Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - OVER/UNDER: Will the Seattle Mariners FINALLY Push Past 90 Wins in 2026?!

Episode Date: March 11, 2026

Ty and Colby give their answers to 15 Mariners over/under props ahead of the 2026 season. Vote for Round 3 of our Top 50 Mariners Moments tournament! Click to learn more about the Everydayer Club! Join the Ahoy, Sailors Discord server! Check out our Patreon! Follow the show on Twitter: @LO_Mariners | @TyDaneGonzalez | @CPat11 Follow the show on Bluesky: @lockedonmariners | @tdg | @mlbcolby Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors! PlayStation This episode of is brought to you by MLB The Show 26. Visit mlbtheshow.com/lockedon and use code “LOCKEDON” to unlock a pack for use in Diamond Dynasty. Pre-Order now, Available March 17th on PlayStation 5, Xbox, and Nintendo Switch. RATED E FOR EVERYONE. Turbo Tax For a limited time, you can have your taxes done by a local TurboTax expert for just $150 — all in, if a TurboTax expert didn’t file for you last year. Just file by February 28. Take taxes off your plate and get back to your life.  Visit https://TurboTax.com/local to book your appointment today.  Indeed Listeners of this show get a $75 Sponsored Job Credit to help give your job the premium placement it deserves at http://Indeed.com/podcast Gametime Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONfor $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply. FanDuel FanDuel is giving you a way to turn that energy into even bigger potential wins with a College Basketball Parlay Profit Boost.Visit https://FANDUEL.COMto get started — Play Your Game.   FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

How many home runs will Cal Raleigh hit? How many times will Logan Gilbert get deep into starts? And will the Marers win more than 90 games? We'll discuss that and more coming up here on our 2026 over under show. Colby, edit. You are Locked-on Mariners. Your daily Seattle Mariners podcast. Part of the Locked-on Podcast Network, your team every day.

Ahoy, Sailors, it is Wednesday, March 11th, 2026. You're listening to the Lockdown Marers podcast for the Lockdown Podcasts. Podcast Network now, the number one sports podcast network. My name is Siding Gazzalas, and I'm joined as always by my co-coast, Colby Patnode. We're two Lifeline Maris fans who have been covered the team for over half a decade. And today, it's time for our yearly over-under episode. I've put together 15 props for Colby and I to talk about. We'll do five per segment.

These are not real props as far as I'm aware, at least. This is also not gambling advice. So I want to make that clear. These are just random props that I created based primarily off of vibes and also just kind of what I felt made the most sense and what I thought was the most fun. They're also based off of a lot of talking points that we've had this off season, for sure. And I think we have a pretty good balance of, you know, individual props and then team props, specifically offensive props, pitching props, and then, you know, overall team props.

There's also a couple returning ones from previous over under episodes as well, bringing back a couple of favorites. Now, before we get into these, I want to shout out our title sponsor today, MLB, the show 26. Visit MLBT. com slash locked on and use the promo code locked on. That's O-C-K-D-O-N to unlock a pack-free use in Diamond Dynasty. Pre-order now, available March 17th on PlayStation 5, Xbox, and Nintendo Switch. Ritted E for everyone. Let's start with this one.

Josh Naylor, 19 and a half stolen bases. Stole 30 last year, of course. His previous career high before that was, I believe, 10. So let's split the difference. you think he gets to 20 20 plus taking the under I think you double it

and you have a good over under because in a third of the season he stole 60 he was on pace to steal 60 I should say yeah yeah so yeah I mean like you know could he steal 60 and 162 games

with the Mariners maybe I mean I think it's possible I'm going to take the over. I think we're going to get the 2020 Josh Nailer year again. Okay. All right. You want to put a specific member on it? 22.

22. Okay. I like it. I like it. He's an incredibly smart base runner, just an incredibly intelligent baseball player in general. And I think that ultimately leads, despite his second percentile sprint speed,

I think that ultimately leads to him stealing quite few bags this year. I don't think he gets 30 again, but yeah, I like the 22 call. I'll say, yeah, somewhere between 20 and 25 for sure. Also, think about how many bases he stole last year when he came from Arizona. How many of them were even like contested? Like how many even like came close to getting him? I, they don't remember that many where I was like, oh, got to go to replay on that one. That was close. Like, no, he just, he walked in on a couple of stolen bases. Yeah. you know, including stealing third base. Didn't he also do that in the,

in spring a couple weeks ago? Didn't he just like walk into third? Yeah. He swiped third a couple times, including off Derek Scoobel, which they needed to have happened because Arbor only had to hit a sack fly, which he did.

And so, yeah, Josh Naylor, you know, the best base stealer since Ricky Henderson, apparently. Clearly, clearly. Josh Naylor is speed. that's what speed do that's right that's right

yeah so I'm high on Josh Naylor being you know a 20 plus stolen base guy again how about that why not all right how about a Domcan zone we've talked a lot about him this this off season how about 112.5 WRC plus so that would be the middle ground

between his first two years combined and then this past year when he was a 141 WRC plus I feel like that's a that's a good prop for him. I am going to hammer the over. 1.30 plus for Dom Kanz out. He is a breakout candidate, even though he literally already broke out last year.

Now, at times this offseason, Colby, you've talked about, you know, sending him down. You don't have to have Dom Kanzal on this roster. Because the Grasley is going to have a 150 WRC plus. Oh, wow. So, I couldn't, I couldn't think of a good,

Luke Rayleigh prop because I came up with this one first and I didn't want to repeat stats you know I didn't want to repeat WRC plus props 115 WRC plus for Raley like I was also thinking of one I was also thinking of like a Victor Robles Luke Raleigh type of like combo prop or something like that like a war or something yeah yeah I was trying to figure that out but yeah Luke Raleigh spoiler alert not on this list today once again Luke Raleigh remains greatly disrespected on this podcast on every other podcast But in seriousness, Dom-Kanzone, 112 and a half, I think over. But I think it's like a 115 to 120.

I don't think he's getting a 140 again. I'd be pretty surprised by that. But, you know, he's looked pretty good this spring. And I feel like we know who Dom Kanzone is. He's going to have games where he looks like the worst player on the planet, including some of the worst swing decisions and actual swings we've ever seen in our life. And then he's just going to, you know, hit a couple of nukes every week. And he'll be like, oh, well,

as long as he's not out there in right field running around like a baby giraffe, you feel okay about that production. So I think he's mostly going to DH. I think he's mostly going to face right-handed pitching, not that he can't hit left-handed pitching, just kind of the way they built the roster. And I think there's going to be enough, like, lineup protection around him that you're kind of want to pitch to him.

Sure. So, yeah, I think Canzone, I think he's going to be good. I could see him being very similar to what Luke Grayley was in 2024, just a, you know, surprisingly underrated hitter who doesn't play, it doesn't get 600 played appearances because of platoon splits and whatnot. But he extends the lineup just like you need them to. So yeah, I think Canzone is going to have a, I would classify it as a good, not great year from Canzone. Last year was kind of a great year for Canzone. Yeah, well, Switch over on Twitter is going to get mad at me because I am going to take the under here on, on Dom Canzone.

But only slight, only slight. I think he winds up in like a 107, 110 range, mostly because I don't think he's going to hit for a high average. I think the homers, the power overall is going to carry him to a slightly above league average WRC plus. Makes a good amount of contact and he hits the ball hard. So that's usually a good formula to hit for some average, but is it going to hit 300? Yeah. No. I'm thinking it's feeling more like a 250.

Yeah, yeah. But I think he could slug like 500 and that obviously would. jump on. And then it comes down to how many walks does he take? How about Cal Raleigh? 41 and a half home runs for the big dumper. So this is the median of his last three home run totals. Yeah. I think I'd take the over, but just barely.

It kind of feels like a 42 home run season for Cal. I think, you know, in general, if this was a prop present, it to me in one of the lovely states where you could gamble on sports, some of the unlovely ones, too, that I probably wouldn't place like an actual wager on this because it feels like this is the line. Like, this is the accurate line. Yeah, I would not touch this in real life. No, it feels like Cal is going to hit somewhere between 38 to 43, give or take. So this one pretty much splits the middle there. So I'm going to take the over.

I think he gets to like 42, 43. I don't think he's getting to 50. He's certainly not getting to 60 again. He's not getting to 50. I've seen nobody say he's getting to 50. Nobody I respect anyway. So yeah, it's just kind of one of those things where this is probably the accurate line. It's the right line and I just don't want to touch it.

I'm looking for value when I'm making picks like this. And this is not value. This is like get on. So I'm going to skip this one in real life. But for this exercise, I'll take the over, but just barely. I'm feeling 45, but yeah, like you, I would not touch this in real life. But since we're just having fun on the show today, yeah, sure, why not? 45 farmers for Cal so I'm taking the over.

All right. How about Julio Rodriguez, three and a half F4 in the first half? Now, this old F4 doesn't really matter. All I'm really asking here is do you think that Julio's going to have as red hot of a start to the season as he did in his rookie year? Because that's what he did in his rookie year going into the all start. like three and a half out four. Yeah. So it's been three full seasons since he's done that.

In the other three seasons, he's been, what, a two, two and a half one player? So I think he'll be better in the first half than he was in each of the last three years. But until I see him do it again, I'm going to assume that 2022 is the outlier in this, you know, and say, Julio is traditionally a slow starter. And I think he'll be off to a quicker start this year. I'm not going to put him on, you know, MVP watch until I actually see him, like, do it in the first half. And Julio's the type of guy who could have a five-win first half. Like, that is within the range of possibilities for him.

But I just think, you know, you want to play the odds as you do when you do over-unders. Hashtag not gambling advice. I cannot stress that enough. That I think this is like, I probably wouldn't bet on this one, IRL, just because, like, yeah, he could pop. but I'll just wait. I'll wait and see how it goes. But for us today, I'll take the under. But I do think he'll push about three,

F-4. I don't think he'll be down in the two range, which is traditionally where he is. So improvement, yes, three and a half, I think slightly under. I think three is the safe spot here for Julio. So yeah, I'll take the slight under on Julio.

Would love to be proven wrong on that, though. Absolutely. And by the way, if you're watching, play along down in the comments below. I'll just know what your answers are. We don't really care, but it's good for the algorithm. All right. Our last offensive prop is Cole Young and Cole Emerson, two and a half F-4 combined.

Yeah, I think I'll take the over because I feel like Cole is going to be at least a two-win player. And I mean, Emerson, to get a half a win, if he's just an above-average defender in the infield, he probably gets there with enough playing time, of course. Sure, sure. It's kind of the X factor in this one. Does he get 50 games? Does he get 100 games? Like, we don't know. Yeah.

When is he going to get called up? Yeah. I'll take the over still. I'm relatively bullish on Cole Young. Yeah. Yeah, I think Cole's going to be a lot better defensively, know that he's seemingly healthier and just in better shape overall. And I think Colt will at least,

at the very least, he'll have maybe a couple weeks stretch or a month stretch where he's actually pretty good. And then, you know, maybe it kind of goes like Cole Young's season last year where, you know, there's a lot of peaks and valleys. But I think he would be good enough at the very

least to get about a half win, maybe even a full win. And I think they could absolutely get to the smart. But yeah, I'm actually pretty high on Cole Young as well going into the season. So I'll take the over as well. All right. We will continue with our over-unders. We'll get into the pitching side of things in just a moment. But first a reminder, this episode of the Locktime Airs podcast is brought to you by Ethos in Game Time. This is Jeff Carr from Lockdown Reds. And you know, I've reached the point in my life where my wife and I are looking toward the future. We've got the house. We've got the career. We even have an awesome dog, but now we need to secure that future. That's where ethos comes in for us. When I look at this insurance or that insurance and I try to

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Terms apply. Again, create an account, redeem the promo code LOC, KED, ON for $20 off. Download the GameTime app today. And you're listening. the Locktime Mariners podcast, part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. Thank you so much for making us your first listen for all things, Mariners. And also thank you for making Lockdown the number one sports podcast network. If you've been thinking about joining the Everyday Air Club, now is the time.

Again, you get ad-free shows and access to our group chat on Discord. And if you're signed up before the NCAA tournament tips off, you can get into our Everyday Air Club bracket pool on Discord for a chance to win Locked on merch. Right now, you can use the promo code March to get your first month free. Head to Lockdown Mariners. That's supercast.com or tap the link in the description to learn more. In the description, you can also find the link to vote for round three of our top 50 Mariners Moments tournament. Logan Gilbert, seven and a half starts of seven plus innings pitch.

So he went seven or more ten times in 2024. And I think in 2023 he went seven or more eight times. So I put it at seven and a half starts. Basically, can Logan Gilbert get back to do him? we know he can do. The signature Colby last year he only had one, right? In 2024 he had 10 times

where he went seven or more. Yeah, yeah. Opening day was the only time that he went seven or more. Yeah. And then I think he also had like five starts in 2024 where he went six and two thirds. So essentially half of his starts,

he pitched into the seventh inning. Yeah, in 2024, he led the leg in any. I can take the under, I think it'll be better than it was last year. But I still, based on what I've seen, and again, it's the Cactus League and all that, still hasn't shown like a real propensity to get quick innings and quick outs and all that. And so, you know, he's going to strike out a lot of dudes, but he's going to throw six pitches to get that strike out. That seemed to be like the formula last year.

Is that per pitch or per out, it cost them. you know, five, six or seven pitches to kind of get that out. And 20 pitches in inning is, you know, going to eat up your day pretty fast. So I think it's under, but I don't know that it's going to be, it's not going to be one like it was last year. I feel confident about that. But I don't think he's going to get to eight, which is what you would need to take the over. So I think this is about the right number, but I would take the under just because I don't really know if Logan, we'll see maybe the cutter helps him get some, some quick round ballouts and stuff like that.

But yeah, just based on what I saw last year and based on the handful of of endings I've seen them pitch this year, it doesn't look like there's a massive difference in terms of, you know, putting guys away. But again, it's the cactus league. So who really knows? Yeah, I'm feeling like five on this one. Yeah. Before we move on to the next prop, though, should mention breaking news, kind of, from our

buddies at Mariner Mojo. Ooh. Yes, you probably want to take away those. The two most athletic guys in the Mariners content space. If you guys don't believe me, go watch their video. They are down there in spring training still, and today Bryce Miller was supposed to throw his bullpen. He threw three pitches and stopped.

So, yeah, I said he was talking to a trainer. You know, that's all I got right now. They posted a video too, but I obviously can't watch it right now. So I assume tomorrow's show we'll be talking about what to do with Bryce Miller's spot because that does not seem like good news. And I assume we'll get an update later after the show is published from Dan Wilson and whatnot. So, you know, we'll see where that is. But I would say that pretty much eliminates any possibility that Bryce is going to be opening day ready. So it might be an open spot in the rotation.

Do they just go with Cooper Criswell? Do they want to go in the free agent market and try and sign someone like Tyler Andrews? or somebody like that. We'll see. But anyways, we'll talk about that in depth tomorrow. I just wanted to mention it. So you guys know we saw it and not be like, why didn't you talk about the Bryce Miller thing? It's like, well, because it happened in the middle of this. So there you go.

Yeah. Well, that's unfortunate. Do you have any Bryce Miller prop bets? Because I'm going to take that right now. Thankfully, I did not put any Bryce Miller props on this list here. So continue with the pitching, though. Brian Woole. $199.9 and a half strikeouts.

He would have gotten to $200 had he not gotten hurt. He wound up at $198. So essentially, do you think Brian Wu is a 200 strikeout pitcher in 2020? In reality, it's due. I think Brian Wu will throw enough innings to get to his 200 strikeouts because, yes, he can absolutely be a 200 strikeout pitcher. Basically was last year. The question is, can he be healthy enough to do it?

It's kind of one of those, you know, show me you can before I buy into it type of things. and you know, Wu misses time and he wears down. And that's just kind of what we have to assume will happen. And it's not a work ethic thing. You know, it's not like he's in bad shape. Who's probably the most athletic guy in the rotation. It's just, you know, year before last, there was some arm fatigue stuff. And then this, you know, last year the peck thing happens.

So, yeah, you do have to, you know, be worry or at least wary of that to a certain degree. Yeah. So when it comes to bets that are primarily focused on the player's health, I let the players help or players' health kind of dictate where I go with this. And because Brian Woods never done it before, I think I would have to take the under on this one. But this is also like a lot of these other props, IRL, I wouldn't touch this one if I was so inclined to actually place wagers, hashtag not gambling advice, on any of these props. So I take the under. I think he'll be a very good season. I think if you told me he was making 32 starts or whatever,

I would say, yes, he'll get the, I'd hit the over on that. But I just feel like he's going to miss a month or so because it's generally what happens. And I mean, Brian Wu is not the only pitcher who, you know, goes through injury spells. So it's not a shot at him. It's just until I know that he can do it until I know that he can actually get through an entire season, I'm going to assume that he's going to miss a little bit of time. And that's going to prevent him from getting to two. strikeouts.

I'll take the over. Okay. I believe in Brian Wu, unlike you. George Kirby, three and a half percent walk rate. So he was at five and a half percent, I think, this past year, which is not typical for him. Essentially, what I'm asking here is, does George Kirby get back to being George Kirby, right? Just not walking anyone, really. How much of that is intentional, though?

It's a good point. So I'm going to take the over. I think he'll be at around four, four and a half percent. I think he'll kind of try and find a balance between not walking anybody and, you know, throwing meatballs down the middle of the plate to avoid walking people. And again, five percent is not a problem. You know, that that's not a bad walk rate or anything like that. Yeah, that was a 207 walks per nine, I think.

Yeah. Which is fantastic. Still great. Yeah. It's still near elite. It's just not quite George Kirby. But I think a little bit of it is intentional. He's trying to get more swing and miss.

He's trying to pitch outside of the zone a little more, get more whiffs outside of the zone. So I think the natural result of that will be just a few more walks. So I'll take the over, but I think it's going to be closer to 4% than 5%. Kate Anderson, half an MLB start. Well, we know he's pitching in early April. Clearly, his first start's going to be against the Yankees in that second

homestand. So, yeah, I'll take the over. over by the end of by the end of March the over will hit on this uh I think I think Chris well gets the first crack probably yeah assuming assuming that this Bryce thing is is you know what which sounds like because even if this is just like let's push it back a couple days you're just running out of time but anyways Chris Wells look good too so yeah I think you'll get the the nod here I think he'll make more than one start yeah well one start even I don't need more than one I just need one

He'll get called up sometime in the summer and he'll make a spot start or somebody who'll have to go on the IL. And so, yeah, I'll take the over. All right. And then lastly, for at least the individual player set of things, even though this is technically a four-player prop, Andreas Monios, Jose Ferrer, Gabe Spire, and Edward Bizarro, 249 and a half innings pitch.

So combine these four guys through about 280 last year. Yeah, that would be, about 62 innings apiece, 63 innings apiece. Which Munoz threw 62 and a third last year, Spire through exactly 62. Yeah, and Bizarro and

Ferreira through like 75. I think Bizarro made through 80. I assume we're talking about regular season. This is regular season. Yeah, yeah. Because if you include the postseason numbers, Bizarro through like 90. The question here really is how much

of the bulk is the rotation and then Carlos Vargas and Matt Brash is going to take off the shoulders of these other four guys. Yeah. I'm going to take the under. And I really hope I'm right about this. And I really hope it's not because somebody gets hurt. Let's be clear about that. I would love for all these guys to only have to throw 60 innings.

Let's just say for the sake of the exercise, everyone is healthy, relatively so. I feel like 60 to 65 innings is a sweet spot for any reliever. I just I don't trust Dan to not overuse guys like Vizarro, for example. So I think I'd take the over if you're eliminating injuries, but just barely. I think these guys probably average about 65 to 70 innings, and that would take you over 250. Also, you can't have a half inning, so, you know. Right, of course. It's 249.2 or 249.1.

Yeah. That one out, like this is not a good profit. that on. Like again, yeah, but like, yeah, I think if all four are healthy the entire year,

I take the over and I hope it's just barely over. But I do think the rotation will eat more innings this year. And I do think that, you know, Brass should be able to handle a little bit more of a workload. And we'll see what happens with the other spots in the bullpen. All right. We will get into our team props in just a moment.

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even more, and help support the show. We have a Patreon. It's called Control the Zone. and on there we talk marries, Seahawks, all that good stuff. For more information, go to patreon.com. forward slash control the zone. Link in the description of this episode. So we're in our final five props of our over under show.

Starting with the Mariners rotation just as a whole, 415 ERA on the road. The last two years, this would essentially put them about right in the middle of the league. And they haven't been right in the middle of the league the last couple years, of course. They've been more so in the 20-ish range, 18 to 20-ish range. though. I'll take the under. Yeah, I think they make improvements on the road

just based on vibes. Sure. Yeah, it's literally like this one's just a vibes one. You know what? Cooper Chriswell is the fix for the road woes. Cooper Chriswell to me seems exactly like the type of guy who would pitch very well

at Team Mobile and then struggle on the road. So, I mean, you know, he survived in, you know, Boston. so like yeah Cooper Chriswell single-handedly gets them under 415

you're a lot of heavy lifting if he's going to do it by himself because Luis on the road yeah yeah we'll we'll see this one I don't feel great about frankly I really don't I'll go

I'll take the under just to be an optimist here but that is purely purely based off of vibes all right Mariners 90s and a half wins. So I believe the

popular prop for this on betting sites is 89 and a half. But the merits they've gotten to 90, a couple of years over the last half decade. Can they finally get to at least 91? They haven't gotten to 91 minimum since 2002.

Yet another drought. They have refused to break. They had plenty of opportunity to do it this past year. And yeah, decided to fold up shop. Manage those games like Mark DeRosa managed last night. WBC game, which A lot less on the line

Maybe stop hiring people for important jobs off TV shows. I don't know. Just a thought. Clayton Kershaw was going to pitch in that game until he realized, oh, this game matters. That's what you want from your manager. Yeah, I'll take the over. I think they get to

92, 93 wins. Again, assuming normal health, which may or may not be off to a good start. You know, you kind of assume every starter in your rotation is going to miss a little bit of time. But, you know, oblique's, you have, is it good news or bad news? No, we'll save that for tomorrow. Like, is it better that this is an oblique thing and not an elbow thing for Bryce, considering what happened last year.

But, yeah, yeah. Anyways, I'll take the over. I would say so, yes. Yeah, I'll take the over on this one. I think the American League West in general, the Astros aren't as good. Um, so the angels stink. Uh, I don't think the Rangers are as good. Astros are off to a bad start injury wise.

Haters going on the IEL to start the year and then Pena is dealing with this finger thing. Yeah. Yeah. Um, yeah, I just think it's kind of a mediocre division behind the Mariners. Not that, I don't think there's angels suck, but like everybody else I think is going to be okay. Yeah. But I don't think there's another like 86, 87 win team in this division. as things sit right now.

So I think that'll help a little bit. So I'll take the over, but I don't think they're going to push 100. But I think they're going to be, you know, 92, 93 wins. All right. Mariner's three and a half all-star selections. So they had technically five last year.

Yeah. Four initially. And then Julio bowed out and then Randy got that spot. We had this at two and a half last year. So I felt like three and a half was a good place to put it this time around. Over. Over. Okay.

You have a prediction. for for who Julio Cal Cole Young Josh Naylor Don't Alstar Andres Munoz

and Logan Gilbert seven all stars Wow now Julio Cal one of the starters

Wu or Gilbert probably Munoz I think gets you to four and then there's always a possibility Brash Nayler

could get there Randy certainly could get there so yeah I'd say four. Unfortunately, I don't think Nailer will get in unless he has just an insane year. The home runs and all that.

Petolanzos now in the AAL, obviously, he's going to get it. Even if Vladdy is disappointing, he's going to get in because he's Vladdy. So, yeah, I'm pretty low on Nailer's odds of making the All-Star team. Brennan Donovan is interesting. He made it last year for the National League. Representing like the lone representative of that team. Sure. But yeah, I mean, he's the only Cardinals?

I think so. I thought Alexer or Hellsley maybe. I don't know. Anyways, whatever. Yeah, he's kind of one of those like, I think he's similar to the Josh Nailer thing where he's just, he's not going to carry enough name recognition really. Now, you know, Cardinals fan base is pretty vocal one. So maybe they stuff the ballot box for their former player.

And he kind of gets in that way. But he's also going up against Jose Ramirez. So, I mean, already, Michael Garcia, like, yeah I don't I don't see it but maybe I think him and nailer you're kind of like yeah you know maybe maybe like Randy has a better shot of making the all-star team than those two guys even though those two guys might be better players than Randy yeah I mean you could see two starters I mean could Gilbert and woo or woo and Kirby or could two of those three guys make this yeah sure and munios I think is going to make it so I think Julio Cal and Munoz are basically locks just you know based off

their reputation and all that. Yeah. And then do they get one more after that? I think they do. Yeah. Agreed. As for who that fourth could be, I'll go woo.

It's probably going to be one of the starting pitchers. But yeah, Donovan, Randy, Nailer. Yeah. For sure. Mariners, one and a half top ten prospects traded. Under. Interesting.

One or none? One. Because they're going to trade Colt Emerson and fix everything else. I think I'd say one because, again, the top 10 right now as we sit here, it'll look different by the time the trade deadline rolls around. I'd say one because I don't think they have as much to do at the deadline. Now that could change, right?

Injuries, underperformance. But as things sit right now, what are they going to need at the deadline? Another high leverage bullpen arm. and then like, you know, maybe a utility infielder, maybe a fourth outfielder, maybe a number five starter. Those things don't cost, you know, top 100 prospects. And like seven or eight of the top 10 prospects right now for the Mariners are, you know, top 100-ish type of dude.

So I don't foresee them doing anything that's going to require multiple of those guys. But it's possible. I think one and a half is the correct number to put it at. I would say they end up trading one of the, those guys. And if I had to guess which one it would be, it'd probably be Felman. I think they really like Laz. I think they really like Arroyo. Obviously, it's not going to be any of the top three, maybe Farmel. But it feels like you're selling low on him if you were to trade him. So, yeah, I think maybe him. Maybe Felman gets traded. I don't think they're going to trade Stevenson yet. But this could

all change in July. And in July, I'm going to be, you know, pounding the table for them to trade. you know, Lazz and Arroyo to get the high leverage reliever with three years of club control. So we'll see what happens. But for now, I'll say under. I think they trade one. 0.5 brawls. It's been a couple of years. Under.

I'm taking the over this year. I think I take the over every year. I think it finally happens with the Astros. I think now that rolls have reversed with Houston and now they're the team chasing you. I think they try to punch up a little bit. All right. Well, that's going to do it for our show. Thank you so much for joining us here on the Locktime Marrars podcast. Part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day.

And once again, if you never miss an episode, it's time to make it official. Join the lockdown every day or club and get out of free audio, access to our members only Discord and more. All built for our most loyal fans. For Colby Pat, Pat, No, I'm Tadden Gonzalez. Be sure to give us a follow on Twitter at L0 underscore Marriss. You can follow me at Tadik-G and C-Pat-G-1. We're also on Blue Sky. You can follow me at TDG, Colby at MLB-Colby.

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