Locked On Hawkeyes - Daily Podcast On Iowa Hawkeyes Football & Basketball - UPSET ALERT? Are the Iowa Hawkeyes Primed to SHOCK Michigan? Kirk Ferentz and Hank Brown Lead the Charge

Starting point is 00:00:00 Kirk Ferris' press conference sets the tone for Iowa's first road test of the season. Against Michigan, communication will be critical from handling the crowd to executing assignments and stay connected when the pressure hits if the Hawkeyes are going to pull off the big upset. You are Locked on Hawkeyes, your daily podcast on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Part of the Locked on podcast network, your team every day. And I'm Trent Condon, and this is a. Lockdown Hawkeyes podcast. Thanks for making Lockdown Hawkeyes your first listen every day.

Starting point is 00:00:40 And a shout out to our everydayers with us each and every day. Today's episode is brought to you by GameTime. Download the GameTime app, create an account, and use code Lockdown for $20 off, your first purchase. Coming up on the show today, we're going to be joined by Spencer McLaughlin. He is the host of Lockdown College football. We'll get some back and forth in the Iowa-Michigan matchup and talk a little bit about what we're going to see in this one.

Starting point is 00:01:04 and we'll make some predictions a little bit later on as we get into it. Also talk a little bit about this matchup against Michigan. Dive deeper into some of the numbers for the Wolverines, 18. That is 3 and 0 on the season, yet has had some questionable performances to this point. The opener against Western Michigan needing a Hail Mary to get by the Western Michigan Mustangs in the first game of the season. Not Broncos, not Mustangs. They also needed to pull away in the second half against a Utev team.

Starting point is 00:01:32 Now, they do have a quality win against Oklahoma in between, but we'll start to break things down a little bit more and get into the matchup against the Wolverines. But we begin today as Kirk Farrants had his press conference, his weekly press conference over in Iowa City to set up the matchup against the Michigan Wolverines. And one of the big things before we get into Kirk that I thought was really interesting is listening to a number of the players

Starting point is 00:01:57 and how many times communication came up. The word communication incredibly important. And of course, for this young team, going on the road for the first time, that's going to be big. Now, the big house is not an overwhelming environment. It is not an environment like some of the other places in terms of just sheer volume of the crowd. The way that it's built, it's sunk it in. It's a big bowl. And some of those seats, they're a long ways away from the field.

Starting point is 00:02:21 It doesn't have the same impact as some of the other road venues, but 110,000 is still 110,000. And they're going to be making noise certainly in this one. You have a quarterback for the first time that'll be playing in a road game for the first time in Hank Brown. You have all the young guys that we've talked about that. Yes, got experience in these first three games of the season, but this is going to be completely environment. You're also going up against the shadows of the past, right? You're also going into a place that is renowned in the big house. You're going into a place, certainly.

Starting point is 00:02:51 You see the winged helmets. There is that extra element that goes into it, and that is a component as well. I think Iowa's ready. I think they're ready to go. Quarterback play is going to be paramount in this one. Can Hank Brown do enough in the passing game to offset what they're going to do up front? And can Iowa get a little something more than what they did against Iowa State in the run game? I think that's going to be a big part of it. So a couple of notes from Kirk Farrants when he spoke in the game.

Starting point is 00:03:18 Let's start on the injury front that looks like everybody's going to be okay that we anticipated DJ Vomanami at the tight end position. That's going to be a big one. Tight end is maybe a spot that Iowa can some find some get things in the passing game. We still have not seen a ton out of the Tim Lester offense involving the tight ends outside of a couple of games a year ago against Vandy and the bowl game and against Nebraska. Tight ends have not been a big focal point of this offense. This might be a spot in the way that Michigan plays. They're going to play a lot of man coverage on the outside. They're going to attack the wide receivers with physical play out there.

Starting point is 00:03:54 And if they're not able to beat their guy and beat one-on-one coverage out there, You're going to have to find other elements, and that might be dump downs. But I think the tight end position is another place that Iowa against that single high safety look is going to have an opportunity. At the running back spot, Kirk had this to say, quote, Camari is still our number one guy. If he can go, he will go. He'll be in there going. Then we'll just kind of work down the chain.

Starting point is 00:04:18 But I don't envision us playing probably more than three guys typically, unquote. So that's Kirk what he said about the running back spot. No surprise. We understand Kamari Moulton is definitely. going to be the number one. LJ. Phillips working his way back, potentially going to be part of the rotation. And then if it is three guys,

Starting point is 00:04:36 you go with those two, two veterans, though one just a veteran at Iowa, the other one at South Dakota. In Phillips, you do wonder, Braden Jackson, is he your third downback? If you go, your guy that's going to get 80% of the snaps is Kamari Molten, a goal line situation, third, fourth, and one, those type of spots.

Starting point is 00:04:53 It's L.J. Phillips. And then is it Braden Jackson? That gets a little bit more run after his breakout. performance against you and I. Something to keep an eye on, certainly at that running back spot. Another thing that jumped out is it's something that is the lifeblood of Iowa football and something that is incredibly important. And it is the walk-on program.

Starting point is 00:05:10 And the success stories that I think all of us as Hawkeye fans definitely know we've gone through the stories before and we see them show up. And another one of those good stories that is happening right now is a play of Luke Gaffney. A guy at defensive tackle started as a walk-on. He was undersized. He was not going to play at the size. came in defensive tackle in the big 10. But he built himself into a player that can compete.

Starting point is 00:05:33 He's been a good leader. And now he's the guy that you hear before the game. He's the guy that is given the instruction and shouting and hootting and hollering and doing those kind of things. That's Luke Gaffney. And had a lot of really good things to say about Gaffney and just his importance to this football team. Quote, I can't say enough good things about him.

Starting point is 00:05:51 Luke came here as an undersized walk on. He's got the heart bigger than a refrigerator, but just hardworking. He has every step of the way, worked hard, great attitude, been on the scout team, all that stuff, and now he's earned his way up to, I consider him to be a starter. We're rotating the tackle. So that's another component to this one. We know about the depth and great news. Speaking of injuries on Bryce Hawthorne, he appears to be good to go.

Starting point is 00:06:16 He was out there at practice on Monday, so definitely an important one, a defensive tackle. But guys like Gaffney, what he's been able to prove to be inside, those are the important parts of this Iowa defense and going up against a Michigan team that's definitely going to want to run the football coming up on Saturday. Finally, on the Kirk Ferrette's note, there was a funny little thing that happened during the press conference and there was a talk about the depth chart. Now, I've said it before. Yes, we probably overreact to the depth chart just a little bit.

Starting point is 00:06:48 Okay, maybe a lot of bit. But Kirk, we've joked from time to time. Maybe is not the biggest fan of the depth chart and what we talk about. about and the importance of it and those kind of things. Well, I think he told us a lot in this one. Here is Kirk Ferrence and what he had to say about the depth chart setting things up in the way that he looks at things from the press conference earlier today over in Iowa City.

Starting point is 00:07:12 Let me uptale to one omission I made on that that's chart thing with Tower Brown, that was me. I kind of half-assed it, quite frankly, I mean, that's Sunday night and I sort of on my desk and felt to respect, I don't know what he's like, you know, quite as focused on that and maybe some other stuff. So that was not how I was going to try to be sneaking. Tower's helping.

Starting point is 00:07:32 We expect him to start. And he is our starting to consult. He's doing a good job. So that's Kurt Ferrets from earlier today at the press conference. And half-ass in the depth chart, maybe I should slow down on some of the overreactions that we saw. But that was a definite omission there. And Tyler Brown back out there, he was flying around making plays at that strong safety

Starting point is 00:07:52 position. You're excited about him. Of course, he's going to be in another important part of what they're doing. And we go back to the game plan against Iowa State, where against an athletic mobile quarterback for Jalen Raynor for Iowa State, you saw them use a spy a lot. They went out there a couple of different times kind of with that scheme, where the Hawkeyes used Cam Buffington, where they used Jane Montgomery,

Starting point is 00:08:16 used him as a spy. Now, I think there's even more athleticism with Bryce Underwood, more quickness. He saw him scoot out in that opening touchdown. against Oklahoma and what he can do out on the edge. And of course, it's Michigan. They're going to have speed. They're going to have big time athletes out there.

Starting point is 00:08:32 But that's something to keep an eye on defensively is what Iowa does and how they are able to generate some kind of pass rush too. And without bringing extra guys out there, is that something that is going to be a realistic scenario for them? Well, speaking of that, we're going to get a little bit deeper into the matchup against Michigan. We're going to take a look at some of the numbers, what we anticipate, get ready, and start to build the game plan here of knocking off Michigan. Our friends at Fanduil currently have Iowa a five-and-a-half point underdog

Starting point is 00:09:00 in this game against the Wolverines. As I said before, I think it's a winnable game with a big opportunity. You get by this one, you can start dreaming a lot bigger for Iowa football here in 2026. Quick time out, we dive into the Wolverines when we come back. Stay right there. This is Locked-on Hawkeyes. College football is full of games you plan for all year, but sometimes the best memories come from the games you almost miss.

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Starting point is 00:12:00 Just go to Indeed.com slash podcast right now and support our show by saying you heard about Indeed on this podcast. Indeed.com slash podcast terms and conditions apply. Need to hire this is a job for Indeed sponsor jobs. Trent, kind of back with you once again on your daily Iowa Hawkeye podcast. We are Locked-on Hawkeyes. Thanks for being with us in making Lockdown Hawkeyes your first listen every day. If you're watching us on YouTube, Hit subscribe. Just takes a moment if you're on the podcast side. Five-star reviews right over you there really helps us get in front of more Hawkeye fans.

Starting point is 00:12:38 As we continue on, let's dive a little bit deeper into this Michigan team, as mentioned, a 3-0 start to the season. Now, you look at the numbers offensively right now. They're not pretty. Michigan 118th in the country in total offense, 91st in points per game. Their 90th in rush offense at 147 per contest and 109th in passing offense. it is Bryce Underwood at the quarterback spot, a guy that came in, much heralded, the number one recruit in the class of 2025, had a decent year last year. However, 11 touchdowns against nine interceptions a year ago where he is a playmaker,

Starting point is 00:13:15 definitely though is still with his legs. Getting outside the pocket and containment is going to be a big, big part of that. They're running him also a whole lot more than they did a year ago at 94 yards rushing against Oklahoma. That is going to be an element. You're definitely going to have to contain in this one. Joining him in the backfield is Jordan Marshall. Marshall, real solid running back. Saw him a year ago. They got a five-star running back that's come in this year and save you on hitter. Another big time back. Numbers haven't been great to this point, but you know that is going to be what they want to do at that spot. Outwide, the two guys to know, J.J. Buchanan, the big target. You saw him on the Hail Mary.

Starting point is 00:13:56 6 foot 4 comes in from Utah, along with Coach Wittingham. Andrew Marsh, who was a big play receiver for them a year ago. Those are the two guys really all over the place that they are definitely going to be targeting throughout the course of this season. Right now, the Michigan offensive line ranks 13th in the country, in-pass blocking at PFF. However, 115th and run blocking, very surprising number on that front. Four sacks given up so far this year against Underwood when he has been very. back there. Defensively, though, that's where this Wolverine team is built. 13 points per game is what they're giving up right now. Eighth in the country and

Starting point is 00:14:34 pass defense giving up just 123 points per game. Total yardage. 10th in the country on that front. They generate pressures. They're going to get there, averaging 13 pressures per game at this point. The big name to know up front for them is John Henry Daley, another guy that came in from Utah. He had a huge year last year in the Big 12, 11 and a half sacks, 17 and a half tackles for loss. He's big time, but they got a lot of dudes up front, as Michigan seemingly always does. A couple other things to note, mention the defensive backfield and the aggressive nature that they play at.

Starting point is 00:15:09 They're going to play a lot of man coverage on the outside, going to be able to have extra defenders in the box playing that fashion. It's going to be up to Tony Diaz, winning one-on-one matchups. It's going to be up to Reese Vander Zee, Evan James. Let's see that great speed and do some things. Wide receivers are going to have to win their individual matchups, I believe, in this one. On the special team side, they brought in new guys for their specialist. One out of pit, Trey Bakowski is their kicker.

Starting point is 00:15:37 Two for two in field goals this year, hit a 49 yarder. Last year, he was 20 to 23 at pit. Good, solid kicker there. And then their punter came in from UNLV in Cam Brown. He's averaging 43 and a half yards per punt with a long of 51 this. season, two of silver 50 yards and eight inside the 20s at this point. Marshall, we talked about a little bit earlier, is also their punt returner. Has that anything big to this point in the year, but its speed, it is Michigan.

Starting point is 00:16:05 The importance of this game cannot be overstated, really for both teams. And what's still in front of Michigan coming up this season, they have an incredibly difficult grind that is going to be in front of them. They have road trips still in front of them. The tough road games with Ohio State at the end of the season. They got to go out to Oregon this year. They got Indiana coming in. So the schedule definitely going to be difficult for the Wolverines.

Starting point is 00:16:29 We know the impact for Iowa. We've talked about this three-game stretch to open up the season. Really, you can argue a four-game stretch, even with the vibe week after the Washington game as they go on the road again against Minnesota. This I maintain throughout the summer is the most winnable of the three for Iowa. Ohio State is a behemoth. Washington is a short week, Friday night, West Coast troubles for Iowa. There are a lot of components to point against it.

Starting point is 00:16:57 It's not that I think that Iowa's going to cruise, that Iowa is going to go out there and dominate. I think this is going to be a hard, hard, difficult, physical game. It's going to be who comes up with a play. And can Hank Brown do that? Can Hank deliver in a big moment? He did in the fourth quarter against Iowa State. That was in Kinnick Stadium.

Starting point is 00:17:16 Now on the road against this Michigan defense, it's going to be swarming around and going to make it difficult against him. Can Hank deliver? When we come back, we'll make a prediction. We're going to jump aboard as we'll be joined by Spencer McLaughlin from Lockdown College Football. Also the host of Lockdown Ducks. You might remember him from a year ago when he joined us. He also hosts our Big Ten squad show that we do every week here on the Lockdown Network that you see on your feed. We'll talk a little college football and preview Iowa, Michigan, with Spencer McLaughlin,

Starting point is 00:17:46 McLaughlin when we continue. Stay right there. This is Locked on Hawkeyes. This episode is sponsored by Supply House. You wouldn't show up on game day without a plan. You wouldn't show up to a job without the right parts. That's why putting Supply House in your starting lineup is always the right call. Here are the stats. 300,000 plumbing, HVAC, and electrical products. 500 tried and true brands and 90% of the country in one to two day delivery zone. Need a last minute coupling, a compressor, a press tool. They got it, and they'll get it to you quickly. And if you're a pro in the trades, you can join the MVP of rewards programs and become a trade master.

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Starting point is 00:19:12 your daily podcast on all things college football, part of the Locked on podcast network, your team every day. Welcome, everybody. to another episode of Lockdown College football. I'm your host, Spencer McLaughlin. Thank you all so much for making this, your first listen or your first view every day. It's part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day, the number one sports podcast network out there. Thank you, everybody, especially my everydayers for helping make that.

Starting point is 00:19:38 The case is UCLA following the old Kurt Signetti path with their schedule right now. Talk about that on today's show. And Louisville, like a good swordsman, be on guard against Wake Forest. I'll tell you why. this episode brought to you by Calci for a limited time download Calci. Use code locked on to get $25 when you trade $25. Calci trade what's next. Trent Condon, Lockdown, Hotkeyes is here.

Starting point is 00:20:03 I don't know if I want you to talk me to stay on the ledge or talk me to jump off the ledge. But I am so ridiculously tempted to take Iowa to go to Michigan and beat the Wolverines this week. I want you to start. you'll have the chance to win me over here. Do you think that's happening? Well, I think one thing you know about me, Spencer, is I'm not a pom-pom cheerleader type

Starting point is 00:20:29 of person. I am pretty pessimistic when it comes to Iowa a lot. What would very pessimistic look like? How would that differ from your current coverage? Well, and that's just, that's in my background. Though I grew up a Hawkeye fan, went to Iowa, you know, all the different things. I guess that's just me as a sports fan in general, the teams that I root. for I've seen a championship since 1991 when I was 11.

Starting point is 00:20:53 It was a long time ago. That is a lot of scar tissue to build up with the teams that I root for, both professionally and college-wise. So that's maybe a reason for it. But I am more on the pessimistic side of things. And I will tell you, and I do not like this feeling one bit. I love Iowa's chances this week to go into the big house and get away. This is not, you know me.

Starting point is 00:21:13 This is not fan boy. That's not what I am. I love the opportunity. Now, things have to go well. for this one. And it really starts for Iowa. You need to get even more out of Hank Brown. Hank Brown has played better, I think, than anybody could have anticipated. It was the longest time for anybody to name of starting quarterback, what Iowa did with him and Hecklinsky battling for the job. It felt like in the one open practice we got to see in the middle of the month of August that

Starting point is 00:21:39 it was going to be Jeremy Hecklinsky threw five touchdowns that day. And Hank Brown look awful, just absolutely brutal. But we continue to hear in practice that nobody can see because it's Kirk Ferrence and he doesn't allow, of course, media in practices. He's not alone. Yes, behind the scenes, this is what it was going to be. And that Hank Brown, it was very close. He gets the opening job. He plays the whole game against Iowa State.

Starting point is 00:22:01 And then this week, they took the ore away on the depth chart. It's just Hank Brown now listed as the starter. He hit a big shot against Iowa State. They're down 10 nothing at that game. Things are not going well. Hit Tony Diaz in the middle of the field for a big gainer. If he can hit a couple of those plays, I think the defense has the speed to hold up up front.

Starting point is 00:22:21 This is a fast Iowa defense along with fundamentally sound that they are year in and year out. And yes, there are actually some weapons on the outside. Something, as you know, Spencer over the last seven or eight years has been not exactly there for the Iowa offense. Tight end play, running backs offensive line. Sure, that's all there. But there are actually wide receivers that can make a difference. And that's why I give Iowa a real shot here. Not that I'm going to be beat my chest and they're going to come in and dominate.

Starting point is 00:22:47 I don't say things like that. You know that. But I really love the opportunity here that I would, if they play well, they will walk out with the victory. Tony Diaz, J.J. Buchanan, which guy has a bigger game to help out the passing hamstrung quarterback that is playing? I don't know now. And we're going to find out. But I look at this matchup and I legitimately think it. could come down to that. And I don't think the numbers will be huge. You're not going to see a 100-yard

Starting point is 00:23:26 receiver in this game. That's not coming to fruition. I'm not anticipating that, nor is anybody else that has watched these teams this year. But man, you just have to find a way to get enough. And I think Savion Hyder against Kamari-Molton is an underrated running back battle. A lot of folks are going to talk about Jaden Baugh against Kiwan Lacey if he plays in the Ole Miss, Florida, this week. I'll be talking about that game tomorrow on the show. Understandably so. These are two really good backs. I am a Savian Hyder Stan.

Starting point is 00:23:58 I think both of these teams, frankly, have two running backs that I like and that I trust to have big games. I don't think a lot of points are getting scored here. And I don't think there are going to be a lot of passing yards either. I think this does come down to quarterback and receiver play, not for taking over the game, but for making that one play. Like you talked about, that deposed to Diaz that sparked them against Iowa State.

Starting point is 00:24:26 Is that going to be the play? Is it going to be Hank Brown to one of his tied ends? Is it going to be Bryce Underwood to one of his wide receivers? Could it be, you know, Bryce Underwood with his legs? I don't know. But there's going to be a chunk play. It was Bryce Underwood running for a touchdown against Oklahoma, and it was Hank Brown to Tony Diaz against Iowa State.

Starting point is 00:24:49 There's going to be one singular play, I think, in this game that you look back and go, that's where it turned right there. You know, the thing with Buchanan going up against this Iowa defense, I mentioned the speed that they're playing with. You start with their new middle linebacker and Cam Buffington. He has not been great, though, in coverage at this point. He is fast. He's sideline, his sideline, trying to run against him is difficult.

Starting point is 00:25:10 But out wide with the cornerbacks for Iowa, they are pretty small. And that definitely does give me a pause about that. What do you kind of bring that up? Tony Diaz is going to get his. He's been targeted. They go after him. They're aggressive. They do it in a multitude of different ways.

Starting point is 00:25:23 He's going to get his catches, but is it six catches for 42 yards? Okay. That one big play. And that's if I had to make a choice between the two guys, I guess I would least lead Buchanan just because of the size and the versatility that he can play with and making that big one. I think you've laid it out perfectly. It's going to be about that one play. This game will be able to be very simplified.

Starting point is 00:25:43 You'll watch, you know, the one minute highlight on Sports Center, and you'll be able to tell the way it went. It was a slug fest, it was back and forth. And then Team A or Team B, they made the big play. And it's as simple as that. And that's going to decide it. I think it is an absolute bare knuckle brawl, dogfight kind of game. And who can make one play in the passing game?

Starting point is 00:26:02 You're right. I think that's going to be the difference. Are you ready to make a prediction right now on this game? You don't have to. It's early in the week. Yeah. I've got one. But if you're ready for it, you can let it rip.

Starting point is 00:26:14 I said right away, the first score that jumped into my mind, right away when I started thinking about the game and it was pretty easy to think about the game as Iowa jumped out to a 35-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-1-0-1-0-1-1-0-1-1-0-1-1-0-1-0-1-0-1-0-1-0-1-0-1-1-0-0-1-0-0-1-0-1-0-0-1-0-1-0-0-1-0-0-0-com. It's the exact score I had in my head. It's what it is. The exact same score. We did, folks, I am not kidding. We did not talk about this before we sat down to record.

Starting point is 00:26:47 this segment. This was not discussed. This is happening again. Willis and I have done this this season two. This is getting weird, man. 1713. So we need to get on the Fandual app and see what kind of odds we're going to be able to get on that side. Because if you bet the exact score, usually get pretty good odds on that one. So 1713. And give me Iowa. I'll be the optimistic Hawkeye for once. And yes, they get it done. They go into the big house. My first ever true road game was at Michigan Stadium. I used to go to games all the time in Madison, Iowa, Wisconsin, in Minneapolis. I had family in both those cities.

Starting point is 00:27:23 So we'd go to those games. But my first true road game that was a real road trip in college was up to Ann Arbor, 2002. Spencer, I know you're going to have to look this one up. Brad Banks finished that season as the Heisman runner up to Carson Palmer, the Big Ten championship year for Iowa. They went 8-0 for the first time in program history, and they demolished Michigan 34 to 9. I don't think it's going to be the same here, but I have very great memories of the big house and hope we get some more on Saturday.

Starting point is 00:27:53 The temptation is so real. It's so real. I got to lean. I got to hold on for just one, one brief moment. Okay. All right. I'm intrigued. I got to do it.

Starting point is 00:28:07 Oh, gross. I got to do it. I'm going. I'm going. I'm going. I didn't have this hat as close to me as I should have. The home field advantage is enough for Michigan. This hat brought to you by.

Starting point is 00:28:19 the game caps by the way. The home field advantage is enough for Michigan here to get it done. I trust Kyle Whittingham at home more than with a team that I don't have super high hopes for, but I trust that more than Kirk Farrant's on the road. I know it's not going out west, but give me, give me the Wolverines here to scrape this one out. I don't think either team gets to 20. I'm with you 17, 13. I'm just flip-flopping. I'm going, I'm going with the maize and Well, I also have my the game hat on and mine is a whole lot better looking. And I also, I think I, I believe I know you don't even have an Iowa hat back there. You don't even have a Hawkeye hat.

Starting point is 00:29:01 I do not have a Hawkeye hat with me at this point in time. If they win this game, how about, how about this? Yes. They win this game. I order an Iowa hat. I wear it for a week on my show. I love it. Yes.

Starting point is 00:29:16 There we go. There we go. Now there are. stakes on the line. Trent Condon, Locked on Hawkeyes. Great as always, my man. We're staying in the Big Ten for segment two. So that's Spencer McLaughlin joining us as we went back and forth. You can catch that in a whole lot more conversation,

Starting point is 00:29:33 locked on college football each and every day. Spencer, great fun with him. And how about that? I will pulls off the upset here. Spencer's going to wear his Hawkeye hat that he's going to have to buy next week all week long on Lockdown College football. Make sure you hit subscribe on that side. And hit subscribe as you're right here on lockdown.

Starting point is 00:29:49 Hawkeyes, your daily Iowa Hawkeye podcast. Big thank you to our everydayers who are with us each and every day. Back with you tomorrow with more as we continue to break it down. Iowa, Michigan, a huge matchup. So excited about this one. We'll talk to you again. Coming up tomorrow, until then, go Hawks.

Locked On Hawkeyes - Daily Podcast On Iowa Hawkeyes Football & Basketball - UPSET ALERT? Are the Iowa Hawkeyes Primed to SHOCK Michigan? Kirk Ferentz and Hank Brown Lead the Charge

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