Locked On Hawkeyes - Daily Podcast On Iowa Hawkeyes Football & Basketball - Hawkeye Hoops Weekend Recap, Men prepare for Big Ten Tournament

Episode Date: March 12, 2024

Trent Condon is back to react to the weekend that was in Hawkeyes Hoops. The Iowa women gets its 3rd Big Ten Tournament Championship in a row as they beat Nebraska in overtime. A look at the tournament and what it means for the NCAA Tournament resume and not only getting a #1 seed but also staying away from South Carolina for as long as possible. Then a look at the Hawkeye men falling at home against Illinois and letting a huge opportunity slip away. Some struggles from Tony Perkins after a huge first half from Brock Harding. A look at what it will take for Iowa to get on the right side of the NCAA Tournament bubble. Then a quick peek towards the future for both the men and women's basketball teams.  Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors! Robinhood Robinhood has the only IRA that gives you a 3% boost on every dollar you contribute when you subscribe to Robinhood Gold. Now through April 30th, Robinhood is even boosting every single dollar you transfer in from other retirement accounts with a 3% match. Available to U.S. customers in good standing. Robinhood Financial LLC (member SIPC), is a registered broker dealer. Amazon Fire TV Fire TV recently created Fire TV Channels to deliver a constant supply of the latest videos from your favorite sports brands, all for free. That includes all of us at Locked On and most of the big pro leagues and college conferences as well. To Learn More, visit www.amazon.com/LockedOnFireTV Nissan Our friends at Nissan have a lineup of SUV’s with the capabilities to take your adventure to the next level. Take the Nissan Rogue, Nissan Pathfinder, or Nissan Armada and go find your next big adventure. Shop NissanUSA.com. LinkedIn These days every new potential hire can feel like a high stakes wager for your small business. That’s why LinkedIn Jobs helps find the right people for your team, faster and for free. Post your job for free at LinkedIn.com/lockedoncollege. Terms and conditions apply. Gametime Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDON for $20 off your first purchase. FanDuel New customers, join today and you’ll get TWO HUNDRED DOLLARS in BONUS BETS if your first bet of FIVE DOLLARS or more wins. Visit FanDuel.com/LOCKEDON to get started. eBay Motors With all the parts you need at the prices you want, it’s easy to turn your car into the MVP and bring home that win. Keep your ride-or-die alive at EbayMotors.com. Eligible items only. Exclusions apply. eBay Guaranteed Fit only available to US customers. FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

The Iowa Hawkeyes are Big Ten champions on the women's side and a missed opportunity from the Hawkeye men. We break it all down a weekend recap and hoops. Today, Locked on Hawkeyes. You are Locked on Hawkeyes, your daily podcast on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Part of the Locked on Podcast Network, your team every day. Hey, welcome in. I'm Trent Condon, and this is the Lockdown Hawkeyes podcast.

Thanks for making Lockdown Hawkeyes your first listen every day. We're available wherever you find podcasts. You can also find us on YouTube. While you're there, make sure you hit the subscribe button. Helps us get in front of more Hawkeye fans. This episode is brought to you by Nissan. Are you the kind of driver that likes to push things a little further? Ever wonder what adventure could be around the next corner? Take the Nissan Rogue, Nissan Pathfinder, or Nissan Armada and go find your next big adventure. Check them all out today at NissanUSA.com. Well, getting to you a little bit late this week as we were out and about, had a little family vacation,

took the kids down to St. Louis for a couple of days, so we are late getting back to you here on a Tuesday, but plenty to recap and a big week ahead for Iowa basketball. Look back at the Big Ten Tour tournament win for the Iowa women, the Iowa men with the opportunity against Illinois. They let that one slip by, and what could have been a winnable game, a slow start, and as they battled their way back, opportunities that just could not get over the hump.

Some frustration, certainly, but let's start on the positive side here, and let's kick things off with the Big Ten Tournament champions, the Iowa women in a championship game that came down to the wire, a game that we hadn't seen very often, certainly from this group being down in the game like they had been against Nebraska. I mean, you have to give a ton of credit to the Cornhuskers and what they were able to do with the ability to knock down shots throughout, you know, making big plays. Every time it seemed like they needed to come up with a big one, they were there, seemingly every single time.

And I walked away, you know, the game against Nebraska earlier this season where I will let the lead slip away. You had Kaitlyn Clark playing with the, at least very much on the horizon, the scoring championship that was in front of her, maybe wanted to do it at home. She was 0-6 in that fourth quarter. It was just such a weird game. And I don't think it told us

a whole lot about the Iowa team. You let one slip away. You had after the game being upset, Lisa Bluter upset, not going by protocol. And the Nebraska women were up there at the press conference when the visiting team was supposed to be the first one there. I mean, there was a lot that went on. It was kind of some goofiness there. But that's what it was, just a goofy outcome. Not so much here. Nebraska from Jazz Shelley, what she was able to do, 16 points and 13 assists.

How Nebraska was able to really slow down what Iowa wanted to do. And, of course, Iowa ends with 94 points in the game. It took a long time to get there. It was 77 all uh after regulation they did a great job of really slowing Iowa down and what Iowa loves to do in those secondary breaks after either made baskets or even after rebounds and outletting getting out quickly they had a defender there to slow things down and Iowa had to get in then to their full set offense and doing things that way I just walked away really impressed with what they did. A game where it wasn't a great shooting performance overall.

Caitlin has 34 points, 12 assists and seven rebounds in the game, along with three steals, but just 12 of 29 shooting five of 17 from behind the arc. It was one of those kinds of performances. But again, as we've been hoping for, if this team's going to make a run in the NCAA tournament, they need everybody. They need everybody to step up, and you certainly got that. Sita Fulcher didn't shoot the ball incredibly well, but she was impactful in a myriad of different ways.

Double-double in the game, 11 points, but her 11 rebounds. And just how different this team is with her out there in the starting lineup. They're just built differently than when Molly Davis is in the lineup. And it's something that they had to play with a couple of times this year when Molly Davis had a little injury and she was sick for a while. They had to deal with it,

but it also wasn't anything that they thought they were going to have to deal with long-term. And we'll still await what the decision's going to be on Molly Davis. I anticipate we're going to find out some more this week about exactly what that's going to look like and what exactly it's going to be for her. Her availability come the first and second round. Is it the sweet 16? Is that even a possibility for this one? But in a game where you don't have Kaitlyn Clark

shooting the ball incredibly well, how about Hannah Stolke again doing her performance inside? And though I don't think it's as consistent as we'd like to see from Hannah Stolke, performance inside. And though I don't think it's as consistent as we'd like to see from Hannah Stolke, what she did during this tournament, the last two games against Michigan, 16 points in 17 minutes in that game, and then playing 40 minutes in the game, 25 points, nine rebounds. She was all over the place. A couple of block shots. She was just outstanding. Three of five from the free throw line. That's another impactful part of this one too, that you really need from her. I mean, you need Stolke to be able to stay in there stay out of foul trouble be on the floor and when she is fouled and that's going to happen plenty she's got to be up there and hitting at minimum 60 like

that to be closer to 70 percent from the free throw line um Feuerbach didn't shoot it very well in fact only had one shot opportunity didn't score McCabe came in there knocked down a three-pointer but again these are the little role players that we talk about. The importance, though, of them going forward. And to win a Big Ten tournament, the path was not overly difficult compared to what they could have seen. Indiana was bagged up. They eventually blow the lead and get beat by Indiana.

Excuse me, get beat by Michigan in the quarterfinal round. Iowa was cruising. They cruised against Penn State, did the same against Michigan, and though it was hard fought, you get it done. It's just crazy to think. Four years at Caitlin Clark, four championship games, three titles, three in a row to wrap things up. The final four a year ago, the run to the championship game, what's still in front of

them, and just the crowd. I mean, it was absolutely amazing. Now, bad work out of the Target Center and the Big Ten of having no reserve seating. Or not, I shouldn't say no. Little reserve seating. So much of it was general admission. Led to ridiculous lines. People had to stand there for hours and hours on end to try to get into this stadium, into the arena.

And try to get themselves at least a decent seat for the game. That's something in hindsight they absolutely should have fixed. But is this going to be something that is going to be happening going forward? Probably not at this kind of level. Still, that was a missed opportunity. We saw what was happening, what was transpiring throughout the course of this season. This is something that the Big Ten should have been in front of. The Target Center should have been in front of this and understand that

general admission is not the way to go. You're going to have a sold out building. It's going to be even more incredible than it was a year ago. We saw that building and they didn't do that. Bad work out of them. That's something that they definitely need to get fixed. But overall, another championship. You feel great now for the Iowa women.

They sit here currently in the latest bracket from ESPN as the number two overall seed. And that is incredibly important. And we talked about it going into the big 10 tournament, what a tournament championship could be for them and what it would be. Now we thought there'd be another quad one quality victory against a team like perhaps Ohio state against Indiana that didn't play out. But as the PAC 12 continues to beat each other up, we see USC ascend and what they were able to do,

get in the championship and the automatic qualifying bid after winning the Big 12, Pac-12 championship, excuse me, getting up there. They're now the number one seed. Stanford's still a number one seed. They're also there. So you got both those teams up there. Of course, Iowa and then South Carolina.

After the craziness that was the SEC, here's the thing. Be a number two, number three seed. The difference is negligible between the two. And number two is a little bit better. Perhaps you're going to get an easier path to get there over the number three seed. But I mean, the only difference if all number one seeds make it to the final four and make it to Cleveland this year, the only thing that matters then in that first semifinal,

if you're the two seed or the number three overall seed is what color jersey that you're wearing. I mean, that's the only difference that you're going to have there. But the importance of that, Iowa looks in really good shape, not only of having a number one seed, potentially being the number two or number three overall seed. What that means, staying away from South Carolina as long as possible. Though we saw over the weekend, maybe the South Carolina team is not as invincible as they felt for a long portion.

Took a three-pointer at the horn from Cardoza to beat Tennessee in the semifinals. And then against LSU in the championship game. Certainly didn't play at their highest level in that game, even though they ended up cruising to the victory. You had the fight that happened. I mean, just so much going on there. The most important thing, though, is the Iowa perspective and the way that it sets up. Of course, the first two games will be in Iowa City, then the Sweet 16.

You're either going to Albany or you're going to Portland. Doesn't matter. I don't think greatly. The one concern would be if you do get shipped to Albany for that Sweet 16 Elite Eight, potentially UConn could be there, number three seed. If they come out, they win their game and get to the Elite Eight, you'd be playing UConn and that's going to be,

it's going to be a road game. I mean, that's going to be what you're going to be seeing there. So that's kind of what you're have in front of us, but we are now just days away, five days away from getting the bracket in front of us. Still much more happening in the women's side of things as we get the bracket ready for that one. We are the same days away from the men's side. Will the Iowa Hawkeyes be involved? We'll get into that. A loss to Illinois that definitely was a frustrating one.

And now what is it going to take for this team to be an NCAA tournament team? We'll talk about the men as we continue. This is Locked on Hawkeyes. Are you the kind of driver that likes to push things

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Trent Conant back with you once again here on the Lockdown Hawkeyes podcast. As always, thanks for making Lockdown Hawkeyes your first listen every day. Time to bounce over to the men, and though it was a disappointing performance on Sunday night. You know, all eyes really on men's college basketball. We're on the Hawkeyes, an opportunity against Illinois to get it done. He fall down right away, 24-8. You battle back a great first half out of Brock Harding. I mean, he really came to play, and we know the connections. If you

haven't heard it before, family grew up Illini fans, brother played baseball over there, had everything, never got an offer. And in fact, his best offer when he committed to Iowa was the Hawkeyes. So he becomes a Hawkeye. And though I'm sure it's a little bit weird for the family growing up Illini to be rooting for the Hawkeyes, you're rooting for your son. He went out there and really kept Iowa back in the game. 6.6 assists. He plays just 14 minutes, though. Didn't see him as much as I thought we were going to

in the second half of the game. Peyton Sanfort, he did the same kind of thing that we've really grown accustomed to throughout the course of this game. He has 23.7 rebounds in the game. Time is battling against some bigger guys inside, doing a good job on the boards, though just 5 of 13 from behind the arcs. Josh Dix didn't have it. 0-3 from behind the line. Finishes with 13 points, but need him to knock down some of those

three-pointers. Tony Perkins plays 27 minutes, two points, four rebounds, four assists. And that's the one. I get it. It's Tony Perkins, potentially his final game in Carver Hawkeye arena. You know, you want to give him the most opportunity possible for him to make a look forward, to be able to make the push and, and to figure it out. And we've seen it enough from him throughout his career. We've seen at times where he has struggled. And because of that, you're left saying, all right, he's going to figure it out in the second half. It just never happened. Iowa now sits at 18-13 overall. They are 60th in the net rankings. Against Quad 1, they are 3-8. Quad 2 loss record is 5-3, so that puts you at a combined 8-11 against the

top two quads, but now two Quad 3 losses, the home losses to Michigan, and now Maryland as they've gone the other way. You want the Terps to win a game, maybe win two in the Big Ten tournament. You're going to be rooting for them to make a little bit of a run here and potentially get one of those ugly losses off your resume if they can make a little bit of a push. But Maryland now, after they've fallen down, we talked a lot about Minnesota and potentially them getting into the top 75. That hasn't happened. Now Maryland sits at 77 as they continue to go down. So that's kind of what you're looking at in terms of potential help for your quadrant

help when you're going through the numbers there. But eventually, that doesn't matter. What matters is Iowa's got to get wins. And it's not just going to be one victory against Ohio State. Suddenly, Ohio State has played themselves back on the bubble, something that was unthinkable just a few weeks back. But they've caught fire. They're playing some really good basketball. And after they get rid of their coach, you're left thinking, all right, well, this is going to be ugly, right? There's going to be a team that's going to just fall by the wayside. They're going to be

dead team walking. That has not been the case for the Buckeyes at all. So Iowa obviously needs to open up and they have to get a win there. Then it'll be Illinois after that. So here are the numbers for you. Again, these come from Bart Torvik. You can play around with the website, barttorvik.com. B-A-R-T, Bart, like Bart Simpson, Torvik, T-O-R-V-I-K, barttorvik.com is where you can go. and he can do the same thing in their team cast page over there where you can kind of play around and see exactly what it would be. So going into the big 10 tournament, Iowa right now has an 11.7% chance of making the NCAA tournament. Now, if you beat Ohio state and then lose the next game to Illinois, your chances increase, but they're still not very good. 28.6% chance of making the NCAA tournament.

And even then, sitting at 19-14, I just don't see it. You win two, though. Now we're cooking. In fact, if Iowa wins two games, his projection site has Iowa not only being an NCAA tournament team, their chances increase to nearly 60% of the time they become an NCAA tournament team. In his little bracket projection, they're actually the last team that moves outside of a bye. So though they would still be an 11 seed, they wouldn't be shipped to Dayton in that scenario. They'd be playing a six seed right away without having to play that play-in game against Dayton.

So that's what's in front of this Iowa team. There's still huge opportunities for them to get it done. It is there, but got to play a whole lot better than they did on Sunday night. And, you know, the question now becomes about Fran McCaffrey, you know, about his future and what it looks like. And I understand many of the arguments that are out there. I get it. I keep coming back to this. We're in very much the same situation that we were with Dr. Tom Davis

at the end of his tenure. And in fact, though the numbers are better for Iowa basketball now than they were in Dr. Tom, for whatever reason, the fan base has made the decision that they're out. And I made my arguments for Fran, why he should stay. I don't believe that the next coach will be an improvement, but I understand the other side. 25 years without making it to the Sweet 16,

a quarter century without getting to the second weekend. Fran's had 14 of those years, 14 of those opportunities. And though they make the tournament more times than not, they made it and they just haven't played well there. Now, I've also argued people that say that's all it is, is a sweet 16 and think everything would be. I said this a week ago. If Iowa would have won that game against Tennessee, go back five years ago, Iowa, what, beat Cincinnati in the first round, great comeback to win that game against the Bearcats. Then they

get the Vols. They're getting throttled. They're down 18. They come roaring back. They force overtime. If Iowa would have won that game, I still don't think that the fan base suddenly would all be embracing Fran at this moment in time. That's not what it is. There's a myriad of factors that have led to a lot of people

being out on Fran. And maybe he hasn't been the warm, cuddly guy. People just don't like that Philly toughness that comes with him. They don't like the way that the histrionics on the sidelines look. I would rather have that compared to some of the other guys that we've had on the sidelines, right? I don't like the way that he goes from 0

to 100, and I think that hurts him with officials when things go awry. But that aside, the likelihood that I was going to be able to find a coach that is going to be able to do a better job consistently than Frey McCaffrey, I think it's slight. But you haven't got there. And you still have that argument. You just continue to have that argument. And there's nothing that's going to change it. Because it's fact. Iowa hasn't been to a Sweet 16 in 25 years.

And until that happens, it's going to be used against them. Fair or unfair, that is the reality. And that's where we are right now. I was got to win game two games at minimum to feel good about being in the NCAA tournament. And heck, at that point, you beat Ohio State, you beat Illinois, you're facing what, Indiana or Nebraska in the semifinals on Saturday on CBS. Well, at that point, let's just go win the whole damn thing, right? I mean, we're already talking about kind of playing it forward and what it's going to take. Let's just keep going here. I love the resiliency of this team.

I love the way that they battle back. They have been left for dead so many different times this year. And the future, it is bright. But you must win games. We're going to talk a little bit more about that future, what it's going to look like here, and set the stage for what we have coming up this week. We'll do that as we continue.

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You can even pick who's going to win it all with the futures tab. Just visit fanduel.com slash locked on and bet on college hoops until they cut down the nets. That's fanduel.com slash locked on. Trent Conner back with you one final time here on the Locked On Hawkeyes podcast. So we've laid out what it's going to take for Iowa to have a realistic shot of being an NCAA tournament team. We talked about the women and what it's going to take for Iowa to have a realistic shot of being an NCAA tournament team.

We talked about the women and what it's going to look like. What about the future and how things play out? And that's what I want to get into here as we wrap things up. So Iowa, however, on the men's side, it comes to a close. In the NCAA tournament or in the NIT, whenever it comes to a close, we look towards the future. And the future that I still think Bram McCaffrey is going to be a part of it. Like you can't fire a coach with the success that he has had. You just can't do it at this point in time.

We're looking at five consecutive NCAA tournaments. Five out of six years, he finally misses one and he's out at a program like Iowa. Look, we're not talking Kentucky here. We're not talking Indiana. We're not talking Purdue. We're talking Iowa and Iowa basketball. This is what Iowa basketball has been for the better part of now 35 years.

This is what they are. A team that can make the NCAA tournament more years than not. But that's about it. Win a game, get in there, win a game. And that's kind of the ceiling. Now, crazy things can happen. We've seen that happen. And would you rather have Iowa's program that has made five consecutive NCAA tournaments or be Oregon State? They made an

Elite Eight. That's also the only appearance that they've had over the last two decades in the NCAA tournament. How about they made the second weekend? Would you rather Wayne Tinkle or would you rather have Fran McCaffrey? I think it's a pretty easy choice. Be careful what you wish for. And the future looks really good. So next season, we'll see Patrick McCaffrey depart. We will see Tony Perkins potentially move on. You got the moving parts there. But obviously what we've seen out of the freshman this year, Owen Freeman goes without saying. I mean, just an absolute stud, a building block kind of piece, a guy that can do a whole lot. And now what your offseason is going to be

is figuring out what kind of big works best with Owen Freeman. I think you're going to see his range increase. You saw him as a high school player. He was able to knock down an open jumper and hasn't really tried it very much. He was more of a back-to-the-basket kind of guy. Tenacious inside, really heady player, smart with angles, has the explosion to get up, dunk it.

I mean, he has everything that you want. Pretty good defender on top of it. Now he needs to stay out of foul trouble, but you talk about a building block, a lot of teams in the country would be very happy to start their team with a sophomore known Freeman. From there, Brock Harding. Is he a guy that you believe can be a starter?

That's up to Fran McCaffrey to figure out. Is he a starter or is he a full-time backup role? I think he can still be very good. Do you use some kind of stopgap? I think that makes the most sense. And taking the bad taste out of the mouth of the last game by Tony Perkins. He's shown enough here during this stretch that he can be your guy in the backcourt and you feel really good about that.

What else do you need? Is it a shooter to go along with it? If it's Perkins out there with Sanford, with Freeman, and one other starter, do you need another shooter out there, another guy that can fill it up? Is it Josh Dix? Do we expect his role to continue to go forward?

I think that's definitely going to be a big component of what this is going to look like. So figuring out what the big situation is, Riley Mulvey redshirted this year. Did a light bulb suddenly come on? I'm not holding my breath. All right, you look at that part of it. What does it mean for the two incoming guys next year? Cooper Koch comes in, really good shooter from the outside, good size at 6'8". He can fill it up from the outside as he's more of a finesse player. Can him and Freeman play together? Are those two guys that kind of the

way and their differences of the game, would those two marry each other and work out incredibly well? Chris Tajot, is he a guy that can come in and be instant impact at minimum on the defensive end of the floor and the rebounding? That's what we hear about him is he is a tenacious guy on the glass. Is that something that makes a whole lot of sense?

But pieces are there. I think the opportunity for this team, we saw a little bit out of Price Sanford this year. You're excited about that. There's enough there that with the right additions to this team, not only are the NCAA tournament team next year, they're once again fighting to be a top five team in the big 10, be an NCAA tournament team, and heck, maybe a little bit more. That's how high I am. Now, what also does Fran do about the defense? This has been every single year. The likelihood, nothing will change. They will continue to do the same things that they do. The thing that's frustrating, it's one thing to be bad defensively just because

of physical limitations, right? You're just not good enough. You're not athletic enough. You can't move your feet fast enough to be a good defender. But it's also, you look and you just wonder, what in God's name are they doing? I mean, just how many missteps there are and how many wide open threes. They try to run that junk zone and it just looks hideous. And you got two guys that are coming to the ball when only one be. And they're just, they're not connected. Bray loves to talk about being connected.

So many times they're not connected on the defensive end of the floor. I've long maintained the best thing to do would be to bring in a defensive specialist, somebody that you can hand the reins off. Don't touch the offense because it's elite. It doesn't matter the parts, friend. He figures out a way on that side of the court every single time. Somebody to help out defensively would go a long, long way. So that's what we look at going forward. And then the women, boy, this is going to be odd.

I mean, playing without Kaitlin Clark next year, of course, Gabby Marshall moving on. Well, Kate Martin, their eligibility has come to a close and how different that team's going to be. And who's the point guard? As Guyton, who was coming in, a lot of people thought was going to be the heir apparent at the point guard position. Well, she tore ACL about a month ago. Even if she's ready at the beginning, she's not going to be full system go by the time they get to October camp. So you got that part of it to look at. And what do you do? You go into the portal and look for somebody at least for a year to help out with Stolke. We've seen enough out of fear back.

I definitely think that you have the pieces to be an NCAA tournament team next year, but again, they got to do work in the portal. And it's something that they haven't been real heavy on this last couple of off season. I think that's something if you're going to continue the momentum, not just be a team good enough to be an NCAA tournament team, but make your way into becoming a women's blue blood. But that's going to be a big part of it, of finding those right building blocks. And obviously, we'll talk about that more here going forward.

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