Lemonade Stand - We Fix Your Businesses | Ep. 024 Lemonade Stand 🍋
Episode Date: August 13, 2025On this week's show... Aiden calls in from Europe, DougDoug evaluates a cruise, and Atrioc looks for a new credit card. We launched a Patreon! - https://www.patreon.com/lemonadestand for bonus episod...es, discord access, a book club, and many more ways to interact with the show! Episode: 24 Recorded on: August 12th, 2025 Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCurXaZAZPKtl8EgH1ymuZgg Follow us TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@thelemonadecast Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/thelemonadecast/ Twitter - https://x.com/LemonadeCast The C-suite Aiden - https://x.com/aidencalvin Atrioc - https://x.com/Atrioc DougDoug - https://x.com/DougDougFood Edited by Quack - https://x.com/QuacK_001 Produced by Perry - https://x.com/perry_jh New takes on Business, Tech, and Politics. Squeezed fresh every Thursday. #lemonadestand #dougdoug #atrioc #aiden Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Ladies and gentlemen, welcome with the lemonade stand.
Our good friend and co-host Gavin Newsom is actually sick today,
and our backup host, Aidan, is also traveling.
In Sweden, unbelievably.
So the two of us are going to be carrying it down, but we are going to cover some topics we knew he did want to chime in on.
So we actually did call him in for some of this.
For the first topic of the day, we're going to talk about Trump federalizing the Washington, D.C. police force.
Trump is now in control of the police in the nation's capital.
And Aiden wanted to call in and give some thoughts.
Definitely agree with that 100%.
So I thought that was pretty interesting.
Aiden then talked about the S&P 500.
Apparently that has hit all-time highs.
Like this is the highest that metric for the stock market has ever.
ever been.
Aiden?
Yeah,
I definitely do
not support that.
Interesting.
Interesting.
You think it would be
tough to not support that?
Ian, what about
Putin and Trump?
They're meeting.
They're leaving out Zelensky.
What do you think about that,
Aidan?
Definitely agree with that 100%.
So, Anne,
we are going to be calling him in
throughout the show just to get his take on things.
But, you know,
even though I think we've basically covered
all the nuance of it,
do you want to give a quick overview
of what is happening with Mr.
Ukraine, Mr. Russia,
Mr.
Crane Mr. Russia. I'm just trying to
Anthropinevise it. I, you know,
I think Aden pretty simply
summed it up, right?
But there may be more nuanced to it.
And do you think there's more nuance to it?
No, I mean, the issue is just so black and white.
There's really nothing. You know, you're either
this side or that. I don't realize, I felt that.
And I'm glad one of us has the balls to say it.
You know, I was finally going to come out and say, yeah, thank you.
So I guess I'll take the villain chair here that maybe it's not so black and white
and there's just some nuance. Yeah, actually, well, real quick,
Aden, can we just get your thoughts on war?
More in general.
Just the concept.
Definitely agree with that 100%.
All right.
So clearly we've got a kind of two on one scenario going on here.
All right.
Yeah.
Do you feel a little bit ganged up on you when he's not here?
I didn't understand you guys are so pro-war.
Okay, wait.
Let's talk about this because the meeting is happening this Friday.
The Friday of this week.
Between Trump and Putin.
Trump and Putin, Zelenskyy is not invited to a meeting about the war
that his country's involved in.
What's interesting, and this is a, you can call this a cheap shot, but I'm going to bring it up anyway.
Trump said the meeting is happening in Russia.
The meeting's happening in Alaska.
What?
Okay.
Trump said he's going to Russia to meet Putin, but he's going to Alaska, which is not.
So a small thing, whatever, it's not a big deal.
I'm not the politics guy on this podcast, but that is the wrong country.
So, okay, let's see.
So here's a deal.
Ukraine, Russia.
This war's been going on for now three years.
Trump, when he came to power, said he'd solve it day one.
That was one of his big promises was peace.
I think he personally is a big advocate of Trump receiving the Nobel Peace Prize.
He wants it and I think he sees the path to it through UK and Russia.
It's been a lot harder than I think he anticipated to get them to agree or come to a terms or come to a ceasefire
because Ukraine does not believe the promises that Russia will give.
If there is a ceasefire, Ukraine thinks it'll just be temporary until Russia regears its troops
and then comes back in again.
So it's been hard to get in agreement.
agreement. That being said, after it's dragged on this long, Trump is now trying to put pressure to get, get this thing done, get it ended. So he's going to Russia with that in mind. Now, what makes this different or unique than some of the other negotiations that's been happening before?
Right, right.
Is that, I don't know, I don't know, I don't know a nice way to say this. Russia is making progress recently. It's not, again, I'm no war expert, but I do follow this particular conflict pretty closely. I've been reading.
a lot about it because it's just so insane with the drone technology and what's going on.
Yeah.
And as of, especially as of like within the past 24 hours, Russia has really made a search or push
in eastern Ukraine to make ground.
And so the thought is that could put pressure on Ukraine to accept the deal where they,
as Trump called it, agree to some land swapping.
That is what he said.
So the idea of some lands, again, I don't know like a free market.
I don't think Russia's swapping land to them.
Maybe we'll maybe Russia will get some of its old used land for some of you.
Maybe they trade it back.
What do you think about that, Aidan?
Is that a good idea to do some land swapping?
Yeah, I definitely do not support.
Oh, okay.
Yeah, I mean that.
It's weird that he's pro.
So he's pro war, but he doesn't want the lance.
Oh, he wants full conquering without any acquisition.
That makes sense.
That makes sense.
So that was happening this Friday.
They're having a Zoom call today.
I think a pre-prep Zoom call
and then are going to have the actual meeting on Friday.
Again, you know, everybody does want peace,
but peace at what cost is the question
and how much Ukraine gives up.
Europe has also been a little annoyed
that they're sidelined on this
because they're a big contributor
of intelligence and money to Ukraine,
but they're not included in this deal.
It really is just Putin and Trump saying
they can hash it out themselves.
Yeah.
Without the other stakeholders.
Dude, it's like if they're having a house party
that's too loud on the block.
Yeah.
We're not even at the party.
No.
Europe's next door. Ukraine is the one having their house ruined by the House party.
And then we're just talking with Putin. That doesn't make sense. The other people should be invited to the conversation.
They're saying the same thing you are. And so I got, I don't know how it'll play out. Obviously, I'm hopeful there is peace. People are dying in Ukraine. But it just feels like this is doomed to failure. You know, the worst case outcome is that Ukraine is just actually losing. And I can't tell you. Nobody knows. But it seems to be in a bad spot. So I want to show one thing.
that is a little more interesting or unique.
You can pull my screen up, Perry.
So I don't know if you're aware of this,
but more than any other war in human history,
this one has been dominated by drones in Ukraine and Russia.
Every single, you know, six-month period,
there are more active drones in this battlefield
than their war in the previous six months.
It's gotten insane.
And so the counter methods they're using
are like these, I think they're called cope cages.
and they're going over like every piece of equipment.
So, you know, in the early days of this war,
it was all about like artillery and these long-range shells.
And now it's all about drones.
People are finding these weird, different ways to get around drones.
And why I wanted to bring this up is there's two competing narratives right now,
and there's so much basic information that I couldn't tell you the right one.
But the narrative is, one, Russia's economy is finally cracking.
Like they've poured so many lives and money into this that they can't keep this war up.
Yeah, sanctions of the rest of the world.
The other narrative is that Ukraine is out of people.
They've thrown so many people into this.
They can't conscript any more people.
It's been so damaging.
So it's hard to tell which one breaks first or what the problem is.
But what I will say is this,
that earlier this year I covered something on my channel about a big drone
superhero move that Ukraine did,
where they like smuggled drones and trucks deep into Russia and hit their nuclear.
And it was like, wow, it's incredible.
But since that moment, Russia has.
has like 6x the amount of drones there.
They've gone all in on drones and it has really changed, I think,
perhaps the tide.
Again, I don't want to make a hard claim here because there's such a fog of war over it.
So anyway, that's where we find ourselves.
I mean, it's, it's an, it's an, it's an interesting and spooky spot going into
this negotiation on Friday.
I will say that Zelensky has hard and fast said, no deal that you make at this thing
will count unless we agree.
Like, we're not going to be forced into a deal.
So I don't know.
We'll see.
it's not as simple as Aiden makes it sound.
Which is wild.
Which is wild.
It reminds me of two things about World War I.
So the first is with the focus on drones, right?
What most people in the military and certainly in the tech space have been saying for years is like the future of warfare is unmanned drones.
So it's going to be, you know, AI powered machines that fight each other.
And that obviously is going to be superior to humans on the ground who are fighting against, you know, something like this.
And, you know, that remains to be.
seen, but this war is moving in that direction. It reminds me of World War I. So World War I was
notable because it suddenly the nature of war shifted to this like brutal trench warfare,
modern military machine that just like kills massive amounts of people, right? And there was the war
before, was it Franco, Franco, Prussian? I mean, there was a war before the First World War that was
like two decades before where they started to get a glimpse of that, but they didn't quite realize, like,
oh, the old way that we fought is now obsolete. And it took until,
World War I actually happened from the real eyes. I wonder if this conflict in a depressing way
is like a, you know, a little taste of what an actual, I wouldn't say actual, but you know,
a bigger, large scale maybe World War will look like in a couple years because probably a war like
that would start with our traditional modern militaries fighting and then eventually within a few
months or years, people go, wait a minute, this is all outdated. Like they did in World War I. I agree
with everything you're saying. And in fact, I think most military,
leaders in all the major countries are watching this war like hawks to see how much things
have changed.
Yeah.
My understanding is like this is a learning ground for the face of modern warfare because
so much money from both sides is being funneled into this and the way the tech is changing.
What I will say is that unmanned AI control drones are being deployed in Ukraine.
But the main thing that's happening is just like a piloted very cheap.
Yeah, yeah.
Still man.
It's piloted by a human.
Yeah, yeah.
It's just the return is so crazy.
You can spend millions and millions on like a scud missile or something.
And it can shoot it down at like a cost of 100.
You know, not almost nothing.
And so it's it's just changing warfare by its cost effectiveness, which is strange.
Yeah, I don't know.
I don't know.
Yeah, again, hopefully a better outcome.
But okay, that's the quick.
We'll follow us up after Friday when they have.
have the meeting and we'll know more.
But that's what we wanted to say.
There's also some other big geopolitical news this week,
and I want to talk to you about,
I want to get your thoughts on this, actually.
Trump has negotiated a revenue tariff on an individual American company.
This is like a first time, I think, that I've seen this.
Okay.
Which is that, here's the deal.
Here's the backstory.
Invidia and AMD, but mostly Nvidia, make the latest and greatest AI chips.
That's their business.
That's where they make all.
their huge profits. They used to sell them into China until I think both Biden and Trump
restricted that. The latest and grades cannot be sold into China. So what they did was they made
a Nerfed version that they could sell into China. And that's where a good part of their
business is. Recently, because of that, there's been mass smuggling of Nvidia chips into China
and also a growth of China's own domestic chip industry to build a supply.
Yes. Okay, that's the stage of set.
Jensen Huang goes to Trump.
I think he's played this pretty massively.
He says, listen, we need to sell these chips to China.
Otherwise, they're going to just end up buying our competitor, like building a competitor.
Okay.
And you can make some money on it because I know you love tariff money.
Yeah.
So you can tariff us 15% of our revenue of whatever we make in China.
Okay.
This is the idea.
So Jensen and, so Nvidia and A&D now can sell the latest and greatest chips to China.
but 15% of the revenue goes directly to the U.S. government
from the corporate property,
which is strange.
It's a strange situation.
In a way, it's kind of funny.
And your guy Mark Cuban pointed this out.
It's like,
this is actually the highest a corporate tax has ever been raised.
It's under a Republican.
It's just self-applied.
That's so weird.
It's a funny spot.
So I don't even know what I think about it.
Maybe it's how tax it should be, voluntary.
Everybody just gets to pick the number they want.
They go to Trump and they present them with a bouquet of golden flowers.
Like, like, what's his face?
Did Tim Cook did?
Yeah, we showed up with a gold bar.
And they do that.
They give them flowers.
They say, please, my leash, a 10% tariff.
And he says, yes, go out into the world.
Go out our East American trading company.
Go out and sell to the Chinese.
Dude, it feels, it's, what's funny is like this outcome,
I'm not even really against in that to hire corporate tax.
I think it was dumb to try and sanction these chips
because they were getting smuggled anyway.
But it feels so futile.
It feels like the king.
It feels like the king picking and choosing winners
and just you have to pay you.
You have to go and bow and scrape
and like get a deal with the king so you can get you.
So I don't like the method,
but I'm not actually a huge hater of how it ended up.
And what's funny is,
so after this happened,
China realizes like, oh, wait a minute,
everyone's just going to use Nvidia chips
because they're still better.
Yeah.
So they go around to all the big Chinese tech companies
and warn them, don't buy the Nvidia H20s.
Right.
So it's this weird spot.
It's like neither government, you know,
one or the others is always trying to stop the,
so they might not even sell anything still.
Yeah.
And so I listened to David Sachs,
to talk about this on All-Aid a few weeks ago.
And so he is the AI czar for Trump.
So this is a guy does the All-In podcast
but now he is in the Trump administration.
So he is largely dictating AI policy.
So his argument is basically the same as Jensen's,
which is you actually...
So, okay, broader goal, you want to win the AI race.
You as America, you as the government,
are concerned that if China wins,
they will exert massive influence over the world
and we'll all become communists and go, I don't know, whatever.
So that's a thing.
So fundamentally the thing is we have to win the AI race versus China.
And I think there is some legitimacy to that.
Yeah, I mean, just, you know, context is,
like if this is the next industrial revolution,
every country that wasn't Britain when they industrialized first got fucked by
Britain for, you know what I'm saying?
Britain got to dictate the kind of world order for a long period of time in the same
way that the U.S. has dictated the world order since the end of World War II.
And I think there are legitimate concerns that go, okay, well, the Chinese government
is incredibly fascist in a lot of ways and does all these human rights abuses.
And the idea that they would apply this technology to exert that kind of influence over the whole
world is at least the fear on top of just the standard like America number one we want to win.
Yeah, I think more of it is just like, you know, you biased towards yourself.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
But in that's and that's what then people come back to it.
You can't have a fascist communist, you know, country that goes and does this to the Uighers
then having control this technology across the world.
But regardless of where you land on that, their, their aim is when the AI were versus
China.
So then there's, you know, these two interesting things.
Right now, the AI development race is entirely dependent on Nvidia chips because
they are the chips that allow you to make the best and fastest AIs. And it's exactly what you said.
One line of thinking is stop selling it to the Chinese so that they fall behind. But the problem
with that is that China has now massively as a national interest tried to catch up with chips.
And the worst case scenario is that China stops being dependent on Nvidia. They become self-sustaining.
They catch up to America. They catch up to Nvidia. And then they are completely on their own.
And there's no leverage that American companies have over Chinese development anymore. And so the question is,
you stop selling to them and encourage them to make their own version plus smuggle a bunch of shit.
Or you, yeah, or you do the opposite.
And if you do sell to them, then you stop them from feeling like they have to pour all this money into development,
which the Chinese government, to your point, is saying like, don't buy NVIDIA.
It's important that China makes these for ourselves.
And my understanding is right now, China is still like about a generation behind, but is catching up.
Rapidly.
Yeah, it's this weird race.
Like, they're still not there.
Nvidia is still far ahead in terms of the complexity and capability of their AI chips.
But if you have the industrial might of China, you have a billion people, they're producing
more STEM and math graduates than, you know, anybody else.
Yeah, there's nothing in the water here that makes you the only ones that can make the chip.
Like, people can catch up.
Yeah.
And so it's an interesting thing of what do you think is the bigger existential risk in terms of encouraging that?
Yeah, it's very strange.
And so I guess right now, Jensen has convinced them, let's sell to them and let's make it, you know, give them a taste.
There's a little taste.
A little taste.
But it feels very mob boss, you know.
Yes.
The Trump aspect is weird.
Give me a little taste.
We should remind people.
Tariffs are supposed to be from Congress.
All the things that Trump does are supposed to be from Congress.
Yeah.
And we've just sort of moved on, but like that is how it's supposed to work.
Yeah, it's crazy.
And you know, here's what's funny is the same thing you're talking about.
Yeah.
Can be applied in reverse in that it's with.
rare earth minerals.
So China owns all of the refining and production of rare earth minerals.
And the second they started to squeeze on that,
I think it started to go, we'll cut that off from you.
It became this big national interest.
Now we are all gates unleashed, all paperwork pushes,
like anything you can do to unlock rare earth mineral production in the West in America
is like getting the green light because that's what it does.
Whenever you start to like cut it off,
you actually begin the seeds of losing your lead
because it forces them into a different area.
So I do agree that like these chip restrictions on China
have actually backfired.
They've only made them stronger
because it gives guaranteed customers
to Chinese homegrown chip makers.
They can always, you know, so anyway,
but the way this is what about is I think Bob Bossy and Consent.
I mean, Aidan, what are your thoughts on all this?
All of it.
Yeah.
I mean, it's nuanced, right, Aidan?
No, I mean, the issue is just so black and white
There's really nothing.
You're either this side or you're that side.
Wait, let's get him to a steel man and things later on.
Yeah, I mean, I'm glad he's here, but man, he just seems to not want to see a gray area.
You know what we're going to do in this episode?
We're going to try to fix your business.
We're going to come back to that in a little bit, though.
We have gotten submissions from Discord about all of your guys's business ideas and businesses that you're trying to operate.
And the A-Truck and I are going to fix them all today by the end of this episode.
But we are going to delve into AI just a little bit more because I think there's some interesting updates here.
If you pull this up, Perry, chat GBT 5 came out.
Wait, can I start with drama before you do this?
Yeah, yeah, do drama.
I want to do drama about this and then we get into that.
Yeah, I'll play this in the background, then we talk drama.
Okay, okay, okay, okay.
So, quick context.
And we're mostly going to talk about this in, like, why an average person should care about
chat chit.
We're not going to talk about the coding benchmarks of GPD 5.
But this is the big thing that opening eyes been waiting for for a year or two.
This is chat GPT5.
It came out.
Oh, my God.
This is last Wednesday.
Quick summary, a little underwhelming, I would say, but there are really interesting.
There are really interesting elements we want to talk about, but drama.
Drama's happening.
Well, draw about this.
I do want to say like, you know, as you said, Sam Altman, day before this comes out, puts
a big death star image on his social media and implies it's going to be the game change.
Dude, we got to do that for our show.
We need to start doing ominous tweets and be like, you do not want to miss tomorrow's episode.
And then we just talk about stocks.
Like we just, it's just like, hey, we update this a little bit.
That is what happened, bro.
I mean, you might tell me otherwise.
We should talk about it.
But like,
yeah,
yeah,
the consensus that I'm seeing,
and again,
I might have a biased source here,
but like,
this is not the game changer that they see.
Like,
this is a fairly iterative,
possibly even underwhelming release.
God,
the only thing that would make me
emotionally capable of talking about this
is to set the stage
with some spicy drama.
Okay,
what are people saying about this?
So here's a drama.
Well,
there's two parts of the drama.
One I want to say
is that Sam Altman,
CEO of Open AI,
and Elon Musk are,
they've always been beefing,
but they're really going at it right now
on social media about
well, it started with,
you can pull this up,
my screen maybe.
Apple is behaving in a,
okay, yeah,
I'll let you read it out.
Apple's behaving in a manner
that makes it impossible
for any AI company
besides Open AI to reach number one
in the app store,
which is an unequivocal antitrust violation.
Elon Musk, a huge Lina Khan supporter,
a huge supporter.
True.
Yeah.
XAI will take immediately
So he's basically saying that because of Apple's partnership with OpenAI, nobody else on
the app store can ever get to number one or get promoted.
Now, as they mentioned in the community notes, Deep Seek did it in January 2025, which is a
Chinese competitor.
So I'm not sure that's the case.
But maybe it's possible.
I would go so far as to say I'm sure that's not the case.
I actually feel like this is fairly cut and dry.
Well, that's what he said.
And then whether it's true or not, and there could be some truth.
I'm not a big defender of Apple's app store.
There's something to it.
Sam Altman jumps in and says,
this is a remarkable claim,
given what I have heard alleged,
that Elon does to manipulate X
to benefit himself in his own companies
and harm his competitors,
people he doesn't like.
Now,
that does ring true to me,
the idea that things have been deprioritized
or shadow banned or promoted in X.com.
I think,
I don't want to miss a fuck.
You just ruin my algorithm.
You already get injected.
You don't even have to follow him,
all right?
this fully well. It's going to get in your feed.
It's going to get in your feed. It's going to get to follow him. It's going to be all
Elon. Can you guys believe? I don't know
if you can trust anything Atroc says. He isn't even following Elon Musk.
I know. What if the number one source of news.
So,
uh,
Oh, wow.
They really keep going.
Holy shit.
They went on. All right. And so he goes, you got three million views in your
bullshit post, you liar.
Far more than I've received on any of mine.
Despite me having 50 times your follower account. So we hit him with the
damn little bro.
Yeah.
And then Sam Ommy goes, will you sign an affidavit that you've never directed changes to the X algorithm in a way that has hurt your competitors or helped your own companies?
I will apologize if so.
Elon did I respond?
Yeah.
Again, I have no defense of Sam Altman here.
But in this situation, I feel like, man, just maybe that's my bias.
It just rings true that because it, the algorithm has been so weird.
And you get so much Elon stuff promoted.
And, uh, I mean, this is not even a.
hidden thing, but like since he's taken over, any link off the website has been completely
deprioritized, completely destroyed.
It's very insular.
Yeah.
Anyway, I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know exactly what to say about it.
But they are, anyway, they're beefing.
They've been beefing forever.
And now it's really heating up in this AI war.
And because it's kind of an opening against Open AI, this chat, DB release has not been very
positively received.
You, uh, you watch Seinfeld.
Yeah.
Elon is like the soup Nazi.
like like I really I really I really like space axe is making the coolest things that humanity has ever made Tesla has unbelievably cool products then he calls you a Nazi or you just says all this stuff at you while you're buying the products it's like man the products could be so cool if Elon wasn't doing all this stuff like I mean obviously there's more going on here but like why why is I just don't I don't understand yeah yeah I know I know I
My personal believe is he's very, at least for a while, he's a very good marketer and stock pump.
I think he'd give people to invest.
You get money to get the ideas to these good engineers.
But even just the products.
Like nobody else made a reusable rocket.
That's fucking incredible.
That's the engineers, right?
I mean, I think they're great.
I agree.
Yeah, but I mean, this gets into a broader thing.
But like, clearly there's some influence that he had that is positive in some way to be the one company or government that was able to do something like this that nobody else did.
Right.
I agree.
I think he was good at attracting talent and he was good at raising money.
Yeah, that's that, yeah, that seems to be unequivably.
I'll totally give him that.
I think he's actually world class at that,
beyond his peak.
But it does feel like he's been on a real downward slide on,
actually, both of those things, but especially his, I think, I don't know,
he buys into the old time.
I think he's getting too involved.
I think he's, yeah.
Anyway, I agree that.
All right.
All right.
Yeah, let's, let's cue us a bit.
So there's interesting, again, more, more drama about the impact of opening all this stuff.
So there was this hour and 15 minute long presentation of,
DPT5 and all the incredible things that are going to come from that. And I think there's a few
interesting points to take away that, you know, even if you're not deep in the AI space, that it's still
notable. So overall, I think most people agree, this isn't groundbreaking. This is iterative off
the previous stuff. It's in many ways a better version of the previous models. In some cases,
actually feels worse. Yeah. So, and that's, you know, to the average person, that's going to be your
experience. It's nothing groundbreaking. We talked an episode or two ago about the, the clause with
AGI and how he was hinting at all these things. This is not even remotely close to that.
And not only that, he actually explicitly opened the presentation by saying,
this is an important step towards AGI.
So they're explicitly saying, look, we're not even near the kind of like holy grail
miles.
Which is crazy given the hype they did before the presentation.
This presentation was weird.
You know, did you see the tweet?
This is before this presentation.
When he pulled up the Google I.O.
presentation on his social media and he said, listen, I don't like to talk about competitors,
but it's just crazy how much better our aesthetics are than Google's or whatever.
He really hyped it up.
And then this.
is like, this looks like a Google president.
I mean, there's nothing special about this.
And it was, it was weird and off-putting.
And he spoke like a robot.
And he brought, it was just odd.
Yeah.
Yeah, I didn't like this presentation.
But I didn't, I didn't see the very end.
And you mentioned there's more stuff.
Yeah, yeah.
So, okay, some things that are interesting takeaways.
What's the thing I didn't, I miss?
So one is the focus on health.
And I'm not saying this is good.
I'm saying this is interesting.
So actually, if you pull up my version of this,
he brought on this couple who,
talked about how she had cancer and then them as a couple have used chat to be that helped
them navigate the situation. And I actually, I super resonate with that because as I mentioned in
the past, I had a family member who went through this like earlier this year and like I did
use chat TBT not to go figure out of, you know, but just to learn what's happening. And the core
argument that they say in this presentation is they're very explicit to say this is not replacing
doctors, but this is allowing somebody to become more informed about medical options about what
their doctors are saying to help them make informed decisions. I think there's validity to that.
Obviously, huge asterisk there. Like, this is a massive legal liability, which I want to ask,
you get your thoughts on. But it is, everybody, I'm sure, has had the experience where you go to a
doctor and you're told all this massive dump of information and you don't really know what's going on.
And so you go peruse through Facebook or Reddit or all these things to try to find, like,
source of information that maybe you can trust or anecdotal experiences. Doctors can be wrong.
And I say this from a family of all doctors. Like, it's not like you get the source or
of truth from a single doctor, so being able to synthesize a lot of different things.
I experienced the comfort of this, and it seems like many other people do too. And they explicitly
mentioned, which is wild to me, that one of the main uses of Chad Chb-T is people asking
about their health. So I want to pose a question to you. Okay. Let's say you developed this
AI tool called Chad Chabit, and you put it out three years ago. It blows up. It's going, it's going
crazy. Most people are, you know, it's being used to code, it's being used to cheat on school.
It's being used, all these companies are throwing it. And then you also find out,
out that of the hundreds of millions of users you have, many of them are using it to ask for
health questions, not only mental health like therapy type stuff, but also literally about
how they should manage their personal life and medical history. Would you do what they are doing,
which is to say, this is explicitly now one of our goals. We have optimized our newest models
to be a supportive figure for you and to help people at their medical journey, or would you
stay the fuck away because that is an insane landmine to have, for example, somebody who's,
you know, has cancer who then maybe Chachapitil tell him to start drinking grape juice
every day instead of getting chemo like Steve Jobs did. You know, it's, dude, that's great.
So I can see both sides and I'm like flabbergasted that they are like, yeah, we'll take this on
as a major use case. Dude, that's a great question. It feels, I mean, if it's me, I own it,
I run away because this is the biggest legal liability of all time.
It feels insane.
It feels insane.
To tell someone a health advice.
To bring a couple on and be like, use this to navigate your cancer journey.
Like we.
Yeah, it's crazy.
What else?
I mean, same thing with stocks, right?
It gives stock advice.
All these things that like you legally shouldn't do because you could be liable for it.
It's just doing it forever.
It's just willy-nilly like throwing out like, yeah, you should invest in this.
Yeah, you should do this for your health.
You should do.
Which is, uh, yeah, I'd say scary.
A personal anecdote.
Not to throw anyone out of the bus, but I went to a friend of mine graduated medical school this past weekend.
Yeah.
That guy Chad GPTed his whole coursework.
Yeah.
So maybe the doctors are no different.
Maybe the doctors are going through the...
I mean, look, I can get so.
When we did the whole medical episode, I talked to multiple doctors, including my sister,
who works as a nurse practitioner or registered nurse.
I forget it again.
I got it wrong.
But anyway, one of those two.
She's badass.
And she's like, yeah, people use it all the time to get information.
And I think what people, the initial response to that, including me, was like, what?
doctors are using this? What?
But then if you ask about what's actually happening,
doctors are looking things up all the time.
Doctors are not this like dictionary of endless knowledge where they know the truth.
Actually what doctors do is they talk to you about their case.
And then they have to go like read books to understand what's going on.
Read the latest medical thing or look online or you have to do additional research and stuff is changing all the time.
So it is simply not true that there is like here's the book.
Here's the commandments for a doctor.
Look at the, you know, it's like no, it's this ongoing conversation.
And the question is, is it really that much worse for them to go Google for things online or use one of these like medical like data?
I can see that.
Repositories versus.
And again, this isn't, they're not, they're not saying, how do I treat this patient?
They're following up and going, give me a list of different cases or information about this type of disease.
Right.
It's like supplemental information they're using.
And so it's like, okay, you know, I can see that.
But, but again, the instant a doctor uses chat, EBT, it seemingly is getting really good.
But it doesn't matter.
If you're 99.9% good.
If one person dies because they injected something,
this is unfathomably risky to me.
And even still, like you,
as a user,
you want a human to make the,
you know,
like they,
a doctor reads it,
looks it up and then makes a decision
because otherwise,
right,
you want the expert to synthesize the information.
You know,
it'd be like,
okay,
yeah.
And if they're lazy one day
and then it gives a bad thing,
then you really,
but yeah,
okay,
I guess I can see it.
Yeah.
You know what I would have done?
I would have done what Red Bull does.
So we've both, I think, worked with Red Bull.
Red Bull, one of the ways they sell a ton of Red Bull is Red Bull vodka,
which is one of the most popular drinks in bars and alcohol everywhere, right?
This is massive for Red Bull.
Red Bull, the company, when you work with them, does not want you to mention Red Bull Vodkas.
They want to just be this great sports drink when you go do extreme sports and live out your best life.
And they know that that's a massive source of revenue, but they're not going to talk about it.
I assume that's what they would do here.
They would be like, but they're leaning into it.
I don't use Chad GBT for medical advice, wink, wink.
But they're just coming out and owning it.
What it reminds me of is like all the, uh, the OZempic ads still pretend it's only
for diabetes.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
It's like, this is for, yeah.
It shows a person like slimming down and.
Dude, it's wild.
Um, okay, so some other interesting things.
Well, okay.
Yeah, sorry.
Oh, you got one thing?
No, no, no, I wanted to, well, the big question, I think the average person will have
about this that I wanted to get your thoughts on, maybe have a bigger discussion on.
Is this idea of, um,
of the great rift between the old Chad GPT and the new one.
Yeah, yeah.
Because this is interesting too.
Yeah, yeah.
Okay, so I just wanted to bring that up.
If you could bring up the third slide, Perry.
We're making Perry swap between like eight things.
I know.
Okay.
And also can you, what does Aden think about this as we're getting going?
Perry?
I do not support that.
Oh, that makes sense.
I mean, in your own line.
So the main idea here is that Chad GPT 4A,
which is kind of the big one before this,
was, as we may have mentioned in this podcast before,
a bit of a glazer, a bit of a,
it was very positive, it would mirror your speech.
Well, I'm just correct.
You're a genius.
It's right about that.
Don't get me wrong.
But it would lose you.
It just pegged me straight up.
Yeah.
Some of these AI boyfriend just doing more than pegging.
It has,
people are getting married, by the way, to there.
Anyway, it has a ton of emoji.
It's really positive.
Actually, you know what?
Let's go to the first slide.
Let's give you a direct example.
This is the same prompt for Chad,
JBT4O and the new one.
So baby just walked.
Let's go!
First step to unlocked!
Your baby just entered the world of bipedal dominance.
Nothing is safe now.
Not your drawers, not your snacks, not your ankles.
Seriously though, huge milestone.
Congrats.
It goes on and on.
Document it, celebrate it, and maybe baby a bit more aggressively starting now.
What was the moment like?
Did they just stand up and bolt or was it like a wobbly Frankenstein March?
And then, okay, chat, jbdb-5?
That's here.
First steps unlocked.
Now the real chasing begins.
So the difference is stark.
And the day this came out, Jadip-D-5, a certain subset of users, a pretty significant one based
on the reaction to this AMA and what he did, just lost it.
I mean, they just freaked out.
To some of them, it was an extreme as like losing a loved one or a friend.
And some of it was like, hey, this was really good for my mental to have something
be supportive or a quote I read is, I've never had a parent support me in the way that
GPT 40 did.
Yeah.
Like it's really deep emotional connections for people.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And so it's this weird question.
And the initial reaction, and I'm going to admit that I was guilty of this too.
And I still sort of feel up for some of these, which is like, this is fucking crazy
parasycial.
This is a crazy delusion.
You can't be getting hooked on a robot like this.
I'm glad they removed it.
However, also as a businessman, I want to be real.
If there is this much consumer demand, even if Chad GPT didn't.
cave, which they did. They reopened 4-0.
Yeah. Even if they didn't, that means someone else would come along and do it.
Like, the demand is actually so wild for this level of affirmation.
People want it really badly. And having read more, I will say there's not everyone who wants
this is the craziest addicted person. There's some level of like. Yeah, there's a scale.
It's a scale. And I will say the chatty bt5, it's a little bland. It's not, you know,
I don't know if everything needs to have 50 emojis and call you a genius, but like there was a
bit of, you know, I think for some people hearing something in their own tone back to them was
easier to learn or bounce ideas off of. It's an interesting question. Like, I would love to hear
people's responses in our Discord or in the comments because I have actually spent a lot of time
reading about this debate. It's become a big hot topic debate in, uh, it's about the nature of
how people engage with these things. Yeah, and what we're going to have going forward and what it
means. And yeah, and Tim all the way didn't. He was like, you know, I'm really scared about it. Like,
He doesn't think, or he's aware that people were getting super attached and attached.
And we, you know, so they tried to walk it back, but the, people were so angry.
So they reopened 4-0.
If you're a paying user, you can go to the extra settings and go back to the old thing.
But it's just weird.
And so go back to slide three.
This is someone's response.
And this is the most extreme example.
When they got 4-0 back, my baby's back.
I cried a lot.
I'm crying now.
Thank you, community, for all the post calling for Forre to come back.
Thank you, Sam Altman, for hearing us.
I don't care if I need help or not.
I'm now with my baby.
Hope all of us can be happy with Chad JBTBT
for professional purposes
and those who want a friend.
Love you.
So, you know, that to me,
this person I think needs help.
But I can also see,
I've used both ChatDB40 and Five fairly regularly.
Dude, the new one is, it is kind of bland.
It is kind of like,
and one thing it doesn't do anymore is like ask a lot of follow-up questions
that help you learn.
Like, you know, I'd ask a history question,
Chad,
or I'd like, you know, what was a battle where this happened?
And then they'd be like, oh, do you want to hear about other battles by Napoleon or whatever?
We didn't follow up.
And he doesn't do that anymore.
So I don't know.
What do you think, Doug?
I don't know if you have any thoughts on this big debate.
First off, I understand the desire to have like an affirming thing because like from this last week's episode where we talked about Lena Kahn.
I think we should replace all the comments criticizing me with 4-0.
And I just feel like I need my friend to take.
over the comments. So that that's one thing. I think we agree on that. Yeah, 100%.
We've really, from the previous week to last week was really a four-oh to five situation for me.
You got hit with the five. Yeah, I got hit with the five. Which, you know, Sam Altman, bring back the old conference.
Bring back the old comments. Cause you have them glad. The horse electronics comments.
Yeah. I need to make horse jokes. Oh, dude, this is great time to mention. Okay, because Aiden isn't here.
Yeah. We need horse mentality. So I got you a feed bag.
Okay, strap this to your mouth.
No.
Strap this your mouth.
I bought senior horse feed.
Okay, it's for your condition to make sure you get well fed.
It smells like strawberry.
We're the same age.
It smells really good, actually.
I even got a salt lick that we can hang from Aiden's microphone and lick from.
Well, actually, that might help my mic discipline.
This feed bag will not.
I'll eat.
Yeah, okay.
You have a little taste?
So I think there's a couple of interesting perspectives.
That's disgusting.
No, no.
You know, I don't know why horses became a job core.
I don't.
I had a couple interesting angles.
Oh my God.
Like eating sand.
Yeah.
You know, it's not that bad.
Honestly, low key.
Yeah, it's good.
It's like, it's got a good scent to it.
Apparently it's great for old horses.
So look, there is, okay.
I think a couple interesting responses to this.
One is that, tell me, tell me.
Is the idea of if you are a company like OpenAI,
do you make a model like Chachapit that kind of defaults to a certain personality?
Yeah.
Or has a couple of defaults.
So you're like, do you want the really cheery one?
Do you want the serious one?
You know, it's like pick your personality.
Or would you prefer to put out a model that rapidly evolves to what that,
person wants. So by default, the previous model that everybody was using, and again, this is like one of
the most used apps in the world. Like, you know, this is massively influential in like culture and
society and everything right now. That one kind of by default glazed you. It's like, you are
fucking awesome. Yeah. This new one by default doesn't, but what I've found testing with it is it evolves
better. So what you were saying, it doesn't follow up with studies well. But if you say, so I tried
this, I was like, I want to do a lesson plan for Japanese over the next 30 minutes to cover these type of
with this type of tone, build out a lesson plan for me, have this type of way that you talk, have this sort of verbosity. It did all of that flawlessly. It was way better than before. So if you give it a lot of instruction, you can, I think, guide it better towards what you want. And that's what they, I know that they were explicitly shooting for because Sam Altman talked about that in the past. So the idea is more, do you default to certain personalities or start with something that is bland and then develop it so that it can evolve to your specific needs, right? And that's the question. There isn't a right answer to that.
because the person who just wants a therapist's friend right out of the box is not going to be happy with this.
And they're going to have to, in this weird way, develop their friendship, almost like a real human would with another human.
And that's not necessarily what they want.
Right.
And so, have you seen the movie Her?
Yeah.
There's a great scene in it when the service goes down, you know, like two thirds of the way through the movie.
There's an update and he can't get access to Scarlett Johanson and the voice.
and he starts hyperventilating, freaking out, running throughout the streets.
It was funny because that movie's set in 2025, and it actually was kind of verbatim what I was seeing from some of these comments.
It's weird.
Anyway, I'm sorry to interrupt.
I got breaking news.
This is actually really insane.
I think Donald Trump is launching nuclear weapons directly at Canada.
Aidan, what do you think about that?
No, I mean, the issue is just so black and white.
Yeah, but on the black and white issue, you think it's good or bad?
Is that good or bad?
Definitely agree with that 100%.
That's so interesting,
because even if they were to hit the fallout would go to America,
I don't think that's a good idea.
I just think we should respect our co-host more.
I'm sure there's a lot.
Yeah, I'm sure he's got a lot of nuance to it.
Just really strange.
Okay.
I don't know there's anything else to say on this.
I mean, I agree.
It's a slighting scale.
Let me briefly hit through a couple of things.
I think what's interesting,
if you like the voice models of AI's,
which I think is going to be one of the biggest use cases of these things.
I think it's gotten a lot better with GPD 5.
So if somebody,
who uses it to talk to and learn from,
not necessarily therapist.
I think that seems a lot better,
at least in my experience,
I'd like outgrown the usefulness of it before
for language learning,
and now it's like way better.
It's also faster, which is nice,
because it used to be.
Faster, smarter, figuring out what I want to do.
It's not, before it's either,
it's talking to me like I'm learning
my very first Japanese word
or that I am a native expert
and there's no in between.
Now there is.
So that's really, really cool.
Okay.
They added a verbosity parameter.
You know how AI is like ramble way too long
or don't talk enough.
They're now emphal
emphasizing that is something you can customize.
So that's less to the average person,
something you care about.
But to me, who uses it with code?
Oh, my God.
It's like unusable in a lot of cases
because it just rambles
and you can't get it to stop.
And then the last thing,
which we don't need to spend too long,
but I thought was pretty interesting.
Can we show us a slide too?
This is Chad JPD5.
He asked that I have several bugs in my code.
Need you to look into this.
Light, dark, and this doesn't work.
He's trying to investigate.
Chad DPD thinks for a few seconds.
I wrote 90% of your code.
The bug is you.
It's actually pretty fine.
Definitely harsher on the tone.
Yeah.
They're definitely trying to like de-woke it a bit.
I mean, like genuinely, that's like kind of the trend they're moving forth.
Right.
All right.
So one other interesting kind of high-level takeaway from what they talked about in this presentation
is that they're using synthetic data to train GPT-5.
So what that means is up to this point, you've probably, the average person has heard
that these AIs are made by taking all the data in the world.
They cram it into these, you know, a bunch of Nvidia GPUs and then out comes the model.
And the thinking and what has held true so far
is that the more data you give a thing
and the more you train on that data, the smarter it is.
That has been the rule.
It's called the power law.
I'm pretty sure I forget.
Dario Amadai came up with it.
Anyway, so, or scaling law, I think.
Scaling law.
Scaling law.
So that's been the case.
But as I think you've talked about
and we maybe mentioned on the show,
we're running out of data.
Like the AI companies have already gone.
They scrape the whole internet.
They've done, they've grabbed the whole internet.
And they were able to grab 100 years
or, you know, I guess like 1,000 or 2,000 years
of history of everything.
everything and cram it into the AIs, but they're kind of out. And we only make so much new stuff
every day as humanity. Even the new stuff is being fractioned off into different companies who are
now hoarding it because they realize how valuable it is. So what do you do in a situation like this?
How do you make it smarter? Well, one theory is that you use synthetic data, meaning you have your
AIs generate new data that the AIs train on. So instead of needing to rely on humans making more stuff,
the AI does it. This has... Inhuman centipede. Yeah. This has the obvious upside of now you can make
an unlimited amount of data and the obvious downside of, well, if it's just training on itself,
won't it just kind of like loop into this weird self-reinforcing thing where it becomes,
it's no longer even responding to what humans want necessarily. It's like training itself
to want what it wants and it becomes farther and farther from this is a thing we made to
its making itself. And there are some crazy doomsday scenarios about where this could go,
like AI 2027. So what's interesting about this is that a lot of AI companies are going to start
talking about this of the use of synthetic data or not. And when they see,
say synthetic data, that basically means we're now letting this thing go off kind of on its own.
We're going to guardrail it, but it's not fundamentally grounded in what humans have said and done.
And in a lot of ways, that could be great.
Andre Carpathie is one of the big AI leaders and his thinking is to make AI smarter.
Like right now, they're pretty smart.
But to make it to something where you really trusted with everything in your life to the point that a lot of these companies are trying to get to, it's like, it does have to be better.
Maybe the way to do that is really carefully crafting these amazingly high quality.
all these synthetic data sets.
And then you just keep iterating on that.
But obviously that's a weird kind of scary thing.
That brings up a question, right?
This is like the bigger topic of,
um,
there's the theme, right?
Chad GPD5,
if we agree,
at least wasn't world changing.
Maybe it's,
you know,
I would say underwhelming.
Maybe you'd agree,
but either way,
it's not like insane exponential progress.
Correct.
There's some really interesting things.
There's some disappointments.
It's broadly fine.
It's good.
It's good.
Okay.
So given that and given the amount of hype that went into it and given that it seems like
they're approaching the limit of what they can do with just more chips and scrape more
from the internet.
Yeah.
Is this,
there's two outcomes here.
I don't know a bunch,
but two theories.
Is this a possible pinprick in this AI bubble?
Is it like,
oh,
wait a minute,
this is going to take longer,
be more expensive and be harder than we thought.
Is this not,
is it plateauing or slowing down or is the illusion over?
or is it just a chat GPT open AI problem
and everyone else is still going on it?
Because just for me personally,
I'm obviously biased towards the maybe it's popping,
whatever you heard of.
However, me personally,
I look at chat TV5 and I'm like, yeah,
underwhelming.
But I look at what Google's doing
and they have some new stuff
and it's like, wow,
that's still pretty crazy and scary and new.
So I don't know,
I want to get your take from a more positive AI perspective.
And I also want to show some of the stuff
Google's been.
Yeah, yeah.
And I can actually pull us up.
up in the background. Okay. Yeah.
Pull up this video I got here. So this is the recent, the interactive world one, right?
Yeah, yeah. So to give to give kind of context, you might have seen this. So Google released
this new model. This is from DeepMind, which is like their hardcore AI lab. It is not
playing. Hello? Well, while you're doing that, I'm sorry, one more thing. I'm getting breaking
news. We developed a 100% foolproof cure for cancer. Aiden, what do you think?
I do not support that.
I mean, if Aiden does famously, I remember he kept laughing at my face.
Yeah, he's famously pro-cancer.
I thought he'd have changed his mind with such good news.
Anyway, you were saying.
So deep mind from Google.
They have come out with what they're calling genie.
If you are watching on YouTube, you can see this AI.
It's, you know, AI video, but it's interactive now.
It's like a video game where it creates a 3D space and you can actually move around it and interact with what's going on.
this is getting much closer to the much talked about kind of AI future that a lot of people
want, which is like AI video games, AI customize experiences, whatnot.
So this feels like a big leap in that direction.
Important caveats.
One, this is a demo.
Until this is out and people are using it, it's hard to trust, right?
Oh, yeah.
This happens fairly regularly.
And the second is, you know, big question mark of how much value that is really going to generate.
So I would say a few things about the Google AI thing.
Open AI is succeeding at creating a product that hundreds of millions of people are using and enjoying.
Objectively, they are by far the most successful, at least consumer facing AI product right now.
So Open AI is just crushing it with ChatDBT.
And from that perspective, you could argue, it doesn't really matter if they come out with some groundbreaking new 3D image, whatever,
because everybody's using it for this day-to-day thing.
That's ultimately what matters.
Iterating on that matters more than being Google who comes out with this cool,
and says, look at this interactive thing we made that nobody can use and almost certainly will
not result in any actual business of any kind of being generated. This is a flashy, like, look
what AI can do. It's not something, it's not a genuine product. So if you look at what is currently
generating value for people right now and generating revenue, Open AI wins by a mile. Google is,
I think, by many people's standards, starting to become number one in the sense of like the most
advanced AI models. But the question is, does that matter? To the average person, like,
Like, yes, to some hardcore programmer they might care if Gemini is going to be better for this specific type of coding task.
But I can say as somebody who technically codes professionally and has the background, chat GBT 3.5 was good enough for what I needed.
Chat GPD4 was more than good enough.
4-0 was incredible.
And now five is even better for my programming needs.
The average person, even if they're into software, does not really give a shit if in the benchmarks, Google Gemini is slightly higher.
So I would argue that what is more important right now is to like make a product that the average person is really passionate.
about and chatty has done that and Google what they keep doing is popping out and be like
look at this crazy new thing we made but nobody it doesn't actually get traction so in terms of
what is actually having impact on people's lives opening eyes seems to be massively winning and
I don't know that demos like this change that that obviously could continue to shift the big thing
that Google's doing is integrating Gemini into Google search and I'm sure you guys have all seen
that where every time you do a Google search it's now it gives you an answer that's AI generated
and tells you to do AI and so they're pushing and there's certainly a point where I
I think from what I've heard, it is broadly considered that Google is in the lead currently
and is growing the fastest. But does that matter? Is the question. So can you pull up my screen,
Perry? So this is a, you know, commonly seen curve for new technology. And I just want to know,
my saying it holds two in every situation. But like, we could either be still on the way up and
Chad GPT was a bump, or it could be like we're here.
We're starting to drop.
And we're starting to drop.
People are getting more disillusion with the rate of progress.
I guess the sense we're closer to that.
Interesting.
You know, because you have to make a pitch.
Our whole economy is currently operating off of the biggest tech companies generating
trillions of dollars of value because of the promises of AI.
So every time something comes out that isn't making some sort of like utopian leap forward,
it hurts that narrative.
Now, the narrative's so deeply ingrained and everybody is so invested in that, not just tech people, but everybody who invests in the stock market, all of our parents who are retiring right now, like their net worth is dependent right now on Invidia continuing to do well, which is dependent.
Right with Hank Green.
Yeah.
I wanted to bring up because Hank Green put out a video called, I'm changing my 401k because of AI or something.
And I thought he was going to use Jad JBTBT to pick stocks or something.
Yeah, that's why I assumed.
That's what I didn't know.
No, in fact, it was, it was similar to what you said.
basically, we've talked about this show before, but like, if you're investing in the SB 500,
what you're really buying with like over 33% of your money is seven AI stock.
I think that's what you're buying there.
It's so market cap weighted that you're buying the biggest stocks and the biggest stocks are all AI.
And it's not just America.
It's like everyone's retirement almost globally.
Yes.
Are buying these companies on this story.
It feels, I mean, not to the same degree, but a little bit like the 2008 housing crisis where it's not.
just that there's these banks or these home lenders that are kind of making a lot more money than
they sort of have justified. The problem is the entire world economy is tied into this.
On this one bank. Yes. So that's what's going on. And I would like to believe as an AI tech
bro that that this isn't as much of a bubble as some people believe that there is real value
coming out of AI that isn't, for example, from crypto. Like I never believed crypto would have
much value. So hopefully AI does prove to action. And I think Chat to BT being used by
hundreds of millions of people every, people every day who clearly enjoy it a lot is a strong
indicator that is better than something like crypto, but it's still beyond, I think.
So I want to follow up on that because one thing I know is with ChadGBT, and you might have
seen way, I did a video to watch it, but the thing I really want to call out, the thing that
made me kind of believe that we could be into a trough of this illusion in here is as a Chad
DUPT user, I noticed that this new model is clearly trying to cut costs for the average
user's query.
In that...
Dad, I disagree.
Okay, but go ahead.
We can disagree.
We can talk about it.
But my sense is that for most questions, it now routes it to the simplest, easiest model.
Yeah.
And if you want it to think hard, if you ask it to think hard, it's better than before.
It'll do more thinking.
It'll give you a good answer.
Yep.
But for most questions, it's now prioritizing speed and a really simple slop-down answer,
which over millions of queries saves them a ton of GPU time and a ton of...
And I got the sense.
If you guys don't know before, you could pick the model you wanted for Chad GPT.
You could pick the higher thinking ones, pick the research or whatever.
Now it picks for you behind the scenes.
But if you ask it like, I don't know, help make me a workout plan or whatever, it will just, it'll pick the simplest, easiest one and spit it out fast.
Yeah.
And I feel like that is them trying to reduce costs.
And if you're at cost cutting phase, even if it's secret, that is usually the sign when things start to break.
That's like in the dot com bubble when they started focusing on, wait a man, we're spending so much money.
We've got to, that's when things get weird.
And so again, open AI, you mentioned is the most successful AI product.
Yeah.
Not profitable yet.
So, you know, if they're trying to figure that out, is that a sign that we have to get back down to Earth?
So I don't think that that's as much of a worrying sign as you do.
Okay.
So the summary here is that it's exactly what we talked about before.
Previous models of chat dbt is like you pick what you want in advance.
They're these templates for personality for how it works, right?
and what the explicit intention was from Sam Altma with this one is like we are going to we're going to get rid of all of those like dozen things you have to pick between instead you open up chat chbtee 5 and it will figure out what you want and if you think about the idealized version of what an AI model is that would be great you don't have to tell it what you it just figures it out right so that's the utopian version not only that in the past you would pick the different models but then the pricing would be would change based on the model usage so I don't think it's correct to say that this new version is going to save them a bunch of money
because in the past, like, if people wanted to use the more expensive models,
they would just pick the more expensive models and that usage would cost them money,
either through the chat to be subscription or through the API.
So like if I, through coding, wanted to use their most expensive models,
I got charged more.
They're not saving money by by automatically routing to whatever model I want.
Let me just push back.
I would be, you know, if I'm a paying user, which I am.
Yeah.
But previously, I would just pick the best model every time because I as a user,
why do I give a shit about their back in.
I will pick the best one.
I'll have it think the hardest on everything.
Yeah, okay.
So that's fair.
For a chat chatt chb-tie-t paying user
who isn't going to hit the limit regardless,
you are right.
This will make it so that they aren't using
the more expensive models
and therefore it will save them money.
I'm imagining the case where somebody would kind of max out
on what they're paying regardless
because at that point, it's the same,
it doesn't matter whether using Chachap-T-5 or before.
They're getting their $20 worth.
Right?
So if you are a super-comer,
casual user that before was like, I'm just going to use the most expensive model, which,
by the way, it's not, the most expensive models are basically for coding. It's not usually,
deep research. No, no, no, no. So that's not fair. Yeah. But you wouldn't deep research,
hey, who won the Lakers game yesterday, right? So it's still, you have, you know, it's funny.
It's like that. If it was like, give me a breakdown on this war 100 years ago, I'd be like,
yeah, I think I trust you. Yeah. It was like, who won the game yesterday? I almost never, it's
always wrong. Yeah. Yeah. Breaking news is pretty bad. Yeah. Because it's just good. It's searching on Google.
Yeah, it's just searching on Google. And it pulls like the first thing.
Yeah, there's different angles.
I think it's fair. I think it's fair, but I just say, I think a lot of people use it the way I do,
which is we're not power users that are maxing out where our prescription is.
And I think they, I get this sense that I am more profitable to them in the new system
because I ask a question and it routed to the 3.5 basically, they can do super quickly.
Yes.
And maybe that's my personal experience.
Given time, we really want to do this business doctor thing from our Discord.
where people on our Discord submitted.
Again, I actually, you set this up.
So maybe you should sit the stage.
I don't.
Ladies a gentleman.
Two business experts.
Yes.
Yes.
Yes.
Yes.
Mogals in their field, titans of industry, are now going to help you, dear viewer.
We have asked our lovely patron discord, which you can join for $5 a month and help us go to
China.
Maybe permanently.
Who knows?
I think we're like a close to 9,000 paid subscribers.
So a genuine plug for the Patreon.
Not only do we have really good discussions in the Discord.
We're getting close to that goal.
And I think we'd hit it this year and that would be fucking sick.
It's awesome.
But reached out.
And I want to, you know, I think people have appreciated our thoughts on businesses sometimes.
You know, I think to the average person who is maybe trying to start their own business or something, they look at the just ungodly amount of success that showers both you and me and think, how can some of that trickle down into my life?
Yeah, they're always looking for trickle down economics.
Yeah, yeah.
There's a big support of it.
No, but so I asked for both serious and real business questions for people who want to get our thoughts on what we would recommend.
So I won't tell you whether you think, whether these are jokes or not.
I'll let you kind of determine, but I'm going to kind of pitch some of these at you and see what you thought.
Caviot.
I didn't know this, but I'm caveating beforehand.
This is unlike Chad GPD, it's not financial advice.
We can't.
Oh, wait, hold on.
Maybe from you look at the camera.
Yeah.
Wink.
Okay.
Okay.
A business that sources white guys to fill in for vacant podcast slots.
dude. The demand
would have used that app right now. I would need it. We need
a white man. Ideally with a beard.
And what do you think about that?
Definitely agree with that.
Okay. That's good. That's good.
Okay. So that's good. How about another one?
I want to make protein cigarettes for bodybuilders on the go.
Protein cigarettes for bodybuilders on the go.
You could sell that.
Okay. I have a joke one that is oddly and weirdly maybe.
you would work.
Lift and smoke.
Not a new business idea,
but in addition to a current one,
thank you Reeb for submitting this.
What if we added gotcha game mechanics
to the U.S. healthcare system?
We could put anime girls on the pill bottles
and have tears of poles decide the dosage,
which would maximize profitability
and bring goodwill to the healthcare system.
Now, this obviously is a horrible idea,
but if you add gambling mechanics
to literally anything,
it just goes to the moon.
And there's a world where this could be used to like,
I mean, somebody goes for their like monthly ozempic
or something.
You know,
something that's like,
it's not life-saving.
You wouldn't want this
for insulin,
but maybe for like over-the-counter things,
like maybe this is how you determine it.
Here's what I'll say.
This,
this theme of,
of,
of,
of joke has been,
persisted on my stream for a while.
Like,
we've always done jokes
about gotcha mechanics,
gambling,
whatever.
As we've leaned into it more,
and I've thought about it more
over the years,
it really is unstoppable.
You could actually,
not as a joke,
put gotcha mechanics and gambling
into everything.
give a real world example. They did this for trains in India. Nobody was paying the fares for trains,
but everybody was buying lottery tickets. So they made the train ticket a lottery ticket and everybody
started paying for their train because it was a chance to win money. Like no, it added up to the
same thing. Like it was no different. Yeah, yeah. I think the idea of being able to win big or having
an upside trick. So like, for example, if you needed an old person,
and take their medicine every day.
Yeah.
If you could log that
and every day
you were entered to win
Yeah.
People would do it.
Yeah, they would absolutely do it.
It's not even necessarily
a bad thing.
It's just crazy.
It just makes me realize
how broken our brains are to gambling.
We love the dopamine rush
of small chance of reward.
Yeah.
Definitely agree with that 100%.
Yeah, it was it too.
Okay, so this,
I think it's actually a good segue
into a real business.
So this is from Sir Ripster.
So gave a pitch
that won him a $2,000 scholarship
at college.
It's for a Fintin'
tech conference where I pitched the idea of a fake sports betting app that instead of actually
risking money, it puts your money into an H.YS or index fund gives you fake currency instead
to do the betting with. So you kind of make this platform that encourages real savings while
allowing people to enjoy the social aspects of gambling, of investing into these, you know, cool
games, almost like a fantasy football league. That's my own addition. But quote, not punish people
who actually learn how to sports bet that gives them a real edge. So he said, kind of a real idea,
a little bit not, and this seemed to actually get some weight.
And I thought this was really interesting.
Dang, that's so interesting.
Yeah.
So if I understand it correctly, you put your money or you link it to your bank out or
you put your money in.
Yeah.
Then you're making sports bets.
But in the back end, it's really just putting a little bit of money towards
your.
Yeah.
Like,
it's a like,
it's a way of gamifying your 401k kind of.
Can I give you a real news story about that?
Yeah.
So Trump this week just signed,
uh,
democratization of 401ks into all.
alternative assets, which sounds fancy.
What that means is for the longest time, 401Ks could only be put into a few specific
things, just like diversified SB 500, you know, a few key things.
You'd pick it on the menu for your company's 401Ks.
Well, there's been a huge demand from crypto and from private equity to get access to
that juicy 401k money.
Yeah.
And so now, after this law, it is now legal to be offering those as options.
So some people will now click.
private. It's an option so you can say it's fine, but because there's so much riskier,
it's your retirement money. To me, I find it to be pretty spooky because if you're a guy who's
picking from five options, you might pick the one that says like private equity guaranteed 15%
return here or whatever, and then you could lose your retirement. Yeah. It's like the opposite
of what you want. It's saying, hey, you're investing for your future, but it's actually gambling on the
back end. This idea is gambling on the front end, but you're actually investing in your future.
I like this idea.
I actually think it's kind of clever.
There's real value to it because you like tap into that same sports betting vibe,
but you're saying, look, this is an actual responsible way to do it.
And, you know, there presumably would need to be some kind of like,
it's not just you with a group of friends.
There's leaderboards.
There's some kind of real tangible, maybe some percentage of the money that goes in,
goes back to real reward.
So if you really crush it, you do get something back.
And it goes in it.
But it's much smaller in terms of stakes in both risk and reward of an actual sports thing.
It's like, I could see it really honestly working.
of like you just take our part of our dumb monkey brains and put it to investing.
I would have to talk to a real hardcore gambler to see if they'd still get the same rush.
That's the thing. You obviously wouldn't.
But can you get the average person?
Because presumably, I don't know what the demographic breakdown of like, you know, the sports gambling stuff is.
But, you know, of that audience, presumably you have like any sort of gotcha system, you have the hardcore whales that dump insane quantities of money.
and then 90 to 95% of people are putting in a medium amount.
Is it could end up being the ultimate gateway drug to becoming a sports game.
That is true.
That is true.
It can be like,
dude,
it's like nicotine gum.
Like we're trying to get people off cigarettes,
but we just start extending.
It's like how vapes we're supposed to be getting people off.
Yeah, exactly.
We're going to create the vapes.
Yeah,
they just get super addicted to it.
That would be my fear is it is the vapes of financial literacy.
But I do think there's something there.
I think finding a ways that, you know, I had this, I'm not a writer,
but I always wonder right this short story about a woman who,
um,
she gets her paycheck for the day,
but it's a spin.
You hit the button and you spin and you can either get like a gold paycheck and get more
than your salary.
Yeah.
But every day you usually get like a silver or like a gray one,
which is less than your salary.
Yeah.
So you're getting paid some minimum wage,
but every,
every 10 days you get like the platinum and you feel good about yourself.
People love it.
People might like,
I want to tie this because we were talking about investment.
elderly homes, all that stuff.
Another idea.
With the rising age of the population,
I think it would be a great idea
to start making cruises
where we can pay money
for the elderly to board
and never return.
Gravemind, thank you for the idea.
What happens on the cruise
is mostly their business.
Perhaps each ship will have
different activities on board
and a company can treat it
as a mobile retirement home.
But at the same time,
once enough people have passed away,
the ship will combust and provide
a fitting Viking funeral
for the remaining passengers.
And then he talks about
what you do with the crew on board,
how you could have,
you know, more exclusive ones for the wealthy
where there's all these drugs and everything
and how it happens on international waters.
So you have to avoid a lot of the kind of concerns
around ethics.
I think those pesky ethics.
What do they say?
Unsharking.
I'm going to,
I'm out.
You're out?
You're passed on this one?
Because we had another one from somebody
who said, I forget exactly what it was.
This sounds like ritualized murder of the elderly,
which I can get behind,
but the problem is you're losing the ship investment.
I have to constantly bind you.
Wait, hold on.
I just realized, is there any revenue from this?
Where's the revenue?
Is this a business?
Okay, because here's a business from QBig.
Same concept.
My idea is a gambling station at retirement homes where you can bet on who will die next.
I'm sending a theme, Doug, where we have conditioned our audience to only think of business ideas that are either gambling or murdering old people.
I have some good ones that are legit that we're going to go into next, right?
Because, look, I was sticking together a theme.
I think there's some cool ones.
Okay.
From 2BR2B.
I have a Discord bot called StoryBot.
doesn't currently make money.
He's broke with college debt.
But what it does is it chooses a random user in a Discord server and has them start writing a story.
Then it picks another random person and has them continue writing the story.
And it keeps bouncing between members who slowly build this story together.
And so I thought that it was like a really cool, interesting, fun, creative idea.
So he says right now I'm offering a subscription of $3 a month and I have two subscribers.
Right now I've had two subscribers right now.
They have one subscriber.
So it makes no money right now.
Um, you know, revenue is taken largely.
There's a big cut from, from Discord.
Uh, he's working on a massive rewrite where he wants it to work across multiple
platforms, but this is a huge, uh, engineering, you know, take home.
And then it sounds like there's some, some backend, um, kind of server side things that
he used to figure out.
I think this is interesting.
That's really confidential, man.
Uh, so I think, $3 run rate.
This reminds me of like something I would do on stream where I would make a weird little like
bot or tool.
and then people, and the truth is, I have successfully monetized that, right?
And for somebody who is just starting out with it, what I think has like some really interesting
potential. I think this would be cool in our Discord.
We would see at the end of the week, like what's the story got made by the community?
I think it is a neat idea that's pretty interesting that they made technically.
And then the question is, can I make money from this?
And this was a theme and some other ones as well.
But I think it's a broader interesting question of like, if you just got the idea and there's not an
obvious revenue source, people don't necessarily want to buy in in the first place.
How do you do that?
Well, I mean, for this particular example, Discord doesn't make money.
So the idea that you're going to be a profitable Discord bought that helps you write a story
is it's tough to me.
What I would say is it seems like a great example on how to learn to code and support
a product, learn how to like attract users, learn how to make updates based on what your users
want that can help you in a different business.
But the idea that you're going to build a long term, maybe if there was a, I think it'd be
tough to make a...
I'm people do.
There are...
I'm sure there are a few
that I've done this.
For example,
when I play D&D online
with friends,
when I did, we like found this bot
that you pay a couple bucks a month for.
And it's like a song cue.
So anybody can do
exclamation mark request.
It goes into the queue and then it starts playing
as this like playlist in the background.
Super cool.
And, you know,
I don't think that person was making much money or whatnot.
But in theory,
these are the types of small businesses
that will become much more accessible
to the average person given that vibe coding
is taking off for such a degree.
It's one of actually.
to quickly bring it back to chat chfifte5.
One of the things they showed in their demos is how easy it is to just say,
I want an app that does this.
And it was shockingly good at that.
So I think we're getting to a world pretty rapidly
where you will not need to know any coding
in order to make an app or a creative idea.
I think we're getting very close to that.
And so it opens up a world for somebody like this
who sounds like this person is technical,
but you wouldn't need to be technical.
But then the question is how, if at all, do you monetize?
Well, that's the question.
If it is that good, if AI got that good,
well, then it kind of reduces your ability to charge for it because I could look at your app and say,
I want an app that does that.
You just tell the same thing.
And then I get my own version and I don't, you know, all the money would then blow to open AI,
like not to you.
So I don't know.
I assume having a human follow up and make regular updates that hit what users actually want
could still be valuable.
And I think this person's on the right track for like the way idea iteration is going and coding
is going and the ability to, I think if you're in touch with users, that's the most important
thing for making a business. So if you can figure out what the actual problems are, but it sounds
like you've created a fun little niche tool that's not, I don't see it as a business. Maybe I'm
wrong. Gotcha mechanics. Throw those. I mean, ironically. Can you murder old people too?
It's about market. Yeah, murder old people. And add gotcha. Gotcha mechanics. Talk about a horse
occasionally. Yeah, one thing that comes to mind for for me is I think many of the apps that have become
most successful in terms of getting a lot of users are on board is once.
they build a community platform where people can share their products together.
And then that generates a lot of interest where then you have an incentive to like
push other people to be aware of the types of things you made.
So mid-jurney, while I'm not, you know, necessarily a big fan of their company,
like part of the reason they're the AI art company, part of the reason they're so successful
is because they have this like public page where people can submit things.
So it gets the users there to be like, ah, I want to contribute to the community.
There's other examples that are less, I mean, or like Pinterest or something like that, right?
Like there's many, many, many examples.
That's what a lot of social media is based on.
on, right? It's like seeing what other people in the community are doing with the same tools.
And I think in theory you could build something like that, which is, okay, here's a website.
Every time you use the thing, it gets posted to a leaderboard and the top one gets, you know, honored in some way.
Tough without, you know, really many users to kick off.
But you could, I think, explore that angle.
That's the big challenge, right?
It's because everyone's in these walled gardens of the already successful social media companies.
Yeah.
Hard to crack out.
You know what another example is, is the reason Wordle popped off so hard is because you could share with the score.
at the end of the day, right? Oh, yeah. And that's what made it pop so ridiculously hard.
It's so smart. It's just that little thing of, oh, yeah, tweet it. Nice, simple visual of what it is.
You might not have that same shareability here, but I think the ability for the product that people make to organically spread to others in some way,
it would be a pretty valuable way to potentially actually pick up users. One thing that guy, you know,
I made fun of him last episode pretty harshly, but he's obviously very smart guy, Nikita Beer.
One thing he does for all his apps that he's, again, he's made the same app like three times and sold
three times more money than I've ever seen,
is he makes sure that every screenshot of the app is hyper-sharable
and automatically includes a link back to, like,
he has recognized that the way things go viral nowadays
is not even through social media, it's through group chats.
People sharing screenshots or things in group chats
is like the ultimate word of mouth discovery device.
And so he's made it that if you just grab a screenshot on your phone,
it automatically puts like a URL and a thing.
for the group chat thing.
And that shit works.
I mean, he's doing it.
He got hired at X.
He's doing it for X right now.
Yeah.
But it's just interesting.
So, yeah, I could see something with that.
Yeah.
Is there another one?
Yeah.
So this is,
I have one more story too.
So let me,
like,
we can go as many as you want,
but I have one more at the end,
very briefly.
Cool.
Yeah, let's do a few more.
All right.
Okay.
Let's,
let's do,
a physical clarinet card.
I just got.
I just got a physical clarinet card.
That's so beautiful.
It's so,
you know,
unique. Holy. I'm just now seeing the potential.
I primed you for the for the bomb anal beads of Zen for chess for yeah.
For chess shooting. Um, I think it'd be a combo. It's like your niche you start because what
you want to do when you market something, correct me from wrong Mr. Glarketer, but you start
with a really, really niche audience and then you expand outwards from there, right? You start with
the chess people who are so be a vibrating anal one one. Yeah. Yeah. You want to have one category.
That's your moat, right? If you make the most comfortable being.
Yeah, for chess.
Yeah.
And then you expand out.
And you can shape them like chess pieces.
The connect four users who use anal beads to the sorry users.
People play risk professionally.
If you're cheating with anal beads and sorry, you are sorry.
That's a problem.
Okay.
This is a more general one, but I saw a couple like this.
So we can use the other thing.
General inquiries about hiring employees and online businesses and content creation.
As somebody who's wanted to make an online business for a while,
but I'm hesitant about employing people.
Where do you find new employees?
A lot of YouTube entrepreneur bros
recommend looking on fiber or things like that,
but it seems like that's not how you guys find your employees.
When you've decided it's necessary to expand the team,
is there a calculation about value.
This is from Amia.
Do we have a good discussion about this on the Patreon?
Yeah.
I think I stole it and put it on my big A close channel too.
Yeah.
I think we didn't in that, though, talk about like the threshold
at which you, yeah.
It's like at what point do you decide that that is worth it
rather than just managing an existing team?
One thing I said on there was that I thought when I was in the corporate world that I was not a particularly good interviewer or hire.
I was often fooled by people that I think had a good handshake and a smile and good answers, but without really looking at their work history deeply and talking to references and understanding what they worked on.
And what I've learned as a content creator where I'm hiring a business directly to work on shit that's really important to me and like it's my day-to-day livelihood.
The easiest thing to do is just to find someone who's done it.
Is it fine?
Yeah.
Or someone that is,
everyone that I've hired is someone that,
I'm going to say it,
started by doing it first.
Yeah.
And that,
that's not the way it has to be every time,
but in the real world
that often is the way to break in the door
is just to show that you can do it
and then you've solved the problem.
And then you can charge a lot.
Like once you've proven you can do it
and it's not a headache,
because so often what you'll get as a consecrate
or someone being like,
um,
I want to edit for you or something.
you know, what do you want me to do?
They put a lot of work on your plate to get it started.
Like I have to figure out what this guy's good at.
Then I have to pick a topic for them.
Then they have to do it.
Then I have to be like, well, this is not right.
Here's what you do differently.
But if someone just shows me a video, this is how it started with all my editors.
They just showed me a video.
And I was like, wait, this is great.
Or this is like very close.
Yeah, you have solved a problem.
You solved the problem for me.
Okay, I'll pay you.
I'm sorry.
I'll go over here.
Anyway, so in my experience, that's the best way.
And in the real world, that goes with referrals.
People use referrals because they might get someone who can vouch for this person.
The biggest risk every hire, every employer has is that you're going to spend all this time invested in getting someone and they can't do it.
Yes.
Or they have no capacity to be easy to work with.
So I don't know.
What are your thoughts?
Yeah, I want to not push back, but you get a counterpoint.
And this is something I struggle with.
So I have the same experience when I am looking for somebody to, for example, we wanted to start doing a clips channel and make, I mean, it's the exact same thing, a clips channel.
And then there was just a guy, Luca, who was just doing it.
And so even though hundreds of people have reached out over the years saying,
hey, I want to edit for you, here's the thing.
Even some of whom have made example edits and be like, hey, here's a five-minute cut of a video you did,
which is helpful.
The reality is, as much as it maybe sucks for somebody who doesn't want to do a bunch of
unpaid work up front is that if a person is done the work and they're like, here,
I did a thing and it's high quality, then I'm just going to go with them.
The obvious downside about this is that then you're kind of asking people to do unpaid work.
And I feel like that's always been weird to me.
And usually what I've done is I put out applications and I say, hey, I'm looking for somebody
on Twitter or on YouTube community posts or whatever site you want to use.
And then people, you know, fill in with literally 500 to 1,000 applications.
So we'll get these, you know, hundreds and hundreds that you're trying to sort through.
Even if you only spend five minutes on each one, you're talking about, I don't know how many days that is.
This is an incredible amount of time, even if you're trying to give every person a fair shake.
And then if one person there is like, here is the thing you want done.
It's so hard to not go with them.
But at the same time, you are almost certainly passing up on people who are really qualified,
who didn't want to put in 20, 30, 50 hours or 100 hours or whenever it's been to just literally do the job in advance.
There are some people who do the job in advance and it's bad, frankly.
You know, there's people who would be like, I did a test edit for you.
I really think it would be great.
And it's just not very good.
And I'm like, ah, I feel bad for this person.
So I'm curious, like, how you think about that balance?
Because I've often wondered what the approach is.
From our perspective, it is so much better.
and have a person show they're doing the job.
And that also sucks.
Yeah, it's two-sided.
I mean, I think what I would say is,
whatever we say now,
that is the reality of how I've seen it work.
Of how I've seen someone get,
if they have no other credentials to their name,
that's how they've gotten no.
It's that they've stood out from the pile.
So, and that's not just for editing or whatever.
That's for a lot of things.
Game do.
You know, when I was applying to game development jobs out of college, I was trying to be like,
I want to work in your game development team.
And I had made like a really simple game in C sharp basically.
And I would talk to these legit game developers who were like, okay, what have you done in C++?
That's what we actually use.
I'm like, well, I don't have anything, but I could learn it.
And it's like, why would they pick me over the guy who's made something in C++ has made a thing that they need to be done at their company?
Yeah, I guess I would just say, this is, this is, this is, this is, this is, this is, this is, this is, because now I've seen it from the other side.
When I was a person trying to get a job, I was always thinking about it from my own POV.
But from the employer's POV, they are always looking for like risk minimization.
They're like pretty much always looking to find someone who can fit into, you know,
square peg, square hole.
As easy as possible.
And so, because they have shit going on.
They're just, there's a million applications.
And so just knowing that is a hack.
That's all I'm saying.
If you are someone applying, just thinking about it from their POV and trying to position yourself
so it's the easiest slot in is a huge hack to improve your chances.
That's all I'll say.
I'm not saying it's right.
I'm not saying it's good.
I'm not saying it's okay.
I'm just saying that is the reality
of what I've seen in the world.
And so it can help you out.
It could be a bonus.
I suspect that's even going to become more and more relevant.
We've talked last week.
We talked about how the job market just sucks balls.
And people are,
you know, it's like a job opens up on LinkedIn
and then there's 5,000 applications within two hours, right?
And that just, that sucks.
And again, the reality that I sense is the probably what's more effective
is rather than blasting out a resume
to 500 people to find five companies and do work in advance to like really curate a finished
thing for them and say look it's done here's a thing that i can do that is concretely unique to
what you guys need and it's not it's not you changing a cover letter a little bit to be like and
i really like the marine focus that you guys have you know it's it's having to do some work up front
and that feels unfair like i fucking hated that it when i worked in e-sports and we'd
blizzard would be like hey we want to consider working with you guys for this project send us
an RFP. That means you spend a week building out a project, literally designing the whole thing,
giving them all your best ideas for them to be like, ah, we didn't go with you. It was like,
we just did the work for you. What the fuck? So it feels awful. But like it's the, yeah,
it's the reality. A hundred percent I'll say like, especially in that case, it does feel like
there's a line, especially with the size of a corporation. Yeah. When they have money to throw
around and they're doing something for big and you're doing multiple people's like work in time.
Yeah. It becomes way over the line.
And I fully agree and I've seen that happen, especially at Twitch.
And yeah, I do think it's fucked up.
So yeah, it's a line.
It's the line.
I do want to say, you know, an example I had personally was like when I applied to Twitch, you know, I'm coming out of college.
Nobody fucking knows.
They don't have any.
There's a lot of people applying for the same job.
The only thing, like, you know, I had my resume.
I worked on.
I changed every history to like match up with the description and all that stuff.
The only thing they talked about was this one project I did.
It was called East Sports Express and it was like the onion of Eastports.
I didn't even eat.
Okay, nice.
Yeah.
And it, you know, it popped up.
It was like number one on Reddit, our League of Legends or whatever.
And we got big views.
And, you know, it was like we launched something new.
We made something from scratch.
And that was the only thing.
Almost all my interviewers were just talking about that.
Like they didn't care about the normal markers that I spent way more probably time on trying to get right.
They just cared about this one project because that,
that was the differentiator.
That was the thing that they had heard of.
And it was like, oh, you worked on this?
I heard of this.
That was it.
That was,
so yeah,
I guess,
I guess that's just my example.
Man,
if you can make something that,
that anyone's heard of,
um,
it's a massive leg up.
It's a massive,
an entire project.
Do,
like you go down into the office and you give the manager a firm handshake.
Yeah,
that's true.
Sir,
I would like to work for you.
Yeah.
All right.
Final idea and we'll move on.
Okay.
From popcorn's nicotine toothpaste to get.
people addicted to brushing their teeth.
Nicotine toothpaste.
I do get a strong sense around addiction and gambling from our viewers.
Yeah, do you see a pattern.
I don't know why.
I don't know why that would have happened.
No, I don't either.
Well, I'm going to try it tonight.
I'm going to put a couple zins into my mouth while I brush my teeth.
I will keep you guys posted.
You know, I just want to say, if you were,
this is not real, but if you were someone who's already addicted to zin,
this could really improve your oral health.
There we go.
Like, if you're already nicotine addicted and,
and your guy was, you know,
maybe once to quit was going to use patches or whatever,
nicotine toothpaste would make it so you,
like, are brushing two to three times a day.
You're just like your gums are raw.
They're bleeding.
You just,
you're brushing 15 hours a day.
You constantly have a toothbrush.
Man, I just think, yeah,
you go outside the bar for a quick brush.
But they'd be sparkling, bro.
I do think there's a limit, actually.
I'm not totally sure.
No, there's not.
Okay.
Okay.
Final story.
Final story.
So,
Thank you, everybody, for submitting your business ideas.
We hope you fixed all your problems.
Yeah, we've made you a lot of money.
The final story is about
something about jobs and Gen Z.
We've talked about both.
This is specifically about return to office.
And gambling.
Not gambling.
Not gambling?
Old people dying.
They're clicking off.
We got that.
All people all people will die.
If you guys aren't aware,
if you take a poll of the average worker's opinion
on whether they liked working from home.
home or not, the average worker is still very much in support of it.
In the post-COVID era, they got really used to work from home.
And a lot of people, especially in like white collar office jobs, really like the freedom
and flexibility of having more work for home than less.
However, that poll is divided very sharply the younger you get.
People that are new to the workforce, and maybe you guys can disagree, let me know
if you're younger.
But the polls show that if you're like Gen Z, 18 to 24, maybe in that range, maybe
a little older now, some of them, they prefer return to all.
office, especially if they've come into the workplace post-COVID.
Because you, for many reasons, number one, you can't make connections with your boss easily
and, like, get a leg up and get, you know, know the culture of the company.
You know, number two is like a lot of learning and innovation happens outside of structured
meetings.
So like the people around you can't really teach you things if it's just through a structured
Zoom call.
You know, those are like the main ones.
But number three, and this one's coming out, is that.
as Gen Z grows more and more disillusioned with dating apps,
they want to find a workplace romance.
I don't know if you can pull this up,
parry my screen.
RTO equals XOXO,
sick of dating apps,
Gen Z's looking for love in the office.
And basically it shows pulling that boomers,
like 25% of them support workplace,
like finding a partner at work,
which sounds really low,
but the number's like 60% plus for millennials in Gen Z.
It's like way, way higher.
And they are just finding you'll have more in common or, you know, you have more chance to get to know someone instead of just being the pure swipe physical attributes type thing.
Yeah.
And because we don't, I think it's almost a dystopian look at how we have no third places where you can meet somebody.
Like there's no bowling alley or church or where you're just, it's work and home.
Yeah.
But, uh, but people are looking to work for that.
And I wonder if you have any thoughts.
This is, uh, this is interesting.
Or do you have any, I don't know.
I mean, the ideal world is what my grandfather did, which is they went north from his husband.
farm in Texas to Ohio where a bunch of Germans were having a barn dance. He met a nice lady,
married her a week later and took her back down to Texas, where they then birthed four children
who then spawned me. So, I mean, if we, if we moved past the barn dance world, I mean, dude,
dating apps fucking suck. And you've been out of the dating market for a while. I have, yeah.
I have, I have tried dating apps a couple of times. It blows, man. It blows so bad. And so I absolutely
get the feeling, I've often felt this of like work is where I would be likely to find somebody
because that's one where you kind of guaranteed have a common set of interests or experiences,
right, if you meet somebody at work rather than necessarily at a bar. The odds that you find
somebody at work who really connects with you is much higher than an average space outside of that.
So on a dating app, you have like no common foundation other than a couple pieces of text.
But if you, if you're at a shared space, like that, that instantly forms a connection. And then
for somebody like me who is very passionate about like creative stuff and I would want to date
somebody who's creative like that's critical that filters it massively if you're then focusing
on a creative job right now it's a terrible idea to be clear to take co-workers this is a horrible
idea and it goes wrong all the time is it I let me rephrase that there are obvious downsides to it
you haven't seen the office you don't know jim and pam yeah it always worked out with
great it's always jim and pam the pro so here's the thing it's the
it works out, it's fucking great, right? It's so great. And then if it doesn't, which most
relationships don't, statistically speaking, fucking is awkward as hell. And I have experienced that
in different ways. And dude, I, so, but I get it. I mean, this is, I have for a long time felt like
I'm going to find my person through work. And that is actually not how I ended up finding my person,
but it felt like that was the best odds, you know, like I would be, it'd be like a streamer or something
because of course, that's the person who most, you know, naturally connects with me. Sure. I get this,
I get this vibe a lot.
Yeah, I think it makes sense in the world we're in.
I think it's a very normal response.
And I do think, you know, I've been out of the game a while.
But my understanding is that dating apps truly are halacious for almost anyone.
I mean, it's just a both men and women report extreme negativity towards dating apps.
Nobody's enjoying the process.
Right.
Right.
And so this guy mentioned the article.
The difference is astronomical, Hughes tells me.
We were friends first.
We talked.
We got to know each other.
You know, the idea of opening with seeing some of their personality before, you know,
there's something to that.
So it's very interesting.
But obviously has risks, as you mentioned.
Anyway, I thought it was fun because for my POV at the time at Nvidia, you know, it's
an older group there.
Everyone was pro.
Work from home.
It was work from home forever.
Like, this is great, the flexibility.
But I can totally see this, among other things, being a reason for some positivity towards
returned office.
Yeah, you need a third space, right?
Or not even third space.
You need a space.
You need a space.
You need a space.
outside of your room.
And it is not healthy for, I think,
the vast, vast, vast majority of people
to just only be online.
Like, there's just something fundamental
about connecting with other people in person.
And so maybe that happens to the office.
I would like to believe
that we could find better places
that don't have obvious challenges
with dating the person.
But if that's it, like I get it.
We need, you need something, man.
Counterpoint,
you see that happened with the Astroneer CEO
and his HR representative?
I can go wrong.
I mean, I think,
you might be misrepresenting here. The problem with that is that he's having an affair with the
executive of his company, not really about the downsides of dating somebody.
It's about workplace romances, Doug. They always go. That's a good, that's a good counterpoint. Yeah. No,
if you are, if you are having a fair, I think that's me. Two affairs. Go have an affair at a bowling alley,
like a real adult. Don't go to call. That's what the boomers used to do. They would go to a barn dance and
have an affair. And now they're doing it at work. It is gross. It is gross. Guys, thanks for watching
the lemonade stand. Uh, next week, Aidan,
We'll be back. We have a very special guest next week. Aiden is going to be joining lemonade stand.
We have heard he's got some spicy taste. He'll be a great guest. And then after that, of course,
back to Gavin Newsom.
Regular call. I do not support that. Gavin, been traveling a lot this summer. We haven't
able to get him back in, but one of these days he's going to finally start. He's going to be right back
in the in the stand. Thanks guys for watching. Thanks everybody. Bye.
