Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - Have the Mariners SOLVED Their Biggest Issue?!

Episode Date: September 17, 2024

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Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 So the Mariners offense has actually been one of the best in baseball for nearly a month. And the front office's most recent offensive acquisitions have actually worked out pretty well. So what does this tell us? We'll discuss coming up here on the Lockdown Marries podcast. Colby, hit it. You are Locked on Mariners. Your daily Seattle Mariners podcast. Part of the Locked on podcast network, your team every day.
Starting point is 00:00:31 Ahoy, sailors. It is Tuesday, September 17th, 2024. This is Tuding Gazelle and Colby Patnode for the Lockdown Marriss podcast. Part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. On today's show, we'll be diving into the offensive numbers for the mayor since Dan Wilson and Edgar Martinez took over. We'll also look at the team's most recent offensive acquisitions. And if their success indicates the front office has actually found something in its assessment of hitters as of late. Finally, the Yankees are coming to town and what will be a make or break series with regards to the mayor's chances.
Starting point is 00:01:05 of making one last run at the postseason. We'll talk about that a little later on. But before we do, shout out to our title sponsor today. FanDuel. Now through September 22nd, all FanDual customers can bet $5 and get a three-week free trial of NFL Sunday ticket from YouTube and YouTube TV. Visit FanDuel.com to get started. And if you want to hear from me and Colby even more and help support the show, check out our Patreon. The link is in the description.
Starting point is 00:01:31 You can sign up for a free seven-day trial. So do you guys want to have your minds blown? Since Dan Wilson took over as Mariners manager and Edgar Martinez took over as the hitting coach on August 23rd, the Mariners folks rank 10th and batting average. They rank third and on-base percentage. 10th in slugging. Third in WRC plus, third in F-4. they have scored the six most runs in baseball they still have one of the higher
Starting point is 00:02:07 strikeout rates in baseball the ninth highest strikeout rate in baseball at 23.9% but that's definitely an improvement from where they were at and they also have the second highest walk rate in the sport at 11% so Colby have we been owned by Dan Wilson and Edgar Martinez owned in what way I mean, we've spent this whole season talking about coaching and how it has little to no impact on on what's going on the field.
Starting point is 00:02:38 You know, they're not going up and taking those at bats for the guys. It's completely utterly 100% on the players. But this feels really on the nose. Now, it's only been 22 games, but it's been really on the nose. So when the players struggle, it's the coach's fault. Right. When the players are good, the players get no credit for that. it's the coaches.
Starting point is 00:03:00 Just to make sure we're consistent here. It's always the coaches. Right. That's the line we're taking, right? Leo Rodriguez sucks. It's all about whether or not Scott Service or Dan Wilson was good that night. That's the takeaway, huh? These guys are controlling these guys with the controller in the dugout or they're giving them to hit the home run sign and they're just not doing that enough.
Starting point is 00:03:21 Like, yeah. Here's the problem with the- I mean, Scott service just put on the swing and miss sign way too much. Sure. That's what happened. problem with all this is you can't prove it. You can't. Like one way or the other, you can't prove that Edgar Martinez coming in is the reason
Starting point is 00:03:36 why the offense took off. It's causation versus correlation, right? They're not necessarily, you know, they're not necessarily related. They're not necessarily not related. But we saw a bump like this happened when they fired Brand Brown. Right. We saw them go on a two, three week stretch where they were really good offense. And the strikeouts went down and they were scoring runs.
Starting point is 00:03:57 then they fell back right to where they were. So, you know, is it possible that Edgar Martinez made this huge, massive difference? I guess it's possible, but you can't prove it. Like, you can prove it anecdotally if you want, but you can't really prove it with any kind of consistency. It is, you can't prove it scientifically. It's all anecdotal. So, you know, it does sound like that. Edgar has kind of been like a complete 180 over what they,
Starting point is 00:04:30 they had been preteen for the first, you know, 100 some odd games of this season. But remember last year, the offense was pretty darn good for an entire season inconsistent. But they put up, they were the seventh highest WRC plus and baseball, 12th and runs. And that was with not Edgar Martinez.
Starting point is 00:04:47 And they still had strikeout issues. So it's not like this offense has been the worst thing we've ever seen. And then Edgar comes along and it's magically fixed. It hasn't been the case. because it was good last year. It was good at stretches this year. And we saw a very similar thing happen when they just got a new voice when Brant Brown left and it was just Jared DeHard and I don't know.
Starting point is 00:05:08 To be fair, to be fair, and I just looked up the numbers. It wasn't to the levels of extremes that we're seeing right now. The Mariners in their 22 games after firing Brant Brown, they posted the six lowest average in the league. they had a let's see here they were 15th and on base percentage they were
Starting point is 00:05:34 16th in slugging they were 12th in WRC plus at least they were the 11th most valuable offense in baseball I wonder if there's a difference between that 22 game stretch and this 22 game stretch hmm
Starting point is 00:05:50 oh could it be Randy Rosa Rana and Justin Turner and Victor Robles could that possibly have something to do with it. So, yeah, just this idea that we know for a fact that Edgar Martinez is the reason this is turned around or Dan Wilson is the reason this is turned around. You don't know it for a fact. You can say it anecdotally, but we don't know for sure that this isn't all Edgar
Starting point is 00:06:16 thing because like I just mentioned, yeah, you know what else has happened in the last three weeks? Victor Robles has turned into Mike Trout again and Randy Rosa Rana has gone on a hot streak and Justin Turner's been really good. And Julio Rodriguez has been fantastic. So like it's really easy to sit here and be like, oh, it's Edgar, it's Edgar, it's Edgar. But it's like, okay, but these three or four guys have all been playing like MVP candidates, not all stars.
Starting point is 00:06:42 Like, so you're telling me that the difference between Brant Brown and and Edgar Martinez is 70 WRC plus points for Julio. 80. Really? That's what you're telling me. I'm not buying that. You can't prove that. it. This is post hoc, ergo proctor hoc. You can't just say, well, this happened after this happened, so it was caused by that. It doesn't work. It's hardly ever true. I'm not saying
Starting point is 00:07:09 that Eggers doesn't have any impact. And would I like Edgar back as a hitting coach next year? Sure, if he wants to be. Again, we've talked about this. This is his call, 100%. So yeah, and obviously anecdotally, it's really easy to point to this and say, and we've heard stories from the players at this point. So even if it is just, you know, a placebo effect, whatever, placebo effects work. Like they, they have value to them. And we'll see how it, how it finishes out these last 12 games. But for the last 22 games, the mayor's offense has not been good by the Mariners
Starting point is 00:07:40 standards. It has not been good by, you know, our lower standards after watching this team strike out for the last, you know, three years, basically at a historic rate. they've been objectively a very good offense for the last three weeks. And oh, by the way, they're doing it was still a slightly elevated strikeout rate, which circles all the way back to what we've been saying for a long time. You can strike out and still score runs in this league. You just really can't strike out 30% of the time and you can't stack a bunch of these strikeout guys together in a row
Starting point is 00:08:10 and expect to score runs. And when you look at what the Marys have done recently, you look at the hot streaks and they're on, Victor Robles doesn't strike out of time. Julio has cut his strikeouts down significantly. Turner doesn't strike out a ton Randy Rosarina doesn't strike out a ton Luke Rayley has cut his strikeout rate pretty significantly so
Starting point is 00:08:27 you know you still Dylan Moore's playing less so he's strikeout rate isn't in the lineup as much you're replacing Dylan more with guys like JP and Leo Rebos even though now those guys have been very good they don't strike out right but this is the team you said they're ninth
Starting point is 00:08:41 in strikeouts the strikeout percentage but fourth in WRC plus fifth in WRC plus whatever it is it's just about balance right It's about having a balanced approach at the play at balanced offense where, yeah, you can have guys in your line to push strike out. You can have guys who are, you know, all or nothing guys. You could have guys who are patient.
Starting point is 00:08:59 You can have guys who are aggressive. And I think that's what Eggers tapped into here is just the idea that like, hey, let's, what works for you? What works for your hitter? What is your approach? What is your game plan? And what it sounds like is that Brent Brown came in trying to develop kind of a universal method of hitting the Mariners way type of thing. like we're all going to have this same approach we're all going to have the same game plan and eggers come in and be like no just be yourself and let's find out what you do well so it's kind of like
Starting point is 00:09:29 the peak carroll thing right what do you do best right let's tap into that learn the learners right so um the baroners since dan wilson and egger took over uh here's the runs they've scored by game 6, 3, 4, 5, 2, 6, 9, 4, 2, 4, 2, 16, 6, 6, 6, 0, that game in St. Louis, 10, 3, 5, 4, 5, 5, 7. That's a lot of 4-plus run games, right? And with this pitching staff is what we talked about all off-season, right? But this pitching staff, if you can just find a way to score 3 to 4 runs consistently, you are going to win a lot of games. and even with the mayor's pitching not being nearly as good as it was in the first half they're winning a lot of those games where they score four runs they're winning four to three they're winning five to four so i think 22 games they've scored four more four runs or more 16 times i believe was my count yesterday and i believe they won 12 of those games right so so look there isn't a one-size fits all answer to this and this that statement is also going to apply to
Starting point is 00:10:43 what we're going to be talking about in the next segment as well. Some of this, yeah, I think you can absolutely point to Edgar having a positive impact on a lot of these guys, like Julio, for example. I think Hager has absolutely definitively had a positive impact on Julio. And I think some of Julio's success as of late can be attributed to Edgar, but it also should be attributed to Julio, right? some of the success should be attributed to just the presence of randy a rose arena and Justin Turner who by the way we're going to be talking about quite a bit here in the next segment the offense is just better in terms of talent than it was earlier on in the year and some of the guys who you were hoping were going to carry this thing that didn't for most
Starting point is 00:11:32 of the year they're finally starting to do that right there's finally starting to hit like the back of their baseball cards indicate. So we'll see if they can keep it going tonight against the Yankees. All right. So let's talk about the most recent offensive acquisitions the Marrists have made and how most of them have actually been pretty good. Does that say anything about the front office? We'll talk about that in just a moment.
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Starting point is 00:12:55 Price picks, run your game. And you're listening to the Locked on Mariner's podcast. You can catch all the action between the Mariners and the Yankees tonight on the Mariner's hometown broadcast with Sirius via the SXM app. All you have to do to find that is search the word Mariners. So obviously been a lot of discourse about this front office. What we know is that Jerry Depoto is going to return as Mariners president of baseball operations in 2025. I would assume that Justin Hollander is also going to return as Mariners general manager.
Starting point is 00:13:31 So this front office is more or less going to be pretty much intact for at least one more season. We've shared a lot of our thoughts and opinion. on that, both on this show and on the Patreon. So you guys know how we feel about that overall. What we're going to be talking about today, I just want to say this first and foremost, isn't to contradict the narrative around the front office, right? That they have struggled to identify and bring in offensive talent
Starting point is 00:14:04 to supplement what they already have here to take this thing over the top, right? There is still the Mitch Garvers of the world, the Hori Polanco's, the Luis Arias's. We know about the failed bets on Dominic Canzon, Thai France, trading Gino away, all that stuff, right? You know, going back beyond this past off season, Teoska Hernandez and Jesse Winker, not living up to expectations. Colt Wong being a disaster, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera, all those things are still relevant, still very much true. However, in the calendar year of 2024, the merits have acquired. six noteworthy major league bats. Mostly via trade, all but one via trade.
Starting point is 00:14:52 The exception to that being Victor Robles, of course, signing a free agent deal in June. Here's what those six guys have done in a Mariners uniform since obviously being acquired. Justin Turner, 248, 347, 376. That's a 115 WRC. Randy Rosarena, 245, 360, 409, it's a 130 WRC plus. Victor Robles, obviously been incredible.
Starting point is 00:15:22 33, 401, 475, that's a 158 WRC plus. Victor Robles has been insane. Jorge Polanco hasn't worked out. 202, 292, 338, that's an 87 WRC plus. It's bad. It's a real big disappointment there. Luke Rayleigh, though, 244, 322, 222. 464 that's a 128 WRC plus then Mitch Hanager is the other guy he was obviously acquired on the same day as Rayleigh 209 285 339 that's an 85 WRC plus obviously there's also a lot of discourse around bringing in hitters that actually hit at T-Mobile Park right well Turner 126 WRC plus at T-Mobile Park a Roserana 168 WRC plus at T-Mobile Park a Roserana 168 WRC plus at T-Mobile
Starting point is 00:16:14 Park. Victor Robles, 196. WRC plus at T-Mobile Park. Jorge Polanco, 89. WRC plus. He's the outlier here because, hey, guess what? Mitch Hanager actually been really good at T-Mobile Park this year somehow.
Starting point is 00:16:30 242-321-4-14. That's a 122 WRC plus for Mitch. Look for a role player for a guy that's in Hanigur's role. That is more than serviceable. I had no clue that he was that good at T-Mobile Park this year until I looked this up. And then Luke Rayleigh, of course, 257, 333, 535. It's a 155 WRC plus. So to me, all this is to say, this is the proof of concept. Because look, whether you think the front office or this current regime should be in the front office or not, doesn't really matter at this point. We know that
Starting point is 00:17:09 they're coming back for at least one year. And you want the merits to be good, right? Like the hope here is like they can figure it out, right? If you're a Marreras fan, that's what you want. Is that Jerry DePoto and Justin Hollery, they figure this out. Team is good, right? You'd rather the Mariners be good and you'd be wrong about Topoto and Hollander, then you'd be right about Topoto and Hollander and the team sucks. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:17:28 All right. So we're not having a discourse right now about whether or not they should be here. And this is not to say like, hey, look, actually they're really great at this. But this is proof of concept that they can at least bring in offensive talent. that works right their last we'll call it four out of their last six offensive acquisitions have been pretty good to just straight up home runs right i mean victor robles is a grand slam right he's like a five run home run right so does this say anything to you about the front office outside of like hey like they can do it like here it is here's the proof they can do it
Starting point is 00:18:11 I mean, as somebody who already said they can do it and provided proof a few weeks ago, that they have built offenses that are good enough at this ballpark to win games. Like, yeah, I think they can do it. What's interesting about this is that is it possible? And this is where the big question actually lies is, did they change some kind of process? Did they change their process to identify guys who get hit at Team Mobile Park? or is this just the same process, but these are good results? Like, you know what? Like are they, did they find something in each of these guys that made them think this guy could hit a T-Mobile Park and it's, and it's worked? Or is it just like, no, just like these players and they came into team and they happened to be able to hit a T-Mobile Park or they've happened to hit a T-Mobile Park this year.
Starting point is 00:18:58 Right. Now, when you look at the guy like, like all of their in-season acquisitions have worked out, right? Really is the outlier when it comes to the off season. He's the only one that actually panned out from the off. season. So at that point, that's, that's probably not a guy that you look at like where, where it applies to, did they change anything? But maybe the in season acquisitions do apply to that. I think we need to put a little star next to Mitch Hanager's name because Mitch Hanager wasn't acquired to be more than he is. Like that's a salary dump, right? You're swapping. And you would have even more of a contractual headache. Right. If you still had Robbie Ray. Right. So like him not being, you know, as good, not being an everyday player type.
Starting point is 00:19:41 Like, we knew that wasn't, that, that wasn't their goal when they acquired them. They were trying to save money in the future and in the present. That was the goal of that one. So that one, kind of tough to place too much blame on. Jorge Polanco, big swing and a miss. Undoubtedly, Mitch Garver, big swing and a miss. Hanager, whatever. He's been exactly what you thought he was going to be.
Starting point is 00:20:01 So that one's fine. Rayleigh, like you said, he's been the big hit of the offseason. So, you know, if you just want to look at the three guys they brought, in in season that have played major roles for this team where we're supposed to. Turner, Randy, and Robles, what do they have in common? Like, is there something in their profiles that they have in common? Is there something in their approach that they have in common? Is it because the only thing I can see, really, is that they're all right-handed.
Starting point is 00:20:33 And as hard as it is to hit in Team Mobile Park, it's supposed to be harder for right-handed bats. and it is left-handed bats and these guys are all right-handed they've all hit not only very well overall but they've hit very well at team mobile park so is it a you know is it a bat speed thing is it a uh you know what is the correlation between these three guys and if there isn't any does that mean it's just the mariners got a little bit lucky that they found these three guys and they all happen to hit or is it something that we can't see is it is something that we can't quantify but that the mariners have identified like i think we
Starting point is 00:21:08 what we all want the answer to be is that the Mariners have figured something out in regards to what type of player, what type of hitter can't perform at Team Mobile Park and they're going to go into this offseason and attack players who fit that mold. I think that's what we all wanted to be. Is it? We're not going to know until next year, probably around this time. Right. Because we just have too small of a sample size right now.
Starting point is 00:21:29 The only thing I can figure is that Randy Rosarena already proven that he could hit a Team Mobile Park. He had good numbers here. Luke really had phenomenal numbers. here, albeit in like 11 plate appearances. Turner, pretty good numbers here. So, I mean, Hanager, obviously we knew. Hanager could hit at Team Mobile Park.
Starting point is 00:21:47 He did his, he has his entire career. You know, Mitch Garver, ironically, over 33 at Team Mobile Park when he signed. So like, you know, it's Jorge Polanco. I'm not sure what his numbers were at Team Mobile Park. I don't recall them off the top of my head. But in Robles, I don't know if Robles ever played at Team Mobile Park, to be honest with you.
Starting point is 00:22:06 So yeah, when you're specifically looking at like guys who can hit at team mobile park, why had they hit on so many of these guys this year, you know, four or five of the six are hitting at team mobile park. Is that an outlier? Is that an accident or is that something that they've identified and they can now repeatedly identify and find guys who even with small sample sizes at team mobile park, we feel like this guy can hit here. We know what we're looking for now.
Starting point is 00:22:35 That's certainly what you're hoping for. Yeah, no, that's absolutely the hope here because, again, it's irrelevant whether or not you think they should be here or not. They're going to be here for another year, right? And we all want the barriers to be good, right? So have they actually figured something out? I think that's the real big key here. Or is it just coincidence? It very well may be coincidence.
Starting point is 00:22:57 It very well may be that they just kind of lucked into this thing, right? I mean, like, Randy Rosarana is not lucking into the thing. We know who Randy a Roserina is and how good he can be, right? like that's the guy that you were trying to acquire but rady of rosarana is in the same light as like horay polanco when you acquired him and teoscar annandez when you acquired him and jesse winker etc right and those guys didn't pan out but randy has right so is that still just kind of coincidence that you just kind of finally hit on one of those guys that has historically been good as track record it's just it finally somehow magically worked out you know and and jesson turner's just been consistently a professional hitter that his bat should play fairly well at t mobile park Victor Robles is the one though I mean he's kind of just displayed like the perfect ideal hitting profile for T-Mobile Park
Starting point is 00:23:46 right you just kind of slap the ball around you can hit the occasional dinger you'll put the ball in the gap you'll still bases like he is kind of the perfect player for T-Mobile Park so yeah I believe you comped his style to Gene Seguera and Sigura was a very productive player here yeah so now
Starting point is 00:24:05 the now the now the real issue is go find jean sigurras like how many are out there yeah you know i mean and so and by the way real fast on the robless note you know who robles give a tremendous amount of credit to scott service scott service and jared de hart yeah they found some de hart found something with his foot with his front was his front leg changed it and he started hit right away scott said you be yourself blah blah blah blah blah blah and he did and he acted that way and he gave a tremendous amount of credit to both of those guys, and they're no longer here. Right.
Starting point is 00:24:40 Same thing happened with Josh Rojas last year. Now, Rojas got off to a hot start this year and then fell off a cliff. Hopefully Robles isn't bound to suffer the same fate. Yeah. I think, I think, you know, Robles expecting some regression from Robles is more than fair, considering he's been the best hitter on the planet for the last month. If you're not expecting regression from Robles,
Starting point is 00:25:04 he should go and place a large bet on him to be the MVP next year because that's what he's been for the last month. Yeah. So, but, but yeah, so you look at these numbers, it does seem like maybe, hopefully they have found something. And at the very least,
Starting point is 00:25:21 it is proof that it is possible for this front office to find guys that actually work. Both within the constructs of this organization and specifically at Team All. will park. So that's all to say, hopefully that just continues. Hopefully, hopefully, fingers crossed. Whoever else they bring in over the course of this upcoming off season work out in a similar way to how Turner or Rosarina of Robles and Rayleigh have worked out. And that's it.
Starting point is 00:25:55 That's the whole point of this conversation, really. All right. So the Yankees are coming to town, starting a three game set tonight. And we are going to talk about this one in just a moment. But first, a reminder, this episode of the Locktime Era's podcast is brought to you by Fandul. You've heard me talk a lot about Fanduel, which of course is America's number one sportsbook. Well, I have something a little different for you today. Now through September 22nd, all Fandul customers can bet $5 and get a three-week free trial of NFL Sunday ticket from YouTube and YouTube TV.
Starting point is 00:26:29 Then with a YouTube TV-based plan, you'll be able to watch every regular season Sunday after afternoon out of market game. All you need is a Google account and a current form of payment and you can cancel any time. Just visit fanduil.com slash locked on. That's LOC, KD, ON, to download America's number one sportsbook. And you're listening to the Lockdown Merris podcast. Once again, you can catch all the action between the Marys and the Yankees tonight on the Marriss hometown broadcast with Sirius XM via the SXM app. All you have to do to find that is search the word mariners. All right. The New York Yankees. one of the best teams in baseball are coming to town at the most an opportune time for the
Starting point is 00:27:11 merrists to play one of the best teams in baseball. But they got to do it in order to keep their season alive. They're going to be wearing the city connects again tonight, seeing if that magic still applies. It's going to be Brian Wu tonight with his 238 ERA coming off of a perfect game bid against the San Diego Padres. against Luis Heel, who dominated the Samarans team the last time they saw him in New York a long time ago. When was that? May? Last time they saw the Yankees? Yeah, it's been a while since they saw the Yankees.
Starting point is 00:27:44 Then tomorrow it's going to be Bryce Miller against Nestor Cortez and Thursday, Logan Gilbert against Clark Schmidt. So Marin is going to see quite a few good pitchers in the series of the Yankees pitching staff has been able to essentially, rival the mayor is starting rotation. But at the very least, they're not going to see Garrett Cole. So that is very, very good news here. All right. So thoughts on the
Starting point is 00:28:12 series, Colby. We're going to be doing a postgame show after the Thursday game, by the way, for you guys watching or listening. But yeah, thoughts on the series. You can't get swept. And winning one out of three really only doesn't kill you.
Starting point is 00:28:31 You're probably also cooked. Yeah. Yeah. But it might not if Minnesota gets swept by the Guardians, but even then, like now you have nine games to make up three. You know, it's not looking great. So it does feel like... Eventually, you're just going to run out of time.
Starting point is 00:28:47 Right. Right. Time is the enemy right now. So yeah, it feels like you have to win this series. Now, is there a magical timeline out there where you lose this series and you actually gain to gain a game on everybody. And you're just like, oh, well, cool, that worked out. Sure.
Starting point is 00:29:07 I mean, it exists out there. It's just, I mean, probably not. What makes you think we're on that magical timeline as opposed to the one we've been on for this entire season? Right, right. So you probably have to win this series. I mean, obviously, basically you're at a point now where you really kind of need to win. You have 12 games left.
Starting point is 00:29:26 You have to win like nine of them. So if you lose two games to, you know, the game. Yankees, then you only have, you only have one loss to play with for the rest of the year and blah, blah, blah. So it's a find a way to win, you know, pitching matchups pretty even, I would say. And so it's going to come down to for the Mariners, how do you handle Juan Soto? How do you handle Aaron Judge? Like, that's going to be the whole series right there. You know, and obviously the Yankees have more than that.
Starting point is 00:29:54 But those are the two guys that you're afraid of. And then Volpe, you know, having a nice year. He's out today. but, you know, it is still, it's the best, best offense in baseball. Like, they score runs like crazy. They have two, probably two of the top, what, three, four MVP guys in the American league hitting back to back in this lineup. You got to find a way to limit the damage, because at some point, they're going to hurt you.
Starting point is 00:30:20 You have to find a way to limit that damage. And, you know, hopefully you don't do anything stupid. Like, hey, Juan Soto hit a double. We're up two to nothing in the eighth. Aaron Judge is up. Let's pitch to Aaron Judge. Like, let's not. Let's walk Aaron Judge.
Starting point is 00:30:34 You make Giancarlo Stanton or Anthony Rizzo beat you. And if they do, fine, whatever, you live with it. But yeah, it's obviously, you know, they split the series, the four game set in New York. They needed a crazy comeback win against Clay Holmes to do it. But, you know, this is the lineup that's been hitting a little bit better. This is a lot better. This is a pitching staff that, weirdly enough, it feels like you're throwing your two best guys at them. with Wu and Miller the way that those guys are going versus the rest of the rotation right now.
Starting point is 00:31:04 So, yeah, it's going to be a tough night tonight against Teal. Cortez, never really know with him. He's kind of a hot and cold type of guy. And then Clark Schmidt, we'll see the, I believe the Mariners had a pretty good game plan against Schmidt last time they faced him in New York. So, you know, we'll see what they can do. I think if you find a way to sweep this series, I think your worst. starting to have a real conversation about, hey, can they actually pull this off? They win the series.
Starting point is 00:31:35 I think they stay alive. We'll see what Minnesota, Detroit, and Houston all do over the next three days as well. If they lose this series, it probably is over officially at that point. If you get swept, it's curtains. Yeah. Yeah, a lot on the line. You got 12 games left. I really think you have to win nine of them to give yourself a shot.
Starting point is 00:31:57 Yeah, and look, this can also serve as a pretty good test for them if they are going to make the playoffs because, I mean, you might run into this team again here in a few weeks if you are able to make it into October. So this is kind of a just good way to kind of measure where you're at right now. And like, is the offensive success real? Because you're probably not going to run into a better pitching staff than this one, the rest of the way. and right now you are throwing your three best guys with the way that you know with how much Kirby has struggled as of late so I would say like Gilbert Miller and Wu are your three best guys at the moment so you're you're coming at the Yankees with everything you got so we'll we'll see how this goes um yeah you got to win at least two
Starting point is 00:32:50 though like to me if you lose if you win anything less than that it's over. Like now again, yeah, twins could get swept, Astros could get swept, yada, yada, yada, yada, yada, yada. But time is the enemy here. And even if you make it out of the series with just a win or none, but you're still mathematically in it, there's just, it's so unlikely. It's just so, so unlikely that you're going to win to make up that ground in a matter of nine games. So you got to, you got to do something special here over the next three games. Like truly something special here, something unexpected. Like you probably have to win.
Starting point is 00:33:33 I mean, you have to win at least two. Honestly, you might have to sweep in order for this thing to be realistic. So we'll see. Shock the world. How about that? Let's do it. Why not? All right.
Starting point is 00:33:48 That's going to do it for our show. But before we get out of here, a reminder that Locked on has launched the first ever national sports 24-7 streaming channel on YouTube. And now it's also available on Amazon Fire TV and the free Fire TV channels app. Lockdown Sports Today is here for you 24-7 covering the top sports stories of the day with the local experts of Locked-on. Plus our national shows covering every league. Find Locked-on sports today now available on the free Fire TV channels app. Thank you so much for joining us here on the Lockdown Merrers podcast for Colby Pat Note.
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