Locked On Hawkeyes - Daily Podcast On Iowa Hawkeyes Football & Basketball - Kirk isn't taking Penn State lightly and more from his press conference + what analytics tell us Iowa versus Penn State

Episode Date: November 18, 2020

Kirk Ferentz spoke with the media and provided information on injured players, his thoughts on the adversity the program has faced, and why he is not overlooking this Penn State team. After diving into all of the press conference takeaways, we finish our midseason metric review of the Iowa Hawkeyes before taking a look at what areas Penn State is struggling in and how the Iowa Hawkeyes can take advantage.Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors! Built BarBuilt Bar is a protein bar that tastes like a candy bar. Go to builtbar.com and use promo code “LOCKEDON,” and you’ll get 20% off your next order.BuiltGoVisit BuiltGO.com and use promo code “LOCKED,” and you’ll get 20% off your next order. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

You are Locked On Hawkeyes, your daily podcast on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Part of the Locked On Podcast Network, your team every day. Welcome back, Hawkeye Nation, to another episode of the Locked On Hawkeyes Podcast, your daily podcast covering your Iowa Hawkeyes on the Locked On Sports Network. As always, I am your host, Andrew Wade, Excited to be back for another episode of the show, of your daily show covering your Iowa Hawkeyes. And on today's show, we're going to be breaking down Kirk Ferentz's press conference, gave us some tidbits on some injuries,

let us know a few things and his thoughts on Penn State. We're going to cover all that on segment number one. On segment number two and three, we're going to hop into some additional information about metrics and how they impact this game. We're going to focus on Penn State first, or maybe actually, you know what we're going to hop into some additional information about metrics and how they impact this game. We're going to focus on Penn state first, or maybe actually what we're going to do. We're going to, we're going to wrap up our conversation about Iowa's metrics.

As we did do a very in-depth analysis yesterday, we're going to talk more about that on segment number two, and then get into the metrics that matter for this upcoming Saturday game. Just a reminder that on tomorrow's show, we're also going to be doing a crossover episode with, with Kevin McGuire of the lockeded On Nittany Lions podcast. It was a fantastic conversation. You're really going to enjoy that.

And with basketball season beginning very soon, we have a special surprise for you. A former Iowa basketball player is going to be joining us to break down what this team can do and what to expect in their upcoming season. I know the expectations are sky high. We want to make sure we cover that. And so we're going to be doing a little special preview of that. More to come on that as we get a little bit closer to that time period. But just know that that is something that we are working on right here

to give you that preview of the basketball season. So with that being said, let's hop into our conversation that we heard from Kirk Ferentz, the press conference he gave, and the stuff that we learned and gleaned from that press conference. First and foremost, some injury information. He basically said Jack Heflin is alright. And then in terms of some of the other guys, right, you know, John Wagner has been out, Coy Cronk has been out. What about some of these other guys? We're going to get into that

as well. He said, we haven't had that discussion yet, but Jack's only a week. This is also about Jack Campbell as well, but Jack's only a week plus into it now. So it's not like his conditioning base is all that good. We would like to have him for the rest of the season. So we're going to try to be careful there. Plus he and Seth are playing really well. I would anticipate both of them playing. We don't expect John to be ready this week, and Coy did start working out yesterday morning. I don't want to judge him yet. We've had two days on the field. Hopefully, he'll be able to help us a little,

but we'll see what it looks like tomorrow and see what it looks like on Friday. Now, understanding Iowa, I completely agree with the Jack and Seth rotation. I thought they did a superb job. I liked what I've seen from Seth in the last couple games. I liked what I saw from Jack last week against Minnesota in limited playing time. As far as Coy goes, Mark Kallenberger is playing relatively well.

So I think unless Coy looks 100%, let's make sure he's 100% before we take Mark out. And we've seen Coy kind of struggle early on in the season, whether or not that's shaking out the rust or coming back from that gruesome injury at Indiana. I don't know, but I do think Iowa is going to be a little bit more cautious with him. And that makes sense. I would expect that from the Iowa Hawkeyes, given the fact they do have a lot of depth on this offensive line. Going into the interceptions, and we're going to talk about the metrics a little bit

and how important that's going to be coming into the Saturday game versus Penn State, but there was a question about interceptions and whether or not Iowa practices for it. Kirk said, I'd like to tell you we have a drill for it. I've heard coaches talk about drills for turnovers and all that, different gimmicks and all that stuff. We don't do that. We do try to coach just good technique and fundamentals, and film study is a big part of it. A lot of it is being in the right place at the right time. And a lot is being an in tune football player and then hustling, working hard and hustling. And there's teamwork involved there too. Tip balls are great opportunities for interceptions, that type of thing. Obviously somebody has to tip it before you get a chance to go get it. And that is exactly what Matt Vandenberg said. I asked him, you know, for Jack Kerner,

when he got his interception against Minnesota, was that something he was planning? Or, you know, how did that really work? And he said it's all about being in the right spot at the right time and attacking the ball. If you attack the ball, you're going to be in a position to get those tip balls. And so that's exactly what Iowa's doing. They are crushing it in the takeaway game. And that will be a huge advantage as they enter a Penn State game where Penn State is turning over the ball quite a bit.

Along those lines of interceptions, cornerback Matt Hankins has been named a captain. Here's what Kirk had to say about that. Matt's had a little, you know, he struggled over the, you know, over the course of his career at Iowa, had some up and downs. This is really great to see a senior like Matt Hankins step up and become a captain. Here's what Kirk Ferentz said, but Matt rose up in that same cluster and is tied with some other guys. So how do you do a tiebreaker? I don't know. We're not going to flip a coin. Only one guy can go out anyway, so Matt certainly is worthy of it.

He's been playing hard, practicing hard, is a senior, respected, and it's good to see his efforts be recognized by his peers. You'll love to see it. You'll love to see a guy like Matt continue to grow within the program. I'm very excited for him. And I know it doesn't really mean a ton in the grand scheme of things except for the fact that his teammates respect him and do believe he is a leader of the team.

Also got a couple other questions about Larrick Jackson. He had this say, AJ was a heavy kid. I've been around linemen for a long time now. It's hard for big guys to lose weight. And he's done an unbelievable job of that. I think he's shown extreme discipline, and we've watched him grow every step of the way, too. I was actually really impressed with Aleric Jackson against Minnesota.

There's a couple times where he had to be the lead blocker out in space, and I thought he did a fantastic job there. His PFF grade is 83.1, so clearly he's showing that he's a superb pass blocker, one of the best rankings in the nation. We're going to get more into that on segment number two, but it kind of goes to show he sounds like he's also changed his diet, lost some weight. So doing some really fantastic stuff, improving as a fifth-year senior. I expect him to be down in Mobile, Alabama to play in the Senior Bowl, which hopefully I'll be able to go down and cover, and you'll be able to get that content from me. So it should be really fun to see that as he continues to grow as a player. Let's talk a little bit about Penn State

because Penn State is an 0-14, but they have a lot of talent. And that's exactly what Kirk Farren said. He said, so our guys look at the film, unless they are just delusional, they are seeing what we are seeing. Guys that are a lot of good football players, things are not quite just clicking yet. And my guess is at some point they're going to click. I just hope it isn't this Saturday. We have to prepare. We haven't beaten these guys there in a decade, right? That's a long time, and there's a reason for that. They're a good football team. We're going to have to be at our best to have a chance to win, and I couldn't agree more. That's the thing that scares me the most. I honestly wish Nebraska would have lost to Penn State. Not because I don't like

Nebraska, because I just wanted Penn State to get that win out of the way but now this is a do or die game they lose this game there's almost no hope for them to go to a bowl game even though bowl games are not they don't have any eligibility requirements this year that is still a concern though this is a do or die game for Penn State I don't want them to click against Iowa and we'll cover more of that to you know later on in this show and tomorrow and on Friday. He also had this to say about COVID and some of the other issues kind of surrounding the Iowa football program outside of the football field, and he had a really positive thing to say in my personal opinion. Here's what he said about all the kind of outside stuff he's dealing with.

He said, nothing stays the same, nothing's static, life's not static by any chance. If you're living, if you're doing something, you try to deal with everything that comes your way as smart as you can. We've had these things happen that you've probably referenced and you just try to deal with it on a day-to-day basis. Do the best you can. And when you get up in the morning, you try to do the same thing over again. That's what you do. And if you're around good people on a daily basis, it makes things a lot easier. And that's one thing I've always taken solace in. Very fortunate in my life to be around good people in my network, if you will. Whether it's personal life or everywhere I've coached, particularly the 30 years here, we have good people around us and good people that have been

through this program that are supportive. And to me, that's the beauty of the sport. Again, a very well thought out answer by Kirk Ferentz. You love to see the kind of approach he took with that, understanding that there has been a lot of adversity, and he's been dealing with a lot, but he's getting through it, and it's easier to do when you surround yourself with good people, which is what you hear about this Iowa football program in and out. There is a lot of good people in that program, despite there's still always going to be some bad apples, and people have been removed,

but it is good to see Iowa continue to grow, and Kirk Behrens continue to be appreciative of what he's doing and understand that it's just part of the job. And the last piece of the press conference I want to make sure I cover is the talk about Spencer Petras. He was asked a question about how his six different sophomores as primary quarterbacks have gone through their tenure as an Iowa quarterback, and specifically Spencer and what the difference is. He said, I think Spencer has done

a really good job. He's led our team and done a really good job out there and he's learning weekly and probably the most impressive thing about him is just his awareness and the composure out there. I think he's done a good job that way. No game is easy and there's always up and downs, all the situations that happen and he just seems to have a good feel and a good grip on things. And it's just like any position player typically get better with experience and get better if they have a good attitude and good work ethic and Spencer has those things a couple things here clearly there's not gonna be a quarterback change I'm not a proponent necessarily of a quarterback change but I am a proponent of looking at the metrics and looking at what I see and I have not been

impressed with Spencer Petras to this point but I. But I'll continue to give Kirk Ferens the benefit of the doubt. I've given him the benefit of the doubt over the last 20 years. I expect him to do what's best for this football program, and I do think Spencer Petras can continue to grow. This upcoming week is going to be a fantastic opportunity for that. Last week against Minnesota, the running game really was going, so it wasn't as necessary for Iowa to get the passing game going. So this will be a good opportunity. Penn State's defense is getting better. So can Spencer Petras win a

game with his arm? That'll be one of the things that I'm looking out for. But that does do it for our press conference wrap up. Coming up on segment number two, we're going to continue to dive into those metrics and what they mean for an Iowa football team four games into the season. But real quick, if you're anything like me, you're constantly on the go. You're always moving around. You're always doing something. One of my favorite activities, though, in Colorado is to hike a 14,000-foot mountain. You usually start about 10,000, 11,000 feet.

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And so I wanted to continue that discussion. Yesterday we talked about the running backs. We talked about some of the freshmen. We also talked about Riley Moss and how fantastic he has been. The tackling has certainly been an issue across the board for the Iowa football team. And we dove a little bit into Spencer Petras and some of his passing decisions. And of course, we can't have a podcast where we don't talk about punting and the Australian punter from down under, Torrey Taylor. But on today's show, we're going to be talking a little bit more about pass blocking, receiving, and the tight end position. Let's kick it off though with receiving because I think this is important to also spell a little bit more of that narrative, provide that narrative for Spencer Petras.

While Spencer Petras has not been outstanding, I think he's been below average, even you could say through four games. His receivers have not done him a lot of justice or done him a lot of help. Amir Smith-Marset, some people think he's our number one wide receiver, the best wide receiver on our team. I believe it's Brandon Smith. I do think Amir Smith-Marset, though, is a fantastic wide receiver. Could be considered more of an athlete playing wide receiver. He's a fantastic kick returner nonetheless.

He has three drops on the season. When Spencer targets him, it's 50% completion percentage and there's been one interception when targeting Amir Smith-Marset. Let's dive a little bit more into those drops though. For all wide receivers in the nation with a minimum of 10 targets, Amir Smith-Marset is 14th in the nation in drops. Not exactly ideal. Sam Laporta, a guy who I think could be a first-round pick. He is a guy who got in the field last year and made some really key plays. Spencer Petras has targeted him quite a bit. Unfortunately, that has not come to be a very successful decision. So far throughout the season, Sam Laporta has three drops and Spencer Petras has thrown two interceptions when targeting Laporta. I believe both of those were in the Northwestern game,

and his completion percentage to Laporta is 53.8%. Now, on the flip side of that, who has been the best target for Spencer Petras? Some might think Brandon Smith. I thought that as well. But when I looked at the stats, it was actually Tyrone Tracy Jr. 84.6% of the passes that target Tyrone Tracy Jr. have been completed, which is by far the highest. The next closest is Tyler Goodson with 66.7%. All these players are with over 10 targets too, so keep that in mind as well. Tyler Goodson makes a little bit of sense. A lot of his passes are coming closer to the line of scrimmage, but Tyrone Tracy, 84.6%. It makes sense. When he's getting

the ball to Tyrone Tracy, Tracy is wide freaking open. So it's great to see that. From that standpoint, I believe Tyrone Tracy Jr. has a very important role in the future for Iowa football, especially with Brandon Smith and Amir Smith-Marset likely leaving after this season. Now from the tight end position, we talk about the fact that Iowa likes to use two tight ends. And people talk very often about Sam Laporta. However, let's not forget about Sean Byer, who has been a fantastic asset for Iowa. Last week came down with a huge catch, having to turn his back while running a go route and wide open, by the way.

Did a fantastic job of coming down with that ball. But one of the things I noticed when I was looking at the metrics is that Sam Laporta is not being utilized in the running attack nearly as much. He has only run blocked 70 times out of 195 snaps. Meanwhile, Sean Byer has run blocked 86 times out of 148 snaps. And that to me speaks volumes about Sean Byer and his ability to run block. Right now he's posting an 82.3 PFF grade for run blocking. Sam Laporta is posting a 72.4 PFF grade for run blocking. That is a huge reason, though, why Sean Beyer is and has the best offensive rating for the Iowa Hawkeyes in this season, or at least, excuse me, against Minnesota this past week.

He put up a 96.2 PFF rating, partly because of that catch, partly because of his run blocking. Doing a fantastic job, a really underrated job at that tight end position as Sam Laporta has been getting a lot of the love. Now transitioning over to the offensive line. Offensive line has been a struggle point for Iowa the last couple years, especially on the interior. But what I'm seeing is really impressing me.

Iowa's done a fantastic job of opening up lanes. I didn't think they did a great job, per se, against Northwestern, but overall they've done pretty well, and the metrics back that up. Now, from a pass-blocking perspective, we talked about Aleric Jackson, and he has had an 83.1 pass-blocking rating, which is pretty darn good in college football. That being said, he's also allowed a team-high seven pressures. Four hits in three hurries, no sacks.

Now that is a key metric to break down because pressures are a big deal. And we talked about it yesterday. Spencer Petras struggles when he's throwing under pressure. But no sacks means that he's holding his eye. Maybe Spencer Petras is holding the ball a little longer, right? Those four hits, three hurries, that is definitely impacting Spencer Petras. But Laird Jackson is also usually getting the best pass rusher on that team. He's usually getting the defensive end, who's usually the best one for the opposing team,

and he's doing a pretty solid job all around. And as we talked about, his run blocking has been pretty darn good as well. Other guys on this team, though, looking at this, Kyler Shaw is 18th in the nation in pass blocking. He put up a terrible run blocking grade team though. Looking at this, Kyler Shaw is 18th in the nation in pass blocking. He put up a terrible run blocking grade though. Overall wise, our interior is doing great.

Tyler Lindenbaum, the top rated center in the country for overall blocking. Cody Inc., 17th. Cole Banwart, 22. That is pretty darn good when you have three

offensive linemen all ranked top 22 or higher, especially along the interior. And we're seeing that with this running game. I know it's been a big struggle at times, especially against Northwestern, but the run blocking has been pretty darn good, and the pass blocking as well. That means Spencer Petras should be performing a little bit better as well, considering the blocking has been pretty solid, especially on the interior.

Now, if we can just get that other tackle spot locked down, Larrick Jackson continuing to improve, I do expect the offensive line to be one of the top in the nation by the end of this season. That does it though for our conversation on the metrics that matter for Iowa. Coming up on segment number three, we're going to break down the Penn State metrics and how that impacts this upcoming Saturday game. Alright, we are back for our third and our final segment of the Locked On Hawkeyes podcast, your daily podcast covering your Iowa Hawkeyes on the Locked On Sports Network.

And if you love the content we're popping out, make sure to subscribe wherever you downloaded this episode at. Make sure to follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram. But let's get into some of these other metrics because there's some pretty important things that I found out about Penn State when I looked deeper at the metrics because I know the narrative. Penn State's 0-4. They've struggled, right? But I've also noticed that they outgained Indiana significantly. They outgained Nebraska significantly. But let's talk about why they're struggling to actually win these games. First and foremost, they are one of the worst and slowest

starting teams in the nation. They are 123rd in first half points with just 6.5. By comparison, Iowa's 18th with 21.5. Now flip the script, and Iowa's one of the worst teams in the nation in second half points. With the 9.5 points in the second half, most of that coming from this last game, they are 103rd in the nation because of that. Penn State is 26th though with 17.2 points. So clearly Iowa's struggling to make some adjustments and Penn State is doing a fantastic job of making some adjustments. Now what concerns me is what if Penn State comes out hot and Iowa

continues to falter in that second half? I expect Iowa to come out pretty strong again and I think Iowa's defense can handle Penn State's offense or at least control it early on, especially without that many playmakers. But that is an important narrative to watch out for in this game. Another area to watch out for is the fact that Penn State, while they have not won these games, a lot of it is because they are struggling in the red zone and turning the ball over at very inopportune times. Penn State is 117th in the country in turnover margin at negative 1.5. That

means they are turning the ball over negative 1.5 times more than they are getting the ball back. Right? So that's bad. Iowa, conversely, is 17th in the country at plus one. Takeaways per game, Iowa is sixth in the country at 2.5 per game, while Penn State is 110th in the country at 0.8 per game. This bodes well for Spencer Petras, where he has struggled at times to keep the ball with the Iowa Hawkeyes, throwing a few interceptions here and there. We had some fumble issues the first game of the season, but overall it seems like Iowa is improving in the turnover department, and Penn State is not forcing the issue. Now, they lost seven starters on the defensive side of the ball, and it shows when you're

looking at those turnover numbers. Conversely, Penn State has really sucked at keeping the ball on their side. And Iowa has done a fantastic job of taking the ball away. So that'll be a matchup to watch. Last week, Sean Clifford got benched because he couldn't, you know, just wasn't doing a great job of managing the game. Made some mistakes early on. They put in Will Levis.

It seems like they're going to be starting Sean Clifford again. And that is a great opportunity for Iowa to get a big lead earlier, get some momentum early, especially on the road at Penn State by taking the ball away. Rushing-wise, Iowa's rushing attack has been pretty solid after that really bad game against Northwestern. And rushing defense-wise, that is where Penn State has actually been pretty solid at. They're 39th in the nation, allowing 129.5 yards per game.

So it's going to be really crucial for the passing game to step up, for Spencer Petras to step up. And I hope we see that happen. The good thing is Penn State has not been able to put a lot of pressure on opposing team offenses. They're 100th in the nation in sack percentage at 8.52%. Meanwhile, Iowa's offensive line has done a great job. They're 14th in the nation at 2.14%. That'll be interesting to see how that all plays out, but I do believe this comes down to the passing game and Spencer Petras being able to carry the load a little bit more

if Iowa is unable to get the rushing game going. Now, on the defensive side of the ball, we talked about this. Penn State has turned the ball over quite a bit. The reason why a part of that is because Sean Clifford is putting a lot of onus on himself to make plays because this rushing attack isn't your typical rushing attack we've seen from Penn State in the past. This year, they're 89th in NCAA, a 3.8-yard per carry average in the rushing attack. That is not ideal, and this Iowa defense is definitely getting better.

What I expect to see, especially because Penn State doesn't have a lot of great talent at the wide receiver position, at least not yet, and they have a very solid tight end in Pat Fryermuth, I expect Iowa to do what they did against Minnesota. They're going to put pressure on Sean Clifford. They're going to bring the blitz quite often. They're going to man up and force him to make plays to other people other than Pat Fryermuth. That is what I expect, especially looking at these numbers as well. The running attack is not something I'm that concerned about, and I don't believe Iowa is going to be as well. But if they put pressure on Sean Clifford, that gives them an opportunity to make and force turnovers,

which has been a huge benefit for Iowa so far this year and a huge disadvantage for Penn State as well. One other thing to note, penalties were a huge issue for Iowa that first game, and since then, they have been pretty darn solid. Right now, they're 42nd in the NCAA at 45 yards per game, but if you look at their last three games, they're actually only at 26.7, which would actually be top 10. So Iowa's done a really good job of not committing mistakes.

Penn State, meanwhile, is 63rd in the nation at 51.5, which pretty much holds true to their last three-game average as well. No first-game jitters for them. They have just been struggling from a to their last three-game average as well. No first-game jitters for them. They have just been struggling from a penalty perspective right in the middle of the road. And we talked about the biggest issue with Penn State outside of the turnovers is the fact that they are not doing a great job of converting in the red zone. 125th in red zone scoring percentage. Iowa, meanwhile, is 54th.

And the last thing I want to touch on is we talk about the passing game being a huge component for Iowa. The running attack for Iowa is always going to be a staple in that game, but Penn State's defense has done a much better job of stopping the rushing attack, whereas their defense has not done a very good job of stopping the passing attack. We need Spencer Petras to step up. Opponent completion percentage for Penn State is 66.67%. That's 110th in the nation. There are going to be opportunities there, especially with Iowa having a fantastic wide receiver group. We need to see Spencer Petras. This is the game for him to step up and get that win over Penn State. Quiet those

doubters. That is my opinion, though, based off what I'm seeing in the metrics and what I've seen from watching Penn State games. Let me know your thoughts as well. That is what I think. Those are some of the keys in this game coming into this game. Obviously, Iowa needs to get the passing game going. They need to force a turnover, which I believe they will against a turnover prone team in Penn State.

And Iowa needs to continue into the second half, not just starting strong, but also finishing strong as well. That will do it, though, for segment number three and our show today on the Locked On Hawkeyes podcast.

If you love the show, give us that five star review and subscribe wherever you downloaded the podcast at. Make sure to follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram and catch us tomorrow with a crossover episode. Joining us will be Kevin McGuire from Locked On Nittany Lions. And on Friday, we will have another show as well. And as always, join us next week. We'll have a basketball preview and our Monday morning recap with Matt as we break down the results of this Iowa-Penn State game. Thank you all for tuning in, though.

Have a fantastic Wednesday, and as always, Hawkeye Nation, let's go Hawks!