Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - Mailbag: What Will the Mariners' Offensive Philosophy Be in 2024? + New Giveaway Announcement!

Episode Date: February 19, 2024

It's Mailbag Monday! Ty and Colby answer some of your questions, including which Mariners player will eclipse 4.0 fWAR for their first time in their career in 2024, why the team's 2023 draft class is ...highly regarded, what their confidence levels are with several hypotheticals, and much more. Plus, Colby announces a new giveaway!WIN COLBY'S STUFF TERMS & CONDITIONS!Ask us questions!Follow the show on Twitter: @LO_Mariners | @TyDaneGonzalez | @CPat11Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!BackblazeReceive a fully-featured no risk free trial at Backblaze.com/lockedonmlb. Go there, play with it, start protecting yourself from potential bad times! eBay MotorsWith all the parts you need at the prices you want, it’s easy to turn your car into the MVP and bring home that win. Keep your ride-or-die alive at EbayMotors.com. Eligible items only. Exclusions apply. eBay Guaranteed Fit only available to US customers.GametimeDownload the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDON for $20 off your first purchase.FanDuelNew customers, join today and you’ll get ONE HUNDRED AND FIFTY DOLLARS in BONUS BETS if your first bet of FIVE DOLLARS or more wins. Visit FanDuel.com/LOCKEDON to get started.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Baseball is upon us. The Mariners are playing a game on Saturday, and everyone's getting their work in down in Arizona now. So it's going to be a good week. Let's kick things off by opening up the mailbag. Colby, hit it. You are Locked on Mariners. Your daily Seattle Mariners podcast,
Starting point is 00:00:16 part of the Locked On Podcast Network, your team every day. Ahoy, sailors. It is Monday, February 19th, 2020. This is Tiding, Gzalas, and Colby Bettnaud for the Lockdown Marrists podcast, brought to you by Fandul. Make every moment more. New customers join today
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Starting point is 00:01:00 The link as well as our social accounts is in the description of this episode. And this is Mailbag Monday, the show will re-answer your Mariners questions. Be sure to stick around a little later on because we're going to be announcing our next big giveaway. But first, we're going to get into this question from Steve. Which Mariner, who hasn't had a four F-4 season in their career, is most likely to in 2024? Logan Gilbert. Next question. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:01:26 Right? I mean, Julio's had to. Cal's had two. JP had it last year. Yep. Who else? Castillo's had one. Kirby's had one.
Starting point is 00:01:36 I think, has Kirby had one? I think he 20 last year. This year he was 4.4 last year. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. We got to start saying last year now because we have officially switched over to the 2024 season.
Starting point is 00:01:47 That's right. That's right. Um, so yeah, it's, it's Gilbert. I can't even think of anybody else who's like, even kind of a fringe like contender. Like maybe. Maybe Luke Rayley.
Starting point is 00:01:59 if he gets enough plate appearances. But like, no, it's, it's Logan Gilbert. I mean, it's Logan Gilbert. It's Logan Gilbert and then it's like a huge gap and then it's
Starting point is 00:02:10 whoever your number two is. Like, Gilbert is the guy who's, if there's somebody who's never done it before that's going to do it this year, it's definitely Logan Gilbert. Yeah. All right, Tyler wants to know,
Starting point is 00:02:20 what will be the offensive philosophy differences in 24 compared to last year with the changes to the coaching staff? I think he's more so focused here. on Brent Brown of course. Colby, what do you think? Nothing. It's interesting, you know, I was on
Starting point is 00:02:39 with Ben Rennery on his podcast last week and he Sea level. Sea level subset. Sea level, yep. And he had mentioned that around the league, one of the weaknesses that other teams saw in the
Starting point is 00:02:58 Mariners' operation is offensive game planning. Like they just kind of, everybody kind of does their own thing. And there's not like a uniform approach to hitting at the major league level. And so I think that's part of it. I think there's going to be more of a conscious effort to, you know,
Starting point is 00:03:14 really understand the team dynamic against the pitcher versus the individual. But I think, I don't know how much of this is going to actually have to do with coaching. I just think the fact that they've spread out the strikeout rate a little bit this winter is going to help things because, you know, you look at last year's team, they knew they were going to strike out quite a bit. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:03:34 They don't have more power. Yeah, you don't have four guys in a lineup stacked on top of one another that are running a 27 plus percent K rate anymore. Right. I mean, well, even last year, it was Tay Oscar. It was, you know, Kelnick, Ford. Yeah. Raleigh still strikes out a little bit. So obviously, Gino strikes out a ton.
Starting point is 00:03:55 Like you were running four or five, sometimes six guys in a row that were 28, 29, 30, percent strikeout rates. That's just not going to be the case this year. So they're going to, there's more of a emphasis on putting the ball in play. But I think they still obviously are going to chase, you know, home runs. They still want power. I think it's more just a tweak of, you know, how we go about scoring runs. There's more than one way to score runs. And last year's team was pretty much if they hit a home run, they had a good shot to win the game. And they didn't. They weren't going to manufacture runs. They weren't going to, you know, hit the, hit the big single with runners on second and third,
Starting point is 00:04:32 like they were going to try and do damage or they were going to strike out. And I think that's the difference this year. You look at a lot of the guys they brought in, you know, Jorge Polanco, not a strikeout problem. Mitch Garber, not a strikeout problem.
Starting point is 00:04:45 You know, and that doesn't mean they've completely ignored guys who do have some strikeouts in their past. Luke Grayley strikes out a little bit. He's not going to play a ton, but Sebi Zavala strikes out quite a bit. But Eureas doesn't. Hanager doesn't.
Starting point is 00:04:59 like they've done a good job of spreading out the strikeouts that they're not all in a row. But I think it's more just about having a cohesive game plan and in understanding, um, an understanding of like what we need in this situation versus what the individual's goal is in that situation. I think that's mostly what Brand Brown's, uh, ideas or what his job is, uh, with the Mariners, just kind of enforce this idea that like, you know, if you don't, have to try and hit the 97 mile an hour fastball an inch off the outside corner into the left field bleachers for a home run. Sometimes you just got to push that thing through the right side and move the runner up. So I think it's more about that. But they're obviously, they're going to strike out still. So they're going to try and hit home runs. Like they're still chasing that stuff. But it's just more of a controlled, uh, you know, effort than last year. We're just kind of flailing wildly at times. Yeah, you still have high strikeout guys in your lineup, but not as many. So that helps. And it became a
Starting point is 00:05:59 clearly over the course of this past season that the Mariners really didn't have much situational awareness offensively. So hopefully bringing in someone like Brant Brown helps with that. And the guy that I'm going to be looking at the most is Julio. Because Julio last year, what did we talk about? A lot of the times, big moments in games. He's trying to swing out of his shoes. He's trying to do way too much. When Bram Brown went on the radio a few weeks back and he talked about, you know, sometimes we just need a single.
Starting point is 00:06:28 we don't need to hit the ball over the wall. I'm paraphrasing, of course, I think he's talking directly about Julio. Right. And I think part of that, though, is also that, hey, you know what? When Julio has Mitch Garber hitting behind him and Horace Pallonko hitting behind him, some of that pressure. Like, if I don't get the big hit, the guys behind me can, whereas last year it's Tay Oscar who's running a 35% strikeout rate for half the year.
Starting point is 00:06:51 You know, it's Gina who's running a 33% strikeout rate. Like, I have to do this because I can't trust the guys behind me to do it. And I think it's just about keeping the line going. So we'll see. I think I don't know if the offense is going to score more runs than last year. They could. I wouldn't be shocked. But I think it's just about scoring them more consistently.
Starting point is 00:07:11 Like you'd rather you'd rather score four runs in back-to-back games and score eight runs on one night and zero the next. Yeah. And that's what they did a lot last year was here's a big blowup game where they score 14 runs against the white socks or whatever. And then the next night, here's one. one run against like and this didn't actually happen but i'm just using him for the sake of the example like vince falasquez or some mid pitcher right so right and when you swing and miss as much as the mariners did you have a high variance uh of results so uh yeah i think you know if you're averaging right around five runs a game with your pitching you're going to win a ton
Starting point is 00:07:50 of baseball games and i think it's just kind of you know the idea is just to kind of be able to rely on your offense to consistently score four or five runs every single night. Yeah, and sometimes even three is going to get the job done for you with this pitching staff in particular. All right, we're going to answer more of your questions and announce our next big giveaway in just a moment. But first, a reminder, this episode of the Lockdown, Marrness podcast is brought to you by Fandul. With football officially in the books and some time before baseball gets underway, why don't you try your hand at betting on some hoops? Get buckets with your first bet on Fandul, America's
Starting point is 00:08:26 number one sportsbook. Because right now, new country. customers get $150 in bonus bets with any winning $5 bet. That's $150 if your bet wins. Bet on all your favorite NBA players and teams with quick bets, live same game parlays, exclusive props, and more. Just visit fendual.com slash locked on and shoot your shot. That's fendual.com slash LOC, KD-O-N. Fanduel, official sportsbook partner of the NBA.
Starting point is 00:08:53 And you're listening to the Lockdown Mariners podcast. Thank you again for making us your first listen. And as a reminder, Lockdown has long. the first ever national sports 24-7 streaming channel on YouTube. Locked on Sports Today is here for you 24-7 covering the top sports stories of the day with the local experts of Locked-on, plus our national shows covering every league. Go to Lockdown Sports Today on YouTube and subscribe to the first ever national sports 24-7 streaming channel, part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day.
Starting point is 00:09:21 And before we get back into your questions here on Mailbag Monday, we got a new giveaway starting today. Colby, tell the fine listeners, all about it because you're giving away more of your stuff. I'm not contributing at all. Because why would he? Why would he ever? You're the man of the people.
Starting point is 00:09:38 You're the self-proclaimed man of the people. So I'm letting you do your thing. I think that's established at this point. Tye's wearing a San Francisco Giants hat for crying out loud. To be fair, I'm wearing a Kansas City monarch's hat. Right, right. But hey,
Starting point is 00:09:50 I mean, come on. Yeah, so this is kind of an interesting giveaway. So make sure you guys check out the, you know, the terms in the Yeah, we got to, we got to remind you legally terms of conditions down in the description. Yes, there's a link down there in the description. Click it if you want the exact details. But basically, so what's going to happen.
Starting point is 00:10:11 Right now, Ty and I are at 10,761 subs on YouTube. We would love to be at 11K by opening day. 11, of course, a very special number. No matter what happens, I will be giving away this Mitch Garber, autograph, numbered, double jersey patch card. and also this Jared Kelnick, some old mariners, some new mariners,
Starting point is 00:10:32 autograph numbered card. Those are going to one of you guys, no matter what. But every time we break over a new level of 100 or a new plateau of 100, we will add more stuff to the giveaway. So once we get to, for example, when we get to 10,800,
Starting point is 00:10:50 if we're so lucky, I will be throwing in this autograph, Randy Win card. And this lovely Bowman. Chrome Harry Ford card, not outgraph. When we get to, if we get to 10,900, I'll throw in more stuff. And ties heard some of the stuff that I'm willing to throw in the pot here. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:11:09 It's, it's going to get big. So the more people who subscribe, the higher the subscriber count go, the more of my things, I have to give away to you folks. I have some bobbleheads. I have some in stadium giveaways. I have lots of cards. And they're all on the table. And we will announce what the next level is once we get to the next level. So I'll tell you guys what the 10,900 level will be if we get to 10,800.
Starting point is 00:11:35 To enter is very simple. All you have to do is make sure you're subscribed to the YouTube channel and leave a comment down below. You can comment up to five times or you can comment on up to five different videos to enter the contest. The contest runs between now and the last day of February. We'll pick the winner on March 1st and announce them here. you'll have one week to claim the prize at which point we'll send you this stuff. And depending on how many of you guys subscribe to the channel, that's how much of my stuff you'll give away. And like I said, Ty has heard the list of things that I have purchased and that I own that I am willing to throw.
Starting point is 00:12:11 Yeah. It's pretty crazy that you're going to give away your credit card information at 12,000 subs. I mean, it's not going to do them a lot of good. But sure, I guess. But anyways, make sure you guys check out the terms and conditions and the link down. below, but yeah, just win some of my stuff just by leaving a comment and making sure you're subscribed to the channel. It's very standard contest, but only one person is going to win all of these items.
Starting point is 00:12:38 So make sure you enter up to five times. There we go. All right, let's get back into your questions. Olivia wants to know throughout the off season. You guys and other Mariners media slash commentators seem much more willing to trade Mariners prospects currently in AA or AAA, maybe contributing. this or next year, then the prospects drafted in 2023. Now the 2023 draft prospects seem collectively ranked very high as opposed to prior draft
Starting point is 00:13:06 year prospects. Why? Less time to fail to reach their potential, very strong draft class for 2023 or something else going on. Thank you. I mean, part of it has to be because you had essentially three first round draft picks. That helps, right? Why else do you think that this draft class is regarded very highly, Colby?
Starting point is 00:13:23 the 2020 class yeah because you had three first round draft picks right are there any other reasons though I mean the draft class itself is
Starting point is 00:13:36 is interesting but it starts at the top I mean Johnny Farmello Ty Pete and and Colt Emerson are all carry like all star ceiling and for somebody like
Starting point is 00:13:48 Farmello and Pete like there might be more there it's a small chance but there might be like seven win seasons and those guys, they are freak athletes. So, yeah, but that's part of it. The, the 2023 class is a good one.
Starting point is 00:14:02 The other part is that you don't want to sell low on these guys. And it seems counterintuitive. It seems like, well, their value is, you know, can never be like, they're so, like, unknown, right after they're drafted, right? Like, could their value actually get higher? And yes, the closer you get to the big leagues with success, the higher your value is. So you don't want to trade these guys for 70 cents now when you can wait six months and trade them for $1.10. Well, and I would add on that, we heard Justin Hollander talk about a month ago about what the, you know, what the vibe is around the league right now with just in terms of trades and how teams right now don't really want lower level prospects. They want guys that are in double A, triple A, guys that are close to the big leagues.
Starting point is 00:14:48 Right. And I think part of the reason why, you know, us, we've been so, we've been much more willing to trade guys like Locklear and Gonzalez and Bliss, even, guys like that who, you know, mostly Locklear and Bliss here who could help you at some point this year is because the Mariners 26 man roster right now, pretty young. I mean, there's obviously some bats here and there, but like it's a pretty young roster. There's not any glaring, you know, need like how many things have to go wrong? or I guess right, depending on your perspective, for Ryan Bliss to get a shot this year, quite a bit. You know, like, Ty Locklear is no sure thing to come up at any point this year. We'll have to see what, you know, Ty does and all that. So I think you just look at the, and we'll talk about this starting tomorrow because it's Prospect Week, you know, locked on.
Starting point is 00:15:37 So we'll be doing our top 30 over the next three days. Yep. Tomorrow we're going to be doing Prospects 30 through 21. On Wednesday, we're going to be doing Prospects 20 through 11. And then Thursday, we're going to wrap things up with Prospects. 10 through one. So look forward to that. Right.
Starting point is 00:15:53 I would just put it like this. If Colt Emerson has another year, like he had last year, and last year it was just a cup of coffee, right? He is worth at least twice as much as he is today. Next winter, maybe three times, depending on how well it goes.
Starting point is 00:16:08 Like, you just don't want to sell these guys right away because you never know what you're giving up. You want to see these guys. You want to develop them. And like Ty said, the league just really isn't all that interested. these guys who are two, three, four years away because, what, 25 of the 30 teams think that they could sneak into the wild card at least this year? It's just, there's just not a lot of
Starting point is 00:16:27 value to those guys. And so, um, you know, it's interesting, Hollander said that. And then he immediately went out and he traded for, you know, Polanco and Santos shortly after, but. Using Darren Bowen and Gabriel Gonzalez. Right. Right. But I mean, for Santos, it did take Perala Barro and Zach Deloche, two guys who are, you know, 40 man guys. There, there can help you at the major league level. So, yeah, most of it is just, it's a, it's a, it's a, where the market is right now. They want close to MLB ready guys if they're going to give up guys from their major league roster, which, you know, kind of hard to blame them because basically all but
Starting point is 00:17:00 four or five teams are going to be contenders into July for, for a playoff spot. So we'll see, but that's mostly it. You don't want to sell low on those guys. And also the league just isn't all that interested in those players. They want those guys at a discount. And if you're the Mariners, you're not giving up those guys at a discount. with you. Right. All right. Next question here from Joel. Of these three, Jorge Polanco, Mitch Garver, and Mitch Hanager, who will have the most plate appearances in 2024? I think in that
Starting point is 00:17:29 order. If you're going top to bottom, I think Polanco, Garver, Haniger, I think that's where I'm at. I think so. I'm fairly confident that Garver and Palanko are going to get, you know, 500-ish played appearances each. Yeah. I'd be thrilled if Handerger got over 300. Like that would be awesome. The fact that he's going to have to play in the field is what really concerns me. Like, he's going to have to play in the field quite a bit to get into the lineup.
Starting point is 00:18:05 Because, again, Garver is going to be D.Hing. Right. I don't think they're going to entertain playing Garber at first base. So if he's not deaching, he's catching. And I really don't want him. catching so no yeah yeah i think the order that they were listed is probably the correct order we'll say this though hanniger doesn't tend to get hurt in the field like he had a oblique thing that was diving back to a base he broke his toe and rolled his ankle like the other some other things
Starting point is 00:18:34 yeah yeah those are all those all happen at the batters box but yeah obviously there's a wear and i'm just talking yeah i'm just talking about the wear and tear that that's what ultimately concerns me there um yeah i i think it's probably like if you're just betting i think polonko and Garver, like, far outpace Hanager. I wouldn't be shocked if Garber has more played appearance. Like, I'm, I'm oddly comfortable with Garber's health, assuming that he pretty much exclusively DHs. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:19:00 I guess old prediction, hot take. I think Mitch Garber is going to play 120 games this year. I guess that is technically a hot take, but I feel pretty, like, it's weird. I would project that. Like, I'd be like, yeah, no, I think he's going to pay 120. Because I don't think that he's actually going to be catching. And I don't think they're going to play. him at first base.
Starting point is 00:19:18 Yeah. And, you know, even if Seby Zavala doesn't work out at backup catcher, I think they go to Blake Hunt first before they entertain Garber being the second catcher essentially on the roster. Right. I mean, Garber might get a start or two early as they kind of phase him into just like DH only, but I'd be pretty surprised if he caught more than 10, 15 games this year. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:19:40 And even that is a little aggressive for my blood. But he feels to me like he should be the emergency catcher only. Yeah, yeah. Just just not because he can't catch, but because I want to keep him healthy. Yes, absolutely. And again, talking about wear and tear, there's no position that brings more wear and tear than catching. Right. Just throw this out there, break glass of case emergency.
Starting point is 00:20:02 You know, if Cal Raleigh, you know, God forbid has to go on the IL for two months, then you might roll with Garber a lot more behind the dish and just kind of run, you know, roll those dice. But assuming Cal is healthy enough to play, Garver is going to be the. primary DH. So I feel really confident Garber is going to play 120 games. Yeah, because you're probably not going to want Sebi Zavala in the lineup pretty much every day
Starting point is 00:20:26 if Cal gets hurt. And I think Blake Hunt can hit a little bit, but I don't, I don't know if that's, you don't risk that. You don't want him to be the number one. Right. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:20:37 So just so I can keep Garber at the DH spot. Yeah. All right. We're going to answer a few more of your questions in just a moment. But first, the reminder of this episode of the Locktime Marries podcast is brought to you by eBay Motors. Passion, drive, and patience. What brings home the winning trophy is also what keeps your ride or die alive. eBay Motors has everything you need to maintain
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Starting point is 00:21:31 Keep your ride or die live at eBaymotors.com. Again, that is eBay motors.com. Eligible items only, exclusions apply. eBay guaranteed fit only available to U.S. customers. And you're listening to the Locktime Airs podcast. Thank you again for making us your first listen here on Mailbag. Monday. Got a couple more of your questions coming up here. We got one from Mark. Do you think it means anything that Cole Young and Harry Ford will reportedly be getting a very good look in Major League
Starting point is 00:21:59 Spring training this year? Or is it just as simple as getting them some higher level opponents? It means absolutely nothing. What about the whole Harry Ford might play in the field a little bit thing? It means absolutely nothing. Okay, but why would they want to do that? so that people like you ask that question. Gotcha. Gotcha. Just to bait me into it.
Starting point is 00:22:24 Yeah. Yeah. Yes. Um, so Ford and Young almost certainly going to see double A at some point this year. Yeah. Yeah. And maybe to start the year. Seems more likely for Ford that he would start in in, in double A, but you can't roll it out for Young either.
Starting point is 00:22:41 So I think they, because I think they were considering it towards the end of the last year. Yeah. They thought about giving him a cup of coffee there. So we'll see, you know, but. There's nothing wrong with starting him in Everett and giving him a month or two. Either way, he's going, barring injury, he's going to see AA at some point this year. Yep. So it makes sense.
Starting point is 00:22:59 These are the type of guys that you use, like late in spring training games that, you know, and here starting on Saturday, probably by the fourth inning, you're going to see these guys in games as they kind of ease the vets in. But I think that's just natural. These are guys in AA. They have an outside shot, particularly young, of coming up to the big league. at some point this year. And these are the guys that you get those opportunities too. So I don't think it's really anything like they really want to see what they have there or like, oh, like we think they have an
Starting point is 00:23:28 outside shot to make the club in like May. Like I don't think it's anything like that. I think it's just like, yeah, this is about the time of, you know, their progression where they're going to play a lot in spring training because, you know, for the first couple weeks, at least the starters are only going to play half the game at most. So I think that's just what that's about is, yeah, they're going to get a lot of at-bats because they're going to be, you know, joining the big league squad on game day. And they're going to be, you know, first guys off the bench types. And then probably you'll see some of the younger guys, the last year's draftees, they'll probably get a cactus league at bat or two at some point. But guys like young, guys like Ford, these are guys who are not
Starting point is 00:24:06 quite knocking on the door at the big leagues, but they're getting really close, right? They're walking up the driveway. Like, they're getting there. So you just, you get these guys at bats because that's what you do. And, you know, if you can find a way to give them maybe, maybe Cole Young gets a random start in a cactus league game against like, I mean, I don't know, you want to give him a shop, but maybe it's a cactus, like he gets a random cactus league start when sack gallons on the mound for his three-inning start. Like, who knows? So, it's just, it's just the timing of where they're at in their careers. This is about the right time to start doing stuff like that. All right. Next question here from David. Rank these in terms
Starting point is 00:24:45 of confidence to happen in 2024. Ty France has the best WRC plus season of his career. Mitch Hanager plays a minimum of 110 games with a with at least a 120 WRC plus. Julio wins MVP.
Starting point is 00:25:01 Ureas and Rojas combined have a better WRC plus than Gino. The Mariners have three pitchers in the top 10 and the AL-Sy Young award voting and the Mariners will make a big splash trade at the deadline and I'm going to leave this up on the screen for us just so we remember.
Starting point is 00:25:19 So I'm going to go, number one, Maris have three pitchers on the top 10 in AL-Sight-Young voting. I feel pretty good about that. Number two, I'm going to go with the Ureus and Rojas one, actually. Interesting. Yeah. I'd probably go Julio wins MVP, number two. I was going to go with that for number three.
Starting point is 00:25:49 Because there's Judge, there's Soto, there's Bobby Witt. I would also throw Adley into the mix. You mean poor man's Cal Raleigh? Right. Yeah, so for me, it goes, number five is pretty clear. The three pitchers in the top ten. That one's number one with a bullet for me. Number two is probably Julio.
Starting point is 00:26:12 And then I think number three is the Ureus Rojas combo. I am pretty happy with that with that duo. I feel like they're both good players who are coming off of years that are pretty easy to explain why there were struggles. Yeah. I think Splash Trade comes in at number four. Yeah, I think so. I could go either way with Thai France or that, though. I'm going to go France five and then Hanager six.
Starting point is 00:26:41 Yeah, I'd be shocked if Hanager plays 110 games. Yeah. So that one's definitely And if he does, I feel like WRC Plus is probably going to be more around 105 to 115, which I know is a large range, but I don't think it's going to be 120 is the point. Yeah. So I think, you know, if you're watching, you can just follow along with the numbers here. I would say it goes 5.3, 4, 6, 1, 2. Last question of the day comes from Rye. how long is the leash on tie france this year with tyler locklear on the verge of the majors with the deadline will the deadline be when they make a potential change does locklear even have a shot at the majors if france is good this year uh if france is good this year i don't see it because locklear is not a third baseman no so i don't really see how he factors in if garver is healthy if france is healthy uh and obviously they have to
Starting point is 00:27:45 form as well on top of that. But if those things are happening, I just don't see how Locklear factors in at all. No. This, by the way, is even assuming that Locklear is playing well. Right. There's that too.
Starting point is 00:28:01 Yeah. Not only this. I have a certain point where maybe he forces their hand. No. I mean, if Ty France is like an 80 WRC plus bat and Locklear is just like, you know, whatever, 150. Like 160, then like maybe.
Starting point is 00:28:18 But if France is even hovering around league average, like, then I just, I don't see anything short of injury that's going to, you know, force Samarner's hand because you're still going to trust Thai France more than you're going to trust Locklear. So unless the Mariners are just like out of it in August and they're like, yeah, you know, might as well. Like, we'll see what happens. Right. I just, I don't really see a patch at the big leagues this year barring injury for somebody like Locklear. It's just, we've talked a lot about this, like guys who have one path to the big leagues. Yeah. This is why there's risk in those profiles.
Starting point is 00:28:51 And you have so many corner slash DH guys right now on the roster that it's just, it's, it's really hard to fit another one of those guys. Right. Because it's like, all right, if, let's say that France is performing and healthy, Garber is performing and healthy, Mitch is performing and healthy. Mitch is performing and healthy. All that is happening. And, and even if one of those guys, that's not the case for. And you want to call up Tyler Lockler. Whose spot is he taking? Right.
Starting point is 00:29:17 Is he taking Dillamore's spot? No. Like, Lockler's not even a guy who can fake it at another spot. He's first base only. Yeah. You know, I guess the answer there would be one of the guys over at third base,
Starting point is 00:29:33 Rojas or Eureas. But I think at that point, you're more so looking at Samad Taylor, Ryan Bliss, etc. right. Yeah, I think it's much more likely Locklear is traded at the deadline than he becomes the new first basement at the deadline. Yeah. Well, we'll see. I mean, I still like the prospect. It's just, I don't see a path to the big leagues this year. And I'll do you want better. Ty France is pretty good this year. I don't see a path to the big leagues next year either.
Starting point is 00:30:02 Because I don't think they're going to non-tender Thai France to give the job to Locklear. I mean, maybe we're wrong. Maybe Locklear is like one of the 10 best hitters in the minor leagues. this year and you kind of have to find a way to get him on your lineup in your lineup but right until he does it i'm not willing to bet on it so it's a good problem to have though i mean yeah in theory it is you'd rather i mean i think you would rather tie france just be like a 125 w rc plus guy yeah then just be like well if he fails we have locklear like no no type france should just succeed that that'd be great right no i just i mean like i like if it gets to a point where it's like, all right,
Starting point is 00:30:42 Locklear is playing well, but how do I get them on the roster? Yeah. Like that's, that's a good problem to have. And that's when you trade them. Right. Right.
Starting point is 00:30:49 All right. So that is going to do it for our show. Thank you so much for joining us here on the lockdown Marriss podcast. Colby Pat Nogh, I'm Tiding, Gonzalez. Be sure you have us follow on Twitter at LO underscore Marrars. You can follow me at Tading Gonzalez. Colby at C-Pat 11.
Starting point is 00:31:02 That's C-PAT-1-1. You can also find all that stuff in the description of this episode. Thank you again for making us your first listen. Have yourself a beautiful baseball day, and we'll see you next. time peace

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