Locked On Hawkeyes - Daily Podcast On Iowa Hawkeyes Football & Basketball - Iowa Women's Basketball: How the Hawkeyes can Beat LSU, Plus Weekend Recap

Starting point is 00:00:00 We have waited 364 days for the rematch, and it's here. Iowa LSU. How did the Hawkeyes pull off the win and beat the team they couldn't a year ago in the national championship game? We break it all down today. Locked on, Hawkeyes. You are locked on, Hawkeyes. Your daily podcast on the Iowa Hawkeyes.

Starting point is 00:00:21 Part of the Locked On Podcast Network. Your team every day. Hey, welcome in. I'm Trent Condon, and this is the Locked On Hawkeyes podcast. Thanks for making Locked On Hawkeyes your first listen every day. We're available wherever you find podcasts. You can also find us on YouTube. While you're there, make sure you hit the subscribe button.

Starting point is 00:00:51 It helps us get in front of more Hawkeye fans. Today's episode is brought to you by GameTime. Download the GameTime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDON for $20 off your first purchase. Well, here we are, a rematch of the national championship game from a year ago. It's Iowa. It's LSU. The winner this time will move on to the final four.

Starting point is 00:01:13 The loser sees their season come to an end and programs certainly changing going forward. This is as big as it's going to get in women's college basketball. Yes, there is still a final four in front of us. There is still a national championship game. But this one, boy, the intrigue is incredibly immense for this one. And we're going to talk a lot about what's happening between the lines. We're going to break down the game. And that's what we do here on Locked on Hawkeyes.

Starting point is 00:01:38 But there is a lot more to this game than just what's happening between the lines. And in a way, it can be unfortunate, but in a way, this is about the growth of the sport. And what we're seeing right now, a huge portion of that is the extras that go into it. And that's why the country is watching. That is why the world is going to be watching this one. And it's going to do numbers unlike anything ever seen before for an Elite Eight matchup in women's college basketball. It's going to be new numbers that are through the roof. And we've seen through the first two rounds of the NCAA tournament, the win against Holy Cross for Iowa, the win against West Virginia on Monday night,

Starting point is 00:02:14 how big those numbers are. Numbers aren't in from the weekend and the easy victory against Colorado, but this one's going to be intense. And we're going to talk about here at the top what it's going to take. So a little bit of an overview. Now, I know there's a lot of people out there that are maybe just starting to dip their toe into women's basketball. Maybe you're a newbie. You haven't been a part of women's basketball for a number of years.

Starting point is 00:02:37 And with that, maybe you just don't have the same kind of depth and breadth of the other teams that are out there. Now, I think we all know LSU. Even if you jumped on the bandwagon a year ago and that incredible run for Iowa getting to the national championship game, you obviously know that. And you know the star player in Angel Reese. I think most everybody certainly knows about her,

Starting point is 00:02:57 knows about her going back to her days. If you've been around for a while, going back to her days when she began her career at Maryland, went down there at LSU. There has been some histrionics. There's been games that she has missed this season. There's been a lot of question marks about Angel Reese and what was happening with her. The notoriety that came with winning the national championship a year ago, a flash in the ring and doing the you can't see me sign to Caitlin Clark at the end of the contest.

Starting point is 00:03:24 That created even more headlines and these are things that as you grow the game are important you need more superlatives you need more angles and that is something that absolutely has happened with this but as we saw in the press conferences on Sunday this is a rivalry that is being manufactured in a different way and it's being manufactured by the places that promote the sport, ESPN. It's also being promoted in places that don't promote the sport, your news networks, those kinds of things. And there's an aspect of that. There's a race aspect. There is a lot of different angles to this one that, frankly, at times can be a little bit uncomfortable.

Starting point is 00:04:07 And at times I've seen the LSU fan base look ugly. I've seen the Iowa fan base look ugly. And that's the unfortunate part of this, because these are two fan bases that love their teams. And as you look at LSU historically, the way that they travel, just right up the road from us on the wrong side of the river over in Omaha, we see it on a yearly basis. Even when LSU doesn't qualify for the College World Series in Omaha, we see them travel up there, and you see Purple and Gold all over the place doing that.

Starting point is 00:04:38 And they travel incredibly well for all their sports. And the same thing, obviously, for the Iowa Hawkeyes. And Hawkeye fans here know that. Obviously, what we've seen throughout the years, you go back to 1980 and that incredible season of year number three of Hayden Frye getting to the Rose Bowl, the Bumblebees descending on Pasadena in that first Rose Bowl under Hayden Frye, and just the way that they have traveled historically for all sports. It has continued with women's basketball and built with women's basketball. Now, it's easy when you have a once-in-a-lifetime player,

Starting point is 00:05:08 a generational talent like Kaitlyn Clark. I mean, it's easy to follow along because you're watching a player and doing things that we just haven't seen before. We haven't seen a player play at this level and take her team to this level that we haven't seen for Iowa basketball. Made a Final Four back in the early 90s under C. Vivian Stringer, and then it was a long drought. And it was a drought with good basketball and good teams and programs that had won Big Ten championships, had some success in the NCAA tournament, but couldn't get to this level. And here we are. LSU is loaded once again. They went

Starting point is 00:05:42 into the transfer portal and brought in two of the biggest names out of the portal. One, Anissa Morrow. And that was a name that I know early on a lot of Hawkeye fans were very interested in Morrow. She comes in from DePaul. She put up huge numbers at DePaul. She was a high-volume type of player. Averages numbers down from what she was historically, certainly this season, because the offense isn't all through her.

Starting point is 00:06:06 You know, when she was at DePaul the last couple of years, she's out there averaging, what were the numbers? Just had them here. 25.7 a game a year ago, 22 during her freshman campaign, and averaging a double-double. This season, down to 16.5 points per game, 9.9 rebounds, but doing it certainly much more efficiently. Another thing that you have to know with Morrow, she's an excellent free throw shooter, over 80% on the season. That's something

Starting point is 00:06:29 definitely to keep your eye on as we're kind of talking about a game plan. We'll get into that game plan and how this Iowa team is going to pull off the upset here. So that's a new name. And the other new name and one that we got to know incredibly well a year ago is Haley Van Lith. Van Lith, of course, at LSU a season ago, who Iowa beat in the Elite Eight to punch their ticket. Was that the player that Kaitlyn was not doing the you can't see me to? The Iowa side says it was just to their own bench. Maybe we'll find out down the line exactly the full story on that one. Van Lith, though, excellent shooter from the outside. Not a great playmaker, but more of a shooter on this team.

Starting point is 00:07:06 But she still can fill it up from the outside, averaging nearly 12 points per game. But Angel Reese is obviously one of the headliners here back from a year ago. The other name that you'll remember incredibly well from last season is Flage Johnson. And now just a sophomore, last year in her freshman campaign. She is a playmaker. She's a facilitator. She's incredibly good with the ball in her freshman campaign. She is a playmaker. She's a facilitator. She's incredibly good with the ball in her hands. She can do a lot of different things and a good defender

Starting point is 00:07:29 on top of it at 5'10". I would anticipate, and that was kind of the word that we got during the press conferences on Sunday, that Flagey Johnson's going to get the assignment, at least the first crack at Kaitlyn Clark and trying to slow her down and certainly do that. You look at the game a year ago, Kaitlyn Clark 9-22 from the floor, 8-19 from the three-point line. As we saw in the game against Colorado, one thing we've seen this season from Kaitlyn Clark, and of course, had a ridiculous year last year,

Starting point is 00:07:55 but even this year, even better. More efficient with the basketball. But we've seen her, when the three-point shot's not falling at the level that we're used to, that we've seen her when the three point shots not falling at the level that we're used to, that we've seen her even more this season, be able to get to the rim and finish that way and be able to be a score in that side. Now we saw the other part of it. And that's of course the passing ability, which has always been elite out of Caitlin

Starting point is 00:08:17 Clark and the assist numbers through the roof year after year after year. But we're seeing just some of the beautiful passes that she made against Colorado were just absolutely ridiculous in that part of it. It'll be Johnson that'll get the assignment there. Not a real deep LSU team, and that's something we're going to get into a little bit more here. Is there perhaps an opportunity with the lack of depth of this team that potentially this could be a one where you see Iowa be able to exploit that a

Starting point is 00:08:45 little bit and make it go in. Another new name out there, Mikayla Williams, a freshman. She's been really good this year. Doesn't put up huge numbers overall, but one of the best three-point shooters on the team. Her and Flage both up there, 37% for Williams and 39.5% from Johnson. So that's what you get there. Another name to know is Smith, the forward six foot two, another one inside that can do some damage. And she had eight points, nine rebounds the last time out against USA, UCLA talented team. A talent is not the question. We're going to talk deeper about the game. We're going to break it down what it's going to take for Iowa here. And what's the game plan going to be. You go back to the last time Iowa pulled off a massive upset.

Starting point is 00:09:27 Well, they did it with a game plan that nobody saw coming. What does Lisa Bluter and company have up their sleeve? We're going to talk about that as we continue here, breaking down Iowa LSU. That's what we're doing here. We got a weekend recap as well coming your way on everything Hawkeye related. As we continue, this is Locked on Hawkeyes. Well, if you're making your way to Albany, the place to find some tickets for the game, or if you're already peeking forward to the Final Four, is GameTime. GameTime is now an authorized ticket marketplace for Major League Baseball.

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Starting point is 00:11:02 create an account and redeem code locked on college. L O C K E D O N C O L L E G E locked on college first purchase. Terms apply again. Create an account and redeem code LOCKEDONCOllege. L-O-C-K-E-D-O-N-C-O-L-L-E-G-E. LOCKEDONCOllege for $20 off. Download game time today. Last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed. Welcome back. It's the Locked On Hawkeyes podcast. I'm Trent Condon. And as always, thanks for making Locked On Hawkeyes your first listen every day. All right, it's the Lockdown Hawkeyes podcast. I'm Trent Condon, and as always, thanks for making Lockdown Hawkeyes your first listen every day. All right, let's continue to break this thing down. And game plan, schematically,

Starting point is 00:11:32 what's Iowa going to do to pull off the upset? A year ago, Iowa got blitzed in the first half of that game. And it was just one of those times where in basketball, you just gotta throw your hands up. And that was the case in the first half of that game. Jasmine Carson came in 55 of 170 from three. That's right. Now she took a ton of them.

Starting point is 00:11:53 She was shooting 32%. She hits five in the first half, goes seven of eight in the game. And that really is the difference in the basketball game where Iowa loses to LSU. Iowa made a comeback. They got it back within eight. Then there was an awful, just brutal call against Kaitlyn Clark on the technical fall. They called a delay of game as she threw the ball behind her back, back to the baseline. It was an awful call.

Starting point is 00:12:20 That referee crew was as bad as you're going to find. As every dayers know, I am not one that likes to blame officiating. There's bad calls, we'll call them out. If there's bad games, bad whistles, absolutely. But I hate to fall into that trap. I think it's a loser mentality. I hate to have that as an excuse. But in this game, the way this goes and the way this is called is going to go a long way in determining who's going to win this basketball game that's unfortunate but it is a reality we talked about lsu and their lack of depth they go 70 this is not an overly deep team and if you can find a way to get reese

Starting point is 00:12:56 and morrow and foul trouble they just don't have a whole lot there you do wonder if this is going to be a game and we've talked about that really throughout the course of this season. Is there going to be a game come NCAA tournament time where you're going to need the ability to make a big play, to come in, give you a good six, eight, ten minutes out of your backup bakes? Is this the time that we see Addison O'Grady go out there, you know, have six points, six rebounds, something like that, Draw some fouls. That could be absolutely huge because they don't have your prototypical center. With the way that Iowa plays with Hannah Stolke at the five position, look, she's more of a four. And then she can beat most every post down the floor. And that's what they do when they love to run the floor with her and get her out and get

Starting point is 00:13:39 Caitlin on those throw heads. That's what they do. And they said, you know what? Instead of trying to just play the traditional way, we're going to play our own way. And it's worked out incredibly well. Iowa's the best offense in the country, both in scoring and efficiency. 118 points per 100 possessions is not even close to the number one team in the country in that aspect. And a big reason of it is what they do there. But against a team with a couple of good post players, what does Iowa do on the defensive end of the floor? A little bit deeper on LSU. They're sixth in defensive rating. Very good defensive team. Eleventh in offensive rating, so they can beat you that way. Third in rebound rate. And I think that's another huge key

Starting point is 00:14:17 for this one. If I was going to win this basketball game, look, they don't have to win on the boards. They don't have to out-rebound LSU, but they have to keep it relatively close. They can't get out-rebounded like they did in the Final Four game a year ago against South Carolina, where they're, what, doubled up in that game, basically, with all the offensive rebounds. And that's the big component. You can't afford LSU to get second chances. That means that everybody's got to be involved. It can't just be Hannah Stolke. It just can't be Kaitlyn Clark. Everybody needs to be helping out on the boards. That means that everybody's got to be involved. It can't just be Hannah Stolke. It just can't be Kaitlyn Clark. Everybody needs to be helping out on the boards. That's Kate Martin going in there. We know she can do that. Sydney Affolter very well could be the X factor. We'll get into her a little bit later on and what she can do in this one. Those are the things that

Starting point is 00:14:58 you're going to need. If it's say 35-30 in rebounds, LSU wins it, you're in good shape. If it's, say, 35-30 in rebounds, LSU wins it, you're in good shape. The way I was built, you can handle that. There's no doubt about it. One of the most interesting numbers, though, that I found digging into the analytics of LSU is LSU shoots it okay from the outside this season, but in terms of three-point shooting rate, they're 356 in the country, meaning there's 360 teams. They take the fourth fewest three-pointers of anybody in college basketball. They don't shoot a great 32.1% from behind the arc this season. A reason for that, Angel Reese, 11%, 21% this season for Morrow.

Starting point is 00:15:42 She hasn't shot it very well from the outside. Van Leth at 34. We talked about Johnson and Williams, the top three-point shooters there. So that's something there. We go back to the game plan that Iowa had against South Carolina, and they weren't going to use the same game plan against LSU. I thought it was weird, a little bit interesting, but this is what teams do. This is what coaches do. Trying to find motivation at all different angles, right? We know Kaitlyn Clark does it, and we know it comes from all kinds of greats. And with Kim Mulkey, who's a great coach, great person, different conversation. She's a great coach though. And the way that she is able to motivate her teams and to take any kind of slight, any kind of negativity, and turn them into ammunition for her team, she's an elite at that.

Starting point is 00:16:29 She is absolutely at the top of college basketball as coaches and able to do that. And she used that last year, the game plan that I had, which was very simple. We're going to sag off of every shooter out there. We're going to let them shoot the basketball from the outside. And we think that is our best chance to win. Coach Fitz was the one that came up with the game plan. She had the scout in that one. I would love to know before the game who has a scout on

Starting point is 00:16:53 this one. Is it Fitz? Is it Amy? Abby Stamp? Is she the one that had the call here? Is it Jan Jensen? We'll see. Whoever has the scout, though, what they're going to come up with here. They've been scouting these teams. Coach Bluter talked about that. They also had a lot of scouts going on to UCLA, and a lot of work's been done that you never have to worry about. That's what happens, though, obviously, in college basketball. When you get to the NCAA tournament, you're scouting the potential teams that you're going to face, and they've been doing the work on LSU. You can also imagine they've been doing work throughout the course of the season. Let's be honest. This one is different. When you're talking about motivation and the way that game went a year ago, Kaitlin Clark and the rest of the team

Starting point is 00:17:39 handled it beautifully. There were no excuses after the game. There was no complaining. beautifully there were no excuses after the game there was no complaining there was none of that from the team it was respect to the champions caitlyn clark could have made a bigger deal out of angel reese and the disrespectful nature that she showed on the floor caitlyn also knows that she does some of those same kind of things and she handled it right but now this is your last chance. This is the last opportunity. There is no coming back. Kaitlyn Clark will be off to the WNBA.

Starting point is 00:18:13 She very well could be off to the Olympic team. This could be the final time we see Kaitlyn Clark in a Hawkeye jersey. And you know that motivation for the greats, what it can be like. I think you're going to see her playing at a high level. Now, one thing you do worry about is Kaitlyn can rev a little bit hot. She can, when those times happen, and we've seen them from time to time, just go back to Monday night against West Virginia. Go back to the first game of the NCAA tournament against Holy Cross. And that meter's ticking a little bit too high. That could be a problem. She's normally

Starting point is 00:18:48 able to right herself and be okay. And I think that'll be the case again here. But something to keep an eye on. My game plan is much like what we saw last time. Now you cannot completely sag off of all the shooters like they did last year against South Carolina.

Starting point is 00:19:03 But make them make shots. Make them do that. Begins inside with Morrow and with Reese. It's a really difficult combination to stop. And if this game gets into a slugfest, if this game gets the physical brand, if this is the old school Pistons type of game, we're talking 1990s NBA basketball translated here to the women's game. I was in deep trouble. And they very well could get run out of the gym again. If the game's called tight, if it is an up and down affair, if this is a team game where I was

Starting point is 00:19:36 able to dictate pace, I think they have a really good shot. I anticipate you're going to see some switching defenses. I also wonder how deep they're going to go in the bench. I talked about O'Grady. I think there's a real potential for needing her. Even A.J. Edinger. Could she come in and give some minutes? What about Taylor McCabe? What about Kylie Feerbach?

Starting point is 00:19:59 Right now, I'm tightening the reins. I'm saying we're going to go with the group that got us here. And we're really going to shorten down that bench outside of the post players. And it's going to be Kaitlin for 40 and Kate Martin for 40 and Gabby Marshall for 38. Maybe get her a breather for a minute each half because of what she's going to be doing defensively on the other end of the floor. And Hannah Stolke, stay out of foul trouble, but go with the group that got you. And the one starter that I didn't mention is Sidney Affolter.

Starting point is 00:20:29 And with Affolter out there, this team is built differently than they were with Molly Davis. And Molly Davis not going to play. And if they advance, that might be a different conversation we'll get to for next week. But in the here and now,

Starting point is 00:20:44 Sidney Affolter, the playmaking ability that she has, the toughness that she shows. I mean, how many charges has she taken this year? The ability to rebound very well at her size. The physicality that she plays with

Starting point is 00:20:59 inside, outside game offensively. She has so many different tenets and so many different things. She played two minutes in the game last year against LSU. When you're talking about difference makers, players that were there a year ago, that's when we just don't know.

Starting point is 00:21:13 I think a Folter is going to be ready for this moment. Final thoughts on the game and a weekend recap. Easy for me to say. For Iowa sports over the weekend, we'll do that as we continue. It's here, the big one, Iowa LSU.

Starting point is 00:21:27 So pumped up for this one. We continue. Locked on, Hawkeyes. Are you watching Fox Sports FS1 ESPN on your TV all day long? Do you have to turn the volume down with all that shouting? Well, it's time for you to make the switch to Locked On Sports Today. It's a free 24-7 sports streaming channel programmed for you every day to bring you the biggest stories without all that screaming.

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Starting point is 00:23:14 Trust me on that one. You can learn more at Amazon.com slash LockedOnFireTV. That's Amazon.com slash LockedOnFireTV. Try and count it back with you one final time. All right, so we talked about the gameplay. What's it going to take? Keep rebounding at bay. Don't get dominated on that facet.

Starting point is 00:23:35 Shoot the ball well from the outside. That's an angle. It goes without saying, but definitely have to do it in a matchup like this. Stay out of foul trouble. Get them in foul trouble. There is a path to get the victory here. If LSU goes out and hits 12 three-pointers, it very well could be game over. But if Iowa can dictate pace, if they can get LSU a little bit uncomfortable, get them

Starting point is 00:23:58 in some foul trouble, get them doubting themselves a little bit, And let's keep Kim Mulkey off the floor. How about that? Talked about the refs and the way that they call the game. Don't allow her to intimidate you. And that's what she does. It's an intimidation tactic that works incredibly well. We've seen this from coaches in the past. But Kim Mulkey, what she did being on the floor throughout the course of the national championship game a year ago was an embarrassment. It was an embarrassment for the sport. It was an embarrassment for women's college basketball. It was an embarrassment for LSU.

Starting point is 00:24:34 Whining and pleading and begging on the sideline and doing it while games were going on. You can't do that. So this crew, show some gumption. Don't let her intimidate you. Because if you did, and if she does, I was probably going to be in trouble in this one. Every time that I've had doubt about this Iowa women's basketball team, they have responded.

Starting point is 00:25:01 I've had doubt about this game. I've had concerns about it if we were going to see it. When the bracket came out, I said, oh no. The way that they play, the physicality that they bring, coupled with a Hall of Fame coacher, all those things are very difficult to overcome. Caitlin has proven me wrong plenty of times before. Am I going to put a bet in for LSU take the point in half I'll just play the money line I will you can find it over at FanDuel Iowa's slight favorite in the game

Starting point is 00:25:33 I'll do it as an emotional hedge if I'm wrong I'm going to be smiling ear to ear if I'm right I'll have a couple of bucks in the pocket final score LSU 81, Iowa 73. And LSU moves on to another Final Four. That is my prediction for the game. Finally, on the Hawkeye front this weekend, Iowa baseball with another series victory needed this one once again

Starting point is 00:26:00 as they get it done in games two and three against Minnesota. Jumped out to a 7-0 game in game one of the series, and then promptly gave up, what was it, 14 straight? Something like that. I don't have it in front of me, but lost on Friday night, then bounced back and got the win on Saturday and Sunday. That's two consecutive victories. Look, Iowa's got a ton of work to do to put together a resume

Starting point is 00:26:19 to be NCAA tournament good. Disappointing for a team that was ranked in the top 25 preseason and certainly a long ways away from that. But if you keep stacking up series victories throughout the course of the year, you're going to be in really good shape going forward. Did what you needed to against Minnesota and against Purdue. Schedule is going to get a little bit more difficult here

Starting point is 00:26:38 in the coming weeks in the Big Ten. And one other note with the Iowa softball, how about Adams? Getting a no-hter on Friday night? Just a great, great work there. I know coach Gillespie's working hard, trying to get this program rebuilt, get it back to what it was under coach Blevins for a number of years. And it's taken longer than I think a lot of people wanted or hoped for, but they made that run a year ago in what equates to the softball

Starting point is 00:27:05 and IT in winning that, which was great to see. We'll see. Building blocks just keep going. It's tough to do in the Big Ten. Big Ten is a great softball conference and has had a lot of success in past years, but Iowa slowly but surely building things up and maybe more importantly, starting to reconnect with those local kids. We've seen a lot of good talent, unfortunately, from the state of Iowa

Starting point is 00:27:26 leave the state to play softball over the years. A little weekend recap for you here as we get ready for tonight. Iowa LSU, 6 o'clock on ESPN, and we will be back with you with an instant reaction one way or the other in your feeds coming up later this evening. Thanks for making Lockdown Hawkeyes your first listen. Every day, we'll talk to you again tomorrow. Go Hawks.

Locked On Hawkeyes - Daily Podcast On Iowa Hawkeyes Football & Basketball - Iowa Women's Basketball: How the Hawkeyes can Beat LSU, Plus Weekend Recap

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