Locked On Hawkeyes - Daily Podcast On Iowa Hawkeyes Football & Basketball - BIG 10 SQUAD: College Football Playoff Expansion is INEVITABLE | What this means for Iowa

Episode Date: May 14, 2026

Big Ten playoff chaos heats up as conference experts debate an ever-expanding College Football Playoff. Could a 24-team—or even 128-team—bracket reshape the landscape for programs like Ohio State, Michigan, and Northwestern? The squad tackles whether playoff expansion erodes season value, impacts head coach job security, and opens the door for perennial underdogs to finally make a run. Who benefits—and who’s left scrambling—if postseason access grows at an unprecedented rate? The Big 10 Squad talks about Northwestern’s daunting 2026 schedule, win total predictions, Chip Kelly’s offensive impact, and Big Ten roadblocks that could make or break a season. Rapid-fire banter, sharp predictions, and playful host dynamics make this a must-listen for college football fans eyeing the future of the Big Ten. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Will we just expand the playoff forever and never stop? You know what? Why the heck not? Let's do 128 team playoff because then Northwestern will get in. You're talking ball with the Big Ten squad. Sponsored by Game Time. From USC to Ohio State from Michigan to Oregon, from Nebraska to Washington, it's the local experts of the Locked-on Podcast Network,

bringing you scoops, breakdowns, and the most comprehensive preview of the upcoming Big Ten weekend. No hurt feelings and thin. skin allowed. Squad up, you're part of the Big Ten Squad. Happy Thursday, everybody. Welcome to this week's Lockdown Big Ten Squad. Order has been restored. And I am your host, Spencer McLaughlin, Neutral Arbiter of All Things College Football, of course, joined by Zach Seiko of Lockdown, Netany Lions, Isaiah, a hole of Lockdown Wolverines, Roman Tomashoff of Lockdown Huskies. Jay Stevens, without his glasses is a brand new man of Lockedon Buckeyes. I feel weird without him. Jacob Goans would look disturbing without his

glasses, please keep them on for the entirety of the show. I normally don't wear glasses. What are you talking about? No, you always wear glasses. You're so lying to me right. That's not true. Oh, hold on. Take them off. Hold on. No way. There's no way. You're always wearing glasses. In my daily life, I wear contacts 90% of the time. On this show and any time we have done a segment together, that is objectively false. I have never seen you. You look like Velma Dinkley when you take your glasses off. Like you're just going to be blind looking around. Can't find a damn thing. You need to tune into Lockdown Hoosiers more on the YouTube side, Spencer, and you'll see.

I spend my time wisely. I, so. You listen to the audio version. Look at Spencer not supporting his fellow Lockdown Big Ten squad. We're off. Whoa. Whoa. Whoa. Whoa. It would be so mad at you right now. It's just one member of the squad who I'm down on. I think Jay looks revitalized, focused, and level headed. That's how that's how he looks. Whereas Jacob, it's, it's a, it's very disturbing. Very.

Not anything he's ever said to me, Jay, so you may as well take it. I'm going to. Yeah, you might be right on that front. I think we are all right to oppose the 2014 playoff. And you know what? Let's lean into it a little bit, Seiko. Let's let's go. Let's go all out.

Why stop at 24? Give me a good reason why we should, if we're going to go that far. Give me a good reason why we should stop. This is the Big Ten's idea. after all. Just do a gauntlet at this point. Just have everybody, last man standing type of deal instead of a regular season instead of a playoff. I'm here to say this. My take on it is, none of our teams have an excuse to ever miss the playoff ever again. If any of our teams don't make it into the top 24, you have a serious problem on a on a year to your basis.

That's my takeaway here is that there's just no excuse to, to not be in the postseason. So Jedfish would be fired by now? I was waiting for that from somebody. Yeah. Look who's got the delayed internet now. I was just Spencer's face that whole time. And he was just like, I'm waiting. I'm waiting.

Oh, baby. I was, I was chomping at the bit. I was so that thing was teed up like my ball in the first tee, driver was in hand. Rider left. Oh, I tend to miss. Right. I try to get a left miss out of my swing because you can talk a fade, but a hook will never listen.

That's not, I mean, pretty good advice, actually. Thank you. I try. Isaiah, should we go 76, match the NCAA tournament for the college football playoff? In games? I mean, I tweeted 512 is the number that we've all been waiting for. We've just got to find some more teams, you know, like a Belleville High School. You know, that might be a good one.

You know, you can get bitch up Sycamore, right? Like, they can be. Oh, yes. So. What about the Colorado School of Mines? They got a decent program from here. UT Permian Basin. I mean,

that's, they're all, everyone's welcome, right? Like, that's the thing. I mean, if you're going to do it this way, I mean, just start to play off with week one.

And then if you don't win your first game, you're just done. Gotlet. Right? Like, you're just done. You know, so, you know,

like Maryland would weirdly be in it for like four weeks because they'd be actually beat some random teams. You'd be like, wow, how did that even happen? The Citadel. And then before long, it'd be like, okay, now they're out. But like, you know, Ohio State, they lose to, you know, if they beat Texas in week one,

they get to keep going. If they lose, then they're out. Michigan, same thing with Oklahoma. So I think that, you know, just start it right away and just get going. That's the only way that it actually, like, reprieves anything. Yeah, I like that idea. Saco, you want to tell us more about strong non-conference opponents? you want to you want to chime in i'll chime in indiana can help me out here too yeah i can i mean

i already took my shot at goins earlier and i had a jab at roman so yeah you know i had i basically made fun of them for wearing glasses like i don't know what to say i didn't i said he looks better with them on and then it disturbs me when he takes them off again is that an the wording of that yeah yeah a little bit he needs glasses in order to look presentable it's just It's not something that I'm used to. You know, I'm, there is an audio version of this podcast. It is okay.

That's true. That's true. Audio is, audio is great. Roman, how about 68 teams? Washington we get in, then.

I think what, 138 in Division 1 at this point in time? Just, you know, find a way to make up. I think it's a, 132. After,

because there's more additions. North Dakota State. Sacramento's day yes yeah those those were the additions I was thinking of there are 138 138 what can I say I do my homework good job good job thank you thank you but no let's just let's go to 138 then at this point in time yeah single elimination gauntlet all in on that that would be so much fun just like are are we doing but on that case is it okay the reigning national champion versus 138 to 137 and so on and so forth and we figure things out from there like that's that that's that's one way to look at this i like the idea of your schedule it's a it's a survive

in advance and then you have to and then the schedule is make shift over well you you you don't have this team anymore because they're out so we got to match you up with somebody different yeah start with the schedules and then you just have a permanent buy if you lose anyone want to guess and i don't actually have this answer off the top of my head right now anyone know who was team 136 in the advanced metrics last year? Well, of course. Everybody knows that. Who was it, Seiko?

The comments. No, why would we know that? Oh, I don't know. That's one of those things. People might, we got six well-informed college football. That is like every day. It's just every day, man.

That's on you guys. Hey, this guy will know. This guy will know. Craig, Craig, any idea who, why is it so hard to move people around? Craig, any idea who finished last year in the advanced metrics as the work? team in FBS college football?

Like who was number 136? Oh, um, put me on the spot. I see everyday knowledge, Craig, apparently. I didn't say it was. I said it could be. I think we have very well-informed, educated hosts here at the lockdown. If we're going off of ESPN, I have the answer.

I know who is number one. Right, Jacob? That's right, Craig. Yes. That's not what I asked. Who was the opposite of that? I don't know. Do we want to venture guesses?

I think we should venture guesses right now. This seems like fun. I have the answer. Okay. So, okay. So, Saco knows the answer. So we all have about 10 seconds, I'm saying, to come up with a guess. Oh, I have a good one.

Okay. Three, two, one. Okay. Everybody done? I get to go first because I'm in the top left. I'm going to say Sam Houston. Oh, that's not solid. Any other takers for Sam Houston?

I'm going to go UMass. That's where I'm. That's where my brain went was you. That's a good guess. Isaiah got one? It doesn't matter if they are statistically ranked there. To me, Rutgers is always good.

Jay, you want to throw a name out there? No, not this time. Okay. Roman. See, my brain went worst power four.

And I was thinking Oklahoma State's got to be down there somewhere after last year. Right, but we're talking all of FBS. No, that's just where my brain went. I'm just saying. They might still be down there. They could be down there. I mean, they lost to Tulsa.

I don't think Tulsa was even that good last year. All right. Okay. Saco, who is it? Who is it? Congratulations to the people that said UMass. San Houston was the second worst. Oh.

Roman, you were correct to say that Oklahoma State was the worst power four. Yeah. We're dialed in. We're locked in. We're locked on. Lock on, Craig. The network's name is lock.

It's written right over there. You have your glasses on. It's in decently large letters. Come on, man. Craig looks in glasses. You need glasses. You want to go down that? You want to go down that road?

Yeah. Hey, Craig, random thought here. But can you take off your glasses for a moment? He's fine. He's totally fine. Spencer's just playing favorites. Yeah, he is.

He don't like you. No way. Spencer playing favorites? That has never happened. I am neutral arbiter of college football. you all know it. You all know that... Mutual arbiter of glasses wear.

Apparently. Well, I never claim to be a fashion expert. I just have my own opinions on the matter, and they are strongly held beliefs. Jay and Craig is fine. I can't wait for the squad next week when Goin shows up in contacts, and I run away.

It's like seeing a dog without enough hair to me. It's just not a sight that I want to come back to. I'm going to quit coming to these, And this is terrible. I mean, you're getting paid to be here. Do you want to give up the, do you want to give up the, do you want to give up? At this point, I'd rather not be paid than be bullied by Spencer. This is, I mean, oh, uh, did you not listen to the intro?

It says very clear. The directions are very clear. No hurt feelings and thin skin allowed. It couldn't be any more crystal clear. I thought once we. won the national championship, this crap would end. That's what I thought. Oh, you were so wrong.

I thought that's not like no comma hurt feelings. That's true. I say it makes an important distinction. When we get back, we will continue talking about the insanity of the expanded college football playoff. And will Northwestern make a bowl game again? Everyone's got to stake their claim. First, this episode brought to you by our friend.

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I'll get you in a minute. Since I can't wear I'm fully on, I figured, I would go like halfway up, you know what I mean? I said I was still deciding. I wasn't sure yet. I was, that was, I was making sure. Anyway, go ahead. Craig came in halfway through. We need to tell him what we're talking about.

Yeah, I needed, I needed part two. I, Craig, go ahead. So yeah. So in, in segment one, Jay, as we were going around, I noticed didn't have his glasses on as he usually does. And I complimented him on it. And then Goans was, where were you feeling bad that?

I didn't compliment that you have glasses. No, you took this all. You took this liberty all on your own. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, that's right. I said, I don't know how you'd look without them. And then he said, well, I show up in contacts all the time. And I said, no, you don't. I've never seen that before.

So then he takes his glasses off. And I say, no, I've never seen that before. And I didn't like it. So I, so he went back on. If you'd watch Locked on Hoosiers more often, he has a variety of looks. Sometimes the glass is gone. That's why I don't. I check them out.

Is it locked in or locked on? I watch locked on Hoosiers all the time. Thank you, Craig. Craig is locked in to Locked on Hoosiers. Where we also talk about the crappy college football playoff expanding, by the way. We talk about it. Nice. When you're the number one team in the country, it doesn't really matter.

Put 150 in there. I don't care. Like Isaiah said, put some high school teams in there. When you're number one, it doesn't matter. You know, good metric from last year. if you use the old BCS 2 team computer system, the 14 playoff, the 12 team playoff, the 24 team playoff, Indiana was the number one ranked team all the way and they were getting in. So, you know, they were good to go last year.

Yep. Yeah, that's true. Did anyone else, Jay, did you, did we get to you? I forget who we got to in the first segment. We got a little sidetracked there. No, you didn't get me in the first segment. Okay. I don't want you to think that I'm, you know,

trying to leave Ohio State out of this conversation. So what's the right number? 46, that a good playoff number? No, I think the right number would be like, let me like six, eight, go back to four. That's way better than what we currently have. But my only real issue with this expansion is that we know it's going to happen, but they won't tell us when. Just do it next year.

We're not going to like it. Why drag it out, make yourselves look worse? Just make it happen next year. I heard Greg Sankey talk after the, I think it was a CFP meetings they had down south. And he said, we're still not sure what the format is going to be for next year. Our deadline is December 1st, but there's a meeting in June. And I'm like, you guys know where you're going. Just get there.

Why are you dragging it out and make yourselves look worse? Just put the 2014 playoff in. No one's really going to be on board with it. But we're going to get there eventually. Just make it happen now. I don't like the waiting. I personally am tired of hearing them go back and forth about. stuff when everyone knows the end result.

Just give us the 24 teams. Just get there now. I wish we had a waiting period on all major rule changes, especially when it comes to the playoff. Like, this is going to be year three of the 12 team play. Can anyone think of another sport where they change the playoff twice within five years? Like, can we just wait? Can we get five years of day?

I feel like the NFL would do that if they could. The owners would push back a lot. Yeah. Well, a point that I made, I can't remember if it was on the squad or my show or a crossover or whatever. But with the four team playoff, right, we left it alone for a decade. And I haven't talked about this with the NCAA tournament, too, where you had that for years on years on years. I just hate the idea that we're in this guinea pig stage of the playoff with seasons and jobs and careers. on the line every single season.

I just don't love the moving of the goal post when you've got coaches who are fighting for their job and players making millions of dollars and champions being crowned. And it's the NCAA and ESPN and the playoff. And they're like, yeah, but what if we do this and we change it up? I just, I hate that idea because a season for college football

is so valuable to me, I don't want them changing it up every single year and acting like it's peewee football. I have a new idea, actually. This is all this is just all kind of gave me a new idea since Jay like you said like they have till December 1st and I'm like well maybe they're just trying to keep it a surprise right and then the idea is why don't they just change it every year and just like you know one knows until they show up and it's like hungry games. Congratulations you're actually only in a somehow a three team playoff and it starts right now or like and one of them's a group of six. or you know just yeah congratulations you got to play all the teams all of them including the NFL teams good luck so is this is this something that you know i say to expand on your idea is this something that should go off of like quality of play every year where like it's always very obvious that there's

a drop off at a certain point in the quality of play roman no it's it's it's just something i feel needs to be brought up i just want to point out i did not tell saco to make make that job. That was not me. I could sense it elopathically. That wasn't me being a, being a puppet master of the squad show here. That was Seiko all in his own. I feel like I'm able to say that as a, you know, someone who covers a team that's been in the national championship more recently than Seiko's team. But, you know, I, I feel like that's neither here nor there at this point in time. I, but my question is more so like, hey, it's we know after the top 10 in the rankings, He's like, oh, these teams really don't have a shot.

Some of them are still a bit more fun, you know? It's a 12, we're getting to 16. It's like, maybe they're not going to win it, but there's still a really good football there. Should that play into this hypothetical idea here? Well, we saw that last year, you know, when Alabama went and beat Oklahoma, I remember doing a reaction show to it, to which I said, neither one of these teams is winning their next game. I don't care who would have come out of it. Like, that was my thought in the third quarter, like, oh. Oklahoma cannot sustain four quarters of offense.

Oh, Alabama is deeply flawed. They're trailing by multiple possessions for having a big swing against a team that is good, but maybe not great for the second time in the last three weeks. In the game in between there, they'd gotten destroyed by Georgia. And Goins and Craig, would you like to attest to how good Alabama really was? Yeah, they didn't look too good to me. I'll tell you that. They were terrible.

That's what they were. Terrible. Terrible. That team was horrible. Here's the thing about the expanded playoff. The best games are either going to be in the first round or the championship. Everything in between that is not going to compare because I think of the first round as comparable to those bowl games that we had once upon a time. When it was the BCS or the 14th playoff and you don't have players off and out left and right, the 16 seat against the 17 seed.

I mean, that's going to be must watch TV in the first. round and I think of that as a as a replacement bowl game. So if we want to think about what's a positive for the 2014 playoff, if I can say one good thing about it, because I don't care who the number one seed plays after that because they're going to demolish the 16 seed or the 17 seat. But the two schools that have to play to get to that point, all out, all out war. And that will actually be must see TV. And then you got to wait to the national title game to get something comparable. The national championship game should be the Pop Tarts Bowl. and we all know that it's true.

What do we know about the Wildcats? Are they a surprise team that's coming up next? Right here on the Lockdown Big Ten Squad. Up next in our running total of win totals here on the Lockdown Big Ten squad. A bold team. Can anyone tell me off top their head? How many games, Northwestern won last year? Seiko, you want to weigh in?

Seven. Okay, Seiko's correct. He got it right off the bat. Look at the ball knowledge. I came prepared. You said we were talking about the last three years. They went to the balls. Yeah, David Braun, pretty darn good football coach.

According to our friends over at Fandall, their win total. Not bad. Not bad. Their win total is five and a half. Now, I don't know the names of the individuals who set the Big Ten schedules every single year. What I do know is that one of them has a personal vendetta against the Northwestern Wildcats and hates them. and wants them to suffer in misery and suck as much as possible.

And David Braun might not care. I have never in my life, I don't know if any of you have seen this before. I have never seen a schedule in which you play an FCS team, get a buy, and then play 11 consecutive football games, nine of which are against big 10 teams, and one of which is against. Colorado. So this is a schedule that includes Colorado at home. Could be sneaky tough. You never know. at Indiana, Penn State, Ball State. Ball is not a state, but they're on there. At Michigan State, Rutgers, at Oregon, Iowa, at Ohio State, at Minnesota and hosting Illinois. Saco, dare you take the Wildcats to make a bowl game with that gauntlet?

And you just glossed over South Dakota State, right? That's not a, that's not a cakewalk. That's not a walk in the park. there by any means. Northwest, so I can tell you the guaranteed losses on this schedule, right? Ohio State and Oregon, Penn State, I won't quite put them there, but that's a,

you know, the Penn State team, here's the thing about Northwestern, though, they're always going to be well coached, they're always going to be tough, they're always going to be physical. I will take over five and a half

because some of those, again, how much better is Minnesota, how much better is Illinois, how much better is Iowa, Rutgers, Michigan State, Those are games where Northwestern could be theoretically favored in, depending on some circumstances. Those are toss-ups to me.

Yeah, okay. I don't, it's not crazy. Isaiah, it's not crazy. When you look at it closer, Secault as a point. Those are toss-ups. They could lose those games, but I say, I don't look at that schedule and say, oh, automatic L, automatic L. Just for Ohio State and Oregon, even Penn State, I don't even go that far. I think they give them a fight.

Yeah, okay. Isaiah? I mean, I think Indiana is probably an automatic. Oh, yeah, Indiana. Sorry, I look past them. But I was an accident. See that going? You're still getting disrespected over there.

It was the glasses. It's fine. I think the thing about, I look at the fact that they brought in Chip Kelly, they got Aiden Childs, like that feels like, okay, they should be off to the races. But Northwestern, even before David Braun,

for whatever reason, has tended to be like this every other year team, right? Like they, they tend to be like, oh, yeah, they're actually really good. Hey, they're actually going to play in the Big Ten championship game. And the next year, it's like, how'd you like three and nine? That was cool, right? So I look at the schedule and I'm like, I see five maybe. But like when you get down to like at Minnesota, like I think Minnesota is going to be surprisingly good this year.

Just kind of they've got a lot of returning experience. PJ Fleck has tended to get kind of be like Pat Fitzgerald was at Northwestern and kind of gets them. at least to the point where no one really wants to play them. So I'm going to have to go under because, you know, they're to get that sixth that's going to be probably either at Minnesota or against an Illinois team that I just think is probably better. So it's just it's a hard schedule. It's outside of the, I mean, even the non-conference like, like Zach said,

not super easy here. Yeah, Goans over under five and a half. Look, I have a hard time talking myself into finding four wins on this schedule, much less trying to go over and say six. I mean, if you're offering three and a half, I'll take it. Indiana loss,

Penn State loss at Michigan State. Toss. Hey, hey, whoa, hold on, hold on. Go back to that Penn State thing for a moment. We're going to just assume Penn State is beating Northwestern?

I am this year. Who won last year? Okay. It's, I know. Hey, new year, new Penn State, new Penn State. 20 and a half. Look, I think,

At Michigan State's a toss up, but on the road, I'm not willing to take them. Rutgers, maybe. Oregon, no. Iowa, as much as it pains me, they'll actually win that game. Ohio State, no. At Minnesota, maybe. And Illinois, no. I just, I don't see four wins on this schedule, much less five or six. What are you offering three and a half for?

Say, it goes and treat. What are your odds on three and a half? Please, please give them to me. I mean, it would probably be favored to go three and a half, but it's not by much. So it's juicy. Okay. Yeah. You mean favor to go over three and a half.

Yeah. Yeah. Favorite to go over three and a half. I mean, you know. Jay Stevens, you got a lot of faith in your old pal, Chip Kelly. No, no, no. Maybe when RJ is there. The slander.

But not this year. No, I don't. I can find four wins. I actually, I didn't look at Fan Duel. I came into this blind. I wanted to just hear the number when Spencer said it and kind of just put my thoughts together on the show. I thought the number was going to be three and a half.

I don't know what the odds makers see to put this, make it's five and a half. It doesn't make sense at all, especially knowing your biweek is in week number two, you're going to be gassed at the end of the season. So there could be some toss-up games that you're losing because you're brutally battered, physically battered and just messed up mentally because you're getting beat up week after week after week with no break. And so the buy week really hurts them. I may be more at five wins if they had an off week.

like week six, week seven, week eight, maybe week four. But having that thing week two? No, I can't get there. I'm going under. Roman, if Washington had a week two buy and 11 straight games, how many threads do you think we'd get from my guy, Tony Castroone? I would have just pulled my hair out by that point. If we got a week two by, that would have just been, I can't look past that at this point.

By the way, you know what I'm referencing, right? I do, yes. Okay, just making sure we're on the same page. She didn't have an early buy last year. Yeah, no, it's, I, I'm looking at the schedule and I, I, I truly don't know what to make of this because I feel like Minnesota and Illinois at the end of the year. Yeah, Minnesota especially, like, we've seen them get tougher under PJ Flag and the other team that people don't want to play, as you guys are saying earlier. But they also just lose games like this every single year. Like, it's just, that, that's just been the reality and situation for a very long time.

And I've, I've been sitting here on the fence the whole time. and Spencer, I really, this is one of the tougher ones I think we've seen. I think I'm going to take the over right now, but like just, just barely because you can beat South Dakota State. I think you can beat Colorado. And then Ball State, you start the year off three and two. Then you need to find three wins. And, you know, Michigan State, yeah, it'll be tough.

The Iowa game, Minnesota and Illinois, you go two and two in those four games. That's certainly possible. That's what I'm saying. Yeah, it's feasible. By the way, don't overlook the fed. that Pat Fitzgerald is going to have his team ready to go against his old squad after how that whole thing went down and it's in East Lansing. So Craig, you can you can wrap us here. Five and a half over under Northwestern. I'm, yeah, and by the way, I'm going, I'm going over,

just for the vibes. I'm going over. I think the ceiling is five. I think Vegas got, so that puts me on the under. I do like Aiden Charles. Look, he had no opportunity. offensive line at Michigan State. It was horrible. And Northwestern always has some sneaky, good quality offensive line people. So you put Chip Kelly running an offense with Aden Childs with a decent offensive line. Coach Braun is one to coach of the year and taking his team to the bowl game two of the last three years. I think there's a good nucleus there, but I don't think they get above five. And I say that with respect. That is a pretty tough schedule to be honest. Yeah, not easy. All right. That's how we get a squad show in in under 30 seconds. If I'm quicker on the

natural. Zach Seiko locked on nitty lines. Aho locked on Wolverines. Jacob Goans, locked on Hoosiers, J. Stevens, locked on Buckeyes, Roman Tom, Toms, Cajum, Lockdown, Big Ten, I'm Sprensen-McLaughlin. Nope, I didn't get it. Darn. I can't. I'm not an auctioneer. You said 30 seconds. No, I said before we got to 30 minutes even. You said seconds. You said seconds, but we all really.

That's how, okay. It was just one, one big short. Yeah, yeah, it was. It was. That is it for this week's locked on Big Ten's squad. We appreciate everyone listening. We'll see you next time. Until I hope you have a wonderful. Rest your day.