Lemonade Stand - The Space Race is Back | Lemonade Stand 🍋
Episode Date: April 8, 2026On this week's show... Aiden hits the ignition, Atrioc flies to Mars, and DougDoug explains docking. Ft. an interview with @CaptMarkKelly We launched a Patreon! - https://www.patreon.co...m/lemonadestand for bonus episodes, discord access, a book club, and many more ways to interact with the show! Episode: 057 Recorded on: April 7th, 2026 Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCurXaZAZPKtl8EgH1ymuZgg Follow us TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@thelemonadecast Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/thelemonadecast/ Twitter - https://x.com/LemonadeCast The C-suite Aiden - https://x.com/aidencalvin Atrioc - https://x.com/Atrioc DougDoug - https://x.com/DougDougFood Edited by Aedish - https://x.com/aedishedits Thumbnail by Cheyenne DeWolf - https://x.com/cheyedewolf Produced by Perry - https://x.com/perry_jh Segments 0:00 Intro 4:08 The Space Program 8:45 Shuttle Era 12:00 Companies get involved 23:54 Space Race 37:39 Shopify Ad 39:02 Interview Start 1:21:53 Interview Wrap 1:23:00 Iran War 1:38:04 25th Amendment 1:44:54 Outro New takes on Business, Tech, and Politics. Squeezed fresh every Wednesday. #lemonadestand #dougdoug #atrioc #aiden Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Space, the second to last frontier.
The second to last?
You're to the final?
Disney World, I haven't been.
I've lived here for six years.
Alaska. I want to go to Alaska.
It's the third to last frontier.
Hold on. Is it the third?
Like it's a cool frontier
You sound
Okay, you sound terrible
Doug sounds insane
I'm dying
We're falling apart after China
We're back in America
I know China
China does everything better
Their illnesses
We're fucking chocked
Man
We are still in rough shape
All three of us I think
I got beat up on the basketball court
It's all it's all fall apart
Jet mag like revitalized
My cold
I think was almost over it
And then returned home to America
And it was like
Pork
Yeah
That's why we have to go to space.
When actually...
That's why space is the final,
second or third to last.
Second or third.
Between Disney World, Alaska.
You guys need to have gone.
You live right next to it.
Live next to Alaska?
Yeah, either way.
You're close enough to either one.
I think if you do the math,
the moon is as far from Los Angeles as Alaska.
Have you seen that?
Jack, where he said the moon must be closer than Atlanta
because he can see the moon,
but he can't see it.
That's a good point.
That's a great point.
The shack clip where he's talking about, if you fill up your gas tank when it's three quarters full, you're only paying, you're only paying like half as much or something.
He's trying to explain that if you always fill up, you pay less overall.
You pay less gas.
Yeah.
Okay.
Well, there's one big pressing story right now.
And it's that Trump made a very threatening announcement on social media.
Yeah, pull this up, Perry.
look I mean we're going to talk about
the Artemis 2 mission and what's going on with space
and I actually have a lot of questions for you because I don't know too much about it
because I am a simpleton on earth
unlike me who's done a day of
I want to learn more about it
but this tweet did just come out of this truth I'm sorry
and it's it's fucking deranged
a whole civilization will die tonight
never be brought back again
I don't want that to happen but it probably will
we will find out tonight
one of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the world
God bless the great people of
wrong, which is a great thing you can say.
Wow, I thought this one was the, those fucking crazy.
No, I got that one right here.
This is better open the, open the fucking straight, you crazy bastards.
We'd be living in hell.
Just watch.
Praise B to a law.
Do you think he's watching like Rambo and shit like at night?
I mean, he's getting, it's beyond.
He's been like a spree.
Like, it's like sitting down with his mates to watch all of them in a row.
And in between each movie, he does a new tweet.
So I think it's, you know, it's fair to call the, the language and the threats here as
absolutely insane. And the reason we aren't talking about this is like the main section of the
episode right now is we're recording this a few hours before the supposed deadline of when
Trump is threatening action at the moment. And so by the time you're listening to this,
something will have potentially happened. And we'd be guessing a lot in the discussion.
We're going to talk a little bit about Iran, about the Iran war later in this episode.
but we have an interview lined up with Senator Mark Kelly,
former astronaut and want to talk about the Artemis program
and some of the things that have been going on with that.
And then we'll do some Iran discussion at the end of this episode
that by the time you listen to this, depending on what happens...
Yeah, we'll almost certainly be at a date.
We're either a backdown, which is I'm praying for, right?
God, we hope so.
Based on what he's done, likely the outcome is that he'll back down.
But if he doesn't, then he's crossed a truly insane line.
and then whatever we say
will be completely out of date.
So we're sort of,
we're keeping updated on it
and we'll talk about it more next week.
But it's our first.
We're gonna look like real goofs
if we post this video tomorrow,
right, as World War III has started.
Yeah, we're talking about, God.
Yeah, yeah.
It's officially started and we're just like,
the space space episode.
It's like we're in World War III.
That is a real outcome,
but we can't do the World War III episode
before it happens.
But I do want to talk about Artemis.
So for the people that don't know,
the current ongoing mission.
Here, bring this up while you're talking.
This is a, if you go to NASA.gov slash track Artemis,
you can see right now where the Orion capsule currently is in their mission around the moon.
Go ahead, Aidan.
It's cool.
It's an interactive thing.
They made in unity.
Yeah, so this is the first mission ever where we've sent humans around the dark side of the moon.
We've, it.
Oh, shit.
Or anything around?
Not anything.
Technically, technically one of the Apollo missions.
We did go around the moon.
moon. They literally like the oxygen tanks were
brake or helium tanks were breaking so they had to slingshot around the back of the moon.
Okay.
But this is the first planned one.
Okay.
Like literally?
The first intended around the dark side of the moon.
And one of the crazy things about this other than I don't think we've sent humans
even around the moon in a really, in decades, is the length of time that they went fully
without communications to Earth.
Like as soon as they go around
that other side of the moon,
they're completely in the dark.
And we don't know until they come back around
whether or not they're okay,
able to communicate with them again.
And you have been looking into this
the most in preparation for this interview.
Anything else that really stands out?
Okay, I want to give a brief outline
of the NASA history and what led up to this.
And I'm actually going to make an argument
that I hope,
Senator Mark Kelly, who's like a badass astronaut, by the way, that we're going to get to talk to.
Hopefully doesn't watch this part of the episode.
I don't think this mission's that hype.
It's the upcoming ones that are really hype.
Oh, there's more?
Yeah. So this is, it's the first stage of a big program that's being run.
There's an Artemis Expanded Universe.
Yeah, yeah.
The ACU.
Yeah, okay.
All right.
And I'll tell you how it lines up with Marvel Civil War later.
You're always excited for that part.
You're excited for that.
The crazy thing is there's like a new, it's the equivalent of the D.C.E.
DC Universe, China's been now kicking off their own.
Okay, I see.
Like, actually, it's getting kind of crazy.
I think there's a lot of really exciting stories about this beyond this mission, weirdly
enough, even though this mission is pretty hype.
Okay, some key timelines in America's space exploration.
1961, our boy JFK says, we're going to go to the moon.
We're going to beat the Russians there, right?
So by 1967, we start running the Apollo missions, and they run through 1972.
It's like five years.
And I think the framing for this at the time is in the greater space race.
the USSR is kind of crushing the US.
Like they're beating us to every first space milestone
of like first person in space, first.
And I, there's kind of a, there's a short list
of like first space accomplishments.
And then we kind of shift the goalposts
and say, we will get to the moon first.
And that will be kind of the American point
of success in this grander space way.
They had Sputnik, the first satellite.
First satellite for human.
And then people were freaking out.
And then JFK said, no, we got this.
He said, we'll go to the moon in this decade and do the other thing.
And I never knew what the other thing was.
Does anyone know what that is?
That's an iconic line.
But he just said, we'll go to the moon and we'll do the other thing.
And I don't know the other thing was bonner.
What was the other thing, bro?
Trump is filling JFK's legacy.
They didn't want us to know.
I see.
That was a secret of the time.
That's why the Trump ran CIA killed him.
So what's crazy?
Trump.
Dude, I feel like most people, and by that, I mean literally me until yesterday, just kind of thought we landed on the moon once.
We did it six times. We faked it six times, which is...
That's a dedication to faking it.
Why would you risk that?
They're talking about the other five times.
No, literally. It's like we talk, you hear faking the moon landing so much as a conspiracy.
I think it literally warped my brain into thinking we went one time.
We went six fucking times. People walked on the moon six times, including like a geologist for the
one. Once you build an expensive soundstage in LA, you have to use it more than once. Otherwise,
you're not getting your money's worth. We owned it. We weren't renting it. So it's like,
so we got to keep using this. Otherwise, you're breaking the lease. Okay, so this is the Apollo era.
Badass. In fact, Apollo is actually the brother of Artemis, which is why this most recent one
is named Artemis, the program. So it's like the revival of it. All right. So Apollo, this is like
the big, awesome one that we did super well. And this is like a five-year period and there's a whole
bunch of missions. There's 17, ends with Apollo 17.
And so then
we're kind of silent for a while,
and we shift to the space shuttle era. So,
you know, if you've seen the Aetish,
pull up a picture of a space shuttle, whatever
you think looks coolest. The coolest one. Yeah, the coolest
looking one. Space shuttle is the one where it looks
like, you know, I guess, an airplane or
something on the side of a rocket. And the whole idea
is we're going to make it more reusable, so
it's cheaper. Head of their
time. So that's like a 30-year period. It's
1981 until 2011. So, like, when we were
kids, the space shuttle program was still running. Not only that, Senator Mark Kelly did one of the last
ones. He was commander on one of the last space shuttle missions. And I want to ask him about this maybe,
unless he'll be upset. He'll say, no one talks to me about that. He'll end the call. He was
scheduled to do the final one. He was scheduled to be the commander of the final space shuttle
mission. And then Congress was like, nah, let's do one more. Like at the very end. So he doesn't get to
have the honor. So like in the Wikipedia, it's like he was the last, I forget it's,
So he still did it.
They just did one after?
They did one after, yeah.
So this is like, you know, one of the big success eras of the space shuttle.
And so at this point, what's critical to recognize here is this all becomes about low Earth orbit.
We're not going into deep space anywhere.
We're not going to the moon.
So like once Apollo ends in 1972, we are not going to the moon ever again.
That's the last time someone walked on the moon?
Yeah.
Not only last time someone walked on the moon.
It's last time we've sent people near the moon or anything like this.
So the space shuttle era, that 30-year period, was just.
just low Earth orbit and is basically about setting up the International Space Station.
We did other things, got like the Hubble, you know, Hubble Telescope and these all these other things.
But there's like 135 missions here.
A couple hundred people went into space through this.
So, you know, it's a big era for the United States and we have this iconic thing.
But then it starts to just become so expensive.
The reusability is not really working out.
They're having to refurbish everything.
It's a lot of money.
And eventually we're like, this program doesn't really make sense anymore.
So it gets shuttered.
And so from 2011 to 2020, America did not have a way to send astronauts into space,
which is kind of wild.
We're the ones who got people to the moon.
We did space shuttle for 30 years, and we just didn't have a thing.
And so for that nine-year period, we paid Russia to put our astronauts on their rockets to send to the International Space Station.
It was, I believe the number was 80 or 90 million per seat where we're like, hey, please send our guys into space to the space station together.
And you had to go into, like, Kazakhstan and take one of their rockets.
it's kind of wild.
So that's how we were getting people
to the ISAS during that period of time?
So for a nine-year period, America was paying Russia.
They had to drive out to Kazakhstan
with a briefcase full of $90 million.
Yeah, yeah.
To hand it out of.
Dark shades.
The president had to do.
Obama had to do.
Obama had to handoff and they just like took them off.
Russia would say, we're not taking the money
unless it comes from the top.
What if they took them to their own fake soundstage?
What if it was all?
That's true.
Because Kazakhstan is famous for a lot of soundstages
in Hollywood industry.
Okay.
You know, I do think it's crazy, though.
I think a lot of people think it's crazy.
But it's crazy that we went to the moon.
I didn't know six times, but six times.
Yeah.
And then in 72, we just stopped.
We just stopped.
And it's been 50 years and we're just like, no one.
No one on the other country has been like, let's do that.
We should also go.
Yeah.
We should whatever else.
That's so wild to me.
Yeah.
And it just became an international space station.
Okay.
So here's where it starts to get cool.
And I think there's fun dynamics with company stuff on top of the coolness of space.
So early,
early 2010's, we don't have a space program. So NASA decides to kind of pivot. And in 2014,
they give private contracts to companies to build a crew vehicle to the ISS. So the companies
would own it and NASA would utilize them and pay them. So a big shift from how it was done in the
past where NASA designs everything pays all these contractors and they run everything. So they
paid Boeing $4.2 billion and SpaceX $2.6 billion. And both of them were like, both of you,
please go make a new spacecraft that you can launch our guys into the ISS.
So you may have heard about this recently.
So SpaceX proceeded to absolutely fucking crush it.
They delivered it on time under budget and now have done dozens, I believe, of missions
where they take people to the ISS.
SpaceX currently is America's essentially only way of getting astronauts to space.
And that's one of those things that, you know, you can be a certified Elon hater,
but it's fucking incredible.
Because of them, we have incredibly cheap, affordable access to space.
Boeing, on the other hand, which is a fun little side story.
So they, again, start 2014, end up missing milestones and missing milestones.
And then they try to launch something at it like the tests aren't working their thing.
And then they send it to NASA and there's a big problem.
Finally, you might have heard about this in 2024.
This is four years after SpaceX has successfully gone.
They launched their starliner and they send it to the ISS and then parts break when they get to the
the International Space Station.
And two astronauts get off.
And this is in 2024,
and they realize it's not safe enough
to bring it home.
So they have to send Boeing ship
back to Earth with no one in it.
And the crew instead of staying there
for, I think it was like,
you know, nine days or something,
they're there for nine months
until eventually SpaceX goes and saves them.
So I just want to...
Well, I don't trust the Boeing Dreamliner
to fly a plane on real ground,
let alone this...
Whenever I'm a boring plane,
I'm always a little bit more nervous than usual.
Yes.
So it's like, yeah, of course.
You know, all the corporate decline you hear about Boeing and their planes getting worse?
This has been happening in the space program where they were one of like the key players in the early days
where they were making huge parts of these rockets and a shuttle system.
If their main industry is planes and they can't handle that, I don't trust them on their side business of doing NASA's contract job of making space.
Like that, of course.
There was two dreamlier accidents within this time period where everyone on board died.
Yeah.
Everyone.
It was like hundreds of people.
So they are years and years and years over budget.
Fortunately, NASA has been switching in a lot of projects, particularly these, this is like
the commercial crew era, particularly when they go to private companies now and they say you
make a thing, we're going to use it.
It's fixed price rather than cost plus.
Cost plus means that if I pay you to make a thing, you charge me whatever it takes you
to make it plus 15% profit, right?
So cost plus is, if you take three extra years to do it, that means you're
making money the whole time and not only do the cost keep going up, the bonus goes up and I have
to pay all of it. Fixed price by contrast means you have $4 billion make the thing. If you go over,
it's on you. So fortunately, these projects were fixed price where Boeing has basically done such a
horrific job that they've lost over $2 billion. They were given $4.2. They're $2 billion over. And NASA has
said, like, we don't know when we'll be using Starliner next. Probably we'll do four more
missions with you instead of six. So there's, it's in the air whether they're even going to trust
Boeing to do any more of these things after they've already spent $6 billion. So fortunately,
this is one where like taxpayers aren't on the hook for Boeing doing a terrible job. Sure.
And so they've been an absolute disaster. And it's funny because they're also contributing to what's
going on currently with Artemis.
But this is like the commercial era.
And all this, all this again was to basically rebuild the American system.
So there's multiple companies that can get human beings to the ISS.
And maybe you can speak to this.
My understanding is that this is seen as pretty successful because ultimately what they
get is a comparatively cost effective option from SpaceX compared to the previous era
where NASA was paying for like in-house or proprietary designs of these ships.
Yes. And what's really interesting about this Artemis program is that it's now a hybrid of those two models.
It's really strange. So basically, yes, this commercial era has been very successful.
To put it differently, the truth is, SpaceX has been really successful. They have brought the price down.
I mean, you can do missions for like $100 million now compared to the billions it would take in the past and is taking forward.
Artemis, right? So SpaceX has succeeded at making crude launches and general space travel vastly
cheaper than anyone else. So in that sense, massive win for NASA. And now we, America, there's a,
there's a space program. So now we get to Artemis, which is this program everybody's talking about.
So now, this is straight up NASA again saying, hey, for decades now, we've only focused on low
Earth orbit. We've focused on getting satellites into space and launching telescopes and the
International Space Station.
Artemis program is specifically to get a sustained presence on the moon.
Our goal now by NASA explicitly is we are going to make a moon base.
And so this is what this launch is.
This is Artemis 2.
This is one of the, you know, the thing that we're talking about, this moon mission.
This is the second of the five currently planned missions where we are progressively working
towards getting a moon base.
So this one, this one's just a flyby though, right?
That's my understanding.
They're not just studying the moon?
Yeah, so there's five currently, like concrete missions with obviously their intention that
would be more in the future.
Artemis one, I believe happened two years ago.
That's an uncrewd test of the rocket system and Orion and all this stuff that they shoot in
space.
So two years ago, it was like, let's just make sure this can get into deep space.
This is Artemis 2.
So this is round two of the whole program.
And this is why we are sending humans to the moon, but not onto the moon, right?
They're flying around the moon.
And really the core mission here is.
test that all this stuff works, test that humans survive, test that we can get in and out of deep
space, all these things with actual humans, right? So what I think is actually the really
exciting one is Artemis 3 is meant to happen next year, 2027, and that's going to be a test
to dock with the commercial moon lander, which will get into it a sec, and that'll take them
to the moon and back, but basically they're going to do like a docking and undocking sort of
romantic gesture in space. And then Artemis 4.
So even on three, they're not landing on the moon yet.
Correct. They're not even going to the moon.
They're in mid orbit.
They're really teasing this moon landing.
Don't be so impatient.
This is a problem.
You're always on your phone.
The boomer's got a moon landing in the 70s, in the 60s.
I'm looking at Artemis trail.
My phone, I'm swiping up.
Why isn't it at the moon yet?
Artemis 2, 3, 4.
Okay, okay.
Which Artemis number do boots hit the ground?
Four.
So the plan is early 2028.
we're going to the fucking moon.
Human beings are landing on the moon on Artemis 4.
We are on 2 right now.
So again,
one is just,
hey,
can our shit get into deep space?
Let's double check that.
Two is can our humans get into deep space?
Let's send them around the moon.
They're going to look at it.
They're literally going to look at it.
It's going to be cool and it's going to be hype.
And we're going to show we're ready to do this.
Artemis 3 is testing that basically the system that's going to get them to and from the moon.
Artemis 4 is when they are on the moon.
Artemis 5 would in theory be later that year or the following year, like late 20,
2029 and that's like they're not only going to the moon we're starting to establish the
base they're sending hammers and they're going to start yeah and just hammers because we're
going to use moon rocks hammers and flex seal you want to use the local delicacies it's such a it feels like
such a long timeline for something that is all done on sound stages yeah it is crazy you know
I got a question for you as a recent space expert because I watched project Hail Mary in Hong Kong
oh yeah are they um are they scouting hot school teachers for
solo missions for this.
Is that,
there's the goal is to get a quippy,
uh,
school teacher.
And he goes like,
I don't know if I can be on the mission.
I don't fucking,
sorry,
I've got a lot of baggage about this movie.
I got a lot of everybody loves it.
I'm like the only person who doesn't like it.
It's got,
I'm going insane.
To be clear,
I do like it.
But I don't think it's,
uh,
one of the top 50 movies of all time according to IUD is a very
reddeter loved movie.
But is that,
are we going to ask,
Senator Mark Kelly.
That's incredibly decorated.
Eric Pilot.
Space commander, senator.
We're gonna have to ask him, hey, did they,
were you someone who was back on Earth disillusioned,
and then a British professor said,
follow me and took you into a lab?
It was like hidden behind some bushes.
She's German in the movie.
Oh, is she, okay, I'm going off of interstellar, by the way.
Do you think you were kind of like a Ryan Gosling type?
Mark Kelly, do you think, would you describe the new candidates
for the moon missions to be, uh, Redditor Cor?
I have in terms of important questions.
Did, when they asked you to command your first mission, were you sitting on the front porch of an old kind of cabin smoking a cigarette? And when they came up, you said, Sergeant, it's been a long time. You know I gave that all up. Because that's the only people they hire. It's one who said they've given it all up. Did you have a moon model mission out of duct tape and string to like showcase the NASA's plan and then everyone agree with it and made you the greatest? I'm sorry. Let's, I say, sir, there might not be a humanity left.
item budget and seen like a $150,000 for original Hans Zimmer soundtrack
that plays in the cabin.
That would actually be worth it.
If we had an original NASA Hans Zimmer soundtrack for each Artemis mission.
But fixed cost, I swear to God.
If Han Zimmer keeps driving up the price for two years.
Hans Zimmer always goes cost plus.
Yeah, he's classicly cost plus.
I will say the, uh, if you have it the stream at all, you seen the stream?
Yeah, yeah.
There was a hundred, 150,000 on Twitch yesterday when they hit the,
So they hit the record for the farthest we've ever been from Earth.
Yeah.
We hit that.
Cool milestone.
And there was 600,000 people watching on YouTube.
Yeah, YouTube was massive.
It's like a huge, I mean, this is like, this is genuinely an incredible moment of people being excited about space and realizing this.
And we, like, I want to say the hard parts are done.
But getting to hear to Artemis 2 is a lot harder than no program, you know.
It was like a global chat.
Everyone was pretty excited.
And I heard this is the first one where they had the ability to stream 4K video while they were doing it.
That was the idea.
didn't seem 4K to me, but I guess I don't know.
That's what I read.
Yeah.
And so it was pretty cool.
Okay, I had a question.
So there's this timeline that we have for this set of missions to land on the mood again.
But isn't China has their own set of missions, they're trying to get there in a faster period of time or a similar period of time?
Yeah.
I don't, I didn't write down like all the exact timelines.
Basically, they have been sending landers that are going to the moon.
They landed on the, I want to say, far.
our side of the moon, or South Pole, I forget which.
But they did that before us. They, like, landed a robot, did it for a try.
Their space program is matured insanely fast.
They also now have their own international space station they've had for a few years.
The U.S. is, like, trying to set up these space accords so that we can all agree.
Everybody will sign a pledge to say, this is how we're going to deal with taking land on the
moon and how we're going to do with disputes and getting rid of how you're going to dispose of
things in the space area.
if it falls to Earth or the moon or whatnot,
it's called the Artemis Accords,
and China won't sign it.
And so there's genuinely a space race going on now.
China has explicitly said that their goal
is to land someone on the moon before 2030.
So there's a genuine race going on here.
Our best timelines right now for Artemis 4's early 2028.
We have someone on the moon.
But what's crazy is, in fact, let's get into this.
The thing that's really strange about Artemis,
There's three components that are going to get us to the moon, okay?
Versus, the space launch system.
This is essentially the rocket and all the things that you imagine that, you know,
take our payload into orbit.
This has been a NASA directed thing.
It's with a whole bunch of traditional kind of aerospace contractors.
It's been very expensive and very slow.
But we have a thing that as of a couple days ago, we successfully launched somebody into space, right?
Then there's Orion, which is the capsule that the crew are in.
So generally with space, you have the giant rocket that gets the,
the payload into space, then the payload goes off and does its own thing. So, um, Orion is what the
human beings right now in space are in. They're driving the thing around. They're going to come back.
However, NASA's part of the whole role does not include getting Orion, which is where the people are
in to and from the moon. So that piece, which is a pretty important part of going to the moon,
we have getting them into space. We have them being in space and we need to get them to the moon and
back. That part is going to private contractors. So they put out contracts for companies to pitch
that they could get Orion the capsule to and from the moon. Guess who won the contract?
It was SpaceX. So SpaceX, they wanted to give two different providers the option to like get
Orion to and from the moon. In 2021, they gave the $3 billion contract to SpaceX. And it was,
they wanted to give it to multiple people, but they said they didn't have the funds. So Blue Origin,
which is Jeffrey Bezos's company.
Jeffrey B.
Very, very unimproven company so far,
although they're starting to do basic things, right?
We've talked about this a little bit in the past.
They sued, and they said that's not fair.
You can't just give one contract.
We weren't being seriously considered.
And so in 2023, NASA gave them a $3 billion contract
to develop a lander for Artemis.
We should five.
I don't think we were considered.
I don't understand.
I don't think lemonade stand was considered
for making a lander, and we should sue.
Fuck, I knew I forgot to do something.
yesterday.
This is only from the loose description
that I've been given,
but this sounds like
when X or Twitter said
they were gonna sue
because advertisers were leaving the platform.
They sued because they didn't get picked?
I don't know enough details.
I do know that the, I mean,
this is weird because I knew about this
from my dad growing up and like military contractors
and stuff, but my understanding is that like
it's a pretty, it needs to be
as transparent as possible because these contracts are so valuable. And if someone gets picked really
instantly, almost everybody will sue because they're like, hey, this needs to be like really above
board. You didn't give us a fair shake. Yeah, everyone needs to have a fair shake. And yeah, I mean,
it's like, this happens for like down to like who puts the waste baskets in a building.
I see. Everybody, everybody needs to be given the appropriate amount of time to, to win the contract,
whether it be Blue Origin or a small company run by Jonah Hill and Miles Teller. Like it's, right. Yeah,
John Hill-Miles Teller, you and me and me.
Let's all...
Our military contracting company.
Yeah, I think we could launch a rocket.
I don't know.
Are we referencing the movie again?
There's a...
This episode's gonna rip for people who watch this movie.
Okay, so Blue Origin, you know, and it kind of makes sense, right?
Like, SpaceX is the one who's delivered.
The only other company you contracted with for this type of stuff, Boeing,
fucked it up insanely hard.
So it's like, yeah, you'd probably go with SpaceX.
But Blue Origin protested.
came back with a good contract.
They were given an offer.
And so now there are two competitors to, again, the third, very, very, very, very important and very, very hard part of this whole thing, which is getting the capsule to and from the moon.
It's not just you're getting it to and from the moon.
Remember, you need to get a thing near the moon to then take it to and from the moon with lots of fuel.
That's a hard fucking problem to deal with.
And so both of them are now competing to try to develop the lunar lander that will get this thing to and from the moon.
and that needs to happen by 2028 in two years.
And so how is SpaceX doing?
Well, they're doing fucking terribly.
You know, Starship, the giant ship that they've been talking about
that Elon's been promoting, that's their pitch for how they're going to get it to and from
the moon, a variant of that called the HLS, the human landing system.
So I want to show you this image.
If you pull this up, Perry, this is bonkers.
This is the plan for how SpaceX is going to get Orion to and from the moon.
first off, SpaceX will launch a starship into orbit to serve as a propellant depot.
To put that differently, they're going to launch a starship into space whose whole goal is just to store fuel.
Then SpaceX will launch multiple additional starships as tankers, which will deliver fuel to the depot starship that they have in space.
This is estimated to take 10 to 20 launches they are going to need to send of Starship to go up to fuel the one that they have in space.
finally the HLS starship, the one that will actually go to and from the moon, goes into orbit,
we'll dock with the depot starship, receive all the fuel, and then go to the moon and start hanging
out in the moon's orbit. At this point, later on, NASA's own program will launch Orion into space.
Orion will go to lunar orbit and they will connect in orbit around the moon, at which point
Starship will take it to the moon. They get out, they do whatever they want to do,
Starship will boost back up and continue to hang out in lunar orbit.
So it's not just that SpaceX is like launching a thing that's going to take them.
It's like at least 20 launches of Starship, one of which is a Fuel Depot, 18 or whatever, of
which are tankers, and then the third one is a specialized to take them to and from the moon.
Now, that all sounds awesome in paper, except they haven't launched a single Starship.
This plan takes like 20 launches of Starship, including two different variations.
But okay, so SpaceX is a company that has done a ton of successful launches.
Yes.
But it's just of different rockets or of different equipment than this specific model that they need to develop for this project.
Yeah.
So the ones you see with SpaceX are Falcon.
It's those big rockets and there's Falcon, the Shalkan heavy, and that can take crew to and from the ISS.
It can take a ton and has taken tons of satellites into low Earth orbit.
That is different than, one, getting into deep space around the moon.
and two, Starship is meant to be way, way, way, way bigger.
They just want to have a much larger payload in part for this mission
and in part because SpaceX sees that as an important part of their future.
Why do we need this giant tanker in 20 launches for a moon lander that's...
You said they're only handling the part between the Artemis ship and the moon and back.
Yes.
And they need all this?
I want to scrutinize this.
Like, that's my first reaction to.
It sounds stupid, I'm sure.
But in reality, it's like, I don't work.
I know nothing about this.
I want to say this is...
Well, I learned from him.
I'm sorry, that I, as a simpleton, can probably just, like, ask the right question.
It's, it's like one piece.
You just need to remember how much you love your friends.
Yeah, exactly.
And then you'll be able to get to and from the moon.
I think the main thing is this is...
Because they didn't have this for the moon lander in the 70s.
So what is the...
I think it's twofold.
And honestly, we could ask Mark Kelly a little bit.
Because it does seem crazy to me.
I think the idea is that SpaceX is saying what would be like the
ideal version. And the ideal version is that you have this massive ship that can take a huge
amount of payload to and from the moon. Back in the Apollo program, we were like getting,
we were getting astronauts there with like a rover and they would explore and then they came
back. But the plan of the Artemis mission is to establish a moon base, right? It's a different
beast. We're not just trying to get humans there to like say hello and plant a flag. The idea is
we are going to ship an enormous amount of stuff there. So an actual base can be established.
Ideally on the south side where there's frozen water. Like there's ice. And that's going to be
really important to like maintaining a base and getting more fuel and all this stuff.
I think I, you know, this is obviously I'm not an expert to be able to say this, but it's,
it's revealing like how complex this stuff is getting. And this is, this is SpaceX's proposal.
I never thought it was easy. Yeah, I'll put that out there. I figured, I figured this was hard.
I mean, it's just the moon. You can see it from your freaking house. And so you can go, I mean,
you can go to like the Starship HLS Wikipedia page where this, where this is. And, and there
are some like cool grass. Here's one where from NASA's perspective, they're like sending Orion into
space and then they're going to and from the moon via the starship thing. But Elon and SpaceX are behind.
And that's what's kind of crazy about this. They're now currently a year behind. A year ago,
they were supposed to do a test just to test this idea of these things refueling each other in space.
That hasn't even been tested. Starship hasn't gotten up and back. So while you got to give credit to
SpaceX, they've been a phenomenally successful, like just bad, like incredibly influential and
successful company with aerospace. So the past, you know, two decades now, they are behind on
this. And they're seemingly pretty far behind. And so what NASA is doing, do you think the,
the secret to space refueling is somehow hidden in UK politics? Because that is what Eelona spent
90% of his time talking about. Yeah, it is, it is certainly. I'm wondering if maybe they're connected.
Like, he's trying to find the- It's funny reading about this and being like, the complexity of this
company is going way, way, way up.
And then he's...
Way, way less about space. But if Doge
can cut out the inefficiencies of NASA,
then this suddenly becomes an easy thing.
Okay, tying it back to Artemis just real quick.
Right now, Artemis is going to the moon and back.
This is entirely the NASA program, right?
But starting on Artemis 3 onwards,
that's when the private companies are required,
because they are the pieces that are going to get you
to and from the moon, right? Right now,
SpaceX is behind. So even though,
while SpaceX won the original contract,
For Artemis 3, the one happening next year, that is now open.
Instead of just being SpaceX, NASA has basically said, hey, we're open to whichever company gets their first.
Same with Artemis 4, same with Artemis 5.
Like, it's now kind of up in the air of if Blue Origin proves they can do it first, they might be the ones to get to the moon, even though in concept SpaceX is supposed to have the next two locked down.
Have they proven, what has Blue Origin proved up until this point?
Like, they got Katie Perry into space?
They got Katie Perry in space.
But besides that, what else, what's their track record in being able to compete in this space?
I believe they got to low Earth orbit.
This is where I don't know enough to say confidently.
I mean, they're way behind.
I believe they have one successful low Earth orbit launch.
But it's just, you know, it's nowhere near and proven compared to SpaceX doing 100 of them.
But so tying this all back to China, and I want to ask Senator Kelly about,
this because he mentioned we have to beat China to the moon in like an interview he did about this. China again,
they're planning for getting to the moon by 2030. I have a quote here from a New York Times article
was. Yes. So getting to the moon by 2030. Our plan is to be landing on the moon in 2028. But it depends.
It requires either SpaceX or Blue Origin to have an extraordinarily difficult chunk of this process done.
They're currently behind, and they are going to potentially be the, you know, the barrier between us actually hitting that timeline or China getting their first.
Yeah, they say Chinese astronauts are aiming for a first millennium to 2030, as you said.
In theory, many months after the U.S.
But the Artemis program has been proceeding in fits and starts while Chinese space program has been driving forward with formidable focus.
And even NASA acknowledges that it may lose this round.
They may be early.
And recent history suggests we may be late.
This is Isaacman, the guy from NASA.
Yeah.
So it's clearly like it, like if timelines go, like you say, according to plan, the U.S. is ahead on this landing.
Well, I don't.
I wonder what it matters.
If it's a few months difference here.
Yeah.
I mean, I would like to ask if there's the symbolism of it, there's potentially it's like whoever gets there first, like gets the prime territory.
Yeah.
I don't know.
I don't know how it works.
Yeah.
Each country wants to build a base near the southern pole where it can extract resources like frozen water, hydrogen and helium.
Each wants to build nuclear power, nuclear reactors.
on the moon to power its lunar bases,
and each wants to launch missions from the moon
to go into deeper space.
Yeah.
So there's,
I mean,
this is,
the explicit goal of this by NASA
is that we build a moon base,
which helps serve as the launching point
to go to Mars.
So there's the long-term focus here.
I just hope those crazy bastards close the moon.
It's like,
first of all,
true.
Second of all,
if I want to go to Mars,
I never book a flight with a layover.
I want nonstop.
And I do not want to be stopping at the moon.
It's a pain in the ass.
The moon's airport fucking,
The Moon's Air Force.
Do you know how expensive McDonald's is in that place?
It's not good.
And so maybe you could have a fucking moonstop, but I'm going direct.
I fly direct to Mars.
Right, you're a bit of a direct guy.
Yeah.
It's like, I don't know if I'm picky.
And I'm going to get on this line.
And I'm going to be on Mars.
Okay, and it'll be nice.
Whoever is first to establish a lunar base will be most likely to have a greater say over what
others can do on the moon.
Humanity still operates by first come first served rules.
Well, yeah, it's moon rules
Bro, moon rules.
You think there's rules on the moon.
I mean, I guess what do you,
like if someone makes a base in a spot you want,
you can't do anything about it.
You'd pick something else.
Oh, you could fight them with moon rocks.
Or worse, I guess.
I guess with Trump, I never fucking know.
He might declare a fucking moon war.
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Where am I going to be selling?
Doug, how is this a business?
How is this a business?
What are you selling?
It's shirts.
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No, it's a fact. It's like a fact machine. Well, because what we're going to do, we're going to launch a
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We have laid the groundwork, I think, but we have Senator Mark Kelly joining us
who will undoubtedly know more about this than we do.
And we'll say out.
Speak for yourself, okay?
I watched Hail Mary.
Tell them, tell them about the layovers.
I might ask you.
You might have you ready for that conversation.
All right, let's get into it.
Senator Mark Kelly, thank you so much for joining the program.
We've been gassing you up about your incredible history.
And we are really excited to talk with you about the Artemis program, about NASA,
about your experience with all of this.
Yeah, and we already learned in our little pre-show chat here that the actual moon landing is
Artemis 5, not Artemis 4?
So good we brought on a real expert.
Is there, or did I get that wrong?
There's no way of knowing.
I will ask Senator Markelly.
I guess could you start and maybe just, you know, the quick kind of overview of what this
current mission happening is, why it's important in your eyes, all the good stuff from
an actual expert on this?
Well, let me start with Artemis 1, which was a few years ago, where we flew the Orion
capsule with nobody in it.
I think they may have a mannequin sitting in one of the seats.
no humans on board and basically did this mission, right?
Go around the moon with Orion, which was a spacecraft, which is the capsule,
launched on a rocket called SLS, which is a rather big and powerful 8.8 million pounds of thrust,
you know, rocket to get this thing all the way to the moon and back.
And that launched a few years ago now, I think maybe, I don't know, three or four years ago.
And this is the second mission.
So this is the same mission done with all the life support systems you need on board,
the extra redundancy and the spacecraft that you want for crew members.
So for crew members to go around the moon on what's called a free return trajectory,
which is when they do their trans lunar injection bird, that's also their deorbit burn,
which normally, like on the space shuttle you do in orbit around the earth,
but this thing comes back from the moon at 25,000 miles an hour,
hits the atmosphere.
Not much you can do about it.
And, you know, hopefully on Friday they'll get home safely.
Artemis 3 and 4 are going to be missions in low Earth orbit
testing out the landers provided by probably Blue Origin and SpaceX.
And then the fifth mission will be down to the surface of the moon with astronauts.
So that's the summary.
And then missions after that should also be down to the surface of the moon.
And where we can build what I would say is kind of a more of a permanent presence there,
like we did in Lower Earth orbit with the space station, which was always my destination when I went into space.
So what would you say is the importance of us doing that and maybe also the speed at which we do it?
I know we were talking earlier before we had you on about China also racing to establish
a presence on the moon as well.
So if you could speak to both of those things.
Well, I mean, it's always good to be first, right?
And I know we were, obviously, we were first to the moon in the 1960s,
regardless of what all those nuts out there say that we never went to the moon.
It faked it six times.
That's why I heard.
A lot of fakes.
I mean, the Soviets congratulated us.
The people we were in the competition with.
That was also staged.
Yeah, they were also in on it, I think.
No, it's always sad to see that, you know, people don't believe like reality.
Anyway, it's, I do not want to see Chinese astronauts walking around on the moon before we get back there again here.
So does that really matter?
I think it does.
Some people might say, well, big deal.
We, as the United States of America, we have been always on the leading edge of technology.
doing hard things, exploration.
Hey, we're the only people that successfully land stuff on Mars, right?
The Russians have tried a lot of times, and they always crash.
And we're good at this stuff.
The Chinese are sort of competition with us now in a lot of different levels,
a lot of technology, a lot of innovation.
In some military technology, they've gotten a little bit ahead of us.
My goal here on the Armed Services Committee in the United States Senate is get us to catch up.
So why is this important?
So if we're going to be explorers, which is just in our DNA, it's in our nature to do that as humans.
We always want to see what's across the ocean, what's over the next hill, you know, what's on the next planet.
We're going to go out there and explore.
And if we're going to explore Mars someday and the rest of this solar system, we're going to
We got to make a more permanent step off of this planet.
So it's important we do that.
And we get something out of it.
You know, people sometimes say to me,
why do we spend all this money in space?
Well, first of all, NASA's budget is pretty small.
It's less than 1% of the federal budget.
But the money isn't spent in space.
It's spent, you know, here on the ground, good paying jobs.
People can raise a family on.
but also jobs that produce advancements in technology.
And NASA doesn't just create stuff.
You know, it creates industries.
So that's why we need to do this.
Ultimately, I don't think we have a choice.
And I think America needs to continue to lead in this kind of endeavor.
What do you think of the big hurdles between us landing on the moon in the next couple of years?
We talked about how the, you know, Artemis program will have SLS launch Orion, and then that
will dock with one of the landers that is either from SpaceX or Blue Origin.
It seems to a non-expert like myself that there's an enormous amount still to be done and tested.
And I'm curious from your perspective, do you feel like we're 10% of the way there, 90%?
Like, what are the giant bottlenecks?
Like, how does, you know, the average person, yeah.
Well, I think you've got to figure it out.
There's some, we got a lot of stuff we got to do before we're able to get there.
and put people down to the surface.
We've got to build these landers and test them in low Earth orbit.
One of the other challenges is that when we designed Artemis as a mission,
you know, missions to the moon, multiple ones,
we decided that we want to make this system like kind of reusable.
And to do that, it's not like Apollo.
And Apollo, the lander and the service module and the capsule all went.
in one unit, you know, on a, you know, a Saturn 5 rocket, a pretty big, you know, biggest rocket
ever built at the time. This is separating the crew, putting the crew on a human-rated
SLS to get the crew to the moon in an Orion capsule, join up with the lander, and then get this,
you know, this system, you know, back. And to get that lander there is on, on a, you know,
on a starship or New Glenn rocket by SpaceX and Blue Origin,
you have to refuel it multiple times in low Earth orbit
to get enough propellant on board, to get that big of a mass there.
That's a challenge.
We haven't done in-flight refueling.
And I am really concerned about whether, I know we can eventually do it,
but what's the timeline going to be?
What's going to be the cost?
So I've got technical concerns.
Both these companies say they can figure this out, but I'm paying close attention.
Can I ask about that?
So NASA used to be entirely done in-house, and now there's a ton of it done by private contractors through Blue Origin, SpaceX, Boeing.
What are the pros and cons of that?
What are your thoughts on the transition to that?
Is there a good thing?
Yeah.
Well, let me clarify something there.
You know, we did this commercialization thing during the Obama administration where instead of having, and you say NASA used to do these things in-house, that's not exactly accurate. We had contractors. But we also had a lot of oversight over the contractors. The change happened during the Obama administration, where President Obama said, hey, we have all these innovative companies out there. Why don't we just kind of throw the money over the fence?
to them. Let them do this. Let's leave them alone. Let them do the innovation without this vast
organization that's going to monitor everything they do. So think of it this way. We had a company,
let's say it was Boeing or Lockheed Martin or Rockwell for the space shuttle, others. And for
every one of those company employees, there was like a government employee kind of watching what
they're doing. So we got away from that. We let them not only build the rocket as,
As a true contractor, we sort of let them own it.
Like it was their thing and we're buying a service.
So that's the model we went to.
And with the landers, certainly were kind of in this same model, but we've always had contractors.
The big question is how much does NASA leave them alone to do their job?
And so far with the space station, with the commercial cargo and then commercial
crew programs, it has worked really, really well.
Yeah, there are delays along the way, but I got to say, I think SpaceX in particular has done a
really good job meeting the moment and really bringing down the cost of what it takes to get
not only cargo to lower Earth orbit, but getting people there as well.
Are there, besides the cost savings, have there been any other notable benefits or improvements,
or is that really, I mean, that being the main benefit from this haul?
I'd say it's probably the main benefit.
You know, the thing about, like, risk assessment and how safe something is,
usually don't know until you start having, like, failures.
But the Dragon capsule, which launches on a Falcon 9 rocket
that goes to the space station with people,
has been, you know, very safe so far and very successful.
But also they've driven, because of the reuse,
of the first stage, they have driven down the cost.
And also because they're able to, you know, turn it around and fly it without like a huge army of people,
they've got the cost down of getting stuff into low Earth orbit to, you know, down by an order of magnitude.
You know, 10 times, I think, compared to the space shuttle.
Certainly every space shuttle mission cost about $900 million to fly.
SLS is rather expensive as well because we just build so few rockets.
But SpaceX builds a lot of rockets and launches a lot of things into space,
so they've got the cost down.
And that's been, I'd say, the biggest benefit does not have the capability of the space shuttle, right?
The space shuttle, by far the best spacecraft ever in terms of the ability to do things.
You could take seven people into space.
you had a cargo bay the size of a, you know, a pick of an 18-wheeler truck, basically.
Yeah, it was about 30 feet long, so maybe not that quite long, but you could carry 35,000 pounds into orbit in that payload bay.
Had a robot arm where you could do stuff, you could put people on it, you can move modules around, and it had an airlock where people could go outside.
So best spaceship ever built, in my opinion, decent rocket ship, horrible airplane.
Okay, I want to...
What's the airplane have ever flown?
I really want to ask because I don't, it's not every day, probably maybe twice a week only.
Do I get to talk to an astronaut?
So I want to...
You were on four missions.
You commanded two of them.
In my heart, you commanded the last one.
I don't believe in mission 135.
You're the final commander of the shuttle.
So kind of open end.
It's a little trite, but what's it like being in space?
And I'm curious also if you could relate that to the current mission of, you know, Artemis II, we're going
around the moon, we're testing this capability to be able to land people there.
And, you know, when I go to the NASA website, they list 40 different scientific experiments
that are really valuable.
And I get that conceptually.
But like, what are you actually doing?
Like, if you're an astronaut in space, like, are you, is it, is it like chemistry class
in high school?
Is it crazy?
What is the experience like of actually being in space?
You were there for like 50 days, right?
Something like that?
54 days.
All my flights went to the space station.
My first flight, we brought up a lot of cargo and people.
So a lot of my time there was spent transferring that cargo.
But first, before you transferred the cargo,
you had to take the module out of the payload bay with the robotic arm,
which I did.
I was one of the robotic arm operators.
And you had to connect that module to the space station.
So you got to do that, and then you got to open the hatch, and there's all kinds of work,
and then you've got to transfer thousands and thousands of pounds of cargo, put it all in the right place,
and you've got to put that module back into the space shuttle payload bay.
On my second mission, it was the return-to-flight mission after the Columbia accident.
It was the second one.
So we had to test all this new capability.
We also had a logistics module.
My third and fourth, I brought up the Japanese laboratory
and had to get that installed and outfitted.
And then on my fourth was the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer.
And during all those missions, we were doing spacewalks.
Not me, because I was always the pilot or commander of the space shuttle,
and they don't let us go outside for obvious reasons.
We've got other people that can do that.
And...
Do you want to?
Is that a bummer?
No, I would have loved to.
Yeah.
It's kind of a bummer.
Were you like peering through the glass?
That's kind of be brutal ahead of the glass.
Watching my friends have fun outside.
You know, so, you know, what I'm watching for is, like, what's the bad thing that's going to kill these people, you know, at any moment.
Right.
You know, so it's a very tense eight hours plus when you have people outside that you're, you know, it's remarkable that we've made.
it this far and done all these spacewalks, I think, well in excess of 100 now. And we haven't,
you know, had somebody seriously injured or killed. So you're really, really busy during these
space missions. And shuttle crew members aren't doing a ton of science. It's the space station people
that are, you know, that live up there for, in case of my twin brother. I mean, do you think I have a lot
of time in space, 54 days? My brother has 520 days in space. Oh, my God. Over a year.
year and a half that's insane oh my god yeah it's a lot i i did want to ask you just because of the
the the shuttle era that you were flying in is there sort of a like mental preparation or a
nervousness that you had to deal with because in the wake of things like Columbia or challenger
I'm just wondering like the nerves that must go into operating a mission like that?
Yeah, I mean, you realize the risk, right?
I mean, when you consider the number of people that flew on the space shuttle,
14 of them, and I don't know what the total number is,
but, you know, it's, you know, probably a few couple, a few hundred.
You know, 14 of them are dead.
You know, out of 135 missions, we lost, you know, two orbiters.
So it is a risky thing to do.
You get it.
You understand that there is a lot of personal risk for you.
The way I think about this is like, you know, what's the reward?
Not to me personally, but to our country in our ability to do this and do exploration and, you know,
push the boundaries of technology forward.
there's a tremendous amount of progress that we can make so it's worth it even though there's
risk for me personally but especially like on my second flight on the heels of the Columbia
accident yeah I remember especially during re-entry when Columbia started to break up you know we
knew you know after entry interface and at what mock number the vehicle started coming apart
I remember, you know, saying to one of my commanders, Steve Lindsay, I remember, you know, us recognizing that this is the time that they lost communication with the ground, you know, because that Columbia started to disintegrate at that point.
And, you know, those were our friends.
Three of my classmates died on Columbia, my astronaut classmates.
You know, I'm also the person that happened to, you know, recover their bodies in East Texas.
So, yeah, you think a lot about it.
But you also, you have to do your job.
And the space shuttle is a very, it is a very crew intensive, you know, vehicle.
So you got a lot to do.
Yeah.
So it kind of demands, I mean, demands attention and focus.
I imagine not a lot.
You can't be thinking about a lot else.
No, no.
You can for brief periods.
time, but usually you're pretty hard at work.
Do you, so, I mean, you've spoken a couple of times about the, kind of the, I would, the
patriotic or like romantic value of the space missions, like the more the, the nature of
human exploration and the value of it from that perspective.
Outside of that was something like the Artemis missions and us landing on the moon or
establishing a more permanent presence on the moon.
could you name some of the more
maybe like tangible potential benefits
of us having something like that
like access to a specific resource
that wouldn't be accessed otherwise
development of a specific technology
that wouldn't be developed otherwise
like what are the more like
tangible benefits of this type of mission would you say?
Yeah like going down to the surface of the moon
and establishing a presence there
hey you know some people will make the argument
that we can pull like, you know, tridium off the, out of the lunar regulet,
which is, you know, helium three, isotope helium that would be used in fusion power plants
if we get to fusion power, right?
Yeah, I've been saying that.
You know, I have to say that.
Yeah, I mean, I guess that could be a thing in the future.
You know, I think, you know, it's more about like, establishes a thing.
a presence, developing technology that will allow us to go to Mars someday.
We'll learn more about the moon by being there.
You can learn some of this with robotics, and it certainly is cheaper.
But I think there is a fundamental thing about all this, about, you know, sending people that there is value in doing that.
What's your timeline, your personal timeline, when you think we will ever put a human on Mars?
Will it happen? Is that something realistic to hope for in my life fund?
Hey, you know, it depends on how we do it, right? You know, and certainly we, I'm going to,
I'm going to make a kind of an offhand comment here in a second. It's kind of, I'm just joking,
but, you know, I think doing a real mission and getting people back, I think there's a chance,
you know, I could see it in my lifetime. I would like to. But the other option is you do the flight of the
lone eagle. Oh, the no return flight? Yeah. One person, one way. You get somebody there and they don't
come back. Somebody's got to be down for it, right? I'm joking, no. You should send Elon. Yeah.
I am sure we, I am sure we would find the volunteer. I'm not sure we want that kind of a person on a mission.
But, you know, in the astronaut office, we used to like joke about that a little bit. You can
always do the flight of the lone eagle. One man, one way. Well, it seems reasonable.
it seems like that is something we could do.
You're kind of implying that's something we could do now.
Like we could get somebody there.
That's right. That's my point.
If we really wanted to get somebody there, we could do it.
We don't want to do that.
We're not going to do that.
We're going to get people there.
We're going to bring them back.
You know, even Elon talks about, you know, sending people there, like on a one-way trip
and building this entire, you know, civilization on Mars.
And, you know, there's a lot I agree with Elon on.
on like, you know, how he's built his space company and it's been very effective and, you know, brought down the cost.
I don't think we should ever really entertain that.
I mean, Mars is a shit planet.
I mean, it's really a shitty place to live.
I mean, good, good, good place to visit, you know, it doesn't.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Well, you've seen the tourist spots.
It's kind of boring.
Well, wait.
Okay.
Really, I would love to expand on that because the narrative.
is, you know, the real value of Mars long term is that it could be a genuine civilization that
is self-sustaining, right? And that's certainly what Elon has talked about. Like, do you feel
that that is like an unrealistic goal or maybe not the point or how is that long term for Mars?
Well, first of all, as a goal, I think it's really, really hard. I don't even think it needs to be a goal
because, you know, and I called Mars a ship planet, right? You think we got to be a goal. You think we
problems here on Earth, like the target of the ice line.
You should see Mars Trump,
I mean, no matter how bad it gets
on Earth, it's always going to be easier
to live on Earth. I mean, even if the big rock hits, or we have the
super volcano, it will always be easier to survive
here for some people than it will be for anybody to survive on Mars
long term. I mean, you know, Mars is, you know,
the atmosphere is 90, you know, I don't know, 97%, 98% carbon dioxide.
I'm thinking you on Mars off all to yourself.
I live in Los Angeles.
It's 95% carbon dioxide, small.
And I'm fine.
I'm living great.
So it can't be hard.
No, it's less than 1%.
Even in L.A.
Even in L.A.
You know, we've got, you remember that whole thing about like 80% not, you know, 80% nitrogen,
about 20% oxygen?
Yeah, that adds up to about 100%.
The carbon dioxide, despite going up a lot, right, trillions of tons of carbon, and that is, regardless of what non-scientific people say about this, that's causing our planet to heat up.
The Martian atmosphere is almost all carbon dioxide.
So it would be really, really hard to live there for an extended period of time.
I don't think that should be the goal.
But you think there's a lot of value in just going to Mars?
Like that still has immense value in your eyes.
Okay.
Yeah.
Yeah, we'll have to solve some really hard problems.
And we would have the impetus to try to solve those problems in trying to send people there.
And they would have to stay.
You know, if they want to stay for more than like a couple days,
they're going to have to stay there for like over a year because of the orbital mechanics
and the position of Mars compared to the Earth and where the sun is.
So you've got to stay a long time.
And it's going to be challenging.
It's the most embarrassing.
you go to
you go to
you go to the
United Terminal
and you're like
surely you have another flight
today
we have no directs
back from Mars
I was wondering
like
because going to Mars
was kind of the
the big space
dream for
or like narrative
for me growing up
as somebody who was
really interested in space
and I do
like I am interested
in that being the
connection
or the potential benefit of going to the moon now,
that it's like this easier launch pad
for getting to Mars down the line.
Outside of these things though,
for exploring other parts of the solar system,
other parts of the universe,
are there any notable things that you know NASA is looking to do
as far as like probes, going to other places,
other areas of discovery?
I'm curious what else might be getting worked on
outside of these things. Well, I mean, long term, I mean, a lot of people hear about like Elon's,
you know, desire to do this. And, you know, he's kind of singularly focused on getting a person on
Mars. I like that part of his plan, by the way. We talked about the, you know, staying there for
forever and building a civilization. When you talk to Jeff Bezos about why he built Blue Origin,
I don't think he talks about this, you know, much publicly. And what he, the reason he's doing this is,
is, you know, also very ambitious.
But, you know, he's doing this.
He built that company and is trying to compete for these,
whether they're national security satellites being launched
or landing people on the moon because of resources.
You know, we do have, you know, limited resources on Earth.
You know, things will over decades and decades.
It'll be harder to, you know, find certain elements.
you know, that we need for our civilization.
And in some cases, those elements and materials are readily available in space on asteroids.
Could you bring back those to Earths?
Could you get them in low Earth orbit, maybe?
You change the trajectory of something and get it into a Leo orbit and then mine those asteroids
and bring that stuff back to Earth?
Yeah, we're not doing that in a decade or maybe 10.
But maybe in, you know, 40 or 50 years we could do that.
So that's his motivation to get out there into the solar system.
And I think it's got, you know, I think there's a good argument to try to develop the technology to one day be able to do that.
Can I ask a business question?
Because we talk about Blue Origin.
They're getting involved in this.
We're talking about SpaceX getting involved in this.
What the hell happened to Boeing?
Why has Boeing been such a fall off in terms of their ability to,
contribute.
I mean, I'm wrong.
You can tell me, that's the, that's the, I don't know,
I mean, I'll tell you what happened to Boeing.
Boeing was competing for getting crew members to the space station.
And they built, you know, this starliner, you know, spacecraft that couldn't bring
Butch and Sonny home because it was kind of janky, right?
That kind of had some problems.
and that wasn't their first problem.
They had software problems before that,
and then they had reaction control system,
you know, problems when it got on orbit,
and there were some serious concerns with it.
So it had to come home without its crew.
They just have not been able to deliver.
So I would say they performed rather poorly.
I think they're trying to rebuild their space business at this point.
We're going to see what the administration
tradeer decides to do, you know, with Boeing Starliner that, you know, hasn't had a successful
flight yet. With what you were talking about with Blue Origin earlier, with this potential long,
long-term goal of building the technology that allows you to extract and bring back resources
from things like asteroids, is there any thought that you have as a second?
senator, like with someone, you know, a private company that's this big or a person like
Jeff Bezos as a private citizen being the vehicle for something like that. Like, what's the
balance between government stepping in to, I guess, have control over that type of technology or
that type of resource acquisition versus this private company being the vehicle that that technology
exists at all. Do you have any thoughts about the kind of balance between those two things?
Well, I mean, it's typical of the U.S. government to invest in technologies that get a return,
you know, outside of what a private company would normally expect, right? So businesses usually want
to return on their investment in like, you know, five years or less. You know, sometimes you see
companies that push that out a little bit. And it's often when you get to like basic scientific
discovery and scientific research, it's the U.S. government that invests in those projects,
where the return might not be for 10 or 20 or 30 years. It is interesting that in Blue Origin
with Jeff Bezos, that, you know, he is thinking out, you know, multiple decades. I think that's
kind of unusual, you know, for a company. But he's also, you know, a guy who's worth hundreds of billions
of dollars. So, you know, he, you know, he can write checks there and, you know, invest in
his company with, with a goal that might not even be achieved in his lifetime. I think we have
time for like a few more questions. Yeah, okay. Do you want to ask you some questions about,
you know, first of all, very simple question. What job do you think is harder being an astronaut
or being a senator? Or a podcaster, which of those three? Those three or a podcaster.
Podcasts, no.
I don't know what it's like to be a podcast.
They're in a lot of ways they're very different, right?
Being an astronaut is a highly technical job
where you're learning how to operate
one of the most complex systems ever built by humans, right?
The space shuttle, also the space station, very, very complex.
and you're working together generally in a small team.
You know, as the commander of the mission,
you're also especially working a lot with mission control
and the engineering team.
With being a senator, it is,
it's almost like everything is part of your job,
like every issue that our country faces,
every problem, every way that citizens interact
with their government and everything we do as a government is part of the purview of being being in
the Senate. So in a lot of ways, it is, it's very, very different. You also, you know, got to,
you know, you got to work to find consensus. I served 25 years in the military, you know, very
orderly, there's a person in charge. Now, when I was generally in charge of things, I always want
people to like push back on me and you know question you know the the approach but you know being in
the Senate is a the way I take on this job it's like a 24-7 job don't get a lot of time off
because these issues our country is currently facing especially are so significant we have really
significant challenges I think we can solve these challenges but it is a all hands-on-deck moment
You know, you said there's two different to compare, but the way you described it, it made Senator sound way harder.
There's one of the way you just grabbed in there. It sounded more difficult.
Yeah, I guess so extremely different. I will say, I think you're at the forefront of one of these challenges, which is this First Amendment battle. So I wanted to ask you about that. So you walked, you appeared in a video, and then Pete Hagseth, Secretary of War, called it sedition. And then your Navy pension and rank were on the line. Can you walk me through what happened and what was going through your mind in that?
situation? My understanding is there was a court. Okay, sorry. Oh, yeah, yeah, I'll walk you through it.
So myself and a four other or five other, you know, one senator of some House members, so Alyssa Slokkin and four
other individuals, we reminded members of the military that they are not to follow illegal orders.
So when orders and the law are in conflict, you comply with the law. A basic thing in the U.S.
military, everybody's taught it. We put out a video.
didn't like it. He immediately goes to they should be hanged, executed, prosecuted. I mean,
the guy couldn't even get the order right. I was going to say, that's, feels wasteful, if anything.
Yeah. Yeah. So then he tried to indict us and the grand jury returned a unanimous,
basically take a hike decision. You're not indicting these people. I mean, unanimous. That like never happens.
Hegg Seth is trying to reduce me in rank and take away some of my pension. I retired as a Navy
captain in 06 after 25 years. He's trying to bust me down in rank, so I sued him. But here's
the thing. This isn't just, this isn't really about me. This is about the other two million retired
service members out there that this administration, this president, wants to take away their rights
to speak out against the government. And, you know, that's wrong.
And I think it's unconstitutional.
And they're in violation of my First Amendment rights.
And just by extension, every other retired service member,
I've heard from service members, retired admirals and generals,
that they have now changed what they are saying and doing
because of this administration going after me.
So.
So I'm not on me.
Right.
But I think it, I know it does on others, as they've told me.
And it's probably a lot of people out there just, you know, they're clamming up.
Because if you say something this administration doesn't like, they're going to come after you.
You know, they're fired, they fired, Hexs have fired over 20, I think, admirals and generals.
Yeah.
You know, either because of the color of their skin, because of their gender, or because he doesn't think they're sufficiently loyal to him and this administration.
The oath is to the Constitution.
the oath is not to a person that we all take when we get sworn into the military.
I think we're near in time.
We want to respect your time.
I'm curious.
Just kind of like what, as we talk every week, and you just mentioned, world seems a little scary right now.
It does feel like an all hands-on-deck moment.
And I think for a lot of people, particularly at our age, feels like he can't do much, you know.
And I'm kind of curious what kind of message you would send to folks.
And this could be about the NASA side and what's going on in the science.
or generally what's going out with the country?
And I'm curious, yeah, what you would recommend to people in this moment and how to handle it?
Well, the first thing they should do is they should vote.
You know, young people vote at kind of an abysmally low rate.
I'll tell you a quick story.
When my wife, Gabby Giffords, was first running for Congress.
I would come out here and campaign with her on the weekends.
And we go to, we went after going to like the third nursing home, like third weekend in a row.
I'm like, Gabby, why are we go to all these nursing homes?
And she says, well, that's where the voters live.
Because retired people vote.
Young people don't vote.
So the first thing is, like, vote.
I mean, and vote in accordance with your best interest in mind.
You know, most people are like just generally hardworking, middle class, you know, people.
And we've had policies in this.
country for decades that really leans in the direction of helping the wealthy millionaires and billionaires
at the expense of you know the rest of us a very small percentage of our country i don't know what it is
exactly but you know very small percentage at the top now owns as much wealth as the middle class and
it wasn't always that way it's getting harder and harder for people to you know buy a home people
used to buy their first house when they were in their 20s. Now they're 40. Yeah. And that is because of choices
that this government that people voted for made, they voted to put these people in office. And they
made choices that helped millionaires and billionaires at the expense of everybody else. So I would say,
vote and figure figure out, you know, who's going to do the better job that's going to help you and your
family and people like you. And then, you know, if you can, if you got extra time, you know,
get involved in, you know, in issues and try to contribute some way, you know, to, you know,
public service. You know, it doesn't have to be running for office or serving in the military,
but just figure out some way that you can help. I appreciate your time very much. It was very nice
having you come on the show. Thanks so much, Senator Kelly. It was fantastic. Thank you. Yeah, thank you for having me on.
Appreciate it.
Thank you so much.
Thank you.
Have a good one.
See ya.
Yeah.
There was a possible need for a correction at the end of the interview, but the
senator set the record straight.
Now, Jack, Jack is on my phone here.
But Jack, Artemis, my understanding, did Jared change this like here in the last couple days?
Well, from what I'm seeing is three was the original planned landing.
That's right.
Let's get back to that four and five are landings.
But you said five is the first.
That's my current understanding is that three and four are going to be, well, maybe, you know,
maybe they're just thinking about doing, I thought they were going to do, when I talked to
Jared last time, he was talking about doing three and four as a Leo test, and five would be
the lunar landing.
Maybe it just hasn't been announced yet.
So I don't know, maybe I'm making news for you guys here at the lemonade.
Lemonade Podcasts. Well, let me just say that there's still discussions whether Artemis 3 or
4 will both be lower Earth orbit tests of the Blue Origin and SpaceX Lander. You got to do those
separately. And maybe five would be the first one to the surface of the moon. Or maybe you could go down
to the surface of the moon on the fourth one if you get a successful test in Leo of one of the landers.
You know better. I saw actually different descriptions as well when I was researching this yesterday.
and I know that it's like you said,
three was supposed to be landing.
That got moved to,
so I imagine that's changing
and probably you have the more up-to-date version
than what the internet currently has,
but cool,
that's great as a backup.
Yeah,
I might have the inside scoop.
I might be,
you know,
sharing stuff that Massa won't like me to be shared,
but you know what?
I don't work there anymore.
Yeah, that's,
what are they doing?
They can't fire me down.
They can't fire me down.
Yeah, yeah.
You know,
and when I sent the guerrilla suit to space,
they couldn't fire me,
either because I had already left.
Is that real?
Wait, you sent the Gorilla suit to space?
I didn't know about this.
Or is that?
Oh, you got to Google the gorilla in space.
You watch the video of my brother, you know,
racing around the space station and the gorilla's suit.
That was you.
I've seen this.
Wow.
Yeah.
Is that you?
That's my brother.
That's my brother in the suit.
You said in the suit?
Wait, I've seen this.
This is.
Well, the first one I sent blew up on a falcon.
9 rocket.
So I had a
I had a pivot
and get a new one off of Amazon
and it sent it up on a suez.
Wait,
would you consider
instead of setting up on the rocket,
just put the delivery address
as International Space Station
on Amazon Prime.
They have to do two days.
They have to do it.
They have.
It's required.
Yeah, I don't, yeah.
No, I wouldn't have got there then.
I had a.
And it wasn't, you know,
people think I smuggled that.
thing on board. I didn't smuggle it on board. I sent it right through all the legitimate NASA
channels. And then when I got the video, the gorilla in space, I immediately sent it to NBC News.
And then NASA was like, NASA was like, why did you do that? Why did you send this? I'm like,
why did, why do you think I sent a gorilla suit to space to get the video? That's awesome.
Wait, just, just for I understand. You delivered the cargo and then your brother is in the suit.
Is that the order?
Yeah.
My brother, I sent the guerrilla suit on a Russian rocket to the space station while my brother was there for a year.
Okay.
And then that gets delivered while he's there.
Wow.
That's awesome.
Yeah.
You know, most people, most people will send up to their family members like, I don't know, some fucking dried out bananas or something.
Or pistachios, fancy nuts.
But I've actually been to the space station.
four times. I knew what the space station was missing.
The one thing. Everyone up there craves a gorilla.
Oh, my God. Everybody needs it. Every place on Earth needs a good gorilla suit.
True. True. Awesome. Thank you so much. Thank you. That was awesome.
Really genuinely sincerely appreciate it. Thanks so much for chatting with us.
All right. We'll see you guys.
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Amazon Presents
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For Jeff, trying any salsa is like playing Russian roulette with a flamethrower.
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That was awesome.
That was really cool.
Yeah, I was super like, that's the type of guy.
unironically it's the type of politician, I would let him cut me up and put me in a briefcase.
So I hope he doesn't want to use that power for that action.
Sorry, I was kind of zoned out. I'm not going to lie.
I kind of came back in on that.
Yeah, Mark Kelly is Jamal Khashoggiing a dog.
I guess that's the.
Mark Kelly would do what to Jamal Khashoggi?
Breaking notes.
You were saying he's kind of a boy because he was shooting the shit on football before it started.
Yeah, before we started.
He was pretty like not PR, you know, a firefighter.
when he was talking.
And I had the thought,
we were talking about this.
I mean,
you guys don't know,
he was Obama's choice
to replace Joe Biden
when Joe Biden was clearly
after the debate
and they stepped down.
And that was my thought
during the interview.
He was like,
I think he would have
done a better shot.
I think we might have a better shot
of not having Trump right now
had Mark Kelly ran instead of his resume
is just badass.
Yeah,
it's bad ass and hell.
Yeah.
Astronaut into marine into,
yeah,
but he like,
he like flew in combat.
He was like,
it's badass stuff.
Yeah.
And then now, Senator, cool dude, really cool dude.
Oh, you know what would be even cooler is if we made gigantic conjectures about the Iran war
hours before the deadline.
Not even hours.
We are 24 minutes away from the supposed deadline, at which point the Iranian civilization
will no longer exist.
And you might be wondering, why don't you guys wait 30 minutes to see what happens?
You have a hard out.
I believe you have a dinner.
Okay.
It's not a dinner.
It's the yard pod.
gas.
Oh, you guys are going to talk about it there.
Yeah.
So if you want, we're doing the live coverage of the live coverage of what's happening in Iran
will be on the yard.
And we're going to give you the pre-show.
Well, aside from the short intro that we did at the beginning and the deadline of this
incredible threat of the entire country, the entire people of Iran, Pakistan is apparently
asking the U.S. to delay its decision for another two weeks.
like saying requesting a two-week ceasefire.
And Pakistan has tried to be the intermediary
between Iran and the U.S.
I'm not...
Wait, actually update.
Yeah, it was live.
Trump has agreed to the two-week ceasefire with Iran
delaying threat of large-scale bombing command.
So this is exactly what almost anyone would have predicted
that based on his actions
where he constantly does a massive threat,
then backs off.
I think what's worth mentioning here
is that not only did a...
not really respond to this threat, so they're not taking it seriously either.
There's almost a point where there is at a point where this kind of language is too far anyway.
You know, it's like it sets a standard for what you're representing as a country to the world.
And having the president, whether or not it's part of a 5D chess negotiating strategy of like,
just threatening to destroy other civilization to bomb power plants, to bomb bridges, to hit civilian targets.
Like that's, it's bad on that front regardless.
we all collectively know that he backs out on these situations. Like I just think personally I'm
I find it to be like reprehensible. I think it's I think it's whack. I think it's yeah I mean I
almost find it it sounds ridiculous because of the weight of the threat and like what he's saying
but I I almost feel out of gas even remarking about it because it feels like I'm saying that
about this guy all the time. It's like I expect him to
expect the kind of
worst possible reflection
of our country through this dude.
So I almost, you know, in a weird way,
I almost rather not talk about it
because it feels like I have to talk about it every week.
I don't know if that's...
No, that's fair. I think that's fair.
But it's like, yeah, it's like, oh, wow,
he said the unfathomably insane thing
about like wiping a civilization
off the planet. It's like,
even if you were in the camp of,
like, this is Iran's,
the Iranian people's,
chance of getting out under the thumb of their repressive regime. It's like, okay, well,
it's killing all of them. That's a perfect example. All of the bridges. How in the fuck
does that liberate people? That's an insane, it's just war crimes. You've also lost their
support. That's what I'm saying, because I have a guy in Iran who's been talking to me and
giving me updates and he, this, you know, I haven't been against this war since it happened. And
I've been saying that and we had a disagreement. We have a disagreement. And it's like hard for me
to disagree with the guy who lives there. But I'm like, I just don't think this is what America
should be doing. And he has been telling me, I don't, I don't care about Trump's, what his goals are.
I need whatever chance we can do to get rid of the regime. And I think that's a fair stance
to take. I just don't think we should use our lives on it. But even he is now starting to be like
this, there's no plan. Like this is, this is because I think when it's becoming obvious that
Trump's goals are not that, where he, he might say a few things like people of Iran is for like
stand back and standby, we're coming to help you out. I said at the beginning. Now that that stuff is so
obviously not even close to what their goals are, the actions he's taking are directly hurting
that effort. Like if he does actually strike power plants or bridges or the civilian
lifestyle in Iran will plummet to horrible conditions. And it's already bad, but I mean,
we get horrible. And so, and, you know, if they strike oil targets, Iran has threatened to strike
oil targets throughout the Middle East. And that, I mean, the damage catastrophe,
globally from that interaction would be horrendous.
And it keeps escalating largely because of his escalation.
Again, everything he's asking for is to open the Strait of Hormuz,
which was already open before we started.
So I don't know, man.
I think once that guy pivoted, the guy I've been talking to you in Iran,
I realize like there's no one.
There is no one seeing an upside here because that was like the last defender.
And now, okay, so something that I've been trying to follow a little bit
is kind of the longer term economic consequences of what's happening right now, right?
because I think there's this loose idea that in the past month,
that if you look, you know, it doesn't, higher gas prices at the pump, maybe,
but an otherwise seemingly functioning society.
And I was watching a video breakdown about this
and to kind of capture why some of the economic consequences
haven't been really realized by regular people yet.
One, in reaction to this,
a lot of countries around the world
are releasing these stockpiles of oil that they have
in order to keep prices as regulated as possible.
So as a country, you often keep a security,
like a reserve of oil in order to deal with turmoil in the market.
Or to get through periods like winter months
where energy demand is,
higher and people need to heat their homes. And you might release some of that stockpile then
that you've saved up in order to keep prices somewhat normal for people in order to navigate
those times. But in reaction to this supply shock now, most countries around the world are selling
off massive chunks of their reserve oil supply in order to keep prices normal. But people are
already running out of that supply. And we've now are hitting the time in April where the ships
that were providing oil through the straight across the country because these ships move so
slow. These ships are now not arriving in countries around the world and the ramifications of
not having that oil are starting to hit this month. So the first wave of reactions of
climbing oil prices
has been more
speculative,
but now the actual reality
of people running out of oil
because of this,
because of the constraint
around the strait,
are starting to hit
in the month of April.
With no exact sign
of when this is actually going in.
Yeah, I mean, look, gas prices
are already up like 51%.
Globally, it's less in America.
Fertilizer prices are up 77%.
Like, this is all while we're
still in the early phases of like people figuring it out and like using reserves and draining
reserves. The entire coalition of countries that came together in this emergency to release
SPR reserves all at once, it was like 400 million barrels combined, which again is like
four days of use. It's like it's not a lot. They're putting it out along with other sources,
but all of this is combining to be not enough if this keeps going on. But what's weird is
some countries are getting through.
There was a guy, there's the guy,
Citrini research,
he sent somebody out just on a boat
with a cigar and a pack of beer
to go and watch the straight
and he was like going to be able to get them.
Their tankers are going through,
but they're going through this Iranian toll boot
they set up where they're just paying in Yuan
and getting through.
Yeah, there's certain countries
that are considered friendly
and are allowed passage
or have been allowed to negotiate.
Like Pakistan being one of the friendly nations,
has been able to send more tankers through,
I think like 20 or something.
Whereas like Japan has recently negotiated
and they've been able to send two tankers through.
France sent one through.
And then other countries like are not sending anything through.
But even in the place of like this limited,
these limited amounts of tankers
from specific countries that are allowed to get through,
that's nowhere near the total oil capacity
that there was before.
Of course.
Yeah.
Do you guys know what?
Like, is there a point at which Iran can't threaten the straight?
Man, you know, loose understanding, right?
You can do it with so little, with drones, whatever, right?
But presumably at some point, if you bomb enough things, they can no longer threaten the straight.
I would like a world where we're not obliterating the fucking country, obviously.
But I guess there's this weird tradeoff that I don't fully understand of in your, in the length of time that it takes you,
to damage enough military targets in Iran,
they are also able to fight back
in damage facilities around the Gulf in retaliation.
So whether or not those are like,
related to energy production or like loading ships
or desalination plants, like every bit of retaliation that happens
in the Gulf has lasting consequences outside of this.
Like say we, everybody,
set down their arms and went back to normal right now, the capacity of energy coming out of the
straight has already been greatly reduced because of the amount of damage that has been done
to facilities already. Is it like guerrilla drone operators? Like how are they threatening the
straight given how much military, you know, everything has been bombed by the US and Israel? I'll answer
your question directly. There is a zero percent chance no matter how much they bomb. They can stop it as
long as the regime is the same.
And so unless you somehow get regime change,
because they can do it with a $10,000 drone,
which is nothing.
As long as they have any income,
which they still do.
So they have just set up a network that is like dispersed?
I've seen it.
They can set it up with like sheet metal,
one of these drone launchers,
and then you can send it out,
and all it has to do is threaten one ship one time.
And then the rest of the ships are too afraid.
They can't get insured.
Nobody will insure a ship to go through the straight
if there's a chance of it blows up
because the loss is so catastrophic.
It's billions of dollars of loss.
I think there's also unconfutable.
confirmed reports of the straight being mind?
Yeah, my understanding is that that's not actually,
I don't think that's actually like confirmed,
but it's a fear.
Gotcha.
Gotcha.
I mean,
it's impressive that they're still able to threaten this like stretch of water
despite how much bombing has happened to them.
Like,
it's wild.
Yeah,
but I think that's just a miscalculation on the part of getting into the war.
Like,
I think they have,
they don't have a Navy.
They're not,
like,
it doesn't matter.
Like,
the fact is that there's 90 million people here and they have a regime
that has enough money.
coming in to always threaten that straight forever.
Like it's just, it's a fact of their geographic location.
And so it's just weird that it wasn't, you know,
there was a New York Times article that came out that was deep diving into the lead
up to this war and all the different people in the cabinet that were talking in.
And, you know, one of the things they said was, um, Hexeth, Rubio, and obviously Netanyahu
and then the Israel government that came in basically made the pitch that this would be easier
than they thought it.
Like, they would be,
they would,
they would,
they would,
they would,
they would,
they would,
they would be able to threaten the straight.
And that has clearly been untrue.
Yeah.
And it feels like a big miscalculation.
Yeah,
it, I think it was,
I was reading this earlier,
was, uh,
in the,
so Netanyahu is in D.C.
And they have the head of Mossad on,
like, a call as well.
And Israel is pitching,
like,
the,
the goals of,
of doing this.
And the second set of,
the two additional goals,
that they had tacked on to, like, reducing Iran's nuclear threat were regime change in Iran,
like, in replacement of the government with a new secular leader.
Like, and fueling a popular uprising in Iran for that to happen.
And it was the CIA director, John Ratcliffe, and Rubio both said that this is basically ridiculous.
Rubio literally said it's bullshit, like that these goals are completely unlike.
to be accomplished if we attack Iran in this way.
Yeah, Rubio said, Rubio said that these goals, like Israel is basically trying to convince the
U.S. to do this or like why it's good, right? And they're saying one, two of the things,
of the four things that they said were there, we can fuel a popular uprising in Iran, and we can
replace the leader of Iran with a new secular leader and a new secular government.
Rubio, like in the room, said it's bullshit. Yeah, there was a, there was a, there was a
I pulled out, which was from
the president turned to General
Kane, which is one of a general for this,
said, General, what do you think? General Kane
replied, sir, in my experience, this
is standard operating procedure for the Israelis.
They're going to oversell it, and their plans
are not always well developed. They need us
for this, and that's why they're hard selling.
But then Mr. Trump
weighed the assessment and said, regime change
would be their problem.
It was unclear whether he was referring
to the Israelis or the Iranian people.
Or the American citizens.
But the bottom line was that his decision was going to war
would not hinge on whether parts three and four
of Netanyahu's presentation were achievable.
He didn't, like, he didn't care if that would.
But it turns out it's his problem.
It turns out it's all of our problem.
Like, there is no evidence that it's happening.
And without it, they could bomb the straight forever.
Like, there's just no way to stop it.
The way the drones have changed warfare
means you can't, you can threaten more with no money
than you ever could before conventionally.
It's what's changed.
everything in Russia, Ukraine.
It's what's changing everything here.
And so, yeah, I think it's, I don't know, it's pretty disastrous.
I wonder what's going to happen.
But I guess, I guess we can all at least, now that we've recorded through the 5 p.m.
period, be happy that he did not fucking.
Unless he got the time difference wrong.
He's like, oh, shit, I'm at Pacific time.
And we get to do it all over again.
This is one of those things where, like, I've never obviously been good at talking about
politics, but like, this is one where it's so beyond stupid and awful.
I don't even, like, what do I always fucking say?
No, I agree with you in that I actually like talking about politics and I make videos about politics.
And I've been uploading less lately because the biggest story in the world is this a wrong thing.
And the main thing I have to say is that it's bad.
And I don't know what else.
Like, it's very frustrating.
It's actually frustrating.
You know, an interesting angle on it that we can take, we have a few minutes left, is that I think a lot of people are feeling this way.
And there's been a push in the past day ever since that tweet to talk about invoking the 25th amendment.
And I want to give a little tiny presentation on that because I look.
looked into it. Because the idea is like, hey, this has been one year. The guy is one year in.
We have three years left. He is getting clearly worse. I mean, you watch a Trump speech from
2016 versus now. He just looks and sounds worse. And I thought he was great in 2016, but he just
is a clear difference. And I think these tweets that he's making, I know you said that like he
always does crazy stuff, but they're crazier. To me, this is crazier. Talking about the things he's
saying, I think this is even worse than it was before. And so the direction is bad.
So a lot of people, not just Democrats, there's Democrat senators, but also Marjorie Taylor Green, Alex Jones, Tucker Carlson.
A lot of people have come out in the past 48 hours and said, 25th Amendment is asked.
That's his direct vote from one of them.
And 25th Amendment is it was created after JFK was shot and it's like cover succession of the president.
Because it was like we wanted a living one.
Right, yeah.
It was like, hey, well, he's not really as useful.
when he's not.
When they did
it's like nobody liked
nobody liked
when we did
weekend at Bernie's with
JFK after that.
They parked JFK's corpse
in the oval office
and realized
nothing was getting done.
So they passed
that they ratified
the 20th
founding fathers
just didn't think
about this one.
They never thought
if someone would die.
And so,
uh,
the first three articles of it
are basically like,
what if he's shot?
What if he's sick?
Whatever.
But the fourth one is like,
hey,
what if he's unfit for office?
What do we do?
How do we get rid of them?
And the bad news
I have for everybody watching
is that it requires one man to be all in, J.D. Vance.
Vice president is required.
There is no other way around it, even if you had all of Congress.
The vice president must invoke Article 25, or 25th Amendment, in order to do it.
And then he must be agreed by all the heads of the different cabinets.
And if they do that, then they can get him out.
J.D. Vance, I know, would never change his values in order to gain power.
You know what?
That's a decent point.
Maybe he fucking will.
We fucking read his book on book club.
And in his book, he seems like a pretty nice stand-up guy with like good values.
It's crazy.
And we talked about how upsetting it is to watch somebody who seems like a person who came out of his hard background become this kind of chameleon in office.
Yeah.
I mean, a guy who compared Trump to Hitler is now his largest defender.
But they asked him about it today.
And he went all in defending that specific truth, social, the one about, uh,
civilizational wipeout. So I don't know. I don't get a lot of sense that he's the best guy for the job.
So I'm very, you know, rallying behind what Mark Kelly said. Man, I just think people got to vote.
I think, you know, I don't think this is a partisan show, but I'm just so fed up with this guy one year in.
And I really hope that there's a, the Senate changes. That's the thing that was impossible.
And now 54% chance, which is above 50 on all the betting markets for Democrats to take the Senate.
And if they do that, you know, maybe in a world where JD vans pivots again, it's possible.
I think the one thing I have been thinking about is, I mean, I naturally, I am concerned about things like,
he had just made some executive order about mail-in ballots, right?
Trying to restrict mail-in ballots nationwide.
Yeah.
And I would say other news around him trying to, uh,
avoid losing in the midterms or potentially running a third time.
Like these seeds of those things happening.
Not necessarily it explicitly happening yet.
Yeah.
But with this idea of my vote being under threat or like our collective ability to vote being
under threat, my fear was enforced by so many people around him being so lock and step with him.
Yeah.
But it's interesting to see as more and more.
people actually challenge him or fall away,
even within his own party,
it's actually giving me a little bit of more faith
than I used to have of like the institutions holding up.
Like if these people that are Republicans
are starting to fall away from supporting him,
at least vocally, especially in the media,
people like Tucker who have...
Someone like Turner Carlson,
who was die hard for getting Trump into power.
I want, if you want, like, cathartic someone who used to support Trump is now,
hate him is Tucker's most recent video on YouTube, Tucker on Trump's desecration of Easter.
And I watched like seven minutes of it this morning.
And he's like, he does this.
You know, Trump did this tweet.
And it's the one where he says, open the straight to crazy bastards, praise me to Allah.
And he like, fucking, he does the Adolf Hitler like shaking as he puts, puts glasses on.
And then reads it word by word and said, this.
was on Easter.
Praise me to Allah,
using the F word on Easter.
And his whole thing is like,
it's about how it's immoral,
but entirely because it's very anti-Christian,
which is a funny angle.
He is fucking brutal.
I'm not here to be...
He never would have taken a year ago.
He's extremely anti-Trump.
It's kind of wild to watch.
I think that's the thing.
It's like, I'm not here to be a Tucker guy
and be like, yes, finally, Tucker speak out.
Tucker be the next guy up.
I think, I'm not aligned with Tucker on, Tucker on most things, right?
I mean, you're like pretty much,
we call you,
we call you Minnie Tucker off camera.
Well, catch me after 9 p.m.
I'm talking, I'm speaking of the good word about Tucker.
I think lemmaid, Stan, you're on one side,
your mother Tucker family.
My point is, my point is if these like figures
in right wing media head take public,
like word or step against Trump,
people get more comfortable with falling,
like taking their support of Trump away.
And I think,
which they're doing.
And I think that,
That's the part that makes me, I don't know if hopeful is the right word, but maybe a little more
confident that my vote is not as at as much of a risk as I thought it was maybe like two or three
months ago.
I think for him to like radically subvert the democratic process requires him to have some measure
of popularity, which is eroding so fast.
Exactly.
And so yeah, I also am, you know, I think I'm more strongly a tool.
I don't even know if I'm going to vote for him again.
It's like at this point, he's really testing my limits.
Like, you've had my three votes before, Mr. Donald, but...
After this Tucker video, I don't know, it might be out.
But I think that's it for Lemonade Stand this week.
We'll be back.
You know, I'm with this specific topic, things are changing quickly.
Even in the amount of time that we've been recording, they agreed to the two-week ceasefire.
And I'm sure things can change pretty radically a week from now.
So, yeah, thank you also for supporting our trip to China.
We just got back.
I mean, I'm fucking tired.
I've been going to bed at like 8 p.m.
Get up at 2 a.m. jet lagged all the shit.
But our trip to China was really, really awesome.
And we got to do it because of your guys' support and funding.
And if you guys want to check out our extra episode every week on the Patreon,
you can go to patreon.com slash lemonade stand.
As well as a ton of, yeah, if you join the Patreon,
there's a ton of China stuff that we recorded there,
walking around different parts of the cities and talking about it.
And so check that out.
Space is fucking sick.
Yeah.
You know, you kind of won me over on this episode on space.
Like I think I want to read more about it and I am, your passion was infectious because
I do think it's very exciting.
And there's like weird drama between the companies.
It's so interesting.
Space drama.
We need to talk about it and I didn't, I kind of didn't want to bring it up.
You mentioned it.
Boeing has sucked a large one with this project.
Their portion of the whole thing.
of the...
He didn't want to throw him under the bus.
I know, I know.
We gave him the bone for Boeing.
Yeah, I was like, yeah,
Boeing sucks.
And he was like, well...
Dude, it's wild.
It's wild.
They're like too big to fail right now
because nobody else can make the...
It's anyway.
Crazy space.
Space is wild.
Thanks for joining us.
Thanks, everybody.
Bye, guys.
