Locked On Hawkeyes - Daily Podcast On Iowa Hawkeyes Football & Basketball - Iowa Hoops: Payton Sandfort returns, minutes distribution, Caitlin Clark & Kate Martin in the WNBA
Episode Date: May 30, 2024Iowa Hoops: Payton Sandfort returns, minutes distribution, Caitlin Clark & Kate Martin in the WNBAFollow Trent Condon on X: https://twitter.com/trentcondonLISTEN TO THE PODCAST: APPLE: https://podcast...s.apple.com/us/podcast/locked-on-hawkeyes-daily-podcast-on-iowa-hawkeyes-football/id1441592240SPOTIFY: https://open.spotify.com/show/0GTyz5ygevcGXdTF6QSoEoYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/LockedOnHawkeyesSupport Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!GametimeDownload the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONCOLLEGE for $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply.FanDuelFanDuel, America’s Number One Sportsbook. Right now, NEW customers get ONE HUNDRED AND FIFTY DOLLARS in BONUS BETS with any winning GUARANTEED That’s A HUNDRED AND FIFTY BUCKS – with any winning FIVE DOLLAR BET! Visit FanDuel.com/LOCKEDON to get started.eBay MotorsFrom brakes to exhaust kits and beyond, eBay Motors has over 122 million parts to keep your ride-or-die alive. With all the parts you need at the prices you want, it’s easy to bring home that big win. Keep your ride-or-die alive at EbayMotors.com. Eligible items only. Exclusions apply. eBay Guaranteed Fit only available to US customers.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)
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Peyton Sanford is back with the Iowa Hawkeyes.
What does it mean for Iowa hoops?
Are they back being an NCAA tournament team?
We break it down,
take a look at the minutes and talk some hoops today.
Locked on Hawkeye.
You are locked on Hawkeyes,
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part of the Locked On Podcast Network, your team every day.
Hey, welcome in.
I'm Trent Condon, and this is the Locked On Hawkeyes podcast.
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Well, the big news that we've been waiting for finally was announced late into the evening
as Peyton Sanford will come back into Iowa City for his final season of eligibility.
Now, this is not a huge surprise by any means.
We've been hinting at that and the rumblings that have been out there recently.
But it went into the final hours of a decision that had to be made.
This had to be put in by 1059 Central Time.
And it wasn't until about 930 that Peyton Sanford released a Instagram post that alerted the masses that he would be entering,
staying, excuse me, with Iowa not entering the NBA draft.
Look, the impact for this is immense.
Without Peyton Sanford, I don't believe this Iowa team
had a realistic shot of being an NCAA tournament team.
Of course, we're going into the newfangled Big Ten next season.
As I was reading a few things about the future of the Big Ten and what it's
going to look like next season, a lot of roster shuffling happening. It's very difficult to get
a real good read on everything with all these moving parts of what it's going to look like.
But one of the first articles that I was reading in preparation and kind of seeing where they had
some of the other teams placed and knowing that the news of Sanford's return wasn't going to be in there. They had Iowa 18. That's right. Out of 18 teams with the additions of USC, UCLA, Oregon,
Washington next season before any of the transfers either happened for Iowa, though the departures
were there with Tony Freeman and Patrick McCaffrey. This particular publication had Iowa 18. Now I
think that's ridiculous. I mean,
it's absolutely asinine that you would do that with this program, what Fran McCaffrey has done.
And, you know, at times I think we forget that the ceiling has not got to where we want. We have not
been able to break through and get into that second weekend and do what many of the things
that we're hopeful for, for this Iowa program and bring back some of the great memories. And as we're going on now, 25 years since the departure of Dr. Tom Davis in
the last Sweet 16, we certainly know all that, but the floor is not that. Fred McCaffrey is not
going to have a team that is going to fall apart at that level. I mean, look at this past season,
a team that I didn't think was realistically going to be
even a bubble team this season, and he had that, and there were opportunities late in the season,
the games against Illinois that could have been the difference, and putting this team back into
the NCAA tournament for the sixth consecutive season, it didn't happen. But to even have them
in that opportunity, you go into March with a realistic chance of being an NCAA tournament team
says a lot about his coaching acumen and says a lot about what he has done in building this program.
It doesn't have those kinds of craters. It doesn't have that kind of collapse. And to think that Iowa
is going to finish in 18th place out of 18 teams in the big 10, it just absolutely ridiculous.
Well, this changes all of that.
Now, since then, of course, they've gone out to the transfer portal and added, at minimum,
a couple of nice pieces. These are not guys that are going to be showing up on a bunch of
a top 25 or 30 prospect list in the transfer portal. That's not what you're going to see
with Traore and with Felwell. That's not what they are, but they are pieces that fit exactly what Iowa needed.
And that's a reason for excitement.
But let's start first with Peyton Sanford
and him coming back.
The NBA Draft Combine did not go very well.
And we definitely saw that.
And there were some excuses out there.
Hey, this is not the kind of place
that he's going to thrive,
even in the scrimmage opportunities.
He's not a drive guy.
He's a catch and shoot. And having teammates that are going to set you up, having point guards that
are going to get you the ball, just having those kinds of experiences and playing in that kind of
scrimmage environment is not set up for a player like Peyton Sanford. And though there is a bit of
truth to that, I think that part was overstated. He played poorly and that's okay.
Certainly for our standards, that's really okay because we're happy for that because he's back
in Iowa City. But the other part about it that I think too many people were missing is just how
poorly he tested and a lot of those physical attributes. I mean, the running and the jumping
and those kinds of things, it wasn't just bad for a guy. It was just bad period. Some of the lowest numbers that we've
seen across the board for a guy that's going to be a two guard, maybe a swing guy at the next level,
a guy that has never been known as a great defensive player. He's a good rebounder for a
guy his size, and we know what he can do shooting the basketball and that quick release of what it's going to be. But reason for optimism continues. And now this will be an offense that is built
around two main pieces. And you're going to have Peyton Sanford. You saw the emergence we saw from
Chris Murray a couple of years ago. He had a similar decision to make. Were there a potential
team or two that was looking at him as a first rounder possibly but most everybody had him as a second round pick and instead he came back had a great season and
went on and was a first round draft pick by the Portland Trailblazers you saw that and I think
you're going to see a system that is very much set up to continue to do some of the things they
pet Peyton Sanford is so good at and get those numbers up and get the shooting at a more
consistent level. We saw a big improvement between his sophomore and his junior year.
You go back from his freshman season to what he put together during his sophomore campaign.
We saw big leaps. And though at this point, you don't anticipate those leaps are going to be as
immense. There are a few things that he can do. First of all, we saw a big increase
in terms of shooting this season. And he went from that slump that he had as a sophomore year,
still finished the season shooting 34% from three. He shoots 38% this past season. We'd love to see
that number pushing past 40%. That's going to be his calling card at the next level. Mention the
rebound, something that is very good. He's also got to show it on the other end of the floor. He's got to be a better defender. And now this is across the board.
And as we talk a little bit more about the team as a whole, that's going to come up. But
St. Samford has to show next year that Peyton is going to be a better defender than what he's
shown certainly throughout the course of his career. A little bit more maybe versatility to his offensive game,
not just being that shooter to pull up game, working off screens.
We know how good he is at that.
But some other components to his game,
is there more that he can add going into his final season in a Hawkeye uniform?
And plus the opportunity to play more with his brother for another season.
You have to realize that that's going to be a big calling card for him as well.
I just think overall that is something that is going to be just great for the guys
and great to have that opportunity.
Now, how much are they actually going to be playing together?
Well, that gets interesting.
And you look at the roster and you look at the construction of this team
and the way that they're set up,
I'm not sure how much exactly we're going to see them and maybe how many minute increases we're
going to see coming up this season for Price Sanford. We'll talk about that and this team.
I believe now with Peyton Sanford back in the fold, Iowa is a bubble team at minimum,
and I think they're going to be on the right side of the bubble. Right after the NCAA tournament came out,
bracketologist Joe Linardi of ESPN, I'm sure you all know him,
he came out with his 68-team bracket.
And he also threw in his first four out and his next four out.
There are a lot of Big Ten teams in there.
Iowa wasn't among them.
I believe that will change.
We'll talk about how that's going to
happen, break down the minutes a little bit, how this team, how this roster is going to look
coming up this season, plus more basketball talk a little bit later on. We talked WNBA,
Kaitlyn Clark. Things got a little bit more difficult for her in the coming weeks, plus
Kate Martin. What a story of what she's doing with the two-time defending champion
Las Vegas Aces.
We'll do all that as we continue. This is Locked On Hawkeyes.
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And now let's take a look at what we have coming up with this team this season.
As you kind of break things down and look at the roster construction, I think one thing really jumps out, and it is the depth that you have in the frontcourt
and the depth that you have at the power forward position, at the center position,
even in a way at small forward. This isn't a team that is very deep in guards. And we know
guard play wins come March, but at minimum, I think you feel pretty good. And this is going
to lead to potentially some interesting lined up combinations. So as you look at first Peyton
Sanford coming back next year, you anticipate he's going to be probably in the range.
And we're talking not all the non-conference games, but we're talking about the close competitive Big Ten games throughout the course of the 20-game landscape coming up this season.
You're looking 33-34 minutes.
And as you put all these numbers together, also have to realize in the box score, you only have 200 minutes available, right?
Five positions, 40-minute game,
very simple math. That is 200 minutes, and that's what we're working towards. So I put Peyton
Sanford down for 33 minutes per game. Drew Thelwell, I had it down 422. I have him slightly
more than Brock Harding. And is there going to be moments where both of those guys play together?
I think so. And that's why I have Brock Harding a little bit higher than the 18 left at the point guard position.
I have him at 20.
I think you're going to see that.
Foul trouble crops up, that kind of thing.
And it just goes to show you again,
the lack of depth in the guard position
for this Iowa basketball team.
Next on the list, speaking of the backcourt,
is the starting two guard, and that is Josh Dix.
Dix, I put it 27 minutes a game.
That is a number that probably is maybe even going to be a little bit higher this season.
We saw that great stretch of games when he had six, seven games where he was as hot as anybody,
not just in the Big Ten, but anybody in college basketball shooting
and what a high offensive system that he was playing at.
And I think untapping even more of that potential
and getting the consistency that you need out of Josh Dix,
I think you can see a big, big step forward for him coming up this season.
And then you get into, what do you do with Price Sanford?
Is he going to be able to play two, three, those two positions?
Is he able to carve out a role and find some kind of niche on this team?
I just put him down for 10 minutes.
And the reason for it is I'm so intrigued by the big guys.
And I want to see what kind of combination these guys can work together.
You know you're going to want Owen Freeman out there as much as possible.
And Owen Freeman, foul trouble was a big issue for him during his freshman campaign.
It was really a time that was very debilitating
for this team. Left him out there. There were some silly fouls. There were fouls that you just
can't have. You love his aggressiveness. You love that we actually have somebody that will try to
block shots and be an attacker. And I think at times, playing with a guy that just was not a
good defender at all, or a good rebounder, and Ben Crickey. I think that hurt him at times also.
Really good on the offensive end, but on the other end.
Speaking of Owen Freeman,
continued to hear great things about the work
that he is doing to improve his range this season.
Look, this past year,
he was basically a back-to-the-basket kind of guy.
And yes, he had some moves down in the post
and those kind of things.
We saw a couple of long jumpers,
you know, the 15, 16-footers that he attempted throughout the course of the year. I think you're going to see more of
that range. He's going to be much more comfortable doing it that season. And if you untap that,
now you're cooking. But the rest of the guys is what's really interesting to me.
And you talk about the two incoming freshmen, Cooper Koch, who I think is going to find a
role on this team. I put him down for 12 minutes a game.
Same thing with Chris Tajot.
And Tajot is the guy that we just don't know a whole lot about.
He was playing in the NBA Developmental Skills Academy that he was playing with. I know a lot of people in the recruiting world really like him, love his upside,
the way that he rebounds, the defense that he plays,
and the possibility with that skill set with Fran McCaffrey, who is such a great offensive coach, what he's going to be able to do with a guy like that.
But he's just so raw and unknown at this point in time and how it's going to translate this quickly during his freshman campaign.
Another guy we got to talk about is Lajie Dembale.
And we saw glimpses a year ago of Dembale, a chance to be a really good player.
Overall, the shooting numbers were pretty bad last season for him.
But a part of that that I really did enjoy is he wasn't scared.
He wasn't scared of the moment.
He wasn't scared of the big shots coming in.
He's ready to go.
And that kind of confidence, I think, is something that's incredibly impressive. That's another thing that Fran does a really good job of instilling
confidence in his guys. I think he did a great job of that with so many guys throughout the time that
it's very rare that you see a guy that is just out there that doesn't know, that doesn't have
that confidence to put up the shot. He's going to put you out there. He anticipates that you're
going to be ready to go offensively. And I think DiBale definitely has that. You know, what more can be
unleashed? He knocked down a couple of three-pointers this season. The range, the physicality that he
can play with. I think a lot of good things there. I put DiBale down for 15 minutes a game, and that
might be low. It's just because of what you have with Koch, with Tajoh coming in. And then the
other one, the Manhattan transfer and Sidhu Trayor.
So Trayor, I think is one of the more intriguing guys that I was brought in.
Talk about Tajo's athleticism.
And though Trayor is not at the same level, this is a different kind of athlete than we're
used to in Iowa City.
And just overall, this skill set is much different than what we had.
As we talked about earlier in the week here on Locked On Hawkeyes,
every day or as you're going to remember this one,
just talking about is this maybe a shift in the philosophy
of what I was looking at and looking for going forward?
Potentially, he's one, though, I think that is difficult
to kind of carve out what this is going to look like.
And the other question is, so who starts?
Who's your starters now?
Yes, the old adage, It doesn't matter who starts.
It's who finishes the game.
All right, whatever.
For here now, the starting line, I believe it will be Drew Thelwell,
the transfer from Warhead State.
He'll be the starter at the point guard position
with Brock Harding still playing a bunch this season.
Josh Dix, lock at the two.
Peyton Sanford, a lock at the three.
Owen Freeman, a lock at the two. Peyton Sanford, a lock at the three.
Owen Freeman, a lock at the four or five.
Probably the five, because most of these other guys,
you don't have another true center out there.
So you're left with a power four.
And if it plays out in that fashion, or even if you want to flip-flop Harding and Thelwell,
more power to you.
But we're still waiting for one spot.
Is it Dombale, the guy that will have the most Iowa
experience going into next season? Definitely could see that. Is it Sador Traor, the Manhattan
transfer? Is he the guy that gets that starting spot at the four? I would love to see it. If you
put Phil Wall out there, Dix, Sanford, Traore, and of course Owen Freeman.
That's going to be one of the better defensive teams that Iowa's had in quite a while.
Now you've got to teach it right.
You have to actually want to invest the time and the effort into that end of the floor.
And there's times that you definitely question that when you watch Iowa basketball.
But I just think when you look at the skill set of those guys and what they've been able to do in the past, it gives you an opportunity to really be at minimum
an okay defensive team. And we've seen when I was okay on the defensive end of the floor,
now if they can all of a sudden get it, even into the top 75 of college basketball,
where they've been in the hundreds for most seasons and defensive efficiency,
you're going a really long way. Here's another thing. As
I was looking through some numbers earlier today, and this one really jumped out. Talk about the
losses. It was, I know for a lot of people, incredibly just odd that Patrick McCaffrey
decided to leave and leave before his final season playing for his father. I know that created some
headlines. I didn't see as a big deal. There's something that I think we knew was going to happen and it played out in that fashion.
However, this was really interesting. Again, I like efficiency numbers. I think they,
they paint a better story than just strictly points per game and those kinds of things.
In terms of offensive rating last year, your best player on the team was Josh,
Josh Dix, 127.7. That's elite. Next up, Owen Freeman, 125.2. And then Peyton
Sanford, third on the list at 123. So you're bringing back your three most efficient offensive
players in offensive rating from a year ago. Not only that, Freeman was your best defensive player
in defensive rating from a season ago. Dembalali out of the regulars or quote-unquote
regulars was second on the team. Even Brock Hardy was up there higher than some of the other guys.
DeSante Bowen, Patrick McCaffrey, he was higher than those guys on that list. And then you throw
into the mix these guys. As I said, I think this is a tournament team. I really do. Now it's going
to be fun to see what Fran comes up with in the
non-conference schedule and how that comes together. And we got you covered when that
thing comes out. Really interested to see. Across the state, Iowa State, their non-conference
schedule came out today. They're going to Maui this season. A great field will be there. The
Iowa State-SciHawk game this season will be back in Iowa City, but their bye games were some of the worst teams in college basketball as they did a year ago, and it maybe hurt them. Iowa, I don't want
to say they figured it out, but they beat the system before a lot of teams started to catch up
and what you do with the net system now as opposed to the old RPI. It's an argument that used to
absolutely baffle me. Fred McCaffrey's a smart guy.
He went to an Ivy League school.
He went to Penn.
He went to Wharton Business School.
And how he could be so confounded by the numbers when he played in the old RPI system,
those dregs of college basketball,
the worst of the worst,
it would absolutely kill
your non-conference strength of schedule.
Well, Fred didn't evolve in the way that he schedules.
They still play those dregs.
The good news is, though, in the new system with the net, if you play those teams and
you beat them by 50, it is going to greatly help you in terms of the net ranking. Your strength
of schedule is not going to be any better. It's not going to look good, but that doesn't matter
as it pertains to the net. Margin of victory is capped at 10, but what is not capped is efficiency numbers. Now,
is the NCAA going to tweak that? There has been some talk about that. We saw some teams in some
conferences that were maybe trying to skirt the rules, if you will, and try to play around them.
But Iowa, in those bye games, they take care of business. They're going to be really, really good
again in terms of the net ranking. That's something that has helped them get into the tournament many years, as opposed to the way that it hurt them with the old RPI system.
Wrapping things up in a basketball heavy edition of Lockdown Hawkeyes. Don't worry,
we got football coming your way later this week, as we will be talking on a little bit with our
recurring guru here with Lockdown, as we will break things down as we always do with
brian smith a lot of football recruiting i'll look at a couple of guys coming in here just a week
away from the freshmen that have not already been on campus making their way to campus a couple more
prospects and look forward a couple of defensive back uh commitments that i was looking for a
couple of florida guys where where Brian is based out of.
So we'll talk about that and a whole lot more.
So plenty of football.
Don't worry.
I'll come your way here later on the week.
In the week, I'm locked on Hawkeyes.
Finish things up, though, with a little WNBA talk.
I'm not alone.
I've been watching a lot of Kaitlin Clark, but it's not only Kaitlin Clark.
It's been watching a whole lot more Kate Martin than I anticipated was going to be the case.
We'll talk some hoops.
What's going on with Caitlin and Kate in the WNBA?
As we roll through, this is Locked on Hawkeyes.
Trent Condon back with you one final time here on the Locked on Hawkeyes podcast.
Thanks for being with me.
Hit me up on Twitter at Trent Condon.
You can also follow the show account at LockedOnIowa.
Kate Martin, Kaitlyn Clark.
We've talked about this before.
The story of Kate Martin going to the WNBA draft,
getting to hang out with her teammate, watching Kaitlyn go number one.
That was great.
They call her the glue.
And Kate Martin did all the little things.
Eventually, she's going to be a coach.
That's what she wants to do.
Her aunt is Jan Jensen.
Definitely something that makes a whole lot of sense.
Is there going to be a spot down the road, maybe on the Iowa bench for her,
starting out as a grad assistant?
Don't be surprised when we get to that point that it's going to happen. But suddenly,
there's been a whole lot more basketball for Kate Martin than, frankly, I ever thought was
going to happen. Seeing her selected in the second round was great. And I thought that was going to
be it. You know, I think a lot of us learned this a year ago with Monica Zanotto and just how quickly her dream of playing in the WNBA came
to an end. It's tough. 12 teams, 12 roster spots, 144 spots for the best players in the world.
That's all that's available in the WNBA. And Kate Martin, though, we saw so many great things and
what made her a great teammate, doing the dirty work, doing all those kind of things was a huge component of her play,
her style, and her importance to Iowa basketball.
But she's going to the two-time defending champion, Las Vegas Aces.
Now, eventually we found out that that's helped her as they were looking with the salary structure
of the WNBA, looking for a couple of minimum salary players,
a couple of rookies that they could put on those rookie contracts.
And that did help.
But the same thing.
All right.
It goes from nice moment.
She got to hear a name called, all right, that was cool,
but that's going to be basically it.
She'll go to camp.
She'll learn a little bit from Becky Hammond,
and then she'll be on and she'll be working to find a job
coaching women's college basketball, right? Being assistant coach somewhere,
being a grad assistant, that was going to be the route she was going to take. Not so fast.
As we get deeper and deeper into camp, Kate Martin's got a chance to make this team. And then
Kate Martin makes the team. There's another story. How amazing is this? The glue has actually made the team,
but she's not going to play, right? Not so fast. She's playing and playing at a high level.
If you're watching over the weekend against the Fever, you saw just that. 12.7 rebounds in that
one, knocked down a couple of three-pointers. Then on, would have been the 29th, she's knocking down shots all
over the place. Three of six from downtown, nine points, three rebounds, two assists.
She's doing Kate Martin things. It's astonishing. It really is. For a player that came in without
much fanfare, one of the more lowly recruited players in comparison to what you normally see from Iowa
women's basketball.
Even go back a year ago and the decision that her and Gabby Marshall had to make if they
were even going to come back for another season.
They do.
And now we're seeing what's happening with Kate Martin.
Just absolutely awe-inspiring.
Kaitlyn Clark, there's been frustrations.
And she played very well again the other night.
Had 30 points, a career high you're seeing here become more comfortable this physicality is real
some of the things that some of the both former and current WNBA players were talking about during
the course of the end of her career at Iowa I think are coming to fruition maybe we were too
quick to just think that this was going
to be easy. And I never thought it was going to be easy. I knew there were going to be growing
pains. Those growing pains though have frankly been a little higher than I thought. It's been
more difficult than I thought. And I did think there were going to be struggles, but the physicality is real. The jealousy is real. And the ineptitude of her coach is real too.
Boy, some head-scratching moments.
And not just, hey, I'll be the one that gets the technicals.
Not the long twos, though both of those things are head-scratching
and head-shaking along with it.
Substitution patterns.
End-of-quarter situations.
End-of-game situations. As they get beat late of quarter situations, end of game situations.
As they get beat late, all these games start to run together, but it just, all these things together. Christy Sides, not long for this league, and not long, I don't believe, for the Indiana
Fever job. The blame's going to go somewhere, and he can't fire the players, right? We'll see what
Indiana does on this one. I would like to see a system more geared to Kaitlyn Clark.
I'm sure that this has been a lot on her,
not just what she went through
through the course of the season,
but for any rookie to have to quickly turn around
and get ready for this.
And yet with all these things being said,
the growing pains that we're seeing,
she's still putting up for a rookie ridiculous numbers.
And she's still doing things we haven't seen before from a rookie in the WNBA.
Maybe we have to remind ourselves about that from time to time.
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