Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - Mailbag: What to Expect From Andrés Muñoz in 2022

Episode Date: January 11, 2022

Hosts Ty Dane Gonzalez and Colby Patnode answer your questions, including what to expect from Mariners' RHR Andrés Muñoz in 2022, which minor league affiliate will have the best record and more.Be s...ure to follow or subscribe to Locked On Mariners wherever you prefer your podcasts! For questions and other inquiries, email: lockedonmariners@gmail.comFollow the show on Twitter: @LO_Mariners | @danegnzlz | @CPat11For more of Ty and Colby, check out their Patreon: patreon.com/controlthezone/Built BarBuilt Bar is a protein bar that tastes like a candy bar. Go to builtbar.com and use promo code “LOCKED15,” and you’ll get 15% off your next order.BetOnline AGThere is only 1 place that has you covered and 1 place we trust. Betonline.ag! Sign up today for a free account at betonline.ag and use that promocode: LOCKEDON for your 50% welcome bonus. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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Starting point is 00:00:02 You are Locked-on Mariners, your daily Seattle Mariners podcast, part of the Locked-on Podcast Network, your team every day. Welcome to Locked-on Mariners, your home for Daily Seattle Mariner's News and Analysis. Thank you so much for making us your first listen of the day. We are free and available on all platforms. Today is Monday, January 10th, 2020, and for many in the Pacific Northwest, all eyes are now on baseball. I am your host, Taday-D-Gonzalez. Join, as always, by my co-host, Colby Patnode.
Starting point is 00:00:35 Follow us on Twitter and L-O-U-U-N-Sor-Mariners. You can follow me at Dan Gonzalez. That's D-A-N-E, G-N-Z-L-Z and Colby at C-P-E-Pat-E-Pat-E-T-A-T-E-T-L-E-N-E-T-E-L-E-ROMB. And also get into some non-Baseball talk twice a week. Visit patreon.com. Forward-slash-C-C-R-Zone for more information on that if you are interested. And on today's episode of Lockdown, Mariner's, it's time for our weekly mailbag. We got a few questions.
Starting point is 00:01:01 from you on Twitter and via email. We're going to be answering all of those today. And if this is your first time joining us, welcome to the show. If you like what you hear, give us a follow or subscribe wherever you listen to this. We greatly appreciate it. So before we get into these questions,
Starting point is 00:01:16 let me kick it to Colby here. How was your weekend? It was bittersweet in a little bit. You know, they had the last Seahawks game. So now Sundays are wide open. And unfortunately, baseball is not doing their part to kind of carry me to April. at least not yet.
Starting point is 00:01:32 So, yeah, you know, it's a little bittersweet, but also not terribly sad to see the season go, although the last two games were a lot of fun. But, yeah, you know, other than that, I'm doing okay. You know, it's just an up-in day. So, you know, I guess that's something to celebrate, acknowledge, like whatever. But, yeah, I'm doing okay. good to hear good to hear it's uh you know it's always sad when a season ends because especially for football
Starting point is 00:02:06 it's so far off from the next game you know nine months from now is when they'll uh they'll play their next game that's uh it's a long time so you know uh thankfully baseball is around the corner though we'll see when it actually gets started it will eventually get started i think you and i are both pretty confident in that that an agreement of some kind will be made between the players Association and the owners. It's just a matter of when. But hopefully that is soon. We know that they are going to be reconvening at some point this month.
Starting point is 00:02:40 And there's going to be another offer made. But, you know, hopefully those two sides can, you know, get this over with so we can get back to, you know, what's fun. And that's baseball. That's the off season. That's Jerry's season. And I know we got a few questions on Jerry's season. and just everything going on with the Mariners in general.
Starting point is 00:03:01 Let's start with Sean Perry, who sent us an email asking us to talk about Andreas Munoz, break down his game and where he fits into our rotation. I'm going to assume bullpen. Do you see him throwing a lot of innings this year? Go M's, Sean. So, Colby, what do you have to say about Andreas Munoz? Who you actually got to see make his debut for the Mariners? Yeah, that was certainly something.
Starting point is 00:03:32 Yeah, Munoz is a guy who, you know, the first thing that's going to jump out to you about him is his velocity. It's easy to see anybody, any fool can see it. It pops. It's, you know, 98 to 102. Sliders, pretty good for the most part. It's a little inconsistent, as you might expect. But it's still an above average pitch most of the time.
Starting point is 00:03:57 With Munoz, it's really going to come down to canny throw strikes. He has been pretty good at it so far as his pro career, but it is something that he needs to get better at if he wants to be a high leverage guy. That's just the command, like 102 with a, you know, above average slider that you can command is, you know, borderline unhittable. So it doesn't necessarily have to be a great, you know, walk, you know, less than two guy per nine. But he's got to throw strikes and, you know,
Starting point is 00:04:35 so far in his big league career, 4.9, or 4.9, baseball ball for nine in only 23 and 2 thirds. So it's not a huge concern yet. But, yeah, I think he's probably a middle reliever here at the start of this year, assuming he gets through spring training healthy. No guarantee he makes the club, even with the extension he just signed. Still has to earn it.
Starting point is 00:04:56 He's got options left. So still has to earn his way to the big leagues, to the big league club. But when he does make his debut, I think we're going to see him his 2020 debut. We're probably going to see him mostly in the fifth, sixth, seventh inning just to kind of ease him back in. And also because, you know,
Starting point is 00:05:14 why would you use Munoz in a high leverage spot when you could go to Seawald or Steckenrider or Sadler? and now Ken Giles, you're going to trust those guys all more than Munoz. So I think you'll start the year and kind of a middle reliever role and then he might work his way
Starting point is 00:05:31 to more high leverage spots, but he's got to make the club first. And he has a pretty good shot to do that. It's just, it's not a guarantee. Yeah, I think you made a great point there. And that's that there's really no pressure on Munoz to perform this year. And I think that's great.
Starting point is 00:05:48 I think this is a great situation for him. being behind guys like Casey Sadler and Ken Giles and Deu Castillo, Paul Seawald. Like you said, you know, they can ease them out. They can put them in the fifth. They can put them in the sixth. They can put them in the seventh. And, you know, slowly get him more, more, you know, involved in high leverage situations as the season goes along if they like what they see.
Starting point is 00:06:13 And another great thing is he's, yeah, he's not guaranteed a spot on the major league roster. He could start in AAA. and that would be fine as well, help him, you know, ease along here as he gets further removed from his surgery and everything. And, you know, as we've seen with guys, you know, it takes a while. It takes about two to three years to fully get back to where they were pre-surgery. And some guys don't ever get there as well. But it seems like the velocity is still there, though, for him.
Starting point is 00:06:40 So that's obviously a great thing because that fastball is a real true 80-grade pitch. I mean, it's just that it's incredible. Um, so yeah, we'll, we'll see how that turns out, but, uh, pretty excited about what we'll see from Munoz this year. I think, I think you might be, uh, you know, a way to kind of make up for some of the natural regression that's going to hit the, uh, Mariners bullpen this year, because I mean, they were just so spectacular last year. It's going to be hard to replicate that. But, uh, thank you for the question. Let's, uh, go on to Hunter at Hunter Porton, who asks, uh, what is our prediction for the opening day starting nine, including any trades or signings you guys think will happen.
Starting point is 00:07:25 Love the show. Keep up the good work. So we've had a few questions over the last few weeks about lineups, you know, just making lineups of just guys that you can only sign or what have you, you know, our dream lineup for the 2020 two Mariners, all of that. So Colby, realistically, though, what are we feeling for opening day, which is currently scheduled for about two and a half months from now. What are we feeling for that starting nine when they play the Tigers?
Starting point is 00:07:58 Well, this will be interesting because opening day lineups are traditionally, you know, you put your best guys in regardless of matchup. Yeah. And, you know, we saw it a few years ago that Adam Lynn started against the lefty. I think it was Derek Holland, even though the Mariners intended to have De Ho Lee hit against lefties and Lynn hit against righties. So opening day lineups are not always what, you know, the best lineup or what we think lineups will look like in June.
Starting point is 00:08:27 So, yeah, it's starting nine, a little difficult, but I think what we're most likely to see is we're probably still going to see J.P. Crawford in the leadoff spot, which I don't love, but, you know, they seem to like it enough. So he's probably going to hit lead off. I'm going to guess tie Francis probably back in the two hole. He was there, you know, second half of last year. and it really works well. Three spot.
Starting point is 00:08:52 I'm going to say Trevor's story. Yeah. I mean, you kind of have to, right? Yeah, the Mariners like to do the left, right, left, right thing. But there's not a lefty bat, you know, that's going to fit there unless they signed Michael Conforto, which they could. In which case, it would go Conforto, three. story for Hanager 5
Starting point is 00:09:20 but I'm going to go I feel at that point you should have Hanager heading one or hitting two and then France hitting one like I don't think you want to push Mitch Hanager all the way down to five no I think or tie France down to six
Starting point is 00:09:36 especially for the sake of J.P. Crawford right well you you and I are you and I have talked about this JPM and Adam Fraser should probably be hitting 8 and 9 or 9-1. Like, but it doesn't, again, predicting what the Mariners are going to do. I think JP's going to hit lead off.
Starting point is 00:09:56 I'm going to say Ty France hits. Yeah, I'll say Ty France hits second. Mitch Hanager hits third. I'm going to go Michael Conforto hitting fourth. Trevor Story hitting fifth. Wow. Yeah, just to get the lefty in there.
Starting point is 00:10:18 So then. sixth is probably going to be let's see whoever's catching probably Tom Murphy right so then seven is going to I think seven is
Starting point is 00:10:38 probably going to be Lewis you go Lewis seven playing center field Kelnick eight playing
Starting point is 00:10:53 left field and and Adam Fraser hitting ninth and playing third base or Abraham Toro depending on which one they want to use. Like, does that sound about right to you? So I'm adding story and, in, in Conto. So. Still feel like they might add one more piece. No, I mean, but.
Starting point is 00:11:20 But still the opening nine. So like, you know, forget line of just, let's just do this real fast. It'll be faster. Who's catching opening day? Tom Murphy. Yeah. First base. Typhan.
Starting point is 00:11:34 Second base. Story. Okay. Shortstop is JP. Third base. Could be Chapman. Yeah, I'm going to say Matt Chapman, actually. Okay.
Starting point is 00:11:50 Left field? No. You're going Frazier? Yeah. Okay. Center field, the big one. Kellnick. Okay, right field.
Starting point is 00:12:04 Hanager. D.H. Terenz. And starting pitcher. Robbie. Robbie Ray. Marco. Okay.
Starting point is 00:12:21 I can see it. I can totally see them do that. We will get a lot of questions about if we ever get to spring training. And my answer is always going to be the same. I do not care. I really don't care. but yeah, whatever. Like I said,
Starting point is 00:12:36 I don't think they're going to get chapped. Colby, we need Robbie Ray to beat Spencer Turnbull. I mean, well, it'll probably be Eduardo Rodriguez, but. Oh, yeah,
Starting point is 00:12:44 yeah, yeah, in which case, yeah, in which case, Luis Turenz is absolutely D-Hing that day. Yeah. Which means he will take his rifle spot
Starting point is 00:12:53 in the, in the lineup, in the opening day lineup, because that's where he belongs. But, yeah, that's, that's probably the best we can do right now.
Starting point is 00:13:02 Yeah. All right, cool. So we got more questions coming up in just a moment. But real quick, a reminder of this episode of Lockdown Mariners is brought to you by Bilt Bar. It's the New Year. So that means New Year's resolutions. And if yours is about getting fit or eating healthier, make sure you include Bilt Bar in your plan. Built Bar is the protein bar that tastes like a candy bar, maybe even better than a candy bar.
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Starting point is 00:14:24 That's LOC, KED15 for 15% off your order at Built.com. You're listening to Locked on Mariners. Thank you again for making us your first listen of the day, just like you do here every day. Let's get back into these questions. Continuing with the ones that we got via email. This one comes from Connor, who says, please fast forward three to four years and project the rotation of bullpen comprised exclusively of current pitchers on the roster and prospects. So anyone that's in the organization right now for the Mariners, pretend injuries and trades don't happen and speak about which. players fill which roles best thank you in advance i love your podcast thank you so much
Starting point is 00:15:07 connor for your support and your question so colby this is uh this is kind of one that's uh you know really tough to do but when you just boil it down to guys that are already in the organization what do you what are you feeling for uh for the rotation yeah um already in the org i'm going to go with uh three or four years years it's kind of a do you mean like three years from today because Robbie Ray might not you know what I mean like Robbie Ray has an opt out after three years so it's kind of tough to know if he's going to be in there so depending on how the question is intended to be asked it could be Robbie Ray Logan Gilbert
Starting point is 00:15:51 George Kirby I feel really good they're going to be in it I I think Marco's probably still going to be in it that's right around the time his contract runs out I just think he's going to be such a solid number five that they're not really going to want to mess with that. And obviously, that's the leadership. Hancock is going to be in the rotation. Again, not factoring in trades. And then Williamson, like, I think Flexon's out. I think, I think Ray's out, like, yeah, I think it's pretty much what you would expect.
Starting point is 00:16:22 It's Gilbert, Kirby, Hancock, Williamson, Marco is the rotation. I mean And then if Ray hasn't opted out Then he's you know Probably takes Margot spot Probably Yeah
Starting point is 00:16:39 Yeah Yeah because I think we're We're in agreement here that All four of Gilbert Kirby Williamson and Hancock Have a higher ceiling than Marco Gonzalez So Assuming that they all hit that
Starting point is 00:16:54 Right because we're making a lot of assumptions In this exercise anyway Yeah I think Marco's the odd man out because Robbie Ray, I mean, pretty definitive, you know, in a higher tier than the Marco. So, yeah, like I agree with you that Marco would probably be around that time because he's just so stable. And because of the impact that he has in the clubhouse as well. but I just think talking talent-wise here, just pure talent. Like I think and Ray is involved in that.
Starting point is 00:17:33 It's got to be Ray and the four young guys. But it's certainly interesting. But I'm going to assume that the Mariners rotation in 2024, 2025, whenever, it's going to look a lot different than that. So we'll see, though. So we also, and we don't typically do this on Mailbag Monday. This is typically what we do on Fan Fiction Friday, but we're actually going to answer a trade idea because apparently Brandon here,
Starting point is 00:18:07 who emailed us, we apparently missed him a couple times here or missed this proposal that he sent us. So he has the Mariners, it's a three-team team deal. first of all with the white socks and the reds and he has the mariners getting sunny gray and jake burger while the white socks get jesse winker and drew stek and rider and the reds get levi stout kaden polkovitch gavon sheets norhe vera and louis my essus not sure how to pronounce so what do you uh what do you feeling all this certainly interesting um i i i i believe that you know,
Starting point is 00:18:55 Winker and Steckinrider both make a lot of sense for for Chicago. Burger doesn't. He is blocked pretty good by Yon Moncada. It might be a semi-surprising trade candidate when things
Starting point is 00:19:12 kick back up, just throwing that out there, depending on how they feel about Burger. For the Mariners side of things here, the issue I run into is is why do I want to trust Jake Berger? You know, like, I get that you're, you're already going to be trusting George Kirby at some point and you're trusting Kellnick to make a step forward. You're going to give significant abats to Julio. There are a lot of things you're already banking on that you have no reason to believe are going to come true.
Starting point is 00:19:45 You know what I mean? Like, we're banking that Julio comes up and hit. We don't know that he will. we're banking that, that Kelnick is going to come up and, or Kelnik will come up this time around and hit right away. We don't know that either. We don't know if Kirby is going to be good when he shows up. There are already a lot of question marks.
Starting point is 00:20:01 So when you add Burger is kind of the everyday third baseman, it's just another one. And even if that other guy is somebody like, say, Matt Chapman, who I don't love by any stretch, you at least know he's going to be a big league quality player. Like, there's no question about that. At some point, you can only run out so many question marks before you're asking for trouble. However, you do get Sunny Gray in this deal. And Gray is one of those guys that's not a question mark. I don't think it's necessary for them to do,
Starting point is 00:20:31 for them to make that, you know, burger part of the trade. But if you can get Sunny Gray and Jake Burger for Steck and Ryder Stout Polkovich, you do that. I don't think you can. I think Seattle is getting the best end of this without having to go up really anything too terribly exciting. So I don't know if the Reds would do this.
Starting point is 00:20:56 It feels light to me for the Reds. I like Stout. You like Polkovich. You know, there's some things to like about Gavin Sheets. To me, this is just I don't see it happening. It's very creative. The prospect capital of the Reds are getting isn't terrible, but it's like who is the lead piece for for the Reds in this deal they would probably want burger right so yeah
Starting point is 00:21:30 I mean the lead the lead piece is probably Levi Stout right like yeah they're going to give up they're going to give up Jesse Winker and Sunny Gray for a package that's led by Levi Stout I don't see it the the three team thing feels unnecessary because if The White Sox want Jesse Winker. Why wouldn't they just trade Jake Berger to Cincinnati for Jesse Winker? And then the Reds can still trade Sunny Gray to the Mariners for probably that package, Levi Stout and Caden Polkovich. So it just, I don't see Seattle. Seattle's getting too much out of this.
Starting point is 00:22:16 and I just I don't know the rights are going to take a bulk package for Winker and Sunny Gray. Maybe they take it for Sunny Gray, but I don't think they're going to take it for a winker and sunny gray. So it's certainly creative and I don't think it's poorly planned or anything like that. It's just to me it's just the Mariners are getting a little too much. It's too good to be true for the Mariners. And if they could pull off a trade like that, that would be. I think it's too good to be true for the White Sox as well. Yeah, they're not giving up.
Starting point is 00:22:46 Colson Montgomery. They're not giving up Cespides. They're given up a 25-year-old first baseman. Who's going to be 26. And a couple of projects.
Starting point is 00:22:56 He's going to be 26 in April. So to me, this, like, if Jared Kelly was in the trade, and Matt Thompson was in the trade, if Colson Montgomery was in the trade, like that would make more sense to me. Burger is an interesting guy
Starting point is 00:23:10 for the Mariners. But again, he's 26. And like Ty said, he's probably, probably should be playing first. I don't think he's bad at third base, but he's not great. Well, I was talking about sheets, by the way. Oh, okay.
Starting point is 00:23:23 I was talking about sheets when I was referring to the 25-year-old first basement. Yeah. Well, Jake Berger is also 25, who turns 26 in April. So, yeah. I just, it's a little too much, too good. Like, the trade relies on the Reds being, not dumb, but so desperate to move any salary whatsoever. that they're willing to take probably 80 cents on the dollar
Starting point is 00:23:47 for one of their best players. I just, I don't see it happening. But it's, it's certainly creative. Yeah. Yeah. If,
Starting point is 00:23:56 if, if we were doing fan fiction Friday today, I'd probably give it like a 55. Yeah, I think so too. Yeah. It's solid. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:24:03 Yeah. All right. So let's, let's answer one question from Twitter. And then we're going to do our little ad read for Bet Online. And then we'll answer the remaining questions. Let's, uh, go to Funky Monkey on
Starting point is 00:24:18 on Twitter who asks which of our pitching prospects do you see making the biggest impact for the Mariners in 2022. I'm going to go George Kirby. I think he's the first guy to get called up and the one that will last the longest at the major league level. I don't think he's the first guy to get called up.
Starting point is 00:24:38 But I think he's the one. I guess Matt Brash would be that guy. Yeah. But I think he's probably the guy who has the most, accumulates the most war, I'll say, which would be the biggest impact for the Mariners. So I'll go with Kirby as well.
Starting point is 00:24:53 But I do think you'll see Williamson and Brash at some point this year. Both will probably make a few starts, but ideally, you know, they're pitching out of the bullpen in August and September. So I'll go Kirby.
Starting point is 00:25:09 Cool. All right. So real quick, I want to remind you this episode of Lockdown Mariners is brought to you by betonline.ag and then we're going to get into some more questions. Bet Online would like to wish you a happy new betting year as we continue our March to the playoffs and beyond. Bet Online remains the number one spot for all the best sports wagering action for 2022.
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Starting point is 00:26:02 All right, Colby, we got four questions to go here on Twitter. This one comes from Aiden at SFNE 58, who asks, Which Mariners affiliate do you think we'll have the best record next year? Ooh. This is a tough one because the Seattle Mariners. Hey, that's a, that's a good answer. Yeah. That's a good answer.
Starting point is 00:26:28 But in terms of the minor league, in terms of the minor league teams, you know, there are, this is a bit harder because, you know, for once, a lot of the top prospects are kind of spread out from one another
Starting point is 00:26:39 throughout the system. But some really good, talented teams that, you know, we project. Obviously, we don't know what the assignments are specifically going to be, but we kind of have a general idea of where guys are going to be starting the season. I'm going to go Everett, though. It's kind of interesting because what you're really asking is like which roster stays okay, the longest?
Starting point is 00:27:02 Because last year, Everett was stacked. And then everybody got promoted and Everett missed the playoffs. Like, not because Everett was a bad team, but because their best players all got promoted to double A. And I think that's where my answer is going to be. It's going to be double A. I think we're going to see some extended stays in AA by like Emerson Hancock,
Starting point is 00:27:22 Noel B. Marte, probably Alberto Rodriguez gets a pretty good look there. I think you're going to see some extended looks for guys at AA. So I think they'll be the best team for the longest amount of time.
Starting point is 00:27:37 The easy answer is probably AAA, but that's also the most boring because there's not always a plethora of really exciting prospects there. But hey, you know, Tacoma, they won the AAA West, whatever, the soulless name they're calling that league now. They won it last year. So they're probably going to have more than a few
Starting point is 00:28:01 quality big leaguers spend some time in AAA. But I'll still go double A. I think they're going to have the best roster for the longest amount of time. All right. So let's go to Ryan Witt at Ryan underscore Witt 7 Come All Star Week in
Starting point is 00:28:16 2023. Will the Mariners have a participant in the Home Run Derby? And if so, who? Yeah, usually the home team does get a participant. And I don't think that's a rule, but usually that's just kind of tradition. And I'm going to go with Julio Rodriguez. Like, it's kind of an unwritten rule. Like Yeah. I think they even had a player, you know,
Starting point is 00:28:40 who didn't make the All Star team participate in the home run derby just because he was, you know, a crowd favorite. I think that's happened once or twice. So they almost always, I can't remember a home run derby that didn't have Kansas City, I think was the last one. People were mad at Robinson Canoe because he didn't pick Billy Butler when the, you know, they were doing the captain stuff. And then Canoe, I think went out and hit zero home runs.
Starting point is 00:29:06 But yeah, the Mariners are going to have somebody there. Julio's probably a safe bet, superstar. he's, you know, great BP type of guy. You know, Eichiro's probably going to throw BP to one of the guys, whoever it is, that that'll be a fun, like, all-star thing. Yeah, Julio's probably the favorite at this stage, but I would watch for Kelnick. There's some impressive, you know,
Starting point is 00:29:33 there's some real impressive batting practices that Kelnick can put on. If, like, story signs here, it might be Trevor's story. biggest name. But actually, you know what? This is kind of a double prediction here, ready? Mitch Hanager, who's not even under the 2023 Mariners yet. So double prediction time. There you go.
Starting point is 00:30:00 Mitch Hanigar will be my guess. Wow. All right. But if I was laying money, it would probably be Julio. Yeah. Very spicy, though. I like it. Bring some heat today.
Starting point is 00:30:15 A.J. Allen at A.J. Allen PDX. He wants to know. What would you rank as the top three things? The Mariners need to address this offseason. What would you consider a successful offseason where they currently stand? I think you need to get another starting pitcher. I would like for them to go into the outfield. And I think you need to absolutely get one of Trevor Story or Chris Bryant.
Starting point is 00:30:40 I think that's that's kind of necessary at this point. So especially with, you know, what we're hearing about what, you know, and I'm talking about publicly, like what everyone's heard about, you know, who they've been in in the markets for and all that stuff. So I think those three things need to be top priorities for them. You know, I think you need to get a lot better in the infield and need to improve that outfield as well. And also, you know, get yourself Sunny Gray or Frankie Montess or whoever. that would be a lot of fun. And as for what a successful offseason would be, I mean, that. Honestly, like, that would be great.
Starting point is 00:31:19 But ultimately, just, you know, get better. Get on a trajectory to get back to 90 wins. Get on a trajectory to compete for a wildcard. And maybe even a division, if you can look into it, if you can, you know, get to the trade deadline and actually be competitive and be able to be really aggressive at that, you know, because who knows at that point. But yeah, that ultimately just, just, get on a better trajectory than where you're at right now.
Starting point is 00:31:44 Yeah. To me, it's number one is infield bat. You need an infield bad either at second or third. It doesn't really matter. Number two for me is probably outfield bat. Preferably one who hits left-handed. Michael Conforto continues to make so much sense.
Starting point is 00:32:00 It's like gross that we haven't heard anything about Conforto. Yeah. It just makes way too much sense for there or not to at least be some kind of discussion there. And then third is his starting pitching, preferably a mid-rotation guy, so not a Tyler Anderson, but somebody like Rodon or Montas or Gray. So in that order for me. And then, you know, what's a successful offseason? Well, probably adding a, you know, a story. If you had a story in Conforto, then in your pitcher is Tyler Anderson.
Starting point is 00:32:33 Like that's the other pitch you had. I mean, I'm not wild about Anderson. But that's a successful offseason. Like there's just no way. it's already on the right track to being a successful offseason with adding an All-Star and a Cy Young. And oddly enough, the All-Star is Adam Fraser, not Robbie Ray. That's already a really good start.
Starting point is 00:32:54 So, yeah, honestly, to me, it's going to be tough. They had story and, like, say they trade for Sunny Gray, and that's all they do. Some other minor stuff around the, you know, 40-man fringes, that's still a successful off-season to me. So they're basically there. They just have to cross the finish line on a couple of the deals that we've heard.
Starting point is 00:33:12 They're definitely in on, if that makes sense. For sure, for sure. All right. So let's go to the last question here. Brett Howard at Mr. Brettley, who has an over-under prop for us with Julio Rodriguez round in the corner and hopefully being MLB ready sometime this year. Let's say after the All-Star break. I think it's going to be a lot quicker than that.
Starting point is 00:33:40 To finish the season, would you take the over, under, on? And he says imprudence has to be a parlay. 245 and a half average, 9.5 home runs, 43 and a half RBI, and half a steel. I think I'm going to go under on the average, but over on the rest. Callie? Yeah, I'm going to go under on average, over on home runs. under slightly on RBI
Starting point is 00:34:14 and way over on the stolen basis. Yeah. Yeah, like, Julio's probably going to steal, like, like, we think he's, I think he's going to be up mid-May, June,
Starting point is 00:34:24 somewhere in there. Julio's probably going to steal five bags and surprise people when he does it because he's so big. It's so weird that he runs so well. It's like, it's really not, but okay.
Starting point is 00:34:34 I wouldn't be surprised if he stole more, honestly. He's good at it. Like, he's not fast. but he's good at it. So, yeah,
Starting point is 00:34:42 he's not slow either, but you know what I mean? He's not like, yeah, yeah, you remember, Guillermo Haredia? People just dying to make
Starting point is 00:34:51 Gierremauretia, uh, you know, a base dealer. And it's like, no, he's fat, but he sucks at stealing bases.
Starting point is 00:34:58 Stop doing that. Julio's kind of the opposite. Yeah. I feel you on that. Brett also wants to know if it's the over, are the M's and the ALC? CS discussion. Ooh.
Starting point is 00:35:11 No. Yeah, I don't think it really depends on whether Julio is good or not on if they can get there. I mean, yeah, there's also 25 other guys that need to perform well and they need to be right with their decision making the rest of this off season. And at the trade deadline, hope, you know, if they're hopefully, you know, involved in the wild card and maybe even the division. So, yeah, it doesn't really depend on Julio. but it does improve their chances
Starting point is 00:35:43 if Julio is out of nowhere really good. Yeah. Fun note to end the show on Julio Rodriguez is a career 32 of 40 in stolen base opportunities. That is an 80% success rate. All right. So that is going to do it for our show.
Starting point is 00:36:04 And thank you so much for joining us here on Lockdown Mariners and for all your questions. For Colby Patnode, I'm Tiding Gonzalez. be sure to give us a follow on Twitter at LO underscore Mariners. You can follow me at Dayton Gonzalez. It's D-A-N-Z-Z-L-Z and Colby at C-P-P-E-E-T-1-E. You can also find all that stuff in the description of this episode. And thank you again for making us your first listen of the day.
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