Locked On Hawkeyes - Daily Podcast On Iowa Hawkeyes Football & Basketball - How Good is Iowa's NCAA Tournament Resume? A look to the future of Pryce Sandfort
Episode Date: March 11, 2023How Good is Iowa's NCAA Tournament Resume? A look to the future of Pryce Sandfort.Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Built BarBuilt Bar is a protein bar that tastes like a candy bar. Go to builtba...r.com and use promo code “LOCKEDON15,” and you’ll get 15% off your next order.FanDuelMake Every Moment More. Don’t miss the chance to get your No Sweat First Bet up to ONE THOUSAND DOLLARS in Bonus Bets when you go FanDuel.com/LOCKEDON.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Discussion (0)
We get ready for the brackets.
How good is Iowa's NCAA tournament resume?
And do we have any hope that this team can get it turned around
and win a game or two in the NCAA tournament?
Plus, a first-hand scouting report of Price Sanford.
I was up close and personal watching him play.
Over the last three days, we break down the future Hawkeye today
on Locked on Hawkeyes.
You are locked on Hawkeyes, your daily podcast on the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Part of the Locked on Podcast Network, your team every day.
Welcome in.
I'm Trent Conant, and this is the Lockdown Hawkeyes podcast.
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Well, as we make our way through here on a Friday,
I just got back from calling the state championship game in class
for a West Des Moines Valley, a winner over Waukee Northwest.
We'll talk about future Iowa Hawkeye Price Sanford and his performance over the week
called throughout the years, a ton of prices games.
I got to call all three of the state tournament games and probably what a half dozen this
season as well from him.
So I've seen a lot.
We'll give you a scouting report on that and another potential future Hawkeye, though many
people believe on the football field and Zay Robinson, who is the captain of the all tournament team, just a
sophomore and one of the best wide receivers in the country for the class of 2025.
We'll talk about Zay and he is a great basketball player too.
Just an incredible athlete.
He put it together.
We'll get to that here in just a little bit, but want to kick things off here and just
one final scrub
of the NCAA tournament resume
for the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Now, this is something that is done
by the NCAA committee.
They're going through what is called
the scrubbing process.
They've been meeting for a while.
They're going through and figuring out
everything, things that need to be put together
for the bracket,
teams that can't play in the first round,
teams that can't play in the second round, teams that can't play in the second round,
what the matchups are going to be,
balancing the regions.
They're doing all those different things.
And of course, as teams continue to play,
their resumes continue to change.
So that's all a part of it here.
But we're going to do that just singularly
on this Iowa Hawkeye roster.
Very simply, this is what it looks like.
And there's a great website.
I've talked about it to you in the
past about what you can do to take a look at exactly what the ncaa committee what they're
going to be seeing as it pertains to iowa's resume warren nolan it's a name warren nolan warren like
uh warren spawn is that a good one warren moon. Okay, there. Warren. Yes, like that.
Nolan.
Nolan Smith.
Does that work?
WarrenNolan.com.
All right, you got it.
WarrenNolan.com.
Good.
God, it's been a long week.
All right, so this is what Iowa is.
So you can go there and you just click on, well, Iowa.
They're the 40th team in the net.
And then you can click on their net team sheet. And this
is the team sheet that everybody in the selection committee that they're going to have together.
First of all, right at the top of it, it says Iowa's net 40, big 10 record 11 and nine overall
record 19 and 13 road record four and seven strength, the schedule 20th non-conference one 22.
And it goes through with all that their average net victory,
one 13 losses,
75 results based metrics,
Iowa and the results based metrics.
Okay.
41st and 46 in the predictive measures though,
Iowa,
much better BPI at 31,
Ken Pomeroy at 37 and Sagarin at 29. That means that the predictive metrics,
like more than what Iowa's actually done this season on the hardwood.
And then what is talked about a ton, and maybe at times is overvalued,
Quadrant 1, Quadrant 2 victories, and then on the negative side,
the losses that you have in Quadrant 3 and Quadrant 4.
Iowa's got that terrible loss to Eastern Illinois.
That is going to be a handcuff on them throughout this.
344 is the rank for Eastern Illinois this season.
Just absolutely deplorable, deplorable.
That loss did it without Connor McCaffrey and Chris who are not in that game.
Chris Murray was not a part of that.
Both those guys sat out, but still that is an ugly, ugly loss.
Also two losses in quad three to Wisconsin and Nebraska.
And that becomes a little bit of my concern
with this Iowa team.
Not that they're not going to make the tournament.
That is not where I'm going with this conversation.
But three losses in quad three and quad four,
those stack up not very well with teams
in that seven to 10 seed range.
A lot of bracketologists right now have Iowa either an 8 or a 9 seed.
Updated after yesterday's game,
Bracket Matrix has Iowa as the last number 8 seed.
Other 8 seeds.
Maryland, who is currently losing as we talk,
to Indiana.
Arkansas, who blew a lead against Texas A&M today,
and Florida Atlantic that survived in Conference USA.
9 seeds.
Illinois, obviously not going to be matched up with Iowa in the first round.
West Virginia, possibility there.
Joe Toussaint, hey, there's a storyline.
Pretty easy one to sell.
How about playing Penny Hardaway and Memphis or Boise State?
Those are the nine seeds currently at Bracket Matrix.
Again, this is just an average of all, excuse me, the bracketologists out there and putting
it together.
So that's a look at things.
But again, the deeper dive here into Iowa and what they are.
Five and seven in quadrant one.
Those are wins against Indiana.
Net of 30.
That's an away win and a good one.
The road win at Rutgers, 38.
That's a good one.
Wins against Iowa State at home.
Against Maryland at home and Indiana at home.
And then the losses that are on there.
So those are your five victories in quad.
One, your quad two victories.
Michigan State, who could have helped Iowa out today if they beat Ohio State.
That did not happen.
So that remains a quadrant two of victory, not a quadrant one. Illinois, same thing.
They're not jumping up.
Rutgers, they need a lot of work to jump up there.
Northwestern in those victories.
Clemson, you're hoping maybe they think could jump into the top 50.
They get clubbed tonight.
That's not going to happen.
I guess your hope is that Ohio State maybe wins one more time against Purdue,
and maybe that'll get them into the top 50.
A possibility of maybe helping out Iowa's resume.
But for all intents and purposes, kind of the work is done.
Seton Hall is not going to get back into the top 75.
That road victory is going to be a quad two right on the cusp.
And the committee, the good news is they look a little bit deeper here.
They take a deeper look at it.
So ultimately, what is Iowa seed going to be?
We'll talk about that as we continue here on the Lockdown Hawkeyes podcast.
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Trey Connick back with you again here on Locked On Hawkeyes.
As always, thanks for making Locked On Hawkeyes your first listen every day.
While you're there, how about you hit that subscribe button?
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Shout out to everybody that's been joining us lately.
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on Lockdown Hawkeye. So
as we roll through, ultimately, what's the
endgame here, right? For Iowa, what are they
going to be? And maybe this is me.
Conspiracy trend is out. All right,
here's the tinfoil hat. Let's put it it on and you know who's a part of the selection committee Jimmy Pollard I know
I know the guy that put up the billboard in Cedar Rapids after Iowa State you know what was that
was that for the Cyhawk trophy was that for for the full season thing? I don't even remember
what it was, but he likes to rankle, right?
And he likes to push buttons and he does things. And here
in Central Iowa, I think you'll
know more about it than maybe you guys over
in the eastern part of the state. But
Jamie Pollard, he likes to take some shots
at the Hawkeyes from time to time.
Again, he is not
going to stand on a podium
and say, Iowa doesn't deserve to be an NCAA tournament.
He's not going to take that stand.
He is too much of a professional to do that.
But if it comes down to it,
there's a chance between maybe sending Iowa to Des Moines in an 8-9 game,
and if they can get a win, get Kansas in the second round,
maybe he's not going to throw that bone to the Hawkeyes way.
That's something that's been out there with different bracketologists.
I don't believe that Iowa's going to be there.
In fact, I think Iowa's ultimately going to be shipped south.
I think that's the ultimate destination for Iowa.
When you look at the NCAA tournament this season and the different locations that we have for 2023,
of course, Des Moines, that's been the apple of everybody's eye,
right? You want to see them be close to home. So many people be gobbling up the tickets. It'd be
great to see, but I just don't think that's likely. Orlando, a possibility. I really see
with the way that Iowa set up though, I think Birmingham very well could be the location
that Iowa ends up. Now, Birmingham, that is a Thursday-Saturday.
8-9 game, if they're stuck there,
that means possibility of seeing Alabama or Houston
if they're the one seed in either of those regions,
and I think that's where both of those teams are going to go.
Same thing for Orlando.
Maybe that's a possibility that they're going to be shipped there,
but something to keep an eye on, something that makes sense.
Another one is a possibility of UCLA as a number one seed. If they can
continue on in the PAC 12, if they get the number one seed, maybe I would get shipped out to
Sacramento. That's a possibility. Also, those are Thursday, Saturday matchups for Sacramento.
We're spitballing. We're guessing if I was on a 7-10 game, probably a 10 seed more likely than a 7 at this point in time.
Maybe Denver, a lot of Texas, a love out there.
Texas as a two seed possibly being shipped to Denver.
That's a possibility as well.
Again, a lot of this is guesswork when you're getting to this level.
And ultimately, I'm going to make my call.
I was not going to be on the 8-9 line.
They're going to be a 10 seed safely in the tournament.
They're going to be on the 10 line when we see They're going to be a 10 seed. Safely in the tournament, but they're going to be on the 10 line
when we see, when we get to Selection Sunday.
That is my prediction.
And, would you rather
be a 10 or be in the 8-9
game? I think I would argue
you'd rather be a 10. So, I
mentioned the 8-9 seeds currently at Bracken
Matrix. Here are the 7 seeds. Who makes
you nervous here? Duke.
We saw them play terrible
in that game and they don't run us out of the gym. Well, Northwestern, no, not going to be them.
Michigan State, they're not going to match them up in the first round. Missouri. Missouri looked
pretty good against Tennessee today. And maybe that one does make me nervous. Maybe put me back
on the eight, nine game. You're going to have to pull an upset to get to the second round.
And be it, if it's a Houston or Alabama, it's an incredibly difficult task.
Or if it's even a Texas or an Arizona or a Gonzaga.
Look, this is going to be super, super difficult to get to the Sweet 16.
It doesn't come easy.
We know this team can play well.
But from what we've seen the last two times out, it looks like a tired team.
It looks like a team that just, they hit a wall.
And for years and years and years,
and at times it frustrated me.
Fran McCaffrey continually playing nine, 10, 11,
sometimes 12 guys on his roster
and giving them important minutes.
It was a frustrating avenue
that he would go down year after year after year.
And this year, that's not the case.
They're playing seven guys banged up at this point in time.
Tony Perkins, he's been dealing with something all year long.
Chris Murray, of course, had the plantar fasciitis earlier this season.
He's been battling through that throughout the course of the season.
Connor McCaffrey, the guy's playing with a couple of injured hips throughout his career.
I had the anxiety issues for Patrick.
I mean, just on and on and on.
You wonder health wise, maybe that's just exactly what this team needs.
They're going to have at least eight days off before the NCAA tournament.
They'll play their first game and maybe that's the possibility.
That's something to get excited about.
I don't know.
It depends on draw.
It depends on who they're going to see and whoever they see in the round of 32.
If they do win that first game,
I don't believe that they are going to be a team that is going to pull that big upset.
And it happens basically every other year.
You'll see a number one seed go down to an eight,
nine and two out of three years.
Usually a number two seed goes down before we get into the sweet 16.
So the possibilities are out there.
Remember,
Iowa had a great chance a few years back in Bohannon early in his career.
Iowa forced overtime against Tennessee, had opportunities in that game to get to the Sweet
16.
You just take more and more chances, right?
And ultimately, someday, maybe they're going to get it done.
Well, maybe it'll be with another Sanford out on the floor.
When we come back, we're going to give you a up close and personal view of Price Sanford,
the future Iowa Hawkeye.
Had an opportunity to watch a lot of his games over the weekend.
We'll do that as we come back here on the Locked On Hawkeyes podcast.
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As always, thanks for making Lockdown
Hawkeyes your first listen every single
day as we wrap things up.
Price Sanford falls in the state championship
game to West Des Moines Valley. Not a great week for Price Sanford falls in the state championship game to West Des Moines Valley.
Not a great week for Price Sanford in the semifinal win against Waukee as they came
roaring back and ultimately knocked off their crosstown rival with Omaha Blue and company.
Price Sanford was not part of the comeback.
He was on the bench.
He picked up three fouls in the first quarter went to the bench and all of a
sudden kate kelderman and walkie northwest they went to another level they were down in that game
they came roaring back they took the lead i believe at one point it was a 33 to 4 run and a lot of that
was with sanford on the bench did not play at all in the second quarter as walkie northwest came out
there so played a foul trouble didn't have a great offensive performance in that one.
And then here in the championship game where they need buckets and just couldn't deliver
very often to begin the second half.
They went to him in the post a whole lot.
He is six foot seven.
Now he has a game I think is a little bit more well-rounded than Peyton was at this
point in their careers.
Peyton was a shooter.
He also played with a ton of talent, as Price did as well.
But he had Omaha Blue on that team a couple of years back when they were
sophomores at Waukee.
So that's a portion of it, too.
I think Price is asked to do a little bit more.
And I do think there is more to his game.
Handles it a little bit better at this point in his career.
But he needs some of that dog that his brother has.
And we've seen Peyton plenty of times this year.
It'd be that emotional leader, be that guy that would get in there,
get in the middle of things and need to see a little bit more out of that,
out of price.
That would be the part of it that I'd say.
Now, the other guy that was just an absolute eye-opener.
So Valley starts four sophomores.
One of them is a name I think a lot
of people remember, Curtis Stinson Jr. Of course, his dad went to Iowa State, played the league,
played the G League for a long time. In fact, he was right behind me in the stands as I was
calling the game on radio here this evening. And he is a really fun prospect. Now, I don't know
the chances of Iowa even getting involved. Curtis
Stinson, you're thinking Iowa State, obviously, and there's going to be a slew of people after
him. He can handle it well. He's taller than his dad, and he's like six foot four. Really good
athlete. He's springy. He's got a little more bounce to his game than his dad did. He's going
to be a really, really intriguing prospect going forward. But what I want to talk most about,
though, the guy that had the biggest performance for Valley.
And that was Zay Robinson.
Zay Robinson is a guy that is considered one of the top wide receivers in the
country in the sophomore class.
That's the class of 2025.
And he had the two point conversion that beat Dowling in the semifinals.
He is a big time athlete.
A Valley was not a great passing team this year.
They were okay.
Quarterback was more of an athlete than anything this season,
but he put up some really good numbers as a sophomore playing against the
most difficult schedule in the state this past season.
He's intriguing.
Now he's about six foot.
He's not that prototypical wide receiver that you think about.
That is, you know, the 6'3", 6'4", the long strider, that kind of guy.
That's not him.
He is an explosive athlete, though.
I mean, just gets off.
Some of the rebounds, just defensive rebounds.
He's above the rim, just clearing glass.
He is a plus-plus athlete.
Iowa State has already offered.
I would love to see Iowa get involved.
I know there's interest.
Saw an article from him earlier in the week
and talking about that Iowa's going to be in this spring to see him.
Oregon is also going to be out to see him a little bit. So you already got Oregon sniffing around.
That's something to keep your eye on there. Zavion Robinson. Zay Robinson is his name for
West Des Moines Valley. Keep an eye on him. He is an incredible athlete and a guy that look good
in the black and gold. A couple other guys. another sophomore for the team is Trevin Urick.
And Trev, as a young man that grew, I believe it's six inches over the past basically year.
He was a guard growing up.
He played with this other group of sophomores and he's got to handle the ball a lot.
Well, now he's six foot eight.
And I don't know if there's more growing to happen.
It feels like he's still coordination trying to keep up.
But now if there's another two, three inches,
he's got a soft puncher on the rim.
He's a good defensive presence tonight.
Six foot eight.
If he gets to 6'10", 6'11", another one,
maybe to keep an eye on there.
He's got those skills.
He's got a really nice shooting ability.
He can do some good things.
He can hit three pointers from the outside
and he moves well for a guy still kind of growing
into that body.
Trevin, keep an eye on him.
Trevin Yurek for West Des Moines Valley.
So a little scouting report here to wrap things up and a thought towards the future of Iowa
basketball and what very well could be.
That'll do it for today here on the Lockdown Hawkeyes podcast.
As always, thanks for making Lockdown Hawkeyes your first listen every day.
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We'll talk to you again on Monday.
I'll be on the road.
We will get you a podcast, though, as the brackets will be revealed.
Is there anything better?
Not for me.
Absolutely love it.
We'll check in with you on Monday from Florida, and the brackets will be in front of us.
We'll talk to you then.
Go Hawks.