Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - Playoff Predictions + Mariners ROTY and SPOTY

Episode Date: October 5, 2021

Hosts Ty Dane Gonzalez and Colby Patnode predict the 2021 MLB postseason and debate the Mariners' rookie of the year and most surprising player of the year.Be sure to follow or subscribe to Locked On Mariners wherever you prefer your podcasts! For questions and other inquiries, email: [e-mail] the show on Twitter: @LO_Mariners | @danegnzlz | @CPat11For more of Ty and Colby, check out their Patreon: patreon.com/controlthezone/Rock AutoAmazing selection. Reliably low prices. All the parts your car will ever need. Visit RockAuto.com and tell them Locked On sent you.BetOnline AGThere is only 1 place that has you covered and 1 place we trust. Betonline.ag! Sign up today for a free account at betonline.ag and use that promocode: LOCKEDON for your 50% welcome bonus. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

You are Locked-on Mariners, your daily Seattle Mariners podcast, part of the Locked-on Podcast Network, your team every day. Welcome to Locked-on Mariners, your home for Daily Seattle Mariners News and analysis. Thank you so much for making us your first listen of the day. We are free and available on all platforms. Today is Tuesday, October 5th, 2021. I am your host, Taday Gonzalez, joined as always by my co-host, Colby Patnode. follow us on Twitter at L-O-U-U-U-N-S-R-N-E.

You can follow me at Dane Gonzalez, that's D-A-N-Z-E, G-N-Z-L-Z, and Colby at C-P-A-E-T-E-A-T-1-1. Be sure to also check out our Patreon, where we talk about the Mariners even more. Also, getting us to some non-baseball talk twice a week. Visit patreon.com.com forward-slash-control the zone for more information on that. But on today's episode of Lockdown Mariners,

we're going to start handing out some season awards for the 2021 Mariners, beginning with the team's rookie of the year and surprise player of the year, But first, we're going to start with our postseason predictions for Major League Baseball. If you like what you hear, give the show a follow or subscribe wherever you're listening to this. We'd greatly appreciate it. Tonight, the playoffs are getting under our way.

And unfortunately, the Mariners are not a part of it, but it's lining up to be a pretty fun postseason. Nonetheless, and we're going to make our predictions now starting with the wild card games. First one starts tonight, the American League World Card game, Yankees at Red Sox. I'll be who you got in this one. I'm going to take the Yankees. It's a rivalry game, so it should be pretty fun. But the Red Sox are going to be without J.D. Martinez. He is out for this game.

You know, Nathan Yvaldi is having a great year. So it'll certainly be a should be a low-scoring game. But you never really know the games at Yankee Stadium. It's not exactly conducive. It's at Fenway, actually. Oh, is that Penway? Yeah, it's up Fenway, I believe. That was a surprise to me, too.

I thought the Yankees had the... I guess Boston won the season series. Yeah, okay. Yeah, it's Yankees at Red Sox. Yeah, Boston won the season series. So, okay, well, the point still stands. It's not exactly a, you know, a low-scoring environment there at Fenway either. But, yeah, I'm still going to take the Yankees.

I think the loss of J.D. Martinez is going to hurt. I think the Yankees are a little bit better. Now, the Yankees did lose DJ LaMayhew, so neither team is exactly 100%. I just feel like the JD Martinez injury is a bigger one to deal with. It's a pretty good pitching matchup, but I would expect a kind of a back-and-forth game, and it's probably going to be five or six hours long

because that's what the Red Sox and Yankees do. Yeah. Yeah, I'm going to go with the Yankees. on this one as well, especially, you know, they just swept the Red Sox down in Fenway, not even two weeks ago. Pretty decisively, they got Garrett Cole on the bomb.

I know he's been struggling a little bit lately, at least in terms of, you know, relative to Garrett Cole's standards. But yeah. All right, so we got the Dodgers against the Red Hot Cardinals who none of us thought would be here, but they are here.

And the Dodgers who almost won 100 games this year, or somehow the wild card with that talented roster and that's thanks to the Giants incredible run. Who do you have in this one? It's Adam Wainwright versus Max Scherzer. Yeah, I'm going to take the Dodgers still. Yeah. They're just significantly more talented.

You know, aside from the 17-game winning streak, the Cardinals have been mostly mediocre at best. Now, Wainwright's had a great year. I expect this to be another really good game. But the Dodgers are just more talented. Now, in a one-game situation, talent kind of goes out the window. But in the playoffs, I'm usually going to pick the more talented roster to win. So, yeah, anything can happen.

Again, it's a one-game situation, but anything can happen. But I don't know, if I'm the National League, I'm rooting very hard for the Cardinals because I do not want to give the Dodgers, you know, too long. losses in the division series to try. And I don't want to get them two free losses, basically, that they can garner. So I'm going to take them, again, Dodgers without Max Muncie. That does hurt. But the lineup is just so deep and the bullpen is deep.

And everything about that team is just built to win in October. So I'm going to take the Dodgers. But I wouldn't be shocked if the Cardinals pull an upset here. But I just don't think it's going to happen. Yeah. You know, I kind of wanted to pick the, you know, the team of destiny, if you will, with the Cardinals here, with how hot they've been. And, you know, they're kind of embodying chaos ball a little bit here towards the end of the stretch.

But, yeah, you got to go with the Dodgers. They're so good. So you and I are both on the same page here. So our AL and NLDS series are the same. It's White Sox Astros, Rays, Yankees, Brewers, Braves, Braves, Giants, Dodgers. who are you going with in these four series? I'm going to go ahead. I'm going to take the Astros over the White Sox.

Not something I want to do, but I don't know. I just feel like the Astros are the better team. It's close. I would expect this to be a, you know, if not a five-game series, it's going to be a very low-run differential type of series. I don't see any team just dominating the other one. I just like the depth of the Houston lineup a little bit more.

Chicago probably has the edge pitching-wise, but, you know, Lance McCuller, Zach Rankie is pretty good. And then you have, you know, Garcia. Or Qaeda. Your Qaeda, yeah. So, yeah, I just feel like Houston's just a little bit better. I would expect this to be a, like I said, a tight series. I'd be a little bit surprised if it didn't go to five games,

but I'm going to take the Astros to win this one three games to two. By the way, apparently the Astros are running Granky out of the bullpen in the postseason. Not going to be starting him. So that's interesting. I know that he, he's been, he's been a hurt, right? Yeah. Yeah. All right.

So you're going, I'm going to go with the White Sox here because I think that they have enough firepower on, on offense. And, you know, you got Gialito, you got Lance Lang. Hard to argue against that. Carlos Rutan as well. That rotation is nuts. Yeah. Houston's rotation is really strong as well. And the bullpen is really nice.

But yeah, I'm going to go white socks here. So Ray's Yankees, I'm going to go with Ray's here in a close series. I think this one's going to go to five. Give me the raise in four. Okay. I like that. I just think they're better. Just flat out.

they're a better team. And they're a team that's, you know, going to use their bullpen very effectively and efficiently. They're a team that really doesn't have any holes in their lineup. You know, it's not, it's not as top, or it's not as, like, formidable as the Astros, but one through nine, there's really no easy outs in there. Yeah. You know, and the same could be said for the Yankees, but there are some guys who are

susceptible to, well, quite frankly, being bad, like Joey Gap. Gallaudelaire Torres and Gary Sanchez. So, yeah, I'm going to take the, I'm going to take the raise here. I think their pitching is just too much to handle. And I feel like they're just better, more talented, and honestly smarter than the Yankees. So I'm going to take the raise here in four. Okay. Brewers Braves.

This one's interesting. Some pretty good pitching in this one. I'm going to go Brewers, though. They've been a force and honestly the Braves mostly benefited from a bad division this year. What about you? Yeah, I'm going to take the Brewers too. Yeah.

That pitching is just, it's insane. Yeah. The Brewers might not even, I mean, the Brewers haven't even really had the best Kristen Yellich this year at all. So if he can get hot for two or three weeks here, he could carry them to the World Series. That's how good that pitching staff is.

all right so then this is the big one here they're finally going to have to decide who sits atop this uh the NL West here even though obviously the Giants won the division in the regular season but Giants Dodgers two heavyweights here this this honestly might be the world series itself right here who do you have in this one this one's going to be tough

yeah I'm going to take the Dodgers. All right. All right. Interesting. Yeah, no, it's just it's one of those things that that look, like,

it's, I keep waiting for the Giants to collapse because you look at that roster. It's really not a 100-win roster, 100, whatever, how many wins they ended up with. It's really not. But at the end of the day, the record speaks for itself, and they're clearly a very good team, but I just like the Dodgers roster more.

And I feel like the, Dodgers are better set up in the playoffs. And, you know, I just feel like they're the best team in baseball, Rossner and baseball. So I'm going to take them, you know, in a best of seven. I think the series probably goes six or seven games. I bet it's back and forth. But I just feel like the Dodgers are just honestly significantly more talented than the Giants.

But, you know, we have 162 games of data that says they're about equal. But, yeah, I mean, the Dodgers didn't have Max Scherzer. Trey Turner the entire year either. Sure. We'll see, but I'm going to take the Dodgers here. I just honestly, I think their roster is better by a decent margin.

I'm going to go to the Giants. Why not? Why not, you know, why are you with, well, they're not. I would agree with that. I would agree with that. But this year, they

just, they keep on winning. They keep on finding ways to win and it's hard to argue against that especially when the postseason this is a this is a team with a lot of veterans that have that have been to this point that that and obviously the Dodgers are the defending champ so it's going to be a it's going to be a slug plus I think this is going to come down right to the wire all the way down to game five so yeah all right so AL NLCS you have Houston and Tampa Bay I have Chicago in Tampa Bay and then we have San Francisco versus Milwaukee and you have LA versus Milwaukee.

Who are you taking in these series? I'm going with the rematch of the shortened 2020 World Series. I'm going to take the race in the Dodgers. Nice. Yeah, you know, it's something I called at the beginning of the 2020 season. I figure I just stick with it now here at the end of the 2021 season. Yeah, I just feel like these are the two best teams in baseball. I feel like they have the best rosters that are built to perform very well in the playoffs.

And I just feel like, you know, we're going to get two really good LCSs. But ultimately, I'm going to take the talent to win out a little bit here. And maybe part of this is because I really don't want the Astros to go to the World Series. But yeah, I just feel like it's the two best teams are the Rays and the Dodgers. So that's the World Series I hope we get, but it'll be interesting to see how it actually plays out. I'm going to go with the pitching here. I'm going to go White Sox and Brewers in these two series for the World Series.

And I mean, these two staffs are just incredible and insanely talented, as you said, in reference to the Brewers and the White Sox are just downright filthy in the rotation as well. So I think that's going to carry them. carry both of these teams to the World Series. Ty hates Nelson Cruz confirmed. I'm sorry, Nellie.

I'm sorry. All right. So I'm going to take the I'm going to take the White Sox here to win the World Series though. It pains me to say it because I don't like Tony LaRousseau at all. I know a lot of people don't either.

So I'm not really saying anything groundbreaking there. But yeah, that team is really talented. And I also love watching Tim Anderson play. So I would love to see him get a World Series. What about you? I like watching Tim Anderson play as well, but I like watching Nelson Cruz hit more.

And so the Tampa Bay Rays, led by World Series MVP, Nelson Cruz, are going to beat the Dodgers in seven games, walk off home run from Nellie in game seven. To give Tampa Bay, it's first world series and probably their last before they head to Montreal in that weird thing they're going to do next year. Yeah, that's really strange. Yeah, give me the raise.

Yeah, all right, I like it. So we're both going AL here. I'm going White Sox, you're going to raise. It should be a really fun postseason. We're looking forward to watching it. We'll probably talk about it some here on Lockdown Mariners. We're going to get into our season awards for the 2021 Mariners,

starting with the rookie of the year in just a moment. But real quick, want to remind you this episode of Lockdown Mariners is brought to you by Rock. Auto.com. With the ever-increasing numbers of makes and models, it's now impossible for your local chain auto parts store to stock all the parts you need. Why endure often pointless or seemingly intimidating questioning like is your Odyssey an LX or an EX and wait while the person behind the counter orders the parts on their computer choosing the only brand their warehouse happens to carry. You have computers with access to rock auto.com at home and in your pocket. So why choose to spend 30%, 50%, even 100% more for the same parts from a chain store or car deal?

For example, a Honda Odyssey fuel pump is $353 from a chain store, whereas with Brock Auto, it's only $216. Plus, Rock Auto is a family business serving do-it-yourselfers for over 20 years, and their prices are reliably low for every customer. So go to Brockato.com right now and see all the parts available for your car or truck. Write locked on in there, how did you hear about us, box so they know we sent you. Amazing selection, reliably low prices, all the parts your car will ever do. need rock auto.com. This is locked on Mariners. Thank you so much for making us your first

listen of the day. Every day we are free and available on all platforms. Colby let's get into these season awards here. I'm going to say goodbye to the 2021 Mariners this week. Hand out some hardware, some virtual hardware, some non-existent

fictional hardware to some of our favorite players, some of our favorite moments of the year. We're going to start with rookie of the year, however. And this really, excuse me, this comes down to a couple of guys, really, Logan Gilbert and Jared Kelnick.

I don't know if you want to throw anyone else in there. But who are you going with here for the Mariners rookie of the year this year? Logan Gilbert. I don't think it's really all that close. Certainly, Kalnick closed the gap with his great September. But, you know, Gilbert did go through his own struggles as well. But just, you know, from start to finish, they both made their debut on the same day. And then just, you know, Gilbert was able to stay up the entire year.

Kelnik had to go back down. Yeah, Kelnik's struggles were just longer and more pronounced than Gilbert's. And Gilbert was pretty darn good. And both guys flashed their upside and it's tremendous. But I feel like I'm going to give it to the guy who was consistent, you know, and also finished with a very strong September as well. So I'm going to go with Logan Gilbert. I really don't think it's all that close, to be quite honest.

Yeah, you make a great argument there that, you know, I think the one thing that Kelnick has working for him is that September, but then you look at what Logan Gilbert did. He pitched fantastic in a couple of really big games for this team in September as well. So, yeah, I have to give the advantage here to Logan Gilbert. Love what Kelnick was able to do in the month of September. It was great. You got to feel absolutely fantastic about that.

that heading into 2022. But Gilbert, to be able to go over 100 endings this year and do what he did and to be able to pitch the way that he did in some really big moments for this team and to overcome some of those struggles that he had, especially when he got absolutely shelled by the Blue Jays, I thought that was

possibly the end of it for him. But he was able to bounce back just like this team did for most of the year, being able to bounce back when it just seemed like everything was finally coming to a halt and it seemed like with Gilbert it was all you know starting to fall apart for him wasn't really able to find his secondaries was really relying on that fastball but he figured out how to make it work you know even though that it's it's not really a great strategy for success he was able to make

that that work for him and be able to adjust and and pivot into and figure out you know a way to just kind of live at this at this level with what he had and his capabilities and hopefully you know during the off season he goes back to the drawing bar drawing board figures out how to how to work those secondaries in better more efficiently and and we see a more refined logan gilbert next year but he had a very good first step uh this year uh so before we uh hop into our next segment colby any any other thoughts here on the rookie of the year i no it's it's you know it's a pretty standard two-man race here. You know, Taylor Tremel certainly had his moments.

But, you know, again, it just really struggled and never quite had the breakout that Kellnick did. So, yeah, it pretty much it's Logan Gilbert and everybody else. But the future is still bright for both these guys. And it's, there was certainly a lot that happened that you have to like if you're a mariner fan. So you should be excited for both of these guys. But Gilbert was just just better this year than that.

than Kelnick and honestly that's that's not that big of a that shouldn't be that big of a shock to anybody what no love for Matt Brash I mean the guy did have a zero ERA at the major league level technically he didn't have an ERA

because you have to have an ERA so that's true yeah the details yeah that was that was weird and we talked about that yesterday it was weird that they him up and he didn't get any action. Audrice Munoz got more action than Matt Brash,

which you asked me, or you told me that like a week ago? I don't know. I wouldn't believe you. It was weird. But we're going to talk about our surprise player of the year in just a moment, but want to remind you real quick. This episode of Lockdown Mariners is also brought to you by betonline.

We're back in better than ever. All eyes are on the gridiron as teams are back on to start another football season and as always, bet online is your number one spot for all the pro and college football action. With a new updated site and interface, even more odds, props and contests, betonline.ag continues to be the number one source for everything football. Head to the website or use your mobile device to sign up today to receive your 100% welcome bonus. That's double your initial deposit just for signing up. Don't forget to use promo code NFL 100 for that. Bet online is the fastest and easiest way to bet on all your favorite sports from football, basketball, boxing, right to your favorite Vegas casino

games. So don't wait to take advantage of all the amazing offers available for the 2021 season. Bet Online, your online sportsbook experts. You're listening to Locked-on Mariners. Thank you so much again for making us your first listen to the day. Every day we are available and free on all platforms. Let's wrap up this show by looking at our surprise player of the year. and there's probably going to be quite a few options to pick from here. Who do you have, Colby?

Surprise. You know, it's, I'm assuming we're looking for good surprises, right? Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Let's be optimistic here. Yeah, we're going to be hashtag positive on the show today. Yeah, it probably has to be someone in the bullpen. I mean, it seems like it's either Seawald or Steckin Rider, and it's probably Seawald because Stead

second rider at least had some level of success, but, yeah, I didn't really think that Steck and Ryder had much of a shot of making the team out of spring training, and he was, you know, arguably their best reliever. I mean, Sadler, maybe, but Casey Sadler also a potential option for that. So, yeah, it's probably one of those bullpen guys, but that's not really all that much fun. So I'm going to, I'm going to go with Chris Flexen. He was a solid, you know, number three, number four, mostly number four, but there were times where he looked like a number three. It'll be interesting to see how the league kind of attacks him next year,

now that the cat's out of the bag there and his stuff is pretty well defined. But yeah, it turned out to be a fantastic bargain for Jerry Depoto. He didn't miss a single start. He gave the team 175 innings, I think, which is well within the top 10 of the American League and they were 175 above average innings for the most part. So yeah, I'm going to go with Chris Flexen, but really it's Flexen at Seawall

that's Steckenrider, Sadler. I'm sure I'm forgetting somebody and I'm sure you're going to come up with a completely different name than the ones that I just listed. Well, you could mention Luis Terence, who after getting sent down to AAA came up and was, you know, one of your five best sitters,

six best sitters, probably says more about your lineup than Louis Terence, but hey, the fact that he came up and was useful and provided some unexpected power. Some of us knew he could hit and hit for power. So, I mean, maybe you didn't, but, you know. I saw it coming. Yes.

Not, no. Of course you did. Just to be different here, I'm going to go with Paul Sewell. Even though I do agree with you, Flexen had a bigger impact on this team naturally because he's going to pitch many more hitting. than Paul Seawald is. But the fact that Paul Seawald just literally came out of nowhere and became not just one of your best relievers, one of the best relievers in baseball this year.

I mean, you look at his percentile rankings. You have the 97% width percentage, 99th percentile and K percentage. Let me look here at his K-per-9. It was 14.47 this year. And obviously he wore down a little bit as a year went along, gave up some home runs, all that. the slider was not as great towards the end of the year. But the fact that you got this guy for nothing, and he has turned into one of the more valuable relievers than the entire game this year.

And we'll see how next year goes. You can never know with relievers. But the fact that he put up these numbers and you look at his baseball savant page and it's all just a ton of red for the most part, you know, aside from, you know, barrel percentage. He found quite a few barrels this year, but he was really, really solid for this team. And spearheaded a unit that pretty much was the driving force of this team's run. The bullpen was the reason that this team was in so many close games and had a chance to win a lot of those close games.

And, you know, big reason why they ended up winning 90 games this year. Paul Seawalt's right at the front of that. Casey Sadler as well, Drew's second rider. Those guys were awesome. And Seawald, you know, you could make the argument for Sadler. Of course, you could make the argument for Steck and Rider. But I would say that Seawald was probably the better of those guys. But it's close.

It's close. But I really like Paul Seawald this year and looking forward to see him what happens with him this year, whether they take advantage of his trade value potentially or if he's going to be a part of this polepin moving forward. he's a he's a fun guy to watch and it's also just good dude in general it seems at least i mean i've never met him but from everything i've heard and seeing he seems like good guy so always uh always like that uh any other uh any other guys you want to talk about here you know maybe show some love to case of sadler or something sadler uh was was very good he ended up with like a 0.670 so really close uh to be nice but uh it uh it uh it was i i I think the lowest in the American League, I'm not mistaken.

He was fantastic, particularly down the stretch. And really kind of stepped into overdrive after they traded J.T. Chardquois, who, you know, people didn't really like that, although they didn't care all that much. But whatever, he basically took Chardroix's role and was better at it than J.T. was. So that was really fun. Abraham Toro in August was a bit of a revelation. because I think, you know, at the time when the trade was made, you and I looked at his overall numbers, and we were like,

eh, and then obviously you dig a little deeper, and you say, oh, well, he's on the up swing. And then you saw him in August really carry the offense for a couple of weeks. And, you know, unfortunately, September didn't go the way he wanted to. Otherwise, he would definitely be up there with flexen and the bullpen guys. But, yeah, no, other than that, I feel like everybody was about what you would expect, give or take. If you want to throw Mitch Hanigar in there for not having to go on the IL.

I believe he only missed six or seven games. I think he played 150 plus games. So that was certainly a pleasant surprise. And he was pretty solid all year. But yeah, other than that, I feel like that's, you know, that's pretty much everybody else was about as expected or worse than expected. And we're staying positive today. So we'll avoid those other guys.

But yeah, I feel like that's about it. And yeah, Mitch Hanigur played 157 games this year, tied a career high. After being out of baseball for basically about, he missed about, oh. A year and a half. I don't know. Yeah, about 500 days or so. So that's pretty impressive. Yeah.

Awesome year for Mitch and especially incredible end to the season for him as well. But that's going to do it for today's show. I hope you guys enjoyed that. Thank you so much for joining us here on Lockdown Mariners for Colby Pat Note. I'm Tyane Gonzalez. Be sure to give us a follow on Twitter at L0 underscore Mariners. You can follow me at Dan Gonzalez. That's D-A-N-ZL-Z and Colby at CPAT 11.

That's C-P-A-T-1-1. You can also find all that stuff in the description of this episode. Thank you again for making Lockdown Mariners. Your first listen of the day. Every day will be back tomorrow with more season awards and look at Scott's services chances. of winning manager of the year. But now make your second listen of the day,

Locked on MLB, where Paul Francis Sullivan, and please call him Sully brings you his unique perspective on the major leagues present and past. It's free and available on all platforms. Have yourself a beautiful baseball day, and we'll see you tomorrow.