Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - Which of the Top 50 Trade Deadline Candidates Fit the Mariners?!

Episode Date: June 27, 2025

Ty and Colby run down Jeff Passan's top-50 trade deadline candidates list and tell you how many fit the Mariners.DONATE TO OUR FEEDING AMERICA FUNDRAISERCheck out our Patreon!Follow the show on Twitter: @LO_Mariners | @TyDaneGonzalez | @CPat11Follow the show on Bluesky: @lockedonmariners | @tdg | @mlbcolbySupport Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Wonderful PistachiosGet snackin' and get crackin' with the snack that packs a protein punch. Visit WonderfulPistachios.com to learn more! Supply HouseJoin the TradeMaster program today at SupplyHouse.com/TM and start ordering plumbing, HVAC, and electrical supplies with just a few clicks. Plus, use promo code S-H-5 for 5% off your first order. That’s SupplyHouse.com! Monarch MoneyTake control of your finances with Monarch Money. Use code LOCKEDONMLB at monarchmoney.com for 50% off your first year. FanDuelRight now, new customers can get TWO HUNDRED DOLLARS in BONUS BETS when your first FIVE DOLLAR BET WINS! Download the app or head to FANDUEL.COM to get started. Bet with FanDuel—Official Partner of the NBA. FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Who's a yes and who's a no for the mayors among the many names that could be available at the deadline? We'll discuss out of more coming up here on the Lockdown Marrars podcast. Colby, hit it. You are Locked-on Mariners, your daily Seattle Mariners podcast. Part of the Locked-on Podcast Network, your team every day. Ahoy, Sailors. It is Thursday, June 26, 2025. This is Tadding, Gazzalus, and Colby Patnode for the Lockdown Marys Podcast.

Part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. always if you want to hear from me and colby even more and help support the show you can check out our patreon all you have to do to check that out is click the link in the description of this episode so we had different plans for today's show but the uh the mariners are obviously in a rain delay at the time of this recording uh maybe they're out of it maybe they've already played by the time you're watching this hopefully they're actually able to get the game in after waiting all this time uh but yeah we're going to pivot so we're going to talk some trade deadline we're going to talk some draft. It's going to be a pretty chill laid-back show. We're going to start with some deadline talk.

We're going to pretty much do what we did on the Patreon show yesterday, which was we went through Jeff Passon's top 50 trade deadline candidate list over on ESPN.com. Put the link to that article in the description as well if you want to read along with us. It's free for everyone to read over on ESPN. And we're just going to go through all these names, or at least most of them, and just say yes, no, maybe on if they're a fit or not for the Mariners. So let's just hop right into it. Number one on the list for Jeff Passon is Alex Bregman, third baseman for the Boston Red Sox. He puts his chances of being traded at just 10%, so really low. There's obviously a lot of other complications that come along with the potential of trading for Bregman,

specifically when it comes to the Seattle Mariners. The money is really the biggest one. But we'll talk about that in a second. But in general, just like in a vacuum, like this is the guy for me for the Mariners. Like he checks off so many boxes for the M's. Yeah. I think unfortunately it's a no,

not because of fit, but because of the money. And unfortunately, that matters a lot. And even though you'd only be paying him, like 35%, 40% of his remaining salary for this year, I don't think ownership would even okay that because that's still 10, 11 million bucks. So I don't think you're going to see that.

There's also some deferred money involved. There's some opt-ins, which are a little worrisome, but not really because he's almost certainly going to opt out, especially if, you know, he's playing for Seattle. But yeah, I mean, like, in terms of just like player-wise, he's the perfect player. Playoff experience plays a position of need. You know he hits a T-Mobile park.

He's, even though he'll be, he would be the best player that was moved. He's still a rental, so the cost isn't going to be exorbitant. Like, he checks all the boxes. It's just that little bit about the money

that we know ownership won't spend. So unfortunately, for that reason, it's a no, even though it should be a yes. Yeah. Coming in in number two, on Passons list is Jared Duran, another Red Sox player outfield outfielder for Boston, 25% chance

of being traded, pass and put him at. I'm personally out on Duran. How do you feel about him? Yeah, I'm in between. If you can get a really good deal on him. Yeah. Fine. But I don't think you're going to get a good deal on him from Boston's perspective. So it's probably ultimately, I just think the cost is going to be too high. I think they're going to try and get you know, the value of a 7-1 player with three years of club control left. And he's only done that once. And it's a bit like the Brian Reynolds thing from a few years ago where it's like, yeah, he had one six-win season, but you look at the rest of his career, like a two, two-and-a-half-one player.

Like, he's not bad. He's just not a star. He's not worth paying star-level prices for. And right now, because Duran has only done a star thing once, it's, I'm not interested in paying for star level prices for a guy who's been a star one season. Obviously, there are some off-the-field things that they had to deal with last year that would make them pretty polarizing addition anyways. But yeah, I think if you get the right deal, like if you think you're getting like, you know, 25% off, you know, type of deal, then maybe. But I don't think the Red Sox are going to do that.

So I'm in between, but more than likely it's also a no. Yeah, I'm a no. Because again, this is a guy that was almost a seven-win player last year, which is great. But this year, he's played 81 games and he's only worth 0.6F4. He's significantly regressed defensively. He isn't really hitting for any power. He's still making things happen on the base pass, but he's like a 93 WRC plus this season. I just don't think that his particular skill set,

is what the Marys need to push a lot of their chips in on at this deadline. I just don't think he's enough of a fit. Could he be better than Luke Rayleigh? Sure. I don't think he is right now. And for that reason,

I wouldn't aggressively pursue him, especially for what it's likely going to cost. Because the Red Sox, as they should, are still going to try and sell teams on the idea that you are requiring. At the very least, maybe not a seven-win player, but at least a four-five-win player. That's why you're trying to bank. on here and you get them for three and a half years

I'm good I'm good that's just going to get too pricey for what Duran has been this year so coming in at number three Sandy Alcantra and number four Freddie Peralta couple starting pitchers

Peralta having a really good year Alcantra not so much but there's a lot upside there former side young winner obviously the stuff is still pretty good so like if the mayor's had a fix for like if they felt that they maybe had the solution there, would you be interested? Yes.

Yeah. And then Peralta. Yes, definitely Peralta. Yeah, it's it seems counterintuitive that the Mariners should spend assets on their rotation. But a couple of just straight up backs. The Mariners rotation hasn't been very good this year. And there's explanations for that. There's reasons for that.

But by and large, rotation hasn't been what it needs to be. would adding one of these guys help? Yeah, because it would push Emerson Hancock out of the rotation, push them back into a depth roll. And the added bonus, both of those guys, is that you also get them for 2026. And if your plan is to trade Luis Castillo this winter, your plan can't be to just rely on Emerson Hancock

to replace Luis Castillo. And these guys both would slide in. They'd be, you know, they're both mid-rotation starters. Alcontra can't be more. He's just not right now. although he has been pitching better. But yeah, I think it makes sense for 2025. You can push Hancock, you know, out of the rotation and then maybe put him in the bullpen.

I know we've talked about that a little bit. And, you know, it's going to cost a little bit. But I would be in on a controllable starting pitcher who has a pretty high floor of at least being a number three type of guy. I would be in on that idea, even with the cost that's probably associated with it. So I would prefer parole. because he's pitching better right now. But again, Alcantara has been really good recently, and he does have the track record.

So, yeah, I'd be fine with either. Yeah, Alcantra is one of my personal favorite non-mariner pitchers, so I would be super down for that. Peralta, not sure he's going to get traded because of Brewers are actually pretty good this year, but we'll see. I don't know. They're one of those teams that are just a lot of jostraded. Yeah.

They're one of those teams that it doesn't really matter what situation there. and they're kind of like Cleveland and Tampa Bay where it's just like if we feel that this is the best deal we can possibly get right now, we're going to do it. And if we feel that that's the best for our organization moving for it, we'll do it. Gino Suarez, yes, don't need to talk about it, obviously. Yeah, that's 100% yes.

Seth Lugo, Zach Gallen, Merrill Kelly, shut up. Is it though? Any of those three? So yeah, this is where things get a little interesting. I don't know if I want to pay top, rate for a rental starting pitcher. I will pay a top rate for a controllable starting pitcher.

All three of those guys that I mentioned are rentals. Yeah. So I mean, again, if the cost is right, sure, you take a shot on any of them, but based on what it's probably going to cost to rent those guys, no, I don't think, like, I would rather spend less on a

slightly worse pitcher like, I don't know, an Andrew Heaney guy, like we've talked about a little bit here. Yeah. If I'm going to go to the rental starting pitcher route, I'll go that, that of the spectrum and I'll use my prospect capital on rental bats. If I'm going to, you know, really spend some prospects on rentals, I prefer them to be bats. Yeah. Josh and Eler, Ryan O'Hern, both of those guys.

Yes. Yeah. Yeah, we've talked about them enough that we don't really need to talk more about that. Marcel Azuna is on here, 25% chance of being traded, pass and list him as a list of the Mariners as a possibility for him. He obviously has the domestic violence case that just cannot be ignored. when we talk about Marcel Ozuna from a baseball standpoint, just pure baseball standpoint, he would help.

Like, he's been a really good hitter. He's regressed a little bit this year, but he's still been a really good hitter. And at the end of the day, the mayor's just need bats. But, yeah, there's obviously off the field stuff that can't be ignored when we talk about Ozuna. All right. So we will go over more of these names in just a moment. But first, a reminder, this episode of the Yatah Maris podcast is brought to you by Supply House. Get the supplies you need from the site made for the skilled trades.

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house.com slash TM and start ordering plumbing, HVAC, and electrical supplies with just a few clicks. Plus, use promo code SH5 for 5% off your first order. That's supplyhouse.com. And you're listening to the Locked-O Mariners podcast for instant reactions following every Mariners game. Be sure to tune in to the Marriss Postcast with Anderson Hearst and Christopher Crawford, available on both the Locked-on Mariners' YouTube and podcast feeds. before we talk more about these trade candidates on Jeff Passon's top 50 list over on ESPN. Let's give you a quick update as to where we're at on our Feeding America fundraiser.

We are now at $6,782 raise. Thank you guys so much. We have a bunch of new donations since the last time we talked about this. Anonymous came through with a $50 donation. John came through with $100. Thanks so much, John. Oaks with $50. Cheryl apparently made a donation, but I won't see the amount here.

Roshan came through with $20. Roshan's been with us for years since we pretty much started CTZ. So shout out to Roshan. Anonymous with $32. Colin with $50 and anonymous with $20. Colby. Spiel time. Go.

Go, go, go, go, go. You know what it is. You know what it be. Yeah. We're raising money for feeding America. Whose mission is to feed America? What? Yeah, I know. Shocking. But yeah, it's a great organization that aims to end food insecurity in this country.

One in five children suffer through food insecurity. They do not know when their next meal or if they're ever going to get their next meal. More than 50 million Americans in general suffer from food insecurity. We grow more than enough food to feed everybody in this country. It's a shame that we don't. But Feeding America is trying to end that. They can turn every dollar they raise into at least 10 meals to people facing food insecurity. So it's a fantastic value, really good bank for your buck.

So in our little fundraiser here, we've already raised over 67,000 meals just from, you know, $1 at a time, $10, $50, whatever. It really does add up. So even if it's only a dollar, it really does help because that's 10 meals to somebody or people who desperately need them. So it's a great organization. We're very happy to partner with them again. A couple of years back, we raised 15,000. We're behind that pace right now. We only have about, what, two and a half weeks left, three weeks.

Yeah, left in our fundraiser. So we got some work to do. A lot of individual donations is amazing. You know, there's any businesses that want to, you know, spend some. from Goodwill. Feel free to donate that as well. Maybe you, you know, take it to your boss. Ask your boss. Ask your marketing. I don't know. But yeah, it's been awesome to track. And we're still putting up really good numbers where we blew past our goal already. That only took like, what, three days. But yeah. So we're just seeing how long we can or how much we can raise.

the fundraiser will end on the All-Star break. So that Monday, the fundraiser will end. And we'll see what we're at. But yeah, it's been a lot of fun tracking this. And thank you for everybody who has donated. Again, if you have, maybe go to your employer, see if they want to donate. Maybe share the link with people that you know. But also, you guys can also donate one meal by simply clicking the subscribe button to this YouTube channel.

Ty and I are donating 10 cents for every new subscriber we get. We're up over 200 now, new subscriber. So that's 200 meals just from people clicking a button who weren't going to have it otherwise. So thank you very much for that. Let's continue this. Let's continue the momentum here. Let's finish strong. And there does seem to be some correlation between the number of donations we get

and the odds the Mariners win the next game. Just saying. Just saying. Dave, you know, take that for what it's worth. We'll ignore the fact that like five people donated yesterday in the marriage loss, but whatever. Yeah, those count towards today's game, which... That's right. We'll see. We'll see if it's getting blood.

It probably is by the time that you're watching this. And all I'm saying is, like, we had like 16 donations in a two-day span and Cal Raleigh hit four home runs. Yeah. Right. You want Cal Rale to be the MVP? Open up those wallets. There we go. Let's get some $29 donations.

Okay. All right. So let's get back into this list. I've got a bulk of relievers here. High, high profile relievers. Felix Matista, John Duran, and Manuel Class A. As much as I love those guys and as significant of impact they would make in this Mariners bullpen, I'm out. It's going to get way too expensive.

Yeah, I'll shop a tier below that. Yeah. I'll let the Yankees and the Dodgers and the Phillies of the world go go shopping that market. Right. I mean, again, anybody, any reliever that's going to cost me a premium prospect, I'm out. Yeah. Because I'll take another, you know, I'll take another Garcia for what he costs. That would certainly help.

Hopefully this one stays healthy. Yeah. But, yeah, the top of the market guys, not for what they're going to cost. And I think all those guys have multiple years of club control, too. So it costs even more. So I'm out. Cedric Mullins. Is he better than Luke Rayleigh?

He's better than Dom Kanzone. Or is he? I don't know. Ties he. I think he offers a better skill set than Kanzone as a fourth outfielder. So sure, but there's obviously a very, there's a limitation on the price I'm willing to pay for that, though. How many left, left-hand hitting out? outfielders do you need?

Yeah. Because right now the Mariners have two and then Master Boney's on the bench. Yeah, you're moving on from one of Canzon Aureli if you are trading for a left-handed hitting outfielder. Right, which, I mean, again, might not be that big of a deal. And Mullen certainly helps you on the basis. He helps you in the field. He got off to a really good start this year, but he struggled as of late. And he's kind of more of a platoon bat anyway.

So, yeah, it's one of those ones like, sure, is it the price cheap enough? then okay but yeah it's kind of he's kind of one of those in between guys right now yeah Ryan McMahon no making too much money he's a course merchant I'm out Pete Fairbanks yeah totally

yeah yeah because you get him not just for this year but also next year and I don't think that he's going he's in that tier below the Bautises and the classes in the world so yeah I think Fairbanks is a guy that maybe you can pair with like you know Yandi Diaz or someone like that. But the raise right now are winning.

So who knows, but also they're, again, they're one of those teams that, yeah, if it makes sense for them to trade those guys, then they'll just, they'll do it no matter what situation they're in in terms of the standings. Rollis Chapman, another situation like Marcel Azuna, where he would help you,

but there's obviously, you know, off the field stuff there that makes me feel a bit uneasy about bringing them into the fold. It's typically the type of thing mariner's have avoided yeah and the marries have also yeah kind of steered clear of of guys like that uh louis robert junior i'm out like i get the idea and you might get him for basically free and if that's the case then fine whatever like i'm not complaining but if that's like let's say

like that's their their big ad quote unquote i don't like that at all yeah because It's like you have to hope that you have the fix in place and that you're going to be able to implement that fix within a week or two because you need them to help you not just, you know, in October. Like you need to get to October. You need them to help you get to October. Yeah. I mean, the fact that the White Sox have already publicly said like, we'll help pay down his contract. Like that tells you what the market is. Yeah.

For Robert. So I think if you get him cheap enough, fine. I'm in. And if he sucks, you're opting out of that. contract. So he's a rental. Yeah. Right. And that's why it's important to get him cheap enough. So like I take a flyer on him with a prospect like Michael Morales. Yeah. But not much better to be that I just I don't have enough faith that he's going to help me. But yeah, like there's definitely a point where it's like, okay, fine, that's worth the risk as like the second or third guy that, well, probably the third guy you bring in at the deadline. So yeah, I guess technically I would call him a bit of a tweeter. Yeah.

Taylor Ward, yeah, red-handed hitting outfielder, but the mayor is still haven't traded with the Angels since Jerry to Poto join the organization. So until that ends, I'll, you know, I'll believe it when I see it. If the Angels of the Mayors make a trade so long as the Poto is involved. Nolan Aronado, same conversation that we had this winner, the deferrals and all that, just make it really complicated contract-wise. and he also has continued to decline. So I think the mayors,

even though they're listed as a fit here by passing, I don't think they're going to look into that. Louis Severino, that makes no sense for the mayors. Ryan Halsley, I don't know. You probably have to give up a really good prospect for a rental reliever. So you want to give up Las Montes for 15 innings of Ryan Helsley?

Yeah, especially when you're not even, that I'm out. Yeah. Yeah, especially when you're not even. even in like prime playoff position right now. Like I think you still hold a wildcard spot as we speak today. But there's like six other teams fighting for that same spot. And you just keep on falling further behind the Astros.

So no, that's that's not a risk I'm willing to take. Not for two months of Ryan Helsley. Maybe if you were in first place. But where you are right now, no. Yeah. Tyler Malley, Zach Eflin, those guys are pretty much in the same bucket as like Gowan and Kelly and Lugo. Yeah. Yeah.

Yeah. Dola Garcia would be fun. He's still hitting the hell out of the ball. He's just not putting the ball over the wall. His launch angle this year, his average launch angle is significantly higher than it's ever been. So he's flying out and popping out more. Yeah. I mean, he's not hitting the hell out of the ball, meaning he's getting a lot of hits. Yeah, I mean, like he's just hitting it.

Yeah, he's hitting a hard. Yeah. Whoopty-do. If those don't turn into hits, it doesn't really matter. But plus defender in right field, plus arm. Him and Randy and Julio are pretty darn good friends. And it would definitely be fun to have all three of them in the outfield. Yeah.

I'm worried about what the cost would be, though, because you have to get production. Yeah. I mean, would you rather pay what you think it would take to get Garcia or pay what you think it would take to get Luis Robert? Probably. I don't know. I don't think Garcia's going to cost that much. The fact that you're hesitated. Because Garcia's going to get non-tendered this winter.

So I don't think he's going to cost really anything. Well, yeah, but the Rangers aren't going to try and sell them like that. So especially why there's still fringe playoff contenders. So, yeah, the fact that you're hesitating tells me that you probably should be saying no to Garcia. Garcia is more a guy that I think we'll talk a lot about as maybe taking a flyer on him once he's non-tendered this winter. Yeah. Redetmers, Walker Beeler, Nick Martinez, Eric. fettie any of those guys stand up yeah no uh all right i'm just gonna speed run through these final 20

names andrew heaney just tell me yes or no yes ever cabrera sure okay rees hoskins maybe maybe i'm a maybe yeah uh uh zack letell former mariners farm hand yeah yeah Tyler anderson no no no okay uh Ramone urias yeah yeah yeah Hazel Sanchez is just too redundant with Rayleigh and Canzon yeah uh Jake Bird yeah I like Jake Bird yeah Luis Arias would be funny but it won't happen yeah yeah uh Isaiah kinder Falafa

yeah sure uh Kyle Finnegan Yep Chris Martin yeah he's been really good this year yeah uh Mike Sorobes I'm actually really interested in Soroka and putting him back in the bullpen. He's been starting this year, but he was really good at all the bullpen last year. So maybe put him back in the bullpen.

10 million bucks. So it's a bit of a pricey ad at the deadline. But yeah, I mean, in theory. Yeah. Tomoyuki Sagano. No. Yeah. Phil Meaton.

Sure. Sure. Yeah. Melio Pagan. Sure. Yep. Yon Mankata. we know the mayor has liked him this off season and he's hitting but it's the angels so

that's probably that's the hang up yeah uh Shelby miller sure if it doesn't cost too much did a Santana sure if it doesn't cost too much uh Stephen matt's been a pretty good uh lefty uh the bullpen I don't know how much money is making them he's making like 10 12 million bucks yeah he's still he's still on that contract that big contract that he signed right yeah yeah yeah all right well there you go uh we are going to talk some draft in just a moment. But first, a reminder, this episode of the Lockdown on Marys podcast is brought to you by Fandul.

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That's L-O-C-K-E-O-N to get started. And you're listening to the Locked-on Mariners podcast. So, you know, we've had Aram-Layton on here. We've had Oliver Bachter on here. We've had Joe Doyle on here just yesterday to talk all about the mayor's draft, what the Mariners are going to do at pick number three here in the next, what, two and a half weeks, right? We're getting pretty close.

And honestly, after talking about, Talking to you all those guys, I feel more confused than ever about what the marries are going to do. And it kind of seems like the mariners are still a bit confused as to what they're going to do as well. So how do you feel after we've talked to all those guys? Oh, significantly worse. The sky is falling, basically. Right. When you hear things like the Mariners hate that they pick three this year,

Yeah. It's not inspiring. Not great. They're going to have to pick somebody. But yeah, it just honestly, it sounds like they're playing who let's make a deal. And whichever one of their, you know, half dozen plus guys that they're considering at three is one to make the best deal with them. That's who they're going to take. So, you know, it's kind of like, oh, I like Witherspoon.

I like Parker. I like, you know, it's like, yeah, it doesn't matter. who's going to take the least amount of money is how to handle pick three. Yeah, honestly, after talking to Joe, I kind of feel like the pick might end up being Steel Hall or Daniel Pierce. Yeah, imagine you'd save quite a bit of money on those two.

And again, just to reiterate, when we say save money, we don't mean that's money going back into the pockets of John Stanton. No, no. It is money that we are reallocating for later in the draft. Yeah, yeah, let's make that clear. When, so how much money are the mayor is getting, a little under 18 million. Okay.

That's not Major League Baseball writing the mayor as a check for $18 million and go in here. Here's what you can spend all the draft. No, that's money that the mayor has already have. That is just this is what you are allowed to spend in the draft. You've been set aside. And if you exceed that number, you know, you incur penalties, right? Yes. If you go over 5%, then you start losing draft picks and blah, blah, blah.

So yeah, yeah. Yeah. So again, it's, hey, let's save a little money here. at three, like if we think the difference between the 10th best player and the third best player is zero. Yeah. But the difference in the money is a million five. Well, now we can spend, we could take the, you know, 2.5 million or whatever the slot is for 35 and we could offer 3.5 million.

And maybe take one of those guys that is going in the 20s and just talk them down to like, hey, we'll give you, you know, pick 18 money or whatever it is. So, yeah, yeah, I think most of you guys know that. I just like to reiterate that. It's a salary cap. Very easy way. It's a salary cap. It's just to make sure that the teams that will spend a lot of money can't just

dominate the draft. Right. Yeah. So, yeah. Again, I think most of you know that, I'm sure. But anytime we talk about the Mariners saving money, it, I understand why some people would jump to like the cheap. Red, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.

Not in this case. Not in this case. reallocating the money really is more than saving the money but whatever yeah i think the barons have pretty much spent all their bonus pool every single time so i don't i mean yeah they they they ever come in under it's like a hundred thousand dollars they're not risking the PR nightmare of you know of all the accusations that would come with it to save a hundred thousand dollars it's not happening yeah yeah so uh i i just i don't really know what they're going to do at again I kind of feel like it's going to be

Pierce or Hall if really the most important thing to them is to just save as much as possible for the later rounds but maybe they're able to strike up a deal a good enough deal on Jojo Parker but like Joe mentioned you know the Marlins like Jojo I forget what other team he said really likes Jojo that are like right behind the mirrors and they pick like seven or eight

yeah so you can still offer him like number six money and save a million bucks yeah and he would still get more than if he signed with the marlins i mean the marlins could always go overslaught but well that's yeah that's what i was saying it was like maybe the marlins are willing to go overslaught on joe to get him to get them there but uh yeah um i don't know if you if you just had to make a prediction right now who are they taking on number three um i would have said our kett before we talk to joe yeah Um, but the fact that Joe isn't sure if Arquette is actually one of the guys that the Mariners really like, uh, when Joe says something specifically about the Mariners, I listen. Because I know what kind of connection he has, uh, with that, with that group. So, um, yeah, it probably a prep shortstop.

So, uh, I'm, I'm, I'm still going to say Parker for now. Yeah. I would say like if the nationals go off the wall because it does seem like Kate Anderson's going to be the guy there I pick one. But if they instead go Ethan Holiday or Seth Hernandez or maybe they take Ivo at number one, whatever. Just they take anyone not named Kate Anderson and then maybe the angels go Liam Doyle. I would assume that of Cade falls to two. The angels are going to take him. But let's say Cade gets three. I think Cade's the pick for the Marys.

I don't think they would pick someone else with him on the board. That was my roundabout way of saying that. He's not on their board. They would pay a full slot for him, but they're not going to get that chance. Yeah, but knowing that he is most likely, like 99% probably not going to be there at three. Yeah, I don't know.

Jojo Parker maybe, but I'm kind of starting to lean haul or Pierce. Yeah, Eli Willits, another guy. Yeah, we just haven't heard anything really about him in the mayor. I haven't heard of the holiday either. Yeah, it kind of seems like Ethan Holliday is going to go to Colorado, which makes a lot of sense because of his dad's relationship with that organization and all that. Sure.

My guess is Colorado's probably already got an oversawed deal. I agree to there as well. So, yeah. Yeah, the Ike Irish thing is interesting. It's kind of like the Heston-Cyrstad thing, though. that the Orioles tried a few years ago and it's just like cool if it works but

look what housing Kirstad is doing right now yeah yeah so I mean yeah and Irish is really he's he's a bad guy like it's you're not going to get anything from the club and I really haven't seen anybody who thinks he can catch much long term so I don't know maybe

maybe you get Kyle Schwerber out of him nor maybe you get Heston Kirstad that's yeah yeah yeah that that's kind of the risk and the reward that you get out of him so yeah i i do think it'll be a prep shortstop yeah but yeah i don't know which one what's your preference i think my preference is still iva um my preference would be kate anderson um well yeah yeah let's let's take him out of the equation because he's most likely not going to be there I think my preference would be whichever one of the young shortstops

I can save the most money with because I think Parker and Willits and who's the other one but do you think with you know again they have the most money of any team in the straps

do you think they don't necessarily need to save money can't they still knock this draft down the park. No, I mean, sure, but they need to say money somewhere. They really want to,

you know, do what the Guardians did last year, which should be the goal based on everybody we've talked to. The Guardians went under slot in like round three and in round five. They drafted some college seniors and then they reallocated that money to draft some, you know, third round talented high schoolers in the ninth round and pay them. So they do need to save some money because the slot value is literally just.

if you pay everybody's slot, that's your entire bonus pool. Yeah. So I think they do need to save a little bit of money here and there. And they can do that in later rounds. They don't have to do it in the first round, but it's just the first round where you're going to save the most. Well, if they took Iva, too, couldn't they save at least a little bit of money? Taking him in theory?

Yeah, I mean, in theory, but I don't know. You can save more. Yeah. We're not privy to those conversations. Yeah. Yeah, basically anybody you take at three, is almost certainly just going to sign with you, though, because it's highly unlikely that they're going to make more money.

They're going to get more money than even an underslot deal of three. They're probably not going to make that money elsewhere, and they're probably not going to get picked higher than three if they go to school. There's also guarantees in place with the first round selections, though, right? Isn't that like a new rule? I think Joe mentioned something like that. If you go to the combine, you have to be offered 80% of slot wherever you're drafted. And I think first round picks in general, you have to offer them at least 80% of slot.

Okay. So, yeah. So it's not like you can take Daniel Pierce at three and get him to take, you know, five million bucks or whatever. No, but I mean, 20% off of $9 million is still 2. or it's still $1.8 million, you know, so that's quite a bit you can do there. But yeah, I think they're just going to take a prep, a prep shortstop. I think Parker sounds like their type of guy.

He kind of reminds me a little bit of Emerson, a little bit of Cole Young, where it's kind of a pretty advanced hit tool for the age. And then you're kind of hoping the power follows. So I still think Parker makes a lot of sense. But yeah, overall, I think it's probably going to be a prep shortstop, be my guess. All right.

Well, that's going to do it for our show. Thank you so much for joining us here on the lockdown. Marr's podcast for Colby Patnode. I'm telling us all. Let's be sure. Give us a follow on Twitter at L0 underscore Marrars. You can follow me at Tading Azalus and Colby at CPAT 11. That's CPAT1. We're also on Blue Sky. You can follow me at TDG, Colby at MLB Colby, and the show at Lockdown Mariner's. You can also find us on Instagram and TikTok at Lockdown Mariner's. I have yourself a beautiful baseball day and we'll see you next time. Peace.