Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - Fan Fiction Friday: Wade Jr., Robert Jr., O'Hearn, and More

Episode Date: December 27, 2024

It's Fan Fiction Friday! Ty and Colby grade a few Mariners trade ideas submitted by listeners, including deals for LaMonte Wade Jr., Luis Robert Jr., and Ryan O'Hearn.Check out our Patreon!Follow the ...show on Twitter: @LO_Mariners | @TyDaneGonzalez | @CPat11Follow the show on Bluesky: @lockedonmariners | @tdg | @mlbcolbySupport Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Rocket MoneyCancel your unwanted subscriptions and reach your financial goals faster with Rocket Money. Go to RocketMoney.com/lockedon today. SelectQuoteGet the right life insurance for YOU, for LESS, at SELECTQUOTE.COM/LOCKEDON.SelectQuote - They Shop. You Save. GametimeDownload the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONMLB for $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply. Download Gametime today. What time is it? Gametime.FanDuelYou can start the season with a big return on FanDuel. New customers can place a FIVE DOLLAR bet and you’ll get started with ONE HUNDRED AND FIFTY DOLLARS in BONUS BETS - if you win your first FIVE DOLLAR BET ! Visit FANDUEL.COM to get started. FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 The Mariners don't want to do anything, so it's fan fiction Friday again. We'll dive into your trades coming up. Colby, hit it. You are Locked-on Mariners. Your daily Seattle Mariners podcast. Part of the Locked-on Podcast Network, your team every day. Ahoy, Sailors, it is Friday, December 27, 2024. This is Tadine Gazzalas and Colby Patnaud for the Lockdown Marries Podcast,
Starting point is 00:00:29 part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. It's Fan Fiction Friday, the show where we grade your Mariners Trade Ideas, the 2080 scale based on creativity, uniqueness, and viability. But before we get into your trades, shout out to our title sponsor today. FanDuel. Hey, the NFL playoffs are almost here, but it's not too late to get in on the regular season action with FanDuel because right now, new customers can finish the season strong with $250 in bonus bets if you win your first $5 bet.
Starting point is 00:00:59 Visit Vandul.com to get started. And, hey, if you want to hear from me and Colby, even more, and help support the show, check out our Patreon. All you have to do to check that out is click the link in the description of this episode. All right. So kicking us off here on Fan Fiction Friday is one of my favorite usernames that we have in our community, Ham Swaggerty-69, as a deal with the San Francisco Giants. The mayor is get Lamont Wade Jr.
Starting point is 00:01:26 And Tom Murphy for Mitch Garber, Troy Taylor, Cheater Martinez. And adds the mayor to save about $4.2 million in this movie. I'm going to trust you on that because I'm too lazy to open up spot track. Figure it all out myself. So, Colby, what do you think? My initial reaction is like, why would the Giants want to do this? Now, Murphy was a disappointment last year, sure. Not as much as Garber.
Starting point is 00:01:58 Both guys have, you know, injury concerns in their past. But Garber's making $12 million. next year. And I believe Murphy's going to make four, if I'm not mistaken. So that's a pretty big gap. And then you have to throw in Lamont Way Jr. Because, you know, the Mariners swapping. Like, Garber for Murphy makes no sense for really either side.
Starting point is 00:02:22 So now you have to throw in Lamontway Jr. Jeter Martinez, the shine's really falling off of him a little bit. Like, he's not as hyped as he used to be. But the Troy Taylor thing is interesting. because essentially what you're asking is, hey, do you guys want to buy Troy Taylor for like $4 million? More or less, because Murphy to Garber, probably a wash in terms of what you can expect from them in 2020, five.
Starting point is 00:02:54 So whatever. But and then you're taking Lamont Wade and he's making $4 million. So, yeah, in a way, this is kind of like Wade for Troy Taylor. And that makes it pretty interesting. So I don't think it would happen. I don't think there's enough in it for the for the giants. But Wade is a rental and he is kind of running out of space in San Francisco. He's being pushed out of that lineup.
Starting point is 00:03:25 They're looking at first space options. Right. So they might just be the team that, you know, is like, look, I mean, we want to get something for him, not nothing. And Taylor is a potential high leverage. But at that point, if you're the Mariners, do you look at this and be like, okay, do we want to save $4 million to get a less athletic Luke Rayleigh? Because Wade shouldn't really face lefties. He really should only play first base.
Starting point is 00:03:49 Like he doesn't even have the ability. Well, he doesn't play the outfield as well as Rayleigh. So it's kind of a weird fit there. So I think you kind of stack all these on top of each other. It's just a really weird kind of like fit. But it's super interesting. Like I'll give you that. it is definitely something that is unique and you know not not an idea that we've talked a lot
Starting point is 00:04:10 about and it is you know you know Jerry circles back and Tom has always been one of his guys so sure maybe just maybe but I just don't I just think there's like enough pieces that are just a little bit off in this entire trade that it's like no but I see what you're going for yeah I'm not mad at this um i i think this deal would be easier to wrap my head around if the mayor's just kicked in the extra four million bucks right but at that point are you trading troy taylor no one year so yeah so i don't know it kind of like in a way you acknowledge the flaws or what appears to be flaws of the deal but then you think about you know like what you just said and then it kind of balances itself out So yeah, you know what?
Starting point is 00:05:00 I'm going to give this a 55. Oh, okay. I don't think it's, I don't think it's necessarily a 60. Because again, there might be some roadblocks you run into here. Yeah, I don't think it's realistic enough to be a 60. Yeah, but, you know, every time I kind of like, like going through my head right now, like just processing the trade, like every time I'm like, I don't know if that works. But actually it kind of does because of this.
Starting point is 00:05:25 And then, but that part doesn't really work. but actually it does kind of because of this, right? So I don't know. Yeah, it's, it's really interesting. This is creative. If we were good podcasters, we would grade everything with like a famous gift.
Starting point is 00:05:40 And this would be that like, now, not, well, maybe lady, you know, like, yeah,
Starting point is 00:05:45 yeah, no, no, no, well, like we would insert that here. Uh, so for that reason,
Starting point is 00:05:50 I'm going to give it like a, uh, it's a 50. Like, it's good. It's good. It's a good way to start. I would say,
Starting point is 00:05:55 yeah, off to a good start. our buddy Isaac Levin has a deal with the Giants as well this one is a lot more ambitious Luis Castillo and Mitch Hanager for Lamont Wade Tyler Fitzgerald
Starting point is 00:06:12 wait for it folks especially if you're only listening on the audio only version of this Robbie Ray they're getting Tyler Fitzgerald for their troubles for downgrading from Castillo to Ray, they're getting Fitzgerald and Wade, but also dumping the salary of Hanager feels a bit ambitious to me.
Starting point is 00:06:40 Yeah. Yeah. Because Wade- The bears are accomplishing a lot here. Right. You know, saving $13 million on top of it as well, by the way, 12 to 13 million bucks. So, uh, and they're getting a D.H slash first base. basement. They're getting an infielder. And I mean, I would say they're downgrading in the rotation. But, you know, if Ravi,
Starting point is 00:07:03 Robbie is healthy, you know, he's more than an adequate replacement for Castillo. So, yeah, it's very ambitious. I just, it's very funny. I just, I don't, I don't think this is real, like real world stuff at all. But again, it is hilarious because the idea that the Mariners would trade Luis Castillo. and like the pitcher they bring to replace them is just Robbie Ray. And obviously Mitch Hanigranor and Robbie Ray, we're already traded for each other once. Like, it's very funny.
Starting point is 00:07:36 And it is creative. I'll give you that, Isaac. But it's going to lose a lot of points for like real world. It's a 45 of us. I'm sorry, Isaac. But I think because of the like the irony of it and all that, I'd give it a 45. Like I'll max it out there.
Starting point is 00:07:55 But it's just so unrealistic. bet it can't be a 50. Yeah, if it wasn't as funny, it would be like 35. It's, it's, the, the irony is not lost on me. And yeah, it makes like just enough sense that you're like, I just, I don't see why the, the giants would do this, especially with how it seems the league is valuing Luis Casio right now. It just doesn't feel very reflective of, of that.
Starting point is 00:08:23 Right. And so, yeah, I mean, like, I don't know. Could you do Castillo for like Wade and Robbie Ray? Yeah, probably. Would the Mariners do that? No. No. No. No. So yeah, the hand. I just don't really know how they value Tyler Fitzgerald. Because like on one hand, he's coming off of what a three win season. He could play multiple positions. But he also did that in, you know, limited time, which like on one hand can be really impressive. On the other, it's like, well, that's kind of a small sample size. And he's 27 years old. Yeah. So is he a late bloomer? Did he just kind of have this? this outlier year? Like, who is Tyler Fitzgerald? Yeah, there's just too many questions surrounding him to be the, uh, the headliner of,
Starting point is 00:09:06 of any kind of trade, uh, with San Francisco, especially for Castillo. So yeah, again, I appreciate the attempt and the, the irony, uh, of it, but, uh, it's just, it's not based in reality. I don't think, uh, who knows, maybe we're wrong. Yeah. Stranger things have happened, but yeah, I'll give it the max grade I possibly could, which is a 45. Yeah, it's just like they're getting weighed. They're getting Fitzgerald. They're addressing the open spot on the rotation, all in the same trade, and they're getting money back too on top of it.
Starting point is 00:09:44 And opening up a roster spot that Mitch Aniger has no business owning. Yeah, it's just, it's too good to be true. Yeah, and honestly, I'm not sure if it's even good. enough to do though. So, like, yeah, there's just a lot of things that Colby has high standards for a Luis Cascio trade. I do. I do because Fitzgerald is, is nothing to me.
Starting point is 00:10:08 He's Jose Caviero, like, okay. I mean, he's better than that. Might be. He might be worse. We don't know. So, yeah, no. All right. All right.
Starting point is 00:10:22 Well, we are going to grade more of your trades here. Just a moment, but first reminder, this episode of the Lockdown Marys podcast is once again brought to you by FanDul. The NFL playoffs are almost here, but it's not too late to get in on the regular season action with FanDuel, America's number one sportsbook, because right now, new customers can finish the season strong with $250 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins. Not only can you bet on who will win the game, but FanDuel also has bets for which players will score a touchdown. How many points each team will score? and so much more. Just visit fanduel.com to join today. That's fanduel.com for your chance at $250 in bonus bets.
Starting point is 00:11:05 Make every moment more with Fandual, an official sportsbook partner of the NFL. And you're listening to the Lockdown Marrars podcast. It is Fan Fiction Friday. We are grading your Mariners trade ideas. Adam has a deal here with White Sox, Luis Robert Jr. and Andrew Vaughn to the Mariners for Las Montes and Tyler Locklear. feels close. Feels pretty close.
Starting point is 00:11:33 Yeah. I mean, like you're trading a theoretically good hitter for a theoretically good prospect in a first base swap and you're basically letting the the socks reset their timeline at first base.
Starting point is 00:11:47 So that part's fine. Now, the salary, Bonn is RB one. So he's actually going to be making some money. Then we know Robert is two and the Mariners aren't, you know, this probably blows their entire budget.
Starting point is 00:12:01 So they'll have to make a move somewhere else, but just, you know, grading the standalone trade. And then you go to the Luis Robert for a Las Montez part, and it's like, we've heard the White Sox specifically say they're looking for not necessarily a package, but they want like a, I don't remember the exact terminology, but it's basically like, like they want one impactful piece rather than like a kind of a bulk deal of prospects. So do they consider Montez an impactful piece?
Starting point is 00:12:31 I mean, certainly not to their 2025 or 2026 teams. They're not going to win those years anyways. But we have seen the White Sox kind of favor guys who are major league ready or major league adjacent. Montes is not that. But Locklear is. So is there kind of this, you know, I don't know, I don't know what you want to call it. Like is there this kind of like this excess value from Locklear that kind of pumps up, you know, Montez's value to the White So maybe.
Starting point is 00:13:01 So yeah, it feels about right. I don't know. Maybe they want Harry Ford instead. Maybe they want Cole Young instead. A little less upside there, but closer to the big leagues. But yeah, because I think, I think Locklear for Vaughn is an overpay from the Mariners side of things. So is there some excess value from that that kind of pushes Montez up to be worth Lock or to be worth Robert? possibly is
Starting point is 00:13:29 feels like it's in the ballpark to me. I would say that this is probably spot on given the things that we've heard about Robert. The things that have been reported, I should say, because that makes it sound like we've personally heard these things. But given the things that have been reported about Robert and his value right now, I feel like this is pretty much in the
Starting point is 00:13:50 ballpark. The thing that I'm hung up on here, and it's kind of a minor thing, I just don't think the Marys would pay $6.4 million for Andrew Vaughn, which is what he's projected by MLB trade rumors. Is he ARB 2 or ARB 1? That sounds like an ARP 2 number to me. Because Vaughn has not been, what's the word?
Starting point is 00:14:12 Good. Yeah. In his major league career. So, yeah. So I don't know if Vaughn actually helps because if you're the mariner- Yeah, he's Arb-2. Yeah, if you're the Mariners and you look at Vaughn,
Starting point is 00:14:25 you're like I mean isn't there a pretty good chance we just get that from locklear this year like bond is like what a career 100 wRC plus guy he's never been worth a full win in a season despite having a couple full years under his belt like yeah yeah that might kill the deal right there but you know in essence then at that point it's it's montes and locklear for bond so I don't know do the white socks have to take some money they have to send some money the mayor's way to make this trade work probably but either way I would say this is probably like in the ballpark for what Robert would cost and again like Ty said we haven't heard we have I haven't heard anything about Robert and the Mariners since the summer one of the things I did hear this summer I think we both heard this was that the the White Sox sat on Locklear for a couple weeks in Tacoma they did a lot of groundwork throughout the Mariners organization yes the summer but yeah locklear was one of of the guys that I personally heard they were scouting along with Emerson Hancock funny enough right
Starting point is 00:15:29 right so um oh my god maybe maybe you'll get your wish colby praise be poor emerson Hancock yeah i i always hear like he's like the nicest guy in the organization and you just yeah that marine layer which i am apparently a part of by the way uh that's the propaganda that they're sharing over there they're like oh he's so nice apparently see feeling you and they can have you cool yeah he's so nice it's like cool he should get a nice fastball then I'll care so yeah the longer the mariners don't make trades the podcast should start making trades with one another like I should trade you for like tj for like a couple for a couple weeks of tj and like a second round pick or something uh first of all I am worth way more than
Starting point is 00:16:17 tj that to me oh that's what you think and as we and as we know I am the GM of lockdown Meriters and the president of podcast operations, the Popo. No. So, yeah. Overall, I'd give this trade like 50,
Starting point is 00:16:39 because I feel like it's like in the ballpark and there's still some minor details. You have to hammer out on both sides, but yeah, it feels about, about right. All right. So we are going to grade more of your trades here and just a moment. But first, a reminder, this episode of the Lockdown
Starting point is 00:16:55 Ameris podcast is brought to you by game time. So I used to live in New Mexico and down in New Mexico there are zero pro sports teams and a lot of bands and artists I listen to skip going there more often than not. So when I moved to Toronto where there's a baseball team, a basketball team, a hockey team, even a soccer team and there's great music being played every night in the city. I was right in my element. When I want to catch a ball game or my wife and I want to see a band, I always get my tickets through game time. And that was the case well before Game Time sponsored our network and before I even join the network because it is truly the best ticketing service out there hands down. I truly, truly believe that.
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Starting point is 00:18:29 more of your trades to go over here this one comes from quinn quinn has a deal with the orioles rhino herne for ben williamson dwell joseph and brock rodent that feels fine if the oriels want prospects that is sure although i don't know what williamson is going to give the orioles that they don't already have in spades. And he's kind of the headliner in this deal. So O'Hern, you get him for one year. He's on a regular contract. You get him for one year.
Starting point is 00:19:05 You know, you're really buying the bat here. There's not really any glove, so to speak. He's bad at first base. And he's a strong side platoon. Right. So it's like, do you want, would you trade all that for a, other Luke Rayleigh without the athleticism. Well, do you want Luke Rayleigh to be playing in the outfield and D-Hing primarily?
Starting point is 00:19:31 If the answer is yes, then O'Hern makes sense. No, I want, right. If I'm required O'Hern, I want him to be the T.H. And then again, I'm doing another platoon at first base and D.H. Because, again, O'Hern is a strong-side platoon player. Yeah. So O'Hern's not a name we've mentioned. The, you know, the, the, the, the,
Starting point is 00:19:51 advanced metrics, which I don't like calling with percentage and advanced metrics, but whatever. They were pretty good last year. The year before, they were pretty average. They were okay. But yeah, like, I think O'Harn's a nice target. I think he needs to come pretty cheap because it's only a year. And again, he is a flawed player. And so I do think the price is relatively cheap, though, for a guy like O'Hern here.
Starting point is 00:20:19 I just have no issue with them doing this. No, I just, to me, I look at it and I say, okay, what's the incentive for Baltimore to do this? It really isn't one. So. I mean, if they want to move on from O'Hur and get some assets back, sure. But that's really it. That's the only angle here. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:20:45 So I'm going to say, I don't know, 45. like 50 like yeah yeah I'm filling in 45 but I'm not really moved by it yeah no like I'm not jacked if they make this trade but I don't hate it if they make it um valuation feels about right although again I'm not 100% sure Baltimore has any interest in Williamson as the prize but still feels about right I mean he could be their Ramona rius replacement maybe all right last trade of the day comes from Daisy and the dingo their deal consists
Starting point is 00:21:25 of Carlos Correa and David Festa going to Seattle from Minnesota for Luis Castillo Victor Robles Harry Ford yeah in terms of realism this is a zero in terms of like creativity
Starting point is 00:21:40 like it's like a 60 65 sure so like yeah I don't think the twins are going to trade Festa. They really like him. They probably plan on sticking him in the rotation
Starting point is 00:21:56 if they're able to move Pablo Lopez, which they've apparently been shopping. Again, the twins are a team that will not spend money. Like they did, they hit their max. And last year, in fact, the only move they made last winter was to trade Jorge Polanco. So they didn't do anything this winter or this summer, despite, you know, being in the playoff hunt and, you know, actually holding a playoff spot.
Starting point is 00:22:22 They did sign Carlos Santana last, last, obviously. Oh, that's right. That's right. And they had to trade Jorge Polanco to be able to afford that. So, yeah, you know, it's, and then again, this summer, despite holding, you know, pretty firmly a playoff spot at the time, all they did was acquire Trevor, Trevor Richards. Because they couldn't afford to do anything else. They couldn't afford to take on salary. And thus far, everything we've heard from this year is that the twins are much more likely
Starting point is 00:22:48 to try and shed salary this winter than there to add it and like the mariners they are a team that have done nothing of significance so uh the twins are definitely looking to shed payroll and because of that you probably get a better deal than this because korea while he's still pretty good hurt a lot making 37 million dollars a year uh so yeah yeah he's he's not waving his no tree clause for you though no i i highly doubt it and honestly there's a pretty decent chance cassio doesn't wave is no trade clause for minnesota yeah like why go from seattle to minnesota when minnesota is even like in a worse position than you are in seattle in terms of like financial restrictions and all that and you get to pitch in seattle which is a better place to pitch than minnesota yeah so it just seems
Starting point is 00:23:38 like there's too many roadblocks here there's too many speed bumps also i don't like the idea of the Mariners having to try and replace Victor Robles on top of adding like the $15 million or whatever they still owe Correa for this year. So yeah, 40. It's out there. But it is certainly not players we've talked about. We've talked about Castillo. We've talked about, but we haven't talked about trading Victor Robles.
Starting point is 00:24:12 We have talked about acquiring like a young, unproven major league starter to replace Castillo. But I just, honestly, I think both teams look at this deal and they just say no. So both sides are going to say no to your trade. It's probably at best like a 40. Yeah. It's fun, but that's about it. It's about all that has going for it. So 40.
Starting point is 00:24:42 So that's going to do it for us. you so much for joining us here on the Lockdown Marriss podcast. For Colby Pat Nod, I'm Tiding Gonzalez. Be sure to give us a follow on Twitter at L0 underscore Marrars. You can follow me at Tiding Gonzalez and Colby at CPAT-11. We're also on Blue Sky. You can follow me at TDG, Colby at MLB Colby, and the show at Lockdown Merrars. Have yourself a beautiful baseball day and a beautiful baseball weekend, and we'll see you on Monday.
Starting point is 00:25:04 Peace.

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