Locked On Jayhawks - Daily Podcast On Kansas Jayhawks Football & Basketball - KANSAS KEYS TO UPSET OF TEXAS TECH | How Can the Jayhawks Do It + Players to Watch vs Red Raiders

Episode Date: October 10, 2025

Kansas Jayhawks Football Faces Tough Test Against Texas Tech. Can They Pull Off the Upset and What are the Keys to Doing so for KU?Derek Johnson breaks down the keys for Kansas to stun Texas Tech, hig...hlighting crucial matchups and players to watch. The discussion covers Jalon Daniels' impressive stats, the Jayhawks' defensive strategy, and potential game-changers like Blake Herold, Behren Morton and David Bailey. Johnson also analyzes betting lines and prop bets, offering insights into Kansas' performance against the spread under Lance Leipold.Will Kansas' offense outscore Texas Tech? Can the defense contain Baron Morton and the Red Raiders' attack? Tune in for expert analysis on this pivotal Big 12 showdown and get the edge on your game-day predictions.Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!SupplyHouseJoin the free TradeMaster program today and score serious perks like priority shipping, lower prices, and a dedicated support line. Visit https://www.supplyhouse.com/apply-for-trademasterto sign up for free and use promo code SHCOLLEGE5 for 5% off your first order.  SquareTo learn more, go support your favorite neighborhood spot and see what Square has been up to in your neck of the woods. And then if you have extra time, check out https://square.com/go/lockedoncollegePelotonLet yourself run, lift, flex, and push forward. Explore the new Peloton Cross Training Tread+ today at https://www.onepeloton.com. PrizePicksDownload the PrizePicks app today and use code LOCKEDONCOLLEGE to get $50 in lineups after you play your first $5 lineup.PrizePicks — Run Your Game.Click Link Here: https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/LOCKEDONCOLLEGE DoorDashWith DoorDash Streaks, you save every Saturday you order — stack it up all season and you could save up to $250. Order this Saturday. Keep the streak alive. Fuel your gameday — only with DoorDash. Terms apply. Promo period through 11/18.MazdaIt’s the small details that make the big plays. And just like there’s more to every player, there’s more to a Mazda vehicle. Mazda. Move and Be Moved. GametimeToday's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONCOLLEGE for $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply.Monarch MoneyTake control of your finances with Monarch Money. Use code LOCKEDONCOLLEGE at https://www.monarchmoney.com/lockedoncollege for 50% off your first year.FanDuelToday's episode is brought to you by FanDuel. Football season is around the corner, visit the FanDuel App today and start planning your futures bets now.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

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Starting point is 00:00:00 We break down the KU keys to taken down Texas Tech, pulling the upset in Lubbock on today's episode of Locked on Jayhawks. You are Locked on Jayhawks, your daily podcast on the Kansas Jayhawks, part of the Locked on podcast network, your team every day. What's going on, Derek Johnson here? This is Locked on Jayhawks. Thanks for making it to your first list. and every day. And thank you. Every day. There's catching each and every episode of the show.
Starting point is 00:00:33 We are free and available anywhere you get your podcast, including on our YouTube page where you can like and subscribe to the show. And on today's edition of LOJ, we are getting to the keys for Kansas to take down Texas Tech. How does KU pull off the upset? Plus, we'll get into players to watch on this episode of the show, and then we'll get into a little fan duel Friday on LOJ. Today's episode of the show is brought to you by Mazda. Looking to drive down to the game. Take a Mazda. And like our players, we sweat every detail because when you make every move count,
Starting point is 00:01:06 pulling off the unexpected is only the beginning. Stay tuned later for highlights and this week's moving the game forward. Mazda move and be moved. So KU takes on Texas Tech on Saturday down in Lubbock. And, you know, for Kansas, this is a game where you are a clear underdog. I mean, this is the biggest dog you've been of the season. and even the Missouri game was closer than this one theoretically. Now, I would be curious if, like, let's say you were playing Missouri this week,
Starting point is 00:01:39 and, you know, I guess it'd be different because that's part of the Missouri data point of where they're at. But basically what I'm saying is, like, if you look at certain power ratings and stuff, like how different is Missouri and Texas Tech, would the line be closer to two touchdowns if you're playing Missouri now? I don't know. Is Texas Tech, they're high. you're on some power ratings, not in others. I guess the rivalry aspect maybe makes that one a little bit closer. I don't know, just kind of an interesting thought.
Starting point is 00:02:05 Because here's why I bring that up, though, if you view this game from a perspective of, is the crowd, like the crowd's going to be really good. Lubbock has a really good crowd. You can have tortillas thrown on the field and everything like that, right? But is it really going to be a tougher crowd than playing against Missouri on the road who is the rival that hates you the most? and it's a it's just an angry crowd that's sold out and you know what I mean like I don't know is it going to reach that same level of intensity maybe maybe it's hard to replicate that though and it's like
Starting point is 00:02:38 okay then you've from a team standpoint it's like okay Missouri had a really good defensive line and that's what Texas Tech has is it better than Missouri's I kind of think it is but like how much better right because you were still able to move the ball and score some points offensively and knowing all of that I get into this to say can't Kansas is definitely an underdog, and I think deserves to be an underdog on paper coming into this game. And it's going to be very difficult for Kansas to win this game. But I bring all that up to say you were close to winning that Missouri game. And I don't think going on the road into Lubbock against Texas Tech is completely a different scenario, right?
Starting point is 00:03:20 It's another really good team, probably top 15 team in the country that you're playing on the road. Now, you had to have some things go your way against Missouri. Missouri for that to be the case, just like you're going to need some things to go your way against Texas Tech for it to be the case. And you still wound up losing that game. But point being, I think Kansas can at least, you know, compete in this game. Does it mean you're going to win? I don't know. That's going to be a tall task. But right now, Kansas two touchdown dog. And if I'm being honest, we'll get to Fando Friday. Like, I'm kind of leaning toward Kansas with the points, but doesn't necessarily mean they win. So let's, how does Kansas cover? I think the offense has
Starting point is 00:03:54 to score a lot like point blank like i look at texas tech and they can really throw the ball around the yard um whether it's barren it doesn't matter which quarterbacks in there right they're going to be able to throw the football they've got a bunch of really good receivers they hit explosive passing plays and with some of the the deficiencies we've seen at times from the k u secondary and the kU defense that is a worry for me that texas tech is going to score 40 50 points and so for then you to in this game, you're going to have to score high 20s, 30, 40 points yourself. This might be an old-fashioned big 12th game in a lot of ways. The problem is the Texas Tech defense has not allowed anybody to get close to scoring that
Starting point is 00:04:39 many points, and that's where you run into a bit of an issue. So if the offense could find a way to score on the Tech defense, which again, hasn't really been a thing so far this season. Like if you look at the 5-0 start for Texas Tech, let's see, 7, 14, 14, 14. 10, and 11. So they've yet to give up more than 14 points in total on the season. They've given up if my math's right there, that would be, oh, gosh, 56 points over five games. You know, are you really going to all of a sudden to score 38 again?
Starting point is 00:05:10 I don't know. The Kansas offense is probably the best offense that Texas Tech has played so far this season. So maybe it's entirely possible. You never know. But the offense, if they can score a lot, which that's kind of a vague term, I think you can at least hang with them, right? And I think this one goes into that, but you have to be able to protect Jayland Daniels. If you protect Jayland Daniels, it's going to give you a better shot to score some points.
Starting point is 00:05:31 That's going to be the biggest difficulty here because when you look at Texas Tech, that defensive line is gnarly, man. It's two elite defensive ends. It's two elite defensive tackles. Like, legitimately, all four of those guys are probably going to get some sort of all big 12 awards. I don't know that all four of them will be all big 12 first team just from a standpoint of sometimes people, you know, don't want to vote that way.
Starting point is 00:05:52 but, like, realistically, they could be deserving of that being the case. So the Kansas offensive line is going to have their hands full. Now, like we said, Kansas played a really good defensive line in Missouri, and that'll help you prepare you for this game. It wasn't KU's best game as an offensive line against Missouri, though. And, you know, I don't know, maybe you could argue that Damon Wilson, I don't know, David Bailey's been very good. So it's like, I think the tech one is slightly better than the Missouri one,
Starting point is 00:06:17 but I think both units are top 10 defensive line units in the country. So how can you perform there? If you can keep Jalen Daniels upright, I think you can at least score a little bit of points to, you know, try to keep in there. And then the last part of here is can the defense be at least bend but don't break if you want to cover and maybe force a few turnovers. Tech is out of propensity, as we talked about in the preview yesterday. They've had a good amount of field goals in the red zone. Can you keep it going that way, right? If they have five red zone trips, can you force at least two field goals?
Starting point is 00:06:48 Can you force maybe three field goals? that would be huge for you. And then can you force a couple turnovers in this game? Interceptions, maybe a strip sack, maybe, you know, special themes turnover or something. That would go a long way in KU covering the spread. Now, for me, to take that leap into how does KU win the game in Lubbock, I think you do have to win the turnover battle. Like I don't really see a scenario where you're minus one in turnovers and you come out
Starting point is 00:07:15 on top of this game. I think you need to win the turnover battle and it has to be an impactful turnover. can't just be oh we forced to turn over and then didn't score on it has to be like oh you got to pick six or oh you got a turnover and then you took advantage and a six minute drive afterwards that led to a touchdown like a big play right um again hold tech there's some field goals in the red zone this one's interesting so the most rushing yards that texas tech has given up this season is 103 they've only allowed a hundred or more twice it's a hundred and three and two so it's not very much just to give it like a random figure um can can just be around at least like 150 i i i I think, put it this way, Kansas is going to have to rush for more yards on Texas Tech than any team has rushed for on Texas Tech so far this season, just from a standpoint of allowing the defense to rest and kind of keeping them off the field a little bit here or there. They're going to have to, I'm not saying this has to be, you know, 300 yards rushing, but they have to find a little bit more success than other teams have had there.
Starting point is 00:08:10 And then Jaylen has to have a baller game. Like, I don't know that, no, statistically, I don't think this is a game where, you're going to be walking away because of how good the tech defense is saying that's the best statistic game of Jalen Daniel's career, right? You think back to the Liberty Bowl, shoot the Cincinnati game a couple weeks ago, just statistically, some of Jalen's best games in a Kansas uniform. You could throw for 260 in this game, two touchdowns, no interceptions, 50 rushing yards. That would almost be like the best game, depending on how it's going in the game script and, you know, what key third downs and key plays you're making.
Starting point is 00:08:49 You'll be able to come away from this if that is the case. Like, you want to be able to come away saying, yeah, that was the best game of Jayland-Daniels career. That was one of the best games against Jayland-Daniels career, even though statistically he's had more yards or touchdowns just from a standpoint of managing the game, making the winning place, playing an unbelievable defense. He made the winning place for Gay-U. If you walk away from the game saying that, I think that gives Kansas chance to win as well,
Starting point is 00:09:12 as long as they can do those other things also. All right, let's continue on with our players to watch for Kansas and Texas Tech. This is Locked on Jayhawks. Today's episode of LOJ is brought to you by DoorDash. It is almost the weekend. Time to look back and crown this week's MVP on Who Delivered, powered by DoorDash. Just like you can win every Saturday with DoorDash streaks,
Starting point is 00:09:35 saving more every time you order. These players delivered when it mattered most. Let's break it down. For Kansas, we're going to go with Austin and Alexander, delivered in a big way. UCF was driving late in the game, trying to, you know, get that game tying touchdown. Who knows?
Starting point is 00:09:50 Maybe they would have gone for two. I think it was on third and ten. They throw to the end zone on like a post route. Austin Alexander plays it perfectly, gets the back arm in front, pass breakup, and from there, Kins makes the fourth down stop. He is just a redshirt freshman. He's had some ups and down so far this season, but you can see the talent, the potential that he has.
Starting point is 00:10:10 He's going to be a really good player for KU, and he made a really good and really big play on that one for KU, certainly delivering. last Saturday. Well, DoorDash delivers your Saturdays, just like Austin Alexander for Kansas. With DoorDash streaks to save every Saturday order, stack it up all season. You can save up to $250, including $100 in DoorDash credits. Order this Saturday, keep the streak alive, fuel your game day only with DoorDash. Terms Apply promo period through November 18th. This episode is also brought to you by FanDuel Sportsbook. The NFL season is here and FanDuel has an offer you don't want to miss. Right now, new customers can bet just $5 and get
Starting point is 00:10:45 $300 in bonus bets if you win. Pick a bet, put down five bucks, and if it hits, you'll unlock $300 in bonus bets to use across the app. We're going to do our Fandual Friday later on in the episode, and we'll give you some interesting ones. This is one of the few ones where actually like some of the touchdown bets are pretty interesting for Kansas. So we'll get into a little bit of that on our Fandual Friday coming up later in the episodes.
Starting point is 00:11:11 What are you waiting for is Fandual.com to download the Fandwell app today, and get started. Fanduel, the official sportsbook partner of the Lockdown Podcast Network. Thanks for joining us on this episode of Lockdown Jayhawks. Give us a follow at LO underscore Jayhawks on our profile account. Okay, players to watch for this one. We'll start with the Kansas Jayhawks. We'll start with the Kansas Jayhawks offense.
Starting point is 00:11:33 We're going to start with Jaylon Daniels. We just talked about how, you know, he needs to have just like a mega game for KU to come out on top of this one. Right now, Jaylin is eighth in the country in EPA per dropback. seventh among power four quarterbacks. So far this season, 67% on his completion rate with 1,500 yards, 9.8 yards per attempt. That's an incredible number. 16 touchdown, two interceptions.
Starting point is 00:11:56 That's also incredible. Then if you add in the one rushing touchdown, just gets even a little bit better. And his total QBR is 78.2, which is 21st in the country. He's also got 239 rushing yards, 4.8 yards per carry. He's been electric so far this season. And they're going to need him again. It doesn't necessarily have to be statistically. But he needs to have one of the best games in his Kansas career if they want to,
Starting point is 00:12:22 you know, compete and try to pull off an upset on the road against a very good Texas Tech defense at a tough place to play. Our next guy we're going to get to is Calvin Clements. Clements overall on pro football focus has just a 53 grade on PFF right now. But he's coming off his two best pass blocking games. He's had some lower ranking pass blocking games. He's been, you know, decent in the run blocking game. but the last two weeks he's turning a corner he's had his two best pass blocking games by pro football
Starting point is 00:12:49 focus grade and for a younger player getting more experience i don't think that is just something that you look to and say oh he's just had two good weeks i think that is him turning the corner and i've always thought that calvin clements was going to be a really good player for k u i've continued to make kind of the the bryson cabledew comparison that you know cable do had to take some of his lumps early in his career played through it and then eventually his last two years was a stud at Kansas. I think you're going to see that with Calvin Clements. And you might be seeing him turning that corner right now. But this is this is not an easy game to continue turning in the corner. If he can do it in this game, I mean, that would be big time if he can. But he's got
Starting point is 00:13:24 his hands full, David Bailey on one side. I don't know if Bailey will be the guy that's always going up against the left tackle here. They've also got another good defensive end on the other side. I mean, both their defensive ends are two of the best in the country. So from that standpoint. I don't know which one's going to be going up against him, but either way, he plays a very important role for Kansas to keep Jalen Daniels, you know, upright. And then Leashon Williams is our last pick here. Leishon is coming off a couple very efficient games. Overall, he's averaging over six yards per carry this year, but only 50 carries so far this season. But 10 carries for 64 against Cincinnati, 12 for 58 against UCF. So last two weeks without Daniel Isha, that's 22 carries for
Starting point is 00:14:09 122 yards. I think he should be getting even more carries. And I think in a game like this, theoretically, you'd be cool with him taking 20 carries if it keeps the ball on your side of the field. The problem is Texas tax run defense. Again, they've only given up a max of 103 yards. So there comes a certain point where it's like, okay, you can't keep running the ball if you're picking up a yard every time. That's not what I'm saying. But if you can find a way to have some success grind out some three, four, five yard runs here and there, I think that is something that would make a little bit of sense. And he plays a huge role. Can he have more rushing yards than any running back has had against tech so far this season? What about the KU defensive side of the ball?
Starting point is 00:14:46 We're going to start with Blake Harold. Harold is a 66.4 PFF grade this season, which is solid, but that's also misleading. He had just a 25 grade in the Wagner game, which first of all, that just seems not right, but I digress. If you take that game out, every other game he's been a 68 or higher. He's at highs of 77.3 and 72. So realistically, you're looking at him being closer to a 70. He's got nine pressures this season that already matches what he had all of last year. He has eight of them coming in the last three weeks. He's playing really well coming in this one. And when you look at Texas Tech's lowest rated offensive linemen on pro football focus, it's their left guard. So I think that's something where, you know, if Kansas is able to
Starting point is 00:15:26 have a good defensive game, if they are able to blow up the Texas Tech offense a little bit here and there. It could be from those good defensive tackles, including Blake Harold against the interior of that tech offensive line. Jalen Die, he played a ton last week, 33 snaps at the safety spot. He had just 49 total snaps coming in. So nearly doubled that in just a one game. Devin Die had an injury in that game. Taylor Davis at one point went down with an injury. We know the KU safety position has been beat up so far this season. And die played well against UCF. He had a near 70 PFF grade. He had that key strip sack, does he play even more this week? Can he continue to be a game changer and make those big plays? I look at a guy like Jalen die. And then we're going to go with Austin
Starting point is 00:16:10 Alexander, 67.6 pff grade and 76.6 coverage grades last week. Those were both his bests of the season. Was that a good game or was that him turning the corner a little bit? Again, very talented player. It comes after arguably his worst game. He was targeted nine times and gave up a bunch of, you know, catches and yards against Cincinnati. So was that kind of a wake-up call? And I don't know, was he turning the corner against UCF? We're going to find out against Tech because they're going to go after him because they have a lot of good receivers.
Starting point is 00:16:38 They'll go after different guys. He's going to be tested. And if he can have a big game, it'll be very helpful for the KU defense against a very good passing offense in Texas Tech. Our players to watch on the Texas Tech side of the ball, we're going to go to their offense. Barron Morton is the first, 69% completion rate, 10.1 yards. per attempt with 12 touchdowns, three interceptions. He can run a lot.
Starting point is 00:17:01 He hasn't really done it so far this season, like not many rushing stats, but I've seen it before in past games, past seasons where if he has to run, he will and is more than capable of it. I think he's probably trying to a little less this year. He had the injury early in the season, so probably trying to avoid another injury, and maybe that's just making it a little harder to run the football, but he can if he needs to, at least again, historically, that's what it's shown, not as much this year, but he's a good quarterback.
Starting point is 00:17:25 And he's somebody who, you know, came into Lawrence and, and won that game on earning a last second drive against KU, can KU find a way to slow him down? One of the guys he's going to be thrown to, Terrence Carter. He is a tight end, 20 catches, 270 yards, four touchdowns, transfer from Louisiana. He has an 84 PFF grade, 83 in run blocking. So he's a good run blocking tight end.
Starting point is 00:17:47 Who covers him for KU? We've talked about some of the injuries, the safety spot. KU has athletic linebackers. Maybe that's the solution here. But that'll be a very interesting matchup both ways. And then Caleb Douglas, I mean, you could pick a lot of different receivers for Texas Tech. Douglas, though, is, I guess you'd call him the big play guy. 18 catches, 340 yards, one touchdown.
Starting point is 00:18:07 That's 19 yards per catch. He had a big week last week, 7 for 114. He's a big receiver, 6 foot 4. Who guards him on the outside? Maybe that is Austin, Alexander, who gets that call. And that'll be tough to try to take him down along with a lot of the tech receivers. On the defensive side of the ball for Texas Tech, I could have just picked, you know, all their defense alignment.
Starting point is 00:18:27 We're going to start with David Bailey, five and a half sacks, 31 pressures. That is insane. So KU's top two and pressures are Leroy Harris and Trey Lathen. They have a combined 25 pressures. David Bailey has 31 himself. He had 11 last week alone.
Starting point is 00:18:45 Now, when he was going up against a better offensive tackle, Utah has like two potential first round picks to tackle. He had a 62 PFF grade. So they were able to make him a little more pedestrian in that game. But again, that's two first round picks a tackle. I don't know that Kansas has a first round pick a tackle. But I guess point being, if you look at their schedule, it's interesting. They've either played like really good or really bad.
Starting point is 00:19:07 Utah might be the best tackles in the country and they played them. But then Houston's top offensive tackle has a 55 PFF grade. Oregon State's tackles like Oregon State's not very good this year. So it's almost like this will be a middle ground game for as far as the tackle talent that they're playing. And we've seen them play the best and the worst. So how is that going to go against this one? We do know David Bailey is a very, very good player. But is he going to completely take over the game or is there just going to be a few pressures
Starting point is 00:19:35 and then Kansas is able to work around it? That'll be a big question. Jacob Rodriguez, 33 tackles, three past deflections, two interceptions this year. He was the Big 12 defensive player of the year in preseason. Over 100 tackles, 82 PFF grade in 2024. And he is shattering that number this year. 92 PFF grade right now with a 90 in coverage. so he's not even being taken advantage of in the passing game.
Starting point is 00:19:59 It might be tough for the KU backers and tight ends and stuff like that, or the KU tight ends and running backs in this one against Rodriguez. And then Lee Hunter, again, could have picked a lot of defense alignment for tech. So Bailey is the top pass rusher. I would say Hunter is the best run stopper, which makes for an unreal duo with Rodriguez. But again, it's all those guys. But Hunter has an 84 PFF grade. He's a 90 in run defense.
Starting point is 00:20:26 He also has seven pressures, and he's yet to miss a tackle. So when he gets a hand on you, you're going down. Our player matchups, Texas Tech right tackle, Jacob Ponton, Pontone versus KU defensive and Justice Finkley. Pontone is tech's highest rated offense alignment, 74.2 PFF grade. If Kansas has any chance in this one, their defensive line is going to have to win. Finclay is on a tear. He's coming off a couple of his best games of the year.
Starting point is 00:20:50 He has 71.4 PFF grade, former Texas Longhorn, you know, coming into town in Texas. He needs to have a big one for KU. Texas Tech's defensive tackles, Hunter, we just mentioned, and then Gil Howard is their other one versus the interior offense line for KU of Herring, Foster, and Baines. Can KU get any push in the running game? Those are two stud defensive tackles. They haven't, nobody's been able to make a push against them so far. And as good as those offensive tackles are for Utah on the outside, I don't know how good the interior of the Utah offensive line is. And maybe that's something, you know, can Kansas give Tech a different look than they've had so far this season? I don't know.
Starting point is 00:21:24 Then we'll give a bonus one. Coy Ekin, the Texas Tech receiver versus Jalen Todd. Todd moved to the slot last week, did well. Part of that was out of necessity with injury and stuff, but Eakins are really good receiver who plays a lot in the slot. I would like that to stay the matchup where Todd's in the slot to try to, you know, slow him down a little bit. Let's get to our Fandual Friday to finish up.
Starting point is 00:21:47 This is Locked on Jayhawks. This episode of LOJ is brought to. you by Mazda moving the game forward for those who believe it's not just about playing the game it's about redefining it there's moments that do more than put points on the board they move crowds move culture and keep moving the game forward this week's moment the move the game forward is when they got the goal line stand on fourth and goal i mean you could really pick all the the three plays leading up because the goal line stand is is more than just the fourth down play you got to get it to fort down right but it's the run stuff and then eventually you have fancher take off on the run on the
Starting point is 00:22:21 fourth and goal and you squeeze him down and he's just a hair short and dilation and then Kansas had to pun and they had to make another stop but it all started there when you follow what moves you the unexpected is only the beginning and just like there's more to ever highlight there's more to a Mazda vehicle Mazda move and be moved. Thanks for joining us on this episode of Locked on Jayhawks let's get to our Fandual Friday on today's episode of the show. So KU, at least the time of recording, is 14 and a half point dogs. Here's some stats for you for KU coming in. So this is since 2022 for Lance Lighthold.
Starting point is 00:23:01 This is very interesting. So between 2022 to 2024, Lance Leipold and KU 11 and 7 against the spread, so solid there after a win, which they're coming off of. However, this year, they're 0 and 3 against the spread coming off a win. They're coming off a win in this one. So is that something where it's like, hey, they just haven't been able to perform this year off a win? bad for this game. Or is that something where it's like, no, typically KU and Lance Lyples have done well off of a win. And the fact that they're doing poorly this year, maybe that's a reversion
Starting point is 00:23:31 to the mean thing. And Kansas is due for a covered spread after a win this year, right? They're also seven and two against the spread since 2022 against a ranked opponent. So that's obviously a very good one for Kansas. And then they're 12 and nine against the spread since 2022 on the road. So all those are Kansas. I like Kansas to cover here. I think they can keep it close. Now, I definitely am a little worried from the standpoint of like, if that tech defense and the defense align wrecks KU's day, could this be a game that, again, if we see the KU defense that was against Cincinnati and Missouri, but now you're not able to run the ball against a good defense, now you're getting attacked a bunch. Could this wind up 45 to 14? That is in the back of my head. So honestly, here's how I would be playing it. I would be playing it as Kansas play. Like I can see Kansas keeping it close. So maybe you play it as an alt line. Let's see what we can get here on a Fandle. You can be playing it. You could play an alt line as Kansas plus 10.5 instead of plus 14.5. You get that a plus 136. Or if you want to go even crazier, plus 7.5 of plus 176.
Starting point is 00:24:33 And then you can also bet it if you want as like just in case, it goes the other way here, you can get Texas Tech minus, I don't know, what I say, 45, 14. So that'd be like minus 30 and a half. You can get that a plus 400. So like maybe you kind of cover your bases both ways there. I don't know. Does that even make sense, mathematics? regardless.
Starting point is 00:24:53 Some other things on Fandul. Oh, I should also mention the over, under's 58 and a half. Like I said earlier, I don't know how I feel about totals with this team right now. If Kansas defense is going to be the one we saw against Cincinnati and against Missouri, I think you like the over here because tech could put up 45 by themselves and then can you just get to 14? But if it's the defense we saw in the second half against UCF, what if you hold Texas Tech a couple times in the red zone, get a couple turnovers? What if they score 34?
Starting point is 00:25:23 And it's like, can you get to more than 24 points to get the overs? I don't know. I'm probably avoiding that altogether. Touchdown score props, because you're playing a really good defense now, some of these have been juiced up. Leishon Williams is at plus 110. I don't hate that, though, tech doesn't really give up a lot of, well, touchdowns in general or rushing touchdowns.
Starting point is 00:25:40 Emmanuel Henderson is plus 135. Jaylon Daniels on the run is plus 200. Camp Pickett at plus 240. Bowen-Grow at plus 280. Keaton, Quebec at plus 330, Harry Stewart at plus 440 is jumping out to me a little bit there. But Keaton, the ones I would really circle, Keaton in Quebec at plus 330, he's a Texas kid, feels like he's been making some key plays the last couple weeks. That would be one that I kind of like.
Starting point is 00:26:03 And then the Jaylon Daniels rushing one at plus 200. I definitely don't mind that. This feels like a game where you would unleash his running ability in the red zone a little more than you have. The passing props, Baron Morton's at 293.5. Jalen Daniels is at 236. and a half. If Kansas wants a chance in this one, Jayland's going to probably have to go over there.
Starting point is 00:26:24 So I would probably be leaning that way there. In the receiving game, Camp Picket at 34.5. That would be one that I'm all over. After what we saw he did against UCF, starting to look more healthy, I'm all over that one. So Kim Pickett definitely there at 34.
Starting point is 00:26:37 And a half, Manuel Henderson was 63. And then some of the rushing props, Leishon Williams, 55 and a half. Jalen Daniels, 29.5. That's one I wouldn't be taking this game because if you do get sacked three times, it's going to be hard to, you know, get to that total.
Starting point is 00:26:50 So just to recap the ones that I like the best, Cam Pickett, over 34 and a half for the receiving yards, at least of the ones that are there right now, Jalen Daniels, over 236 and a half for passing yards, because I think that might just be a necessity. And then the touchdown score props, either Quebec or Jalen rushing the ball. If you want to build just a little, you know, higher percentage parlay necessarily, you could go with like Cam Pickett on a touchdown. You could go with Jalen Daniels, all passing yards at. 200 plus, you could take, if we're just sticking with Pickett anyway, with the touchdown,
Starting point is 00:27:23 you could do Pickett to have 20 plus receiving yards, and then we can do Lee Sean Williams to have, I don't know, 30 plus Russian yards. That pays off plus 394. So you can check that out or build your own over at Fandul, official sportsbook partner of the Lockdown Podcast Network. That'll know for this episode of the show. You can find us anywhere at your podcast, including on our YouTube page where you can like and subscribe to the show.
Starting point is 00:27:46 Make sure to check out all our content. this week we had a full KU Texas Tech preview on yesterday's episode, had some more KU basketball content, plenty coming at you here and plenty more to come at you. So make sure you subscribe to the show, please hit the like button as well. Certainly helps on our end of things. We'll see you next time with L.O.J.

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