Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - How Does J.P. Crawford's Return Impact Dylan Moore and the Rest of the Mariners Lineup?

Episode Date: May 21, 2024

Ty and Colby discuss the Mariners' lineup decisions now that J.P. Crawford has returned from the injured list, catch up on some injuries down in the minors, and preview the second game of Seattle's se...ries with the Yankees.Ask us questions!Follow the show on Twitter: @LO_Mariners | @TyDaneGonzalez | @CPat11 Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!DoorDashGet all your Mother’s Day gifts, all in one place and get 50% off your next order, up to $15 when you spend $15+ on your next flower, convenience, grocery, or retail order now with code LOCKEDONMLB. That's LOCKEDONMLB. Order using DoorDash today. Terms apply. Monopoly GO!Get in the game and join your friends. Click HERE to Download MONOPOLY GO! now free on The App Store or Google Play. PrizePicksGo to PrizePicks.com/lockedonmlb and use code lockedonmlb for a first deposit match up to $100! eBay MotorsFrom brakes to exhaust kits and beyond, eBay Motors has over 122 million parts to keep your ride-or-die alive. With all the parts you need at the prices you want, it’s easy to bring home that big win. Keep your ride-or-die alive at EbayMotors.com. Eligible items only. Exclusions apply. eBay Guaranteed Fit only available to US customers.GametimeDownload the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONMLB for $20 off your first purchase. FanDuelFanDuel, America’s Number One Sportsbook. Right now, NEW customers get ONE HUNDRED AND FIFTY DOLLARS in BONUS BETS with any winning GUARANTEED That’s A HUNDRED AND FIFTY BUCKS – win or lose! Visit FanDuel.com/LOCKEDON to get started. FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 With a comeback win in the bag and their full opening day group of position players back in tow, how will the Marys build out their lineup over these next few games? We'll talk about that and more coming up here on the Lockdown Maras podcast. Colby, hit it. You are Locked on Mariners. Your daily Seattle Mariners podcast. Part of the Locked on podcast network. Your team every day.
Starting point is 00:00:27 Ahoy, Sailors. It is Tuesday, May 21st, 2024. This is Tiding Azales and Colby Patnode for the Lockdown Marys podcast. part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. On the show today, we're going to talk more about the Mariners lineup decisions now that J.P. Crawford is officially back. We're also going to catch up on some injury news and get you set for game two between the Yankees and Mariners tonight. But before we do that, shout out to our title sponsor today, prize picks. It's the easiest and most exciting way to play daily fantasy
Starting point is 00:00:58 sports. Go to prizepix.com slash locked on MLB and use the promo code locked on MLB. That's all lowercase for a first deposit match up to $100. And if you want to hear from me and Colby even more and help support the show, check out our Patreon. The link is in the description and you can sign up for a free seven-day trial. Colby, before the mayors went on this road trip, we talked a little bit about the lineup because we were expecting both J.P. Crawford, Dom Canzone to get back.
Starting point is 00:01:24 Got Canzone back when we thought we were going to, but J.P's return got delayed a little bit because of that hit by pitch in Tacoma. But we saw him return last night. he was activated and then pinch hit late in that comeback win against the Yankees. So I do that J.P. is going to be in the lineup tonight. He probably is by the time that you're watching this. We're recording this around 11. It's 1157 Pacific time right now.
Starting point is 00:01:53 So lineups probably out by the time you're watching this. I think Jorge Polanco will be in the lineup. But I've also thought that the last couple of games as well, because apparently he's been available off of the bench, especially last night, Scott Service had said that he was available off the bench. We didn't see him. But I would assume,
Starting point is 00:02:12 I mean, it's been, what, seven, eight days since he suffered that hamstring injury. So assuming that everyone's healthy and ready to go now, how do you think they're going to deploy this lineup? I would assume that they're going to slot JP back into the leadoff spot,
Starting point is 00:02:29 simply because Rojas is like two for his last, 30. So the, you know, the wheels on Rojas, you know, are starting to fall off. And that's to be expected. We knew he wasn't going to hit 370. So I think, you know, JP comes back at a pretty good time. So I imagine it will be JP Julio still hitting one and two like they originally planned. And then that's where things get a bit sticky, right? I would think Cal Raleigh probably is going to hit three tonight. Personally, it probably should be Luke Rayleigh. But if you want to hit Luke Rayleigh 4 and Raleigh 3, that's fine. I think I'd rather have Cal hit 4 just to, you know,
Starting point is 00:03:09 Rayleigh's more likely to get on base. So I'd probably go Rayleigh and then Cal, but I think it'll be Cal and then Rayleigh. And then, you know, things get even nicer, who hits 5. Could be Polanco, particularly against a right-handed pitcher. Could be Polanco. Could be, I mean, if he's in the lineup, Hanigur,
Starting point is 00:03:29 although I don't think he will be against most righties anymore. So I think Polanco probably hits five. And then six, you know, are you going Rojas hitting six? Maybe that might be a pretty good idea. You know, it takes some of the pressure off. And he's still one of your better hitters despite, you know, being in a slump right now. So him hitting sixth. And then you go, you know, probably Canzone or France, Canzone, 7, 8.
Starting point is 00:03:59 and then, you know, where's Garber hitting or whoever, D.Hing? Like, you make a pretty compelling point right now that Garber or Hanager, whoever the DHS, should probably be hitting nine. Like, there have been your worst hitters. Although Hanager has been hitting better as of late. So, you know, one through four right now seems pretty easy. You know, I think we know that it's going to be, you know, JP, Julio, Cal, and Rayleigh. but after that, you know, could be Polanco. Could be because they like to do left, right, left, right.
Starting point is 00:04:34 Polanco's a switch hitter, so that still works. But it could be that's where they hit Hanager, who's been better over the last week or so. That's probably what I would guess, Hanager deaching. But, you know, that's against a right, against the lefty. Garber and Hanigar will both be in there. And the lineup will probably look pretty different
Starting point is 00:04:50 with the lefty on the mound. Do you think they might send Rojas back down to nine just for wrap-around purposes? they might I just do you really want Rojas hitting nine when six through eight five through eight even is
Starting point is 00:05:06 such a I don't have a nice word for it so question mark it's such a problem sure I don't know I don't know if they do that plus I think you're going to hit
Starting point is 00:05:19 like if you want the wraparound factor like you could put Canzone nine there's some actual speed there and there's some on base skills some contact skills too. So yeah, I mean, they could. There's a lot of ways they could go.
Starting point is 00:05:35 But, you know, I don't see them putting, it's hard for me to imagine that they're going to put Garber, Hanager, Polanco hitting ninth because veterans and, you know, blah, blah, blah. And they've been there before like that. All that stuff really matters. So my guess is that hitting nine was going to end up being either Canzon or Rojas, I guess, even though Rojas is also a veteran.
Starting point is 00:05:58 He's been there before, but whatever. He's only making $3 million this year. So we have to make the lineup as money goes. So, yeah, and it's obviously, it's not going to be Ty France. You don't even want Ty France hitting nine because he's a terrible wraparound hitter because he's, you know, the slowest guy in history. So, yeah. And then, yeah, against lefties, it'll be, I think it'll be somewhat significantly different.
Starting point is 00:06:26 Like, I don't know if JP gets the. start against Nestor Cortez. Like that could be Dylan Moore. Yeah. You could go, uh, Demo. I mean, well, Demo could play third base or shortstop.
Starting point is 00:06:38 Mm-hmm. Against lefties, uh, either one. It kind of depends on how you feel about Eureas's bat right now. So, uh, yeah,
Starting point is 00:06:44 the lefties will be interesting. Garber will, Garber and Hanager will both be in against any lefties starter, which means can zone, uh, most likely canzone and Rayleigh find the bench, but this is where tie France is kind of, because you probably want France to play,
Starting point is 00:06:57 play against lefties. It's his best shot right now. But you don't want to take Luke Rayleigh out of the lineup. And how do you put Rayleigh, France, Hanniger, and Garber in the same lineup? Right. It's a little bit tough because there's only three spots. So somebody has to sit down and, you know, it just, it's a little bit of a mess against lefties, but because you're not, there's no way you're pinching Dillmore against lefties right now.
Starting point is 00:07:24 Nope. So probably in general, do you think we'll see Dillamore now? because I mean he's been arguably one of your four best setters this year. Right. I think you'll seem quite a bit here early as they kind of try and work everybody back. Because I think they want to try and ride the hot streak a little bit here. One thing to totally, you know, keep in mind here is that Dillamore can play some first base too. Like Ty France is just because Ty France and Luke Raleigh have played all the first base this year,
Starting point is 00:07:52 it doesn't mean they're the only guys that can. And, you know, if you're against a tough writing, you don't think Thai France has a shot, You think Dillamore gives you a better chance, but you don't want to take out Rojas, you don't want to take out-jap, you don't want to take out your two-corner outfielders. First base, like, go put Dillmore at first base. It's not like Ty France has really earned, you know, a death grip on first base wraps. Like other people are going to get them. And Scott has said as much.
Starting point is 00:08:19 He said, you know, yeah, there's three guys. There's the two Mitches and Ty, and they're kind of, you know, battling it out for some of these at-bats. And so, yeah, you can't, you can't deny that Dillmore can certainly handle first base if you need them to. So I think we're going to see Dillon quite a bit. Probably not an everyday player like he's been for the last three weeks. But I'd be pretty surprised for the next couple of weeks at least if Dillamore didn't make at least four or five starts every single week. And regardless of lefty-riding matchups, I think they're going to try and ride that hot hand a little bit. Yeah, he's been fantastic to start this year.
Starting point is 00:08:56 and especially on this road trip, he's had a really, really good road trip, had a big walk last night in the ninth inning as well. Dimo's been massive for this team. So yeah, you need to get him in the lineup pretty much as much as you possibly can right now, I think. Right. One thing I would keep an eye on,
Starting point is 00:09:13 I don't think the Mariners are going to do it. But I think they should strongly consider hitting Luke Riley leadoff. I agree. He's your best hitter right now. You want him to get the most at-bats possible. He's not, you know, clogging up the bases for Julio if Julio ever, you know, turns it on. And like, he can score from first base on a double. Like you're not slowing down Julio at all.
Starting point is 00:09:36 He's a lefty, uh, you know, who hits also hits lefties just fine, or at least has so far. So I, I think you should consider that. It's kind of like a few years ago. And, uh, you know, one of my first declarations is that Mitch Hanager should hit lead off right at Sotomo.com and the next day he was and he hit a lead off double. And then the next I bet he hit a home run. And it was like, yeah, he nailed. it like i feel like luke raily is that guy now the only problem is if you hit luke raley leadoff
Starting point is 00:10:01 who's sitting in the middle of your lineup right like if you're if you're really trying to maximize your lineup then i think luke raley's hitting first or second like i think that's yeah without question uh really sitting first or second against right-handed pitching at the very least because he's your best hitter right now at least in terms of average all that um he has pop he has like the the traits of a traditional lead off hitter too like in terms of speed so if you're into that kind of stuff he provides that as well um i think he's a really good fit for the lead off spot i don't think they'll do that just yet but i think they might explore it eventually and i think they should for sure because i think he is a really good fit for that right i think you know raley
Starting point is 00:10:49 i think raley should be getting an at bat in the first inning guaranteed to him yeah uh Rayleigh is a guy right now who you should be getting to the plate as often as you can. And we've already seen them move him up from eight to four in like the matter of a week. And I mean, he's had what, like three, three hit games in the last? I mean, two in a row. Yeah. But didn't he have one against the royals or was it a two head game? Yeah, he might have.
Starting point is 00:11:16 Like, I think he's like 20 for his last 50. So. Yeah. Yeah, it's time. Like, look, if they want to. keep him four. I'm not complaining, but I just think that you want to get this guy as many at bats in a game as you possibly can. And that means sitting on first or second. Because right now he's better than Julio. Right now he's better than Cala Rale. He's better than everybody on the team
Starting point is 00:11:40 right now. So put your best hitter in the one spot and guarantee him the most at bats of anybody on the team until he slows down until he's not your best hitter anymore. Yeah. He had a three hit game against the Royals as well. So that's on this, one, two, three, four, five, six, seven game hitting streak that he's on. Three of those games have been three hit games. One of them,
Starting point is 00:12:04 a two hit game as well. He's on a ridiculous run right now. Take advantage of the hot streak before it goes away. Because like we know with Josh Rojas, Luke Rayleigh isn't a 330 hitter, right? Like Luke Rayleigh is probably a 250 hitter at best. And so take advantage of this while he can. Yeah, I think even when he was at his best last year,
Starting point is 00:12:25 I think it was like 270, 280 average, like in the first half of last year when he was posting like a 170 WRC plus or whatever it was. Plus he's not, he's still not really walking all that much, but the strikeouts have gone down significantly. He's just finding a ton of grass right now. Right. The high BAPIP, but part of that is, you know, the Bunt singles and like the infield singles and the speed. and that's part of kind of the fun thing about, you know, Luke Raley is if he just puts the ball and play more, his average will go up because he's fast.
Starting point is 00:12:55 Like he'll get some infield singles. So, and that's what we're seeing right now. Right. All right. So we got some injuries to catch up on here in just a moment. But first, a reminder, this episode of the Lockdown, Marys podcast is brought to you by LinkedIn. Are you struggling to close deals? B2B selling is tougher than never.
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Starting point is 00:14:11 Let LinkedIn Sales Navigator help you sell like a superstar today. Just go to LinkedIn.com slash locked on. and get started. And you're listening to the locked on Marrars podcast. You can catch Game 2 with the Yankees tonight on the Marriss Home Town broadcast with SiriusXM via the SXM app. All you have to do to find that is search the word Mariners. So we have some injury news to catch up on here.
Starting point is 00:14:38 Let's start with Sam Haggertie, who was recently sent down to make room for Dom Kanzone on the 26-man roster. And in one of his first games back in Tacoma tore his Achilles. So he is done for the year And it might also impact his availability next year as well So just brutal, brutal news for Sam Haggurty Who of course is also going to be out of minor league options This winter
Starting point is 00:15:05 So that potentially spells the end of his time With the Mariners organization So hoping for a speedy recovery for Sam First and foremost, just want to say that Sam really solid ball player who has helped the mayor is on multiple occasions and by all account seems to be a great dude so uh you know best of uh best wishes to to sam and his recovery and hoping that he's able to to make his way back wherever he ends up landing uh secondly you got some minor league injury news colt emerson uh four to six weeks on a uh injured foot he fouled off a pitch
Starting point is 00:15:45 off of that foot has a small fracture in the foot. That sucks. Obviously had the oblique injury that kept him out for about three weeks and now it has this foot thing. Then Tai Peet also I believe it was a sprained ankle. He is resuming baseball activity. So according to Justin Hollander and should be back with Modesto pretty soon here, but still, yeah. So not, Great injury news here for the Mariners right now, more so in the miners. But we haven't really talked about the miners much on the show. So I wanted to do that a little bit.
Starting point is 00:16:27 But Pete should be back soon. Emerson will see. And yeah, Hagridy done for the year. So that sucks. Any thoughts on those injuries, Colby? No, you know, Emerson probably going to be back somewhere in July, which doesn't give much time to get to high A this year. But, you know, he was playing well enough in A ball that they might just, when he's active, they might just send him up to high A anyway. So, you know, it's not a huge deal
Starting point is 00:16:59 for Emerson. It's not like it. This is going to impact his timeline to the big leagues or anything like that. He's still so far away from the big leagues that, you know, in terms of that, long-term health and all that stuff, this really isn't a huge deal. It's just kind of a bummer, you know, that we're not going to be able to track. his progress. And, you know, it might prevent him from getting up to the Northwest so that Mariners fans can go and watch him in Everett. So from that standpoint, it's a bummer.
Starting point is 00:17:27 Tai Pete, you know, I don't know if he was a safe bet to get to Everett at any point this year anyways. So get him healthy and then just continue to work on things. You know, we know Pete is a freak athlete and we know that he has the ability. And we've already seen this, by the way, in Modesta, where he just takes over games. and like he's just the best player on the field. So we know that Pete has that in him. And so, you know, being extra cautious here and just kind of kind of slow playing him.
Starting point is 00:17:53 Like he's a young guy. There's no reason to rush him. And, you know, even if he has to repeat Modesto next year at the beginning just before they feel confident sending him into Everett, that's totally fine. Like there's no reason to rush Ty Pete. And this little injury is really, it's barely a footnote. I mean, there's nothing that's going to prevent. development from happening to an extent where it's going to, you know, damage him long term or even his like trade value this summer.
Starting point is 00:18:24 That's what you're worried about. So no, I don't think that these injuries really in the big picture, they don't matter, but they do kind of suck. Like obviously you want guys to be healthy, but also, you know, you want guys to, it's fun to track these guys as they kind of move up in the big leagues or up in the minor leagues on the way to the big leagues. and you're just not going to get to do that with Colt Emerson for, you know, a month, a month, a two months.
Starting point is 00:18:48 And that's a bummer because he is the best prospect in the system. And I'm not sure it's particularly close at the moment. Any other thoughts on the Maras miners miners while we're talking about it? I mean, again, we haven't really talked about them on the show much. We've talked about it a little bit on the Patreon show. But any general thoughts, impressions, et cetera, of the Marys farm right now? Yeah, Tacoma's been a little disappointing in that a lot of the fun role players that we thought that the mirrors were storing down there haven't really hit. Samad Taylor hasn't hit a ton.
Starting point is 00:19:24 Cade Marlow hasn't hit a ton. Ryan Bliss has really struggled. So, you know, on that standpoint, there's some disappointing things going on. Blake Hunt's been great and it does feel like they are getting him used to the very specific role of facing left-handed pitching because, that's where like 90% of his at-bats have come from is against lefties in particular. So they're very clearly trying to get him ready for that role. And he might be ready for it. Who knows?
Starting point is 00:19:50 But, you know, Seby's actually been hit the ball pretty hard recently. And his at-bats have gotten better. So I don't know if that moves on the horizon anytime soon. But it might be. You never know. That's a move that they could certainly make at any point. You know, down-in AA is probably where the most exciting thing is happening. And that is Harry Ford, finding his power.
Starting point is 00:20:09 Ford is slugging, I think, over his last, you know, he started out like five for 45 or something like that. And since that time, he's slugging almost like 600. He's got 11 extra base hits. And he's not, he's not striking out more or walking less to get to that power. He's maintaining his high contact, high on base skills. But he's getting to the power that the Mariners thought he had when they drafted him. And now he's starting to look like this is a guy who, could legitimately hit 20 home runs while running, you know, 250, 260 batting average.
Starting point is 00:20:44 And possibly, I mean, it's tough to say how this translate to the big leagues, but based on how his career has progressed in the miners, possibly nearing a 400 on base. And I think you might be able to slug about 400 to 425, maybe 450 at the big league level, based on what we're seeing. So Harry Ford is by far the most positive development of the entire Mariners farm system, individually speaking. And yeah, he looks,
Starting point is 00:21:12 as far as I've heard and read, he looks fine behind the plate. Like he's a totally passable catcher. This isn't where he's a disaster back there and he can't play anywhere else. So this isn't Jesus Montero. So I think that's what you're looking at. Yeah, since April 20th,
Starting point is 00:21:26 he is slashing 353. Listen to this on base percentage. 491 with a 612 slug. That's a 201 WRC plus. so since 420 he's been smoking the ball absolutely blazing it not a ton of home runs though just four home runs but lots lots of doubles and a couple triples so triple's uh yep he's nine doubles two two triples four homers yeah so you know i i don't think i still don't think you're going to see harry for it at any point this year uh in the mariner system or you know with the mariners i should
Starting point is 00:22:06 say. Like, I don't think he's a September call-up or anything like that. But could this, you know, could this showing put him, you know, in line or give him the shot to win a job with the Big League Club out of spring training next year? Possibly. I do think this makes it very likely that we're going to see Harry Ford in Tacoma before the end of this year, which would be a big step for him. And then I think, I don't think that the, I don't think the Mariners have kind of backed off of their stance where they've just called guys up from double a straight away and they didn't feel like AAA was a necessary step. It feels like they kind of backed off of that belief a little bit after some failures. But you know, it's not like they've all failed. Kyle Lewis worked out totally fine
Starting point is 00:22:49 until he got her. Julio didn't need AAA. So Cal Raleigh did. So, you know, some of these guys do need AAA. And I think they're going to, they're going to handle Ford like he needs AAA. And they'll give him a good long run down there. So it's not impossible that we see Harry Ford at some point this year. I would just say it's highly unlikely because there's still defense that needs to be worked on. And then one other guy down in AA that's you know obviously we've talked about him a little bit. Tyler Locklear really hitting well in a in a bad hitters ballpark. Although the swing and miss has been a problem for the last you know 10 days or so at least based on what I've heard
Starting point is 00:23:28 haven't gotten to watch a ton of AA Arkansas games. So yeah, his swing and miss is kind of of an issue right now, but the other day he had two home runs and a double in a game. So, you know, he's probably darn near ready for for a call up to AAA. Like he's getting real close. All right. So we're going to get you ready for game two of the series between the Mariners and the Yankees tonight in just a moment. But first, a reminder of this episode of the Lockdown Marys podcast is brought to you by
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Starting point is 00:24:34 That's promo code Lockdown MLB for a first deposit match up to $100. Pick more, pick less. It's that easy. And you're listening to the Locked-on Marriss podcast. You can catch Game 2 with the Yankees tonight on the Marriss hometown broadcast with SiriusXM via the SXM app. All you have to do to find that is search the word Mariners. And that's what we're going to talk about now.
Starting point is 00:24:57 Game 2. Brian Wu on the bump tonight. And this is his second career start in Yankee Stadium. And the first one went pretty well. He went five and a third. He struck out five, did walk three. Only gave up two hits, though. And kept the Yankees off of the board, most importantly.
Starting point is 00:25:14 So what are your expectations here for Wu in his third start of 2024? How does he handle Juan Soto, Alex Redugo, Anthony Rizzo? How does he handle the lefties in this lineup? Those are my questions about Wu. My expectations are, I don't love this matchup for him in particular because of those big powerful lefties. And I haven't seen anything, any new pitches, I should say, that would leave me to believe that Wu can handle those guys consistently.
Starting point is 00:25:48 Now, there's always the command and control. And in his first two starts, that's been really good. So, you know, if he's living on the corners, if he's back during the two seamer and all that stuff, like front door and whatever, like he can manage. He can work around those guys a little bit. but he has to dominate the righties he has to dominate volpe he has to dominate judge like he has to keep those guys off the board so that he can kind of manage the lefties that are going to be in this lineup so uh you know i'm a little bit concerned about you know woo facing this lineup right now
Starting point is 00:26:18 uh because again you know you look at it's really once sodo right at the end of the day like one soto is the one man wrecking crew riszo's still pretty good and burdugo is like fine but he had a good game last night but i'm I'm concerned about the lefties. I don't know how Wu handles those, those guys in particular. So I'm a little bit concerned about that. But I think he's going to throw a lot of strikes, which is good.
Starting point is 00:26:41 That's what Mariners starters do. We know how the Yankees are going to respond to that. They're going to swing early. They're going to be aggressive just like every team in baseball will be. And so to me, how Wu handles the righties tells the story because like the lefties can do damage on him. But there's only three lefties in this lineup that are like truly terrifying. And I mean, one is terrifying.
Starting point is 00:27:02 and the other two are fine. So if you can dominate the righties like he has been, then the lefties, their threat is so, it's minimized because there's only so much damage that those three guys can do. If you shut down Volpe, if you shut down Torres,
Starting point is 00:27:18 if you shut down, you know, Stanton and then Judge, like if you shut those guys down, then you probably have a pretty good shot of, you know, pitching well in this game. And, you know,
Starting point is 00:27:28 thankfully, despite their struggles this time through the rotation, or yeah, this cycle through the rotation, they've all gotten pretty deep relative to how they actually pitched. Like they've gone everybody except for, I think Miller went six innings in this turn. And Bryce still went five in a third. So opens in pretty good shape.
Starting point is 00:27:47 So if Wu, if Wu can only go four or five tonight, not a huge deal. But yeah, I'm worried about the lefties. And as weird as it is to say, that means I'm watching how he handles the righties in this game. because if you can keep them off the bases,
Starting point is 00:28:03 it limits the damage that the left-handed hitters can do. But, you know, could Brian Wu just go in there and shove? Sure, he's done it before. Why not? Yeah. So, you know, my expectations are, like, I'm still in Will C mode about Brian Wu. I don't have a great feel for him. I think that's fair.
Starting point is 00:28:24 Yeah, he's only thrown like nine innings this year. So we'll see. Yep. then Clark Schmidt taking the mound for the Yankees tonight 977Ks per 9-6-6-6-6 walks per 9 this year 249 ERA 345 FIP It's been worth basically a full win by Fangraph standards And 50 and two-thirds innings pitched
Starting point is 00:28:45 5-1 record for Schmidt Any thoughts on him Yeah tough night Coming up because he's dropped his hard hit rate by 8% This year His strikeout rate has jumped by about 5%, 4.5%, like prior to this year, he was kind of right at league average,
Starting point is 00:29:08 a 22% strikeout rate. This year he's at 27%. The fastball run values are off the charts, the breaking ball run value are off the charts. Cutter, sweeper, sinker, knuckle curve. So those are the four pitchers. That sounds like a Jerry DePoto pitcher. Right.
Starting point is 00:29:27 Unfortunately, he's not. And, you know, the cutter is generating a 30% whiff rate. The knuckle curve is generating a 35% whiff rate. It's going to be a tough night for the Mariners offense. They're really going to have to grind these at bats. Now, the sinker, not a high average, but when you do hit it, teams are doing damage against that pitch. So it seems to be the key.
Starting point is 00:29:50 Get the sinker in the middle of the plate. And when you do, you have to damage it. You have to hit doubles. You have to hit home runs. Like you have to get extra base hits. because he's probably not going to walk you around the bases like Clay Holmes kind of did last night, and he can miss a lot of bats. So he's going to throw a lot of strikes.
Starting point is 00:30:06 He's going to get a lot of so he misses. Mariners have been better at strikeouts over the last week or so. Tonight might be one of those nights where they strike out 11, 12 times. Like, it's just that good of stuff. So hopefully you can get him out of this game relatively early. You can go to work on the bullpen and Wu keeps it close, and you can kind of battle it out against bullpins, which apparently, you know, apparently that's Seattle's favorite thing to do in the world is hit against your bullpen.
Starting point is 00:30:32 So they can get Schmidt out after six and the game's relatively close. Then they're going to have a shot to win it. But this is one of those grinded out type of games where, you know, there's going to be bad at bats. They're going to strand a guy at some point. It's going to be really frustrating for a long time. But if you can just, you know, pump up that pitch count a little bit, when he doesn't make a mistake, hit something hard in the gap or over the fence, maybe find a way to scratch out a run or two off of him and hope that Wu keeps you in the game
Starting point is 00:30:59 so you can attack this bullpen that is not going to have Clay Holmes tonight. So I think that's the key to this victory is you just got to grind. You just have to stay grinding and you have to. When you do get a mistake, you have to take advantage of it. Absolutely. Yeah, it's going to be a war of attrition with Schmidt tonight
Starting point is 00:31:15 and hopefully you're able to get into that bullpen. That is going to do it for our show. But before we get out of here, a reminder that locked on has launched the first ever national sports 24-7 streaming channel on YouTube. but now it's also available on Amazon Fire TV and the free Fire TV channels app. Locked on Sports Today is here for you 24-7
Starting point is 00:31:34 covering the top sports stories of the day with the local experts of Locked-on, plus our national shows covering every league. Find Locked-on Sports Today now available on the free Fire TV channels app. Thank you so much for joining us here on the Lockdown Marrars podcast for Colby Pat Note. I'm Tadang Gonzalez.
Starting point is 00:31:48 Be sure to give us a follow on Twitter at LO underscore Mariners. You can follow me at Ty Dan Gonzalez and Colby at CPAT-11. You can also find all that stuff in the description. of this episode. Have yourself a beautiful baseball day and we'll see you next time. Peace.

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