Locked On Jayhawks - Daily Podcast On Kansas Jayhawks Football & Basketball - KANSAS KEYS VS CINCINNATI + Players to Watch for Jayhawks vs Bearcats: Can Jalon Daniels Shine?

Episode Date: September 26, 2025

Kansas Jayhawks football faces crucial test against Cincinnati Bearcats. Can Jalon Daniels lead KU to victory in this battle between Lance Leipold and Scott Satterfield?Host Derek Johnson breaks down ...the keys for a Kansas win, highlighting the importance of a consistent passing game and strong run defense. The discussion covers standout players to watch, including KU's Leshon Williams and Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby. Johnson analyzes critical matchups in the trenches and provides betting insights, favoring the under in what could be a defensive battle.Will the Jayhawks' offensive line hold up against Cincinnati's pass rush? Tune in for expert analysis on KU's path to success and potential game-changing moments.Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!5-Hour ENERGYEnough with boring, flavorless caffeine, it’s time to give your caffeine a flavor upgrade with 5-hour ENERGY®️ shots. Get the favorites you love or be bold and try something new in-store and online at https://www.5hourENERGY.com or Amazon today.  SquareTo learn more, go support your favorite neighborhood spot and see what Square has been up to in your neck of the woods. And then if you have extra time, check out https://square.com/go/lockedoncollegeThe Game CapGrab your team’s classic bar or retro circle designed hat and use code LOCKEDON for an exclusive discount. Head to Because legends wear The Game. Head to https://thegamecaps.com DoorDashWith DoorDash Streaks, you save every Saturday you order — stack it up all season and you could save up to $250. Order this Saturday. Keep the streak alive. Fuel your gameday — only with DoorDash. Terms apply. Promo period through 11/18.MazdaIt’s the small details that make the big plays. And just like there’s more to every player, there’s more to a Mazda vehicle. Mazda. Move and Be Moved. GametimeToday's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONCOLLEGE for $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply.Monarch MoneyTake control of your finances with Monarch Money. Use code LOCKEDONCOLLEGE at https://www.monarchmoney.com/lockedoncollege for 50% off your first year.FanDuelToday's episode is brought to you by FanDuel. Football season is around the corner, visit the FanDuel App today and start planning your futures bets now.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 How can Kansas come away with a victory against Cincinnati? We get to the Keys for KU on today's episode, a Locked on Jayhawk. You are Locked on Jayhawks, your daily podcast on the Kansas Jayhawks, part of the Locked on podcast network, your team every day. How's it going? Derek Johnson here, and this is Locked on Jayhawks. Thank you for making it your first listen every day. And thank you so much to the Everdayers catching all our episodes, whether you find it on YouTube, where you can like and subscribe or anywhere you get your audio side of things. Thanks to joining us with LOJ. And on today's edition of the show, we're breaking down the Kansas Cincinnati game.
Starting point is 00:00:43 What are the keys for KU coming out on top against the Bearcats? We'll also get to our players to watch for both teams, and we'll finish up with a little fan duel Friday. Today's episode's brought to you by Mazda. Like our players, we sweat every detail, because when you make every move count, pulling off the unexpected is only the beginning. Stay tuned later for highlights in this week's moving the game forward. Mazda move and be moved.
Starting point is 00:01:09 So, KU takes on Cincinnati on Saturday on Saturday. We've already done our game preview. Thank you if you already caught that one. What are the keys, though, for Kansas coming out with the victory? And what are the keys for them going beyond that and covering the spread as well? Well, I think Kansas wins this game if Jayland Daniels and the receivers have a consistent game. That is one of a couple things I want to bring up here. You know, Cincinnati, as we've mentioned in some of our previews,
Starting point is 00:01:34 76% completion percentage allowed by the defense. That is the worst number in the country. At the same point in time, they're not really giving up explosive passes. They're playing a bend, but don't break defense. They're basically saying, hey, we're going to give up short completions, try to make open field tackles, and prevent big place, keep everything in front of us. You know, at times, Kansas wants to take shots downfield.
Starting point is 00:01:55 are you going to be patient enough that if they're not there, you don't force it and you do continue to take what the defense gives you because, you know, it's going to force you to be patient and say, okay, I'm comfortable having a 10 or 12 play drive that can lead to a touchdown. And then it's going to be important, you know, finishing in the red zone to complete those drives. But that's going to be key. Can you be accurate? Can you be on time? Can you be patient where you don't fall into their trap? That's going to be the key here for KU. And so you go back to the last game against West Virginia,
Starting point is 00:02:28 and you only completed 50% of your passes. There were some drops. There were some missed throws. You need all of those things that kind of tighten themselves up if Kansas wants to take down Cincinnati. And furthering that, I think it's going to be important game for the KU receivers after catch, because if you are getting a lot of easy and short completions,
Starting point is 00:02:47 can the receivers make guys miss after the catch? And that is one thing that will be, I think, helpful a little bit for KU, the fact that, you know, I guess we'll see the health status of Cam Pickett, you know, how healthy is he? It feels like he hasn't been really fully healthy since the first game against Fresno State. If he can get back to that mark, this would be a big opportunity for him because, you know, making short catches into longer ones with yard after catches right up his alley. I think Emmanuel Henderson is somebody who can do that. I don't know, do you give more reps for a guy like Tate Nagy for that specific reason? It'll be very interesting
Starting point is 00:03:17 how they kind of play that. I think also the KU offensive line if Kansas once win has to play well, You look at Dante Corleone, like I'm expecting, you know, him to play and then play a reasonable amount of snaps. And it's a solid Cincinnati defensive line. I think they're sixth in the big 12 in sacks so far this season. Kew wants to establish the run too. Like the offense line is going to have to play well for Kansas to beat a team like Cincinnati. And then the flip side of that is Kansas has to defend the run well. Now, that doesn't just come from the running backs with Tawi Walker and what Cincinnati does on the ground.
Starting point is 00:03:49 We mentioned in the preview episode how they like to kind of run to the outside. similar to how Kansas does, but it's also the quarterback run game with Brendan Sorsby. Very good running quarterback, and can you slow that down? You did a really good job when you faced a rushing quarterback in Bo Pribula, but also he was throwing it around the field, so maybe he just didn't have to run as much as he would have wanted to. With Sorsby, you know, and we had our crossover episode earlier in the week and it kind of talked about, hey, if you get his timing off in the past game, like he's one of those guys who, hey,
Starting point is 00:04:18 first read's not there, maybe the first and second read is not there. like he's just going to take off. And so that presents a little bit of a different challenge to where how is KU going to defend that schematically? How are they going to try to slow him down? Do you basically play a game too to even say like if you look at the Nebraska game where he had over 90 yards rushing, but he had under 100 yards passing, you would probably take that trade off if you're Kansas.
Starting point is 00:04:41 Do you try to force him into doing some more of those things? I don't know. It's going to be very interesting. See the game plan, D.E. McDonald puts together. But how you slow down the run and not just that factor, but all. Also, in terms of the standard running game, I think Kansas' run defense has been really good so far this season. Really, the only thing that's killed him was when Ahmaud Hardy for Missouri was just like breaking tackles and keeping the pile moving forward.
Starting point is 00:05:04 Can any of the Cincinnati players do that in this game or is that just different beasts that you're facing there with Amad Hardy? Now, what about KU covering? I think KU covers the spread if Cincinnati's extra week of game prep, again, they're coming off a buy. if that doesn't end up leading to a, I don't know, big edge for them or an edge to kind of neutralize some of the fun stuff that Kansas does in the playbook. We know that Kansas likes to run a lot of formations and motions and misdirection on the offensive side of the ball. We know on the defensive side now at D.K. McDonald, you know, they're bringing a variety of different blitzes and formations and three down and four down and sometimes three defensive tackles in there. Sometimes you've got guys like Dean Miller playing as an outside linebacker. Sometimes you've got a third safety in there, a third corner, a third linebacker,
Starting point is 00:05:52 just a lot of different personnel and packages for both sides of the ball for Kansas. And that can make it very difficult for an opposing team to prep for KU. But for Cincinnati, them getting the extra week, them getting the buy week, does that help neutralize for them some of the typically schematic and, you know, in-game advantages that KU has where sometimes they can, you know, get a team to a point where, you know, they're kind of lost or like you think of the Levi-Went's touchdown that they had last week against West Virginia or you think about the wheel route touchdown that Kansas had on the fake speed option play. Those come from you're getting the
Starting point is 00:06:30 defense overly thinking and then they focus on one thing, maybe they over-pursue and boom, brain fart leads to a wide open player and leads to a touchdown for you. Kansas has done, I mean, if you were to, if you were to have like a leaderboard since 2022 of brain fart touchdowns forced by an offense. I feel like Kansas should be at the top of the leaderboard
Starting point is 00:06:51 because of how much they do. But does that get neutralized a bit and what does that mean for the KU offense if it does in this game with that extra buy week? Maybe it will matter. Maybe even one extra week isn't going to be enough.
Starting point is 00:07:01 I don't know, but that'll be very interesting. But if it doesn't matter, then I think Kansas can cover. If it does matter, that makes things certainly a lot more difficult. I would also say KU covers if Brendan Sorsby has a Nebraska throwing game.
Starting point is 00:07:12 I guess there's a world out there where Cincinnati rushes for like 300, yards, although, you know, I feel like the hity run defense has been pretty stout, again, outside of trying to just stop, Amad Hardy, who might honestly be the best running back in the country. I mean, he's certainly in the conversation. And if he has, though, that more one-dimensional game where he isn't throwing it, you can at least throw numbers at it a little bit more.
Starting point is 00:07:38 I think to come in and win on the road, yes, Cincinnati would love to run the football. They're still going to have to hit some plays in the air against the Kansas. Kansas defense. And when you look at Kansas being, you know, a little banged up at the safety position with, you look at them being a little younger in the secondary and on the back end, Swordsby is going to have to have a better passing game than he did against Nebraska. If it's similar to how that game went, and again, I'm not even talking like identically, statistically. I'm just talking about kind of that same narrative. Then I think Kansas covers the spread if it's not a big passing game for the Cincinnati offense.
Starting point is 00:08:10 But again, they at least have an avenue to getting over that with a rushing game. All right, let's get to our players to watch offensive defense side of the ball for both teams. Next, this is Locked on Jayhawks. Today's episode of the show is brought to you by Mazda, moving the game forward. For those who believe it's not just about playing the game, it's about redefining it. There are moments that do more than put points on the board. They move crowds, move culture, and keep moving the game forward. This week's moment that moved the game forward for KU is let's go with that fake speed-off.
Starting point is 00:08:45 option turned to wheel route touchdown to Lashon Williams. You know, West Virginia had just scored their first points of the game. It felt like Kansas was in control, but then it felt like West Virginia was winning back some of the momentum. It was going to be important for Kansas to respond. And boy, did they, they go down, they get a big touchdown. And from there, the rest is history. They're often running. But what a play design it was, too, from Matt Lubick and Jim Zabrowski. You have the fake speed option to the left. You throw back to the right on the wheel route, Lechon Williams wide open. And that just continued what was a great day for Lishon Williams. When you follow what moves you, the unexpected.
Starting point is 00:09:15 is only the beginning. And just like there's more to every highlight, there's more to a Mazda vehicle. Mazda move and be moved. Thanks to joining us on this episode of Lockdown Jayhawks. We're going to have a bonus episode coming out later today. Taylin Kinney, the five-star point guard in the class of 2026 is going to be committing this weekend. So we'll talk a little bit about that and head for what could be a very big weekend for KU Athletics. We also are going to get to our Fandual Friday to finish out the show here today. Our players, watch between Kansas and Cincinnati.
Starting point is 00:09:47 Let's start with the Kansas offense. We're going to go with Lee Sean Williams. So far this season, 181 rushing yards, six and a half yards per carry. Obviously, he was, you know, banged up in the early portion of the season and caused him to miss some time, which hurts some of the total numbers. But certainly that yard per carry number six and a half is going to get it done. A really good performance against West Virginia in which he had 129 rushing yards. And, you know, he was honestly having the best rushing performance for a KU player in the
Starting point is 00:10:15 first game against Fresno State before he had the injury. So he's somebody that I trust in the running game. And as you look to go blow for blow with Cincinnati in the running game, something they're going to look to try to do and something that both teams are kind of similar in and how they want to accomplish it, Williams, especially with Highshaw on the doubtful list, becomes very important for Kansas to be successful on the ground. But can you find more consistency in the running game? That's another part of this too, because, you know, there were moments against West Virginia, especially kind of in that like on a late first quarter to most of the second quarter portion where the running game wasn't finding much ground for KU and there were different drives where
Starting point is 00:10:54 it just felt inconsistent a little bit more and sometimes that's going to be the running game if the opposing run defense is good and you're just going to kind of have to live with some short gains here and there that you hope to bust one like they eventually did but that'll be important too can they find more consistency there with continued results the other guy's Jalen Daniels. Oh, I'm picking the quarterback. What do you know? But did you know Jalen's 82 and a half total QBR that ranks 14th nationally? He's at a really good start to the season. And you look at the last two games only at a 56% completion rate. It's something we talked about earlier. Can Kansas find the timing, the accuracy, the consistency in the passing game because that's going to be critical
Starting point is 00:11:34 against a past defense for Cincinnati that hasn't been very good so far to this point in the season. That 56% completion rate, it has to go up if Kansas wants to beat Cincinnati, especially that Cincinnati's given up 76% on the season. And you'll look at it right now. I think we're still trying to establish, okay, it feels like Levi Wentz is good for like one big play every game at this point for KU. It's almost like a Marquez Valdez can't lean in a certain way, except it feels like with like less drops. But Wence, it feels like, yeah, he's good for like a big play every game. And then Henderson has kind of been the go-to target after Pickett was the go-to target in the first game before he suffered an
Starting point is 00:12:12 injury. But it's like, okay, who's the next guy? Like, Sean Hanukkah had a big game against Missouri, but right now it feels like they're still trying to kind of establish that consistent second target game in and game out, second and third target game in and game out. And so does the continued progression, we've continued to see more snaps from Bryson Canty is Cam Pickett just a little bit healthier? Can they find that other guy in this game against the Cincinnati past defense that hasn't been great so far this season. But if you're unable to get open or shake free, then that's going to be a huge advantage for them if they can turn something that's been a bit of a weakness this year into at least a net
Starting point is 00:12:44 neutral. So Jalen's got to be on his game, especially too if Cincinnati's defensive line is coming at him. He's going to have to make guys miss in the backfield. I also look at five carries last week in the West Virginia game. Obviously, you didn't need them to, you know, run a ton with the score and situation how it was. This game, you might need them to run more. And there's going to be a little more on the legs for KU against Cincinnati. Defensive side of the ball for KU. we're going to go with the two linebackers. We're just going to double down, Bengali, Kamara, and Trey Lathen. We talked a lot in the preview episode yesterday about Cincinnati liking to throw the football
Starting point is 00:13:16 over the middle of the field, that over that middle third of the field, Brendan Sorsby, over 50% of his pass attempts this year and last year have come over the middle third of the field. So that's going to test your linebackers. That's going to test your safeties. And with KU, some of the safeties a little bit beat up. We probably could have taken. I mean, Lerick Rawls is off to go.
Starting point is 00:13:36 great start this season and he's somebody who'll come up and hit you so he would have been a good pick uh taylor davis kind of playing through an injury he would have been a good pick devon die coming back in the second half he's had a good start to the season um but you look at it and i think the linebackers we've talked a lot about this being a much improved unit and that they have a really good linebacking core right now this is the game that i think it's going to test it the most now i guess you could say the missouri game and you know especially in hindsight and what ended up happening but i don't know that almost felt like more of a test for the defensive backs, especially because it was Bengali Kamar's first game coming back from the injury
Starting point is 00:14:11 and he was playing through the injury in that one to where it feels just a little bit different. And like John John Kamara is coming off a game in which he gets suspended for targeting. It just felt like, I don't know, like given that it's now had a little more time to settle, Joseph Sip is back to. It feels like this is what you brought the linebackers for. A game like this, a team who has a running quarterback, a team who wants to throw over the middle of the field,
Starting point is 00:14:32 the team who wants to establish the run. this is where KU's linebacker additions, the investment they made to bring in guys like Lathen and Kamara, is where you hope it comes through and helps lead you to a win like this. So, you know, the combined 44 tackles and two and a half sacks and three pass deflections and basically two turnovers created between the two of them, they need to be on their game in this one.
Starting point is 00:14:52 So far they have been on their game this season, but they're going to play a pivotal role in the results on Saturday. All right, moving to the Cincinnati side of the field, their offense, Brendan Sorsby is their quarterback, 70% on the year, 12 total touchdowns and one interception over 10 yards per pass, eight yards per rush. He has been super efficient. No, do you keep in mind, 15 of 15 against Northwestern State, like one of the worst teams in
Starting point is 00:15:14 the FCS that boosts the numbers. Braskey game, really good running, not good passing. Bowling Green game, he was able to throw very well against the bowling green defense. So what exactly is he going to look like this year? But he's a dual threat quarterback. It'll be very interesting to see how Kansas handles him. It won't be the last dual threat quarterback they play. this season. And I think it's a little bit of how does Kansas handle him and what exactly is
Starting point is 00:15:38 the real Brendan Sorsby after some different performances for him so far this season. One of the guys he's going to be thrown to is another player to watch. I thought about picking, you know, Tawi Walker, they're good running back. But Jeff Caldwell, because this is the guy who actually played Kansas last year. You might remember the name. Jeff Caldwell was the top receiver for Lindenwood, the FCS team that Kansas played a season ago. They actually held him in check. But that was with Kobe Bryant and Mello Dotson. Now you got some younger corners out there. And Caldwell is off to a great start since transferring into Cincinnati, nine catches, 172 yards, and a touchdown. He can be a big play receiver. And for a younger secondary for
Starting point is 00:16:16 KU, can you avoid giving up that big play? Can you slow down Caldwell? I think that's going to be a really good matchup on the outside. Defensive side of the ball for Cincinnati, Jake Golda, he's one of the linebackers for the Bearcats. He's been a really productive player so far. 28 tackles, two sacks, he's got a 75 PFF grade, and he has a team high, six pressures. This is a team who plays three-down linemen, kind of similar to Iowa State in terms of how they defend and will bring different guys, and he's a linebacker who will come up in blitz and will play a lot of different roles for the Cincinnati defense. He's a good player, and somebody KU is going to have to be aware of at all times on the office side of the ball.
Starting point is 00:16:55 And then the other guy is Trayvon Gola Callard. He is a safety at the back end, 17 tackles, one pass deflection. 77 pro football focus grade, including 77 in coverage. So he's done a really good job in coverage so far this season. That becomes important with a potential matchup against either a slot receiver or one of KU's tight ends, which we know they like to get involved, but also safety that'll come up and hit you and get involved in the running game. And that can be so important, especially as KU likes to run these outside runs, a lot of times you do wind up with opportunities where it's, hey, it's the running back on the linebacker, it's the running back on the safety for which guy is going to kind of win that play, and is the running back going to break the tackle and
Starting point is 00:17:32 pick up five more extra yards? Or is the safety going to make the tackle in the open field and limit it to, you know, a short gain for one of the teams? So he becomes very important. As far as our player matchups, we're going to go for the Kansas offensive side of the ball. Enrique Cruz, KU's starting right tackle against Micah Coleman, the edge for Cincinnati. So don't look now. Cruz is KU's second highest rated starting offensive linemen. according to pro football focus he's got a 74.8 grade so despite being one of the guys who was in you know that big competition he's been one of ku's most consistent linemen to this point and you look at coleman um he's their highest rated on pro football focused for qualified defense alignment
Starting point is 00:18:12 uh 72.9 grade now again with corleone with his status up in the air realistically if he plays that's probably the match up there with him against baines or him against foster in the middle but Coleman's a good player too. And we talked a lot about the importance of the outside running games to get into the outside, cruise on him. That'll be an important matchup and should be a good one for both teams. And then at the other end, we're going to go with another tackle versus an edge. We're going to go with Joe Cotton, who is the left tackle for Cincinnati against Dean Miller.
Starting point is 00:18:41 And I guess you could say slash Leroy Harris for KU at the edge position. Miller's coming off his best game of the season so far this year. Started the year a little banged up and feels like he's back in the flow of things. Leroy Harris has got off to a great start so far this year. A little more quiet game against West Virginia, but he's been a really nice addition for Kansas to this point. Cotton is Cincinnati's highest rated starting offense alignment on pro football focus. He has a 77 grade, including 80 and pass block.
Starting point is 00:19:09 So that is strength on strength. And again, whenever you have strength on strength, if it ends up being just kind of neutralized and one guy wins sometimes, another guy wins another, that's kind of what you expect. But if one guy ends up winning a majority of the, the reps in a strength-on-strength, that becomes a huge difference because then one team's normal strength is no longer that, and it's really hard to win in a lot of ways that way. All right, let's finish up here with a little fan duel Friday.
Starting point is 00:19:36 What do we think about the spreads and player props and more? This is Locked on Jayhawks. And today's episode of the show is brought to you by DoorDash. It is almost the weekend. Time to look back in Crown this week's MVP on Who Delivered, powered by DoorDash. Just like you can win every Saturday with DoorDash streaks, saving more every time you order. These players delivered when it mattered most. Let's break it down.
Starting point is 00:20:00 We're going to go with Trey Lathen playing against his former team West Virginia last weekend, gets his first interception of the year for KU, has a big game, has a sack, has some tackles in there as well. And again, just getting that interception against his former team, really cool moment for Trey Lathen in helping lead Kansas to a blowout victory. And it just feels like he's had such a great start to the season. He's been such a constant on the defense for KU. I mean, if you were ranking the top 10 players for KU so far, heck, I don't know, maybe the top five.
Starting point is 00:20:28 Like, he's probably on those lists. And just like Trey Lathen delivered for the Jayhawks, DoorDash has delivered for your Saturday. So with DoorDash streaks, you save every Saturday, you order, stack it up all season. You could save up to $250, including $100 in DoorDash credits. Order this Saturday. Keep the streak alive.
Starting point is 00:20:44 Fuel your game day only with DoorDash. Terms applied promo period through November 18th. Today's episode is also brought to you by five-hour energy. Caffeine just got a flavor upgrade. Five-hour energy shots deliver tasty caffeine in 17 bold flavors. Each two-ounce shot packs the caffeine of a premium 12-ounce cup of coffee plus B vitamins and nutrients with zero sugar added and zero crashes. What I love most is honestly how portable they are and you think about like going to a sports game, for instance. You might need to rehydrate at some point, right?
Starting point is 00:21:18 you're going to drive home after you had a beverage or two during the game and you're just looking to, you know, kind of rehydrate or get the energy up or, you know, maybe you're tired, maybe you got up super early and you've been tailgating. You got there five in the morning and, you know, for an 11 a.m. game and then you're leaving and you're hitting that nap time. Well, boom, you just stock it in your pocket. You're good to go. Take it in the third quarter. You're ready to go and you got to leave. So enough with the boring flavorless caffeine. It's time to give your caffeine a flavor upgrade with five-hour energy shots.
Starting point is 00:21:47 get the favorites you love or be bold and try something new in store and online five hour energy com or amazon today thanks for joining us on locked on jocx thanks for making it your first listen every day and take it every day as catch in each and every episode of the show don't forget you check out locked on college football for your second listen every day as well our time for our fan duel friday first of all the line on this one k u is minus four and a half but what's interesting so the line like open opened at like five and a half. It went down to three and a half. Now it went up to like five and a half. As of me recording it, it's at five and a half. Who knows, it's probably going to
Starting point is 00:22:26 change again based on how much this has been a roller coaster. But something I find very interesting. Earlier this week when it was at five and a half, as of like Tuesday or Wednesday, it was KU minus five and a half. But the money line on Kansas was like minus 190, 195, somewhere in that range off the top of my head. Now the spread has gone down, which implies that people are picking Cincinnati to get it from five and a half to four and a half. However, the money line's gone up. Kansas is now minus 2.10 on the money line. I could be wrong with that, but I could have sworn the money lines shifted in favor of
Starting point is 00:22:58 Kansas being in the bed there. So I find that very interesting. But also the over under has continued to go up. I think at one point is like 53 and a half, 54 and a half. Now it's 57 and a half on the over under. This is not a spread that I'm going to touch, to be completely honest. I just, I don't have a great feel for what the Cincinnati team is. is you could convince me they're like going to be a seven or a eight win team.
Starting point is 00:23:18 You could convince me they're going to be a five or six win team. I don't really know. I don't think we have a huge sample size to fully know and we're not going to know until the end of this. And also the fact they're coming off a buy makes it more difficult for Kansas. So I want nothing to do with that. I would be interested in taking the under. 57 and a half seems like a lot.
Starting point is 00:23:34 And the fact that you have, I think what I think are pretty two solid defenses, I think are two teams who want to run the football that keeps the clock moving a little bit more. Even though Cincinnati hasn't been the best past defense, it is a past defense that gives up a lot of completions. So it's two in the clock, right? Not a lot of incompletions, but they're given up short completions. So they're not giving up the explosive plays that kill you when you bet, you know, the under and it ends up hitting the over. So I actually do really like the under in this game. Also for what it's worth, KU off a win, which they are last three years, they are 11 and 9 against the spread, though they're 0 and 2 this year. They are 14 and 7 the last three years against the spread
Starting point is 00:24:12 at home. So that's good. Cincinnati, meanwhile, just one and four against the spread off a buy since 2022. So I've talked a lot about the buy week this week. Hasn't actually helped Cincinnati that much since 2022. They're also five and nine against the spread on the road. So those would actually be favorable for KU. My favorite KU prop bet, you can get Jalen Daniels over 34 and a half rushing yards right now over on Fandual. And Jalen is somebody who, again, I mean, if this ends up being a favorable game for Kansas, then probably goes under because they're not going to want to have to run him the football. You look at Fresham State game, 47 rush yards, the Missouri game 25, but that takes into account that didn't he lose 25 yards on the fumble?
Starting point is 00:24:50 So realistically, that would have been over 69 against West Virginia. And that was on five carries. I think he's going to carry the ball more than five times in this game. So I guess if you get sacked like three times, that's how you wind up under because that counts against you. But I do like that number for Kansas there. If we're doing a prop parlay, you can just do like kind of a Jalen Daniels one, 200 plus passing yards, one plus passing touchdown, 25 plus rushing yards, and then just add in a Leishon Williams rush TD. That gets you to plus 286. If you want to juice it even more, you can get two pass touchdowns instead of the one,
Starting point is 00:25:23 and then 30 rushing yards instead of the 25 to go with the 200 passing yards and the Leishon Williams touchdown, and that pays a juiced up plus 426. And then our favorite other bet in college football this week, I don't know, I guess I'm all on the unders this week. Like I said, I like the KU of Cincinnati under. We'll see if that ends up hitting or not. Again, the fact that I don't have a great read on Cincinnati, maybe I'm totally wrong on that. But Rice, Navy, under 45 and a half, rice, if you haven't been paying attention to them, they're kind of a fun team now.
Starting point is 00:25:54 They run triple option. And what typically happens when we get these Service Academy games between Navy and Army or Air Force, we get the under. So 45 and a half, I certainly like that. Ohio State, Washington. I like the under there, too, at 52.5. Ohio State is one of the best defenses in the country. You're playing on the road, though, with a freshman quarterback starting for the road on the first time in college football.
Starting point is 00:26:15 You know, does the offense not look great? Could this be a lower scoring game? So, yeah, I guess I'm a man of the under this week in college football. All right, that'll do it for this episode of Lockdown Jayhawks. You can find our show anywhere you get your podcast, including on our YouTube page where you can like and subscribe to the show. And we'll see you next time for another edition of L.O.J. We'll have that Taylin Kinney bonus episode coming at you.
Starting point is 00:26:36 We'll have a recap of the. KU Cincinnati game later on Saturday. Sunday will break down whatever happens with the tail and kidney decision. So plenty more coming at you right here with Locked on Jayhawks.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.