Locked On Mariners - Daily Podcast On the Seattle Mariners - Will the Mariners Win the American League West?

Episode Date: March 20, 2025

Ty and Colby make their 2025 MLB predictions, including who will win the Mariners' division.Giveaway terms and conditions!Check out our Patreon!Follow the show on Twitter: @LO_Mariners | @TyDaneGonzal...ez | @CPat11Follow the show on Bluesky: @lockedonmariners | @tdg | @mlbcolbySupport Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Wonderful PistachiosLooking for a snack that’s both delicious and nutritious? Get snackin’ and get crackin’ with the snack that packs a protein punch. Visit WonderfulPistachios.com to learn more.Supply HouseJoin the TradeMaster program today at SupplyHouse.com/TM and start ordering plumbing, HVAC, and electrical supplies with just a few clicks. Plus, use promo code S-H-5 for 5% off your first order. That’s SupplyHouse.com!UpworkVisit Upwork.com right now and post your job for free to connect with top talent and grow your business today! Just IngredientsVisit JustIngredients.us/Bryce-Harper and use code LOCKEDONMLB for 20% off your order! And for more wellness tips, follow @just.ingredients on Instagram.Monarch MoneyTake control of your finances with MonarchMoney. Use code LOCKEDONMLB at monarchmoney.com for 50% off your first year. GametimeDownload the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONMLBfor $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply. Download Gametime today. What time is it? Gametime.FanDuelRight now, new customers can get TWO HUNDRED DOLLARS in BONUS BETS when your first FIVE DOLLAR BET WINS! Download the app or head to FANDUEL.COM to get started. Bet with FanDuel—Official Partner of the NBA.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Well, the Mariners win the AL West. We'll answer that as we make our MLB predictions for the 2025 season coming up. Colby, hit it. You are Locked-on Mariners. Your daily Seattle Mariners podcast. Part of the Locked-on Podcast Network, your team every day. Ahoy, Sailors. It is Thursday, March 20th, 2025.
Starting point is 00:00:26 This is Tadda Gonzalez and Colby Patnaud for the Lockdown Marys Podcasts. Part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. This episode is brought to you by Fandul, right? now new customers can get $200 in bonus bets when your first $5 bet wins. And as always, if you want to hear from me and Colby even more and help support the show, you can check out our Patreon. All you have to do to check that out is click the link in the description of this episode. So on today's show, we'll be predicting the 2025 MLB season.
Starting point is 00:00:55 We'll give you division winners, wildcards, world series champion, ward winners, all that good stuff. Also, be sure to stick around to see what you can win in our newest game. giveaway. We're kicking that thing off today and we got some cool stuff that we're going to be offering to you guys. So yeah, be sure to stick around. We'll be going through all of that in a little bit. But let's start with the division winners here, Colby. And we'll save the AOS for the last. So let's start with the NL and we'll we'll start with the NL East. Take of the Phillies here. Phillies are always a fun team to watch. I think you can make strong argument that they're the second
Starting point is 00:01:34 best team in baseball right now. Really like their roster from top to bottom. They didn't do too much this off season, but I like what they did do this off season. They traded for Hazo Slezardo. We talk about how deep the Mara's rotation is. This Philly's rotation is pretty deep as well. One through five.
Starting point is 00:01:51 Any of those guys can go toe to toe with anyone on any given night. And that's not even factoring in, you know, potentially Andrew Painter coming along eventually at some point this year. But obviously, you know, it's Bryce. It's Trey Turner. Turner JT Real Muto has fallen off a bit, but he's still a pretty solid player. You know, Schwerber is going to hit a ton of bombs, obviously. It's going to be a fun team.
Starting point is 00:02:14 They added Max Kepler, who, you know, we've really liked. And he had some much needed athleticism to that outfield. And, you know, Romano at the back end of that bullpen. We'll see what version of him they get, but we've seen Romano be dominant at times out of Blue Jay's bullpen. So really like their offseason. we'll see what they get out of Alec Baum after Dave Dombrowski asked for the world for him this offseason. But really like that roster.
Starting point is 00:02:43 It's going to be a tough division, though. I think they win it, but do you feel otherwise? Yeah, I think Phillies, I would assume, is the favorite. I haven't checked out Vandul for the official odds or anything. Always be plugging. but yeah, I'm sure they're the favorite in that division. I think it's probably a three-team race this year, Washington. I like what they're building, but I think they're at least a year or so away,
Starting point is 00:03:17 and they need some serious pitching. Miami, four or five years away. So it really comes down to the Mets, the Phillies, and the Braves. I think the Braves are getting overlooked a little bit here. I know that they didn't make the playoffs last year, but they're going to have a Kunia back sooner rather than later. They're going to have Strider back sooner rather than later. They did make the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:03:37 Oh, yeah, sorry. Yeah, it was that last game. Remember the last series that they played with the Mets. But yeah, didn't they get swept by the Padres? I think it was a two-o sweep. Yeah. Yeah, so, but again, you know, it's you get a Cooney, you get strider back. There's still Olson.
Starting point is 00:03:52 There's Albies. There's Harris. The pitching's pretty good. The bullpen's pretty good. They added jerks and pro far. So we'll see which version of him they get. but yeah I think the Braves are pretty interesting the Mets I think actually are a solid third place finish I don't like they're pitching at all that that is not and it's gotten hurt right and honestly for a $300 million payroll or whatever it's at right now I don't think it's a very well put together roster Linder and Soto will certainly you know hide a lot of those bushes yeah they're going to mask a lot of the deficiencies on that team but still I mean
Starting point is 00:04:29 Yeah, to me, though, I look at the Braves just have the edge in pitching over the Mets. Philly's probably had the best rotation in that division, arguably top three with Seattle and in Los Angeles, I would say. So, yeah, the Phillies, the one thing about the Phillies older group, you know, is Schwabber's older, I mean, everybody's older, but you know what I mean? Like, these are guys past 30 now and. Well, not a super athletic group either. No. So there's some limitations there, but they're going to hit dingers. they're going to pitch.
Starting point is 00:04:59 So they're a pretty easy pick here. But I'm going to go with the Braves. I think the Braves is kind of have a bounce back season, so to speak. I do think it's going to be a battle all year. But I'll take the Braves. I think that lineup is really good. And it's still, again, Riley, you know, Riley, Albies, Acuna. It's just a younger, more dynamic lineup than what the Phillies have, as good as the
Starting point is 00:05:22 Phillies lineup is. So Fanduel actually has the Braves at plus 125 to win the division. and the Phillies are plus 195. Go Phillies. I'm taking no favorites today. Right. Let's talk about the NL Central. This is a weird division.
Starting point is 00:05:38 This is a division that is completely up in the air, just like the other central division that we'll talk about later. I don't even know where to begin here. How are you feeling? I feel like all five of these teams, if, you know, the, the, Luck lines up could win this division. You know, Pittsburgh, obviously, Paul Skeens and the young pitchers they have, but
Starting point is 00:06:05 Jared Jones sounds like you might be headed towards Tommy John, so that'd be a pretty big blow for them. They line up for Pittsburgh is still very mediocre and obviously they're not going to spend money to try and help. Before the Jared Jones news, I was kind of thinking about them as at least as a team that can get a little, that can get a little frisky, you know. know maybe get hot oh niel cruz finally breaks out like
Starting point is 00:06:31 yeah he's got to learn how to play center field so you know i mean horowitz nice piece so uh but he's heard yep Cincinnati they might have the widest variable of any team yeah like they have a ton of young talent yeah is it going to hit or not
Starting point is 00:06:51 and there's still a lot of light like take that next step into being like an MVP type of dude right uh what do they have after hunter green that you can really count on. The bullpen. So, yeah, St. Louis, they very much want to like take a step back this year, but a lot of veterans. They're older veterans, but they're still really good players on that team. So I can't completely write off St. Louis either. So when I think about this, I do think ultimately I'm between Milwaukee and Chicago. Chicago made the big move, obviously, Kyle Tucker, you know,
Starting point is 00:07:26 probably the biggest move of the offseason outside of Soto. So, yeah, I think the temptation is to go with Chicago, but Milwaukee won it last year. Milwaukee is fantastic with their player development. They're very creative when it comes to trades. They have the farm system. The Cubs have a good one, too. So these two teams could go, you know, kind of blow for blow at the deadline this year. But I think I'm going to take Milwaukee to edge out the Cubs.
Starting point is 00:07:53 I think that's where I'm at. Even with the loss of Adomas? Yeah, I mean, that's a big question. What do you do at shortstop? I think it's Joey Ortiz. It's Joey Ortiz to ring staying at second, yeah. I do feel like the brewers could really use one more like power bat. Like Eugenio Souris would go hard in the brewers lineup.
Starting point is 00:08:16 Yeah. You know, it is what it is. I trust the brewers to prevent runs at a high level. I know they lost Devin Williams too, but the brewers. are honestly they're very similar to the mariners just in terms of what they do well and all that stuff so i'll take the brewers here but i really do think any of these like write me a script for any of these five teams to win this division i could totally buy it the brewer's rotation
Starting point is 00:08:42 gives me pause because it's freddy peralta and then like a lot of like fours and fives yep yeah we'll see if the tobias mires thing was real but i think he's dinged up too so is he on that. I think so. But yeah, I mean, they're still really talented. They have, you know, Contreras, Jackson Terrio really came on late last year. Tereng is a solid player.
Starting point is 00:09:06 Joey Ortiz had a really good year. Yeah, Garrett Mitchell. You know, we'll see if Fralick becomes something. They always build super good bullpins. I'm going to go with the Cubs. Just because they added, they have a really good roster already. They added a top 10.
Starting point is 00:09:24 player to it. I don't feel great about it, though. Kyle Tucker is going to do what Cody Bellinger did for them last year. So there you go. But it's also possible that Tucker gets traded at the deadline this year. I mean, does the Cups fall out of it? Like, yeah. And that's the other thing, too, if any team can win the division, any team can get off
Starting point is 00:09:47 to a really bad start and be surprised sellers in, you know, July. So I know Mariner fans or I know the Mariners run office, I should say, definitely hoping that the Cubs do fall off because I think there's a certain someone they'd love to add to the infield mix. But yeah, yeah, I'll still take the Brewers. And then the NOS is a very quick decision. Dodgers, move on. Yeah, yeah. Moving on.
Starting point is 00:10:12 As good as the as good as the Diamondbacks are and the Padres are, like, I'm not even second guessing this. This is the Dodgers. Yeah. All right. So we are going to get into our AL division winners, our wild cards for both leagues and award. winners and all that and also talk a little bit about our upcoming giveaway or the giveaway that we're kicking off today in just a moment but first a reminder of this episode of the locked on Marys podcast is brought to you by upwork and fan duel scaling your business requires the right
Starting point is 00:10:43 expertise at the right time with upwork you can find specialized freelancers in marketing development design and more experts ready to help you take your business to the next level upwork gives businesses flexibility by connecting them with top freelance talent across multiple industries, including IT, AI, web development, and marketing. Whether you need extra hands for a project or a long-term partner, Upwork makes hiring simple and affordable. Whatever it is you need, Upwork can connect you with a freelance expert who delivers incredible results. Visit Upwork.com right now and post your job for free. That's UPWRK.com, Upwork.com to connect with top talent and grow your business today.
Starting point is 00:11:38 All right, folks, it's that time of year again. March Madness is finally here and Fanduel is giving you the chance to get in on the action like never before. Right now, new customers can get $200 in bonus bets when your first $5 bet wins. That's $200 to use on everything from buzzer beaters. to Cinderella stories and even who's cutting down the nets. With tournament games happening almost every day, there's always something exciting to bet on. The Fandual app is simple to use,
Starting point is 00:12:06 and when I win, I get paid instantly. No waiting around. So visit Fandual.com and get in on the college hoops action all tournament long. That's Fandual.com. And you're listening to the Lockdown Mariners podcast, so we are exactly a week away from opening day. And to celebrate, we are kicking off our latest giveaway.
Starting point is 00:12:29 We teased it a little bit yesterday. Now we're actually going to get into all the details, all the stuff you can win, how you can enter all that good stuff. Colby, take it away. Yeah, this is a pretty exciting giveaway.
Starting point is 00:12:43 It is like all of our other giveaways, a tiered giveaway. So the more subscribers we add, the more gets added to the prize pack. But unlike our other giveaways, this one's a little bit different, because there will only be one grand prize winner. So one person will walk away with all eligible prizes.
Starting point is 00:13:04 We have certain thresholds we need to meet to continue to add to the prize pack. But in the prize pack right now already is this Victor Robles autograph card and a $25 gift certificate to Simply Seattle. When we hit 12.75 subscribers, which I think we're only 20 away from right now, the price pack will all also then include this J.P. Crawford autograph card, good player, J.P. Crawford, autograph card and another $25, simply Seattle gift certificate. When we reach 12.8K, if we do, we will add in this A. E. E. Henio-Swaris autograph card and another $25 gift certificate. We reach $12,8, $12,850.
Starting point is 00:13:49 You'll get another $25, Simply Seattle gift certificate. We'll be added to the prize pack at $12.9. This is a fun one. We will be adding this Felton-Selisthen autograph card, 12 out of 15. It's a nice looking card. Yeah. We'll be adding that to the prize pack as well at 12.95K subs. If we get there, it will be an additional $25 gift card. And if we do hit $13,000, which is kind of the goal, we will add this Lazaro Montez autograph card to the giveaway.
Starting point is 00:14:25 So if we reach 13,000 subscribers, you are going to walk away with a hundred, somebody is going to walk away with $125 of simply Seattle gift cards and a Victor Robles autograph card, a J.P. Crawford autograph card, a Eugenio Suarez autograph card, a Felman Celestan autograph, and a Las Montes autograph. So really big prize pack. It's very simple, like all of our giveaways, very simple to enter. All you have to do, subscribe to the channel. Leave a comment on any of the.
Starting point is 00:14:55 videos, any videos we post between today and April 3rd, which is when the giveaway ends. It runs through the Mariners first homestand. So yeah, again, just subscribe and leave a comment. That's all you have to do. We will randomly select one comment from one randomly selected video, and that person will have an opportunity to claim the prize pack. And again, it is tiered, it is structured. So the more people who subscribe, the bigger the prize pack gets.
Starting point is 00:15:23 but right now already if we didn't add another subscriber we're going to give away a Victor Robles autograph card and a $25 gift card to Simply Seattle. So next up, the JP Crawford and another 25 bucks at Simply Seattle. Get yourself some swag from Simply Seattle. That's right. We'd love to be though.
Starting point is 00:15:43 Hit us up. In terms of conditions down in the description of this episode, also in the description of the episode on streaming platforms. So like if you're listening on Spotify and Apple and all that stuff, you can check it out there as well. But yeah, so this is up to you guys to make this prize as big as you want it to be. So if you're already subscribed, please tell, you know, friends, family, all that good stuff to subscribe as well. Maybe you guys could split the pack between each other.
Starting point is 00:16:13 And so, so yeah. All right. So let's get back into our division winners here. We're now in the American League. Al East, how are you feeling about the ALE East? Yeah, it felt like despite all their losses, the Yankees were a pretty good bet here to repeat. But then they lost Garrett Cole.
Starting point is 00:16:36 And that is a massive blow. Luis Heel is also dealing with something. So it's a pretty big injuries there. Like Marcus Stroman right now is like the number three starter. Yeah, you subtracts Juan Soto and Garrett Cole from this roster, things change significantly. It's still, it's still a good solid roster, but again, we're talking about arguably the best pure hitter in baseball and the best pitcher in baseball, you know, being gone from a
Starting point is 00:17:07 World Series team just a year ago. Yeah. So, yeah, they've added Devin Williams. Cool. They've added Bellinger and, and, uh, Goldschmidt. So like, yeah, it's not 20. I know there's going to be some weird devil Yankee magic that happens with Goldschmidt this year. But it's not 2019 Paul Goldschmidt.
Starting point is 00:17:26 Like this is obviously not the same guy. So yeah, you know, Giancarlo Stanton's got like tennis elbow and both elbows or something weird like that. So yeah, this is already a pretty banged up squad. The Red Sox really loaded up this year. The Orioles obviously have a ton of young talent. The rays are always sneaky annoying and they have a really good bullpen. and then the Blue Jays I mean
Starting point is 00:17:51 they have Vlad and they have Bo so you can't roll out anything there but I think it's pretty safe to say they're not going to win the division this year. But they might be a sneaky wildcar team. So yeah, all that being said, I think almost by default, I'm going to take
Starting point is 00:18:07 the Red Sox to win this division. Yeah, I'm going to take the Red Sox as well. They actually kind of remind me of the Rangers from a couple years ago, especially with the influx of young talent that they're probably going to get over the course of the year. More stable pitching, though. Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 00:18:21 No, I like their pitching better than the Rangers a couple of years ago. I think their rotation is deeper. I like the crochet ad. I mean, we'll see how real crochets 2024 was and how he's able to hold up over a, you know, a longer amount of or a heavier amount of workload that'll be asked of him. But, you know, they also bring him Bregman. They'll have Roman Anthony at some point. Christian Campbell, Marcel Amir.
Starting point is 00:18:45 We'll see how much those guys are able to contribute. but not a Tristan Kossis hasn't anything to say about it but also speaking of Tristan Kossis right we'll see what they get out of him Jaron de Rand another year of him Will you're Brayu had a really solid year this past year really like that roster
Starting point is 00:19:02 the bullpen is solid there isn't really like a standout guy in that bullpen but they have a few solid arms probably the closest yeah yeah just the Slaten and you know we'll see what they get out of Liam Hendricks and a Roldus Chapman and all those guys but yeah I just I think the Red Sox are the most balanced team in the ALE East
Starting point is 00:19:24 we'll see what happens with the Orioles the Orioles are fascinating but they didn't really do much this off season they lost Santon Dair they replaced him with Tyler O'Neill they had the weirdest trade deadline they didn't they didn't bring back Corbyn Burns yeah they ended up replacing Burns with what Zach Eflin who they got at the deadline essentially so Fland or Zawali, I get those two guys mixed up. Yeah, no, they added, they added Flin at the deadline, but that's essentially their like Burns replacement this year.
Starting point is 00:19:55 Added Sagano, like, we'll see if that even matters. Oh, yeah, Charlie Morton was the guy that I was trying to think of. Yeah. That's the other guy that they signed in the rotation. So, yeah, I don't know. The Orioles are weird. They were really disappointing in the playoffs this past year. They have a ton of telling you.
Starting point is 00:20:15 They're going to get even more. talent and we'll see you know if jackson holiday finally pops for them see if coby mayo eventually makes his way up to the big league level besiio uh see what those guys are able to bring to the table but yeah that's just a weird team yeah i mean why go with coby mayo when you could play romone ureas
Starting point is 00:20:34 yeah so yeah i'll take the socks yeah i'll take the socks as well um but i can see the raise getting a little frisky too we'll see how how they're uh their pitching holds up we'll see if mcclahan and Rasmussen can stay healthy. And then the Blue Jays, you know how we feel about the Blue Jays. Yep.
Starting point is 00:20:55 So, yeah. All right. The AL Central. Clearly the answer here is the Chicago White Sox. I'm going to say what I said, like 10 seconds ago, I'm taking the socks. So this is another division that's just up in the air,
Starting point is 00:21:11 like the NL Central. It can be any of the four teams other than the White Sox. part of me wants to pick the twins even though they literally did nothing this offseason I like that pitching staff yeah but it's like you're a lot of your offense viability depends on Carlos Correa Royce Lewis and Byron Buxton staying healthy and by the way Lewis has already hurt with like a pretty severe hamstring injury it looks like yeah it's so tough to trust them the guardians are a weird team because they very clearly
Starting point is 00:21:47 overachieve last year, but it's a good pitching staff. I can see the Guardians winning like 76 games this year. I could also see them winning like 90. Yeah. Obviously they have Jose Ramirez. Yeah, Rose. Rose is a good pick.
Starting point is 00:22:03 I think I'm going to go with the Tigers. Tigers is another team that drastically overachieved last year. I'll go with the Tigers, but I don't feel great about it, just like I don't feel great about the Cubs pick in the NL Central. Yeah. Yeah. All right.
Starting point is 00:22:17 So here we are. The AL West. Is it the Mariners? By double digit games on June 15th. Oh, no. Oh, God. They're going to run away with it.
Starting point is 00:22:29 Not only are they going to win it, Ty, they're going to run away with it. Yeah, you know what's interesting about this division? Fangraphs, their projections, have the Mariners winning 84 games,
Starting point is 00:22:41 the Astros winning 84 games, and the Rangers winning 84 games. So, Yeah. That makes sense. That makes sense. When you really look at all three of these teams.
Starting point is 00:22:53 I think the temptation here is to take Texas because they had arguably the best off season. But I still have major questions about that pitching staff. I have major questions about the bullpen still. So, yeah, and they had a gap that they needed to make up. It wasn't like they were starting even with Seattle and Houston. Now, Seattle didn't do anything to, you know, keep the gap where it was. and Houston, like, as much as it would be like, they got Parade is, like, and he's such a great fit for that ballpark. Like, yeah, cool.
Starting point is 00:23:22 They also lost Kyle Tucker and Alex Breggman. Like, yeah. Yeah. Yeah, the Astros to me, like, at best, they're in the same spot that they were in. I think that's being generous. Yeah. And that's, and that's assuming that, like, East Sok Paratus does explode, like people think he's going to. And Chris Walker.
Starting point is 00:23:44 stays healthy and he's like a three to four win player doesn't continue to decline off of the fastball which is been a three year thing running right now yeah yeah you don't want to write out the astros as bad as their offseason was because they're the astros so they'll pull some four one pitcher out of their backside and you know hunter brown it's probably going to be a si young contender this year spaghetti is going to shove against the mariners and like yeah yeah so it's really tough uh division here to pick but I think I'm going to take the team with the best pitching staff. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:24:23 And that is the Texas Rangers. So I'm going to take the Mariners to win the division. How about that? I think it's going to be very close. I think it is a three-team race. And I think this division is going to be won by like or with like 88 wins. Yeah. The pitching is the great equalizer.
Starting point is 00:24:43 I've gone back and forth on this so much. when you guys are going to see we did an AOS preview with all the other AOS show hosts in that show I picked the Rangers and since then I've flipped flop even more right it's just such I mean you just laid it out right with the fan graphs projections like it's truly a coin toss here if there were three sides to a coin though um yeah Fandwill has an
Starting point is 00:25:15 go ahead it's like a roll of the dice right the mariners are one two astros three four rangers five six yeah like van duel has the astros at plus 175 rangers at plus one eighty five maras a two plus two hundred uh statistical tie essentially yeah pretty much so yeah say it with your chest mariners by five games assuming not a single yeah a single extra start is missed by george Kirby or anybody in the rotation. The more that I think about it, and you made a good point to me the other day on, I think it was the Patreon show, but like, are we, well, they're absolutely deserving of
Starting point is 00:25:58 all the criticism in the world for how this offseason went. Are we putting too much stock into that that we're kind of ignoring how good this team is? I mean, like last year they, the Pythagorean had them as a 91 team. So there was a little bit of bad luck there, but also some really bad bullpen, which is a big contributor. Obviously, the offense was terrible for five and a half months. So offense should be better than it was for most of last year, not a high part of clear, but still. The bullpen on paper should be better than it was last year without any major additions actually being made to it, just guys getting healthy. And we know the rotation is really good.
Starting point is 00:26:39 So, you know, the Mariners don't have a lot of a lot of rotation depth. So if, you know, two of these guys are missing time at the same time, it might be season over. So it's definitely a bit of a scary situation to be in. But all three of these teams have holes, pretty big ones too. And there's a very easy way that it can go sideways for all three teams. Yes. One other thing to keep in mind, I'll just throw this out there. We get to the deadline.
Starting point is 00:27:07 It's a three-team race. the Mariners have more ammo than the other two teams combined to go out there and try to Yeah, I think I'm going to go with the team that has the most upside. If you told me any of these teams was going to win 95 plus games this year, I'd pick the Mariners. I'm going to go with the Mariners to win the division. And by the way, when we do this, when we do our mariner predictions on Wednesday, they will be a wild car team and ties eyes. I'm just, I don't feel great about this.
Starting point is 00:27:33 I really don't. This might be like the, like the central both central i'm still debating it right now even though i just i know you are stake my claim it's like be definitive tie people don't like wishy-washy they want yeah no i get it stances but look at this division look at these three teams like honestly it's probably going to come down to whoever handles oakland and i'm probably going to come down to who handles the a's and the angels the best uh so you know we'll see and the a's certainly are not going to be pushovers this year.
Starting point is 00:28:09 No. I can see them winning like 80 games this year. Yeah. Yeah. The Angels are the Angels and for some reason the Mariners always struggle to beat them but you know, they're obviously the worst team in this division. So yeah, I think, you know, Seattle
Starting point is 00:28:25 kind of has had the secret sauce against the Astros the last few years. They played very well against them and they dominated the Rangers last year. Again, obviously different team, but whatever. So yeah, I'll take the Mariners for a lot of little reasons, understanding that they could totally, like,
Starting point is 00:28:41 easily finish third in this division and once again be battling for their playoff lives in the last week of the year. Yeah. But ask me again in, like, an hour, I might say the Rangers. This is what I would say. If you are a gambler,
Starting point is 00:28:56 don't bet on this division. It is a sucker's debt. Yeah, no, no. The NCAA tournament is here, and so is the bracket breakdown. Locked on podcast network and Amazon Fire TV channels are teaming up to deliver NCAA tournament coverage like never before.
Starting point is 00:29:13 Watch studio shows featuring former players and Lockdown's local experts as they guide you through every upset, buzzer beater, and bracket matchup. Stream it all for free on Amazon Fire TV channel. Search Bracket Breakdown to see it all for free. It's your team every day. You're listening to the Lockdown Airs podcast, so we have our division winners pick. Now let's pick our wild card winners.
Starting point is 00:29:36 You want to start with the NL? Sure. So I'm going to take the Phillies to win a wild card spot. I'm going to take the Padres still to one a wild card spot. And I'm going to take the Arizona Diamondbacks to one of a wild card spot. The New York Mets missed the playoffs. Yeah. Swap the Braves for the Phillies there on yours, and that's mine.
Starting point is 00:30:04 Yeah. I think the Diamondbacks and the Padres are really, really good. and if they played in any division other than the NL West, they would be heavy World Series favorites. It's just they happen to play. And perhaps, you know, the same division as perhaps the most talented team ever assembled. And that sucks.
Starting point is 00:30:24 But, you know, the Padres, they didn't add much, but they didn't really move much. They did have a Pivotta, you know, and so they didn't lose, they lost pro far. But, yeah, I'm going to take the Padres one more time before I think they kind of, or maybe four, to do a little bit of a restructure of their payroll and whatnot. So last ride for the Padres.
Starting point is 00:30:45 In the AL, I'm going to take the, I'm going to go Orioles. I'm going to go Royals. I'm going to go Rangers. So one for each division. I'm going to go Astros. I'm going to go to toss up between the Orioles and the Yankees. I'll take the Astros, I'll take the
Starting point is 00:31:15 Yankees Still. Yeah. And I'll take the Mariners. Texas wins the division. I feel like the NL or the, sorry, the Central is such an edge over everybody else because they get to play the White Sox 13 times a piece.
Starting point is 00:31:36 So it feels like they're almost like being gifted to playoff spots, but it's like, don't really want to take like, the twins or the guardians over the rangers or the orioles yeah that's kind of the debate that i was having was like so i think i'll go astros um astros yankees now now astros oriel's yeah texas okay three a ls teams all right so let's get into award winners who's winning the uh n l and AL MVP's.
Starting point is 00:32:13 Hmm. The NL is tough. Who to pick, who to pick. Yeah. Obviously, Otani. Yeah. But if I'm going to throw in like a like actual like discussion worthy thing,
Starting point is 00:32:25 which we don't have to discuss, but like, I'm throwing in like just another player. I, I'll throw in. How about his teammate one of the more overlooked players just in the grand scheme of baseball history, mooky bets. Yeah. Dude is so good. Yeah. so yeah but it's it's otani it's otani still lose certainly yeah i've gotten cute the last couple of
Starting point is 00:32:50 years that we've done this and i've been like yeah i'm gonna pick someone else over a one award yeah yeah no i'm not i'm not getting cute this time i'm taking otani but i mean it could be sodo he's back in the nl uh could be mookie could be mookie it could be francisco l yep i'll throw out catal martay as a dark horse as well or even his teammate Corby and Carol. Yeah, Carol's definitely more of a dark horse than Marte. Marte is still underrated but it's like, yeah.
Starting point is 00:33:20 But, uh, but, well, it's just dark horse relative to, you know, best player of like literally all time. And then like top three hitter like in baseball right now, Juan Soto.
Starting point is 00:33:32 Like reincarnated Ted Williams. Yeah, best player who ever played above him. And it's like, yeah, and then there's mooky bats who's just like, like, you know, going to be 100 war, probably top 15, 20 player of all time and nobody's going to care because he got overshadowed his entire career.
Starting point is 00:33:47 Yeah. A L MVP, I'm taking Bobby Witt. And I don't think he has to do anything different than he did last year. He just needs Aaron Judge to not be as insane as he was last year. But I mean, like, could Bobby go like, he went 3030 last year? Could he go 3040 this year? Sure. Could he go 3540 this year?
Starting point is 00:34:07 Sure. You know what else could do that, Ty? one Mr. Julio Rodriguez, who will finish six. I'm also going to take Bobby Witt, Jr. Yeah. I wonder maybe there's a little fatigue with Aaron Judge
Starting point is 00:34:21 because he just won it the last two years. Yeah. Well, no, Otani won at the, did Judge win the last two? Whatever. Doesn't matter. Gunner Henderson's obviously going to factor in here as well. Julio definitely could be a factor in this race.
Starting point is 00:34:38 Like a dark horse. Yeah, it was Otani in 2023. Yeah, maybe a bit of a dark horse here, although not really. Corey Seeger, he can stay healthy. He's still a really good player. But yeah, I think I'm going to go wit as well. Yeah, this is a bit more open than the NL is. Oh, yeah.
Starting point is 00:34:57 I mean, Judge is probably still the heavy favorite, but yeah. I mean, Yordon could win it. Like, there's a lot of guys who have the chance to win. Yeah, yeah, adjourned Iran even. Yeah. Yeah, possible, yeah. Sayungs. This is where we typically get cute with it.
Starting point is 00:35:11 Yeah. And we've actually been, we've actually been pretty good at least getting close to predicting the winners. I think I did we both have Alcantra a couple years ago? Yep. I think we had McClanahan one year. He had a really good year. I had Gallen, I think last year. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:35:34 Didn't you pick Bailey over last year for the ale? I think it was like my dark horse. Okay. I don't remember. I didn't look it up. but yeah yeah so this is a ward i i usually try and have like one like sleeper pick uh up my sleeve so do i have this year i don't know so like obviously the favorite in the end i was paul skeins oh yeah because of the hype around him yeah um i'd be surprised if he didn't win it
Starting point is 00:36:04 i'm gonna get cute i'm gonna go off the beaten path i'm gonna take no what don't don't don't what i know who you're gonna take actually no there's no way that you're going to know who I'm going to take. Like I highly got it. Sure. Three, two, one. Spencer. Logan Webb.
Starting point is 00:36:25 Okay. Spencer, now I forgetting his last name. Shwellenbach. No. Oh, Shwellenbach? Yeah. That's how dark of a horse that pick is.
Starting point is 00:36:39 Can you remember his name? I'm going to take Logan Webb. Okay. I mean, I don't think that's super dark horse, but yeah. I mean, I'm sure. is like what plus 4,000 yeah let me let me look it up you'll take schwellenbach
Starting point is 00:36:54 it's part of the reason why I like the brave so much okay uh if I was a betting man I would bet on paul skeins that's pretty safe bet uh Logan webb is plus 3,000 on fan duel schwellenbach is plus 2,500 really yeah uh it goes so in order it goes skeins wheeler snell
Starting point is 00:37:15 Burns, Sale, Yamamoto, King, Alcantra, Seas, Strider, Glastnell, Christopher Sanchez,
Starting point is 00:37:24 that's another one that I considered. Shwellenbach, Logan Webb, Hunter Green. So on the American League side of things, more open now
Starting point is 00:37:32 that Caracol's out. Yep. School Bowl's still here. School is really good. He's very, very, very good. I'm going to get
Starting point is 00:37:44 less cute with it here. I'm going to go Cole Regans. Yeah, that was going to be my pick. I don't like that. We have the same pick, though, so let me think. You have Cole Regans. I mean, I also feel pretty strongly about Hunter Brown this year. Okay, that's interesting. I bet on Logan Gilbert before I bet on Hunter Brown.
Starting point is 00:38:04 Bryce Miller. Feels very strongly about this year. Sure. Yeah, Scoobel, Regans. Regans is going to be my pick. if you told me McClanahan was going to be healthy all year, I might say Shane McClainahan. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:38:21 So I'll just, I'm just going to take Regans. We're already over time. I can't sit here and ponder. So I'm just going to take the guy I originally said I was going to take. Who is Cole Regans? Again, part of the reason why I'm really high on the Royals this year.
Starting point is 00:38:34 Yeah. Also throw out Gavin Williams of the Guardians as a dark horse. Yeah. Tanner Bybee. Tanner Bobby is also a good one. Yeah. rookie of the year. Technically, Jason Dominguez counts here for the L.
Starting point is 00:38:49 I'm not taking Jason Dominguez. Yeah. If you debuted in like four separate seasons, you're not a rookie. I don't care what the rules are. I'm going to take Roman Anthony in the American League. Yeah. And then in National League, Sonsaki. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:39:09 Yeah. Yeah, I'm going to go Sassaki. I'm actually going to go Christian Campbell in the Yale. Okay. I was just trying to think. like how are they going to get Campbell on the field? They'll find out. I mean, Trevor's story is going to get hurt first and foremost.
Starting point is 00:39:24 Sure. I mean, second base might be open now because it sounds like Devers is finally accepted that he's mostly a DH. Yeah. So, but yeah, I'll say Roman Anthony. So lastly, most important question here, Colby, who wins the World Series? All right. The temptation here is to say the Dodgers, because.
Starting point is 00:39:50 they're so much better than everybody else. But as we know in baseball, that doesn't matter. The Los Angeles Dodgers are going to lose in the divisional round in five games to the Atlanta Braves. I don't even know that. Maths probably doesn't because the seating. But if they don't, then they'll lose in the NLCS to the Braves. Boom. Braves to the World Series.
Starting point is 00:40:16 And then the AIL is so open. So wide open. And it could literally, I talked about, we talked about this on our Patreon show, like, I don't know, a week and a half ago, two weeks ago. Yeah. It's like, you could tell me that there's like 10 or 11 teams. You could tell me they're going to the World Series this year. And I'd be like, okay. Yeah, I could see it.
Starting point is 00:40:38 Yeah. So, I mean, the Mariners are a legitimate pick to go to the World Series this year, as mad as we all are. The Astros, the Rangers, any of the four teams in the Central, the Yankees, the Red Sox. the Orioles. I think I'm going to go Boston. I think we're going to get a good old Boston Braves versus Boston Red Sox match up for all you baseball buffs, history buffs out there.
Starting point is 00:41:06 And then I'm going to take, I'll take Atlanta to win it all this year, just to be different. Knowing you should probably battle the Dodgers. I'm going to take. You know, can we at least agree on this die? We don't really care. Like if the mayors aren't going to win the World Series,
Starting point is 00:41:22 there's one thing we want. We want Dodgers, Padres, like best of five or best of seven series. Yeah, yeah, yeah. It's not going to be the Mariners. Give me that. Please. Give me the NLCS, Dodgers, Padres.
Starting point is 00:41:36 That would be epic. Yeah. Yeah, just we need that as baseball fans. Like, we need that every single year. Yeah. I'm going to take the Phillies to win the World Series. Okay. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:41:50 I'm a big Bryce Harper guy would love to finally see him get a ring again for all the reasons that I said for you know why I think they'll win the division I think they'll win the World Series I think that's one of the deepest rosters in baseball who do they beat in the World Series though that is the question God it's so wide open you need a D&D die to just randomly pick one
Starting point is 00:42:11 you know what I'm gonna take the Royals I'm gonna take the Royals yeah I know take the Mariners you coward I'm going to take the Royals as a wild card in my predictions to make a run to the World Series. Bobby Witt trying to hold his own against
Starting point is 00:42:31 Nola and Wheeler and Sanchez and Lazzardo. Give me that. That'd be fun. That'd be a fun World Series. I don't need Dodgers Yankees to be really excited about a World Series matchup. It was fine. Don't get me wrong. But like, yeah, I would have been perfectly happy
Starting point is 00:42:47 with like Milwaukee, Kansas City last year. So yeah. Yeah. I'm just a fan of good ball and Royals Phillies would be good ball. Wide open and good luck editing all of this. Anyways, that's going to do it for us, guys. Make sure tomorrow we are doing fan fiction Friday reverse uno card style. Ty and I are coming up with the trades.
Starting point is 00:43:07 That's right. And you guys are going to grade us in the comments. And as a bonus, when you comment your grade on our trades, that counts as a comment to try and win the grand prize. So there you go. we will be operating under the assumption that the Mariners are buyers full send at the deadline not straddling the fence not selling they're going to be all in at the deadline that's how we will be operating tomorrow's fan fiction Friday yeah like we said we have a comment in this
Starting point is 00:43:36 episode get yourself and subscribe get yourself entered to win our our biggest contest ever I would say so and hey easy comment for you guys to get yourself entered at least as far as this episode goes. Again, you can leave a comment on, you know, any episode that we release between now and April 3rd, and that gets you more entries into the, into the competition. Tell us your World Series winner.
Starting point is 00:44:01 Tell us your World Series matchup, you know. Send us your division winners, wildcard winners, all the stuff that we just did. Let us know down below. Give us your Dark Horse Saly Young Award winner. We don't need a novel. Maybe just pick one of them. But, you know, if you want to pick all of them,
Starting point is 00:44:13 sure, go ahead. What are we? Sure. The comment, please. I, whatever. All right. That is going to do it for our show. Thank you so much for joining us here on the Lockdown Marrars podcast for Colby Pat. Nowda, I'm Tadine Gonzalez.
Starting point is 00:44:23 Be sure to give us a follow on Twitter at L0 underscore Marrars. You can follow me at Tadine Gonzalez. Colby at C-Pat 11 and CPAT-1. We're also on Blue Sky. You can follow me at TDG, Colby at MLB Colby, and the show at Lockdown Mariners. Have yourself a beautiful baseball day and we'll see you next time. Peace.

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