamies,
piracy, or YouTube.
So like I'm not getting counted and I assume some people like me.
So yeah, that's probably a fair point.
I wonder if the cultural relevance is still there or increasing,
but it's not being tracked.
That's why I feel like the NBA specifically
is more culturally relevant than ever.
Like there's more fans and like
it seems to be a growing sport,
especially globally.
Like basketball is becoming bigger and bigger.
So it's hard for me to believe
that the ratings of the league
are also going down at the same time.
Like genuinely.
Maybe they should call NBA Max.
That's the issue.
And then eventually remove NBA.
It's just Max.
It would just be Max.
Similar to HBO.
NBA isn't really the brand name.
Nobody cares about that.
But they love is the word.
Max. We actually, no, no, no. What if it was MBA Go, but you used your cable subscription to
login still? You know what's fucked up about it is somebody got paid a lot of money to be the
consultant that said, you know, we have to change this name or this logo or this. You know,
millions of dollars of a company that's in debt, Warren Bros. Discovery is going to some
fuckhead to be like, yeah, this is the idea. We need to be HBO. Hey, it's not some fuckhead. It's a
college student who started looking into this a few months ago.
But they went to an idly.
Yeah.
So.
Chosen respect on their name.
You have no respect for consultants.
It's disgusting.
It's disgusting.
Oh my God.
You wouldn't believe the things.
On and off the pod that he says about consulting.
I will take this.
Every episode, he starts by sacrificing consultant in the bathroom.
It's covered in blood.
And I say, I say no.
I stand for consultants.
And the good one they do.
And there's no between.
As our, as are our
Patreon subscription revenue grows,
we will hire a more expensive consultant to sacrifice
every episode. Right now it's just
Deloitte. Right. We're going to get
McKinsey. And then we get Bain Capital and they go up to
McKenzie. I mean, I can dream.
We've, we've set some lofty goals.
Un ironically, let's hire a consultant
and see what they tell us to do with the podcast.
That'd be so sick.
Funny. Dude, they'd say to like fire Brandon.
I don't know.
No, you're going to want to cut.
with a head going to cut some costs.
Let's do a consultant episode.
We do everything they say,
and it's all based on a consultant.
And it's probably like really fast topics.
We're constantly changing.
There's like ads everywhere.
This would be awesome, dude.
This is what you can add.
They're very black bar over my floor.
Yeah, one bar.
Or big arrows.
Click here.
Click.
Comment on it.
I had one close friend of mine worked at Deloitte for a long time.
He was putting up a record wow hours at that job.
Oh, just clocking it on a while.
Yeah, just playing an incredible amount of, wow.
Anyone who finds a way in the cracks of the white collar office system to do nothing and play video games all day and get paid, it's a bravo. I respect you.
I don't like that. You know why? Because I've been on the receiving end where I needed people to actually get their shit.
Here's an example of a company you might have heard of. The fuckers at Twitch didn't do any work ever. Okay. Back me up. Have you ever worked?
I'm backing on this is unfortunate.
You worked with Blurge.
You worked with Blurr, which is a real.
I didn't work with Blurts on.
You don't talk to me about how you're playing League of Legends all day at Twitch.
No, I played Smash Bros. Maylor's Maylor.
Oh, yeah.
Oh, yeah.
I've friends and people at Twitch.
And this is also the case at Blizzard.
So when I worked to ESL, we worked with Twitch and Blizzard.
I, all the shit, all the responsibility of making a show happen fell on me.
And then they would be like, oh, sorry, can't reply today.
We have a big raid going on.
It's Thursday at 2 p.m.
It's called culture.
The French, it's all culture.
It didn't work at all.
in their office.
They refuse to work.
They're like,
hey, sorry,
we've already
at 25 hours
of work this week.
Well, also,
the French were even worse.
They played video games all day.
Now I'm on your side.
Okay.
And I love French people.
However,
it is very frustrated
to work with French people
when there's dead points.
And let me be clear,
the French office was telling us
what we needed to do
and then could clock out
for the next four days.
And not help us.
And mask off say Europeans in general.
Wow.
And office culture are tough to work with.
Because they have a higher quality of life,
because they get so many
fucking holidays. I had a German colleague
who has like a bank holiday every
two days. Every two days
there's a quote bank holiday and they take
all of August off. Fuckers with those better quality
of life. Can we not?
It's just, you know, like honestly
I'm stuck under this fucking, you know,
boot heel of America.
So you better fucking work along with me.
If you're getting, if we're in the same company,
if I'm in Nvidia America
and you're in India Europe, fucking
send me the files.
Because otherwise I have to do it.
Same deadline.
So I'm just doing it.
And you're on fucking vacations.
I suffered a lot because if people are playing video games or European or both.
And I,
I feel like on that.
With all due respect,
but holy shit,
did that make my life worse?
Many times.
I feel like if you push past Americans,
you get to like Taiwan where they,
they talk,
TSM is apparently complaining about like the quality or devotion of the
American employees.
Oh, no, for sure.
Then they're the like super hardcore opposite end of way too much.
Everybody just has a different,
different state.
In the Chinese in video one, they were looking for waiting on me.
I was waiting on Europe for sure.
For sure.
It's this chain of like who's going to work more eyes.
It is funny.
It's trickled down economics from the French to the Americans to the Chinese.
Just waiting for the upper road to do work.
Waiting for a short file to be sent.
I do.
I mean, the European thing is funny because it's true.
Like you'll just, you'll hit people up that you work with.
And then you'll get the out of office for this like two week stretch.
But that'll happen like four times in a year.
Yeah.
I'm a little, okay, and I say this
as someone who has been famously
plays video games at his office.
Sure. It's fine.
I'm actually a little with Doug
only because in a broader sense
if you're the person who abuses that all the time
and you develop no skills in the time that you've worked there.
Sure.
Which is, I think so many white collar jobs,
you have plenty of time to fuck off.
The idea that you have to be at your desk
working seven to eight hours a day straight
is just, to me, like, lunacy.
Like, no one, no one,
even if a company culture keeps this idea of,
like, you sitting in your desk for eight to ten hours
and you can't leave,
very rarely is the person actually working that entire time.
Pretty much never, right?
You don't get eight hours of good mental work a day.
So I'm not a person who thinks that is essential,
but I do as the person who,
I've hired a lot of people,
not just at my job now,
but in, I've been a part of,
of the hiring process at companies before this too.
And hiring people that say they have a bunch of experience on paper that also are capable
of speaking well in the interview.
And then turns out they actually have no ability to do any of the work.
Because I'm like, yeah, fuck off and play TFT Nick Yingling for four hours every day.
I'm like that you were avoiding naming anyone's Pacific until now and it's fuck Nick
Jimingling.
I'm specifically naming Nick Yingling because he's an incredible worker.
He's genuinely, he's genuinely amazing at his job.
But he does, on the days where he doesn't have a lot to do,
he comes in and plays some video games,
and then he does like the,
maybe the two hours or the hour of work that he has to do.
And then maybe another a day,
he'll work like eight hours or nine hours, right?
It depends on what he needs to get done.
I think the problem is some people will find this job
at a giant corporation.
They'll work, and I'm not,
I'm not faulting you for scamming Deloitte.
I don't care about that part.
I care about when you come to me
and ask for a job,
And then you, and then you, and then I hire you and then I, you know, selfishly am on the receiving end of your lack of, lack of skills.
That would be my selfish defense of what Doug is saying.
Because I'm a part of the bosses now.
Because I'm a boss who says, yes, fuck, I don't care if you play video games at work just as long as your work gets done.
That's, that's pretty sick.
I think that's fair.
I will say it is worth noting, is the asteris for the audience, that I go to their office quite a bit.
Every single time I've come in past 2 p.m.
You're playing Mario Carly.
Every time.
And you're yelling at whoever you're playing against.
You're mad at them.
Oh, yeah.
I mean, they deserve it.
That's part of it.
So consider that for once.
But yeah, I'm a true, I live and die by my own values.
So. I think that makes sense.
And so you're saying, let's put this together.
You like to play video games at work.
You don't focus as much as previous generations.
And you're Gen Z, right?
It's almost as though there's some sort of generational pattern here.
of people who are working, engaging differently.
But that fuck like crazy.
But they fuck hard, dude.
Let's talk about Gen Z because this actually relates to it quite well.
Yeah, I do want to, okay, so a couple weeks ago,
I just stumbled upon an article about Gen Z specifically
having lower rates of participation in romantic relationships.
And that was kind of the catalyst for getting into this topic.
But I think we, even on the episode,
I think it was the first episode we did.
where we talked about Gen Z being more lonely
than other generations.
And I think I have looked into things,
you know,
why is Generation Z seeing all these trends
of different things in their life
going a very different direction
than it was for millennials and Gen X,
all these people before them?
Specifically, this is,
while researching, you know,
what is affecting Gen Z primarily,
I was surprised across all of these countries,
the U.S., Canada,
UK, France, Germany, South Korea, Japan, New Zealand, Australia,
all of them have lower rates of alcohol consumption.
They're drinking less than previous generations.
They are having less sex than previous generations.
They don't fuck.
They have lower rates of participation in dating in general
or like fewer romantic relationships.
They're sigma.
And then this frequency, so even if you are getting,
getting older, like, for example, maybe there's a delay in, like, Gen Z people are on average
having sex for the first time later in their life. But even once they've had sex later in their
life, they have it less frequently than millennials did or the previous generation did at the same
ages. Yeah, it's worth mentioning for this because I read the article that you sent, that all of this
stuff is about previous generations at the same age. Like, you know, they measured for that.
They account it for the fight.
How much sex boomers are having right now.
Yeah, exactly.
It's funny because it's also that.
It's actually also that.
But when I was reading through the stats,
because I was careful with the wording.
Because I was like,
less sex and boomers right now,
but like seven-year-olds.
Yeah.
Oh, yeah.
What?
Yes.
Oh, I thought it was.
So it's also, it's also that.
That was the thing.
It's like, depending on the studies,
you're reading,
they are delivering a different version of the information.
So I saw that and I was like,
well, you know,
maybe it makes sense.
You're in your like 40s,
you're 50s.
you either are in your like marriage
with a consistent partner,
you're more confident in yourself.
Like there's a bunch of reasons I could see
why maybe you're having sex more
than somebody who's like 18.
But it's a lot,
when you just hold these things
across the same age groups,
like when you look at the stats
of these previous generations,
when they were 18 or when they were 25,
these things hold true.
The other thing that is also declining
in all these places is cigarette smoking.
However, this is the one
I want to put an,
asterisk on is
this is heavily offset
by the growth of vaping
in most of these countries.
Yeah, so nicotine use is actually not
declining very much at all, but
cigarette smoking is falling universal cost
a lot. Is that a plus?
I think that's a, like, I think that's better.
That's a small dub, right?
I don't know.
It's not a big, but it's slightly better.
Aren't zins less harmful than cigarettes?
You're getting way more nicotine, though.
Is that?
But isn't it like hurt your lungs less?
I don't.
Yeah, it hurts your lungs specifically.
I'm not going to go out here and explore the consequences.
Also, you're not a doctor?
The other thing I wanted to mention too is that...
Cigarettes are bad.
When is AI going to solve cigarettes smoke?
The marks of adulthood that we might say,
like getting a part-time job
or learning how to drive.
It depends a little on the country here,
but overall in all the countries I had mentioned,
these are also happening at later times in life.
So the main thing we wanted to zone in on here
is specifically the
lower rates of sex and participation in relationships.
And one thing that was pretty shocking to me
is probably the first thought I had
was how much of a falloff is it really?
When did this trend actually start?
You know, were millennials dealing with this
in comparison to Gen X or Gen X in comparison to Billers?
Right, it's a longer trend, yeah.
So if we looked at participation in relationships
in the U.S., it looks like in their teen years,
about 78% of baby boomers had a relationship
at some point during their teen years.
And then Generation X, 76%.
So basically the same thing, right?
But then millennials, it drops to 66%.
And then Gen Z, it drops to 54%, which is crazy.
and I, I, that fall off is so aggressive, but one thing I think is interesting about this,
because we're going to delve into, I think, why we think these things are happening,
just general opinions and perspectives of also people in the Discord that we talk to about this.
Yeah.
Is I think the first immediate answer that a lot of people want to go to is phones and technology
and the isolation that comes from that.
But millennial saying 66% makes me think about this.
bit differently. It feels like a trend, especially because it's across so many different countries
as well that makes me think this trend, like if you, if you just removed phones from this picture
altogether, my feeling is that this percentage would still be lower. Maybe not as much. Maybe there's a lot
of factors at play here, but I do feel like because there was already a slight downward trend
starting, that phones and the internet aren't the only thing at play affecting this.
And I wanted to open up this to you guys is why do you think this is happening?
I think it's crazy that across all of these countries, these are places across Europe,
North America, Asia, the trends are all the same.
So why?
Yeah, I mean, one thing I want to say is, so Gen Z is a pretty broad range of experience.
It's like the youngest Gen Z is 13 right now and the oldest is 28.
So the older Gen Zs are basically millennials.
Like you're based they have very similar cultural markers growing up and then the youngest gen Zs are basically gen alpha they say skibbitty raise and they play fucking Roblox.
So it's like it's a huge huge gap like a 28 year old and a 13 year'll have almost nothing in common.
They remind me.
I hang out with a lot of them.
When I was you know like early 20s or whatever and all these same conversations happened about millennials and I would look it up some New York Times writer be like millennials love experiences.
They're very experienced dripping.
And I was like there's like a hundred million of us.
What fucking talking about?
This is a chite.
Me to my best friend were different people.
I don't lump me together with 90 million people.
It's an obvious experience is extremely overgeneralized.
So that's what I say.
I think, I mean,
there's a lot going on here.
I think phones is one part of it.
It's affecting everyone of all ages.
Maybe Gen Z.
We should clear,
like all like 80 million Gen Z are sigmas, to be clear.
That is true.
That is generally true.
Yeah, yeah.
But for everything else,
there's nuance, right?
Dude, the jaw lines of this generation could cut down.
But one thing I noticed when reading a lot of those comments, too,
from our viewers talked about this,
is like, man, one through line over and over is COVID.
Where I feel like that hit Gen Z, like a,
certain age of Gen Z especially,
like a baseball bat to the head, dude.
I think that that racked up some damage socially
and cultural markers get just delayed, like dating
and getting a license and all these things got majorly delayed.
And I think those were happening anyway,
and I'm sure the trends are longer term.
But man, did COVID, like, accelerate it and throw things for a loop?
Maybe speaks to the aggression of the falloff rather than not being the sole factor.
Let me throw out some quotes from our Discord.
So these are folks who I pinged about, you know, pinged like 3,000 people last night in the Discord.
Sorry about that, but got a lot of good feedback.
So from Erwin, since COVID, talking about socializing and how they felt like socializing.
and how they felt like socializing was pretty normal up until COVID.
Since COVID, this has completely degraded.
I lost contact with most of my university friends because of it.
For what I heard of younger people still in university,
during and since COVID,
it has not gotten back to normal in terms of social aspects I experience.
From Fummi, the biggest part of the problem, in my opinion,
is mental health.
COVID had a huge impact on it and messed everything else up as a domino effect.
And then other people basically saying COVID like pushed everything back.
So what might be happening is it's just taking four years longer for Gen Z to have
the same experiences. So one quote I thought
was interesting from B2 Brawler was
30 is the new 20. Everyone's
going to be piping in like five years
when all the Gen Z and baby millennials
start getting to 30 since the runway to
adulthood has expanded. Hey, I...
You're almost there. Yeah. You're almost about to...
I said for me, I look at my 30s. I'm wondering what it'll be like.
As my dad described the 20s. And then there's
other sentiments of like it being pushed back.
So I think that's really interesting. And even, you know,
again, it's like Gen Z is not like
some wildly different experience, right? Like, we're all
really all the same camp here, unless you're that old.
Younger than you.
But, you know, it does seem interesting of like all of us, I think I've experienced the fact
that our parents were like, oh, yeah, we were like married and having kids by age like 24.
And none of us do.
I mean, not none.
But like, you know, for our generation, that's, it's been pushed back so far.
So I do wonder to what degree like millennials and Gen Z specifically, we're just having our adult
phases pushed back.
and then COVID accentuated that.
My grandma called me for my birthday recently, very sweet.
And I asked her, I was like, hey, grandma, what were you doing when you turned 34?
She's like, yeah, I was on my third kid.
I was like, wild, man.
And she was like talking about, you know, her like, 10th job.
I was like, yeah, I played Hitman on stream.
You know, it's wild.
I mean, I do feel like these cultural markers get getting pushed back.
Some part of it has got to be economic, too, right?
not just phone.
It's got to be like people are having a tougher time.
You know, if you have no clear path to buy a house or whatever,
then everything seems stretched out.
Like that used to be something you could do on your first job.
At 20, 21, you could put a down payment on a house, right?
Yeah, but okay, I do think that's part of it,
but that feels like something interlocked with relationships
or maybe the delay in starting stuff like driving or working.
but like why would sex be affected by that?
It doesn't feel like a good explanation for that.
Counterpoint, some of these comments reference the idea that people are feeling,
they're not hitting it yet because they're young,
maybe someone else in school,
but they're feeling this upcoming cliff of economic pressure
that they have to be fucking ready.
And so they're grinding more or they're like more likely to,
or they're checking out more.
One of the two, but like they're thinking about that in a way
where a care, a more carefree, let's fuck kind of guy.
You know what I'm saying?
Might be a different spot.
I want to propose a counter.
And I want to start by asking, how did you guys meet your significant others?
I met through mutual friends.
Okay.
Yeah.
College.
So in person.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Do you agree, and I feel this way, that most people's long lasting best relationships
are usually met in person.
It's usually through friend networks, people.
And not necessarily like you see them at a bar, right?
but it's like through
through connections you have
rather than dating apps or online.
And I'm not saying definitively
that's the case.
Like my current relationship started online, right?
So it's not, it's obviously, but,
but I think broadly that is the trend
I've seen that's more likely to be successful.
Getting,
I think no.
I want to say yes so badly.
I feel like that's my inner bias.
That is my personal experience.
But when I think about all the people
in my life that have asked about how they've met their partners,
especially how they meet new people,
if they've, like, started dating within the last few years.
The amount of people that say, Hinge Man, it is so many people.
And I feel like online is maybe the, it's definitely the majority.
It's by far the majority.
I was trying to pull up a graph.
I mean, statistically, definitely is the majority.
Maybe the question you're asking is, like,
does that equal as something long term or sustainable?
So two of the big themes I saw.
One is people, and everybody pretty much agrees with this, dating apps suck, right?
So, you know, a couple people, Dernka mentioned that Gen Z just doesn't seem to want to meet as many people organically in person.
Tommy 134-4 said about dating apps.
I get a good amount of matches, but I never follow up with any of them because it all feels like lust with no real interest behind it.
Clarnis Storm said, I have two close friends who are both looking for a relationship on dating apps.
What can only be described as abysmal results, it's affecting their mental health drastically.
they laugh it off, but they're hurting badly.
Even people who know what's going on.
So it feels, and that's like a recurring thing over and over.
Everybody talks pretty negatively about dating apps.
So I think that everybody's being funneled towards that, right?
And I've experienced that myself.
I mean, you guys have been out of the dating pool for a while.
But that's certainly my experience.
Like, that's the way to go, even more so if you're somebody who has hobbies and interests
that are primarily online or you're not in a dance class or whatever, right?
I don't go to bars casually.
What I heard about dating apps, though, is the idea.
that, you know, human beings are not well adjusted to an abundance of choice, which is it makes
us very, very difficult to commit. If you think, like, if you're in a relationship that you met
through online and it's not, something goes wrong or something's not perfect, you're much more
likely to jettison that because you have a million other out. You can always swipe again.
It's, it is poison for your brain, man. I, I was on dating apps pretty consistently from age 19 to
20,
uh,
24, I want to say.
Because I'm 28, yeah, I'm 28 right now.
Never got laid once. That's crazy.
Five years.
All right.
It's because I look for, you know, look for just
only there for lost conversations.
It's because you open with Mario Car,
we, what's your favorite map?
Yeah. Do you like Funky Kong as much as I do?
I,
but I spent so much time on dating apps,
you know, figuring out kind of the,
the game of it.
It was how I met most of the people I dated through that time period of my life.
And I've realized towards the last couple years, especially, where I took like longer breaks away from it,
I wanted to focus more on meeting people in person.
The way it had made me see other people, see myself, I noticed all these terrible things about the way I interacted with people.
I didn't, I don't think I was able to show what I think is value.
about myself in a social context.
So because you're,
especially as a guy,
I think you're dealing with rejection more than,
than acknowledgement, right?
So you're,
that kind of eats away at your self-esteem over time,
especially as like maybe,
you get ghosted.
But also in return,
it creates this culture of you ghosting or not
falling up on people as well,
because it's so easy to quote,
like upgrade and go continue to swipe.
Financially,
I think these apps kind of prey upon
those insecurities to and like turn little bits into ways to monetize like read receipts
looking at who's liked you first all these little layers of monetization on the main on the main
apps.
Ryan was telling me that.
He was saying, you know, you can pay for seeing who read your messages.
You can pay for a super like that makes it go at the top of someone's feed.
You can pay 500 bucks a month for like the ultimate package on Tinder, which we're just like,
you know, that's just telling the lonely person, you know, what they're.
they want to hear to extract the maximum possible wealth from them.
All the while, I think you're developing a very vapid view of the people you're looking
at on the app.
Like you, it didn't, I didn't like the way I was starting to view or value the people I was
speaking to or scrolling through.
And then as soon as you meet in person, the whole dynamic changes.
I think what often sucks completely different about the experience is, is talking to people
before on the app was so drastically different from what they were like in person.
and I think I personally
this is this is just my personal experience
I never and I'm bracing for the joke
about how I've never had sex before
but I've never used the apps
to actually hook up with people
Virgins!
Virgin! Was it virgin! What a virgin!
I always used them to date
and meet people and then I, people I ended up dating
I did end up having sex with
actually
but if I...
Whoa, big guy over here was talking about his sex all the time
But if I've ever...
If I've ever...
If I've ever...
We're not...
It's not a bro-coded show.
Andrew Tate.
Okay, we want to have a serious conversation
about dating without you bragging about your sexual ex-companes.
You don't have to list every single person.
You'd be saying, yeah, so all these things...
Steve, crap.
It's crazy.
Jonathan.
I was going crazy.
He's the big three.
So, but I've always...
This is just my way of looking at it.
I've hooked up with people,
hooking up with people, like in a more casual setting,
has always happened for me in person
because that dynamic is like way more comfortable
and back and forth
and you have a way better read on the other person
than over the app where like things are so ambiguous
and you're guessing and you feel more insecure.
You're trying to imagine what they think
and you, depending on your insecurities,
I think you take it in more negative directions
than like things actually mean
and stuff comes across in like the wrong way
that so much about in person communication
just conveys automatically.
If that makes sense.
No, it makes a ton of sense.
So then, you know, based on what you're saying
and based on this graph here,
I don't have a pair of you pulled up,
you know, this is how couples meet.
This is heterosexual couples data,
but I think it applies the same to homosexuals as well.
Look at the spike in the 2010s.
Phones or online in general has to have some,
like the way your experiences line up with this data en masse
means a lot of people are more uncertain
who they're talking to,
how they feel they're more,
um,
was the,
like uncomfortable,
like more,
more risk averse,
more,
you know,
I think this is a real,
um,
crazy period.
Even work,
work was the second highest way
that people met.
Yeah.
Historically,
you know,
for decades.
And,
you know,
only below through friends.
And if you think about that
in the shift that we have
towards like gig culture,
towards remote work,
towards all these things
that make work less likely
to be advanced.
driving factor of like how you're meeting people in your same kind of space. It's like this,
it makes sense, right? Everybody would be driven towards dating apps. Dude, just wild seeing every other
method plummet to essentially zero as online takes what, you know, a total market share.
I think there's a bad combination of things here that is like the cultural, there's a cultural shift
that pushes a lot of activity in life towards the internet and phones in general, not just dating, right?
And then COVID also juiced that. And then COVID also.
making that even worse. But dating is one of those things that gets basically siphoned in that direction.
But the experience of dating online is pretty shitty. So those things interlock with each other.
It's like you, you feel like this is the place you have to go and do it. It feels more difficult
maybe to reach outside of those boundaries to go and date just out in public. I think a question
that hits people now is like, what do I even do? Like I don't go, we have this idea through media.
I think, at least in American culture of like,
I will go to a bar and meet somebody.
It's like, well, people don't really want to do that.
And now it feels like, okay, it has to be done on the phone,
but the phone makes so many things about dating so shitty.
And now because the experience is only there
and that experience is so bad,
then you wind up just not doing it at all.
I think something that also sucks about this
is something I've thought about is people who are,
I think particularly men
who do the seeking
culturally, like you, it is very rare
that you would have a woman approach you as a guy
even if they're interested.
Sure.
And so from the male perspective,
you have to do the initiating a lot of the time.
The like hitting somebody, hitting on somebody,
flirting, et cetera, you have to lead that interaction
at least in a public setting.
But I think what's also kind of happened
is you as the guy are,
if you're a conscious guy,
of like being like polite or like non-intrusive,
I think you are more likely to be insecure
about what you say to that person
and then that makes you more tentative of doing it.
And then that means the remaining people,
the remaining guys who are willing to say anything at all,
are the guys who don't have any self-awareness
and say the worst things,
which makes the in-person dating experience
even shittier for women.
Right.
It's mixed in with us.
Because then women are like, oh, well, I shouldn't respond to somebody's coming out to me.
They're usually douchebags, which means less guys who aren't douchebags will do that,
which means it's more higher percentage is douchebags doing that.
You know, it's like it just feeds on itself.
Because there's a, I think there's a straight female perspective of dating apps as well, right?
Where their experience is very different than the men, where they get a ton of matches.
Right.
They, uh, and those matches are, I would say, very low quality on average.
The things that they're willing to say to you, overtly sexual, aggressive, uh, overtly sexual, aggressive,
maybe needlessly mean.
Like it's very hard on their end
to like seep,
like scroll through all the garbage they get
and find something that's actually worthwhile
especially because it's still
through this like internet interface.
And then you have two people on both ends
who are getting increasingly
just checked out of the whole system.
Super unhappy with the whole.
Exactly. And ghosting each other.
And yeah, I mean, one of the things you said
I want to bring up because there's a through line
in comments there about a real fear of appearing creepy or off-putting or cringe.
Cringe.
Cringe is the word.
That's used a lot.
They just don't want to, you know, they've seen so many bad examples get publicized
or, and then they don't want to be part of that.
That is not their goal.
So they, it's kind of avoided.
You just, you check out the whole thing.
I think check out is the good word where it's like, I don't see how to win this game,
so I won't play.
Yeah, one, the thing I only heard about recently is these are we dating the same guy
groups. Have you guys heard about this? So it's it started I guess in 2022 in New York City and now there's
200 of these groups that are largely on Facebook and it's basically women, only women can join.
And then they post screenshots of dating app profiles of men and are like anybody know anything
about this person. So it's like expanding the idea of your friend network that you normally in the
past be like, oh, I'm talking to this guy. Do you know anything about him? Except now it's a hundred
thousand people all giving comments. And I first saw this in like a Reddit, a host of a Reddit thread of a woman saying
that her brother had been posted on it, and basically it was just this super mean, just, like,
hypothesizing about how this guy seemed like he would be a creep and would abuse women. It was just this
like total how you just bullshit about this guy. But at the same time, there's a lot of people
who, I think, justifiably are like, oh, yeah, I was saved from having this horrible experience
with this guy because three other people said it. But if you just, again, you add that to, like,
socially aware guys. And it's just, it adds to this sense of like anything you do might be
magnified by a literal 100,000 at this point. And there's so much attention. That's not necessarily
bad, right? There's obviously.
there's multiple elements to take this.
Actually, there was two comments in Discord
that were really surprising to me for that reason,
which is one from Loewan.
The internet has removed social consequence
for bad behavior and lets people kind of just get away
with it without proper shame.
Oh.
And then that was like a lot of people
were reiterating that.
And then from Hasbin.
Is that true way?
I highlight that.
The internet has removed consequence
for bad behavior.
On the whole, yes.
But I think if you're a public figure,
or not even a public figure
in the example that you just gave,
it has the potential to
scrutinize you even
more at magnitudes
more than...
It feels like the guys... So this surprised me because
I'm somebody who's been on the opposite end
where I've been
maybe too conscious about
really not wanting to come off badly. And that has been
a challenge for me and I've had to overcome that and be like
I'm just going to ask this person out and try to do it
respectfully and say fuck it. That's why I was surprised
to see this, these comments. There's another one
I think they're not being en masse social consequence for being a creep feeds into a lot of toxic masculinity loops that they get.
So what I wonder if it's almost like, again, like dating apps kind of pushing people to the extremes, where you have people who are douchey are now able to go influence many, many, many people because they don't have the social qualms about being respectful.
Or, you know, they're just saying, fuck it, we ball, I guess.
I think it's a little, I think it's like global warming.
Okay, I'm excited to hear this.
And it's like, it's on the whole, it's getting warmer.
but then the winners when they happen
are fucking crazy.
That is the best way to synthesize it, I think.
Is you, on the whole,
the internet allows you to get away with so much more
and live with so much less social consequence
on average.
Yes, but if you happen to be...
Certain individuals get like mega amplified,
this is in the news,
this is in the Facebook group,
everybody's talking about your high school,
this is a big thread that everybody's gossing
about in the high school
because it was shared on Facebook to everybody, right?
And I think the thing you're talking about about people being pushed towards misogynistic places,
I think there's two things happening there where one you, because either through a lack of consequence,
you can engage in that space and push further and further into its ideology, or I think there are probably pretty real base reasons from experiences on things like dating apps that sort of make you jaded over time.
Like if you're a guy and your experience on dating apps is shitty and you don't,
maybe you're not the most like socially confident
and you don't know how to like navigate the system very well
and you're dealing with the fact that you're being rejected all the time
and then you hear about this group that might be sharing
and talking about your time to tens of thousands of people in your city
and you're being rejected at a scale that you could never be rejected at in person
I think that's it's the it makes the negative feeling is compounded so heavily
so now you go and seek out or feel comfort in this community of people
that tells you these awful things about women.
And then I feel like that's why a lot of women's perspective
on dating is the reverse, right?
It's sort of this men are trash, fuck men, fuck all men,
like they're fucking terrible sort of messaging.
Right.
That is based in very real experiences.
If you're like, if eight out of your 10 Tinder matches
that you just got in the last two minutes
are asking to fuck you tonight
and you can't talk to them about anything real,
that isn't a very good experience
and then naturally fuels
your negative perception
of men in the process.
And I think it's funny
because this is ignoring like,
I don't know,
do you have a lot of friends who use Grindr?
No.
A little bit, but not many.
Grindr has its like own subset
of like insane social issues
that exist within that app.
And it's like on paper,
maybe it sounds like a lot of fun.
Like you want to hook up with people.
It gives you easy action.
It gives you their location.
You can get kind of straight to the point.
Like most of my friends who use Grider talk about how like they don't even know the person's name a lot of the time.
And that's just kind of the way it is.
But this leaves its own trail of negative consequences too of people talking about how shitty and shitty the guys are they talk to about how they don't want to know anything about each other.
They just feel used.
They just feel used.
They only, they just launch into like sexually aggressive photos and it pressures you to kind of engage.
in that behavior.
There's a lot of like body shaming
and like race preference stuff
that is like very forward on that app
that isn't because of the
how outwardly focused on hookups it is.
So it's interesting.
It's like even if we leave the dynamic
of like straight people on dating apps, right?
And we talk about gay men on Grindr specifically
which isn't necessarily for dating.
It's hooking up.
It has the internet and the app
have exacerbated consequences for people there too.
you know what could solve this AI I'm kidding I'm kidding I'm kidding I do not I do not think
A actually it's not actually it's not straight up it's not it's not sure it's the it's it is a it is a weird
release valve for people who are right it's funnels the frustrations all this stuff into like here's an
outlet that you can just point into yeah people people are like searching for real connection
and they're talking to these AI chat bots right in a way that is providing the things that
are not able to.
What I'm hoping,
now that we're on it,
okay, briefly,
I think there's a world
where there are AI
like dating services
that could, I'm not saying
be some holy grail,
I don't think they would,
but at least be better
than, let's say, Tinder.
And as much as I want to push back,
Doug, you're on the right track,
at least as far as the dating app
CEOs are concerned.
Oh, are they talking about that?
I learned about this,
this, literally this week,
is a lot of the CEOs
of these companies,
is whether it be a grinder,
the group that owns,
I think Tinder and Hinge, Bumble,
they're talking about AI
as this tool
that is going to supersede swiping
and that you will have this like,
basically tool
or like buddy to engage in
that like serves you better suited matches
rather than you spending time swiping on people.
It's giving you advice as to like how to talk to people.
This is something that they want to push.
So here's my concern.
Let's say,
so I go on,
Bumble, right? And now instead of swiping,
I give it a whole bunch of information about me.
I talk to it for a while so it can develop like an
understanding of how I talk. And then
my Doug Doug Bumble bot
goes out and finds like let's
the Aden bot, right?
And this is literally a black mirror episode.
And the Aiden bot, and so that
two of them start talking and like unlike
us having to have this whole fucking rigourole
where we're like meeting, you know, we're like
saying pleasantries and trying to have a conversation.
They can do all that. But then the
problem is they would fall in love. And you and
still alone.
And it's just,
so I think the dating apps
are just going to become AI dating.
ADI dating.
It's because of rigum roll.
It's literally cool like,
like drop like a reality TV show.
You get to tune in and be like,
is my AI getting laid?
But it probably won't.
It'll probably get not laid at the same rate
that you get not going to ghost it.
Yeah, it's going to ghost it.
So you just feel even worse.
You're like even my AI can't fucking.
It's getting at scale by a billion
bots at once.
I was thinking, I was thinking about this.
You,
I,
You made, I thought you were just joking,
but then I remember,
this literally is a black mirror episode.
It actually is an episode.
Well, they create a clone of you
and they put it in a room
and then all the little clones of them talk
to find out who's their love and then it tells you you have your match
and then they die.
And I just, yeah, that is one avenue
that I think I would never,
I could never support.
I think to me,
the baseline human experience of like why you exist,
I think it's the reason why when you spend time
with like friends and people you know well
and just in the presence of other people,
you just feel better.
It's like a chemical reaction.
Your monkey brain is happy.
You know,
you're all sharing a banana.
Yeah,
you're humanness like demands.
And I think navigating the,
the social plight of dating in person
and learning how to talk to people
is like,
it's like the innate human experience
that you can't compromise.
I think that's like,
if we're,
if we're automating that part of life,
it's like, it's over.
It's, it's, it's, it's,
what am I fucking do it?
That's the point. That's the one thing robots shouldn't be. You mentioned a phrase that I want to bring up because I read a really good article with the same title. You said they're getting rejected more often than anyone when to pre-
like just by sure numbers, you're getting more rejections, which where each one of them chips down at your self-confidence and makes you more.
100%. So there was an article called the most rejected generation ever. And it was about Gen Z in the aggregate. Again, not everyone's experience, but about not just dating, but like in general, they're getting rejected from more.
more things at scale.
Like the ability, you can apply to more jobs than ever before, but more of them reject you.
You can apply to more colleges never before, but more of them reject you.
And you can find more dating options than ever before, but more of them reject you.
So you're constantly being told in some way or another that like, no, no, no, no, no.
And I think that causes people to check out.
And I think not everyone, not all the time.
But yeah, there is the article right there, the most rejected generation ever.
And it just goes through all these interviews with Gen Z who are like, man, you know,
I applied to 300 colleges and, you know, 295 of them gave me a no.
And it's like maybe getting accepted into five would have been, it is fine.
But the previous generation might have applied to 20 or 18 or 5.
You know what I'm saying?
Like they're just doing more things.
Like a typical zoomer on the apps, maybe getting rejected by more prospective partners
in a week than a boomer has in their entire adult life.
And that's like a real number.
And so I think that to me is the most.
plausible explanation for the behavior. It's a very logical response to getting overly rejected
is to either change your strategy to something wild, which is like the Andrew Tate or whatever,
or to just opt out. And I think we're seeing so much more of those two behaviors because of this
very reasonable getting rejected at scale. It's depressing. I'm going to be honest, man, it's sad.
I mean, I would also advocate more, when we looked at that graph earlier about where people found
their partners. And then suddenly the past two decades, there's this precipitous drop downwards.
You know, the different, all those places were in person. And now everybody's meeting online. And
I feel like we should as a society try to push back to somehow in person experiences and
increasing that. But then COVID general social anxiety, all these experiences that people talked
about is then pushing people to stay online more, not meet in person. And so we have this like double,
it's attacking for both sides and it's so rough. All these things compound. I think that's the, that's the
main thing is you like in this culture of rejection and people getting upset by that and then they
act in new ways that they you know I think puts off other people and that feeds like the ghosting thing
I think ghosting has become normal because so many people do it so it makes you comfortable with doing it
or makes you want to lash out and do the same thing you want to leverage that same thing that may someone
else did to you and made you feel uncomfortable the one thing I want to bring this
back to is this idea that like the phones and internet don't have so much to do with the trend
or aren't the root cause because we can kind of look back and see that there was a general
downward trend starting way before these things were mainstream. You can see I think millennials
had more access to technology. The internet, right? The previous. Yeah. And I do, I absolutely
think that that is a unifying thing that has an effect and is a reason why it's happening in so many
places. However, I wanted to think about things that precede this that might also be
influencing this. So one thing, I think like this is just the industrialization sort of era,
the 1900s. I think a lot about society has fundamentally changed. The way we view life and
the things we chase, the way we want our careers to develop, the type of like homes, the scale of
entertainment we have access to, not just on your phone, but in general, the scale at which
entertainment, like video games, like movies, all of those things exist in a capacity that they
did not in the past. Thinking about growing up in maybe, I'm not going to hit the years exactly
right, but if you're in the 1500s or the 1100s and you were an average person, what was the
book you had in your, you didn't have books. You had like the, you had your Bible, and that
was kind of it because books were so expensive and difficult to go around.
Your generations are fucked up, Hayden.
The way, the things...
I want my country back.
The things...
Every child gets a Bible.
I wanted to address this.
I wanted to address this.
Because if we took that argument seriously,
I think there is a cohort, especially in America,
that say like we are leaving God and Christianity behind,
and that's the reason that these things are falling apart.
Dude, a phones for Bible, like,
activism program where you take a kid's...
Just swap it in.
Like the Australian guns program,
the gun buyback, but it's
your phone. Buy back. We give you a Bible.
It's so good.
I think it's so, when it's happening
across so many different countries of so many
different languages and cultures, it is
so clearly not an absence
of Christian religion.
Put Jesus in Fortnite.
Dude, he would pop.
You can't tell me it wouldn't sell.
I mean, I, okay, so I kind of disagree.
Only because of your own data, right?
You had, you had boomer.
and you had Gen X at very high participation rates
for all of these things.
Yeah, but thinking about the years, right?
You're looking at boomers.
You're looking at post-World War II
into the decades following when...
They were industrialized.
They had, you know, they had...
I think post-World War II, like lifestyle
and post-World War II, like, industrialization
is sort of what I'm talking about.
It's like, I think one other thing
that I thought about was the push for individuals
a culture of individual success and specifically women working like 50% of the population
becoming expected to not just be stay at home moms anymore and have a family it's like no you're
going to pursue work and have a life in the same capacity that men do basically you know every person
in society is expected to chase kind of the same dreams and you now have like two competing
ambitions that would be the like foundation of every straight relationship. Does that make sense?
Yeah, it makes total sense. So I think that those things precede technology and I think are like the
beginning of these trends shaping up. And then they happen to like encounter that that culture
of individual success feels like a baseline for these things starting. But then we happen to make
a bunch of things along the way that made the trends increase by way more drastic margins that
that enhance all the factors that are at play.
Yeah, it's fair.
Perry, can you pull up that graph again about the online?
I just want to,
I want to give a thought that I think fits into what you're saying,
which is that,
um,
you think God is dead.
I think God is dead.
That's, um, that's my idea, by the way.
I invented that, fuck you Nietzsche.
Uh, no, okay.
I mean, as you're bringing it up,
I'll just say, like, um,
it's not even that it, that it is online.
It's that it's different.
I guess what I'm saying is that the world is different.
Mm-hmm.
And I think of someone like,
If you think about how fast that is cosmically to go from basically nothing to basically everything,
it's like no one older than you, your parents, your older siblings, they cannot give you
advice.
You are in a new realm with new activities, new standards, new everything.
And no one can tell you how to navigate it.
And I think things like this have happened throughout history and other rapid technological changes.
And I feel like in a way, humans are figuring it out and we are finding ways to adapt to this
and we are kind of like,
but like the people caught in the middle
where we don't know what the hell is going on
are the ones getting screwed.
Is that I don't know.
Did you give me an example of how you think we're figuring it out?
Because I think I disagree with that part.
I don't think we're figuring.
It's like, sure, we're alive
and like society is functioning at like a base level.
But I don't think this transition is being handled very well.
I don't think the average person is like...
I think that's fair.
I guess,
maybe I'm hoping they'll figure it out.
I feel like maybe is a good metric we could use of have we figured it out is
does your country have babies at replacement population level?
Because if your country is literally dying because people aren't having children,
that feels like an indication that something is failing.
I see the direction you're going in.
I think if South Korea is going to disappear in two generations because nobody
wants to have babies for a myriad of reasons, largely economics, structurally,
all the types of stuff.
Do you think if they get everybody free super likes on Tinder in Korea, it would solve your face?
Whoa, we could turn it around.
We could turn it around.
No, I don't know.
That won't work because they, Christianity is actually still pretty lit in South Korea.
They're really, God is not dead there.
So that couldn't be that.
Like a youth pastor with a backwards cap.
You know, the, I actually, I mean, I don't feel strongly about this, but I think that's a reasonable metric of like something.
is clearly wrong broadly in society if you can't. I mean, that's not to say everybody needs to have two
babies, but like fundamentally there's an issue, right? And like if your society is at replacement
levels that's like, okay, people feel like they have a future to the point that they can meet
significant others and raise a family. And if you don't have that, something is fundamentally wrong.
Sure. Am I, I think, how does that land? I think I can actually agree with you in a general sense.
I couldn't tell because maybe we just brought it up
in the context of this graph
where you're talking about the scale of online dating.
I do not think what you're talking about
is rooted in online dating.
No, no, no.
But that's what you're talking about
of this broader trend of like,
as for example,
women are all pressured to go have a career, right?
That's one of the...
That's one of the things that are
causing people to have less children.
And it's just,
it's an interesting metric to look at
of like, okay, all this stuff's going on.
There's all these cultural changes.
Talking about the idea of have we fixed it
or addressed any of these issues
in a major way.
I think one way is to look at are people having families.
That just feels like a very fundamental result of a society feeling healthy for people.
I want to say, you know, because this brings me to a transition too, I want to talk about in these articles you mentioned, it wasn't just romantic relationships.
It is also.
It is friendships.
I mean, people are reporting more time alone.
They're reporting less close friends.
People say they have fewer close friends than ever.
like this generation has fewer close friends than anyone dead at their age.
And they are, you know, spending more time online.
And so it brings me to this article, if you could bring up the one I have about Mark Zuckerberg.
Mark Zuckerberg recently had a quote where he said, no, it's in the Discord, where he said,
the average American has the appetite for 10 to 15 friendships, but they only have three.
And we're going to fill that gap.
And he's talking about AI generated chapbook friends.
I want Mark Zuckerberg to fill my gap.
Get in there, Mark.
That would be better with it.
My gap is ready for you, Mark.
They are actually paying people $50 an hour to sample your smile and small talk to train AI chatbots.
Get in there, Mark.
Get in there.
That's some black weird.
There's so much space in my life.
Get in.
That's wild.
That is wild.
Maybe he just wants it personally because he's kind of a robot himself.
Maybe he just wants you.
Well, no, he wears a chain now.
So he's cool.
That is true.
I heard he was cool.
He turned around with the oversized tea.
He turned around with the windsurfing and the t-shirt that he designed himself.
But maybe he'll just pay 50 bucks down for you to talk to him.
Yeah, to back up,
we were saying a lot of the comments,
as I asked about this whole topic in Discord,
were about socializing how people feel like it's more difficult.
People aren't doing it anymore.
A few that I thought were pretty interesting.
Davies V.
He said,
most of my friends are attractive and funny creative,
so they shouldn't have any trouble if they put themselves out there,
but they're just too anxious to do so.
They don't get out enough to meet people organically.
So again,
I'm saying.
People staying at home,
hobbies are isolating,
talk online, yeah.
Because that can mean the problem's not
with dating at all.
It's like a byproduct of socializing time.
That's why I was trying to draw it back
to like meeting in person
because it's not like necessarily about dating,
but it just seems like a lot of fundamental
human interactions stem from that.
Fewer third places, fewer.
Yeah, and then the internet plus COVID supercharging
it has just made everybody more online
and more isolated.
More dank though.
So many people mentioned the third places thing
when we talked about the lonely,
stuff on the first episode.
And I actually want to push back a bit.
I actually agree in a broad sense
that I want more third places.
I think it's important for people to have a space
between, you know, home and working in city.
Like cities should be built with those things in mind.
For Costco.
Be able to walk, be able to bump into people.
You could meet and fuck someone at Costco
over a hot dog, easy.
With a hot dog.
That'd be romantic.
It would be a romantic, me cute.
But, but based off of the trends
in all of the countries we just outlined,
I don't really feel like that's at the root of it.
I think that's like an edge.
That's like an edge enhancer to all of this.
Because if you're going to look me in the eye and tell me that like the biggest
cities and I'm going to tell you if the cost of living has gotten way more expensive.
Yeah.
Okay.
Yeah, this is good.
And the housing's more expensive than the people.
Okay.
Tell me.
U.S.
Yes.
Canada.
Yes.
UK.
Yes.
France.
Yes.
Germany.
Yes.
Sweden.
Yeah.
Yes.
South Korea.
Japan, New Zealand.
Japan, maybe not.
Japan's okay.
New Zealand, Australia.
Japan compensates for the housing.
Everybody but Japan.
I see what you're saying.
I see what you're saying.
I see what I'm working 12 hours a day.
The pushback obviously is like, no,
all these places are more expensive or like going to third places.
It is more expensive.
But all of these places still have huge populations.
Most of the big cities in these places have been growing.
Most of these,
there's stuff to do.
Most of these countries have way more like walkable and interactive city
environments than the U.S. and Canada do.
I do not think, like the idea that money is preventing you from walking five minutes
down the street in Paris to go to the park in your neighborhood and meet up with people.
People grind harder than you, all right? They're trying to make some bread.
All I'm saying is, I do not think third places is the thing adding like huge percent of the
loneliness to this. If we had a bowling alley every corner in Paris, they will start fucking again.
I promise you that. I promise you that. I think, I agree with your second. I agree with a second.
I think that's, I think it's a fair pushback.
I mean, you know, I think what we're circling here is like, there's a lot of factors, right?
There's a lot of factors.
And I say that as somebody who wants to move to a different country because of the city layout and quality.
Like I think it's important.
Don't give me wrong.
I do not think it is like a root cause.
Yeah.
Yeah, that was another sentiment that a number of people expressed, which is basically like,
you can also put yourself out there and you have to do that.
And like, as that's, that was my experience.
I had to start putting myself out there and being more assertive and more confident.
That's hard to do.
And then this gets back to anxiety and isolation,
preventing people from feeling like they can go do this.
It's like you can find things to do.
Like you can do that and all basically everywhere.
If you're in a city, there's stuff to do.
If you're not in a city, I grew up in a more not like just a boring suburb.
Like you can find stuff to do like buy them a Patreon sub to this podcast.
You guys put in too cute headphones.
And I want to say something important.
All right.
Just to again push back from Pelmus in the Discord.
Personally, I pipe at an insane frequency.
So I'll opt out of this conversation.
So.
People are doing it.
People are fucking finding.
Lemonade stand viewers, especially.
If you listen to this, you want to get involved in the conversation on Discord.
You can join sign up for the Patreon.
The $5 tier gets you an extra episode every week.
And you can access to the Discord.
And you get piping advice from.
Just to show it.
Well, no, no, you don't get piping advice, but you get piping updates.
Okay.
So you can come in here and you can put a little fire emoji if Pelmus are laid again.
Maybe you like watch closely enough.
We'll make a channel.
Through osmosis, learn his techniques.
Did Pelis get laid in the last hour?
And it's just a green or a red, kind of like a wordal.
I have, okay, I have two theories I want to pause it at the end of this conversation.
One less significant than the other, but you mentioned it briefly.
Is that, and so I didn't think of this until someone in the Discord brought this up,
is that your accessibility to your parents being good people for advice as they apply to life.
This applies to applying for jobs.
It applies to how, what is the value of school, how you should talk to people, how you should date.
all of these dynamics have changed so much
that your parents or figures in your life
that you're able to ask for advice
are not able to provide very good advice.
The classical example of just go in
and hand in your resume.
It does not work anymore.
It doesn't work like that.
Not even close.
Like it's so different.
Yeah.
And I think that is a small point
that I think is worth mentioning
where like the race of the change
has taken role models ability
to really push people in the right direction
where it's fractured it.
The last thing,
that I've thought about is you just what you just said you said at a certain point you decided to
like put yourself out there right and I think that the pace at which you learn things about
yourself you learn things about yourself from like failing from discomfort from putting yourself out
there from interacting with other people like this uh fear of rejection this anxiety that exists
I think even without phones in the internet,
because entertainment is so much more broadly accessible,
you can take any moment you're uncomfortable,
especially now,
but even if you go back,
this scales as time passes.
You can take any moment that you're uncomfortable
and consume some sort of entertainment
that satiates you.
You can hit the baba, if you will.
And because you're able to do that
in any moment where you feel uncomfortable
or you might push yourself in a direction out of basically boredom,
you get to sit back and do something passive that occupies you.
So all of these little moments in your life where you would choose to venture out a little
further and push yourself a little more happen with wider and wider gaps between them.
And it gets harder and harder to learn things.
And the longer the gaps are to, the more your anxiety builds within those periods of time.
And it makes it harder and harder to finally convince yourself
to put yourself out there and learn the things that I think maybe your parents or their parents
were learning at way younger ages.
I think that's the wisest thing you said this podcast.
Yeah, that's very well said.
I like the way you said that.
I think that's important for people to hear.
Yeah.
Like your life unlocks when you start pushing yourself in uncomfortable ways.
Like the only reason, at least for me, I have this content creator job and I can do any
of the things that I can do now or have my relationship or have anything.
It's because I became more willing to put myself in hard, uncomfortable situations.
everybody you know who's successful is like that.
It's like, yeah.
Well, I mean, there's just people that have rich parents,
but I'll like this.
Okay, yeah, yeah, yeah.
But even those people, for my understanding,
I don't know, a ton of like, you know,
NEPO kids, but they don't seem that satisfied either.
It's like at some point, you got to put yourself out there
and try things and fail and grow.
And that's how you do anything that's worthwhile.
And that's my feel.
I like your YouTuber example because, like, you know,
a lot of people would say I can't make X video or whatever,
but then you go back to the first,
like your first video,
they're terrible.
Right.
They're fucking terrible.
Everybody goes through years and years and years of failure.
And you succeed when you learn to push through that consistently and hone in on who you are.
And you can't do that by just waiting around.
Like life doesn't just present you with the solution to everything.
And that's like the one thing that, yeah, it's exactly what you said.
It's like, I don't think people who are frustrated with the situation right now, which is very justified,
should also be under the illusion that life used to be easy and everybody would just hand you everything.
And maybe the boomers made us like feel that way.
they talk about it that way, you go down the street and you give them a firm handshake and
you get a job.
I mean, to be clear, like...
You walk to the local dance to the barn dance at the county fair and you find your wife.
You know, it sounds like it was more ridiculous.
If there's ever a generation in human history that had more handed to them, it is boomers
in like the U.S. and maybe the UK.
Yeah, that's true.
That's true.
Because they conflate, I think there is a quality of older people that, in a piece of that
advice that does absolutely hold true.
But what happens is they conflate it often with the, uh, financial,
ease of their life with their willingness to like go out and do things and work when a lot of
the financial aspects of that generation's success are way broader trends that just do not exist now
but I think the general based advice of like try things put yourself out there fail learn from it
don't be afraid to meet people uh challenge of like challenge your fears that sort of fucking
bullshit you grow up with as actually good advice the only things in my life that I'm super
proud of and are super meaning, well, except my, like, family, all came from being willing
to put myself out there. You tried a lot of families, right? You were like, you were shopping around.
Yeah, the last one. You were willing to fail. And you said, this guy sucks. And you have,
honestly, I mean, if you do that, you too could be a podcaster. I wanted to. Yeah, I didn't want
to go down that route. There's a lot of options. I just wanted to say it as an example.
Wrapping up this whole thing before, I think we should talk about a couple other things in this
episode. But I want to wrap this up because you brought up a really, really cool topic that
I know me and Brandon definitely want to talk about with you is we should talk about the birth
rate stuff and how that's trending down across the world. I think it's super interesting
discussion. It is related to a lot of what we're talking about now, but it's kind of its own
like monster and problem and it's very, very interesting. So I just wanted to like pin that for the
people who are listening because I wanted to dive into that so much more. But it's kind of its own
like 45 hour long discussion at least. We'll solve that next week. Yeah, we should bring that back up.
I think what's most interesting is, you know, as, well, I'll just, broad level, let me go on, is as governments are realizing how bad this is, how like desperate situation, like South Korea, for example.
Right.
They're all trying unique and different things.
And it's really fun.
It's, to be clear, it's too late for that.
We don't need to be around the bush.
It's open.
I think if they air drop in Elon Musk and the, who's the Timberwolves player, Edwards.
Edwards.
They're going to turn that baby thing around.
A couple of virile men.
The two most fertile men.
But like, you know,
40 different countries
are all trying these new desperate tactics
to get birth rates up
and most of them are not working.
So I think going through some of those
will be a fun future pod.
Let me really quick for you go.
Just say thank you to everybody
who gave a bunch of notes
and opinions on this in the Discord.
I'm going to plug it one more time
if you're interested in this.
This is super great.
We'll try to figure out a better way
to ask for this type of stuff
in the future.
but I would love to keep getting people's perspectives
on these topics as we go through them.
This was super interesting.
So I really appreciate all the feedback from everybody.
If you guys enjoy the show,
we do an extra hour-long episode every week
that you can get with the Discord access,
patreon.com slash Lemonade Stan.
And we've got even more stuff,
a couple other bonus shows as well.
If you want to check that out.
We just watch the big short
and did it react to that.
Yeah.
Yeah, it's been really good.
This is great.
The Discord is like genuinely fantastic.
It is crazy how awesome it is.
So thank you.
To everybody who's on their line, I guess.
in there, I don't know.
It's a really great conversation and Atrox's hair.
And it's those two things.
One thing, cool thing I wanted to bring up in small news is in a Lena Con victory.
Well, she's not in the position anymore.
She's the head of, she started the movement.
She started the movement.
She was the head of the FTC.
Yeah.
And one of the changes they made was that ticket master and ticketing sites can't hide the
prices or hide their fees in the prices they list anymore. The price has to be listed fully,
including the platform's fee in checkout. And that apparently just launched two days ago on May 12th.
So now when you go to Ticketmaster or other equivalent sort of sites, you now open up a ticket
and see the full price like plane tickets, because they can't do that with plane tickets, right?
Have you ever noticed when you're shopping for flights? It includes the taxes and the full fees
in the list price. So now Ticketmaster, an easy.
evil, evil company is no longer allowed to lie to you. I'm sure they will continue to get away
with some other things, but I thought this is a cool, small win, especially in the wake of her
not even being in the position anymore. It's nice to see something like this go into effect.
She had a couple really awesome things like this. One of them was one click to cancel, which came
into effect, where, you know, if you have a gym that is trying to make it hard for you to cancel,
because that's her business model, is to lock you in. You can now, you're mandated by law to have
one button that you can click to cancel.
That's incredible.
Dude, you know what's fucking crazy?
During COVID, I had a gym membership, and it was the only gym membership I've ever had
in my life because I started lifting right before COVID, and we're like me, Ludwig,
slime would all go to the gym together, right?
And I'm paying, I think, like $45 a month, I think.
And then COVID comes into effect.
You know, we get past the first few months.
it's kind of clear that this isn't just gonna blow over.
So I looked to cancel my gym membership
and I just couldn't do it.
Because they didn't have a way online.
When I called, nobody was available.
And then the information online,
it didn't give me any method to cancel
like over mail or on the website.
So, and it's COVID.
So I just kept paying the subscription for another year.
And I just couldn't cancel it.
I was like, this is unbelievable.
I can't believe you're allowed to do this.
Yeah.
Yeah, I think, you know,
Lena Kahn was a true believer in, you know, if you're going to have a market, the only way it works is if both sides have full information.
You talk about this a lot. You know, you need to be able to tell exactly what you're getting and what you're buying and you're not being tricked.
And it makes things run more smoothly because they, you know, you're not going to pay that list price and they have to lower their price.
So it's awesome. One click cancel. This, the things you did with, I mean, this isn't a hold up in the courts, unfortunately, but non-competes where, you know.
That's not going to hold up. That didn't. Didn't hold up, unfortunately. We'll maybe get there eventually.
but the idea that, you know, a corporation could,
people like Jimmy Johns was putting sandwich artists in non-compete
and when they got fired, they couldn't go to another,
they couldn't go to subway.
They couldn't go, which is fucking insane, right?
But all it does is drive down wages because you're desperate.
You can't go anywhere else.
You know, I didn't tell you, I didn't tell you guys this.
I put a little addendum in Doug's contract.
If he ever quits the show, he can't keep doing his YouTube channel.
Thanks, dude.
Lena tried to stop it.
Shake my hand.
I thought you were going to say, I thought you were going to say, I got him on the yard.
You can't go on the yard if you quit our show.
It's called legal expertise, baby.
Sorry, Lena.
Dude, a larger story here is that I'm going to give some credit here to the Trump administration.
I usually don't do that.
I'm pretty negative.
I was under the impression that the new change of the FTC to be more pro-consumer,
to start and break up monopolies, to have some impact on.
that side would be gone.
I thought they would be completely wiped out.
Most of that stuff is continuing,
if not being more aggressive against big tech specifically.
Like the cases against Google to try and possibly spin off Chrome,
the cases against meta to possibly spin off Instagram,
have,
if anything,
there's kerosene throwing on it.
Like,
there's more effort.
So I'm,
I'm shocked about that.
It hasn't been a big surprise for me,
my predictions like in January.
And I just wanted to shout that out.
Like,
whatever the,
has changes the FDC has caused more long,
lasting permanent change to that organization's ability to actually do something for the
American consumer, which has been completely like, used to be a rubber stamp for whatever the
fucking corporations wanted, which is cool.
We can tie that to the other thing that Trump admin did this week.
Yeah.
So another credit to them is the pretty pro-consumer executive order, Trump on Monday, so two
days ago from the day of recording this, signed an executive order, basically saying that
pharmaceutical manufacturers, the drug companies, are no.
longer going to be allowed to sell their drug prices any higher than the lowest pricing they sell to any other developed country, which is crazy. Because right now, the way the drug industry largely works is that drug companies make these drugs and then sell them to Americans at like 10 times the price of the rest of the world because the rest of the world doesn't agree to buy them for that price. But we have this whole fucked up healthcare system where it's like everything's crazy expensive and these rebates. This is this whole mess. So he signed an executive order saying that the health secretary, which is our,
RFK Jr. has a 30-day deadline to tell drug makers that they have to lower prescription drug costs.
Yeah, if you pull this up, Perry. And so what they're saying is, hey, all the drug manufacturers who right now,
because we have a free market health care system, are going to have to lower it and charge the same prices that
they do in other countries, which, again, might literally be a tenth of the price. Like, if you go to the UK,
the UK pays, you know, a fraction of what we pay in the U.S. because our system just kind of cycles this massive,
massive expenditure and then we or companies all pay for it. It's a disaster. That being said,
not clear if this is going to hold up. But anyway, this is very like, it's, so you don't really
have the, my understanding, crack me if it wrong. The health secretary does not have the power to go to a
bunch of drug makers and like impose fees or anything. There's not a law that allows him to do this.
So Trump is like trying to will this thing into existence. But in theory, a lot of people would support
it. Maybe it becomes a bipartisan thing in Congress. All the people is looking into who supports and
opposes this. All the people who support it, it's like Bernie Sanders, AARP, like all the people who
deal with health insurance and like trying to get seniors medicine, the people who have been burned by
having to pay hundreds or thousands of dollars for medicine in the U.S. for some goddamn fucking
reason. And then I looked into all of the like supporters and it's like this pharmaceutical
company, this drug care consortium, this air, yeah, sorry, everybody who's opposed to it.
So it's exactly what to think. Everybody is on board with this except the drug company.
and the single argument is it'll reduce innovation.
And it's like, man, I'm all,
but it doesn't.
It is cool.
I think this is one of those things where I saw the clip this morning of him.
He delivers, you know, his Trump way of speaking about like,
I have this friend, he's a lovely guy.
He's a fat guy.
He gets those people pick and he spends,
he called me and he told me it's $1,200 in New York and it's only 88 in London.
And I said, that's awful.
And then, but, you know, he's building up to something that's really good and reasonable,
something that actually, yeah, all people would want this.
A hundred percent.
And my dad, my dad was the person who sent me the clip.
And he weirdly, it wasn't a link, he downloaded it and sent me like the file.
And then also, also it had Chinese subtitles.
So I mean, your dad's on fucking Waybo getting his news updates on.
Yeah.
And I was like, dad, we're watching this.
I thought that.
But this was one of those things where it's like, I kind of will be.
believe it when I see it. But if it happens, this is, this would be fantastic.
The odds that this goes through. Let me jump into that. I want to talk about this.
It's like, okay, two things. Number one, you mentioned, uh, free market. I think I just want to push
back and I want to say our healthcare system is nothing like a free market. It's, it is completely
immersed with middlemen and, and, and rules and regulations. By free market, I mean,
the drug manufacturers can set whatever prices they want. Yes. And there isn't a government agency
basically enforcing some degree of pricing. Even in the case like the UK, you basically, you basically
they have a single health care provider.
So if a drug company from the U.S.
goes to, like OZMPIC, for example,
goes to Nova Nordus, they go to the UK and they say,
we want to sell you OZEPC for $1,000 like we do to the Americans.
Britain says no, fuck off.
And they keep saying no fuck off up until Novo agrees to sell it for like $100.
Yeah, that's...
We don't have that in America.
There's all these different players.
That is a free market, though.
That is like them saying, we'll walk.
If you don't...
Like, if you go to the store and they want to sell you a car for a million dollars and you say no
until they lower the price.
But in America, the insurance...
companies, the farm, like, they all have the option to not buy these things. They just don't have
enough negotiating power. It is a market. Okay, here's a thing. In America, the, the, you know,
like Medicare, Medicaid, the government is not allowed to negotiate. Legally, the pharmaceutical
lobby has rid of- Right. So that is, yes, that is-you-cannot. They cannot use their market
power. Like, let me give you an example of Walmart. Shut up. Shut up. Don't come from my free markets.
Example is like, this is not a great example, but I'm not the top of my head. Like Walmart,
right. If they go to Tide and want them to lower the price of the detergent, they
They do this all the time.
They say, hey, listen, we're not going to let you be on our shelves once you lower the price.
So, Tide, knowing that they have access to all these consumers, does their best lower the price.
Yeah, you know, you're right there.
Medicare and Medicaid specifically can't.
So that fucks it up.
I think that's fun.
Okay.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
So I want to say also, I am not of the opinion that pure free market works for health care because, you know, if I go to buy a Honda Civic and I don't like it and they give me a bad and they give me a bad.
and it's fine. But if I go to buy insulin and I don't like it and I can go to, I die.
Yeah. Like, it doesn't, the ability to die, you cannot walk. The ability to walk is like the core
essence of a good market and like you can't do that with healthcare. You will die. So I honestly
agree. He has so many stupid examples. What I want to say here is this thing that Trump is
talking about this matching U.S. healthcare prices to like the Europe and other countries is what
Bernie Sanders has been pushing for for a long time. Like this is a core platform of his
original run for president. And RFK mentioned that in this speech. You mentioned like this is a part of
Bernie Sanders ran on these exact ideas, but they ever got them through. So, and Bernie's response to
this was profound, which is like, hey, this has been tried before. Trump himself signed a similar
deal in term one. And the courts always block it. And so it becomes this thing where you get this
headline and you're like, hey, this is great. But the only real way to do it is to push comprehensive
legislation through Congress, which they never do. So it's like becomes this executive order where
where it's almost like setting up to have the courts block it so you can then
denigrate judges.
Like that's, to me, it feels more like, hey, I can do this thing that everyone agrees
is great.
It will get blocked by the courts because we're not doing it the normal right way.
And then I can go, why the fuck are judges allowed to do this?
Let's get rid of judges.
Which is like a real, like a weird bad lineup.
Like I, you know what I'm saying?
I don't like the way that's headed.
It's like setting up for an easy win against the judicial system, which is not
So I completely get what you're saying.
For people who've kind of not followed this deeply,
largely what Trump has done in his administration so far
is drop tons of executive orders,
which to be clear, are less,
they have less legal authority than Congress,
who is the one who's supposed to be writing laws.
So it's like he can write these,
it's not supposed to be a law,
but he can write these like orders of what happens, right?
But if Congress comes in and overrides it
or the judicial system overrides it, it's gone.
So this executive order that he signs
is only relevant up until the,
legal system confirms, yes, this is legit.
Right.
Or Congress comes in and, like, reinforces it with a real law.
So this is a, this is a vibe.
He's shooting a vibe out into the world.
And if anybody, if a, if a federal judge comes in and, like, tries to stop it, it will
go to be clear.
He has written this, this exact vibe.
Yes.
At the end of his last term and it got blocked.
It was only for Medicare.
Okay.
But, I mean, it was, it was the idea of matching drug prices to them.
Yeah.
And that got blocked.
And this is more expansive and likely get blocked.
Yeah.
So, like, if you're a president who has a problem with the judiciary, one that you could
do is say, I think everyone should get free candy, executive order. And then when the judge goes,
you can't have that authority, you can't do that. Then suddenly you go, wow, the judges want to
block your free candy. And it's a problem. So like, I think Bernie's response to this was measured.
Which is like, hey, I agree with the theory of this. But the way you are doing it is, it seems like a
different goal. Yeah. And that's my pushback. I said, I agree with this idea. Yeah. So I'm on the same
page. I think what I'm hoping for with this, I think it's very unlikely this stays. There's no, you know,
Obviously the pharma industry is like one of the heaviest lobbying, right?
So they're going to do everything they can to stop this.
In theory, though, people are so pissed off at the pharma industry.
And this headline is big enough that this would them incentivize Congress to act.
Right?
If you can wrap because like I didn't even know that he did anything like this in the last Trump election because that Trump or the Trump administration.
Because the first Trump term was so obscenely chaotic.
He signed that in like 2019 or 2020.
So this is around January 6th, right?
That cut completely overshadowed by everything else.
That was big.
Yeah.
And I think this has more of an opportunity to get like bipartisan people across the board to be like,
yes, this should be happening.
At the very least, Medicare and Medicaid should be able to negotiate prices.
Oh, man.
It's crazy.
100 million percent.
I read that that's changing soon, but I didn't read more into why because that's baffling.
And I just want to, I mean, you could jump in here a second.
I just want to say like you touched on it, but it really is like one of the deepest rots at
the heart of our system is that we have an extremely.
extraordinary number of well-paid pharma lobbyists, at least one per senator, one per congressman,
one per legislator that are just full-time job is to like funnel money into these people to make
sure they don't make any progress on making healthcare better.
I have to.
I hate that.
And I think this is against their interests.
But I do want to say like the day this executive order came out, um, or was announced,
the headline, their stock prices dropped because they're like, okay, this is bad.
And they have immediately bounced back and people have realized it's not going to get through.
So an idea that has no chance of succeeding
Or isn't made with the is made for a headline
And not for real things is almost just as bad
Like I want a real change
I don't want brownie points
I don't want someone
Well do you feel like do you feel like so let's say
He puts this so I agree this is largely performative
It is extremely unlikely this lands
But this is going to be talked about enough
I mean we are talking about it as an example
that in theory the conversation is now increasing around this topic and we could move towards
Congress enacting something like this sooner. And if him making what is, you know, let's say this
like vapid gesture, but if it results in people becoming angrier and more passionate
and pushing Congress to do this earlier than they would have otherwise. That's the point. Okay.
That seems good to me. In 30 days when this is supposed to have happened, we're supposed to have dropped
all their prices. Because right now like insulin in America, $100 in Canada, $12. Right. Okay. In 30 days,
they have to equalize.
They have to figure that out.
I'm so,
so fucking afraid is.
So when they don't do that in 30 days,
are people going to get mad at Congress
and say, hey, get this bill passed
or are they going to get mad at the judiciary
for blocking his law?
And that is where I'm more,
if it's all setting up
to get you mad at the judges,
then I think that's kind of fuck
because this is an executive order
that has beyond his authority.
But if you get mad at Congress,
and we go, hey, shut the fuck up,
bipartisan, pass this,
get pills lower price,
then I'm all for.
I would love.
I think, again,
the spirit of the,
this is one of the best things Trump has done. I totally agree with it. It's insane that we spend
four, five, 10 X for the same drug across a border. Like Canada is right there. It's the same
company. Yeah, Canada is just like, no, we're not going to fucking pay that much. And then in America,
all the, all the parties are just like, yeah, this is great because everybody benefits from it,
except patience. Dude, the cable companies do the same thing with every small town in America where
they lobby to make sure they can't have negotiating power over who lays cable wire. It's great.
We all pay more because no one's allowed to literally negotiate on a great.
group of people.
I agree.
It's free.
Anyway, you're...
Free market.
Free.
I think you're a jump-down.
Sorry, I cut you off.
No, your point about the lobbying was the main thing I wanted to get to.
But I wanted to come back to what you said about R&D being the defense.
Because I think there's a very good point to be made here that this is often, and Trump
brought this up as in what he thinks that the prices that the Americans are paying are basically
subsidizing R&D that the other countries don't have to pay for it because they pay.
such lower prices, right?
However, something that I learned
last year was that R&D is a bit of a myth
in how drug companies actually choose to use
the money that they have.
And it is much safer for you,
rather than developing some sort of new,
life-saving treatment,
like spending a ton of money
in order to cure some incurable disease
or pursue something really niche and expensive,
especially as medicine gets better,
over time, right? The things that are left are harder and harder to crack. We spent a lot of time
talking about that in the last episode. The problem with R&D is a lot of the money just goes towards
iterating on existing drugs so that you can renew licenses or patents on technology that basically
already exists, mark it up, and resell it to people as an upgraded or a new version of the medication
they're taking. And that is like 90% of R&D spending. I saw it.
I would like to read more about that.
I'm not trying to defend pharma companies here,
but like,
because it does take a lot to develop drugs.
No, no, absolutely.
Think about it,
even from a purely economic perspective, right?
Yeah, yeah.
And this is actually something was in abundance.
It talks about how people in the last few decades,
there's decreasing motivation to spend money
and take risks on new drug or scientific development.
Right.
because the return is way less certain.
And it is way better for you to rather...
Like the Kung Fu Panda 4 of medical innovations.
What was Lena Kahn's example with...
We could use something similar to those...
Why cannot I think of the one?
Inhalers.
Inhalers, where they made the tiny...
The inhalers were about to become like public domain.
And then they adjusted, they changed the plastic part of the cap on the inhalers
so that they could renew the patent and continue charging a higher price.
My argument is they just made it worse.
Like it has a little...
little strap on there or whatever when you take the cap off so it stays on but now it's
annoying and people are annoying that was the only thing they added and it to maintain the so most of
drug R&D in the US R&D expense is going into making iterative versions of drugs that
already exist so they can renew their ownership over that thing and maintain the monopoly over
that drug yeah and I think that is the problem is when this defense comes up including when
Trump mentions it during that speech in, you know, his Trump fashion where he kind of explains
it but doesn't identify it. It's very weird. But all I'm saying is people rarely talk about that
part. It's just like, well, it's getting put into discovering new cures for things, but that
isn't really the case. And the financial incentives aren't necessarily there for it to be the case.
That completely makes sense. I agree with that. I just, I just want to, I'm just always cautious when
people's takeaway is like, fuck all these companies are pieces of shit. It's like, no, actually,
it's really important that companies develop new drugs.
Right? Of course. And I just want to make sure that we're also acknowledging that there is good to pharmaceutical companies making money. Should they be making this much money? No, I don't think so. Should they be doing what they're doing like you just described and doing iterative drugs and then using that as excuse to profit like crazy? No, that's obviously bullshit and that shouldn't happen. But there needs, we do need some kind of financial ability for drugs to be developed. And that's all. And just, and even another angle of this is maybe what needs to change, the vast majority of the price of developing a new drug.
is actually trials.
It is getting it through FTC.
Oh my God, I'm blam.
FDA, yeah.
So getting it through FDA.
So that's where the majority
of the cost of developing a drug comes from.
And I've heard from multiple scientists.
I don't know enough about this to comment on it.
But it's a sentiment I've seen multiple times
from biologists of the process
to get new drugs approved
is actually too arduous
and cumbersome and expensive.
And there might be a way to,
obviously not remove all clinical studies,
but maybe streamline it in some way
or make it more efficient
or something to have certain rules
for different types of drugs
so you can incentivize a company
to develop a new drug
without them needing to make
some obscene amount of profit on the back end.
Yeah, that's all.
There's obviously like everything,
there's nuance.
And the system that we have is abysmal.
It's terrible.
It's abysmal.
I'll just say I looked at the numbers
because that has a similar thought,
but I wanted to get the stats
and they're pretty damning for the pharma companies
in that the majority of the profit they make
goes more to, over half goes to marketing
versus R&D.
and, you know, the bonuses they're paying out to executives.
Right.
It's insane.
It's just not enough going to R&D that you'd expect this argument to work.
And I will say, I keep using the insulin example because it's the one I can remember easily,
but there's other drugs.
But like insulin in Canada sells for $12 a vial and it costs them $2 to $4 to make.
It also cost $2 to $4 to make and they sell it for 104 in America.
That extra, I mean, a $12 to $4 to $8 profit, that's a huge profit margin already in Canada.
They're making enough to be a justifiable working business if that was the same everywhere.
So the idea that it has to be a thousand percent or two thousand percent is absurd.
Like it wouldn't exist in any market where they hadn't captured the government and are using it as a pay ping.
When the profit, the profit comes from somebody.
Yeah.
The person paying the increased prices is patience in America.
It isn't like appearing out of-
So again, a huge, we have a massive budget deficit problem.
A huge part of that goes to Medicare and Medicaid, which are just paying absurd.
absurd above list prices for all these drugs.
I mean, yeah, American tax payer is a global pay pay.
It is crazy when you think about the expenditure per capita ratio of our health care
spending compared to other countries.
For lower quality, lower quality.
We don't live as long.
We're sicker.
We're angry.
We're more depressed.
Like, it's not working.
We're paying more.
It is, I mean.
Bring the Bible back.
And it will be like God back into this country.
And into Japan and into it.
I won't God in jackets into my body by Novo Nortes.
One thing, this is, I got it.
I'm sorry.
AI might help.
No, no, no.
So really, just very briefly, what we talked about last episode, if you watched
the whole thing, towards the end, we talked about the major breakthroughs in drug discovery
because of the tools that people are developing.
One of the things that makes me hopeful is that we can push back on pharma companies by
basically saying, look, we are also developing tools to make drug creation a hundred times cheaper
or a thousand times cheaper and faster. And if you do that, then this excuse of we need to make
$20 billion to make the next drug, that falls away. And so I'm hopeful that that will start to
actually change. Yeah, I mean, me too. I think the core, for me, the core rod of it is lobbying or
the ability to just money in politics, citizen united. Because, you know, it's so funny that even
big mega corpse like Google with fiber or Amazon trying to do health care, they couldn't break in.
Like they were so blocked by the regulatory middleman net that they couldn't even get into
compete and they have all of the money.
And it, no one can actually offer a better service of lower price in these guys because
they have completely monopolized the government to make sure that they have the fattest margins.
That's big short.
That's why I'm not.
Don't talk about my margins.
Nice and fat.
Sure is that.
naked women's or what I'm negative women.
So yeah, I mean, that is, to me, it's one of the more radicalizing things.
Like, when you read about American healthcare, there's just nothing good about it.
And it's not somebody getting, you know, a worst product at a worst price.
They're just dying.
People are dying.
Families are dying every day.
It's horrendous.
We have such a shit healthcare system for such a rich country.
You might even.
I push back.
You might take action.
There's ways that are positive.
There's a lot of the best medical talent ends up coming.
made of the U.S.
because of these
kind of gross
problems.
I do agree that the richest people.
There are some diamonds
in the rough.
But broadly it's pretty shit.
If you're talking about like quality,
quality of care
if you have unlimited money.
Yeah.
It's excellent.
Ross, it is.
We have a good system for rich people.
Rich people,
it's solid.
It's very good.
But obviously that is not the best.
I see what you're saying.
If I are the redeeming point
is like there is a need for a private,
like private,
people to have the motivation to seek outcomes in healthcare.
There is a reason to have that.
I think, you know, us, I think to me the COVID vaccines are actually a good
example of that.
It's like, sure, private companies were...
Bill Gates had a private motivation to put a lecher chip in it and the fucking
washing them.
But even though it's not a great example, because basically the governments started
it by saying, we'll pay you a shitload of money.
We guarantee this much business, right?
No, but that's what I mean is like there's a utility of those private
companies in that situation. And I think they're, yeah, anyway. Yeah, I just want to at least,
at least vocalize the nuance because I think it's so easy to be like, fuck the whole system. And it's
like, no, no, no, hold on. There's a lot going on here. There are things we need to preserve,
even if we radically change things, right? You might have a good perspective on this with how many
of your family are working. Right. Everybody in my family are doctors. So to say like all the
health care is worse, everything, it's like, no, this is not true. You have like really, really smart
talented people in the medical industry, but you have perverse incentive. So for example,
if you go to, if you go to medical school and you come out of it, $300,000 in debt. Yeah. And the
option is, do you want to go be a primary care physician where you have to like arguably
harder is the wrong way to put it? But it's an extremely stressful, high volume job. We are cranked
through patients. You don't get to like really follow up with people in a meaningful way because you're
just trying to get through as many as possible. And you get paid less, a lot less than if you go
become a specialist and open your own clinic, right? You become a dermatologist or a
surgeon or whatever else.
It causes us to have a,
a lack of healthcare providers in primary care,
which is some of the most important,
if you were talking about preventative medicine
or whatever else.
And then people, like, in many cases,
the best people, if you're getting surgery,
you know, cancer treatment.
A lot of people come to America
for the best cancer treatment.
And somebody listening is in their derm residency right now.
They're not in their head.
Like, yeah.
Yeah, that's how it is.
I'm helping skin.
I have never, I've never,
talk to a doctor or a healthcare professional who has ever said anything positive about the
insurance companies. Ever.
Drug manufacturers and insurance companies are pretty universally reviled and seem just total
shit. Yeah, 100%.
I mean, we actually covered a lot of ground this time. I like this. We're trying to, for those
of you who are still here, you know, we're trying to hit a new balance. I think the last couple
weeks have like hit one main topic a little harder, squeeze in a few extra things that we think
are really interesting for the week
and keeping Atrox hair
under that hat.
Under that hat.
I have a question
to close us out.
Get your guys thoughts.
Earlier we talked about
how Gen Z is having less sex
than any other generation.
Including like right now,
boomers currently
are having more sex than Gen Z.
So question,
do you think Bernie Sanders
has more sex than Aiden?
Easily.
He probably...
Where is in his hoops better than Aiden?
Dude, shut up.
Is he the guy on our discord?
No.
Is Bernie Sanders?
No.
Bernie Sanders is doing rallies.
Bernie Sanders is doing rallies.
Bernie Sanders get drained every night, dude.
He's doing rallies and he's doing rails at the after party.
I'll tell you that.
Doing rails.
Yeah, actually, you know, it is mid-80s.
That might be the way he's keeping it going.
He's keeping a pepoh.
Wait, and I have one more thing I want to sign us off with
because I feel obligated.
I can't let this topic die on the show because the updates are still continuing.
Okay.
There's no longer a hundred forty-five percent tariff on China.
Oh, right, right.
We've, we've,
That's the title thumbnail.
The tariffs is so hard.
We've paused it.
Yes.
For 90 days.
I mean,
we could do that next time.
I could talk about it again.
30% and,
business is back, baby.
Business is back.
We're bringing it into the port.
Who knows what's possible.
And I do want to be clear.
That's 30% more than it was.
Yeah.
Wait, okay.
Last thing,
we're keeping a story alive.
And we should end.
Is Waymo,
Tesla,
self-driving. Baidu is doing Chinese self-driving, similar to Waymo. They are rolling out in Europe.
They're trying to win the Europe market. There's a big war going over who's going to get,
they're doing it in Switzerland, they're doing it in Italy, I believe. They're just rolling it up.
So the war is, the war is heating up. Dude, it's about to happen over this self-driving global
EV race between China and the U.S. I hope a lot of people don't die, obviously. But man, this is
going to be juicy. This is going to be so interesting. No, no, I'm just saying like I started to
this is going to be so juicy and then realize I was talking about like the Kardashians or something.
Like there are people might die, but like it's going to, it is going to be. It's going to be
drama. There'll be constant.
I mean, that Austin shit with with Tesla in like a month is going to be, it's great. It's going to be
worth watching. And we're going to do it right here on lemonade stand. They get for watching.
Thanks everybody.
