Locked On Jayhawks - Daily Podcast On Kansas Jayhawks Football & Basketball - STARS CLASH: Kansas vs Texas Tech | Can Darryn Peterson, Christian Anderson or JT Toppin DOMINATE?

Starting point is 00:00:00 Quick turnaround for KU after the BYU win, Texas Tech in Lubbock. We've got some of the best players in the Big 12 between J.T. Topin, Christian Anderson. Well, Darren Peterson, play for KU. We break it all down on today's episode of the show. You are Locked on Jayhawks, your daily podcast on the Kansas Jayhawks. Part of the Locked on Podcast Network, your team every day. What's going on, Derek Johnson, with another edition of Locked on Jayhawks. Thanks for making it your first listen every day.

Starting point is 00:00:34 and thank you to every day. There's catching each and every show. Thank for making locked on the number one sports podcast network. On today's episode, we preview Kansas and Texas Tech in Lubbock. We're going to get into Texas Tech scouting report, players to watch for both teams, keys for a Kansas win and more. And we are brought to you today by Mazda. We put that same drive into every detail,

Starting point is 00:00:57 wins defined the moment, putting in the work that defines you. Stay tuned for the highlights. And this week's moving the game forward. There's more to a Mazda. because there's more to you. So KU taking on Texas Tech on a little big Monday, big 12 action. And this is the second game of what is a really brutal five-game stretch for KU. That started with the BYU game Saturday, continues into this one.

Starting point is 00:01:21 Obviously, a bit of a reprieve on Saturday. You would think you should be able to take care of business against Utah at home. And then two tough ones the following week when you're home against Arizona and at Iowa State. And we kind of said coming into it, like, could you at least go three and two in that five-game stretch? Like that would put you on at least kind of par and on pace with everything you were trying to do. And so beating BYU was huge because, you know, continued your winning streak. It gave you another, you know, quad one top tier victory. It showed some of what the best potential of yourself could be.

Starting point is 00:02:01 But at the end of the day, momentum is only as good as your next game. So winning a game like this would go a long ways. If I said go three and two and the five, if you beat BYU and at Texas Tech in the first two, all of a sudden then you start recalibrating it and going, man, can you go four and one in this five game stretch, right? Now, it's going to be a challenge for a couple of reasons. One, Texas Tech is a good opponent, obviously. But the other part of this is just from a standpoint of trying to replicate the same energy that you had on Saturday and replicate that on a quick turnaround on Monday.

Starting point is 00:02:33 it's just hard, man. It's just really kind of hard. I forget, what was the former coach that said this? But it was basically like there's going to be like three games every year where you're going to beat, you know, your opponent no matter what. There's going to be three games every year where the opponent is going to play so well that they're going to beat you. And then the games in between are where things are really, you know,

Starting point is 00:02:56 defined as special or however you're going to do that season. And this is one of those opportunities where it's like, I can't imagine KU is going to put up 90 points. I can't imagine KU is going to shoot 57% from the floor, 50 from three again. Can you find a way to win this one on the road against a good opponent, right? And when you look at it, like, if Kansas wins this game, this is a chance to feel like, okay, KU is one of the top tier teams in league. I think right now, I don't know, you might honestly only have Arizona on a tier to themselves,

Starting point is 00:03:24 and that would be a fair discussion to have Arizona on tier one all by themselves. But at the very least, if you're getting into that next conversation, And you have a lot of other good schools that are in the competition for that. And do you want to rise? Do you want to be the cream of the crop there? Right. And if you can win this game and win against Arizona at home, the following home game, you're going to start talking yourself into the path for this team to win a Big 12 title,

Starting point is 00:03:51 even after starting one and two and Big 12 play. Now, those are two gigantic steps to get to that point. You'd have to win a Texas Tech and beat Arizona at home. nobody's beaten Arizona this season, but the point is the opportunity is at least in front of you. Now, for Texas Tech, it's kind of opposite. Like from the Kansas perspective, you wonder about can they get up to that same level of energy again on such a short turnaround? For Texas Tech, it's the opposite. It's a chance to bounce back after they lost on the road and were upset at UCF to where they're going to be super hyped up, right?

Starting point is 00:04:24 Big game for them at home against a big opponent and Blue Blood program. and they're coming off a loss trying to get back their winning ways and trying to hold serve at home. Like if you're just looking at this from the, I don't know, the intangibles, I guess, coming into this game. Like, it's not something that necessarily favors KU, which would make it that much more impressive if you can pull out a win here, right? And so the other part of this, too, when you're looking at the importance of this, and I talked about this a little. The idea that you're only playing Texas Tech once. You're only playing BYU once, at least in the regular season. And the same is true for Texas Tech.

Starting point is 00:05:01 And I've talked a little bit about the importance for KU getting a top four seed in the Big 12 tournament. This year, more than a lot of other years for KU. I mean, one, if you're a top four seed in the Big 12, the best conference in college basketball, that's just a good thing in general because that means you're a really good team. But it also is super important for this Kansas team because it's not the deepest team. You know, Bill Self is playing seven-man rotations, basically, sometime in the eighth guy. Um, Darren Peterson has had his whole situation, right? Do you really want to be playing five games in five days, four games and four days in Kansas

Starting point is 00:05:36 city potentially during the big 12th tournament? Wouldn't you rather get that double by and limit the amount of games you have to play knowing all of these things that we know about this Kansas team in this year? So getting into top four seed becomes super important. And with teams who are going to be up there challenging you, BYU, one of them, Texas Tech, one of them. If you're only playing them twice, that means that one game represents. that's the tiebreaker if you have the same record.

Starting point is 00:05:59 So the BYU game, huge to get that win because if you, if you both end up 11 and 7 or 12 and 6 in Big 12 play, and it's a tiebreaker between just you two schools and you beat BYU, boom, you get the better seed. And that could, you know, come into play in a very important way. But the same comes true for this one with Texas Tech. Now, some of the storylines coming into this one, I think you could make the argument you have potentially three of the five best

Starting point is 00:06:22 players in the Big 12 in this game. I mean, who knows? I mean, I don't know how many guys. he was going to get on, like, for instance, the first team, All Big 12, which was 10 guys but that's saying, you know, top 10 guys, there's just so many good players in the conference that it's easy to be like, okay, well, Melvin Council should be in discussion and Trey White should be in discussion and Florida Padunga should be in discussion, but like all those guys aren't going to get on there, right? And there's no guarantee any of them get on there because there's

Starting point is 00:06:45 so many good players that, like, some of them could be second team or third team or something like that. And with Aaron Peterson even, like, I don't even know, like his candidacy, if it's limited minutes, like, you know, we know he's the best player in the big, 12, but like from an award standpoint, it's based on what you earned. And if it's less games and less minutes, you know, where does he wind up on those lists? I still would think he'll be a first team all big 12 player. But like if you're just drafting, if you're just saying who are the best players in

Starting point is 00:07:10 the big 12th, like a power ranking, Christian Anderson would would certainly be in that conversation for me. J.T. Topin was the big 12 player the year last year. So he's obviously in the conversation. Darren Peterson, obviously in the conversation. And that's before you get to some of the other good players on both teams. So potentially three of the, you know, you.

Starting point is 00:07:26 could make a real argument it is the top three it just depends where you'd want to put again some of these other really good guys like arizona is so loaded with players that um i probably wouldn't say the top three uh so you look at some arizona guys you could throw a j david oban's or jack richie saunders afterward he did iowa state's got there's so many good players in the victor houston like i don't need to go on and on but point being like these are three of the best three that are certainly in the top ten right um now we do know that darren peterson not listed on the availability report, which leans to the idea that he's going to play in this game. And this will be it self said on a recent podcast with Jeff Goodman.

Starting point is 00:08:01 He mentioned that him, I guess, cramping up and having the issues at the end of BYU game, he said, I think this time it could be because of conditioning because he turned his ankle on Tuesday. Auto practice on Thursday. As far as getting winded, he practiced on Thursday, kind of getting gassed a little bit. So I wonder if that could be part of it. Now, obviously, I know there's been a lot going on on social media. about what's going on with, I don't know, the athletic department and his agent and yada,

Starting point is 00:08:30 yada, yada. So I don't know. I'm not going to get into the trying to figure out what's going on right now. All I know is he's not on the availability report. So I guess I'm expecting him to be ready to go. Am I expecting him to? Okay. So I haven't seen this.

Starting point is 00:08:44 By the way, I know a lot of like KU fans like bet on Darren Peterson over points versus BYU. And obviously that didn't work out from a standpoint of what happened in the second half. If you can find a Darren Peterson just first half over and then take a second half under, you would be rich this year. So I don't know, maybe we need to see if Fandu will put that up for us. But anyway, it sounds like he's good to go. El Marco Jackson listed is questionable, though. So that becomes an important part.

Starting point is 00:09:12 Like, Amarco's been playing really well. And El Marco is one of your better defenders on the team to where not potentially having him in a game where you are playing a team with like Christian Anderson and a team that is one of the best three-point shooting teams in the country. that would not be great to not have Elmarco in this specific matchup for KU. And then, I don't know, the opportunity that KORZario would need to get a little bit of minutes. Maybe Jaden Dawson sees a big minute load. And it could wind up being the Jaden Dawson game potentially, right? But final thing I'll mention here.

Starting point is 00:09:42 I just found this kind of interesting. KU comes in losing two straight to tech. They lost at home last year, year before they got pounded in Lubbock. That's actually the first time that KU has ever lost two straight games to Texas Tech. So now tech can make you three in a row. Let's see if Kansas can do something about it. All right. Let's get to our Texas Tech scouting report.

Starting point is 00:09:59 Kansas Keys to the game, all that and more. This is Locked on Jayhawks. This episode of the show is brought to you by Fanduals sportsbook. It is the last call for football on Fandual. One final Sunday, one last kickoff, the final chance to get in on the action before the NFL season officially comes to a close. This is Super Bowl 60 and Fan Duel's making sure you're right in the middle of it with a special offer just in time for the biggest game of the year.

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Starting point is 00:11:11 It's at Lockdownpodcast.com slash everydayer, locked on podcast.com slash everydayer. All right. So Texas, Texas Scouting report here. The Red Raiders come in at 16 and 5 on the season, 6 and 2 in Big 12 play. Top wins, they beat Duke on neutral court. It was a crazy comeback for them. And obviously, KU lost the Duke on neutral court, albeit without Darren Peterson,

Starting point is 00:11:35 but that should get your attention, right? That's Duke only loss of the season. They beat BYU at home, something Kansas did. Tech beat them by 13. So really for both teams, kind of a similar game, it's just that Tech was able to close it better. And then here's a big win. They beat Houston at home recently.

Starting point is 00:11:50 So the losses at Illinois, which Illinois is one of the best teams in the country, so not bad they're neutral to Purdue. They got kind of slaughtered. That wasn't a great one, but Purdue still a good team. Neutral Arkansas, good team there, has been hot and cold at Houston. Again, good team there. And then the last game, kind of the worst, so to speak, of those losses. But as we've kind of said, like UCF beat Kansas too.

Starting point is 00:12:10 UCF is clearly at this point like a tournament team and like a good team. So really not a bad loss at all. They have not lost at home either, which becomes important because you're playing them in Lubbock. Now, Ken Palmett has him 21st in the country. They're the ninth best offense, 44th best defense. Bart Torvik has him 19th, overall with the number eight offense, number 37 defense.

Starting point is 00:12:29 I'll say this. I think this is a team that's built more for, and we'll see how it plays out, the tournament potentially than the regular season. It's not the deepest team in the world, but the starters and some of the top line talent are as good as any team in the country to where it would not surprise me if this is like, you know, what if they do get a five or 60 in the NCAA tournament and make an elite eight? Like, no, that would not surprise me at all, especially with, you know, some experience of making the elite eight last year.

Starting point is 00:12:53 You look at some of the strengths and weaknesses of this team, four strengths. start here, efficient shooting. They're in the 79th percentile and two point percentage shooting. And one of the big reasons why, they're in the 98th percentile for in the paint, but not at the rim. So kind of that floater range outside of four and a half feet, but still in the paint. They're also in the 75th percentile mid range too. So maybe not as good at the rim, but the other areas from two point range, they've been good. And here's the big one. The three point shooting is elite for Texas Tech. They're in the 97th percentile in three point. point percentage on a 90th percentile three point attempt rate. They shoot them a lot and they

Starting point is 00:13:31 may come in an even higher rate. And it's from all over the court. Like, it's not just like one area they're excellent at. They're in the 93rd percentile for above the break threes. They're in the 99th percentile for corner threes. And you total it all up. You end up with a team who is in the 88th percent on true shooting percentage, 94th percentile, if we're just looking at during conference play. and then they're in the 94th percentile on the season, an effective field goal percentage, up to the 97th percentile, if we're just looking at conference play.

Starting point is 00:14:01 So elite efficient shooting team. Strength number two here is rebounding. They have a 79th percentile defensive rebound rate during conference play, so they're cleaning the defensive glass, and they're also getting offensive rebounds, 80th percentile offensive rebound rate on the season, which helps them have a 76th percentile second chance points per game mark.

Starting point is 00:14:20 So they rebound well on both ends. they don't turn the ball over offensively. So, I mean, when you're shooting a lot of threes, typically you're not going to turn it over as much, right? It's easier to make a pass on the perimeter than it is trying to fit something on the interior of the arc. And so they're in the 87th percentile and turnover rate offensively. And then the transition defense has been very good for them.

Starting point is 00:14:41 They're in the 91st percentile in terms of fast break points per game given up. They're only given up 7.3 fast break points per game. So those are their four biggest strengths. The four weaknesses, well, they're not the, biggest team in the world. So J.T. Toppins got good size, 6.9, 2.30. He's a good athlete, too. Um, but even then that's not, you know, an overwhelming size. Their backup five is six foot eight. And then, uh, you know, a lot of the guys they're playing at the four are more wing types, right? So overall, they're 245th on Ken Palm in

Starting point is 00:15:10 average height. And I think the result here is notable. Now, obviously it gives them more floor spacing and shooting when they're on the floor. So that's the advantage they get out of it. The disadvantage is right here. They're in the 22nd, percentile. So not very good during conference play in field goal attempt percentage at the rim. So they have not been able to get a lot of shots at the rim, even with having the big 12th player of the year on the block, right? And in that same time frame, they're just in the 35th percentile for shooting percentage at the rim. So they're not getting a ton of shots off at the rim and they're not making a ton of shots at the rim. And I think a big reason why, again,

Starting point is 00:15:48 those are during conference play, is because of the lack of size down the way. low. They also don't get to the free throw line, which maybe it comes a little bit into play there. They're only the 12th percentile in free throw attempt rate, which if you're only looking at conference only games, they're in the second percentile, so one of the worst marks in the country. Defensively has not been a strength for this team either. If we're just looking at Big 12 only games, they're in the 41st percentile in conference play in defensive rating, so you're below average there. And they're not really forcing like chaos. They're 32nd percentile in steel rate, which is down to just the fourth percentile in conference-only play.

Starting point is 00:16:24 The rim protection has not been there, which that probably goes back to the size thing, right? They're in the 37th percentile in block rate, which is down to the 25th percentile in conference play. They're just in the 25th percentile in at the rim field goal percentage defense, which is down to the seventh percentile in conference-only play. So, like, all these numbers I'm going through. Like, these are not good defensive numbers for them.

Starting point is 00:16:47 So, you know, good transition defense. but the half-court defense actually has not been very good. And then the lack of fast-break scoring has been something as well. Like as much of an offense as they have with the shooting ability, you would think they would really be able to push. Not a team who plays super fast. Grant McHasland had some of the slowest teams when he was at North Texas. At Texas Tech, he sped it up a little bit from there,

Starting point is 00:17:08 but they've still been on kind of the lower half of tempo ratings. But they're just in the 27th percentile in fast break points per game, which if you're only looking at conference-only numbers, it's down to the 16th percentile there. So there's four strengths and four weaknesses. Players to watch for both teams for KU. Let's start with Flory Bedunga. 14 and a half points per game,

Starting point is 00:17:28 8.9 rebounds per game, 2.7 blocks per game. He's shooting 67% from the floor. There cannot be a more diverse, you know, menu of who Florey is guarding over this two-game sample than what he is going to do. He went from being basically the primary guard on AJ DeBonza to now he's probably, going to be the primary guard on JT. Topin. Now, maybe KU says, hey, we're going to put

Starting point is 00:17:52 Tiller on Topin and we'll put Flory on one of those wings who are going to try to space. I don't know, that's entirely possible. But there's going to be times where he's matched up on Topin. Topin eight KU for lunch last year in Allen Fieldhouse. Some of that was on Hunter, some of those on Flory. We'll see what Flory can bring to the table. It's going to be important that he holds his own so that KU doesn't have to double on the inside and leave open some of those Texas tech shooters. Bryson Tiller is my other player to watch here. Nine points per game, 5.8 rebounds, 1.3 blocks per game, 48% from the field. But over his last two games, he has looked like a new man. 37 points, 14 rebounds total over the last two games against

Starting point is 00:18:31 Kansas State and then BYU. Can he continue to play that way? He's going to have a size advantage down there for KU as the four against more of wing types. Can you, right, because like can you pound the glass. Can you score on the post? Can you score on the block? Can you score in the high post in all those areas? That would be huge for KU if, you know, Tiller has another big game. And then for Texas Tech, their players to watch JT. Toppin, 22.4 points, 10.9 rebounds per game, 1.7 blocks per game on 57% shooting. He is one of the best players in the country. I mean, he is just a double double machine. He's got a great hook shot on the inside. He

Starting point is 00:19:10 I mean, we saw it in on field house. Like I said, just a very, very good player. Then Christian Anderson is like, Topin is the consistent force that's constantly putting up huge numbers. Anderson is the guy that can like go bonkers and just like win a team a game. 19.6 points, 7.5 assists, 44% from three. This is one of the best

Starting point is 00:19:35 duos of two players in the conference and in the country. And both players are not to be trifled with. And Kansas needs to do a good job with scouting, important defending, kind of both guys. Let's get to our keys of the game for KU. We'll also get to our player matchup, Hawks the Soar, all that and more. Next, this is Lock on Jayhawks.

Starting point is 00:19:56 This episode of the show is brought to you by Mazda, moving the game forward. For those who show there's more to the score than what's on screen. You know, I really thought that, in the K-U-B-Y-U game, the moment where Darren Peterson, I mean, there were a lot of different moments of Darren Peterson in the game, right? You think about like some of the threes he made. You think about, like, I don't know, the jump ball situation, I think we talked about on a previous episode, but the play where I think it was 13 to 7 at the time, he gets a steal on a pass intended for

Starting point is 00:20:27 AJ DeBonza, beats A.J. DeBonza to the ball in kind of a race between the two guys, grabs it, gives it to somebody else, eventually it winds up back in his hands, and then he, like, basically shoots a pull-up mid-range jumper over DeBoncine's like kind of fading back and just perfectly rainbows into the hoop. That felt like a bit of a tone setter as well and a bit of a moment that was going to, you know, positively boost KU for the right, right? And these kind of remind us of what it really takes to raise the bar, that extra work off the court, dialing in every detail, given it that extra fire, that grit and never quit attitude. We put the same passion in every model, highlights make the real, what it took to get there, makes it count.

Starting point is 00:21:07 There's more to a Mazda because there's more to you. Thanks again for joining us here on Lockdown Jayhawks. Don't forget to check out the Everydayer Club at Lockdown Podcast.com slash everydayer. All right, keys to the game. Let's start with the KU offense key to the game. Play through the Biggs, right? Even though you're going against J.T. Toppin, your initial thought would be,

Starting point is 00:21:28 oh, well, you know, you're playing against one of the best big men in the country. Do you really want to play through the bigs? Well, Texas Tech isn't the deepest team. They're not the biggest team overall. And here's the thing, like pick and roll to death. So KU is in the 100th percentile in efficiency on Biggs cutting and rolling to the rim, which Pick and Roll is part of that. And they're doing it on high frequency.

Starting point is 00:21:48 So they've been the best team in the country doing it and doing it at high frequency. Texas Tech meanwhile is in the 49th percentile in defending Biggs cutting and rolling to the rim. So that has been a mega strength for KU. That has not been a strength for the Texas Tech defense. Then you look at posting up. KU's in the 80th percentile in efficiency on postups. Well, the Texas Tech defense is in the 44th percentile in defending postups. So both of those are numbers that actually favor KU in a way that they would want to play.

Starting point is 00:22:19 But, you know, playing on the road, trying to get the energy up from where it was a couple of games ago, you got to execute it to be able to have that advantage. The KU defense, I got three kind of keys here because this is where the real challenge is to me, right? Texas Tech is an unbelievable three-point shooting team. So guard the three-point line, right? Tech is shooting almost 38 percent on above the break three. that's up to 41% Big 12 play. They're shooting 47% from three on corner threes this year. This is as elite of a three-point shooting team as you're going to play,

Starting point is 00:22:47 guard the three-point line. And I would just say like guard your man. That sounds like an obvious thing. But like sometimes you can get caught up and I don't know, like I guess man-to-man on ball defense. I guess if I'm trying to be more specific here, because some teams you're playing are going to do more damage off the ball. Some teams are going to do more damage with the ball movement

Starting point is 00:23:04 or the passing or with the post-up inside. Texas Tech is in the 100th percent. in scoring efficiency on dribble jumpers. So this is the best team in the country in scoring off dribble jumpers. The good news is KU is actually in the 89th percentile defensively in the same play. So they've done a good job doing this, but another animal playing Texas Tech. And then the last one here is can KU guard JT Toppin one-on-one? Because if you can't and you have to double, that's where you really get into a lot of trouble

Starting point is 00:23:31 with Texas Tech finding openings from three. Tech is in the 100th percentile in Inside Out game. So they're really good at a throwing the ball inside. There's a double team and we're going to kick it back out. There's an open shooter and they're going to knock down a shot. And that makes them super dangerous. So, you know, for Florey and Tiller, can you handle J.T. Toppin when you're on and one on one and avoid getting in foul trouble, right? I mean, is this even a game we see Paul and Bia come in just from a standpoint of being large and trying to be like, okay, J.T. Topin, just make him shoot over Paul and Bia's seven foot nine wingspan arms, you know, and just say everybody else.

Starting point is 00:24:07 stick on your man. I don't know, maybe. Player matchup here is, we're going to go with Christian Anderson versus Melvin Council. So not only are these two really good players. And we've talked about Anderson and obviously we know Melvin Council, but specifically they've both played well in these splits. So Christian Anderson at home is averaging 21 points, eight assists per game on 45% from three. Those are unbelievable numbers at home. Council on the Rhone has awesome numbers, 17 and a half points per game, a 3.9 assist to turnover ratio on the road with 44% from the field, 38% from 3. So both these players have ramped up their games in these splits. And on top of it,

Starting point is 00:24:46 can counsel do anything to take Anderson out of his game a little bit offensively. You know, if Peterson ends up having to miss time in the second half, can counsel continue to be that big shot taker and maker for KU down the stretch, especially on the road? Like, those are going to be key components of this one. Our hawk to so we're. Texas Tech is in just the 37th percentile in defending dribble jumpers. So they do it a lot themselves, but it hasn't helped them, I guess, in practice on the defensive end. Also, of note, tech allows one of the highest mid-range two attempt frequencies in the country. They also a lot of a lot of floater range twos.

Starting point is 00:25:21 So Melvin Council's leading KU in the floater range twos. It's not on super high efficiency, though the number has gone up as the season's gone on. Peterson is under two per game there, but he's at 55 percent. And he's leading KU in mid-range shots per game while shooting. he's scorching 49% in the mid-range. So I think Darren Peterson is the answer. Like, it's just like every game. Darren Peterson is probably going to look really good when he's on the court.

Starting point is 00:25:42 The question is, can he stay on the floor? And to that notion, if he's having cramping issues two days ago, and now you're having a short turnaround, I feel like the answer to this is like if you're setting the over under on Darren Peterson minutes, it's going to be in the 20s, you know? So I think when he's out there, I think Peterson will look really good, but I don't know the answer to that. So I think we go back to for official Hawk to Sore pick,

Starting point is 00:26:03 I think we go back to that the big cutting and rolling to the rim and the post-ups doing well. I think Flory, as long as you can avoid foul trouble guarding J.T. Toppin is set up to have potentially another double-double. Maybe a game where he has 15 plus points, 10 plus rebounds, and a couple blocks for KU. That'll do it for this episode of Lockdown Jayhawks. You can find a show anywhere you get your podcast, including on our YouTube page where you can like and subscribe to the show. And we'll see you for a postcast for the KU Texas Tech game tomorrow. See you then.

Locked On Jayhawks - Daily Podcast On Kansas Jayhawks Football & Basketball - STARS CLASH: Kansas vs Texas Tech | Can Darryn Peterson, Christian Anderson or JT Toppin DOMINATE?

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