Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - What to Know About Ace Reese, Jake Brown, and the Rest of the Seattle Mariners' 2026 Draft Class

Episode Date: July 17, 2026

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Joe Doyle of Overslot baseball returns to the show to help us break down the Mariners 2026 draft class. You are locked on Mariners. Your daily Seattle Mariners podcast. Part of the Locked on podcast network, your team every day. Ahoy, sailors. It is Friday, July 17th, 2026. My name is Tad of Gazzalus. And on today's show, we're going to visit with Joe Doyle to talk all about the Mariners 2026 MLB draft class.

Let's hop right in. Earlier this week, we gave you our first reaction to the Mariners' 2026 draft class, but here to help us dive a bit deeper into the group is Joe Doyle of Overslot Baseball and Overslot the MLB Draft Podcast. Joe, appreciate you hopping on. Fascinating class here for the Mariners, basically college exclusive. What are just your overall thoughts on this group? Yeah, I think it's certainly a departure from what Seattle has done in the past.

and that might not be a philosophical change as much as it is what was left available to them at pick 24 and beyond. And then, you know, kind of hitting on what you just mentioned there, when you trade your comp B pick or your comp A pick, when you trade your signing bonuses, you're not going to have a lot of flexibility to go after high schoolers in the draft. And when you're picking 24th, you're not going to have the ability to, you know, dramatically underslot anybody. So you're not going to have access to high schoolers. So I always kind of felt that they were going to have to play it straight up. But, yeah, I think a good way of putting a bow on this is not the Mariners draft package that we're accustomed to. Yeah, absolutely.

And then, you know, their first overall pick, Ace Reese, you know, when we had you on a couple weeks ago, we were talking about college bats and college outfielders specifically. And we talked about a few college arms as well. Ace Reese never got brought up. I had never heard Ace Reese get connected to the Mariners. So was this a matter of the Mariners really liked Ace Reese? They just didn't think that they were going to be able to get him. Or did it have anything to do potentially with, you know, the two arms going right before him?

Kate Townsend, who was the other one? Camer and Fluky? Yeah, yeah. Fluky and Townsend going, you know, back to back picks right before their pick. Did that have any impact? What do you just think about that whole situation there at 24? Yeah, so four things. Logan Hughes went six picks before them.

I think they would have loved Logan Hughes. Cam Fluky and Kate Townsend, they were all over that. I think what the Royals ended up paying Taylor Raib at pick 30 was not expected. I think that was an underslot deal that they were pretty excited about. They probably didn't want to get into a tit-for-tat PR war there. And then there were some guys that were dragged down lower than that, that just ended up having really big deals from teams behind Seattle. So I think it was just a perfect storm.

I think all of the guys that they had circled went before them or had better deals than they were comfortable with. But I think there is a little bit to that, too, Ty. I don't think they thought Ace Reese was going to be there. I'm sure they thought he was going to get scooped up by someone in the teens that, you know, a model team that just buys exit velocity data. So to answer your question, I think it's a little bit of both. I don't think that they expected him. I don't think they had prepared for him. I can tell you they didn't dramatically prepare for Ace Reese being on the board.

But I think they would have, you know, I think they were planning on one of those guys that went ahead of them to be there. Colby. Yeah, so just real fast to wrap up on Reese. It doesn't sound like a third baseman, sounds probably first base left field. What is the ceiling here? Is this a poor man's Las Montez? Is this, I mean, what we're looking at here? no he's not las montes

he's not he's not las montes and we're not going to do that today colby we're not going to do thank god on the las montes what i will say so let me tell you my take on ace ruse i think he's got a chance to play third base he is not as for an athlete as people are making him out to be he can move

he's got some lateral mobility he can it's just a little bit raw it's a little bit crude The other thing I'll say about Ace Reese is there's still some projection in that frame. I know he's 6'4, 215, 220 pounds, but if you go watch him play, he's got broad shoulders. They're not that filled in yet. Like, he's going to be able to put on a little bit more muscle, a little bit more athleticism, and maybe that improves the way that he moves. Look at what Julio Rodriguez was before he put on 25 pounds.

He started moving better. So I think Seattle's probably buying into the idea that, hey, maybe this guy has another year, athletically, mobility-wise. I'll tell you this, if they're selecting him at pick 24, he is going to play third base all the way up the ladder. They're not going to move him to first base or left field, probably until Tacoma when he is at the doorstep of making it to the big leagues. What I've said all along with Ace Reese is if you enjoyed watching the 32,

33-year-old version of Kyle Seeger, I think that's what you might be getting. I personally believe that the industry is overselling the sheer raw power of A3s. I don't think he's a raw power guy. What I do think is he knows how to get to the pole side and lift the baseball better than just about anybody in this class. That's what Kyle Seeger did well as well. So do I think he's going to win any gold gloves? No. Do I think he's going to be a plus defensive third baseman?

Probably not. But if you can get him to an average third basement, talking about a guy that like Seeger but hit 235, 240 could pop you 24 to 28 homers, maybe at his peak, he crests 30, but this is a guy that's going to strike out. It is a guy that's not going to walk a whole lot. He is going to frustrate you sometimes, but the impact, the peaks are going to be exciting. So, I mean, Colby, do you want to ask about Jake Brown? That's your guy.

I mean, I, yeah, big Jake Brown fan here. And when you mention the Mariners might, you know, abandon any plans, if Brown fell to them in the second round that was very exciting and it happened so jake brown's a seattle mariner that that that's pretty cool right had that one didn't i yeah i was i was around late i was around late um yeah like look jake brown was a very good player at ls u before he broke his hamlet bone i don't think we're going to see jake brown i don't think we're going to see jake brown until 2027 but i could be i could be proven wrong um just a guy that knows how to find the you know the barrel he he's a line drive machine I think when you watch Jake Brown play baseball and you watch him swing a baseball bat,

you look at his size, you look at his bat speed, you go, there are some changes that need to take place in his lower half for this swing to get the most out of it. When you watch him do force plates and jump at the combine, when you watch him clock the second fastest 30-yard dash time at the combine, I think everyone is starting to realize, like, was this guy miscast as a right fielder at LSU just because Derek Curiel, was playing center field. All of the metrics, all of the numbers suggest Jake Brown is a 70 runner. I think the mobility side of things, his ability to swivel his hips, his ability to break out of the box quickly is holding him back. And so I think that's going to be the first thing Seattle works

on hip mobility, kind of athleticism, flexibility. And there might be a chance that we're talking about like another Johnny Farmello type of athlete in center field. Now, I don't think. think Jake Brown has the raw power that that Farmello does. But I do think he is perhaps a better pure hitter. So I'm super intrigued to see what Jake Brown could become. I do think he is more, he's more apt to player development tinkering than than Ace Reese. I think PD is going to really try and sink its teeth into this one and get more out of the player. But man, there's, there's a lot to like here. He was a two-way player. He was a left-handed pitcher just 18 months ago. So he's still taking to this whole offensive thing full-time. I think he's going to be a fun one to follow.

Is Brown kind of a hybrid between like a prep guy then and a college guy? Because obviously he performed, you know, in the SEC, or at least playing for an SEC school. But like you said, he's only really been a full-time offensive player for what a year now. Like so is there a little bit of upside here that you don't typically see? with the college bat? I think there's just, yeah, I think there's just upside in the way that his body works. I don't think it's the exposure to advanced pitching. I mean, he's gotten a lot of played appearances at LSU. He's seen a lot of good pitching, and he's performed. When you watch him play, when you watch him, you know, execute, he looks like a,

he's more athletic than he looks on the baseball field. It would be a good way of putting it. And so I'm just, I'm fascinated to see how. much more the Mariners can extract from this guy because he when you watch a play he looks like a player that is capable of hitting 25 homers and then you look under the hood you look at the max exit velocity you look at the average exit velocity and the way the swing works and you go well no wonder he's not getting to it there's so many moving parts in his lower half that i think it's just sapping all of his explosive athleticism out of him so um yeah i just i think i'll put it this way

I think opening day 2027, the swing might look completely different than what we see on film. Is Brown the best pick of this entire class for the Marys, in your opinion? I had Brown at 49 on my board. He goes 65. That's a pretty big luxury, especially when you're talking about college players. You don't usually see a college player. Now, you're going to see a high school player that was ranked 35, goes 65 all the time. But you don't usually see college players, at least on my board and most public boards, in the first or second round, slipped 16 spots below where they were ranked.

So I think he's probably the best value that this team got. And I think he's probably the player that everyone should be most excited about what it could become. More from our conversation with Joe in just a moment. But first a reminder, this episode of the Locktime Air is podcast is brought to you by Stance and Nutraful. It's time for the everyday icon presented by Stance. As the official sock partner of Major League Baseball, Stance knows greatness isn't built in a single moment. It's earned over time through consistency, preparation, and showing up every day. That's why each week we're recognizing one player whose performance embodies those same qualities.

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Thank you so much for making us your first listen for all things, Mariners. And also thank you for making Locked on the number one sports podcast network. Let's get back into our conversation with Joe Doyle. Now, the Mariners only took two pitchers in the first 10 rounds. One of them, the ninth rounder that they took Drew Whaling coming off of Tommy John surgery very recently. So, you know, we'll talk about him maybe a little bit later on. But I want to start here with Nathan Taylor,

the first of the two pitchers that they took here in the first 10 rounds. You spoke pretty highly of him when the, the mayor has made this pick. So just tell us a little bit more about Nathan Taylor out of Cincinnati. Yeah, 92 to 94, 7 feet of extension, up to 96 and a half. Slider is disgusting. It's 83 to 86, touch an 87, negative 3 vert. It's gross.

It's going to be a pro ready plus pitch right away. There's a change up. There's a curveball. Doesn't need to throw them in college. Essentially, this is like Nathan Taylor is, what the Mariners have turned into gold routinely. It's big athlete, great frame, four pitches, tons of strikes. He's 92 to 94 most nights.

If Nathan Taylor was 94 to 96, we're talking about him in the top 50 picks. So I would expect Gas Camp gets him up to, you know, 93 to 96, maybe touch the 98. And then all of a sudden you're looking at a guy going, shoot, like did the Mariners just taking the third round another, you know, high four starter? I don't know if there's going to be room for him, and that's a conversation for another time, but value is value, and you can flip Nathan Taylor for something valuable

if you don't see any reps for him. Absolutely. Colby, anything you want to know about Trevor Lucas or Hayden Yos, any of those guys? Who are they? Who are you people? Yeah, like now,

granted, I'm not, you know, draft expert, but I had never heard of these two guys. And, you know, fourth, fifth round picks, while not massive investments, certainly not throwaway picks. So who are Lucas and who are Yost? Like just in general?

Yeah. So Hayden Yost has been at the University of Florida for three years, maybe four years now. He is Jordan Yost's brother, who was a first round pick by the Tigers, I think, in 2024, 2025. Yeah, I'll say this about Yost. The swing looks a lot better than the results.

And he did finish strong, and he is a good athlete. He can run. He's got versatility. you play multiple positions. I think he is more of a scouting favorite than he is an analytic favorite. Like you look under the hood and you're like, this isn't like terribly inspiring. Why did he go this high?

Well, you ask probably area scouts and regional scouts, and they're going to say that that swing works. We don't know why it hasn't produced louder results in the SEC, but I could see Hayden Yost making a jump in pro ball. He just hasn't done it yet. And then I'll be the first to admit, I'll wear this. I mean, Trevor Lucas was like five, six. 70 on my board. He was buried and it's just that was a guy that I needed to revisit. Unc. Wilmington third base, second base can play a little bit of the outfield, can run. He's a good athlete, a little bit undersized, but you know, kind of a hidden gem because he comes from Gaston

College and only played at Wilmington for a year or two. But I mean, from a, from a metrics perspective, swings at the right pitches, makes a ton of contact, has average draw power. The swing really works. He probably belonged to be in this range or maybe in the fifth or sixth round range. But again, a guy that there's not a lot out there and I should have done better diligence on that one. Just quick, do you think Yos can play center field? Is he an up to middle guy or is he probably a corner guy? I think he's going to be in a corner. The frame suggests that he can play center field. He's a long strider. He looks like he can play center field. He hasn't really been. tested with it very much. I would expect that he's going to end up in left field as a pro.

Then in the sixth round, the Mariners take a guy who, you know, if you look on social media, I think he's kind of widely considered to be like the steel of the class for the Mariners specifically here. And that's that's Henry Ford, another guy who played third base in college, but seems like he might wind up in a corner at some point, you know, a different corner, first base, right field, somewhere like that. We'll see. But overall, what do you think Henry Ford, really interesting kind of trajectory that he went on going from Virginia, the hot freshman year that he had and then winding up in Tennessee and doing what he did. So what do you think about him?

I think I wrote this in my report. He reminds me a little bit of Ryan Healy. Healy was the guy that, you know, oh, we're going to bring in Ryan Healy. He's going to play third base. He's going to play third base. He's capable of playing third base. And then you see him in action there and you're like, you know, maybe it is first base. I don't think, you know, Henry Ford is a decent runner.

He's an average runner. I think he could, I think he could, you know, fill the gaps in right field and left field. But my issue is the arm action, his throws tail and sink. And so that's going to be a tough fit when you're trying to hold runners in either one of those corners. Maybe it's left field. There is arm strength, but it's not a, like, terribly accurate arm. So it's power over everything. There's definitely swing and miss.

There's definitely chase. There is a ton of raw power. It's every bit 60 grade raw power. Do I think he ultimately ends up at first base? Yes. Do I think he is going to play third base until Tacoma? Yes. Like these other guys.

So we'll see. The Mariners need right-handed bats. They need options on the right side. And, you know, he's probably going to provide them a little bit of versatility with a right-handed stick. Who do you think of, you know, these first few guys that we've talked about might be the quickest riser? Oh man, that's a good question. I think it's probably Nathan Taylor, unless you want to talk specifically about bats. I mean, Taylor's got four pitches.

He's an excellent mover. He's got a put away pitch. He's got enough velocity. He throws a ton of strikes. I think Nathan Taylor probably ends up, you know, a double A pushing AAA by the end of 2027. And then what about the bats? The bats are a little bit tougher. I think Ace Reese is going to be a project in that they're going to want to really spend their time at third base there.

I think Jake Brown is the same. I think they're going to really want to figure that one out. I think it honestly might be Trevor Lucas. Trevor Lucas might be the one that moves the fastest. He's got the versatility. He's got the right-handed stick. He's got the bat the ball. He's got the pitch selection.

He could be a guy that I think by, you know, the beginning of 2028 is in the meet of the, is in the meat of the Tacoma line up. Now, putting a bow here on the rest of the. the first 10 rounds here. We got Ryan Wynn, shortstop out of Georgia, Mason Ecclement, the catcher out of Ohio State, Drew Whalen, who I mentioned earlier, coming off with Tommy John, the right-handed pitcher out of Auburn, and then Eric Gian,

the second baseman out of Stanford. I know you really like Gian. That's kind of the guy here of the four that I just mentioned that I really have my eye on here. But just any thoughts on any of those four guys? Yeah, I think Ecclement is a pro. I think he's probably

going to be someone's third catcher in a Johnny Parada type of way. Just excellent bats of ball skills, average raw power that he kind of struggles to get to sometimes. And good enough defense, he'll probably be up and down. I think he's going to play in the pros for four or five years. Drew Whalen, I actually had a fourth or a fifth round grade on before he got hurt. It's a really good breaking ball. He's got a little bit of size to him. Good project. And you don't usually see Seattle go after the guys that are coming off Tommy John. So I'm excited to see what Whalen looks like in, you know, maybe by the All-Star break, 27. Gion is, I really locked in on Gion this season. He is one of the most annoying hitters

to why, for the opposition to pitch to. He fouls off everything and he plays, you know, pull to pole. He can ambush a ball to the pole side. He's, he's mechanical, but fundamental at second base. Like, he's probably not above average, but he converts every out, not excellent range. He's just a really good ball player. Like he's just a really gritty, good ball player. Like if you're okay with selecting Abraham Toro in the 10th round,

which you should be, you're going to like Eric Giann. He's just really, really, he's a pest. Our conversation with Joe Doyle continues in just a moment, but first a reminder this episode of the Locktime Airs podcast is brought to you by Game Time and indeed. There's nothing

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and you're listening to the long time mariner's podcast part of the lockdown podcast network your team every day as always if you want to hear from me and colby even more and help support the show we have a patreon it's called control the zone and on there we talk mariners we talk seahawks all the good stuff for more information go to patreon dot com forward slash control the zone link in the description of this episode. Let's get back into our conversation with Joe Doyle. Nothing on Wynn. I think I heard Oliver Bokter

talk about how Wynn was kind of a weird pick in the seventh round. What do you think about when? Yeah, that one I'll be honest, I didn't really understand that pick. I watched quite a bit of Ryan win this season, believe it or not, because I was

locked in on Volchko and some of those other Georgia Bulldogs. And he was a part-time player for Georgia. Got a lot more playing time. down the stretch with you know the last five or six weeks there's some there's some batted ball data there exit velocities that are easy to like but doesn't really get to it like he was he was a i think he hit like six or nine home runs or something like that he was a a recipient of a athens georgia he was not a recipient of crushing the baseball there's versatility there but i think he's a second baseman for me he was a day three value uh wasn't a seventh rounder for me but

But that's why they don't pay me. So we'll just have to wait and see. They've been pretty good at these mid-range, mid-round bats. I would expect that he's probably going to be a lot better than what Oliver and I think. So getting into the last 10 rounds here, what used to be day three of the draft, Wyatt Queen, Lake Stevens guy, goes to Oregon State. Really interesting, dude, really, really fascinated by that pick. and then Connor Marshburn,

I read the write-up there about the delivery and that, I was like, that sounds insane. And so I texted you and you sent me that video and it's nuts. So those two guys, you know, for again, like day three, quote-unquote picks, really fascinating dudes.

Yeah, I'll be interested in, I want to know what White Queen cost because I think he was probably an overslot selection. I could be totally wrong on that. But he feels like a pretty legitimate release. to starter conversion. Like he didn't have the opportunities at Oregon State because they had so many damn starters that they could go out there.

And when you have a guy like Queen who, you know, let's say one of your starters gets in trouble, you can pitch Wyatt Queen for three and a third. And he can just throw sliders and nobody's going to get a hit. It is one of the better sliders on the West Coast, definitely plus. The fastball velocity is just okay. He never really needed to throw the change up, although there's some shape there. I would expect that Seattle's going to stretch them out. See what they might have here.

See if they maybe have a starting pitcher until the operation works. But yeah, I mean, carrying tools, the slider, it's gross. And then Marshburn, you know, I think the name of the game in professional baseball right now is just show hitters something that they don't see on a regular basis. They don't see 6-8 with a release height that's lower than a 6'1-1-1-end. inch big leager. Also, they don't see guys that are 6-8 throwing sinkers at 97 with 20 inches of lateral break and negative 4 vert.

Like, that is an anvil. He is throwing anvils. If you go watch his late appearances, he is striking guys. Now, he's not a strikeout artist, but he is striking guys out with middle, middle, 92 mile an hour sinkers because it's just like, what is that? Like, what is that pitch? I mean, usually when he's throwing pitches outside of the zone, people are fouling it off because they can at least see it out of the hand.

When it's down the middle, they're just like, how is that, how did that end up there? I think, interestingly, he doesn't really have a great change up right now. And the way that arm action works, if Seattle can get that guy throwing a circle change or a split, he could be pretty gross. So I don't expect him to start. I expect him to be a reliever, but just kind of lean in into that fingerballer approach that they've done over the last three drafts. And then the rest of this

You know the final 10 rounds Anthony Tretto Chris Diaz Charlie Sutherland Chris Torres Matthew Mathis Michael Petit Those are the guys that are going to sign Santerrelli and Shouse Are not signing

Any thoughts on any of those guys Anyone we should keep our eye on there Yeah I think Chris Torres is probably the most interesting Of the uh or Chris Diaz is probably the most interesting of the bunch Arkansas commit live arm I think there's a lot more under the hood there that Seattle's going to be able to get out of that one. Kind of an Edward Bizarro type of a profile.

I don't think he's going to start, but I think he's going to develop a pretty good sinker and a breaking ball that come out of that tough slot. So they had to pay him a little bit of money to pull him out of Fayetteville and that commitment. So I would expect he is going to be the guy that we talk about. For whatever it's worth, Matthew Mathis was draft eligible last year. Fastball, cutter, slider, curveball, everything moves to the glove side.

Seattle's done well with that type of profile in the past. Yeah, so the mayor has had some savings early on in the draft. Where did those savings kind of wind up going? I think that's a good question. I know that some of these guys, like I know Ryan Wynn was overslot. I think Wyatt Queen was overslot, but I can't be sure would not surprise me if Drew Whalen to pull him away from Auburn was overslot. And then like I said, I'm fairly certain Chris Diaz was slightly overslots. So they didn't really splash with any of their savings.

only saved 300 grand with Ace Reese. So they didn't splash with their savings, but they spread it out on guys that, you know, if this wasn't the NIL era, would have been more attainable in most years. How much of an impact do you think the NIL actually had on these? Because prep guys have more leverage than ever, I would imagine, especially the top end guys.

College guys have so much more leverage. I mean, rounds five through 20 were just destroyed, because of the NIL era. You have guys, like guys at Mercer, guys at Louisiana Tech, guys at Florida Gulf Coast that ordinarily are just like slam dunk, you know, metric darlings that get popped in those rounds.

Now they're getting identified by Arkansas and LSU and Texas and A&M. And, you know, they're getting 100 grand to go pitch in the SEC and try again in 2027. So I think the high school guys were similar in, in most years, 24, 25, like there was always still, it was still a tough negotiation with high school guys regardless. These mid-range, mid-round college arms are tough to get these days. So I think the biggest impact was actually in those, you know, $200, $225,000 college arms that teams loved to

go after, especially in rounds five through 10. So in the end here, how many, let's say, top 20 prospects do you think the mayor has just added to their farm system with this draft? I would say probably three. I think, boy, I don't even have my updated top 30 pulled up. I think A3s probably fits somewhere in the top eight. I would say Jake Brown in the top 10. And then Nathan Taylor is probably in that 14 to 15 range. The one thing that is so nice about Nathan Taylor is this organization has a pretty big,

gap in terms of like starting pitching prospects outside of just the Sloan Anderson. And if you want to lump Mason Peters into that, you can go ahead and do it. They don't have much behind that. And so it's nice to add a legitimate, like obvious starting pitcher into the organization. So we probably, those guys probably fit in the top 15. And then I think everyone else kind of fits 20 plus. Colby, anything else before we let Joe go? Yeah, just two quick ones here.

How many of these guys do you think? we'll see Inland Empire, whatever, this year. Just rough estimate. And then also, is USC upstate a real school? USC upstate is a real school. They actually have more draft picks than you think in recent years. They can develop pitching, yeah. I would expect that, you know, Seattle's weird with the way that they actually send these guys out.

A lot of times they don't send out, like, anyone. I don't expect Jake Brown. I don't, I probably don't expect Nathan Taylor, just because they always. stay away from pitchers going out ace reese might get a cup of coffee maybe we see four or five games with him out there but i would expect guys like trevor lucas and hayden yost and ford and win and eckleman and geon some of these bats these college bats i would expect those guys go out because at the end of the day you want to promote your you want to promote your guys internally and the draft has always been a good mechanism to make that happen well joe now that the draft is in

the books uh what's what's life looking like for you now what's what's work looking like like for you now. Yeah. On to 2027. Traveling all summer to different baseball tournaments, seeing all these guys like I do every year, everyone for 27.

And balancing a seven-month-old daughter at home, which is just the best part of every day and every night. 3 a.m. is great. 11.30 p.m. is great. It's an adjustment, but she's awesome.

well joe thanks so much again overslaught baseball.com is the website overslaught the m lb draft podcast on patreon go check it out appreciate it joe all right that is going to do it for our show thank you so much again to joe doyle for joining us and thank you so much for joining us here on the lockdown marries podcast part of the lockdown podcast network your team every day for colby pat note i'm tiding gonzalez be sure give us a follow on twitter at l o underscore mariners you can follow me at Taday Gonzalez and Colby at C-Pat 11 that's C-PAT-1-1. We're also on Blue Sky. You can follow me at TDG, Colby at MLB Colby in the show at Lockdown Mariners. You can also find us on Instagram and TikTok at Lockdown Mariners.

Have yourself a beautiful baseball day and a beautiful baseball weekend and we'll see you next time. Peace.